A tactical coal opportunity

Mining │ AUSTRALIA
November 20, 2013
Cockatoo Coal
COK AU / COK.AX
Market Cap
Avg Daily Turnover
Free Float
Current
A$0.052
Target
A$0.070
US$43.40m
US$0.21m
35.0%
Prev. Target
A$46.09m
A$0.23m
4,470 m shares
Up/Downside
Speculative Buy /
Take up SPP
N/A
35%
Conv iction|
|
A tactical coal opportunity
Cockatoo’s recapitalisation relieves balance sheet stress and provides
growth funds at a time when the industry is under-investing. Our
Speculative Buy rating suits counter-cyclical investors seeking strong
leverage to a recovery in met coal markets.
Tom SARTOR
T (61) 7 3334 4503
E [email protected]
Share price info
Share price perf. (%)
1M
3M
12M
Relative
-12.5
-42.8
-82.7
Absolute
-11.9
-38.1
-60
Major shareholders
% held
SK Australia
Noble Group
Harun Energy
23.7
23.7
10.9
Emerging met coal
Fundamental upside
Cockatoo Coal (COK) owns an 80%
interest in the Baralaba North LV PCI
project in the south-east Bowen Basin.
COK will imminently commence
pre-stripping and early works for a
3.5Mtpa brownfields open
pit
producing high quality LV PCI over
an anticipated life of +20 years.
Using COK’s development targets, we
generate a risked valuation for COK
of 7.0cps. This offers solid +50%
upside from the SPP entry price of
4.5cps. As COK unwinds approvals
and development risks over the next
18 months, the removal of our 75%
risk weighting generates an unrisked
valuation of 10.0cps. We also detail
input sensitivities, and COK’s strong
upside leverage to higher coal prices.
Debt issues resolved
Investors will appreciate that COK’s
recent history, its recapitalisation via
the integration of Noble & SK
Networks, and including the takeover
of Blackwood Corp is complex. That
said, COK’s short term debt issues –
which held the stock back for some
time – are now resolved. This offers
investors the chance to again consider
the strong upside opportunity at
Baralaba North without the debt
overhang. COK is now well funded to
commence immediate development of
the BN expansion at a time when its
developer peers are struggling for
capital.
Vol m
Price Close
113
0.10
75
0.05
38
0.00
25
20
15
10
5
0
Feb-13
May-13
Several
tactical
considerations
support our Speculative Buy. These
include; 1) removal of the debt
overhang; 2) the vested interests of
new equity and debt investors; 3) a
refreshed register at 4.5cps; and 4)
leverage to the option of seasonal coal
price
strength.
Longer
term,
successfully developing high quality
LV PCI production capacity through
the “trough” point in the price cycle –
while the rest of the industry is
deferring growth – would ideally
position COK in the event this
under-investment manifests itself in
future coal market tightening.
Comparable coal developers – Diluted market caps (A$m)
Relative to S&P/ASX 200 (RHS)
0.15
Nov-12
SPP Tactical considerations
Aug-13
Source: Bloomberg
SOURCE: MORGANS, IREESS, NB> Denotes COK post recapitalization
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, INCLUDING ANY REQUIRED RESEARCH CERTIFICATIONS, ARE PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS REPORT.
EFACustomEntityStatement
Designed by Eight, Powered by EFA
Cockatoo Coal
November 20, 2013
Company snapshot
Cockatoo Coal (COK) is currently a small scale coal producer from the Baralaba Central mine in the south-east Bowen Basin. Following its
October-13 recapitalisation, COK is now substantially funded toward developing the Baralaba North expansion project, in which it holds an 80%
interest. Project Resources of 154Mt are envisaged to support 3.5Mtpa of LV PCI production for a targeted +20 years. Up front project capital of
A$311m to first production is very attractive versus capital intensities across comparable projects. Existing COK shareholders now have the
option to subscribe to an in-the-money SPP at 4.5cps (up to a A$15k maximum) with COK having traded comfortably above this level since the
recapitalisation was announced. Taking up the SPP looks like a solid tactical trade, with an option over possible seasonal strength in met coal
pricing, and in COK meeting its development targets.
