Ecological Applications, 26(6), 2016, pp. 1854–1867 © 2016 by the Ecological Society of America Threshold effect of habitat loss on bat richness in cerrado-forest landscapes Renata L. Muylaert,1,3 Richard D. Stevens,2 and Milton C. Ribeiro1 1 Department 2 of Ecology, Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP), 24A Av., 1515, 13506-900, Rio Claro, Brazil Department of Natural Resources Management, Museum of Texas Tech University, Lubbock, Texas 79409 USA Abstract. Understanding how animal groups respond to contemporary habitat loss and fragmentation is essential for development of strategies for species conservation. Until now, there has been no consensus about how landscape degradation affects the diversity and distribution of Neotropical bats. Some studies demonstrate population declines and species loss in impacted areas, although the magnitude and generality of these effects on bat community structure are unclear. Empirical fragmentation thresholds predict an accentuated drop in biodiversity, and species richness in particular, when less than 30% of the original amount of habitat in the landscape remains. In this study, we tested whether bat species richness demonstrates this threshold response, based on 48 sites distributed across 12 landscapes with 9–88% remaining forest in Brazilian cerrado-forest formations. We also examined the degree to which abundance was similarly affected within four different feeding guilds. The threshold value for richness, below which bat diversity declines precipitously, was estimated at 47% of remaining forest. To verify if the response of bat abundance to habitat loss differed among feeding guilds, we used a model selection approach based on Akaike’s information criterion. Models accounted for the amount of riparian forest, semideciduous forest, cerrado, tree plantations, secondary forest, and the total amount of forest in the landscape. We demonstrate a nonlinear effect of the contribution of tree plantations to frugivores, and a positive effect of the amount of cerrado to nectarivores and animalivores, the groups that responded most to decreases in amount of forest. We suggest that bat assemblages in interior Atlantic Forest and cerrado regions of southeastern Brazil are impoverished, since we found lower richness and abundance of different groups in landscapes with lower amounts of forest. The relatively higher threshold value of 47% suggests that bat communities have a relatively lower resistance to habitat degradation than other animal groups. Accordingly, conservation and restoration strategies should focus on increasing the amount of native vegetation of landscapes so as to enhance species richness of bats. Key words: cerrado; Chiroptera; conservation; environmental gradient; fragmentation threshold; habitat amount; interior Atlantic Forest; landscape resilience. Introduction Changes in landscape attributes such as the amount of forest cover can alter species composition (Fahrig 2013, Dirzo et al. 2014) and are thought to be relevant to the maintenance of biodiversity and integrity of ecological processes. Moreover, species can respond idiosyncratically to anthropogenic impacts. Thus, to better conserve or restore particular aspects of the contemporary biota, it is imperative to determine which species in different taxonomic groups most respond to anthropogenic alterations and how they persist in fragmented environments (Sutherland et al. 2013). Information about ecological aspects such as community structure and species’ responses to landscape changes (Banks-Leite Manuscript received 1 October 2015; revised 29 December 2015; accepted 1 January 2016; final version received 19 February 2016. Corresponding Editor: J. Goheen. 3 E-mail: [email protected] et al. 2014) can be obtained through examination of response curves to landscape characteristics, which are not always linear (Fahrig 2003). Based on such information, it may be possible to develop more efficient conservation strategies. Knowledge of effects of anthropogenic impacts on the contemporary biota has direct implications to defining strategies of landscape management for conservation and habitat restoration (Rodrigues et al. 2009, Tambosi et al. 2013). Variation in habitat diversity, connectivity, and total amount of habitat have direct effects on species distribution and diversity within heterogeneous landscapes (Estavillo et al. 2013). However, among these different landscape properties, quantity of remaining habitat is claimed to be the characteristic that best explains ecological responses related to ecosystem functions for many organisms (Fahrig 2013). Often there are threshold responses describing the relationship between amount of habitat and other biological 1854 September 2016 BAT RICHNESS DECLINES WITH FRAGMENTATION variables, such as number of species or community composition (Fahrig 2002, Banks-Leite et al. 2014), whereby precipitous changes occur beyond a certain level of reduction of habitat. Different types of habitat are used by Neotropical bats, and several highly mobile species may persist in fragmented landscapes because of such heterogeneity (Bernard and Fenton 2003, Montiel et al. 2006, Meyer et al. 2008). Some species can traverse such heterogeneity and benefit from anthropogenically modified habitats around fragments of native vegetation (Fahrig and Merriam 1985, Cisneros et al. 2014). However, there is no consensus about the influence of landscape structure and habitat fragmentation on assemblage characteristics of Neotropical bats, such as species richness or composition. In fact, studies have recorded positive effects (Medellín et al. 2000, García-Morales et al. 2013), negative effects (Fenton et al. 1992, Brosset et al. 1996), or even an absence of significant effects (Bernard and Fenton 2007) of landscape structure and fragmentation on characteristics of biodiversity. Such inconsistency among studies (Cunto and Bernard 2012, García-García et al. 2014) precludes the