INTER-TEMPORAL CHANGES OF CONVERSION FACTORS, EXTRACTION RATES, PRODUCTIVITY OF CROPS AND LIVESTOCK AND RELATED MATTERS: 1963-67 TO 1993-97 INTRODUCTION FAO classifies agricultural commodities as either primary or processed. Primary crops are those, which come directly from the land and have not undergone any real processing, except some cleaning to make them ready for the market and processing. Primary livestock products are coming directly from slaughtered animals, viz., meat, offals, slaughter fats, hides and skins; and those coming directly from live animals, viz. whole milk, eggs, honey, beeswax, wool and hair. Any other livestock product not mentioned above is considered processed. At the world level, only 20-25 percent of the calories consumed by man come from primary products and the other 75-80%, from processed products. In the United States the ratio primary to processed is approximately 11% to 89%. The FAO’s Food Balance Sheets, a major output of the FAO Statistics Division’s database FAOSTAT, are based on a very detailed database containing crop and livestock production and trade data for a great number of commodities, including both primary and processed - about 500 products in total, of which 38% are primary and 62% processed. Hence, there is the real necessity of having conversion factors and extraction rates to convert primary commodities to processed ones and vice versa, in order to make meaningful commodity aggregates. A good example is to look at potatoes. The sum of 50 tons of potatoes, 50 tons of deep-frozen potatoes, 25 tons of potato chips and 25 tons of dehydrated potatoes is 150 tons. But in terms of primary product equivalent the total is 400 tons. Obviously, processed commodities are much more numerous than primary commodities. Today processing of crops and livestock products is a necessity rather than a luxury and with both the increasing urbanization and growing women’s participation in the work force. An additional reason for processing are: isolation of the desired components of agricultural products, e.g., sucrose from sugar crops, oil from oil crops, etc.; removal of harmful substances existing in the primary products; and, particularly nowadays, conversion to forms desired by the consumers or imposed on them. Crops and livestock products are all perishable, some of them, like milk and fruit and vegetables for example, are more perishable than others. The reason is that they contain living organisms and as such undergo continuous biochemical changes. These changes are 1 due partly to the action of enzymes in the food, partly to the growth of micro-organisms contaminating them. Micro-organisms, which are important in food spoilage, are divided into three main groups: bacteria, yeasts and moulds. It must be noted, however, that although some micro-organisms constitute a potential hazard, commercial and/or medical, others are of definite value in transforming primary products into processed food. Man has always transformed cereals into alcoholic (fermented) beverages and bread, and milk into cheese by utilizing – unconsciously at first, consciously later- microbe fermentation. Today, microorganisms are of fundamental importance in the production of substances widely used by the food industry, such as additives, glutamine acid, lysine, etc. Preservation through processing may be regarded as a method of interrupting the natural cycle of life so that the normal agents, which bring about decomposition, are unable to perform their destructive work of making the products unfit for human consumption. Crushing, salting, curing, fermentation and drying of foods were used long before Christian times. Many centuries ago, as attested by biblical and other ancient records, man processed milk into butter and cheese, grapes into wine, olives into oil and cereals into flour and bread. Naturally processing of agricultural commodities has improved with the years. Milling of cereals has improved through the discontinuation of hand pounding and by the adoption of more and more sophisticated machinery; the traditional simple sun drying has been substituted by modern techniques; mechanical crushing of oilseeds by chemical solvent extraction supplemented by refining and hydrogenation. In recent years, progress in the food industry has been astonishing. There are many new words associated with highly sophisticated operations performed by the food industry which have been introduced recently in our vocabulary: ultra-high temperature treatment, deep-freezing, lyophilization, dehydration, defatting, homogenization, deodorization, standardization, irradiation, enriching, fortifying, reconstituting, vitaminizing, pre-cooking, etc. In fact, these changing patterns in food consumption, which constantly demand new and varied forms of pre-cooked or processed products, require new technology to transform perishable agricultural production into stable finished food products adequate in terms of efficiency, hygiene and preservation of nutrients. An interesting question is to what extent the nutrient elements and vitamins existing in the original products are lost in preservation procedures. It is said, generally, that losses during processing are not more than those that inevitably occur in cooking in the home. Processing frequently means a radical transformation in the composition of food nutrients and losses of vitamins as compared to the original product. Two examples: - 1 kg of soybeans, if consumed as such, would provide about 3950 k calories, 33% coming from carbohydrates, 29% from proteins and 38% from fat. If the kg of soybeans is processed 2 into oil one can get some 175 grams of oil yielding about 1550 k calories. All carbohydrates and proteins will remain with the cake and meal used for animal feed. - 1 kg of maize, if consumed as such, would provide about 3560 k calories, 82% coming from carbohydrates, 8% from proteins and 10% from fat. If the kg of maize is processed into sweeteners, with oil as a by-product, one can get some 570 grams of sweeteners and 40 gm of oil yielding about 2150 k calories. Part of carbohydrates and all proteins will remain with gluten feed, meal and cake used for animal feed. One needs to examine how the conversion factors evolved during the last 30 years; how the productivity of crops and livestock altered. The analysis below is made by standard commodity groups. CEREALS Evolution of seeding rates, feed and seed use and increase of area, yield and production of main cereals crop can be seen in Table 1. Extraction rates in Table 2. During the period under review 1963-67 TO 1993-97, for wheat, seeding rates rose 31% and this, with other factors, contributed to a yield increase of 106%. Among main producers, seeding rates increased significantly, in Argentina, India, Pakistan, Poland, Turkey and