Company drivers
Industry drivers
COK’s balance sheet issues were an overwhelming market
concern, but have been alleviated by the Oct-13 recapitalisation
COK’s earnings are leveraged to coal pricing and AUD fluctuations.
Physical market dynamics also significantly drive equity risk appetite
Quarterly cash flow generation from Baralaba Central is a critical
component of the BN funding mix
We expect met coal (and LV PCI) pricing to remain at slight premiums
to the marginal industry cost, underpinned by steady demand and
constraints on high quality supply
Timely receipt of regulatory approvals for the upgraded 3.5Mtpa
Mining Lease (from 1Mtpa) – anticipated late 2014
Timely development progress toward on-schedule production (due
mid 2014) ensuring that committed infrastructure liabilities will be met
In COK’s case, the obligation to meet Wiggins Island infrastructure
liabilities is a key driver of the development timeframe, in addition to
the approvals process
Regulatory hurdles and cost barriers in Australia remain high,
potentially beyond the reach of all but the highest quality projects
Further funding initiatives including non-core asset sales,
equipment leasing and possible mezzanine debt
SWOT analysis
Strengths
Opportunities
Baralaba North is a well understood brownfields project mining a high
quality LV PCI. COK has direct operating experience in the same
geology. The re-cap provides substantial equity and debt funds.
Developing through the “trough” of the coal price cycle would ideally
position COK in the event of that industry under-investment again
manifested itself in tighter coal markets.
Weaknesses
Threats
The strategics on COK’s register and committed coal marketing
rights may be perceived as limiting COK’s M&A appeal near term
Poor cash flow conversion from Baralaba Central, regulatory delays
or development delays would again heighten COK’s funding and
balance sheet risks, particularly given the intended debt mix.
Chart 1: Pure coal – Diluted market caps (A$m)
Chart 2: HCC Pricing vs comparable developers
140
500
120
400
100
300
80
60
200
40
100
20
0
Nov-11
MBC
CLR
SMR
AKM
CQC
GUF
NCR
CKA
EOC*
TIG
BND
CPL
BRL
CWK*
RCI*
ATU
COK
NEC*
HUN*
CCD*
0
Feb-12
Met Coal
SOURCES: Morgans, NB: * Denotes corporate activity
May-12
Aug-12
TIG
Nov-12
GUF
Feb-13
CKA
May-13
Aug-13
BRL
Nov-13
COK
SOURCES: Morgans, NB: * Denotes corporate activity
SOURCE: MORGANS, COMPANY REPORTS
2
Cockatoo Coal
November 20, 2013
We have not described COK’s corporate history or project details in this report. We have taken
the materials presented via the October re-capitalisation as read. For detailed background
information please refer to www.cockatoocoal.com.au. Our analysis is presented herein.
The state of play for COK shareholders
Existing COK shareholders currently have the opportunity to subscribe for up to an additional
A$15k in COK shares at 4.5cps, equal to the price paid by subscribers to the October
placement. Our (base case) risked valuation for COK is 7.0 cents per share. This applies a
75% risk weighting to the BN expansion to reflect timing (approvals), development and
commissioning risks. Below we further detail our recommendation for investors to take up
their entitlement in the SPP.
Table 1: Key dates for COK shareholders
SPP Key dates*
SPP Record date
Wednesday 16 October 2013
Opening date for applications
Friday 1 November 2013
Closing date for applications
Friday 20 December 2013
Issue of new shares
Friday 27 December 2013
Quotation of New Shares on ASX
Monday 30 December 2013
Equity raising key dates
Date and time of the General Shareholder Meeting
Thursday 12 December 2013
Equity raising shares commence trading
Monday 18 December 2013
SOURCE: COK, NB: Dates are subject to change
Cockatoo Coal: Speculative Buy recommendation / Take up SPP
COK’s recent history, its recapitalisation via the integration of Noble & SK Networks, and the
inclusion of the Blackwood takeover is complex. We detail fundamental valuation scenarios
from Page 6. We also note several tactical considerations – complimenting the fundamentals
– support our Speculative Buy. COK suits investors with a high risk tolerance.