generalization of a common pattern of bat responses to habitat loss. Moreover, studies in different regions have demonstrated population decline, species loss, and turnover in impacted areas, although the magnitude of these effects on community structure is highly variable (Brosset et al. 1996, Jones et al. 2003, Safi and Kerth 2004, García-Morales et al. 2013). Despite this, bats represent a promising group for study of responses to fragmentation, due to their diversity, high abundance, and relative sampling ease (Medellín et al. 2000). Among bats that exhibit the greatest response to landscape change, the guild of gleaning animalivores (e.g., Phylostominae) seems to be highly edge-sensitive, and responds negatively to disturbance and forest fragmentation (Fenton et al. 1992, Medellín et al. 2000, Meyer et al. 2008, Farneda et al. 2015). Such a pattern may not be broadly pervasive, since a positive and significant association with edge density was found for bats in Peruvian Amazonia (Klingbeil and Willig 2009). However, those results also deserve a cautious interpretation since the broad context of the studied area (Iquitos, Peru) was that of recent fragmentation embedded in a large block of continuous forest. Larger regional landscapes that are highly fragmented and that have been affected for a long period may not exhibit the same kinds of patterns as systems that have been recently fragmented or are embedded in a larger region of continuous forest. For this reason it is necessary to better understand responses of phyllostomine bats to a variety of landscape attributes. Considering that fragmentation and loss of natural habitats can lead to irreversible changes in biodiversity and species interactions (Chapin et al. 2000), the concept of fragmentation thresholds may be helpful to inform conservation initiatives. Thresholds arise when “small 1855 changes in an environmental driver produce large responses in the ecosystem” (Groffman et al. 2006). Thus, a fragmentation threshold is a breaking point below which effects of reductions in amount of habitat become more exaggerated than above the threshold (Huggett 2005). For example, the abundance of birds and non- flying mammals is more affected by changes in landscapes with less than 30% of the amount of habitat (Andrén 1994, Banks- Leite et al. 2014) than those occurring in landscapes above this threshold, probably due to effects of isolation or lower resource availability in areas of high fragmentation (Andrén 1994, Pardini et al. 2010). This breaking point is referred to as Andrén’s fragmentation threshold (Pardini et al. 2010). Identifying whether there are fragmentation thresholds for other animal groups, such as bats, is fundamental to better understand ecosystems in a fragmented world, where conservation decisions often are influenced by existing habitat characteristics (Huggett 2005). Substantial differences in bat species composition between heterogeneous forested habitats and adjacent non-forested areas such as pastures and forest edges have been observed in many systems (Estrada et al. 1993, Swihart et al. 2006, Medina et al. 2007). Furthermore, bats use different landscape elements to facilitate movement while they forage (e.g., Fahrig and Merriam 1985), but they may actually live in forests more frequently than in other landscape elements (Estrada et al. 1993, Bernard and Fenton 2003). This reinforces the potential for a fragmentation threshold, with higher bat species richness in areas of higher amounts of habitat, with an expected abrupt decrease in richness below a certain amount of habitat. Here, we evaluated whether there was a threshold of bat species richness as a function of habitat loss. Then, we investigated the relative contributions of quantity of different habitat types in the landscape to bat abundance (i.e., total number of individuals) within feeding guilds. In particular, we were interested in whether accounting for individual habitat types was as effective as using just total amount of habitat when trying to explain abundance within guilds of frugivores, nectarivores, animalivores, and sanguivores. We predicted that: (1) there is a threshold effect on richness as a function of amount of habitat, and (2) different bat guilds will respond differently to variation in amounts of different habitat types within fragmented landscapes. We expected a threshold model would best explain the relationship between percentage of forest and richness of bats than linear or additive models (Fig. 1). We also expected that frugivore abundance would be best explained by multiple habitat types, and to exhibit a hump- shaped pattern, with increasing abundances at intermediate levels of total amount of habitat, probably related to higher amounts of edge in the landscape (Fahrig 2003, Bolívar-Cimé et al. 2013). We expected that abundances of nectarivores and animalivores would be better explained by amount of native habitat, since these 1856 RENATA L. MUYLAERT ET AL. Ecological Applications Vol. 26, No. 6 Fig. 1. Working hypotheses for bat diversity in response to the amount of forest within fragmented landscapes of southeastern Brazil. bats roost in these areas and seem to be more sensitive to habitat loss (Meyer et al. 2008). We expected that sanguivore (Desmodus rotundus) abundance would not be affected by amount of native habitat since this species is common in both disturbed and forested areas (Fenton et al. 1992). Methods Study area We adopted the term “cerrado” as the set of forestl ike savannah formations together with riparian forests and other forest physiognomies, such as semideciduous interior Atlantic Forest (Coutinho 2006). The Cerrado, the second largest Brazilian ecoregion and one of world’s conservation hotspots (Ratter et al. 1997), is a highly human-modified ecoregion, being restricted to less than 1% of its original area in São Paulo State (Kronka et al. 2005). As a consequence of anthropogenic activity, biodiversity of cerrado is