Journal of Oceanography, Vol. 57, pp. 723 to 734, 2001 The Spring Phytoplankton Bloom in the Coastal Temperate Ocean: Growth Criteria and Seeding from Shallow Embayments DEBBY IANSON 1*, S TEPHEN POND 1 and TIMOTHY P ARSONS2 1 2 Earth and Ocean Sciences Department, University of British Columbia, BC Canada Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney, BC Canada (Received 19 December 2000; in revised form 12 July 2001; accepted 28 August 2001) A method based on time-series of conductivity, temperature and depth (CTD) profiles which successfully determines favourable phytoplankton growth conditions for the spring bloom in nearshore temperate coastal waters was developed. The potential for shallow embayments to influence phytoplankton species composition in larger adjacent waters was also investigated. At temperate latitudes, such embayments should have favourable phytoplankton growth conditions earlier in the spring than open waters as bathymetry limits vertical mixing and thus increases light availability. The study area was Nanoose Bay, which is connected to the Strait of Georgia, British Columbia. Data were collected 2–3 times per week during the winter-spring of 1992 and 1993. A mooring with 5 current meters was placed at the mouth of the bay in 1992. The conservation equation for a scalar was used to estimate the balance between advective transport and biological source and sink terms. Variability in physical conditions and biological response between years was tremendous. Results indicate that seeding from the bay was not possible in 1992 but could have been in 1993. However, to conclusively determine the importance of Nanoose Bay on the spring bloom species composition in the Strait of Georgia, more extensive work is required. Keywords: ⋅ Phytoplankton, ⋅ spring bloom, ⋅ seeding, ⋅ embayments, ⋅ advection, ⋅ flushing, ⋅ diatoms, ⋅ resting spores, ⋅ coastal, ⋅ temperate. able to phytoplankton. Furthermore, embayments with limited advective exchange can retain phytoplankton for time scales longer than their generation time and provide warmer temperatures for accelerated photosynthesis and germination (Parsons et al., 1973; Garrison, 1984). Thus, shallow embayments are likely to form seed populations or inoccula for surrounding waters. Resuspension of spores from the sediments can occur when the bay is mixed to the bottom. In the spring conditions for germination and growth should be favourable earlier than in adjacent (deeper) waters. Advective flux from the bay could deliver cells to seed a bloom outside the bay. Some commonly occurring phytoplankton species are harmful to penned fish, particularly certain species of Chaetoceros (Bell et al., 1974; Taylor, 1993). Thus, predicting phytoplankton species composition in coastal areas is important to aquaculture. Monitoring phytoplankton in an embayment could provide an easy way to forecast bloom species in surrounding waters. Coastal spring bloom dynamics were investigated, focusing on the potential of shallow embayments to influence species composition, for the bloom in the Strait of Georgia in the vicinity of Nanoose Bay, British Co- 1. Introduction In temperate oceans a strong spring phytoplankton bloom occurs when light availability is high enough for phytoplankton to use abundant nutrients which have been mixed up during the winter (Sverdrup, 1953). These blooms are dominated by diatoms, many of which have the ability to form resting spores (Hargraves and French, 1983; Garrison, 1984). Little is known about mechanisms for seeding diatom blooms, although in coastal regions of the temperate ocean, spores are likely to be important (Garrison, 1984). Gran (1912) provided the original hypothesis for seeding neritic diatom blooms. It involves the formation and sinking of resting spores when conditions become unfavourable for the diatoms, resuspension, then germination when conditions are again favourable. In coastal waters, shallow areas exist where vertical mixing is limited by bathymetry, making light more avail* Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected] * Present address: Department of Oceanography, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, U.S.A. Copyright © The Oceanographic Society of Japan. 723 and factors affecting phytoplankton growth in the study area before and during the onset of the spring bloom. Fig. 1. Nanoose Bay and the Strait of Georgia with all sampling locations. Ballenas and Entrance Islands lighthouses are marked by B and E, respectively, on the inset. lumbia (Fig. 1). In the Strait, Yin et al. (1997) and St. John et al. (1993) have shown that the principal influences that trigger the onset of the spring bloom are strong stratification associated with the spring freshet from the Fraser River and the absence of local wind-mixing. There have been no studies of which we are aware that investigate the seeding of the spring bloom in the Strait, although Haigh and Taylor (1990b) have suggested that sheltered bays in the northern Strait may be seed beds for cystforming, flagellated phytoplankton that bloom later in the year. There are many studies on the species that