1.
Re-financing risk (distress) has been extinguished
Tactical considerations –
For the bulk of 2012-13, COK was discounted for risks attached to the refinancing of US$95m
complimenting the fundamentals –
in debt owing to SK Networks. In mid-October, COK successfully raised A$153m in equity
support our Speculative Buy
issued to investors including SK Networks, Noble and Harun Energy. The proceeds will be
used to retire the SK debt and fund growth. COK concurrently announced a merger with coal
explorer Blackwood Corporation (BWD).
The refinancing will deliver COK a pro-forma cash position post recapitalisation of A$74m. We
think that COK can now start to regain broader investor attention for the simple fact that COK’s
debt overhang has now been resolved.
2.
New partners have vested interests in supporting COK
Noble Group / SK Networks / Marketing rights : COK’s re-capitalisation was led by Hong
Kong commodity trading group Noble, and existing creditor SK Networks. Noble and SK’s
equity contributions (A$43.3m + A$50m) were priced at a 0.5cps (or 11%) premium above that
paid by new equity via the placement and SPP (4.5cps). This is a meaningful endorsement of
these investors’ belief in COK’s development opportunity at BN.
For this cornerstone equity, both groups will own ~24% of COK and have been granted
marketing rights for coal sales, generating fees of ~2.5% on sales revenues. Obviously for
these rights to be worth anything, COK must be supported into production at BN. Should COK
meet its development targets within provided cost guidance, we value these rights at a
combined ~A$80m (pre-expenses). This is the prerogative of traders Noble and SK above the
value of their COK equity.
3
Cockatoo Coal
November 20, 2013
ANZ Bank / Project debt: COK is well funded toward BN commissioning thanks to an
additional A$255m available to the BN JV via an ANZ Senior Secured Project Finance
Package. We are strongly encouraged that ANZ took enough confidence in BN’s prospectivity
to support a facility of this size, especially given COK’s recent history. This is a solid
endorsement for the project. For its support, ANZ and its sub-underwriters will receive A$21m
in notional fees and interest through the BN ramp-up.
We also make an important inference that ANZ has a vested interest in seeing COK’s
production from BN successfully fill its committed infrastructure take-or-pay allocations
(liabilities) through Stage 1 of the Wiggins Island coal terminal. ANZ was the lead arranger of
Project Finance for WICET, with sub-underwriters now re-evaluating the projected returns on
WICET debt given that forecast utilisation of Wiggins Island on its ramp-up from 2015 is
looking shaky at ~50%.
3.
New equity at 4.5cps are motivated holders / unlikely sellers
The vast majority (~80%) of COK’s expanded register will be owned by strategic entities
(Noble, SK, Harun), new equity which entered at 4.5cps or management. We think that all of
these groups have a strong understanding of the risk-reward opportunity on offer from the
4.5-5.0cps level and are hence less likely sellers at this level.
We infer that shareholders most at risk of selling post the recapitalisation are the existing,
non-strategic institutional and retail COK shareholders. However, we would argue that the
prelude to COK’s eventual recapitalisation evolved over many months, and that most of risk
averse shareholders are likely to have dispersed from the register during this period. Similarly,
these shareholders have an opportunity to enter the register at 4.5cps via the SPP, which we
think will prove to be a solid pricing floor for the stock.
Chart 3: COK register post re-capitalisation
Chart 4: COK register post re-capitalisation
Existing
COK
Holders,
16%
Existing
COK
Holders,
19.9%
Management
, 2%
SK Australia,
24%
BWD
Holders, 4%
New Equity
@ 4.5cps,
20%
New Equity +
BWD
Holders,
80.1%
Noble, 24%
Harun, 11%
SOURCE: COK, Morgans
4.
SOURCE: COK, Morgans
COK offers strong leverage to seasonal met coal strength
COK is unique in that it remains the only pure ASX listed producer of high quality LV PCI coal.
