HURST SPIT STABILISATION SCHEME ENGINEERS REPORT 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Hurst Spit is a barrier beach which provides protection to an extensive area of low lying land in the Western Solent. It is susceptible to breaching during severe storm events and has declined in volume over a number of years. The decline in volume of the Spit is due largely to the reduced shingle supply from the west resulting from coast protection works, and to the increasing frequency of wave overtopping which results in the loss of large volumes of material from the system. The declining volume of the Spit has resulted in overtopping under more frequently occurring events than previously. This trend will continue without appropriate remedial works and will result in extensive damage to property and land in the lee of the Spit. A long term stabilization strategy has been developed for Hurst Spit in parallel with development of the Shoreline Management Plan for Poole and Christchurch Bays. The proposals presented in this report will prevent the breaching of the spit under severe storm action and will provide the standard of service necessary to protect the extensive area of low lying land which lies in its lee (Figure 1) from damage during the 1:100 year return period storm. The assets to be protected include houses, Hurst Castle, an important recreational area and sites of international conservation value. A large scale coast protection scheme, comprising shingle renourishment, a rock breakwater and rock revetments has been designed. A programme of maintenance, which includes shingle recycling and maintenance of the rock structures and a monitoring programme are planned to follow the main phase of works. The works will extend from the Marine Café at Milford on Sea to Hurst Castle, a distance of approximately 3km (see Figure 2). The works will essentially be divided into two types of construction: (a) Shingle renourishment (b) Rock structures The scheme costs may vary significantly according to the source of beach recharge materials and rock. It is anticipated that both the rock armour and the shingle will be brought to site by sea. The shingle will be provided by an offshore dredging source and will be discharged by pumping onto the beach. It will then be redistributed by mechanical plant on the land. The estimated works cost of the preferred option is between £5.2 million and £7.6 million if the aggregate is purchased from an existing licensed dredging area. However, there is clear evidence that current licensed dredging areas are unable to provide shingle of the appropriate grade and quality in the quantity required. A marine aggregate production licence application has been made for the Shingles Banks area, which can supply beach recharge material of the correct grade, quality and quantity. If this application is successful then the estimated works cost of the preferred option will be between £4.6 million and £6.4 million. A third source of shingle, from inland gravel pits, has been considered but has the disadvantages that a suitable size grading cannot be achieved, and that transport of the material by road is environmentally unacceptable. This option is the most expensive way of carrying out the scheme and has an estimated cost of between £7.8 million and £8.4 million. The average benefit cost ratio for the preferred option, using the Shingles Banks as a source is 1.38 whilst the average benefit cost ratio for the same scheme but using commercial licensed area is 1.25. The average net present value for the Shingles Banks source is £2864414 and is £2097582 for the commercial licensed area alternative. The aggregate production licence application was made to the DOE in 1992, but processing of the application through the government view procedure has been delayed, this is due to the unusual step of the DOE requiring the NFDC to provide an economic justification for the aggregate production license, by dual tendering for shingle from various sources. This requirement has been made by the DOE in response to a request from the MAFF. A government view on the application will not be made until the MAFF have provided their formal comments on the application, which will then be reviewed by the DOE. The possibility of the award of the dredging licence, and hence the final choice of scheme, will depend upon the coordinated response of the MAFF MEPD and flood and coastal defence divisions to the DOE, following completion of the multiple option tendering procedure. The tender results will be available in February 1996 and this report should be reviewed in conjunction with the tender assessment. Benefit cost ratios will need to be modified in parallel with the tender evaluation procedure and an addendum to this report will reflect modifications in costs and the consequent modifications of the benefit cost ratios. The scheme had been designed to include a new rock revetment around the southern face of Hurst Castle. However, at a late stage in the scheme planning English Heritage, who manage the Castle decided to withdraw funding for this revetment, which is not now included in the scheme proposals. Suitable modifications have been incorporated into the design to allow the revetment to be built at a later date. 2 BACKGROUND 2.1 Christchurch Bay Christchurch Bay is located on the south coast of England, facing extensive fetches across open sea to the south and south west. The bay is backed by a sequence of soft cliffs which have a simple geological structure comprising clays, sands and gravels. The geological strata dip gently from west to east. These deposits provide much of the sediment budget for the bay, together with sediments derived from beaches to the west. The shingle beaches are formed largely of material eroded from the Plateau Gravel cliffs within Christchurch Bay, which consist of sub angular flint pebbles in matrices of coarse sand. They were deposited during the glacial fluctuations of the Pleistocene period and are easily eroded due not only to their own erodibility, but also because they overlie poorly cemented sands and sandy clays. The predominance of winds from the south west results in a net longshore transport of sediment from west to east. Hurst Spit which lies at the eastern end of Christchurch Bay forms a major sink for shingle derived from erosion of the Plateau Gravels of the bay. The development of Hurst Spit is linked to the development of Christchurch Bay where, over the last 300 years, considerable human interference with the natural processes has taken place in the form of mineral exploitation and the construction of coast protection works. Between 1848 and 1870 ironstone mining was carried out on Hengistbury Head and the removal of ironstone boulders from the beach, which were acting like groynes, resulted in the rapid transport of shingle around the Head, creating Mudeford Spit. Coast protection works began in 1840 with a groyne scheme at Highcliffe. In 1938 the long groyne at Hengistbury Head was built, almost stopping the movement of shingle from Poole Bay into Christchurch Bay and increasing rates of erosion between Hengistbury Head and Barton on Sea. This prompted a series of protection works at Mudeford, Highcliffe, Barton and Milford, beginning in 1944. The most extensive works constructed between 1964 and 1969, at Highcliffe and Barton enormously reduced the eastward movement of shingle past Barton on Sea. Reinforcement of the Becton Bunny sewage outfall in 1970 created another major obstacle to shingle movement. These activities have significantly reduced the volume of sand and gravel now eroding from the soft cliffs to form beaches, and disrupted the natural eastward movement of this material around Christchurch Bay and on to Hurst Spit. 2.2 Hurst Spit Hurst Spit forms the eastern boundary of Christchurch Bay and provides protection from wave attack to an extensive area of low lying land in the Western Solent (Figure 1). The Spit is composed largely of shingle and is approximately 3.5 km long (Figure 2). The Spit is part of the Hurst Castle and Lymington River SSSI, is of considerable geological interest in developing an understanding of coastal geomorphology and, despite the extensive engineering works which have been undertaken, the beach still retains its classic form. The origins of the Spit data back to the time that the Western Solent and Christchurch Bay were linked, when sea levels were approximately 20 metres lower than they are now. The Spit could not therefore have started to form any earlier than about 7000-8000 years ago. It is the result of a series of marine transgressions which have eroded the gravel sediments of Christchurch Bay. The predominant easterly littoral drift in Christchurch Bay and the complex pattern of offshore sand bank ridges has influenced the alignment and the form of Hurst Spit. The development of Christchurch Bay has also played a significant role in the evolution of the Spit. Construction of coastal defences at Highcliffe and Barton has resulted in a reduced supply of sediment from the west, although the primary supply of shingle to Hurst Spit was largely derived from the Pleistocene gravel terraces in the cliffs at Milford, which dip below the surface at Hurst Spit. The system remained largely in balance until the construction of the concrete sea defences and groyne systems at Milford in the 1960s, after which erosion of the cliffs was halted and the supply of shingle was greatly reduced. Consequently, the sediment transport system has been thrown out of balance and the rate of erosion at Hurst Spit has increased. It is estimated that the main body of Hurst Spit is declining in volume by approximately 7000-8000m3 per year. The littoral transport rate has been estimated at 1500030000m3 per year. Much of the material is lost from the system at Hurst Point, and is taken offshore in the fast ebb currents and deposited on the Shingles Banks. The material remaining in the shoreline system is transported around Hurst Castle and is deposited on the active shingle recurve known as North Point (Figure 2). 2.3 Hurst Castle Hurst Castle lies at the eastern end of the Spit and dates back to 1544 when the central section of the castle was constructed. It has since been modified and extended on a number of occasions, and now extends over a frontage of approximately 550m. The Castle and its coast protection works are managed by English Heritage and considerable expenditure has been made on these works since the 17th century. The Castle is a national asset which is classified as an English Heritage scheduled monument. The castle relies upon the presence of the spit to protect it from wave attack on its western and northern flanks. 2.4 Keyhaven and the River The Keyhaven River and Mount Lake lie in the sheltered lee of Hurst Spit and provide moorings for about 600 small sailing boats, and for the small fishing fleet which operates from the harbour at Keyhaven. The harbour and river, which also provide an important recreational area for water sports, are leased and managed by New Forest District Council. The whole area is protected from south westerly gales and storm waves by Hurst Spit and the saltmarshes, which provide an excellent natural defence. The Keyhaven River system forms part of the Keyhaven – Lymington saltmarsh SSSI and is a designated national nature reserve. 2.5 Keyhaven Marshes Hurst Spit provides shelter to an extensive area of salt marsh and mudflats which lie to the north of the spit. This area is of particular ornithological interest forming part of the Hurst Castle to Lymington SSSI. The saltmarshes have been proposed as a Special Protection Area under the EC Birds Directive, and as a candidate Wetland of International Importance under the Ramsar Convention, which recognizes their particular importance to overwintering wildfowl populations. The marshes also form part of the South Hampshire Area of Outstanding Natural Beauty. The marshes support Spartina Anglica which first colonized the area in 1895. By raising the level of the saltmarsh, and thereby maintaining an artificially high crest level, Spartina has masked the decline in volume of the shingle spit. The raised saltmarsh trapped beneath the spit after roll back is subject to settlement and rapid erosion. 2.6 Lymington to Keyhaven Sea Defences The land between Keyhaven and Lymington is generally low lying and is protected from flooding by an earth embankment sea defence reveted on the seaward face, which was raised and rebuilt following extensive flooding and damage in 1989. This sea defence, which is protected from severe wave attack by Hurst Spit, is the responsibility of the NRA who have redesigned it to resist severe storm surges but not wave action. Without Hurst Spit acting as a natural breakwater across the eastern end of Christchurch Bay the sea defence would have to be raised by a further three metres to maintain the same standard and would require further armouring of its seaward and leeward faces. 2.7 The Western Solent and the Isle of Wight The Western Solent is protected from severe wave action by Hurst Spit and provides an extremely important area for recreational sailing. The spit is the closest point on the mainland to the Isle of Wight and its presence controls the tightly confined tidal stream which flows through Hurst Narrows. The currents are extremely fast and have resulted in the formation of a deep scoured channel between the Isle of Wight and Hurst Spit. The spit also provides considerable protection to the north western shores of the Isle of Wight, from south westerly storms. The deep channel through Hurst Narrows is an important navigational channel which is used by commercial shipping. 3 THE PROBLEM It is estimated that the Spit is now at risk of destruction by 1:1 year return period storms, and the loss of the protection provided by the Spit will expose and extensive length of coastline to wave attack. This will put the existing sea defences of the NRA at considerable risk of overtopping and breaching and will also destroy the saltmarsh in the lee of the Spit, which is of international environmental importance. It will certainly destabilize the Western Solent, but the effect of this is difficult to quantify. The amenity value of the Spit will be destroyed and Hurst Castle will be subject to wave attack from all sides. 