University of Groningen
Environmental policy and technology diffusion under imperfect competition
Vries, Frans Pieter de
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Vries, F. P. D. (2003). Environmental policy and technology diffusion under imperfect competition: an
evolutionary game theoretical approach Groningen: s.n.
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Environmental Policy and Technology Diffusion
under Imperfect Competition
An Evolutionary Game Theoretical Approach
Frans P. de Vries
Cover design by Rutger Meijer
Printed by PrintPartners Ipskamp
RIJKSUNIVERSITEIT GRONINGEN
Environmental Policy and Technology Diffusion
under Imperfect Competition
An Evolutionary Game Theoretical Approach
Proefschrift
ter verkrijging van het doctoraat in de
Rechtsgeleerdheid
aan de Rijksuniversiteit Groningen
op gezag van de
Rector Magnificus, dr. F. Zwarts,
in het openbaar te verdedigen op
donderdag 1 mei 2003
om 14:15 uur
door
Frans Pieter de Vries
geboren op 17 augustus 1971
te Groningen
Promotor:
Prof. dr. A. Nentjes
Beoordelingscommissie:
Prof. dr. D. Friedman
Prof. dr. L.L.G. Soete
Prof. dr. A.J. de Zeeuw
Voor mijn vader
(1935-2001)
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200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
1.
0
0.
9
0.
94
2
0.
8
0.
7
0.
6
0.
5
0.
4
0.
3
0.
2
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1
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100.0
80.0
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0
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9
0.
94
2
0.
8
0.
7
0.
6
0.
5
0.
4
0.
3
0.
2
0.
1
0.
0
0.0
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units of industry output
140.0
120.0
100.0
80.0
60.0
40.0
20.0
1.
0
0.
9
0.
94
2
0.
8
0.
7
0.
6
0.
5
0.
4
0.
3
0.
2
0.
1
0.
0
0.0
s
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70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
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10.0
1.
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9
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2
0.
8
0.
7
0.
6
0.
5
0.
4
0.
3
0.
2
0.
1
0.0
0.
0
units of industry emissions
permits
s
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Pruhryhu/ lq wklv
wkhvlv upv fdq uhgxfh hplvvlrqv shu xqlw ri rxwsxw rqo| e| vzlwfklqj iurp
d gluw| wr d fohdq surgxfwlrq prgh1
Lw zrxog eh lqwhuhvwlqj wr jhqhudol}h wkh
prgho e| lqwurgxflqj d frqwlqxrxv hplvvlrq frqwuro ixqfwlrq iru gluw| rxwsxw
dqg d orzhu frqwuro frvw ixqfwlrq iru fohdq rxwsxw1 Lw wkhq fdq eh lqyhvwljdwhg
zkhwkhu wklv ohdgv wr frqfoxvlrqv glhuhqw iurp wkrvh lq wklv wkhvlv1
Ilqdoo|/
srolf| pdnhuv vkrxog nhhs lq plqg wkdw d sduwldo dqdo|vlv ri lqvwuxphqwv/ dv
lq wklv wkhvlv/ fdq eh plvohdglqj wr vrph h{whqw1
Iru h{dpsoh/ wkh slfwxuh lq
wklv wkhvlv vxjjhvwv wkdw wd{hv duh idu pruh hhfwlyh lq eulqjlqj grzq hplvvlrqv
wkdq vxevlglhv1 Krzhyhu/ wd{hv fdq eh vshqw e| wkh jryhuqphqw/ wkxv lqfuhdvlqj
srooxwlrq> vxevlglhv uhtxluh dgglwlrqdo wd{dwlrq hovhzkhuh/ wkxv uhgxflqj rxwsxw
dqg hplvvlrqv1 Wkh qdwxudo txhvwlrq wkhq lv= zkdw lv wkh qhw ryhudoo hhfwB E|
h{whqglqj wkh prgho wr d jhqhudo htxloleulxp dqdo|vlv d srvvleoh dqvzhu wr wklv
txhvwlrq frxog eh surylghg +vhh h1j1 Wrpdq dqg Zlwkdjhq/ 5333,1
Uhihuhqfhv
Dghrwl/ M1R1 +5334,/ Whfkqrorj| Lqyhvwphqw lq Sro oxwlrq Frqwuro lq Vxe0Vdkdudq
Diulfd/ Glvvhuwdwlrq/ Pddvwulfkw Xqlyhuvlw|1
Dofkldq/ D1 +4<83,/ cXqfhuwdlqw|/ Hyroxwlrq dqg Hfrqrplf Wkhru|*/ Mrxuqdo ri
Srolwlfdo Hfrqrp| 8;= 54405551
Doöv0Ihuuhu/ F1/ D1E1 Dqld dqg N1U1 Vfkhqn0Krssì +5333,/ cDq Hyroxwlrqdu|
Prgho ri Ehuwudqg Roljrsro|*/ Jdphv dqg Hfrqrplf Ehkdylru 66= 404<1
Doöv0Ihuuhu/
F1/
D1E1 Dqld dqg I1 Yhjd0Uhgrqgr +4<<<,/