Earnings from Baralaba Central form a critical component of the funding mix required for the
BN expansion. High quality met coal supply ex-Australia is at most risk of disruption during the
Australian summer due to weather (cyclones, floods). This has the potential to spike LV PCI
pricing, which we think would remind investors of the concentrated nature of supply and help
to improve sector sentiment. Such spikes last occurred in 2008 and 2010.
4
Cockatoo Coal
November 20, 2013
We therefore see a solid opportunity for COK’s near term earnings to leverage the option of
seasonal strength in met coal pricing over the coming 2-3 months.
Junior met coal developers appear
to be bouncing along a prolonged
market bottom
Chart 5: Comparable met coal developers vs Index HCC pricing – 2 years
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Nov-11
Feb-12
May-12
Met Coal
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-13
May-13
Aug-13
TIG
GUF
CKA
BRL
COK
Nov-13
SOURCES: IRESS, Morgans
5.
A strategic asset, that should garner longer term attention
Longer term, once the BN project is de-risked, we see good potential for 3.5Mtpa of high
quality LV PCI to appealing to entities that have been consolidating control of similar
Australian supply. Possible acquirers might include miners Peabody and Glencore-Xstrata.
Any M&A appeal, compared to than none currently, should be supportive for COK over time
but will depend on the coal price cycle.
5
Cockatoo Coal
November 20, 2013
Fundamental (DCF) valuation – Establishing a base case
Our (base case) risked valuation for COK is 7.0 cents per share. This applies a 75% risk
weighting to the BN expansion to reflect timing (approvals), development and commissioning
risks.
Over the coming 2 years, COK will progressively de-risk BN via early works, construction and
commissioning toward first coal production into the anticipated ramp-up of the Wiggins Island
take-or-pay obligations from mid-2015.
Our (base case) Unrisked valuation for COK is 10.0 cents per share, which we believe would
be a fair valuation at the time of the scheduled ramp-up in mid-2015, when the project has
been de-risked.
Table 2: Valuation summary
100% Project
COK (80%)
COK (80%)
COK (80%)
COK (80%)
Unrisked
Unrisked
Unrisked
Risked
Risked
A$m
Notes
A$m
A$ps
A$m
A$ps
468.5
0.10
351.3
0.08
75% Risked, 20 Yrs life, Assumes all COK assumptions are met
0.0
0.00
0.0
0.00
Free cash included in the BN funding equation
Other COK Assets
40.0
0.01
40.0
0.01
Nominal asset value only
Other BWD Assets
10.0
0.00
10.0
0.00
Nominal asset value only
518.5
0.12
401.3
0.09
Baralaba North
Expansion
585.6
Baralaba Central
Total operations
Net cash / debt
585.6
0.0
0.00
0.0
0.00
Corporate Costs
-88.3
-0.02
-88.3
-0.02
Total valuation
430.2
0.10
313.1
0.070
SPP Price
0.045
0.045
Upside
114%
56%
Project cashflows & NPV include 50% Project gearing
SOURCES: Morgans forecasts
Our base case valuation assumes:
■
that all of COK’s development schedules, budgets and forecast project physicals are met
as per the October 2013 Recapitalisation materials
■
total project capex of A$311m in line with COK’s forecasts
■
long term LV PCI pricing of US$135/t which is close to current consensus estimates
■
long term AUD:USD conversion pricing of 0.85
■
a 20 year project life, as per COK’s anticipation of upside to the current Reserve base
■
50% Project gearing, included within project cashflows and NPV
■
a WACC of 10%
Hence we identify 56% upside to our risked valuation from the SPP price of 4.5cps, and an
eventual 122% upside to our unrisked valuation of 0.10cps upon successful ramp-up from
2015.
