Vulnerability of parrotfish functional diversity and coral reef health in transitioning island socio-ecosystems Katherine R Rice Corresp. 1 1 Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California, United States Corresponding Author: Katherine R Rice Email address: [email protected] Mo’orea’s reefs have rebounded from environmental disturbance throughout the years largely due to herbivorous fish that deter damaging algal blooms. This resilience suggests herbivorous fishes act as a keystone species in the coral reef ecosystem, and the greater island community of Mo’orea. Parrotfish support reef health and stability, and reefs support the development of the local economy by way of tourism and access to medicine, nourishment, and protection. Because island communities rely heavily on coral reef ecosystems, identifying the impact of fishing on the morphology and ecosystem function of parrotfish in a time of marine management and demographic transition can increase our knowledge of the vulnerability and resilience of these complex socio-ecosystems. The 2016 study reported here seeks to understand to what extent changes in fisheries management and off-take rates have affected the historically sustainable relationship between Mo’orea’s fishing population, the lagoon’s supply of larger-sized parrotfish, and the ecological stability of the greater coral reef ecosystem. Specifically, this study measured average parrotfish size at various fishing zones and paired Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) around the island, and then used participatory surveys to quantify fishermen observation of changes in parrotfish size since they started fishing. Both field data and participatory survey data show a decrease in parrotfish size since the establishment of MPAs. Island-wide, parrotfish also appear to be smaller in fished sites than in MPAs. Results suggest that the joint effect of zoning, catch-size enforcements and increased fishing pressure have caused a size-selection of parrotfish in the fishing zones of studied lagoons. These findings highlight the vulnerability of Mo’orea’s coral reef ecosystem to transitions in marine management strategy and size-selective fishing. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 Vulnerability of parrotfish functional diversity and coral reef health in transitioning island socio-ecosystems Katherine Rose Rice1 1 Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA [email protected] PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Introduction Coral reef ecosystems are fundamentally important to many Pacific Island countries and inhabitants, including those in the South Pacific (Ferraris and Cayré, 2003; Kronen et al., 2010; Moberg and Folke, 1999; Dalzell et al., 2006). Coral reefs support the development of local and national economies by providing goods and services to island communities via fisheries (Moberg and Folke, 1999). Reefs, however, are becoming critically threatened by overfishing as a result of overexploitation of commercial fish (Hughes et al., 2003, 2007; Pandolfi, 2003; Bellwood et al., 2006; Dalzell et al., 2006; Jackson et al., 2001). Unsustainable tampering with the reef’s balance of biological diversity has serious consequences for the goods and services that humans derive from coral reef ecosystems. Consequences include species extinction, reduced ecosystem resilience (i.e. the capacity of an ecosystem to tolerate disturbance without collapsing into a qualitatively different state), and phase shifts from coral to algal dominance (Bellwood et al., 2005; Norström et al., 2009; Wilson et al., 2008; Hughes et al., 2010; Jennings and Polunin, 1996; Jennings and Lock, 1996; Jennings and Kaiser, 1998; Wilder, 2003). The declining health of coral reef ecosystems worldwide has serious implications for their capacity to persist in an era of rapid global change. Reefs have lost their capacity to endure recurrent natural disturbances, and some have undergone long-term phase shifts to degraded ecosystems dominated by fleshy seaweed or other macroalgae (Bellwood et al., 2005; Norström et al., 2009; Wilson et al., 2008; Hughes et al., 2010). Interestingly, however, coral reefs surrounding Mo’orea have historically returned to coral dominance following major environmental disturbances without shifting to a macroalgal-dominated state (Adam et al., 2011). Adam and colleagues (2011) found that the increased algal growth associated with coral loss prompts the response of herbivorous fishes, particularly parrotfish, to graze the reef and consequently help coral reefs recover. Wilder (2003) similarly concluded that if herbivore stocks were reduced to low levels through fishing pressure, reefs could be overgrown quickly by dense algae on a short time scale. Adam (2011) highlighted the importance of parrotfish ecosystem function in maintaining reef resilience in the face of disturbance, and Wilder (2003) revealed the vulnerability of the reef ecosystem to declines in herbivore density. In addition, previous studies have identified herbivorous fish as important factors in regulating algal biomass, cover, and composition on coral reefs (Jennings and Polunin, 1996; Jennings and Lock, 1996; Jennings and Kaiser, 1998). The functional diversity within parrotfish populations has been suggested to be a result of differing morphologic characteristics, such as body size (Lokrantz et al., 2008; Bruggemann et al., 1994; Littler et al., 1989; Roff et al., 2011). Populations of large parrotfish are characterized by intense grazing behavior and can harvest the surface of each square meter of reef every 18 days, removing up to 40 kg of algae from each square meter per year (Hoey and Bellwood, 2008). In addition to grazing capacity, parrotfish size has also been found to be representative of reproductive capacity (Barba, 2010; Choat and Bellwood, 1998; Thresher, 1984). Terminal phase males dominate reproductive activity through a harem-based social system and can be either primary, i.e., born male, or secondary, i.e., females that have undergone sex change (Choat and Bellwood, 1998; Thresher, 1984). Terminal males are usually the largest of the population (Choat and Bellwood, 1998; Thresher, 1984). Larger parrotfish are thus especially critical in sustaining population size and coral reef ecosystem balance. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 Fishing pressure in the Pacific Islands is strongly tied to human population density (Jennings and Kaiser, 1998; Russ and Alcala, 1989). In addition, increases in fishing pressure result in changes in target populations (Jennings and Lock, 1996) and in the island fishing community (Jennings and Polunin, 1996). Population census figures for Mo’orea between 1971 and 2007 show an average annual population growth rate of 2.39%, which is higher than the rate for French Polynesia as a whole (1.57%) (Leenhardt et al., 2016). This increase in population implies a respective increase in demand of natural resources, particularly fish from the lagoon, as this is where recreational and subsistence fishing activity is concentrated (Leenhardt et al., 2016; Lison de Loma, 2005). In fact, transition in the demography of French Polynesia has led to a decrease in the density and biomass of harvested fish yields in Mo’orea and Tahiti (which are more heavily fished) (Lison de Loma, 2005). These data suggest that increased fishing pressure may be generally depleting fish stocks, and specifically taking larger individuals thereby impairing the ability of the population to reproduce. Thus, the transitioning socio-ecosystem of Mo’orea presents a model for studying the vulnerability of fish size and abundance to increasing fishing pressure. A favored commercial catch and a dominant herbivore of the lagoon, parrotfish, family Scaridae, represent a fish important to both the sociology and ecology of Mo’orea’s island socioecosystem. Parrotfish are thus an applicable bio-indicator for understanding the sociological impact of changes in fishing pressure, and the ecological response of reef stability and resilience. Effects of overfishing in Mo’orea were first noticed in 1991 when local citizens and foreign scientists observed that the sizes of fish and overall catches in Mo’orea’s lagoon were declining over time (Walker and Robinson, 2009). As a small-scale fishing community dependent on fishing for income and subsistence (Leenhardt et al., 2016; Walker, 2001), and as a scientific model of an unspoiled island ecosystem for many researchers, concerns about overfishing from local communities, territorial services (Fisheries, Environment, Urbanism), scientific research institutions, and local politicians led to the implementation of a comprehensive marine management plan (Salvat and Aubanel, 2002). The Plan de Gestion de l’Espace Maritime (PGEM) for Mo’orea was established in 2004 and encompassed the entire lagoon and all waters beyond the reef crest out to the 70-m isobath on the outer reef slope (PGEM, 2005). The PGEM established a network of eight “no-take” zones referred to as Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) covering approximately 20% of the lagoon, and enforced size and catch limits on commercial fish species throughout the fishing zones of the lagoon (Walker and Robinson, 2009). The implications of dividing the lagoon have both spatial and temporal components (Francour, 2000). The spatial components include differences between protected and unprotected zones, such as fishing pressure and the presence of size and catch limits (Russ and Alcala, 1989; Harmelin-Vivien et al., 1995; Francour, 2000). The temporal components include differing ecological responses between the protected no-take MPA reserves and the unprotected fishing zones of the lagoon (Francour, 2000). While no-take MPA reserves establish points of reference to assess human and other impacts on adjacent marine environments, this study suggests that the MPA reserve management strategy may induce additional unanticipated spatial and temporal components for small-scale island fisheries such as Mo’orea’s lagoon. As an island only 61 km in circumference and heavily dependent on fishing, Mo’orea’s fishery is already limited. No-take reserves redistribute fishing pressure to spatially concentrated fishing zones. In addition to increases in fishing pressure as a result of zoning, catch-size regulations on commercial fish PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 increase pressure on larger bodied fish. For parrotfish, the PGEM’s catch-size regulations encourage catch of the more functionally and socially important individuals (>25 cm), thus failing to consider the ecosystem function and complex socio-sexual system of large-bodied individuals (PGEM, 2005; Lokrantz et al., 2008; Choat and Bellwood, 1998; Thresher, 1984). While the Centre de Recherches Insulaires et Observatoire de l’Environnement (CRIOBE) has monitored the biological effects of the MPAs since 2004 (Lison de Loma et al., 2008), CRIOBE’s monitoring plan doesn’t address the PGEM’s effect on fishing pressure and the vulnerability of the collective reef ecosystem to human-derived transitions in management. Size-selective fishing pressure from catch-size regulations and an increasing fishing industry mark two notable deviations from Mo’orea’s historically synchronized socio-ecosystem (Adam et al., 2011). Given the social and ecological components of Mo’orea's transitioning lagoon fisheries, understanding their dual dynamics requires integrated methods that consider both systems simultaneously (Jennings and Kaiser, 1998). Pairing ecological field surveys with participatory monitoring techniques allows for comparison of how fishermen understand and interact with their lagoon, and how the lagoon responds to their understanding of its supply of resources. Filling these gaps in our knowledge will enhance the development of marine resource management initiatives that seek long-term sustainability of reef fisheries and foster ecosystem resilience. To promote an understanding of the impact of size-selective fishing pressure on the vulnerability of a small-scale fishery’s coral reef ecosystem, this study compares parrotfish size and abundance in exploited fishing zones and MPAs around the island. To better evaluate the sustainability of the existing fishery, this study also includes a participatory monitoring of 50 local fishermen from around the island. Specifically, this study seeks to quantify the increasing population of Mo’orea’s fishing community, and assesses how increase in lagoon resource demand, in conjunction with the PGEM’s zoning and catch-size enforcements, is leading to sizeselection of parrotfish in Mo’orea’s lagoon. Methods Study sites Fieldwork was conducted in lagoons on the island of Mo’orea, French Polynesia from October to November, 2016 (Fig. 1). Mo’orea is a volcanic island with 61 km of coastline, encircled by a barrier reef, which forms a 30-km2 lagoon ranging from 500 to 1500 m in width (Galzin, 1985). To calculate the extent to which size-selective fishing pressure impacts parrotfish size in fishing zones of the lagoon, this study conducted transects along a gradient of MPA’s and non-protected fishing zones. Five MPAs (Temae (P1), Pihaena (P2), Tetaiuo (P3), Tiahura Motu (P4), and Afareaitu (P5)) were chosen based on accessibility and proximity to corresponding paired fished sites (F1, F2, F3, and F5) (Fig. 1). The paired sites have close proximity and similar geomorphologies. However, MPA Tiahura Motu and MPA Tetaiuo are geomorphologically similar so a single fishing site in between these two MPAs was chosen (F3) (Fig. 1). The nine survey sites represent geographic diversity and are distributed along the northwestern, northern, and northeastern coasts of the island. Sites were selected to encompass a range of human activity, human development, fishing pressure, and fish density. Other parameters used to choose sites include depth and sea floor composition. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 Field Sampling Methods Transects (described below) were conducted on two occasions, each in a period of ten days around two principal lunar phases: one during the full moon and one during the new moon to account for potential lunar variation (Galzin, 1987). Observations were always made between 0900 and 1630 hours (local time), to minimize any heterogeneity caused by diel variation in fish behavior (Galzin, 1987). Five locations around the island were sampled during each lunar occasion. Pairs of sites (MPA and fished) were sampled within each location on the same day (with exception of Tetaiuo and Tiahura Motu, which shared a fished site and were all sampled on the same day). Two distinct reef habitats were sampled at each site: the fringing reef close to shore and the back reef towards the reef crest. Three stations were surveyed per reef habitat, yielding a total of 54 stations: nine sites (five MPAs, four fished sites) x two habitats x three stations per habitat, and 108 surveys (54 stations x two lunar occasions). Transect lines were 30 m long and aligned parallel to shore. When surveying at motus, transects were aligned parallel to the motu. In absence of fixed markers, each station was located using a handheld global positioning system (GPS) receiver. Situational characteristics including presence of fishermen, boat traffic, swimmers, current strength, or intense weather conditions were also recorded at each site. Preliminary surveys revealed high diversity of parrotfish species (>12 species) at each station, so for simplicity parrotfishes were identified at the family level (Scaridae), counted, and body length estimated to the nearest centimeter using a ruler for scale (counts and average body lengths were recorded for schools of fishes). Transect lines were surveyed continuously by swimming at a slow steady speed (10m/min) to observe fishes in an undisturbed state. Fishing Population Surveys To indirectly estimate change in average parrotfish size throughout time, this study used a participatory monitoring survey method, drawing upon 50 local fishermen of all ages, genders, and villages around the island as ecological monitors. The survey asked participants to quantify any changes in parrotfish size throughout their lifetime as a fisherman. Size estimates from 1956 to 2013 were derived and compared to the average of size estimates from 2016. Individual estimates were plotted on a graph to reveal the island’s collective understanding of parrotfish size over a timescale of 60 years. Estimates of parrotfish body size from 1956 to 2013 were also compared to changes in human population from 1956 to 2013 to look for potential correlation and provide additional evidence for the effect of increases in human population on reef vulnerability. Data Analyses This study’s aim is to estimate how decreases in parrotfish body size and abundance (functional diversity) may vary between MPA and fished sites. In addition to site, this study considers how functional diversity is affected by location, habitat, and moon phase. From field observations, the PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 vulnerability of parrotfish to size-selective fishing pressure is estimated on varying spatial and temporal scales. This study used R Studio software (R Core Team, 2013) for all statistical analyses. Fish size and abundance were analyzed across replica transects for 108 stations. Size data fulfill the assumptions of parametric statistics (normal distribution, similar sample sizes, and equal variances) (Fig. 2); however, abundance data are not normally distributed. To test for differences in mean total parrotfish size between sites (grouped among MPAs or fished), reef habitats (grouped among fringing or back), location (1, 2, 3, 4, or 5), and lunar occasion (full moon or new moon), a four-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) followed by a Tukey HSD post-hoc test were run using these four variables as predictor variables and fish size as the response variable (results shown in Table 1). To analyze fishing pressure’s effect on parrotfish abundance, a Kruskal Wallace test was run for the variable location, and Wilcoxon rank sum test with continuity correction was run for site, reef habitat, and lunar occasion. Results Field sampling Site Island-wide, average body size is greater in MPAs (26 cm ± 4 cm) than in fished sites (24 cm ± 5 cm) (p<0.001) (Fig. 3). Post-hoc comparisons using the Tukey HSD test, however, indicated that the average body size is only larger in MPA sites than in fished sites for Locations 1 and 5 (p<0.05, p<0.05). In addition to larger average body size in MPAs, parrotfish are more abundant in MPAs (31 ± 61 fish) than in fished sites (12 ± 16 fish) (p<0.05) (Fig. 4). Location Regardless of site, however, average body size also differs between locations (Fig. 3 & 5). Average body size in Location 1 (22 cm) is smaller than average body size in Location 3 (26 cm), 4 (29 cm), and 5 (26 cm) (p<0.001, p<0.001, p<0.001). In addition, average body size in Location 2 (24 cm) is smaller than average body size in Locations 4 and 5 (p<0.001, p<0.05). Average body size in Location 4 is larger than average body size in Locations 3 and 5 (p<0.05, p<0.001). Contrary to size, parrotfish abundance does not significantly differ among locations (p=0.10) (Fig. 4 & 6). Habitat Island-wide, parrotfish are larger in back reef habitats in both MPA (Back: 26 cm, Fringing: 24 cm) and fished sites (Back: 26 cm. Fringing: 22 cm) (p=0, p<0.05) (Fig. 