Hydrology of Humid Tropical Regions with Particular Reference to the Hydrological Effects of Agriculture and Forestry Practice (Proceedings of the Hamburg Symposium, August 1983). IAHS Publ. no. 140. Effects of deforestation on flood characteristics with particular reference to Hainan Island, China QIAN WANGCHENG Hydrological General Station Province, Canton, China ABSTRACT of Guangdong Hainan Island, the second largest island in 2 China, has an area of 33 900 km and lies in a humid tropical region. In the last 30 years the forest cover has been drastically reduced from about 50 to 21%. To study the effects of deforestation on flood characteristics, trends in annual storm rainfalls and floods, rainfall/ runoff relationships, and convergence of runoff in the water courses, are analysed. Since deforestation should not change the atmospheric circulation, there should be no noticeable change in annual depth of storm rainfall and flood. Hainan Island is in a humid tropical region with heavy storm rainfall where scrub grows rapidly after deforestation; therefore flood characteristics are not noticeably affected by deforestation. Influence de la deforestation sur les exemple concernant l'île d'Hainan caractères des crues: RESUME L'île Hainan, avec sa superficie de 33 900 km z située dans une région humide et chaude, est la deuxième grande île en Chine. Le pourcentage de couverture forestière dans l'île a été réduite brutalement depuis les 30 dernières années de 50 à 21%. Pour l'étude de l'influence de la deforestation sur les crues, une analyse particulière a été présentée dans le présent rapport, relative aux trois points suivants: tendance des variations pluriannuelles des averses et des crues, relation entre les précipitations et l'écoulement, et la convergence de l'écoulement des cours d'eau. Comme la deforestation ne peut pas modifier les conditions de circulation atmosphérique dans l'île d'Hainan, les tendances de variations pluriannuelles des averses et des crues demeurent inchangées. Par suite de sa situation en région humide et chaude, des concentrations d'averses intenses se produisent souvent; après la deforestation, le fourré de végétation secondaire croît abondamment en peu de temps, par suite il n'y a pas de changement notable dans le caractère des crues. INTRODUCTION 2 Hainan, with an area of 33 900 km , is the next largest island in China after Taiwan. It is located between 108°-110°N, and 18°-20°E (Fig.l), and is a tropical island with evident tropical monsoon 249 250 Qian Wangcheng climate. The annual mean air temperature of the whole island is about 24°C, the accumulated temperature âlO°C is 8200-9200°C. The mean annual precipitation of the whole island is about 1800 mm. As a result of the seasonal alternations of the East Asia monsoon circulation, the space-time distribution of precipitation is uneven, with greater precipitation in the southeast than in the northwest, and a distinct wet and dry season. The island lies in the region much affected by typhoons and typhoon rain is the main source of precipitation, with high concentration and high intensity; the amount of annual precipitation is also closely related to typhoons. The Altitude increases towards the centre of the island: the mean elevation is about 220 m a.m.s.l., and about a quarter of the total area has an altitude >500 m a.m.s.l. The summit of Mt Wuzhi is 1879 m a.m.s.l. Nandu River, Wanguan River and Changhua River are the three main rivers on the island, together they drain 47% of the total area of the island. There are 10 rivers with drainage areas of 500-2000 kmz; these are all rather short, steep and fast flowing rivers. C'^.J -^ "•3? River Basin Boundary Division Boundary Mount Streamgauge Ramgauge 1 FIG. I liai nan Is land . In the last 30 years, due to the lack of forest conservation and afforestation, the forested area was reduced from about 50 to 21% by 1980 (including artificial forest). Only 11% of the island is covered by natural forest. In order to study the effects of deforestation on flood characteristics, trends in the annual variation of storm rainfall and runoff, the rainfall-runoff relationship, and the convergence of runoff, are analysed in this paper. Large-scale deforestation occurred in 1958, 1968 and 1978. However, since hydrological stations were only established in the late 1950's, analyses can only be made of variations in flood characteristics in the 1960's and 1970's. Effects of deforestation on flood characteristics 251 VARIATIONS IN ANNUAL STORM RAINFALL AND RUNOFF According to storm characteristics, topography and other meteorological factors (such as maximum 24 h precipitation, number of days with rainfall of 80 mm, annual precipitation and the precipitation in early and late flood