San Francisco County Industry Growth
and Location Quotients
Q4 -2016
Produced by
Marin Economic Consulting
June 10, 2017
Jon Haveman, Principal
415-336-5705 or [email protected]
Contents
1. Nonfarm Employment
2. Location Quotients: Graphical History
3. Location Quotients: 2-digit NAICS
4. Location Quotients: 3-digit NAICS
5. Location Quotients: 4-digit NAICS
2
4
6
7
8
1. Nonfarm Employment
Figure 1 - 1: Regional Growth Relative to California and the United States
Table 1.1: Total Nonfarm Employment Growth
(Q4 of each year.)
Region
Current
Employment
Year over Year
Change (#)
Over last:
Year 2 Years
San Francisco County
713, 920
24, 921
3.6
Bay Area
3, 833, 026
94, 933
2.5
California
16, 955, 672
350, 859
2.1
Source: BLS, QCEW; Calculations by Marin Economic Consulting
4.4
3.3
2.7
Annual Rate of Growth
Since:
3 Years 5 Years 2010 2000
4.7
3.4
2.8
5.0
3.8
3.0
Jon Haveman, Ph.D. • Marin Economic Consulting
[email protected] • 415-336-5705
4.7
3.6
2.7
1.0
0.4
0.8
1990
0.8
1.0
1.0
Figure 1 - 2: Industry Shares and Growth
Table 1.2: Nonfarm Employment Growth by 2-Digit NAICS Category
(Q4 of each year.)
Region
Current
Employment
Year over Year
Change (#)
Over last:
Year
Ag, For, Fish, & Hunting
140
−2
−1.2
Mining
19
0
1.8
Utilities
297
−11
−3.5
Construction
20, 076
845
4.4
Manufacturing
12, 470
1, 892
17.9
Wholesale Trade
15, 911
1, 182
8.0
Retail Trade
47, 606
−383
−0.8
Trans. & Ware.
17, 401
4, 559
35.5
Information
38, 594
7, 147
22.7
Fin & Ins.
41, 456
2, 512
6.4
RE, Rental, Leasing
14, 139
606
4.5
Prof., Sci, & Tech.
125, 184
3, 633
3.0
Mgmt of Companies
22, 802
216
1.0
Admin, Support, & Waste
42, 237
23
0.1
Educ. Services
27, 033
−607
−2.2
Health Care & Soc. Asst.
72, 591
2, 358
3.4
Arts, Ent., & Rec
15, 277
1, 183
8.4
Accom. & Food Srvcs
81, 891
1, 994
2.5
Other Srvcs
28, 627
1, 026
3.7
Public Admin
30, 240
−3, 231
−9.7
Other
4, 572
−1, 935
−29.7
Source: BLS, QCEW; Calculations by Marin Economic Consulting
2 Years
Annual Rate of Growth
Since:
3 Years 5 Years
2010
−4.3
−10.8
7.2
9.3
8.9
6.1
0.2
23.3
17.2
4.2
3.0
6.2
4.5
3.0
−0.3
3.5
5.3
3.1
1.2
−3.9
3.9
1.1
−4.9
42.4
8.4
9.6
5.5
0.8
15.1
16.3
4.8
2.8
8.2
5.3
3.6
0.8
2.7
4.9
2.4
3.8
−2.9
19.4
−4.9
−15.7
217.6
8.7
7.0
8.8
2.0
10.2
15.2
1.2
4.7
10.1
8.5
5.3
6.5
13.1
2.8
4.0
−5.2
−2.6
15.1
Jon Haveman, Ph.D. • Marin Economic Consulting
[email protected] • 415-336-5705
−9.2
−13.6
407.6
6.7
6.5
7.9
2.3
7.9
16.5
0.9
3.7
11.5
8.7
3.4
6.6
11.3
3.8
3.7
−4.6
−2.3
24.5
2000
1990
−0.9
−4.3
89.8
−0.2
−2.6
0.4
−0.2
−0.8
0.4
−1.3
0.5
3.7
−1.7
0.7
6.2
5.7
1.3
2.0
−0.6
−0.2
−5.3
−2.7
−3.3
32.6
0.5
−2.6
−1.4
−0.3
−1.0
3.9
−1.4
−0.2
3.5
16.9
−0.1
5.5
3.9
2.3
2.2
0.4
−0.4
−3.3
2. Location Quotients: Graphical History
Figure 2 - 1: Prof., Sci, & Tech.