6
Cockatoo Coal
November 20, 2013
Table 3: RBSM Base case modelling assumptions
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Physicals (100% Basis)
ROM Tonnes (Mt)
Total yield (%)
Met coal split
0
0.9
3.7
3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
90%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
LV PCI Coal (Mt)
0.0
0.8
3.3
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
Export thermal Coal (Mt)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Total sales (Mt)
0.0
0.8
3.3
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
Pricing
AUD / USD Exchange
0.94
0.92
0.88
0.86
0.85
0.85
0.85
115.62
125
135
135
135
135
135
87.50
92
96
100
100
100
100
FOB Costs (A$/t) – ex-Royalties
96.13
97.02
97.57
98.07
98.53
98.98
FOB Costs (A$/t) – inc-Royalties
107.30
110.09
111.03
111.73
112.19
112.64
Revenue (A$m)
88
409
441
446
446
446
Cost of sales (A$m)
70
293
312
314
315
316
EBITDA (A$m)
19
115
129
132
131
130
Semi-soft pricing (US$/t)
Export thermal pricing (US$/t)
Financials (COK Attrib.)
SOURCES: Morgans forecasts
Detailed sensitivity anlaysis
Fundamental valuations are subject to wide variability depending on the input assumptions
applied. We believe that the sensitivities of these valuations, or the degree to which they
“flex” in upside and downside scenarios are just as important as the valuations themselves.
This tests the robustness (or not) of underlying cashflows and valuations.
Sensitivities to 10% variations in inputs
Our analysis shows a moderate degree of variability in COK’s valuation, driven by 10%
changes to key inputs. This is reasonable when the base case operating margin is A$30-40t,
and places high importance on efficient project execution. We estimate BN to operate with a
fixed cost base in the 60% range. Hence our analysis shows that achieved ROM production is
the largest swing factor in COK’s valuation.
Chart 6: NPV Sensitivity to 10% variations in inputs
100%
80%
60%
40%
72%
61%
68%
51%
20%
0%
-20%
-13%
-40%
-60%
-80%
-51%
-61%
-72%
-68%
-100%
Minus 10%
Plus 10%
ROM Tonnes
LV PCI Prices
FOB Costs
PCI Split
AUD : USD
SOURCE: Morgans forecasts
7
Cockatoo Coal
November 20, 2013
Sensitivities to coal price scenarios
We examine three coal price scenarios;
Base case – A 3 year “recovery” up to a long term incentive price of US$135/t
Bear case – A “grind” along the current bottom up to the US$120/t level
Bull case – A rapid “rebound” to the US$145/t level; and
These show upside and downside leverage to various coal price scenarios in the order of
+/-30-40%
Chart 7: Actual vs forecast coal price scenarios
Chart 8: NPV Sensitivity to price scenarios
190
0.14
170
0.12
150
0.10
130
0.08
110
0.13
0.10
0.07
0.06
0.04
90
0.04
70
0.09
0.03
0.02
Base case
Bear case
FY20
FY19
FY18
FY17
FY16
FY15
FY14
FY13
FY12
FY11
FY10
FY09
FY08
FY07
FY06
FY05
50
0.00
Bear case
Bull case
Actuals
Base case
Risked (Development)
Chart 9: Forecast NPAT Sensitivity to price scenarios
Bull case
Unrisked (Production)
Chart 10: Accumulated cashflow sensitivity to prices scenarios
100
800
80
600
60
400
40
Bear case prices
Bull case prices
Base case prices
Base case prices
FY24
FY23
FY22
FY21
FY20
FY19
FY18
FY17
FY16
FY15
-400
FY23
FY22
FY21
FY20
FY19
FY18
-40
FY17
-200
FY16
-20
FY15
0
FY14
0
FY14
200
20
Bear case prices
Bull case prices
SOURCE: Morgans forecasts
8
SOURCE: Morgans forecasts
Cockatoo Coal
November 20, 2013
Sensitivities to project delays
The most threatening scenarios to our base case valuation are potential delays to the project
caused by the approvals process, development or disruption. The leverage is such that the
project funding balance would be affected, potentially exposing COK to additional funding
requirements (equity or debt re-financing) which equity markets would be highly averse to.
Timing is critical because COK’s liabilities attached to its take-or-pay (rail & port) allocations
for exports through Gladstone ramp-up from mid-2015. At full production, these liabilities total
in the order of A$40m.
We consider COK’s funding equation though to production to be finely balanced, and reliant
on; 1) strong cashflows as forecast from Baralaba Central mine; 2) timely access to
mezzanine finance; and 3) potential non-core assets sales. Funding is the equation that
fundamental investors will be watching the closest.
