The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project, Egypt – Final Structure Plan, Volume 2: Supplementary Documents Cambridge, MA Lexington, MA Hadley, MA Bethesda, MD Washington, DC Chicago, IL Cairo, Egypt Johannesburg, South Africa February 2000 Prepared for Ministry of Housing, Utilities and Urban Communities/ Research and Studies Organization Abt Associates Inc. 55 Wheeler Street Cambridge, MA 02138 Prepared by Gabriel Abraham Ashraf Bakr Jonathan Lane Phase II Final Structure Plan Contents Volume 1: Final Structure Plan Technical Report (under separate cover) Chapter 1: Executive Summary Chapter 2: The Challenge for Luxor in the 21 st Century Chapter 3: Development Principles for a Sustainable Region Chapter 4: Needs Assessment Chapter 5: The Regional Structure Plan Chapter 6: Luxor City Plan Chapter 7: The Plan for New Luxor Chapter 8: The Plan for the El Toad Tourism Zone Chapter 9: Implementation Annex 1: Report Figures Volume 2: Final Structure Plan Supplementary Documents Annex 2: Summary Scope for CDCL Project Annex 3: Luxor Social Profile Annex 4: Environmental Profile Annex 5: 1996 Utility Improvement Report Excerpts Annex 6: Agricultural Profile Annex 7: The General Environment for Tourism Annex 8: Heritage Concept Annex 9: The National Plan for the Development of the South of Egypt, 2017 Annex 10: Profile of Egypt Annex 11: Documents in the Project File The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Volume 2: Supplementary Documents Table of Contents SUMMARY CONTENTS OF FINAL STRUCTURE P LAN, VOLUME 1 AND VOLUME 2.………………………1 FINAL STRUCTURE P LAN, VOLUME 2: SUPPLEMENTARY DOCUMENTS, LIST OF FIGURES.....................4 FINAL STRUCTURE P LAN, VOLUME 2: SUPPLEMENTARY DOCUMENTS, LIST OF TABLES ......................5 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS..................................................................................................................11 ANNEX 2: SUMMARY SCOPE FOR THE CDCL PROJECT .................................................... 12 2.1 2.2 2.3 BACKGROUND .....................................................................................................................12 THE INVESTMENT P ROJECTS.................................................................................................13 INDICATIONS OF THE EGYPTIAN GOVERNMENT'S COMMITMENT AND OWNERSHIP...................20 ANNEX 3: SOCIAL PROFILE FOR THE LUXOR STUDY AREA ............................................ 22 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................22 TOTAL P OPULATION ............................................................................................................22 LABOR FORCE .....................................................................................................................23 EDUCATIONAL STATUS (OF POPULATION 10-YEARS-AND-OLDER)...........................................25 ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES (POPULATION 15-YEARS-AND-OLDER)................................................31 HOUSEHOLD SIZE................................................................................................................33 HEALTH SERVICES ...............................................................................................................39 ANNEX 4: ENVIRONMENTAL PROFILE FOR THE CITY OF LUXOR.................................. 42 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 HYDROLOGY.......................................................................................................................42 GROUNDWATER: .................................................................................................................43 SURFACE WATER AND ACQUIFERS ........................................................................................43 CLIMATE.............................................................................................................................43 GEOLOGY AND SOILS ..........................................................................................................44 TERRESTRIAL ECOLOGY .......................................................................................................45 ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES FIGURES ................................................................................48 ANNEX 5: 1996 UTILITY IMPROVEMENT REPORT EXCERPTS.......................................... 58 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 P ROJECT SETTING................................................................................................................58 EXISTING FACILITIES AND P ROJECTED CONDITIONS ..............................................................66 P ROPOSED ACTIVITIES .........................................................................................................73 P ROJECT ALTERNATIVES ......................................................................................................80 ANNEX 6: ANALYSIS OF THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR ................................................... 