bloom in the Strait (e.g. Harrison et al., 1983; Haigh and Taylor, 1990a). The spring bloom is dominated by diatoms namely Thalassiosira spp., Skeletonema costatum followed by Chaetoceros spp. and many others (Harrison et al., 1983). Nanoose Bay, located on the eastern side of the central Strait of Georgia, was chosen as a potential seed bed (Fig. 1). It is quite large, about 5 km2 , and is directly connected to the Strait of Georgia via a narrow (approximately 0.5 km) opening. The bay is shallow enough (about 25 m deep) to be mixed to the bottom during strong wind conditions typical of winter and early spring. Currents between the bay and the adjacent Strait appear to be density driven, wind driven and tidal, but are not strong (Ianson, 1994). Fresh water input to Nanoose Bay is minimal from several small creeks mainly near its mouth (pers. obs.). 2. Materials and Methods The sampling program was designed to measure advective transport, phytoplankton species composition 724 D. Ianson et al. 2.1 Field sampling In 1992, 3 stations were sampled—inside the bay Nan 10, at the mouth of the bay Nan 20 and outside (but nearby) the bay Nan 30 (Fig. 1). In 1993, 4 stations were added (Fig. 1) to increase spatial resolution particularly at the mouth of the bay so that horizontal gradients could be estimated. A fifth shallow water station was added to observe resting spores. Samples were taken 2–3 times per week. In 1992, sampling began January 27 (Jday 27) and ended March 21 (Jday 81). The 1993 study began February 4 (Jday 35) and ended April 13 (Jday 103). Longer sampling was necessary in 1993 as strong southeasterly winds suppressed a bloom in the Strait. A total of 54 water samples were taken in 1992 and 140 in 1993. Water samples were drawn using a 3 m integrated pipe sampler (Sutherland et al., 1992) and 100 ml forced through a Whatman GF/F filter (nominal pore size, 0.7 µ m) (Parsons et al., 1984). Nutrient analysis (nitrate, phosphate and, in 1992 only, silicate and ammonium) of the filtrate was done using a Technicon AutoanalyzerTM. The methods of Parsons et al. (1984) were used for chlorophyll analysis (on filter). For species composition, a 60 ml glass jar was filled, fixed with Lugol’s iodine solution and analyzed using an inverted microscope (100X and 400X magnification depending on size of phytoplankton). Samples were settled for 24 h in 10 or 25 ml settling chambers. Density profiles were taken using an Inter Ocean S4 current meter as a CTD (Ianson, 1994). All casts were done to 20 m, which is nearly to the bottom at stations 10 through 15, and then to 40 m in 1993 at station 30 on the outside to observe the structure in the deeper water of the adjacent Strait. The S4 was set to sample continuously at 5 s intervals. To calculate the extinction coefficient, k, Secchi disc depth was measured at each station. Integrated (24 h) values of solar radiation were measured using a pyranometer placed on a piling in Nanoose Bay. 2.1.1 Mooring data On January 27, 1992 a mooring was placed near the mouth of Nanoose Bay at station Nan 20 (Fig. 1) to measure the advective exchange in and out of the bay. The location of the mooring was chosen to be just outside of the bay to avoid possible difficulties with boat traffic entering the bay, especially log booms during storms. Inter Ocean S4 current meters were placed at 2, 4, 7, 12 and 20 m below the surface. It was expected that most variation in the currents would appear near the top of the water column as was found in Knight Inlet (Baker and Pond, 1995). The S4s were set to record conductivity, temperature and a 1 min vector averaged velocity every 10 min 24 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • sigma-t 22 23 1993 CTD • • • • • • 21 • • • 1992 mooring 1992 CTD 20 • 60 80 100 -10 -5 FI (km/day) sigma-t 21.5 0 22.5 40 7m 40 60 80 -15 20.5 sigma-t mooring flushing index 100 Julian day Fig. 2. 1992 and 1993 density time series at 7 m to indicate intervals during which the current directions were into the bay. 1992 CTD data are shown with the processed mooring density time series and also the flushing index (FI) at that depth. Negative flushing indices represent times when currents were into the bay. (Ianson, 1994). Wind data were taken at 10 min intervals by an Aanderra system (anemometer, compass and thermometer) mounted 4 m above the sea surface on the Geodyne buoy of the mooring. 