LESSON 13.2 Name Modeling Exponential Growth and Decay Class Date 13.2 Modeling Exponential Growth and Decay Essential Question: How can you use exponential functions to model the increase or decrease of a quantity over time? A1.9.D …graph exponential functions that model growth and decay and identify key features… Also A1.9.A, A1.9.C, A1.9.E Texas Math Standards The student is expected to: Explore 1 A1.9.D Describing End Behavior of a Growth Function Graph exponential functions that model growth and decay and identify key features, including y-intercept and asymptote, in mathematical and real-world problems. Also A1.9.A, A1.9.C, A1.9.E When you graph a function ƒ(x) in a coordinate plane, the x-axis represents the independent variable and the y-axis represents the dependent variable. Therefore, the graph of ƒ(x) is the same as the graph of the equation y = ƒ(x). You will use this form when you use a calculator to graph functions. Mathematical Processes Use a graphing calculator to graph the exponential growth x function ƒ(x) = 200(1.10) , using Y 1 for ƒ(x). Use a viewing window from -20 to 20 for x, with a scale of 2, and from -100 to 1000 for y, with a scale of 50. Sketch the curve on the axes provided. To describe the end behavior of the function, you describe the function values as x increases or decreases without bound. Using the TRACE feature, move the cursor to the right along the curve. Describe the end behavior as x increases without bound. A1.1.A Apply mathematics to problems arising in everyday life, society, and the workplace. Language Objective 1.F, 2.C, 3.C, 3.D As x increases without bound, the graph grows larger at an exponentially increasing rate. Compare and contrast exponential growth and exponential decay functions. Essential Question: How can you use exponential functions to model the increase or decrease of a quantity over time? An exponential function represents growth when b > 1 and decay when 0 < b < 1. You can use t y = a(1 + r) where a > 0 to represent exponential t growth and y = a(1 - r) where a > 0 to represent exponential decay. PREVIEW: LESSON PERFORMANCE TASK Using the TRACE feature, move the cursor to the left along the curve. Describe the end behavior as x decreases without bound. As x decreases without bound, the graph approaches, but never hits, 0. Reflect 1. Describe the domain and range of the function using inequalities. Domain: {x| - ∞ < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} 2. Identify the y-intercept of the graph of the function. The y-intercept of the graph of the function is (0, 200). 3. An asymptote of a graph is a line the graph approaches more and more closely. Identify an asymptote of this graph. The line y = 0 is an asymptote of this graph. 4. Discussion Why is the value of the function always greater than 0? 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Then preview the Lesson Performance Task. © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company ENGAGE © Houghto n Mifflin Harcour t Publishin 1. 2. 617 Module 13 L2.indd 9_U5M13 SE35387 A1_MTXE 617 Lesson 13.2 Resource Locker 617 13/11/14 7:24 PM 13/11/14 7:24 PM Explore 2 Describing End Behavior of a Decay Function EXPLORE 1 Use the form from the first Explore exercise to graph another function on your calculator. A Use a graphing calculator to graph the exponential decay function x ƒ(x) = 500(0.8) , using Y 1 for ƒ(x). Use a viewing window from -10 to 10 for x, with a scale of 1, and from -500 to 5000 for y, with a scale of 500. Sketch the curve on the axes provided. Describing End Behavior of a Growth Function B Using the TRACE feature, move the cursor to the right along the curve. Describe the end behavior as x increases without bound. INTEGRATE TECHNOLOGY Students will use graphing calculators to complete the Explore activities that investigate the end behavior of exponential functions. As x increases without bound, the graph approaches, but never hits, 0. C Using the TRACE feature, move the cursor to the left along the curve. Describe the end behavior as x decreases without bound. As x decreases without bound, the graph grows larger at an exponentially increasing rate. CONNECT VOCABULARY Connect the word bound in the phrase “as x increases without bound” to the more familiar word boundary. To increase without bound means to increase without reaching an end point or boundary. Another way to state the same idea is “as x approaches infinity.” Reflect 5. Discussion Describe the domain and range of the function using inequalities. Domain: {x| - ∞ < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} 6. 