3.1 Deterioration of the Spit Since the late eighteenth century, human activity, connected with mineral exploitation, and with the protection of the developing settlements from erosion by the sea, has drastically changed the natural coastal processes around Poole and Christchurch Bays. In particular, the construction of coast protection and flood defence structures over the last 70 years has stopped the erosion of sand and gravel from the soft cliffs along much of this stretch of coastline. Consequently, the volume of shingle moving onto the Spit in the littoral drift has declined and, as a result, the spit has decreased in size; a process which has accelerated markedly since the 1940s when large scale groyne construction began at Bournemouth and Christchurch. In 1954, for the first time, the Spit suffered breaching due to storm induced overwashing, although non damaging overtopping must certainly have occurred before that time. The Spit has been breached many times since 1954, notably in January 1962 when the recently constructed timber groynes were outflanked as the spit rolled back during storms which caused widespread flooding in Milford and Keyhaven. The increasing frequency of storm damage and sharply rising maintenance costs since the 1970s indicate that a threshold of stability has now been passed, and that the Spit is no longer able to withstand even moderate storms and tidal surges without suffering severe damage. Sediment transport calculations confirm this, and indicate that the potential rate of loss from the Spit, between Cut Bridge and Hurst Point, is more than double the rate of shingle movement onto the Spit. During the winters of 1981/82, and again in 1989/90, storm induced overwashing lowered extensive areas of the Spit. However, in the aftermath of the 1989/90 event, tidal breaches formed for the first time through the remains of the Spit, allowing water to flow through at all states of the tide and resulting in rapid erosion of the salt marsh in its lee. In all cases restoration works, which were put in hand before the storms had ceased, were successful in preventing further damage. As a consequence of its declining volume, Hurst Spit has become subject to frequent over washing under storm action. The Spit is a transgressive feature, moving landwards due to the processes of overtopping and overwashing. The rate of transgression had increased from approximately 1.5m per year (1867 – 1968) to 3.5 m per year (1968 – 1982). Since then, the spit has been subject to frequent overwashing and crest lowering during storm action. Extensive throat and over wash fan systems have formed and the volume of the bank above low water has declined further due to the displacement of the shingle into the Mount Lake river channel, in the lee of the Spit. Several recent severe storms have resulted in extensive damage to Hurst Spit. In particular the storms of October and December 1989 caused dramatic crest lowering and roll back across the salt marshes, and outflanking of the rock armouring. Crest lowering in excess of 2.5 metres, roll back of the seaward toe by up to 60 metres and roll back of the lee toe by up to 80 metres resulted in displacement of more than 100,000 tonnes of shingle overnight (Figure 3). Maintenance work has been carried out on Hurst Spit by New Forest District Council (NFDC) and its predecessor authorities since the early 1960s. Following events such as those discussed above, sections of the Spit have been artificially reformed using imported beach material. A number of attempts have been made in the past to stabilize the western end of the Spit by armouring with rock, and by the construction of a groyne at the junction of the rock armour and the shingle beach. These schemes have not been entirely successful, serving only to transfer the problem further to the east. Costs of maintenance have increased dramatically, particularly since 1980. The reinstatement of the Spit following the 1989 storms cost approximately £450,000. Physical model testing has shown that the Spit in its present form is very sensitive to water level, and that a south westerly storm with a return period of once a year, combined with a tidal surge of 0.5 metres above mean high water springs, would generate the same degree of damage as the 1989/90 event. A sensitivity analysis carried out by Hydraulics Research at the time of the scheme design (1990-91), indicates that this combination of storm return period and tidal surge level is, on average, likely to occur once every five years, which corresponds well with records of major damage to the Spit. The declining volume of the spit since this assessment was made has resulted in a reduction in the return period of the existing defences to 1:1 year . 3.2 Stability of the Spit The main problems affecting the stability of the Spit are: (i) Sediment transport – more shingle is being lost off Hurst Point than is being supplied from the Christchurch Bay beaches. (ii) Damage from overwashing – as the Spit shrinks in size, overwashing occurs more frequently causing greater damage and accelerating the rate of roll back or landward transgression (iii) Weak points – earlier attempts at stabilization caused wave energy to be focused at the rock armour/shingle junction near Cut Bridge, leading to frequent breaching. (iv) Rock armour stability – the existing rock armouring between Milford Beach and Cut Bridge has a single layer rock armoured seaward face which is too steep to provide good long term stability (v) The return period of a storm event for breaching of Hurst Spit is 1:1 year. 3.3 Effects of the without project option If the stability problems of the Spit are ignored, and no further maintenance nor any form of long term stabilization is undertaken, (the “do nothing” option) Hurst Spit will be lost. This will have the following effects (see figure 4): 3.3.1 Recreational use of the Spit Approximately 800 metres of the shingle spit between Cut Bridge and Hurst Castle, will be permanently lost preventing recreational walking, angling, bathing and access to the castle on foot. 3.3.2 Hurst Castle Hurst Castle will, over a period of five years, become vulnerable to wave attack along its north and north western flanks. Eventually it will become isolated as an island and will require the construction of substantial protection works all the way round it in order to guarantee its long term existence. 3.3.3 The saltmarsh and Keyhaven River In the event of a breach of the Spit the saltmarsh will erode rapidly, due to direct exposure to wave activity. Moorings in Mount Lake would be lost and Keyhaven Harbour would eventually become vulnerable to wave attack. The rate of erosion predicted in this area is shown in Figure 4. 3.3.4 NRA Sea defences With the loss of the Spit and the saltmarshes the sea defences between Hurst Spit and Lymington will suffer increased wave action, and overtopping of the wall will occur. The wall will become subject to conditions which it has not been designed to withstand and it will breach very soon after exposure. Flood levels for the sea defence design conditions are shown in Figures 8-11. 3.3.5 The Western Solent and the Isle of Wight In the absence of Hurst Spit, much of the extensive area of low lying land will become subject to severe wave attack and hence rapid erosion. The north western shores of the Isle of Wight will also become subject to severe wave action and accelerated erosion. Whilst it is impossible to determine the effects on the tidal regime of the Western Solent, there is no doubt that there will be some significant changes, due primarily to the widening of the entrance channel. This may have serious implications with respect to navigation of commercial shipping. Those areas that will eventually become vulnerable are shown in Figure 7. 4 ALTERNATIVE SCHEMES 4.1 Design Criteria Whereas most beaches form part of an integrated defence system, which include solid features such as sea defences or cliffs, Hurst Spit is a barrier beach acting as the sole line of defence to the land in its lee. Hurst Spit is a dynamic structure which can suffer catastrophic failure, leading to extensive damage in a single storm event. Unlike many restrained beaches, the changes effected by storm action are irreversible processes and leave permanent changes and weaknesses within the defence. The beach performance is extremely sensitive to small changes in geometry and wave and water level conditions. Probabilistic risk analysis and management of such features is therefore very complex. The fault tree shown in Figure 12 includes the various failure models which are included in the risk assessment and indicates the complexity of the performance of the beach. Probabilistic risk assessment procedures have been applied to a range of management scenarios for Hurst Spit. The fault tree model has been used as a basis for assessment for potential beach management solutions, together with statistical analysis of joint probabilities of waves and water levels, a wide range of beach geometries, and allowing for a range of levels of investment. The engineering schemes which may provide alternatives to beach management are far easier to assess in terms of stability, and preliminary designs have been based upon the extreme conditions derived from the wave climate and water level studies. The alternative management strategies have been assessed with respect to the following criteria: a) b) c) d) ability to solve the potential problems identified in Section 3.3 acceptable environmental impact technical soundness reasonable cost Alternative schemes which could not provide technically sound solutions have not been fully costed and included with cost benefit analyses. Those which are environmentally unacceptable but which might be fully or partially functional have been included in the economic analysis. 4.2 Do nothing Doing nothing will cause the potential problems identified in section 3.3, and accepts that the Spit will be destroyed at some time. The damage suffered in monetary terms is used as the baseline in the economic analysis. 4.3 Managed setback This alternative, which accepts that the site is abandoned cannot satisfy the relevant criteria used by the MAFF in their definitions of an acceptable location for managed setback. Destruction of an important environmental site would result, as opposed to the development of an environmentally beneficial habitat. Managed setback would not increase the intertidal habitat and extensive areas of important intertidal areas would be lost due to the increasing incidence of severe wave activity. The area which the Spit currently protects and which would be lost almost immediately if managed setback were to be introduced is an SSSI; a candidate RAMSAR site, and is an internationally important nature reserve. The introduction of managed setback would certainly not create a more stable and sustainable coastal or flood defence, as recently constructed flood defences in the lee of the Spit would soon become subject to increased wave activity in exceedence of the design conditions. Any attempt to artificially realign this section of coast would have far reaching effects within the Western Solent and Hurst Castle would immediately become vulnerable to wave attack around its whole perimeter. In summary, none of these effects are of environmental benefit and most are positively harmful. This is an environmentally unacceptable alternative and does not solve any of the potential problems. Managed setback is not therefore a viable option at this site and has not been carried forward to the economic assessment. 4.4 Maintenance to a declining standard The “do minimum” option is based on maintaining Hurst Spit with existing NFDC resources to a declining standard and topping up from time to time. Until recently the management policy at Hurst Spit has been to maintain the Spit to a declining standard, using revenue finance from the coastal maintenance budget. Approximately 4000m3 per year of land won material is placed to fill holes formed by storm wave action. The net loss of volume from the Spit is about 8000m3 per year, leaving a short fall of 4000m3 per year, hence the declining standard of protection offered. These works are not able to restore the spit to the pre-storm standard which has been declining gradually . The declining standard of protection is also due in part to the high losses from the system due to rollback into the Mount Lake river channel, which lies in the lee of the Spit, during severe storm events. Rollback of beach material into this channel results in a reduction of beach material in the active storm protection zone of the beach. There have been five series of emergency works since 1987 and the incidence of severe storm damage is becoming increasingly frequent due to the declining standard of the Spit. Recent severe storm damage has occurred under conditions which have a higher frequency of return period than the 1:1 year return period storm. Maintenance to a declining standard is therefore an inefficient method of maintenance and will result in economic, recreational and conservation losses. Continued maintenance to a declining standard will result in avertion of some of the potential losses, but only on a short term basis. The recreational value of the Spit will be retained for a period of no more than 4-5 years longer than the do nothing scenario. Similarly, flood damage will be averted for a similar period, but will thereafter follow the same pattern as the do nothing scenario. The value of Hurst Castle will also be lost. This scheme does not meet the technical requirements required to protect against the problems discussed in Section 3.3. The environmental impact of this option is not satisfactory since large areas of salt marsh will continue to be lost however, this option has been carried forward for financial assessment in the benefit cost analysis section. 4.5 Low level of investment – Upgrading rock structures and maintenance of beach with emergency works This option is based upon upgrading of the rock structures, maintaining the Spit to a higher standard with MAFF grant aid and topping up with emergency works at appropriate intervals. Upgrading of the beach management system with appropriately designed rock structures will protect the most vulnerable areas at the western end of the Spit. These will be to the same standards as for the other options, which include rock structures capable of withstanding a return period storm of 1:100 years. The beach management element of the works requires 8000m3 shingle per year, to maintain the annual shortfall in the sediment budget needed to sustain the same volume of the Spit, and approximately 20,000m3 shingle for each of the emergency works operations which would be needed every 2-3 years. This design is based upon results of the physical model studies of the performance of Hurst Spit. A series of design cross sections have been determined which will withstand the 1:1 year return period storm along the full length of the Spit. The cross section geometry varies fro west to east due to the varied wave climate along the length of the Spit. This option does not allow a coherent management strategy to be developed for the shingle spit. The Spit must be maintained to a high standard at the junction of the rock revetment with the root of the Spit, in order to maintain the existing line of defence. The introduction of a rock breakwater near to this junction will assist with this. Overtopping must be limited below the overwashing threshold along the full length of the Spit. The critical freeboard threshold parameter suggested in the parametric model for prediction of the profile response of shingle barrier beaches (Ref 9) must not be exceeded, due to the volatile natures of the response of barrier beaches to overtopping. This cannot be achieved with certainty by this strategy. The current short term interim beach management strategy is similar to this option; emergency works which are capable of withstanding the 1:1 year return period storm are carried out in combination with provision of appropriate reserves of shingle at the up drift end of the Spit, to supply the equivalent of the annual net sediment transport budget deficit. The emergency works typically require approximately 20,000m3 of material during each operation. Given the severity of wave attack at this site, this needs to be carried out as an emergency works operation every 2-3 years. During the interim periods additional materials are currently placed from revenue maintenance budgets and typically 3000-8000m3 of material are placed each year to provide the appropriate short fall in the long shore feed element of the defence. Typical costs for this type of operation are £440,000 for the emergency works, and £80,000 for the annual maintenance. The current strategy also includes maintenance of the rock structures which are nearing the end of their life. Continued adoption of this alternative is high risk and many combinations of storm sequences may result in breaching of the Spit. The following example scenarios, which have a high probability of occurrence, demonstrate the high risk of this strategy: a) Sequences of 3-4 storm events of low intensity (with a return period of about three