US. They went down in France, UK and Australia and did not change much in Canada and Germany. The extraction rate of wheat flour increased from 77.3% to 79.1%. Countries’ extraction rates lie between 70 and 90 percent (wheat flour- wholemeal). The percentages of production used for seed decreased by 36.5%, while the percentage used for feed rose about 30%. Data for important reporting countries: Seeding rates (KG/HA): US 92, India 187, Canada 95, UK 180, Germany 180, Poland 255, Sweden 210, and European Union (EU-15) 185. Flour extraction rate: US 74%, UK 80%, and Germany 78%. Rice: Seeding rates increased by 27.5%, and yield per hectare 84.4%. Seeding rates were higher in India, Indonesia and Japan, but lower in the US. The conversion factor rice paddy to milled rice remained steady at around 66.6%. It ranges in various countries from 60 to 70%. The portion of production used for seed declined by almost 30%; that used for feed rose by 214%. (It is noted here that rice bran is being used for oil making in several countries.) Barley: In the period under consideration, 1963-67 TO 1993-97, seeding rates rose 37.5% and yield per hectare rose 46.3%. Seeding rates increased in major producing countries (those with lower yields), but were lower in France, Germany and UK. Conversion factors of barley to malt remained unchanged at approximately 74%. Country figures range between 70 and 3 85%. The percentage of production used for seed fell slightly, but the percentage used for feed rose more than 10%. Some figures for important reporting countries: Seeding rates (Kg/ha): US 88 (Kg/ha), India 118 (Kg/ha), Canada 86 (Kg/ha), UK 170 (Kg/ha), Germany 150 (Kg/ha), Poland 221 (Kg/ha), Sweden 180 (Kg/ha), European Union (EU-15) 165 (Kg/ha); Barley, pearled extraction rate: US 63%, UK 70%, Germany 63%. Maize: In contrast with other cereals, seeding rates decreased by 35% during the period and probably somewhat more, as some countries do not include in the count the seed used for crops harvested green for fodder and food. In spite of this, yield per hectare rose nearly 100%, jumping from 2.1 tons per hectare in 1961 to 4.4 tons in 1998. Introduction of hybrid seed and other high yielding varieties in several countries explains this phenomenal achievement. The proportion of production used for seed declined by one third but the proportion used for feed, at 65%, was down only 2%. The conversion factors to maize flour and meal decreased slightly from 82.5 to 81.5%. These factors lie between 65% to 95% in the countries, depending on whether the product is degermed or not and also on how much bran is contained in the flour. During the four decades under review, utilization of maize for flour, meal, grits and other food products kept pace with the increase of population and even increased a little bit more. But the utilization for caloric non-sucrose sweeteners grew by an impressive 350% or more (see Fig.3). Caloric sweeteners are produced from various crops, provided they contain sufficient starch content. The most prominent source of starch in the US, and in many other countries, is maize, but in other countries, wheat and roots and tubers are also used. The main nonsucrose caloric sweeteners are glucose, dextrose and high fructose corn (maize) syrup (HFCS). In the US, main producing country, HFCS accounts for more than 70% of total sweeteners, and production of caloric sweeteners surpasses now production of sugar (see Fig.1 and 2). The utilization of maize for industrial starch did not increase much, while utilization for ethanol rose sharply in recent years. See, for example, US data in Fig.1. Conversion factors from maize to starch and sweeteners are 57% to 63%, to ethanol 35% to 40%. Rye/Oats: Seeding rates went up in important producing countries such as Poland, Germany and Canada; more than 60% at world level. The yield per hectare, however, rose 43%. 4 Utilization for feed climbed from 63 to 65% of production, which, at the world level, registered a loss of 33%. This means that less and less of Rye/Oats crops are used for food. Extraction rates to rye flour and oats (rolled) did not vary much over years - at world level. They remained about 80% for rye and 55% for oats. Millet/Sorghum: Seeding rates are up, during the period reviewed, in major producing countries such as India and Sudan, and up by about 9.5% at world level. Although yield per hectare rose considerably in Argentina and China, the increase of the world yield as a whole was 34%. Feed use increased from 30 to 37.5% of production. In countries where these cereals are used for food, extraction rate to flour/ meal is approximately 90 % at world level. ROOTS and TUBERS From the 1960s to the 1990s per caput consumption of roots and tubers fell by more than 20%, particularly in developed countries. Calories derived from them account now for a mere 5% of the total, compared with more than 7.5% in the sixties. Potatoes: Seeding rates increased in certain producing countries, such as US, Spain, Netherlands, Poland, Turkey, UK and Germany, but decreased in many others, such as Canada. All in all, at the world level, they decreased by 6.5%. The percentage of potato crops used for seed has fallen from 16.5 to 12.1% and so also the percentage used for feed, from 29 to 17%. Yields per hectare increased only by 27.4% (see Table 1). The seeding rates of a few important reporting countries are given as: US 2375 (Kg/ha), India 1530 (Kg/ha), Canada 2240 (Kg/ha), UK 3096 (Kg/ha), Germany 2250 (Kg/ha), Poland 2339 (Kg/ha), Sweden 1800 (Kg/ha), European Union (EU-15) 2170 (Kg/ha). Potatoes have always been processed into flour, starch and alcohol. More recently, in several countries, such as US, Netherlands and Germany, more and more potatoes are being processed into deep-frozen products, cooked or not, particularly “French fries” and also into potato chips. (See Fig. 3 and 4). The conversion factors currently used are the following: deep-frozen 48-52%; chips 26-30%; dehydrated, flour, starch, alcohol 12-22%; canned 6585%. Cassava: Cassava has always been processed into flour, meal, paste, dough, granules, tapioca and similar products by producers with traditional methods. Very little quantities are processed by the industry into starch and tapioca: conversion factor, 20% to 28%. More recently large amounts of cassava are being dried by the industry, in a few countries, 5 particularly Thailand, for exports, mainly to European countries where the product is used for feed. Conversion factors are as high as 40%. OIL BEARING CROPS: Seeding rates and trend of area, yield and production of main crops can be seen in Table 1; extraction rates and conversation factors in Table 2; geographical distribution in Fig. 10 to 14, and other information in Fig. 15 to 19. Soybeans: Seeding rates decreased by 16%, but yield