FEBRUARY 2016 No. 2 STRATEGIC SECURITY ANALYSIS Synthetic Biology and ‘Amateur Science’: Dual-use and Challenges of Regulation by Ioana Puscas STRATEGIC SECURITY ANALYSIS GCSP - SYNTHETIC BIOLOGY AND ‘AMATEUR SCIENCE’: DUAL-USE AND CHALLENGES OF REGULATION Synthetic Biology and ‘Amateur Science’: Dual-use and Challenges of Regulation In recent years, the phenomenon known as ‘garage biology’ has emerged as a new area of security concern. Garage biology refers to the relocation of life science experimentation from established institutions to more amateur settings. The risks of unregulated biotechnology are not new, yet the advances made in life sciences, the possibilities offered by genetic engineering or synthetic biology have shed new light on risks and governance challenges. The real scientific possibility to make a virus or other pathogens from scratch and the likelihood of designing such harmful biological material in hidden or makeshift labs now raises serious concerns about risks and the urgency of regulation. In parallel to what is increasingly perceived as a ‘de-skilling’ of biological research, the decreasing costs for lab equipment have contributed to the scare about what amateur biologists, or trained biologists in amateur settings, could potentially accomplish.1 enthusiasts from across the world (mostly in the United States and Europe), organised in about 40 groups.2 The members of the DIY community can share information and perform experiments in often rudimentary labs and with limited resources, proving that the ranks of life sciences have now expanded to include nonprofessional amateurs or ‘citizen scientists’. Indeed, in the past few years, amateur biologists have been able to perform genetic experiments single-handedly, and devices to duplicate DNA can now be ordered online for modest (or affordable) prices. •There have been significant and successive turning points in life sciences with implications for security policy in recent decades, most recently marked by the advent of synthetic biology. Synthetic Biology allows for the creation of biological components with novel functions, which do not otherwise exist in nature. Synthetic genomics now allow scientists to create entire genes and microbial genomes from scratch. •Synthetic biology is an example of a dual-use technology: it promises numerous beneficial applications but it can also be used for harm. This has led to fears that terrorists could exploit synthetic biology to create deadly viral agents. •Those apprehensive of dualuse have cited enabling factors such as an overall de-skilling and ‘democratisation’ occurring in biology, as well as decreasing prices of DNA synthesis and its easy availability for purchase over the Internet. The advent of ‘amateur biology’, and its community of biology enthusiasts, has led to fears that virtually anybody could potentially learn to use the tools of synthetic biology, with destructive implications. •Concerns about the misuse of synthetic biology by amateur scientists were overstated as there are numerous technical hurdles to bioterrorism. One critical hurdle that is often overlooked in this debate is the role played by ‘tacit knowledge’ in the laboratory. The emergence of the DoIt-Yourself (DIY) community exacerbated these fears. The movement traces its origins back to 2008 and it currently gathers over 2,000 biology 1 Jonathan B. Tucker, “Could Terrorists Exploit Synthetic Biology”, The New Atlantis, Spring 2011, p. 69. KEY POINTS 2 Catherine Jefferson, “The Growth of Amateur Biology: A Dual-use Governance Challenge?” Policy Paper 3, https:// biochemsec2030dotorg.files.wordpress. com/2013/08/jefferson-policy-paper-3for-print.pdf 3. •Despite the alarmist exaggerations, the need for regulation over this community remains important. Unfortunately, while there have been some steps towards selfregulation in the community of amateur biologists, for the most part, the issue of governance has been insufficiently addressed. 2 STRATEGIC SECURITY ANALYSIS GCSP - SYNTHETIC BIOLOGY AND ‘AMATEUR SCIENCE’: DUAL-USE AND CHALLENGES OF REGULATION There is little doubt that for many of the members of the DIY community, biohacking3 is motivated by genuine idealism. These individuals are advocates of innovation based on open-source knowledge sharing, scientific empowerment or addressing inequality in access to healthcare.4 Its unique tools make synthetic biology different from genetic engineering: unlike the latter, premised on transferring genes from one species to another, synbio aims to create novel microbial genomes (from natural genes or artificial genes synthesised from scratch). However, soon after the movement sprouted, it sparked concerns about DIY’s potential for dual-use, security risks associated with amateur biology, and the gaps in governance which will have to be addressed. There are several types of risks associated with the do-it-yourself scientist operating in isolated