7. Identify the y-intercept of the graph of the function. The y-intercept of the graph of the function is (0, 500). QUESTIONING STRATEGIES line approaches, but never hits, y = 0. Describe the x-intercepts of the exponential growth function. There are no x-intercepts for this function because there are no values of x for which f(x) = 0. © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company Identify an asymptote of this graph. Why is this line an asymptote? An asymptote of this graph is the line y = 0. It is an asymptote of the graph because the Are there any asymptotes for this function other than the line y = 0? Explain. No; the graph gets closer and closer to y = 0 as x decreases without bound, and it is ever-increasing as x increases without bound. EXPLORE 2 Module 13 618 Lesson 2 Describing End Behavior of a Decay Function PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 618 Math Background The end behavior of a function f(x) is a description of what happens to a function f(x) as x increases or decreases without bound. The value of an exponential growth function f(x) = ab x, where b > 1 and a > 0, increases without bound as x increases without bound, and approaches 0 as x decreases without bound. The value of an exponential decay function f(x) = ab x, where 0 < b < 1 and a > 0, approaches 0 as x increases without bound, and increases without bound as x decreases without bound. Such end behavior can also be described using the notation f(x) → ∞ as x → -∞ and f(x) → 0 as x → ∞, where the symbol ∞ represents infinity. 13/11/14 7:24 PM QUESTIONING STRATEGIES Before you graph it, how can you tell that the x function f(x) = 500(0.8) will decrease as x increases? A positive number is being multiplied x times by a number between 0 and 1, so it will get smaller as x increases. Modeling Exponential Growth and Decay 618 Modeling Exponential Growth Explain 1 QUESTIONING STRATEGIES Recall that a function of the form y = ab x represents exponential growth when a > 0 and b > 1. If b is replaced by t 1 + r and x is replaced by t, then the function is the exponential growth model y = a(1 + r) , where a is the initial amount, the base (1 + r) is the growth factor, r is the growth rate, and t is the time interval. The value of the model increases with time. What does it mean for a function to approach 0 as x increases without bound? Is 0 a value of the function? The value of the function gets closer and closer to 0 as x increases, but it never reaches 0. Example 1 EXPLAIN 1 Write an exponential growth function for each situation. Graph each function and state its domain, range and an asymptote. What does the y-intercept represent in the context of the problem? A painting is sold for $1800, and its value increases by 11% each year after it is sold. Find the value of the painting in 30 years. Write the exponential growth function for this situation. y = a(1 + r) t Modeling Exponential Growth = 1800(1 + 0.11) t = 1800(1.11) t QUESTIONING STRATEGIES t = 1800(1.11) 30 ≈ 41,206.13 After 30 years, the painting will be worth approximately $41,206.13. Create a table of values to graph the function. t y 0 1800 (t, y) y (0, 1800) 8 4148.20 (8, 4148.20) 16 9559.60 (16, 9559.60) 24 22,030 (24, 22,030) 32 50,770 (32, 50,770) Determine the domain, range and an asymptote of the function. Value (dollars) Why doesn’t the graph of an exponential growth model intersect the y-axis at the origin? When x = 0, y is the initial value of the increasing quantity. y = 1800(1.11) © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company • Image Credits: ©Tetra Images/Corbis How do you use a percent increase amount when writing an exponential growth equation? Give an example. Convert the percent increase to a decimal and add it to 1 to find the number that is raised to a power. Possible answer: For a 4% increase, the decimal 1.04 will be raised to a power. Find the value in 30 years. 44,000 (32, 50,770) 33,000 22,000 (24, 22,030) 11,000 (0, 1800) (16, 9560) t (8, 4148) 0 16 24 32 8 Time (years) The domain is the set of real numbers t such that t ≥ 0. The range is the set of real numbers y such that y ≥ 1800. An asymptote for the function is y = 0. The y-intercept is the value of y when t = 0, which is the value of the painting when it was sold. Module 13 619 Lesson 2 COLLABORATIVE LEARNING A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 619 Small Group Activity Divide students into groups of three or four. Have students research several banks, either locally or online, for interest rates on savings accounts, money market accounts, and CDs. Have them work as a group to develop exponential growth models for each type of account at each bank on an initial deposit of $500. Ask students to make a chart comparing the rates and potential earnings after 5 years for the different types of accounts at each bank. 619 Lesson 13.2 13/11/14 7:24 PM B A baseball trading card is sold for $2, and its value increases by 8% each year after it is sold. Find the value of the baseball trading card in 10 years. Write the exponential growth function for this situation. y = a(1 + r) t (1 + 0.08 ) 2 ( 1.08 ) = 2 = t t Find the value in 10 years. y = a(1 + r) t ( 1.08 ) 2 ( 1.08 ) = 2 = t 10 ≈ 4.32 4.32 After 10 years, the baseball trading card will be worth approximately $ . Create a table of values to graph the function. (t, y) y 6 (0, 2) 0 2 3 2.52 6 3.17 9 4.00 12 5.04 Value (dollars) t (3, 2.52) (6, 3.17) (9, 