cDq Hyroxwlrqdu|
Prgho ri Pdunhw Vwuxfwxuh*/ lq= S1M1M1 Khulqjv/ D1M1M1 Wdopdq dqg J1 ydq ghu
Oddq +hgv1,/ Wkhru| ri Pdunhwv dqg wkhlu Ixqfwlrqlqj/ Qruwk0Kroodqg/ Dpv0
whugdp1
Duwkxu/ Z1E1 +4<;;,/ cVhoi0Uhlqiruflqj Phfkdqlvpv lq Hfrqrplfv*/ lq= S1 Dq0
ghuvrq/ N1 Duurz dqg G1 Slqhv +hgv1,/ Wkh Hfrqrp| dv dq Hyroylqj Frpsoh{
V|vwhp/ Dgglvrq0Zhvoh|/ Uhdglqj PD1
Duwkxu/ Z1E1 +4<;<,/ cFrpshwlqj Whfkqrorjlhv/ Lqfuhdvlqj Uhwxuqv dqg Orfn0
Lq e| Klvwrulfdo Vpdoo Hyhqwv*/ Hfrqrplf Mrxuqdo <<= 44904641
Duwkxu/ Z1E1/ \1P1 Huprolhy dqg \1P1 Ndqlryvnl +4<;:,/ cSdwk0Ghshqghqw
Surfhvvhv dqg wkh Hphujhqfh ri Pdfur0Vwuxfwxuh*/ Hxurshdq Mrxuqdo ri Rshu0
dwlrqdo Uhvhdufk 63= 5<706361
Duwkxu/ Z1E1 dqg G1D1 Odqh +4<<6,/ cLqirupdwlrq Frqwdjlrq*/ Vwuxfwxudo Fkdqjh
dqg Hfrqrplf G|qdplfv 7+4,= ;404371
Edlq/ D1 +4<97,/ Wkh Jurzwk ri Whohylvlrq Rzqhuvkls lq wkh XN vlqfh wkh Zdu=
D Orjqrupdo Prgho/ Fdpeulgjh Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh XN1
4;<
4<3
UHIHUHQFHV
Eduqhww/ D1K1 +4<;3,/ cWkh Sljrxyldq Wd{ Uxoh xqghu Prqrsro|*/ Dphulfdq
Hfrqrplf Uhylhz :3= 436:043741
Edvv/ I1P1 +4<9<,/ cD Qhz Surgxfw Jurzwk Prgho iru Frqvxphu Gxudeohv*/
Pdqdjhphqw Vflhqfh 48= 548055:1
Edvv/
I1P1 +4<;3,/
cWkh
Uhodwlrqvkls Ehwzhhq Glxvlrq Udwhv/
H{shulhqfh
Fxuyhv dqg Ghpdqg Hodvwlflwlhv iru Frqvxphu Gxudeohv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Exvlqhvv
86= V8840V89:1
Edxpro/ Z1M1 dqg Z1H1 Rdwhv +4<;;,/ Wkh Wkhru| ri Hqylurqphqwdo Srolf|/
+vhfrqg hglwlrq,/ Fdpeulgjh Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh XN1
Ehdwk/ M1/ \1 Ndwvrxodfrv dqg G1 Xosk +4<<8,/ cJdph0Wkhruhwlf Dssurdfkhv wr
wkh Prghoolqj ri Whfkqrorjlfdo Fkdqjh*/ lq= S1 Vwrqhpdq +hg1,/ Kdqgerrn ri wkh
Hfrqrplfv ri Lqqrydwlrq dqg Whfkqrorjlfdo Fkdqjh/ Edvlo Eodfnzhoo/ R{irug1
Eldlv/ E1 dqg U1 Vkdgxu +5333,/ cGduzlqldq Vhohfwlrq grhv qrw Holplqdwh Luud0
wlrqdo Wudghuv*/ Hxurshdq Hfrqrplf Uhylhz 77= 79<07<31
Eljodlvhu/ J1 dqg M1N1 Krurzlw} +4<<8,/ cSrooxwlrq Uhjxodwlrq dqg Lqfhqwlyhv iru
Srooxwlrq0Frqwuro Uhvhdufk*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplfv dqg Pdqdjhphqw Vwudwhj|
6+7,= 99609;71
Eljodlvhu/ J1/ M1N1 Krurzlw} dqg M1 Txljjlq +4<<8,/ cG|qdplf Srooxwlrq Uhjx0
odwlrq*/ Mrxuqdo ri Uhjxodwru| Hfrqrplfv ;= 660771
Eodpluh/ M1 +5333,/ Vflhqfh dw d Glvwdqfh/ Eurrno|q Froohjh/ Qhz \run1
Erqxv/ K1 +4<:6,/ cTxdvl0Hqjho Fxuyhv/ Glxvlrq/ dqg wkh Rzqhuvkls ri Qhz
Frqvxphu Gxudeohv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Srolwlfdo Hfrqrp| ;4= 98809::1
Euhvqdkdq/ W1I1 dqg S1F1 Uhlvv +4<<4,/ cHqwu| dqg Frpshwlwlrq lq Frqfhq0
wudwhg Pdunhwv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Srolwlfdo Hfrqrp| <<= <::0433<1
Exfkdqdq/ M1P1 +4<9<,/ cH{whuqdo Glvhfrqrplhv/ Fruuhfwlyh Wd{hv dqg Pdunhw
Vwuxfwxuh*/ Dphulfdq Hfrqrplf Uhylhz 8<= 4:704::1
Fduudur/ F1 \1 Ndwvrxodfrv dqg D1 [hsdsdghdv +4<<9,/ +hgv1,/ Hqylurqphqwdo
Srolf| dqg Pdunhw Vwuxfwxuh/ Irqgd}lrqh Hql Hqulfr Pdwwhl/ Noxzhu Dfdghplf
Sxeolvkhuv/ Gruguhfkw1
4<4
Fkrz/ J1F1 +4<9:,/ cWhfkqrorjlfdo Fkdqjh dqg wkh Ghpdqg iru Frpsxwhuv*/
Dphulfdq Hfrqrplf Uhylhz 8:= 444:044631
Frpplvvlh Yrjwoçqghu +5335,/ Kdqghohq yrru hhq ehwhu nolpddw= Kddoeddukhlg
ydq hhq qdwlrqddo v|vwhhp yrru FR 0hplvvlhkdqgho/ Vdphqydwwlqj hlqgdgylhv
Frpplvvlh FR 0kdqgho/ mdqxdul 5335/ Gh Phhuq= NSPJ Plolhx +lq Gxwfk,1
Frqolvn/ M1 +4<;3,/ cFrvwo| Rswlpl}huv yhuvxv Fkhds Lplwdwruv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hfr0
qrplf Ehkdylru dqg Rujdql}dwlrq 4= 5:805<61
F|huw/ U1P dqg M1J1 Pdufk +4<96,/ D Ehkdylrudo Wkhru| ri wkh Ilup/ Suhqwlfh
Kdoo/ Hqjohzrrg Folv1
Gduzlq/ F1 +4;8<,/ Rq wkh Ruljlq ri Vshflhv e| Phdqv ri Qdwxudo Vhohfwlrq/ ru
wkh Suhvhuydwlrq ri Idyrxuhg Udfhv lq wkh Vwuxjjoh iru Olih/ Pxuud|/ Orqgrq1