Figure 2 - 2: Accom. & Food Srvcs
Figure 2 - 3: Health Care & Soc. Asst.
Figure 2 - 4: Retail Trade
Jon Haveman, Ph.D. • Marin Economic Consulting
[email protected] • 415-336-5705
Figure 2 - 5: Admin, Support, & Waste
Figure 2 - 6: Fin & Ins.
Figure 2 - 7: Information
Figure 2 - 8: Public Admin
Jon Haveman, Ph.D. • Marin Economic Consulting
[email protected] • 415-336-5705
3. Location Quotients: 2-digit NAICS
Table 3.1: Location Quotients for 2-Digit NAICS Industries
(Q4 of each year.)
NAICS Industry
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Information
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Public Administration)
Public Administration
Source: BLS, QCEW; Calculations by Marin Economic Consulting
LQ vs California
Current 5 Years Ago 2000
0.01
0.02
0.07
0.60
0.23
0.53
0.65
0.63
1.72
1.79
1.19
2.40
2.39
0.91
0.44
0.72
1.02
1.20
1.28
0.87
0.01
0.09
0.01
0.62
0.19
0.43
0.70
0.57
1.29
1.95
1.19
1.98
2.08
0.96
0.39
0.67
1.13
1.35
1.36
1.12
0.01
0.06
0.66
0.28
0.56
0.74
0.81
1.54
2.38
1.21
1.93
2.29
0.91
0.26
0.71
1.17
1.35
1.32
1.02
Jon Haveman, Ph.D. • Marin Economic Consulting
[email protected] • 415-336-5705
LQ vs United States
Current 5 Years Ago 2000
0.02
0.01
0.07
0.58
0.20
0.54
0.59
0.59
2.64
1.41
1.30
2.79
2.05
0.92
0.42
0.69
1.22
1.23
1.30
0.83
0.04
0.03
0.01
0.56
0.18
0.45
0.65
0.52
1.78
1.61
1.34
2.42
1.90
0.96
0.37
0.54
1.40
1.37
1.99
1.10
0.03
0.02
0.64
0.26
0.55
0.66
0.77
2.01
1.98
1.34
2.36
3.70
0.97
0.26
0.56
1.35
1.31
1.59
0.98
4. Location Quotients: 3-digit NAICS
Table 4.1: Location Quotients for 3-Digit NAICS Industries
(Q4 of each year.)
NAICS Industry
Construction of Buildings
Specialty Trade Contractors
Food Manufacturing
Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers
Food and Beverage Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores
General Merchandise Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Nonstore Retailers
Transit and Ground Passenger Transportation
Support Activities for Transportation
Postal Service
Couriers and Messengers
Publishing Industries (except Internet)
Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries
Broadcasting (except Internet)
Telecommunications
Data Processing, Hosting and Related Services
Other Information Services
Credit Intermediation and Related Activities
Securities, Commodity Contracts, and Other Financial Investments and Related Activities
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
Real Estate
Rental and Leasing Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support Services
Educational Services
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Hospitals
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Social Assistance
Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related Industries
Museums, Historical Sites, and Similar Institutions
Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries
Accommodation
Food Services and Drinking Places
Repair and Maintenance
Personal and Laundry Services
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations
Private Households
Executive, Legislative, and Other General Government Support
Justice, Public Order, and Safety Activities
Administration of Human Resource Programs
Administration of Economic Programs
Source: BLS, QCEW; Calculations by Marin Economic Consulting
Note: Top 50 industries, by employment share.
