AMER. ZOOL., 22:361-369 (1982) On the Size of African Riverine Fish Faunas1 DANIEL A. LIVINGSTONE Department of Zoology, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 27706 MARY ROWLAND Department of Fishery and Wildlife Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 PATRICIA E. BAILEY Department of Zoology, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 27706 SYNOPSIS. An apparent anomaly exists in the size of riverine fish faunas of the Nile and Zaire; the Nile while considerably longer, appears depauperate when compared with the Zaire. This paradox is explained when discharge, not length, is used as a measure of river size. Indeed, the number of freshwater fish species in African rivers is more closely related to discharge than to length or catchment area. Discharge is directly proportional to terrestrial productivity of a river basin, which in turn affects total biomass offishand number of species. Changes in the size of rivers during the geologic past affected their capacity to sustain diverse fish faunas. Rivers flowing through especially arid lands during the latePleistocene were reduced in discharge, and concomitantly, fish faunas. Immigration of fish from refuge rivers during the Holocene partially restored these diminished faunas. We propose that fish are more mobile than they seem, and that the distinctiveness of riverine fish faunas may be maintained by competitive pressure from established residents, rather than by limited dispersal abilities of fish. Theories of the distribution of fish in Africa are considered, and we suggest that discharge as affected by climatic stability is largely responsible for the size of African riverine fish faunas. length was a reasonable measure of size of a river, but it seems to us possible that Dr. Humphrey Greenwood has drawn some other measure, such as the area of our attention (Greenwood, 1976 and personal communication) to an apparent catchment used by Welcomme (1979), anomaly in the sizes of the riverine fish might give a more realistic appraisal of the faunas of the Nile and Zaire (formerly size of a river against which to compare Congo) Rivers. Not taking into account the the size of its fish fauna. Most comparisons of the size of biotas large flocks of endemic fishes restricted to headwater lakes, the Nile, second longest have used surface area as the measure of river of the world, has a fauna of 115 habitat size, but area is easier to specify for species, only 26 of which are endemic to terrestrial systems or for lakes than it is for that river; the Zaire, although appreciably rivers. One might expect that the total surshorter, contains 669 species, no less than face area of the river and all its tributaries would be comparable with the areas of is548 of which are endemic (Poll, 1973). lands used in the classic studies of Preston We have gathered data on the number of fishes inhabiting various African rivers (1960, 1962a, b) and MacArthur and Wilas well as various measures of size of the son (1967). Estimation of that parameter same rivers. Greenwood implied that for even a small African river would be very time consuming and would require larger scale maps than exist for much of the continent. 1 From the Symposium on Alternative Hypotheses in Only three measures of size are available Biogeography presented at the Annual Meeting of the a large enough number African rivers for American Society of Zoologists and the Society of Systematic Zoology, 27-30 December 1980, at Seattle, to permit meaningful comparisons with their faunas. Those measures are the greatWashington. INTRODUCTION 361 362 LIVINGSTONE ETAL. TABLE 1. Effects of river size on number of fish species (N) present in African rivers, analyzed by stepwise multiple regression analysis.3 Linear model6 Independent variable Discharge (D) Length (L) Area (A) Overall R2, F Contribution toR» Partial F 0.9398 0.0074 0.0025 0.9497 374.35C 3.24 1.09 138.40c Log-log model Order entered in equation Contribution to R1 Partial F Order entered in equation 1 2 3 0.7208 0.0222 0.0002 0.7432 61.96C 1.99 0.02 21.23 C 2 3 I a Data are from Table 2. The multiple linear regression equation is N = 19.61532 +0.01636(D) + 0.02051(L) - 0.00003(A). The equation for the log-log model is In N = 0.24383 + O.30403(ln D) + 0.29393(ln L) - 0.01675(ln A). c Significant at 0.001 level; other values are not significant. b est length from mouth to tributary, used by Greenwood, the total surface area of catchment, used by Welcomme (1979), and the mean annual discharge. All three of these measures of size are highly correlated with each other. The Nile is an aberrant river, extremely long for its discharge because it rises in the humid tropics and then flows for an enormous distance through desert from which it gains little or no water. FISH FAUNA AND SIZE OF MODERN RIVERS We have made a statistical analysis of the relation between number of fishes, length, area, and mean annual discharge of the 26 African rivers for which we could find all four data. We used SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences, Nie etal., 1975) to compute simple and stepwise multiple correlation coefficients between the number of fish species and the various measures of river size, with and without logarithmic transformation of the variables (Table 1). There is a very high correlation between untransformed number of