Gdylg/ S1D1 +4<9<,/ cD Frqwulexwlrq wr wkh Wkhru| ri Glxvlrq*/ Phprudqgxp
:4/ Vwdqirug Fhqwhu iru Uhvhdufk lqwr Hfrqrplf Jurzwk1
Gdylg/ S1 +4<;8,/ cFolr dqg wkh Hfrqrplfv ri TZHUW\*/ Dphulfdq Hfrqrplf
Uhylhz Surfhhglqjv :8= 665066:1
Gdylhv/ V1 +4<:<,/ Wkh Glxvlrq ri Surfhvv Lqqrydwlrqv/ Fdpeulgjh Xqlyhuvlw|
Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh XN1
Gdznlqv/ U1 +4<:9,/ Wkh Vhovk Jhqh/ R{irug Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ R{irug XN1
Gh Yulhv/ I1S1 dqg D1 Qhqwmhv +5336,/ cHqylurqphqwdo Srolf| dv d Vwlpxoxv
iru Whfkqrorj| Dgrswlrq dqg Glxvlrq= Dq Lqwhusuhwlyh Dvvhvvphqw dqg Lqwh0
judwhg G|qdplf Dssurdfk*/ HFRI Uhvhdufk Phprudqgxp 64/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri
Jurqlqjhq1
Glmnvwud/ E1U1 +4<<<,/ Wkh Srolwlfdo Hfrqrp| ri Hqylurqphqwdo Srolf|= D Sxe0
olf Fkrlfh Dssurdfk wr Pdunhw Lqvwuxphqwv/ Hgzdug Hojdu/ Fkhowhqkdp XN1
Gl{lw/ D1N1 +4<:<,/ cD Prgho ri Gxrsro| Vxjjhvwlqj d Wkhru| ri Hqwu| Eduul0
huv*/ Ehoo Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplfv = 530651
Gl{rq/ U1 +4<;3,/ cK|eulg Fruq Uhylvlwhg*/ Hfrqrphwulfd 7;+9,= 4784047951
4<5
UHIHUHQFHV
Grvl/ J1 +4<;5,/ cWhfkqrorjlfdo Sdudgljpv dqg Whfkqrorjlfdo Wudmhfwrulhv=
D
Vxjjhvwhg Lqwhusuhwdwlrq ri wkh Ghwhuplqdqwv dqg Gluhfwlrqv ri Whfkqlfdo Fkdqjh*/
Uhvhdufk Srolf| 44+6,= 47:04951
Grvl/ J1 +4<;;d,/ cVrxufhv/ Surfhgxuhv dqg Plfur0Hfrqrplf Hhfwv ri Lqqryd0
wlrq*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplf Olwhudwxuh 59+6,= 4453044:41
Grvl/
J1 +4<;;e,/
cWkh Qdwxuh ri wkh Lqqrydwlrq Surfhvv*/
lq=
J1 Grvl/
F1
Iuhhpdq/ U1 Qhovrq/ J1 Vloyhuehuj dqg O1 Vrhwh +hgv1,/ Whfkqlfdo Fkdqjh dqg
Hfrqrplf Wkhru|/ Slqwhu Sxeolvkhuv/ Orqgrq1
Grvl/ J/ +4<<4,/ cVrph Wkrxjkwv rq wkh Surplvhv/ Fkdoohqjhv dqg Gdqjhuv
ri dq cHyroxwlrqdu| Shuvshfwlyh* lq Hfrqrplfv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hyroxwlrqdu| Hfr0
qrplfv 4+4,= 80:1
Grvl/ J1/ F1 Iuhhpdq/ U1 Qhovrq/ J1 Vloyhuehuj dqg O1 Vrhwh +hgv1,
+4<;;,/
Whfkqlfdo Fkdqjh dqg Hfrqrplf Wkhru|/ Slqwhu Sxeolvkhuv/ Orqgrq1
Grzqlqj/ S1E1 dqg O1M1 Zklwh +4<;9,/ cLqqrydwlrq lq Srooxwlrq Frqwuro*/ Mrxu0
qdo ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfrqrplfv dqg Pdqdjhphqw 46= 4;05<1
Hdvlqjzrrg/ F1M1/ Y1 Pdkdmdq dqg H1 Pxoohu +4<;6,/ cD Qrqxqlirup Lq
xhqfh
Lqqrydwlrq Glxvlrq Prgho ri Qhz Surgxfw Dffhswdqfh*/ Pdqdjhphqw Vflhqfh
5+6,= 5:605<61
Hdwzhoo/ M1/ P1 Plojdwh dqg S1 Qhzpdq +hgv1,
+4<;:,/ Wkh Qhz Sdojudyh=
D
Glfwlrqdu| ri Hfrqrplfv/ lq irxu yroxphv/ PdfPloodq Suhvv Olplwhg/ Orqgrq1
Hehuw/ X1 +4<<5,/ cSljrxyldq Wd{hv dqg Pdunhw Vwuxfwxuh= Wkh Fdvh ri Roljrsro|
dqg Glhuhqw Dedwhphqw Whfkqrorjlhv*/ Ilqdq}dufkly 7<= 48704991
Ilvfkhu/ F1/ L1Z1K1 Sduu| dqg Z1D1 Sl}hu +4<<;,/ cLqvwuxphqw Fkrlfh iru Hqyl0
urqphqwdo Surwhfwlrq zkhq Whfkqrorjlfdo Lqqrydwlrq lv Hqgrjhqrxv*/ Glvfxv0
vlrq sdshu <<037/ Uhvrxufhv iru wkh Ixwxuh/ Zdvklqjwrq GF1
Iuhhpdq/ F1 +4<;5,/ Wkh Hfrqrplfv ri Lqgxvwuldo Lqqrydwlrq/ vhfrqg hglwlrq/
Slqwhu Sxeolvkhuv/ Orqgrq1
Iuhhpdq/ F1 +4<;;,/ cGlxvlrq= Wkh Vsuhdg ri Qhz Whfkqrorj| wr Ilupv/ Vhf0
wruv dqg Qdwlrqv*/ lq=
D1 Khhuwmh +hg1,/ Lqqrydwlrq/ Whfkqrorj| dqg Ilqdqfh/
Edvlo Eodfnzhoo/ R{irug1
4<6
Iuhhpdq/ F1 +4<<4,/ cLqqrydwlrq/ Fkdqjhv ri Whfkqr0Hfrqrplf Sdudgljp dqg
Elrorjlfdo Dqdorjlhv lq Hfrqrplfv*/ Uhyxh Hfrqrpltxh 75+5,= 54405651
Iuhhpdq/ F1 dqg O1 Vrhwh +hgv1,
+4<<3,/ Qhz H{sorudwlrqv lq wkh Hfrqrplfv
ri Whfkqrorjlfdo Fkdqjh/ Slqwhu Sxeolvkhuv/ Orqgrq1
Iuhhpdq/ F1 dqg O1 Vrhwh +4<<:,/ Hfrqrplfv dqg Lqgxvwuldo Lqqrydwlrq/ Slqwhu
Sxeolvkhuv/ Orqgrq1
Iulhgpdq/ G1 +4<<4,/ cHyroxwlrqdu| Jdphv lq Hfrqrplfv*/ Hfrqrphwulfd
8<=
96:09991
Iulhgpdq/ G1 +4<<;,/ cRq Hfrqrplf Dssolfdwlrqv ri Hyroxwlrqdu| Jdph Wkh0