highly threatened; only 20% of its natural areas in Brazil remain undisturbed, and only 1.2% is within protected areas (Myers et al. 2000). Landscape selection and calculation of amount of habitat The study region is composed of a distributed network of very small patches (Durigan et al. 2004). More than 80% of patches are less than 50 ha (Ribeiro et al. 2009). Nonetheless, the region also harbors the largest protected area of cerrado in the state of São Paulo, located at the Jataí Ecological Station (21°33′ S, 47°45′ W), with ~9000 ha. Therefore, we had a wide range of habitat patch sizes available for our study. We selected 15 circular 2.5 km radius landscapes along a gradient from 9% to 88% remaining amount of forest (Table S1, Fig. 2) centered at the sampling sites’ centroid. We selected four control landscapes (areas 8, 10, 13, and 14), that were located in two protected areas: the Jataí Ecological Station and Porto-Ferreira State Park. These control areas were selected because they were protected areas and because they were composed of predominantly remnant forest cerrado (cerradão). The surrounding areas around all sampled landscapes included mostly sugarcane plantations, but also forestry (Eucalyptus spp. and Pinus sp.), and less frequently fruit crops (Citrus sp.), cattle pastures, dams, and urban areas. The region harbors different vegetation September 2016 BAT RICHNESS DECLINES WITH FRAGMENTATION 1857 Fig. 2. Spatial distribution of 15 landscapes with the scales represented as buffers with dimensions of 2.5, 2, and 1 km in southeastern Brazil. Green areas are vegetation patches, and the percent of forest coverage is at the upper left of each landscape. The geographic coordinates of the centroids are presented in S1. Coordinates are in UTM. formations, mostly cerradão forests (a woodland cerrado, Coutinho 1978), semideciduous forests, and riparian forests. The study landscapes were centered on cerradão fragments. The climate is tropical of central Brazil (Cwa according to Köppen classification) and the studied locations are in the subtropical moist forest life zone according to the Holdridge classification (Holdridge 1947). Mean temperatures of sampled sites are reported in Table S1. The region has two defined seasons, one hot and rainy from October to mid- April, and the other cold and dry, between April and mid-September. We used forest cover as a surrogate for amount of habitat, hereafter amount of forest. Amount of forest is a measure of landscape composition, where the total quantity of remaining forested vegetation is estimated, irrespective of other landscape characteristics (quantity of different habitats, size and distribution of fragments, amount or shape of edge). Here, we used amount of forest to inversely represent amount of landscape degradation and habitat loss by anthropogenic impacts: the higher the amount of forest in a landscape, the lower the landscape degradation (Fahrig 2003). Using a vegetation cover map, amount of forest was estimated for each landscape and divided by the area within the buffer. Metrics were calculated using Quantum GIS 2.0.1 (QGIS Development Team 2014). We also characterized amount of different vegetation classes in each buffer. A land cover map was derived from a georeferenced Landsat satellite image (acquired in 2010, spatial resolution of 30 m, cloud free). Our landscape classification procedure followed three steps: (1) identification of vegetation types according to the map of remaining vegetation of São Paulo State (resolution of 30 m, Kronka et al. 2005); (2) map editing; and (3) field validation. Map editing used high-resolution (1 m) images available from Google Earth via the Open Layer plug-in in QGIS 2.0.1 (cartographic data from 2013; QGIS Development Team 2014), where different vegetation types were classified. The working scale using Open Layer was set to 1:8,000. Field validation consisted of visits to all sampling sites during the day, marking points with the real land cover type in situ, and then confirming the mapped areas classification. Vegetation classes used for analysis were: native vegetation (sum of cerrado, secondary, semideciduous, and riparian forest), cerrado, semideciduous forest, riparian forest, tree plantations (mainly Eucalyptus spp.), and matrix (open anthropogenic areas, such as sugarcane, pasture, and agriculture). 1858 RENATA L. MUYLAERT ET AL. Sampling of bat diversity We conducted the fieldwork under research permits granted by the Chico Mendes Institute for Conservation and Biodiversity (SISBIO 31163-1, 35901-1), São Paulo Forest Institute (IF/COTEC 260108-007.043 for sampling in protected areas), São Paulo State University (Ethics Commitee) and Campus Administration of the Federal University of São Carlos (022/07 DISG/PU). For the capture and handling of bats we followed the Guidelines of the American Society of Mammalogists (Sikes et al. 2011). Bats were identified to the species level in the field using a combination of taxonomic keys (Vizotto and Taddei 1973, Gardner 2008). Vouchers were deposited in the mammal collection coordinated by Adriano Peracchi (Federal University of Rio de Janeiro UFRRJ). In each landscape we sampled four points in similar types of habitat patches (mosaic-level sampling sensu Bennett et al. 2006). Two points were sampled in winter (2012) and two in summer (2013). Within each landscape, sampling points were separated by at least 50 m (mean = 287 ± 107 m). In each season one sampling point was set inside the cerrado patch and the other was set at the nearest edge in contact with a sugarcane matrix (Plate S1). We chose sampling points based on vegetation structure, always preferring to set nets on trails close to denser cerrado formations (with canopy height higher than 7 m; sensu Ribeiro and Walter 2008). We estimated canopy height for each sampling point with telescopic sticks (8 m). Edge nets were also set based on vegetation structure and deployed 1 m from the boundary of native