The Xianfeng currency depreciation: an essay on early modern Chinese monetary policy -Work in progressEH590 Thesis Workshop, LSE Xun YAN I. Introduction The monetary history of early modern civilizations is more or less packed with events of the bullion famine, counterfeit, and issues like bimetallism and debasement. The Xianfeng (Hsien-feng) period (1851-1861) of the late Qing Dynasty had witnessed an explosion of all these issues. The traditional currency system was already delicate before the Emperor Xianfeng ascended his throne in 1851. When the Taiping Rebellion occupied the most prosperous region of China and cut off the government supply of copper from Yunnan, both the currency system and the fiscal taxation system were on the verge of collapse. It was under this situation that many drastic monetary policies took place, and most of them were largely perceived as a failure: new types of currencies circulated at various discounts and the end of the war in the 1860s, most of the monies disappeared from the market.1 However, this case is of particularly interest as many hasty measures of very different natures were adapted including the debasement as well as the introduction of the official paper money. Moreover, these policies were introduced under a traditional monetary system which was only partially controlled by the state. This would raise many questions: from the government perspective, did the debasement achieve its fiscal objective? And from the market perspective, did the currency reform help increase liquidity? Finally, to what extent were people’s daily life affected by the currency depreciation? 1 Kuroda, Akinobu, ‘The collapse of the Chinese Imperial Monetary System’, in Sugihara, Kaoru (ed.), Japan, China, and the Growth of the Asian International Economy, 1850-1949, Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press, 2005, p. 102. 1 This paper is a result of the early stages of a research agenda. It investigates the historical documents and collects data series from various sources in order to show: how was the original fiscal difficulty channelled to the market through inflationary finance and to what extent did the currency reform influence the market behaviour. The rest of the paper is organised into three sections: section II provides a brief accounts of the pre-modern Chinese monetary and fiscal arrangements; section III discusses the monetary measures and how it was perceived by the market especially in the metropolitan area; section IV concludes. II. Historical setting: the pre-modern Chinese monetary and fiscal arrangements By the time of the Qing Dynasty (1644-1911), the pre-modern Chinese monetary arrangements had evolved to a quasi-bimetallic system with copper and silver.2 The state monopolized the minting of traditional copper cash, a full-bodied copper coin bearing the face value of 1 wen (circulation by tale). In large transactions payments, string of copper cash is used.3 The copper cash was minted at the Imperial mints, Baoquan and Baoyuan, as well as some provincial mints with pre-determined quotas. Silver, on the other hand, circulated in various forms of silver ingot without any face value (circulation by weight). Various ‘ghost units’ were adopted in different places for accounting purpose only. In the capital city Beijing (Peking) for example, the unit of account for copper cash was jingqian (metropolitan cash) instead of wen. For silver, there were also many different imaginary units like Kuping tael, Haikwan tael, etc.4 The state had frequently tried, and more than often failed, to fix the exchange rate between silver and copper cash at the ratio of 1 silver tael to 1000 copper cash. Unlike the copper cash, the supply and demand of silver was decided by the market. In this regard, the Qing government exerted only a partial control on the monetary supply of the state. 2 King, Frank, H. H., Money and monetary policy in China, 1845-1895, Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1965, p. 27. 3 A string was valued at a premium. For example, a string of copper cash was worth 1000 cash but normally it contained only around 980 copper cash. Kuroda, Akinobu, ‘The collapse of the Chinese Imperial Monetary System’, in Sugihara, Kaoru (ed.), Japan, China, and the Growth of the Asian International Economy, 1850-1949, Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press, 2005, p. 103. 4 Tael, or liang in Chinese, was used both for the unit of weight (31.25 grams) and for the unit of account. The concept seems similar to that of a ‘pound’ and a ‘pound sterling’. 