The Melting of the Greenland IceSheet and the Rise in Global Sea-Level Chapter 01 Project Math 018 Joe Kudrle 1. What is the approximate volume of the ice contained in the Greenland Ice Sheet? Give your answer in cubic kilometers. Please give your answer in scientific notation. The volume of Greenland Ice-Sheet is approximately 3.832 106 cubic km. Using the Greenland map, an approximate measurement on the thickness of the Ice-Sheet covering the island was determined by using the following method. It was first noted that each grid square on the map accounted for a 200 km by 200 km (40,000 square kilometer) region. The map was then broken into four regions dependent on the thickness of the ice covering the region. The four regions had ice-thicknesses ranging from 0 km to 1 km, 1 km to 2 km, 2 km to 3 km, and 3 km to 3.1 km (which is the maximum thickness of the ice-sheet on Greenland). The number of grid squares within each region was counted, allowing for a quick computation of the approximate area of the region using the formula: Area of Region Number of Grid Boxes in Region 40000 km2 1 Grid Box To compensate for the varying ice-thicknesses within each region, an average, based on the lower and upper bound, was found. The volume for each region was then computed using the formula: Volume of a Region = Area of a Region × Average Thickness The total volume resulted from a quick sum of these volumes. Note: All information and work can be found in the table shown below. Ice-Thickness (km) 0–1 1–2 2–3 3 – 3.2 Average Thickness # of Grid Boxes (km) (count) 0.5 4.5 1.5 13.25 2.5 25.75 3.1 3 Total Volume of Ice-Sheet Area (square km) 180,000 530,000 1,030,000 120,000 Volume (cubic km) 90,000 795,000 2,575,000 372,000 3,832,000 2. Based off of your approximation from question (1), what is the volume of all land-bound freshwater ice in the world? Give your answer in cubic kilometers. Please give your answer in scientific notation. The volume of all land-bound freshwater ice in the world is approximately 3.484 107 cubic km. Using the fact that the Greenland Ice-Sheet accounts for about 11% of the world’s land-bound freshwater ice, the following proportional equation was used to compute the answer. Greenland 3.832 106 km3 11 : World World 100 World 3.832 106 km3 100 3.484 107 km3 11 3. Assuming that all of the land-bound freshwater ice in the world has melted, what would be the resulting volume of water? Give your answer in cubic kilometers. Please give your answer in scientific notation. Once all of the ice has melted the volume will be 3.135 107 cubic km. Using the fact that when ice melts, it contracts to 90% of its original volume, the following equation was used to compute the answer. Water Water 90 : 7 3 Ice 3.135 10 km 100 Volume of Water = 0.90 3.484 107 km3 3.135 107 km3 4. How many Olympic swimming pools could be filled by the resulting melt from all land-bound freshwater ice? Give your answer rounded to the nearest whole number. Please give your answer in scientific notation. It was determined that approximately 1.2541 1013 Olympic size swimming pools could be filled with all of the ice-melt. Using the fact that one Olympic size swimming pool holds 2.5 million liters, the following method was used to compute the answer. Volume of Water = 3.135 107 km3 Number of Pools = 3.135 1019 L 109 m3 1000 L 3.135 1019 L 1 km3 1 m3 1 Pool 1.2541 1013 Pools 2.5 106 L 5. Assuming that all of the land-bound freshwater ice in the world has melted, how high will the ocean’s rise? Give your answer in meters. Round your answer to two decimal places. The approximate rise will be 91.9435 meters. Using the fact that the surface area of the Earth’s oceans is known to be 3.62 108 , the following method was used to compute the answer. Volume = Area × Height Height = Volume 3.135 107 km3 1000 m 0.0919435 km 8 2 Area 3.62 10 km 1 km Heigth = 91.9435 m 6. If we use 2013 as a starting point, what year will it be when all of the land-bound freshwater ice has melted? Give your answer as a year. Based on some quick calculations, it will take about 3600 years and it will be the year 5607 when all of the land-bound freshwater ice has melted. Using the fact that in 2007 the rise in sea-level is about 1.7 mm per year and this rate is accelerating by 0.013 mm per year per year, we can make an approximation on the time that it would take for the sea-level rise to reach a level of 91.9435 m or 91,943.4 mm. Assume that the year 2013 is time t = 0, we start by looking at time in 1000 blocks. Rise in sea-level at time t = 0 is 1.7 mm per year and the rise in sea-level at time t = 1000 is 1.7 1000 0.013 14.7 mm per year. This averages out to 8.2 mm per year over the 1000 years. So, over the first 1000 years, sea-levels would rise by about 8,200 mm. Rise in sea-level at time t = 1000 is 14.7 mm per year and the rise in sea-level at time t = 2000 is 1.7 2000 0.013 27.7 mm per year. This averages out to 21.2 mm per year over the 1000 years. So, over the second 1000 years, sea-levels would rise by an additional 21,200 mm. So, after 2000 years, total sea-level rise is about 29,400 mm. Rise in sea-level at time t = 2000 is 27.7 mm per year and the rise in sea-level at time t = 3000 is 1.7 3000 0.013 40.7 mm per year. This averages out to 34.2 mm per year over the 1000 years. So, over the third 1000 years, sea-levels would rise by an additional 34,200 mm. So, after 3000 years, total sea-level rise is about 63,600 mm. Rise in sea-level at time t = 3000 is 40.7 mm per year and the rise in sea-level at time t = 3600 is 1.7 3600 0.013 48.5 mm per year. This averages out to 44.6 mm per year over the 600 years. So, over these 600 years, sea-levels would rise by an additional 26,760 mm. So, after 3600 years, total sea-level rise is about 90,360 mm. This process could continue and we could make our answer slightly more accurate. 7. A rise in sea level will certainly cause flooding in coastal regions around the world. To explore the severity of flooding, search the World Wide Web to find and compare the elevations of two coastal cities. Of course, the elevation of any region is not constant, but varies according to local topography. Finding elevations of regions outside the U.S. will require some searching. Beware that some maps give elevations in feet and some in meters, but often will not indicate which unit is being used! a) List the two locations that you are comparing, along with their average elevations in meters. List the source(s) from which your data was obtained. Open answers. b) Using a similar process as problem (6), calculate the year in which each of your locations would be “swallowed by the seas,” if possible. Open answers. c) Give one example of the type of environmental damage that would be caused by the flooding of the coastal regions? Is this type of damage already being seen in certain coastal regions? Be specific with your example and elaborate in a paragraph or two. Open answers. d) Describe two different ways that you might measure the environmental damage of flooding in coastal regions. Be specific with how you plan to measure environmental damage and elaborate in a paragraph or two. Open answers.
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