Suffolk County Profile 2017 A collection of recent demographic, social and economic data Compiled by Jan Vink Cornell Program on Applied Demographics Suffolk County Profile This profile is a part of a set of profiles generated for each county in New York State. The profiles were developed and generated by the Cornell Program on Applied Demographics. The work is sponsored by the New York State Data Center in the New York State Department of Labor. Cornell Program on Applied Demographics: The Program on Applied Demographics (PAD) brings skills in demographics, economics, statistics, data gathering and data analysis together to provide a variety of organizations with data, information and advice. PAD is located in the Department of Policy Analysis and Management within the College of Human Ecology at Cornell University. PAD is also affiliated with the Cornell Institute for Social and Economic Research and the Cornell Population Center. For more information: http://pad.human.cornell.edu/ New York State Data Center: The New York State Data Center (NYSDC) is located in the Division of Research and Statistics within the New York State Department of Labor. The State Data Center operates as part of a nationwide effort to improve public access to data provided by the U.S. Census Bureau. The U.S. Census Bureau collects and tabulates data on a multitude of subjects such as population, social, economic and housing demographics, labor force data, health care, migration and transportation. These data play a critical role in understanding our local and larger surrounding communities. Census data also influence state and federal funding, aid decision making in the legislative process, and determine each state's number of congressional seats. As the lead agency in New York for the SDC program, the New York State Data Center helps users navigate through the multitude of surveys and products provided by the U.S. Census Bureau. For more information: https://labor.ny.gov/nys-data-center/ All profiles are freely downloadable as PDF documents on the PAD website: http://pad.human.cornell.edu/profiles/index.cfm This profile is an update from the County Profile produced in 2013. The 2013 profile also contained information on agriculture related items and can be found at https://pad.human.cornell.edu/profiles/2013/Suffolk.pdf Page 1 of 30 Suffolk County Profile Contents 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Reference Maps (towns and places as defined in 2010) .....................................................................................3 Population density and Urban Areas Map ...........................................................................................................5 Total Population ...................................................................................................................................................6 3.1 Historic and projected .................................................................................................................................6 3.2 Change since previous Census .....................................................................................................................6 3.3 Annual population estimates.......................................................................................................................7 3.4 Sub County population change 2010-2015 .................................................................................................8 3.5 Sub County population change 2010-2015 .................................................................................................8 Components of population change .....................................................................................................................9 4.1 Vital Statistics...............................................................................................................................................9 4.2 Migration .................................................................................................................................................. 10 Population by age ............................................................................................................................................. 11 5.1 Historic and projected population pyramids ............................................................................................ 11 5.2 Selected age groups .................................................................................................................................. 12 5.3 Median age ............................................................................................................................................... 13 Race ................................................................................................................................................................... 14 6.1 Total and household population by race .................................................................................................. 14 6.2 Race composition by age .......................................................................................................................... 14 Housing units .................................................................................................................................................... 15 7.1 Characteristics .......................................................................................................................................... 