Timber Market Report: 2015 4th Quarter October - December 2015 Dr. Jacobson's Comments Prices remain flat for the most part. A big question is whether domestic demand and housing starts will pick up this spring, as exports have fallen off. Consumer spending in the U.S is showing some signs of strength but the our markets still heavily depend on exports. China's economic concerns and strong dollar influence exports. Interestingly, for the last few quarters the Black Cherry prices in NE are higher on average than the NW. I can't read into it too much but maybe signs of limited high quality Cherry availability in NW. Stumpage Prices Northeast Species by Region Minus 1 Std Dev Average Plus 1 Std Dev N# Northern Red Oak $320 $447 $574 21 White Oak $243 $356 $470 18 Mixed Oak $219 $313 $407 18 Black Cherry $423 $822 $1,222 15 White Ash $192 $334 $477 19 Hard Maple $216 $371 $526 14 Soft Maple $151 $245 $339 23 Yellow-Poplar $135 $201 $267 5 $0 $82 $175 3 White Pine $24 $103 $182 6 Hemlock $19 $101 $184 4 Misc. Hardwoods Prices are $ per MBF International 1/4 Page 2 Timber Market Report: 2015 4th Quarter Southeast Species by Region Minus 1 Std Dev Average Plus 1 Std Dev N# Northern Red Oak $419 $539 $659 15 White Oak $323 $437 $552 12 Mixed Oak $310 $403 $495 16 $0 $509 $0 1 White Ash $208 $321 $434 3 Hard Maple $299 $427 $555 2 Soft Maple $143 $196 $249 11 Yellow-poplar $250 $307 $364 9 Misc. Hardwoods $138 $186 $233 5 $82 $108 $133 5 $0 $100 $0 1 Black Cherry White Pine Hemlock Prices are $ per MBF International 1/4 Page 3 Timber Market Report: 2015 4th Quarter Northwest Species by Region Minus 1 Std Dev Average Plus 1 Std Dev N# Northern Red Oak $292 $412 $533 25 White Oak $236 $326 $417 15 Mixed Oak $187 $265 $343 17 Black Cherry $420 $717 $1,014 38 White Ash $195 $289 $383 31 Hard Maple $228 $335 $442 35 Soft Maple $170 $252 $334 40 Yellow-poplar $97 $147 $197 13 Misc. Hardwoods $26 $48 $69 18 White Pine $29 $65 $102 3 Hemlock $16 $52 $88 3 Prices are $ per MBF International 1/4 Page 4 Timber Market Report: 2015 4th Quarter Southwest Species by Region Minus 1 Std Dev Average Plus 1 Std Dev N# Northern Red Oak $230 $423 $616 13 White Oak $179 $372 $564 13 Mixed Oak $147 $318 $488 13 Black Cherry $166 $334 $502 11 White Ash $129 $202 $276 9 Hard Maple $178 $314 $450 9 Soft Maple $142 $208 $273 11 Yellow-poplar $133 $198 $263 10 Misc. Hardwoods $50 $86 $121 7 White Pine $78 $97 $116 3 Hemlock $83 $95 $107 2 Prices are $ per MBF International 1/4 Conversion Factors • Doyle Price = 1.695 x International 1/4" Price • Scribner Price=1.159 x International 1/4" Price Graphs Key Page 5 Timber Market Report: 2015 4th Quarter Pulpwood Stumpage Notes • No prices are reported for samples with only a single respondent. • Ranges are not reported for samples with fewer than three respondents. Page 6 Timber Market Report: 2015 4th Quarter Private and Other Public Pulpwood Stumpage Region Low Avg High (n)# Northeast N/A $1.56 N/A 2 Southeast N/A $2.50 N/A 2 Northwest $0.83 $2.91 $8.90 14 Southwest $2.00 $3.20 $5.00 5 Hardwood Pulp ($/ton) Region Low Avg High (n)# Northeast N/A N/A N/A 1 Southeast N/A N/A N/A 1 Northwest N/A N/A N/A 1 Southwest N/A $4.00 N/A 2 Softwood Pulp ($/ton) Page 7 Timber Market Report: 2015 4th Quarter Bureau of Forestry Pulpwood Stumpage Region Low Avg High (n)# Northeast $0.77 $5.82 $9.14 17 Southeast $2.49 $5.78 $8.01 9 Northwest $4.14 $7.19 $12.68 17 Southwest $1.90 $4.58 $6.74 7 Hardwood Pulp ($/ton) Region Low Avg High (n)# Northeast $3.30 $6.01 $8.52 3 Southeast $6.23 $9.63 $11.51 6 Northwest Southwest 0 N/A N/A N/A 1 Softwood Pulp ($/ton) Penn State College of Agricultural Sciences research and extension programs are funded in part by Pennsylvania counties, the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Where trade names appear, no discrimination is intended, and no endorsement by Penn State Extension is implied. This publication is available in alternative media on request. Penn State is an equal opportunity, affirmative action employer, and is committed to providing employment opportunities to all qualified applicants without regard to race, color, religion, age, sex, sexual orientation, gender identity, national origin, disability or protected veteran status. © The Pennsylvania State University 2017 Page 8 Timber Market Report: 2015 4th Quarter
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