The steady-state theory of the universe contents & contexts H. Kragh, Centre for Science Studies, Aarhus University The 1950s: is cosmology a respectable science? The choice between cosmological models remains ”a matter for aesthetic judgment” (Ernst Öpik, 1954). Cosmology is a field where ”personal taste will greatly influence the choice of basic hypotheses” (Oskar Klein, 1953). ”Cosmologists have always lived in a happy state of being able to postulate theories which had no chance of being disproved” (Martin Ryle, 1953). “Cosmologists are often in error, but never in doubt” (Lev Landau?) The steady-state theory of the universe The universe expands eternally, with continual creation of matter securing a constant density of mass. T. Gold H. Bondi F. Hoyle The Perfect Cosmological Principle: On a very large scale, the universe is uniform both in space and time. Wm. McCrea J. Narlikar D. Sciama Motivations behind the steady-state model 1. The time-scale problem 2. Creation in the past is an unscientific hypothesis 3. Relativistic cosmology is not a theory, but a supermarket of theories (lack of uniqueness; little predictive power). 4. Only a unchanging universe guarantees that the laws of physics are constant (repeatability of experiments). “In general relativity a very wide range of models is available … The number of free parameters is so much larger than the number of observational points that a fit certainly exists.” W. de Sitter, 1931 (Bondi & Gold 1948) O. Heckmann, 1932 Two early examples of uniform cosmological models. The cosmological controversy: Not a controversy between Gamow (big bang) and Hoyle (steady state), but between the steady state theory and relativistic evolution theories. The Hot Big Bang In 1948-53, the Big-Bang model was revived and greatly developed by George Gamow et al. Their work led to a “hot”, radiationdominated early universe, calculations of primordially produced elements, and a prediction of a cosmic microwave background (of T ≅ 5 K). 11th Solvay Congress 1958: Structure and evolution of the universe Although the Solvay congress meant an acknowledgment of cosmology as part of physics, it included no speakers supporting physical (big bang) cosmology in the style of Gamow. Of the 12 addresses, 7 were astronomical/astrophysical and 3 were given by steady-state advocates. ”We admit we are fighting an up-hill battle.” IAU conference, Berkeley 1961 The perfect cosmological principle ”My guiding principle is … that the Universe in its essence has always been what it is now: matter, energy, and life have only varied as to shape and position in space.” Svante Arrhenius 1908 ”The universe … is not only homogeneous, but also unchanging on the large scale.” H. Bondi & T. Gold 1948 Predictions of classical steady-state theory, ca. 1950 Space curvature k = 0 (flat space) Exponential expansion: R ~ exp(Ht), H constant Deceleration parameter q0 = -1 Matter density ρ = ρcrit ≈ 5 × 10-28 g cm-3 Matter creation rate = 3ρH ≈ 10-43 g s-1 cm-3 Age of universe: infinite Average age of galaxies <t> = T/3 ≈ 6 × 108 y (T ≡ 1/H) d 2 R / dt 2 q0 2 RH The steady-state controversy A chapter in the history of cosmology including instructive discussions of philosophical aspects, and involving scientists (H. Bondi, T. Gold, G.C. McVittie), philosophers (R. Harré, A. Grünbaum, N. Russell Hanson), as well as scientist-philosophers (G.J. Whitrow, H. Dingle, M. Bunge, R. Schlegel). ”A scientific theory, to be useful, must be testable and vulnerable” ”The steady state model is the one that can be disproved most easily by observation. Therefore, it should take precedence over other less disprovable ones until it has been disproved.” Non-empirical testing: Does the SS theory lead to consequences that are contradictory, or highly bizarre? Whitrow’s paradoxes 1. Infinitely many causally unconnected galaxies that at all times are empirically unknowable. 2. Infinitely many supermassive galaxies that grow by accretion of new matter and violate cosmological principle. 3. An infinite past contains actual infinities and is therefore ruled out (past eternity ≠ future eternity). Cosmological tests, ca. 1948-1966 1. Time-scale problem 2. Redshift-magnitude relationship 3. Angular diameter-redshift relationship 4. Nucleosynthesis (He and heavier elements) 5. Radio-astronomical source counts 6. Formation of galaxies 7. Cosmic microwave background 7. Logical and methodological arguments Hubble’s constant & the time-scale problem H = 500 km/s/Mpc T = 1/H = 1.8 Gy Lemaître 1927 H0 ≅ 625 km/s/Mpc Hubble 1931 H0 ≅ 558 km/s/Mpc WMAP 2010 H0 = 70.1 km/s/Mpc Palomar 200-inch Hale telescope A. Sandage, ”Cosmology: a search for two numbers,” Physics Today 23: 34-41 Sandage et al. 1956: q0 = 2.5 ± 1 ”the steady-state theory does not fit the real world.” m - M ≈ 5 log(cz) + (1 – q0)z Cosmological tests, 1956-64, magnitude-redshift: favour evolutionary models with q0 ≈ (½ …1), but do not unambiguosly rule out steady-state model. Angular diameter-redshift test The relation between apparent angular diameter and redshift depends on q0 and can therefore be used as a cosmological test (Hoyle 1958). However, … Radio astronomy (Cambridge; Sydney) Ryle et al. 1966 Ryle et al. 1955 log N(S) = const – 1.5 log S The mass gap problem How to produce nuclei with A > 8? Triple alpha (3 12C) not possible. Fermi (1949): ”This theory is incapable of explaining how the elements have been formed.” The 1948 prediction of a cosmic microwave background R. Alpher & R. Herman, ”Evolution of the universe,” Nature 162 (1948), 774-75. 1965: Discovery of the cosmic microwave background (predicted by R. Alpher and R. Herman in 1948, T ≈ 5 K) A. Penzias & R. Wilson Standard hot-bigbang cosmology (1965+) R. Dicke Y. Zel’dovich J. Peebles Ca. 1970: A new paradigm of cosmology (hot big bang). Growing institutionalisation etc. QSSC (quasi steady-state cosmology)
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