Evira Research Reports 5/2011 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Evira Research Reports 5/2011 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Project group Research Department, Risk Assessment Research Unit Jonna Oravainen Tapani Lyytikäinen Leena Sahlström Niina Tammiranta until 31.12.2010 Special Thanks to Anna-Kaisa Airaksinen, Evira Aslak Ermala, Finnish Game and Fisheries Research Institute Ari Heiskanen, Riistankasvattajat ry. Outi Hälli, University of Helsinki Tiina Juselius, Evira Leena Kankaanpää, Evira Erkki Kiukas, Game Management District of Kyme Pia Lahin, Farmers’ Pension Institute Arja Lahtinen, Evira Heli Lampela, Finnish National Board of Customs Sanna Nikunen, National health classification register Tiina Nokireki, Evira Petri Nummi, University of Helsinki Heidi Oksman, Etelä-Karjalan Jätehuolto Oy Juhani Terhivuo, Finnish Museum of Natural History Jaana Vuolle, Evira Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Description Publisher Finnish Food Safety Authority Evira Title Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Authors Jonna Oravainen, Leena Sahlström, Tapani Lyytikäinen Abstract The African swine fever is a viral disease that spreads easily to domestic pigs and wild boar and has considerable socioeconomic consequences as well. Statutory measures are required to combat African swine fever. In the acute phase of the disease pigs can show symptoms including high fever, haemorrhages in the skin, anorexia, blood in stool and possibly diarrhea. Mortality rates can reach almost 100 per cent, and death appears within 7-10 days from infection. The disease is not spread to humans. The disease occurs as well as in domestic pigs as in wild boar in the largest part of sub-Saharan Africa and in Sardinia. Since 2007 the disease has occurred in the Caucasus region and in 2011 near the border of Finland: the Leningrad region and the Kola Peninsula. In the risk profile different routes and chains of events which could lead to the African swine fever entering Finland for the first time are identified and described. The most obvious ones are: people who have travelled in the infected area, infected meat or meat products, with domestic pigs and sperm, contaminated transport vehicles, catering waste from international transport and infected wild boars crossing the border to Finland. The key measures to protect the Finnish swine industry from the African swine fever are high biosecurity of farms and effective and aimed information on the risks of the disease. Publication date September 2011 Keywords African swine fever, pigs, wild boar, vector, ASF virus, import route Name and number of publication Evira Research Reports 5/2011 Pages 62 Language Finnish Confidentiality Public Publisher Finnish Food Safety Authority Evira Layout Finnish Food Safety Authority Evira, In-house Services ISSN 1797-2981 ISBN 978-952-225-094-0 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Kuvailulehti Julkaisija Elintarviketurvallisuusvirasto Evira Julkaisun nimi Afrikkalaisen sikaruton mahdollisia maahantuloreittejä - riskiprofiili Tekijät Jonna Oravainen, Leena Sahlström, Tapani Lyytikäinen Tiivistelmä Afrikkalainen sikarutto on lakisääteisesti vastustettava helposti leviävä sikojen ja villisikojen virustauti, jolla on myös vakavia sosioekonomisia vaikutuksia. Akuutissa tautimuodossa eläimillä esiintyy syömättömyyttä, korkeaa kuumetta, verenpurkaumia iholla, veristä ulostetta sekä mahdollisesti ripulia. Kuolleisuus on lähes 100 % ja tauti johtaa kuolemaan 7-10 vrk tartunnan jälkeen. Tauti ei tartu ihmisiin. Tautia esiintyy sekä kesy- että villisioissa suurimmassa osassa Saharan eteläpuolista Afrikkaa ja Sardiniassa. Vuodesta 2007 lähtien tautia on esiintynyt Kaukasuksen alueella ja vuonna 2011 lähellä Suomen rajaa: Leningradin alueella ja Kuolan niemimaalla. Tässä riskiprofiilissa kartoitetaan reitit ja tapahtumasarjat, jotka voivat johtaa siihen, että afrikkalainen sikarutto tulee Suomeen ensimmäisen kerran. Näistä oleellisimmat ovat: maahantulo infektioalueella matkustaneiden ihmisten mukana, infektoituneen lihan tai lihatuotteen mukana, elävien kesysikojen ja sperman mukana, kontaminoituneiden eläinkuljetusajoneuvojen mukana, kansainvälisen liikenteen ruokajätteen mukana ja Suomeen vaeltavan infektoituneen villisian mukana. Tilatason tautisuojaus sekä tehokas ja kohdennettu tiedottaminen taudin vaaroista ovat avainasemassa, kun halutaan suojata Suomen sikaelinkeinoa afrikkalaiselta sikarutolta. Julkaisuaika Syyskuu 2011 Asiasanat Afrikkalainen sikarutto, sika, villisika, vektori, ASF-virus, maahantulo Julkaisusarjan nimi ja numero Eviran tutkimuksia 5/2011 Sivuja 62 Kieli Suomi Luottamuksellisuus Julkinen Julkaisun kustantaja Elintarviketurvallisuusvirasto Evira Taitto Elintarviketurvallisuusvirasto Evira, virastopalveluyksikkö ISSN 1797-2981 ISBN 978-952-225-094-0 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Beskrivning Utgivare Livsmedelssäkerhetsverket Evira Publikationens titel Möjliga smittvägar för afrikansk svinpest in i landet – en riskprofil Författare Jonna Oravainen, Leena Sahlström, Tapani Lyytikäinen Resumé Afrikansk svinpest är en virussjukdom som bör bekämpas genom lag. Sjukdomen förekommer hos svin och vildsvin, den överförs lätt och har även betydande socioekonomiska följder. I det akuta stadiet förekommer aptitlöshet, hög feber, hematomer på huden, blod i avföringen samt eventuellt diarré hos djuren. Dödligheten är nästan 100 procent och sjukdomen leder till döden 7-10 dygn efter smittan. Sjukdomen smittar inte människor. Sjukdomen förekommer både hos tama svin och vildsvin i största delen av Afrika söder om Sahara och på Sardinien. Från och med 2007 har sjukdomen förekommit i Kaukasusregionen och år 2011 nära gränsen till Finland: kring Leningrad och på Kolahalvön. I den här riskprofilen utreds rutter och händelseförlopp som kan leda till att den afrikanska svinpesten för första gången påträffas i Finland. De mest väsentliga är: människor som reser in i landet från resor i infektionsområdet, infekterat kött eller köttprodukter, levande tama svin och sperma, kontaminerade djurtransportfordon, matavfall från internationell trafik och infekterade vildsvin som strövar över gränsen till Finland. De viktigaste medlen för att skydda den finska svinindustrin från den afrikanska svinpesten är att skydda gårdar mot sjukdomen samt en effektiv och riktad information om sjukdomens faror. Utgivningsdatum September 2011 Referensord Afrikansk svinpest, svin, vildsvin, vektor, ASF-virus, import rutt Publikationsseriens namn och nummer Eviras undersökningar 5/2011 Antal sidor 62 Språk Finska Konfidentialitet Offentlig handling Förläggare Livsmedelssäkerhetsverket Evira Layout Livsmedelssäkerhetsverket Evira, Enhet för ämbetsverkstjänster ISSN 1797-2981 ISBN 978-952-225-094-0 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Table of Contents Abbreviations ...................................................................................................8 Definitions ....................................................................................................... 9 Summary........................................................................................................ 11 Preface............................................................................................................ 13 Assignment and limitation............................................................................. 14 African swine fever as a disease..................................................................... 15 The Agent........................................................................................................... 15 Symptoms........................................................................................................... 15 Diagnostics......................................................................................................... 16 Prevalence.......................................................................................................... 17 The situation in Finland..................................................................................... 19 Spreading............................................................................................................ 19 Management and control.................................................................................. 21 Target population........................................................................................... 22 Domestic pigs in Finland.................................................................................... 22 Wild boars (Sus scrofa) in Finland..................................................................... 23 Routes of entry into the country for ASF......................................................... 28 Principal routes of entry into the country..................................................... 30 There is a risk of introduction into the country, but risk management measures are effective.................................................................................... 40 The risk of introduction into the country is real but possibilities for risk management are small............................................................................ 42 Examples of existing risk management measures.......................................... 44 Legislation and related control.......................................................................... 44 Guidelines........................................................................................................... 44 Information......................................................................................................... 45 Information on other projects and reports..................................................... 46 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Main information gaps................................................................................... 47 Consequences................................................................................................. 48 Economic consequences of introducing African swine fever into the country......................................................................................................... 48 Discussion....................................................................................................... 50 Conclusions..................................................................................................... 52 References...................................................................................................... 53 Legislation.......................................................................................................... 57 Annex 1 Information on other ASF-related projects and surveys whose results are interesting from Finland’s point of view.................................................... 59 The EFSA report (EFSA 2010a)........................................................................... 59 The ASFRISK project............................................................................................ 61 Risk assessment related to meat smuggling in Great Britain......................... 61 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Abbreviations AHAW ASF CITES 8 EELA EFSA ETT EU Evira Mela MAF MTT OIE PDNS PMWS PRRS PVO RKTL Sikava The Panel on Animal Health and Welfare African Swine Fever The Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora National Veterinary and Food Institute, Finland European Food Safety Authority Finnish Association for Animal Disease Prevention European Union Finnish Food Safety Authority The Farmers´ Social Insurance Institution Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry Agrifood Research Finland World Organisation for Animal Health Porcine dermatitis and nephropathy syndrome Postweaning multisystemic wasting syndrome Porcine reproductive and respiratory disease Provincial Veterinary Officer Finnish Game and Fisheries Research Institute National Health Classification Register TIKE Traces Information Centre of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry Trade Control and Expert System Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Definitions Acute Sudden Antigen A substance that when introduced into the body stimulates the production of an antibody. Endemic A continuously prevalent disease, particular to a region Fomite Mechanical transmitter of the disease agent, for example care equipments for animals. Immunoblotting Proteins are allowed to adhere to membrane from gel electrophoresis and are analyzed using labelled antibodies. Inactivate Become ineffective Infective Animal or vector infected by a virus and where the virus has already reproduced or replicated. Infected Animal or vector infected by a virus Incubation period Time from the moment of infection to clinical symptoms Catering waste from means of transport operating internationally Catering waste from means of transport operating internationally refers to all catering waste from aircraft, ships and trains on international routes which originate from meals and food preparation for passengers and crew, as well as all other waste that has been in contact with such foodstuffs and leftover food. This sort of waste must be disposed of, either by burying at an approved landfill site or by incineration in an approved incineration plant. Category 1 catering waste on a landfill site or a combustion plant must be dealt with without delay (burying or burning). 9 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Chronic Lasting, incessant, persisting Mortality Percentage of dead animals of all animals (infected farm) Peracute Very acute Reservoir Where the disease survives Risk profile Operation prior to possible risk assessment, referring to depiction of a defined problem field concerning animal disease for risk management. Simultaneously the most important information gaps are investigated. In the process, existing data on a risk and its devolvement, health effects and means of control, including known economic losses are combined. Serotype Subspecies of bacteria or virus determined by antibodies. Subacute Less than acute Sylvatic cycle Part of the natural transmission cycle of a pathogen which is spent by cycling between the wild animals and the vector. Trophy Part of animal as hunter’s memory, usually the antlers, skin (pelt), head, skull or teeth. Antibody Antibodies, that is, immunoglobulins are glycoproteins in the immune system by means of which the body identifies foreign organisms and parts of them. Each antibody identifies a specific antigen. Vector A vector can be an insect or an animal that spreads a disease from one animal to another without falling ill itself. A vector can spread a disease for example when sucking blood from a sick animal or by carrying microbes that causes the disease in its digestive tract or in its fur. In this research report the vector refers to a tick in the genus Ornithodoros. Viremic Animal with virus particles in its blood Virulence The ability of any agent of infection to produce disease 10 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Summary Statutory measures are required to combat African swine fever. The African swine fever is a viral disease that spreads easily to domestic pigs and wild boar and has considerable socioeconomic consequences as well. Clinically and pathologically the African swine fever is very similar to the classical swine fever. A laboratory diagnosis is necessary to separate these two diseases from each other. There is no vaccine against the African swine fever. In Finland the target population is domestic pigs, farmed and natural wild boar. The report characterizes these on the basis of authority record data and expert evaluations. It is noteworthy that by number, both wild boar farming and natural wild boars are concentrated to Eastern Finland, but both can be found in almost all parts of Finland, except from the most northern parts. The disease is endemic and occurs as well as in domestic pigs as in wild boar in the largest part of sub-Saharan Africa and in Sardinia. Since 2007 the disease has occurred in the Caucasus region in Georgia and in its neighbouring countries Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia. Recently the disease occurred near the border to Finland, in the Leningrad region and in Murmansk on the Kola Peninsula. In the risk profile different routes and chains of events which could introduce African swine fever into Finland for the first time are identified and described. There