Trieste Next European Science Research Forum September 27 - 28, 2013 The Value of Water Jan Lundqvist Senior Scientific Advisor This presentation Paradox: high value – low willingness to pay Our need, use and misuse of water A multiple-win approach Wystan H. Auden, British poet (1907 – 1973) “Thousands have lived without love, not one without water” H2O - a unique molecule • Life started in water • Worshiped & feared in religions • Has no substitute • Premature death and destruction often due to water • Climate change is MAJOR water change The Water – Diamond paradox How come….. “..water, which has so much value in use, has no value in exchange, while diamonds, which have practically no value in use, are exchanged at high prices”? Adam Smith, 1776: An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations Renewable, variable, uncertain Average per capita availability, 2009 Average availability: m3, per capita, year Source: FAO AQUASTAT (2011) Globally: 6,000 Norway: Brazil: Canada: Sweden: USA: Italy: . . . Egypt: 77,000 27,000 22,000 18,000 9,000 3,000 23 (World Bank data) Variability of rainfall in Beira, Mozambique - one hundred years 400 BEIRA: monthly rainfall 1908 to 2009 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Jan Feb 1908 1919 1930 1941 1952 1963 1974 1985 1996 Mar 1909 1920 1931 1942 1953 1964 1975 1986 1997 Apr 1910 1921 1932 1943 1954 1965 1976 1987 1998 May 1911 1922 1933 1944 1955 1966 1977 1988 1999 Jun 1912 1923 1934 1945 1956 1967 1978 1989 2000 Jul 1913 1924 1935 1946 1957 1968 1979 1990 2001 Aug 1914 1925 1936 1947 1958 1969 1980 1991 2002 Sep 1915 1926 1937 1948 1959 1970 1981 1992 2003 Oct 1916 1927 1938 1949 1960 1971 1982 1993 2004 Nov 1917 1928 1939 1950 1961 1972 1983 1994 2005 Source: JeanMarc Faures, FAO Dec 1918 1929 1940 1951 1962 1973 1984 1995 2006 Global warming and sea level rise Exhibition at Museum of Modern Art, New York, 2010 High demand and multiple threats to scarce water resources all over the world Source: The Economist World Economic Forum “…we have enjoyed a series of water ‘bubbles’ to support economic growth over the past 50 years or so….. We are now on the verge of water bankruptcy in many places with no way of paying the debt back…”. (January, 2009) One planet with finite resources but (some) live as if we had two Photos: NASA and Christer Fuglesang, austronout ? Next generations: Equity, stability, security, sustainability Stressed resources, world economic map upside down poverty remains, widening gaps ”Human demand on the biosphere more than doubled between 1961 – 2007” (WWF: Living Planet Report ,2010, ”adjusted”) Ten of the most rapidly developing economies in Africa and: China, India, Vietnam, Brazil, Indonesia, etc. What a waste; high cost, no gain! Conservative estimate: 1.3 billion tons of food is lost and/or wasted (FAO) • • • About 1/3 of all food produced (FAO) Economic value about $750 billion (FAO) Green house gas emissions Water, land, energy used in vain Environmental implications Public health Potential savings and benefits by reducing losses and waste by 50% Food Irrigation Water 1) Energy2) Monetary 650 mill tons 450 km3 16 ExaJoules US $375 billion 1) Italy 175 km3; Lake Nasser: 55 km3 2) Current global total energy use: > 500 ExaJoules Revive timeless virtues not because they are old but because they are smart Losses, conversions and waste 'from field to fork': 30 – 50% of food produced What company or household would accept 30 – 50% losses and waste? Milk powder production -25 degrees C Awareness raising, sub-way in Stockholm ”One out of ten has still not understood the problem… Maybe you throw some oil from your garage,…… ? Small contributions from a large number of people add up to significant amounts... Treatment plants will not take care of all. Part will end up in the Baltic Sea…. If harmful to the Baltic, it should not be poured in your sink or WC” Stockholm Water Company Stockholm – The Venice of Scandinavia 1960s – forbidden to swim 1980s – OK to fish and drink A continuos battle with new challenges Molte grazie www.siwi.org
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