Chapter Three Applying the Supplyand-Demand Model Topics To Be Covered How the shapes of demand and supply curves matter? Sensitivity of quantity demanded to price. Sensitivity of quantity supplied to price. Long run versus short run Effects of a sales tax. © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-2 How shapes of demand and supply matter? The shapes of the demand and supply curves determine by how much a shock affects the equilibrium price and quantity. Example: processed pork (same as Chapter 2) Supply depends on the price of pork and the price of hogs. © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-3 1 Figure 3.1 How the Effect of a Supply Shock Depends on the Shape of the Demand Curve 3.55 3.30 D1 A $0.25 increase in the price of pork causes the supply of pork to shift to the left. e2 e1 S2 A $0.25 increase in the price of pork causes the supply of pork to shift to the left (b) p, $ per kg (a) p, $ per kg This shift of the supply curve causes a movement along the demand curve… 3.675 3.30 176 e2 e1 S2 S1 S1 0 D2 0 215220 Q, Million kg of pork per year and a reduction in quantity. 220 176 Q, Million kg of pork per year But equilibrium quantity does not change since consumption is not sensitive to price 3-4 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Figure 3.1 How the Effect of a Supply Shock Depends on the Shape of the Demand Curve (cont’d) a shift in the supply curve to S2… has no effect on the equilibrium price and a substantial effect on the quantity (c) p, $ per kg When demand is very sensitive to price… 3.30 D3 e2 e1 S2 S1 0 176 205 220 Q, Million kg of pork per year © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-5 Sensitivity of quantity demanded to price. Elasticity – the percentage change in a variable in response to a given percentage change in another variable. Price elasticity of demand (ε) – the percentage change in the quantity demanded in response to a given percentage change in the price. © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-6 2 Sensitivity of quantity demanded to price (cont). Formally, ΔQ %ΔQ Q ΔQ p ε= = = %Δp Δp Δp Q p where Δ indicates change. Example If a 1% increase in price results in a 3% decrease in quantity demanded, the elasticity of demand is ε = 3%/1% = -3. 3-7 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Sensitivity of quantity demanded to price (cont). Along linear demand curve with a function of: Q = a − bp Where -b is the slope or −b = ΔQ Δp the elasticity of demand is ε= ΔQ p p = −b Δp Q Q (3.3) © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-8 Sensitivity of quantity demanded to price: Example. The estimated linear demand function for pork is: Q = 286 -20p where Q is the quantity of pork demanded in million kg per year and p is the price of pork in $ per year. At the equilibrium point of p = $3.30 and Q = 220 the elasticity of demand for pork is ε = −b p 3.30 = −20 × = −0.3 Q 220 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-9 3 Elasticity: An Application and a practice problem Varian (2002) found that the price elasticity of demand for internet use was -2.0 for those who used a 128 Kbps service -2.9 for those who used a 64 Kbps service. Practice problem: A 1% increase in the price per minute reduced the connection time by ________ for those with high speed access, and by _______ for those with slow phone line access. 3-10 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Elasticity Along a Demand Curve The elasticity of demand varies along most demand curves. Along a downward-sloping linear demand curve the elasticity of demand is a more negative number the higher the price is. 3-11 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. p, $ per kg Figure 3.2 Elasticity Along the Pork Demand Curve a/b = 14.30 11.44 Perfectly elastic Q = 286 -20p p 3.30 = -20 x 11.44= -0.3 220 = -4 Q 57.2 ε = -b Elastic ε < –1 ε = –4 D a/(2b) = 7.15 Unitary: ε = -1 3.30 0 Inelastic 0 > ε > –1 ε = –0.3 a/5 = 57.2 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. a/2 = 143 Perfectly inelastic 220 a = 286 Q, Million kg of pork per year 3-12 4 Elasticity Along The Demand Curve: Practice Problem According to Agcaoli-Sombilla (1991), the elasticity of demand for rice is -0.47 in Austria; -0.8 in Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, and Thailand; -0.25 in Japan; -0.55 in the EU and the US; and -0.15 in Vietnam. In which countries is the demand for rice inelastic? y In all the countries, since in all cases ε > -1. In which country is the least elastic? y In Vietnam, where ε = -0.15 3-13 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. (a) Perfectly Elastic Demand (b) Perfectly Inelastic Demand (c) Individual’s Demand for Insulin p, Price per unit p, Price per unit p, Price of insulin dose Figure 3.3 Vertical and Horizontal Demand Curves p* Q, Units per time period Q* p* Q, Units per time period Q* Q, Insulin doses per day © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-14 Sensitivity of quantity demanded to income. Formally, ΔQ %ΔQ Q ΔQ Y = = ξ= %ΔY ΔY ΔY Q Y where Y stands for income. Example If a 1% increase in income results in a 3% decrease in quantity demanded, the income elasticity of demand is ξ = -3%/1% = -3. © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-15 5 Sensitivity of quantity demanded to price: Example. The estimated demand function for pork is: Q = 171 – 20p + 20pb + 3pc + 2Y where p is the price of pork, pb is the price of beef, pc is the price of chicken and Y is the income (in thousands of dollars). Question: what would be the income elasticity of demand for Pork if Q = 220 and Y = 12.5 Answer: y Since ΔQ = 2, then ΔY ΔQ Y Y ⎛ 12.5 ⎞ ξ= = 2 = 2⎜ ⎟ ≈ 0.114 ΔY Q Q ⎝ 220 ⎠ © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-16 Sensitivity of quantity demanded to the price of a related good. Formally, ΔQ ΔQ po %ΔQ Q = = Δ p Δpo Q %Δpo o po where Po stands for price of another good. Example If a 1% increase in the price of a related good results in a 3% decrease in quantity