2.2 Analysis and calculations 2.2.1 Mooring data processing Salinity and σt were calculated using the practical salinity scale and the international equation of state (Pond and Pickard, 1983). Velocity data were rotated to correct for the magnetic declination (22 degrees at Nanoose Bay). Possible spikes were removed and averaged (Ianson, 1994) to give hourly values. Harmonic analysis was done to calculate the amplitudes of tidal frequencies (Ianson, 1994). The diurnal and semi-diurnal tidal contributions to the current and density records were then subtracted yielding residual time series. To remove any high frequency energy still present in the records a moving 25 h average was used. 2.2.2 Wind Anemometer wind direction was calculated from the mooring compass and the anemometer wind vane. These data were averaged yielding hourly values (Ianson, 1994). Unfortunately the anemometer failed to record data for the first 40 d that it was deployed, which happened to be the portion of the record with stronger winds. For a complete wind record, lighthouse data from Environment Canada were obtained from both Ballenas and Entrance Islands, on either side of Nanoose Bay (Fig. 1). All of the wind records were filtered. A 25 h running average was used for the hourly winds and a 24 h running average for the 3 hourly lighthouse data. Lagged cross-correlations were done between the anemometer data and each of Ballenas and Entrance Islands wind records for both u and v components (Ianson, 1994). In the u direction (in and out of the bay) the wind correlation was the highest (r2 = 0.74) for the Ballenas Island data. Therefore the Ballenas data were used for both the 1992 and 1993 seasons. 2.2.3 Estimating currents in 1993 We wanted a proxy for currents in 1993 when we did not have a mooring deployed. We tried to find a correlation matrix between Ballenas wind data and residual currents. Straight correlations were very poor at all time lags (r2 < 0.3). We expected the direction of the wind at Ballenas not to be the same as the direction of the current that it produced at the mooring site mainly because of bathymetry. In the field for example, a wind blowing to the northwest in the Strait was directed by topography to blow forcibly westward into the bay. The data were rotated to find their principal axes (Ianson, 1994). Winds had a strong principal axis in the northwest/southeast direction as expected. Currents however were nearly isotropic above 20 m. To be thorough, currents were rotated over 100 steps and correlated to the principal axis of the Ballenas Island wind. All correlations were poor with Temperate Coastal Spring Phytoplankton Bloom 725 r2 < 0.4 for current directions in and out of the bay and current lagging wind. No extrapolation of 1993 currents from wind data was possible. Local wind was not the only important forcing in the residual circulation. We looked at the density time series at Nan 20 to see the influence of horizontal density gradients on the residual currents. At all depths above 12 m during periods of sustained inflow to the bay there was a large density decrease (Ianson, 1994). Positive changes in surface density occurred during periods where there was surface outflow or little or no exchange. Such changes could represent mixing events as well as outflow. The 7 m record (Fig. 2) was chosen to infer current direction at inside stations as it had a strong signal and less high frequency noise than the 2 and 4 m data. Thus large negative changes in σt7 indicated times when surface currents were into the bay. Positive changes in σt7 put no restriction on current direction. In 1993, σt7 was measured by CTD casts and the frequency of casts was twice as high as in 1992 (Fig. 2). For the outside stations wind data were used to infer current direction in 1993. The correlation between the principal component of the Ballenas wind and current in 1992 was higher in the v current direction (0.5 at 2 and 4 m) at Nan 20 and may be higher further outside of the bay. The correlation is not strong, however, it was used only to indicate direction. 2.2.4 Flushing index for Nanoose Bay A running integral of the current data (∫0 tu(t)dt units of distance) shows that transport in one direction was often maintained over a time period long enough for several or more km to pass consecutively (Ianson, 1994). Scaling the length of the bay by a width factor (W bayW mouth–1) to account for stronger flow through the narrows, a distance of 5 km was determined to be reasonable for one complete flushing. Using this distance as a limit, an index was determined. First u(t) was integrated with respect to time. The integral started at t1 and continued adding u(t)dt until 5 km (a complete flushing of that layer) was reached or just exceeded at t 2. This integral (value 5 km or greater) was then divided by the time interval that it was calculated over as follows. Flushing index = 1 t2 − t1 ∫t u(t )dt. t2 1 (1) -5 0 5 2m 40 60 80 100 80 100 80 100 60 80 100 60 80 100 0 4m 0 (km/day) -5 -10 12 m 0 40 20 m -10 (km/day) 40 0 5 -15 7m 5 (km/day) Flushing Index -10 (km/day) 5 (km/day) 10 It was calculated as a function of t 1. Once the sum of u(t)dt added to 5 km the integral was set back to zero and restarted from t1 + dt. Therefore for each time in the record there is a corresponding index associated with the beginning of that time interval. The index is negative or positive for advection in or out of the bay respectively. 40 Julian day Fig. 3. A phytoplankton flushing index, 1/(t2–t1){ ∫ u(t )dt }, as a function of t1 for five depths. The negative values are into the t2 t1 bay and positive values are out of the bay. 726 D. Ianson et al. Figure 3 shows the flushing index (units km·d–1) as a function of time for each depth. If the bay is flushed in a time scale faster than the generation time of phytoplankton, an increase in primary productivity will not occur in the bay. Considering the doubling time of phytoplankton to be around 2 d (Parsons et al., 1973), a flushing index with the magnitude of 2.5 km·d–1 provides a ceiling for phytoplankton growth. A flushing index larger than that corresponds to a complete exchange in a short time interval and an unfavourable period for phytoplankton growth. 