3). Post-hoc comparisons using the Tukey HSD test, however, reveal average body size isn’t larger in back reef habitats for all locations. Body sizes are only larger in back reef habitats for Locations 1 (p=0), 2 (p=0), and 5 (p=0). Parrotfish are also larger in MPA sites (24 cm) than fished sites (22 cm) in all fringing reef habitats (p=0) (Fig. 7). Contrary to size, parrotfish abundance does not significantly differ between habitat types (p=0.22) (Fig. 4). Lunar Occasion PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 Island-wide, average body size differs according to lunar occasion sampled (Fig. 3 & 5). Average parrotfish are larger when surveyed on the full moon (26 cm) compared to surveys on the new moon (25 cm) (p<0.001). Post-hoc comparisons using the Tukey HSD test indicate average size is larger during the full moon than the new moon for Locations 1 and 5 (p=0, p<0.05), but smaller during the full moon for Location 2 (p<0.05). Larger parrotfish in both fished and MPA sites (p=0.01, p<0.005) are observed during the full moon, in comparison with the new moon. During the new moon, parrotfish are also always larger in MPAs than fished sites (p<0.05); however, during the full moon, there is no difference in observed sizes between sites. Contrary to size, parrotfish abundance does not significantly differ between lunar occasions (p=0.88) (Fig. 4 & 6). When no fish were observed in a single transect, fish abundance and size were not recorded, so some habitats only represent one or two stations out of the total three stations surveyed. When a site didn’t physically have one of the two habitat types due to island geomorphology, only the habitat type present was sampled for fish (Fig. 7). Fishing Population Surveys Results are derived from participatory survey answers provided by 50 fishermen. Surveyed fishermen range from 18 to 81 years of age, include males and females, include residents from every village around the island, and were all surveyed independently to avoid preconceptions. Average parrotfish size was noted to decrease throughout the lifetimes of 39 out of the 50 surveyed fishermen (Fig. 8). Noted decreases in size range according to the year fishermen started fishing, varying from 5 to 30 cm. Despite the differing timescales of observations, however, the average change in parrotfish size as perceived by fishermen is 9 cm. The average parrotfish size today is 23 cm ± 8 cm (p<0.001), compared to an average size estimate of 32 cm ± 10 cm by fishers who started their fishing career between 1956 and 2002 (p<0.001). Subsequently, while almost every fisherman estimated parrotfish were 20 cm or larger at the start of their fishing career, only 32% of fishermen estimated that parrotfish were 20 cm or larger in 2016 (p<0.001) (Fig. 9). Discussion Previous studies have observed extreme transition over the past two to three decades in Mo’orea’s coral reefs from hard-coral-dominated communities to communities now dominated by fleshy algae (Galzin et al., 2016; Lamy et al. 2015). This type of phase shift has been catalyzed by frequent disturbances, both natural and human derived, and reefs have been forced to adapt quickly, exhibiting cycles of decline and recovery (Hughes et al., 2005; Adam et al., 2011; Lamy et al. 2015). Researchers have suggested that phase shifts might be caused by decreases in herbivore density and correspondingly reduced grazing (Galzin et al., 2016; Hughes, 1994; Wilder, 2003). Decreases in herbivore density have increased the susceptibility of the lagoon to phase shifts, have led to a less resilient reef (Galzin et al., 2016; Adam et al., 2011; Lison de Loma, 2005), and have consequently made the greater ecosystem exceptionally vulnerable to disturbance. While environmental disturbances cannot be predicted, this study obtained an awareness of the various human-derived stresses affecting the Mo’orea’s reef PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 ecosystem. This study observed two major transitions in Mo’orea’s societal relationship with the lagoon: increase in resource demand, and transition in lagoon management. First, this study found an annual population growth rate of 3.79 from 1956 to 2012 on Mo’orea (Fig. 10) (ISPF, 2015), implying increased demand for fish around the lagoon. Roadside fish stands and personal communication with 50 surveyed fishermen revealed the high demand for parrotfish in particular (Rice, 2016, Personal observation). In addition, both the fishing demographic and the demand for parrotfish have increased since previous accounts (Aubanel, 1993; Brenier, 2009; Madi Moussa, 2010; Vieux, 2002; Yonger, 2002) The extent of this increase, however, is difficult to measure, as supply and demand for fish meet along the roadside rather than in the markets (Madi Moussa, 2010). Increases in fishing pressure are also unapparent to the average fisherman because fish stocks are non-concentrated and fishing activity is spread around the lagoon (Leenhardt et al., 2016). The combination of these circumstances suggests that fishermen are unaware of their collective footprint on the lagoon ecosystem, and consequently, demand for lagoon resources may be exceeding supply. In addition to increase in resource demand by a growing island population, foreign stakeholders have infiltrated management of the lagoon. Disregarding the complexities and uncertainties of Mo’orea’s spatially and temporally dispersed fisheries as described above, recent management practices have limited and regulated areas of the lagoon previously relied upon by fishermen as sources of subsistence (Walker, 2001). Since the establishment of MPAs, protected areas of the lagoon have seen increases in fish biomass (Lison de Loma et al., 2008); however, the effect of concentrated activity in the fishing zones has been overlooked. Fishing zones have only been used in research as ‘controls,’ assuming that MPAs are the only zones with a changing ecosystem (Lison de Loma et al., 2008; Lamy et al., 2015). This study, however, reveals that transitions in lagoon management, including zoning and catch-size regulations, affect the entire reef ecosystem. Despite conservational aims, MPAs concentrate fishing pressure into limited zones of the lagoon, and catch-size regulations encourage catch of larger-bodied commercial fish stocks in those spatially limited fishing zones. Observed decrease in parrotfish size and abundance inside fishing zones compared to MPAs reveal the vulnerability of fishing zones to transitions in lagoon management, as