MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE More than two thirds support decriminalization/legalization of marijuana Trudeau admission unlikely to affect Liberal vote th TORONTO, August 24 , 2013 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 1189 Canadians 18 years of age and older, more than two thirds (69%) supported either decriminalization for small amounts of marijuana (34%) or outright legalization and taxation (36%), and this represents an increase since the last time we asked this (November, 2012 - 65% net). Just 1in-7 want the law left as it is (15%), while even fewer want penalties increased (13%). Very few have no opinion on this measure (3%). Support for decriminalization/legalization is highest among the youngest (75%) and the Boomers (55 to 64 - 72%), among the wealthier ($60K to $100K - 74%) and in BC (77%). Liberal supporters are more likely to be in the pro-pot camp (76%) than are New Democrats (72%) or especially Conservatives (61%). Interest in increasing penalties is highest among those in Generation X (35 to 54 - 16%), the least wealthy (less than $20K - 21%), in Alberta (22%) and among New Democrats (16%). Interestingly, Conservatives are not much more likely to favour increased penalties than all Canadians (15%). Groups which are least likely to support decriminalization/legalization include mid-age Canadians (35 to 44 63%), the least wealthy (less than $20K - 57%), Bloc voters (56%), the least educated (57%), Protestant Christians (61%), those who describe their ethnicity as Canadian (64%) and Francophones (65%). One fifth less likely to vote Liberal after Trudeau admission One fifth of Canadians say they are less likely to vote Liberal because of Justin Trudeau's admission about smoking marijuana as an MP (21%), while one seventh say it will make them more likely to vote for the Liberals (14%). Two thirds say this will not affect their vote (63%). Those who say they are less likely to vote Liberal are the oldest (65+ - 30%), the wealthier ($40K to $60K - 25%, $80K to $100K - 24%), prairie dwellers (24%) and Albertans (31%). Of course, Conservatives are most likely to say they will be less likely to vote Liberal (47%), while Liberals and New Democrats are less likely to say this (7% and 14%, respectively). Those who support full legalization say this will make them more likely to vote Liberal (22%). 1 TORONTO August 24th, 2013 HIGHLIGHTS: More than two thirds (69%) supported either decriminalization for small amounts of marijuana (34%) or outright legalization and taxation (36%). Support for decriminalization/legalization is highest among the youngest ((75%) and the Boomers (55 to 64 - 72%), among the wealthier ($60K to $100K - 74%) and in BC (77%). Liberal supporters are more likely to be in the pro-pot camp (76%) than are New Democrats (72%) or especially Conservatives (61%). One fifth of Canadians say they are less likely to vote Liberal because of Justin Trudeau's admission about smoking marijuana as an MP (21%), while one seventh say it will make them more likely to vote for the Liberals (14%). 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 “Justin Trudeau is ahead of the zeitgeist on this issue, and the government's disapproval of his position is a strength he can play to in the coming months. Decriminalization or legalization has majority support right across the country, even among Conservative voters, and there appears to be little downside to this issue for him,"said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff. Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at [email protected] or at (416) 960-9603. 2 TORONTO August 24th, 2013 HIGHLIGHTS: Those who support full legalization are more likely to vote Liberal (22%). “Justin Trudeau is ahead of the zeitgeist on this issue, and the government's disapproval of his position is a strength he can play to in the coming months. Decriminalization or legalization has majority support right across the country, even among Conservative voters, and there appears to be little downside to this issue for him,"said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff. 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Methodology The Forum Poll™ was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice response telephone survey of 1,189 randomly selected Canadians 18 years of age and older. The poll was conducted on August 23rd, 2013. TORONTO August 24th, 2013 Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 3%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample (such as age, gender) results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp Where appropriate, the data has been statistically weighted to ensure that the sample reflects the actual population according to the latest Census data. This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather, captures opinion at one point in time. Forum Research conducted this poll as a public service and to demonstrate our survey research capabilities. With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian-owned Forum Research is one of the country’s leading survey research firms. This Forum Poll™and other polls may be found at Forum's poll archive at www.forumresearch.com/polls.asp 3 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 TORONTO August 24th, 2013 Marijuana Decriminalization / Legislation Opinion Trending [All Respondents] % th August 24 , 2013 th Nov. 19 , 2012 th Dec. 13 , 2011 4 Sample Should be legalized and taxed 1189 1849 1160 36 33 40 Should be decriminalized for small amounts 34 32 26 The law should be left as it is 15 17 20 Penalties should be increased Don’t Know 13 15 11 3 3 2 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Marijuana Decriminalization / Legalization Opinion TORONTO August 24th, 2013 ‘How do you think the government should deal with marijuana: legalize and tax it, decriminalize small amounts, leave the law as it is, or increase penalties?’ [All Respondents] Age / Gender % Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample It should be legalized and taxed It should be decriminalized for small amounts The law should be left as it is Penalties should be increased Don't know 1189 104 138 222 325 400 562 627 36 43 30 32 39 32 40 31 34 33 33 35 34 35 33 34 15 12 18 13 15 17 14 16 13 11 16 16 9 12 11 14 3 2 3 4 3 5 2 4 Region % Sample It should be legalized and taxed It should be decriminalized for small amounts The law should be left as it is Penalties should be increased Don't know 5 Total Atl Que ON Man/Sask AB BC 1189 36 132 35 237 27 388 37 116 35 132 39 184 46 34 35 38 34 35 24 30 15 13 3 16 12 2 19 12 3 15 11 3 12 12 6 13 22 2 8 12 4 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Household Income 1189 <$20 K 111 $2040K 208 $4060K 194 $6080K 155 $80100K 111 $100250K 187 $250 K+ 30 36 34 36 31 44 34 36 50 34 23 32 38 31 40 36 22 15 17 17 13 13 11 19 13 13 21 11 16 10 14 7 15 3 5 4 3 2 1 2 1 % Total Sample It should be legalized and taxed It should be decriminalized for small amounts The law should be left as it is Penalties should be increased Don't know TORONTO August 24th, 2013 Current Federal Party Preference % Sample It should be legalized and taxed It should be decriminalized for small amounts The law should be left as it is Penalties should be increased Don't know Total Cons Lib NDP Green Bloc Other Parties 1189 36 338 32 396 41 249 38 71 41 48 20 43 44 34 30 35 35 36 42 19 15 13 3 20 15 3 13 8 3 10 16 1 14 7 3 21 9 8 14 17 7 Highest Level of Education 1189 Secondary school or less 223 Some college or university 359 Completed college or university 409 Post graduate studies 198 36 30 33 39 37 34 27 38 33 33 15 13 3 19 19 4 15 12 3 14 10 3 11 15 4 % Total Sample It should be legalized and taxed It should be decriminalized for small amounts The law should be left as it is Penalties should be increased Don't know 6 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Religion % Total Christian Protestan t Christian Evangelica l Christian Catholic Sample It should be legalized and taxed It should be decriminal ized for small amounts The law should be left as it is Penalties should be increased Don't know 1189 873 333 47 400 Other Christia n 93 36 33 31 33 30 34 34 30 29 15 16 19 13 14 3 4 TORONTO August 24th, 2013 Other None 79 237 46 38 43 39 28 28 34 21 16 7 13 12 18 14 10 16 19 7 2 2 5 3 3 3 Ethnicity Sample It should be legalized and taxed It should be decriminalized for small amounts The law should be left as it is Penalties should be increased Don't know 7 Total Canadian 1189 197 British, Scots, Irish or Welsh 616 36 33 34 Other European Other 150 226 34 41 38 31 37 33 29 15 16 15 15 12 13 14 10 9 19 3 6 3 2 2 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Trudeau Admission Outcome ‘Justin Trudeau has admitted smoking marijuana since becoming a Member of Parliament. How does this affect your likelihood of voting for a Liberal party candidate in the next Federal election?’ TORONTO August 24th, 2013 [All Respondents] Age / Gender % Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample It makes you more likely to vote Liberal It makes you less likely to vote Liberal It has no impact on how plan to vote Don't know 1189 104 138 222 325 400 562 627 14 19 11 14 17 8 13 15 21 20 20 20 16 30 22 20 63 59 68 64 65 59 63 62 2 2 1 3 2 3 2 2 Region % Total Atl Que ON Man/Sask AB BC Sample It makes you more likely to vote Liberal It makes you less likely to vote Liberal It has no impact on how plan to vote Don't know 1189 14 21 63 2 132 17 21 59 3 237 14 18 66 2 388 12 21 66 2 116 18 24 56 3 132 13 31 55 2 184 21 17 59 2 Household Income 1189 <S20 K 111 S2040K 208 S4060K 194 S6080K 155 S80100K 111 S100250K 187 S250 K+ 30 14 25 18 10 14 12 11 25 21 17 22 18 25 24 21 16 63 51 58 70 60 64 66 57 2 7 2 3 1 0 2 1 % Total Sample It makes you more likely to vote Liberal It makes you less likely to vote Liberal It has no impact on how plan to vote Don't know 8 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Current Federal Party Preference % Sample It makes you more likely to vote Liberal It makes you less likely to vote Liberal It has no impact on how plan to vote Don't know Total Cons Lib NDP Green Bloc Other Parties 1189 338 396 249 71 48 43 14 2 22 19 13 6 25 21 47 7 14 9 29 18 63 50 70 65 77 62 48 2 1 2 2 1 2 9 TORONTO August 24th, 2013 Highest Level of Education % Sample It makes you more likely to vote Liberal It makes you less likely to vote Liberal It has no impact on how plan to vote Don't know 9 1189 Secondary school or less 223 Some college or university 359 Completed college or university 409 Post graduate studies 198 14 16 14 14 14 21 29 18 21 18 63 50 66 63 67 2 5 2 2 1 Total 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Religion 873 Protestant Christian 333 Evangelical Christian 47 400 Other Christian 93 14 11 12 7 10 14 23 19 21 24 32 46 19 13 10 17 63 63 54 46 70 70 61 62 2 1 2 1 1 3 6 2 % Total Christian Sample It makes you more likely to vote Liberal It makes you less likely to vote Liberal It has no impact on how plan to vote Don't know 1189 Catholic Other None 79 237 TORONTO August 24th, 2013 Ethnicity % Total Canadian Sample It makes you more likely to vote Liberal It makes you less likely to vote Liberal It has no impact on how plan to vote Don't know 1189 197 British, Scots, Irish or Welsh 616 14 14 21 10 Other European Other 150 226 16 11 13 26 20 17 22 63 58 63 72 62 2 3 2 0 4 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Marijuana Approval % Total It should be legalized and taxed Sample It makes you more likely to vote Liberal It makes you less likely to vote Liberal It has no impact on how plan to vote Don't know 1189 410 It should be decriminalized for small amounts 403 14 22 21 The law should be left as it is Penalties should be increased 183 147 12 8 9 10 16 41 43 63 67 72 50 42 2 1 1 1 7 For more information: Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. President Forum Research Inc. Tel: (416) 960-9603 Fax: (416) 960-9602 E-mail: [email protected] 11 TORONTO August 24th, 2013 180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 forumresearch.com
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