15 7.2 Historical data on number of housing units and occupancy status.......................................................... 16 7.3 Building Permits 2000-2015...................................................................................................................... 16 Education .......................................................................................................................................................... 17 8.1 Enrollment by level of school ................................................................................................................... 17 8.2 Enrollment by age ..................................................................................................................................... 17 8.3 Percentage age 18-24 enrolled in college ................................................................................................ 17 8.4 Educational attainment ............................................................................................................................ 18 Language spoken at home ................................................................................................................................ 18 Labor Force Characteristics ............................................................................................................................... 19 10.1 Labor force, employment and unemployment ........................................................................................ 19 10.2 Annual unemployment rate...................................................................................................................... 20 10.3 Employment and number of jobs ............................................................................................................. 20 10.4 Class of worker.......................................................................................................................................... 21 Household Income ............................................................................................................................................ 22 11.1 Income Distribution .................................................................................................................................. 22 11.2 Median household income: Trends over time.......................................................................................... 23 Poverty .............................................................................................................................................................. 23 12.1 Family Income to Poverty Ratio ................................................................................................................ 23 12.2 Poverty: Trends over time: Count............................................................................................................. 24 12.3 Poverty: Trends over time: Rate ............................................................................................................... 24 12.4 Poverty characteristics.............................................................................................................................. 25 Glossary ............................................................................................................................................................. 26 References ........................................................................................................................................................ 29 Page 2 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 1 Reference Maps (towns and places as defined in 2010) Page 3 of 30 Suffolk County Profile Page 4 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 2 Population density and Urban Areas Map Page 5 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 3 Total Population 3.1 Historic and projected 197,355 276,129 666,784 1,132,780 1,284,231 1,321,864 1,419,369 1,493,350 1,530,550 1,548,368 1,534,811 Total population, Suffolk County, 1940-2040 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Decennial Census PAD projections Source: 1940-2010 Decennial Census and projections by Cornell Program on Applied Demographics 3.2 Change since previous Census PAD projections Decennial Census Total population Change Number Percent 1940 197,355 1950 276,129 78,774 39.9% 1960 666,784 390,655 141.5% 1970 1,132,780 465,996 69.9% 1980 1,284,231 151,451 13.4% 1990 1,321,864 37,633 2.9% 2000 1,419,369 97,505 7.4% 2010 1,493,350 73,981 5.2% 2020 1,530,550 37,200 2.5% 2030 1,548,368 17,818 1.2% 2040 1,534,811 -13,557 -0.9% Source: 1940-2010 Decennial Census and projections by Cornell Program on Applied Demographics Page 6 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 3.3 Annual population estimates Annual population estimates Suffolk County, 1990-2016 Max 2013 1,500,776 Last 2016 1,492,583 Min 1990 1,322,686 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates (1990-1999 and 2000-2009 intercensal and vintage 2016 postcensal) Page 7 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 3.4 Sub County population change 2010-2015 Total Population 2000 2010 Difference Count New York State 18,976,821 * 19,378,102 401,281 Suffolk County 1,419,369 1,493,350 73,981 Towns Babylon 211,792 213,603 1,811 Brookhaven 448,248 486,040 37,792 East Hampton 19,719 