2 In terms of fiscal revenue, there were three main sources of taxation: the land and population taxes (land and pool tax, and grain tributes), the salt gabelle and the merchandise taxes (maritime and inland tariff). The salt gabelle was insecure with increasing activities in salt smuggling. The maritime and inland tariff was also difficult to collect with numerous local unrests and the ever weakening central power. The land tax and grain tribute was the most important source of income (around 80% of the total government income). The amount of this land tax was fixed as early as in 1712, which rendered the fiscal income extremely rigid. In terms of the government expenditure, around 50% of the expenditure was on defence, and the rest on the salaries of the central government personnel and on the Imperial household expenses.5 The collection and management of the tax revenues were the responsibilities of the Board of Revenues (hubu). All the central government revenues (in monetary forms) were deposited in the Imperial Treasury, a department under the Board of Revenue. Each year, the Treasury compiled a book (the Treasury Records, or hubu yinku huangce) to submit to the Emperor about the information of monetary transaction and the-end-of year money stock. The Board also exerted direct control over the Imperial mints.6 A point worth mentioning is that the copper cash coinage (monopolised by the government) was deposited monthly in the Treasury and was regarded as a source of revenue. Since the early 19th Century, significant economic changes as well as a series of political events took place. The deterioration of the terms of trade resulted in a large outflow of silver and thus a plausible contraction of China’s monetary base. After its defeat in the first Opium War (1840-42), the Qing government paid an indemnity of 21,000,000 Spanish dollars (around 14,700,000 silver tael, while the total central government income in 1842 was 12,508,544 tael). 7 In 1850, the Taiping rebellion broke out and quickly cut off the supply of copper from Yunnan. 1853 the Taipings 5 Chen, Jerome, ‘The Hsien-Feng Inflation’, Bulletin of the School of Oriental and African Studies (1958), 21: pp 578-79. 6 The Baoquan mint was a department under the Board of Revenue, while the Baoyuan mint was a department under the Board of Works (gongbu). However, the provision of copper and the monthly minting quota of both mints were decided by the Board of Revenue. 7 Shi, Zhihong, Statitstics on the income, expenditure and stocks of the Board of Revenue Treasury of the Qing Dynasty (Qingdai hubu yinku shouzhi he kucun tongji), Fuzhou: Fujian People’s Press, 2009, p. 208. 3 occupied Nanjing (Nanking) and the area of Yangtze-delta, and thus deprived the Qing government of its most important area of land tax and grain supply. On the other hand, up to 1853, the expenses for military operations against the Taiping had already amounted to a total of 29,630,000 silver tael,8 III. The Xianfeng currency reform Suggestions on the debasement of coinage and the issuance of the paper notes had been raised frequently during the reign of Daoguang (1821-1850) and were always rejected because of the potential disruption these measures might impose on the traditional system. Eventually during the third year of the reign of Xianfeng (18511861), the monetary reform was introduced under the combined crisis of bullion famine and financial distress. A series of measures of distinct natures were implemented including debasement, the coinage of iron cash, and the issuance of various paper notes. In August 1853, the Imperial mints started the coinage of the ‘big-cash’ (daqian) copper cash coins with face values varying from 5 wen to 1000 wen. As their real intrinsic values (copper content) were not increased at the same proportion, the ‘bigcash’ coinage was a de facto debasement.9 Within less than one year, only the bigcash with 10 wen (dangshi daqian) denomination remained in circulation.10 The iron cash was minted since February 1854. The metallic value of iron cash was even lower and the circulation ceased in 1859.11 Two types of government notes were issued in 1853: the silver note (yinpiao) and the copper notes (baochao). The former was denominated in tael and the latter in wen. The government believed that the notes would circulate side by side with the commodity monies at par, and would therefore ease the monetary stringency which was especially severe in the metropolitan area. Both paper notes were an instant failure and were rarely seen in the market. 8 Peng, Zeyi, Public finance and the Chinese economy during the late 19th Century (Shijiu shiji houbanqi de zhongguo caizheng yu jingji), Beijing: People’s Press, 1983, p. 127. 9 The standard copper cash (zhiqian) weighed 0.12 liang, and was composed of 70% of copper and 30% of lead. The big-cash however, presented a reduction in either relative weight of the coin or the metal fineness, or both. The big-cash with 10-wen denomination also contained 70% of copper, but weighed 0.44 liang only. The big-cash with 1000-wen denomination, weighed only 2 liang, and contained more base metal than the standard cash. 10 Peng, Zeyi, p. 88. 11 King, p. 150. 4 As the capital was then cut off from the rest of the country, and as most of the bigcash and paper notes were used for the government payments in public works, soldiers’ pay and official salaries,12 the new types of money mostly circulated in the capital area. The big-cash and the official paper notes appeared to have the most significant impact in the market. With the help of some data information from the Treasury Records and other sources, this paper tries examine the total note issue of the Xianfeng period, as well as these two inflationary measures through several angles. 