well as the ensuing size-selective fishing pressure of functionally critical parrotfishes. Spatial Dynamics Site Results indicate that MPAs support a higher biomass of parrotfish than adjacent fished sites, in terms of average body size and abundance of fishes (Fig. 3 & 4). The smaller body size of parrotfish in fished sites suggests that parrotfish are indeed sensitive to fishing pressure. Despite differences in size between sites, however, it is important to note that the difference was minimal (1.3 cm ± 4 cm). This suggests that parrotfish island-wide may be responding to influences other than fishing pressure. Human-derived factors such as tourism, boat traffic, and pollution, as well as environmental factors such as ocean current, wave action, or natural disturbance are potential additional factors influencing size. While MPA and fished pairs were chosen based on proximity PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 and similarity of geomorphological conditions, some MPAs were exposed to a much stronger current than their fished pairs (such was the case at Temae, P1 & F1), and other MPAs were exposed to heavier boat traffic and tourist activity than their fished pairs (such was the case at Tiahura Motu and its fished pair, P4 & F3). The minimal difference in average body size between sites may also be due to a lack of data on parrotfish range in Mo’orea. Parrotfish range is extremely variable, differing according to life history stage, species, depth, latitude, and lunar phase (Howard, et al., 2013). While the spatial proximity between fished and MPA pairs were determined based on the home range of parrotfish reported in Howard’s (2013) study, it is possible that individual home ranges ‘spilled over’ between pairs. In addition, terminal phase individuals (large bodied) have larger home ranges than initial phase individuals (Howard, et al., 2013); therefore, the same large-bodied parrotfish may have been observed in both the MPA site and its fished pair. If this is the case, it can be suggested that parrotfish are vulnerable to size-selective fishing regardless of which site they were observed in during this study. Subsequently, this proposes that MPAs in Mo’orea may not have as great of a “reserve effect” on parrotfish abundance and size as they have been found to have with other fish species in different locations of the world (Polunin and Roberts, 1993; Walker and Robinson, 2009; Starr et al., 2015). While managers may use MPAs as tools to regulate fishing pressure and maintain biodiversity, this study confirms that MPAs are redistributing fishing pressure into concentrated zones of the lagoon. Overexploitation of largebodied parrotfish in those zones is inadvertently leading to populations dominated by smallerbodied parrotfish throughout the lagoon. The short timescale of this study is an additional factor to consider when comparing the effects of the PGEM on parrotfish size between sites. For instance, MPA reserve benefits might be slow to accumulate given the relatively recent establishment of MPAs. Previous studies suggest that 20 years or more may be needed to detect significant changes in response variables that are due to the establishment of MPAs (Starr et al., 2015). Factors such as short-term environmental variability and the high spatial and temporal variability of fish recruitment patterns could influence the impression of how MPAs are working, making short-term ecosystem monitoring inconclusive and unrepresentative of greater ecological patterns (Starr et al., 2015). Given the high frequency of environmental disturbances in Mo’orea (Lamy et al., 2015; Adam et al., 2011), long-term monitoring is needed to identify greater patterns of ecosystem responses to humanderived disturbances such as size-selective fishing. The negligible difference between average parrotfish size in MPA and fished sites has important consequences for the future trajectory of Mo’orea’s reef ecosystem. The decline in grazing capacity of fish in both managed areas and fished areas suggests reduced resilience of reefs throughout the lagoon, including reefs exposed to fishing pressure and reefs absent of fishing pressure. Consequences of an island-wide decrease in parrotfish size may include a decreased response rate and functional aptitude of populations to graze the reef following natural disturbance-mediated shifts to macroalgal dominance (Barba, 2010). This, in turn, may entail unrecoverable phase shifts of the lagoon ecosystem to algal domination (Roff and Mumby, 2012; Bonaldo and Bellwood, 2008; Hoey and Bellwood, 2008; Roff et al., 2011; Wilder, 2003; Hay, 1984). Island-wide declines in functional diversity may also denote a decreased gene pool of large-bodied parrotfish (Pope and Macer, 1996). Implications of this for future parrotfish PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 populations could include: reduced growth, shorter life span, earlier maturation, or earlier sex reversal, as found in a similar study analyzing the effects of fishing pressure on two parrotfish species (C. sordidus and S. psittacus) (Barba, 2010). Loss of genetic diversity (Smith, Francis & McVeagh, 1991) and change in assemblage structure (Russ and Alcala, 1989) are further consequences of increased fishing pressure. Location Parrotfish size varied with location. Average size was different between each location, being greatest at Tiahura (29 cm) and smallest at Pihaena (24 cm). Tiahura was unusual because its paired MPA and fishing site differed greatly in terms of human presence. The MPA site was situated next to Tiahura Motu, a motu frequently visited by tourists and in close proximity to picnic tables and a restaurant (Fig. 1). The fished site was barren of tourists and fishermen on both occasions surveyed; however, despite this, fish were still large and plenty in that site. Fish size is therefore naturally larger in this location, possibly due to the increased availability of food from nearby picnicking activity. The smaller size of parrotfish in Pihaena may be explained by both sites’ proximity to channel markers and corresponding boat traffic. Regardless of these anthropogenic influences, however, Mo’orea’s lagoon has been observed to be naturally heterogeneous throughout (Lison de Loma et al., 2008; Lamy et al., 2015; Adam et al., 2011). Similarly to this study, Lamy (2015) found a large variation in the functional responses of herbivorous fish across the western and northeastern reefs of Mo’orea, despite homogenization of