21,457 1,738 Huntington 195,289 203,264 7,975 Islip 322,782 * 335,543 12,761 Riverhead 27,680 33,506 5,826 Shelter Island 2,228 2,392 164 Smit 115,545 * 117,801 2,256 Southampton 54,712 56,790 2,078 Southold 20,599 21,968 1,369 Reservations Poospatuck 271 324 53 Shinnecock 504 662 158 * Original counts revised through Count Question Resolution Program (CQR) % 2.1% 5.2% 0.9% 8.4% 8.8% 4.1% 4.0% 21.0% 7.4% 2.0% 3.8% 6.6% 19.6% 31.3% Source: U.S. Census Bureau intercensal population estimates 2000-2010 3.5 Sub County population change 2010-2015 New York State Suffolk County Towns Babylon Brookhaven East Hampton Huntington Islip Riverhead Shelter Island Smit Southampton Southold Reservations Poospatuck Shinnecock Total Population 2010 base 2015 19,378,087 1,493,291 19,795,791 1,501,587 213,568 486,040 21,457 203,247 335,543 33,505 2,390 117,794 56,792 21,969 324 662 Difference Count % 417,704 8,296 2.2% 0.6% 213,776 489,278 22,019 204,398 336,113 33,774 2,418 118,275 58,254 22,274 208 3,238 562 1,151 570 269 28 481 1,462 305 0.1% 0.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.8% 1.2% 0.4% 2.6% 1.4% 326 682 2 20 0.6% 3.0% Source: U.S. Census Bureau population estimates 2010-2015 Page 8 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 4 Components of population change 4.1 Vital Statistics Vital Statistics, Suffolk County 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Births Deaths 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 10,000 8,000 Natural increase 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Source: New York State Department of Health Page 9 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 4.2 Migration Domestic and international migration, Suffolk County 10,000 5,000 0 -5,000 -10,000 -15,000 -20,000 2000 2005 Net Domestic Migration 2010 2015 Net International Migration Source: Census Bureau population estimates (V2010 and V2016) Page 10 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 5 Population by age 5.1 Historic and projected population pyramids 1950 Population Pyramid, Suffolk County 75+ 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 1980 Population Pyramid, Suffolk County 75+ 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 100,000 50,000 0 Male 50,000 100,000 100,000 Female 0 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 50,000 100,000 Female Male 2010 Population Pyramid, Suffolk County 100,000 50,000 2040 Population Pyramid, Suffolk County 85+ 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 50,000 0 Male 50,000 Female 100,000 100,000 50,000 0 Male 50,000 100,000 Female Source: 1950, 1980, 2010 Decennial Census and projections by Cornell Program on Applied Demographics Page 11 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 5.2 Selected age groups Population age 5-14, Suffolk County, 1940-2040 23.9% 20.6% 13.5% 213,620 204,186 192,237 201,592 196,594 12.8% 176,241 13.0% 233,092 12.6% 270,658 13.7% 137,084 15.1% 37,408 13.3% 27,565 14.0% 18.2% 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Decennial Census PAD projections Share of total population Source: 1940-2010 Decennial Census and projections by Cornell Program on Applied Demographics Population age 25-64, Suffolk County, 1940-2040 56.5% 55.8% 53.8% 53.8% 616,379 711,823 773,664 804,024 813,114 797,811 776,001 50.6% 499,632 51.5% 319,870 53.1% 154,110 44.1% 54.5% 48.0% 111,568 48.0% 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Decennial Census PAD projections Share of total population Source: 1940-2010 Decennial Census and projections by Cornell Program on Applied Demographics Page 12 of 30 Suffolk County Profile Population age 65 and over, Suffolk County, 1940-2040 19.5% 19.8% 16.2% 85,979 115,828 141,717 167,558 201,793 247,572 301,758 304,620 11.8% 56,814 7.6% 10.7% 27,680 8.5% 9.0% 17,286 8.8% 10.0% 13.5% 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Decennial Census PAD projections Share of total population Source: 1940-2010 Decennial Census and projections by Cornell Program on Applied Demographics 5.3 Median age Suffolk County New York State Median age 2000 2010 2015 36.5 39.8 41.2 35.9 38.0 38.3 Source: 2000, 2010 Decennial Census, 2015 Population Estimates Page 13 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 6 Race 6.1 Total and household population by race Total Count Percentage Total population In Group Quarters In households Count Percentage Count 1,493,350 100% 1,463,944 100% 29,406 1,068,728 71.6% 1,048,929 71.7% 19,799 Not Hispanic or Latino One race White Black or African American American Indian and Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander Some other race Two or more races Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 102,117 6.8% 97,731 6.7% 4,386 2,906 0.2% 2,842 0.2% 64 50,295 3.4% 48,127 3.3% 2,168 275 0.0% 257 0.0% 18 3,041 0.2% 3,000 0.2% 41 19,749 1.3% 19,434 1.3% 315 246,239 16.5% 243,624 16.6% 2,615 Source: 2010 Decennial Census 6.2 Race composition by age Share of total population Race composition by age, Suffolk County 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0 10 20 30 40 50 White alone, not Hispanic or Latino 60 70 80 90 100 Age Black or African American alone, not Hispanic or Latino American Indian and Alaska Native alone, not Hispanic or Latino Asian alone, not Hispanic or Latino Hispanic or Latino (of any race) Source: 2010 Decennial Census Page 14 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 7 7.1 Housing units