months) may occur in rapid succession. These would result in a breach of the Spit due to reduction of the beach width. b) A storm surge of 0.8m on top of mean high water coupled with a storm of return period of 6 months would result in overtopping and breaching. c) The 1:5 year return period storm has a probability of exceedence of 0.18% during a single year. If the 1:1 year standard alarm profile is maintained this will certainly be breached under such conditions. The current strategy of maintaining to a higher standard with MAFF grant aid and topping up with emergency works at longer intervals is very costly in terms of providing and placing materials. It is also difficult to plan for and poses a considerable drain on staff resources during emergency work periods. Materials for both revenue maintenance and emergency works are usually supplied from inland gravel workings. The costs of materials for such operations are approximately double those of dredged material. The volumes of material placed (typically 15,000 – 20,000 m3 of shingle at a time) do not however warrant the mobilization of aggregate dredgers. Mobilisation of dredging plant and discharge pipelines would typically cost something of the order of £250,000 prior to placement of any materials. Alternative methods of discharge, such as bottom dumping over high water periods with later reclaim using land based plant, are neither practicable nor desirable. The narrow tidal range makes retrieval of dumped beach recharge material very difficult and the soft substrate of the nearshore bed, which is relict mudflats, is easily damaged by such operations. Whilst dredged material is cheaper, rapid response to an emergency situation cannot be reliably achieved on projects with a short lead in time. A minimum lead in time of 6-8 weeks is normally required for mobilization of piped discharge dredging operations. There are of course further complications which increase the time scale for works to commence, such as negotiations with local fisheries offices and the MEPD on transshipment of materials, and also the availability of appropriate dredging plant. On the basis of these arguments, a dredging based operation is clearly not viable for emergency works situations and the alternative high cost land based solution is the only practicable solution under the circumstances. This type of crisis management is also fraught with other practical difficulties which include availability of appropriate grades and quantities of land won materials. Experience has demonstrated that only about 2000-3000m3 of material of good quality shingle is available from local gravel workings on each occasion. Alternative supplies have to be sought from wide spread sources, at inflated rates, to ensure delivery of appropriately graded materials. Increased construction costs often have to be borne during the emergency works due to downtime at the site during stormy periods. Suitable plant is often not available at short notice and less efficient but more costly plant is often used to carry out the emergency works. The effectiveness of this “low level of investment” beach management option is very difficult to assess in a high risk situation. It does not provide a suitable level of protection. Analysis of the many possible scenarios demonstrated in Figure 12 indicates the complexity of the responses, and shows how rapid development of failure situations can occur as a result of various sequences of typical but relatively low energy storms. Because of the high risk of failure this alternative is technically unacceptable and it does not meet all the technical requirements to protect against the problems discussed in Section 3.3. It does provide considerable additional protection however and will protect against most of the economic losses. The main losses which would not be averted by this scheme are environmental loss of saltmarsh during storms, recreational losses due to frequent enforced closures of the Spit, and loss of some moorings due to the high risk of damage. Despite these problems this option has been carried forward to the economic assessment. 4.6 A Concrete Sea Defence from Milford to Hurst Castle This would provide the protection required instead of the shingle spit. However, it would: (i) pose considerable technical problems with respect to founding the wall on the saltmarsh (ii) cause scour and loss of beach material (iii) not be in keeping with the existing environment This scheme is not acceptable on environmental grounds. All of the local and national conservation agencies would strongly resist any proposal to construct a sea defence. This alternative has been discarded on the basis of environmental grounds, technical construction difficulties and it would also be very expensive to construct. This scheme has not been considered further in the detailed economic assessment. 4.7 Extension of the Rock Revetment from Saltgrass Lane to Hurst Castle The rock revetment from Milford to Cut Bridge has been fairly successful in resisting wave attack and could be a practical and functional solution to the problem. However, it would : (i) (ii) (iii) and (iv) not utilize the existing shingle beach to full effect be subject to a high risk of foundation failure and large scale subsidence, and therefore reduced armour interlock, due to the saltmarsh foundations; be at risk from undermining of the toe of the revetment due to the soft substrate suffer reduced amenity value due to limited access and poor aesthetics. This type of structure, whilst acceptable at the western end of the Spit, would strongly be resisted by English Nature between the present root of Hurst Spit and Hurst Castle, due to the drastic change from the barrier beach and saltmarsh environment, which provides both the morphological and ecological importance of the nature reserve and SSSI. Although this scheme could provide a functional solution to the problem at a high level of investment, there are some technical doubts, its environmental impact would be unacceptable and its extension would be strongly resisted by the local and national conservation agencies. It has, however been carried forward to the economic assessment for further analysis. 4.8 Rock or Wooden Groynes Whilst groynes may reduce the rate of longshore transport along Hurst Spit, they have a very high risk of becoming outflanked due to the roll back processes which result in crest lowering and landward shifting of the crest. They would, therefore be inappropriate and non functional at this site. Previous experiences of the failure of the groyne system at both Milford on Sea in the 1960s and at Hurst Castle has demonstrated that these structures are inadequate (Refs 3,5). In any case, the construction of groynes alone would not prevent overwashing and accelerating roll back which are due to the diminishing size of the Spit. This option has been discarded as it does not provide a functional option and is technically unsound. 4.9 Offshore Breakwaters Offshore breakwaters provide effective protection to beaches at many sites and could be designed to be effective offshore from Hurst Spit. However, construction would not be practicable at this site as the structures would have to be founded on the steeply shelving foreshore which runs into the North Channel. If the breakwaters were to be functional they would need to be located in approximately 8 metres of water near to the centre of the North Channel. Since the costs of rock breakwaters are approximately proportional to the square height of the structure, this option would cost far more than any alternative option. As this channel is heavily used by small craft, the construction of rock breakwaters in it would introduce a considerable hazard to safe navigation and is therefore not environmentally acceptable. This option would cost several orders of magnitute more than the alternative schemes, and has not therefore been considered in the economic assessment. 4.10 Shingle Renourishment Shingle renourishment has the advantage that the energy absorption characteristics of the system will not change significantly. The onshore – offshore interchange of sediments will not change significantly, provided that the near shore beach slope and bathymetry is unchanged. The beach will therefore continue to dissipate wave energy in an efficient manner. Similarly, the environment will not be changed significantly from the existing conditions and the area will retain most of its present natural and visual characteristics. However, beach recharge has the following disadvantages: (i) (ii) (iii) limited life high maintenance commitment a complex design procedure is needed to ensure that wave overtopping and crest roll back can be controlled There is also a further requirement for additional structures to tie the beach replenishment into the existing system, without adverse affects on the adjoining coastline. This option has been carried forward to the economic assessment. 5 BENEFITS OF ALTERNATIVE SCHEMES This section examines the damage which would be caused by adoption of the do nothing option, which is used as the base case for assessing the benefits of the other options. Section 3 details some of the risk and indicates that damage will occur following a 1:1 year storm. Some of the economic losses are assumed to commence therefore, in year 1 of the economic analysis (see Appendix III). 5.1 Assumptions The physical model testing carried out in 1990 indicated that the Spit, in its repaired and rebuilt form following the storm damage of 1989/90, would be severely breached again by a combination of wave height and tidal surge height with a statistical probability of recurring once in five years. This proved to be accurate with breaching occurring in winter of 1994. Following this storm season, emergency works were carried out to ensure that the Spit could just withstand a 1:1 year return period storm, but would suffer serious damage in the 1:2 year return period storm. For the purpose of economic assessment it is assumed that serious breaching would next occur in 1996, or year one of the assessment. When breaching occurs shingle is lost offshore from the seaward face of the Spit, and pushed back across the adjoining saltmarsh on the landward side. As the Spit is only about 20 to 40 metres from Mount Lake another storm event like the one in 1989, when the Spit rolled back by 40 to 80 metres, would result in it being pushed back into the river channel. Without immediate restoration works the remains of the Spit and the adjoining saltmarsh would be exposed to direct wave attack and rapid erosion. This situation was predicted by the model tests, and confirmed by the post storm events in 1989, when normal tidal movements were carving the remains of the Spit into a series of small eroding shingle “humps” with strong tidal flows between and which were rapidly eroding away the salt marsh edge, prior to emergency works. The erosion scenario described in Figure 4 demonstrates the initial losses due to erosion during the 20 year period following a breach. The total area of land protected by the Spit is shown in Figure 7 and the distribution of land use within this area is shown in various categories in Figure 8-11. The categories used are: agricultural, residential, commercial and amenity. The number of domestic properties, commercial properties and area of agricultural land protected is discussed in section 6.7. 5.2 Assessment of Economic Benefits Middlesex University were commissioned to carry out an assessment of the economic benefits of stabilizing Hurst Spit in 1991. They identified five potential categories of benefit, as follows: (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) Recreation Mooring of commercial and leisure craft Sea defence (Lymington to Keyhaven sea defence) Hurst Castle Environmental The financial benefits quoted reflect the Middlesex figures 1991 which have been updated to 1995 price base using RPI. Figures in brackets indicate the 1991 values. The greatest contribution to the total benefit is given by the recreational losses which would result from the loss of the Spit. The average loss per visitor was determined through a Contingent Valuation survey as being £4.15 (£3.72) per visit. The annual loss then depends upon the number of visitors using the Spit. What is particularly notable is that virtually all respondents reported that if the Spit were to be lost, then they would stop visiting the site and would visit elsewhere instead. Estimates of usage of the Spit varied between 60,000 – 100,000 visitors per year. From daily counts undertaken at all access points to the Spit during the Contingent Valuation survey, and by reference to the patterns of visiting over the year at other sites, the likely number of visitors to the Spit was estimated to be in the range of 87,000 to 162,000. To estimate the annual recreational benefits, the conservative figure of 87,000 visits was used. There was a potential risk of double counting between these recreational benefits and those resulting from continuing to protect Hurst Castle. Consequently, the £4.45 million (£4.0 million) value of protecting the Castle has been attributed to non use value as a scheduled monument which is classed as a national asset. There are some additional unquantified benefits. Of these, the main potential loss is to recreational sailing as a result of worsening of the wave climate in the Western Solent. There are no statistics available however, about the total number and frequency of use by dinghies and yachts of this area. There would also be a relatively small loss through the effects on the small fishing fleet at Keyhaven. A major and, in the current state of economic science, unquantifiable loss would be the negative effect on the Sites of Special Scientific Interest currently protected from erosion by the Spit. A full explanation of Middlesex University’s work can be found in the accompanying document entitled “Hurst Spit – An assessment of the Benefits of Coast Protection”. It should, however, be noted that Middlesex University derived their net present value of £11.36 million (£10.2 million) on the assumption that all losses would occur as soon as the Spit was breached. This is clearly not going to be the case, and the benefit cost analysis has been based on the more gradual timetable of losses detailed in below. The benefits accruing from the breaching of the Lymington to Keyhaven sea defence due to flooding have been reassessed to accord with accepted benefit criteria. These are discussed in Section 6.7. 5.3 Recreation Recreational use of the Spit is concentrated on the shingle section between Cut Bridge and the Castle. The rock armoured section between the footbridge and Milford beach is difficult to walk on and much less popular with visitors. The immediate result of breaching of the shingle section would be the loss of use of most of the Spit for recreational purposes. About 800 metres of the Spit between Cut Bridge and Hurst Castle would be permanently lost. If restoration work was not undertaken the remains of the Spit between the footbridge and Castle would be eroded away and the recreational benefits completely lost. Middlesex University’s survey indicates that about 87,000 people visit the Spit each year, and that the recreational value of each visit is £4.15 (£3.72). The total loss of recreational benefit in a full year if the Spit was permanently breached is therefore £360,731 (£323,640), and this figure has been used in the benefit cost analysis. A reduced figure of £180,365 ( £161,820) has been assumed for years one to three, as not all recreational benefit would be lost immediately. The large scale shingle recharge options would avoid this loss and the full recreational value of the benefits would be maintained. The rock revetment alternative would result in a significant reduction in the recreational value of the area and an estimated 50% loss of recreational benefit has been assumed if this option is adopted, due to the lower use by visitors. This reflects the significantly lower use of the existing rock armoured section of the Spit. The current users, which include anglers, bathers and walker, would all have much more limited use of the site. The maintenance to a declining standard option would provide only limited recreational benefits, by increasing the recreational life of the Spit by no more than five years. The recreational benefits are curtailed after this period within the benefit cost analysis for this option. The low level of investment option would also result in a reduction in the recreational benefits, due to the high frequency of storm damage and the frequent need for closure of the Spit during emergency works programmes. An estimated reduction in the benefit figures of 20% due to lower potential use has been made for this option. 