3.1 The note issue and the money supply The original records of the coinage at the Imperial mints might be lost forever. Fortunately, as the newly minted coins were all deposited in the Treasury, the minting volumes (monthly and annual) could be traced back in the Treasury Records. Since 1854, the Treasury Records also included the information on the volumes of Baochao printed each month. The data in the Treasury Records is nevertheless troublesome and frequently deceptive. For example, every month, the copper cash minted by the Imperial mints were recorded by their total nominal values (in string). It is therefore almost impossible to tell how many of them were standard copper cash, and how many of them were debased big-cash with much higher denominations. To make things worse, many volumes of the Treasury Records were lost. For the eleven years of the reign of Xianfeng, only seven years of the income information and four years of the expenditure information could be found in the archive. The annual coinage and note issues from 1851 to 1861 (Fig. 1) shows that with the coinage debasement in late 1853, the nominal value of copper cash minted climbed upwards and exceeded the average casting volume of normal years (1851 and 1852) for three years. The minting output seemed to decline afterwards, probably due to the increasing difficulty of obtaining copper. The total value of the big-cash, however, was minute compared to the note issue. Information from some official memorials show that the nominal value of the total coinage is 11,090,500 string while the total note issue of Baochao and Jingqianpiao reaches 76,560,948 string by the end of 1861.13 12 13 Ibid, p. 153. Peng, Zeyi, pp. 81-83, 115. 5 Estimates suggest that during 1840-50 the nationwide total money in circulation is around 187,130,879 strings of copper cash and 326,961,350 tael of silver. Given that Beijing had around 1-3 % of the total population, the total money in circulation in Beijing at the beginning of the 1850s would be around 1,871,309-5,613,926 strings of copper cash and 3,269,614-9,808,841 tael of silver. In this case, the monetary increase of the Xianfeng period would have a huge impact on the total money supply. 3.2 The big-cash Debasement is the most frequently resorted method of increasing seigniorage revenues in many pre-modern states. In China, the mechanism is slightly different. As the state dominates the copper mines and thus the supply of copper, a reduction of the metallic content of a coin would not induce an increase in minting volume. However, since the Chinese state minted the coins and put them into circulation through government payments and official salaries, the nominal value of the total coinage (less the cost of brassage) would be the seigniorage revenue in the Chinese case. The minting of debased coinage started in 1853. The copper cash was traditionally a highly uniformed money bearing almost the same weight and same face-value (1 wen), and now there were copper coins with different weight and various denominations ranging from 5 to 1000 wen. The big-cash with 10-wen denomination is the most widely circulated. Big cash with other denominations were stopped minting before the end of 1854 and were rarely seen in the market. The annual coinage in Figure 1 is indicative of the minting volume of the big cash: the minting volume reached its peak probably in 1854 and 1855, and then declined. With the weight of 0.44 liang, the intrinsic value of the 10-wen big-cash would worth roughly 4 wen (4 standard cash). If both the big-cash and the standard cash were forced to circulate at their face values, the standard cash would be driven out of the market. However, if monies could circulate at their intrinsic values, then the Gresham’s Law would not apply. Only very scattered information could be found on the exchange rates between the big-cash and the 10-wen denomination big-cash (Fig. 3). Within one year of its introduction, the market price of the big-cash depreciated to around 6 wen, which was still higher than its intrinsic metal price. The big-cash might derive this high price from its value of exchange as coins with higher denomination 6 were more convenient to use. Some inexplicable phenomenon occurred in 1856 and again in 1861: the market price of the big cash declined to merely 2 wen, which was only half of its intrinsic value. There are several possible explanations: there might be further debasements of the big-cash in terms of weight or fineness; or maybe because the market was full of big-cash that coins with smaller denomination (i.e. the standard cash) were valued more. Further evidences are needed in order to solve this puzzle. 3.3 The government paper notes: yinpiao, baochao and jingqianpiao As shown in Figure 1, the most harmful type of money appeared during this period were perhaps the government paper notes. The government issued two types of paper notes: yinpiao and baochao. Yinpiao was denominated in tael and was seen by the government as the substitute for silver, while baochao was denominated in string and was regarded as the substitute for strings of copper cash. Both these notes were printed under the direction of the Board of Revenues and used in all sorts of government expenditure. Issued openly without any backing or any promise of convertibility to real precious metals. These two notes met instant rejection in the market. Yinpiao is rarely spotted in the Treasury Records, and almost never appeared in any descriptive document of the market. This might suggest that yinpiao was not at all recoganized in the market and was