2.2.5 Vertical mixing First mixed layer depths were calculated using the approach of Freeland and Farmer (1980). The density structure was approximated by a two layer system which has the same potential energy and first mode internal wave speed as the actual structure; σt at 2 m was used for the density of the upper layer. Both up and down casts were used and the results of each were averaged. Occasionally the upper layer density had to be changed to that of a shallower depth. Density gradients still existed within the region that was assumed to be well mixed so a gradient Richardson number (Pond and Pickard, 1983) was used to estimate the velocity shear necessary for turbulent mixing to occur within that region. The calculated velocity shear was compared to instantaneous measured velocity shears at (a) Nan 20 (Ianson, 1994) to determine whether phytoplankton were being mixed over the region. 2.2.6 Critical depth Critical depths were calculated at two day intervals (the time scale of phytoplankton growth) combining Secchi disc depths (Ds) and radiation measurements using the equations and constants of Parsons et al. (1973). A cubic spline was used to determine Secchi disc depths at two day intervals and a running two day average was used for solar radiation (Ianson, 1994). Values for reflectance of PAR at 50° N were from Campbell and Aarup (1989). The extinction coefficient was increased by a factor of 2 to make it correspond to PAR rather than blue light (λ = 450 nm) as measured by D s. The compensation light intensity used was the upper limit, 29 µmol·m–2·s –1, of its range (Parsons et al., 1973). The calculated critical depths were thus a minimum and were used for qualitative comparison of relative light availability only. 2.2.7 Phytoplankton growth criteria Based on low phytoplankton abundances after advective and grazing effects were removed (see below, Eq. (4)), a shallower mixed layer depth compared to the critical depth did not provide favourable phytoplankton growth conditions (i.e. phytoplankton growth rate, µ > 0.5 d–1) in our study area. (Note that we are concerned principally with diatoms as they are the dominant group of phytoplankton during the spring bloom (Harrison et (b) 0 0 NAN 10 NAN 10 5 5 Depth (m) Depth (m) NAN 10 10 15 NAN 10 10 15 Feb 18, 1992 Feb 25, 1992 Feb 25, 1993 March 1, 1993 20 Feb 4, 1992 Feb 11, 1992 20 19 20 21 sigma-t 22 22.6 22.8 23.0 sigma-t 23.2 12 14 16 18 sigma-t Feb 22, 1993 Feb 25, 1993 20 22 22.4 22.6 22.8 23.0 23.2 sigma-t Fig. 4. Density structure time series: for two time intervals during which phytoplankton growth conditions were (a) favourable ( µ > 0.5) in 1992 between Jdays 49 (Feb. 18) and 56 (Feb. 25) and in 1993 between Jdays 56 (Feb. 25) and 60 (Mar. 1) and (b) unfavourable ( µ < 0.2–0.5) in 1992 between Jdays 35 (Feb. 4) and 42 (Feb. 11) and in 1993 between Jdays 53 (Feb. 22) and 56 (Feb. 25) (Table 1). Temperate Coastal Spring Phytoplankton Bloom 727 al., 1983).) Thus an alternate set of criteria were developed from the change in density profiles with time. A limit of the change in the mean density gradient over the entire profile with respect to time was set. ∆ ∆σ t ≥ 0. ∆t ∆z (2a ) As z is depth positive downward, the more stratified the water column becomes the more positive ∆/∆t(∆σt/∆z) is. A non-negative value of ∆/∆t(∆σt/∆z) was therefore considered a necessary stability criterion for non-mixing conditions. Secondly the change in σt at 20 m (the lower limit of most casts) with respect to time was used to indicate whether or not the same water mass was present. ∆ (σ t 20 ) < 0.05. ∆t (2b) A large change in σt20 would indicate new water and thus unfavourable growth conditions (µ < 0.02–0.5 d –1). The upper limit was set at 0.05 kg·m –3·d –1 using the 1992 profiles at Nan 20 so that a direct comparison with the mooring was possible (Ianson, 1994). These two criteria form a minimum requirement for favourable phytoplankton growth conditions in our study area. Typical examples of favourable and unfavourable growth periods are shown in Fig. 4. For each condition (favourable and unfavourable) a well-stratified and a well-mixed example are given. 