5.4 Hurst Castle Permanent breaching of the Spit would prevent access by land to the Castle although, except for the winter months, visitors could reach the Castle by ferry from Keyhaven. However, within five years of breaching, accelerating erosion is likely to open up a channel between the Spit and the main Keyhaven River. This would limit the ferry operations to calm weather periods in spring and autumn. Further erosion would expose the ferry to increased wave attack and further limit its operating periods. Loss of the Spit and erosion of the saltmarsh would effectively create an island around Hurst Castle. Without a supply of shingle the Castle beaches would suffer accelerating erosion bringing the south west edge of the “island” to the Castle’s timber defence works by year seven. Further erosion would threaten the foundation of the Castle walls and extensive protection works would be required around the west and south west side of the “island” to preserve the Castle and to retain the relict recurve to the north west which would provide shelter and protection from westerly gales. Further works would be needed to extend the protection around the south wall and the north west shore of the island by year nine. The cost of these additional works has been estimated at £4million. It is the view of English Heritage that such expenditure would be justified to ensure its continuing existence because of the status of the Castle as a scheduled ancient monument. Although English Heritage do not wish to proceed with the Castle revetment at the moment, the existing defences only have a limited remaining life. However, as the cost of the work will be borne by English Heritage and will not be eligible for grant aid under the Coast Protection Act, it has not been included in the benefit cost assessment. Either the rock revetment option, major beach recharge options or the low level of investment option would ensure the preservation of the Castle in its current state. The maintenance to a declining standard would however result in loss of the Castle on the same timescale as the do nothing option. 5.5 Saltmarsh The saltmarshes would erode rapidly if the Spit is breached, due to the exposure of the soft sediments to severe wave attack. The projected erosion rates for the without project option are shown in Figure 4. Loss of the saltmarsh, which is a Site of Special Scientific Interest, a National Nature Reserve, and of international importance for migrating and nesting birds, is unquantifiable in economic terms, but would be disastrous in ecological terms. Although no attempt has been made to value the salt marsh or include it in the benefit cost assessment, protection of the marshes is one of the major reasons for seeking to stabilize the Spit. A fuller description of the importance of the marshes and the impact on them of the Spit breaching is given in Chapter 10 of the Environmental Impact Assessment. Either the rock revetment or any of the large scale beach recharge projects would provide the necessary protection to the salt marsh areas. The maintenance to a declining standard option would result in a delayed loss of marshes, but would still eventually result in the same losses as the without project option. The low level of protection option would provide protection to most of the salt marsh area, but some areas would be lost following severe storm events (typically those with a longer return period than the 1:5 year storm). 5.6 Keyhaven and the River Loss of the saltmarsh will inevitably lead to loss of the Keyhaven River system, which includes Keyhaven Harbour, Mount Lake and Hawkers Lake. 609 commercial and leisure craft are currently moored in this river system. Middlesex University’s figure of 500 craft is therefore an underestimate. Keyhaven River and Harbour provides one of the very few non marina mooring areas in the Western Solent, and is therefore an important recreational and commercial resource. Because of the fragile nature of the inter tidal areas in the Western Solent and Southampton Water planning policies at both district and county level seek to prevent further large scale provision of moorings and marina construction along the shoreline . In any case continuing erosion by the sea is reducing the areas of sheltered water, provided by inter tidal marshes and mudflats, which have traditionally been used for non marina moorings. In these circumstances moorings lost from Keyhaven River and Harbour could not be replaced elsewhere on the New Forest coast and are therefore an economic loss to the area. Following the 1989 storm, the Spit was restored to a line about 20 metres back from its original position, over approximately 200 metres around the “elbow” leaving 10-15 metres of saltmarsh exposed on the seaward side. Regular monitoring of the profile of the Spit following emergency repairs showed that this relict saltmarsh was eroded away completely in 4 months, between March and June 1990. Flume tests of mud samples carried out at Southampton University confirm this rate of erosion. From this it has been estimated that, under direct wave attack, the saltmarsh would erode at about 30-45 metres per year. In calculating the loss of moorings due to saltmarsh erosion the lower erosion rate of 30 metres per year has been used; indicating that the whole Keyhaven River system would be lost in about 20 years. Predicted erosion lines are shown in Figure 4. Table 6.1 below summarises the number of moorings lost each year over this period. The year numbers match those in the benefit cost analysis and the values are based on lost revenue of an average £167.2 (£150) per mooring per year, derived from the Middlesex document. Physical model testing showed that if no restoration work was carried out after breaching between points B and D (Figure 4), the standing remains of the Spit between points A and B would be washed away in 3 years. This result was repeated over 20 times in wave/surge sensitivity testing, and the predicted erosion lines, therefore reflect this timescale. On the seaward face of the Spit the protection by the offshore banks varies, being more exposed between points C and D than elsewhere. Wave heights are therefore greater in this area resulting in higher rates of erosion. Loss of material over the winter period is always greater along this length, and roll back more severe when breaching occurs. The predicted erosion lines reflect the higher erosion rate in this area. Either the rock revetment scheme or the large scale beach recharge options would ensure the safety of the moorings and would avert all of the potential mooring losses. Maintenance to a declining standard would provide a short increase in the life of the moorings and thus some income losses would be averted for 10 years. Beyond this point however, the moorings would be lost at the same rate as the without project option. The low level of investment scheme would avert most of the losses in income from the moorings but the Mount Lake channel which runs parallel with the Spit would still remain vulnerable to severe storm events and a total of 40 moorings would be lost during the scheme life. The differences in the number of moorings lost for the various options and the consequent benefits used for the benefit cost analysis are shown in Table 6.1. Table 6.1 Loss of Moorings (1995 price base) Without Project No of moorings loss of lost revenue (£) 2 20 3344 3 25 4180 4 40 6688 5 65 10868 6 70 11704 7 80 13376 8 90 15048 9 100 16720 10 105 17556 11 115 19228 12 125 20900 13 130 21736 14 135 22572 15 145 24244 16 165 27588 17 590 98648 18 600 100320 19 609 101825 20-50 609 101825 Year No Maintain to Declining Standard No of moorings lost 10 20 25 40 65 70 80 90 100 115 125 130 135 145 165 590 600 609 609 Low level of investment Revenue benefit (£) 1672 836 2508 4179 835 1671 1671 1671 835 0 No of moorings lost 0 5 15 25 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 revenue benefit (£) 3344 3344 4180 6687 6687 6687 8359 10031 10867 12539 14211 15047 15883 17555 20899 91955 93627 95131 95131 5.7 Sea Defences The Spit protects the saltmarsh from direct wave attack, and both of them provide protection for the Lymington to Keyhaven sea defences. These have recently been rebuilt by the National Rivers Authority (NRA) , as a result of severe damage inflicted by the 1989/90 storms. The NRA (Southern) has confirmed that the new sea defence has not been designed to withstand the direct wave attack and increased water depths which would result from loss of the Spit and saltmarsh in the event of adoption of the without project option. The defence is an earth embankment protected on the seaward slope by a concrete block revetment. Without the protection provided by the Spit and saltmarsh (the no project option), approximately 6km of sea defences would eventually become vulnerable to increased wave attack, susceptible to breaching and would ultimately result in serious flood and erosion damage to property currently protected by the sea defence. Those areas which would ultimately become at risk are identified on Figure 7 and shown in detail in Figures 8-11. The benefit cost analysis, design procedures and protection standards adopted by the NRA (Reference 10) have formed the basis for the assessment of the damages averted by the sea defences. The performance of the newly constructed sea defences has been analysed in conjunction with breaching and erosion scenarios for Hurst Spit. A complex procedure has been followed to determine the benefits which can be achieved by carrying out any of the alternative options, (with the exception of maintenance to a declining standard which would have only minimal benefit for a limited period of no more than five years). This procedure is outlined below: (a) Determine the annual incremental change to wave heights, periods and water depths at a range of locations along the sea defence, which result from breaching of Hurst Spit. The predicted marsh erosion scenario (Figure 4) is used to determine changes in incremental exposure (b) Determine the overtopping discharges that would result from the incremental changes in exposure, derived in (a). These are calculated for the full range of design conditions and protection standards provided by the recently constructed sea defence (see Appendix IV) and tabled in the NRA Engineers report (c) Determine the frequency of occurrence of overtopping discharges that would result in failure of the sea defence by breaching. Standard design criteria for paved embankment walls are used to assess damage and to predict the timing of sea defence failure (see Appendix IV) (d) Determine the incremental increases in damage to land and property, caused both by overtopping discharge and by flood inundation, due to breaching of the sea defence (e) Assess the values and frequency of damage to land and properties at risk from flooding and or erosion (see Appendix IV). Baseline losses reflect FLARE 1990 values where appropriate and 1988 Update Manual values for other land use values not covered by FLARE. These values have subsequently been updated to 1995 base prices using RPI. Figure 4 demonstrates the likely erosion scenario in the event of a breach of Hurst Spit and this has been used as the basis for recalculation of the incident wave conditions at the sea defence. Allowances for the wave energy dissipation due to depth limitation and bed friction have been made, although it is likely that the soft substrate will rapidly erode to provide increased water depths and therefore potentially more severe depth limited breaking wave conditions. This has been demonstrated previously by the rapid removal of saltmarsh when exposed on the seaward side of Hurst Spit. Although a breach of Hurst Spit would allow wave propagation across the saltmarsh surfaces over high water periods, there is not likely to be sufficient energy in the waves to cause overtopping of the sea defence until the marshes have eroded to within 10-20m of the sea defence. Even under these circumstances green water overtopping is likely to occur only under the most extreme water levels, due to the limiting water depths at the toe of the wall. The sea defences between Saltgrass Lane footbridge and Keyhaven are constructed to a mean level of 2.4m ODN and are designed to withstand a maximum overtopping discharge of 0.05m3/m/s. Design standards suggested by Owen (Ref 11) Goda (Ref 12) and Fukuda et al (Ref 13) suggest that a sea defence with a paved crest and rear slope is capable of withstanding overtopping discharge of 0.05m3/m/s without damage. A structure with a paved crest and unprotected rear slope can withstand discharges of 0.02m3/m/s whilst a sea defence with a grassed crest and rear slope can withstand only 0.005m3/m/s without damage. Calculations of changes in local wave heights, resulting from increased exposure and increased water depths indicate that conditions which are likely to cause a breach in the embankment type sea defence will occur very soon after the marsh area is lost from the sea defence (due to failure of the lee face and subsequent collapse of the sea defence). Overtopping calculations indicate that failure of the sea defence is likely, even under very frequently occurring conditions (see Appendix IV). A range of possible scenarios for wave overtopping are shown in Appendix IV, for the conditions at the sea defence following breaching. These demonstrate the severe conditions that will occur on a regular basis. The NRA sea defence design allows for a freeboard of only 0.3m at the design water level between Saltgrass Lane and Keyhaven, but severe overtopping is likely to occur at much lower water levels in the event of a breach of Hurst Spit. Whilst inshore breaking wave heights of only 1 metre may occur when the wall is first exposed, due to depth limitation the wave periods will be largely unaffected by depth. The conditions generated by long period (7-10 second) storm waves from the south and south west are likely to cause severe damage, due to the high volumes of water within the waves; such waves have much longer periods than those currently generated within the Western Solent, which are limited to about 4 seconds. As water depths increase due to erosion of the soft substrate adjacent to the sea defence, wave heights may increase further, although the limiting breaking wave height at the wall is unlikely to exceed 1.6m. Sensitivity testing of conditions which would give rise to a breach of the sea defence indicate that, once the sea defence if exposed to direct wave attack, breaching could potentially occur several times within a year. It has been assumed therefore that the sea defence is breached during the first year of exposure following the removal of the saltmarshes. This is likely to be in year 7. The spreadsheet