4.00) (12, 5.04) 4.5 3 1.5 0 y (12, 5.04) (9, 4.00) (6, 3.17) (3, 2.52) (0, 2) t 3 9 6 Time (years) 12 Determine the domain, range, and an asymptote of the function. The range is the set of real numbers y such that y ≥ 2 . An asymptote for the function is y=0 . The y-intercept is the value of y when t = 0, which is the value of the card when it was sold . Reflect 8. Find a recursive rule that models the exponential growth of y = 1800( 1.11 )t. a 1 = 1800, a n = 1.11a n-1 9. Find a recursive rule that models the exponential growth of y = 2(1.08) . a 1 = 2, a n = 1.08a n-1 Module 13 © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company The domain is the set of real numbers t such that t ≥ 0 . t 620 Lesson 2 DIFFERENTIATE INSTRUCTION A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 620 Critical Thinking 13/11/14 7:24 PM To help students understand the difference between exponential growth and linear growth, point out that in exponential growth or decay, the amount added or subtracted in each time period is proportional to the amount already present. For exponential growth, this means that as the amount becomes greater, the amount of increase in each time period also becomes greater. Contrast this to linear growth, in which the amount of increase remains constant. Modeling Exponential Growth and Decay 620 Your Turn 10. Write and graph an exponential growth function, and state the domain and range. Tell what the y-intercept represents. Sara sold a coin for $3, and its value increases by 2% each year after it is sold. Find the value of the coin in 8 years. t 8 y = a(1 + r) y = 3(1.02) Modeling Exponential Decay = 3(1.02) ≈ 3.51 t QUESTIONING STRATEGIES 4 Value (dollars) EXPLAIN 2 3 y (6, 3.38) (2, 3.12) (4, 3.25) (8, 3.51) (0, 3) 2 1 After 8 years, the coin will be worth approximately $3.51. What is the domain for a function that represents the exponential growth or decay of a population? Explain. The domain is all non-negative real numbers, because the model applies to all future times (positive values of t) but not past times (negative values of t). The domain is the set of real numbers t such that t ≥ 0. t 0 The range is the set of real numbers y such that y ≥ 3. 2 4 6 Time (years) 8 The y-intercept is the value of y when t = 0, which is the value of the coin when it was sold. Modeling Exponential Decay Explain 2 Recall that a function of the form y = ab x represents exponential decay when a > 0 and 0 < b < 1. If b is replaced t by 1 - r and x is replaced by t, then the function is the exponential decay model y = a(1 - r) , where a is the initial amount, the base (1 - r) is the decay factor, r is the decay rate, and t is the time interval. What is the range for a function describing the exponential growth or decay of a population? For a growth function, the range consists of all numbers greater than or equal to the starting value of the population. For a decay function, the range includes all numbers between the starting value and 0. Example 2 Write an exponential decay function for each situation. Graph each function and state its domain and range. What does the y-intercept represent in the context of the problem? The population of a town is decreasing at a rate of 3% per year. In 2005, there were 1600 people. Find the population in 2013. Write the exponential decay function for this situation. y = a(1 - r) t © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company = 1600(1 - 0.03) t = 1600(0.97) t Find the value in 8 years. y = 1600(0.97) t = 1600(0.97) 8 ≈ 1254 After 8 years, the town’s population will be about 1254 people. Module 13 621 Lesson 2 LANGUAGE SUPPORT A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 621 Connect Vocabulary Remind students that exponential growth refers to an increasing function and exponential decay refers to a decreasing function. While students are probably familiar with the word growth, they may be less familiar with decay. Explain that, in everyday use, it can mean rot, or loss of strength and health. Have students list key words that can indicate growth or decay in descriptions of real-world situations. Examples of key words for growth include increases, goes up, rises, gains. Examples of key words for decay include decreases, goes down, falls, loses value, declines, depreciates. 621 Lesson 13.2 13/11/14 7:24 PM Create a table of values to graph the function. 