2.3 Calculation of advective transport To determine whether or not a bloom is seeded other than in situ, the general conservation equation for the rate of change of a scalar in a fluid was used. ∂C = −∇ ⋅ uC + κ∇ 2 C + Σ(Sources + Sinks). ∂t (3) C is a scalar quantity of interest, u is the vector current velocity and κ is the diffusivity. This equation describes changes in C at a fixed location. It states that the change in C with time is due to the net amount of C that is advected, or is diffused, to or from that location and the sum of any sources and sinks present. The sources and sinks come from biological influences and are discussed below. Advection usually dominates turbulent (and molecular) diffusion in coastal situations (Hansen and Rattray, 1966), with the exception of areas where strong tidal currents and thus intense mixing exist. Tidal currents at Nanoose Bay are not strong (i.e. around 2 cm·s–1). It is therefore assumed that turbulent diffusion is negligible 728 D. Ianson et al. compared to advection. Vertical gradients were not sampled and since velocity in the vertical is much less than velocity in the horizontal these terms were neglected. Equation (3) was evaluated by considering one dimension only, with derivatives calculated as averages over a single time interval. dC dC = −u + C(t )( µ − z − b − s) dt dx ( 4) where µ is the phytoplankton growth rate, z and b are grazing by zooplankton and oysters respectively and s is phytoplankton mortality. Terms in Eq. (4) were evaluated as follows. C − Ci1 ∂C = i2 ∂x i t2 − t1 (5a ) 1 Ci1 − C(i −1)1 + Ci 2 − C(i −1)2 ∂C = ∂x i 4 x i − x i −1 + Ci (t ) = Ci 2 + Ci1 . 2 C(i +1)1 − Ci1 + C(i +1)2 − Ci 2 x i +1 − x i ( 5b ) (5c) The indices i and j denote location and time respectively. For locations, i was considered increasing in the negative x-direction. Derivatives were calculated centred on one time interval so j was 1 or 2, the beginning and end of that interval respectively. At end stations, such as Nan 10, the spatial gradient at the boundary was assumed to be zero. Nan 25 was used as an end point for calculations involving both inside and outside stations (Fig. 1). For inside stations (Nan 10–20) the x-direction was eastwest (positive moving out of the bay). For the outside stations (Nan 25–30), the x-direction was essentially northwest-southeast, increasing in the northwest direction. To put more restrictions on the equations the sum of rates ( µ – b – z – s) was the same for each inside station and also for each outside station over a given time interval. The rates depend mainly on phytoplankton growth conditions. Velocities u were also required to be of the same order and direction at adjacent stations and equal within the narrows (Nan 12, 15, 20). A range for the sum ( µ – b – z – s) was chosen using reasonable estimates for each rate. Afterwards, the corresponding range of velocities required to satisfy Eq. (4) was calculated and compared either with current data or tering rates which are of the same order of magnitude ibid. The result was a range in b of 0.2–0.5 d –1 within Nanoose Bay. The rate requires that the oysters are being continually supplied with new water, and thus fresh phytoplankton. Given the density profiles in 1993 and the current data in 1992, this assumption seems reasonable. Where phytoplankton growth conditions were poor, a maximum decay rate due to sinking or cell death (s) was set at 0.1 d–1 (Ianson, 1994). When growth conditions were favourable this rate was assumed negligible when compared with µ in the calculation. 3. Results and Discussion 1000 3.1 1992 The circulation in the bay was dominated by the Fraser River during the study period in 1992. The surface water of the Strait of Georgia was fresher than in the bay causing surface inflow to the bay and deep outflow, thus the bay behaved as a negative estuary. Current data show that at 4, 7 and 12 m the net flow was inwards, while at 2 and 20 m currents fluctuated resulting in a net flow near zero (Ianson, 1994). We assume that the outflow necessary to ensure mass continuity occurred below -1000 0 Ballenas Island Wind Nitrate (uM) 50 0 5 10 20 SE (cm/s) NW the proxies discussed above. Equation (4) was used in this manner to test the seeding hypothesis over each time interval in the data. 2.3.1 Choice of biological rates If phytoplankton growth conditions were favourable, µ was 0.5–1.5 d–1 based on water temperature. If conditions were unfavourable, µ was <0.2 d –1 (Harrison and Platt, 1986). The upper limit for z was chosen using a maximum concentration of copepods of 2 L–1 of the dominant copepod Neocalanus plumchrus during the spring in the Strait of Georgia (Parsons et al., 1969) and a maximum filtering rate for each animal of 200 ml·d–1 (Parsons et al., 1973). Considering the time for 2 copepods to filter 1/e L, z was 1 d –1. At low phytoplankton concentrations zooplankton do not graze (Parsons and LeBrasseur, 1970). Thus the range for z was 0–1 d –1. The oyster concentration was observed to be 30 m –2 on the shoreline and in the shallows of the bay. Using this concentration for all depths in the bay yields an upper limit of 83 million oysters. Their filtering rates were taken to be the same as that of mussels in 8.5°C water at Friday Harbor (from Conover, 1978). Oysters and mussels are classified in the same habitat group and have fil- NAN 10 NAN 30 30 • • Skeletonema • • • • •• •• •• • • • • • • •• •• •• •• • •• •• •• 0 -10 -5 (km/day) Critical depth NAN 10 NAN 30 5 0 (cells/ml) 100 200 300 0 10 (m) NAN 10 NAN 30 2m 4m 40 Flushing Index 50 60 70 80 Julian day Fig. 5. 