species and discharge. A small amount of additional variance is explained by length and an even smaller amount by area. Together, these three variables account for 95% of the variance in the number of fish species in rivers. (Table 2). Perusal of plots of the untransformed data, however, is less than reassuring. The high correlation between number of fish species and discharge is due largely to the Zaire River, which is much larger and has many more species than its nearest rival. The plot consists very largely of the Zaire River at one end and most of the others in a cluster at the other, with only the Zambesi lying at an intermediate position. We do not have enough such intermediate rivers to define the shape of the curve relating untransformed discharge and size of fish fauna. We lend more ecological credence to the relation displayed by a plot of the logarithmically-transformed variables (Fig. 1). After transformation the correlation coefficients are not quite so high, but the data points spread out enough to define the shape of the curve relating size of fish fauna to size of river. Once again, the highest correlation is with discharge, r2 between log of fish species and log of discharge being 0.74. Multiple correlation analysis shows that log of length and log of discharge explain an additional small part of the variance, but that neither addition is significant. On the log-log plot of species against discharge (Fig. 1) the Nile and the Zaire are not unusual. The number of species in each falls well within the range of variation of the rivers for which we have data—in fact, close to the line of best fit that might be drawn through the data—and Greenwood's paradox disappears. It may seem extraordinary that the number of species of fish in a river should bear the same relation to discharge as do the numbers of species in insular biotas to the areas of the islands on which they live. The dimensions of these two measures of size are very different—cubic meters per second and square meters. It is, of course. SIZE OF AFRICAN RIVERINE FISH FAUNAS 363 possible that the total surface area of rivers, for which we have no data, is highly correlated with the discharge, and the linear log-log relation may result from that correlation. We believe, however, that the similarity has another root. It is unlikely that fishes in a river system are commonly severely restrained by mere lack of space in which to live, for they can tolerate extreme crowding in the isolated pools of rivers at low stage and zero discharge. More likely, the biomass that a river can support depends on the primary production available to sustain its trophic pyramid, and the number of species depends in some Prestonesque fashion on -I 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 n 12 13 the total fish biomass. Although some of NATURAL LOG OF DISCHARGE the primary production comes from phy- FIG. 1. Log species number versus discharge volume toplankton in river water, more usually it for African rivers. comes from rooted aquatics. For many rivers, the productive base is primarily leaf litter imported from the terrestrial part of the total rainfall (Gois, 1972). We have, the catchment. It is likely, further, that then, two equations: even the area of an island is of ecological Discharge = Area X Precipitation X 0.1 significance in the species-area relationProductivity = Area X Precipitation X k ship primarily as an estimator of the amount of solar energy available to sup- Evidently the total terrestrial productivity port photosynthesis by plants, and hence of a river basin is directly proportional to of the amount of energy available to the discharge from the basin, just as the higher levels of the food chain. total productivity of an island is directly Lieth (1973) has shown that two climatic proportional to the area of the island. Toparameters explain most of the site-to-site tal production of a river basin is certainly variance in primary production of terres- proportional to the land area of the basin trial systems. They are mean annual tem- also, but the correlation between producperature and mean annual precipitation. tion and simple area is not so high as that Temperature does not vary much among corrected for rainfall. This is presumably most of the African rivers we are consid- why the correlation between fish fauna ering, but mean annual precipitation on and discharge is higher than it is between the catchment area varies quite signifi- fish fauna and area of the catchment. cantly. Many of the archipelagos that have been Although Lieth's data were fitted best by used in the study of species-area relations a more complex relation, over the range on land are relatively uniform with respect of precipitation of interest here, produc- to rainfall, but it would be interesting to tion — precipitation X k. The total pro- reinvestigate some that do present a range duction in the catchment of a river is ap- of precipitation values. We predict that the proximately production = area X pre- correlation between area and biotic diversity could be improved by taking rainfall cipitation X k. Discharge of a river is similarly a func- into account. Regardless of the underlying basis of the tion of the area and the rainfall per unit area multiplied by a factor depending on relation shown in Figure 1, it is clear from the part of the rainfall