1600 y 0 1600 8 1254 16 983 24 770 32 604 Population (t, y) t (0, 1600) (8, 1254) y (0, 1600) (8, 1254) 1200 (16, 983) (16, 983) 800 (24, 770) (32, 604) 400 t 0 (24, 770) 8 16 24 32 Time (years since 2005) (32, 604) Determine the domain and range of the function. The domain is the set of real numbers t such that t ≥ 0. The range is the set of real numbers y such that 0 ≤ y ≤ 1600. The y-intercept is the value of y when t = 0, the number of people before it started to lose population. B The value of a car is depreciating at a rate of 5% per year. In 2010, the car was worth $32,000. Find the value of the car in 2013. Write the exponential decay function for this situation. y = a(1 - r) t ( ) 32,000 ( 0.95 ) t = 32,000 1 - 0.05 t = Find the value in 3 years. y = a(1 - r) t = 32,000 ( 0.95 ) = ( 0.95 ) ≈ 3 t 32,000 27,436 t y 0 32,000 1 30,400 2 28,880 3 27,436 (t, y) (0, 32,000) (1, 30,400) (2, 28,880) (3, 27,436) Value (dollars) Create a table of values to graph the function. © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company After 3 years, the car’s value will be $ 27,436 . y (1, 30,400) 32,000 (3, 27,436) (0, 32,000) (2, 28,880) 24,000 16,000 8,000 t 0 1 2 3 4 Time (years since 2010) Determine the domain and range of the function. The domain is the set of real numbers t such that t ≥ 0 . The range is the set of real numbers y such that 0 ≤ y ≤ 32,000 . The y-intercept, 32,000, is the value of y when t = 0, the Module 13 A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 622 622 original value of the car. Lesson 2 2/14/15 6:58 PM Modeling Exponential Growth and Decay 622 Reflect EXPLAIN 3 11. Find a recursive rule that models the exponential decay of y = 1600(0.97) . a 1 = 1,600, a n = 0.97a n-1 t Comparing Exponential Growth and Decay 12. Find a recursive rule that models the exponential decay of y = 32,000(0.95) . a 1 = 32,000, a n = 0.95a n-1 t AVOID COMMON ERRORS 13. The value of a boat is depreciating at a rate of 9% per year. In 2006, the boat was worth $17,800. Find the worth of the boat in 2013. Write an exponential decay function for this situation. Graph the function and state its domain and range. What does the y-intercept represent in the context of the problem? Some students may forget to convert the percent growth rate to decimal form. Remind them that growth rate must be written as a decimal because the percent sign means “parts out of 100.” y = a(1 - r) = 17,800(0.91) t t y = 17,800(0.91) ≈ 9198.35 7 Value (dollars) Your Turn y 20,000 (0, 17,800) (2, 14,740) 15,000 (8, 8370.5) 5,000 t After 7 years, the boat will be worth approximately $9,198.35. The domain is the set of real numbers t such that t ≥ 0. The range is the set of real numbers y such that 0 ≤ y ≤ 17,800. QUESTIONING STRATEGIES (6, 10,108) (4, 12,206) 10,000 0 2 4 6 8 Time (years since 2006) The y-intercept is 17,800, the value of y when t = 0, which is the original value of the boat. When you graph two functions on the same coordinate grid, what does the intersection point of the graphs represent? the time when the two functions are equal in value Explain 3 Comparing Exponential Growth and Decay Example 3 © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company Use the graphs provided to write the equations of the functions. Then describe and compare the behaviors of both functions. The graph shows the value of two different shares of stock over the period of 4 years since they were purchased. The values have been changing exponentially. The graph for Stock A shows that the value of the stock is decreasing as time increases. The initial value, when t = 0, is 16. The value when t = 1 is 12. Since 12 ÷ 16 = 0.75, the function that represents the value of Stock A after t t years is A(t) = 16(0.75) . A(t) is an exponential decay function. Value (dollars per share) Graphs can be used to describe and compare exponential growth and exponential decay models over time. y (0, 16) 16 12 Stock A (1, 12) 8 4 Stock B (1, 3) (0, 2) t 0 1 2 3 4 Time (years since purchase) The graph for Stock B shows that the value of the stock is increasing as time increases. The initial value, when t = 0, is 2. The value when t = 1 is 3. Since 3 ÷ 2 = 1.5, the t function that represents the value of Stock B after t years is B(t) = 2(1.5) . B(t) is an exponential growth function. The value of Stock A is going down over time. The value of Stock B is going up over time. The initial value of Stock A is greater than the initial value of Stock B. However, after about 3 years, the value of Stock B becomes greater than the value of Stock A. Module 13 A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 623 623 Lesson 13.2 623 Lesson 2 13/11/14 8:54 PM The graph shows the value of two different shares of stocks over the period of 4 years since they were purchased. The values have been changing exponentially. The graph for Stock A shows that the value of the stock is decreasing as time increases. The initial value, when t = 0, is 100 . The value when t = 1 is 50 . Since 50 ÷ 100 = 0.5 , the function that represents the value of Stock A after t years is A(t) = 100 ( 0.5 ) . t Value (dollars per share) B A(t) is an exponential decay function. INTEGRATE MATHEMATICAL PROCESSES Focus on Math Connections y 100 (0, 100) Stock A 75 When modeling real-world examples of exponential growth and decay, ensure that students understand the meaning of the real-world values on the graph. Point out that the independent variable represents time, while the meaning of the dependent variable can vary with the situation. Remind students to label the axes of their graphs with the correct quantities and units. Students should also recognize that the y-intercept is