labs, basements or garages.5 These include concerns over biosafety, the risk of spillages and accidental releases or especially the possibility of bioterrorism. Following experiments that allowed the transformation of the H5N1 bird flu into mutant forms, many cautioned that the publication of the results would lead to the experiments being replicated in amateur settings.6 The risks posed by the ‘democratisation’ and deskilling of biology are further reinforced by the advent of synthetic biology. Essentially, synbio is the application of engineering principles to biology with a view to design new biological entities and tune them to meet very specific performance criteria. On the one hand, synthetic biology promises to produce biofuels, medicines or other important organic materials. Examples include bacteria that eat pollution in water, cancer-fighting microorganisms, and protosynthetic systems to produce energy. Possibilities made available by these novel biological systems are innumerable, and the estimated market value of synbio by 2018 is $16 billion.8 On the other hand, synbio could be exploited by terrorists to create viruses and bacteria with targeted functions. While the field of synthetic biology generates new insights into how life works, it is not without its risks. Synthetic Biology and Risks of Dual Use The discovery of the DNA structure and the mapping of the human genome are usually considered the two main turning points in life sciences in the 20th century. These were followed by a third, and more recent, revolutionary innovation — synthetic biology. Synthetic biology refers to the suite of techniques to fabricate biological components with functions that do not exist in nature. This encompasses both the construction of new biological parts by building living machines from off-the-shelf ingredients and the re-designing of existing biological systems.7 3 The term “biohacking” can have negative connotations, in association with computer hackers and cybercrime. The meaning appropriated by the members of the DIY community is rather benign, evoking enthusiasm in tinkering with and exploring the potential of a technology. 4 Catherine Jefferson, “Governing Amateur Biology: Extending Responsible Research and Innovation in Synthetic Biology to New Actors”, Research Report for the Wellcome Trust Project on ‘Building a Sustainable Capacity in Dual-Use Bioethics’ http:// www.brad.ac.uk/bioethics/media/ssis/bioethics/docs/Jefferson_ Governing_Amateur_Biology.pdf”, 11. 5 Dustin T. Holloway, “Regulating Amateurs”, The Scientist, 1 March 2013, www.the-scientist.com/?articles.view/ articleNo/34444/title/Regulating-Amateurs/ 6 Carl Zimmer, “Amateurs are New Fear in Creating Mutant Viruses”, The New York Times, 5 March 2012, www.nytimes. com/2012/03/06/health/amateur-biologists-are-new-fear-inmaking-a-mutant-flu-virus.html?_r=1 7 Jonathan B. Tucker and Raymond A. Zilinskas, “The Promise and Perils of Synthetic Biology”, The New Atlantis, Spring 2006, p. 25. In 2003, the Human Genome Project was completed, and was followed by successive breakthroughs in the ability to decode DNA. These advances have coincided with lowering prices of DNA synthesis and a widespread general interest in synbio.9 Such developments raised fears that the discipline was shifting from a specialised field toward an unregulated area of experimentation. This fear was accentuated further by initiatives like the annual International Genetically Engineered Machine (iGEM), the first synbio competition open to undergraduate students.10 Such dissemination of knowledge has contributed to speculations about the application of synbio methodologies among the DIY community. While it is commonly understood that most of these amateur biologists are merely pursuing a hobby, the chance that one among their ranks could exploit the phenomenon for bioterrorist purposes remains a possibility. Indeed, it is difficult to gauge the intentions of amateur biologists. While worst-case scenarios have crystallised around the possibilities of terrorism, conclusions about the capacity of terrorists to exploit synthetic biology are often overstated. These conclusions are informed by apprehension 8 Josie Garthwaite, “Beyond GMOs: The Rise of Synthetic Biology”, The Atlantic, 25 September 2014, www.theatlantic. com/technology/archive/2014/09/beyond-gmos-the-rise-ofsynthetic-biology/380770/ 9 Catherine Jefferson, “Governing Amateur Biology”, 12. 