per hectare was up by more than 78%. A small portion of the crop, about 7%, is used for processing into food products other than oil: fermented, such as soy sauce, paste and curd; and non-fermented, such as soymilk and soy curd. Flour and flakes are also made from soybeans, either full fat, conversion factor (c.f.) 83%, or low fat, c.f. 60% or defatted, c.f. 56%. The bulk of production is processed into oil. Extraction rates to oil moved from 17.7 to 18.0%. Country figures range from 15 to 21%. Groundnuts Shelled: Groundnuts in shell are converted at 70% into shelled groundnuts and as such enter in all utilization data, except seeding rates, which increased about 5.5%, and production whose increase was nearly 93%. In China, from around 1967 to around 1997 the increase was almost 400%. China produces now about one third of the world total. More than half of the production is processed into oil. Today’s extraction rate is 43%, slightly over the 42% of 30 years ago. Country figures range between 36 and 50%. More than one third of production is consumed as such or salted and roasted or processed into groundnuts butter and similar products. These products contain from 45 to 50% fat as well as protein and carbohydrate of the original product. Sunflower: Seed rates are down by more than 50% during the reviewed period. Evidently the new varieties require lower seeding rates, although they have higher oil content. Yields per hectare increased little - by only 11%. Average yields in the former USSR were, in the 1960s, 1.2 tons; in recent years less than 1 ton e.g., 0.85 in Russia and 1.2 in Ukraine. Sunflower crop is used almost exclusively for oil making. The extraction rate climbed from 38.7 to 40.6%. Country figures range between 30% and 46%. Rapeseed: During the period reviewed, seeding rates declined from 18 to 17 kg per hectare (ha), but yield per hectare rose by a remarkable 126%. The introduction of new varieties, yielding higher crops, with little toxicity at all and richer in oil content, explain the increase. The world production registered a spectacular increase of almost 700%. China, the main producer today, had an increase of 860%. In recent years, rapeseed crops have been used for industrial purposes. The bulk is processed into oil with an extraction rate of 38.2%. In a few 6 countries the extraction rate now reaches 43%, but there are still countries where the extraction rate is below 35%. The seeding rates for important reporting countries are: US 7 (Kg/ha), India 7 (Kg/ha), Canada 7 (Kg/ha), UK 13 (Kg/ha), Germany 4.5 (Kg/ha); Oil extraction rate: US 38%, Canada 42%, UK 41%, Germany 41%. Cottonseed: Oil extraction rate decreased from 16.7% to 15.7%, during the reviewed period. Country figures range between 12% and 19%. Olives: Extraction rates to virgin oil moved up from 18.5% to 19.5%. It varies widely from country to country, from 13% to 25%. About 13% of the crop is consumed fresh or preserved in various forms. Copra and copra oil: Husked coconuts yield, today, about 21.5 % of copra, which is historically high. But the conversion factor (c.f.) of copra to copra oil remained practically unchanged over the years, at 61.5%. Country conversion factor of coconuts to copra range from 15% to 25%, and copra gives 55% to 65% of oil. About 40 % of coconuts are consumed as fresh or desiccated. Palm fruit, palm oil and palm kernels: The extraction rate from the oil palm bunches is today 5.5% for palm kernels and nearly 18.5% for palm oil. Some forty years ago the rates were 8%, kernels and 11.3%, palm oil. The geographical distribution of the oil palm explains these changes, (see Fig. 10). In fact, 80% of world production in 1955 of palm oil and palm kernels, in oil equivalent came from West Central Africa and 14.5% from South East Asia. In the Seventies, 43.5% from Africa and 45.5% from Asia. Today, only 12.5% from Africa and nearly 80% from Asia. In the past, in African countries, the palm oil extraction efficiency was very low as it was performed with traditional methods, which permitted the extraction of about 50% of the total palm oil content. In Nigeria, the largest producer some time ago, a large portion of the bunches were processed by hand and less with hydraulic or screw pressing, with a degree of efficiency of 65 to 85%. Palm kernels were largely gathered from the ground and exported, mainly to European countries. Today the extraction rates of various countries range from 3 to 12%, kernels, and 7 to 28%, palm oil. Production in Asia and Latin America is highly industrialized today. The average yield per hectare in the four main producing countries, excluding Nigeria, is 18.7 tons of bunches, all harvested in regular plantations, equivalent to 4 tons of palm oil and palm kernel oil. 7 Margarine: At present, margarine, including Indian Vanaspati and the US portion of shortening made from vegetable oils, is manufactured almost entirely from vegetable oils. At world level the conversion factor (c.f.) oil to margarine is about 114%. Country values fluctuate from 105% to 125%, depending on how much foreign material (additives to improve the texture or to impart a better flavour or colour) is used, and also on the fat content of the final product. There are margarines with only 40% of fat content. World production of margarine from 1950s to 1990s rose 168%, from 4.4 to 11.8 million tons, (see Fig.15, 17, 18 and 19). A century ago, when the margarine was being developed, the percent composition of the ingredients of margarine was in favour of animal fats. In the 1950s, significant amounts of animal fats and marine oils were still used. The vegetable oils entering in the manufacture of margarine varies from country to country, depending on the use of home produced and imported oilseeds and oils. In the United States, for example, the share of various fats and oils used in the manufacture of margarine and shortening changed as follows in the last 50 years: Around 1955, animal 15%, vegetable 85%: Soya 62%, cotton 30% Around 1980, animal 18%, vegetable 82%: Soya 82%, cotton 4% Around 1997, animal 8%, vegetable 92%: Soya 91%, cotton 3% For many years cottonseed oil was the first in the list of oils used for making margarine and shortening, followed, at distance, by coconut oil and palm oil. Then, in the thirties came on the stage soybean oil and soon became the most important one. Vegetable oils: Production of vegetable oils in 1995 reached almost 78 million tons, six times more than in 1950 (see Fig. 15). Today nearly 30% are used for industrial purposes (per caput food use increased “only” by 77%). Calories from vegetable oils cover now 8.3% of all calories consumed; the percentage 30 years ago was 5.4%. The percentages of various vegetables oils, used mainly for food, on the world total production changed as follows from 1950 to 