March 2017 Community Needs Assessment PREPARED FOR THRIVE Mat-Su—United Way of Mat-Su PREPARED BY THRIVE Mat-Su PFS Community Needs Assessment FINAL DRAFT Prepared for: THRIVE Mat-Su Prepared by: McDowell Group Anchorage Office 1400 W. Benson Blvd., Suite 510 Anchorage, Alaska 99503 McDowell Group Juneau Office 9360 Glacier Highway, Suite 201 Juneau, Alaska 99801 Website: www.mcdowellgroup.net March 2017 Table of Contents Acknowledgments......................................................................................................................... 1 Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................... 2 Overview ......................................................................................................................................................................... 2 Prescription Drug Misuse ......................................................................................................................................... 2 Heroin .............................................................................................................................................................................. 6 Prevention Resources................................................................................................................................................. 9 Recommendations and Next Steps ...................................................................................................................... 9 Introduction and Background.................................................................................................... 12 THRIVE Mat-Su ........................................................................................................................................................... 12 Partnerships for Success Grant ............................................................................................................................. 13 Strategic Prevention Framework.......................................................................................................................... 13 Methodology ............................................................................................................................... 15 Methods ........................................................................................................................................................................ 15 Community Factors ................................................................................................................................................... 17 Methods for Prevention Matrix ............................................................................................................................ 17 Community Needs Assessment Structure ........................................................................................................ 18 Technical Notes ........................................................................................................................... 19 Acronyms ...................................................................................................................................................................... 19 Definitions .................................................................................................................................................................... 19 Data Notes ................................................................................................................................................................... 20 Community Landscape ............................................................................................................... 23 Prescription Opioids Literature Review ........................................................................................................................ 28 Use Patterns ................................................................................................................................................................. 28 Risk and Protective Factors .................................................................................................................................... 31 Social Availability ....................................................................................................................................................... 32 Retail Availability ........................................................................................................................................................ 33 Prescription Drug Monitoring ............................................................................................................................... 34 Perception of Risk for Harm .................................................................................................................................. 35 Community Readiness Results ................................................................................................... 36 Community Readiness Score................................................................................................................................. 36 Community Readiness Responses Themes...................................................................................................... 36 Consumption ............................................................................................................................... 38 Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs ..................................................................................................................... 38 Past 30 Days Use of Prescription Drugs ............................................................................................................ 44 Consequences .............................................................................................................................. 50 Poisoning ...................................................................................................................................................................... 50 ED Discharges ............................................................................................................................................................. 50 Dependence or Abuse ............................................................................................................................................. 51 Deaths ............................................................................................................................................................................ 52 Arrests ............................................................................................................................................................................ 52 Risk and Protective Factors ........................................................................................................ 53 Risk of Harm from Prescription Drug use as Moderate or Greater ........................................................ 53 Parents View Prescription Drug Use as Wrong or Very Wrong ............................................................... 55 Friends Consider It Wrong or Very Wrong ...................................................................................................... 58 Retail Availability of Prescription Opioids ........................................................................................................ 59 Drug Take Back........................................................................................................................................................... 59 Community Messaging about Prescription Opioids .................................................................................... 60 Provider Discussions with Young Adults about Prescribed Opioids ...................................................... 60 Unused Prescription Drugs Disposal .................................................................................................................. 61 Community Problem ................................................................................................................................................ 62 Risk of Harm for Trying Prescription Opioids ................................................................................................. 62 Risk of Harm for Regularly Misusing Prescription Opioids........................................................................ 63 Community Factors ..................................................................................................................... 64 Social Availability of Prescription Opioids........................................................................................................ 64 Retail Availability of Prescription Opioids ........................................................................................................ 65 Perceived Risk of Prescription Opioids .............................................................................................................. 66 Heroin Literature Review ........................................................................................................................ 69 Community Readiness Results ................................................................................................... 72 Community Readiness Score................................................................................................................................. 72 Community Readiness Responses Themes...................................................................................................... 72 Consumption ............................................................................................................................... 75 Lifetime Heroin Use .................................................................................................................................................. 75 Consequences .............................................................................................................................. 80 Emergency Department Discharges ................................................................................................................... 80 Deaths ............................................................................................................................................................................ 81 Arrests ............................................................................................................................................................................ 81 Risk & Protective Factors ........................................................................................................... 82 Community Problem ................................................................................................................................................ 82 Risk of Harm ................................................................................................................................................................ 82 Heroin Availability ..................................................................................................................................................... 83 Community Factors ..................................................................................................................... 84 Perceived Risk of Heroin Use ................................................................................................................................ 84 Social Availability of Heroin ................................................................................................................................... 85 Prevention Resources and Next Steps Prevention Resources Assessment ............................................................................................ 87 Recommendations and Next Steps ........................................................................................... 89 Community-Level Recommendations and Next Steps................................................................................ 89 Long-Term Community Recommendations .................................................................................................... 90 Long-Term Statewide Recommendations........................................................................................................ 91 Appendices Appendix A: Data Tables ............................................................................................................ 93 Middle School ............................................................................................................................................................. 93 High School ................................................................................................................................................................. 95 Appendix B: Young Adult Substance Use Survey .................................................................... 99 Appendix C: Data Source Descriptions ................................................................................... 102 American Community Survey (ACS) ................................................................................................................ 102 Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) .................................................................................................................. 102 National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH).................................................................................. 104 Young Adult Substance Use Survey (YASUS) ............................................................................................... 105 National Poisoning Data System (NPDS)....................................................................................................... 105 Health Facilities Data Reporting Program (HFDR) ..................................................................................... 106 CDC WONDER ......................................................................................................................................................... 107 Appendix D: References ........................................................................................................... 109 Appendix E: National Survey of Drug Use and Health Data ................................................. 111 Appendix F: Community Readiness Respondent Characteristics ......................................... 112 List of Tables Table 1. Prescription Drug Misuse Consumption Patterns, Mat-Su, 2015............................................................................. 4 Table 2. Prescription Drug Misuse and Heroin Use Risk and Protective Factors, Mat-Su, 2015 ................................... 5 Table 3. Prescription Drug Misuse Consequences, Mat-Su, 2009-2013 and 2015............................................................. 6 Table 4. Prescription Drug Misuse and Heroin Use Consumption Patterns, Mat-Su, 2015 ............................................ 8 Table 5. Prescription Drug Misuse and Heroin Use Consequences, Mat-Su, 2009-2013, 2015 .................................... 8 Table 6. Readiness Level and Readiness Stage ...............................................................................................................................16 Table 7. Readiness Level and Readiness Stage ...............................................................................................................................16 Table 8. Acronym List and Definitions................................................................................................................................................19 Table 9. Symbols for Statistical Comparison ...................................................................................................................................22 Table 10. Mat-Su Borough and Alaska Population, by Age Group, 2015 ............................................................................23 Table 11. Mat-Su Borough and Alaska Population, by Gender, 2015 ...................................................................................23 Table 12. Mat-Su Borough and Alaska Population, by Race Alone, 2015 ...........................................................................24 Table 13. Mat-Su Borough Population 12 to 25 Years, by Race Alone, 2015 ....................................................................24 Table 14. Mat-Su Borough and Alaska Selected Economic Indicators, 2011-2015 Five-Year Estimates .................26 Table 15. Mat-Su Borough School District and Alaska Selected Education Indicators, School Year 2015-2016 .26 Table 16. Risk Factors for Non-Medical Use of Prescription Opioid by Domain ..............................................................31 Table 17. Protective Factors for Non-Medical Use of Prescription Opioids by Domain ................................................32 Table 18. Prescription Drug Community Readiness Scoring Results .....................................................................................36 Table 19. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Middle School Students, 2015 ...................................................................39 Table 20. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Traditional High School Students, 2015.................................................42 Table 21. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative High School Students, 2015 ................................................44 Table 22. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Middle School Students, 2015 ....................................................................45 Table 23. Current Prescription Drug Use, Traditional Students, 2015 ...................................................................................47 Table 24. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative Students, 2015 ...........................................................................49 Table 25. Number and Rate of Opiate Poisonings, Mat-Su, 2012-2015 ..............................................................................50 Table 26. Number of Opioid-Related ED Discharges and Rate per 1,000 ED Discharges, ............................................51 Table 27. Number of Prescription Opioid-Related Emergency Department Discharges ..............................................51 Table 28. Mat-Su Pain Reliever Non-Medical Dependence. 2002-2011 ..............................................................................51 Table 29. Number of Prescription Opioid Deaths, Other Opioid Deaths, ............................................................................52 Table 30. Number of Arrests for Misconduct Involving ..............................................................................................................52 Table 31. Risk of Harm Moderate or Greater, Middle School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 ..................................................53 Table 32. Risk of Harm from Prescription Drug Use as Moderate or Greater, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 ................................................................................................................................................................................................54 Table 33. Risk of Harm from Prescription Drug Use as Moderate or Greater, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 ................................................................................................................................................................................................55 Table 34. Parents View Prescription Drug Use as Wrong or Very Wrong, Middle School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................56 Table 35. Parents View Prescription Drug Use as Wrong or Very Wrong, Traditional High School Students, 2015 ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................57 Table 36. Parents View Prescription Drug Use as Wrong or Very Wrong, Alternative High School Students, MatSu, 2015 ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................58 Table 37. Friends Consider Wrong or Very Wrong, Middle School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 .......................................59 Table 38. Number and Percent of Young Adults Who Have Ever Been Prescribed Opioids,.......................................59 Table 39. Reported Pounds Collected During Drug Take Back Events, Various Mat-Su Communities ..................60 Table 40. Risk of Harm When People Try Misusing Prescription Opioids, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 ......................62 Table 41. Risk of Harm When People Regularly Misuse Prescription Opioids, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 ..............63 Table 42. Heroin Community Readiness Scoring Results ...........................................................................................................72 Table 43. Lifetime Heroin Use, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 .............................................................77 Table 44. Lifetime Heroin Use, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 ............................................................79 Table 45. Number of Heroin-Related ED Discharges and Rate per 1,000 ED Discharges, ............................................80 Table 46. Number of Heroin-Related Discharges and Percent of Population, ..................................................................80 Table 47. Number of Prescription Opioid Deaths, Other Opioid Deaths, ............................................................................81 Table 48. Number of Arrests for Misconduct Involving ..............................................................................................................81 Table 49. Risk of Harm When People Try Heroin, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015......................................................................82 Table 50. Risk of Harm When People Regularly Use Heroin, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 ................................................83 Table 51. Mat-Su Heroin Availability. 2002-2011 ..........................................................................................................................83 Table 52. Prevention Resources ............................................................................................................................................................88 Table 53. Prescription Drug Indicators, Middle School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska2015 .........................................93 Table 54. Prescription Drug Indicators, Middle School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2011 and 2015 ...................94 Table 55. Prescription Drug Indicators, All, Traditional and Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su 2011 and 2015, and Alaska and U.S., 2011 and 2015.......................................................................................................................................95 Table 56. Community Messaging About Prescription Opioids Seen .....................................................................................99 Table 57. Discussions of Appropriate Opioid Use Between Providers/Pharmacists and Young Adults Prescribed Opioids Within Past Three Years, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 .....................................................................................................99 Table 58. Disposal of Leftover, Unused Prescription Opioids Among Young Adults ................................................... 100 Table 59. Perception of Prescription Opioid Misuse as a Community Problem, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015........ 100 Table 60. Perception of Heroin as a Community Problem, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 ................................................. 101 Table 61. Available Years and Demographic Breakouts of YRBS Data, by School Type and Region ..................... 102 Table 62. October 1 Enrollment Totals for MSBSD Middle Schools.................................................................................... 103 Table 63. October 1 Enrollment Totals for MSBSD High Schools Sampled by YRBS, .................................................. 103 Table 64. Mat-Su and Alaska Population, Ages 12-25, 2012-2015 ..................................................................................... 105 Table 65. Mat-Su Borough 2015 Population Estimates, by Age and Gender .................................................................. 106 Table 66. ICD-9 and ICD-10 Codes for Prescription Opioid and Heroin-Related.......................................................... 107 Table 67. Mat-Su Borough Population Estimates, All Ages, 2009-2013 ............................................................................ 108 Table 68. Prescription Drug Indicators, Mat-Su, Alaska, and the U.S. ................................................................................ 111 Table 69. Opioid Community Readiness Respondents by Sociodemographic Variables ......................................... 112 Table 70. Heroin Community Readiness Respondents by Sociodemographic Variables ........................................... 113 List of Figures Figure 1. Components of THRIVE Mat-Su Community Needs Assessment ........................................................................12 Figure 2. Steps of Strategic Prevention Framework......................................................................................................................13 Figure 3. Mat-Su Borough Population, by Race Alone, Percent, 2015 ..................................................................................24 Figure 4. Mat-Su Borough Five-Year Interval Population Trends, Count, 1990-2015 .....................................................25 Figure 5. Mat-Su Borough Five-Year Interval Population Projections, Count, 2015-2045 ............................................25 Figure 6. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Middle School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................38 Figure 7. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Middle School Students, ...............................................................................38 Figure 8. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, All High School Students, .............................................................................39 Figure 9. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, All High School Students, .............................................................................40 Figure 10. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Traditional High School Students, ..........................................................40 Figure 11. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Traditional High School Students, ..........................................................41 Figure 12. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative High School Students, ..........................................................42 Figure 13. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative High School Students, ..........................................................43 Figure 14. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, All High School Students, ............................................................................45 Figure 15. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, All High School Students, ............................................................................46 Figure 16. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Traditional High School Students, ...........................................................46 Figure 17. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Traditional High School Students, ...........................................................46 Figure 18. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative High School Students, ...........................................................48 Figure 19. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative High School Students, ...........................................................48 Figure 20. Rate of Opiate Poisonings Per 10,000 Persons Age 12-25, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2012-2015 ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................50 Figure 21. Community Messaging About Prescription Opioids Seen by Young Adults, ...............................................60 Figure 22. Discussions of Appropriate Opioid Use Between Providers/Pharmacists and Young Adults Prescribed Opioids Within Past Three Years, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2015....................................................................................61 Figure 23. Disposal of Leftover, Unused Prescription Opioids Among Young Adults ....................................................61 Figure 24. Perception of Prescription Opioid Misuse as a Community Problem, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2015 ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................62 Figure 25. Community Factors that Impact the Social Availability of Prescription Opioids .........................................65 Figure 26. Community Factors that Impact the Retail Availability of Prescription Opioids ..........................................66 Figure 27. Community Factors that Impact the Perceived Risk of PO...................................................................................67 Figure 28. Lifetime Heroin Use, All High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 ........................75 Figure 29. Lifetime Heroin Use, All High School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 .75 Figure 30. Lifetime Heroin Use, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015.......76 Figure 31. Lifetime Heroin Use, Traditional High School Students, .......................................................................................76 Figure 32. Lifetime Heroin Use, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 ......77 Figure 33. Lifetime Heroin Use, Alternative High School Students, .......................................................................................78 Figure 34. Perception of Heroin as a Community Problem, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 ..................................................82 Figure 35. Community Factors that Impact the Perceived Risk of Heroin Use ..................................................................85 Figure 36. Community Factors that Impact the Social Availability of Heroin .....................................................................86 Acknowledgments THRIVE Mat-Su would like to thank all the Coalition members and community members that assisted in the 2017 Community Needs Assessment focused on preventing heroin and opioid misuse. Your invaluable contributions, information and insights will help our community become stronger, healthier, and more resilient. Members of the THRIVE Mat-Su Coalition include • ACRF • Mat-Su Reentry Coalition • Adult & Teen Challenge • Mat-Su Borough School District • Akeela • Mat-Su Health Foundation • Alaska Family Services • Mat-Su Youth Court • Alaska Family Services/Breathe Free • MY House • Alaska State Troopers • National Guard • American Cancer Society, Inc. • Onward & Upward • American Lung Association of AK • Palmer Police Department • Big Brothers Big Sisters • Palmer Rotary • Boys & Girls Club of Alaska • Real Life Church • Colony High School • U.S. Senator Lisa Murkowski • Co-Occurring Disorders Institute • U.S. Senator Dan Sullivan • Country Legends 100.9 • Set Free Alaska • Division of Juvenile Justice • State of Alaska • Fiend2Clean • Southcentral Foundation • Greater Palmer Chamber of Commerce • Sunrise Rotary • Knik Tribal • Sunshine Community Health Center • Life Changers • United Way of Mat Su • Mat-Su Coalition for the Prevention of Suicide • Wasilla High School • Mat-Su Health Services • Wasilla Homeless Committee • Mat-Su Public Health • Wasilla Police Department We would like to extend our thanks to the following organizations who assisted in providing data: University of Alaska Anchorage Center for Behavioral Health Research & Services Mat-Su Regional Medical Center Emergency Department Matanuska-Susitna Borough School District State of Alaska Division of Health and Social Services Division of Public Health, Youth Risk Behavior Survey Program Division of Behavioral Health, Prevention and Early Intervention Division of Behavioral Health, Policy & Planning Section Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 1 Executive Summary Overview Introduction This Community Needs Assessment presents a snapshot of prescription opioid misuse and heroin use in the Mat-Su Valley. It reviews national literature, compiles and reports available community level data on the issue, summarizes results of a survey on the community’s readiness to act on the issues, describes available prevention resources, and prioritizes key factors impacting issues. Partnerships for Success – Prevention Efforts THRIVE Mat-Su, the region’s substance use prevention coalition, received the Partnerships for Success grant from the State of Alaska Division of Behavioral Health. It is a four-year grant focused on prevention of prescription drug misuse and heroin use. The grant funds focus on youth and adults ages 12 to 25. Community Landscape Of the total Mat-Su population, 18.6 percent were age 12-25 years (18,662 residents). Of those residents: • 52.8 percent were male and 47.2 percent female. • 78.4 percent were White, 8.4 percent Alaska Native and/or American Indian, 1.5 percent Black or Africa American, 1.7 percent Asian, 0.4 percent Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, and 9.6 percent two or more races. Prescription Drug Misuse Literature Review Research literature documents a parallel relationship between increased legitimate use of opioids and a significant rise in non-medical use of these drugs in the U.S. Non-medical use of prescription opioids can lead to a prescription opioid disorder, progressive use to heroin, and possible death. While it is not clear if gender is a factor in who uses, it does appear to be a factor in how prescription opioids are accessed via different channels and for different purposes, and the manifestation of that use. White individuals have higher rates of non-medical use of prescription opioids than individuals of other races. Non-medical use of prescription opioids morbidity and mortality has increased around the country, but death and injury from use is higher in states with large rural populations, including Alaska. Increased retail availability of the drugs drives social availability in rural areas. Development of prescription opioid abuse and dependence is more likely when initiation of non-medical use of prescription opioids begins prior to the age of 18. Community level risk and protective factors include peer drug use, peer attitudes towards drug use, rural areas, availability among peers, and norms against non-medical use of prescription opioids among youth. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 2 Community Readiness Scoring Results • Most community members were unaware of community efforts for prescription opioid misuse and there is a lack of knowledge about existing efforts. • Leadership is aware of the issue, but a hesitation exists to do anything without community support for action. • In terms of community climate, the negative media concerns people. They do not know where to start on the problem or what they can do to help. • Generally, the community reported an awareness that some resources exist, but they do not know where they are located or how to access these resources to address the issue. Themes • Access issues emerged as a key issue. Community members cited easy access to home medicine cabinets with extra prescription opioids. People are acquiring drugs through hospice, family, friends, schools, work places, and other social outlets. There are not enough permanent drug disposal opportunities in existence to dispose of the medicine beyond its medical need. • Misconceptions about risk on multiple levels. Individuals do not understand how easy it is to get addicted. There is a lack of understanding about the relationship between prescription drug use and heroin use among the general population. Additionally, there are misconceptions about who is impacted by prescription drug misuse in the community, and a lack of understanding it impacts all populations even seniors. • Community strengths include peer-to-peer support programs, treatment centers, community and physician education efforts, media coverage, and efforts from THRIVE Mat-Su and the Mat-Su Opioid Task Force. • Education on the issue has support, though it could be strengthened. The community, patients, and doctors need additional education. • Community awareness exists; however, the awareness is largely from the reporting of crimes and other negative attention rather than a reflection of the whole issue. Data Summary A key for displaying statistical differences is presented in Table 9. Symbols for Statistical Comparison. CONSUMPTION PATTERNS Overall, Mat-Su consumption patterns do not statistically differ with consumption seen elsewhere in Alaska and in the U.S. No statistical difference is shown by a gray block in Table 1 below. In 2015, approximately 226 middle school students in the Mat-Su reported misusing prescription drugs during their lifetime, of which an estimated 129 have used in the past 30 days. • In 2015, approximately 765 high school students in the Mat-Su reported misusing prescription drugs during their lifetime, with about 363 reporting having used in the past 30 days. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 3 o Misuse among alternative schools is higher than misuse by traditional students during their lifetime (39.4 percent vs. 15.0 percent respectively, about 2.6 times higher), and during the past 30 days (20.1 percent vs. 6.9 percent, or 2.9 times higher). Table 1. Prescription Drug Misuse Consumption Patterns, Mat-Su, 2015 Indicator and Group Population Percent 95% Confidence Interval Estimated Number of Students Statistical Difference between Mat-Su & Alaska Comparison Between Mat-Su & U.S. Prescription Drug Misuse Lifetime Misuse of Prescription Drugs Middle School Students 10.5 7.8 – 14.0 226 NA All High School Students 17.7 14.9 – 21.0 765 NA NA Traditional High School Students 15.0 11.8 – 18.9 582 Alternative High School Students 39.4 34.7 – 44.3 174 Past 30 Days Use of Prescription Drugs Without a Prescription Middle School Students 6.0 3.7 – 9.4 129 NA All High School Students 8.4 6.9 – 10.2 363 NA NA Traditional High School Students 6.9 5.2 – 9.0 268 NA Alternative High School Students 20.1 15.4 – 25.7 89 NA NA: Not Available Source: YRBS. RISK & PROTECTIVE FACTORS Perception of Risk and Harm Among middle school students: • Three-quarters consider misuse of prescriptions drugs as a moderate or great risk. • Nearly nine out of ten reported their parents considers prescription drug misuse as wrong or very wrong. Among all high school students: • About eight out of ten consider prescription drug misuse as a moderate or great risk. • Nine out of ten reported their parents consider prescription drug misuse as wrong or very wrong. Alternative high school students reported lower levels of “risk perception” for both indicators presented, i.e., they did not consider prescription drug misuse as risky as traditional high school students. No statistical difference is shown by a gray block in Table 2 below. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 4 Table 2. Prescription Drug Misuse and Heroin Use Risk and Protective Factors, Mat-Su, 2015 Indicator and Group Population Prescription Drug Misuse Percent 95% Confidence Interval Estimated Number of Persons Statistical Difference between Mat-Su & Alaska Comparison Between Mat-Su & U.S. Perception of Harm from Prescription Drug Misuse as Moderate or Greater NA Middle School Students 75.4 69.4 – 80.5 1,626 All High School Students 82.9 79.7 – 85.6 3,586 NA NA NA Traditional High School Students 83.9 80.3 – 87.0 3,259 Alternative High School Students 73.8 68.3 – 78.6 326 NA Student Perception that Parents Consider Prescription Drug Misuse as Wrong or Very Wrong Middle School Students 87.6 83.9 – 90.6 1,890 NA All High School Students 91.8 90.0 – 93.3 3,971 NA NA Traditional High School Students 92.6 90.7 – 94.1 3,597 NA Alternative High School Students 86.2 80.7 – 90.4 381 NA NA: Not Available Source: YRBS. Retail Availability, Messaging, Provider Discussions When Mat-Su residents ages 18-25 were surveyed: • Half (50.1 percent) had been prescribed opioids in the past three years and more than half (56.2 percent) still had the unused prescription opioids. • 40.6 percent had not seen any messages about prescription opioids. • About a quarter (24.5 percent) viewed prescriptions drug misuse as a very large problem in the community. • 38.5 percent viewed misusing prescription drugs as a great risk of harm for trying once or twice and only 61.5 percent viewed regular misuse of prescription opioids once or twice a week as a great risk. • In discussions of appropriate opioid use with providers: o 53.7 percent were informed of side problems from use o 41.5 percent discussed using pills as prescribed only o Nearly a third (31.7 percent) advised to not share with others o Nearly a third (29.3 percent) discussed expected benefits o About one in five discussed safe and secure storage of pills (22.0 percent) and alternatives to prescription opioids (19.5 percent). Consequences • In 2015, Mat-Su residents had 159 visits to an emergency room for prescription drug misuse related reasons. During this time, there were 13 prescription opioid poisonings in the emergency room. • Between 2009 and 2013, there was an annual average of 11.2 deaths per year due to prescription opioids, and an annual average of 12.6 deaths per year due to all opioids. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 5 Table 3. Prescription Drug Misuse Consequences, Mat-Su, 2009-2013 and 2015 Number (2015) % of Total Mat-Su Resident Discharges 159 0.5 13 Total Deaths (2009-2013) 56 8.7 Average Annual Deaths Per Year 63 12.6 Indicator Prescription Drug Misuse (2015) Prescription Opioid-Related ER Discharges Prescription Opioid ER Poisonings Indicator Prescription Opioid Deaths (2009-2013) All Opioid Deaths (2009-2013) 11.2 Source: HFDR and CDC WONDER. Community Factors • Social Availability: Key issues associated with social availability of prescription opioids included: o Lack of safe and positive support and supervision o Focus on understanding pain management: “pain” is the 5th vital sign (along with the four vital signs: pulse, respiration, blood pressure and temperature). • • o Geographical factors small rural communities sharing “resources” o Lack of disposal knowledge and disposal sites o Family and friends who are addicted or use prescription opioids in the home increase access Retail Availability: Key issues associated with retail availability: o Overprescribing o Medication assisted treatment (MAT) is providing drugs rather than treatment o Pain is the 5th vital sign: pain management vs pain free o Lack of education regarding addiction by people and providers o Lack of prescription drug monitoring o Lack of prescription drug disposal sites o Online purchasing (fentanyl) Perceived Risk of Prescription Opioids: Key issues around perceived risk of harm: o “Specific” risk education by primary providers and pharmacies o Community and family norms o Lack of broad education through schools and media Heroin Literature Review Research indicates the significant increase in prevalence of heroin use and abuse over the past decade has been driven primarily by the increase in heroin use among young adults ages 18 to 25. Early initiation of non-medical use of prescription opioids is a known risk factor for heroin use. Male young adults have reported significantly higher rates of lifetime, past-year, and past-month heroin use than have females of the same age. Non-Hispanic, white young adults have statistically higher prevalence rates of lifetime, past year, and past month heroin use compared to other races. Unlike prescription opioid misuse, there is no significant variation in heroin use by young adults living in large, small, or non-urban areas. In general, young adults perceive heroin, crack, and Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 6 methamphetamine as the most risky and harmful drugs. Research describes that availability of heroin, unlike availability of prescription opioids, is a result of international trafficking of heroin. Community Readiness Scoring Results • Community knowledge of the issues comes from the media, personal connections to the drug, and needles found around the community. • Leadership seem to support change, but they do not see it as a top priority. • The community climate needs some work. Community members see needles and media around heroin, but community climate engagement only occurs when they have a personal connection. • There is little to no knowledge about the problem in the community or about local services or resources available. Knowledge only occurs when it becomes a personal issue; however, the problem and available resources/services should be community information. • In terms of resources, people think they exist, but are unaware of where or the process of how to engage these resources. Themes • Misconceptions about risk on multiple levels. Misunderstandings on how easy it is to get addicted and how hard to recover. Misconceptions about the scope of the problem, especially related to a belief the problem occurs primarily among lower sociodemographic groups. Many community members have differing perceptions of the signs and symptoms of use. • Access to heroin occurs through dealers, theft, family, friends, schools, work places, and other social outlets. Law enforcement may play a role in preventing access by tracking large dealers in the market. • Community strengths include education and outreach efforts. The opiate treatment program provides integrated behavioral health treatment for opiate addictions. • Community challenges include lack of cooperation between treatment providers, need for rehabilitation housing, community controversy of treatment center locations, and a lack of transitional housing. There is a recognition of the issues surrounding incarceration, transition, and release associated with heroin use due to the jails located in the Mat-Su. However, there are still underserved populations around heroin use including youth, middle and upper class, and outlying areas of the borough. • Intervention efforts may be necessary before true prevention can occur. • Education should develop resources to clarify the misunderstanding that addiction is not a choice, but instead it should be approached as a disease. • Data collection and evaluation are necessary as several efforts have begun to unfold around harm reduction and interventions. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 7 Data Summary CONSUMPTION PATTERNS Among high school students, Mat-Su consumption patterns do not statistically differ with consumption seen elsewhere in Alaska and in the U.S. • In 2015, approximately 134 high school students reported using heroin in their lifetime. • Alternative school students report a lifetime heroin use percentage nearly nine times higher than traditional students (14.0 percent vs. 1.6 percent). Table 4. Prescription Drug Misuse and Heroin Use Consumption Patterns, Mat-Su, 2015 Percent 95% Confidence Interval Estimated Number of Persons Statistical Difference between MatSu & Alaska Comparison Between Mat-Su & U.S. 3.1 2.0 – 4.6 134 NA NA Traditional High School Students 1.6 0.8 – 3.4 62 Alternative High School Students 14.0 10.9 – 17.7 62 Indicator and Population Group Lifetime Use of Heroin All High School Students NA NA: Not Available Source: YRBS. Between 2002 and 2011, Mat-Su persons aged 12+ reported a higher rate of lifetime heroin use (3.2 percent) compared to the U.S. (1.5 percent). RISK & PROTECTIVE FACTORS Among high school adults ages 18-25: • 42.7 percent consider heroin use a very large problem in the community. • 72.0 percent considered using heroin once or twice in their lifetime a great risk. • 86.0 percent considered using heroin once or twice a week a great risk. CONSEQUENCES • In 2015, Mat-Su residents had 19 visits to an emergency room for heroin-related reasons. • Between 2009 and 2013, there was an annual average of about one death per year due to heroin. Table 5. Prescription Drug Misuse and Heroin Use Consequences, Mat-Su, 2009-2013, 2015 Indicator Number (2015) % of Total Mat-Su Resident Discharges 19 Total Deaths (2009-2013) 7 .06 Average Annual Deaths Per Year 1.4 Heroin (2015) Heroin-Related ED Discharges Indicator Heroin Deaths (2009-2013) Source: HFDR and CDC WONDER. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 8 Community Factor • Perceived Risk of Heroin Use: Key issues around perceived risk of harm: o Parent/Caregiver: Lack of education on the issue, an unawareness of child activities, and parent denial. • o Individual level: People do not think addiction or problems with heroin will ever affect them. o Community: Sees heroin use as a high risk, but only in certain groups/populations. Social Availability: Key issues associated with social availability of heroin included: o Accessibility/low cost o At-risk youth not identified and are falling through the cracks o Lack of law enforcement Prevention Resources At the time of this report, this grant was the only effort in the Mat-Su focused on primary prevention of prescription drug misuse and heroin use. Recommendations and Next Steps These recommendations and next steps evolved from reviewing current conditions in the Mat-Su, attending and facilitating coalition meetings, and discussions with THRIVE staff. Community-Level Recommendations and Next Steps • Work within the appropriate legal and policy process to establish permanent drop off locations for excessive prescriptions drugs. • Develop a media campaign, leveraging successful national media campaign methods, to shift risk perception and misinformation around prescription drug misuse across all age groups. • Focus majority of efforts on the prevention of prescription drug misuse as this misuse is often a predictor of heroin use. • Develop targeted prevention strategies to dispel myths only certain populations are a risk for prescription drug misuse or heroin use. • Build upon strengths of being rural and close-knit community connectedness to reduce use. Seek out nationally-tested environmental prevention strategies used in other rural areas and adapt them to Alaska. Long-Term Community Recommendations and Next Steps • Continue tracking data presented in this report. • Continue to build data capacity for collecting, sharing and routinely reporting data on prescription drug misuse and heroin use. o Collect treatment data to complement or supplement other population-level data collected in this report. This, and the shared experiences of coalition members, may capture a broader Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 9 perspective of the prescription drug misuse and heroin use to allow for different prevention strategies. • Establish relationships within the Emergency Response system locally and draw upon national efforts to better capture the impact of this issue. o Initiate efforts to better define emergency department definitions, coding, and reporting. o Work with local providers to understand how they are coding these issues within the emergency department. o Consider looking nationally to see if there are efforts to increase the coding of prescription drug misuse and heroin. Are there already created best practices? Are there national standards that could be implemented locally or statewide for recognizing prescription drug misuse? Are there other rates of emergency department visits that should be captured rather than poisonings alone? A local provider recommended calculating the abscesses cleaning rate in the arm as a signal of heroin use. o Initiate efforts within Mat-Su Borough Emergency Response system to better capture prescription drug misuse and heroin. Research national standards that could serve as a potential model across the 911 system and the response data systems. Work with Emergency Response to implement a model tailored for the Mat-Su. o Consider working with the Mat-Su Regional Medical Center to better understand how these patients are being coded. This includes chart review and key stakeholder interviews. o Over the life of the grant, work to obtain local level emergency department data. Long-Term Statewide Recommendations • Support the recommendations from the Alaska Opioid Task Force. o THRIVE Mat-Su should consider a multi-level strategy to engage, advocate, and provide community level perspectives to policy makers around the Governor’s bill to combat opioid abuse (House 159 and Senate 79). o THRIVE Mat-Su coalition should consider reviewing this and identifying community level efforts to work towards for some of the recommendations. • Consider the use of prescription drug monitoring program (PMPD) data to inform public and communities local level prevention activities. o THRIVE Mat-Su should consider advocating legislatures and leaders that the PMPD can also be used for standard community level reports of the data. Work towards establishing these data as part of standard public health practice reporting along with the prevalence of diabetes, alcohol uses, injuries, and heart disease to develop environmental prevention strategies. Work with legislators and other leaders to acquire and report these data in meaningful ways at the community level for prevention planning. Data focus should be: Who compose most subscribers by type? • Are these physicians, master-level nurses, veterinarians or others providers? Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 10 What is the age distribution of individuals receiving prescription opioids? What is the distribution of the “high-utilizers” of prescriptions compared to the general population? • How many people are the high-utilizers? Average prescription rate per resident. Geography – Where are people obtaining the prescription drugs? • Are people driving to Anchorage and accessing providers here? Total number of doses dispensed in the community by year. Total number of prescribers in the community and total number of patients receiving: • Average Quantity per Prescription • Average MED per prescription Average distribution by month of year to understand season trends. Percentage of prescribers enrolled in the PDMP. Rate of multiple provider episodes and doctor shopping across the state by Mat-Su residents. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 11 Introduction and Background THRIVE Mat-Su contracted with McDowell Group to conduct a community needs assessment that presents a picture of prescription opioid misuse and heroin use in the Mat-Su Valley. The assessment serves as a baseline and comprehensive description of information available on the issue. It reviews national literature, compiles and reports available epidemiologic data, summarizes results of a survey on the community’s readiness to act on the issues, describes available prevention resources, and prioritizes key factors impacting the issues. The target population for these prevention efforts is Mat-Su youth and adults ages 12 to 25. The assessment is intended to support the Substance Abuse Prevention Framework (described later in this section). Figure 1. Components of THRIVE Mat-Su Community Needs Assessment Source: McDowell Group THRIVE Mat-Su THRIVE Mat-Su, a substance use prevention coalition, supports healthy lifestyles and drug free alternatives. The coalition aims to reduce substance abuse among youth and adults in the Mat-Su Valley. The coalition includes a range of stakeholders who meet monthly. United Way of Mat-Su staffs and coordinates the coalition. Several grants fund the coalition, including a Strategic Prevention Framework - Partnerships for Success (SPF-PFS) grant that supports THRIVE Mat-Su’s efforts to prevent prescription opioid misuse and heroin abuse. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 12 Partnerships for Success Grant Nationally, the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) funds Strategic Prevention Framework - Partnerships for Success (SPF-PFS) grants supporting prevention of underage drinking among persons 12 to 20 years of age and prescription drug misuse and abuse among persons 12 to 25 years of age. These funds aim to strengthen community capacity for early prevention through evidence-based community level strategies that impact the prevention system, policies, and infrastructure. Based upon review of the data and statewide resources, Alaska chose to focus these funds towards prevention of prescription opioid misuse and heroin use. The grant funded six communities to build local-level prevention capacity on the issues starting in 2016 for four years. Strategic Prevention Framework SAMHSA developed the Strategic Prevention Framework (SPF) for communities to plan, implement, and evaluate community-level prevention strategies. This community needs assessment supports THRIVE Mat-Su’s assessment phase of the Strategic Prevention Framework. The steps of the SPF include: 1. Assessment: Collecting, reviewing and prioritizing data, determining community readiness to address specific issues, and identifying available prevention resources. 2. Capacity: Engaging available community resources to raise awareness, strengthen relationships, and prepare prevention staff to act. 3. Planning: Establishing a community’s theory of change, through identifying and selecting evidence-based interventions, creating logic models, and writing a strategic plan. 4. Implementation: Putting the strategic plan into action. 5. Evaluation: Assessing the effectiveness of the strategies: Were the right people engaged? Were the right strategies used? Did community-level outcomes change? Figure 2. Steps of Strategic Prevention Framework Source: SAMHSA Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 13 Other important SPF Framework characteristics include: • Communities integrate sustainability and cultural competency at all steps of the process. • Data drives the process and each phase incorporates data tracking and evaluation. • The process focuses on population-level change and policy, systems and environmental strategies. • The circular process allows for community growth and change so communities can reassess and address additional community needs. • Community networks and collaboration provide the foundation for effective work. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 14 Methodology This assessment draws on a variety of sources, including: secondary data sources; qualitative data from meetings, radio shows, and other forums; results of a community readiness survey; and a prevention matrix developed by THRIVE Mat-Su. Each method used is described below. Methods Secondary Data Sources The secondary data presented in this report was compiled from several data sources. Appendix C contains a detailed description of the sources. • Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development (DOLWD) • American Community Survey (ACS) • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention WONDER (Wide-ranging ONLine Data for Epidemiologic Research) • Health Facilities Data Reporting Program • National Poisoning Data System • National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) • Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) • Young Adults Substance Use Survey (YASUS) Qualitative Data Using several sources, qualitative data was reviewed and summarized by themes: • Drugs and Alcohol in Mat-Su Panel Discussion Summary on November 15, 2015 • Alaska Wellness Summit: Conquering the Opioid Crisis Presentations on August 4, 2016 • Community Meeting Minutes hosted by THRIVE Mat-Su throughout 2015 • Stakeholder Interviews that evolved from THRIVE Mat-Su discussions of preliminary Community Needs Assessment results • Opiate Epidemic Radio Show transcript provided by THRIVE Mat-Su Community Readiness Survey THRIVE Mat-Su staff assessed the community’s readiness for prevention efforts on prescription opioid misuse and heroin use using the Community Readiness for Community Change Tool. Using the tool, from the Tri-Ethnic Center for Prevention Research, THRIVE Mat-Su scored each readiness survey based upon the following readiness levels. The prescription opioid community readiness survey received 78 responses and the heroin readiness survey received 32 respondents. Links to the Community Readiness Survey were sent via community partners: Palmer Chamber of Commerce, Wasilla Chamber of Commerce, United Way of Mat-Su health and social services agency list, the Mat-Su Opioid Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 15 Task Force, churches, and Mat-Su residents who attended the Summit (a gathering focused on prescription drug misuse and heroin use). Additional questions were added to the survey to illicit open-ended responses regarding community conditions, availability and perception of harm. Readiness Level Table 6. Readiness Level and Readiness Stage Stage Community Readiness Stage 1 Community tolerance/no knowledge The issue is not recognized as a problem. 2 Denial Some community members recognize it as a problem, but, the general public does not. 3 Vague Awareness Community knows it is a problem and something should change, but little motivation exists to make change. A leader has not been identified to lead the change and the community knowledge of the issue is limited. 4 Pre-planning Most community members know it is a problem and something should change. Community members have access to the general information, but a clear plan for action or next steps does not exist at this stage. 5 Preparation Community begins planning basing information on prevention strategies and decisions about resources in terms of time, money, and people are being identified. Generally, quantitative data is not available at this stage. 6 Initiation Communities begin collecting a range of data and compiling it. Enough data is available to establish the problem to guide and support strategies. Community actions occur. Staff and leaders are aware and support the process. 7 Initialization Planned strategies and efforts have started and supported by community leaders. The strategies and activities are running, the right people have the right resources. Evaluation of the strategies begins. 8 Confirmation/Expansion All strategies and activities run and community members participate. The strategies have been evaluated and revised if necessary. Data is collected systematically. 9 Professionalism Community knows about the problems in depth. All programs and strategies are in place. Ongoing evaluation occurs and community involvement is high at all stages. The questions were grouped by dimensions identified in the following table. Each question receives an average score.; then the average of the questions associated with each dimension are averaged. This ends with an average score for each dimension often referred to as the readiness levels. Table 7. Readiness Level and Readiness Stage Dimension Description Community Knowledge of Efforts Community knowledge of current program and activities Leadership Community leadership’s attitude about addressing the issue Community Climate General community members attitude about addressing the issue Community Knowledge of Issue Community member’s knowledge of the issue Resources Resources available in the community currently used or potential resources that could be used to address the issue In addition to the community readiness score, open-ended responses to the Community Readiness Survey Assessment were reviewed for themes to provide additional context and use for the information solicited in the survey. Appendix F contains detailed description of the agencies surveyed and the distribution of responses by gender, age, geography, respondent type, and race/ethnicity. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 16 Community Factors In mid-January 2017, 13 members of the THRIVE Mat-Su coalition representing 11 organizations, participated in an hour-and-a-half session facilitated by McDowell Group. The coalition received planning materials in advance of the session, including an explanation of the session goal, definitions of relevant terms, and an overview of the SPF. At the beginning of the session, the presenter provided a brief overview of the grant. Preliminary findings from the data profile were then reviewed and discussed with the group to provide context for prioritization of community factors. The remainder of the session was dedicated to facilitated small and large group activities designed to elicit and prioritize community factors related to prescription opioid misuse and heroin use in the Mat-Su community. Ideas for strategies, additional data sources, and key informants were also collected; however, this was not the focus of the session. Coalition members spent approximately 15 minutes brainstorming community factors and recording them on a large answer sheet. Next, working in small groups, coalition members identified themes associated with the community factors and compiled a complete list of defined community factors. A member of each small group presented to the large group. The final exercise involved each coalition member prioritizing three factors related to each intervening variable. These votes were compiled by the contractors. Results are summarized in the Community Factors section of each substance use chapter. Methods for Prevention Matrix THRIVE Mat-Su reviewed all programs and strategies in the Mat-Su. As a coalition, they categorized the programs by where the program would fall in a social ecology theory of change at the individual, family, school, community, and state levels. Then, coalition members identified each program’s place on the continuum of care for behavioral health using the following categories: • Universal • Selected • Indicated • Prevention • Intervention • Treatment • Recovery • After-Care Finally, the coalition identified if a program/strategy is evidence based (Yes/No) and if it focuses on asset building. As prevention is the focus of this Community Needs Assessment, all programs identified in the matrix as prevention resources were reviewed for a specific focus on prescription opioid misuse and/or heroin use prevention efforts for youth 12 to 25 years of age. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 17 This review did not focus on treatment resources or harm reduction resources available in the Mat-Su. The study team relied on a range of secondary resources to identify programs including program and organizational websites. Community Needs Assessment Structure This community needs assessment begins with a community landscape chapter describing community demographics and other socioeconomic indicators focused on youth and adults ages 12-25 where possible. Then, the report has a chapter on prescription opioid misuse and heroin use. Then, the report summarizes prevention resources available in the community. Each substance use chapter starts with results of a literature review describing factors influencing substance use. Then, the results of the community’s readiness to address the issue are summarized. Next, the chapters describe the problem by consumption patterns, consequences of consuming, and risk and protective factors. The substance use chapters conclude with a summary of themes that emerged from a community meeting where coalition leaders identified important community factors related to the substance. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 18 Technical Notes Acronyms The following table contains a list of acronyms used throughout the report. Table 8. Acronym List and Definitions Acronym Definition ACS American Community Survey AN/AI Alaska Native and/or American Indian BRFSS Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System CDC WONDER Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging ONLine Data for Epidemiological Research DBH Division of Behavioral Health DEED Alaska Department of Education and Early Development DHSS Alaska Department of Health and Social Services DOLWD Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development ED Emergency Department HFDR Health Facilities Data Reporting Program HRSA Health Resources and Services Administration MSB Mat-Su Borough MSBSD Mat-Su Borough School District NMUPO Non-medical use of prescription opioids NPDS National Poisoning Data System NSDUH National Survey on Drug Use and Health PDMP Prescription Drug Monitoring Program PFS Partnerships for Success SAMHSA Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration SPF Strategic Prevention Framework SPF-PFS Strategic Prevention Framework-Partnerships for Success YASUS Young Adult Substance Use Survey YRBS Youth Risk Behavior Survey Definitions Report Terminology Throughout this report, the term “prescription opioid misuse” is used. This is sometimes referred to as NMUPO (Non-Medical Use of Prescription Opioid) or prescription pain medicine. NMUPO: Non-medical use of prescription opioids Social availability of prescription opioids: Availability and accessibility of prescription opioids through social sources Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 19 Retail availability of prescription opioids: Availability and accessibility of prescription opioids through providers (including but not limited to physicians, masters-level nurses, dentists, veterinarians) or dealers Perception of risk for harm: Degree to which a person thinks of opioids and heroin as potentially dangerous Consumption Patterns: Measures of alcohol, tobacco, and/or other drugs use Risk & Protective Factors: Events, beliefs, or experiences which influence both the consumption of substances and the consequences of using and/or abusing these substances Consequences: Negative events or experiences that result from substance use Middle School Students: 7th-8th grade students High School Students: 9th-12th grade students Data Notes Data Limitations Many of the datasets presented in this report have their own unique limitations, described below. Additionally, the entire collection of data poses another challenge due to its disparate nature that limits comparisons between datasets, over time, and by age group. Overall, a lack of coherent and recent data hinders a comprehensive view of the present state of heroin use and prescription opioid misuse in Mat-Su. CDC WONDER The cause of death data retrieved from this data source only captured numbers at the county/borough-level for counties and boroughs with five-year death counts exceeding 20. It is possible to query the dataset for information at the state and national level, but the criteria used for the initial query of county/borough-level data were never provided to allow for replication. As such, statewide and national comparisons were not available. HEALTH FACILITIES DATA REPORTING PROGRAM The State of Alaska provided the number of Emergency Department (ED) discharges due to: any heroin-related reason, heroin poisoning, any prescription opioid-related reason, and prescription opioid poisonings. These counts were determined by querying ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes (see Appendix C for a list of those codes). Problems with this methodology arise because patients often present to the ED not for drug use but because of the medical problems that result from drug use. Consequently, physician coding may indicate the medical problem treated but not its relation to drugs. Examples of conditions commonly related to drugs, especially heroin and prescription opioids, include mental disorders, suicide, abscess, bacterial infection, hypoglycemia, Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 20 trauma injuries, acidosis, respiratory arrest, and respiratory depression, among others 1,2. One study of the prevalence of adverse drug events (unintended symptoms of abnormal lab work from either appropriate or inappropriate use of prescription or over the counter drugs) found coding in the emergency department captured just 6.8 percent of adverse drug events that actually occurred. 3 NATIONAL SURVEY OF DRUG USE AND HEALTH The National Survey of Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) dataset represents a ten-year period between 2002 and 2012, which does not allow for trends over time. It does not capture recent years. NSDUH addresses all people ages 12+, including not only the target population (12-25) but older adults as well. YOUTH RISK BEHAVIOR SURVEY The middle school and alternative, traditional, and all high school Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) data came in different years with different demographic breakouts. The disparate nature of the data hinders comparison and analysis. Middle school data is only in Mat-Su and Statewide. It includes breakouts by gender and race/ethnicity but is limited to a single year. Data on traditional high schools in Mat-Su comes from three years and includes demographic breakouts. However, those demographic breakouts were available only for Mat-Su and not statewide or nationally. There are three years of alternative high school data for Mat-Su and statewide, but demographic breakouts are only for Mat-Su. Similarly, data on all high schools (alternative and traditional) does not include national figures. Also, all high school data does not include gender comparisons. See Appendix C for a table summarizing the years and demographic data available for each set of YRBS data. Further limitations arise when estimating the number of students affected by indicators. This estimation is a function of both prevalence rates and school enrollment. School classifications (e.g. traditional or alternative) change year to year which affects the enrollment totals for alternative and traditional schools. Consequently, the estimated number of affected students changes because of variation in not only prevalence but enrollment as well. Changes in the estimated number of affected students may not reflect changes in the total number of affected students. YOUNG ADULT SUBSTANCE USE SURVEY The Young Adult Substance Use Survey (YASUS) began in 2016 and provides just one year of data. In Mat-Su, the 143 individuals that completed YASUS represent 1.4 percent of the region’s estimated population of 9,679 of individuals ages 18-25 in 2015. The sample size for some questions were even smaller than 143. Such small sample sizes limit the ability to consider YASUS prevalence rates as representative of the entire Mat-Su population. http://emedicine.medscape.com/article/166464-clinical Slavova, S., Bunn, T. L., & Talbert, J. (2014). Drug Overdose Surveillance Using Hospital Discharge Data. Public Health Reports, 129(5), 437– 445. 3 Hohl, C. M., Kuramoto, L., Yu, E., Rogula, B., Stausberg, J., & Sobolev, B. (2013). Evaluating adverse drug event reporting in administrative data from emergency departments: a validation study. BMC Health Services Research, 13, 473. http://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6963-13-473 1 2 Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 21 TREATMENT DATA A data request was submitted to the Division of Behavioral Health (DBH) for outpatient treatment data from DHSS’s Alaska Automated Information Management System, its behavioral health electronic health record database. At the time of publishing, DBH had not yet provided the data or indicated the possibility of providing it. Although this report focuses on prevention, treatment data indicates the scope of opioid and heroin dependence in Mat-Su. The number of patients receiving treatment or in need of treatment defines the magnitude of the problem that must be addressed. Statistical Difference Key This key is used in the Consumption, Consequences, and Risk and Protective Factors data sections. Table 9. Symbols for Statistical Comparison Symbol Comparison Indication Indicates there is a statistical difference between the Mat-Su and the region compared, and the Mat-Su percent is better than the comparison percent. Indicates there is not a statistical difference between the comparisons. Indicates a statistical difference between the Mat-Su and the region compared, and the Mat-Su percent is worse than the comparison percent. Reference Group is higher than the other group. NA Indicates the data are not available for this comparison. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 22 Community Landscape Current Population and Age Groups In 2015, an estimated 100,178 residents lived in the Mat-Su Borough, approximately 14 percent of the state’s total population. 4 Of the total Mat-Su population, 18.6 percent were age 12-25 years (18,662 residents). The Mat-Su median age was 35.1 years. Table 10. Mat-Su Borough and Alaska Population, by Age Group, 2015 Mat-Su Borough Alaska Specified Age Group Count Percent 11 years and younger 18,959 18.9 127,577 17.3 12 to 17 years 8,983 9.0 59,390 8.1 18 to 20 years 3,945 3.9 29,819 4.0 21 to 25 years 5,734 5.7 53,985 7.3 26 years or older 62,557 62.4 466,854 63.3 Total population 100,178 Median age Count Percent 737,625 35.1 years - - 34.5 years Source: DOLWD Population Estimates and McDowell Group calculations. Gender In 2015, an estimated 51,799 male residents lived in Mat-Su (51.7 percent), along with 48,379 female residents (48.3 percent). For the population age 12-25 years, there were an estimated 9,831 males and 8,804 females, 52.8 and 47.2 percent, respectively. Table 11. Mat-Su Borough and Alaska Population, by Gender, 2015 Mat-Su Borough Alaska Gender Count Percent Count Percent Male 51,681 51.7 381,888 51.8 9,831 52.8 75,827 52.9 48,271 48.3 355,295 48.2 8,804 47.2 67,400 47.1 12-25 years Female 12-25 years Source: DOLWD Population Estimates. Race and Ethnicity In 2015, most of the Mat-Su population identified as white (83.5 percent), 6.5 percent identified as Alaska Native or American Indian (AN/AI), 1.3 percent as Black or African American, 1.5 percent as Asian, 0.4 percent identified 4 DOLWD. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 23 as Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, and 6.7 percent as two or more races. All the categories are listed as race alone, not in combination with another race. Table 12. Mat-Su Borough and Alaska Population, by Race Alone, 2015 Mat-Su Borough Alaska Race Category Count Percent Count Percent White 83,690 83.5 491,143 66.6% Alaska Native or American Indian 6,541 6.5 110,157 14.9 Black or African American 1,349 1.3 28,145 3.8 Asian 1,501 1.5 46,060 6.2 360 0.4 9,554 1.3 6,737 6.7 52,566 7.1 Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander Two or more races Source: DOLWD Population Estimates. Figure 3. Mat-Su Borough Population, by Race Alone, Percent, 2015 Asian 1.5% Alaska Native/American Indian 6.5% Black/African American 1.3% Pacific Islander 0.4% Two or More Races 6.7% White 83.5% Source: DOLWD Population Estimates and McDowell Group calculations. For the borough population age 12-25 years, in 2015, most identified as white (78.4 percent), 8.4 percent identified as AN/AI, 1.5 percent as Black or African American, 1.7 percent as Asian, 0.4 percent identified as Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander, and 9.6 percent as two or more races. All the categories are listed as race alone, not in combination with another race. Table 13. Mat-Su Borough Population 12 to 25 Years, by Race Alone, 2015 Race Category Count Percent White 16,624 78.4 Alaska Native or American Indian 1,773 8.4 Black or African American 323 1.5 Asian 366 1.7 Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander 91 0.4 2,040 9.6 Two or more races Source: DOLWD Population Estimates. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 24 Population Trends The Mat-Su Borough population has grown at a faster rate than the rest of Alaska. Since 1990, the population has increased from 39,683 to 100,178 residents, a 152.4 percent increase and a 3.9 percent annual growth rate. Figure 4. Mat-Su Borough Five-Year Interval Population Trends, Count, 1990-2015 100,178 88,995 74,871 39,683 59,322 48,906 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Source: DOLWD Population Estimates. Population Projections The Mat-Su Borough population is expected to continue increasing at a faster rate than the rest of Alaska. 5 The Borough will have an estimated 182,836 residents in 2045, a projected 2.1 percent annual growth rate, and will comprise approximately 20.3 percent of Alaska’s total population. Figure 5. Mat-Su Borough Five-Year Interval Population Projections, Count, 2015-2045 100,178 113,415 127,144 141,247 155,442 169,418 182,836 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Source: DOLWD Population Estimates and McDowell Group calculations. Economic Indicators In 2015, median household income in the Mat-Su Borough was $72,983 6 (+/-$1,577) and per capita income was $29,913 (+/-$679). An estimated 10.0 percent (+/-0.8 percent) of all people in the Borough were living below the poverty line in the past 12 months. An estimated 7.0 percent (+/-0.6 percent) of households were receiving some form of cash public assistance, and 10.7 percent (+/-0.8 percent) were receiving Food Stamps/SNAP benefits in the past 12 months. 5 6 DOLWD 2015-2045 population projections. ACS 2011-2015 Five-Year Estimates. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 25 Table 14. Mat-Su Borough and Alaska Selected Economic Indicators, 2011-2015 Five-Year Estimates Mat-Su Borough Alaska Economic Indicator Estimate Margin of Error Estimate Margin of Error Median household income $72,983 +/-$1,577 $72,515 +/-$838 Per capita income $29,913 +/-$679 $33,129 +/-$337 % All people whose income in the past 12 months is below the poverty level 10.0% +/-0.8% 10.2% +/-0.4% % Households with cash public assistance income 7.0% +/-0.6% 6.3% +/-0.3% % Households with Food Stamps/SNAP benefits in the past 12 months 10.7% +/-0.8% 10.5% +/-0.3% Source: ACS 2011-2015 Five-Year Estimates. Education Indicators The Alaska Department of Education and Early Development (DEED) reported there were 18,745 students enrolled in the Matanuska-Susitna Borough School District for the 2015-2016 school year (as of October 1, 2015). Approximately 2,765 were special education students, comprising 14.8 percent of total enrollment. Table 15. Mat-Su Borough School District and Alaska Selected Education Indicators, School Year 2015-2016 MatanuskaSusitna Borough Alaska 18,745 132,966 Number of special education children 2,765 18,390 Percent of special education children 14.8% 13.8% Indicator Total enrollment Source: DEED. Mat-Su THRIVE PFS Community Needs Assessment McDowell Group, Inc. Page 26 Prescription Opioid Misuse Literature Review The following chapter provides a brief overview of the national literature on non-medical use of prescription opioid with an emphasis on young-adult populations between the ages of 18 and 25 years. It describes national use patterns. Then, this chapter focuses on social, availability, retail availability, and perceived risk of harm. Use Patterns National data consistently documents a parallel relationship between increased legitimate usage of opioids in the U.S. and a significant rise in non-medical use of the drugs. This data suggests that lifetime rates or prescription opioid misuse may be as high as 24.3 percent among young adults (18 to 25 years of age). 7 Nonmedical use of prescription opioids can lead to a prescription opioid disorder, progression to heroin use, and death. 8 Most studies of non-medical use of prescription opioids among adolescents suggest that prevalence rates are approximately 10 percent during high school and as high as 20 percent during college. 9 The age of peak risk for such non-medical use is 16 years old, and most use is initiated prior to 18 years of age. 10 Longitudinal evidence from cohorts of graduating high school students suggests most non-medical use of prescription opioids is experimental. 11 In many cases, such use shows up with use of other substances, such as alcohol, marijuana, hallucinogens, cocaine, non-medical stimulants, and sedatives. 12 Gender A review of factors associated with non-medical use of prescription opioids found mixed evidence of gender differences. 13 Some studies suggest female teenagers are more likely to engage in use, while other studies identify male adolescents as more frequent users. Male and female users do appear, however, to access prescription opioids via different channels and for different purposes. Female adolescents are more likely to obtain the drugs for free or by stealing from a friend or relative, while male adolescents are more likely to purchase prescription opioids or obtain them via prescription from a provider. 14 Female teenagers are more likely to seek prescription opioids for self-treating purposes, while young men are more likely to identify thrillseeking as their intention when using the drugs. 15 Addiction to these substances may also manifest differently Daniulaityte, R., Falck, R., & Carlson, R. G. (2014). Sources of pharmaceutical opioids for non-medical use among young adults. Journal of psychoactive drugs, 46(3), 198-207. 8 Tetrault, J. M., & Butner, J. L. (2015). Focus: Addiction: Non-Medical Prescription Opioid Use and Prescription Opioid Use Disorder: A Review. The Yale Journal of Biology and Medicine, 88(3), 227. 9 McCabe, S. E., Schulenberg, J. E., O'malley, P. M., Patrick, M. E., & Kloska, D. D. (2014). Non‐medical use of prescription opioids during the transition to adulthood: a multi‐cohort national longitudinal study. Addiction, 109(1), 102-110. 10 Ibid. 11 Ibid. 12 Tetrault, J. M., & Butner, J. L. (2015). Focus: Addiction: Non-Medical Prescription Opioid Use and Prescription Opioid Use Disorder: A Review. The Yale Journal of Biology and Medicine, 88(3), 227. 13 State of Alaska Department of Health and Social Services. (2016). Prevention of non-medical use of prescription opioids and heroin use in Alaska. Available at: http://www.iser.uaa.alaska.edu/Projects/pfs/docs/ PFSGuidanceDocument.pdf. 14 Ibid. 15 Ibid. 7 Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 28 by gender. One study found that men displayed behaviors such as increased alcohol abuse, use of other illicit drugs, as well as more arrests, while women displayed symptoms of mood depression, reduced capacity for interpersonal relationships, and decreased activity. 16 Race / Ethnicity Research has consistently found higher rates of non-medical use of prescription opioids among white individuals. 17 Geography Non-medical use of prescription opioids morbidity and mortality has increased around the country, but death and injury from use is higher in states with large rural populations, including Alaska. 18 National results indicate that not only are death and injury rates higher in rural areas, but rural adolescents are more likely to engage in non-medical use of prescription opioids than adolescents in urban areas. 19 Researchers hypothesize that four issues drive increased rural use and abuse: (1) increased prescription opioid availability in rural areas, (2) outmigration of young people, (3) social and kinship networks, and (4) structural stressors of modern rural living. While retail availability of prescription opioids has increased nationwide, per capita sales data suggest rural areas have some of the highest prescription rates. 20 This may be caused by several factors. In some cases, directto-consumer advertising has been more aggressive in rural areas. 21 Rural populations tend to be older on average than urban populations, which may lead to more opioid prescriptions for pain management. 22 Chronic pain and injury occur at higher rates in rural areas, which may drive prescription rates higher. 23 In some areas, particularly where heavy labor is common, use of prescription opioids is embedded within the culture in order to maintain an able workforce. 24 Researchers suggest that increased retail availability of the drugs drives social availability in rural areas. Many rural areas have experienced an outflow of young people in recent years, which may drive higher nonmedical use of prescription opioids in two ways. Outmigration of younger populations is associated with depressed economic conditions, which may increase vulnerability to non-medical use of prescription opioids, and young adults who stay in rural areas may have a higher accumulation of risk factors that predispose them to use. 25 16 Tetrault, J. M., & Butner, J. L. (2015). Focus: Addiction: Non-Medical Prescription Opioid Use and Prescription Opioid Use Disorder: A Review. The Yale Journal of Biology and Medicine, 88(3), 227. 17 DHSS. (2016). Prevention of non-medical use of prescription opioids and heroin use in Alaska. Available at: http://www.iser.uaa.alaska.edu/Projects/pfs/docs/ PFSGuidanceDocument.pdf. 18 Keyes, K. M., Cerdá, M., Brady, J. E., Havens, J. R., & Galea, S. (2014). Understanding the rural–urban differences in nonmedical prescription opioid use and abuse in the United States. American Journal of Public Health, 104(2), e52-e59. 19 Ibid. 20 Keyes, K. M., Cerdá, M., Brady, J. E., Havens, J. R., & Galea, S. (2014). Understanding the rural–urban differences in nonmedical prescription opioid use and abuse in the United States. American Journal of Public Health, 104(2), e52-e59. 