Characteristics COUNT HOUSING OCCUPANCY Total housing units Occupied housing units Vacant housing units YEAR STRUCTURE BUILT Total housing units Built 2014 or later Built 2010 to 2013 Built 2000 to 2009 Built 1990 to 1999 Built 1980 to 1989 Built 1970 to 1979 Built 1960 to 1969 Built 1950 to 1959 Built 1940 to 1949 Built 1939 or earlier HOUSING TENURE Occupied housing units Owner-occupied Renter-occupied HOUSE HEATING FUEL Occupied housing units Utility gas Bottled, tank, or LP gas Electricity Fuel oil, kerosene, etc. Coal or coke Wood Solar energy Other fuel No fuel used VALUE Owner-occupied units Less than $50,000 $50,000 to $99,999 $100,000 to $149,999 $150,000 to $199,999 $200,000 to $299,999 $300,000 to $499,999 $500,000 to $999,999 $1,000,000 or more Median (dollars) PERCENTAGE Margin Estimate of error 100.0% 86.6% ± 0.3 13.4% ± 0.3 570,194 493,849 76,345 Margin of error ± 427 ± 1,846 ± 1,751 570,194 289 2,641 43,726 50,783 58,546 101,777 119,703 107,019 29,329 56,381 ± 427 ± 122 ± 375 ± 1,368 ± 1,607 ± 1,541 ± 1,945 ± 1,874 ± 2,021 ± 1,362 ± 1,432 100.0% 0.1% 0.5% 7.7% 8.9% 10.3% 17.8% 21.0% 18.8% 5.1% 9.9% ± 0.1 ± 0.1 ± 0.2 ± 0.3 ± 0.3 ± 0.3 ± 0.3 ± 0.4 ± 0.2 ± 0.3 493,849 392,390 101,459 ± 1,846 ± 2,710 ± 2,072 100.0% 79.5% 20.5% ± 0.4 ± 0.4 493,849 180,960 10,445 33,330 262,244 459 3,854 169 1,475 913 ± 1,846 ± 1,936 ± 716 ± 1,104 ± 2,054 ± 149 ± 509 ± 71 ± 221 ± 264 100.0% 36.6% 2.1% 6.7% 53.1% 0.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% ± 0.3 ± 0.1 ± 0.2 ± 0.4 ± 0.1 ± 0.1 ± 0.1 ± 0.1 ± 0.1 392,390 9,065 5,209 7,658 14,852 73,339 186,401 79,970 15,896 375,100 ± 2,710 ± 575 ± 454 ± 546 ± 855 ± 1,532 ± 2,228 ± 1,346 ± 678 ± 1,462 100.0% 2.3% 1.3% 2.0% 3.8% 18.7% 47.5% 20.4% 4.1% ± 0.1 ± 0.1 ± 0.1 ± 0.2 ± 0.4 ± 0.5 ± 0.3 ± 0.2 Estimate Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey Page 15 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 7.2 Historical data on number of housing units and occupancy status Change since Occupancy Occupied previous rate Census Vacant 295,587 88.4% 38,791 Year Number of Housing Units 1970 334,378 1980 431,722 29.1% 385,719 89.3% 46,003 1990 481,317 11.5% 424,719 88.2% 56,598 2000 522,323 8.5% 469,299 89.8% 53,024 2010 569,985 9.1% 499,922 87.7% 70,063 Source: 1970-2010 Decennial Census 7.3 Building Permits 2000-2015 Building permits by number of permitted units in building, Suffolk County 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2000 2005 2010 Units in 1 unit buildings Units in 2 unit buildings Units in 3-4 unit buildings Units in buildings with 5 or more units 2015 Total permitted units Source: Census Bureau Building Permits Survey Page 16 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 8 Education 8.1 Enrollment by level of school 387,238 Margin of error ± 2,406 Nursery school, preschool 24,684 ± 1,151 Kindergarten to 12th grade 259,723 ± 1,196 Kindergarten 16,773 ± 1,021 Elementary: grade 1 to grade 4 74,515 ± 1,642 Elementary: grade 5 to grade 8 79,171 ± 1,424 High school: grade 9 to grade 12 89,264 ± 1,018 College, undergraduate 81,597 ± 1,426 Graduate, professional school 21,234 ± 1,023 Estimate Total enrolled in school Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey 8.2 Enrollment by age 3 and 4 years 60.0% Margin of error ± 2.5 5 to 9 years 96.7% ± 0.4 10 to 14 years 98.6% ± 0.3 15 to 17 years 97.7% ± 0.4 18 and 19 years 80.5% ± 1.5 20 to 24 years 46.6% ± 1.1 25 to 34 years 11.7% ± 0.6 1.8% ± 0.1 Estimate 35 years and over Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey 8.3 Percentage age 18-24 enrolled in college 138,167 Margin of error ± 136 49.0% ± 0.9 71,748 ± 47 45.1% ± 1.3 66,419 ± 142 53.3% ± 1.3 Estimate Population 18 to 24 years Enrolled in college or graduate school Males 18 to 24 years Enrolled in college or graduate school Females 18 to 24 years Enrolled in college or graduate school Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey Page 17 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 8.4 Educational attainment COUNT PERCENTAGE Margin Estimate of error 100% 1,022,970 Margin of error ± 131 Less than 9th grade 47,721 ± 1,771 4.7% ± 0.2 9th to 12th grade, no diploma 55,269 ± 1,768 5.4% ± 0.2 High school graduate (includes equivalency) 299,525 ± 4,160 29.3% ± 0.4 Some college, no degree Estimate Population 25 years and over EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT 180,501 ± 2,799 17.6% ± 0.3 Associate's degree 92,028 ± 1,830 9.0% ± 0.2 Bachelor's degree 191,189 ± 2,723 18.7% ± 0.3 Graduate or professional degree 156,737 ± 2,512 15.3% ± 0.2 Percent high school graduate or higher 89.9% ± 0.3 Percent bachelor's degree or higher 34.0% ± 0.3 Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey 9 Language spoken at home COUNT SPEAK ENGLISH LESS THAN "VERY WELL" PERCENTAGE Estimate 1,419,141 Margin of error ±6 1,106,900 ± 4,763 78.0% ± 0.3 312,241 ± 4,764 22.0% ± 0.3 133,576 ± 3,451 191,822 ± 2,889 13.5% ± 0.2 91,441 ± 2,945 Other Indo-European languages 84,130 ± 3,340 5.9% ± 0.2 27,071 ± 1,582 Asian and Pacific Islander languages 30,291 ± 1,601 2.1% ± 0.1 13,788 ± 1,041 5,998 ± 779 0.4% ± 0.1 1,276 ± 314 Estimate Population 5 years and over 100% Margin Estimate of error Margin of error LANGUAGE SPOKEN AT HOME English only Language other than English Spanish Other languages Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey Page 18 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 10 Labor Force Characteristics 10.1 Labor