1998-99: 8 Percent share 1950 1998-99 % Change of world production 1950-98/99 Coconut oil Groundnut oil Palm+palm kernel oil Soybean oil Cottonseed oil Olive oil Rapeseed oil 13.9 12.9 12.2 3.6 5.8 25.4 73 200 1300 11.6 11.0 8.9 7.0 26.9 4.6 2.8 14.2 1465 180 110 1265 Sunflower seed oil Sesame seed oil Maize oil All 6.4 4.9 2.0 100 10.6 0.8 2.2 100 1020 10 660 575 Information on utilization of vegetables oils in oil–containing manufactured products, such as mayonnaise, mustard, potato chips, French fries, salad dressing, sandwich spread, canned fish and all baked foods is very scanty. Also scanty are the production figures of these products. Fat content of those products can be as low as 3% and as high as 80%. VEGETABLES AND MELONS: It is difficult to estimate how much of these crops are processed and how much is consumed raw; particularly considering that the main producers, China and India, accounting for almost half of the world total production do not publish any figure on this particular topic. Assuming that developed countries process about 35% of their production and only 10% for developing, the world average would be 16%. In the U.S., one of the few countries for which information is fairly complete, the share of fresh to processed is now equal. In the 1930s the shares were 72% and 28%, and in the 1960s they were 58% and 42% (see Fig. 5 and 6). Certain vegetables, for example, tomatoes, green beans and green peas, sweet maize, artichokes and asparagus, have always been preserved in various forms, whole, pieces, juice, paste, etc., and then canned and bottled. The vegetables mentioned above, except tomatoes, 9 plus many others, such as broccoli, carrots, spinach and onions more recently have been deep-frozen. A few of them are dehydrated, viz., onions, garlic, peppers and mushrooms. The conversion factors of primary (farm weight) to processed products depend on many circumstances: a) Amount of preserving materials and additives, natural or chemical, used (salt, sugar, oil, vinegar, water solutions, peptic acid, etc.); b) The method and degree of processing; c) How much of the primary product is rejected before processing, i.e. the so-called refuse, which, in any case is also discarded at home. The refuse varies widely from product to product. It is very high, for example, in green beans and green peas in the shell, medium in cabbages and peppers, low and very low in tomatoes, carrots and gherkins. For example, the conversion factors (cf) for tomatoes are: whole and peeled, 65%-85%; juice: natural 65%80%; concentrate: 20%; paste 16%-25%; ketchup 40%; puree 30%; dried 5%. In general, conversion factors from primary to processed vegetables are as follows: canned 35% to 100%; frozen and deep-frozen 45% to 85%; dehydrated 4% to 20%. FRUITS and BERRIES: Information on production of fruit processed products and corresponding conversion factors is very limited. The main producing country, China, and other important producers, such as India, do not publish any figure on that. So assuming that developed countries process about 55% of their production and developing some 22%, it can be estimated that the world figure comes to about 30%. As for vegetables, United States is a good reporting country. They process now 67% of their production. It was already 51% in 1950 (see Fig. 3, 7 and 8). As regards consumption, fresh fruit represents now 38% of the total fresh and processed fruits. It was 64% in 1960. At present, the distribution of processed products consumed is as follows, frozen 2% (2% in 1960), dried 7% (6% in 1960), canned 13% (46% in 1960). juice 78% (46% in 1960). These are given in farm weight basis. Countless products come from the processing of fruit crops - canned, dried, frozen and deep-frozen, juice, wine and cider. Citrus fruit and pineapples are used mainly for canning and juice; deciduous fruit and figs, for canning and drying; grapes for wine and raisins; apples for cider. Frozen products include mainly juice, but also other products made principally from berries and tart cherries but also from peaches, apples and few other fruit crops. Drying and wine making are two of the oldest processing procedures. Manufacture of fruit syrups and juices, candied and crystallized fruits, jams, jellies, marmalade, chutneys and sauces have been practiced from old days, also in the households. Safe canning, freezing, deep or quick-freezing and dehydration require modern techniques. 10 Quick, deep-freezing method of processing is very popular today. In the case of frozen concentrate fruit juice, it consists in the concentration of the juice, which for that purpose is heated at very high temperatures so that water evaporates, after which the product is frozen or deep-frozen. Concentrate juice may have various degrees of concentration. They are measured with the Brix scale: a hydrometer scale for sugar solutions, which shows percentages by weight of sugar in the solution. Brazil is today, the main producer of frozen concentrate orange juice, 65° Brix, followed by the United States, 42° Brix (see Fig. 3 and 8). Brazil exports practically the whole production, mainly to the U.S. In contrast with production of most other products, wine production, in the European Union countries as a whole, slowed down in the seventies and eighties, and more and more wine was used for distillation. In particular, annual per caput consumption in France went down from about 135 lt. around 1910 to 115 lt. in the sixties and to about 60 lt. today. And in Italy, during the same period, from 130 and 105, to about 55. At the world level, from 1965 to 1995 wine production was down by 10%, while production of beer was up by 127% (see Fig. 9). A few conversion factors to convert farm weight products to terms of processed products can be seen in Table 2. Conversion factors vary widely from product to product, depending on the various circumstances mentioned above under vegetables. For example, refuse is high in mangoes, pineapples and other tropical fruits, medium or low in deciduous fruits, very low for berries. The following are the conversion factors generally used by FAO: canned fruit (drained product) 45% to 65%; frozen fruit 60% to 95%; fruit dried 23% to 37%; dehydrated 8% to 20%; fruit juice: single strength 35% to 75%, concentrate 10% to 18%, wine 65 to 75%. SUGAR CROPS: The world average conversion factor of sugar cane to raw centrifugal sugar is 10.8%, with countries figures ranging from 8.1% to 14.0%. Raw sugar extraction rate for sugar beets is 14.2% as world average, with country figures moving from 10% to 18% (see Table 2). Sugar cane and molasses are used also for alcohol making, food and non-food. In Brazil, the main producer, huge amounts are also used for ethanol. SLAUGHTERINGS and MEAT - PRODUCTIVITY of LIVESTOCK: The world figures for livestock