Chart 11: COK’s sources and uses of funds through to 30 June 2016
SOURCE: COK
9
Cockatoo Coal
November 20, 2013
Key risks
The current market is focussed on cashflows and averse to companies either deploying, or in
need of funding. It follows that COK’s funding balance is the equation that fundamental
investors will be watching the closest. COK suits investors with a high risk tolerance.
Table 4: Material risks
Geology
BN hosts the same coal sequence as BC and hence COK has a solid understanding
of what to expect in terms of mining conditions and product yield.
Reserves
BN currently hosts Reserves sufficient to support ~10 years of production. COK will
need to deploy funds into drilling to convert existing Resources currently outside of
Reserves in order to meet its targeted +20 years of production
Coal quality
Actual coal qualities produced during the life of the mine may vary from those based
on current resource drilling to date
Disruption
Inundation by the nearby Dawson river is a material risk given the events of 2010.
COK has designed its flood mitigation bunding at a 1/1000 year event level of
probability to manage a repeat incident.
Regulatory
Approvals
BN has already been issued a 1Mtpa ML. COK is well advanced toward upgrading
the environmental approval at BN to 3.5Mtpa (from 1Mtpa). Anticipated receipt of
the upgrade is late 2014.
Take-or-pay risks
Linked to infrastructure liabilities which ramp-up with Wiggins Island from mid-2015
Funding
As highlighted above and in Chart 11, the fundng balance needs to be closely
monitored.
Cost pressures
Capital and operating cost escalation in the order of 10-15% p.a. has hampered
project returns in recent years, but cost pressures are easing quickly at present.
Commissioning
Mitigated by COK’s existing operatorship and understanding of the characteristics of
the adjacent Baralaba Central operation
Disruption
Inundation by the nearby Dawson river is a material risk given the events of 2010.
COK has designed its flood mitigation bunding at a 1/1000 year event level of
probability to manage a repeat incident.
Baralaba North will become COK’s sole potential revenue source
Single project risk
SOURCES: MBC Prospectus
Upcoming catalysts
Key catalysts in the coming 12 months are highlighted in COK’s development schedule below
BN expansion production will
Figure 1: COK’s development targets
supplement the gradual
decline in production from
the Baralaba Mine in H2 2014
SOURCES: COK Recapitalisation presentation
10
Cockatoo Coal
November 20, 2013
QUEENSLAND
BRISBANE
BUNDABERG
CAIRNS
CALOUNDRA
CHERMSIDE
EDWARD STREET
EMERALD
GLADSTONE
GOLD COAST
IPSWICH/SPRINGFIELD
MACKAY
MILTON
MT GRAVATT/CAPALABA
NOOSA
REDCLIFFE
ROCKHAMPTON
SPRING HILL
SUNSHINE COAST
TOOWOOMBA
TOWNSVILLE
YEPPOON
(07) 3334 4888
(07) 4153 1050
(07) 4222 0555
(07) 5491 5422
(07) 3350 9000
(07) 3121 5677
(07) 4988 2777
(07) 4972 8000
(07) 5581 5777
(07) 3202 3995
(07) 4957 3033
(07) 3114 8600
(07) 3245 5466
(07) 5449 9511
(07) 3897 3999
(07) 4922 5855
(07) 3833 9333
(07) 5479 2757
(07) 4639 1277
(07) 4725 5787
(07) 4939 3021
NEW SOUTH WALES
SYDNEY
ARMIDALE
BALLINA
BALMAIN
CHATSWOOD
COFFS HARBOUR
GOSFORD
HURSTVILLE
MERIMBULA
NEUTRAL BAY
NEWCASTLE
NEWPORT
ORANGE
(02) 8215 5055
(02) 6770 3300
(02) 6686 4144
(02) 8755 3333
(02) 8116 1700
(02) 6651 5700
(02) 4325 0884
(02) 9570 5755
(02) 6495 2869
(02) 8969 7500
(02) 4926 4044
(02) 9998 4200
(02) 6361 9166
PORT MACQUARIE
SCONE
SYDNEY – LEVEL 9
SYDNEY – LEVEL 33
SYDNEY – MACQUARIE STREET
SYDNEY – MACQUARIE STREET (Parramatta)
SYDNEY – REYNOLDS EQUITIES
WOLLONGONG
(02) 6583 1735
(02) 6544 3144
(02) 8215 5000
(02) 8216 5111
(02) 9125 1788
(02) 9615 4500
(02) 9373 4452
(02) 4227 3022
ACT
CANBERRA
(02) 6232 4999
VICTORIA
MELBOURNE
BRIGHTON
CAMBERWELL
CARLTON
FARRER HOUSE
GEELONG
RICHMOND
SOUTH YARRA
TRARALGON
WARRNAMBOOL
(03) 9947 4111
(03) 9519 3555
(03) 9813 2945
(03) 9066 3200
(03) 8644 5488
(03) 5222 5128
(03) 9916 4000
(03) 9098 8511
(03) 5176 6055
(03) 5559 1500
WESTERN AUSTRALIA
PERTH