force, employment and unemployment UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Margin Margin Margin Margin Estimate of Estimate of Estimate of Estimate of error error error error 1,204,453 ± 787 65.3% ± 0.2 61.0% ± 0.2 6.4% ± 0.2 TOTAL Population 16 years and over IN LABOR FORCE EMPLOYED AGE 16 to 19 years 83,372 ± 800 34.1% ± 1.2 27.3% ± 1.1 19.8% ± 1.5 20 to 24 years 98,111 ± 141 72.3% ± 1.2 64.2% ± 1.2 11.2% ± 0.8 25 to 29 years 85,536 ± 124 83.4% ± 1.0 76.3% ± 1.1 8.3% ± 0.7 30 to 34 years 83,672 ± 46 82.9% ± 0.9 76.9% ± 1.0 7.0% ± 0.7 35 to 44 years 194,315 ± 93 83.6% ± 0.6 79.5% ± 0.6 4.8% ± 0.4 45 to 54 years 244,867 ± 87 83.6% ± 0.5 79.8% ± 0.6 4.5% ± 0.4 55 to 59 years 105,500 ± 1,514 77.5% ± 0.8 73.8% ± 0.8 4.8% ± 0.6 87,185 ± 1,507 60 to 64 years 65 to 74 years 75 years and over 60.9% ± 1.2 57.7% ± 1.2 5.2% ± 0.6 123,558 ± 57 29.8% ± 0.6 28.2% ± 0.6 5.4% ± 0.7 98,337 ± 57 7.5% ± 0.5 7.0% ± 0.5 7.1% ± 1.6 RACE AND HISPANIC OR LATINO ORIGIN White alone 992,626 ± 3,154 65.1% ± 0.3 61.0% ± 0.3 6.2% ± 0.2 Black or African American alone American Indian and Alaska Native alone Asian alone 88,120 ± 1,072 65.2% ± 1.3 58.9% ± 1.3 9.6% ± 0.9 Two or more races 2,327 ± 431 63.5% ± 6.7 53.5% ± 6.2 15.7% ± 7.0 45,499 ± 857 61.5% ± 1.6 58.4% ± 1.6 4.9% ± 0.7 22,611 ± 2,005 66.0% ± 2.5 61.4% ± 2.6 6.9% ± 1.5 Hispanic or Latino origin (of any race) 191,971 ± 413 71.5% ± 0.7 66.9% ± 0.7 6.3% ± 0.6 White alone, not Hispanic or Latino 868,871 ± 742 64.1% ± 0.3 60.1% ± 0.3 6.2% ± 0.2 899,186 ± 116 79.4% ± 0.3 74.6% ± 0.3 6.0% ± 0.2 Male 448,101 ± 101 84.5% ± 0.4 79.0% ± 0.4 6.4% ± 0.3 Female 451,085 ± 98 74.2% ± 0.5 70.2% ± 0.5 5.5% ± 0.3 166,894 ± 2,028 73.5% ± 0.7 69.7% ± 0.7 5.1% ± 0.4 801,075 SEX Population 20 to 64 years With own children under 18 years EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT Population 25 to 64 years ± 131 80.2% ± 0.3 75.9% ± 0.3 5.4% ± 0.2 Less than high school graduate High school graduate (includes equivalency) Some college or associate's degree 71,269 ± 2,279 67.2% ± 1.2 62.0% ± 1.3 7.7% ± 1.0 214,814 ± 3,735 75.2% ± 0.7 70.2% ± 0.7 6.7% ± 0.5 225,638 ± 2,826 81.1% ± 0.6 76.5% ± 0.6 5.6% ± 0.3 Bachelor's degree or higher 289,354 ± 3,124 86.5% ± 0.4 83.0% ± 0.5 4.0% ± 0.3 Table formula: LABOR FORCE % IN LABOR FORCE % EMPLOYED UNEMPLOYMENT RATE = = = = # EMPLOYED + # UNEMPLOYED LABOR FORCE / TOTAL * 100% # EMPLOYED / TOTAL * 100% # UNEMPLOYED / LABOR FORCE * 100% Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey Page 19 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 10.2 Annual unemployment rate Annual unemployment rate, Suffolk County and New York State 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 2000 2005 2015 2010 NY State Suffolk County Source: Bureau Labor Statistics (BLS) 10.3 Employment and number of jobs Labor force, number of employed workers and number of jobs Suffolk County 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2000 2005 Labor Force (BLS) 2010 Employed (BLS) 2015 Number of jobs (QCEW) Source: Bureau Labor Statistics (BLS) and NY Department of Labor - Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) – annual averages Page 20 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 10.4 Class of worker Total %Male %Female Civilian employed population 16 years and over Estimate 735,010 52.8% 47.2% Margin of error ± 3,031 ± 0.2 ± 0.2 Private for-profit wage and salary workers: Estimate 514,622 56.0% 44.0% Margin of error ± 3,365 ± 0.3 ± 0.3 Employee of private company workers Estimate 473,323 54.3% 45.7% Margin of error ± 3,583 ± 0.3 ± 0.3 Self-employed in own incorporated business workers Estimate 41,299 75.6% 24.4% Margin of error ± 1,369 ± 1.4 ± 1.4 Estimate 52,250 35.2% 64.8% Margin of error ± 1,714 ± 1.3 ± 1.3 Estimate 73,241 45.7% 54.3% Margin of error ± 1,956 ± 1.2 ± 1.2 Estimate 43,122 42.0% 58.0% Margin of error ± 1,561 ± 1.6 ± 1.6 Estimate 16,413 55.9% 44.1% ± 912 ± 2.5 ± 2.5 35,362 59.3% 40.7% ± 1,309 ± 1.9 ± 1.9 Private not-for-profit wage and salary workers Local government workers State government workers Federal government workers Margin of error Self-employed in own not Estimate incorporated business workers and Margin of error unpaid family workers Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey Page 21 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 11 Household Income 11.1 Income Distribution Estimate 493,849 Total: Interval Margin width (in of error $1,000) ± 1,846 Est. per $1,000 section 1,724.1 Less than $10,000 17,241 ± 1,086 $10,000 to $14,999 13,282 ± 808 $15,000 to $19,999 14,822 ± 828 $20,000 to $24,999 15,719 ± 813 $25,000 to $29,999 14,640 ± 791 $30,000 to $34,999 15,204 ± 859 $35,000 to $39,999 14,439 ± 775 $40,000 to $44,999 15,560 ± 761 $45,000 to $49,999 14,195 ± 804 $50,000 to $59,999 29,557 ± 1,023 $60,000 to $74,999 43,934 ± 1,400 $75,000 to $99,999 67,847 ± 1,625 $100,000 to $124,999 60,246 ± 1,433 $125,000 to $149,999 42,835 ± 1,067 $150,000 to $199,999 56,563 ± 1,543 $200,000 or more 57,765 ± 1,327 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 15 25 25 25 50 - 2,656.4 2,964.4 3,143.8 2,928.0 3,040.8 2,887.8 3,112.0 2,839.0 2,955.7 2,928.9 2,713.9 2,409.8 1,713.4 1,131.3 - Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey 1.2% Income distribution, Suffolk County % per $1,000 section 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0 50 100 150 200 Household Income (in Thousands) NY State Suffolk County Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey Page 22 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 11.2 Median household income: Trends over time Median Household Income ($), Suffolk County, 2000-2015 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2000 2005 2010 90% Confidence interval Estimate 2015 NY state estimate Source: Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) 12 Poverty 12.1 Family Income to Poverty Ratio TOTAL PERCENT OF ALL Margin Margin Estimate of error of error 367,526 ± 2,424 Estimate All families ALL FAMILIES WITH INCOME: Below 50 percent of poverty level Below 100 percent of poverty level Below 125 percent of poverty level Below 150 percent of poverty level Below 185 percent of poverty level Below 200 percent of poverty level Below 300 percent of poverty level Below 400 percent of poverty level Below 500 percent of poverty level 7,181 17,767 24,438 32,712 44,985 51,115 94,690 140,995 184,619 ± 742 ± 1,067 ± 1,197 ± 1,389 ± 1,507 ± 1,490 ± 2,004 ± 1,996 ± 2,029 2.0% 4.8% 6.6% 8.9% 12.2% 13.9% 25.8% 38.4% 50.2% ± 0.2 ± 0.3 ± 0.3 ± 0.4 ± 0.4 ± 0.4 ± 0.5 ± 0.5 ± 0.4 Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey Page 23 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 12.2 Poverty: Trends over time: Count Number of people in poverty, Suffolk County, 2000-2015 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2000 2005 2010 90% Confidence interval 2015 Estimate Source: Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) 12.3 Poverty: Trends over time: Rate Poverty rate, Suffolk County, 2000-2015 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 6.2% 6.6% 6.6% 7.3% 7.0% 6.6% 5.2% 5.3% 5.6% 5.7% 7.4% 7.5% 7.7% 7.8% 6.6% 6.9% 2% 0% 2000 2005 90% Confidence interval 2010 Estimate 2015 NY State estimate Source: Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) Page 24 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 12.4 Poverty characteristics BELOW POVERTY PERCENT BELOW LEVEL POVERTY LEVEL Margin Margin Margin Estimate Estimate Estimate of error of error of error 1,471,614 ± 1,312 103,269 ± 4,312 7.0% ± 0.3 TOTAL Population for whom poverty status is determined AGE Under 18 years Under 5 years 5 to 17 years 18 to 34 years 35 to 64 years 65 years and over SEX Male Female RACE AND HISPANIC OR LATINO ORIGIN White alone Black or African American alone American Indian and Alaska Native alone Asian alone Hispanic or Latino origin (of any race) White alone, not Hispanic or Latino EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT Population 25 years and over Less than high school graduate High school graduate (includes equivalency) Some college, associate's degree Bachelor's degree or higher EMPLOYMENT STATUS Civilian labor force 16 years and over Employed Male Female Unemployed Male Female WORK EXPERIENCE IN THE PAST 12 MONTHS Population 16 years and over Worked full-time, year-round Worked part-time or part-year Did not work 334,513 80,289 254,224 294,738 628,283 214,080 ± 720 ± 360 ± 529 ± 699 ± 411 ± 658 29,249 8,080 21,169 25,251 36,233 12,536 ± 2,079 ± 925 ± 1,592 ± 1,565 ± 1,740 ± 920 8.7% 10.1% 8.3% 8.6% 5.8% 5.9% ± 0.6 ± 1.1 ± 0.6 ± 0.5 ± 0.3 ± 0.4 723,466 748,148 ± 890 ± 864 45,309 ± 2,292 57,960 ± 2,468 6.3% 7.7% ± 0.3 ± 0.3 1,197,942 110,701 3,094 52,309 261,961 1,030,406 ± 4,523 ± 1,544 ± 535 ± 1,111 ± 696 ± 1,106 66,981 14,283 739 4,520 32,096 50,059 ± 3,199 ± 1,338 ± 316 ± 778 ± 2,293 ± 2,493 5.6% 12.9% 23.9% 8.6% 12.3% 4.9% ± 0.3 ± 1.2 ± 9.0 ± 1.5 ± 0.9 ± 0.2 1,009,307 99,352 293,905 269,966 346,084 ± 859 ± 2,483 ± 4,206 ± 3,044 ± 3,416 62,950 ± 2,533 15,859 ± 1,215 22,843 ± 1,369 14,065 ± 874 10,183 ± 829 6.2% 16.0% 7.8% 5.2% 2.9% ± 0.3 ± 1.2 ± 0.4 ± 0.3 ± 0.2 781,972 731,879 386,805 345,074 50,093 28,654 21,439 ± 3,092 ± 2,985 ± 2,152 ± 2,200 ± 1,557 ± 1,129 ± 972 29,742 ± 1,601 21,785 ± 1,294 9,959 ± 809 11,826 ± 891 7,957 ± 786 4,265 ± 647 3,692 ± 469 3.8% 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 15.9% 14.9% 17.2% ± 0.2 ± 0.2 ± 0.2 ± 0.3 ± 1.4 ± 2.1 ± 2.0 11,826 7,957 4,265 3,692 3.4% 15.9% 14.9% 17.2% ± 0.3 ± 1.4 ± 2.1 ± 2.0 345,074 ± 2,200 50,093 ± 1,557 28,654 ± 1,129 21,439 ± 972 ± 891 ± 786 ± 647 ± 469 Source: 2011-2015 American Community Survey Page 25 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 13 Glossary American Community Survey (ACS) - The American Community Survey is an ongoing survey of the population that provides data every year on a variety of social and economic characteristics—age, sex, race, family and relationships, income and benefits, health insurance, education, veteran status, disabilities, where you work and how you get there, where you live and how much you pay for some essentials. The ACS replaced the information previously gathered by what was known as the “long form” of the decennial censuses. The ACS provides communities, companies and other institutions with current information they need to plan investments and services. Information from the survey generates data that help determine how more than $400 billion in federal and state funds are distributed each year. Every estimate presented in the American Community Survey, as in other surveys, has an uncertainty associated with it. Often the magnitude of that uncertainty is expressed as the Margin of Error. Confidence Interval (CI) - indication of the degree of uncertainty about a sample estimates. Confidence intervals have been traditionally reported at the 90, 95 and 99 percent