10 iGEM, http://igem.org/About 3 STRATEGIC SECURITY ANALYSIS GCSP - SYNTHETIC BIOLOGY AND ‘AMATEUR SCIENCE’: DUAL-USE AND CHALLENGES OF REGULATION rather than by fact-based assessments. The relationship between synbio and DIYBio needs more critical review, and the threats posed by this relationship must be examined in a rational manner. Between hype and caution The emerging narrative about the biosecurity risks of synbio holds that synthetic biology leads to the de-skilling of biology, making it easy for anyone to engineer biology. Furthermore, as biology becomes increasingly accessible to people outside the realm of traditional scientific establishments (public or private), rogue actors could purposefully misuse such technologies for nefarious purposes. The Internet has further facilitated the access to critical knowledge. Blueprints for manufacturing pathogens like anthrax and smallpox can be accessed online. Yet availability of blueprints or even access to proper tools and equipment are not sufficient to create a bioweapon. In assessing the risks of misuse of synthetic genomics, there are a number of practical challenges that need to be addressed. Tacit vs. explicit knowledge Scientific knowledge is not entirely based on hard facts and formulae. Intuition and experience play a critical role as well. Sociologists of science identify an important distinction between two types of technical knowledge: explicit and tacit. Explicit knowledge refers to data and information which can be written down, codified and passed on impersonally, including through notes and publications. Tacit knowledge, by contrast, involves know-how and skills which cannot be readily written down but are acquired through experience. Furthermore, tacit knowledge is conventionally divided into personal tacit knowledge and communal tacit knowledge: the former refers to knowledge held by individuals, and the latter to knowledge cultivated by teams of specialists.11 Biotechnology relies extensively on such personal and communal knowledge and often lengthy processes of trial and error are key to success. These critical aspects of scientific research are often overlooked when assessing the entire process of assembling biological parts into living organisms. As ‘democratised’ as synbio 11 Tucker: 70. has become, there are traditional bottlenecks which confirm the importance of individual and collective expertise developed in the course of training and everyday challenges in the laboratory.12 Craig Venter and his team of researchers became famous by announcing in May 2010 that they managed to construct an entire genetic sequence of more than one million DNA units, knows as nucleotides. Venter’s team also managed to create an artificial bacterial cell, then inserted the DNA genome inside and watched the new organism come to live and replicate itself.13 These achievements are revolutionary and illustrate the unprecedented potential of synthetic genomics. In theory at least, it is possible to produce any desired sequence from off-the-shelf chemicals in the laboratory and DNA synthesis machines simplify the process: instead of using traditional recombinant DNA techniques (and isolate individual genes of one species and have them spliced into the genome of another), the genetic sequence can now be designed on a computer and then converted into a physical strand of custom DNA.14 While this process seems very straightforward, both technical and social factors contributed to synthesising genes and genomes. Venter noted the importance of on-site observations and the adjustment of methodologies in several phases of the synthesis process.15 Although de-skilling has occurred in several areas of genetic engineering, there are still good reasons to remain reassured that amateur biologists or citizen scientists would continue encountering insurmountable difficulties in creating pathogenic agents from scratch. The role of tacit knowledge for synthetic biology cannot be overlooked and is a major impediment to weaponisation of biological agents, at least for the foreseeable future. 12 Catherine Jefferson, Filippa Lentzos and Claire Marris, “Synthetic Biology and Biosecurity: Challenging the ‘Myths’”, Frontiers in Public Health, 2, August 2014, pp. 3-5. 13 Laurie Garrett, “Biology’s Brave New World: The Promise and Perils of the Synbio Revolution”, Foreign Affairs November/ December 2013, www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2013-10-15/ biologys-brave-new-world 14 Jonathan B. Tucker, “Introduction” in Jonathan B. Tucker, ed., Innovation, Dual-Use and Security: Managing the Risks of Emerging Biological and Chemical Technologies, MIT Press, 2012, Cambridge, p. 4. 15 See Andrew Marshall, “The Sourcer of Synthetic Genomics”, Nature Biotechnology 27, 2009, pp. 1121-1124, www.nature.com/nbt/journal/v27/n12/full/nbt1209-1121.html 4 STRATEGIC SECURITY ANALYSIS GCSP - SYNTHETIC BIOLOGY AND ‘AMATEUR SCIENCE’: DUAL-USE AND CHALLENGES OF REGULATION The value of tacit knowledge is clear when assessing the development of weapons in more conventional settings (involving scientists in well-equipped labs). The techniques and processes through which scientists acquire certain knowledge are often not translated into any written form. Such unarticulated know-how is essential to work in the lab. As it is not easily passed on to others, it poses obstacles to the replication of the same experiment in different places, even with