vegetation. We conducted five capture nights per landscape (three nights in summer, two in winter). In each sampling night we deployed 12 mist nets (model 716/7P, 12 × 3 m; denier 70/2, mesh 16 × 16 mm; Ecotone, Gdynia, Poland) that remained open for 6 h from sunset, the period when Neotropical bats are more active (Aguiar and Marinho-Filho 2004). We did not sample on nights with full moons or heavy rains because Neotropical bats can exhibit lunar-phobia (Mello et al. 2013) or cease activity during rain (Thies et al. 2006). Sampling effort was calculated by multiplying the area and total time mist nets were open (Straube and Bianconi 2002). We did not consider differences in species- capture probabilities. Although mist nets are selective for phyllostomids (Kunz and Parsons 2009), the capture of insectivorous bats from other families is facilitated in Cerrado due to its simplified vertical structure (Aguirre 2002, Zortéa and Alho 2008). We included all bats captured when determining species richness. To assess differences between captures in rainy and dry season, we performed a paired t test (Zar 1999). Data analyses All sites were sampled with the same effort. Sample completeness and nestedness allowed us to estimate sampling bias of particular landscapes in terms of estimates of species richness. Differences between rare and common Ecological Applications Vol. 26, No. 6 taxa in terms of abundance can translate into methodological difficulties in determining species richness when samples are not represented by the same number of individuals, even when equal effort is employed for each sample (Gotelli and Colwell 2001). Samples from areas of high species richness may have low sample completeness but not necessarily compromise assessments of patterns of species richness. As long as rank order among sites is maintained, such a sampling effect will only make comparisons conservative. In nested assemblages, those sites whose estimate of species richness is compromised by a sampling bias will fall out toward the bottom of the ranked nested-matrix (Blüthgen 2010). To better identify landscapes in which the estimate of species richness may have been affected by sampling bias we used a combination of completeness and nestedness. Thus, for the analysis involving Andrén’s fragmentation threshold, we excluded landscapes that had a sample completeness of less than 75% and fell in the lower half of the ranked nested matrix. We determined sample completeness (Magurran 2004) in the studied landscapes (Table S1, Fig. S1) by dividing observed species richness from sampling by the mean of the first and second order jackknife species richness estimates. We used the NODF index (Fig. S2, Almeida-Neto et al. 2008) to examine assemblage nestedness using the software ANINHADO (Guimarães and Guimarães 2006) with nestedness significance calculated by Monte Carlo simulations (999). Based on these criteria, we excluded sites 7, 9, and 15 in the test of Andrén’s fragmentation threshold. Scale selection Scale dependence can affect the response of animal abundance to landscape characteristics (Fortin and Dale 2005). Because of differential mobility, different guilds can respond to landscape characteristics measured at different scales (Gorresen et al. 2005, Avila-Cabadilla et al. 2012). We used a scale-selection procedure to choose the best scales of response for each dependent variable as a function of the total amount of forest and the other vegetation classes. Here, we define scale as the spatial extent of a measured landscape (buffer size), and use this as a surrogate for extent of realized dispersal by bats within that area (Wu and Hobbs 2007). For scale selection, a total of seven models were analyzed per spatial scale and per response variable (null model, 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2, 2.5, 5 km). Before model fitting and scale selection we conducted a correlation analyses between all landscape variables to check for between-scale collinearity. Landscape variables included in scale selection were not strongly correlated for a particular scale (with Pearson’s r < 0.7; Zuur et al. 2009). This was not the case for the same variable at different scales. For example total amount of cerrado measured at 0.5 km is correlated with total amount of cerrado at 1 km. Thus, we corrected for this effect by reducing collinearity of the same metric at different scales. To reduce collinearity, we recasted each variable as a linear combination of September 2016 BAT RICHNESS DECLINES WITH FRAGMENTATION the other scales for the same variable (Zuur et al. 2009). We did not apply any transformation to the data set for predictor variables or for abundance. We used multivariate model selection with generalized additive models (GAM) with smoothness selection (Hastie 2013). As response variables were counts, we modeled errors as Poisson distributed with a log-link function. Estimating richness thresholds related to amount of forest To examine a response to fragmentation, we used species richness as the dependent variable and total amount of forest as the independent variable. We used data on amount of forest at a 2 km spatial scale to conduct model selection. The model selection procedure contrasted four types of models: linear, piecewise, forest + abundance, and null (Fig. 1). We also constructed generalized additive models whereby different classes of vegetation were independent variables and species richness was the dependent variable. We used piecewise regression to evaluate Andrén’s (1994) fragmentation threshold. Piecewise regression models use more than one line to fit data, and use a break point to unite regression lines (Toms and Lesperance 2003). In our case, the break point represents a fragmentation threshold whereby further reductions in amount of forest translate into precipitous declines in bat species richness. We conducted a piecewise regression based on a generalized linear model using an iterative fitting