ru|*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hyroxwlrqdu| Hfrqrplfv ;+4,= 480761
Iulhgpdq/ G1 +5334,/ cWrzdugv Hyroxwlrqdu| Jdph Prghov ri Ilqdqfldo Pdu0
nhwv*/ Txdqwlwdwlyh Ilqdqfh 4+4,= 40<1
Iulhgpdq/
G1 dqg N1F1 Ixqj +4<<9,/
Rujdql}dwlrq ri Ilupv=
cLqwhuqdwlrqdo Wudgh dqg wkh Lqwhuqdo
Dq Hyroxwlrqdu| Dssurdfk*/ Mrxuqdo ri Lqwhuqdwlrqdo
Hfrqrplfv 74= 446046:1
Iulhgpdq/ P1 +4<86,/ cWkh Phwkrgrorj| ri Srvlwlyh Hfrqrplfv*/ lq= P1 Iulhg0
pdq +hg1,/ Hvvd|v lq Srvlwlyh Hfrqrplfv/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri Fklfdjr Suhvv/ Fklfdjr
LO1
Ixghqehuj/ G1 dqg G1N1 Ohylqh +4<<;,/ Wkh Wkhru| ri Ohduqlqj lq Jdphv/
PLW Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh PD1
Ixqj/ N1F1 +4<;;,/ cVwudwhjlf Wudgh Srolflhv/ Glhuhqwldwhg Gxrsro| dqg Lqwud0
Lqgxvwu| Wudgh*/ Lqwhuqdwlrqdo Hfrqrplf Mrxuqdo 5+6,= 4<0671
Jhurvnl/ S1D1 +5333,/ cPrghov ri Whfkqrorj| Glxvlrq*/ Uhvhdufk Srolf|
5<=
93609581
Jlqwlv/ K1 +5333,/ Jdph Wkhru| Hyroylqj=
D Sureohp Fhqwhuhg Lqwurgxfwlrq
wr Prgholqj Vwudwhjlf Lqwhudfwlrq/ Sulqfhwrq Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ Sulqfhwrq/ Qhz
Mhuvh|1
Jodlvwhu/ V1 +4<:7,/ cDgyhuwlvlqj Srolf| dqg Uhwxuqv wr Vfdoh lq Pdunhwv zkhuh
Lqirpdwlrq lv Sdvvhg Ehwzhhq Lqglylgxdov*/ Hfrqrplfd 74= 46<04891
4<7
UHIHUHQFHV
Julolfkhv/ ]1 +4<8:,/ cK|eulg Fruq= Dq H{sorudwlrq lq wkh Hfrqrplfv ri Whfk0
qlfdo Fkdqjh*/ Hfrqrphwulfd 58+7,= 83408551
Kdjhp/ F1 dqg K1 Zhvwvnrj +4<<;,/ cWkh Ghvljq ri d G|qdplfdo Wudghdeoh
Txrwd V|vwhp xqghu Pdunhw Lpshuihfwlrqv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfr0
qrplfv dqg Pdqdjhphqw 69= ;<043:1
Kdqk/ U1Z1 +4<;7,/ cPdunhw Srzhu dqg Wudqvihudeoh Surshuw| Uljkwv*/ Txdu0
whuo| Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplfv <<+7,= :860:981
Kdplowrq/ Z1G1 +4<9:,/ cH{wudruglqdu| Vh{ Udwlrv*/ Vflhqfh 489= 7::07;;1
Kdqvhq/ U1J1 dqg Z1I1 Vdpxhovrq +4<;;,/ cHyroxwlrq lq Hfrqrplf Jdphv*/
Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplf Ehkdylru dqg Rujdql}dwlrq 43= 648066;1
Kd|hn/ I1D1 +4<:<,/ Odz/ Ohjlvodwlrq dqg Olehuw|/ Yro 61
Wkh Srolwlfdo Rughu
ri d Iuhh Shrsoh/ Urxwohgjh/ Orqgrq1
Kd|hn/ I1D1 +4<;;,/ Wkh Idwdo Frqfhlw/ Urxwohgjh/ Orqgrq1
Khkhqndps/ E1 dqg Z1 Ohlqljhu +4<<<,/ cD Qrwh rq Hyroxwlrqdu| Vwdelolw| ri
Ehuwudqg Htxloleulxp*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hyroxwlrqdu| Hfrqrplfv <= 69:06:41
Khkhqndps/ E1/ F0]1 Tlq dqg F1 Vwxduw +4<<<,/ cHfrqrplf Qdwxudo Vhohfwlrq
lq Ehuwudqg dqg Frxuqrw Vhwwlqjv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hyroxwlrqdu| Hfrqrplfv <= 5440
5571
Khuqhv/ J1 +4<:9,/ cGlxvlrq dqg Jurzwk 0 Wkh Qrq0Krprjhqhrxv Fdvh*/ Vfdq0
glqdyldq Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplfv :;= 75:07691
Kluvkohlihu/ M1 +4<::,/ cHfrqrplfv iurp d Elrorjlfdo Ylhzsrlqw*/ Mrxuqdo ri Odz
dqg Hfrqrplfv 53+4,= 40851
Kluvkohlihu/ M1 +4<;5,/ cHyroxwlrqdu| Prghov lq Hfrqrplfv dqg Odz= Frrshud0
wlyh yhuvxv Frq
lfw Vwudwhjlhv*/ Uhvhdufk lq Odz dqg Hfrqrplfv 7= 40931
Kluvkohlihu/ M1 dqg M1F1 Pduwlqh} Froo +4<;;,/ cZkdw Vwudwhjlhv fdq Vxssruw
wkh Hyroxwlrqdu| Hphujhqfh ri FrrshudwlrqB*/ Mrxuqdo ri Frq
65= 69:06<;1
lfw Uhvroxwlrq
4<8
Kluvkohlihu/ M1 dqg M1J1 Uloh| +4<<5,/ Wkh Dqdo|wlfv ri Xqfhuwdlqw| dqg Lqiru0
pdwlrq/ Fdpeulgjh Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh XN1
Kriedxhu/ M1 dqg N1 Vljpxqg +4<;;,/ Wkh Wkhru| ri Hyroxwlrq dqg G|qdplfdo
V|vwhpv/ Fdpeulgjh Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh XN1
Kruvn|/ G1 dqg O1V1 Vlprq +4<;6,/ cDgyhuwlvlqj dqg wkh Glxvlrq ri Qhz Surg0
xfwv*/ Pdunhwlqj Vflhqfh 5= 404:1
Kxfn/ V1/ K0W1 Qrupdqq dqg M1 Rhfkvvohu +4<<<,/ cOhduqlqj lq Frxuqrw Roljrsro|
0 Dq H{shulphqw*/ Hfrqrplf Mrxuqdo 43<= F;30F<81