matrix shown in Appendix IV examines a wide range of wave and water level combinations and indicates that the flooding scenarios presented by the NRA are likely to come in to effect within 8 years of an initial breach of Hurst Spit, and that all properties and land protected by the sea defence would be vulnerable to flooding to the same degree as would have occurred prior to construction of the sea defences. The stability of the seaward face of the sea defence is more difficult to assess, given the relative uncertainty of incident wave conditions at the sea defence. Much larger forces are required to cause structural damage to the seaward face of a block revetment than for failure due to overtopping on an unpaved lee face. As damage to the lee face by overtopping discharge will result in breaching of the sea defence, it has not been necessary to demonstrate the failure of the more resistant seaward slope. Despite the uncertainty of the incident wave conditions at the sea defence however, it is likely that a sea defence failure could also be induced by destruction of the block revetment armouring of the seaward face under the more severe storm events. The NRA makes the assumptions that flooding will occur within the flood zone inland to the flood level contour, following a breach of the sea defence. This assumption has also been adopted for this case to maintain consistency of approach (Figures 8-11). It is likely that flood levels will be increased by the extremely high overtopping discharge levels that result from the more severe wave attack, but no allowances have been made for this within the benefit cost analysis. The standard flood damage assessment criteria have been used to calculate benefits due to flooding. Flooding frequency figures and flooding depths have been derived from the NRA benefit cost analysis. The revised FLARE 90 analysis formulae have been used to recalculate the benefits which would occur from flood damage (for those asset types included in the revised manual) and the benefits have been revised into the appropriate years for this benefit cost analysis. Properties which were not originally at risk due to flooding by landward ingress to the flood level will become vulnerable to damage during certain of the more severe events. A limiting water level of 2.1m ODN has been adopted by the NRA which excludes all those properties between Saltgrass Lane footbridge and Hurst Castle sailing club from the benefits. The floor level of these properties is consistently between 2m and 2.5m ODN and they would certainly also be at risk from wave induced flooding in the event of a breach of the sea defence. Aerial photographic evidence indicates that waves propagated landwards across the saltmarshes well in excess of 200m following the breach of Hurst Spit in 1989. This occurred until well after the peak of the storm and at relatively low tidal levels. This indicates that similar wave conditions (those which occur at least every 3 months) might be capable of reaching the strip of properties which lie parallel with the most vulnerable section of reconstructed NRA sea defence, if the sea defence becomes breached (Figure 8). As there is some degree of uncertainty about the vulnerability of these properties however, they have been excluded from the economic analysis. The flood levels that will be reached as a result of breaching and wave run up are strongly dependent upon the combination of waves and water levels. The simplistic approach to the joint probability adopted by the NRA is not appropriate to assess this effect, as the importance of wave activity is much increased and the total independence of waves and tides assumed by the NRA is not the case. Allowing for partial independence of waves and water levels, a range of conditions may occur which would result in flooding. The basis of the joint probability analysis for this assessment has been derived from the MAFF funded study of waves and tides by HR Wallingford (Ref 8). Empirical calibration of this study by field measurements over a ten year period suggests that the mathematical derivation of regional joint probabilities underestimates the local frequency and level of extreme tides, and indicates that more severe conditions are likely to occur more frequently than has been suggested. The flood damage frequency analysis may therefore underestimate the benefits resulting from flood damage. The HR analysis has been modified to allow for the nearshore set up which is reflected in the NRA return periods for water levels at the sea defence. The empirically derived water levels indicate a local set up of approximately 0.6m above the offshore conditions. Table 6.2 below indicates equivalent offshore conditions to those used to derive the NRA flood frequency damage levels, based on a partially correlated joint probability of waves and tides. The water level predominates over wave conditions as the most important process from the joint probability analysis, due to the depth limiting effects of shallow water at the site. Wave conditions have been modified to allow for wave breaking. Table 6.2 Return Period 5 10 20 30 40 50 Offshore Hs SWL (m) (mODN) 3.3 1.20 2.8 1.29 2.5 1.36 2.0 1.39 1.8 1.42 1.2 1.50 Nearshore Hsb SWL (m) (mODN) 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.89 1.9 1.96 2.0 1.99 1.8 2.02 1.2 2.10 These conditions are relevant only to those areas within the active run up zone between Saltgrass Lane and Keyhaven. Flooding is only likely to occur as a direct result of overtopping at a few locations in the event that the sea defence has not breached. This is unlikely to occur for at least 10 years after the initial breach of the Spit, by which time wave attack will occur at the sea defence on a regular basis in front of several residential properties at Keyhaven. Whilst those properties would be at risk, damage cannot be predicted with certainty. They have therefore been excluded from the benefits. An estimate of damage to properties that would be affected by flooding and ultimately erosion damage in this scenario is shown in Table 6.3 Table 6.3 Unnamed at Saltgrass Old Saltgrass East Saltgrass Saltgrass Cottage Keyhaven House Sedge End 1&2 Keyhaven Cott Tomorrow Creek end Long Forge Coastguard Cott Level distance To sea defence first year of damage 1.6 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.9 70 125 125 125 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 200 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 14 Further damage will occur during the next 35 years as salt marsh is eroded from the area to the north east of Keyhaven. Figure 4 projects total loss of the Keyhaven River saltmarsh system within 20 years of the formation of an initial breach of Hurst Spit. Properties within the low lying land immediately to the North of the Keyhaven River would then become vulnerable to both erosion and flooding (Figures 8-11). Further benefits will occur due to this erosion but it is not realistically possible to quantify the rates of erosion beyond 20 years. These benefits have not been quantified within the benefit cost analysis. Summaries of the damages and losses are shown below in Table 6.4. The damages in this table have been derived from the NRA summary of damages and losses and the revised property damages shown in Appendix IV of this report. All values shown are indexed to 1995. The average annual damages averted are shown in Table 6.5 and these have been carried forward to the benefit cost analysis. 6 PROPOSED SCHEME 6.1 Scheme outline The main elements of the proposed scheme are as follows. (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) Recharge of the Cut Bridge to Hurst Castle section with suitably graded shingle Construction of a rock revetment around the south western flank of the Castle Construction of a single nearshore rock breakwater at the rock armour/shingle junction Reconstruction of the existing rock armouring between Milford beach and Cut Bridge The proposed stabilization scheme includes the following main elements 6.1.1 Shingle Renourishment The beach will be renourished with 253,000m3 shingle material between Cut Bridge and Hurst Castle. The beach recharge material will lie within the grading envelope given in Figure 5. It will be constructed to a level of 7m ODN and with a crest width of 12m between profiles HU6-HU16, and tapering to a level of 6m ODN at Hurst Castle. Obtaining shingle of the correct size and grading is of paramount importance to maintain the natural permeability, slopes and thus the long term stability of the Spit. The best source of shingle would therefore be the Shingles Bank in Christchurch Bay, which is fed by material lost off the Spit. 6.1.2 Detached Breakwater Although large offshore breakwaters would be a hazard to navigation a single small rock breakwater built close to the shore would effectively dissipate wave energy at the shingle/rock junction without obstructing the navigable channel. A rock armoured breakwater will therefore be constructed at the junction of the shingle Spit and the rock revetment. The breakwater will be armoured with 6-10tonne rock. The crest of the breakwater will be at 2.5m ODN. 6.1.3 Existing Rock Revetment The existing revetment at the seaward end of the Spit has performed fairly well over the past 30 years but needs to be modified to improve its long term stability. The 550m long revetment, from the Marine Café to Cut Bridge, will be reconstructed and armoured with 3-6 tonne rock and given an improved crest and toe detail. 6.1.4 Hurst Castle Revetment and Perched Beach A rock revetment will be constructed at the western end of Hurst Castle. The end detail of the revetment will be returned into the beach and it will be buried at either end. The revetment will be constructed with 3-6 tonne rock armour. Shingle renourishment will take place on the lee side of the revetment, between the Castle walls and the revetment. The shingle for the recharge of this section will be recycled from the North Point on the active recurve of Hurst Spit. 6.2 Design 6.2.1 Research and Monitoring Discussions with several research organizations, MAFF, the recommendations of a consultants desk study (Ref1), and the dramatic increases in maintenance costs on the New Forest coastline prompted the NFDC to set up a research programme, to investigate the causes and extent of damage, and to identify possible long term solutions for stabilization of Hurst Spit. A pilot study was set up to record wave conditions and beach cross sections in 1987 (Ref 2,3). This study has since been expanded to include measurements of tides, currents, off shore surveys, and special surveys following storm events. Following the severe storms of the winter of 1989 it was decided to accelerate the research programme, to identify a long term management strategy for Hurst Spit. It was apparent that the development of an effective stabilization strategy would require a sophisticated programme of studies; to evaluate the unusual beach processes; to quanitify the design conditions; and to assess the cost effectiveness of any remedial measures. The effectiveness of the alternative schemes could not be evaluated properly without the aid of a combination of field, mathematical and physical hydraulic model studies. These research studies provided design conditions and allowed the response of the existing structure and the proposals for new protection works to be assessed scientifically under the design conditions. A full description of the research and monitoring programme can be found in Appendix 1. 6.2.2 Design Conditions The derivation of the design conditions adopted for the scheme is discussed in detail in Appendix 1 and these are summarized below. Various combinations of waves and tides produce alternative design conditions with similar joint probabilities. Each must be considered as separate design conditions due to the complexity and variation of failure mechanisms that can result in breaching of Hurst Spit. Combinations which lie between these two extreme combinations must also be considered. The conditions given below have a probability of exceedence of 39% during the 50 year design life of the scheme and represent the 1:100 year joint probability return period events. Table 6.1 Design Conditions Tide level (mODN) 2.27 0.87 Offshore wave Conditions Hs Tm (m) (s) 5.84 8.5 7.9 9.6 Inshore wave Conditions Hs Tm (m) (s) 3.76 10.0 4.14 11.2 Probability of exceedence during scheme life 0.39 0.39 The wave conditions shown are for the most exposed western end of the Spit. Less severe wave conditions corresponding to the same return period have been used at the less exposed locations. 6.2.3 Hydraulic Model Studies Following the programme of field work, wave climate studies and a preliminary assessment of alternative schemes, a programme of physical and mathematical modeling was designed to carry out detailed evaluation of the proposals. An extensive series of hydraulic model studies were carried out to test the proposed designs and to fine tune the designs for maximum cost effectiveness. The objectives of the model studies are set out below. (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) (vi) (vii) (viii) Identify the various combinations of wave and water level conditions that cause overwashing of Hurst Spit. Determine the rate of loss of shingle from Hurst Spit, under storm conditions and under “average” conditions. Compare the performance of proposed stabilization measures with the existing Spit Examine the effects of existing structures, such as groynes at Hurst Castle and Milford on Sea, on shingle transport Identify threshold crest levels and widths to provide alarm levels prior to failure of the shingle bank Evaluate the stability and hydraulic performance of existing and proposed rock armoured structures Identify a planned maintenance programme following beach renourishment (if appropriate) Identify the most cost effective and environmentally acceptable strategy for the maintenance of Hurst Spit Analysis of the beach profile field data indicated that damage to the Spit occurs most frequently when storm surges occur. A range of water levels including extreme storm surges were therefore considered. The response of the shingle beach to storms, tidal currents, storm surges and more frequently occurring conditions were also considered. The beach response to these processes, by short term changes to the beach cross section profile and by changes to the plan shape layout due to longshore sediment transport were investigated in the modeling programme. Since it was necessary to reproduce the response of shingle to wave action, it was necessary to ensure that the model allowed for reproduction of these two variables without any significant scale effects. The Spit was modeled in four sedments at a scale of 1:40 to accommodate the problems of scaling. These were linked together by mathematical modeling to produce an overall picture of the performance of Hurst Spit. The large model scale allowed the sediment response to waves to be reproduced with a high degree of confidence. Similarly the large model waves allowed rock armour movement to be reproduced and monitored accurately. It was also possible to focus in detail on important features along the length of the Spit. These included the changes in alignment of the Spit and the effects of sediment control structures, such as the rock groynes at Milford on Sea and the terminal bastion at the eastern end of the rock revetment. The test programme was broken down into the following elements: (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) Mathematical modeling of the nearshore wave climate Physical modeling of four overlapping sedments of Hurst Spit at a scale of 1:40 Numerical modeling of sediment transport Interactive modeling of the results from