LQ vs California
Current 5 Years Ago 2000
1.25
0.42
0.39
0.39
0.44
0.55
0.75
0.67
0.88
1.00
0.46
0.92
2.59
1.63
0.71
1.05
0.75
1.66
0.35
1.69
1.02
4.97
3.72
1.55
4.07
0.96
1.29
0.81
2.40
2.39
0.91
0.44
0.55
0.55
0.46
1.12
1.65
3.77
0.56
1.64
1.12
0.36
1.30
2.02
1.95
0.69
0.24
0.85
1.44
1.20
0.46
0.30
0.13
0.41
0.50
0.33
0.72
1.03
1.17
0.43
1.06
1.26
0.52
0.92
1.22
0.67
1.79
0.42
1.76
1.00
1.60
3.53
1.48
4.77
1.24
1.29
0.68
1.98
2.08
0.96
0.39
0.56
0.62
0.60
1.22
2.35
4.06
0.50
2.27
1.18
0.40
1.23
1.91
1.56
0.93
0.28
1.59
2.11
Jon Haveman, Ph.D. • Marin Economic Consulting
[email protected] • 415-336-5705
1.17
0.52
0.45
0.09
0.51
0.65
0.46
0.69
0.87
1.43
0.48
1.17
1.64
0.93
0.52
2.00
1.09
1.48
0.58
1.93
1.36
2.83
0.25
1.51
6.67
1.49
1.23
1.18
1.93
2.29
0.92
0.26
0.63
0.56
0.58
1.42
2.56
4.03
0.48
2.29
1.15
0.52
1.18
2.24
1.39
0.38
0.20
0.78
2.18
LQ vs United States
Current 5 Years Ago 2000
1.24
0.43
0.33
0.86
0.43
0.65
0.69
0.66
0.80
1.11
0.39
0.86
2.12
1.47
0.89
0.94
0.81
1.87
1.15
2.27
0.84
5.54
7.22
1.23
3.41
0.73
1.45
0.79
2.79
2.05
0.93
0.42
0.51
0.41
0.33
1.84
2.33
3.16
0.66
1.68
1.15
0.36
1.32
2.04
1.86
0.42
0.30
1.24
1.51
1.15
0.43
0.28
0.28
0.40
0.58
0.33
0.75
0.95
1.36
0.37
1.05
0.93
0.47
1.15
1.13
0.64
1.80
1.44
2.33
0.95
1.07
4.76
1.25
4.03
0.97
1.51
0.68
2.42
1.90
0.97
0.37
0.52
0.47
0.40
0.91
3.30
3.49
0.62
2.30
1.19
0.42
1.22
2.06
6.29
0.57
0.38
2.18
2.30
1.12
0.54
0.40
0.19
0.52
0.63
0.38
0.61
0.84
1.48
0.37
1.14
1.10
0.89
0.65
1.88
1.15
1.49
1.81
2.31
1.34
4.09
0.23
1.22
6.36
1.24
1.39
1.25
2.36
3.70
1.00
0.26
0.58
0.43
0.38
1.09
3.44
3.08
0.56
2.11
1.13
0.58
1.09
2.29
4.00
0.22
0.28
1.09
2.34
5. Location Quotients: 4-digit NAICS
Table 5.1: Location Quotients for 4-Digit NAICS Industries
(Q4 of each year.)