procedure to estimate model parameters (Muggeo 2003). Values of parameters are fitted repeatedly until estimates lead to the maximum likelihood. We used the R language (R Development Core Team 2014) and the packages bbmle (Bolker and R Development Core Team 2014) and gam (Hastie 2013). Standard errors (SEs) and confidence intervals (CIs) of break points were obtained by the package segmented (Muggeo 2014). We identified the most plausible models primarily considering model weights (wi; but report ΔAICc), selection frequencies (πi), and R2. Contribution of different habitat types to bat abundance within feeding guilds In the Neotropics, mist nets primarily capture phy llostomid bats. Therefore, we analyzed only the following feeding guilds (adapted from Gardner 1977): frugivores, animalivores (subfamily Phyllostominae), nectarivores, and sanguivores. We used total number of captures as a surrogate for bat abundance within feeding guilds. For frugivorous, nectarivorous, and animalivorous bats, we used a 1-km scale and for sanguivores we used the 2.5-km scale when analyzing effects of amounts of different vegetation classes. We chose those scales because they were the most plausible scales for explaining abundance of those feeding guilds (Table S2). Eight models were constructed to examine if amount of individual vegetation classes (their proportion), or their summed values (amount of forest) better explained 1859 abundance within each guild (i.e., the total number of individuals of that guild irrespective of species affiliation). Explanatory variables included in each model were amount of each vegetation class that potentially affected abundance within guilds: cerrado, riparian forest, semideciduous forest, tree plantations, secondary forest, native vegetation, amount of forest, and the null model. The null model represented a model of no effect, consisting of a random number sequence as the explanatory variable. The total amount of forest model represents a scenario where abundance is influenced primarily by total forest amount, irrespective of the composition of different habitat types giving rise to that total. The best single-habitat predictor of bat abundance within guilds was the amount of cerrado (Fig. S3; see Pearson’s correlation among habitat types and amount of forest). We used those types of habitat that did not exhibit high collinearity in the analysis, with the exception of cerrado and native forest. Thus, we constructed 32 models (eight models for each of four guilds). We selected models based on the Akaike’s information criterion corrected for small sample sizes (AICc; Burnham and Anderson 2002). As abundance within guilds may exhibit nonlinear responses to landscape attributes (Suarez- Rubio et al. 2013), we applied generalized additive models assuming a Poisson distributed error term. We consider as best models those with the best predictive accuracy according to AICc weights (evidence strength) of the plausible models selected (ΔAICc = 0), which were based on restricted maximum likelihood estimates. To verify prediction strength, we used selection frequencies (πi, Burnham and Anderson 2002) assessed with data sets bootstrapped 10 ,000 times. The πi values are sums of the number of times each model was selected as the most plausible, divided by 10, 000. Model validation and spatial autocorrelation Plausible models were validated with residual analysis, verifying homogeneity and normality of regression residuals. We selected landscapes distant from each other to minimize spatial autocorrelation. To verify if there was significant spatial autocorrelation we followed Fortin and Dale (2005) using the Pearson’s residuals of the plausible models to build a Moran’s I correlogram and test significance of spatial autocorrelation using 10, 000 permutations and a 5% threshold for significance. These analyses were conducted using SAM 4.0 (Rangel et al. 2010). Significant autocorrelation was not detected in model residuals; thus we did not include additional model terms to account for it. Results Andrén’s fragmentation threshold We employed a total effort of 162 ,000 m2/h resulting in 1,482 captures from 31 species. Ninety-two percent 1860 RENATA L. MUYLAERT ET AL. (n = 1,362) of captures were phyllostomids (19 species, Table S3). Most sites were adequately sampled (i.e., observed richness/estimated richness > 0.75). There were no differences in captures within sites between summer and winter (paired t test: t = −1.87, P = 0.07). Assemblages were significantly nested (NODF = 68.76, P < 0.0001, Table S1, Figure S2). Bats in the Brazilian Cerrado indeed exhibit Andrén’s threshold. Species richness was best explained by total amount of forest (wi = 0.32), with minor positive contributions of amount of cerrado, riparian, and semideciduous forest (Table 1). Of all species recorded, 44% (n = 12) were found only in landscapes above the theoretical threshold (the threshold value, ψ = 30% of habitat, Andrén 1994), whereas four species were found only in areas below the lower level of Andrén’s threshold (10%, Andrén 1994). Of the models presented in Fig. 1 hypothesizing the relationship between species richness and amount of forest, the most plausible was the piecewise model (wi = 0.86, πi = 0.99, Table 2). The estimated threshold was 47.81% of amount of forest (Fig. 3, Table S4). The piecewise model had ΔAICc equal to zero and weight of 0.92, being a better predictor of the relationship between richness and amount of forest than the linear model (ΔAICc = 6.7, wi = 0.03). Null and total forest + abundance models were weak. The piecewise model did not show significant Table 1. Generalized additive models explaining bat richness as a function of amount of different vegetation classes and their respective evidence weight. Model Total forest Cerrado Riparian Semideciduous Secondary Forestry Native Null ΔAICc K wi πi 0 0.7 2 2.1 2.8 3.6 3.6 11.2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 0.32 0.22 0.11 0.11 