the entire lagoon habitat toward reduced coral cover and complexity. This spatial heterogeneity of coral-reef fish morphology and functional diversity provides further evidence that species might differ with respect to other factors that influence their responses, such as environmental characteristics. This could explain the variation in parrotfish size between locations around Mo’orea, especially as ocean current, wave exposure, boat traffic, and tourism activities vary island-wide. Habitat In addition to site and location, this study also found differences in parrotfish size in two different reef habitats within the lagoon. In almost every site, parrotfish size and abundance were greater in the back reef than in the fringing reef (Fig. 7). Body size was especially larger in backreef habitats in fished sites compared to that in fringing reef habitats in fished sites (Fig. 7). Combined, these data suggest that the fringing reef may be more vulnerable to size-selective fishing than the back reef. Interactions with local fishermen support this claim, as the majority of fishermen are recreational fishermen, fish before 7 am and after 7 pm, and use spearfishing as their main method (Fig. 9) (Rice, 2016, Personal observation). Given that most recreational fishermen do not use boats (Leenhardt et al., 2016), and the preferred times to fish are in periods of limited sunlight, responses suggest that most fishermen fish just off shore in the fringing reef, rather than the distant back reef. Furthermore, the reserve effect of MPAs has been found to be greatest towards the back reef of the lagoon, and smallest within the fringing reef (Lison de Loma et al., 2008). Together with my results, this implies that, regardless of site, parrotfish in the fringing reef are more vulnerable to size-selective fishing pressure that parrotfish in the back reef. The present study found variation in parrotfish size on many spatial scales. Such variation suggests the differing vulnerabilities of parrotfish to fishing pressure according to location and PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 reef habitat. While Lamy (2015) asserts that differing spatial responses of herbivorous fishes to natural disturbance may provide Mo’orea’s reef ecosystem with greater resilience, differing spatial responses as a result of human-derived disturbances such as fishing may not provide the same ecosystem benefits. Unlike environmental disturbances (such as cyclones and bleaching events), anthropogenic disturbances are not part of the regime under which coral-reef ecosystems have evolved. Thus, differing spatial responses of parrotfish size to fishing pressure in a nonenvironmentally disturbed state may be either a reflection of the variability of fishing pressure at each location, or the variability of vulnerabilities of parrotfish throughout different parts of the lagoon. Regardless, we cannot assume Mo’orea’s reefs will remain resilient in the face of disturbance as they have in the past, especially when considering the mounting consequences of an ever-increasing human population on ecosystems such as Mo’orea’s lagoon. Temporal Dynamics Lunar occasion Over the short temporal scale of this study, fish abundance at any one site and time is highly variable and unreliable as an absolute measure of herbivore pressure (Starr et al., 2015). The current study observed greater average body sizes during the full moon in comparison with the new moon, and no differences in fish abundance between lunar occasions. Previous studies have found that fish abundance and behavior differ according to moon phase (Vinson, 2014); however, finding a difference in average fish-body size between lunar occasions was an unexpected result. This finding suggests that either different parrotfish were observed at each site during the two survey occasions, or that smaller parrotfish were simply not observed due to cryptic behavior during the full moon (Galzin, 1987). Mo’orea’s fishing population Mo’orea’s population has increased at an unsustainable rate in recent decades. From 2007 to 2012 alone, Mo’orea’s population increased 6.33% (ISPF, 2015) (Fig. 10). In addition, estimates of fishing density in 2007 revealed 77 fishermen per km2 (Brenier, 2009). If this calculated fishing pressure is accurate, it is quite high considering that five fishermen per km2 is the upper limit at which coral reef resources can be safely exploited (McClanahan et al., 2002). Assuming population and fishing density are proportional, this indicates that fishing density in 2012 was 82 fishers per km2. Furthermore, assuming population growth rate hasn’t increased since 2012, the current fishing density in 2016 may be as high as 86 fishers per km2; however, as population growth appears to be increasing exponentially (Fig. 10), fishing density today is most likely even higher. The implications of this unprecedented increase in population are noteworthy, to say the least. While consequences are apparent on land (i.e. pollution, hillside construction, crowded public spaces), the most threatening costs are hidden beneath the surface of the lagoon. Given that fishermen attain higher economic gains from larger fish and understanding the effect of the PGEM’s regulation on minimum catch size, an increased population means increased targeting pressure on larger parrotfish. For example, roadside fish size evaluations from Madi Moussa’s (2010) study in 2007 found average parrotfish catch size was 27 cm ± 2 cm, compared to a minimum legal catch size of 25 cm. In addition, as lagoon fishing exploits only a few species, PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 with only five to six species representing more than 80% of total sales (Madi Moussa, 2010), parrotfish in the lagoon are especially vulnerable to size-selective fishing pressure. To attain an understanding of responses of the lagoon ecosystem to increases in demand for larger parrotfish, this study took a socio-ecological approach using a survey technique referred to as “participatory monitoring” (Leenhardt et al., 2016) and included the local population in the quest for ecological information, both qualitative and quantitative. In the context of ecological awareness, such anecdotal monitoring has its value, but also its limits. In all cases, participatory monitoring presupposes that research provides itself with the means of its supervision, betting in some way on its instructive and administrative efficiency. Although the information collected was quantitative, it