the physical and mathematical models A detailed account of the hydraulic model studies can be found in Appendix 1 6.2.4 Detailed Design At the time of the model design it was clear that the model would have some limitations and that certain characteristics could not be reproduced. These included the response of the saltmarshes to wave attack following breaching of the Spit, erosion of the bed and fine sediments seawards of the Spit, the effects of sedimentation on the flow in Mount Lake and the geotechnical response of the saltmarshes upon which Hurst Spit is now founded. Whilst tests were carried out over a range of fixed water levels, the model did not have full tidal control. These factors have been analysed separately using field measurements and empirical methods. The results of the model tests and mathematical models have been compiled into an extensive database. This has been analysed to provide a series of recommendations in conjunction with the geotechnical assessment and the sediment size analysis. The data has been analysed to optimize the programme of works and the maintenance programme. This forms the basis of the long term stabilization strategy for Hurst Spit. With the exception of the Castle revetment, it is essential that the proposed works are constructed as an integrated scheme. Ad hoc construction of individual elements of structures and replenishment will not provide an appropriate solution to the problems. The scheme also requires that a planned maintenance programme is kept up throughout its life t ensure that the alarm cross section levels identified at various locations along the Spit are not reached. If the scheme is not maintained at or above these alarm conditons, then failure of the beach may result under the design conditions. It is essential to note that the design conditions vary along the Spit and that a different cross section profile is required at each of the beach cross sections to accommodate this. The natural shingle grading on Hurst Spit is very coarse, D50=15mm. The design cross sections and sediment transport calculations derived from physical model testing have been carried out on the basis of beach recharge using the natural beach material which would normally be found at this site. Recent restoration work has utilized beach material of a somewhat coarser grade than the natural material. Whilst this does not present a problem, it does exhibit different hydraulic characteristics. Alternative gradings could be used in the replenishment, but these will have significant effects on the hydraulic performance of the replenishment. 6.2.5 Alternative design for finer wide graded materials The application for a production licence to recycle material from the Shingles Banks area to Hurst Spit has met with some resistance from the MEPD through the government procedure. NFDC have been advised by the DOE that a dual tendering exercise should be carried out to determine whether the Shingles Banks area presents a more economic source of material for the beach recharge than commercially licensed areas. As the commercial licensed areas are unable to supply material of the grade required, the design process has been reviewed and an alternative design has been developed. The basis for alternative recharge designs using materials with finer and wider gradings made the assumptions that these materials would have the following effects on the hydraulic performance of the beach. 1) The beach will form a dynamic equilibrium slope at a shallower angle for either finer or more widely graded materials than for the indigenous beach grading. This will require a larger quantity of material to form the capital recharge. As the slope offshore of the existing beach toe is very steep ( approximately 1:25 at the beach toe) this will inevitably result in the toe of the recharged beach forming further offshore. 2) The longshore sediment transport rate will be faster for finer material than for coarse material. Losses from the system will be greater therefore. This will result in a requirement for more frequent and higher volumes of maintenance to be included in the beach management plan. 3) The use of a finer grading or a more widely graded material will reduce the permeability of the beach and will consequently result in increased wave run up at the crest under certain circumstances 4) The environmental effects of using a finer graded material may be harmful, if large quantities of fines are transported in suspension or along the shoreline into the Western Solent either during the discharge operation or under the influence of wave attack post placement 5) More widely graded materials will contain a higher proportion of fines which are likely to be lost from the system at an early stage The effects of sediment size on hydraulic performance of a beach have been investigated by a number of researchers and their results have been applied to a range of scenarios which might provide alternative solutions for recharge of Hurst Spit. These are described in detail below. Whilst the grading required has an average D50 of 15.5mm and a D84/D16 ration of about 10, most of the dredged sources can provide materials with a D50 of about 910mm and a D84/D16 ration of about 50-60. The sand content which is typically 25-40% of the dredged materials bulk volume leaves the remaining shingle with an average of 15mm and a D84/D16 ratio of about 6. The sand content within the dredged material is therefore substantially larger than that found within a naturally graded Hurst Spit. A number of alternatives may be taken in redesigning the beach to accommodate the problems given by the use of alternative sources. 1) Use as dredged materials from existing licensed areas without screening and place additional volumes of beach fill. Redesign the beach management programme to take into account additional losses from the system. 2) Use dredged materials and screen either onboard or at a screening plant to achieve the required design grading. This may not be practicably achievable. 3) Use dredged materials and screen either onboard or at a screening plant, to achieve a compromise to the design grading, allowing for additional materials to be placed and for additional materials in beach management. On board screening at the dredging area with a screen of typically 10mm will reduce the sand percentage, but the use of screening is of limited value. Effects of grading on slope Recent studies by HR Wallingford (Reference 6) have identified the effects of sediment grading on the beach slope. These studies confim that by virtue of their lower permeability, finer or more widely graded sediments produce flatter slopes whilst coarser or more narrowly graded sediments produce steeper slopes. The NFDC coastal monitoring programme has confirmed the validity of these studies by beach profiling of a range of beaches within Christchurch Bay. The formulae developed in the above studies have been used to assess the relative cross shore equilibrium slope performance for a range of sediment gradings using alternative material sources as well as those produced from the grading of the indigenous material. The problem appears to be that the currently licensed areas produce material with a lower D50 size than required and also more importantly with a wider grading ratio D84/D14. A sensitivity analysis has been carried out using a wide range of alternative design conditions and using the information derived from dredging companies for existing licensed areas. The best area analysed was area 127, south west of the Needles. This provides material with a grading ratio D84/D14 of 50 and D50 of 12mm at the mid point line of the grading envelope derived from sampling. This compares with a design D50 of 15mm and a D84/D14 ratio of 9.4. The figures derived from the dredging companies are for 80% screened material and therefore represent a best case scenario for grading. The main problem with the grading is that the D84 value achieved is 0.6mm, which has a significant effect on the grading ratio. The following equation demonstrates the variation between the equilibrium slope performance of materials of different gradings. A shift in the grading from a D50 of 15mm to 12mm and with a D84/D14 ratio from 9.4 to 50 would result in a reduction of the mean equilibrium slope from about 18 degrees, for the range of design wave conditions and would effectively result in an increased from the crest to the new toe position. The steep seaward slope at the toe of the beach at an angle of about 1:7 indicates that the new equilibrium slope toe would form a futher 2530m offshore than the present design section. The combined effects of the steep gradient and the wider and finer grading result in a requirement for an additional 32,000m3 for the length of the recharge. This in turn would result in substantially more fine workable material in the active beach zone, thus increasing the potential for longshore transport of the material. The rate of loss of beach material from the intertidal zone will increase until the beach recharge has reached a new equilibrium grading and this will inevitably result in a significantly higher proportion and volume of fine material in the active beach zone on a permanent basis. Assuming that most of the recharge is placed initially on the leeside of the Spit, the new equilibrium slope may not be achieved until 1-2 storm seasons following the beach recharge, during which the beach is able to cut back from the current equilibrium slope into the more widely graded and finer graded recharge material. This process is likely to be accelerated at the western end of the Spit where beach material will be required within the active zone immediately. The alternative to providing no compensation for the smaller size of material is to allow the beach to reach its own equilibrium slope angle by cutting back of the beach. This is unacceptable as the natural equilibrium slope of the alternative beach material would result in erosion behind the alarm threshold for breach formation. This may be demonstrated graphically by projecting the equilibrium slope angle landwards from the toe of the proposed recharge. The intercept of the equilibrium slope with the proposed crest of the recharge is virtually at the junction of the lee slope and crest junction thereby providing no crest berm at all. Run up Since Hurst Spit is a barrier beach wave run up is a critical parameter. The effect of an increased grading width or reduction in median size is likely to reduce the permeability of the beach. This in turn is likely to increase the wave run up. The effect of reduced permeability is to some extent overcome by the reduction in equilibrium slope and the two factors tend to balance themselves out under most conditions. No further additional allowance has therefore been made for increased run up. Longshore transport The effects of longshore transport were derived from a combination of results from field data, energy based longshore transport based formulae and physical model testing of the original design. The design which utilized the Shingles Banks as a source assumed typical gradings based around the indigenous beach material. Alternative sources of material have been assessed by substitution of alternative values for less coarse materials within the sediment transport formulae which reflect the change in size of the size and distribution of the beach materials. Kamphuis (1991) suggests a dependence of the longshore drift Q on median grain size D50. This dependence is supposedly valid for both sand and shingle beaches and indicates that: The effects of sediment size on longshore transport have been examined by substitution of various values of D50 into the CERC formula. The effects of sediment size are given by the following equation This indicates an annual increase in sediment transport rates of 6% for material of 12mm D50 compared with material of D50 15mm, which will require either that a higher initial recharge quantity is placed or that the rate and volume of managed beach recharge is increased to offset this difference and maintain performance. Given that the net annual drift rate is approximately 15,000m3 per year an additional recharge of 900m3 is needed for each year. Put in context, over the 50 year design life of the managed recharge, this means that approximately 45,000m3 additional material is required to ensure the performance of the scheme is maintained. Similar factors may be applied to alternative sources of material. Additional materials The analysis of the relative performance of alternative beach materials indicates the following requirements. Increased volume due to longshore transport 45,000m3 Increased volume due to equilibrium slope 32,000m3 Total additional material required 77,000m3 6.2.6 Materials for Renourishment The alternative beach renourishment designs have examined a range of gradings of beach recharge material, although there is a clear preference to use material with a similar grading to the indigenous beach material. Previous maintenance of the Spit has utilized both land won and dredged materials. 6.2.6.1 Inland Sources Maintenance and restoration following storm damage has traditionally been carried out using gravel rejects form local inland pits. Washed rejects have been used each year to strengthen eroded areas and repair storm damage. The material is purchased through the Council’s annual term tender procedure from a single local supplier. Quality control can, therefore, be exercised at the source of supply in advance of the material being required, minimizing the need to reject substandard material from site. The natural grading of the Spit has a mean size of about 15mm. The nominal grading of the gravel rejects is significantly greater, being in the range 40 to 75mm. In practice the grading of the rejects is at the upper end of this envelope with little material below 40mm and a significant amount in excess of 75mm. Despite the difference in grading between the natural and land won materials the gravel rejects have generally performed well because they maintain, or enhance, the high natural permeability of the Spit. The main disadvantage is that when the coarser material is lost form the beach surface by storm action it moves out of the system altogether, being too heavy to be re-deposited in calmer conditions. It also has to be delivered by road through small coastal villages, which can have serious environmental consequences if large quantities are required. The current cost is about £13.5 per cubic metre delivered to site plus the costs of placement. Following the 1989/90 storms about 12,500 cubic metres of gravel rejects were used for emergency restoration works. The nominated local supplier could provide only 40% of this total, the remainder coming from a variety of other inland sources. Supply of the 253,000m3 of shingle from inland sources for this scheme would also present a considerable problem within the short timetable of the contract period. 