levels. A 90 percent confidence interval can be interpreted, for example, roughly as providing 90 percent certainty that the interval defined by the upper and lower bounds contain the true value of the characteristic. If a Margin of Error is given, the lower bound of the confidence interval is equal to the estimate minus the Margin of Error and the upper bound is equal to the estimate plus the Margin of Error. (See further, Margin of Error definition below.) County subdivision or Minor Civil Division (MCD) - The Census Bureau geography for primary administrative units below the county level in New York is collectively referred to as county subdivisions or minor civil divisions. These include towns, cities and Indian Reservations. Decennial Census - the Census of the population and housing taken every 10 years in the United States, at the start of each decade, since 1790. Employed – either “at work” or “with a job, but not at work”. Group Quarters Population - all U.S. residents who live in group living facilities including correctional institutions, juvenile facilities, skilled nursing facilities, college residence halls, military barracks, group homes, and workers' dormitories. Household Population - all U.S. residents who live in housing units such as single family homes, townhouses, apartments, and mobile homes. Intercensal Population Estimates - estimates produced for the years between two decennial censuses when both the beginning and ending populations are known. They are produced once a decade by adjusting the existing time series of postcensal estimates for the entire decade to smooth the transition from one decennial census count to the next. They differ from the postcensal estimates that are released annually because the difference between the April 1 postcensal estimate and April 1 census count for the end of the decade is redistributed across the estimates for that decade. For dates when both postcensal and intercensal estimates are available, intercensal estimates are preferred. Labor Force - consists of people classified as employed or unemployed. Margin of Error (MOE) - a measure of the precision of an estimate at a given level of confidence. The confidence level of a margin of error indicates the likelihood that the difference between the population value (which you Page 26 of 30 Suffolk County Profile would get if you could measure the whole population instead of a sample) and the estimate is less than or equal to the margin of error. The range from the estimate minus the margin of error to the estimate plus the margin of error is called the confidence interval. All ACS estimates are published with their margins of error at the 90 percent confidence level. Margins of error are useful in assessing the reliability of estimates and whether differences between estimates are significant. Numeric Population Change - difference between the population of an area at the beginning and end of a time period. It is computed by taking the difference between the population at one point in time (t1) and some future time (t2). Percent Population Change - difference between the population of an area at the beginning and end of a time period, expressed as a percentage of the beginning population. It is computed by dividing the population change (t2 - t1) by t1 and multiplying the result by 100. Population Estimates - The calculated number of people living in an area as of a specified point in time, usually July 1st. The estimated population is calculated using a component of change model that incorporates information on natural increase (births, deaths) and net migration (net domestic migration, net international migration) that has occurred in an area since the latest decennial census. A procedure for estimating the current population using a procedure involving a “base population” value at time t -1, adding to that the births during the interval t-1 to t, subtracting the deaths during that interval t-1 to t, and then adding the net domestic and net international migration that occurred during that interval. Population Density - Total number of people per areal unit like a square mile or square kilometer. Population Pyramids - A graphical way of portraying a population’s age and sex composition at a given slice in time. The first horizontal bar, constituting the base of the graph, is the youngest age group (typically 0-4) with the number of males in that age group on the left and the number of females in that age group on the right. On top of that age group is another horizontal bar for the next age group (e.g. 5-9) and so forth with the top bar typically for those aged 75 and over. In a population with lots of births and deaths, the shape typically forms a pyramid with a broad base and a narrow top. It is one of the most basic ways to understand population change over time as well as between different geographic units of a similar status (e.g. counties). Postcensal Estimates - estimates produced for the years after a decennial census when only the beginning population is known. They are produced and revised each year, targeted to July 1 of that year. Projection - estimated population at some future time based on assumptions about births, deaths, migration, and ages. Race/Ethnicity - the Census Bureau collects racial data in accordance with guidelines provided by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget (OMB), and these data are based on self-identification. The