involved substantial uncertainty because it relied on the long-term memory of the person interviewed and his or her ability to convert an image or a memory into a physical size (Gilbert, 2006). Responses from surveys are thus considered qualitative. Estimates of parrotfish body size from the beginning of a fisherman’s career revealed the vulnerability of parrotfish to varying levels of demand over a timescale of 60 years (Fig. 8). Given that each interview was independent from the next, and observations included a wide demographic of fishermen, the mutual decline in parrotfish size from 1956 to 2013 reputes fishermen knowledge, and also reinforces the perceived decline in parrotfish size over time. Additionally, when comparing size estimates from 1956 to 2013 to population size over the same time scale, a weak inverse relationship between estimated fish size and human population size is evident. Thus, estimating observable ecological variables through participatory monitoring— especially in a rural community deeply connected with their natural environment (Budd-Falen, 1995; Jentoft, 1999)— can contribute to the collective understanding of ecological change over time, especially in the absence of scientific data from earlier time periods. Application to future marine management strategy Civic engagement ensures environmental and economic sustainability in rural communities (Budd-Falen, 1995; Jentoft, 1999), and the intergenerational environmental knowledge of local resource users is comprehensive and relevant to modern conservation objectives. This case study in Mo’orea raises questions about the assumed connections between local control, public participation, and successful conservation results. Especially in Mo’orea’s lagoon where underwater resources and ecological processes are not sedentary, visible, or easily quantified, there was considerable debate between differing stakeholders including locals, the state, and scientists over indicators of lagoon health, patterns of fish reproduction and larval transport, the dynamics of land-based pollution effluents, and the location and importance of different lagoon uses and meanings (Walker, 2001). While the government and biologists cited “scientific” studies and spatial data to support the creation of the PGEM, Mo’orea’s stakeholders likewise asserted their own knowledge of the lagoon by describing traditional lagoon management and fishing laws, reciting Maohi legends about Mo’orea and its lagoon, and explicating their lifelong, daily interactions with the fish, coral reefs, sharks, and other organisms of Mo’orea’s lagoon (Walker, 2001). Walker (2001) found that many of Mo’orea’s fishermen keep detailed diaries of fishing information, which have been passed down for generations. These diaries include daily explanations of where different species of fish are found in the lagoon, based on a variety of indicators such as currents, winds, lunar cycle, and seasons. Older fishermen, in PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 555 556 557 558 559 560 561 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 569 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 particular, claim knowledge of their home lagoon areas at the scale of individual coral heads, and they are able to explain precisely where, at what time, and on what day one can go to catch a particular species of fish (Walker, 2001). Despite fishermen’s comprehensive and relevant environmental knowledge of their lagoon, the government alienated locals from the deliberation process through the privileged use of GIS decision-making, a resource not accessible to the majority of Mo’orea’s local population (Walker, 2001). As a result, state-mandated MPAs spurred significant political struggles and prompted resistance among locals unlike any previous resource regulation in French Polynesia (Yousing, 2016; Rey, 2016; Bambridge, 2016; Aubanel et al., 2013; Walker and Robinson, 2009; Walker, 2001). Consequently, and, as this current study suggests, absence of local cooperation might ultimately render MPA management plans unsustainable. The mapping of MPAs in Mo’orea highlighted discrepencies between policymaker recommendations and fishermen ecological knowledge, conflicts over access to lagoon space and resources, and disagreements over evolving forms of lagoon conservation (Yousing, 2016; Rey, 2016; Walker, 2001). Westerners, developers, and tourists were handed control of large zones of the lagoon, promoting tourist activities in parts of the lagoon that residents previously relied on for sustenance (Yousing, 2016; Rey, 2016; Walker, 2001). Accordingly, alienated stakeholders formed politicized local associations to defend their own livelihoods and sovereignty, and display their opposition to government interference into lagoon management, as well as foreign exploitation of the lagoon (Bambridge, 2016; Rey, 2016; Walker, 2001). 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 The effects of fishing on marine ecosystem structure and processes are significant and complex. Results from this study highlight the inverse relationship between size-selective fishing intensity and the average size of the herbivorous reef-fish family Scaridae greatly targeted by Mo’orea’s fishing population. Ecological relationships and questions relevant to the marine environment must be studied on many spatial and temporal scales, as the marine environment can be incredibly variable according to location, habitat, and moon phase, as this study revealed. The use of bio-indicators such as herbivorous fish size can enhance our understanding of fishing effects throughout space and time. Assessing both the spatial and temporal variations in Several of these local associations support a movement to revert to a traditional management system that many islands in French Polynesia previously used, and some islands such as Rapa and Maiao still use (Agence des aires marines protégées, 2012). Referred to as “Rahui,” this traditional style of management accounts for local understanding of, and relationship with, natural resources, embracing holistic and rational modes of enforcement and avoiding overregulation (Bambridge, 2016). The ocean and the reef ecosystem have survived centuries of disturbance without human interference. However, as indicated by this study, human-centered management strategy, despite well-intentioned environmental objectives, shows detrimental effects on the reef ecosystem. Locals that have been fishing on Mo’orea their whole lives