periods, mean flow patterns in early and late flood periods, typhoon tracks, etc.), the island may be divided into three regions: I southwestern heavy rainfall region; II southeastern heavy rainfall region; and III northern average rainfall region. Four stations in the central mountainous area seriously affected by deforestation were selected to study the effects of deforestation on the annual variation of storm rainfall and runoff: 2 Region I: ? Basia (75.3 km ) and Fucai (508 km " ) , located upstream H 24 (mm) 1950 60 70 1950 60 70 80 MAOZHI QM WENGCHANG CHENGPO H 24 (mm) 1950 60 70 QUNHAI H 24 (mm) 80 1950 400 H 24 (mm) 200 1950 60 60 70 LINGS -I III ill m 1J rf 1950 60 70 YAXIAN 400 H 24 (mm) 200 400 H 24 (mm) 200 1950 60 70 1950 1960 60 70 FIG.2 Histograms and 5-year Qm at each station. 70 80 moving averages for H24 and 252 Qian Wangcheng on Nandu River; Maozhi (610 km ) , located upstream on Changhua River; Region II: Chengpo (727 km located upstream on Wanquan River. The maximum 24 h rainfall H 2 4 and peak discharge Q m of each station were calculated and are shown in Fig.2; their 5-year moving average is also calculated and shown in Fig.2. For comparison, eight precipitation stations in the coastal region only slightly affected by deforestation were selected: Region I: Yinggehai, Dongfong (Basuo) and Daxigiao; Region II: Wencheng, Qunhai (Jiaji), Wanning reservoir, Lingshui and Yaxian. The maximum 24 h rainfall H24 and 5-year moving average rainfall of these stations were also calculated (Fig.2). From Fig.2 it can be seen that in both regions the annual variations of H04 are in phase and have a similar range and cycle. This indicates that the annual variations of storm rainfall are not obviously affected by deforestat ion. In region II, most of the storm rainfall in the early flood period is produced by frontal troughs coming from the east, and that in the late flood period produced mainly by typhoons passing over Hainan Island or to the south of the island (north of 17 N ) . This is also one of the major convergence zones of typhoons and cold air. In region I, storm rainfall is mainly produced by typhoons. After crossing longitude 110 E, the typhoon air currents passing over Leizhou Peninsula or the north of Hainan Island on their way to Beibu Bay, are forced to rise steeply over the Jianfengling range of mountains, and this brings about extraordinarily heavy storm rainfall. Most maximum 24-h rainfalls were caused by typhoons. For Fucai stations flood peak discharges of 2990 and 2710 m s - 1 corresponding to maximum 24 h storm rainfalls of 417 and 300 mm resulted respectively from typhoon no. 7703 and typhoon no. 6311. These were the annual maximum values in 1977 and 1963 respectively. It may be seen that, the annual variation of maximum 24-h storm rainfall of the above-mentioned station is closely related to the variation of atmospheric circulation, especially the moving track of typhoons. Deforestation could not change the atmospheric circulation of Hainan Island. On Hainan Island flooding is produced by storm rainfall. From Fig.2 it can be seen that the annual variation of peak discharge Q m of four of the stations corresponds well with that of maximum 24-h storm rainfall. The coefficient of correlation r is calculated to be about 0.8. (Baisa r = 0.89; Fucai r = 0.82; Maozhi r = 0.79; Chengpo r = 0.84). Therefore, combined with the annual variation of maximum 24 h storm rainfall, it may be concluded that there is no obvious relationship between deforestation and variations in annual runoff. Rainfall-runoff relationship During storm r a i n f a l l , t h e e f f e c t s of f o r e s t cover on the r a i n f a l l runoff r e l a t i o n s h i p are c h i e f l y t h e i n t e r c e p t i o n of r a i n f a l l by branches and l e a v e s , the a b s o r p t i o n of r a i n f a l l by t h e l a y e r of l i t t e r and t h e changes in s o i l p e r m e a b i l i t y and s o i l s t o r a g e c a p a c i t y due to the a c t i v i t y of t h e root system. In a s i n g l e storm, the i n t e r c e p t i o n may be very s m a l l , while t h e a c t i v i t y of t h e root system Effects of deforestation on flood characteristics 253 may be going on through the soil regime. The absorption by the litter depends upon its thickness and local climatic factors. The effect depends not only on the tree species and its growing state, but also to a limited extent on any antecedent precipitation. If continuous rainfall occurs before a storm, the litter and soil will be saturated, and runoff will be greater. On the other hand if there is no rainfall for a long period of time, the soil moisture and the water content of the litter will be low due to évapotranspiration. There will be larger pore