21 Ibid. 22 Ibid. 23 Ibid. 24 Ibid. 25 Ibid. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 29 Social and kinship networks differ between urban and rural areas. In general, community ties tend to be stronger in rural areas. 26 Economic strain on rural social networks may “spread” more quickly and contribute to nonmedical use of prescription opioids. 27 Likewise, strong community networks may enable individuals to access prescription opioids more easily through social means. 28 Family structures in rural areas tend to be larger. Stronger and larger family networks may increase the accessibility of the drugs through relatives and friends. 29 Additionally, long-term economic deprivation, high unemployment rates, fewer opportunities for long-term employment, and limited chances for upward mobility in rural areas may create a stressful environment that increases the likelihood of non-medical use of prescription opioids by community members. 30 Transition to Adulthood High school graduation is a significant developmental milestone for adolescents; it also marks the point at which many young adults begin managing their own medications. 31 A nationally representative sample of over 27,000 high school seniors followed longitudinally from age 18-26 years showed that most non-medical use of prescription opioids among 18-year-olds appears to be experimental and ultimately cease; however, approximately one third continued NMUPO beyond age 18, and these individuals were more likely to display other substance abuse behaviors by ages 23 or 24. 32 The odds of past year non-medical use of prescription opioids were significantly associated with race/ethnicity (white), truancy, binge drinking, marijuana use, and if the adult was a senior in high school after 1991. 33 The chances of substance abuse behavior were higher among those who reported past-year non-medical use of prescription opioids multiple times during the longitudinal study; notably, these rates did not decrease with age, as is found with most substance abuse behaviors during the transition from adolescence to adulthood. 34 Development of prescription opioid abuse and dependence is more likely when initiation of non-medical use of prescription opioids begins prior to the age of 18. 35 Multiple Health Concerns Poor health is a risk factor for non-medical use of prescription opioids. One study of a nationally representative sample found that cardiovascular disease and all chronic physical conditions except gastrointestinal disease significantly predicted non-medical use of prescription opioids. 36 The greater the number of physical conditions, the more likelihood there was for non-medical use of prescription opioids abuse/dependence. 37 Mental illness Ibid. Ibid. 28 Ibid. 29 Ibid. 30 Ibid. 31 McCabe, S. E., Schulenberg, J. E., O'Malley, P. M., Patrick, M. E., & Kloska, D. D. (2014). Non‐medical use of prescription opioids during the transition to adulthood: a multi‐cohort national longitudinal study. Addiction, 109(1), 102-110. 32 Ibid. 33 Ibid. 34 McCabe, S. E., Schulenberg, J. E., O'Malley, P. M., Patrick, M. E., & Kloska, D. D. (2014). Non‐medical use of prescription opioids during the transition to adulthood: a multi‐cohort national longitudinal study. Addiction, 109(1), 102-110. 35 Ibid. 36 Katz, C., El-Gabalawy, R., Keyes, K. M., Martins, S. S., & Sareen, J. (2013). Risk factors for incident nonmedical prescription opioid use and abuse and dependence: results from a longitudinal nationally representative sample. Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 132(1), 107-113. 37 Ibid. 26 27 Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 30 often co-occurs with non-medical use of prescription opioids. 38 The same study found that all mental disorders, except for anxiety disorder, were significantly and positively associated with non-medical use of prescription opioids and abuse/dependence. 39 Risk and Protective Factors Researchers have identified numerous risk factors associated with non-medical use of prescription opioids, as well as some protective factors that buffer against prescription opioid use. Risk and protective factors exist at all levels — qualities or experiences at the individual level, interactions at the family level, and environmental context at the community level—however, most risk and protective factors identified to date occur at the individual level. 40 The following tables summarize risk and protective factors identified in a national literature review, grouped by domain of the social ecology. Table 16. Risk Factors for Non-Medical Use of Prescription Opioid by Domain Risk Factors Individual • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Lifetime medical use of prescription opioids Early initiation Prior history of non-medical use of prescription opioids Family history of non-medical use of prescription opioids Current non-medical use of prescription opioids Availability of prescription opioids Perceived availability of prescription opioids Having friends who engage in non-medical use of prescription opioids Having a close friend who uses substances Obtaining drugs from a dealer Impulsive or sensation-seeking qualities Boredom Wanting to ease social anxiety Low perception of risk for NMUPO and stimulants Social or delinquent behavior Frequency of participation in risky behaviors Normative alcohol beliefs 41 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Alcohol and illicit drug use Sexual activity and risky sexual behavior Criminal history History of school suspension History of traumatic events Socioeconomic status 42 Living in rural areas Older students in high school and college Unmarried Mental health status Diagnosis of depression within last 2 years Fair to poor health Lower college GPA Low academic performance Low school bonding Fewer years of education No intention to attend or complete college Member of fraternity or sorority ER use Family • • Parent attitudes towards drug use Conflict with parents • • Peer drug use Peer attitudes towards drug use • Detached parents Community / Environment • • Rural area social and economic characteristics Availability of drugs among peers Source: SAMHSA (2013). Risk and protective factors associated with nonmedical use of prescription drugs. Center for Application of Prevention Technologies. 38 Tetrault, J. M., & Butner, J. L. (2015). Focus: Addiction: Non-Medical Prescription Opioid Use and Prescription Opioid Use Disorder: A Review. The Yale Journal of Biology and Medicine, 88(3), 227. 39 Katz, C., El-Gabalawy, R., Keyes, K. M., Martins, S. S., & Sareen, J. (2013). Risk factors for incident nonmedical prescription opioid use and abuse and dependence: results from a longitudinal nationally representative sample. Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 132(1), 107-113. 40 SAMHSA (2016). Preventing prescription drug misuse: understanding who is at risk. Center for Application of Prevention Technologies. 41 Beliefs or attitudes that alcohol abuse is normal. 42 Both low and high socioeconomic status are associated with NMUPO in different populations. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 31 Table 17. Protective Factors for Non-Medical Use of Prescription Opioids by Domain Protective Factors Individual • • • • No prior history of non-medical use of prescription opioids Perceived popularity Impulse control Frequency of participation in prosocial behaviors • • • • • Friends engage in prosocial behaviors School attendance Commitment to school Lack of Criminal history Proper medication management for ADHD Social engagement Family • • Parental disapproval of non-medical use of prescription opioids Living in a two-parent household • • • Social bonding within the family Parental bonding Parental knowledge of child’s companions Community / Environment • Norms against non-medical use of prescription opioids among youth Source: Compiled from the following sources: SAMHSA (2013). Risk and protective factors associated with nonmedical use of prescription drugs. Center for Application of Prevention Technologies. SAMHSA (2016). Preventing prescription drug misuse: understanding who is at risk. Center for Application of Prevention Technologies. Most At-Risk SAMHSA recently published a report identifying individual, relationship, and community level factors that make individuals most at risk for non-medical prescription drug use. Those with a history of mental illness, acute or chronic pain, physical health problems such as headaches or fatigue, heightened physiological response to some drugs, and a history of substance abuse or misuse are most at risk. 43 Relationship-level risk factors that increase the chance of non-medical use of prescription drugs among adolescents include: parents who express positive attitudes towards substance use, witnessing a family member overdose, initiating use of prescription drugs early and at home, associating with friends who misuse prescription drugs, and participating in some social networks (such as fraternities and sororities). Several aspects of the community setting—such as urbanicity, residential mobility, and the experience of discrimination—were also linked with high-risk of use. 44 Social Availability Social availability describes the accessibility and availability of prescription opioids through social sources, such as family and friend networks. Research shows that most adolescents obtain prescription opioids from friends for free or from their own left-over prescriptions. 45 A study of non-dependent, college student prescriptionopioid-users indicated that prescription opioids are so pervasive that young adults need not leave their immediate social circles to access them. 46 Young adults described two distinct patterns for obtaining the drugs: some engage actively in obtaining prescription opioids by seeking them out or buying them, while others obtain the drugs more passively when prescription opioids are offered or shared for free. 47 Individuals are most likely SAMHSA (2016). Preventing prescription drug misuse: understanding who is at riks. Center for Application of Prevention Technologies. Ibid. 45 McCabe, S. E., Schulenberg, J. E., O'Malley, P. M., Patrick, M. E., & Kloska, D. D. (2014). Non‐medical use of prescription opioids during the transition to adulthood: a multi‐cohort national longitudinal study. Addiction, 109(1), 102-110. 46 Daniulaityte, R., Falck, R., & Carlson, R. G. (2014). Sources of pharmaceutical opioids for non-medical use among young adults. Journal of Psychoactive Drugs, 46(3), 198-207. 47 Ibid. 43 44 Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 32 to engage passively for the purposes of self-medication, while young adults who engaged actively in obtaining prescription opioids are more likely to use the drugs recreationally. 48 In addition, the study found: 49 • Young adults sometimes obtain drugs for parents for “justifiable” reasons (like self-medication) but not for recreational use. • Stealing prescription opioids from parents was only infrequently reported. • Young adults indicated they rarely sought out prescription opioids via providers, because they are easier and less expensive to obtain from illegal sources. • Nevertheless, many young adults engage in non-medical use of prescription opioids by using their own left-over prescriptions. • Most respondents had received prescription opioids for free at least once from friends or others in their social network. • Buying prescription opioids was the most common way young adults had accessed the drugs in the last month. Retail Availability Retail availability refers to the availability and accessibility of prescription opioids through providers (including but not limited to physicians, masters-level nurses, dentists, veterinarians) or dealers. Providers Rates of overdoses are proportional to rates of prescriptions. 50 There is noted variation in opioid prescription patterns. This likely results from several factors, including: • Increased attention to “pain as the fifth vital sign.” • Over-reliance on prescription opioids to treat pain. • Direct-to-consumer pharmaceutical advertising. • Introduction of pain management guidelines and new pain medications. • Deficits in provider training on pain management, addiction screening, and addiction treatment. 51 Dealers A study of availability of prescription opioids among college students identified several types of dealers including regular dealers who travel to other states to obtain drugs, sporadic sellers who sell their unused prescription drugs to make money, and individuals who function as a middle man to make extra money or cover Ibid. Ibid. 50 Katz, C., El-Gabalawy, R., Keyes, K. M., Martins, S. S., & Sareen, J. (2013). Risk factors for incident nonmedical prescription opioid use and abuse and dependence: results from a longitudinal nationally representative sample. Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 132(1), 107-113. 51 Tetrault, J. M., & Butner, J. L. (2015). Focus: Addiction: Non-Medical Prescription Opioid Use and Prescription Opioid Use Disorder: A Review. The Yale Journal of Biology and Medicine, 88(3), 227. 48 49 Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 33 their own use. 52 No matter the type of dealer, he or she is often also a friend, co-worker, or relative of the buyer. 53 Dealers describe interacting with friends or relatives to sell prescription opioids as preferable, because of the additional trust and safety this provides. 54 The same study found prescription opioids are easy to sell and are sometimes bartered for goods or services (like home repairs). 55 Prescription Drug Monitoring The availability, access, and use of Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs impact social and retail availability. Prescription drug monitoring programs (PDMP) track the prescribing and dispensing of certain controlled medications, like opioid pain relievers. Providers and pharmacists who prescribe and dispense controlled medications may report to a central database. The databases provide two benefits, both of which impact the retail and social availability of prescription opioids. The first comes in the form of real-time analysis. Prior to prescribing, providers access PDMPs to learn about the history and patterns of patient medication use. In New York and Tennessee, a requirement that prescribers check the PDMP prior to prescribing resulted in a 75 percent and 36 percent drop, respectively, in patients seeing multiple prescribers for the same drugs within a year 56. The second benefit of PDMPs comes in the form of retroactive analysis, which elucidates the factors contributing to community prescription opioid abuse. Retroactive analysis provides details at three levels: patient, provider, and prescription. At the patient level, useful indicators include the number people who exhibit “doctor shopping” behavior and the number of people receiving high dose prescriptions. For providers, useful indicators answer which providers and specialties are prescribing the most controlled medications. With regards to prescriptions, PDMPs can tell the number of prescriptions filled per population, median day of prescription supply, and the number of high dose prescriptions filled. The PDMP also enables geographic analysis such as where people are getting their prescriptions. Currently, Alaska’s PDMP does not allow for both real-time and retroactive analysis. Regarding real-time analysis, state statutes do not require providers to review the PDMP prior to prescribing prescription pain medication: participation is voluntary. Additionally, reporting occurs monthly so that if providers do decide to review the PDMP, they do not always have access to current data. As for retroactive analysis, historically, the PDMP has not been open to public health analysis other than the annual evaluation reports submitted to the governor. SB74, enacted in 2016, opened PDMP for public health and epidemiologic purposes only to authorized” employees of DHSS. Data available for analysis can include the region of a patient, prescriber, or pharmacy and the specialty of the prescriber but may not disclose their identity. Daniulaityte, R., Falck, R., & Carlson, R. G. (2014). Sources of pharmaceutical opioids for non-medical use among young adults. Journal of Psychoactive Drugs, 46(3), 198-207. 53 Ibid. 54 Ibid. 55 Ibid. 56 https://www.cdc.gov/drugoverdose/policy/successes.html 52 Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 34 Perception of Risk for Harm Opioids Perception of the risk for harm refers to the degree to which an individual identifies prescription opioids use as potentially dangerous. Young-adult, non-dependent users draw upon several pieces of information when assessing the risk of drugs and the degree to which those risks can be managed including: potential for addiction, overdose or death; organ damage; uncontrollable highs; harm to the brain; and other factors such as routes of administration, acceptability of use, and personal vulnerability. 57 Young-adult, non-medical users of prescription opioids assess the risks of addiction to and overdose and death from pain medications as relatively low compared to other drugs, and in general they assign the risks to users who are not careful about their use. 58 Organ damage, uncontrollable highs, and brain damage from non-medical use of pain medication are not identified as serious concerns. 59 Injection of pain medication is associated with a greater perception of risk. 60 Perception of risk for harm from prescription opioids is mitigated by the legitimacy conferred on the drugs because they are prescribed substances; in the words of one study participant “I mean…a doctor prescribes them to you…can’t be that bad.” 61 Some individuals indicated they feel invulnerable to pain medications, while others described specific management tactics to mitigate risks (knowing their limit, obtaining drugs from specific sources, avoiding mixing medications with alcohol use, and even reduction in consumption). 62 The most homogenous perceptions of risk of harm from various drugs are held by those with fewer drug experiences; as individuals engage in more frequent drug use, their views become more idiosyncratic. 63 Ibid. Ibid. 59 Daniulaityte, R., Falck, R., & Carlson, R. G. (2012). “I’m not afraid of those ones just ‘cause they’ve been prescribed”: Perceptions of risk among illicit users of pharmaceutical opioids. International Journal of Drug Policy, 23(5), 374-384. 60 Ibid. 61 Ibid. 62 Ibid. 63 Ibid. 57 58 Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 35 Community Readiness Results This section summarizes results from the Community Readiness Survey specific to prescription opioid misuse. Results include those from scoring and key themes that emerged from the open-ended responses. Community Readiness Score Scores from the survey assess the readiness of the Mat-Su community on prescription opioid misuse ranging from one to nine, including an average of 2.52 on community knowledge of efforts, 2.83 on leadership, 4.00 on community climate on the issue, 2.90 on community knowledge of the issue, and 2.86 on resources knowledge. Table 18. Prescription Drug Community Readiness Scoring Results Domain Average Common Themes Identified in Scoring Process Community Knowledge of Efforts 2.52 Unaware of efforts, groups seem to be self-interested, lack of knowledge. Leadership 2.83 Aware of issue but with the lack of the community support they are hesitant to do anything. Community Climate 4.00 Concerned by the negative media, know that it is a problem but are unaware of what they can do. Community Knowledge of Issue 2.90 Unless they are personally affected they do not know where to start on the problem, what to do, or that they can do to help. Resources 2.86 Aware that there are resources but have no idea where they are or the process of helping with the problem. Community Readiness Responses Themes In the Community Readiness Survey, there are many open-ended responses to support an assessment. This section summarizes the themes that emerged from respondents. General Summary Strong concern in Mat-Su about prescription opioid addiction has resulted from the increase in crime and fatalities related to opioid use. Most opioid abuse starts with prescribed pain medication and can affect individuals of all ages and backgrounds. Increased media attention on this issue has also contributed to increased community concern. ACCESS Community members cite easy access in home medicine cabinets to this highly-addictive and potentially deadly substance as a concern and because misuse of opioids is where most heroin use begins. Aside from doctors, community members acquire opioids through several other sources, including hospice, family, friends, schools, work places, and other social outlets. Dealers and theft are additional sources. To prevent access, community members have several ideas, including establishment of a database to monitor prescriptions and prescribers. Drug disposal opportunities, law enforcement and legalization of THC for pain are other thoughts. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 36 MISCONCEPTIONS Current misconceptions among community members about prescription opioid misuse include a misunderstanding about how individuals obtain opioids and how easy it is to get addicted to them. Most opioid abuse starts with prescribed pain medication and can affect individuals of all ages and backgrounds. There is also a lack of understanding of the link between pain medication and heroin, as opioids may be viewed as safe because they are prescribed by doctors. Also, a common misperception is that only low-income, less educated, or homeless individuals are involved with opioid misuse, whereas this issue impacts all populations including seniors. Also, the issue carries a stigma that considers addiction as a character flaw, or a result of bad parenting, rather than as an illness and a frequent result of ACES. COMMUNITY STRENGTHS Strengths in current community efforts to address prescription opioid misuse include peer-to-peer support programs, treatment centers, community and physician education, media coverage, prevention activities, and THRIVE Mat-Su’s and the Opiate Task Force’s work. COMMUNITY CHALLENGES Community challenges to address the issue include lack of funding and understanding of addiction, as well as need for long-term residential treatment and rehabilitation housing. Need to focus efforts beyond youth and treatment providers is also mentioned. Underserved populations include youth, laborers, low-income, people in pain, people who need help at night, seniors, and the population in outlying areas of the borough. EDUCATION Education on the issue is occurring through social media, as well as other media outlets, opioid task force meetings, and presentations, including at schools and clubs. Word of mouth and personal experience is all continuing to education members of the community. Education for the community, patients, and doctors is viewed as important, as well as better screening for medication need and follow up after prescription of drugs. Education and treatment are important prevention and intervention measures to increase in Mat-Su. COMMUNITY AWARENESS Strong concern in Mat-Su about prescription opioid addiction is generated through the increase in crime and fatalities related to opioid use. Increased media attention on this issue has also contributed to increased community concern. Opioid abuse is a priority to be addressed in the community due to rising use in Mat-Su, along with the nature of the substance. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 37 Consumption This section summarizes lifetime prescription drug misuse and current prescription drug misuse. In each indicator, it presents data from middle school to high school if available. In the high school data, the data is presented in the following order: all students, traditional high school students and alternative high school students. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs Middle School In 2015, 10.5 percent of Mat-Su middle school students reported had ever used prescription drugs without a doctor’s prescription. This accounts for an estimated 226 students. In terms of trends in the Mat-Su, there were no statistical differences in this rate of use between 2011 and 2015. Figure 6. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Middle School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 15.4 14.8 10.5 2011 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. There were also no statistical differences between Mat-Su and Alaska middle school students between 2011 and 2015. Figure 7. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Middle School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 15.4 10.5 13.4 9.4 2011 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 38 In 2015, there were no statistical difference for gender, race/ethnicity, grade level, or age groups. Within MatSu middle school students in 2015, there were no statistical differences between males and females, races, grade levels, or age groups. Table 19. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Middle School Students, 2015 Percent (%) Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su 2015 and 2011 Middle School Students 10.5 Male 10.0 Female 11.5 2015 Demographics Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 11.4 Alaska Native 10.6 Grade Level 7th Grade 7.6 8th Grade 12.7 Age Groups 13 or Younger 7.6 14 and 15 Years of Age 15.6 Source: YRBS. All High School In 2015, 17.7 percent of all high school students in Mat-Su had ever taken prescription drugs without a prescription from a doctor, representing an estimated 766 students. While the Mat-Su prevalence appears to have decreased slightly, there is no statistically significant change between 2011 and 2015. Figure 8. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, All High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 21.4 2011 17.6 17.7 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 39 Though the Mat-Su prevalence among all high school students appears higher than the state for all three survey years, no statistically significant difference exists. Figure 9. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, All High School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 21.4 17.7 14.6 15.8 2011 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. Traditional High School In 2015, 15.0 percent of Mat-Su traditional high school students reported ever having used prescription drugs without a doctor’s prescription, accounting for an estimated 582 students. While the trend appears to decrease, this prevalence rate did not change significantly during between the three survey years. Figure 10. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 18.2 2011 15.9 15.0 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. When compared to Alaska and U.S. traditional high school students, prevalence rates for lifetime use of prescription drugs do not differ statistically between Mat-Su, Alaska, and U.S. traditional students for all three survey years. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 40 Figure 11. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su, Alaska, and U.S., Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 Mat-Su Alaska U.S. 20.7 16.8 18.2 15.0 14.6 15.8 2011 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. When assessing trends between 2011 and 2015, there were no statistical changes for Mat-Su traditional high school students by gender, race/ethnicity, grade level, or academic grades. While not included in the table, there were no statistical differences within the Mat-Su traditional high school student population between males and females, races, grade levels, and academic grades in 2015. However, Mat-Su traditional high school students reported lower percentages than Mat-Su alternative high school students for all indicators. Mat-Su traditional high school students reported a lower percentage than Mat-Su alternative high school students in overall prevalence (15.0 of traditional versus 39.4 percent of alternative high school students), males (14.6 versus 37.6 percent), females (15.5 versus 41.4 percent), whites (16.8 versus 38.7 percent), Alaska Natives (13.4 versus 37.5 percent), 11th graders (15.9 versus 47.9 percent), 12th graders (17.9 versus 40.4 percent), students who receive mostly As and Bs academic grades (12.0 versus 36.4 percent), and students who receive mostly Cs, Ds, and Fs academic grades (21.7 versus 41.5 percent) (p<.05). Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 41 Table 20. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Traditional High School Students, 2015 2015 Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su and Mat-Su and Mat-Su Trad. and MatAlaska Trad. U.S. Trad. Su Alt. Students Students Students Percent (%) Mat-Su 2015 and 2011 Trad. Students 15.0 Male 14.6 Female 15.5 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Demographics Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 16.8 Alaska Native 13.4 Other Races 10.4 Grade Level 9th Grade 11.4 10th Grade 16.1 11th Grade 15.9 12th Grade 17.9 NA Academic Grades Mostly As and Bs 12.0 Mostly Cs, Ds, Fs, 21.7 Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Alternative High School In 2015, 39.4 percent of Mat-Su alternative high school students reported ever having used prescription drugs, representing an estimated 174 students. The trend has not changed statistically during the three years of data. Figure 12. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 45.1 2011 36.0 39.4 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 42 Among alternative high school students in Mat-Su and statewide, the prevalence rate for having ever used prescription drugs without a prescription from a doctor did not differ statistically for all years reported. Figure 13. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 45.1 39.4 41.3 2011 37.4 2013 2015 Source: YRBS Generally, there were no changes in the trends between 2011 and 2015 for Mat-Su alternative high school lifetime misuse of prescription drugs where data was available by demographic variables. Where data was available in 2015, Mat-Su alternative high school students reported a higher percentage than Mat-Su traditional high school students in overall prevalence (39.4 versus 15.0 percent), males (37.6 versus 14.6 percent), females (41.4 versus 15.5 percent), whites (38.7 versus 16.8 percent), Alaska Natives (37.5 versus 13.4 percent), 11th graders (47.9 versus 15.9 percent), 12th graders (40.4 versus 17.9 percent), students who receive mostly As and Bs academic grades (36.4 versus 12.0 percent), and students who receive mostly Cs, Ds, and Fs academic grades (41.5 versus 21.7 percent) (p<.05). When comparing within demographic categories for Mat-Su alternative high school students in 2015, there are no statistical differences between genders, race/ethnicities, grade levels, or academic grades. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 43 Table 21. Lifetime Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative High School Students, 2015 2015 Demographics Percent (%) Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su 2015 Mat-Su and Mat-Su Alt. and and 2011 Alt. Alaska Alt. Mat-Su Trad. Students Students Students 39.4 Male 37.6 Female 41.4 White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 38.7 Alaska Native 37.5 NA --- NA NA NA 9th Grade --- NA NA NA 10th --- NA NA NA 11th Grade 47.9 12th Grade 40.4 NA Mostly As and Bs 36.4 NA Mostly Cs, Ds, Fs, 41.5 NA NA Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity Other Races Grade Level Grade Academic Grades Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Past 30 Days Use of Prescription Drugs Middle School In 2015, 6.0 percent of Mat-Su middle school students reported using prescription drugs without a doctor’s prescription in the past 30 days, accounting for an estimated 129 students. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 44 Table 22. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Middle School Students, 2015 Percent (%) 6.0 Demographics Overall Prevalence Gender Male 6.5 Female 4.9 Race/Ethnicity White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 6.7 Alaska Native 6.6 Grade Level 7th Grade 3.4 8th 7.9 Grade Age Groups 13 or Younger 3.9 14 and 15 Years of Age 9.6 Source: YRBS. All High School In 2015, 8.4 percent of all high school students in Mat-Su reported they used prescription drugs without a prescription from a doctor within the past 30 days. This prevalence represents an estimated 363 Mat-Su students. While this percentage appears to have dropped between 2011 and 2015, the change is not statistically significant. Figure 14. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, All High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 11.5 2011 8.7 8.4 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. In 2015 and 2013, the prevalence rates of current prescription opioid use without a prescription for all high school students in Mat-Su and Alaska did not differ significantly from Alaska’s median prevalence. In 2011, the prevalence rate in Mat-Su (11.5 percent) was higher than Alaska (6.9 percent) (p<.05). Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 45 Figure 15. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, All High School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 11.5 8.4 6.9 6.4 2011 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. Traditional High School In 2015, 6.9 percent of Mat-Su traditional high school students reported using prescription drugs without a doctor’s prescription in the past 30 days, which represents an estimated 268 students. While this percentage appears to have dropped between 2011 and 2015, the change is not statistically significant. Figure 16. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 9.7 2011 7.6 6.9 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. The prevalence rate did not differ significantly between Mat-Su and Alaska in any of the three survey years. Figure 17. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 9.7 6.9 6.9 6.4 2011 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 46 When assessing trends by demographics for current prescription drug misuse, there were no statistical differences between 2011 and 2015 by gender, race/ethnicity, grade level, and academic grants. When comparing Mat-Su traditional high school students with Alaska traditional high school students in 2015, there were also no statistical differences by the same demographic variables. When assessing differences within Mat-Su traditional high school students for current prescription drug misuse in 2015, there were no statistical differences between genders, races/ethnicities, or grade levels. However, MatSu traditional high school students achieving mostly As and Bs academic grades in 2015 reported a statistically lower percentage of current prescription drug use (4.5 percent) compared to traditional high school students scoring mostly Cs, Ds, and Fs academic grades (12.2 percent) (p<.05). In 2015, Mat-Su traditional high school students reported a lower percentage than Mat-Su alternative high school students in overall prevalence of current prescription drug use (6.9 percent of traditional versus 20.1 percent of alternative high school students), males (6.2 versus 19.4 percent), females (7.7 versus 20.9 percent), Whites (7.7 versus 18.1 percent), 11th graders (6.9 versus 21.5 percent), 12th graders (4.7 versus 21.6 percent), and students who received mostly As and Bs academic grades (4.5 versus 16.2 percent) (p<.05). Table 23. Current Prescription Drug Use, Traditional Students, 2015 2015 Demographics Percent (%) Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su 2015 and Mat-Su and Mat-Su Trad. and Mat2011 Trad. Alaska Trad. Su Alt. Students Students Students 6.9 Male 6.2 Female 7.7 NA NA NA NA Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 7.7 Alaska Native 5.8 Other Races 5.2 Grade Level 9th Grade 7.5 10th Grade 7.8 11th Grade 6.9 12th Grade 4.7 NA Academic Grades Mostly As and Bs 4.5 Mostly Cs, Ds, Fs, 12.2 NA Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 47 Alternative High School In 2015, 20.1 percent of Mat-Su alternative high school students reported using prescription drugs without a doctor’s prescription in the past 30 days, accounting for an estimated 89 students. The Mat-Su rate did not change significantly throughout the three survey years. Figure 18. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su, 2011, 2013, and 2015 26.7 21.4 2011 2013 20.1 2015 Source: YRBS. Compared with statewide, the Mat-Su prevalence rate for current prescription drug use was higher in 2011 (p<.05), though it did not statistically differ in 2013 and 2015. Figure 19. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2011, 2013, and 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 26.7 20.1 21.6 2011 19.8 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. Prevalence among Mat-Su alternative high school students who reported current prescription drug misuse and received mostly As and Bs decreased from 2011 to 2015, from 30.8 to 16.2 percent (p<.05). Within Mat-Su alternative high school students who currently misuse prescription drugs in 2015, there were no statistical differences between genders, race/ethnicities, grade levels, or academic grades. Mat-Su alternative high school students reported a higher percentage of current prescription drug misuse than Mat-Su traditional high school students in overall prevalence (20.1 versus 6.9 percent), males (19.4 versus 6.2 percent), females (20.9 versus 7.7 percent), Whites (18.1 versus 7.7 percent), 11th graders (21.5 versus 6.9 percent), 12th graders (21.6 versus 4.7 percent), and students who received mostly As and Bs (16.2 versus 4.5 percent) (p<.05). Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 48 Table 24. Current Use of Prescription Drugs, Alternative Students, 2015 2015 Demographics Percent (%) Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su 2015 Mat-Su and Mat-Su Alt. and and 2011 Alt. Alaska Alt. Mat-Su Trad. Students Students Students 20.1 Male 19.4 Female 20.9 White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 18.1 Alaska Native 16.1 NA - NA NA NA 9th Grade - NA NA NA 10th - NA NA NA 11th Grade 21.5 12th Grade 21.6 NA Mostly As and Bs 16.2 NA Mostly Cs, Ds, Fs, 23.8 Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity Other Races Grade Level Grade Academic Grades NA Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 49 Consequences This chapter presents available data on consequences of prescription opioid misuse. It presents opioid poisoning to the National Poison Control Data Systems, emergency department discharges, the prevalence of dependence or abuse from prescription opioids. It concludes with available arrest data. Poisoning According to the National Poison Data System, which relies on poison control call centers and medical records, there were 3 poisonings by opiates occurred among Mat-Su residents between age 12-25 at a rate of 1.5 poisonings per 10,000 persons in 2015. Statewide in 2015, opiate poisonings occurred at a rate of 1.2 poisonings per 10,000 persons. Figure 20. Rate of Opiate Poisonings Per 10,000 Persons Age 12-25, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2012-2015 Mat-Su Alaska 3 2 1.5 0.5 1 1.2 0.5 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: National Poisoning Data System. Table 25. Number and Rate of Opiate Poisonings, Mat-Su, 2012-2015 Year # of Poisonings 2012 1 Mat-Su Rate of Poisonings Per 10,000 Persons Aged 12-25 0.5 2013 4 2.0 27 1.6 2014 3 1.5 32 2.0 2015 3 1.5 19 1.2 # of Poisonings 8 Alaska Rate of Poisonings Per 10,000 Persons Aged 12-25 0.5 Source: National Poisoning Data System. ED Discharges In 2015, 159 discharges from the Mat-Su ED were related to opioids, 19 of which were poisonings. They occurred at a rate of 5.4 per 1,000 discharges. Statewide, opioid-related discharges occurred at a rate of 4.9 per 1,000 discharges. Females and Mat-Su residents ages 12-25 accounted for a disproportionately large share of opioid-related discharges relative to their share of the population. Females make up 48.2 percent of Mat-Su’s population yet accounted for 54.7 percent of opioid-related discharges. Mat-Su residents ages 12-25 make up 23.0 percent of the population and accounted for 32.1 percent of opioid-related discharges. Statewide, females also accounted Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 50 for a disproportionately large share of opioid-related discharges. For age, statewide figures followed an opposite trend: individuals ages 12-25 accounted for a disproportionately small share of opioid-related discharges relative to their share of the population. Table 26. Number of Opioid-Related ED Discharges and Rate per 1,000 ED Discharges, Ages 12+, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 29,682 279,971 Opioid-related discharges 159 1,380 Rate of opioid-related discharges per 1,000 discharges 5.4 4.9 All ED discharges Source: HFDR. Table 27. Number of Prescription Opioid-Related Emergency Department Discharges and Percent of Population, Ages 12+, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 # Mat-Su % of Population Age 12+ % of Total Population Age 12+ # % of Total Alaska % of Population Age 12+ Population Age 12+ Prescription Opioid-Related Discharges Type Poisoning 13 8.2 – – 62 4.5 – – Other 146 91.8 – – 1,318 95.5 – – Male 72 45.3 51.8 42,043 634 45.9 51.9 326,995 Female 87 54.7 48.2 39,176 746 54.1 48.1 303,412 12-25 51 32.1 23.0 18,661 296 21.4 25.9 163,553 26+ 108 67.9 77.0 62,557 1,084 78.6 74.1 466,854 Total 159 81,219 1,380 Gender Age 630,407 Prescription Opioid Poisoning Discharges Gender Male 6 46.2 51.8 42,043 22 35.5 51.9 326,995 Female 7 53.8 48.2 39,176 40 64.5 48.1 303,412 81,219 62 Total 13 630,407 Source: HFDR, DOLWD. Dependence or Abuse Between 2002 and 2011, there were an estimated 387 Mat-Su residents dependent on pain relievers, and 193 that abused. Table 28. Mat-Su Pain Reliever Non-Medical Dependence. 2002-2011 Mat-Su Prevalence Estimated Number of MatSu Residents Past year pain reliever dependence 0.6 387 Past year pain reliever abuse 0.3 193 Description Difference Between Mat-Su and Alaska Difference Between Mat-Su and U.S. Source: NSDUH. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 51 Deaths Between the years 2009 and 2013, opiates caused 63 deaths in Mat-Su for residents of all ages at an average of 16 deaths per year. Prescription opioids accounted for 56 of the total deaths and an annual average of 14 deaths per year. Table 29. Number of Prescription Opioid Deaths, Other Opioid Deaths, and Total Opioid Deaths, Mat-Su, 2009-2013 # of Deaths (2009-2013) 56 Annual Average 11 Other opioid deaths 7 1 .03 Total opioid deaths 63 13 .28 Prescription opioid deaths Rate per 10,000 Population .25 Source: CDC WONDER. Arrests In 2015, Mat-Su law enforcement made 70 opioid-related arrests. Arrests for possession (misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 4th degree) comprised the majority (39) of these arrests. Arrests for manufacturing, delivery, or intent to distribute (misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 2nd degree) accounted for almost half of all opioid-related arrests. Table 30. Number of Arrests for Misconduct Involving Schedule IA Controlled Substances, Mat-Su, 2015 Violation Number of Arrests Misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 1st degree Misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 2nd degree Misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 3rd 1 29 degree 1 Misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 4th degree 39 Total Arrests 70 Source: THRIVE Mat-Su. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 52 Risk and Protective Factors This chapter presents available data on risk and protective factors associated with prescription opioid misuse. It presents a range of indicators including risk of harm, parental and friends’ views of prescription opioid misuse, retail availability, drug take back total pounds, community messaging, provider discussions, and perceptions of it as a community harm. Risk of Harm from Prescription Drug use as Moderate or Greater Middle School In 2015, 75.4 percent of Mat-Su middle school students reported they believed the risk of harm from misusing prescription drugs was moderate or greater. This accounts for an estimated 1,626 students. Within Mat-Su middle school students in 2015, there were no statistical difference between genders, race/ethnicities, grade levels, or age groups. Table 31. Risk of Harm Moderate or Greater, Middle School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 Demographics Overall Prevalence Percent (%) 75.4 Gender Male 73.7 Female 79.2 Race/Ethnicity White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 75.2 Alaska Native 72.7 Grade Level 7th Grade 74.7 8th 75.9 Grade Age Groups 13 or Younger 76.3 14 and 15 Years of Age 73.7 Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 53 Traditional High School In 2015, 83.9 percent of Mat-Su traditional high school students reported they believe there is a moderate or great risk of harm from misusing prescription drugs, accounting for 3,257 students. Mat-Su traditional high school students reported a higher percentage than Mat-Su alternative high school students in overall prevalence (83.9 versus 73.8 percent), females (88.9 versus 73.7 percent), whites (84.2 versus 74.3 percent), and 12th graders (86.3 versus 71.7 percent) (p<.05). Table 32. Risk of Harm from Prescription Drug Use as Moderate or Greater, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 2015 Demographics Percent (%) Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su and Mat-Su Trad. and MatAlaska Trad. Su Alt. Students Students 83.9 Male 79.8 Female 88.9 Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 84.2 Alaska Native 83.5 Other Races 83.4 NA NA 9th Grade 85.1 NA 10th Grade 83.5 11th Grade 81.1 12th Grade 86.3 Mostly As and Bs 85.9 NA Mostly Cs, Ds, Fs, 79.8 NA Grade Level NA Academic Grades Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Alternative High School In 2015, 73.8 percent of Mat-Su alternative high school students reported they believe there is a moderate or great risk of harm if misusing prescription drugs, accounting for 326 students. Mat-Su alternative high school students reported a lower percentage than Mat-Su traditional high school students in overall prevalence (73.8 versus 73.8 percent), females (73.7 versus 88.9 percent), whites (74.3 versus 84.2 percent), and 12th graders (71.7 versus 71.7 percent) (p<.05). Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 54 Table 33. Risk of Harm from Prescription Drug Use as Moderate or Greater, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 2015 Demographics Percent (%) Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su and Mat-Su Alt. and Alaska Alt. Mat-Su Trad. Students Students 73.8 Male 73.8 Female 73.7 Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 74.3 Alaska Native 80.1 - NA NA 9th Grade - NA NA 10th Grade - NA NA 11th Grade 75.5 12th Grade 71.7 Mostly As and Bs 72.6 NA Mostly Cs, Ds, Fs, 73.6 NA Other Races Grade Level Academic Grades Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Parents View Prescription Drug Use as Wrong or Very Wrong Middle School In 2015, 87.6 percent of Mat-Su middle school students reported they believed their parents perceived prescription drug misuse as wrong or very wrong. This accounts for an estimated 1,890 students. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 55 Table 34. Parents View Prescription Drug Use as Wrong or Very Wrong, Middle School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 Demographics Overall Prevalence Percent (%) 87.6 Gender Male 87.0 Female 89.1 Race/Ethnicity White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 88.9 Alaska Native 85.7 Grade Level 7th Grade 90.8 8th Grade 85.3 Age Group 13 or Younger 90.1 14 and 15 Years of Age 83.4 Source: YRBS. Traditional High School In 2015, 92.6 percent of Mat-Su traditional high school students reported their parents view prescription drug misuse as wrong or very wrong, accounting for 3,595 students. Mat-Su traditional high school students reported a higher percentage than Mat-Su alternative high school students in overall prevalence (92.6 versus 86.2 percent), females (91.8 versus 84.3 percent), and students that received mostly As and Bs (93.6 versus 85.0 percent) (p<.05). Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 56 Table 35. Parents View Prescription Drug Use as Wrong or Very Wrong, Traditional High School Students, 2015 2015 Demographics Percent (%) Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su and Mat-Su Trad. and MatAlaska Trad. Su Alt. Students Students 92.6 Male 93.2 Female 91.8 White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 92.6 Alaska Native 90.2 Other Races 94.7 NA NA 9th Grade 93.0 NA 10th Grade 92.0 11th Grade 93.2 12th Grade 91.9 Mostly As and Bs 93.6 NA Mostly Cs, Ds, Fs, 89.9 NA Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity Grade Level NA Academic Grades Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Alternative High School In 2015, 86.2 percent of Mat-Su alternative high school students reported their parents view prescription drug misuse as wrong or very wrong, accounting for 381 students. Mat-Su alternative high school students reported a lower percentage than Mat-Su traditional high school students in overall prevalence (86.2 versus 92.6 percent), females (84.3 versus 91.8 percent), and students that received mostly As and Bs (85.0 versus 93.6 percent) (p<.05). Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 57 Table 36. Parents View Prescription Drug Use as Wrong or Very Wrong, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 2015 Demographics Percent (%) Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su and Mat-Su Alt. and Alaska Alt. Mat-Su Trad. Students Students 86.2 Male 87.9 Female 84.3 Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 86.2 Alaska Native 85.9 - NA NA 9th Grade - NA NA 10th Grade - NA NA 11th Grade 89.9 12th Grade 84.1 Mostly As and Bs 85.0 NA Mostly Cs, Ds, Fs, 86.8 NA Other Races Grade Level Academic Grades Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Friends Consider It Wrong or Very Wrong In 2015, 73.1 percent of Mat-Su middle school students reported they believed their friends thought misusing prescription drugs was wrong or very wrong. This accounts for an estimated 1,576 students. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 58 Table 37. Friends Consider Wrong or Very Wrong, Middle School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 Percent (%) 73.1 Demographics Overall Prevalence Gender Male 73.0 Female 73.1 Race/Ethnicity White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 73.6 Alaska Native 76.4 Grade Level 7th Grade 76.2 8th 70.7 Grade Age Group 13 or Younger 75.7 14 and 15 Years of Age 68.4 Source: YRBS. Retail Availability of Prescription Opioids In 2015, half of the 143 Mat-Su young adults (ages 18-25) surveyed by YASUS had ever been prescribed opioids. Half of young adults in Alaska also had used prescribed opioids ever. Table 38. Number and Percent of Young Adults Who Have Ever Been Prescribed Opioids, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Mat-Su Percent Number (%) Question Alaska Percent Number (%) Have you ever been prescribed opioids? No, never 74 51.7 389 49.9 Yes, more than 3 years ago 28 19.6 180 23.1 Yes, within the last 3 years 41 28.7 210 27.0 No response Total Respondents 0 0.0 0 0.0 143 100.0 779 100.0 Source: YASUS. Drug Take Back The Mat-Su Borough hosts drug take-back events twice a year to allow for safe disposal of unused, unwanted, or expired medications. Collection occurs at three locations: Fred Meyers (Palmer and Wasilla) and Talkeetna Sunshine Clinic. In 2016, the Mat-Su Borough collected 1,119 pounds of drugs. During the six years between 2011 and 2016, the Borough collected 4,295 pounds of drugs. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 59 Table 39. Reported Pounds Collected During Drug Take Back Events, Various Mat-Su Communities Year Palmer Wasilla Talkeetna Mat-Su Total 2011 120 267 95 482 2012 105.2 183 148 436.2 2013 322.5** 380.5** 470 1,173 2014 91.7 179.8 58.9 330.4 2015 377** 377** – 754 2016 321 762 36 1,119 *No data recorded for the second half of 2014 for any Mat-Su location. **Sometimes, Palmer and Wasilla reported jointly. It is estimated these reported totals were split evenly between Palmer and Wasilla. Source: Mat-Su Borough Drug Take-Back Program. Community Messaging about Prescription Opioids In Mat-Su, 40 percent of young adults surveyed by YASUS had never seen community messaging about prescription opioids, compared to 50 percent of young adults throughout the entire state. Figure 21. Community Messaging About Prescription Opioids Seen by Young Adults, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 40.6 I have not seen any messages about prescription opioids Safe use of prescription opioids as prescribed by a doctor 31.5 The safe disposal of leftover prescription opioids 22.7 29.4 21.3 17.5 18.0 The safe and secure storage of prescription opioids No response 37.1 26.6 The risks of sharing prescription opioids with others Another type of message about prescription opioids 49.3 2.1 2.1 0.7 0.5 Source: YASUS. Provider Discussions with Young Adults about Prescribed Opioids Compared to young adults statewide, young adults in Mat-Su who responded to YASUS and had been prescribed opioids within the past three years experienced fewer conversations with providers or pharmacists about their appropriate use. Less than 20 percent had a discussion with a provider or pharmacist about treatment alternatives to prescription opioids. The most common conversation with providers, which about 50 percent of Mat-Su survey respondents experienced, addressed the potential side effects or problems from prescription opioids. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 60 Figure 22. Discussions of Appropriate Opioid Use Between Providers/Pharmacists and Young Adults Prescribed Opioids Within Past Three Years, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 53.7 59.5 Side effects or problems from use 41.5 Using pills as prescribed and not more To not share pills with others Expected benefits 22.0 25.7 Safe and secure storage of pills 19.5 21 Alternatives to prescription opioids 19.5 12.4 12.2 21.4 I do not remember Specific treatment goals that included a plan for stopping use 12.2 17.1 Risk of developing an opioid use disorder or addiction No response 56.7 31.7 32.4 29.3 28.6 4.9 4.3 Source: YASUS. Unused Prescription Drugs Disposal Among Mat-Su young adults surveyed by YASUS who were prescribed opioids within the past three years and had leftover, unused prescription opioids, more than half still have them in their possession. Figure 23. Disposal of Leftover, Unused Prescription Opioids Among Young Adults Prescribed Opioids Within Past Three Years, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska I still have them 22.0 26.7 I have never had any leftover I flushed them down the toilet or sink I gave them to a family member or friend for free I threw them in the trash I disposed of them at a drug "take back" program I sold them to a family member or friend I sold them on the street I brought them to a pharmacy Other No response 56.1 52.4 9.8 10.0 7.3 5.7 4.9 6.2 4.9 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 Source: YASUS. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 61 Community Problem On a scale between 1 and 6, with 1 “not a problem at all” and 6 “a very large problem,” 42.7 percent of Mat-Su young adults you participated in YASUS rate prescription opioid misuse in their community as a 5 or 6. This compares with 37.3 percent among statewide young adults who participated in YASUS. Figure 24. Perception of Prescription Opioid Misuse as a Community Problem, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 6 A very large problem 18.2 17.5 5 16.1 4 2 9.8 11.0 1 Not a problem at all 11.2 11.2 19.4 20.3 20.7 3 No response 24.5 19.8 0.0 0.5 Source: YASUS. Risk of Harm for Trying Prescription Opioids YASUS asked survey respondents to rate the risk of harm when people try prescription opioid misuse once or twice on a scale between 1 and 6, with 1 “no risk” and 6 “great risk.” About 55 percent of young adult respondents in both Mat-Su and all Alaska rated trying prescription opioid misuse as a 5 or 6. Table 40. Risk of Harm When People Try Misusing Prescription Opioids, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Question Mat-Su Alaska How much do people risk harming themselves physically or in other ways when they try misusing prescription opioids (using without a prescription or in other ways other than as prescribed) once or twice? Response Number Percent Number Percent 1 No risk 5 3.5 40 5.1 2 9 6.3 76 9.8 3 23 16.1 119 15.3 4 26 18.2 118 15.1 5 24 16.8 164 21.1 6 Great risk 55 38.5 259 33.2 No response Total respondents 1 0.7 3 0.4 143 100.0 779 100.0 Source: YASUS. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 62 Risk of Harm for Regularly Misusing Prescription Opioids YASUS asked survey respondents to rate the risk of harm when people regularly misuse prescription opioids once or twice a week on a scale between 1 and 6, with 1 “no risk” and 6 “great risk.” Both in Mat-Su and statewide, close to 80 percent of young adult respondents rated the risk as a 5 or 6. Table 41. Risk of Harm When People Regularly Misuse Prescription Opioids, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Question Mat-Su Alaska How much do people risk harming themselves physically or in other ways when they regularly misuse prescription opioids (using without a prescription or in other ways other than as prescribed) once or twice per week? Response Number Percent Number Percent 1 No risk 2 1.4 29 3.7 2 6 4.2 23 3.0 3 8 5.6 49 6.3 4 14 9.8 67 8.6 5 24 16.8 145 18.6 6 Great risk 88 61.5 462 59.3 No response 1 0.7 4 0.5 143 100.0 779 100.0 Total respondents Source: YASUS. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 63 Community Factors The State of Alaska selected social availability of prescription opioids, retail availability of prescription opioids, and perceived risk for harm of non-medical use of prescription opioids as key intervening variables that affect non-medical use of the drugs. Because intervening variables are broad concepts that manifest differently in different communities, 64 identification of local, community factors that affect how the intervening variables emerge in each region is a crucial component of the assessment phase. Understanding the local context sets the foundation for an effective logic model and ultimately the selection of strategies that precisely target regional issues. To that end, THRIVE Mat-Su engaged in a facilitated session to identify and prioritize community factors that impact social availability of prescription opioids, retail availability, and perceived risk for harm of non-medical use of prescription opioids. This section summarizes the results by each topic area. Social Availability of Prescription Opioids Coalition members identified the following community factors related to the social availability of prescription opioids. The list below reflects group-identified themes with associated sub-points in order of member prioritization. • • • Lack of safe and positive support and supervision o Lack of awareness of risk o Peer pressure o Adults approaching teens to be dealers and adults marketing to youth o Lack of education in schools o Parents commute to Anchorage or North Slope, leaving kids unattended Focus on pain management: “pain” = 5th vital sign o Doctors overprescribe due to lack of education or personal bias o Lack of knowledge/acceptance of alternative pain management o Incentives from Pharma Geographical factors o Small rural communities sharing resources and knowing which neighbors have drugs o Lack of medical facilities and transportation barriers o Lack of law enforcement = no fear of use • Lack of disposal knowledge and disposal sites • Family and friends who are addicted or use prescription opioids in the home increase access DHSS. (2016). Prevention of non-medical use of prescription opioids http://www.iser.uaa.alaska.edu/Projects/pfs/docs/ PFSGuidanceDocument.pdf. 64 Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse and heroin use in Alaska. Available at: McDowell Group, Inc. Page 64 Figure 25. Community Factors that Impact the Social Availability of Prescription Opioids Source: McDowell Group. Retail Availability of Prescription Opioids Coalition members identified the following community factors related to the retail availability of prescription opioids. The list below reflects group-identified themes with associated sub-points in order of member prioritization. • Overprescribing o Doctors are incentivized to prescribe, including marketing from pharma o Doctors lack knowledge of how to treat pain and are unaware of options other than prescription drugs • o Dental providers over-prescribing o Lack of education on alternative pain management strategies o Lots of prescribing for chronic pain o Pain clinics over-prescribing Medication assisted treatment (MAT) is providing drugs rather than treatment Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 65 • o Complete avoidance of the negative impacts from suboxone o Prescribed suboxone is sold to others o Most common drug in Department of Corrections is suboxone Pain is the 5th vital sign: pain management vs pain free o People have philosophy of stopping all pain rather than managing pain • Lack of education regarding addiction by people and providers • Lack of prescription drug monitoring o Prescription Drug Monitoring Program is voluntary • Lack of prescription drug disposal sites • Online purchasing (fentanyl) Figure 26. Community Factors that Impact the Retail Availability of Prescription Opioids Source: McDowell Group. Perceived Risk of Prescription Opioids Coalition members identified the following community factors related to the perceived risk of prescription opioid misuse. The list below reflects group identified themes with associated sub-points in order of member prioritization. • “Specific” risk education by primary providers and pharmacies Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 66 o Unrealized risk of addiction to prescription drugs o “If it is a prescription, it is safe” o Low risk perception among youth o “Everyone” uses pain pill after tooth extraction o Kids do not have the maturity/brain development to understand the consequences: “Invincible at 18” • Community and family norms o Parents and grandparents use and abuse prescription opioids, so perception is that they are not harmful • o Some elders don’t perceive drugs as harmful o Adults are stuck in their mindset that drugs aren’t harmful o “Normal teenage experimentation” o Not embracing traditional/eastern ways of healing or pain management o Availability of opioid medication normalized the use of opioids: Opioids in medicine cabinet o Stigma stops conversation Lack of broad education through schools and media o Lack of information o Local newspaper has many stories on opioid abuse, awareness level of population is high o Not talking about it because of stigma o Less awareness than heroin, but due to recent publicity, awareness is increasing o Lack of info and education about dangers of opioids Figure 27. Community Factors that Impact the Perceived Risk of PO Source: McDowell Group. Community Needs Assessment Prescription Opioid Misuse McDowell Group, Inc. Page 67 Heroin Literature Review Use Patterns The significant increase in prevalence of heroin use and abuse over the past decade has been driven primarily by the increase in heroin use among young adults ages 18 to 25. 65 In 2013, young adults had the highest prevalence rate of past year heroin use at 7.0 per 1000, compared to adolescents (ages 12 to 17) at 1.0 per 1000, and older adults (over 26 years of age) at 2.0 per 1000. 66 In a study of a nationally-representative sample of young adults, researchers found that lifetime, past-year, and past-month prevalence rates of heroin use were 18.4, 7.3 and 3.3 per 1000 for those same age groups, respectively. 67 Young adults, on average, initiate heroin use between ages 18 and 19. 68 Most young adults are non-injection heroin users, and the most common route of use is sniffing. 69 Early initiation of non-medical use of prescription opioids is a known risk factor for heroin use. 70 While most research to date has focused on heroin use in the general population, evidence does suggest that heroin use patterns among non-medical prescription opioid users are different. 71 GENDER Male young adults have reported significantly higher rates of lifetime, past-year, and past-month heroin use than have females of the same age. 72 RACE/ETHNICITY Non-Hispanic, white young adults report statistically significant higher prevalence rates of lifetime, past year and past month heroin use compared to non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and other non-Hispanic young adults. 73 GEOGRAPHY No significant variation in heroin use has been found in young adults living in large, small, or non-urban areas. 74 65 Ihongbe, T. O., & Masho, S. W. (2016). Prevalence, correlates and patterns of heroin use among young adults in the United States. Addictive Behaviors, 63, 74-81. Ibid. Ibid. Ibid. 69 Ibid. 70 Martins, S. S., Segura, L. E., Santaella-Tenorio, J., Perlmutter, A., Fenton, M. C., Cerdá, M., ... & Hasin, D. S. (2017). Prescription opioid use disorder and heroin use among 12-34-year-olds in the United States from 2002 to 2014. Addictive Behaviors, 65, 236-241. 71 Ihongbe, T. O., & Masho, S. W. (2016). Prevalence, correlates and patterns of heroin use among young adults in the United States. Addictive Behaviors, 63, 74-81. 66 67 68 72 Ihongbe, T. O., & Masho, S. W. (2016). Prevalence, correlates and patterns of heroin use among young adults in the United States. Addictive Behaviors, 63, 74-81. 73 74 Ibid. Ibid. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 69 MENTAL HEALTH Young adults who have experienced depressive episodes have been found to use heroin at higher rates. 75 OTHER Unemployed young adults, as well as widowed, divorced, or separated young adults display statistically significant higher prevalence rates of lifetime, past-year, and past-month heroin use. Perception of Risk for Harm Perception of risk for harm refers to the degree to which an individual identifies heroin use as potentially dangerous. As described in the prescription opioid section, young-adult, non-dependent drug users draw upon several pieces of information when assessing the risk of drugs and the degree to which those risks can be managed including: potential for addiction, overdose or death; organ damage; uncontrollable highs; harm to the brain; as well as other factors like routes of administration, acceptability of use, and personal vulnerability. 76 Heroin is assessed as extremely addictive and as carrying a high risk of overdose and death. 77 In general, young adults perceive heroin, crack, and methamphetamine as the most risky and harmful drugs. 78 Within the general population, non-medical users of prescription opioids who have tried heroin perceive heroin as less risky, compared to those who have not tried heroin. 79 This signals the important role of non-medical use of prescription opioids in moderating assessment of risk of heroin. In contrast, female prescription opioid users, those who initiated non-medical use of prescription opioids at a later age, and individuals who use marijuana perceive heroin as more risky than other types of initial drug user i.e. persons who use marijuana initially perceive heroin as riskier than those who initiated other types of drugs. According to results from the NSDUH, most people 12 years of age and older think trying heroin, whether once or twice or on a weekly basis, carries a great risk. 80 Perception of risk from heroin use increases with age among adolescents, such that a higher percentage of adolescents ages 16-17 perceive great risk from heroin use than adolescents ages 14-15 and a higher percentage of adolescents ages 14-15 perceive great risk from heroin use than 12-13-year-olds. 81 Social Availability Limited academic research describes the social availability of heroin. Prevalence rates suggest that heroin is widely available, though precise pathways individuals use to obtain heroin are less clearly defined. Research does describe that availability of heroin, unlike availability of prescription opioids, is a result of international 75 Ihongbe, T. O., & Masho, S. W. (2016). Prevalence, correlates and patterns of heroin use among young adults in the United States. Addictive Behaviors, 63, 74-81. 76 Daniulaityte, R., Falck, R., & Carlson, R. G. (2012). “I’m not afraid of those ones just ‘cause they’ve been prescribed”: Perceptions of risk among illicit users of pharmaceutical opioids. International Journal of Drug Policy, 23(5), 374-384. 77 Ibid. 78 Ibid. 79 Votaw, V. R., Wittenauer, J., Connery, H. S., Weiss, R. D., & McHugh, R. K. (2017). Perceived risk of heroin use among nonmedical prescription opioid users. Addictive Behaviors, 65, 218-223. 80 Lipari, R. & Hughes, M.S. (2015). Trends in heroin use in the united states: 2002 to 2013. SAMHSA. Available at: https://www.samhsa.gov/data/sites/default/ files/report_1943/ShortReport-1943.html. 81 Ibid. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 70 trafficking of heroin. In the United States, most heroin comes from Columbia and Mexico; purity and type of heroin, and therefore risk, vary based on origin. 82 Some research suggests that different types of heroin markets—from open markets with unrestricted access to more closed markets controlled by private dealers— exist geographically. 83 Individuals also obtain heroin through different types of engagement with dealers, including face-to-face deals, brokering or “copping,” and a secondary dealer or “juggling” 84 82 Ciccarone, D. (2009). Heroin in brown, black and white: Structural factors and medical consequences in the US heroin market. International Journal of Drug Policy, 20(3), 277-282. 83 Mars, S. G., Fessel, J. N., Bourgois, P., Montero, F., Karandinos, G., & Ciccarone, D. (2015). Heroin-related overdose: The unexplored influences of markets, marketing and source-types in the United States. Social Science & Medicine, 140, 44-53. 84 Hoffer, L., & Alam, S. J. (2013, April). “Copping” in Heroin Markets: The Hidden Information Costs of Indirect Sales and Why They Matter. In International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction (pp. 83-92). Springer Berlin Heidelberg. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 71 Community Readiness Results This section summarizes results specific to heroin from the Community Readiness Survey, including scoring and key themes that emerged from open-ended responses. Community Readiness Score In assessing readiness of the Mat-Su community on heroin, scores include an average of 2.80 on community knowledge of efforts, 3.38 on leadership, 3.55 on community climate of the issue, 3.05 on community knowledge of the issue, and 3.00 on resources knowledge. Table 42. Heroin Community Readiness Scoring Results Domain Average Common Themes Identified in Scoring Process Community Knowledge of Efforts 2.80 Awareness comes from media, personal connections to the drug, and more effects such as needles found around the community Leadership 3.38 Respondents support change, but it does not seem to be a top priority in the community and therefore not one of their priorities either Community Climate 3.55 They see the effects (needles and media coverage) but only seem to want change when it is personal Community Knowledge of Issue 3.05 No knowledge about local services, effects, resources, think that it is not their problem unless its personal Resources 3.00 They think they are out there, but are unaware of process or how to get into contact with those unless personally affected Community Readiness Responses Themes In the Community Readiness Survey, many open-ended responses support an assessment. This section summarizes the themes that emerged from respondents. Overall Summary Strong concern in the Mat-Su about heroin has resulted from increases in crime, overdoses, and fatalities along with accompanying media attention. Additionally, use is widespread among all ages and backgrounds, and, therefore, impacts are widespread effect on others. Also, evidence of use is more visible on the streets. Due to this strong concern about this highly addictive and deadly substance, addressing heroin in the community is a priority. The priority includes reducing crime rates and increasing community member sense of safety. Also, education is key about the dangers of heroin and the broad impact on the community. MISCONCEPTIONS Misconceptions among community members about heroin use include how easy it is to get addicted and how hard it is to detox and get off the drug. The link between pain, trauma, mental health, pain medication, and the magnitude and scope of the problem is often not recognized, partly because use of the drug is often stigmatized as a character flaw or a low-income, uneducated, and homeless problem. Signs and symptoms of use, as well as the link between use and Adverse Childhood Experiences are also not understood. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 72 ACCESS Heroin is currently accessed not only through dealers and theft, but also through family, friends, schools, work places, other social outlets. Prevention of access includes education about signs and symptoms of use and help through law enforcement activity. COMMUNITY STRENGTHS Strengths of current prevention and intervention strategies include education and outreach efforts and community concern. The Mat-Su Opioid Task Force efforts on harm reduction are recognized. The opiate treatment program at the community health center is also recognized as providing a model for integrated medical and behavioral health treatment for opiate addiction. COMMUNITY CHALLENGES Weaknesses in heroin prevention and intervention strategies in the Mat-Su include need for more cooperation between treatment providers, capacity (OBOT can only serve a certain number of people for example), and need for rehabilitation housing. Community perceptions and controversy over location of treatment centers and transitional housing also presents a weakness. Another noted issue is that drugs are acquired in jail, and jails are resistant to using Vivitrol. Underserved populations include youth, the middle and upper class, and outlying areas in the borough. INTERVENTION EFFORTS CRITICAL TO PREVENTION Plans for further prevention and intervention efforts include further work with law enforcement, on issues such as Narcan, and with the drug court. More alternatives, such as clinics that prescribe suboxone and other drugs, as well as faith-based centers, are needed, as well as addiction specialists and counselors to help addicts choose treatment that will work for them. The Opioid Task Force and existing programs are also important moving forward. Education efforts also need to continue. FUNDING AND POLICY ISSUES Funding and action plans submitted to address heroin use in the community include a behavioral health treatment expansion grant. Medicaid expansion has allowed more people to receive treatment than previously. The possible Harm Reduction/Needle exchange program, supported by the Mat-Su Opioid Task Force, EMS, and clinics is a possibility, though it is too early to determine the direction of this effort. The State budget and use of volunteers are also on community members’ minds. EDUCATION Education on current and future efforts may be best communicated through social media and other media outlets, presentations in the community, and word of mouth. Education may be one day to combat misconceptions about current heroin efforts, including misunderstanding of addiction as a choice, the idea that no treatment is available, blame on SB91 for high crime, and the concept of harm reduction. Leadership in the Mat-Su is involved, attending meetings and reception to education on options and how to be effective. Funding and personnel are also needed for the issue, however. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 73 NEED TO TRACK AND EVALUATE COMMUNITY EFFORTS & SHARE DATA To evaluation the effectiveness of strategies to address heroin, several measures are in place. These include tracking of admissions, length of treatment, reasons for dropping out or being terminated by the program, number of successful completions, and other data. A qualitative study of the program was also completed by a PhD candidate for her dissertation. Other measures are utilized by THRIVE Mat-Su and through school surveys. The data that is collected is considered accurate and it is felt the data should be made readily available and community members should be educated on where to find it. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 74 Consumption This chapter presents available data on consumption patterns of heroin. The only available consumption patterns of heroin in recent years comes from the YRBS for high school students on life time heroin use. Lifetime Heroin Use All High School Students In 2015, 3.1 percent of all Mat-Su high school students had ever used heroin, representing an estimated 134 students. The prevalence rate appears to have decreased since 2011, but there is no statistical difference between any of the years. Figure 28. Lifetime Heroin Use, All High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 4.2 3.1 2.9 2011 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. Mat-Su appears to have a higher rate of use than statewide for all years of data, but there are no statistically significant differences. Figure 29. Lifetime Heroin Use, All High School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 4.2 3.1 2.2 2.4 2011 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 75 Traditional High School In 2015, 1.6 percent of Mat-Su traditional high school students reported having ever used heroin in their lifetime, which represents an estimated 62 students. The Mat-Su prevalence rate did not differ statistically between the three survey years. Figure 30. Lifetime Heroin Use, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 3.1 2.4 2011 1.6 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. For the 2011, 2013, and 2015 survey years, prevalence rates for lifetime heroin use did not differ statistically between Mat-Su, Alaska, and the U.S among traditional high school students. Figure 31. Lifetime Heroin Use, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su, Alaska, and U.S., Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 Mat-Su 3.1 Alaska U.S. 2.9 2.1 2.2 2.4 1.6 2011 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. In 2015, there were no other statistical differences when comparing Mat-Su traditional high school students to Alaska and U.S. traditional students, nor when comparing to 2011 Mat-Su traditional high school students. When comparing within Mat-Su traditional high school student in 2015, there were also no statistical difference between males and females, race/ethnicity, grades or academic grades. Mat-Su traditional high school students reported a lower percentage than Mat-Su alternative high school students in overall prevalence (1.6 versus 14.0 percent), males (2.2 versus 15.1 percent), females (0.9 versus 12.7 percent), whites (1.4 versus 12.0 percent), Alaska Natives (0.7 versus 13.9 percent), 11th graders (1.2 versus 14.8 percent), 12th graders (2.4 versus 16.7 percent), students that received mostly As and Bs academic grades (0.9 versus 8.2 percent), and students that received mostly Cs, Ds, and Fs academic grades (3.3 versus 19.2 percent) (p<.05). Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 76 Table 43. Lifetime Heroin Use, Traditional High School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 2015 Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su and Mat-Su and Mat-Su Trad. and MatAlaska Trad. U.S. Trad. Su Alt. Students Students Students Percent Mat-Su 2015 and 2011 Trad. Students 1.6 Male 2.2 Female 0.9 White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 1.4 Alaska Native 0.7 NA Other Races 3.9 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Demographics Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity Grade Level 9th Grade 1.1 10th Grade 2.0 11th Grade 1.2 12th Grade 2.4 NA Academic Grades Mostly As and Bs 0.9 Mostly Cs, Ds, Fs, 3.3 Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Alternative High School In 2015, 14.0 percent of Mat-Su alternative high school students reported having ever used heroin, representing an estimated 62 students. The Mat-Su prevalence rate for alternative high school students did not differ statistically between any of the years presented. Figure 32. Lifetime Heroin Use, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 14.0 12.0 2011 9.3 2013 2015 Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 77 While Mat-Su alternative high school students consistently reported slightly higher percentages than statewide alternative high school students, there were no statistical differences for all years presented. Figure 33. Lifetime Heroin Use, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, Percent, 2011, 2013, and 2015 Mat-Su 14.0 12.0 11.0 10.1 2011 Alaska 2013 2015 Source: YRBS In 2015, there were no other statistical differences when comparing Mat-Su alternative high school students to Alaska alternative students, nor when comparing to 2011 Mat-Su alternative high school students. When comparing within Mat-Su alternative high school student in 2015, there were also no statistical differences between males and females, race/ethnicity, or grade level. However, in 2015, Mat-Su alternative high school students receiving mostly Cs, Ds, and Fs academic grades reported a rate nearly 2 times higher (19.2 percent) than Mat-Su alternative high school students receiving mostly As and Bs academic grades (8.2 percent) (p<.05). Overall, Mat-Su alternative high school students reported a statistically higher prevalence than Mat-Su traditional high school students for all comparisons. Mat-Su alternative high school students reported a higher percentage than Mat-Su traditional high school students in overall prevalence (9 times higher: 14. 0 versus 1.6 percent), males (7 times higher: 15.1 versus 2.2 percent), females (14 times higher: 12.7 versus 0.9 percent), whites (9 times higher: 12.0 versus 1.4 percent), Alaska Natives (20 times higher: 13.9 versus 0.7 percent), 11th graders (12 time higher: 14.8 versus 1.2 percent), 12th graders (7 times higher: 16.7 versus 2.4 percent), students that received mostly As and Bs academic grades (9 times higher: 8.2 versus 0.9), and students that received mostly Cs, Ds, and Fs academic grades (6 times higher: 19.2 versus 3.3 percent) (p<.05). Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 78 Table 44. Lifetime Heroin Use, Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su, 2015 2015 Demographics Percent Statistical difference between…? Mat-Su 2015 Mat-Su and Mat-Su Alt. and and 2011 Alt. Alaska Alt. Mat-Su Trad. Students Students Students 14.0 Male 15.1 Female 12.7 White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 12.0 Alaska Native 13.9 NA - NA NA NA 9th Grade - NA NA NA 10th - NA NA NA 11th Grade 14.8 12th Grade 16.7 NA Mostly As and Bs 8.2 NA Mostly Cs, Ds, Fs, 19.2 Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity Other Races Grade Level Grade Academic Grades NA Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 79 Consequences This chapter presents available data on consequences associated with heroin use. It summarizes emergency discharges related to heroin use, deaths and arrests for charges. Emergency Department Discharges In 2015, 19 discharges from the Mat-Su ED were related to heroin, all of which were poisonings. They occurred at a rate of 0.6 per 1,000 discharges. Throughout all of Alaska, heroin-related discharges occurred at a rate of 0.4 per 1,000 discharges. Males and Mat-Su residents age 18-25 accounted for a slightly higher share of heroin-related discharges disproportionately large relative to their share of the population. Males represent 51.8 percent of the Mat-Su population yet accounted for 57.9 percent of heroin-related discharges. Similarly, Mat-Su residents age 18-25 represent 11.9 percent of the population but accounted for 42.1 percent of heroin-related discharges. Statewide data exhibit the same patterns. Table 45. Number of Heroin-Related ED Discharges and Rate per 1,000 ED Discharges, Ages 12+, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 29,682 279,971 Heroin-related discharges (count) 19 104 Rate of heroin-related discharges per 1,000 discharges 0.6 0.4 All ED discharges (count) Source: HFDR. Table 46. Number of Heroin-Related Discharges and Percent of Population, by Type, Gender, and Age, Ages 12+, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 # % of Total Mat-Su % of Population Age 12+ Population Age 12+ # % of Total Alaska % of Population Age 12+ Population Age 12+ Heroin-Related Discharges Type Poisoning 19 100.0 – – 104 100.0 – – Other 0 0.0 – – 0 0.0 – – Male 11 57.9 51.8 42,043 76 73.1 51.9 326,995 Female 8 42.1 48.2 39,176 28 26.9 48.1 303,412 12-17 0 0.0 11.1 8,983 0 0.0 12.7 79,749 18-25 8 42.1 11.9 9,679 35 33.7 13.3 83,804 26+ 11 57.9 77.0 62,557 69 66.3 74.1 Total 19 81,219 104 Gender Age 466,854 630,407 Source: HFDR, DOLWD. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 80 Deaths Between the years 2009 and 2013, opiates caused 63 deaths in Mat-Su for residents of all ages at an average of 16 deaths per year. Other opioids, which include non-prescription opiates such as opium and heroin, accounted for 7 of those deaths. Table 47. Number of Prescription Opioid Deaths, Other Opioid Deaths, and Total Opioid Deaths, Mat-Su, 2009-2013 Prescription opioid deaths # of Deaths (2009-2013) 56 Annual Average Rate per 10,000 Population 11 .25 Other opioid deaths 7 1 .03 Total opioid deaths 63 13 .28 Source: CDC WONDER. Arrests In 2015, Mat-Su law enforcement made 70 opioid-related arrests. Arrests for possession (misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 4th degree) comprised the majority (39 arrests) of these arrests. Arrests for manufacturing, delivery, or intent to distribute (misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 2nd degree) accounted for almost half of all opioid-related arrests. Table 48. Number of Arrests for Misconduct Involving Schedule IA Controlled Substances, Mat-Su, 2015 Violation Number of Arrests Misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 1st degree Misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 2nd degree Misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 3rd 1 29 degree 1 Misconduct involving a controlled substance in the 4th degree 39 Total Arrests 70 Source: THRIVE Mat-Su. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 81 Risk & Protective Factors This chapter presents indicators that may protect or contribute to heroin use. It summarizes perceptions of heroin as a community problem, perceptions of risk, and heroin availability. Community Problem In 2015, 42.7 percent of Mat-Su adults ages 18-25 rated heroin a very large problem in the local community compared with 31.6 percent of statewide young adult respondents. Figure 34. Perception of Heroin as a Community Problem, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska 6 A very large problem 14.7 5 7.7 4 18.6 11.6 14.0 15.7 3 8.4 8.7 2 11.9 12.7 1 Not a problem at all No response 42.7 31.6 0.7 1.2 Source: YASUS. Risk of Harm In 2015, more than 72.0 percent of Mat-Su adults ages 18-25 rated trying heroin once or twice as a great risk. This is higher than the statewide percentage reporting 66.4 percent. Table 49. Risk of Harm When People Try Heroin, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Question Mat-Su Alaska How much do people risk harming themselves physically or in other ways when they try heroin once or twice? Responses Number Percent Number Percent 1 No risk 5 3.5 30 3.9 2 3 2.1 14 1.8 3 6 4.2 34 4.4 4 9 6.3 67 8.6 5 16 11.2 113 14.5 6 Great risk 103 72.0 517 66.4 1 0.7 4 0.5 143 100.0 779 100.0 No response Total respondents Source: YASUS. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 82 In, 2015, 86.0 percent of Mat-Su adults ages 18-25 considered it a great risk to regularly use heroin once or twice per week compared to 81.0 percent statewide. Table 50. Risk of Harm When People Regularly Use Heroin, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Question Mat-Su Alaska How much do people risk harming themselves physically or in other ways when they regularly use heroin once or twice per week? Responses Number Percent Number Percent 1 No risk 3 2.1 23 3.0 2 1 0.7 11 1.4 3 4 2.8 20 2.6 4 6 4.2 29 3.7 5 5 3.5 62 8.0 123 86.0 631 81.0 1 0.7 3 0.4 143 100.0 779 100.0 6 Great risk No response Total respondents Source: YASUS. Heroin Availability Between 2002 and 2011, among Mat-Su residents ages 12+ reporting heroin use, 15.0 percent reporting it was “fairly easy” to obtain and 4.8 percent reported it as “very easy” to obtain. When compared to Alaska, there were no statistical difference. However, Mat-Su reported a higher rate (21.3 percent) than nationally that was “fairly difficult” to obtain. While the only data available, availability patterns may have changed in recent years. Table 51. Mat-Su Heroin Availability. 