that runs off as riv- that figure, and also from corresponding er discharge. For the rivers of Angola, at figures showing species with respect to rivleast, that part is not far from one tenth of er length and catchment area, that the Nile 364 LIVINGSTONE ETAL. does not have a depauperate fauna. Rather, it has a number of species that general experience of African rivers would lead one to expect in a river of its size. EFFECTS OF LATE-QUATERNARY CLIMATIC CHANGE To this point we have considered only the size of modern rivers and taken no account of how changes in that size during the geologic past may have affected their capacity to sustain large numbers of fish species. It is well established that there have been significant changes in the humidity of the African climate during the past twenty thousand years (Gasse, 1975, 1980; Livingstone, 1975, 1976, 1980; Grove and Street, 1979). In particular, Kendall (1969) has shown that for some thousands of years prior to 12,500 years ago no water flowed down the White Nile from Lake Victoria, and Harvey (1976) has shown that no water flowed to the White Nile from Lake Mobutu Sese Seko (formerly Albert) during the same period of time. All the evidence from the Ethiopian plateau, and the valley of the Nile itself (Gasse, 1975, 1980; Williams, 1980) indicates that discharge through the Blue Nile and Atbara must have been low at the same time. At present most of the annual discharge of the lower Nile comes from Ethiopia, but the supply of water from that region is highly seasonal. It is the ten percent of total discharge from the almost non-seasonal White Nile that maintains flow in the lower river during low stage. From these data it is not possible to estimate the annual discharge of the Nile during the arid late-Pleistocene, but it is clear that the length and catchment area of the river were both seriously reduced by loss of the White Nile, and it is difficult to avoid the conclusion that the lower river was a vestige of its modern self, probably reduced to a series of isolated pools during the dry season. In the light of this history the 115 fishes of the modern Nile seem surprisingly many. One might expect a much smaller fish fauna, perhaps only the 26 endemics, to have survived the dry late-Pleistocene. It is conceivable that all African rivers have been affected in a similar way by the climatic changes of the late-Pleistocene, and that the relation of Figure 1 represents the conditions of that time. This possibility cannot be ruled out on strictly geological evidence, although it does seem geologically unlikely, but the large differences in percentage of endemism among the fishes of the various river basins make it seem very unlikely. If the late-Pleistocene fish fauna of the Nile were actually much smaller than the modern one, the question immediately arises of where the extra species have come from that inhabit the modern river. The Zaire has a large fauna and shares a very long common divide with the Nile, and there are at least 22 species of fishes common to the two rivers. Seventy-five Nilotic species are shared with the Niger River in West Africa. Many of the non-endemic Nilotic fishes actually range as far west as the Volta and the Senegal Rivers (Greenwood, 1976). This pattern of faunal similarities is surprising, and has sometimes been regarded as very old, a remnant of a hypothetical uniform fish fauna that was widespread in Africa before partitioning of the continent by the post-Oligocene tectonic activity that produced the Rift. We agree with Beadle (1974) that it reflects much more recent faunal exchange, and in particular, that it dates from the early Holocene wet period. The early Holocene climate of the Soudan was much moister than it is now, the level of standing water in the Chad basin was much higher, and there were drainage connections between rivers that are now quite separate, such as the Niger and influents of Lake Chad, which were connected through the Benue. Conditions for fish migration seem to have been much more favorable along the southern edge of the Sahara than they were between the Nile and the Zaire. The incidence of river capture was probably greater in the flat terrain of the Soudan, where the greatest local relief is commonly formed by sand dunes, than it was over the largely rock-controlled Nile-Zaire watershed. Fishes are commonly regarded as ani- 365 SIZE OF AFRICAN RIVERINE FISH FAUNAS TABLE 2. Characteristics of African nvers used in multiple regression analysis. River 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Nile Zaire Niger Zambesi Orange Benue Volta Cunene 9. 10. 11. 