are many different routes of entry. The major routes of entry into the country towards which risk management measures are possible to direct are: introduction with people who have travelled in an infected area, infected meat or meat products, domestic pigs and semen, contaminated livestock transport vehicles. The frequency of these events and other details in connection to them are described in this risk profile to the extent information is available. ASF is also noticed to spread via catering waste from means of transport operating internationally. In Finland this waste, is according to our knowledge, appropriately compiled and disposed of, and is not likely to be eaten by domestic pigs or wild boars. Feeding catering waste to pigs is forbidden in Finland. An infected wild boar can wander to Finland across the border. The present wild boar population in Karelia in Russia is that scarce that it delays the disease from advancing to the Finnish side with wild boars. Notwithstanding, the route is good to keep in mind, especially if the wild boar population grows stronger and consequently starts to spread to the Finnish side. It is possible to control the risk of introduction into the country by means of legislation, guidelines and provisions. Information can have an effect on the 11 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile risk. Legislation limits the spreading of the disease, for example by decisions on protection. In addition to the ban on import of pig and pig meet products from Russia into the EU, protection regulations lay down that livestock transport vehicles transporting pigs to Russia must be cleansed and disinfected after unloading and before entering the EU area. A verification of this has to be presented to the customs authority. The Association for Animal Disease Prevention (ETT) has laid down guidelines for visits abroad and especially for animal disease risks on foreign livestock farms. ETT warns especially about the risk of viral and easily spreading animal diseases entering one country from another as easily as via clothing, shoes and animal products. Furthermore Evira presents information and guidelines for souvenirs of animal origin intended for personal use. The customs aim at giving information at border crossing points by means of posters and brochures on import restrictions. The most important information gaps defined in the survey are: The prevalence and role of the tick in the genus Ornithodoros in the EU area, the wild boar’s role as a disease reservoir and spreader and potential contacts due to the traffic between Finnish pig farms and risk areas. An example of the latter is the number and destinations of Finns’ wild boar hunting trips and of these the proportion of pig farm workers and owners, the number of pig farm workers frequently travelling to ASF-countries, the amount of meat and meat products smuggled and illegally imported from ASF risk areas and movements of empty livestock transport vehicles across the border. The introduction of African swine fever into Finland would have a strong impact on Finnish pig farming, causing considerable economic losses for the whole industry. The outburst of the disease causes direct and indirect losses. The 12 extent of the losses and their variation is dependent on both the number of infected pig farms and factors that are indirectly dependent on the number of infected farms. In a survey published by MTT and EELA in 2005, the economic impact of an outbreak of the classical swine fever in at least five farms would cause losses of 13.6 million Euros. Some ASF risk assessments have been made in the EU in recent years. The report by EFSA - AHAW panel assessed the possibility of ASF becoming endemic in the Caucasus and Russian outbreak regions and the risk of ASF spreading into the EU area and becoming endemic in the EU, if the disease makes its way here. The risk of the disease maintaining endemic in the area was assessed to be moderate, but the risk of the disease spreading inside the regions is high. The risk of the disease spreading into the EU area was estimated to be moderate and most likely to happen through catering waste. In Great Britain the risk of ASF spread was estimated in connection to smuggling and that the smuggled and infected meat enters the country with personal luggage. The ASF entry into the country pose a significant threat and in the risk profile several potential routes are detected. The infection of the wild boar population is a veritable threat, but transmission from wild boar to domestic pigs is unlikely. Meat or meat products brought into the country by private persons is a possible route of entry. Regarding import or live pigs and semen related guidelines and provisions must be complied with. The European Commission’s decision on cleansing and disinfecting livestock transport vehicles returning from Russia to the EU area is an important means of risk management. Biosecurity on farms and information on the transmission of African swine fever to risk groups (e.g. foreign and in ASF areas travelling piggery workers) are key points when managing the risk. Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Preface The African swine fever is one of the most threatening diseases to pig farming in the world. The threat is based on high mortality rates due to the disease and significant impacts on the operations of the swine industry (i.e. restrictions concerning animal traffic, costs due to preventive measures and complications in international trade. The disease is endemic and occurs as well as in domestic pigs as in wild boar in the largest part of sub-Saharan Africa and in Sardinia (EFSA 2010a). Since 2007 the disease has been detected in the Caucasus region. In November 2009 African swine fever was detected in the Leningrad administrative district near St Petersburg (FAO 2009). Furthermore the African swine fever virus was detected in pig carcasses found in the Lomonosov municipal area in the Leningrad administrative district at the end of 2010. Rosselkhoznadzor, the Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary of Russia reported 16.3.2011 about a new outburst of the disease in the same region. 8.4.2011 Russia reported about new outbursts in Murmansk on the Kola Peninsula and in the delta of the Vaga River in Arkhangelsk. The distance to the Finnish border from the infected region in St Petersburg is ca 150 km and from Murmansk ca 250 km. (OIE 2011). African swine fever has so far not been detected in Finland. As the disease occurs in regions near the EU, it constitutes a continuous threat for the member states (ASFRISK 2011, Roberts & Hartley 2011). 13 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Assignment and limitation This risk profile defines and depicts different chains of events that could result in the African swine fever in the Finnish pig population. Here the pig population includes domestic pigs, farmed and natural wild boar. In this risk profile the extent of the risks caused by potential chains of events is not estimated. In the risk profile information is produced for risk management. The risk profile was ordered by the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. Possible routes of entry explored in the survey with people with infected pigs and semen with pork meat, wild boar meat or products made of this meat with contaminated empty livestock transport vehicles with contaminated appliances, objects and equipment (fomites) 14 with contaminated catering waste from means of transport operating internationally with infected natural wild boars When the disease has crossed the border, certain chains of events must occur for the disease to get into contact with Finnish wild boar or pig. These events are described in this risk profile as well. The following events are excluded from the risk profile the spread of the disease in the country transmission by the Ornithodoros tick mini-pigs information about farms and animal traffic is not specifically compiled for the profile Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile African swine fever as a disease African swine fever is a very easily communicable disease. Even the European wild boar is susceptible to the ASF virus. The African swine fever has serious sosioeconomic consequences on the industry and on trade with pigs and pig products. (EFSA 2010a). 4-13 and in temperatures under 60 °C. In faeces the virus survives in room temperature for 11 days and in pig blood at 4 °C for 18 months. (Kleiboeker 2002). Infected blood inactivates in 30 minutes in a temperature of 60 °C (Farez & Morley 1997). Clinically and pathologically the African swine fever is very similar to the classical swine fever. A laboratory diagnosis is necessary to separate these two diseases from each other. (Kleiboeker 2002). Even if the serotypes of different viruses cannot be defined, the virulence of ASF virus strains varies when assessed by to clinical symptoms. Subsequently the disease can occur in the acute, subacute and chronic form. (EFSA 2010a). In all forms of the disease the occurrence is high as the virus is easily contagious and occurs abundantly in infected animals. The sub-acute form of the disease is typical in Sardinia. (Kleiboeker 2002). According to the EFSA-report, the virus in the Caucasus and in Russia is especially virulent and the virulence persists since the first outbreak of the disease in Caucasus in 2007. The virulence can be seen as high mortality rates etc. In other regions the virulence has subsided in a certain time enabling part of the pigs to fall ill in the chronic form of the disease and becoming carriers of the disease. (EFSA 2010a). African swine fever is not communicable to humans. The Agent The causative agent of African swine fever is the Asifivirus, a member of the Asfarviridae family. The Asifivirus is a DNA virus. The ASF virus is very resistant and can survive for months or years in frost or refrigerator temperature (EFSA 2010a). The virus survived 6 years in a dark environment of 5 °C (Farez & Morley 1997). The ASF virus is destroyed in normal cooking temperature, but unheated or inappropriately heated catering waste and pork products prepared by salting and smoking constitute a considerable risk for spreading the disease. The virus lives more than 300 days in ham prepared by salting or drying (e.g. Parma ham). Furthermore, the ASF-virus lasts well in pH Symptoms The African swine fever can occur in the peracute, acute, sub-acute or chronic form. The disease form depends on the virus strain, exposure form and dosage. 15 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile The incubation period is 5 to 15 days. (Kleiboeker 2002). In the peracute form, the pig can die without preceding symptoms. In the acute form of the disease pigs can show symptoms including high fever, haemorrhages in the skin (especially on ears and flank), anorexia, blood in stool and possibly diarrhoea. The haemorrhages in the skin can cause necrosis before death. Mortality rates are very high (almost 100%), and the disease can cause death within 7 to 10 days from infection. (Kleiboeker 2002). The sub-acute form of the disease is typical in Sardinia. The symptoms are similar to those in the acute form, but milder. Pregnant sows give birth and might die suddenly. At first the pigs suffer from fever, but the fever drops within 3 to 5 days. A decrease in thrombocytes and leukocytes appears temporarily and possibly mild diarrhoea. Mortality depends on age, the rate in young pigs is 70 to 80% and for older less than 20%. (Kleiboeker, 2002). Typical symptoms for the chronic form of ASF are symptoms in the respiratory tract and skin injuries resulting in necrosis. Pregnant sows can give birth even if mortality rates are low as a whole. (Kleiboeker 2002). Diagnoses that separate the acute form of the disease are among others, classical swine fever, erysipeloid, PRRS, coumarin poisoning, salt poisoning, purpura haemorrhages symptoms, PMWS, PDNS, salmonella or pasteurella-contagion and any intestine or respiratory disease with fever against which antibiotics have no effect (Kleiboeker 2002, Commission Decision 2003/422/EC). Diagnostics Pathologic findings that can be observed in pigs with acute African swine fever 16 are haemorrhages in spleen, lymph nodes, kidneys and heart. The spleen can be darkened and enlarged three times the normal size. There can be fluid swellings around the kidneys and blood-tinged fluid in the heart sac. Also meningeal and choroid plexus haemorrhage can be observed. (Kleiboeker 2002). In the sub-acute form of the disease, the symptoms are similar to those in the acute form, but less grave. The spleen can be one and a half times the normal size. The lymph nodes are enlarged but have only small haemorrhages, equally to the kidneys. (Kleiboeker 2002). Typical findings for chronic ASF are observed in the respiratory tract, for example pleurisy, pleural adhesions, pneumonia and lymphoid tissue hyperplasia. Pericarditis and skin injuries resulting in necrosis are common (Kleiboeker 2002). The European Commission Decision (EC) No 422/2003 on approving an African swine fever diagnostic manual describes diagnostic and sampling methods and evaluation criterion of laboratory results to confirm ASF. Confirmation must be based on the detection of clinical signs and post-mortem lesions of disease, the detection of the virus, antigen or genome in samples of pig tissues, organs, blood or excreta, the demonstration of a specific antibody response in blood samples. Samples of tonsils, lymphnodes, spleen and lung tissues are best applicable for confirming the ASF virus, its antigen or genome from dead or slaughtered pigs. If the carcass is spoilt the recommended sample is a whole long bone or breastbone for marrow sample. Concerning pigs with fever or showing other symptoms, blood samples must be taken containing coagulation inhibitors, or whole blood without coagulation inhibitors according to official authority guidelines (2003/422/EC). Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile For detecting the disease agent in a sample OIE Terrestrial Manual designate the following procedures. Hemadsorbtion test (HAD), fluorescent antibody test (FAT) and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). For detecting ASF antibodies the following serological tests can be used: enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (Elisa), indirect fluorescent antibody (IFA) test, counterimmunoelectrophoresis (CIE). The selection of tests is dependent on the disease situation and the laboratory’s available methods (OIE 2008) Evira uses PCR for detection of genome and Elisa for detection of antibodies. Evira recommends sending of tonsil, lymph node, spleen, kidney and lung samples. In addition whole blood without coagulation inhibitors samples are taken. Evira has not the ability to isolate the virus. When necessary, samples are sent to a reference laboratory in Spain. (Nokireki 2011). Prevalence The disease was characterized for the first time in Kenya in 1928. The second incidence was reported in Angola in 1932. In Kenya and in South Africa the incidences were noticed to relate to the interaction between warthog and domestic pig and as a means to resist the disease, the two species were separated from each-other. In Europe the disease was reported in Portugal in 1957 and again in 1960. Presumably the disease came from Angola. The disease could not be controlled and it spread to France, Italy, Malta, Belgium and the Netherlands. The Iberian Peninsula was not declared free from the disease until 1995. In Sardinia the disease became endemic. (Penrith and Vosloo 2009). In 1971 ASF spread to a new continent and was reported in Cuba where it was eradicated with difficulty. The disease spread from the Iberian Peninsula to the Dominican Republic 1978, Haiti in 1979 and a second outburst was reported in Cuba in 1980. The disease was eradicated in all these countries. (Penrith and Vosloo 2009). Nowadays the African swine fever occurs commonly in Africa. The largest part of the sub-Saharan countries has reported cases of ASF (Costard et al. 2009). Outside Africa, in Europe infections have occurred in Sardinia and since 2007 the disease has occurred in the Caucasus region in Georgia and in its neighbouring countries Armenia, Azerbaijan and Russia and also on Mauritius. In October 2009 African swine fever was detected on a farm in the Leningrad administrative district area near St Petersburg. The cause was suspected to be a contaminated meat product or contaminated meat. The area is located 2 000 km north of the outbreak area in Caucasus (FAO 2009). Furthermore the African swine fever virus was confirmed in 30 swine carcasses found in a waste treatment plant in the Lomonosov municipal in the Leningrad administrative district on the last day of 2010. The carcasses were found 30 km from St Petersburg and less than 100 km from the Estonian border (Defra 2011) and about 150 km from the Finnish border. There was suspicion that the pigs were infected through catering waste from the military academy that the pigs had been fed with. On March 16, 2011 Rosselkhoznadzor, the Federal Service for Veterinary and Phytosanitary reported about a new outburst of the disease in the same region (Figure 1). It seems that the infection is so far not under control in the Leningrad administrative district. On 8 April, 2011 Russia reported to OIE about cases of the disease in Murmansk on the Kola Peninsula and in the delta of the Vaga River in Arkhangelsk (Figure 2). On the home page of Rosselkhoznadzor there is information about the farm related to the case in Arkhangelsk where the pigs had been fed with 17 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile catering waste from the military unit and a day-care centre (Rosselkhoznadzor 2011). According to an OIE report on a pig farm in Arkhangelsk and in Murmansk, 20 pigs of 21 on both farms died of African swine fever. The confirmed virus in the area seems to be very virulent. The distance from Murmansk to Finland is only about 250 km. There is also regular air traffic between Rovaniemi and Murmansk and further to Arkhangelsk (Embassy of Finland, Moscow 2011). Both the acute and peracute form of the disease has occurred in Russia. What contributes to the spread of the disease is the approval of feeding catering waste to pigs, the traditional procedure in Russia and that wild boars are in contact with the domestic pig population. The fact that a national serological surveillance programme has not been established makes the combating of the disease difficult. Only a few antibody detections have been done so far. (Sánchez-Vizcaíno 2011). Figure 1. The disease case in the Lomonosov municipal in the Leningrad administrative district on 16 March, 2011. Source: OIE-WAHID, http://web.oie.int/wahis/public.php?page=single_ report&pop=1&reportid=10395. 