the value of the independent variable at time t = 0, which may be called its initial value or starting value. (1, 50) 50 Stock B 25 (1, 3) (0, 1.5) 0 2 1 3 4 Time (years since purchase) The graph for Stock B shows that the value of the stock is increasing as time increases. The initial value, when t = 0, is 1.5 . The value when t = 1 is 3 . Since 3 ÷ 1.5 = 2 , the ( 2 ) . B(t) is an exponential t function that represents the value of Stock B after t years is B(t) = 1.5 growth function. The value of Stock A is going down over time. The value of Stock B is going up over time. The initial value of Stock A is greater than the initial value of Stock B. However, after about 3 years, the value of Stock B becomes greater than the value of Stock A. Reflect 14. Discussion In the function B(t) = 1.5(2) , is it likely that the value of B can be accurately predicted in 50 years? The exponential function grows much more quickly than any stock can reasonably grow, it t is unlikely that the value of B can be accurately predicted in 50 years by using the function. t(0) = 150 t(0) = 5 t(1) = 45 45 ÷ 150 = 0.3 t(1) = 15 A(t) = 150(0.3) t 15 ÷ 5 = 3 B(t) = 5(3) t Value (dollars per share) 15. The graph shows the value of two different shares of stocks over the period of 4 years since they were purchased. The values have been changing exponentially. Use the graphs provided to write the equations of the functions. Then describe and compare the behaviors of both functions. Stock B: Stock A: y 150 (0, 150) Stock A 100 50 (0, 5) 0 (1, 45) (1, 15) Stock B t 1 3 2 Time (years since purchase) © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company Your Turn The value of Stock A is going down over time. The value of Stock B is going up over time. The initial value of Stock A is greater than the initial value of Stock B. However, after about 1.5 years, the value of Stock B becomes greater than the value of Stock A. Module 13 A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 624 624 Lesson 2 2/14/15 6:58 PM Modeling Exponential Growth and Decay 624 Elaborate ELABORATE 16. If b > 1 in a function of the form y = ab x, is the function an example of exponential growth or an example of exponential decay? If b >1, the function is an example of exponential growth. QUESTIONING STRATEGIES 17. What is an asymptote of the function y = 35( 1.1 )x ? x An asymptote of the function y = 35(1.1) is y = 0. Describe three real-world situations that can be described by exponential growth or exponential decay functions. Possible answers: interest earned on an investment, population growth or decline, radioactive decay 18. Essential Question Check-In What equation should be used when modeling an exponential function that models a decrease in a quantity over time? When modeling an exponential function that models a decrease in a quantity over time, the equation y = a(1 - r) should be used. t SUMMARIZE How do you write an exponential growth or decay function? The formula for growth is t y = a(1 + r) , and the formula for decay is t y = a(1 - r) , where y represents the final amount, a represents the original amount, r represents the rate of growth expressed as a decimal, and t represents time. Evaluate: Homework and Practice Graph the function on a graphing calculator, and state its domain, range, end behavior, and an asymptote. 1. ƒ(x) = 300(1.16) x Domain: {x| - ∞ < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} End behavior: As x → -∞, y → 0 and as x → ∞, y → ∞ Asymptote: y = 0 © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company 3. ƒ(x) = 65(1.64) x x 4. ƒ(x) = 57(0.77) x Domain: {x| - ∞ < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} End behavior: As x → -∞, y → ∞ and as x → ∞, y → 0 Asymptote: y = 0 Write an exponential function to model each situation. Then find the value of the function after the given amount of time. 5. Annual sales for a company are $155,000 and increases at a rate of 8% per year for 9 years. 6. The value of a textbook is $69 and decreases at a rate of 15% per year for 11 years. y = 69(0.85) y = 155,000(1.08) t t = 69(0.85) y = 155,000(1.08) 11 9 A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2 625 Lesson 13.2 ƒ(x) = 800(0.85) Domain: {x| - ∞ < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} End behavior: As x → -∞, y → ∞ and as x → ∞, y → 0 Asymptote: y = 0 Domain: {x| - ∞ < x < ∞} Range:{y| y > 0} End behavior: As x → -∞, y → 0 and as x → ∞, y → ∞ Asymptote: y = 0 = 155,000(1.999) = 69(0.167) = $309,845.72 = $11.52 Module 13 625 2. • Online Homework • Hints and Help • Extra Practice 625 Lesson 2 23/02/14 12:34 PM 7. A new savings account is opened with $300 and gains 3.1% yearly for 5 years. 8. y = 300(1.031) y = 7800(0.92) = 300(1.16) = 7800(0.61) t EVALUATE t = 300(1.031) = 7800(0.92) 5 6 = $349.47 9. The value of a car is $7800 and decreases at a rate of 8% yearly for 6 years. = $4729.57 The starting salary at a construction company is fixed at $55,000 and increases at a rate of 1.8% yearly for 4 years. ASSIGNMENT GUIDE y = 55,000(1.018) t = 55,000(1.018) 4 = 55,000(1.074) = $59,068.21 10. The value of a piece of fine jewelry is $280 and decreases at a rate of 3% yearly for 7 years. 