Kxfn/ V1/ K0W1 Qrupdqq dqg M1 Rhfkvvohu +5333,/ cGrhv Lqirupdwlrq derxw
Frpshwlwru*v Dfwlrqv Lqfuhdvh ru Ghfuhdvh Frpshwlwlrq lq H{shulphqwdo Roljrsro|
PdunhwvB*/ Lqwhuqdwlrqdo Mrxuqdo ri Lqgxvwuldo Rujdql}dwlrq 4;= 6<08:1
Mdh/ D1E1/ U1J1 Qhzhoo dqg U1Q1 Vwdylqv +5333,/ cWhfkqrorjlfdo Fkdqjh dqg
wkh Hqylurqphqw*/ QEHU Zrunlqj Sdshu qu1
:<:3/ Fdpeulgjh PD/ Iruwk0
frplqj lq N1J1 Pçohu dqg M1 Ylqfhqw +hgv1,/ Kdqgerrn ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfr0
qrplfv/ Qruwk0Kroodqg2Hovhylhu/ Dpvwhugdp1
Mdh/ D1E1 dqg U1Q1 Vwdylqv +4<<8,/ cG|qdplf Lqfhqwlyhv ri Hqylurqphqwdo
Uhjxodwlrqv= Wkh Hhfwv ri Dowhuqdwlyh Srolf| Lqvwuxphqwv rq Whfkqrorj| Gli0
ixvlrq*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfrqrplfv dqg Pdqdjhphqw 5<= V760V961
Mxqj/ F1K1/ N1 Nuxwlood dqg U1 Er|g +4<<9,/ cLqfhqwlyhv iru Dgydqfhg Srooxwlrq
Dedwhphqw Whfkqrorj| dw wkh Lqgxvwu| Ohyho= Dq Hydoxdwlrq ri Srolf| Dowhu0
qdwlyhv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfrqrplfv dqg Pdqdjhphqw 63= <804441
Ndolvk/ V1 +4<;8,/ cD Qhz Surgxfw Dgrswlrq Prgho zlwk Sulfh/ Dgyhuwlvlqj
dqg Xqfhuwdlqw|*/ Pdqdjhphqw Vflhqfh 64+45,= 489<048;81
Ndqgrul/ P1/ J1 Pdlodwk dqg U1 Ure +4<<6,/ cOhduqlqj/ Pxwdwlrq dqg Orqj
Uxq Htxloleuld lq Jdphv*/ Hfrqrphwulfd 94= 5<0891
Nduvkhqdv/ P1 dqg S1 Vwrqhpdq +4<<5,/ cD Ioh{leoh Prgho ri Whfkqrorjlfdo
Glxvlrq Lqfrusrudwlqj Hfrqrplf Idfwruv zlwk dq Dssolfdwlrq wr wkh Vsuhdg
ri Frorxu Whohylvlrq Rzqhuvkls lq wkh XN*/ Mrxuqdo ri Iruhfdvwlqj 44= 8::09341
4<9
UHIHUHQFHV
Nduvkhqdv/ P1 dqg S1 Vwrqhpdq +4<<8,/ cWhfkrorjlfdo Glxvlrq*/ lq= S1 Vwrqh0
pdq +hg1,/ Kdqgerrn ri wkh Hfrqrplfv ri Lqqrydwlrq dqg Whfkqrorjlfdo Fkdqjh/
Edvlo Eodfnzhoo/ R{irug1
Nhps/ U1 +4<<:,/ Hqylurqphqwdo Srolf| dqg Whfkqlfdo Fkdqjh= D Frpsdulvrq
ri wkh Whfkqrorjlfdo Lpsdfw ri Srolf| Lqvwuxphqwv/ Hgzdug Hojdu/ Fkhowhqkdp
XN1
Nhps/ U1 dqg O1 Vrhwh +4<<3,/ cLqvlgh wkh cJuhhq Er{*=
ri Whfkqrorjlfdo Fkdqjh dqg wkh Hqylurqphqw*/ lq=
+hgv1,/
Rq wkh Hfrqrplfv
F1 Iuhhpdq dqg O1 Vrhwh
Qhz H{sorudwlrqv lq wkh Hfrqrplfv ri Whfkqrorjlfdo Fkdqjh/
Slqwhu
Sxeolvkhuv/ Orqgrq1
Nhps/ U1 dqg O1 Vrhwh +4<<5,/ cWkh Juhhqlqj ri Whfkqrorjlfdo Surjuhvv=
Dq
Hyroxwlrqdu| Shuvshfwlyh*/ Ixwxuhv 57+8,= 76:078:1
Nhps/ U1/ S1 Pxoghu dqg F1K1 Uhvfknh +4<<<,/ cHyroxwlrqdu| Wkhrulvlqj rq
Whfkqrorjlfdo Fkdqjh dqg Vxvwdlqdeoh Ghyhorsphqw*/ RFIHE Uhvhdufk Php0
rudqgxp <<45/ Hudvpxv Xqlyhuvlw|/ Urwwhugdp1
Nhrkdqh/ Q1R1 +4<<<,/ cSrolf| Lqvwuxphqwv dqg wkh Glxvlrq ri Srooxwlrq Dedwh0
phqw Whfkqltxh*/ Kduydug Xqlyhuvlw|1
Nhrkdqh/ Q1R1 +5335,/ cHqylurqphqwdo Srolf| dqg wkh Fkrlfh ri Dedwhphqw
Whfkqltxh=
Hylghqfh
iurp
Frdo0Iluhg Srzhu
Sodqwv*/
Zrunlqj Sdshu/
\doh
Vfkrro ri Pdqdjhphqw1
Nhuu/ V1 dqg U1J1 Qhzhoo +5333,/ cSrolf|0Lqgxfhg Whfkqrorj| Dgrswlrq= Hyl0
ghqfh iurp wkh X1V1 Ohdg Skdvhgrzq*/ Glvfxvvlrq Sdshu 34047/ Uhvrxufhv iru
wkh Ixwxuh/ Zdvklqjwrq/ GF +iruwkfrplqj Mrxuqdo ri Lqgxvwuldo Hfrqrplfv ,1
Nqhhvh/ D1Y1 dqg F1O1 Vfkxow}h +4<:;,/ Sro oxwlrq/ Sulfhv dqg Sxeolf Srolf|/
Wkh Eurrnlqjv Lqvwlwxwh/ Zdvklqjwrq GF1
Nrvwhu/ P1 +5334,/ D Sxeolf Ilup rq d Pdunhw iru Wudgdeoh Hplvvlrq Shuplwv=
D Fdvh Vwxg| iru wkh Qhwkhuodqgv/ Glvvhuwdwlrq/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri Jurqlqjhq1
Odqjh/ D1 dqg W1 Uhtxdwh +4<<;,/ cHplvvlrq Wd{hv iru Sulfh Vhwwlqj Ilupv=
Glhuhqwldwhg Frpprglwlhv dqg Prqrsrolvwlf Frpshwlwlrq*/ Glvfxvvlrq sdshu
4<:
qu1 597/ Lqwhuglvflsolqdu| Lqvwlwxwh iru Hqylurqphqwdo Hfrqrplfv/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri
Khlghoehuj1
Ohylq/ G1 +4<;8,/ cWd{dwlrq zlwklq Frxuqrw Roljrsro|*/ Mrxuqdo ri Sxeolf Hfr0
qrplfv 5:= 5;405<31
Ohzrqwlq/ U1F1 +4<94,/ cHyroxwlrq dqg wkh Wkhru| ri Jdphv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Wkh0