16.5.2011. 18 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Figure 2. The disease case in Murmansk (26/3/2011, above) and Arkhangelsk (3/4/2011, below) Source OIE-WAHID, http://web.oie.int/wahis/public.php?page=single_ report&pop=1&reportid=10465. 16.5.2011. The situation in Finland Spreading Evira analyses African swine fever antibodies and virus in blood samples from pigs only in suspected cases. In 2010 single animals from four different farms were studied. Two of these were farmedraised wild boar. Furthermore co-operation has started with Kyme Game Management District. Four samples have been asked for from that district. Nine were received in 2010. (Nokireki 2010). All samples have so far been negative, thus African swine fever has never been detected in Finland. In Europe the disease usually transmits through the nostril cavern and the mouth when animals are in direct or indirect contact with infected pigs or through feed contaminated by the virus. However, on areas where the tick of the genus Ornithodoros lives, the transmission of these vectors is significant concerning maintenance and spreading of the virus. ASF can even spread by indirect contact with contaminated material or by way of biting insects transporting mechanically the ASF virus. The disease 19 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile might also spread through the semen of infected hogs. (Commission Decision 2003/422/EC). A key role concerning the spread of the disease from one country or continent to another is the transport of infected pigs and pork meat products and feeding pigs with catering waste. It is estimated that if all feeding of catering waste to pigs was stopped everywhere, one of the most significant transmission routes could be eliminated (Hess 1981). The role of wild boar regarding the epidemiology of the disease is well described as regards warthogs (Phacochoerus africanus) in East and South Africa, but in other respects there is little information about African and other wild porcine species. A horizontal and vertical spreading is not possible for the warthogs; subsequently the survival of the virus is dependent of the sylvatic cycle which includes the soft tick of the genus Ornithodoros. Young warthogs are infected by the O. moubata-tick bite and become viremic. Hence new ticks are infected when feeding on a young warthog. In areas where ticks occur, up to 80 percent of the warthogs are found to be infected (Costard et al. 2009). The bushpig (Potamochoerus larvatus) lives in sub-Saharan Africa and on Madagascar, but their role in relation to the ASF epidemiology is uncertain. They show no clinical symptoms of the ASF infection and seem to need a bigger dose of the virus than domestic pigs in order to get infected. In the outburst area in Malawi bushpigs were suspected to be a reservoir of the disease. Another possible infected wild animal reservoir is the giant forest hog (Hylochoerus meinertzhageni). (Costard et al. 2009). Wild boars (Sus scrofa) are susceptible to the ASF virus and they have similar symptoms and a mortality rate as domestic pigs. Disease cases in wild boar have been reported on the Iberian 20 Peninsula, Sardinia and Caucasus and elsewhere in Russia (EFSA 2010a). According to the report of EFSA it is known that all ticks of the genus Ornithodoros can be infected with the ASF virus and accordingly possible disease vectors. The significance of these ticks is considerable concerning local maintenance of the disease, but they have no impact on the geographical spreading of the disease. Ticks of the above-mentioned genus have never been found in wild boar. It is suggested that the reason for this is that wild boar do not rest in sheltered burrows, but on ground. (EFSA 2010b). The report of EFSA states that there is considerable lack of information on the role of the wild boar and the tick in maintaining the ASF virus and concerning infection of domestic pigs. On the Iberian Peninsula the Ornithodoros erraticus was pointed out as a vector of the ASF virus in connection to infection of domestic pigs. There is, however, very little information on the prevalence of this vector and other potential vectors in the EU area. There is also no certainty whether or not wild boar can be a reservoir of the disease or whether or not they are infected merely in regions where there is an outbreak of the disease in domestic pigs. (EFSA 2010b). The Finnish Museum of Natural History points out that they do not have any information on the tick of the genus Ornithodoros occurring in Finland. In the museum’s foreign collection there is one specimen of the genus, but no detailed information. In addition to birds, bats are possible spreaders. Mites have been found in bats, but the Museum of Natural History has no information on findings of the above-mentioned tick in bats. It is hard to assess the occurrence of the tick of the genus Ornithodoros in Finland. If the life cycle includes development phases outside the host, these can be eliminated due to winter. (Terhivuo 2011). Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Management and control The African swine fever is an easily spreading animal disease and statutory measures are required for combating the disease in Finland. If there is suspicion of African swine fever, veterinary officials must hinder the spread of the disease to other animals and make an effective eradication of the infection possible. When the infection is confirmed, EVIRA will order the pigs on the farm to be slaughtered and disposed without delay. The provincial veterinary officer (PVO), in cooperation with EVIRA decides about the slaughter and disposal methods. All waste and material possibly contaminated with the virus, for example bedding, feed and manure are disposed of according to the instructions of the PVO. The meat and by-products of the pigs ordered to be slaughtered are traced and if necessary destroyed. When the pigs are disposed of, the vehicles used for transport and buildings where pigs were kept, as well as the environment round the buildings and all appliances are disinfected. (MAFa 6/EEO/2003). After confirming African swine faver a biosecurity zone is established round the infected farm (with a radius of at least three kilometres) and a control zone (with a radius of at least ten kilometres). Transportation of animals in the zone is limited as well as products and consignments that are connected with the risk of spreading the disease. Also visits to the farm within the zone can be restricted. The places where the pigs are kept within the biosecurity and control zones are analyzed in case of swine fever. Contact holdings of infected farms are traced and the activities of animals on traced farms are restricted. Before the final results of the analyses, it is possible that pigs have to be disposed of on such farms that run a high risk of infection. According to the analyses and if necessary, measures and restrictions are also directed to places for keeping pigs to which the infection might have spread. There is no vaccine against the African swine fever. (MAFa 6/EEO/2003). 21 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Target population Domestic pigs in Finland concerning normal production of pork meat products is relatively small. There were 2 300–2 400 pig farms in Finland in 2009. The number depends on how a pig farm is defined and the time of the data etc. The majority of the pig farms were located in the region of Vaasa Office of the Regional State Administrative Agency for Western and Inland Finland and in the region of Turku Office of the Regional State Administrative Agency for South-western Finland (66.8%) (Table1). In the region of the Regional State Administrative Agency for Eastern Finland there are few pig farms (7.2%) and its significance The distribution of basic types of pig farms (farrowing, finishing and farrowing-to-finishing farms) was even in Finland and neither the farrowing nor the finishing farms are clustered in any part of the country. Out of the pig farms 31.5% were farrowing farms, 38.0% finishing farms and the rest were classified as farrowing-to-finishing farms where at least a considerable part of the farm’s own piglets are raised until slaughter. Table 1. Number of pig farms, sows and finishers for meat production in the operations areas of respective Regional State Administrative Agency. 22 Regional State Administrative Agency Offfice Southern Finland Helsinki Pig farms Sows Finishing pigs 69 (2,9%) 3 700 27 000 Hämeenlinna 173 (7,2%) 9 300 64 000 Kouvola 105 (4,4%) 4 200 28 000 Western and Inland Jyväskylä 70 (2,9%) 2 500 12 000 Finland Tampere 111 (4,6%) 6 600 27 000 Vaasa 759 (31,7%) 49 200 288 000 Southwestern Finland Turku 841 (35,1%) 60 400 333 000 Eastern Finland Joensuu 42 (1,8%) 1 300 9 000 Kuopio 74 (3,1%) 4 400 23 000 Mikkeli 56 (2,3%) 2 100 11 000 Northern Finland Oulu 87 (3,6%) 5 700 34 000 Lapland Rovaniemi 6 (0,3%) <100 1 000 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile According to compiled data from slaughterhouses ca 200 pig farms were part of different network production systems (sow pools, multi-site systems, intermediate farms etc.). Six percent of the farms offered the pigs the possibility to stay outdoors at least part of the year (unpublished data). The data is based on a questionnaire that the risk assessment unit at Evira carried out in 2007. The questionnaire was related to the assessment of the necessity of emergency vaccination in connection to risk of the spreading of the foot-and-mouth disease (Lyytikäinen et al. 2011). On Sikava’s special level farms (Finnish SPF) it is prohibited to keep the animals outdoors due to the risk of transmission of faeces-related diseases. There are 73 approved special level farms in Finland. (Nikunen 2011). Organic pork production requires outdoor access for pigs according to the following guidelines; Pigs must have access to an outdoor pen at least from May to October. The outdoor enclosure must allow them to perform rooting exploratory behaviour. Solid ground solutions in the outdoor pen are allowed, provided that rooting material is arranged, for example turf. (Evira 2009b). Organic production was carried out by nine pig farms in Finland in 2009, and the total number of pigs on these farms was a little more than 2 600. The farms are located in South and West Finland, only one organic pig farm is located in Eastern Finland. In 2004 there were still 17 organic pig farms so the number of farms has significantly dropped during the last years. The number of animals, however, has remained about the same, meanwhile the number of farms has decreased (2 554 pigs in 2004). (Evira 2011d). These being the case, pigs have little access to outdoor activity; hence direct interaction between domestic pigs and wild boars is limited. Wild boars (Sus scrofa) in Finland Natural wild boar There is no exact data on the size of the wild boar population in Finland. A rough estimation suggests hundreds of wild boars, however, no more than five hundred, according to the expert at the Finnish Game and Fisheries Research Institute (Ermala 2010). The wild boar population has never been monitored in Finland and at present there are no plans to do so either (Ermala 2010). Wild boars occur in Finland mainly in South-eastern Finland, especially in Kymenlaakso, Etelä-Savo and PohjoisKarjala. The wild boar population is densest near the Russian border. (Ermala 2010). The most likely spreading direction from South-eastern Finland is Southern Finland, areas beneficial for animals, especially regarding agriculture. Northern Finland with less cultivated land is not so attractive for the wild boar. (Nummi 2010). The population in Russian Karelia was estimated to 850-900 wild boars in 2010 (Danilov etc. 2010). On the Russian side of Karelia the density of wild boar is not so high that the animals are forced to migrate. It is a question of natural movements of the eastern species (Ermala 2010). Wild boars have quite a stable territory. One year old individuals are ejected from the herd to look for a place of their own. There can be overlapping in the territories of different herds. At least the herds can amicably agree upon the same feeding grounds. (Ermala 2010). The wild boars thrive near water systems and find their way to them. They can swim in the sea to nearby islands, providing the circumstances are good, but hardly from Estonia to Finland (Ermala 2010). In winter the wild boar 23 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile is not believed to move across the ice, more probably it walks by land. The wild boar takes apparently the route along the isthmus from Russia to Finland. A snow cover higher than 40 cm complicates the movements of the wild boar, but in other respects the snow does not hinder them from moving around. Neither the cold is assumed to have an impact on the life of the wild boar, due to their thick fur (Ermala 2010, Nummi 2010). The frozen ground might, however, make searching for food difficult. The wild boar is estimated to have several feeding grounds near the east border in the Game Management District of Kyme. Wild boars near the frontier often stay on the Russian side during day time and move to the Finnish side to feed at dusk. They can shift several kilometres and even more. In the Game Management District of Kyme the largest wild boar herd consists of 10 to 20 animals, sometimes even many more. (Kiukas 2010). During the last ten years there have been attempts to increase the number of wild boars by means of feeding. Earlier wild boars were not separately fed, but they visited other feeding grounds. Nowadays separate feeding places are arranged for the wild boars. For example in Kitee a herd of forty wild boars are fed. (Ermala 2010). The wild boar usually reproduces once a year (Hälli & Heinonen 2009). Even if the wild boar can reproduce effectively, it is still rare in number. Many hunters wish for the population to grow. Damages caused by wild boar are not considered so significant that the size of the population ought to be limited (Ermala 2010). Probably less than a hundred wild boars are annually hunted in Finland. It is difficult to estimate the exact number