therefore abandoned by the government at a very early stage. Baochao fared no better. No evidence shows that these notes ever circulated in the market and some contemporary diaries stated that baochao were not recognised by the shops and were almost useless. After several weeks of the note issue, the government recognised the circulation difficulty and tried to fix this problem by establishing another financial institution, the guanqianju. Inspired by the wide circulation of paper notes issued by private native banks, the government established several official banks (to be more precise, the official money exchange shops) or guanqianju. These banks operated in a semiofficial way. They issued paper notes either without any backing or backed with insufficient reserves. These notes were called jingqianpiao (metropolitan cash notes) as they were denominated in jingqian, the most popular accounting unit in Beijing area, in order to appeal to the market. Holders of baochao could come to the official 7 banks to exchange their government notes for monies like the big-cash, though most of the time what they could receive were jingqianpiao. Through this mechanism, the government was able to continue issuing large quantities of baochao in the form of government expenditure throughout the Xianfeng period since 1854. Later the government directly deposited (normally in the form of big cash or iron cash) in these official banks in exchange for certain amount of jingqianpiao and used them directly in the payment of soldiers’ salaries. Although the amount of baochao and jingqianpiao in government expenditure might serve as an estimate on the minimum amount of jingqianpiao circulating in Beijing, the total number of jingqianpiao issued by those official banks would be difficult to track. What is certain is that jingqianpiao depreciated quickly in the market. The original value of the jingqianpiao was fixed at 2,000 jingqian per silver tael. However, its exchange rates against 1 silver tael fluctuated greatly and hit as high as 45,000 jingqian per silver tael (Figure 4). The exchange rate declined steadily since the mid1861 and was stabilised at around 12,000 jingqian per tael in the mid-1860s. Despite the fact that jingqianpiao was but a paper without any intrinsic value, the figures show that it was recognized as a means of payment, and it continued to circulate even after the Xianfeng period. The continued use of the official paper notes might be due to the real bullion shortage in the metropolitan area. IV. Concluding remarks The preliminary findings show that through the inflationary finance the government did temporarily manage to cover its fiscal deficit and at least, to keep the functioning of the central government. However, the monetary measures could only be enforced within the metropolitan area. After the mid-1860s when the Taiping rebellion was supressed, the issuance of the debased monies and paper notes was suspended (except for the coinage of the big cash). Nevertheless, the fiscal and monetary evolution (decentralisation) was set in motion: the government resorted to foreign loans instead of currency depreciation to meet its fiscal needs. Local markets in turn invented their own means for overcoming a shortage of metallic supply, of which the foreign silver dollar is an example. 8 References: Chen, Jerome, ‘The Hsien-Feng Inflation’, Bulletin of the School of Oriental and African Studies (1958), 21: pp 578-586. King, Frank, H. H., Money and monetary policy in China, 1845-1895, Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1965. Shi, Zhihong, Statitstics on the income, expenditure and stocks of the Board of Revenue Treasury of the Qing Dynasty (Qingdai hubu yinku shouzhi he kucun tongji), Fuzhou: Fujian People’s Press, 2009. Sugihara, Kaoru (ed.), Japan, China, and the Growth of the Asian International Economy, 1850-1949, Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press, 2005. Treasury Records of the Board of Revenue, copies in the Library of the Department of Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Science, Beijing. The Financial Archive Division of the People’s Bank of China, Selected archive in modern Chinese monetary history, Vol. I. Late Qing Period (1840-1911), (Zhongguo jindai huobishi ziliao), Beijing: Zhonghua Book Company, 1964, p. 202. Peng, Xinwei, Chinese Monetary History (Zhongguo huobi shi), Shanghai: Qunlian Press, 1954. Peng, Zeyi, Public finance and the Chinese economy during the late 19th Century (Shijiu shiji houbanqi de zhongguo caizheng yu jingji), Beijing: People’s Press, 1983. 9 Appendix Fig 1. Annual coinage and note issue (1851-61), unit: string Fig 2. Composition of the note issue 16000000 14000000 12000000 Jingpiao 10000000 Baochao 8000000 Iron cash 6000000 Baoquan Baoyuan 4000000 2000000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 8 9 10 11 Fig 3. Market price of big cash in terms of standard copper cash, unit: wen. Fig 4. Exchange rates between silver and the jingqianpiao notes. 11 Fig 5. The copper cash price of big-cash, jingqianpiao, iron cash and the unit of account (jingqian), index number, 1853=100. Fig 6. The silver price of copper cash, big-cash, jingqianpiao, iron cash and the unit of account (jingqian), index number, 1853=100. 12
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