the same instructions and materials.16 Some experts on proliferation have repeatedly flagged the issue of “intangible factors”, such as work and structural organisation, or social environment, which leave a mark on how scientific knowledge is acquired and used. Sonia Ben Ouagrham-Gormley has extensively analysed the technical difficulties encountered in past weapons programmes when data is shared and transferred among states. The author uses the example of the production of the Soviet anthrax weapon by the Kirov bioweapons laboratory in Russia. The Stepnogorsk plant in Kazakhstan later attempted to produce the same weapon and it recorded failures for two consecutive years, until a group of 65 scientists from two Russian facilities travelled to Kazakhstan and after three more additional years of work on the initial protocols.17 Scientific knowledge is therefore often local and requires adaption and adjustment when repeated in a new setting. Managing dual-risks The resources, technical capabilities, know-how and motivation needed to engage in sophisticated biological and chemical terrorism are not within reach for most terrorist organisations. Furthermore, the tools needed to exploit the advances in synthetic biology are even more difficult to obtain. The emphasis on the threats posed by synthetic biology usually stems from a material approach. This takes into account the commoditisation of biology: availability of synthesised DNA or de-skilling of human capital. However, as repeatedly demonstrated in practice, numerous contingencies are key to synbio processes and the conditions required for replication are often very difficult to achieve, as many experiments are accomplished in 16 Sonia Ben Ouagrham-Gormley, “Barriers to Bioweapons: Intangible Obstacles to Proliferation”, International Security, 36, 4, Spring 2012, p. 85. 17 bid, 86-86. very particular circumstances.18 Even in a context of the overall de-skilling occurring in biosciences19, most terrorist organisations are usually conservative in their choices of weapons, choosing to rely on standard guns and explosives.20 The conclusions about the terrorism-related risks of synbio are also a reflection of the existing narratives surrounding the field of synbio. It has been shown that a hype cycle almost inevitably arises with new technologies, often simply generated by the fact that scientists need to ‘big up’ their mission and the impact of their work to garner funding, support and legitimacy.21 Expectations are also formed because most innovations inherently are meant to have societal impact, and open themselves up to scrutiny from these same societies. Furthermore, scientists themselves can contribute to contradictory expectations as there is a tendency to make more generous claims “when wearing a public entrepreneurial hat” and more cautious claims among research peers.22 The hype generated about the future promises of synbio also contributed to further alarmist scenarios about its risks, namely weaponisation and bioterrorism. Narratives on the biosecurity implications of synbio have carried a strong element of technological determinism, with presumptions that once developed, synbio will get out of control.23 Regulatory Concerns Mass media have overstated and sensationalised the risks of synbio in amateur settings (often in analogy to the famous case of the autumn 2001 Anthrax letters attacks in the United States in the aftermath of the 11 September attacks). Nevertheless, merely because the risks have been highly overstated, this does not mean they do not exist. At least in theory, ‘garage terrorism’ is not inconceivable and there is scope for warranted prudent reaction. 18 Kathleen Vogel “What is the Role of Tacit Knowledge in What Malevolent Actors could Achieve?”, Workshop Report “Synthetic Biology and Biosecurity: How Scared Should We Be”, www.kcl.ac.uk/sspp/departments/sshm/research/Research-Labs/ CSynBI@KCL-PDFs/Jefferson-et-al-%282014%29-SyntheticBiology-and-Biosecurity.pdf, p. 25. 19 There has been a clear shift in the dependence on certain skills due to standardisation and mechanisation, but the dynamic of de-skilling is often wrongly understood to mean that any layperson will become qualified to produce new organisms. 20 Tucker, “Introduction”, p. 9. 21 Mads Borup, Nik Brown, Kornelia Konrad and Harro van Lente, “The Sociology of Expectations in Science and Technology”, Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 18, ¾, July-September 2006, pp. 290-291. 22 Ibid, 292. 23 Jefferson, “Synthetic Biology and Biosecurity in the Media”, Workshop Report, p. 16. 