as the hunters are not obligated to notify their catches (Ermala 2010). Normal procedure entails that the body and edible internal organs are not 24 consumed before they are tested for Trichinella. Intestines are not used. (Kiukas 2010). Natural game meat inspection is carried out either in a game handling establishment or a slaughterhouse approved as a game handling establishment, or in butcheries or so called butcher’s sheds. The meat inspection is always carried out by the official veterinarian. It is agreed that natural game meat that has been inspected in slaughterhouses, butcheries or game handling establishments can also be delivered to other EU member states. If the natural game meat is inspected in a butcher’s shed it is only approved for the home market (Evira 2010b). Wild boar meat is at least tested for Trichinella. For Trichinella tests meat samples are taken in connection to the meat inspection. The samples are sent to be analyzed in a laboratory authorized by Evira (Evira 2010b). Food legislation requirements do not apply to meat that hunters use in their own household. Game meat preserves, sausages and other products intended for the hunters’ own use can be produced of inspected or non-inspected game meat, performed elsewhere than in a meat production establishment. Authorized meat handling establishments are allowed to manufacture meat products only from inspected meat. (Evira 2010e). Farmed wild boar The project VILLISIKA (WILD BOAR) 2007–2009 at the Faculty of Veterinary Medicine at the University of Helsinki investigated in 2007 the actively operating wild boar farmers which at that time were 64 (Hälli 2011). Farming wild boar is an operation subject to declaration and in March 2011 the Regional State Administrative Agencies had registered 111 wild boar farms in Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile the Elite data system (Figure 3). This number also includes such farms that have quitted farming wild boar but have not informed the authorities about it (Table 2 and Figure 4). There are two associations for wild boar farmers in Finland. Riistankasvattajat ry. is an active association for game breeding entrepreneurs. The association has also other members than wild boar farmers. On the web-site of Riistankasvattajat ry. 24 farmers are listed. Some of the wild boar breeders (14 farms) belong to Suomen Villisiankasvattajien Yhdistys ry. In Northern Karelia where intensive wild boar farming is concentrated, the farming area is about 100 hectares and the total number of wild boars two thousand (Heiskanen 2010). © 2011 MML, Karttakeskus Figure 3. Wild boar farms with known location registered in the Elite data system (82 farms, 74% of farms). Location of other farms is not registered in the official register. 4/4/2011. 25 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Regional State Administrative Agencies Rovaniemi Head offices Branch offices Oulu Decisions on whether staff work in other locations are made by Regional state administrative agency. Vaasa Kuopio Jyväskylä Tampere Mikkeli Hämeenlinna Kouvola Turku Helsinki Figure 4. The Regional State Administrative Agencies and their offices. Source: Ministry of Finance 26 Joensuu Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Table 2. The distribution of all wild boar farms and number of wild boars registered in the Elite data system per Regional State Agency. Regional State Administrative Agency Percentage of animals Percentage of farms Regional State Administrative Agency for Southwesten Finland 5 7 Regional State Administrative Agency for Lapland 9 9 Regional State Administrative Agency for Northern Finland 14 23 Regional State Administrative Agency for Western and Inland Finland 16 16 Regional State Administrative Agency for Southern Finland 18 23a Regional State Administrative Agency for Eastern Finland 38 22 a 42 percent of the farms in the Regional State Administrative Agency for Southern Finland are situated in the region of Kouvola office i.e. in the most eastern part of the region. Wild boar farming has taken into use a two-stage breeding system. There are two pig production farms in Northern Karelia. (Heiskanen 2010). The aim on the sow herd farm is to rear only breeding sows and piglets. Wild boar sows give birth to 3 to 5 piglets once a year. The piglets are relocated to the finisher farm in late summer or early spring. The farmed wild boars in Eastern Finland are descendants of free-living wild boars captured in nature. To our knowledge wild boars are not imported to Finland from any other country than Sweden and Estonia. The swine register is notified of all transfers of wild boar, but in the register wild boars are not separated from domestic pigs. A wild boar can reach an age of 30 years, but on farms in Finland the oldest animals have reached an age of 15 years (Hälli & Heinonen 2009). Prior to wild boar slaughter and bleeding the veterinarian carries out an ante-mortem inspection. The slaughtering process is concluded within three hours in the slaughterhouse and from there the meat is delivered to whole saling. In Northern Karelia three slaughterhouses take wild boars. In the fall of 2010 these slaughterhouses expected to receive 500 animals to be slaughtered, that is ca 28 000 kilograms. (Heiskanen 2010). Wild boars that have escaped from farms can wander nearby, but usually they return home when they are hungry. Wild boars seldom escape and if they do so, they usually find their way back the same day. Wild boars do not seem to try to escape, but can leave if, for example, the gate is left open by mistake. In the surroundings round the farm daily inspections are done. That way attempted escapes, obtrusions into the farm and animals wandering near the farm are discovered. If a wild boar tries to escape it most likely tries to dig itself under the fence. (Heiskanen 2010). Settlements are probably rather insignificant, neither enticing nor deterrent to the wild boar. It is possible that sows during mating time on farms can attract wild boar hogs, as it is possible to find a mating partner by means of scents even from far away. Wild boar herds from Russia avoid farms, strange animals do not attract them and the welcome especially during sows’ mating time would not be a warm one. 27 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Routes of entry into the country for ASF The African swine fever can enter the country through import of infected pigs or semen. The disease can even enter through an empty livestock transport if it is inadequately cleansed and disinfected. Wild boars can wander to Finland or live boars can be imported to farms in Finland. The disease can enter the country through a person’s clothes or by the introduction of personal consignments of products of infected meat or meat products. Also different contaminated appliances (e.g. hunting gear), objects and equipments can bring the disease into the country through people and livestock transport vehicles. Furthermore catering waste from means 28 of transport operating internationally is a potential risk (Figure 5). When the disease has crossed the border, certain chains of events must occur for the disease to get into contact with Finnish wild boars or pigs. In addition a direct transmission from the wild boar population to the domestic pig population requires a wild boar population which id dense enough and outdoor activities for domestic pigs. It is possible that disease spreads through a vector, but if domestic pigs are tightly held indoors and biosecurity is adequate, there is a lower risk of disease transmission. Infected pig or semen in Finland BORDER Import Infected wild boar in Finland Migration Infected wild boar Susceptible pig, wild boar or farmed wild boar BORDER Introduction into the country Person carrying the virus in his or her equipment or clothes Figure 5. Detected routes for the African swine fever to enter into Finland. Contaminated livestock transport vehicle in Finland BORDER Transport Livestock transport vehicle contaminated by the virus Infected pig or semen Escaped infected farmed wild boar Contaminated objects and equipments having been in contact with the virus Infected catering waste for pig or wild boar feed/ infection through vector Infected catering waste from international transport (planes or ships) Is not disposed of as category 1 waste Disposal as category 1 waste BORDER Infected wild boar meat/pig meat BORDER Legal or illegal commercial import or introduction for personal use Meat of infected pig or wild boar Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile 29 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Principal routes of entry into the country Tourism ASF can be introduced into the country through people’s clothes, shoes, gear or souvenirs made from animal products. For this to happen a person, while staying abroad, has to be in contact with an infected pig, wild boar, pig meat or wild boar meat for example in relation to a visit to animal farms or by participating in wild boar hunting. People can bring the disease into the country through souvenirs made from animal products that have been in contact with an infected pig or its body fluids. Finns travel a lot. In 2009 15-74-yearolds Finns made totally 5.6 million leisure trips abroad. To Russia 125 000 trips including overnight stays were made and to Africa 109 000 trips, of the latter half were made to Egypt. Finns made totally 182 000 leisure trips to Russia in 2009. Every fifth leisure trip including an overnight stay was made to Estonia, that is 718 000 trips. Including day trips and cruises, the number of trips to Estonia totalled 1.6 million. (Statistics Finland 2010a). Of business trips including overnight stays in the destination country, 45 percent of the (390 000) trips were made to the neighbouring regions. Most business trips were by far made to Sweden, totally 167 000 trips. On second place came Germany and Estonia, to both countries 95 000 business trips were made. To Asia, the American continent and Africa about 100 000 business trips were made. To Russia 52 000 business and conference trips were made in 2009. (Statistics Finland 2010b). The Russians were the absolutely biggest foreign tourist group in Finland in February 2011. In February 2011 nearly 32 000 Russians were registered in a tourist accommodati30 on, which constitute 22 percent of the total number of foreign tourists. The Russians’ overnight stays dropped 2.4 percent from February last year. (Statistics Finland 2010b). As the African swine fever has never been detected in Egypt according to OIE, Finns travelled in countries where ASFinfection potentially occurs, more than 300 000 times in 2009. As other African states have not been specified in the statistics, it is assumed and simplified that trips to all other countries except Egypt are trips to areas of potential ASF infection. Wild boar hunting trips have become more common. Many Finnish and foreign travel organizers arrange wild boar hunting trips mostly to Estonia and Sweden, but also to Poland, Germany, Slovakia, Hungary and Russia. At least one travel operator organizes wild boar trips to Africa. There is, however, no information available on how many wild boar hunting trips are made. Travels of persons working in swine production in Finland The most significant group of people concerning the introduction of the disease into the country is people having to do with pigs in ASF infected areas and also with pigs in Finland (Figure 6). For this reason people working in Finnish pig farms and regularly visiting infection areas (workers in pig farms and pig farm owners) are the most noteworthy group in relation to the disease. Pig farm workers visiting Russia cause a potential risk for the ASF to enter into country through infected food products as souvenirs. Agriculture in Finland employs directly about 90 000 people of which 80 000 are entrepreneurs or their family members. Measured by number of persons, grain farms are the biggest employer in the agriculture industry, Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile secondly farms concentrated on dairy cattle and horticulture (Employment and Economic Development Office 2008). In Finland there are probably not more than 10 000 pig farm workers and pig farm entrepreneurs (pig farms about 2 400). The labour force (15–74 yearolds) totalled some 2.6 million in November 2009 (Statistics Finland 2010c); hence the pig farm workers constitute at the most 0.4 percent of the labour force. If this fraction of the population travels as much as the rest to Russia and Africa, an assessment of the number of trips that people working with pigs made to ASF infected countries in 2009 is 1 200. Only a fraction of these trips, however, are destined to a real risk area from where the ASF virus in theory could be carried from. In 2007 about 14 700 foreign workers worked on more than 2 000 Finnish farms or horticulture companies. The foreign workers constituted mostly of seasonal labour force and worked on an average 40 days per person a year. Of the foreign labour force two thirds worked on farms specialized in horticulture, consequently a little less than 5 000 people worked on animal farms (TIKE 2008). As the number of pig farms constitutes less than 10 percent of all domestic animal farms in Finland, presumably less than 10 percent of these 5 000 people worked in the pig industry, that is, 500 people at the most. If we assume that these people stayed on an average half of the year in Finland and made during that time a trip abroad once a month, these people made 3 000 trips a year at the most. Russian citizens that work on pig farms in Finland need a worker’s residence permit. It is usually granted for a certain occupation. A residence permit may either be for a fixed term or be permanent. A fixed-term residence permit is granted either as a temporary or a continuous residence permit. The first residence permit is always issued for a fixed term (Ministry of Employment and the Economy 2006). In 2010 the num- ber of pending residence permit applications from the Russian Federation was 1 029, which no doubt constitutes the largest nationality (Finnish Immigration Service 2011). Simultaneously the number of decisions regarding worker’s residence permits were 3 852, of these 22 percent was rejected. Russian citizens were granted 734 worker’s residence permits (Finnish Immigration Service 2011). According to judgments on a part of an action of the Employment and Economic Development Offices regarding residence permit applications in 2010, 54 citizens of the Russian Federation were granted their first permit as farm workers. In addition 49 Russians were granted a continuous permit (Employment and Economic Development Office 2011). Farm workers have not been specified according to production form, hence there is no information available on how many farm workers have been working in a pig farm. Even if all Russians with work permits for farm work would work in the pig industry, they would only constitute about 1 percent of the whole labour force in the pig industry. If these 103 persons made a trip home once a month, 1 200 trips were made in 2010. Relief workers The number of foreign relief workers is very small. In 2008 there were totally 14 921 relief workers on domestic animal farms. Of these 14 598 were Finns, 4 Swedes, 235 Estonians, 36 Russians and 29 from other countries. (Mela 2011). On Finnish pig farms there were 8 Russian pig farmer relief workers from 1.1.2008 to 5.2.2010. During that time they worked from 4 to 301 days in Finland, totally 649 days. (Mela 2011). Of these people only 2 stayed in Finland for more than a month during the period mentioned above. Assuming they went home every month, the number of trips is calculated to 50. The number of trips to possibly ASF- infected farms is even smaller, but unknown. 