NAICS Industry
Residential Building Construction
Nonresidential Building Construction
Building Equipment Contractors
Grocery Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Clothing Stores
Department Stores
Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses
Taxi and Limousine Service
Software Publishers
Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services
Other Information Services
Depository Credit Intermediation
Nondepository Credit Intermediation
Securities and Commodity Contracts Intermediation and Brokerage
Other Financial Investment Activities
Agencies, Brokerages, and Other Insurance Related Activities
Lessors of Real Estate
Activities Related to Real Estate
Legal Services
Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping, and Payroll Services
Architectural, Engineering, and Related Services
Computer Systems Design and Related Services
Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services
Scientific Research and Development Services
Advertising, Public Relations, and Related Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Office Administrative Services
Employment Services
Investigation and Security Services
Services to Buildings and Dwellings
Elementary and Secondary Schools
Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools
Offices of Physicians
Outpatient Care Centers
General Medical and Surgical Hospitals
Individual and Family Services
Museums, Historical Sites, and Similar Institutions
Other Amusement and Recreation Industries
Traveler Accommodation
Special Food Services
Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages)
Personal Care Services
Other Personal Services
Social Advocacy Organizations
Executive, Legislative, and Other General Government Support
Administration of Human Resource Programs
Administration of Economic Program
Source: BLS, QCEW; Calculations by Marin Economic Consulting
Note: Top 50 industries, by employment share.
LQ vs California
Current 5 Years Ago 2000
1.08
1.50
0.54
0.58
0.88
1.02
0.66
3.15
9.94
1.49
4.97
3.72
1.25
1.83
4.84
3.59
1.15
1.51
1.16
2.56
1.85
1.61
4.04
2.35
0.72
3.26
2.39
1.21
0.49
1.06
1.39
0.36
0.59
0.58
0.48
0.70
1.09
3.77
0.65
1.67
2.00
3.61
1.15
2.22
3.64
0.69
0.85
1.44
1.14
1.28
0.55
0.64
1.03
1.18
0.57
1.73
2.65
1.14
1.60
3.53
1.82
0.72
5.41
4.20
1.28
1.35
1.32
2.71
1.55
1.48
2.82
1.91
0.63
3.15
2.08
1.02
0.63
1.14
1.34
0.15
0.72
0.52
0.73
0.66
1.26
4.06
0.69
2.31
1.47
3.09
1.20
2.07
3.88
0.93
1.59
2.11
0.95
1.50
0.69
0.57
0.87
1.54
0.00
2.53
2.23
1.21
1.46
0.25
1.78
1.04
8.14
3.88
1.66
1.32
1.15
2.88
1.44
1.89
1.92
2.09
0.65
2.92
2.29
1.14
0.74
1.10
0.87
0.10
0.55
0.59
0.82
0.12
1.98
4.03
0.60
2.32
2.43
2.42
1.02
2.17
2.51
0.38
0.78
2.18
LQ vs United States
Current 5 Years Ago 2000
1.31
1.18
0.49
0.58
0.80
1.14
0.72
2.98
11.47
2.34
5.54
7.22
0.86
1.63
3.08
3.71
1.02
1.33
1.48
2.65
1.95
1.62
5.04
2.86
1.22
3.74
2.05
1.52
0.54
1.42
1.31
0.33
0.51
0.47
0.86
0.44
2.32
3.16
0.67
1.72
1.70
2.45
1.10
2.87
3.62
0.42
1.24
1.51
Jon Haveman, Ph.D. • Marin Economic Consulting
[email protected] • 415-336-5705
1.40
0.93
0.45
0.66
0.95
1.39
0.61
1.47
1.96
1.79
1.07
4.76
1.55
0.49
3.54
4.66
1.19
1.20
1.87
2.82
1.73
1.59
3.49
2.91
1.04
3.90
1.90
1.50
0.65
1.48
1.32
0.13
0.64
0.51
0.98
0.51
0.92
3.49
0.73
2.35
1.16
1.96
1.07
2.81
3.71
0.57
2.18
2.30
1.12
1.11
0.56
0.48
0.84
1.64
0.00
1.92
1.98
1.94
0.99
0.23
1.33
0.86
6.57
5.04
1.61
1.22
1.59
3.02
1.99
2.04
2.68
2.42
0.93
3.63
3.70
1.33
0.85
1.46
0.92
0.10
0.48
0.59
0.62
0.07
1.43
3.08
0.66
2.15
1.64
1.40
0.81
2.89
2.60
0.22
1.09
2.34