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.001 0.9987 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0013 Ecological Applications Vol. 26, No. 6 spatial autocorrelation of residuals (Table S5, Fig. S4). Landscapes above the threshold had a median of the total number of species per landscape that was 50% higher than that of landscapes below the threshold (above threshold landscapes = 15 ± 1.32 species, below threshold = 10 ± 1.08 species, means and SE, respectively, Fig. 4). Fig. 3. Piecewise regression model demonstrating that there is a threshold in bat richness as a function of amount of forest. The estimated break-point, is 47% (Pψ = 0.03, SEψ = 7.51) of amount of forest remaining in landscape and is significant at 5% threshold for significance. There is a rapid decline of bat richness after the breaking point. The study was conducted among 12 landscapes in southeastern Brazil. Dashed lines indicate 95% CIs of fitted values. The line at the bottom shows the 95% interval around the estimated breaking point. Notes: The best models (AICc = 0) are in bold and the plausible models (AICc < 2) are in bold and italics. K represents number of estimated parameters, AICc is the corrected Akaike Information Criterion, ΔAICc is the Akaike difference, wi is the Akaike weight, and πi is selection frequency (10 000 bootstraps). Table 2. Models describing the relationship between bat richness in response to amount of forest sampled within 12 landscapes of forest–savanna formations in southeastern Brazil. Model ΔAICc K wi R2 πi Piecewise Linear Habitat + abundance Null 0 6.7 9 17.7 5 4 3 2 0.86 0.08 0.05 <0.001 0.34 0.21 0.22 0.016 0.99 0.01 0 0 Notes: The best model (ΔAICc = 0) is in bold. Model descriptors are the same as in Table 1. Fig. 4. Boxplot with median values and standard errors showing total richness per landscape, divided in above-threshold landscapes and below-predicted threshold landscapes. BAT RICHNESS DECLINES WITH FRAGMENTATION September 2016 Contribution of different habitats types to bat abundance The contribution of different habitat types to variation in bat abundance varied among guilds (Table 3, Fig. 5). For both nectarivorous and animalivorous bats, the best habitat model included amount of cerrado (wi = 0.72 and wi = 0.98, respectively). The response of sanguivores (only represented by Desmodus rotundus) to all habitat types was weak, and the only plausible model included amount of semideciduous forest (wi = 0.45). Frugivorous 1861 bat abundance responded to amount of tree plantations, and the relationship was hump-shaped (wi = 1.00, Fig. S5). Discussion Our results suggest that bats respond precipitously to forest loss. Moreover, different habitat types influenced abundance of bats within guilds differently. This indicates that among bat guilds there are different sensitivities to habitat loss. Andrén’s threshold (1994) was corroborated in the present study, and the amount of Table 3. Generalized additive models describing the relation- available habitat needed to sustain bat diversity is subship between abundance within bat guilds in response to the amount of forest sampled within 15 landscapes of forest- stantially more than for other vertebrates. Different savanna formations in southeastern Brazil. habitat types did not seem to affect richness when considered separately. Instead, what matters for increased wi Model, by response πi ΔAICc bat richness is greater amount of forest within the landvariable (abundance) scape, considering all kinds of habitat represented. and spatial scale 1 km Frugivores Forestry Secondary Cerrado Riparian Total forest Native Semideciduous Null Nectarivores Cerrado Native Total habitat Riparian Semideciduous Forestry Secondary Null Animalivores Cerrado Secondary Semideciduous Native Total forest Riparian Forestry Null 2.5 km Sanguivores Semideciduous Forestry Total forest Cerrado Riparian Native Secondary Null 0 166.2 327.4 342.8 481.6 548.8 692.2 817 1 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.93 0.05 0.01 0.01 0 0 0 0 0 1.9 22.1 227.3 230.9 244.4 258.7 291.4 0.72 0.28 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.36 0.2 0.02 0.33 0.04 0.03 0 0 0 8.3 11.5 12.5 29.3 43.1 51.3 51.6 0.98 0.02 0 0 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.6 0.27 0.01 0 0.04 0.06 0 0 0 3.2 3.9 4.5 6.7 8.2 10.9 13.7 0.66 0.13 0.1 0.07 0.02 0.01 0 <0.001 0.45 0.44 0.05 0.04 0 0.03 0 0 Notes: The best model (ΔAICc = 0) is in bold. See model coefficients in Table S4. Model descriptors are as in Table 1. Richness, amount of forest, and the fragmentation threshold Our calculated threshold of 47% amount of forest needed to maintain richness is above the threshold proposed by Andrén (1994). It is also above the threshold found for other groups. For example, for small mammals, the value was 30% of remaining forest (Estavillo et al. 2013), and was between 30% and 50% for understory birds in Atlantic Forest (Martensen et al. 2012). Other studies have failed to corroborate the threshold hypothesis at all (grassland invertebrates in Parker and MacNally 2002, bird and lizard richness in Lindenmayer et al. 2005). From a community perspective, fragmentation can have a strong influence on persistence of biodiversity and can be a major cause of extinction (Fahrig 2002). Most studies on thresholds in response to habitat loss have been performed on particular taxonomic groups examined in isolation (Andrén 1994), i.e., woodland birds (Radford et al. 2005, Betts et al. 2007). Since the loss of species can be preceded by loss of interactions (Estes et al. 2011), it would be interesting to investigate fragmentation thresholds from the perspective of key ecological processes, by focusing on more inclusive groups such as all pollinators (Aguilar et al. 2006), instead of focusing on specific, narrow taxonomic groups. Given such an approach, consistency of the threshold concept, and mechanisms driving responses to habitat loss could be better understood. The