31 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile People working in pig production in ASF risk areas and their travels to Finland In Russia 7.7 million people worked in the agriculture industry in 2005. Furthermore 23.7 million people were engaged in cultivation for domestic use and 45 percent of these informed that cultivation for domestic use is their main occupation. Russia’s agriculture employs totally 16.5 million full-time workers, that is, 22% of the Russian labour force (Bogdanovskii 2005). Statistical information on people working with pigs in Russia is not available, but they form a small group of the previously men- tioned people engaged in agriculture. Assuming that farm workers make trips to Finland as eagerly as people from other lines of business and assuming that only people belonging to the labour force travelled to Finland, about 7 000 Russian farm workers registered in tourist accommodations in February 2011, of which only an insignificant part constitutes of pig farm workers. People arriving in Finland from ASF infected farms probably only compose a small fraction of pig farm workers visiting Finland and only seldom, if ever, they are in contact with the Finnish pig industry. Person contaminated abroad while visiting an infected pig farm Travels to Finland BORDER Foreign pig farm worker/agricultural holiday substitute/ consultant BORDER Finnish pig farm worker/pig farm owner BORDER Rural tourism/ other visitor Non-compliance with ETT disease prevention guidelines in connection to trip Susceptible pig Figure 6. People can introduce the disease from an ASF infected area to the Finnish pig population. 32 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Summary of people’s routes People can carry ASF to Finland only if they are in contact with infected pigs or body fluids of these pigs. ASF that has entered the country can end up in the pig production chain only if a person shortly after the event is in contact with the Finnish pig industry. It is difficult to estimate how common the above-mentioned events are and even their extent. However, people moving between potential ASF regions and Finland are possible, as well as people coming from ASF regions having contact with the Finnish pig industry. Import of pig meat an wild boar meat Import of infected wild boar meat or pig meat or hunting trophies can be a route for the virus to enter into the country (Figure 7). Also different contaminated appliances, objects and equipments that have been used in connection to infected meat or other products of animal origin can spread the infection. Introduction into the country may be intended for commercial or for private use and both may be legal or illegal. The meat may be fresh or cooked in moderate temperatures (e.g. sausages, salami). Also hunting trophies as souvenirs can carry the virus into Finland. A person being in contact with infected meat/meat product/trophy or a formite that has been in contact with these, must on the Finnish side be in contact with a susceptible pig/farmed boar. An alternative is feeding a pig with an unheated infected meat product brought into the country as a souvenir (for example a sausage). Import of pig meat from Russia is banned, but ignorance regarding the decision or unwillingness to take notice of the decision is possible. The fact that the virus survives for long in inadequately heated, salted, smoked, dried or frozen meat products increases the probability of the virus entering the country through the products mentioned above. The introduction of products of animal origin may cause a risk of animal diseases spreading to live animals. Therefore passengers play an important role regarding keeping animal diseases out of the EU area. The regulations concern consignments that are ordered or sent or brought along with a passenger. Important factors in the spreading of virus diseases through meat products is the stabilizer in relation to the pH value and the temperature, target animals, survival of the virus in pig meat and pig meat products and the quantification of the agent (i.e. virus titre in meat compared to an ineffective oral dose). The ASF virus survives well in meat and meat products. 104 days in deep freezed meat, 399 days in Parma ham and 39 days in salami. Thermal inactivation happens at 69 °C. The infective oral dose has in experimental surveys been 104.3–105.4 HAD50. The titre in muscle in an experimental infection was 106.6, in salami 103.0–103.25. (Farez & Morley 1997). It has been possible to connect many ASF spreading cases to the feeding of meat products to pigs (Portugal 1957, Cuba 1971, Belgium 1985) (Farez & Morley 1997). The disease cases in the Leningrad region in the autumn of 2009 and at the end of 2010 were probably caused by feeding catering waste to pigs. Feeding catering waste to pigs cannot be considered a very common procedure, especially as it is forbidden in Finland. Souvenirs from the EU Foodstuffs of animal origin brought from an EU member state by a private person intended for his or her private use or that are sent to a private person to be used in his or her private household, are not subject to controls at point of entry. It is allowed to bring in reasonable 33 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile quantities of foodstuffs of animal origin or products containing these foodstuffs intended for personal consumption. It is not obligated to report the introduction of foodstuffs intended for these purposes. If these products, on the other hand, will be distributed or sold, this is considered as an operation subject to control at point of entry. (Evira 2010f). From EU countries passengers may bring with them a game animal or animals they have shot themselves. This, however, must comply with the upper limit of tax-free import, CITES (the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora) regulations and decisions on protection. (Evira 2010f). There is no information on the amount of souvenirs and their countries of origin, neither on how well guidelines are acknowledged nor how well they are applied to. This route of entry can pose a risk if the labels on the consignments do not match with the original (i.e. the meat or meat product originates from an ASF risk area) or if there is an unidentified ASF epidemic in the EU area from where ASF contaminated foods have reached retail sale. among other things, lists of approved establishments in both EU countries and countries outside the EU, Commission protection regulations on restriction of transport of foodstuffs of animal origin and information about CITES Convention on trade in endangered animal species. Since 1 May, 2008 Evira has on a national scale planned and supervised the control at point of entry as the control earlier was covered by the responsibility of foodstuff supervision of the municipalities. Evira buys the majority of the controls at point of entry from the municipalities in accordance with the Food Act (23/2006, § 42). The municipalities carry out the controls according to the agreements made with Evira and under Evira’s guidance. (Evira 2010a). The ASF virus may enter into the country through EU import if safety measures in other member states “leak” and hence, ASF contaminated meat or meat products have entered the EU area. Another risk is inaccurate original labels. There is no knowledge of the frequency of cases like these, but presumably they are not very common. Souvenirs from third countries Commercial import from the EU If foodstuffs of animal origin are imported in intra-community trade to Finland for commercial purposes (distribution of sale), the operation is subject to controls at point of entry. Control at point of entry is part of food supervision and concerns foodstuffs of animal origin that are introduced into Finland from other EU member states and some other countries. The aim of the control at point of entry is to ensure the food hygiene quality of the foodstuffs and to hinder the spread of animal diseases transmitted by these. Concerning commercial import, several factors have to be taken into account, 34 When souvenirs are introduced into the country, decisions on protection shall always be complied with. Decisions of protection are fixed-term, country- and region-specific import bans laid down by the EU, related to the outburst of certain animal diseases in a specific country or region. The importer is always responsible for pursuing the decisions on protection. Imports of meat, meat products, milk, dairy products and hunting souvenirs from other countries than Croatia, the Faroe Islands and Island: A passenger may bring meat, meat products, milk and dairy products or feeds Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile containing the above-mentioned constituents or hunting souvenirs into Finland only through such points of entry where there are veterinary border inspection posts (irrespective of quantity, ever how small). The border veterinarian performs a chargeable import inspection. The introduction of products is only allowed from countries and establishments outside the EU that are approved for export of these products according to legislation of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. The products shall be accompanied by a health certificate of conforming format and authorized by the authority in the country of origin. The value of the consignment must not exceed upper limits approved by the customs. (Evira 2011c). Hunting souvenirs (meat, trophies) are subject to strict import regulations and it is not allowed to bring gifts of animal origin containing pig or wild boar meat from countries where African swine fever occurs. It guidelines are not pursued it may increase the risk of the disease entering the country. Commercial import from third countries Importation is allowed from countries regards which the veterinary certificate format conforming to said consignment is mentioned in column 4 in the table in part 1 of Annex II in Article 14 of Commission Regulation (EC) No 206/2010. Fresh meat is allowed from the following third countries: USA, New Zeeland, Canada, Australia and Chile. There are approved establishments in USA (16), Canada (5) and Chile (7). No fresh pig meat was imported from third countries in 2010 and not even before that importation from third countries was frequent. In 2009 and 2008 occasional imports for catering on ships occurred, but not for intra-community trade. (Juselius 2011). According to Commission Decision 2007/777/EC, pig meat products require a certain treatment according to country and furthermore an approved establishment. Below treatments are listed and also the countries from where import of meat products is allowed on the condition that the products have undergone the treatments listed below and provided that there are approved establishments in the country (number of establishment in brackets). Treatment A = No minimum specified temperature or other treatment is established for animal health purposes for meat products and treated stomachs, bladders and intestines. However, the meat of such meat products and treated stomachs, bladders and intestines must have undergone a treatment such that its cut surface shows that it no longer has the characteristics of fresh meat and the fresh meat used must also satisfy the animal health rules applicable to exports of fresh meat into the Community. Countries from where import is allowed provided that the products have undergone the above-mentioned treatment and provided that there are approved establishments: Canada (2), Chile (4) and USA (several establishments). Treatment B = Treatment in a hermetically sealed container to an Fo value of three or more. Countries from where import is allowed provided that the products have undergone the above-mentioned treatment and provided that there are approved establishments: Senegal (1). Treatment C = A minimum temperature of 80°C which must be reached throughout the meat and/or stomachs, bladders and intestines during the processing of the meat product and treated stomachs, bladders and intestines. Countries from where import is allowed provided that the products have undergone the above-mentioned treatment 35 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile and provided that there are approved establishments: No approved establishments. Treatment D = A minimum temperature of 70°C which must be reached throughout the meat and/or stomachs, bladders and intestines during the processing of meat products and treated stomachs, bladders and intestines, or for raw ham, a treatment consisting of natural fermentation and maturation of not less than nine months and resulting in the following characteristics: -Aw value of not more than 0.93, -pH value of not more than 0.6. Countries from where import is allowed provided that the products have undergone the above-mentioned treatment and provided that they are approved establishments: Serbia (4). According to authority data, pig meat products were neither imported from third countries in 2010 nor during recent years (Juselius 2011). Smuggling It is not allowed to bring meat or meat products or milk and dairy products from countries outside the EU, with exception of consignments of 10 kg from the following countries: Croatia, Faroe Islands, Greenland and Island. (Evira 2011c). This being the case, the introduction of pig meat and pig meat products from Russia is not allowed. The National Board of Customs compiles annually data according to EU custom regulation, that is, the total amount (in kg) of confiscated meat products and dairy products (Commission Regulati- 36 on (EC) No 206/2009). Risk-based and random checks of people, luggage and vehicles are carried out. Due to limited control capacity the majority of souvenirs are in practice checked, for example, at Vaalimaa and Nuijamaa border posts as random tests are mostly carried out due to other reasons for checking a vehicle. In 2010 7 552 meat or milk consignments were confiscated from personal luggage. Of these 606 kg contained meat or meat products and 280 kg milk or dairy product. Confiscations concerned mostly people from the following third countries: Russia, Ukraine, China, Kazakhstan and Belaya Russia. Mostly Russian passengers were checked, approximately a hundred people. Usually passengers and lorry drivers brought with them an amount ranging from 0.1 to 1.0 kilos of meat and dairy products. (Finnish National Board of Customs 2011) To prevent African swine fever from spreading, the customs have intensified inspections and according to customs statistics about 15 000 inspections have been done in the eastern and northern customs district, that is at the eastern border and 345 illegal consignments have been revealed. At border posts, hours of waiting for border crossings are possible. It is possible that persons frequently crossing the border (truck drivers etc.) bring along meals in their cars while waiting for to cross the border and may throw catering waste into the nature. The waste may attract wild animals and consequently also wild boar. In this way infected pig products may infect a wild boar near the border area, and hence infect the wild boar population in Finland. Vector Infected pig meat in Finland Disposal as category 1 waste or composite waste BORDER Susceptible pig Feeding pigs with infected catering waste Infected wild boar meat in Finland BORDER Illegal import Legal introduction for personal use Figure 7. ASF can be introduced into Finland through pig meat, wild boar meat or hunting trophies. Infected catering waste in nature BORDER Commercial import Infected wild boar meat/insufficiently heated processed wild boar product Infected pig meat/ insufficiently heated processed pork product Contaminated instrument, object, equipment or trophy in contact with infected meat in Finland BORDER Instruments, object, equipments and trophies contaminated while handling infected meat Hunting trophies Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile 37 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Summary of introduction of products of animal origin as a transmission route There is no exact knowledge about the amount of potential ASF contaminated meat and/or trophies introduced into Finland. In order for the ASF contaminated meat and/or trophy to be a risk it must enter the production chain of pigs. This is possible, for example, by feeding pigs and/or wild boar with contaminated meat. Concerning trophies there is no direct route to the pig production chains. The route of ASF contaminated meat to Finnish pig production is considered possible. Import of live domestic pigs The African swine fever can be introduced into Finland through domestic pigs (Figure 8). Pigs can legally be imported from countries where infection has still not been detected or be imported illegally from countries where the disease occurs. The imported pig must be in contact with a susceptible Finnish pig or farmed wild boar, either directly or transmitted by body fluids. Transports of live pigs to Finland from both other EU and third countries are registered in the Traces-system. Statistics beginning from 2003 reveals that live pigs have been imported regularly from Norway and one import