(08) 6462 1999
SOUTH AUSTRALIA
ADELAIDE
NORWOOD
(08) 8464 5000
(08) 8461 2800
NORTHERN TERRITORY
DARWIN
(08) 8981 9555
TASMANIA
HOBART
(03) 6236 9000
DISCLAIMER
The information contained in this report is provided to you by Morgans Financial Limited as general advice only, and is made without consideration of an individual’s relevant
personal circumstances. Morgans Financial Limited ABN 49 010 669 726, its related bodies corporate, directors and officers, employees, authorised representatives and agents
(“Morgans”) do not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising from or in connection with any action taken or not taken on the basis of information contained in this
report, or for any errors or omissions contained within. It is recommended that any persons who wish to act upon this report consult with their Morgans investment adviser
before doing so. Those acting upon such information without advice do so entirely at their own risk.
This report was prepared as private communication to clients of Morgans and is not intended for public circulation, publication or for use by any third party. The contents of
this report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without the prior written consent of Morgans. While this report is based on information from sources which Morgans
believes are reliable, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed reflect Morgans judgement at this date and are subject to change. Morgans is
under no obligation to provide revised assessments in the event of changed circumstances. This report does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase any securities and
should not be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever.
Although CIMB Securities (Australia) Ltd (ABN 84 002 768 701), its related bodies corporate, directors and officers, employees, authorised representatives and agents ("CIMB
Securities Australia") may have been involved in the preparation of certain content for this Research Report, this Research Report constitutes general advice provided by
Morgans to the recipient of this report under its Australian financial services licence and Morgans is solely responsible for the content of this report. CIMB Securities Australia
do not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising from or in connection with any action taken or not taken on the basis of information contained in this report, or for any
errors or omissions contained within.
DISCLOSURE OF INTEREST
Morgans and CIMB Securities Australia may from time to time hold an interest in any security referred to in this report and may, as principal or agent, sell such interests.
Morgans or CIMB Securities Australia may previously have acted as manager or co-manager of a public offering of any such securities. Morgans' affiliates or CIMB Securities
Australia affiliates may provide or have provided banking services or corporate finance to the companies referred to in the report. The knowledge of affiliates concerning such
services may not be reflected in this report. Each of Morgans and CIMB Securities Australia advises that it may earn brokerage, commissions, fees or other benefits and
advantages, direct or indirect, in connection with the making of a recommendation or a dealing by a client in these securities. Some or all of Morgans' Authorised
Representatives may be remunerated wholly or partly by way of commission.
STATUTORY DISCLOSURES
Complete as necessary. Morgans Corporate is co-lead manager to the placement in COK, joint lead manager to COK's share purchase plan and adviser to the independent
directors of BWD and may receive fees in this regard.
RECOMMENDATION STRUCTURE
For a full explanation of the recommendation structure, refer to our website at https://www.morgans.com.au/research_disclaimer.
If you no longer wish to receive Morgans’ publications please advise your local Morgans office or write to Morgans, Reply Paid 202, Brisbane QLD
4001 and include your account details.
010713
11