racial categories included in the census questionnaire generally reflect a social definition of race recognized in this country and not an attempt to define race biologically, anthropologically, or genetically. In addition, it is recognized that the categories of the race item include racial and national origin or sociocultural groups. People may choose to report more than one race to indicate their racial mixture, such as “American Indian” and “White.” People who identify their origin as Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish may be of any race. OMB requires five minimum categories: White, Black or African American, American Indian or Alaska Native, Asian, and Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander. Hispanics may be classified as white or black. So we generally separate them out as an ethnic group first. Page 27 of 30 Suffolk County Profile Unemployed – Not employed, but actively looking for work and available to accept a job. Unemployment rate – Fraction of the Labor Force that is unemployed. Urban Area – A densely settled area with at least 2,500 people. If the total number of people is less than 50,000 the Census Bureau calls it an Urban Cluster, otherwise an Urbanized Area. Vintage - each year, the U.S. Census Bureau produces and publishes estimates of the population for each state and county, as well as the nation as a whole. These are called “vintages.” In producing these vintages, the Bureau utilizes administrative data from a number of sources to estimate 1) the change in population since the most recent decennial census, and 2) the population for each year since the most recent decennial census. With each annual release of population estimates (vintage), the entire time series of estimates beginning on April 1, 2010 is revised and updated. Vital Statistics - quantitative data concerning a population, such as the number of births, marriages, and deaths. Page 28 of 30 Suffolk County Profile 14 References Suffolk County homepage: http://www.suffolkcountyny.gov/ At Cornell: • • • Program on Applied Demographics (PAD) URL: http://pad.human.cornell.edu/ o More county trends: https://pad.human.cornell.edu/counties/trends1geo.cfm?geo=103 Community and Regional Development Institute (CaRDI) URL: https://cardi.cals.cornell.edu/ Cornell Cooperative Extensions (CCE) Home page: http://www.cce.cornell.edu o Suffolk local office: http://ccesuffolk.org/ Data sources and background information: • • • • • • New York State Data Center o https://labor.ny.gov/nys-data-center/index.shtm U.S. Census Bureau - general o QuickFacts: https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/table/PST045216/36,36103 o American FactFinder: http://factfinder.census.gov/ U.S. Census Bureau - population o Decennial Census Background: https://www.census.gov/2010census/ Demographic Profile: http://factfinder2.census.gov/bkmk/table/1.0/en/DEC/10_SF1/SF1DP1/0500000US3610 3 o American Community Survey (ACS) Background: https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/ Social Data Profile: http://factfinder2.census.gov/bkmk/table/1.0/en/ACS/15_5YR/DP02/0500000US36103 Economic Data Profile: http://factfinder2.census.gov/bkmk/table/1.0/en/ACS/15_5YR/DP03/0500000US36103 Housing Data Profile: http://factfinder2.census.gov/bkmk/table/1.0/en/ACS/15_5YR/DP04/0500000US36103 Demographics Data Profile: http://factfinder2.census.gov/bkmk/table/1.0/en/ACS/15_5YR/DP05/0500000US36103 o Population estimates: General: https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest.html Explorer: https://www.census.gov/censusexplorer/censusexplorer-popest.html U.S. Census Bureau – Small Area Income & Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) o http://www.census.gov/did/www/saipe/ U.S. Census Bureau - Public Use Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) – annual averages o https://qwiexplorer.ces.census.gov/static/explore.html U.S. Census Bureau – Building Permits Survey o https://www.census.gov/construction/bps/ Page 29 of 30 Suffolk County Profile • • • • Bureau Labor Statistics (BLS) o Local Area Unemployment Statistics: http://www.bls.gov/lau/ o Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW): https://www.bls.gov/cew/data.htm NY Department of Labor o Labor statistics: https://labor.ny.gov/stats/index.shtm o Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW): https://labor.ny.gov/stats/LSQCEW.shtm NY State Department of Health o Vital Statistics: https://www.health.ny.gov/statistics/vital_statistics/ Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) – Local Area Personal Income and Employment: http://bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=70&step=1 Alternative sites for data retrieval: • • • • • • • • The Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government – New York State Statistical Yearbooks http://www.rockinst.org/nys_statistics/ Headwaters Economics: Economic Profile System – Human Dimensions Toolkit http://headwaterseconomics.org/tools/eps-hdt National Historical Geographic Information System (NHGIS) https://www.nhgis.org/ Social Explorer http://www.socialexplorer.com/pub/home/home.aspx Stats America http://www.statsamerica.org/Default.aspx Missouri Census Data Center http://mcdc.missouri.edu/ DataFerret http://dataferrett.census.gov/ Investigative Reporters and Editors (IRE) Census project http://census.ire.org/ Page 30 of 30
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