1992 time series of phytoplankton concentration (Skeletonema) and factors influencing phytoplankton growth for stations Nan 10 (inside the bay) and Nan 30 (outside the bay). The critical depth and nitrate concentration are shown for both stations along with the flushing index (defined in Methods) and the principal component of the Ballenas Island wind (positive is towards NW). The dashed line at 25 m on the critical depth panel is the maximum depth of the bay. Note that S. costatum concentrations at Nan 30 rise to 3900 ml –1 (outside the range shown on the plot) on Jday 80. Temperate Coastal Spring Phytoplankton Bloom 729 20 m. Currents at Nan 20 were not correlated with wind but were related to changes in density such that decreases in density occurred during periods of sustained inflow. Phytoplankton concentrations were very low at all stations (chla < 0.5 µg·L–1) until day 69 when the spring bloom began and chla rose to 10–15 µ g·L–1 at all stations. Figure 5 shows a time series of phytoplankton concentration at Nan 10 and Nan 30 with other measurements which may influence phytoplankton growth. Concentrations of Skeletonema costatum are shown as it was the dominant phytoplankter during 1992 and it was representative of diatom genera (Ianson, 1994). Species composition was similar at all stations. This time series begins just before phytoplankton concentrations increased and is truncated just after the apparent onset of the spring bloom. Note that at Nan 30 the concentrations of S. costatum after day 80 rise to 3900 ml –1, well outside the range shown on panel 4 of Fig. 5. Light was not limiting at any time or location according to estimated critical depths (D c), which were roughly the same for all stations (Fig. 5, panel 3). D c did not begin to drop until approximately one week after the bloom began when high concentrations of phytoplankton began to limit light penetration which invalidates the Dc model. During the entire period the density structure at all locations was well stratified. Calculated mixed depths were less than 12 m everywhere. Often there was strong stratification at the surface as in the first example of Fig. 4, thus the velocity shear over this depth, which would be necessary for turbulent mixing was large, indicating very limited vertical mixing of phytoplankton. Profiles at a given location did change with time suggesting advection as measured by the current meters and often flushing of the bay occurred more rapidly than phytoplankton could grow (Fig. 3). During 1992 Nanoose Bay did not provide the seed stock for the spring phytoplankton bloom in the Strait of Georgia. Phytoplankton growth conditions were not favourable inside the bay before they were in the Strait with the exception of one time interval. During this interval, day 49 through 55, the phytoplankton concentration increased inside the bay as the flushing index (Fig. 3) was low enough and the phytoplankton growth criteria (Table 1) were met. This increase was the only appreciable one before a strong bloom in the Strait occurred. The current data showed that during this time there was a weak inflow, with the exception of a one day interval around day 48 at 2 m (at 4 m there was always net inflow). This event was terminated by a negative flushing index indicating that net transport was into the bay at the surface. It is likely that phytoplankton were grazed by oysters and flushed out of the bay at depth. Moreover all stations had similar species composition at all times and the dominant plankton in the Strait of Georgia bloom was present there in small concentrations from the beginning of the study. Table 1. Phytoplankton growth parameters determined from CTD profiles for Nan 10. For favourable growth conditions it is suggested that over the interval ∆t, both ∆/∆t(∆σ t/∆z) must be positive and |∆/∆t( σt20)| < 0.05. Favourable parameters are listed in bold. Parameters can be compared with time intervals in composite Figs. 5 and 6. 730 D. Ianson et al. The large increase in phytoplankton concentration at Nan 30 began on day 65 and was much stronger than in Nanoose Bay. In the bay concentrations did not begin to rise until after day 65; an increase was found on day 69 (the next sampling date). Up to day 67 the flow at 2 and 4 m was into the bay. At this time the circulation coupled with the high oyster population in Nanoose Bay suggest that the bay acted as a phytoplantkon sink (rather than a source) with respect to the Strait. -500 500 Ballenas Island Wind 20 Nitrate 10 (uM) 30 SE (cm/s) NW 3.2 1993 In 1993 density profiles were well mixed and surface waters denser (more saline) than in 1992 (Fig. 4). The bay did not appear to behave as a negative estuary. Waters were much more homogeneous in time and based on the phytoplankton growth parameters (see Methods) there was little advection. The residual circulation was expected to reflect winds more strongly. Inside the bay phytoplankton concentrations were higher throughout the experiment than in 1992, by at least an order of magnitude. In the Strait no large increase in phytoplankton occurred as it did in 1992. Concentrations were generally steady in time and moderately large compared to the early part of the 1992 record. It was found that samples at Nan 10, 12, 15 and 20 were all similar and representative