11. The population of a town is 24,000 and is increasing at a rate of 6% per year for 3 years. y = 280(0.97) y = 24,000(1.06) t t = 280(0.97) = 24,000(1.06) 7 = 24,000(1.191) = $226.24 = 28,584 12. The value of a new stadium is $3.4 million and decreases at a rate of 2.39% yearly for 10 years. y = 3.4(0.9761) t = 3.4(0.785) = $2.67 million y = a(1 - r) = 192,000(0.93) t t y = 192,000(0.93) ≈ 99,918,93 200,000 Value (dollars) Write an exponential function for each situation. Graph each function and state its domain and range. Determine what the y-intercept represents in the context of the problem. On answer graphs, coordinates may be rounded. 13. The value of a boat is depreciating at a rate of 7% per year. In 2004, the boat was worth $192,000. Find the value of the boat in 2013. 150,000 100,000 9 50,000 y (0, 192,000) (4, 143,626) (8, 107,440) (12, 80,370) t After 9 years, the boat will be worth approximately $99,918.93. 0 4 8 12 Time (years since 2004) Domain: {x|0 < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company • Image Credits: ©CoolKengzz/Shutterstock = 3.4(0.9761) 10 Module 13 Depth of Knowledge (D.O.K.) Mathematical Processes 1 Recall 1.C Select tools 5–12 1 Recall 1.A Everyday life 13–20 2 Skills/Concepts 1.D Multiple representations 21–24 2 Skills/Concepts 1.C Select tools 1 Recall 1.C Select tools 3 Strategic Thinking 1.G Explain and justify arguments 26–28 Exercises 1, 3 Explore 2 Describing End Behavior of a Decay Function Exercises 2, 4 Example 1 Modeling Exponential Growth Exercises 5, 7, 9, 11, 14, 16, 18, 20, 25 Example 2 Modeling Exponential Decay Exercises 6, 8, 10, 12–13, 15, 17, 19, 26–28 Example 3 Comparing Exponential Growth and Decay Exercises 21–24 Students may want to check their results on a graphing calculator. They can enter the function in the Y = menu and then press GRAPH. Then they can press the TABLE key to get a list of x- and y-values, and can scroll up or down to see more values. This method is especially convenient when seeking the value of the function for more than one input value, because it is an alternative to repeatedly typing the expression into the calculator. Lesson 2 626 1–4 25 Explore 1 Describing End Behavior of a Growth Function INTEGRATE MATHEMATICAL PROCESSES Focus on Technology The y-intercept is 192,000, the original value of the boat in 2004. Exercise Practice 3 = 280(0.808) A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 626 Concepts and Skills 13/11/14 7:23 PM Modeling Exponential Growth and Decay 626 14. The value of a collectible baseball card is increasing at a rate of 0.5% per year. In 2000, the card was worth $1350. Find the value of the card in 2013. VISUAL CUES Focus on visual cues as you discuss how to recognize exponential growth and decay from a graph. Students should recognize that a rising line represents growth and a falling line represents decay. The steeper the line, the greater the rate of growth or decay. y = a(1 + r) = 1350(1.005) t t y = 1350(1.005) ≈ 1440.43 13 After 13 years, the card will be worth approximately $1440.43. Domain: {x|0 < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} The y-intercept is 1350.00, the original value of the card in 2000. Value (dollars) AVOID COMMON ERRORS Some students may forget to add 1 to the rate of growth in the exponential growth model. Remind students that 1 + r is the growth factor in the model. 15. The value of an airplane is depreciating at a rate of 7% per year. In 2004, the airplane was worth $51.5 million. Find the value of the airplane in 2013. y = a(1 - r) = 51.5(0.93) After 9 years, the airplane will be worth approximately $26.8 million. © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company • Image Credits: ©RoseOfSharon/Alamy Domain: {x|0 < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} Value (dollars) y = 51.5(0.93) ≈ 26.8 9 500 t 0 5 10 15 Time (years since 2000) y (0, 51.5) 40 (2, 44.5) 30 (6, 33.3) t 16. The value of a movie poster is increasing at a rate of 3.5% per year. In 1990, the poster was worth $20.25. Find the value of the poster in 2013. t t y = 20.25(1.035) 23 ≈ 44.67 After 23 years, the poster will be worth approximately $44.67. Domain: {x|0 < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} The y-intercept is 20.25, the original value of the poster in 1990. A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 627 627 (10, 24.9) (8, 28.8) 20 0 y = a(1 + r) = 20.25(1.035) (4, 38.5) 10 The y-intercept is 51.5, the original value of the airplane in 2004. Module 13 Lesson 13.2 t t Students may not be familiar with the word depreciate. Explain that to depreciate is to decrease in value. One meaning of the word appreciate is the opposite of depreciate: to increase in value. (15, 1455) (0, 1350) (10, 1419) 1,000 50 50 Value (dollars) CONNECT VOCABULARY 627 (5, 1384) y 1,500 2 4 6 8 10 Time (years since 2004) y 40 (15, 33.93) 30 (5, 24.05) 20 (0, 20.25) (20, 40.29) (10, 28.57) 10 t 0 5 10 15 20 25 Time (years since 1990) Lesson 2 13/11/14 8:57 PM 17. The value of a couch is decreasing at a rate of 6.2% per year. In 2007, the couch was worth $1232. Find the value of the couch in 2014. y = a(1 - r) = 1232(0.938) t t y = 1232(0.938) ≈ 787.10 7 After 7 years, the couch will be worth approximately $787.10. Value (dollars) 1600 1200 (2, 1083.97) 800 t t y = 34,567(1.022) ≈ 50,041 17 After 17 years, the town will have about 50,041 people. Population y = a(1 + r) = 34,567(1.022) Domain: {x|0 < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} 0 2 4 6 8 Time (years since 2007) y = 131,000(0.946) ≈ 75,194 10 After 10 years, the house will be worth about $75,194. 