population, slaughterings, meat production and related indicators could be influenced by Chinese data in the 1990s, which are being questioned by some experts. The country itself made some downward revisions to the data which have been published in the past, in Chinese official publications. For example, meat production for 1996, previously reported at 59.2 million tons, was cut down to 46 million, without, apparently, making any 11 change of 1995 production figures, reported at 52.6 million tons, 26% of world production. FAO has adjusted official figures for 1994 and 1995. Recently, China has increased meat production of 1997 by 2.3% to reach 52.7 million tons. A few words about take-off rate and productivity rate. Take-off rate is the percentage of animals slaughtered and exported alive on total population enumerated generally at the beginning of the year. Productivity rate takes also into account the increase or decrease of population in the following year. Take-off and productivity are identical if the increase is zero. An increase in population corresponds to an increase of productivity, similarly a decrease in population corresponds to a decrease in productivity. Evolution of livestock population, slaughterings, carcass weight, take-off rates and productivity can be seen in Tables 4.1 to 4.3. Other information is shown in Tables 2 and 3 and Fig. 15 to 20. Cattle and buffaloes: Decreases of population in developed regions, except Oceania, were, compensated with general increases in developing regions, particularly China and Latin America. The same trend occurred with slaughterings. Eventually, world population was up by 34% and slaughterings by 40%. Buffaloes alone increased much more than cattle, but they represent less than 10% of the total. The average carcass weight went up in all regions, except Africa. At the world level it was up by 20.5%. The increase was particularly vigorous in China, Asia and in all developed regions. The reasons for the increase was more and better feed in many countries and drastic reduction of the number of calves slaughtered in developed countries. For example, the percentage of calves on total slaughterings in 1955 and 1997 changed as follows in the following countries: US 33% to 4%, Germany 50% to 11%, UK 27% to 1%, Australia 42% to 14%. Perhaps the definition of calves changed also somewhat over the years. At the end, meat production rose by nearly 70%. Apart from the astronomical increase of Chinese figures, strong increases were recorded in Asia (145%), Latin America (110%), Oceania (93%) and Africa (69%). Much lower increases were recorded in Europe+Russia (31%) and North America (27%). Take-off rate increased in all developing regions, particularly China and Asia; increased slightly in Europe+Russia (Russia increases compensated decreases of other Europe) and Oceania, but decreased a little in North America. The increase for the world as a whole was slightly less than 4.5%. It should be noted, however, that in the sixties developing regions registered low or very low rates as compared with developed regions. Even now they are relatively low. 12 There are still a lot of draught animals in developing regions. In the 1960s productivity rate exceeded take-off rate in all regions, particularly in the developing ones, which were low in Latin America, or very low in all other regions, particularly in China. In the 1990s, productivity rates were above take-off values in all regions except Europe+Russia. They were slightly lower in EU-15 but considerably lower in Russia. The ratio of carcass weight to live weight decreased slightly for cattle and some more for buffaloes. In general, it moved from 46 to 58%, depending also on the definition of dressed carcass weight adopted by the countries. Sheep and goats: During the review period, world sheep and goat population grew by about 25.5% at world level; only 7% for sheep, but 78% for goats, which now account for 37% of the total. Increases were recorded in all developing regions, except Latin America. There was a general decrease in all developed regions, particularly North America (62%). World slaughterings rose by 65%: sheep by 39% and goats by 147%. Increases above the world average were recorded in China, Africa and Asia. Modest increases were reported in Latin America and Europe+Russia. Practically there was no change for Oceania and severe decrease for North America (65%). The average carcass weight rose significantly in North America and China; little in other regions except Latin America where there was a fall of almost 7%. At the world level the increase was less than 3%. At the end of the review period, meat production of sheep and goats was up 70%; 960% in China, 112% in Africa, 88% in Asia, 13% in Europe+Russia and 5% in Oceania. It did not vary much in Latin America while it decreased by 56% in North America. Sheep meat increased by 43%, while goat meat by 180%. Take-off rate rose sharply in China, which started with very low figures. The increase in other regions ranged from 14% to 30%, except in North America, where there was a decline of 8%. The take-off rate for the world, as a whole, was 31% up on 30 years earlier, somewhat more for goats than for sheep. Productivity rate in the sixties was generally higher than take-off rate with the exception of North America and Europe+Russia. In the1990s, it was higher in Africa and China; while it did not change much in Asia and it was lower in other regions. At the world level the increase was less than 1%. The ratio carcass weight to live weight increased a little for goats and some more for sheep. The average increase for the whole world is 49.5%. Country values range between 44% and 56%. 13 Pigs: Pig numbers recorded a growth of 77.5%, for the whole world. Increases for the main producing regions were as follows: China: 163%, Asia: 108%, Latin America: 33%, Europe+Russia: 27%, in spite of a reduction of Russian numbers of 10%, North America: 9.6. Slaughterings increased even more, 113% at world level - China: 269% and Asia: 185%. Lower increases in other regions: Latin America: 100%, Europe+Russia: 48% and North America: 21.5%. Average carcass weight went up in all regions except Africa. The increase was particularly significant in China, 72.7%. At the world level carcass weight went up by 20%, from 63.8 to 76.6 kilograms. Some countries changed their concept of dressed carcass weight. With both slaughterings and carcass weight increasing everywhere, world meat production rose by 155%. The increases of main producing regions were as follows: China: 537%, Europe+Russia: 60%, North America: 52%, Asia: 246% and Latin America: 116%. For the world during the period reviewed the take-off rate rose by 20%, to reach 118%. Higher percentage increases were recorded in Latin America (50%), China (40%) and Asia (37%). Lower increases were reported in Europe+Russia (16%) and North America (10.5%). In the 1990s take-off rate for Europe+Russia was 138%, of which Russia 103% and European Union (EU-15) 164%. There are various countries with take-off rates reaching 190% and even more, while many others are still moving between 50% and 100%. Productivity rate in the 1960s exceeded take-off rate in all regions, with the exception of North America and Europe+Russia, where both rates were practically identical. In the 1990s productivity rates were a little higher in Africa, Asia, China, North America and Oceania. Somewhat lower than takeoff rates in Latin America and Europe+Russia. The two were almost identical at world level. Productivity rate for Europe+Russia was 136%, of which Russia amounted to 93% and European Union to 166%. The ratio carcass weight to live weight increased from 73% to 79-80%. Country figures move between 65% and 85%, depending also on the definition of carcass weight. Chickens and turkeys: The information available does not permit any sound estimate of total numbers, slaughterings and related indicators. Evolution of carcass weight can be seen in Table 3, with the warning that it is seldom clear whether meat production data, and carcass weight figures, include or exclude giblets, or whether they are reported in eviscerated weight, dressed weight or ready-to-cook weight. It is difficult to estimate the ratio carcass weight to live weight (see Table 2). Figures for the United States, which report on a ready-to-cook basis, are 72.5 for chickens and 79 for 14 turkeys. Take-off rates can go up to 500% and even more. At the world level chicken meat production rose by 392% from 1965 to 1995 and turkey meat by 368%. The increase of North America for chicken meat was 277% and 217% respectively in Europe+Russia, 157% and 1200%. PROCESSED PRODUCTS FROM SLAUGHTERED ANIMALS: Lard and tallow: These two are obtained by melting slaughtered and butchering fats from pigs, lard, and from cattle and other animals, tallow (see Table 15 to 18). Tallow is rarely used for food in developed countries. Main use is for feed and industrial purposes. Extraction rates range from 78 to 82%. Meat processed products: These can be divided into six main groups: bacon and ham, c.f. 60-85%; other dried, salted and cured meat, c.f. 30-60%; sausages and similar products, c.f. 60-85%; canned meat other than products mentioned above, c.f. 55 to 65%; deep-frozen meat, particularly poultry, c.f. 90-95%; meat extracts, c.f. 12-20%. The conversion factors change in relation to the characteristics of the products: low or high water content, more or less free of bones and fat, with little or much foreign material added, etc. Meat dried, salted and cured is not so popular as used to be in the past; it has been substituted by deep-frozen products. MILKING ANIMALS and MILK: Table 3 shows the evolution of milk yields for cows, buffaloes, sheep and goats. Production per cow increased only 11% at world level. Much more than that was the increase in North America, 100% and in Europe+Russia, 50%. The yield per cow in Europe+Russia is 3540 kg year, but in Russia it is only 2115, while in EU-15 reaches 5350 per year. From 1965 to 1995 the number of milking cows increased by 28% at world level, but fell by 40% in North America and by 21% in Europe+Russia. In the US, during the last 50 years, milking cows decreased by 60%, but production went up 35% as yield per cow rose by 220%. Cow milk production was up 40%, at world level; 21% in North America; and 12% in Europe+Russia. The yield per cow buffalo rose 36%, that per ewe only 3% and the yield per she goat apparently fell by 6%. The average yield is now only 85 kg, although it reaches almost 600 kg in a few European countries (European goats are less than 3% of the world total). 15 LAYING HENS and EGGS: World and regional figures of egg production per hen are shown in Table 3. The world average is 9.6 kg per year, some 32% above that of 30 years ago. Yield per hen in four main producing regions are as follows, with - in brackets – the percentage increase on the period 1963-67: China 10.1 kg (216%), Europe+Russia 12.9 kg (65%), Asia 8.8 kg (11%), North America 15.1 kg (18%). At present, yield per hen of Russia is 12.8 kg, in EU-15, 14.7 kg. In the United States, during the last 50 years, laying hens numbers dropped by 8%, but production gained 35%, since yield was up by 47%, from 174 to 256 eggs per hen per year. PROCESSED PRODUCTS FROM LIVE ANIMALS: Dairy products: In most developed countries, the quantities of raw, crude, whole milk used as such for human consumption is very small, perhaps only 5 to 10%. The bulk undergoes more or less complex processes to obtain either products which are still liquid milk (standardized milk, pasteurised milk, partly skimmed milk, etc.) or products, which are not anymore liquid milk (cream, butter, cheese, evaporated and condensed milk, milk powder, casein, yoghurt, ice cream, etc.). In the processing of whole milk into dairy products, a certain number of by-products are also obtained, such as skim milk, butter milk and whey, which in turn are either sent back to farms for feed or are used in the manufacture of dairy products, particularly dry skim milk, dry butter milk, dry whey and low fat cheese. Extraction rates for the main dairy products are shown in Table 2, other details in Fig. 15, 17 to 20. Those figures represent only world averages of various products involved. This is why some details are given here below. Butter: Figures include ghee, a liquid butter clarified by boiling, produced chiefly in countries of the Far East. Conversion factor of various countries from milk range from 3.5 to nearly 6%. Average fat content 80%. Cream: There are different kinds of cream with different fat content. So the conversion factor ranges from 9 to 35%, with 15 as average. Cheese: Factors reported in Table 2 are an average of the many kinds of cheese produced, from full fat cheese to low fat cheese, hard and soft cheese, ripe and fresh cheese, including cottage cheese and curd. The fat content can be under 5% or over 45%. The moisture content can go from 30 to 80%. Little wonder if cheese made principally from whole milk has extraction rates ranging from 10 to 18%, with an average of 12%, and cheese made 16 principally from skim milk has an extraction rate ranging from 5 to 25%, with an average of 19. Evaporated and condensed milk: These products result from a modest or a medium reduction of water, with or without sugar added. Fat content of products made from whole milk ranges from 8 to 15%; and protein content, from 7 to 8.5%. Conversion factors of evaporated and condensed products made principally from whole milk range from 20 to 50%, with an average of 40-45%. Products made principally