12. Komoe Tana Bandama Cavally Number offish species Length (km) Drainage area (km1) Discharge (in'/sec) 49 945 3,349,000 3,457,000 1,125,000 1,300,000 677,000 64,000 390,000 83,000 2,640 39,000 6,100 7,070 122 6,650 4,700 4,200 2,580 2,100 1,400 1,270 71 1,160 72,000 250 115 669 130 129 15 128 345 382 1,175 215 25 710 800 151 54 1,050 800 38 700 97,000 22,400 13. Sassandra 14. Rufiji 57 650 25 640 75,000 170,000 3,431 15. Wami 25 480 46.000 93 16. Pangani 29 352 29,000 70 4 64 17 61 365 32 260* 1,680 16,190 9,500 29 20 190* 170* 130* 17 335 13 298 9 163 8,700 5,000 4,000 26,000 4,222 1,585 14 125 3,200 17. Sigi 18. Konkoure 19. Bia 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. Agneby Boubo Me Tugela Umkomaas Umtamvuna 26. Umvoti 13 384 480 Authority Fish Greenwood, 1976 Poll, 1973 Greenwood, 1976 Bell-Cross, 1965-66 Jubb, 1967 Stauch, 1966 Roberts, 1967 Jubb, 1967 Daget and Iltis, 1965 Copley, 1958 Daget and Iltis, 1965 Daget and Iltis, 1965 Daget and Iltis, 1965 Bailey, 1969; Copley, 1958 Bailey, 1969; Copley, 1958 Bailey, 1969; Copley, 1958 Bailey, 1969 Daget, 1962 Daget and Iltis, 1965 River Showers, 1973 Showers, 1973 Welcomme, 1972 Welcomme, 1972 Showers, 1973 Van der Leeden, 1975 Welcomme, 1972 Showers, 1973; Van der Leeden, 1975 Welcomme, 1972 Showers, 1973 Welcomme, 1972 Van der Leeden, 1975; Welcomme, 1972 Van der Leeden, 1975 Welcomme, 1972; Tanganyika Atlas Tanganyika Atlas Tanganyika Atlas 10 Tanganyika Atlas Van der Leeden, 1975 Welcomme, 1972; Ivory Coast Atlas Daget and Iltis, 1965 Daget and Iltis, 1965 Daget and Iltis, 1965 South Africa Atlas Shand,1971 Shand, 1971 25 Natal Water Bd. 353 71 50 32 32 17 40 Daget and Iltis, 1965 Daget and Iltis, 1965 Daget and Iltis, 1965 * Measured from 1:2,000,000 Atlas of Cote d'lvoire. mals of very limited capacity for dispersion. We suspect that they have generally unappreciated powers of dispersal, and that competitive pressure from well-established local residents keeps fish faunal interchange to the low levels that are commonly observed. Only when fish are presented with a largely unexploited habitat into which to expand, as they were in Canada after retreat of the Laurentian ice, or in northern equatorial Africa after reestablishment of moist conditions in the early Holocene, does their true potential for dispersion become apparent. River capture may be a particularly effective mechanism for transferring fish from one catchment to another not only because it involves a large number of immigrants, but also because those immigrants are transferred together with a 366 LIVINGSTONE ETAL. piece of the biotope in which they have been living. On that small patch of native turf they should have a much better chance of surviving challenge by the established residents of their new river than they would if they trickled in by waterspout or the talons of a careless fish-eagle. A modern incident also suggests that fish are good travellers but poor immigrants. The faunas of the Upper and Middle reaches of the Zambesi River are separated by the formidable barrier of Victoria Falls. Until a few years ago many species of Upper Zambesi fishes appeared to be excluded from the Middle Zambesi by inability to survive passage down the Falls. Since the construction of Kariba Dam on the Middle Zambesi, however, it is reported that 13 species of Upper Zambesi fishes have established themselves in Kariba Lake (Balon, 1974). Occam's razor may suggest that no nonhuman agency should be invoked to explain fish range extension to a water where fisheries biologists operate. If, however, these new immigrants have actually reached the Middle Zambesi by natural means, their success in surviving there now, and not earlier, must certainly be due to dam-creation of the tranquil slow-flowing conditions that have long been characteristic of the gentler Upper Zambesi. These suggestions of considerable dispersal ability among fishes come from places that have undergone particularly drastic environmental change. Less drastic changes must have been very common during the Quaternary, and must have had significant ichthyogeographic effects. As the area of stream-shading rain forest expanded and contracted, the discharge increased and decreased, or the concentration of dissolved salts in the river water changed in response to Quaternary climatic change. Conditions in one river must often have changed so much that they became more suitable for potential immigrant species of a neighboring river than any of its native fishes. If fish ranges do commonly shift in such dynamic fashion, one might hope to identify range extensions in the fossil record. Positive indications of extension are not easy to find, however, because fish fossils are commonly identifiable only to genus, and the fish fossil record for Africa is either rather incomplete or rather incompletely studied. To establish a range extension beyond reasonable doubt would require an inordinate amount of fossil evidence. First entry of a species into a river can never be demonstrated, but only suggested by the accumulation of cases in which the fish is not found in deposits below some level above which it is generally present. If some species are extending their ranges to new waters, however, some of the resident species must go extinct locally to make way for them. Such extinction can be established by discovery of a single fossil of the species in a basin where it cannot be found by modern ichthyologists. The mochokid catfish genus Synodontis provides a possible case. At present no species of Synodontis is known from Lake Idi Amin Dada (formerly Lake Edward) or its tributaries. Yet the genus is known as fossils from deposits in the beds laid down in the early Holocene (Greenwood, 1959; Greenwood and Howes, 1975). The same basin lacks modern species of Lates, the genus of the Nile perch, or mputa, yet there is fossil evidence for the presence of these fishes near the end of the Pleistocene. Such recent extinctions puzzle ichthyologists, and attempts have been made to explain them in terms of catastrophic deterioration of the environment. If fishes are mobile and dynamic, moving with relative freedom from river to river, they should occasionally establish themselves in new rivers where they are better adapted than the local residents. Extinction of natives is to be expected whenever the new immigrant increases the faunal size of a river beyond the level that its size and biotopic diversity will support. The Lake Idi Amin Dada cases are readily apparent because they involve genera no longer living in the lake. Extinction by competition from a new immigrant is more likely to involve species of the same genus, most likely closely related species of the same genus. Because of the difficulty of distinguishing African fish species by their bones, most SIZE OF AFRICAN RIVERINE FISH FAUNAS cases of such dynamic extinction would pass unnoticed. 