threshold above that proposed by Andrén (1994), is an alarming result since even for bats, a group with high mobility, there is a precipitous decline in species number and abundance in more degraded landscapes. We believe bat assemblages in these landscapes, fragmented for more than 40 years (Durigan et al. 2007), might be impoverished in the number of sensitive species, compared to more-preserved areas. For example, we can contrast our study with that of Zortéa and Alho (2008), conducted in a well preserved cerrado area in the 1862 RENATA L. MUYLAERT ET AL. Ecological Applications Vol. 26, No. 6 Fig. 5. Plausible nonlinear models (GAM) explaining bat abundance within 15 fragmented landscapes in Brazil in a gradient of amount of forest (forestry refers to plantations, often of Eucalyptus spp.). Landscape metrics were measured at a 1-km scale for frugivorous, nectarivorous, and animalivorous bats, and at a 2-km scale for sanguivores bats. The values of significance (threshold for significance at 5%), with P for smooth’s parametric effects, F for smooth’s parametric F test, and R2 are: (A) frugivores P < 0.001, F = 65.73, R2 = 0.42; (B) nectarivores P < 0.001, F = 34.67, R2 = 0.26; (C) Phyllostominae bats P = 0.04, F = 4.07, R2 = 0.33; (D) sanguivore P < 0.001, F = 10.88, R2 = 0.02. center-west of Brazil. In a total of 60 nights of capture, 25 bat species were registered, and eight species were phyllostomines (Zortéa and Alho 2008). In our study we registered only five species of phyllostomine bats, and we sampled more areas (n = 15), with greater effort. We performed 75 capture nights vs. 60 nights and sampled for more hours per night than did Zortéa and Alho (2008). Moreover, among the 16 species of Phyllostominae that could occur in the cerrado domain (Gardner 2008), we only captured five species with our considerable sampling effort. Bat communities in to interior of São Paulo State are impoverished in comparison to well-preserved cerrados. Restoration strategies should seek to increase the amount of habitat in fragmented landscapes, since much of this region presents low or moderate landscape resilience (Tambosi et al. 2013). Meyer et al. (2008) found that habitat loss (reduction in amount of forest) and not fragmentation (increase in the number and change in the distribution of fragments) is the main process after isolation (between fragments) that influences phyllostomid responses on islands. Here, we did not account for other fragmentation effects, since fragmentation per se (i.e., number of patches) was correlated with amount of forest. Our results do highlight September 2016 BAT RICHNESS DECLINES WITH FRAGMENTATION the importance of amount of habitat in explaining bat biodiversity in fragmented landscapes. This agrees with a recent review by Fahrig (2013), who argued that in most studies, the effects of habitat fragmentation per se (i.e., independent of habitat loss) are absent, too weak to be detected, or may only become apparent at low amounts of habitat. This suggests that conservation efforts that solely focus to minimize fragmentation effects for a given amount of habitat may often be inadequate. Moreover, the process of anthropogenic degradation may only proceed in a fashion whereby fragmentation and habitat loss are correlated. It may be unrealistic to model or experiment as if these are two independent effects. For bat conservation efforts, focusing on amount of habitat and the concept of thresholds is a simple and effective means of detecting landscapes that still have considerable conservation value. In addition, landscape composition rather than configuration may be driving biodiversity in these landscapes (sensu Fahrig et al. 2003). Configuration may be more important in low- resilience landscapes, where restoration initiatives would not be worth the effort when compared to moderate-resilience landscapes (Tambosi et al. 2013). Furthermore, high vulnerability to fragmentation in bats is associated primarily with high sensitivity to edge habitats (Meyer et al. 2008). This is a menacing observation since moderately fragmented landscapes present the highest amounts of edge (Fahrig 2003). Relative contributions of different habitat types to abundance within feeding guilds The present study suggests that variation in amount of different habitat types is perceived similarly by animalivores and nectarivores. In contrast, frugivores responded differently to habitat loss in terms of abundance. This emphasizes the role of other aspects of landscape structure such as landscape heterogeneity that may determine bat abundance within particular guilds. Animalivore and nectarivore guilds tend to respond more positively to higher amounts of native vegetation, and not as strongly to forestry and secondary forests (wi values in Table 3). Since heterogeneity seems to be important for the persistence of frugivores, the quality of habitats should be taken into account when protected areas are planned, modified, or created in sugarcane-dominated landscapes. Frugivorous bat abundance was best explained by amount of tree plantations, with higher abundances at intermediate amounts; other models were less plausible. Thus, frugivores may be benefiting from exotic forest plantations such as Eucalyptus spp., which frequently have a native understory with many chiropterochoric plants, such as Cecropia pachystachya, Piper aduncum, and Solanum variabile (Silva et al. 1995, Muylaert et al. 2014, personal observation). This pattern probably is related to higher amounts of edge in landscapes at intermediate levels of forestry or amount of forest (see plot in Figure S4; Fahrig 2003). The persistence of frugivorous 1863 bat species may not be as influenced by amount of native vegetation and this suggests some adaptability to environmental changes, at least over the short term. Nectarivores, being present at all sites, were most strongly affected by cerrado loss (Fig. 5). Despite a tendency of increase of small phytophagous