5 STRATEGIC SECURITY ANALYSIS GCSP - SYNTHETIC BIOLOGY AND ‘AMATEUR SCIENCE’: DUAL-USE AND CHALLENGES OF REGULATION The issue of misuse of synbio by amateur scientists is a new challenge with regards to regulation, having no similar precedent. At the same time, it can certainly be argued that such challenges do not emerge in a regulatory vacuum. Some of the sources of regulation could fall within existing hard and soft laws, from regimes of export controls and customs systems that regulate hazardous materials, to codes of conduct. There are global regimes as well as regional and national laws that cover the problem of misuse of biology. The fundamental ethical norm at the root of all these initiatives is that “toxic chemicals and disease agents should not be used as weapons”.24 The Geneva Protocol of 1925 (banning the use of biological and chemical weapons in warfare), the Biological Weapons Convention of 1972, and the Chemical Weapons Convention of 1993 form the backbone of international law related to the governance of dual-use technologies.25 However, even the conventions that are legally binding have been signed and ratified by states, and do not have the mechanisms to hold ‘rogue’ individuals or garage terrorists accountable. There are numerous other international frameworks that cover bioethics. For example, the Universal Declaration on the Human Genome and Human Rights (1998), the UNESCO Declaration on Bioethics and Human Rights (2005) and the World Medical’s Association’s Declaration of Helsinki (adopted in 1964 and amended in 2008) cover aspects related to medical research, ethics in research in life science, while advocating for responsibility and the respect of human dignity.26 Of course, these instruments leave many issues unaddressed and eventually could do little in addressing actors operating in obscure and remote labs. There are no international mechanisms of outreach, control and oversight for amateur biologists. Considering the complexity of the issue, it is difficult to expect such mechanisms to develop in the near future. More realistic options for regulation and surveillance are present within national boundaries, such as in the United States, where biosecurity governance benefits from highly developed and extensive biosecurity legislation, particularly following the provisions of 24 Jefferson, “Protein Engineering”, Tucker, ed., op.cit, p. 127. 25 Lori P. Knowles, “Current Dual-Use Governance Measures”, Tucker, ed., op.cit, p. 46. 26 The European Group on Ethics in Science and New Technologies to the European Commission, “Ethics of Synthetic Biology” Opinion No 25, Brussels, 17 November 2009, www. erasynbio.eu/lw_resource/datapool/_items/item_15/ege__ opinion25_en.pdf , 35. the USA Patriot Act. This uses tools from criminal law to combat manufacturing of biological weapons and terrorism. Other countries, however, are less prepared for the challenge. There are major limitations to the governance of an issue as complex as the use of synbio by amateur biologists. The operational site of such groups could go undisturbed in most countries as it very difficult to trace the works of all individuals working in isolated or secluded labs. Moreover, even if some countries are better able to track down ‘garage terrorists’, it is easy to imagine they could simply choose to move their operations to ‘safer’ (meaning less policed or monitored) countries. One obvious solution is for the community of amateur scientists to self-regulate. The DIY Community has taken a proactive step to prove its commitment to responsible research. In 2011, at a congress in London, they issued a Draft Code of Ethics. The “Peaceful Purposes” section in the Code clearly mentions that “biotechnology must only be used for peaceful purposes”.27 In addition to its purpose to promote best practices, a key motivation for the Code was to address concerns about security risks. This is a timely and laudable initiative but is in no way comprehensive. By its nature, the Code of Ethics offers no guarantee that the commitments of the Code will be fully implemented and that actors outside this community will have the same approach. Challenges remain and dialogue is important to foster trust. The Federal Bureau of Investigation in the US has already engaged in dialogue with the DIY Community and has discussed safety and security aspects of amateur biologists’ work. Proactive engagement is an important step in creating transparent communication and eliminating fears of malevolent intent. About the author Ioana Puscas is Research Officer in the Geopolitics and Global Futures Programme of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP). 27 “Draft DIYbio Code of Ethics from European Congress”, 2011, http://diybio.org/codes/draft-diybio-code-of-ethics-fromeuropean-congress/. 6 Where knowledge meets experience The GCSP Strategic Security Analysis series are short papers that address a current security issue. They provide background information about the theme, identify the main issues and challenges, and propose policy recommendations. Geneva Centre for Security Policy - GCSP Maison de la paix Chemin Eugène-Rigot 2D P.O. Box 1295 CH-1211 Geneva 1 Tel: + 41 22 730 96 00 Fax: + 41 22 730 96 49 e-mail: [email protected] www.gcsp.ch
© Copyright 2025 Paperzz