2002-2011 Mat-Su Prevalence Estimated Number of Mat-Su Residents Impossible 36.6 755 Very difficult 22.3 460 Fairly difficult 21.3 439 Fairly easy 15.0 309 Very easy 4.8 99 Description Difference Between MatSu and Alaska Difference Between MatSu and U.S. Difficulty in getting heroin Source: NSDUH. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 83 Community Factors The State of Alaska selected perceived risk for harm of heroin as a key intervening variable. Because intervening variables are broad concepts that manifest differently in different communities, 85 identification of local, community factors that affect how the intervening variables emerge in each region is a crucial component of the assessment phase. Understanding the local context sets the foundation for an effective logic model and ultimately the selection of strategies that precisely target regional issues. To that end, THRIVE Mat-Su engaged in a facilitated session to identify and prioritize community factors that impact perceived risk for harm from heroin. In addition, the group identified the social availability of heroin as an additional intervening variable to address in the discussion. This section summarizes the results by each topic area. Perceived Risk of Heroin Use Coalition members identified the following community factors related to the perceived risk of heroin use. The list below reflects group-identified themes with associated sub-points in order of member prioritization. • • Parent/Caregiver o Parent lack of education on the issue o Parent unawareness of child activities o Parent denial Individual o • People do not think addiction or problems with heroin will ever affect them Community o Overall, Mat-Su perceives a high risk for heroin use o In some groups, heroin is taboo; in other groups, it is not DHSS. (2016). Prevention of non-medical use of prescription opioids http://www.iser.uaa.alaska.edu/Projects/pfs/docs/ PFSGuidanceDocument.pdf. 85 Community Needs Assessment Heroin and heroin use in Alaska. Available at: McDowell Group, Inc. Page 84 Figure 35. Community Factors that Impact the Perceived Risk of Heroin Use Source: McDowell Group. Social Availability of Heroin Coalition members identified the following community factors related to the social availability of heroin. The list below reflects group-identified themes with associated sub-points in order of member prioritization. • • Accessibility/low cost o Cheap and easy to find o Small communities so young people know which parties will have heroin o Readily available on streets: Just go to [local business] parking lot o Gangs o Lack of other social activities o Peer pressure At-risk youth not identified or falling through the cracks o • Lack of knowledge Lack of law enforcement o SB91 makes it so there is no punishment for possession Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 85 Figure 36. Community Factors that Impact the Social Availability of Heroin Source: McDowell Group. Community Needs Assessment Heroin McDowell Group, Inc. Page 86 Prevention Resources Assessment A number of organizations and programs provide services that may reduce the likelihood of prescription opioid misuse or heroin use among youth and young adults in Mat-Su. These include programs that teach and model healthy lifestyles and promote positive social relationships and norms, along with programs aimed at reducing impacts of trauma and exposure to substance abuse. However, at the time of the writing of this report, none of the programs explicitly employ strategies to prevent prescription opioid misuse or heroin use. The exceptions are THRIVE Mat-Su and the Mat-Su Opioid Task Force. The former was funded to begin an explicit prevention focus on this issue; and the latter has begun a process to focus on prevention through education using a direct strategy related to presenting information to students, and has initiated a needle exchange program. In January 2017, 13 members of THRIVE Mat-Su coalition (representing 11 organizations) took part in a facilitated session to review preliminary data profile findings. This helped provide context for eliciting, defining, and prioritizing community factors by identifying themes related to prescription opioid misuse and heroin use in the community. THRIVE Mat-Su also reviewed programs and strategies offered in the Mat-Su by categorizing them per the social ecology theory of change, placing them on the continuum of care for behavioral health, and identifying them as evidence-based and/or asset building focus. (Detailed methodology for this prevention mapping is under the Methodology chapter, Community Factors and Methods for Prevention Matrix). Please note, this review process did not focus on treatment resources or harm reduction resources available in the Mat-Su. While it did not focus on these, two efforts emerged in this process as important to recognize related to these issues in the Mat-Su: 1) Statewide policy on naloxone, and 2) the Mat-Su Opioid Task Force. Policy functions as an essential component of prevention. This assessment aimed to focus at a local-level rather than state policy. However, key stakeholders recognized a statewide statute, passed in 2016, allows providers to dispense the lifesaving drug naloxone, otherwise known as Narcan, over the counter without worry over civil liability as an important step in influencing community-level prevention. This policy prevents opioid prescription and heroin related deaths, though it is not a measure to prevent use of the substances in the first place. The Mat-Su Opioid Task Force aims to end opioid abuse by creating a supportive system of partners, agencies, and/or individuals to assist individuals and families to become “healthy, self-sufficient, and productive.” The Mat-Su Opioid Task Force’s strategic objectives to date focused on harm reduction and treatment. Strategies include: 1. Expanding detox access a. 2. Including accessible programs with appropriate opioid withdrawal management Creating a range of services on the continuum of care, including needle exchange and harm reduction strategies 3. Developing peer to peer community support 4. Establishing a formal system of support, including housing, training, and wrap around services 5. Formalizing the Prescription Drug Monitoring and/or other information exchange programs. Prevention resources reviewed specific to the Mat-Su Borough are listed in the following table. Community Needs Assessment Prevention Resources and Next Steps McDowell Group, Inc. Page 87 Table 52. Prevention Resources Program Description Youth Ages Type of Services Camp Hope Overnight camp for children living with parental substance abuse 7-11 Life skills Capturing Kids Hearts - MSBSD Training school staff on connection with youth High school Support, connection, early identification Girls on the Run Self-esteem and exercise program 8-13 Life skills Mat-Su Peer Helpers Youth peers promoting a safe and healthy atmosphere within their schools and community Middle and high school Peer support, healthy lifestyles MY House Mat-Su Youth homeless shelters 14-24 Connection with services, support, employment training Nine Star Youth Employment Services Assessment, skill upgrades, career counseling, and pre-employment skills for youth 14-24 Life skills Royal Family Kids Camp, club, and mentoring for foster children 5-12 Life skills, relationships Set Free Alaska Address youth behavioral health needs, treating trauma, developing healthy coping skills 5-17 Assessment, treatment, therapy Strengthening Families – CoOccurring Disorders Institute Curriculum for families on family interaction skills 3-10 Family support and communication The YAK (Youth of Alaska) Faith-based youth after school organization Middle and high school Social connection, positive life choices THRIVE Mat-Su Youth substance use prevention coalition Youth & Young Adults Coalition R.O.C.K. Mat-Su Effort for creation of a safe, nurturing environment for children and families All Trauma reduction Alaska Center for Resource Families Training and support for foster and adoptive parents All Trauma reduction Alaska Family Services – Family Support and Preservation Parenting and family support services, including Turn Around Youth and Adult Evening Program and A.S.AP. All Trauma reduction Big Brothers/Big Sisters Youth mentoring All Life skills, connection MSBSD Health curriculum, drug/alcohol policy, mental health counselors, traumainformed schools, Capturing Kids Hearts and Social Emotional Learning curriculum All Mental health support, education, policy Positive Community Norms Media Campaign – Alaska Wellness Coalition/THRIVE MatSu Positive community norms, focus on underage drinking All Positive life choices Screening, Brief Intervention, and Referral to Treatment Health professionals: early identification and intervention for substance misuse All Training, for screening and early intervention Community Needs Assessment Prevention Resources and Next Steps McDowell Group, Inc. Page 88 Recommendations and Next Steps These next steps and recommendations evolved from reviewing current conditions in the Mat-Su, attending and facilitating coalition meetings, and discussions with THRIVE staff. Community-Level Recommendations and Next Steps WORK WITHIN THE APPROPRIATE LEGAL AND POLICY PROCESS TO ESTABLISH PERMANENT DROP OFF LOCATIONS FOR EXCESSIVE PRESCRIPTIONS DRUGS. • When people can readily dispose of drugs they do not need, it reduces the social availability of prescription drug misuse. Currently, prescription drug drop-off opportunities are limited (number of hours and days of operation) and ad hoc, relying on community members to develop and maintain them. DEVELOP A MEDIA CAMPAIGN, LEVERAGING SUCCESSFUL NATIONAL MEDIA CAMPAIGN METHODS, TO SHIFT RISK PERCEPTION AND MISINFORMATION AROUND PRESCRIPTION DRUG MISUSE ACROSS ALL AGE GROUPS. • While this grant is focused on the 12-25 age group, it is important to recognize that parents, grandparents, and elders in the community play critical roles in youth access to prescription drugs. The campaign should focus on all ages to dispel misperceptions that drugs prescribed by doctors are safe, and increase awareness of the risks and best practices around prescription opioid use. Providers need to share information with patients about the risks of prescription opioid use (such as addiction and heroin use), how to dispose of unused drugs, and how to store them safely at home. FOCUS MAJORITY OF EFFORTS ON THE PREVENTION OF PRESCRIPTION DRUG MISUSE AS THIS MISUSE IS OFTEN A PREDICTOR OF HEROIN USE. • National research and qualitative responses indicate people move to heroin use after prescription drug misuse. While the grant focuses on heroin as well as prescription drug misuse, the focus on prescription drug misuse will likely lead to a decrease in heroin use over time. DEVELOP TARGETED PREVENTION STRATEGIES TO DISPEL MYTHS THAT ONLY CERTAIN POPULATIONS ARE A RISK FOR PRESCRIPTION DRUG MISUSE OR HEROIN USE. • Mat-Su data and coalition conversations indicate the risk perception of heroin use being dangerous is well recognized. However, qualitative discussions about risk perception differ for certain populations who do not perceive they, their children, or their neighbors are at risk because of their misperceptions that heroin use is only an issue for certain populations within certain social strata. Community Needs Assessment Prevention Resources and Next Steps McDowell Group, Inc. Page 89 BUILD UPON STRENGTHS OF BEING RURAL AND A CLOSE-KNIT COMMUNITY CONNECTEDNESS TO REDUCE USE. SEEK OUT NATIONALLY-TESTED ENVIRONMENTAL PREVENTION STRATEGIES USED IN OTHER RURAL AREAS AND ADAPT THEM TO ALASKA. • National literature recognizes prescription drug misuse is more common in rural areas. Coalition discussions around community norms identified rural connectedness was both a strength and a weakness. As a weakness, a small community can provide an easy distribution channel. It can also be hard to say no to distribution, as people one knows may say they are in pain and need help. Long-Term Community Recommendations CONTINUE TRACKING DATA PRESENTED IN THIS REPORT. • While the data in the report presented many challenges ranging from small numbers, coding issues, and large time spans, consider continuing to collect and report this information. It can serve as a critical baseline of information for tracking and evaluation of community level efforts on these issues. CONTINUE TO BUILD DATA CAPACITY FOR COLLECTING, SHARING AND ROUTINELY REPORTING DATA ON PRESCRIPTION DRUG MISUSE AND HEROIN USE. • The data presented in this report does not resonate with the personal experiences within the Mat-Su. Many coalition members felt there was a disconnect between data presented in this report and the impact prescription drug misuse and heroin are having in the community. Additionally, while it was recognized this is a prevention grant, coalition members also felt efforts should be made to collect and report treatment data as it represents another signal of the problem in the community. Next Step: o Collect treatment data to complement or supplement other population-level data collected in this report. This, and the shared experiences of coalition members, may capture a broader perspective of the prescription drug misuse and heroin use to allow for different prevention strategies. ESTABLISH RELATIONSHIPS WITHIN THE EMERGENCY RESPONSE SYSTEM LOCALLY AND DRAW UPON NATIONAL EFFORTS TO BETTER CAPTURE THE IMPACT OF THIS ISSUE. • The rate of emergency department visits from the Alaska Hospital Discharge Data System did not resonate with community members or emergency department providers. From the provider side, currently when patients are coming into the emergency department, patients are coded with the disease or issue present, such as abscess in the arm or constipation. There is not a financial incentive to code for prescriptions drug misuse unless it is an obvious poisoning and often providers cite they do not have the time to go through and code for other issues. From the emergency response system, currently 911 call data are not specific to poisoning and overdose reasons. These categories are only specified if the caller reveals it. Additionally, the emergency response data does not always capture any of the reasons for the response. Community Needs Assessment Prevention Resources and Next Steps McDowell Group, Inc. Page 90 Next Steps: o Initiate efforts to better define emergency department definitions, coding, and reporting. o Work with local providers to understand how they are coding these issues within the emergency department o Consider looking nationally to see if there are efforts to increase the coding of prescription drug misuse and heroin. Are there already created best practices? Are there national standards that could be implemented locally or statewide for recognizing prescription drug misuse? Are there other rates of emergency department visits that should be captured rather than poisonings alone? A local provider recommended calculating the abscesses cleaning rate in the arm as a signal of heroin use. o Initiate efforts within Mat-Su Borough Emergency Response system to better capture prescription drug misuse and heroin. Research national standards that could serve as a potential model across the 911 system and the response data systems. Work with Emergency Response to implement a model tailored for the Mat-Su. o Consider working with the Mat-Su Regional Medical Center to better understand how these patients are being coded. This includes chart review and key stakeholder interviews. o Over the life of the grant, work to obtain local level emergency department data. Long-Term Statewide Recommendations SUPPORT THE RECOMMENDATIONS FROM THE ALASKA OPIOID TASK FORCE. • The PFS grantee funds are focused on Policy, Systems and Environmental Strategies (PSE). As part of PSE strategies, laws and policies play a critical role in prevention. Next Steps: o THRIVE Mat-Su should consider a multi-level strategy to engage, advocate, and provide community level perspectives to policy makers around the Governor’s bill to combat opioid abuse (House 159 and Senate 79). o THRIVE Mat-Su coalition should consider reviewing this and identifying community level efforts to work towards for some of the recommendations. CONSIDER THE USE OF PRESCRIPTION DRUG MONITORING SYSTEMS DATA TO INFORM PUBLIC AND COMMUNITIES LOCAL LEVEL PREVENTION ACTIVITIES. • The Partnerships for Success grantees are expected to impact the retail and social availability of prescription opioids – essentially impact the market and demand of prescription opioids. However, community coalitions do not have access to critical market information. Additionally, the Alaska Community Needs Assessment Prevention Resources and Next Steps McDowell Group, Inc. Page 91 Prescription Drug Monitoring System (PDMPOS) data are not available to the public and communities for local level action. This makes it extremely difficult for communities to develop actionable strategies as they have little knowledge of how the market of these products operates in the community. While PDMP were initially developed for providing medical care, they are well positioned to serve as tool for communities to understand the market and make impactful community level changes with data reported at a community level. Next Steps: o THRIVE Mat-Su should consider advocating legislatures and leaders that the PMPD can also be used for standard community level reports of the data. Work towards establishing this data as part of standard public health practice reporting along with the prevalence of diabetes, alcohol uses, injuries, and heart disease to develop environmental prevention strategies. Work with legislators and other leaders to acquire and report this data in meaningful ways at the community level for prevention planning. Data focus should be: Who compose most subscribers by type? • Are these physicians, master-level nurses, veterinarians or others providers? What is the age distribution of individuals receiving prescription opioids? What is the distribution of the “high-utilizers” of prescriptions compared to the general population? • How many people are the high-utilizers? Average prescription rate per resident. Geography – Where are people obtaining the prescription drugs? • Are people driving to Anchorage and accessing providers here? Total number of doses dispensed in the community by year. Total number of prescribers in the community and total number of patients receiving: • Average Quantity per Prescription • Average MED per prescription Average distribution by month of year to understand season trends. Percentage of prescribers enrolled in the PDMP. Rate of multiple provider episodes and doctor shopping across the state by Mat-Su residents. Community Needs Assessment Prevention Resources and Next Steps McDowell Group, Inc. Page 92 Appendix A: Data Tables This appendix contains all the YRBS data used in this report. In the table headings below, CI denotes “Confidence Interval.” Middle School Table 53. Prescription Drug Indicators, Middle School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska2015 Mat-Su % Past 30 Day Prescription Drug Use Mat-Su CI % AK % AK CI % 10.5 3.7-9.4 5.2 3.6-7.6 Male 10.0 3.8-10.9 5.9 3.7-9.1 Female 11.5 2.1-11 4.1 2.3-7.5 White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 11.4 3.7-11.8 6.3 3.7-10.3 Alaska Native 10.6 3.1-13.5 4.9 2.9-8.2 Demographics Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity Grade Level 7th Grade 7.6 1.9-6.1 3.1 2-4.9 8th Grade 12.7 4.7-13.2 7.0 4.5-10.7 Academic Grades 13 or Younger 7.6 2.3-6.3 3.6 2.4-5.4 14 and 15 Years of Age 15.6 5.5-16.5 8.1 5-12.8 Risk of Prescription Drug Use Moderate or Great Overall Prevalence 75.4 69.4-80.5 72.2 67.6-76.4 Male 73.7 66.8-79.6 71.0 65.5-76 Female 79.2 70.5-85.8 74.6 68.3-80 White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 75.2 67.3-81.7 76.9 70.3-82.4 Alaska Native 72.7 60.4-82.4 62.2 54.9-69 7th Grade 74.7 63.8-83.2 71.5 63.6-78.2 8th Grade 75.9 68-82.4 72.9 66.4-78.5 13 or Younger 76.3 67.8-83.1 73.5 67.5-78.8 14 and 15 Years of Age 73.7 62.6-82.4 69.8 61.4-77 Gender Race/Ethnicity Grade Level Academic Grades Parents Consider Prescription Drug Use Wrong or Very Wrong Overall Prevalence 87.6 83.9-90.6 88.1 85.5-90.3 Male 87.0 82-90.7 87.4 83.7-90.4 Female 89.1 82.2-93.5 89.4 85.2-92.5 Gender Race/Ethnicity Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 93 Mat-Su % Mat-Su CI % AK % AK CI % White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 88.9 83.1-92.8 88.9 84.3-92.3 Alaska Native 85.7 73.7-92.8 87.4 82.1-91.3 7th Grade 90.8 86-94 90.8 87.6-93.2 8th 85.3 79.7-89.6 86.0 81.9-89.3 13 or Younger 90.1 85.4-93.3 89.9 86.8-92.4 14 and 15 Years of Age 83.4 73.5-90.1 84.8 77.9-89.9 Demographics Grade Level Grade Academic Grades Friends Consider Prescription Drug Use Wrong or Very Wrong Overall Prevalence 73.1 67.3-78.1 73.6 69.5-77.3 Male 73.0 66.6-78.6 74.3 69.3-78.7 Female 73.1 63.7-80.8 72.2 66.1-77.6 White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 73.6 65.2-80.5 73.3 66.4-79.3 Alaska Native 76.4 67.1-83.8 76.4 70.8-81.3 7th Grade 76.2 70.1-81.5 76.1 71.6-80.1 8th 70.7 61.2-78.6 71.6 64.8-77.5 13 or Younger 75.7 70.3-80.5 76.0 72-79.6 14 and 15 Years of Age 68.4 55.3-79.1 69.2 59.2-77.1 Gender Race/Ethnicity Grade Level Grade Age Group Source: YRBS. Table 54. Prescription Drug Indicators, Middle School Students, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2011 and 2015 2011 Mat-Su % 2011 Mat-Su CI % 2015 Mat-Su % 2015 Mat-Su CI % 2015 AK % 2015 AK CI % 15.4 13.2-17.8 10.5 7.8-14 9.4 7.4-11.9 Male 16.3 13.4-19.7 10.0 6.4-15.3 9.2 6.4-13 Female 13.9 11.2-17.1 11.5 7.63-16.8 9.7 7.2-13 White (Non-Hispanic, Single Race Only) 12.6 10.3-15.4 11.4 8-16.1 10.4 7.6-14.2 Alaska Native 18.3 13.4-24.5 10.6 5.6-19.3 9.2 6.2-13.4 7th Grade 12.5 9.6-16.1 7.6 4.8-11.8 7.3 5.3-10.2 8th 17.8 15.2-20.9 12.7 9-17.6 11.2 8.3-14.9 13 or Younger 13.7 9.8-18.9 7.6 5.4-10.6 7.3 5.6-9.5 14 and 15 Years of Age 15.8 13.6-18.2 15.6 11.3-21.1 13.2 9.9-17.5 Demographics Prescription Drug Use Ever Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity Grade Level Grade Age Group Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 94 High School Table 55. Prescription Drug Indicators, All, Traditional and Alternative High School Students, Mat-Su 2011 and 2015, and Alaska and U.S., 2011 and 2015 2011 2011 Mat-Su Mat-Su ALL ALL % CI % Current Prescription Drug Use Demographics Overall Prevalence 2015 Mat-Su ALL % 2015 Mat-Su ALL CI % 2011 Mat-Su TRAD % 2011 Mat-Su TRAD CI % 2015 Mat-Su TRAD % 2015 Mat-Su TRAD CI % 2011 Mat-Su ALT % 2011 Mat-Su ALT CI % 2015 Mat-Su ALT % 2015 Mat-Su ALT CI % 2015 AK TRAD % 2015 AK TRAD CI % 2015 AK ALT % 2015 AK ALT CI % 2015 US TRAD % 2015 US TRAD CI % 24.2-29.5 20.1 15.4-25.7 6.4 5.1-8 19.8 17.2-22.7 NA NA-NA 11.5 8.86-14.89 8.4 6.9410.16 9.7 7.1-13 6.9 5.2-9 26.7 Male NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 9.5 6.4-13.8 6.2 3.9-9.7 31.7 26-38.1 19.4 14.1-26.2 6.60 4.9-8.9 18.0 14.7-21.8 NA NA-NA Female NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 9.9 6.5-14.7 7.7 5-11.8 21.9 18.7-25.5 20.9 14.9-28.5 5.80 4.1-8.1 20.8 17-25.2 NA NA-NA White (NonHispanic, Single Race Only) NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 8.3 5.7-11.9 7.7 5.7-10.4 27.5 24.1-31.1 18.1 12.9-24.8 5.60 3.9-7.9 20.9 17-25.3 NA NA-NA Alaska Native NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 9.6 4.7-18.6 5.8 3.2-10.4 NA NA-NA 16.1 9.4-26.3 4.10 2.3-7.3 16.2 12.4-20.8 NA NA-NA Other Races NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 15.3 9-24.8 5.2 2.3-11.2 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 9th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 9.4 5.9-14.8 7.5 4.7-11.8 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 2.90 1.7-5 16.8 11.4-24 NA NA-NA 10th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 8.1 4.3-14.8 7.8 5-12 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 7.80 5.3-11.3 16.9 11.4-24.3 NA NA-NA 11th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 10.2 4.8-20.3 6.9 3.9-11.9 21.6 16-28.5 21.5 15.7-28.7 5.70 3.6-9 19.8 15.4-25 NA NA-NA 12th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 11.3 6.9-18 4.7 2.6-8.6 NA NA-NA 21.6 14.1-31.7 8.50 5.3-13.4 21.1 17-25.9 NA NA-NA Mostly As and Bs NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 7.3 4.6-11.5 4.5 3.3-6.2 30.8 23.9-38.7 16.2 11.4-22.6 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA Mostly Cs, Ds, and Fs NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 15.0 10.9-20.3 12.2 8.2-17.8 23.8 21.8-26 23.8 17.8-31.1 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 21.4 17.78-25.57 17.7 14.8721.02 18.2 15-21.9 15.0 11.8-18.9 45.1 39.9-50.4 39.4 34.7-44.3 14.6 12.5-17.1 37.4 34.2-40.7 16.8 15.4-18.2 Male NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 17.9 13.9-22.7 14.6 10.9-19.3 48.8 39.3-58.4 37.6 32.2-43.3 15.60 12.8-19 35.4 31-40 17.8 16.1-19.6 Female NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 18.6 14.1-24.1 15.5 10.9-21.8 41.4 37.8-45.2 41.4 33.3-50.1 13.10 10.4-16.5 39.4 34.6-44.5 15.6 14.3-17.1 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 16.9 13-21.6 16.8 12.9-21.5 47.5 39.2-55.9 38.7 32-45.8 14.10 11.2-17.6 43.9 39-49 16.5 14.7-18.5 Gender Race/Ethnicity Grade Level Academic Grades Prescription Drug Use Ever Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity White (NonHispanic, Single Race Only) Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 95 2011 Mat-Su ALL % 2011 Mat-Su ALL CI % 2015 Mat-Su ALL CI % 2011 Mat-Su TRAD % 2011 Mat-Su TRAD CI % 2015 Mat-Su TRAD % 2015 Mat-Su TRAD CI % 2011 Mat-Su ALT % 2011 Mat-Su ALT CI % 2015 Mat-Su ALT % 2015 Mat-Su ALT CI % 2015 AK TRAD % 2015 AK TRAD CI % 2015 AK ALT % 2015 AK ALT CI % 2015 US TRAD % 2015 US TRAD CI % Alaska Native NA NA-NA NA-NA 24.9 16.1-36.4 13.4 8.2-21.2 NA NA-NA 37.5 28.7-47.2 13.20 9.7-17.6 33.1 27.9-38.7 NA NA-NA Other Races NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 18.3 11.1-28.8 10.4 5.4-19.1 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 9th Grade NA 10th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 16.0 11.4-21.9 11.4 6.4-19.3 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 6.40 4.3-9.6 24.8 17.8-33.4 13.0 11-15.3 NA-NA NA NA-NA 17.5 11.8-25.2 16.1 10.3-24.2 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 17.80 14.7-21.4 32.2 25.2-40.1 15.3 12.7-18.4 11th Grade 12th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 16.9 10.1-27 15.9 9.9-24.4 38.6 34.9-42.5 47.9 39.6-56.2 16.20 12-21.5 39.2 33.3-45.4 18.9 17.4-20.6 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 23.8 16.2-33.6 17.9 12.6-24.8 NA NA-NA 40.4 33.2-48 18.60 13.9-24.5 40.7 35.4-46.1 20.3 18.1-22.7 Mostly As and Bs NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 14.7 10.7-19.7 12.0 9-15.9 49.6 40.5-58.7 36.4 29.7-43.7 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA Mostly Cs, Ds, and Fs NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 26.6 21.2-32.7 21.7 15.9-29 42.0 36.9-47.4 41.5 36.7-46.6 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA Demographics 2015 Mat-Su ALL % N Grade Level Academic Grades Prescription Drug Misuse Moderate or Great Risk Overall Prevalence NA NA-NA 82.9 79.7285.6 NA NA-NA 83.9 80.3-87 NA NA-NA 73.8 68.3-78.6 78.7 75.5-81.7 75.1 72.0-78.0 NA NA-NA Male NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 79.8 74.5-84.2 NA NA-NA 73.8 68.6-78.4 74.8 70.6-78.5 76.9 72.6-80.6 NA NA-NA Female NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 88.9 85.1-91.8 NA NA-NA 73.7 65.3-80.8 83.0 79.4-86.1 73.7 68.9-78.1 NA NA-NA White (NonHispanic, Single Race Only) NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 84.2 80.1-87.7 NA NA-NA 74.3 68.3-79.6 87.9 84.6-90.6 76.8 72.4-80.8 NA NA-NA Alaska Native NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 83.5 76.5-88.7 NA NA-NA 80.1 69.5-87.7 71.1 63.1-77.9 75.6 70.1-80.5 NA NA-NA Other Races NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 83.4 74-89.8 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 9th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 85.1 80.1-89.1 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 76.9 69.1-83.2 67.7 58.5-75.7 NA NA-NA 10th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 83.5 75.9-89 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 79.4 74-83.9 78.7 71.1-84.7 NA NA-NA 11th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 81.1 73.9-86.7 NA NA-NA 75.5 66.6-82.6 81.4 75.4-86.2 77.1 71.2-82.1 NA NA-NA 12th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 86.3 80.1-90.8 NA NA-NA 71.7 61.9-79.9 77.6 70.3-83.6 74.5 69.4-79 NA NA-NA Mostly As and Bs NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 85.9 81.7-89.3 NA NA-NA 72.6 60.7-82 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA Mostly Cs, Ds, and Fs NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 79.8 72.9-85.3 NA NA-NA 73.6 66.2-79.8 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA Gender Race/Ethnicity Grade Level Academic Grades Parents View Prescription Drug Use as Wrong or Very Wrong Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 96 2011 Mat-Su ALL % 2011 Mat-Su ALL CI % 2015 Mat-Su ALL % 2015 Mat-Su ALL CI % 2011 Mat-Su TRAD % 2011 Mat-Su TRAD CI % 2015 Mat-Su TRAD % 2015 Mat-Su TRAD CI % 2011 Mat-Su ALT % 2011 Mat-Su ALT CI % 2015 Mat-Su ALT % 2015 Mat-Su ALT CI % 2015 AK TRAD % 2015 AK TRAD CI % 2015 AK ALT % 2015 AK ALT CI % 2015 US TRAD % 2015 US TRAD CI % NA NA-NA 91.8 90.0493.29 NA NA-NA 92.6 90.7-94.1 NA NA-NA 86.2 80.7-90.4 91.1 88.9-92.9 86.8 84.2-89 NA NA-NA Male NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 93.2 90.2-95.3 NA NA-NA 87.9 79.3-93.2 90.0 87.1-92.3 86.1 82.3-89.2 NA NA-NA Female NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 91.8 88.3-94.3 NA NA-NA 84.3 79.7-88.1 92.7 89.7-94.9 88.6 85.1-91.4 NA NA-NA White (NonHispanic, Single Race Only) NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 92.6 90.3-94.4 NA NA-NA 86.2 79.5-91 94.1 91.9-95.8 86.4 82.4-89.6 NA NA-NA Alaska Native NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 90.2 84.1-94.1 NA NA-NA 85.9 80.1-90.3 91.6 88.5-94 87.0 82.6-90.5 NA NA-NA Other Races NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 94.7 89.9-97.3 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 9th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 93.0 89.7-95.3 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 89.9 84-93.8 91.7 84.8-95.6 NA NA-NA 10th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 92.0 87.7-94.8 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 90.6 87.1-93.2 87.1 80.6-91.6 NA NA-NA 11th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 93.2 89.4-95.7 NA NA-NA 89.9 83.5-94 93.2 89.9-95.5 89.7 85.2-92.9 NA NA-NA 12th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 91.9 85.2-95.7 NA NA-NA 84.1 75.8-90 91.7 87.1-94.7 84.0 79.4-87.7 NA NA-NA Mostly As and Bs NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 93.6 91.5-95.3 NA NA-NA 85.0 75.8-91.2 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA Mostly Cs, Ds, and Fs NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 89.9 86.4-92.6 NA NA-NA 86.8 80.5-91.3 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 4.2 2.86-6.18 3.1 2.04-4.64 3.1 1.9-5 1.6 0.8-3.4 12.0 9.5-15 14.0 10.9-17.7 2.2 1.3-3.5 11.0 9.1-13.2 2.1 1.5-2.8 Male NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 4.3 2.6-7.1 2.2 1.1-4.5 16.1 11.5-22 15.1 11.6-19.5 2.9 1.9-4.4 10.6 8.1-13.6 2.7 1.9-3.8 Female NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 1.6 0.6-4.6 0.9 0.2-3.7 8.0 4.8-13.1 12.7 8-19.5 1.0 0.4-2.4 9.8 7.3-13.1 1.2 0.9-1.8 White (NonHispanic, Single Race Only) NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 2.3 1.2-4.2 1.4 0.6-3.5 13.3 8.9-19.4 12.0 8.2-17.1 1.7 0.8-3.3 11.2 8.4-14.7 1.3 1-1.7 Alaska Native NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 2.8 0.9-8.5 0.7 0.1-5 NA NA-NA 13.9 8.4-22 0.8 0.5-1.3 8.6 6.1-12.1 NA NA-NA Other Races NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 6.7 2.9-14.8 3.9 1.6-9.1 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 9th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 6.0 3.1-11.1 1.1 0.3-4 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 1.8 0.8-4.2 8.5 4.7-14.9 1.8 1.2-2.6 10th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 0.0 NA-NA 2.0 0.7-5.3 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 2.0 1-3.9 10.5 6-17.8 2.4 1.6-3.6 Demographics Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity Grade Level Academic Grades Heroin Use Ever Overall Prevalence Gender Race/Ethnicity Grade Level Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 97 2011 Mat-Su ALL % 2011 Mat-Su ALL CI % 2015 Mat-Su ALL % 2015 Mat-Su ALL CI % 2011 Mat-Su TRAD % 2011 Mat-Su TRAD CI % 2015 Mat-Su TRAD % 2015 Mat-Su TRAD CI % 2011 Mat-Su ALT % 2011 Mat-Su ALT CI % 2015 Mat-Su ALT % 2015 Mat-Su ALT CI % 2015 AK TRAD % 2015 AK TRAD CI % 2015 AK ALT % 2015 AK ALT CI % 2015 US TRAD % 2015 US TRAD CI % 11th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 3.5 1.2-9.4 1.2 0.3-4.6 10.5 5.3-19.9 14.8 10.8-20.1 2.7 1.2-5.9 10.0 7-14 1.9 1.1-3 12th Grade NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 2.9 1-8.5 2.4 0.7-7.4 NA NA-NA 16.7 12.3-22.2 1.0 0.3-3.1 12.1 9.2-15.8 1.9 1.3-2.9 Mostly As and Bs NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 1.7 0.9-3.4 0.9 0.3-2.8 11.9 7.7-17.8 8.2 4.9-13.3 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA Mostly Ds, and Fs NA NA-NA NA NA-NA 6.1 3.2-11.2 3.3 1.5-6.9 11.8 8.2-16.7 19.2 15.2-24 NA NA-NA NA NA-NA NA NA-NA Demographics Academic Grades Note: Other Races includes those who refused, reported unknown results and had missing responses. Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 98 Appendix B: Young Adult Substance Use Survey Table 56. Community Messaging About Prescription Opioids Seen by Young Adults, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska Percent Percent Question Number Number (%) (%) In your community, have you seen any of the following messages about prescription opioids on the radio, TV, or on printed material such as poster or pamphlets? (multiple responses) I have not seen any messages about prescription opioids 58 40.6 384 49.3 Safe use of prescription opioids as prescribed by a doctor 53 37.1 245 31.5 The safe disposal of leftover prescription opioids 42 29.4 177 22.7 The risks of sharing prescription opioids with others 38 26.6 166 21.3 The safe and secure storage of prescription opioids 25 17.5 140 18 Another type of message about prescription opioids 3 2.1 16 2.1 No response 1 0.7 4 0.5 143 100.0 779 100.0 Total Respondents Source: YASUS. Table 57. Discussions of Appropriate Opioid Use Between Providers/Pharmacists and Young Adults Prescribed Opioids Within Past Three Years, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska Percent Percent Question Number Number (%) (%) The last time you were prescribed opioids, did your doctor or pharmacist talk to you about any of the following? (multiple responses) Side effects or problems from use 22 53.7 125 59.5 Using pills as prescribed and not more 17 41.5 119 56.7 To not share pills with others 13 31.7 68 32.4 Expected benefits 12 29.3 60 28.6 Safe and secure storage of pills 9 22 54 25.7 Alternatives to prescription opioids 8 19.5 44 21 I do not remember 8 19.5 26 12.4 Specific treatment goals that included a plan for stopping use 5 12.2 45 21.4 Risk of developing an opioid use disorder or addiction 5 12.2 36 17.1 No response 2 4.9 9 4.3 41 100.0 210 100.0 Total respondents Source: YASUS. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 99 Table 58. Disposal of Leftover, Unused Prescription Opioids Among Young Adults Prescribed Opioids Within Past Three Years, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska Percent Percent Question Number Number (%) (%) The last time you had leftover, unused prescription opioids, what did you do with them? (multiple responses) I still have them 23 56.1 110 52.4 I have never had any leftover 9 22 56 26.7 I flushed them down the toilet or sink 4 9.8 21 10 I gave them to a family member or friend for free 3 7.3 12 5.7 I threw them in the trash 2 4.9 13 6.2 I disposed of them at a drug "take back" program 2 4.9 11 5.2 I sold them to a family member or friend 0 0 0 0 I sold them on the street 0 0 0 0 I brought them to a pharmacy 0 0 3 1.4 Other 0 0 1 0.5 No response 0 0 1 0.5 41 100.0 210 100.0 Total respondents Source: YASUS. Table 59. Perception of Prescription Opioid Misuse as a Community Problem, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Mat-Su Alaska Percent Percent Question Number Number (%) (%) How much of a problem is prescription opioid misuse (using without a prescription or in other ways other than as prescribed) in your community? 1 Not a problem at all 16 11.2 87 11.2 2 14 9.8 86 11.0 3 29 20.3 161 20.7 4 23 16.1 151 19.4 5 26 18.2 136 17.5 6 A very large problem 35 24.5 154 19.8 No response 0 0.0 4 0.5 143 100.0 779 100.0 Total respondents Source: YASUS. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 100 Table 60. Perception of Heroin as a Community Problem, Mat-Su and Alaska, 2015 Mat-Su Percent Question Number (%) How much of a problem is heroin in your community? Alaska Percent Number (%) 1 Not a problem at all 17 11.9 99 12.7 2 12 8.4 68 8.7 3 20 14.0 122 15.7 4 11 7.7 90 11.6 5 21 14.7 145 18.6 6 A very large problem 61 42.7 246 31.6 No response 1 0.7 9 1.2 143 100.0 779 100.0 Total respondents Source: YASUS. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 101 Appendix C: Data Source Descriptions American Community Survey (ACS) The U.S. Census Bureau administers the American Community Survey (ACS). The survey includes a wide range of information on demographic, social, economic, and housing characteristics. The ACS is provided in annual, three-year, and five-year estimates. This report displays the 2011-2015 five-year estimates. This estimate provides a larger sample and, thus, the best estimates for geographic areas depicted in this report. Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) The Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) is a risk-based survey administered to Mat-Su middle school students (grades 7 and 8) and high school students (grades 9 through 12) regarding risk-related behaviors every other year. The nationwide survey assesses youth risk in six main areas: 1. Behaviors that contribute to unintentional injuries and violence 2. Sexual behaviors that contribute to unintended pregnancy and sexually transmitted diseases including HIV infection 3. Alcohol and other drug use 4. Tobacco use 5. Unhealthy dietary behaviors 6. Inadequate physical activity This report includes data from middle schools and all high schools, including traditional and alternative. The following table exhibits the categories of YRBS data as well as the years and demographic breakouts available. Detailed data including confidence intervals. Estimated number of students the prevalence represents can be found in the appendixes. Table 61. Available Years and Demographic Breakouts of YRBS Data, by School Type and Region School Type and Region Years Available Middle Schools Overall Prevalence By Gender By Race/ Ethnicity By Grade Level By Academic Grades/Age Groups Mat-Su 2015 Alaska 2015 Alternative High Schools Mat-Su 2011, 2013, 2015 Alaska 2011, 2013, 2015 Traditional High Schools Mat-Su 2011, 2013, 2015 Alaska 2011, 2013, 2015 U.S. 2011, 2013, 2015 All High Schools Mat-Su 2011, 2013, 2015 Alaska 2011, 2013, 2015 Source: YRBS. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 102 Methodology Prevalence rates and confidence intervals were presented as provided. The estimated number of affected students was calculated by applying the prevalence rates to October enrollment counts. Enrollment counts were drawn from DEED. For every survey year, enrollment totals represent enrollment at the schools sampled by YRBS. Since these totals represent only the schools sampled by YRBS and not the entire Mat-Su Borough School District (MSBSD), the estimated number of affected students is a conservative measure. Table 62. October 1 Enrollment Totals for MSBSD Middle Schools Sampled by YRBS (7th and 8th Grade Only), School Year 2014-2015 Oct 2014 Enrollment 439 School Colony Middle School Houston Middle School 234 Palmer Middle School 417 Susitna Valley 57 Teeland Middle School 477 Valley Pathway 35 Wasilla Middle School 498 Total 2,157 Source: YRBS and DEED. Table 63. October 1 Enrollment Totals for MSBSD High Schools Sampled by YRBS, Alternative, Traditional, and All High Schools, School Years 2010-2011, 2012-2013, and 2014-2015 School Type and School Traditional Schools Alaska Middle College School Years Included in YRBS Oct 2010 Enrollment Oct 2012 Enrollment Oct 2014 Enrollment 2015 - - 93 Colony High School 2011, 2013, 2015 1,204 1,109 901 Glacier View School 2011, 2013 17 15 - Houston High School 2011, 2013, 2015 388 397 375 Mat-Su Career & Tech Ed High School 2011, 2013, 2015 422 436 459 Palmer High School 2011, 2013, 2015 774 763 765 Susitna Valley High 2011, 2013, 2015 129 108 119 Wasilla High School 2011, 2013, 2015 Traditional Total 1,242 1,242 1,172 4,176 4,070 3,884 Alternative Schools American Charter Academy Burchell High School Mat-Su Day School Valley Pathways 2015 152 67 - 2011, 2013, 2015 271 175 285 2011, 2013 40 48 - 2011, 2013, 2015 Alternative Total All Total 199 157 157 662 447 442 4,838 4,517 4,326 Source: YRBS, DEED. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 103 Limitations The middle school and alternative, traditional, and all high school YRBS data is available for different years with different demographic breakouts. The disparate nature of the data hinders comparison and analysis. Middle school data is only available for Mat-Su and statewide. It includes breakouts by gender and race/ethnicity, though it is limited to a single year. Data on traditional high schools in Mat-Su is available for three years and includes demographic breakouts. However, those demographic breakouts are available only for Mat-Su and not statewide or nationally. There are three years of alternative high school data for Mat-Su and statewide, though demographic breakouts are only for Mat-Su. Similarly, data on all high schools (alternative and traditional) does not include national figures. Also, all high school data does not include gender comparisons. Further limitations arise when estimating the number of students affected by indicators. This estimation is a function of both prevalence rates and school enrollment. School classifications (e.g. traditional or alternative) change year to year, which affects enrollment totals for alternative and traditional schools. Consequently, the estimated number of affected students changes because of variation in not only prevalence but enrollment as well. Changes in the estimated number of affected students may not reflect changes in the total number of affected students. National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) The National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) is an annual nationwide survey of randomly selected individuals 12 years of age and older. The survey provides data on the use of tobacco, alcohol, illicit drugs (including non-medical use of prescription drugs) and mental health in the United States. Data provided for this report was collected over a 10-year sample period between 2002-2012. Prevalence rates represent an average of the entire time period and not each individual year. Reported regions include Mat-Su, Alaska, and the U.S. Methodology Population data by age group was obtained from DOLWD. An average of the population 12 years of age and older from 2002 through 2011 was calculated. These populations were used with the prevalence data to calculate the estimated populations in this report. Limitations The NSDUH dataset represents an outdated sample that does not capture the current scope of prescription opioid misuse and heroin use. The data is an average over a ten-year period between 2002 and 2012, which does not allow for trends over time and does not capture recent years during which the heroin and prescription drug problem is thought to have rapidly expanded. Also, NSDUH addresses all people 12 years of age and older, including not only the target population (12-25 years of age), but older adults as well. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 104 Young Adult Substance Use Survey (YASUS) In support of the SPF-PFS grant, the Young Adult Substance Use Survey (YASUS) aims to obtain state and regionlevel estimates of opioid and heroin consumption, and consequences among 18-25-year-olds. It also targets information on the intervening variables of social availability, retail availability, and perceived risk of harm. The first and only year of available data is 2016. In Mat-Su, 1,313 individuals were invited to participate. From those invitations, 143 individuals between ages 18-25 responded to the survey. Methodology Data are presented as provided by YASUS. The data provided by the State of Alaska and UAA did not include margins of error or confidence intervals to make statistical comparisons. Limitations YASUS began in 2016 and provides just one year of data. In Mat-Su, the 143 individuals that completed YASUS represent 1.4 percent of the region’s estimated population of 9,679 individuals age 18-25 in 2015. The sample size for some questions was even smaller than 143. Such small sample sizes limit the ability to consider YASUS prevalence rates as representative of the entire Mat-Su population. National Poisoning Data System (NPDS) The National Poisoning Data System (NPDS) tracks poison exposure outbreaks across the country. Data were uploaded from American Association of Poison Control Centers that cover all the U.S. data provided for the PFS. Data track the number and rates of poisonings by sedatives, anti-depressants, stimulants, opioids, and ethanol. Methodology Data were collected annually for a four-year time period between FY2012-FY2015. Rates per 10,000 population were calculated using population estimates from ACS for Mat-Su Borough and Alaska population estimates from DOLWD. Table 64. Mat-Su and Alaska Population, Ages 12-25, 2012-2015 2012 Mat-Su Population* 20,403 Alaska Population 161,116 2013 20,403 163,752 2014 20,403 162,203 2015 20,403 163,752 Year *Note: Mat-Su population data from ACS and provided by NPDS. Source: ACS and DOLWD. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 105 Health Facilities Data Reporting Program (HFDR) The Alaska Health Facilities Data Reporting Program (HFDR) collects health care utilization data from inpatient and outpatient health facilities throughout the state. Historically, health facility participation in the program has been voluntary, but in 2015 participation became mandatory. In support of the SPF-PFS grant, HFDR supplied for the entire state and each borough, the 2015 count of ED discharges for: any heroin-related reason, heroin poisoning, any prescription opioid-related reason, and any prescription opioid-poisoning. Data were provided by demographic categories of gender, age (12-17, 18-25), and race (White, Alaska Native, Other). Data do not include associated costs or charges for the ED discharges. Methodology Counts of ED discharges were presented in total and by demographic breakout. Within demographic breakouts, counts were analyzed as a proportion of the total count. These proportions were compared with proportional population distributions for each demographic group. Population distributions were calculated from DOLWD 2015 population estimates. When target population age groups did not conform to DOLWD’s five-year groupings, DOLWD grouping totals were separated by averaging each year of age. The table below presents Mat-Su population estimates for 2015. Table 65. Mat-Su Borough 2015 Population Estimates, by Age and Gender Age Group 0-4 Total Male Female 7,478 3,779 3,699 5-9 8,324 4,348 3,976 10-14 7,893 4,072 3,821 15-19 7,078 3,837 3,241 20-24 5,570 2,918 2,652 25-29 6,388 3,249 3,139 30-34 7,267 3,693 3,574 35-39 6,606 3,424 3,182 40-44 6,274 3,243 3,031 45-49 6,372 3,314 3,058 50-54 7,165 3,745 3,420 55-59 7,234 3,766 3,468 60-64 6,245 3,161 3,084 65-69 4,313 2,260 2,053 70-74 2,745 1,403 1,342 75-79 1,536 829 707 80-84 946 458 488 85-89 527 225 302 90+ Total 217 75 142 100,178 51,799 48,379 Source: DOLWD. See below for a table of the ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes that comprise each discharge category. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 106 Table 66. ICD-9 and ICD-10 Codes for Prescription Opioid and Heroin-Related and Poisoning Discharges Type of ER Discharge ICD-9 Codes ICD-10 Codes The total number of ER discharges All ICD-9 codes All ICD-10 codes Number of heroinrelated ER discharges 965.01, E850.0, E935.0 T40.1 Number of Rx opioidrelated ER discharges E950.0, 305.5, 304.0, 304.7, 304.8, E850.1, E850.2, 965.02, 965.09 F11, T40.2 (except T40.2X6), T40.3 (except T40.3X6) Number of heroin ER poisoning discharges 965.01, E850.0 T40.1 Number of Rx opioid ER poisoning discharges E850.1, E850.2, 965.02, 965.09 T40.2X1, T40.2X2, T40.2X3, T40.2X4, T40.3X1, T40.3X2, T40.3X3, T40.3X4 Demographic Breakouts • • • Gender Age (12-17, 18-25) Race (White, AK Native, Other Source: HFDR. Limitations The State provided the number of ED discharges due to: any heroin-related reason, heroin poisoning, any prescription opioid-related reason, and prescription opioid poisonings. These counts were determined by querying ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes. Problems with this methodology arise because patients often present to the ED not for drug use but because of the medical problems that result from drug use. Consequently, physician coding may indicate the medical problem treated but not its relation to drugs. Examples of conditions commonly related to drugs, especially heroin and prescription opioids, include mental disorders, suicide, abscess, bacterial infection, hypoglycemia, trauma injuries, acidosis, respiratory arrest, and respiratory depression, among others. 86,87 One study of the prevalence of adverse drug events (unintended symptoms of abnormal lab work from either appropriate or inappropriate use of prescription or over the counter drugs) found coding in the ED captured just 6.8 percent of adverse drug events that actually occurred. 88 CDC WONDER The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Wide-Ranging OnLine Data for Epidemiological Research (WONDER) Multiple Cause of Death Database provides access to county-level mortality data throughout the country. Mortality data comes from death certificates and causes of death are indicated by ICD-10 codes. In support of the SPF-PFS grant, data from the Multiple Cause of Death Database was provided at the county (borough) level for deaths involving heroin, deaths involving prescription opioids, and death involving any type of opioid. Provided by the State were death counts summed over the five-year period between 2009 and 2013. http://emedicine.medscape.com/article/166464-clinical Slavova, S., Bunn, T. L., & Talbert, J. (2014). Drug Overdose Surveillance Using Hospital Discharge Data. Public Health Reports, 129(5), 437– 445. 88 Hohl, C. M., Kuramoto, L., Yu, E., Rogula, B., Stausberg, J., & Sobolev, B. (2013). Evaluating adverse drug event reporting in administrative data from emergency departments: a validation study. BMC Health Services Research, 13, 473. http://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6963-13-473 86 87 Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 107 Within each cause of death category, only counties (boroughs) that reported greater than 20 deaths over the five-year period were included. Methodology Counts were presented as provided. Rates per 10,000 population were calculated using the sum of the annual population in Mat-Su between the years 2009-2013. The table below presents the population estimates used for the rate calculation. Table 67. Mat-Su Borough Population Estimates, All Ages, 2009-2013 Year 2009 Population Estimate 86,074 2010 88,995 2011 91,721 2012 93,685 2013 96,022 5-Year Total 456,497 Source: DOLWD. Limitations Cause of death data retrieved from this data source only captures numbers at the county/borough-level with five-year death counts exceeding 20. It may be possible to query the dataset for information at the state and national level; however, the criteria used for the initial query of county/borough-level data were never provided to allow for replication. As such, statewide and national comparisons were not available. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 108 Appendix D: References Ciccarone, D. (2009). Heroin in brown, black and white: Structural factors and medical consequences in the US heroin market. International Journal of Drug Policy, 20(3), 277-282. Compton, W. M., Jones, C. M., & Baldwin, G. T. (2016). Relationship between nonmedical prescription-opioid use and heroin use. New England Journal of Medicine, 374(2), 154-163. Daniulaityte, R., Falck, R., & Carlson, R. G. (2014). Sources of pharmaceutical opioids for non-medical use among young adults. Journal of Psychoactive Drugs, 46(3), 198-207. Daniulaityte, R., Falck, R., & Carlson, R. G. (2012). “I’m not afraid of those ones just ‘cause they’ve been prescribed”: Perceptions of risk among illicit users of pharmaceutical opioids. International Journal of Drug Policy, 23(5), 374-384. Habal, Rania. "Heroin Toxicity Treatment & Management."Available at: http://emedicine.medscape.com/article/166464-clinical Accessed on January 23, 2017. Hoffer, L., & Alam, S. J. (2013, April). “Copping” in Heroin Markets: The Hidden Information Costs of Indirect Sales and Why They Matter. In International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction (pp. 83-92). Springer Berlin Heidelberg. Ihongbe, T. O., & Masho, S. W. (2016). Prevalence, correlates and patterns of heroin use among young adults in the United States. Addictive Behaviors, 63, 74-81. Injury Prevention & Control: Opioid Overdose. Webpage. Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/drugoverdose/policy/successes.html. Accessed on January 25, 2017. Lipari, R. & Hughes, M.S. (2015). Trends in heroin use in the united states: 2002 to 2013. Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration. Available at: https://www.samhsa.gov/data/sites/default/ files/report_1943/ShortReport-1943.html. Mars, S. G., Fessel, J. N., Bourgois, P., Montero, F., Karandinos, G., & Ciccarone, D. (2015). Heroin-related overdose: The unexplored influences of markets, marketing and source-types in the United States. Social Science & Medicine, 140, 44-53. McCabe, S. E., Schulenberg, J. E., O'Malley, P. M., Patrick, M. E., & Kloska, D. D. (2014). Non‐medical use of prescription opioids during the transition to adulthood: a multi‐cohort national longitudinal study. Addiction, 109(1), 102-110. Katz, C., El-Gabalawy, R., Keyes, K. M., Martins, S. S., & Sareen, J. (2013). Risk factors for incident nonmedical prescription opioid use and abuse and dependence: results from a longitudinal nationally representative sample. Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 132(1), 107-113. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 109 Keyes, K. M., Cerdá, M., Brady, J. E., Havens, J. R., & Galea, S. (2014). Understanding the rural–urban differences in nonmedical prescription opioid use and abuse in the United States. American Journal of Public Health, 104(2), e52-e59. State of Alaska Department of Health and Social Services. (2016). Prevention of non-medical use of prescription opioids and heroin use in Alaska. Available at: http://www.iser.uaa.alaska.edu/Projects/pfs/docs/ PFSGuidanceDocument.pdf. SAMHSA. (2016). Preventing prescription drug misuse: understanding who is at risk. Center for Application of Prevention Technologies. SAMHSA. (2013). Risk and protective factors associated with nonmedical use of prescription drugs. Center for Application of Prevention Technologies. Tetrault, J. M., & Butner, J. L. (2015). Focus: Addiction: Non-Medical Prescription Opioid Use and Prescription Opioid Use Disorder: A Review. The Yale Journal of Biology and Medicine, 88(3), 227. Votaw, V. R., Wittenauer, J., Connery, H. S., Weiss, R. D., & McHugh, R. K. (2017). Perceived risk of heroin use among nonmedical prescription opioid users. Addictive Behaviors, 65, 218-223. Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 110 Appendix E: National Survey of Drug Use and Health Data This appendix contains all the NSDUH data. The following indicators with asterisks next to them were not included in the body of the report. On a whole, this data cover a large time period and do not capture recent years. However, indicators were included in the report body where they filled gaps in the information and no other source was available. In the table below, “CI” refers to “Confidence Interval.” Table 68. Prescription Drug Indicators, Mat-Su, Alaska, and the U.S. Mat-Su % Mat-Su CI % Alaska % Alaska CI % U.S. % U.S. CI % Estimated Number of Mat-Su Residents Statistical Difference Between Mat-Su and Alaska Statistical Difference Between Mat-Su and U.S. 16.0 12.9-19.8 16.2 15.1-17.4 13.4 13.3-13.6 10,311 Past year use* 4.5 3.7-5.5 5.5 4.9-6.2 4.8 4.7-4.9 2,900 Past month use* 1.7 1.1-2.7 2.3 1.9-2.7 2.0 1.9-2 1,095 Past year pain reliever dependence 0.6 0.2-1.5 0.5 0.3-0.7 0.5 0.5-0.5 387 Past year pain reliever abuse 0.3 0.1-0.5 0.1 0.1-0.2 0.2 0.2-0.2 193 Ever tried heroin* 3.2 1.9-5.4 2.4 1.8-3.1 1.5 1.5-1.6 2,062 Past year use* 0.4 0.2-0.9 0.2 0.2-0.4 0.2 0.2-0.2 258 Past month use* 0.3 0.1-0.7 0.1 0-0.1 0.1 0.1-0.1 193 Impossible 36.6 30.1-43.6 42.3 40.2-44.5 41.5 41.2-41.7 755 Very difficult 22.3 18.1-27.2 27.5 26-29.1 24.9 24.7-25.1 460 Fairly difficult 21.3 17.6-25.4 17.4 15.9-19 16.4 16.2-16.6 439 Fairly easy 15 9-23.8 9.2 8-10.6 11.1 10.9-11.2 309 Very easy 4.8 3-7.8 3.6 3-4.2 6.2 6.1-6.3 99 Description Ever used pain relievers nonmedically* Difficulty in getting heroin Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 111 Appendix F: Community Readiness Respondent Characteristics This appendix contains the distrubution of responses to the Community Readiness Survey for prescription drug misuse and heroin use by sociodemographic factors. Table 69. Opioid Community Readiness Respondents by Sociodemographic Variables (Total Respondents = 78) Sociodemographic Variable Percent (%) Gender Female 78.21 Male 20.51 Age Group 21-40 Years 26.92 41-60 Years 55.13 61-80 Years 17.95 Mat-Su Geographic Region Big Lake 1.33 Houston 1.33 Knik-Fairview 6.67 Palmer 49.33 Talkeetna 5.33 Wasilla 34.67 Willow 1.33 Respondent Type Parent 16.88 Business 3.90 Civic/Volunteer 12.99 Healthcare 27.27 Law Enforcement 3.9 Media 1.3 Organizations Working to Reduce Substance Use Religious 11.69 2.6 Schools 10.39 State, Local, or Tribal Government Youth Serving 5.19 3.9 Race/Ethnicity Native Alaskan/American Indian 2.6 White 92.1 Black 1.3 Other 3.9 Source: Mat-Su 2016 Community Readiness Survey Results Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 112 Table 70. Heroin Community Readiness Respondents by Sociodemographic Variables (Total Respondents = 32) Sociodemographic Variable Percent (%) Gender Female 84.33 Male 15.63 Age Group 21-40 Years 28.13 41-60 Years 40.63 61-80 Years 31.25 Mat-Su Geographic Region Palmer 58.06 Talkeetna 9.68 Wasilla 29.03 Willow 3.23 Respondent Type Parents 34.38 Youth 3.13 Civic/Volunteer Groups 12.50 Healthcare Professionals 18.75 Law Enforcement 3.13 Media 3.13 Organizations Working to Reduce Substance Abuse 6.25 Schools 6.25 State, Local & Tribal Government 6.25 Youth Serving 6.25 Race/Ethnicity Native Alaskan/American Indian 6.25 White 93.75 Source: Mat-Su 2016 Community Readiness Survey Results Community Needs Assessment Appendices McDowell Group, Inc. Page 113 THRIVE Mat-Su—United Way of Mat-Su
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