understand the consequences of a poorly managed reef (Yousing, 2016). Managing land should be in the best interest of the natural environment and the local stakeholders, not foreign developers. If we want the reef to remain resilient in the face of increasing demand of its resources, we must equally integrate local stakeholders, and consider the ecological dynamics that sustain a reef, such as fish life history, reproductive stage, and especially, ecosystem function, as Rahui considers. Conclusions PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 601 602 603 604 605 606 607 608 609 610 611 612 613 614 615 616 617 618 619 620 621 622 623 624 625 626 627 628 629 630 631 632 633 634 635 636 637 638 639 640 641 642 643 644 645 646 parrotfish and other herbivorous species’ composition is important to comprehensively explore the effects of size-selective fishing pressure, and thus the vulnerability of the coral-reef ecosystem to reductions in resilience. Enforcements to capture parrotfish characteristic of the highest grazing activity, in a small-scale fishery with limited fish supply and an increasing fishing population may hinder the grazing capacity of parrotfish further, and make phase shifts to a macroalgal-dominated state more likely. Size-selective fishing of a species keystone to the reef ecosystem is a result of population-based marine management strategy, and the resulting vulnerability of the reef ecosystem has only just gained recognition. More evidence is needed to determine a scientific basis for a change from population-based management to ecosystem-based management for the vulnerable marine ecosystem in Mo’orea and elsewhere. Extensive time series data on the responses of various, diverse ecosystems to anthropogenic transitions such as population increase and management strategy will create a record for future managers to consult when strategizing sustainable solutions for preserving the earth’s natural resources. Acknowledgements I would like to thank all of my Professors, Patrick O’Grady, Jonathon Stillman, Justin Brashares, Cindy Looy, and Ivo D. for all of the help and time that they put into developing my project and editing my paper. I would also like to thank the graduate student instructors Natalie StaufferOlsen, Ignacio Escalante, and Eric Armstrong for their endless support and dedication to making this experience one of a lot of learning, as well as a lot of fun. I would also like to thank Alex Yokley and Ryan Mullen for always being willing survey buddies, and my family for their inspiration and support. Additionally, I would like to thank the wonderful Gump Station and Atitia Center staff, Val, Irma, Jaques, Tony, Frank, and Hinano for sharing their bliss and culture with us. Finally, I would like to thank all of my amazing classmates who made this experience truly unforgettable. Maururu roa. #nofermentedfish2k16. References Adam T, Schmitt R, Holbrook S, Brooks A, Edmunds P, Carpenter R, Bernardi G. 2011. Herbivory, Connectivity, and Ecosystem Resilience: Response of a Coral Reef to a Large-Scale Perturbation. PLoS ONE 6:e23717. Agence des aires marines protégées. 2012. 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Yousing, Tony. 2016. Mo’orea, French Polynesia. Personal communication. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Figure 1 Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) defined by the PGEM in Mo’orea’s lagoon (PGEM 2005). MPAs are represented in black zones. I selected five out of the total eight MPAs defined by the PGEM (labeled P1, P2, P3, P4, and P5), and I selected four paired fishing zones (labeled F1, F2, F3, and F5), represented in white zones. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Figure 2 Histogram of response variable (cm) showing normal data. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Figure 3 Average parrotfish size (cm) between variables: site (A), location (B), reef habitat (C), and lunar occasion (D). PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Figure 4 Average parrotfish abundance between variables: site (A), location (B), reef habitat (C), and lunar occasion (D). Only “Site” was statistically significant. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Figure 5 Parrotfish size according to geographic location of paired fishing and MPA sites. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Figure 6 Parrotfish abundance according to geographic location of paired fishing and MPA sites. Error bars represent standard error around the mean. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Figure 7 Box-plot showing interactions between site (in red and blue), location (z-axis), and habitat type (x-axis) with fish size (cm) (y-axis). PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Figure 8 Estimates of parrotfish size (cm) over time. Blue dots represent fishermen estimates at the start of their fishing career (1956-2013). Red dot represents averaged fisherman estimate of parrotfish size (cm) today (2016). PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Figure 9 Participatory survey responses from 50 fishermen. Y-axes represent frequency of response per question. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Figure 10 Mo’orea’s population from 1959 to 2012 as recorded by ISPF (ISPF 2015). PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Table 1(on next page) Four-way ANOVA with size (cm) as the response variable and site, location, habitat type, and lunar occasion (“phase”) as the predictor variables. PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016 Df Sum Sq Mean Sq F value Pr(>F) Site 1 277 277.1 22.061 3.19e-06 *** Loc 4 1608 402.0 31.998 < 2e-16 *** Hab_Type 1 701 700.6 55.774 2.46e-13 *** Phase 1 442 441.6 35.153 4.81e-09 *** Site:Loc 4 397 99.3 7.902 3.13e-06 *** Site:Hab_Type 1 23 23.3 1.857 0.17336 Loc:Hab_Type 4 729 182.2 14.500 2.23e-11 *** Site:Phase 1 1 0.5 0.041 0.84012 Loc:Phase 4 551 137.6 10.956 1.28e-08 *** Hab_Type:Phase 1 217 216.8 17.258 3.67e-05 *** Site:Loc:Hab_Type 2 242 121.1 9.637 7.45e-05 *** Site:Loc:Phase 4 725 181.2 14.423 2.56e-11 *** Site:Hab_Type:Phase 1 101 100.9 8.028 0.00474 ** Loc:Hab_Type:Phase 4 366 91.4 7.277 9.63e-06 *** Site:Loc:Hab_Type:Phase 1 5 4.9 0.391 0.53192 Residuals 692 8693 12.6 --Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 PeerJ Preprints | https://doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.2657v1 | CC BY 4.0 Open Access | rec: 21 Dec 2016, publ: 21 Dec 2016
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