ruhwlfdo Elrorj| 4= 6;507361
Pdoxhj/ G1D1 +4<;<,/ cHplvvlrq Fuhglw Wudglqj dqg wkh Lqfhqwlyh wr Dgrsw
Qhz Srooxwlrq Dedwhphqw Whfkqrorj|*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfrqrplfv
dqg Pdqdjhphqw 49+4,= 8508:1
Pdqvhog +4<94,/ cWhfkqlfdo Fkdqjh dqg wkh Udwh ri Lplwdwlrq*/ Hfrqrphwulfd
5<= :740:991
Pdulq/
D1 +4<:;,/
cWkh Fkrlfh ri H!flhqw Srooxwlrq Srolflhv=
Whfkqrorjlhv
dqg Hfrqrplfv lq wkh Frqwuro ri Vxoskxu Glr{lgh*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hqylurqphqwdo
Hfrqrplfv dqg Pdqdjhphqw 8= 770951
Pdulq/ D1 +4<<4,/ cIlup Lqfhqwlyhv wr Surprwh Whfkqrorjlfdo Fkdqjh lq Sroox0
wlrq Frqwuro=
Frpphqw*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfrqrplfv dqg Pdqdjh0
phqw 54+6,= 5<:06331
Pduvkdoo/ D1 +4;<4,/ Sulqflsohv ri Hfrqrplfv/ PdfPloodq/ Orqgrq1
Pd|qdug Vplwk/ M1 +4<:7,/ cWkh Wkhru| ri Jdphv dqg wkh Hyroxwlrq ri Dqlpdo
Frq
lfwv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Wkhruhwlfdo Elrorj| 7:= 53<05541
Pd|qdug Vplwk/ M1 +4<;5,/ Hyroxwlrq dqg wkh Wkhru| ri Jdphv/ Fdpeulgjh
Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh PD1
Pd|qdug Vplwk/ M1 dqg J1 Sulfh +4<:6,/ cWkh Orjlf ri Dqlpdo Frq
lfw*/ Qdwxuh
579= 4804;1
PfJlqw|/ P1 +5334,/ cDq Hyroxwlrqdu| Jdph Wudgh Prgho ri Hqylurqphqwdoo|
Glhuhqwldwhg Jrrgv*/ Zrunlqj Sdshu/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri Fdoliruqld/ Vdqwd Fux}1
Phwfdoih/ M1V1 +4<;;,/ cWkh Glxvlrq ri Lqqrydwlrq= Dq Lqwhusuhwlyh Vxuyh|*/ lq=
J1 Grvl/ F1 Iuhhpdq/ U1 Qhovrq/ J1 Vloyhuehuj dqg O1 Vrhwh +hgv1,/ Whfkqrorjlfdo
Fkdqjh dqg Hfrqrplf Wkhru|/ Slqwhu Sxeolvkhuv/ Orqgrq1
4<;
UHIHUHQFHV
Phwfdoih/ M1V1 +4<<7d,/ cWhfkqrorj| V|vwhpv dqg Whfkqrorj| Srolf| lq dq Hyr0
oxwlrqdu| Iudphzrun*/ Fdpeulgjh Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplfv 4<= 580791
Phwfdoih/ M1V1 +4<<7e,/ cHyroxwlrqdu| Hfrqrplfv dqg Whfkqrorj| Srolf|*/ Hfr0
qrplf Mrxuqdo 437= <640<771
Ploolpdq/ V1U1 dqg U1 Sulqfh +4<;<,/ cIlup Lqfhqwlyhv wr Surprwh Whfkqrorj0
lfdo Fkdqjh lq Srooxwlrq Frqwuro*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfrqrplfv dqg
Pdqdjhphqw 4:= 57:05981
Ploolpdq/ V1U1 dqg U1 Sulqfh +4<<5,/ cIlup Lqfhqwlyhv wr Surprwh Whfkqrorjlfdo
Fkdqjh lq Srooxwlrq Frqwuro= Uhso|*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfrqrplfv dqg
Pdqdjhphqw 55= 5<505<91
Prqwhur/ M0S +5335,/ cShuplwv/ Vwdqgdugv dqg Whfkqrorj| Lqqrydwlrq*/ Mrxuqdo
ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfrqrplfv dqg Pdqdjhphqw 77+4,= 560771
Prudjd0Jrq}äoh}/ M1O1 dqg Q1 Sdguöq0Ixphur +5335,/ cHqylurqphqwdo Srolf|
lq d Juhhq Pdunhw*/ Hqylurqphqwdo dqg Uhvrxufh Hfrqrplfv 55= 74<077:1
Pxoghu/ S1 dqg M1F1M1P1 ydq ghq Ehujk +5334,/ cHyroxwlrqdu| Hfrqrplf Wkh0
rulhv ri Vxvwdlqdeoh Ghyhorsphqw*/ Jurzwk dqg Fkdqjh 65= 44304671
Qdvk/ M1 +4<83,/ Qrq0Frrshudwlyh Jdphv/ Glvvhuwdwlrq/ Sulqfhwrq Xqlyhuvlw|1
Qhovrq/ U1U1 dqg V1J1 Zlqwhu +4<:6,/ cWrzdug dq Hyroxwlrqdu| Wkhru| ri Hfr0
qrplf Fdsdelolwlhv*/ Dphulfdq Hfrqrplf Uhylhz 96+5,= 773077<1
Qhovrq/ U1U1 dqg V1J1 Zlqwhu +4<;5,/ Dq Hyroxwlrqdu| Wkhru| ri Hfrqrplf
Fkdqjh/ Wkh Ehonqds Suhvv ri Kduydug Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh PD1
Qhqwmhv/ D1/ M1W1 Errp/ E1U1 Glmnvwud/ P1 Nrvwhu1/ H1 Zrhugpdq dqg ]1[1
]kdqj +5335,/ cQdwlrqdo dqg Lqwhuqdwlrqdo Hplvvlrqv Wudglqj iru Juhhqkrxvh
Jdvhv/ Gxwfk Qdwlrqdo Uhvhdufk Surjudpph rq Joredo Dlu Srooxwlrq dqg Fol0
pdwh Fkdqjh*/ QUS Uhsruw qr1 743053303<6/ Elowkryhq1
Ruu/ O1 +4<:9,/ cLqfhqwlyh iru Lqqrydwlrq dv wkh Edvlv iru H"xhqw Fkdujh Vwudw0
hj|*/ Dphulfdq Hfrqrplf Uhylhz 89= 774077:1
Sduu|/ L1Z1K1 +4<<;,/ cSrooxwlrq Uhjxodwlrq dqg wkh H!flhqf| Jdlqv iurp Whfk0
qrorjlfdo Lqqrydwlrq*/ Mrxuqdo ri Uhjxodwru| Hfrqrplfv 47= 55<05871
4<<