367 nary, we would expect that the fish faunas of pre-Miocene Africa were probably more different from each other than those of DISCUSSION today, an expectation supported by such African fish distribution is often inter- scraps of fossil information as are available preted in the light of two ideas, neither of (Roberts, 1975). which will seem strange to participants in We would not expect the number of the vicariance debate. fishes in the rivers of peripheral parts of According to the first idea, the fish fau- Africa to increase much solely by the pasna of Africa was much more uniform be- sage of time. However, we would expect fore rifting began in the early Miocene. the faunas of these rivers to become even This uniform fauna was fragmented when more individually distinctive with the pasthe developing rift disrupted previous sage of time than they are now, and to be drainages; its daughter parts evolved the enriched by the spread of slowly-migrating distinctive riverine faunas of modern Af- lineages that have not been able to reach rica. The relatively uniform fauna of the these rivers of peripheral regions from the Soudan is sometimes regarded as a rem- lowland refuge rivers during the 12,500 years since the beginning of the Holocene nant of the old pan-African fauna. According to the second idea, which is wet phase. more favored by students of Southern AfAlthough most of recolonization of perican fishes (Gaigher and Potts, 1973), the ripheral rivers after the end of such a dry Zaire River is the source from which the episode must have come from the lowland fishes of less ichthyologically favored rivers refuges, a certain amount must have come have come, and the modern faunas of from the peripheral rivers themselves, these other rivers have developed as the each serving as a source of immigrants result of a gradient of fish diversity away from among the reduced number of from the Zairean source, modified by local species that persisted in it through the dry speciation of the various stocks of fresh- period. Fishes of the peripheral rivers water fishes as they have migrated away would have much to gain by such interfrom the Zaire River. change between rivers. They would essenWe suggest a third way of viewing the tially be following the shell-hole strategy of phenomena of fish distribution in Africa. infantry under heavy bombardment in the The total number of fish in the fauna of First World War. a river is controlled very largely by disIn such bombardment, every square mecharge. The barriers to movement of fish- ter of ground was subjected to shellfire, es from one river to another are not ab- and an occupying force that merely held solute, and depend upon competitive its place would be destroyed to the last ecological pressure as well as the mechan- man. By continually spreading out, howics of dispersal. Climatic change alters the ever, and occupying each new shell-hole as discharge, and hence the species-support- it was formed, a considerable part of the ing capacity, of rivers and probably affects occupying force would come through even rivers in the drier peripheral parts of Af- the heaviest bombardment alive. rica more commonly than the well-watered Shellfire is a more nearly random prolowland tropical Zairean and Guinean cess than Quaternary climatic catastrophe, core. When favorable conditions return to which would affect many rivers in the streams that have suffered partial or com- same climatic zone in the same way at the plete extirpation of their fishes, conditions same time. Even a few rivers that largely are excellent for immigration from the ref- escaped climatic catastrophe would prouge rivers, and a relatively uniform fauna vide a valuable refuge, and permit the surof low endemicity is developed in the re- vival of a much richer fauna than would populated area. persist because of the shellhole strategy To the extent that pre-Miocene time was alone. The large fauna of the Zaire, and climatically more stable than the Quater- especially its high level of endemicity, sug- 368 LIVINGSTONE ETAL. gests the Zaire River basin as an area that the final typescript. Mrs. J. R. Bailey drew was relatively unscathed by climatic catas- Figure 1. trophe. REFERENCES SUMMARY 1. The number of freshwater fish species in African rivers is more closely related to discharge than to length or drainage area. 2. The relation between faunal size and discharge is: Atlas de Cole d'lvoire. 1971. Ministere du Plan de Cote d'lvoire. ORSTOM. Univ. D'Abidjan. 5 maps. Bailey, R. 1969. 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