consignment came from Denmark in 2010. In addition 18 wild boars were imported from Estonia to a farm in Finland in 2008. Importation of pigs and wild boar from Russia is banned (Evira 2010d). Concerning production animals the Traces system is comprehensive, but mini pigs are noticed to have been imported a few times against regulations, and hence there have been no Traces health certificates either (Evira 2011a). There are no discoveries of smuggled domestic pigs or wild boar. The trans38 mission route does not seem likely, as only few animals are imported and only from countries where there is not any ASF. The number of smuggled domestic pigs and wild boars is unknown, but as marketing and selling the meat for pig production would be difficult, it can be assumed that smuggling is more prosperous elsewhere. Especially smuggling of live pigs from ASF areas does not seem very likely. Import of pig semen ASF may also be spread by semen (Figure 8). Pig semen is regularly imported to Finland from Norway and to one farm from Sweden. Furthermore some import consignments were imported from Denmark and Germany to one quarantine breeding unit in 2009 (not directly to farms). From Germany the importation continued with two consignments in 2010 (Nauholz 2011). In 2009 several consignments were imported from the above-mentioned countries and additionally five consignments from Denmark. Statistics beginning from 2003 reveal that pig semen has not been imported to Finland from other countries (Evira 2010d). Importation of pig semen from Russia is banned. There is no information and discoveries about smuggled pig semen. Semen has only been imported from ASF-free countries. In order for the importation to be a risk, import should happen from countries where ASF transmission is possible. In order for the semen to cause infection it should originate from an ASF-infected hog and be used for inseminating sows in Finland. At present this is not likely. Livestock transport vehicles The disease may be introduced into the country also through livestock transport vehicles (Figure 8). A possible scenario could be the following: There have been Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile infected pigs in the vehicle and the virus occurs in body fluids or bedding left in the vehicle. The vehicle returns dirty to Finland and is thereafter reloaded with susceptible Finnish domestic pigs or farmed wild boars which are transported to a farm. Another potential route of infection is the possibility that there are contaminated appliances and equipments in the vehicle and that they eventually will be in contact with Finnish pigs. Transit transports via Finland shall be recorded in the Traces system. In 2010 cattle, goats, horses and poultry were transported via Finland from other EU countries to Russia, but no pigs. From Finland directly to Russia 290 pigs were transported with two vehicles before Christmas 2010 and in one vehicle a consignment of 180 pigs in January 2011. These pigs were fetched directly from farms with Russian transport vehicles, but the farms from where the pigs were obtained, were in quarantine use, and not authentic pig farms. For many years there have not been any transports of pigs from other EU countries to Russia. In 2007 a few consignments of Spanish breeding pigs were transported to Russia via Finland. (Evira 2011a). Commission decision on measures to prevent the spread of the disease from Russia to the EU area, regulates that vehicles having transported pigs to Russia shall be cleaned and disinfected after unloading and before entering the EU area. A verification of this has to be presented to the customs authority. Also the pig industry presents its own guidelines through The Association for Animal Disease Prevention (ETT) in order to manage risks related to animal transports. Regulation No 401/2011 of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry on import control of objects causing risk of spreading disease entered into effect in April 2011. The regulation concerns vehicles used for transportation of livestock and cloths, equipments, bedding and other objects used where the animals are kept, as well as objects used for transport of dead and alive animals and for transport, storage and packing of products originated from these animals. At the customs the importer is obligated to present potential risk objects that are brought into the EU, as well as documents concerning these objects. To bring in these objects is only allowed if they are cleaned and treated in such a manner that they do not cause any risk of spreading animal diseases. Concerning Russian vehicles, the decision was issued in the beginning of February and the regulation on inspection of objects causing risk of animal disease and import documents in connection to these, came into force in April 2011. For this reason there is no statistics available at present on the movements of empty livestock transport vehicles across the Finnish borders. 39 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Infected pig Infected semen Empty livestock transport vehicle contaminated with the virus Smuggling BORDER No desinfection/inadequate desinfection prior to border crossing Import BORDER Contaminated livestock transport vehicle in contact with pigs in Finland BORDER Infected pig/semen in Finland Susceptible pig Figure 8. Importation of live pigs or semen and contaminated vehicle used for animal transport are potential routes of entry into the country There is a risk of introduction into the country, but risk management measures are effective Catering waste from means of transport operating internationally Means of transport operating internationally (planes or ships) can bring along contaminated catering waste (Figure 9). In accordance with EU legislation the waste must be delivered for disposal as category 1 waste, which in practice means that it is collected into different collection containers and thereafter 40 delivered to be incinerated either in an approved incineration plant or buried at an approved landfill site. At the landfill site the waste is immediately enclosed with a layer of soil. (Evira 2009a). The risk of the disease entering the country increases if catering waste from means of transport operating internationally is disposed of through illegal means and ends up as feed on a wild boar farm or pig farm or in nature and consumed by free-living wild boars. It is most likely that ASF spread from Angola to Portugal in 1957, to a pig farm near the airport in Lisbon as a Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile result of feeding catering waste. ASF was also introduced into Cuba in 1971 and 1978, Malta, Sardinia, Brazil and the Dominican Republic in 1978 and Belgium in 1985 with catering waste from means of transport operating internationally. In Finland the international air traffic is concentrated to Helsinki-Vantaa airport. On shorter flights, the served meals usually originate from Finland, also concerning the return trip. On flights to Asia and on other long distance flights, catering on return flights constitutes of foodstuffs from the place of destination and the catering waste from these flights are appropriately collected and delivered to be disposed of from Helsinki-Vantaa airport as category 1 waste. Catering waste is also produced on train transports from St Petersburg and Moscow to Helsinki. In passenger trains from Russia, either Finnish or Russian food is served. Catering waste from passenger trains from Russia is collected in Helsinki as category 1 waste. Also catering waste from international cruise ships are picked up at Helsinki port as category 1 catering waste. From the airport, Finnish railways and the port, the above-mentioned waste is delivered in a container for category 1 waste to Ämmässuo waste management centre in Espoo. (Airaksinen 2011). Kukkuroinmäki waste handling station in Konnunsuo in Lappeenranta handle waste from the ports of the region Lappeenranta-Imatra-Joutseno, that is, catering waste from ship traffic from Russia via Saima channel. The station is near an area densely populated with wild boar. However, according to Heidi Oksman at Etelä-Karjalan Jätehuolto Oy there were observations of single wild boars when the waste handling station was established, but today wild boars have not been seen for several years. The enclosure of the waste handling station is not that inaccessible that it would hinder wild boars from getting into the area to root about. The timing, however, would have to be exact, as there is already a pit dug for the catering waste, and as the waste is dumped into the pit it is immediately buried. Nevertheless, it is possible that wild boar may root around and find waste under the earth layer at night and consequently get hold of possibly infected waste. Nonetheless, the amount of catering waste form means of transport operating internationally is small and, thus this risk cannot be considered very significant. There has been a follow-up of the accumulation of catering waste from means of transport operating internationally during several years. The amount of delivered waste for disposal has during the last years ranged from 1 million kilograms to 1.7 kilograms. The major part of waste has been collected from the Helsinki area, especially from air traffic and delivered to YTV Ämmässuo waste management plant. In 2010 about 14 tons of the above-mentioned waste was delivered to Kukkoroinmäki regional waste handling station in South-Karelia. (Airaksinen 2011). If regulations are complied with there is no direct route for International catering waste to reach the population of domestic pigs or wild boars. 41 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Infected catering waste from means of transport operating internationally (planes or ships ) BORDER BORDER Feeding pigs with infected catering waste BORDER Disposal as household waste BORDER Infected catering waste in nature Disposal as category 1 waste Infected catering waste on a wild boar farm Susceptible farmed wild boar Infected catering waste on a pig farm Wild boar feeding on landfill site Susceptible pig Susceptible wild boar Carrier animal (e.g. rat , bird) Figure 9. Catering waste from means of transport operating internationally (planes, ships) can introduce the disease into the country, if not appropriately disposed of. The risk of introduction into the country is real but possibilities for risk management are small Wild boars crossing the border Infected wild boar from Russia can cross the border to Finland (Figure 10). They may also be runaways from farms in Russia. In order for the infected wild boar to transmit the disease to the Finnish pig population it would have to get in contact with, either a domestic pig staying outdoors or with a farmed wild 42 boar. Interaction between farmed wild boar and natural wild boar is not very likely. Wild boar herds avoid farms as strange animals do not attract them and the welcome, especially during sows’ mating time, would not be a warm one (Heiskanen 2010). Another viewpoint is that natural wild boars might attempt to get near farms as they are gregarious animals (Ermala 2010). For the disease to transmit from wild boar to domestic pigs, the density of the wild boar population would have to be high and domestic pigs stay outdoors. The project for foot-and-mouth dise- Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile ase which was carried out by Evira’s risk assessment unit estimated the number of pigs kept outdoors to be 6 percent of all domestic pigs. On organic farms it is compulsory to keep pigs outdoors. There were nine organic farms in Finland in 2010 and only one of those was situated near the eastern border. On that farm there was only one sow in 2010 (Evira 2011b). where ASF has occurred is the Leningrad region, but there the virus has only been detected in domestic pigs. The disease should thus first spread to wild boars. It is not likely that wild boar migrate all the way from that region to Finland, especially as the form of the disease that has occurred in Russia has been so acute that it probably kills the wild boar before it has time to spread the disease. Hitherto the wild boar population on the Russian side is so small that the animals are not forced to spread to the Finnish side. Feeding of wild boar may, however, increase the movements of wild boar in the area and consequently increase the possibility that an ASF infected wild boar travels from Russia to Finland. Until now the nearest place to the Finnish border Due to reasons mentioned above the risk of an infected wild boar transmitting the disease to farmed wild boars or the domestic pig population is small. If, however, a wild boar infected with African swine fever is detected in Finland, it will cause massive protection measures and export restrictions. Infected farmed wild boar Escape Infected wild boar Person contaminated abroad while visiting an infected wild boar farm Travel to Finland BORDER See Figure 6. With people Transport Smuggling Migration See Figure 7. Infected pig meat BORDER BORDER Hunting Livestock transport vehicle contaminated by the virus Contact with natural or farmed wild boar Contact with outdoor pigs Hunting Infected wild boar meat in Finland Susceptible pig See Figure 7. Infected pig meat Figure 10. An infected wild boar can cross the eastern border to Finland. 43 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Examples of existing risk management measures Legislation and related control Cleansing and disinfection of livestock transport vehicles The Commission issued its safeguard measures 2011/78/EU on preventing transmission of ASF from Russia to the EU area. The decision argues that there have been numerous outbreaks of ASF in Russia since 2007, and in the St Petersburg region the outbreak was very close to the Union border in January 2011. Even if import of pig and pig meat is not permitted from Russia to the EU area, the disease may spread with empty vehicles used for transportation of livestock. For this reason cleansing and disinfection of livestock transport vehicles play a most significant role. The decision lays down that livestock transport vehicles transporting pigs to Russia must be cleansed and disinfected after unloading and before entering the EU area. A declaration of this has to be presented to the customs authorities. Border authorities must check that the transport vehicle is satisfactorily cleansed and disinfected. If this is the case the authority issues a certificate. If cleansing and disinfection have not been satisfactorily carried out, the border authority may refuse the entry into the territory of the Union or subject the vehicle to proper cleansing and disinfection. Models of both forms are included 44 in the decision: Declaration of cleansing of vehicle used for animal transports and certificate of satisfactorily cleansing issued by the authority. In addition Evira has written a guideline on disinfection of livestock transport vehicles operating internationally (15103/2) (Evira 2010c), which is based on the Decree of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry No 3/EEO/2001. The following means are described: Cleansing and disinfection of livestock transport vehicles from Russia and other third countries, cleansing and disinfection of vehicles used for livestock transport within the Union and approval of place for cleansing and disinfection. Livestock transport vehicles coming from third countries must be re-cleansed and re-disinfected before reloading. If the vehicle has been used for transporting cattle and pigs, re-disinfection must be performed in a place approved for disinfection. In Finland there is one approved place for disinfection and it is situated in Southern Karelia, in Taavetti in the municipality of Luumäki. Guidelines The Association for Animal Disease Prevention (ETT) has laid down guidelines for visits abroad and especially for animal disease risks on foreign livestock farms. ETT especially warns about the risk of viral and easily spreading animal diseases entering one country from another as easily as via clothing, shoes Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile and animal products. ETT gives the fol lowing advice for people travelling abroad in areas where an easily spreading animal disease has been detected or where there is no information on the disease situation: Take good care of your personal hygiene on your trip (wash your hands). Do not visit the country side if a dangerous or easily spreading animal disease has been detected or is suspected to occur in the country. Do not bring home any gifts or products of animal origin. Bring along spare shoes you can change into at the airport (after customs) after you have arrived in your home country. Put the shoes you have used during your trip in a plastic bag. Immediately disinfect your clothes, shoes and suitcase for a couple of hours in a hot sauna (+ 70 °C). Do not use the same clothes you used on your trip when entering places where animals are kept. Take a sauna bath as soon as possible after your trip. Do not visit animal farms in your home country within 48 hours from your arrival. If you fall ill during the trip or shortly thereafter, suffer from fever or diarrhoea, call the doctor and get tested for salmonella. If you visit cowsheds abroad, act in addition to what is mentioned above as follows: • Use appropriate protective equipments during your visit to a farm.: Firm disposable slippers to protect shoes, disposable coat and protective head covering • Do not unnecessarily touch the animals Information Evira issues information and guidelines with regard to souvenirs of animal origin intended for personal use. Information is directed to citizens, customs, border veterinarians, travel operators, different associations and import dealers. Guidelines are given in bulletins, letters, by telephone and on Evira’s website. The customs give information on posters at the border posts and if required brochures on import restrictions. You can also find information on the customs website and if required guidelines are also given orally. 