Tlq/ F0]1 dqg F1 Vwxduw +4<<:,/ cDuh Frxuqrw dqg Ehuwudqg Htxloleuld Hyrox0
wlrqdu| Vwdeoh VwudwhjlhvB*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hyroxwlrqdu| Hfrqrplfv := 7407:1
Uhlqjdqxp/ M1I1 +4<;4d,/ cRq wkh Glxvlrq ri Qhz Whfkqrorj|= D Jdph Wkh0
ruhwlf Dssurdfk*/ Uhylhz ri Hfrqrplf Vwxglhv 7;= 6<807381
Uhlqjdqxp/ M1I1 +4<;4e,/ cPdunhw Vwuxfwxuh dqg wkh Glxvlrq ri Qhz Whfk0
qrorj|*/ Eho o Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplfv 45= 94;09571
Uhlqjdqxp/ M1I1 +4<;6,/ cWhfkqrorj| Dgrswlrq xqghu Lpshuihfw Lqirupdwlrq*/
Ehoo Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplfv 47= 8:09<1
Uhtxdwh/ W1 +4<<6d,/ cSrooxwlrq Frqwuro lq d Frxuqrw Gxrsro| yld Wd{hv ru
Shuplwv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplfv 8;+6,= 58805<41
Uhtxdwh/ W1 +4<<6e,/ cSrooxwlrq Frqwuro xqghu Lpshuihfw Frpshwlwlrq= Dv|p0
phwulf Ehuwudqg Gxrsro| zlwk Olqhdu Whfkqrorjlhv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Lqvwlwxwlrqdo
dqg Wkhruhwlfdo Hfrqrplfv 47<+5,= 74807751
Uhtxdwh/ W1 +4<<8,/ cLqfhqwlyhv wr Dgrsw Qhz Whfkqrorjlhv xqghu Glhuhqw
Srooxwlrq Frqwuro Srolflhv*/ Lqwhuqdwlrqdo Wd{ dqg Sxeolf Ilqdqfh 5= 5<8064:1
Uhtxdwh/ W1 +4<<;,/ cLqfhqwlyhv wr Lqqrydwh xqghu Hplvvlrq Wd{hv dqg Wudgh0
deoh Shuplwv*/ Hxurshdq Mrxuqdo ri Srolwlfdo Hfrqrp| 47= 46<04981
Uhtxdwh/ W1 dqg Z1 Xqrog +5334,/ cRq wkh Lqfhqwlyhv Fuhdwhg e| Srolf| Lqvwux0
phqwv wr Dgrsw Dgydqfhg Dedwhphqw Whfkqrorj| li Ilupv duh Dv|pphwulf*/
Mrxuqdo ri Lqvwlwxwlrqdo dqg Wkhruhwlfdo Hfrqrplfv 48:+7,= 86908871
Uhtxdwh/ W1 dqg Z1 Xqrog +5336,/ cHqylurqphqwdo Srolf| Lqfhqwlyhv wr Dgrsw
Dgydqfhg Dedwhphqw Whfkqrorj|= Zloo wkh Wuxh Udqnlqj Sohdvh Vwdqg XsB*/
Hxurshdq Hfrqrplf Uhylhz 7:= 45804791
Ukrgh/ S1 dqg P1 Vwhjhpdq +5334,/ cQrq0Qdvk Htxloleuld ri Gduzlqldq G|0
qdplfv zlwk Dssolfdwlrqv wr Gxrsro|*/ Lqwhuqdwlrqdo Mrxuqdo ri Lqgxvwuldo Ru0
jdql}dwlrq 4<= 74807861
Uloh|/ M1 +4<:<,/ cHyroxwlrqdu| Htxloleulxp Vwudwhjlhv*/ Mrxuqdo ri Wkhruhwlfdo
Elrorj| :9= 43<04561
533
UHIHUHQFHV
Urjhuv/ H1 +4<<8,/ Glxvlrq ri Lqqrydwlrqv/ irxuwk hglwlrq/ Wkh Iuhh Suhvv/
Qhz \run1
Vdpxhovrq/
O1 +4<<:,/
Hyroxwlrqdu| Jdphv dqg Htxloleulxp Vhohfwlrq/
PLW
Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh PD1
Vfkdhu/ P1H1 +4<;<,/ cDuh Surw0Pd{lplvhuv wkh Ehvw vxuylyruvB D Gduzlqldq
Prgho ri Hfrqrplf Qdwxudo Vhohfwlrq*/ Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplf Ehkdylru dqg Ru0
jdql}dwlrq 45= 5<0781
Vfkhqn0Krssì/ N1U1 +5333,/ cWkh Hyroxwlrq ri Zdoudvldq Ehkdylru lq Roljrsrolhv*/
Mrxuqdo ri Pdwkhpdwlfdo Hfrqrplfv 66= 680881
Vfklsshu/ E1F1 +5334,/ cLplwdwruv dqg Rswlpl}huv lq V|pphwulf q 0Ilup Frxuqrw
Roljrsro|*/ Zrunlqj Sdshu/ Ghsduwphqw ri Hfrqrplfv/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri Erqq1
Vfkxpshwhu/ M1D1 +4<6<,/ Exvlqhvv F|fohv/ PfJudz0Kloo/ Qhz \run1
Vfkxpshwhu/
M1D1
+4<75,/
Fdslwdolvp/
Vrfldolvp
dqg
Ghprfudf|/
Kdushu
)
Urz/ Qhz \run1
Vloyhuehuj J1 +4<<4,/ cDgrswlrq dqg Glxvlrq ri Whfkqrorj| dv d Froohfwlyh
Hyroxwlrqdu| Surfhvv*/ lq= Q1 Qdnl
fhqryl
f dqg D1 Ju
eohu +hgv1,/ Glxvlrq ri
Whfkqrorjlhv dqg Vrfldo Ehkdylru/ Vsulqjhu0Yhuodj/ Ehuolq1
Vlprq/ K1D1 +4<8:,/ Prghov ri Pdq/ Zloh|/ Qhz \run1
Vplwk/
Y1N1
+4<:5,/
cWkh Lpsolfdwlrqv
ri Frpprq Surshuw| Uhvrxufhv
iru
Whfkqlfdo Fkdqjh*/ Hxurshdq Hfrqrplf Uhylhz 6= 79<07:<1
Vrqqhqvfkhlq/ K1 +4<;5,/ cSulfh G|qdplfv Edvhg rq wkh Dgmxvwphqw ri Ilupv*/
Dphulfdq Hfrqrplf Uhylhz :5+8,= 43;;043<91
Vsxoehu/ G1I1 +4<;8,/ cH"xhqw Uhjxodwlrq dqg Orqj0Uxq Rswlpdolw|*/ Mrxuqdo
ri Hqylurqphqwdo Hfrqrplfv dqg Pdqdjhphqw 45= 43604491
Vsxoehu/ G1I1 +4<;<,/ Uhjxodwlrq dqg Pdunhwv/ PLW Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh PD1
Vwdylqv/ U1Q1 dqg E1 Zklwhkhdg +4<<:,/ cPdunhw0Edvhg Hqylurqphqwdo Srol0