6.2.6.2 Commercial Dredging Areas In 1985, following a series of storms which seriously damaged the Spit, restoration was carried out using about 30,000 cubic metres of commercially dredged marine aggregate. It has been suggested that shingle replenishment with a narrow grading, such as this, may result in a significant “fining” of the beach due to migration of fine material from the surface of the beach into the core; and that loss of the coarser surface fraction could be linked to this “fining” of the core. Monitoring of the Spit following replenishment with the marine dredged aggregate certainly supports this view, for the following observations were made over a period of four years in the replenished area: (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) Little fine material was lost from the Spit; instead it moved down through the coarser shingle into the centre of the bank where it formed an impermeable core; Most of the coarsest fraction was lost to storm action, although a small amount of this material did reappear further along the Spit during calmer conditions Accelerated scouring of the beach occurred along the seaward face of the Spit; and Destructive overwashing occurred with greater frequency 6.2.1.1 Alternative Source of Material – The Shingles Bank Because of the problems experienced with the use of land won gravel and commercially dredged marine aggregate for beach replenishment, and the high costs involved, an alternative source of shingle was sought for the proposed Hurst Spit stabilization scheme. A potential local resource was the Shingles Bank in Christchurch Bay which was thought to be the destination of material moving off the end of the Spit. Due to the shallow water over the bank, and its proximity to the Hampshire and Isle of Wight coastlines, it has never been considered a suitable deposit for commercial exploitation and little was known about its composition. In 1990 New Forest District Council began discussions with the Marine Estate section of the Crown Estate, and with the Flood Defence Divison of the Ministry of Agriculture Fisheries and Food (MAFF) about the possibility of removing material from the Shingles Bank for replenishing Hurst Spit. At that time the Crown Estate and MAFF were themselves looking into alternative sources of material for beach recharge schemes which would take maritime authorities out of competition with the aggregate industry for scarce supplies of marine aggregates. They were seeking non commercially exploitable (non aggregate) marine deposits, and considered that New Forest’s proposal could form a pilot scheme for further progress in this area. 6.2.1.2 Licensing Requirements Before a marine aggregate production licence is issued by the Crown Estate the applicant’s proposals are subject to the Government View Procedure, which was revised in 1989 and now incorporates the requirements of the EC Directive on Environmental Assessment. Without a positive Government View a licence will not be granted. One of the main criteria is the potential impact on adjacent coastlines of the proposed dredging operations. Currently the procedure requires an applicant to demonstrate that his proposals will have “nil effect” on the adjacent coast, based on the assumption that the dredged material will go for concrete production, or similar, and will be lost to the marine environment. Clearly this presents a serious obstacle to the licensing of near shore sand and shingle deposits, unless all the bodies consulted under the Government View Procedure can be persuaded to use “net benefit in favour of the coastline”, rather than “nil effect on the coastline”, as the criteria for coast protection related applications. With this in mind, this Council, with advice and guidance from the Crown Estate and MAFF, developed a strategy which, it was hoped, would prove successful in securing a production licence for the Shingles Bank. The strategy consisted of four basic elements: (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) Research to prove the resources of the Bank Looking at methods of extracting shingle from the Bank and placing it on the Spit Evaluating the effects of this on the wave climate of Christchurch Bay and Assessing the general environmental impact of the scheme 6.2.1.3 Proving the Resource With advice from Hydraulics Research Limited a research programme was set up in collaboration with Southampton University’s Department of Oceanography (SUDO) to provide the following information: (i) (ii) (iii) The geological setting of the area, to define underlying geology The bathymetry and the distribution of surficial sediments over the Bank, together with an assessment of the mobility of this material, based on the analysis of side scan sonar imagery; and The thickness of the superficial sediment cover, based on the analysis of high resolution sub bottom profiling. The results of this study were very encouraging, confirming that the Shingles Bank is a major sink for coarse grained sediments. The thickness of the deposit was shown to be in excess of 12 metres on the eastern side, and the total volume of the bank in excess of 42 million cubic metres. The quantity required for replenishing the Spit, 253,000 cubic metres, is less than one percent of this total reserve. Ground truth data, in the form of vibracoring, supported these results and indicated four potential extraction areas where the grading of the deposits closely matches the natural grading of the Spit. Following consultation with MAFF a research licence was issued by the Crown Estate for this work between December 1991 and December 1992. 6.2.1.4 Engineering Options for Extraction and Placing In March 1992, Posford Duvivier were commissioned to undertake a desk study of the engineering options relating to extraction of shingle from the four areas identified in the SUDO report, and the subsequent placement of the material in the required locations along Hurst Spit. This study considered the following dredging options: (i) (ii) (iii) Self propelled hopper dredger, pumping ashore Static dredger, discharging into barges for pumping ashore or bottom dumping; and Static dredger, pumping ashore through a floating pipeline Posfords demonstrated that it was feasible to remove material by dredger from only two of the four areas studied, largely due to the very limited water depths over the Bank. The low tidal range of 2.2 metres and rapid tidal currents also provide severe constraints on discharge location. However, they concluded that a medium sized self propelled hopper dredger could extract the required volume of material from either of the preferred areas along the south east face of the Bank, and pump it ashore in a two to three month continuous operation at an estimated cost of £12 per cubic metre, excluding royalties to the Crown Estate. This is obviously a very economical means of obtaining beach recharge material of a satisfactory grading. 6.2.1.5 Aggregate Production Licence Application Following the offshore exploration programme, a formal application for a marine aggregate production licence was made for 300,000m3 material from the Shingles Banks. The application has been supported by an Environmental Impact Assessment carried out by Wimpey Environmental. The licence application was submitted to the Crown Estate Commissioners in accordance with the DOE guidelines and is presently undergoing the formal consultation process. The DOE have advised the NFDC that the MEPD have requested that the proposal to use the Shingles Banks as a source is confirmed as an economically justifiable argument before it can proceed further with the government view procedure. A dual tendering exercise will therefore be carried out prior to DOE providing a government view on the application. 6.3 Maintenance A planned maintenance programme has been developed, in order that maintenance of the renourished Spit may be carried out cost effectively. This programme has been based upon the results of both the physical and mathematical model studies and also on the results of field surveys carried out since 1987. 6.3.1 Threshold Levels The damage threshold condition, (defined by conditions giving rise to overtopping and resulting in roll back of the crest), vary along the length of the Spit. At the western end the wave climate is more severe and consequently the alarm or threshold damage level of the crest is higher than at the eastern end where the Spit is more sheltered. The alarm cross section for the renourished beach has been defined in terms of minimum crest elevation and minimum crest width. This alarm value is reached when the design storm followed in quick succession by a 1:5 year and a 1:1 year storm would result in failure of the bank by crest lowering. The maximum run up levels and hence alarm levels have been defined from the extensive series of physical model tests. The maximum run up levels recorded, by measurement of the level of the run up berm, vary considerably along the length. Values of +6.3m ODN between profile lines HU6-HU18 with a crest width of 8m, and +4.8m ODN with the same crest width between HU18HU20 provide the effective upper limits of wave run up for the conditions tested. Sections constructed with crest levels in excess of 6.1m ODN were not overtopped at all during testing and this should therefore provide a safe crest level. The vulnerability of the beach to narrow crest widths was demonstrated in the model. Whilst a crest width of 8m at a level of 6.1m ODN provides a very safe situation against breaching in the design storm, the crest width should be maintained at this level, to allow for a sequence of storms occurring over a short period of time. The performance of Hurst Spit in 1989, when subject to two severe events in a short space of time, demonstrates the requirement for some considerable reserve in the design of the renourishment. 6.3.2 Settlement and Shingle Loss Initially, the beach will be constructed to a significantly higher profile than required by the design conditions. This is necessary to allow for loss of cross sectional area of the beach by subsidence of the shingle into the very soft substrate. It is not possible to quantify the volume of shingle lost by subsidence during the life of the scheme, since ground conditions vary considerably along the length of the Spit. Recent experiences with emergency renourishment following breaching have shown that initially considerable loss of material may occur following resinstatement, due to subsidence into the underlying saltmarsh. This is less likely to pose a problem on the section of the Spit which lies above partially compacted saltmarsh. The proposed renourishment landwards of the beach may pose more of a problem in this sense. Evidence of rates of settlement by leveling of datum poles, suggests that in exces of 0.5m settlement may be expected during the first year following construction, in addition to the initial settlement caused by the initial loading of the saltmarsh. Careful monitoring of the crest levels following construction should identify those areas that will require maintenance due to settlement. Allowance for topping up the crest to the design level has been made during the first two years following construction. Additional beach material will be placed in stock piles on the leeside of the rock revetment following construction, in readiness for future maintenance. 6.3.3 Routine Maintenance Requirements Routine maintenance requirements include the following elements: (i) (ii) (iii) Bulldozing of material from the plugged breakwater gap will be required annually. The gap between the breakwater and the shingle bank/revetment is only ten metres at the toe. In view of the longshore transport from the west it is likely that the breakwater gap will plug with sand or shingle after a fairly short period of time. It will, on occasion, be cleared naturally by wave action, either by overtopping or by waves driving through the gap at high water levels. However, it is expected that the breakwater will slow the transport rate considerably, consequently requiring some artificial force to drive material through the gap and onto the main body of the Spit. This area may take 2-3 years before an equilibrium rate of transport is reached. Better estimates of long term maintenance commitments will be made with the aid of the monitoring programme. An accumulation of the coarser fraction of material is likely to occur at the rock revetment west of Hurst Castle. This will provide a supply of shingle for recycling to the areas between profiles HU6-HU8, which is likely to be the most vulnerable to erosion. It is likely that annual maintenance of this area by transport of material back to the west will be needed. Allowance has been made to recycle approximately 5000m3 per year. Following construction of the rock revetment at Hurst Castle, the rate of shingle transport around the Castle is likely to reduce slowly. The accumulation of shingle at the North Point is also likely to be reduced as the supply of material diminishes. This area will effectively be isolated from the main system ( and lies within the adjacent coastal cell defined for shoreline management). Wave action from the north east will however continue to drive material along the shingle recurve. As less material will be entering the system from Christchurch Bay there is a risk that beaches on the northern side of Hurst Castle will be outflanked over a period of years. This problem can be overcome by recycling material between the accumulating North Point and the area immediately to the north of Hurst Castle. Any surplus material can be transported further around onto the main body of the Spit. It is expected that there will be an annual commitment to maintain the river entrance channel, and to protect the northern flank of the Castle defences. Recycling from the North Point would still continue when the new rock revetment around the Castle was finally constructed. The scheme has a design life of 50 years, during which there will be a requirement to recycle or top up the renourishment and maintain the rock structures. Whilst it is difficult to assess the quantities of material and losses from the system, estimates have been made which suggest a preliminary programme of recharge maintenance. This programme will be revised in conjunction with the results of the planned monitoring programme. The first planned recharge will take place in year 10 when an estimated 100,000m3 of shingle will be required. This will be followed by recharges of 100,000m3 at 15 year intervals until year 40. Appropriately increased volumes of material will be placed if finer more widely graded material has to be used for the recharge. Intermediate recycling of material and clearing of the breakwater gap will be carried out in line with the details given above. An allowance for major maintenance of the rock structures has been included in year 6, following the initial settlements and movements which might be expected during the first few storm seasons. Further maintenance of the rock structures is also planned at strategic intervals, during the life of the scheme. 6.4 Monitoring Programme The design criteria for this scheme are somewhat unusual in that no green water overtopping is permissible if the beach is not to be breached, and it is therefore essential that the beach is monitored frequently after construction. The beach will reduce in cross sectional area and crest level during its life and it will eventually reach an alarm condition when it will be necessary to renourish. It is essential to make frequent comparison between the beach profiles, design conditions and the geometric/hydraulic framework of results developed during model testing. A monitoring programme has been planned, to follow completion of the works programme. The programme is outlined in the following sections. Some elements will be implemented prior to the commencement of the works to provide baseline data. This will allow changes resulting from the works, or from the proposed dredging from the Shingles Banks to be identified. 