spaces for absorption and runoff will be less. On Hainan Island, the litter layer is not very thick and the storm rainfall is heavy. The observed maximum 24 h rainfall of all stations is >300 mm. For regions I and II, maximum 24 h rainfalls >500 mm occur quite often. At Jianfengling, H 2 4 = 777 mm (8 September 1963) and at Qilingchang H24 = 783 mm (13 June 1974); therefore, even if there is no rainfall for a long period of time, the amount of rainfall intercepted and retained by the forest cover is small. In order to ascertain the full effect of deforestation on the rainfall-runoff relationship, the total loss of precipitation in a river basin after a long dry period, I was analysed. In addition to the above-mentioned four stations, four other stations, Dawang (337 k m 2 ) , Xinzheng (72.6 k m 2 ) , Maowan (14.9 km 2 ) and Shirang (6.96 km ) were also considered (Fig.l). The storms selected for analysis all occurred after long dry periods and the resulting runoff was small because the interception and retention capacity of the forest cover was very high. The criteria are as follows: Antecedent precipitation index (index representing soil moisture before the storm) Pa 530 mm, calculated by 30 Pa = Zl . P t K* where K = 0.9, P-j- = average precipitation of the basin on the t-th day before the storm; t - calculated up to the thirtieth day before the storm. The average storm rainfall of the P â 80 mm, and the rainfall at each station in the basin should not be much less than 80 mm. The coefficient of runoff a = R/P 230%, where runoff depth R is calculated from the flood hydrograph after deducting the baseflow. The baseflow is the minimum daily flow during the month before the rise of flood. Since most of the water entering the stream in the form of shallow groundwater by infiltration has already been included in the runoff depth R, the value of I m is calculated by Im = ? + p a - R where I m includes total losses of precipitation - such as interception, depression storage, absorption of soil and litter and évapotranspiration in flood periods. Based on a preliminary classification for the Guangdong province by incorporating the values for neighbouring stations in the same storm, and making a comprehensive study of the relationship between P + P a and Im it may be concluded that the eight stations considered 254 Qian Wanucheng belong to the same type. To compare the variation of I m before and after deforestation, P + P a and I m data are used in power correlation analysis in three separate cases. The results are as follows: curve I : all data I m = 2.228 (P + P a ) ! curve r = 0.899. r = 0.948 II : data for 1968 and prior to 1968 0.897 r = 0.947 i .090 ( p + p a r curve III : data for 1969 and after 1969 I m = 3.319 (P + P a ) 0 - 7 1 G . r 2 = 0.872, r = 0.934 All correlation coefficients are close to 0.95. P+Pa [mm] 200 p*p, I m (mm) mm) I Error7° n m I II 70 65.2 63,0 69,4 -34 • 6 4 100 86,6 85.4 89,0 -14 +35 120 100199.7 102,1 -0A +20 150 [119.6 120,6 119,7 'OB +0,1 200 1503 154,0 1W1 +25 -21 1 2 3 4 5 SHIRANG MAOWEN XINCHENG DAWANG MAOZHi Data of 1968 and before 1968 6 CHENGP0 ? FUCAI 8 Data of 1969 and after 1969 BASAI -4— U m n ] 50 50 FIG.3 Relationships 100 150 between P +P and I Figure 3 shows that within the range of observation, the curves are all very close to each other. The error of curves II and III is less than ±5% with respect to curve I. It may be concluded that after deforestation I m shows no notable difference from that before deforestation. It clearly shows that even for storms occurring after a long dry period, the effect of deforestation on the rainfallrunoff relationship is not significant. CONVERGENCE OF RUNOFF The convergence of flood flow may be roughly divided into two stages: convergence of sheetflow and convergence of the stream network. The effect of retarding runoff by forest cover occurs chiefly at the sheetflow stage. Therefore, a small basin where sheetflow was the dominant effect was selected for analysis, to find the effect of deforestation on the convergence of flood flow. In order to obtain fairly corresponding records of rainfall and runoff, Shirang station was chosen for the analysis. The drainage area of Shirang station is 6.96 km , with main river Effects of deforestation on flood characteristics 255 length of 4.07 km and main river gradient of 9.2%. The mean elevation of the basin is 371 m, and the terrain inclines from west to east. Thirty-eight per cent of the total areas has an altitude above 400 m. The soil of the basin may be roughly divided into three groups: yellow soil, red soil and paddy soil. The soil forming rocks all are granite. Yellow soil is mainly distributed over the areas above 400 m, and comprises a layer of sandy clay over a layer