of inside stations (Ianson, 1994). Samples from Nan 25, 27 and 30 were representative of outside stations. Figure 6 shows the principal component of the Ballenas Island wind, nitrate concentrations, critical depths, Chaetoceros debilis concentrations (all at Nan 10 and 30), and σt7 at Nan 20 in place of the 1992 flushing indices. During the 1993 season C. debilis dominated the phytoplankton community; however, species composition was not similar between inside and outside stations. The proportion of S. costatum and Thalassiosira spp. to Chaetoceros spp. was higher in the outside stations (Ianson, 1994). In Nanoose Bay density profiles were always mixed to the bottom (20 m) with the exception of the last sampling date (day 96) (Ianson, 1994). In the Strait the extent of vertical mixing was deeper than 40 m (the depth of the CTD cast) until the last sampling date when the calculated mixed depth was 20 m. Although calculated critical depths (Fig. 6) were generally large, light was limiting outside the bay due to the extent of vertical mixing. Inside the bay Dc was usually greater than the depth of the bay. Phytoplankton shading caused Dc to decrease at times and may have caused decreases in C. debilis concentration. Nitrate fluctuated with phytoplankton concentration but only became limiting at inside stations at the Critical depth 40 NAN 10 NAN 30 5000 0 NAN 10 NAN 30 2000 C. debilis 23.0 7 m sigma-t at NAN 20 22.6 sigma-t 0 (cells/ml) 20 (m) 60 0 NAN 10 NAN 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Julian day Fig. 6. 1993 time series of phytoplankton concentration (Chaetoceros debilis) and factors influencing phytoplankton growth for stations Nan 10 (inside the bay) and Nan 30 (outside the bay). The critical depth and nitrate concentration are shown for both stations along with σ t at 7 m (an index of current direction into the bay) and the principal component of the Ballenas Island wind (positive is toward NW). The dashed line at 25 m on the critical depth plot is the maximum depth of the bay. Temperate Coastal Spring Phytoplankton Bloom 731 end of the study. In 1993 phytoplankton seeding of the Strait by Nanoose Bay was possible. C. debilis was not present in samples at outer stations when the study began. Using Eq. (4) with Cij representing the concentration of C. debilis, the first appearance (on day 42) of C. debilis at Nan 30 requires an advective transport of 1 km·d –1 in a northwesterly direction over the two previous days. During the interval day 56–57 advective transport of C. debilis from the bay to the outer stations of 3 km·d –1 is predicted by Eq. (4). These currents are reasonable compared with the 1992 data and during both intervals the wind was blowing to the northwest (Fig. 6). 3.3 Phytoplankton growth criteria Predicting favourable phytoplankton growth conditions (i.e. µ > 0.5 d–1) in the spring by requiring that vertical mixing be less than the critical depth (Sverdrup, 1953) was not successful in our study. This approach does not appear to be useful in a nearshore coastal setting. Mixed layer depths were difficult to estimate because profiles lacked stable deep structure and surface structure was often complicated with steep gradients due to fresh water input. Richardson number considerations showed that vertical mixing was often limited. Critical depths indicated that light was almost never limiting even for phytoplankton populations whose use of light is inefficient. Diatoms (the dominant phytoplankter in our study) are by far the most efficient user of light (Falkowski and Owens, 1978). However, critical depths provide only an instantaneous measure of light availability. We found that advection was important and thus it was necessary to consider temporal variation to determine favourable growth conditions for phytoplankton. Two parameters were developed based on the change in density profiles with time (Table 1) and together successfully predicted increases in phytoplankton concentration both inside and outside of the bay (see Figs. 5 and 6, panel 4). They also agree with the flushing index that was determined from current data (Fig. 3). The flushing index is a desirable means to predict favourable phytoplankton growth conditions as it is based on a direct measure of advection. However, this index requires a mooring and current meters, a considerable undertaking and expense. Use of the growth parameters (Eq. (2); Table 1) requires only CTD casts (roughly weekly), thus provides a practical method. In 1992 there was high stratification associated with the spring freshet from the Fraser River, little wind and abundant sunshine. The parameters showed that, despite this apparent ideal environment, phytoplankton growth conditions were not favourable at any sampling station until the end of the study. Whereas in 1993, when wind and cloud cover were strong, phytoplankton growth conditions were favourable inside the bay at all times. Fur- 732 D. Ianson et al. thermore, although the timing of the spring freshet and wind mixing do influence the onset of the spring bloom in the Strait of Georgia (St. John et al., 1993; Yin et al., 1997) more detailed observations are necessary to determine the timing of the onset. 