demanded, the cross-price elasticity of demand is = -3%/1% = -3. © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-17 Sensitivity of quantity demanded to the price of a related good. If the cross-price elasticity is positive, the goods are substitutes. Question: can you think of any examples of two goods that are substitutes? y Roses and carnations. If the cross-price elasticity is negative, the goods are complements Question: can you think of any examples of two goods that are complements? y Peanut butter and jelly © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-18 6 Sensitivity of quantity demanded to price: Example. Again, the estimated demand function for pork is: Q = 171 – 20p + 20pb + 3pc + 2Y Question: what would be the cross-price elasticity between the price of beef and the quantity of pork if Q = 220 and pb = $4? Answer: y Since ΔQ = 20, then Δpb p ΔQ pb ⎛ 4 ⎞ = 20 b = 20⎜ ⎟ ≈ 0.364 Δpb Q Q ⎝ 220 ⎠ © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-19 Sensitivity of quantity supplied to price. Formally, ΔQ %ΔQ Q ΔQ p η= = = %Δp Δp Δp Q p where Q indicates quantity supplied. Example If a 1% increase in price results in a 3% decrease in quantity demanded, the elasticity of supplied is η = - 3%/1% = -3. © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-20 Sensitivity of quantity demanded to price: Example. The estimated linear supply function for pork is: Q = 88 - 40p where Q is the quantity of pork supplied in million kg per year and p is the price of pork in $ per year. At the equilibrium, where p = $3.30 and Q = 220, the elasticity of supplied is: η= ΔQ P 3.30 = 40 × = 0.6 Δp Q 220 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-21 7 Sensitivity of quantity supplied to price (cont). Along linear supply curve with a function of: Q = g − hp Where -b is the slope or h= ΔQ Δp the elasticity of demand is η= ΔQ p p =h Δp Q Q © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-22 Figure 3.4 Elasticity Along the Pork Supply Curve © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-23 Demand Elasticities Over Time Elasticities tend to be larger in the longrun. Can you think why? y In the case of demand: – Substitution and storage opportunities. y In the case of supply: – Converting fixed inputs into variable inputs. © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-24 8 Solved Problem 3.1 What would be the effect of ANWR production on the world price of oil given that ε = –0.4,η = 0.3, the pre-ANWR daily world production of oil is Q1 = 82 million barrels per day, the preANWR world price is p1 = $100 per barrel, and daily ANWR production would be 0.8 million barrels per day? For simplicity, assume that the supply and demand curves are linear and that the introduction of ANWR oil would cause a parallel shift in the world supply curve to the right by 0.8 million barrels per day. © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-25 Solved Problem 3.1 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-26 Effects of a Sales Tax 1. What effect does a sales tax have on equilibrium prices and quantity? 2. Is it true, as many people claim, that taxes assessed on producers are passed along to consumers? 3. Do the equilibrium price and quantity depend on whether the tax is assessed on consumers or on producers? © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-27 9 Two Types of Sales Taxes Ad valorem tax - for every dollar the consumer spends, the government keeps a fraction, α, which is the ad valorem tax rate. Unit tax - where a specified dollar amount, τ, is collected per unit of output. 3-28 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Figure 3.5 Effect of a $1.05 Specific Tax on the Pork Market Collected from Producers A tax on producers shifts the supply curve downward by the amount of the tax (τ = $1.05)…. which causes the market price to increase… p, $ per kg S2 e2 τ = $1.05 S1 p2 = 4.00 e1 p3 = 3.30 p2 – τ = 2.95 After the tax, T = $216.3 million 0 176 D Q2 = 206 Q1 = 220 buyers are worse off by $0.70 ($4.00 - $3.30)… sellers are worse off by $0.35 ($3.30 - $2.95) and the government collects $216.3 in revenue. Q, Million kg of pork per year © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-29 How Specific Tax Effects Depend on Elasticities. The government raises the tax from zero to τ, so the change in the tax is Δτ =τ – 0 = τ. The price buyers pay increases by: ⎛ η ⎞ Δp = ⎜⎜ ⎟⎟Δτ ⎝η − ε ⎠ If ε = -0.3 and η = 0.6, a change of a tax of Δτ = $1.05 causes the price buyers pay to rise by ⎛ η ⎞ 0.6 Δp = ⎜⎜ ⎟⎟Δτ = 0.6 − [−0.3] × $1.05 = $0.70 ⎝η − ε ⎠ © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-30 10 Solved Problem 3.2 If the supply curve is perfectly elastic and demand is linear and downward sloping, what is the effect of a $1 specific tax collected from producers on equilibrium price and quantity, and what is the incidence on consumers? Why? 3-31 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Solved Problem 3.2 3-32 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. p, $ per kg Figure 3.6 Effect of a $1.05 Specific Tax on Pork Collected from Consumers but the new equilibrium is the same as when the tax is applied to suppliers e2 p = 4.00 Wedge, τ = $1.05 S e2 p = 3.30 T = $216.3 million p2 – τ = 2.95 τ = $1.05 D1 The tax shifts the demand curve down by τ = $1.05… 0 176 Q2 = 206 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. D2 Q1 = 220 Q, Million kg of pork per year 3-33 11 Figure 3.7 Comparison of an Ad Valorem and a Specific Tax on Pork © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-34 Solved Problem 3.3 If the short-run supply curve for fresh fruit is perfectly inelastic and the demand curve is a downward-sloping straight line, what is the effect of an ad valorem tax on equilibrium price and quantity, and what is the incidence on consumers? Why? © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-35 Solved Problem 3.3 © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 3-36 12
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