30,000 (0, 34,567) t y = 113(1.0494) ≈ 201.54 12 After 12 years, the bank account will hold about $201.54. Domain: {x|0 < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} The y-intercept is 113, the original amount in the account in 2005. A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 628 628 y (0, 131,000) (2, 117,234) (4, 104,915) 60,000 30,000 t 0 200 Value (dollars) y = a(1 + r) = 113(1.0494) 3 6 9 12 15 Time (years since 2001) 120,000 (1, 123,926) 90,000 (3, 110,903) 20. An account is gaining value at a rate of 4.94% per year. The account held $113 in 2005. What will the bank account hold in 2017? Module 13 Some students may fail to write percents as decimals before applying the exponential growth model. Encourage them to write out the decimal equivalent of a growth or decay rate before adding it to 1 or subtracting it from 1 in the exponential equation. 20,000 150,000 The y-intercept is 131,000, the original value of the house in 2009. t AVOID COMMON ERRORS (12, 44,882) (6, 39,388) 1 2 3 4 5 Time (years since 2009) y (8, 166.19) 160 (0, 113) 120 80 (4, 137.04) (6, 150.91) (2, 124.44) © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company Domain: {x|0 < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} 40,000 t Value (dollars) t (15, 47,910) (9, 42,046) (3, 36,899) y 0 19. A house is losing value at a rate of 5.4% per year. In 2009, the house was worth $131,000. Find the value of the house in 2019. t (6, 839.13) 10,000 The y-intercept is 34,567, the original population of the town in 2001. y = a(1 - r) = 131,000(0.946) The population of a town is decreasing at the rate of 1% a year. You are asked to find the population after four years. Solving the exponential growth function, you get an answer of 1248.77. What answer will you record? Explain. Round the answer to 1249 because there cannot be a fraction of a person. (4, 953.72) (8, 738.30) The y-intercept is 1232, the original value of the couch in 2007. 50,000 QUESTIONING STRATEGIES 400 Domain: {x|0 < x < ∞} Range: {y| y > 0} 18. The population of a town is increasing at a rate of 2.2% per year. In 2001, the town had a population of 34,567. Find the population of the town in 2018. y (0, 1232.00) 40 t 0 2 4 6 8 10 Time (years since 2005) Lesson 2 13/11/14 8:59 PM Modeling Exponential Growth and Decay 628 Use a calculator to graph the functions. Describe and compare each pair of functions. PEERTOPEER DISCUSSION 21. A(t) = 13(0.6) and B(t) = 4(3.2) t Ask students to discuss with a partner how to write an exponential growth or decay model from a verbal description of a real-world situation. They should consider which key words tell whether the situation involves growth or decay, what the starting value a is, and how to use the growth or decay rate r in the equation. t The value of A(t) is decreasing. The value of B(t) is increasing. The initial value of A(t) is greater than the initial value of B(t). However, for t greater than about 0.7, the value of B(t) becomes greater than the value of A(t). 22. A(t) = 9(0.4) and B(t) = 0.6(1.4) t t The value of A(t) is decreasing. The value of B(t) is increasing. The initial value of A(t) is greater than the initial value of B(t). However, for t greater than about 2.2, the value of B(t) becomes greater than the value of A(t). 23. A(t) = 547(0.32) and B(t) = 324(3) t t The value of A(t) is decreasing. The value of B(t) is increasing. The initial value of A(t) is greater than the initial value of B(t). However, for t greater than about 0.2, the value of B(t) becomes greater than the value of A(t). JOURNAL t t 24. A(t) = 2(0.6) and B(t) = 0.2(1.4) Have students write a journal entry in which they describe how to graph an exponential growth or decay function, and how to find the equation for a real-world situation involving exponential growth or decay. The value of A(t) is decreasing. The value of B(t) is increasing. The initial value of A(t) is greater than the initial value of B(t). However, for t greater than about 2.7, the value of B(t) becomes greater than the value of A(t). 