45 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Information on other projects and reports The risk of ASF spreading to the EU area has activated several ASF survey projects. In this risk profile some central projects are presented and their most important results. Results of other researchers may be estimated as regards to our own situation and applied to the circumstances in Finland. The source of data used for this risk profile is the commonly used scientific opinion on ASF by the EFSA panel on Animal Health and Welfare (AHAW). In connection to the scientific opinion even a qualitative risk assessment was made. By means of a developed model, the impacts of means of managing the disease on the spread of ASF were evaluated. The European Union supported ASFRISK project will provide new tools and strategies for the control of ASF in Africa and reduce the risk of spread of the disease in EU member states. The 46 project focuses on research in four main areas: 1) epidemiology, risk assessment and control strategies 2) development and validation of sensitive diagnostic techniques, including pen-side tests 3) host-pathogen interactions and viral immune response in view of the development of a vaccine 4) training and technology transfer. In addition this risk profile depicts main points of the risk evaluation of a British quantitative risk assessment (Woolridge et al. 2006) that focuses on the risk of animal diseases in relation to smuggled meat and meat products. There is no information on the amount of smuggled meat in Finland, but amounts can be estimated against the results of the British survey. More detailed data from these surveys are presented in annex 1. Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Main information gaps The prevalence of the tick of the genus Ornithodoros in the EU area. (see section African swine fever as a disease, spreading, page 14). The role of wild boar as a reservoir and spreader of disease (see section African swine fever as a disease, spreading, page 15). Wild boar hunting trips made by Finns: Number and to which countries? How many of the travellers are in contact with Finnish pig production? (See section Routes of entry into the country of ASF, tourism, page 24). People working in pig production in Finland and their contacts with infected pigs in ASF areas (see section Routes of entry into the country of ASF, travels of persons working in swine production in Finland, page 24) Amount of smuggled meat and meat products from ASF risk areas (see section Routes of entry into the country of ASF, import of pig meat or wild boar meat, smuggling, page 31) Movements across the border of empty livestock transport vehicles (see section Routes of entry into the country of ASF, through vehicles used for livestock transport, page 33). 47 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Consequences ASF causes serious socioeconomic consequences. Especially in Africa the poorest pig producers have suffered the severest financial losses as they do not have any efficient strategies for disease prevention and control. As ASF was introduced to Ivory Cost and Madagascar 30 to 50 percent of the pigs were lost. In addition to high mortality rates, the ASF infection has impacts on international trade and causes expensive measures for eradication of the disease. In Cuba ASF caused losses of US$10 million in 1980, including an eradication programme. In Spain the costs for the ASF eradication programme during the last five years are estimated at US$92 million. (Costard et al. 2009). Economic consequences of introducing African swine fever into the country The introduction of African swine fever into Finland would have a serious impact on Finnish pig farming, causing considerable economic losses for the whole industry. This risk profile did not assess economic losses due to the disease, but used conclusions in a survey published in 2005 by the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry and the National Veterinary and Food Institute in Finland (Niemi et al 2005 and Raulo & Lyytikäinen 2005). The classical swine fever and the African swine fever are so similar, as regard to the clinical 48 picture and prevention measures, that the subsequent economic consequences are assumed to be very similar as well. In the study by the MTT and EELA, economic impacts of an outbreak of classical swine fever were evaluated. The objective was to investigate how severe the economic impacts of classical swine fever would be on the pig industry, its product processing industry and tax payers if the disease would spread, and which the factors causing losses would be. By applying the Monte Carlo simulation model, the survey simulated the spread and eradication of swine fever in Finland and the direct economic losses of an outbreak were calculated (Niemi et al. 2005). The outbreak of the disease and related losses due to a possible collapse of export demand were modelled using a dynamic, partly equilibrium model. The models contained data, for example on the number of pigs and transports on pig farms, the prevalence of a disease, care procedures and pork trade in Finland. The outburst of the disease causes direct and indirect losses. The extent of the losses and their variation is dependent on both the number of infected pig farms and factors that are not directly dependent on the number of infected farms. The basic scenario of the economic calculation due to an outbreak of the disease, showed a 50 percent drop in the demand of pig meat for export. Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Simulated outbreaks caused on an average losses of 7.6 million Euros (equivalent to 8 percent of the pig industry’s agriculture income), of which direct losses made 8 percent. The impact on farms suffering damages was relatively more severe than the impact on the whole industry. As demand for export declined 10 percent, the losses reached 1.7 million Euros. Pursuant to the basic scenario, an outbreak on at least five farms caused losses of 13.6 million Euros. The results of the survey suggest that African swine fever, if introduced into the country, will cause considerable losses even when the number of infected farms is small. The reason for this is that an infection on a single farm can cause disturbances on the pork market. By taking steps to prevent disturbances on the market it is possible to achieve savings on this branch of industry. As the background information dates from 2001, it is partly out of date. Finnish export of pig meat has increased significantly during the 2000’s. The export had increased more than three times before 2008 in comparison to the export in 2000 (Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry 2009) Thus, a disease that at present would cause export restrictions would cause considerably more serious losses than what was presented in the survey of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. On the other hand hindered export can also be beneficial, as the domestic consumer price is expected to drop due to export restrictions and this will partly compensate national economy losses (Lyytikäinen et al. 2011). 49 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Discussion Recently African swine fever has occurred less than 200 kilometers from the border of Finland. With regard to the spread of the disease the distance is very short. A considerable number of Russians visit Finland for work as well as for leisure and it is even common for Finns to visit near-by areas in Russia. It is even possible that wild boar migrate to Finland from areas where there is an outbreak of the disease. However, this will not happen quickly. The introduction of a disease into the country is a two-phased event. First of all the disease has to be introduced inside the borders of the country in some way, and secondly be in contact with a susceptible animal population in our country. In order for the disease to end up in the Finnish pig population prevention during both phases has to fail. If the first one fails, the second phase can still serve as a good protection. Farm specific biosecurity plays a very significant role. When an infected wild boar has come to Finland and has settled, it signifies that ASF has entered into the country. ASF is as a severe disease for wild boars as for domestic pigs, hence, the wild boar will probably pass away soon after falling ill. The infection will continue provided that the carcass is eaten or that the carrier of the disease spreads it from the dead pig either to the domestic or wild boar 50 population. As the wild boar population in Finland is scarce and domestic pigs seldom stay outdoors (and even if they do, they stay in enclosure), the spread of the disease to domestic pigs through the ways mentioned earlier is considered unlikely. It is also rather unlikely that an infected wild boar interacts with farmed wild boars. A possible, but unlikely contact is possible if a farmed wild boar escapes and meets a wild boar. The consequence of this could be transmission of ASF to farmed wild boars, if the animal that escaped returns. People traveling in ASF infected areas can be considered a bigger threat to the domestic pig population. By means of good biosecurity on farms it is prevented that people carry the disease to the farm with their clothes, equipment or food souvenirs. Especially feeding catering waste has been discovered to spread the disease, as the ASF virus survives well in dried, smoked and salted meat products. Biosecurity can be improved by giving the right information to the farm owners and farm workers. It is worthwhile to appropriately inform especially guest workers from countries in Russia and Caucasia about means to prevent the disease from spreading. Even if there is information on the ban of meat products at the border, it is necessary to ensure that the guest workers have understood that it is Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile forbidden to feed pigs with catering waste due to the risk of the disease. Information material in the workers’ own language improves the effect of the information. Very few live pigs and small amounts of semen have hitherto been imported to Finland. It is possible to control the risk of the disease in relation to import by using consideration as regards import countries, by checking animals and semen in connection with import and during quarantine before the animals join the animals on the farm. Further guidelines can be requested from the Association for Animal Disease Prevention ETT for import inspections and animal quarantine in Finland. This risk profile describes the results of a few other surveys on ASF. The results of a qualitative risk assessment survey as a part of a report carried out by EFSA panel on Animal Health and Welfare (AHAW) can, where applicable, also be utilized in our country. The risk of the disease spreading into the EU area was estimated to be average and most likely to happen through catering waste. On farms with high and limited biosecurity (Finnish farms are included in this group) the likelihood of ASF becoming endemic was considered negligible or low. The reason for this is that in connection with an outbreak of the disease it is possible to put effective disease control measures into practice. The risk of ASF remaining endemic in wild boar in Russia and the disease spreading with them to the European Union was considered moderate in the same survey. As regards wild boar the risk of the disease becoming endemic in the EU was considered moderate. This is mostly due to the fact that the first case is difficult to detect and it results in an average risk of spreading. On areas with a dense wild boar population this is most significant (not in Finland). The disease can spread long distances only if the wild boars have spread evenly. For this reason the risk of transmission was estimated to be low, which also concerns Finland. A survey examining the risk of the disease in relation to meat smuggling (Woolridge et al. 2006), irrespective of the fact that it was carried out in Great Britain, raises important issues also concerning Finland According to the survey, on an average 0.046 kilos of meat infected with African swine fever is smuggled into Britain every year. The infection frequency related to smuggling of meat and meat products was annually 6.1 x 10-4 and introductions from East Africa constituted the greatest risk (96% of infections derive from that area). Personal luggage constituted the most important route of entry into the country. As regards Finland, results can partly be implemented to circumstances in Finland, but as there is much less passenger traffic to Finland than to Great Britain, both the amount of ASF meat introduced into the country and the infection frequency is considerably lower. 51 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Conclusions The spread of ASF into Finland is a noteworthy threat (Figure 11). Especially infection of the wild boar population is possible. Whereas direct infection from wild boar to domestic pigs is unlikely, as domestic pigs are not kept much outdoors. An indirect infection through a vector, object or person from wild boar to domestic pig is depending on good biosecurity. Personal food souvenirs brought into the country constitute a high risk if they get in contact with pigs in Finland. Also travelers themselves are a risk factor if they are in contact with pigs in ASF infected areas and visit pig farms after their trip. Pig farm owners should care for that pig farm workers (especially foreigners, from ASF areas) are well informed on the spreading mechanism of the disease. Regarding importation of live pigs and semen it is necessary to take considerable precautions. The risk of disease posed by livestock transport vehicles can be controlled by means of good cleansing and disinfection. Catering waste from international transport must be appropriately disposed of. Biosecurity on farms and information on risks related to the disease have a key role in the protection of the domestic pig population in Finland. With people from an ASF infected area Infected pork or pork product ASF introduced into the Finnish pig population With live pigs and semen With contaminated livestock transport vehicles Figure 11. Most probable routes of introducing ASF into the country 52 With catering waste from means of transport operating internationally With infected wild boar moving cross the border Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile References Airaksinen A-K (2011). Personal communication. 26.5.2011. ASFRISK (2011). http://www.asfrisk.eu/. 2.5.2011 Bogdanovskii V (2005). Too many workers? Changes in agricultural employment in Russia. Basis brief. Collaborative research support program. 37:1-4. www.basis.wisc. edu/live/basbrief37.pdf. 13.5.2011. Costard S, Wieland B, de Glanville W, Jori F, Rowlands R, Vosloo W, Roger F, Pfeiffer D U, Dixon L K (2009). African swine fever: how can global spread be prevented? Philos. 