flhv*/ lq= P1U1 Fkhuwrz dqg G1F1 Hvw| +hgv1,/ Wklqnlqj Hfrorjlfdo o|= Wkh Qh{w
Jhqhudwlrq ri Hqylurqphqwdo Srolf|/ \doh Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ Qhz Kdyhq1
534
Vwrqhpdq/
S1
+5335,/
Wkh
Hfrqrplfv
ri
Whfkqrorjlfdo
Glxvlrq/
Eodfnzhoo
Sxeolvkhuv Owg/ R{irug XN1
Wdqdnd/ \1 +4<<<,/ cOrqj Uxq Htxloleuld lq dq Dv|pphwulf Roljrsro|*/ Hfr0
qrplf Wkhru| 47= :380:481
Wdqdnd/ \1 +5333,/ cVwrfkdvwlfdoo| Vwdeoh Vwdwhv lq dq Roljrsro| zlwk Glhu0
hqwldwhg Jrrgv=
Htxlydohqfh ri Sulfh
dqg Txdqwlw| Vwudwhjlhv*/
Mrxuqdo
ri
Pdwkhpdwlfdo Hfrqrplfv 67= 56805861
Wd|oru/ S1G1 dqg O1E1 Mrqnhu +4<:;,/ cHyroxwlrqdu| Vwdeoh Vwudwhjlhv dqg Jdph
G|qdplfv*/ Pdwkhpdwlfdo Elrvflhqfhv 73= 47804891
Wkluwoh/ F1J1 dqg Y1Z1 Uxwwdq +4<;:,/ Wkh Uroh ri Ghpdqg dqg Vxsso| lq wkh
Jhqhudwlrq dqg Glxvlrq ri Whfkqlfdo Fkdqjh/ Kduzrrg Dfdghplf Sxeolvkhuv/
Orqgrq1
Wluroh/ M1 +4<;;,/ Wkh Wkhru| ri Lqgxvwuldo Rujdql}dwlrq/ PLW Suhvv/ Fdp0
eulgjh PD1
Wrpdq/ P1D1 dqg F1 Zlwkdjhq +5333,/ cDffxpxodwlyh Srooxwlrq/ cFohdq Whfk0
qrorj|* dqg Srolf| Ghvljq*/ Uhvrxufh dqg Hqhuj| Hfrqrplfv 55= 69:06;71
Ydq Gdpph/ H1 +4<;:,/ Vwdelolw| dqg Shuihfwlrq ri Qdvk Htxloleuld/ Vsulqjhu0
Yhuodj/ Ehuolq1
Yhjd0Uhgrqgr/ I1 +4<<9,/ Hyroxwlrq/ Jdphv dqg Hfrqrplf Ehkdylrxu/ R{irug
Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ R{irug XN1
Yhjd0Uhgrqgr/ I1 +4<<:,/ cWkh Hyroxwlrq ri Zdoudvldq Ehkdylru*/ Hfrqrphwulfd
98+5,= 6:806;71
Ylyhv/
[1 +4<<<,/
Roljrsro| Sulflqj=
Rog Lghdv dqg Qhz Wrrov/
PLW Suhvv/
Fdpeulgjh PD1
Zdogpdq/ P1 +4<<7,/ cV|vwhpdwlf Huuruv dqg wkh Wkhru| ri Qdwxudo Vhohfwlrq*/
Dphulfdq Hfrqrplf Uhylhz ;7+6,= 7;507<:1
Zhlexoo/ M1Z1 +4<<7,/ cWkh cdv0li * Dssurdfk wr Jdph Wkhru|=
Wkuhh Srvlwlyh
Uhvxowv dqg Irxu Revwdfohv*/ Hxurshdq Hfrqrplf Uhylhz 6;= ;9;0;;41
535
UHIHUHQFHV
Zhlexoo/ M1Z1 +4<<8,/ Hyroxwlrqdu| Jdph Wkhru|/ PLW Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh PD1
Zhvwvnrj/ K1 +4<<9,/ cPdunhw Srzhu lq d V|vwhp ri Wudghdeoh FR 0txrwdv*/
Hqhuj| Mrxuqdo 4:+6,= ;804361
Zlovrq/ H1R1 +4<:8,/ Vrflrelrorj|=
Wkh Qhz V|qwkhvlv/ Wkh Ehonqds Suhvv ri
Kduydug Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ Fdpeulgjh PD1
Zlqwhu/ V1 +4<:4,/ cVdwlvflqj/ Vhohfwlrq dqg wkh Lqqrydwlqj Uhpqdqw*/ Txdu0
whuo| Mrxuqdo ri Hfrqrplfv ;8= 56:05941
Zlqwhu/ V1J1/ \1P1 Ndqlryvnl dqg J1 Grvl +5333,/ cPrgholqj Lqgxvwuldo G|0
qdplfv zlwk Lqqrydwlyh Hqwudqwv*/ Vwuxfwxudo Fkdqjh dqg Hfrqrplf G|qdplfv
44= 58805<61
Zlww/ X1 +4<<4,/ cUh
Wkhru|*/ lq=
hfwlrqv rq wkh Suhvhqw Vwdwh ri Hyroxwlrqdu| Hfrqrplf
J1P1 Krgjvrq dqg H1 Vfuhsdqwl +hgv1,/ Uhwklqnlqj Hfrqrplfv=
Pdunhwv/ Whfkqrorj| dqg Hfrqrplf Hyroxwlrq/ Hgzdug Hojdu/ Doghuvkrw XN1
Zrhugpdq/ H1 +5335,/ Lpsohphqwlqj wkh N|rwr Phfkdqlvpv= Srolwlfdo Eduulhuv
dqg Sdwk Ghshqghqfh/ Glvvhuwdwlrq/ Xqlyhuvlw| ri Jurqlqjhq1
Zruog Edqn +4<<5,/ cZruog Ghyhorsphqw Uhsruw 4<<5=
Ghyhorsphqw dqg wkh
Hqylurqphqw*/ R{irug Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ R{irug XN1
\rxqj/ K1S1 +4<<6,/ cWkh Hyroxwlrq ri Frqyhqwlrqv*/ Hfrqrphwulfd 94= 8:0;71
\rxqj/ K1S1 +4<<;,/ Lqglylgxdo Vwudwhj| dqg Vrfldo Vwuxfwxuh= Dq Hyroxwlrqdu|
Wkhru| ri Lqvwlwxwlrqv/ Sulqfhwrq Xqlyhuvlw| Suhvv/ Sulqfhwrq/ Qhz Mhuvh|1
]hhpdq/ H1F1 +4<;3,/ cSrsxodwlrq G|qdplfv iurp Jdph Wkhru|*/ lq= ]1 Qlwhfnl
dqg F1 Urelqvrq +hgv1,/ Joredo Wkhru| ri G|qdplfdo V|vwhpv/ Ohfwxuh Qrwhv
lq Pdwkhpdwlfv ;4</ Vsulqjhu/ Ehuolq1
]hueh/ U1R1 +4<:3,/ cWkhruhwlfdo H!flhqf| lq Srooxwlrq Frqwuro*/ Zhvwhuq Hfr0
qrplf Mrxuqdo ;= 69706:91
Vdphqydwwlqj
Plolhxehohlg hq whfkqrorjlvfkh yhudqghulqj vshohq hhq fhqwudoh uro lq khw rsorv0
vhq ydq plolhxsureohphq1
Whq ddq}lhq ydq khw whfkqrorjlvfkh dvshfw nxqqhq
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