25. Identify the y-intercept of each of the exponential functions. a. 3123(432,543) (0, 3123) d. 76(89, 047, 832) b. 0 (0, 0) e. 1 x c. 45(54) x x (0, 76) (0, 1) (0, 45) © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company H.O.T. Focus on Higher Order Thinking 26. Explain the Error A student was asked to find the value of a $2500 item after 4 years. The item was depreciating at a rate of 20% per year. What is wrong with the student’s work? 4 2500(0.2) $4 t t The exponential decay function is y = 2500(1 - 0.2) , or y = 2500(0.8) . The student forgot to subtract the rate of depreciation from 1 before solving. 27. Make a Conjecture The value of a certain car can be modeled by the function t y = 18000(0.76) , where t is time in years. Will the value of the function ever be 0? The value of the function will never be 0 because the right side of the function is a product of positive numbers. Although the value can become extremely close to 0, it can never equal 0. 28. Communicate Mathematical Ideas Explain how a graph of an exponential function may resemble the graph of a linear function. A graph of an exponential function may appear to be a linear function if only a small part of the graph is shown and the values in that part are changing slowly. Module 13 A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 629 629 Lesson 13.2 629 Lesson 2 11/17/14 4:41 PM Lesson Performance Task CONNECT VOCABULARY Some students may not be familiar with the terms archeologist, artifacts, or radiometric dating. Explain that an archeologist studies prehistoric people and cultures by analyzing items that remain for us to find, such as their bones, weapons, artifacts, and tools. Artifacts are objects that the people made, such as pottery. Radiometric dating, also called radioactive dating, is a method of determining the age of an object based on the rate of decay of an element in the object. Archeologists have several methods of determining the age of recovered artifacts. One method is radioactive dating. All matter is made of atoms. Atoms, in turn, are made of protons, neutrons, and electrons. An “element” is defined as an atom with a given number of protons. Carbon, for example, has exactly 6 protons. Carbon atoms can, however, have different numbers of neutrons. These are known as “isotopes” of carbon. Carbon-12 has 6 neutrons, carbon-13 has 7 neutrons, and carbon-14 has 8 neutrons. All carbonbased life forms contain these different isotopes of carbon. Carbon-12 and carbon-13 account for over 99% of all the carbon in living things. Carbon-14, however, accounts for approximately 1 part per trillion or 0.0000000001% of the total carbon in living things. More importantly, carbon-14 is unstable and has a half-life of approximately 5700 years. This means that, within the span of 5700 years, one-half of any amount of carbon will “decay” into another atom. In other words, if you had 10 g of carbon-14 today, only 5 g would remain after 5700 years. But, as long as an organism is living, it keeps taking in and releasing carbon-14, so the level of it in the organism, as small as it is, remains constant. Once an organism dies, however, it no longer ingests carbon-14, so the level of carbon-14 in it drops due to radioactive decay. Because we know how much carbon-14 an organism had when it was alive, as well as how long it takes for that amount to become half of what it was, you can determine the age of the organism by comparing these two values. QUESTIONING STRATEGIES What is the growth factor (the base raised to a power) in the exponential model? Explain. It is 1 - 0.5 = 0.5, because the amount of carbon-14 decreases by half during every time period. n Carbon-14 Concentration In Parts Per Quadrillion C(n) = 1000(0.5) © Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company • Image Credits: ©worker/ Shutterstock Use the information presented to create a function that will model the amount of carbon-14 in a sample as a function of its age. Create the model C(n) where C is the amount of carbon-14 in parts per quadrillion (1 part per trillion is 1000 parts per quadrillion) and n is the age of the sample in half-lives. Graph the model. 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2 4 6 8 Age in Half-Lives Module 13 630 Lesson 2 EXTENSION ACTIVITY A1_MTXESE353879_U5M13L2.indd 630 Have students research how very large numbers such as million, billion, trillion, and quadrillion compare to each other. Then have students rewrite the model C(n) in different units and tell how the graph would change. Students may find that since 1 trillion, or 10 12, is equal to 1000 billion, or 10 3 ∙ 10 9, 1 part per trillion is the same as 0.001 parts per billion. Therefore, the model could be C(n) = 0.001(0.5)n. The graph would differ only in that the scale of the vertical axis would be in parts per billion rather than parts per quadrillion. 13/11/14 7:23 PM Scoring Rubric 2 points: Student correctly solves the problem and explains his/her reasoning. 1 point: Student shows good understanding of the problem but does not fully solve or explain his/her reasoning. 0 points: Student does not demonstrate understanding of the problem. Modeling Exponential Growth and Decay 630
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