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Tilastot vuosi 2010, koko maa. http://www.mol.fi/mol/fi/99_pdf/fi/04_maahanmuutto/02_ulkom_tyonteko/ oleskelulupa_osaratkaisut2010.pdf. 5.5.2011 Wieland B, Dhollander S, Salman M, Koenen F (2011). Qualitative risk assessment in a data-scarce environment: A model to assess the impact of control measures on spread of African Swine Fever. PREVET, doi 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2011.01.001 Woolridge M, Hartnett E, Cox A, Seamann M (2006). Quantitative risk assessment case study: smuggled meats as disease vectors. Rev.sci.tech.Off.int.Epiz. 25(1):105117. Legislation National legislation (Decrees of Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (In Finnish)) (http://www.mmm.fi/en/index/ministry/legislation.html) MAF (402/2011). Maa- ja metsätalousministeriön asetus Euroopan unionin ulkopuolisista maista tuotavien lemmikkieläinten, eläinperäisiä tuotteita sisältävien henkilökohtaisten lähetysten ja eläintautien leviämisen vaaraa aiheuttavien tavaroiden tuontitarkastuksesta. Suomen eläinlääkintölainsäädäntö Eb 7. MAF (3/EEO/2001). Maa- ja metsätalousministeriön asetus maantiekuljetuksiin käytettävien kuljetusajoneuvojen desinfioinnista eläintautien leviämisen estämiseksi. Suomen eläinlääkintölainsäädäntö D 26. MAF (6/EEO/2003). Maa- ja metsätalousministeriön asetus afrikkalaisen sikaruton vastustamisesta. Suomen eläinlääkintölainsäädäntö D 41. EU legislation 57 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Commission Regulation (EC) No 206/2009 on the introduction into the Community of personal consignments of products of animal origin and amending Regulation (EC) No 136/2004. Official Journal of the European Union. L 77/1–19. Commission Decision 2003/422/EC. approving an African swine fever diagnostic manual. Official Journal of the European Union. L 143/35–49. Commission Regulation (EC) 206/2009 on the introduction into the Community of personal consignments of products of animal origin and amending Regulation (EC) No 136/2004. Official Journal of the European Union. L 7/1–19. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2009:077:0001:0019: EN:PDF Commission Regulation (EC) No 206/2010 laying down lists of third countries, territories or parts thereof authorised for the introduction into the European Union of certain animals and fresh meat and the veterinary certification requirements. Official Journal of the European Union. L 73/1–121 http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2010:073:0001:0121: EN:PDF Commission Decision 2007/777/EC laying down the animal and public health conditions and model certificates for imports of certain meat products and treated stomachs, bladders and intestines for human consumption from third countries and repealing Decision 2005/432/EC. Official Journal of the European Union. L 312/49–67 http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2007:312:0049:0067: EN:PDF Commission Decision (2011/78/EU) on certain measures to prevent the transmission of the African swine fever virus from Russia to the Union Official Journal of the European Union. L 30/40-43. Council Regulation (EC) No 834/2007 on organic production and labelling of organic products and repealing Regulation (EEC) No 2092/91 Official Journal of the European Union. L 189/1–23. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2007:189:0001:0023:EN :PDF Council Directive 2002/60/EC laying down specific provisions for the control of African swine fever and amending Directive 92/119/EEC as regards Teschen disease and African swine fever. Official Journal of the European Union L 192/27–46. 58 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile Annex 1. Information on other ASF-related projects and surveys whose results are interesting from Finland’s point of view The EFSA report (EFSA 2010a) As a part of the scientific opinion on African swine fever carried out by EFSA panel on Animal Health and Welfare (AHAW), the working team made a qualitative risk assessment on African swine fever becoming endemic in the EU area if ASF spreads into the EU (Wieland et al. 2011). The objective was to assess how current means for disease prevention and management can abate the risk so that decision-makers can assess the impact of effectuated monitoring and means of disease prevention on the risk of the spread of the disease. Risk factors that were taken into consideration concerning the spread of the disease were regarding domestic pig as follows: Movements of pigs that cause direct contact between pigs (deliberate in transports and non-deliberate concerning free range pigs) Pig meat products that cause indirect contact between pigs (for example feeding of catering waste) Movements of livestock transport vehicles between farms causing indirect contact Contamination of feed that cause indirect contact Professionals, for example veterinarians and the equipment they carry with them causing indirect contact Other people and the equipment they carry with them causing indirect contact Spreading through pets and vermin causing indirect contact and serving as mechanical vectors, that is, carriers of disease Contamination of the environment that cause indirect contact Infection of ticks can cause indirect contact Spread to wild boar population can cause direct or indirect contact. The following factors concerned wild boar: The impact of behavioral ecology concerning encounters between wild boar groups and feed on carcass Contamination of the environment that cause indirect contact Hunting behavior causing indirect contact between different habitats Infection of ticks causing indirect contact The risk was estimated into four categories: negligible, low, moderate and high (Wieland et al. 2011). The risk of ASF remaining endemic in the area was considered moderate, but the risk of the disease spreading inside the area considered high. The risk of the disease spreading into the EU area was 59 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile considered moderate and most likely to happen through catering waste. The risk of ASF remaining endemic in wild boars and spreading with them into the European Union was considered low as regards countries in Caucasia and moderate as regards Russia. The difference is considered to be due to the density of the wild boar population in Russia and its close contacts to the wild boar populations on certain areas in the EU. The risk of ASF infection through feeding catering waste was considered possible, but low concerning free range pigs and low concerning pigs in the biosecurity sector. If the above-mentioned pigs get infected, the risk is high that they spread the disease before it is detected, directly and through means of transport. The infection in free range pigs becoming endemic was considered to be moderate in comparison to the contact with wild boar, due to non-compliance with animal movement ban and due to difficult access to the animals. The risk of the wild boar population becoming endemic was considered moderate, especially on areas where wild boars are in contact with wild boars from earlier infected areas. Due to the long lifespan of the tick, the role of the O.erraticus in maintaining a local ASF infection was considered important on areas where pigs are raised traditionally, that is, free range pigs. The ticks, however, do not play an active role in the geographical spread of the virus. Wild boars have never been found infested by this tick, as they do not rest in burrows infested by ticks (EFSA 2010a). The risk of endemicity of the disease, subsequent of its entry into the EU, was estimated according to three different production sectors: high biosecurity, limited biosecurity and free-range farms. This survey considered high biosecurity farms to be farms with physical barriers for preventing spread of the disease, minimal and control60 led people traffic and good disinfection practice. Limited biosecurity farms were considered to be farms with not all of the above-mentioned features, but not allowing free ranging. Free range pigs were considered those that were not kept in an enclosure. The differences in biosecurity were considered most signi ficant in relation to the spread of the disease and especially with regard to means of preventing the disease. On high and limited bio-security farms, the likelihood of ASF becoming endemic was considered negligible or low. The reason for this is that in connection with an outbreak of the disease it is possible to carry out effective measures of disease control. The risk concerning free-range pigs is moderate. Parallel differences were also discovered concerning the spread of the disease prior to the detection of the first case. As regards wild boar the risk of the disease becoming endemic in the EU was considered moderate. This is mostly due to the difficulty of detecting the first case that results in a moderate risk of spreading. On areas with a dense wild boar population this is most significant (Germany, Northern France and Central Italy). The disease can spread long distances only if the wild boas have spread evenly. For this reason the risk of spreading was estimated to be low. Still the efficiency of means for disease management was considered so futile, that they did not lower the risk. The conclusions of the EFSA report urge for an improved exchange of information between Caucasian countries, Russia and the EU. Furthermore the report recommended intensifying the control of raised wild boar, veterinarians’ and producers’ identification of the disease, the risk-based surveillance of wild boar in risk areas, that is Poland, Lithuania and Romania and ensuring that catering waste from means of transport operating internationally is disposed of according to EU legislation. Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile The EFSA report can also be implemented to the circumstances in Finland as regards discussions on the risk of endemicity of the disease subsequent to its entering into the EU area. As regards Finland, only those parts of the report that discuss limited or high biosecurity farms are taken into account. The tick’s role in spreading the disease is not considered (as an applicable tick is not presumed to be found in Finland’s nature) The ASFRISK project The European Union supported ASFRISK project (Evaluating and controlling the risk of African swine fever in the EU) is in progress. The coordinator of the project is Prof. Carlos Martins and the Faculty of Veterinary Medicine of the University of Lisbon. The project commenced in April 2008 and will continue for a little more than 3 years. The project will proved new tools and strategies for the control of ASF in Africa and reduce the risk of spread of the disease in EU member states. Development and research is focused on four main areas: epidemiology, risk assessment and control strategies, development and validation of sensitive diagnostic techniques, host-pathogen interactions and viral immune response in view of the development of a vaccine, training and technology transfer. ASFRISK had not yet published its conclusions In June, 2011. Risk assessment related to meat smuggling in Great Britain In Great Britain a quantitative risk assessment case study (Woolridge et al. 2006) was published in 2006. The study examines smuggled meats and disease vectors. What initiated the study was the outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease in Britain in 2001. The disease was suspected to be caused by smuggled infected meat, which was inadequately handled and fed to pigs. The analyses were carried out at the Veterinary Laboratories Agency and the results were published by Defra. The risk of foot-and-mouth disease, African swine fever, classical swine fever and SVD (swine vesicular disease) were examined. The risk assessment model composed of three different components: Future amounts of smuggled meat into Great Britain were assessed, the likelihood of smuggled meat being contaminated by a virus and routes of exposure were identified and the likelihood of cattle in Great Britain being infected by a virus through smuggling. By means of these components it was possible to present several routes along which the virus can be introduced into the British cattle from the country of origin. Necessary data was received from the register of confiscated meats. The register contained data on meats confiscated from passenger luggage, but also confiscations of products smuggled in consignments sent by plane, ship and by post. Also confiscated smuggled products being for sale were included. The amount of confiscated meat reached 11 875 kilos per year (4 398– 28 626 kg, CI 90%) during 2004 and 2005. The amount of confiscations during a period from 1.4.2001 to 31.3.2002 totaled 2 053, whereas from 1.4.2004 to 31.3.2005 the number of confiscations was 25 610. The occurrence of a disease on different areas was used to estimate the percentage of smuggled meat being contaminated with a virus. In addition by means of earlier studies, the quantity of the virus in infected meat was estimated. Furthermore the survival of the virus was taken into account during 61 Possible routes of entry into the country for African swine fever – Risk profile different stages of processing and during storage. This data was combined with the manufacturing time of the product and to the time used for transport. Through this data it was possible to give estimation on the percentage of meat being contaminated when introduced into the country. The model gave as a result that on an average 0.046 kilos of meat infected with African swine fever is smuggled into Britain every year. Corresponding numbers concerning other diseases were: Classical swine fever 263 kg, SVD 0.007 kg and footand-mouth disease 214.2 kg. The last component described mechanism through which the introduced meat can get in contact with the animal population. Also the pathogen dose animals are exposed to was estimated. Described mechanisms were feeding catering waste to pigs, catering waste ending up on as composite waste on a landfill site and other ways of disposal including littering. When estimating an ineffective dose, data from earlier studies was used. The infection frequency related to smuggling of meat and meat products was annually accor ding to disease the following: ASF 6.1 x 10 -4, classical swine fever 0.3, SVD 6.9 x 10 -10 and foot-and-mouth disease 0.015. Risk related to an area: The survey concludes that the foot-andmouth disease most probably originates from the Near or Middle East, as 47 percent of the infections originate from there according to the risk assessment model. Introductions from East Africa constituted the greatest risk as regards 62 African swine fever (96 percent of the infections originated from that area). Introductions from West Africa constituted the greatest risk as regards classical swine fever (79%). The majority of SVD-cases originated (70%) from Eastern Europe. Risk related to meat product: Beef and pig meat constituted the greatest risk with regard to foot-and-mouth disease (88%). Meat detached from the bone is the most likely product causing ASF infection (77%). Dried meat detached from the bone is more likely to cause infection of classical swine fever (70%) and minced meat SVD infection (52%). Risks influencing on routes of entry into the country and on routes of transmission Personal luggage is the greatest risk, as regards every examined disease. Large amounts introduced in the luggage suggest that they are intended for commercial import more than for personal use. People may dispose the meat waste in an inappropriate way (littering, feeding animals or littering main roads). The second significant risk is related to feeding production animals with catering waste and the third risk is related to carcass feed on landfill sites. However, the two latter risks compose a very small part of the total risk. The risk related to feeding backyard pigs and wild boars was considered small. As regards the foot-and-mouth disease, industrially raised pigs were considered to be the target animals (96%). The risk related to backyard pigs and wild boars was considered small. Cover picture: ScandinavianStockPhoto/Mats Tooming Finnish Food Safety Authority Evira Mustialankatu 3, FI-00790 Helsinki, Finland Tel. +358 20 69 0999, Fax +358 20 77 24350 www.evira.fi Evira Research Reports 5/2011 ISSN 1797-2981 ISBN 978-952-225-094-0 (pdf)
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