3.4 Phytoplankton seeding by Nanoose Bay For shallow embayments to influence spring bloom species composition in surrounding waters, three conditions must be met. Growth conditions for vegetative cells and, more importantly, conditions for excystment of resting spores (assuming that they are present) must be favourable inside the bay earlier than outside. There must be advective flux from the bay, though the number of cells advected does not need to be large. Lastly, conditions in the receiving waters must be favourable enough for the cells to survive until they can reproduce. It is clear from this study that there is no single mechanism for seeding the spring bloom in the Strait of Georgia. Phytoplankton growth conditions are not always favourable first in shallow embayments as shown by the 1992 data. Also during this year there was little outward advective flux in the surface from the bay. The bay acted as a negative estuary due to external fresh water input from the Fraser River. During the early part of the 1992 study the Fraser outflow was a little stronger than the average, but more importantly wind conditions were weak. In situ vegetative cells of Skeletonema costatum seeded the bloom both inside and outside of the bay (according to Eq. (4)). (Given the negative estuarine circulation in 1992 it is possible that the original seed population of S. costatum in the bay came from the Strait.) S. costatum is a common spring bloom species in the Strait (Harrison et al., 1983) and has not been observed to form resting spores (Garrison, 1984). In 1993, growth conditions were favourable inside the bay from the beginning of the study (Feb. 4) onward. In addition, wind-mixing was strong and was able to resuspend resting spores within the bay (spores were observed in phytoplankton samples (Ianson, 1994) and density profiles were mixed to the bottom (e.g. Figs. 4(a) and (b), panel 2) (ibid.)). Large concentrations of Chaetoceros debilis, which often form resting spores (Hollibaugh et al., 1981) and is a common spring bloom species in the Strait (though not usually first in succession) (Harrison et al., 1983) were found in the bay throughout the study. It is likely that wind-driven advective flux produced the observed increases in C. debilis concentration outside the bay, given the strong concentration gradient at the mouth of the bay and the wind direction (Eq. (4)). Whether C. debilis was important in the spring bloom in the Strait in 1993 is unknown. However, the pre-bloom species composition in the Strait (mainly S. costatum, Thalasiosirra spp. and C. debilis) was almost certainly influenced by Nanoose Bay. It is unlikely that C. debilis found in the Strait came from other sources such as the borders of the Strait or shallows around islands due to strong and consistent wind mixing (Fig. 6, panel 1). Excystment requires the same conditions that vegetative cells need for growth, i.e. nutrients and light (Durbin, 1978; Davis et al., 1980) and clearly growth conditions were not favourable for vegetative cells in the Strait (note that concentrations of C. debilis do not show large increases at any time at Nan 30 despite abundant nutrients (nitrate), Fig. 6 panels 2 and 4). Any resuspended spores from shallows would have been vigorously mixed out of areas with high enough light availability. There is a strong potential for Nanoose Bay to influence species composition in the Strait at times of year other than the spring. Periodic mixing events could resuspend resting spores and cysts within the bay which could then be advected out into the Strait where presumably nutrients would be available from the same mixing event. In 1993 we also noticed small concentrations of Heterosigma carterae, a small flagellate known to form cysts and potentially very toxic to penned fish (Yang and Albright, 1994). H. carterae blooms occur in the Strait during the summer and have been known to cause fish kills there (Taylor and Haigh, 1993). (Note that Taylor and Haigh (1993) suggest that Vancouver harbour was the seed bed for the bloom in their study.) Furthermore characterizing advection is difficult as coastal circulation is a combination of density driven, wind driven and tidal influences. It was hoped that in Nanoose Bay, where tidal currents are weak and there is little local fresh water input, that the low frequency circulation which dominated the exchange of water could be correlated to local winds, but the correlation was poor. Even without the clear strong influence of a large nonlocal fresh water source (the Fraser River in 1992) Holloway (1996) was unable to correlate winds to currents in Jervis Bay, Australia, a similar physical location. In short, predicting exchange reliably is not possible without current meters. Determining the influence of shallow embayments on phytoplankton species composition in surrounding waters requires intensive study. The main difficulty is in characterizing advection. Also phytoplankton sampling at high temporal resolution is necessary. 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