species in more fragmented areas reported by Farneda et al. (2015) in the Amazon, this might not be the case for nectarivorous bats. But it is important to point that Farneda et al. (2015) did not analyze responses of the most common nectarivore species we found in the present study; Glossophaga soricina. Thus, more studies should address responses of nectarivores on different fragmentation contexts. Models were very weak for sanguivores (R2 = 0.01 for the best model), since we mostly captured them in more degraded landscapes, with <10% of semidecidous forest. We suggest that these weak patterns are due to our sample design that prioritized areas mostly surrounded by sugarcane, and not by pasture, where vampire bats tend to be more abundant (del Pietro et al. 1992). We expected that animalivorous bats (subfamily Phyllostominae) would respond positively to large amounts of forest, due to the small home ranges for some species and their characteristic foraging strategies (Cosson et al. 1999). We found these bats in landscapes with low amounts of forest, but even in high-habitat landscapes they exhibited low abundance. Due to the extensive fragmentation of São Paulo state (Durigan et al. 2007), it is possible that rare species have become locally extinct in landscapes with lower levels of forest cover. As phyllostomines were not abundant in this study, and under-sampling could mask effects of habitat loss, we recommend that a broader analysis of response of this group be performed for cerrado and other biomes where information from long-term sampling is available. Whereas many studies have related bat diversity to patch size (Estrada et al.1993, Cosson et al. 1999, Schulze et al. 2000; Faria 2006), ours is novel in that we have confirmed the existence of a fragmentation threshold within a landscape perspective. Studies addressing spatial and temporal processes that affect distribution and abundance of species provide advances in our understanding of ecosystems. Furthermore, observed patterns contribute to amplify our predictive knowledge of consequences of landscape alterations for animal populations (Fortin and Dale 2005). This study corroborates that animalivorous and nectarivorous bats are rarer in disturbed landscapes (see Fenton et al. 1992, Wilson et al. 1996, Medellín et al. 2000), and that these guilds could be good indicators of ecosystem integrity (Rapport 1995). We believe that, together with studies that have been published over the last 20 years (Fenton et al. 1992, Meyer and Kalko 2008, Meyer et al. 2008, García-García et al. 2014, Farneda et al. 2015), we are forming a robust body of evidence about the sensitivity of certain bats to anthropogenic habitat modification in the Neotropics. The presence or persistence of certain bat subfamilies in particular the Phyllostominae likely indicates 1864 RENATA L. MUYLAERT ET AL. ecosystem integrity (Fenton et al. 1992, Brosset et al. 1996 in the Neotropics; and Duchamp and Swihart 2008 in temperate forests). The importance of these animal groups to ecological functions is still unclear, which should further encourage studies on their role in nutrient cycling and energy flow, predation (Boyles et al. 2011), mutualisms (Saldaña- Vázquez 2014), and coexistence (Weber et al. 2011), as well as about their sensitivity and persistence in different habitats (Martensen et al. 2012). Identifying reduced species richness in landscapes with low amounts of habitat can focus conservation strategies by identifying priority areas with major restoration potential. Bats play an interesting role in this sense. They can be sensitive bioindicators (phyllostomine bats and the small nectarivores) as well as effective tools for restoration (frugivores and nectarivores) since they are persistent and very abundant in fragmented landscapes and important seed dispersers and flower pollinators. Our research highlights the effects of habitat loss and landscape composition on a highly abundant and mobile animal group. Native vegetation cover in the landscape, particularly the amount of cerrado was important in explaining response of abundance of the two most sensitive groups of bats to fragmentation: animalivores and nectarivores. We suggest that a threshold relationship of species richness with amount of forest should be more broadly investigated in order to better understand effects of habitat loss on distribution of organisms and also on ecological processes. Moreover, species loss is more dramatic below the threshold level. This does not mean that species loss does not occur in areas with higher amounts of habitat (Mönkkönen and Reunanen 1999). Moreover, even a high threshold point might be underestimating the magnitude of species loss in highly fragmented landscapes. Acknowledgments We thank the colleagues, landowners, reserve guards, and keepers who helped us. M. Nogueira, A. Peracchi, C. Aires, and G. Sabino-Santos Jr helped us with species identification. M. Mello and M. Cortês gave us suggestions for the manuscript. C. Mendes and P. Dodonov helped us with programming. C. Sanches, A. and G. C.de Morais, M. Schaefer, C. Mendes, G. Sabino-Santos Jr, M. Eigenher, V. Kavagutti, P. Rogeri, and many others assisted us in the field. The Unesp, UFSCar, COTEC/IF (S. Aparecida, E. Montilla, and L. Tadeo), and IBAMA provided us with fieldwork infrastructure. The Brazilian Research Council (CNPq RLM 131169/2012- 2, MCR 312045/2013-1) and the São Paulo Research Foundation (Fapesp 2012/04096-0, 2013/18465-0, 2013/50421-2), IDEA WILD, and Ecotone Inc. (“Do Science and Get Support”) funded our study. This is m anuscript number T-9-1275, College of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Texas Tech University. Literature Cited Aguiar, L. M. S., and J. S. Marinho-Filho. 2004. Activity patterns of nine phyllostomid bat species in a fragment of the Atlantic Forest in southeastern Brazil. Revista Brasileira de Zoologia 21:385–390. 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