of clay. Red soil is mainly distributed over hilly land with elevation below 400 m, and comprises a layer of gravelly sandy loam over a layer of light loam. Paddy soil is distributed over the paddy fields cultivated to a depth of 20-30 cm, and comprises fine sandy loam and silty loam. The total basin has thick soil layer, no bare waste slopes, and slight soil erosion. The investigation results for 1960-1965 are shown in Table 1. No data are available after 1965. TABLE 1 (in km2') Land use Paddy fie id Dry land Meadow Scrub Forest roa ds Villages, distribution from I960 to 1965 i960 1961 1962 1963-64 0, .820 0. .704 0. .854 i ..51 3. .03 0 .042 0. .820 1 ..40 0. .858 ± ..51 2 ..33 0 .042 0. .820 1. .50 0. .858 2 ..13 1 ..61 O..042 O..820 1 ..00 O..858 2 .62 1 .61 0 .042 1965 0. .820 0. .518 1 ..11 2 ..89 i ± ..58 O .042 Observations at Shirang station began in July 1959 and ended at the end of 1971. All precipitation stations in the basin are selfrecording. The distribution of the stations was improved after 1965. The rainfall-runoff relationship is often nonlinear. In general with increasing precipitation intensity, the peak of the unit hydrograph increases, and the duration of the unit hydrograph decreases. By using similar storms for the analysis, the interference of the nonlinear effect can be eliminated and the analysis made easier. The method of analysis is to select the storms for the 1960's and 1970's with similar precipitation and peak flow, solve the unit hydrographs separately by use of the method of least squares and compare them with each other. The storms selected for analysis are listed in Table 2, and the corresponding unit hydrographs are shown in Fig.4. From Table 2 and Fig.4 it may be seen tbat the peak flows differ only slightly. The peak of storm 65724 is slightly less than that of storm 71930. The peak flows of all the other storms in the 1960's are slightly greater than those of the 1970's. With regard to the time to peak flow, two storms of the 1970's, storms 70929 and 71930, occur slightly earlier than the storms of the 1960's, but apart from these all other storms occur at the same time. The above analysis indicates that the effect of deforestation on the convergence of runoff, at least after a definite period of time, 256 Qian Wangcheng 5 FIG.4 5 10(h) Comparison of unit 10(h) hydrographs. TABLE 2 Storm no . p a (mm) P (mm) 63924 67909 70929 HO.O 110.O 77 .9 61.9 73.5 93.6 621007 70819 HO.O 82.4 44.8 49.2 17 .8 65724 71930 IIO.O 96.0 651118 71929 §F 28 .2 23.9 - maximum mean loss o (mm) R (mm) Ji 8.5 28.3 41.6 49.4 23.2 24.2 27 .6 8.3 11.1 14.2 11.1 7 .2 35.9 25.5 0.2 0.0 15.7 15.8 13.5 12 .4 9 .83 1 .82 67.1 78 .8 7.0 15.7 18.1 6.3 10.6 10.7 7.89 8 .88 J 14.1 6.5 rainfall rate of excess later -m+ (mm h~ intensity stage. h~l) (mm 3.68 2 .32 3.01 15.6 11 .1 during Qm (m s'1) Um ^ 29 7 32 6 33 7 1 .195 1 .098 1 .02 6 9 7 1 .285 1 .200 14 14 interval 11 7 12 . 6 8 .96 9 19 3 (m s - 1l ) 0.726 0.822 0.800 0.650 At is insignificant. The interception of branches and leaves is mostly eliminated by évapotranspiration. A part of the absorption water is a component of the convergence of groundwater flow and runoff. Nevertheless, the difference between absorption capacity before and after deforestation is small, and it cannot substantially affect the regulation of flood flow, especially in the case of continuous antecedent rainfall or storms with heavy rainfall. CONCLUSION Comparing (a) annual variations of maximum 24-h precipitation and Effects of deforestation on flood characteristics 257 peak flow at four stations in the central hilly region where considerable deforestation has occurred, with those of eight stations in the coastal region only slightly affected by deforestation; (b) total precipitation losses at eight stations in the hilly region in the I960's with those in the 1970's; and (c) unit hydrographs for Shirang station in the I960's with those for the 1970's for similar storm rainfalls, it may be concluded that because Hainan Island is situated in the humid tropical region with heavy storm rainfall, deforestation does not affect the atmospheric circulation. Scrub grows rapidly after deforestation, therefore deforestation has no notable effect on flood characteristics. Forest plays a role in preventing soil erosion, conserving water resources, and regulating streamflow, as well as retarding storm runoff to some extent, therefore emphasis must be placed on forest conservation and afforestation. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The author gratefully acknowledges the assistance of the staff of Compilation Office of Atlas of PMP of Guangdong Province for providing storm rainfall data and analyses.
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