6.4.1 Onshore surveys Land surveys of the area 200 metres to the east of the proposed breakwater, and 100 metres to the west have been established to evaluate the performance of the breakwater. Initial surveys were carried out in 1995 and continued in conjunction with the routine coastal monitoring programme. These surveys provide a spot height coverage on a grid of approximately 5m. Data will be stored on a PC based database and analysed using DGM3 software. The active shingle recurve north of Hurst Castle is at present monitored on a quarterly basis. An area immediately to the south of this, linking the North Point to the Castle, has not been monitored as regularly. Quarterly surveys are proposed to fill in the gaps in existing information. Knowledge of the performance of this area will provide valuable information to evaluate the performance of the proposed rock revetment around Hurst Castle. It is proposed that the whole of the beach north of the Castle from reference line HU20 be monitored routinely on a quarterly basis for the duration of the monitoring programme. This will be surveyed to the same format as previous surveys in this area. Data will be analysed using PC based DGM3 software. The existing monitoring programme provides adequate information along most of the length of the Spit. Additional survey lines should be established between survey lines HU16 to HU20. This will provide the same coverage along the full length of the Spit. Additional post storm surveys will be required to allow validation of the numerical model which is being developed from the physical model. These surveys should be carried out in parallel with wave measurements and tidal measurements, and should be carried out to the required format for comparison with the numeric model of beach profile response. This data will provide confirmation of the validity of alarm threshold values provided by the physical model studies and the numeric model. In the unlikely event that the renourishment has an identical grading to the existing Spit, the sediment transport rates and the profile response of the Spit to storms will not be significantly different to the present. In the more likely event that the renourished Spit will comprise materials of a slightly different grade (probably with a smaller mean size) the sediment transport rates may well be increased and the loss of shingle under storm attack will be greater. In this event it will be necessary to carry out regular sediment sampling and size grading analysis in order to identify changes in the grade of material and the rate of loss of the smaller fraction, thereby providing further valuable information for the purposes of maintenance. Results of post nourishment surveys will be compared with the database results for both the physical model and full scale monitoring results. The beach response models may then be calibrated, allowing adjustment of the database predictions to accommodate the effects of different beach grading. The results of a recent study by HR on the profile performance of beach material of different grades (Ref 6) may also provide valuable calibration information. 6.4.2 Offshore surveys Offshore surveys extending 500 metres offshore will be established in conjunction with the land surveys. Current metering surveys will be carried out at several stations over full tidal cycles prior to construction of the breakwater, and will be repeated post construction to identify any changes in current paths and magnitudes caused by the breakwater. The frequency of land surveys will be increased during the first two years after construction to monthly surveys of selected areas, and thereafter will be reduced in frequency to the standard quarterly surveys, subject to satisfactory performance of the structures. The offshore bathymetry is subject to frequent change and as a result the design wave conditions may also change from time to time. Frequent monitoring of the offshore bathymetry will be undertaken to identify any significant changes which may affect the incident wave conditions. The annual hydrographic surveys currently carried out by NFDC are appropriate for identification of nearshore changes. Occasional offshore hydrographic surveys of the Shingles Banks area will also provide better information about changes in the offshore bathymetry. A Datawell omni directional waverider buoy has been installed in the North Channel, on the leeward side of the Shingles Bank, and is used in conjunction with a suitably located wind recorder to monitor wave conditions. A telemetry link to Lymington Town Hall has been established together with a logging station. Contingency has been made for maintenance of this equipment during the course of the programme. This would normally entail monthly or bi monthly checks of the equipment and inspection of the moorings together with changes of batteries whenever required. Re-analysis of the wave records will be necessary from time to time to ensure that the design conditions have not altered significantly (due to bathymetric changes). This will provide a much better and more reliable method of establishing the near shore wave climate on a long term basis. The results from wave records will also be used to provide full scale calibration/validation of the model results at the site under real conditions. This will provide validity to the empirical framework developed by model testing and a high degree of confidence in the performance and maintenance requirements. The recent installation of a tide gauge by NFDC in the lee of Hurst Spit will, in the long term, provide valuable from which more reliable surge predictions can be calculated for the site. The profile response database may also be used in conjunction with results of revised surge level predictions, to give an improved prediction of the required beach cross sections required to withstand the more severe water levels of the scheme. The design water level may change in conjunction with medium term sea level changes. Clearly this is a very important factor in determining the design conditions at the site, as the wave conditions reaching the Spit are largely determined by the depth of water across the shallow offshore banks. 6.4.3 The Isle of Wight Concerns have been expressed by South Wight Borough Council (now Isle of Wight Council) with respect to the perceived possibility of adverse effects of dredging from the Shingles Banks on the Isle of Wight beaches. Following discussions with officers and councilors from South Wight and the MAFF regional engineer, a series of actions have been proposed by NFDC to overcome these fears. A monitoring programme has been designed by New Forest District Council on behalf of SWBC, to monitor the performance of beaches on the west coast of the Isle of Wight and to monitor changes to the bathymetry of the offshore Shingles Banks dredging area. The surveys will include quarterly topographic line and level surveys of beaches, spot height surveys and hydrographic surveys. Additional surveys will also be carried out after severe storms. Data will be recorded by NFDC in a database and analysed. Baseline surveys will be carried out prior to the dredging operations to establish the existing condition of the Isle of Wight beaches. The coastal survey area will extend along the foreshore of the Isle of Wight between the Needles and Fort Albert as agreed locations and the offshore surveys will be carried out across the Shingles Banks. Results of the surveys will be compared and will be analysed by reference to measured and predicted wave conditions. If and when appropriate, a revised mathematical model refraction grid of the Shingles Banks area will be produced for use with the refraction models OUTRAY and INRAY (previously used in determination of the nearshore wave climate) and these models re-run to identify changes to the wave climate resulting from modified offshore bathymetry. If beach changes occur which may possibly be attributed to dredging, and no informal agreement is possible between SWBC and NFDC, then MAFF will be called upon to act as arbitrator, using an agreed expert consultant to act as a technical advisor. In the unlikely event that changes to beach levels can be attributed to dredging, NFDC will promote beach recharge works on the appropriate beaches with grant aid from MAFF. 6.4.4 Database The model data set has been stored in a series of spreadsheet databases which provide easy access to the data, enabling the beach profile performance to be compared for a wide range of beach geometry and wave and water level conditions. The performance of the beach can therefore be assessed by comparison of any beach profile with a given crest level, and cross section area above any given level, and with a range of wave and water level conditions. This database will enable the performance of the proposed beach nourishment to be assessed throughout its life, by comparison with the design conditions. The complex wave climate, resulting in varied wave conditions along the length of the Spit, can be assessed by substituting different wave conditions into the database for comparison with given profiles. As the geometry of the beach changes with time, either as a result of subsidence or to wave action, the possibility of wave overtopping can be assessed. The wide range of beach profiles in the database allows any combination of beach geometry and wave conditions to be assessed within the range tested. By testing over a wide range of water levels a water level response function can be established. The effects of changing sea level, or of revisions in the surge water level, can therefore be taken into account by substitution of other water levels into the database. Initially the predicted response of the renourished beach can be established by using the database as a look up table, by reference to the desired wave water level, wave conditions and geometry. This method is however cumbersome to use and requires considerable background knowledge of the database structure. The extensive database will therefore be developed into a more sophisticated and simple to use parametric model of the beach profile response. This will allow the beach geometry to be assessed by substitution of geometric and hydraulic variables into a numeric model of a series of equations. The mathematical model will be developed in conjunction with field monitoring programmes, both pre and post construction. 6.5 Impacts of the proposals 6.5.1 Influence of the Proposals on Coastal Processes The construction of a large scale stabilization scheme including beach renourishment, revetments and a breakwater will clearly have an impact on the hydrodynamic processes in the area of the works and the adjoining area. The scheme has however been designed to minimize changes to the existing regime. The proposed groynes and beach nourishment at Milford on Sea will not have a significant effect on longshore transport to the west, provided that the groyne bays are initially nourished with an adequate supply of shingle to maintain the existing transport rate. The proposed modifications to the rock revetment will not have any significant effect on sediment transport rates or on toe scour, as the proposed revetment is hydraulically virtually the same as the existing revetment. The existing structure has already reduced the rate of transport onto Hurst Spit to a lower than desirable level. The proposed breakwater at Cut Bridge will slow the rate of sediment transport onto the shingle section of Hurst Spit. However, if the renourished beach on its down drift side is maintained in accordance with the planned maintenance guidelines, it should perform significantly better than at present. The breakwater itself will reduce the incident wave energy at the junction of the rock revetment and shingle Spit, thereby slowing the rate of transport away from the junction. The main body of the proposed renourishment will have no significant effect on the rate of sediment transport, as the foreshore equilibrium will not be altered significantly. This is because the beach renourishment will take place on the lee face of the existing Spit. The profile response of the beach will not be altered under most conditions, since the foreshore slope will not be changed. The increased crest level will however reduce the rate of beach recession, as waves will only reach the crest during the most extreme events. Under these conditions sediment transport rates might be expected to increase as there will be an increased supply of sediment to the lower foreshore, due to the erosion of the seaward crest of the Spit. The beach processes on the eastern side of Hurst Castle are driven primarily by waves generated in the Western Solent, resulting from easterly and north easterly winds. Sediment is therefore driven from Hurst Point in a north westerly direction towards the North Point. The processes driving shingle to the North Point will be unaffected by the works. Sediment transport rates should therefore remain constant between Hurst Point and the North Point, until Hurst Point becomes cut back due to shingle starvation. The rate of transport to the North Point will then reduce. This is likely to be beneficial, as the accumulation of shingle on the North Point is a problem at present, blocking the navigation channel at the mouth of the Keyhaven River. In the long term it is inevitable that Hurst Point will reduce in volume. Shingle which is at present recycled from the North Point to Hurst Spit could then be efficiently recycled to Hurst Point, to alleviate starvation in this area. In the mean time the excess material from the North Point will be recycled onto the Castle beaches to mitigate the effects of the proposed rock groyne. The proposed plan shape of the revetment around the castle takes into consideration the possibility of shingle starvation at Hurst Point. It is suggested that the eastern end of the revetment is returned parallel with the Castle and is buried in the beach, when it is eventually constructed by English Heritage. 6.5.2 Environmental Impact Assessment Although and EIA is not a specific requirement for a production licence application it was clear that, because of the nature of this scheme, the Government View Procedure would demand one. An EIA was also considered necessary because of the environmental sensitivity of the Spit itself and of its surrounding area. Accordingly, in February 1992, Wimpey Environmental Ltd were commissioned to undertake an Impact Assessment with the following terms of reference to: (i) Review the existing environmental information available (ii) Examine the potential environmental consequences of extracting shingle form the Shingles Bank (iii) Examine the environmental consequences of the Spit and its surrounding area of carrying out beach recharge and construction of the various rock structures (iv) Identify areas of poor or non existent knowledge, and make recommendations for further investigation A copy of the EIA, bound separately, forms part of this application. 6.5.3 Integration with the Shoreline Management Plan Although the Shoreline Management Plan (SMP) for Poole and Christchurch Bays (cell 5f) has not yet been formally drawn up, this scheme has been designed with due consideration to the expected outcome of the plan. Key issues which might arise from the plan have been clearly addressed with respect to sediment transport, nature conservation and the built environment. The scheme design draws heavily on the results of a long term coastal monitoring programme and a clear understanding of the regional coastal processes. As the scheme is located at the down drift end of a very clear sediment transport drift divide, at the cell boundary, the effects of the scheme have already been relatively easy to assess. The scheme provides for a beach management plan which will form part of the SMP for Poole and Christchurch Bays and which will integrate with the SMP for adjoining subcell 5b & 5c (the Western Solent and Southampton Water). The comprehensive environmental assessment includes consultation with all organizations which might normally be consulted in preparation of an SMP and there is unaminous agreement that the preferred beach recharge option is the most appropriate course of action at this site.
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