from skim milk, range 23-45%, with an average of about 37-40%. Dry milk or milk powder: These are products resulting from an almost complete dehydration of milk. Their moisture content is only 3 or 4%, and the fat content depends on the originating fresh products: it can be as low as 0.5% (dry whey) and as high as 30% (dry whole milk). Conversion factors: dry, whole from 12 to 26%, average 13; dry, skim 8 to 13, average 9.5. Production changes over the years of those products can be seen in Fig. 15 and 20. Butter production, from 1965 to 1995, went up 14%, cheese 132%, condensed and evaporated milk nil, dry milk (from whole and skim milk only) 97%. In the last 40 years, in the United States, butter production decreased by 24%, condensed and evaporated milk by 45% and dry whole and skim milk by 42%. In contrast with these figures cheese production rose by 184%, and production of dry whey by 259%. Evolution of consumption of butter and cheese in selected countries: kg per caput/year: Butter Australia Canada Denmark Germany Netherlands UK US 1935 14.1 14.0 9.4 7.5 6.3 11.4 7.8 1995 3.0 2.9 2.1 7.1 1.8 3.3 2.0 17 Denmark France Germany Netherlands Switzerland UK US Cheese 1930 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.7 9.2 4.2 2.1 1995 16.8 22.0 17.6 19.4 14.8 8.3 13.6 Egg products: There are only two: liquid eggs and eggs dried. They can be whole or split into white (albumen) and yolk, plain or blends. Conversion factors to liquid products as follows: whole 84%, white 50 and yolk 34. To dried products: whole 22%, white 6.5 and yolk 15.5. 18 Table 1. Progress of principal crops from early sixties (60s) to late nineties (90s) World figures Seeding rates Kg/ha Seed as % of Feed as % of production production % Increase 60s to 90s 60s 90s 60s 90s 60s 90s Area Wheat 126 165 10.4 6.6 12.5 16.1 5.4 106 117 Rice, Paddy 90 115 4.5 3.1 0.7 2.2 21.8 84.4 125 Barley 136 187 9.0 8.5 63.3 70.0 9.8 46.3 60.6 Maize 52 34 2.7 0.9 66 65 29.4 99.6 158 Rye+Oats 148 230 11.7 13.5 63 65 -52 43.3 -33 Millet+Sorghum 19.3 21.1 2.5 2.0 29.9 37.3 -10.3 34.2 21.0 Potatoes 2066 1933 16.5 12.1 29 17 -15.6 27.4 7.5 Dry Beans 47 44 9.6 6.5 1.6 5.6 5.2 36.7 43.5 Soybeans 86 72 7.2 3.4 1.7 3.2 157 78.5 358 Groundnuts 71 75 8.5 5.6 - - 20.3 58.8 92.4 Sunflower 62 30 5.8 2.5 0.4 3.8 176 11.0 207 Rapeseed 18 17 2.9 1.2 3.8 6.1 253 126 692 19 Yield Production Table 2. Evolution of extraction rates and conversion factors from early 60s to late 90s World figures for selected commodities % 60s 90s 60s 90s Wheat flour 77.3 79.1 Palm kernels 8.0 5.5 Milled rice 66.6 66.7 Palm oil 11.3 18.4 Barley malt 73.6 73.4 Cottonseed oil 16.7 15.7 Maize flour/ meal 82.5 81.5 Cottonseed/seed cotton 54.7 62.8 Plums dried 33.1 34.1 Cotton lint/seed cotton 34.3 34.9 Raisins 24.3 24.0 Butter 5.3 4.7 Wine 69.7 72.8 Cond+Ev milk (whole+skimmed) 39.4 40.5 Figs, dried 33.5 33.6 Dry milk (whole+skimmed) 9.8 10.8 Soybean oil 17.7 18.0 Cheese from cow milk 11.7 12.8 (whole+skimmed) Groundnut oil 42.1 43.0 Raw sugar from cane 10.8 10.7 Sunflower seed oil 38.7 40.6 Raw sugar from beet 14.2 14.0 Rapeseed oil 35.9 38.3 Margarine 115 114 Olive oil 18.8 19.5 Copra 21.1 21.5 Copra oil 61.1 61.3 60s 90s Dressed carcass weight as % of live weight: 60s 90s Cattle 53.4 53.1 Pigs 72.9 78.9 Buffaloes 49.1 46.7 Chickens 70.5 75.5 Sheep 46.2 49.2 Turkeys 78.8 75.8 Goats 49.1 49.8 20 Table 3. Productivity of slaughtered and live animals Kg per head/animal A 1963-67 World Total Africa L America Asia-China China N America Europe+Russia Oceania B 1993-97 Chickens Turkeys Cows Buffaloes Sheep Goats Hens (Meat) (meat) (milk) (milk) (milk) (milk) (eggs) A 1165 6400 1830 940 44 90 7300 B 1350 7200 2035 1275 45 85 9600 A 905 4500 440 1130 37 62 3250 B 1010 4400 470 1120 30 55 3900 A 1160 3600 1030 - 26 62 6130 B 1445 5500 1160 - 26 50 7180 A 1070 3000 660 1090 43 70 7900 B 1155 4700 1100 1360 43 93 8800 A 1015 4000 1110 350 22 90 3200 B 1350 4000 1510 470 35 183 10100 A 1180 7100 3635 - - - 12800 B 1530 8100 7280 - - - 15100 A 1230 5000 2360 730 55 220 7800 B 1340 6600 3540 1250 85 200 12900 A 1215 4300 2545 - - - 10550 B 1410 3600 3695 - - - 13080 21 Table 4.1. Livestock population and productivity Annual averages: A 1963-67 B 1993-97 Cattle and Buffaloes Population Slaughtered Av. Carcass Take-off Productivity % % weight Millions World Total Africa L America Asia-China China N America Europe+Russia Oceania Millions Kg/head A 1104.3 204.3 165 18.5 20.5 B 1477.4 285.3 199 19.3 19.8 A 134.4 14.8 146 11.0 13.5 B 207.4 25.6 142 12.4 15.1 A 194.6 30.9 192 15.9 19.3 B 339.6 58.9 211 17.3 18.1 A 371.8 29.2 115 7.9 8.9 B 485.5 56.4 146 11.5 12.1 A 63.5 1.6 89.2 2.5 7.5 B 115.7 24.0 140 20.7 23.1 A 119.5 43.7 223 36.5 37.5 B 114.3 40.2 307 35.1 35.5 A 194.6 72.5 151 37.3 38.4 B 179.6 68.4 209 38.1 33.8 A 25.9 8.8 143 34.7 36.5 B 35.4 11.8 205 35.6 37.3 22 Table 4.2. Livestock population and productivity Annual averages: A 1963-67 B 1993-97 Sheep and Goats Population Slaughtered Av. Carcass Take-off Productivity % % weight Millions World Total Africa L America Asia-China China N America Europe+Russia Oceania Millions Kg/head A 1396.2 456.8 13.7 32.7 33.9 B 1754.8 753.3 14.1 42.9 43.2 A 244.8 70.6 11.9 28.8 32.1 B 414.7 136.1 13.1 32.8 35.2 A 156.7 30.0 14.6 19.2 19.4 B 134.7 32.6 13.6 24.2 22.5 A 387.9 148.0 13.0 38.2 39.5 B 581.0 252.4 14.3 43.4 43.7 A 137.4 16.0 10.1 11.6 13.0 B 236.2 139.6 12.3 59.1 63.2 A 30.5 14.7 22.1 48.0 43.1 B 11.6 5.1 27.8 44.2 39.0 A 220.8 114.2 13.5 51.7 51.5 B 200.8 123.7 14.1 61.6 57.1 A 218.0 63.6 17.1 30.5 32.3 B 176.0 63.7 18.0 39.8 37.2 23 Table 4.3. Livestock population and productivity Annual averages: A 1963-67 B 1993-97 Pigs Population Slaughtered Av. Carcass Take-off Productivity % % weight Millions World Total Africa L America Asia-China China N America Europe+Russia Oceania Millions Kg/head A 491.8 483.3 63.8 98.3 102.3 B 873.0 1027.8 76.6 117.7 117.8 A 6.2 4.5 47.7 72.5 74.8 B 22.3 17.2 47.0 77.2 82.7 A 56.2 25.6 64.5 45.5 47.9 B 74.9 51.2 69.7 68.3 67.0 A 42.2 40.1 49.5 95.0 98.8 B 87.7 114.4 60.1 130.4 132.6 A 151.8 116.9 44.4 77.0 88.9 B 398.7 430.9 76.7 108.1 108.8 A 63.1 89.9 66.9 143 142 B 69.2 109.3 83.6 158 159 A 169.0 200.9 77.3 119 119 B 215.2 297.3 83.7 138 136 A 3.2 4.2 45.7 128 132 B 5.1 7.5 59.5 147 149 24 Figure 1.United States: Industrial processing of maize for various products (Mi MT) 25.0 20.0 Sweeteners Other food Starch Ethanol 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1995 2000 Sweeteners 0.0 1.2 3.0 8.2 14.2 17.4 20.0 Other food 2.6 2.5 2.5 3.4 6.4 6.7 8.0 Starch 1.9 2.1 2.5 3.8 5.6 5.8 6.4 Ethanol 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 8.2 11.7 14.1 Figure 2.United States: Per caput consumption of refined sugar and non-sucrose caloric sweeteners (Kg per year) 50.0 40.0 30.0 Sugar HFCS Dextrose + Glucose 20.0 10.0 0.0 1920 1930 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 Sugar 41.8 48.1 42.9 42.5 42.2 28.1 29.8 HFCS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 19.2 26.4 Dextrose + Glucose 5.0 5.5 5.7 8.3 10.2 9.8 11.0 Figure 3.World annual production of selected crop products (Mi Mt product weight) 20 18 16 14 12 Non-sucrose caloric sweeteners Frozen potatoes Concentrate orange juice 10 8 6 4 2 0 1965 1975 1985 1995 Non-sucrose caloric sweeteners 3.8 6.4 12.5 17.5 Frozen potatoes 1.3 2.8 4.8 7.2 Concentrate orange juice 0.5 1.3 1.7 2.3 Figure 4.United States: Potatoes utilization for food as such and processed (Mi t per year) 8 7 6 5 As such For freezing Other processing 4 3 2 1 0 Fifties Sixties Seventies Eighties Nineties As such 6.8 6.08 5.35 5.13 5.76 For freezing 0.20 1.54 3.67 4.54 6.71 Other processing 1.63 2.72 3.36 3.67 4.40 Figure 5.United States: Utilization of vegetables produced (%) 80 70 60 50 For fresh market For processing 40 30 20 10 0 1935 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 1999 For fresh market 72 62 58 51 48 53 51 For processing 28 38 42 49 52 47 49 Figure 6.United States: Per caput consumption of vegetables (Kg farm-weight basis) 80 70 60 50 For fresh use For freezing For other processing (mainly canning) 40 30 20 10 0 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1999 For fresh use 65 64 60 56 51 64 76 For freezing 0 2 3 5 7 9 11 For other processing (mainly canning) 27 31 37 45 46 51 48 Figure 7.United States: Destination of fruit crops (%) 80 70 60 50 Fresh use Processing 40 30 20 10 0 1948-50 1963-67 1968-72 1978-82 1988-92 1994-98 Fresh use 49 37 32 30 35 33 Processing 51 63 68 70 65 67 Figure 8.Annual production of frozen concentrate orange juice in the United States and Brazil (Million Gallons) 250.0 200.0 150.0 US-Brix 42º Brazil-Brix 65º 100.0 50.0 0.0 1948-52 1958-62 1968-72 1978-82 1988-92 1995-99 US-Brix 42º 44.7 83.8 135.5 176.4 143.6 200.7 Brazil-Brix 65º 0.0 0.0 10.1 88.0 169.9 235.0 Figure 9.World annual production of wine and beer (Mi MT product weight) 140 120 100 80 Wine Beer 60 40 20 0 1965 1975 1985 1995 Wine 28.1 31.1 29.4 25.2 Beer 56.8 85.6 103.9 129.1 Figure 10.Percent distribution of World production by main producing areas Palm oil and palm kernel oil 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 W C AFRICA L AMERICA S E ASIA 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 W C AFRICA 79.6 73.8 43.3 20.1 12.6 L AMERICA 4.0 7.8 6.3 6.0 6.6 S E ASIA 14.6 16.3 45.4 72.0 79.8 Figure 11.Percent distribution of World production by main producing areas Soybeans 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 N AMERICA L AMERICA China S E ASIA 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 N AMERICA 49.0 73.2 66.1 57.6 48.5 L AMERICA 0.5 2.2 17.7 26.9 32.5 China 43.3 19.6 11.4 10.4 10.6 S E ASIA 6.2 3.5 2.5 3.3 6.3 Figure 12.Percent distribution of World production by main producing areas Groundnuts 50.0 45.0 40.0 35.0 AFRICA N AMERICA L AMERICA China S E ASIA 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 AFRICA 27.6 36.7 28.3 19.0 21.4 N AMERICA 5.7 7.0 8.9 9.0 5.8 L AMERICA 4.1 8.9 5.8 4.8 2.7 China 24.4 13.3 12.6 32.4 35.0 S E ASIA 38.2 34.8 44.0 34.7 34.7 Figure 13.Percent distribution of World production by main producing areas Sunflower seed 100.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 N AMERICA L AMERICA ASIA+China EUROPE+RUSSIA 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 N AMERICA 0.0 0.0 6.3 7.9 7.2 L AMERICA 7.4 11.3 8.3 18.5 23.1 ASIA+China 3.8 3.7 6.2 16.4 15.1 EUROPE+RUSSIA 87.0 85.0 75.0 53.4 51.5 Figure 14.Percent distribution of World production by main producing areas Rapeseed 50.0 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 N AMERICA China 25.0 S E ASIA EUROPE+RUSSIA 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 N AMERICA 0.0 9.6 20.5 18.4 19.5 China 28.6 21.2 17.0 29.5 28.6 S E ASIA 45.7 36.6 30.7 18.4 18.1 EUROPE+RUSSIA 22.9 30.8 30.7 33.2 31.5 Figure 15.World annual production of visible fats and oils (Mi MT product weight) 80.0 70.0 60.0 Vegetable oils (excluding those used for margarine) Margarine+shortening 50.0 40.0 Lard+tallow Butter+ghee 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 Pre World War I Fifties 1965 1975 1985 1995 18.5 26.0 41.5 67.5 4.4 5.6 7.6 10.6 11.8 6.1 7.5 8.7 10.9 11.5 4.4 5.8 6.3 7.5 6.6 Vegetable oils (excluding those used for margarine) Margarine+shortening 2.2 Lard+tallow Butter+ghee 4.1 Figure 16.United States: Annual per caput consumption of fats + oils (% animal and vegetable) 90 80 70 60 50 Animal Vegetable 40 30 20 10 0 pre World War I pre World War II Fifties Sixties Seventies Eighties Nineties Animal 74 58 47 35 29 22 16 Vegetable 26 42 53 65 71 78 84 Figure 17.Australia: Per caput/year consumption (Kg) 25 20 15 Butter Margarine Total oils+fat 10 5 0 1938 1948 1958 1968 1978 1988 1998 Butter 14.9 11.3 12.3 9.8 5.1 3.2 2.9 Margarine 2.2 2.8 3.9 4.9 8.5 9.0 6.7 Total oils+fat 20.0 16.4 18.3 16.5 23.6 22.2 19.6 Figure 18.United States: Annual per caput consumption of fats and oils (Kg of pure fat) 16 14 12 10 Butter Lard + Tallow Margarine+Shortening Vegetable oils 8 6 4 2 0 pre World War I pre World War II Fifties Sixties Seventies Eighties Nineties Butter 6.4 6.2 3.2 2.4 1.7 1.7 1.6 Lard + Tallow 5.4 5 4.9 2.8 1.4 1.1 1.9 Margarine+Shortening 4.4 6.2 7.9 10.4 11.9 12.3 14.1 Vegetable oils 0.7 3.2 4.4 6.3 8.7 11.2 12.7 Figure 19.United States: Annual production of butter and margarine/shortening (Th MT - product weight) 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 Butter Marg/Short 2000 1500 1000 500 0 pre World War I pre World War II Fifties Sixties Seventies Eighties Nineties Butter 753 1000 693 612 467 549 569 Marg/Short 514 863 1431 2177 2822 3348 3897 Figure 20.World annual production of selected dairy products (Mi MT product weight) 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 Cheese (all) Dry milk (whole+skim) Condensed+evaporated milk (whole+skim) 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1965 1975 1985 1995 Cheese (all) 6.3 9.4 13.2 14.6 Dry milk (whole+skim) 3.0 5.2 6.6 5.9 Condensed+evaporated milk (whole+skim) 4.0 3.9 4.2 4.0 CONCLUSION It is hoped that this in depth review of four decades of agricultural data and technical conversion factors (TCF) is the catalyst for additional studies, along these lines, of the changes taking place in the food industry. The study, which is being released in a provisional version, is intended to invite comments and suggestions for improvement and be a complement to the TIFF Document also found on this Statistics Division web page. It should be read in consultation with the latter and the diagrams of commodity trees, which are published with the TCF. http://www.fao.org/WAICENT/FAOINFO/ECONOMIC/ESS/tcf.htm 1
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