85 6.1 6.2 6.3 THE P OTENTIAL FOR HIGH-VALUE CROP P RODUCTION ..........................................................86 HIGH-VALUE CROP P RODUCTION AND AGRO -P ROCESSING IN LUXOR.....................................88 AGRICULTURAL COMMUNITIES ............................................................................................88 ANNEX 7: THE GENERAL ENVIRONMENT FOR TOURISM................................................. 90 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 GLOBAL TOURISM ...............................................................................................................90 TOURISM TO EGYPT.............................................................................................................93 TOURISM IN LUXOR .............................................................................................................98 EXISTING ECONOMIC P RESSURES AND IMPACTS .................................................................. 104 ANNEX 8: HERITAGE CONCEPT............................................................................................107 8.1 8.2 HERITAGE OVERVIEW ........................................................................................................ 107 THE STORY OF LUXOR ....................................................................................................... 107 2 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 8.3 8.4 8.5 INTERPRETIVE GOALS AND APPROACHES............................................................................ 110 THE RESOURCES AND SETTING OF LUXOR........................................................................... 112 VISITOR P ATTERNS AND IMPACTS....................................................................................... 116 ANNEX 9:.. THE NATIONAL PLAN FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SOUTH OF EGYPT, 2017 139 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.9 9.10 SOUTH OF EGYPT STRATEGY, 2017 .................................................................................... 139 TOURISM .......................................................................................................................... 141 AGRICULTURE................................................................................................................... 144 P OTABLE WATER AND SEWERAGE...................................................................................... 146 SOCIAL SERVICES .............................................................................................................. 146 ELECTRICITY AND ENERGY................................................................................................ 148 TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATION AND STORAGE .......................................................... 149 INDUSTRY AND MINING ..................................................................................................... 150 P ETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS ........................................................................................ 151 COMMERCIAL AND BANKING SERVICES .............................................................................. 152 ANNEX 10: PROFILE OF EGYPT..............................................................................................154 10.1 CHALLENGES TO THE ECONOMY......................................................................................... 154 10.2 EGYPT’S GROWTH STRATEGY......................................................................................... 154 ANNEX 11: DOCUMENTS IN THE PROJECT FILE................................................................165 3 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Final Structure Plan, Volume 2: Supplementary Documents, List of Figures FIGURE 1: GEOLOGIC MAP OF LUXOR AREA ......................................................................................49 FIGURE 2: SLOPE OF LUXOR AREA ....................................................................................................50 FIGURE 3: SHADE RELIEF OF LUXOR AREA.........................................................................................51 FIGURE 4: ELEVATION OF LUXOR AREA.............................................................................................52 FIGURE 5: WATERSHED OF LUXOR AREA ...........................................................................................53 FIGURE 6: SOIL MAP OF LUXOR AREA................................................................................................54 FIGURE 7: ASPECT OF LUXOR AREA ..................................................................................................55 FIGURE 8: LANDSAT IMAGE OF LUXOR AREA .....................................................................................56 FIGURE 9: GEOLOGIC MAP OF LUXOR AREA ......................................................................................57 FIGURE 10: LUXOR LOCATION..........................................................................................................60 FIGURE 11: LUXOR WATER SYSTEM SERVICE AREA ..........................................................................61 FIGURE 12: LUXOR SEWERAGE SYSTEM COMPONENTS ......................................................................62 FIGURE 13: LUXOR WATER DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM ...........................................................................69 FIGURE 14: EFFLUENT REFUSE AREA ................................................................................................72 FIGURE 15: LUXOR WASTEWATER P LANT P ROPOSED SITE LAYOUT ....................................................77 FIGURE 16: FLOW P ROCESS DIAGRAM ...............................................................................................78 FIGURE 17: LUXOR P HASE I WASTEWATER TREATMENT P LANT SITE P LAN........................................79 FIGURE 18: RECOMMEND WASTEWATER COLLECTION SYSTEMS........................................................82 4 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Final Structure Plan, Volume 2: Supplementary Documents, List of Tables TABLE 1: LUXOR STUDY AREA P OPULATION, 1996............................................................................23 TABLE 2: NATIONAL P OPULATION FIGURES.......................................................................................23 TABLE 3: POPULATION AT THE AGE OF WORK , LUXOR STUDY AREA (15-60 YEARS OLD ) ....................24 TABLE 4: NATIONAL P OPULATION AT THE AGE OF WORK (15-60 YEARS OLD ).....................................24 TABLE 5: LABOR FORCE POOL IN THE LUXOR STUDY AREA ...............................................................25 TABLE 6: LABOR FORCE POOL, THE NATIONAL FIGURES....................................................................25 TABLE 7: POPULATION ENGAGED IN WORK IN THE LUXOR STUDY AREA ............................................25 TABLE 8: POPULATION ENGAGED IN WORK , NATIONAL FIGURES .......................................................25 TABLE 9: ILLITERACY RATES IN THE LUXOR STUDY AREA (POPULATION 10-YEARS-AND OLDER).........28 TABLE 10: ILLITERACY RATES AT THE NATIONAL LEVEL (POPULATION 10-YEARS-AND OLDER)...........28 TABLE 11: EDUCATIONAL STATUS OF LUXOR: A) P OPULATION WHO CAN READ & W RITE ...................29 TABLE 12: NATIONAL FIGURES OF EDUCATIONAL STATUS: A) P OPULATION WHO CAN READ & WRITE.29 TABLE 13: EDUCATIONAL STATUS OF LUXOR: B) UNIVERSITY GRADUATES ........................................29 TABLE 14: NATIONAL FIGURES OF EDUCATIONAL STATUS: B) UNIVERSITY GRADUATES .....................30 TABLE 15: % DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION BY MAJOR ECONOMIC ACTIVITY (15-YEARS-AND-OLDER) ................................................................................................................................................32 TABLE 16: P OPULATION AND HOUSEHOLDS .......................................................................................33 TABLE 17: P OP. D ISTRIBUTION BY MARIT AL STATUS..........................................................................33 TABLE 18: DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION BY AGE GROUP..................................................................34 TABLE 19: P OPULATION DISTRIBUTION BY HOUSEHOLDS....................................................................34 TABLE 20: DISTRIBUTION OF BUILDING BY BUILDING OWNERSHIP.......................................................35 TABLE 21: DISTRIBUTION BY BUILDING TYPES ...................................................................................35 TABLE 22: DISTRIBUTION OF BUILDINGS BY TYPE ..............................................................................36 TABLE 23: DISTRIBUTION BY BUILDING USE.......................................................................................36 TABLE 24: BUILDING DISTRIBUTION BY CONNECTION TO THE NETWORK..............................................37 TABLE 25: DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLDS BY MEANS TO LIGHTING ....................................................38 TABLE 26: DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLDS BY WATER ACCESS ...........................................................38 TABLE 27: DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLDS BY ELECTRIC, GAS, AND SEWER .........................................39 TABLE 28: HOSPITALS AND HEALTH FACILITIES IN LUXOR CITY .........................................................39 TABLE 29: HEALTH UNITS AND HEALTH FACILITIES IN LUXOR CITY AND MARKHAZ............................40 TABLE 30: HEALTH GROUPS AND HEALTH FACILITIES IN LUXOR CITY AND MARKHAZ.........................40 TABLE 31: CLINICS IN LUXOR CITY AND MARKHAZ............................................................................40 TABLE 32: BLOOD BANKS IN LUXOR CITY .........................................................................................40 TABLE 33: PHARMACIES IN LUXOR CITY AND MARKHAZ ....................................................................41 TABLE 34: AMBULANCE CENTERS IN LUXOR CITY AND MARKHAZ ......................................................41 TABLE 35: CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA..................................................................................................44 TABLE 36: SUMMARY OF USAID ENVIRONMENTAL P ROCEDURE........................................................65 TABLE 37: SUMMARY OF WATER TREATMENT FACILITIES .................................................................67 TABLE 38: SUMMARY OF P ROJECTED WATER DEMANDS – M³/D .........................................................68 TABLE 39: SUMMARY OF WASTEWATER P UMP STATION DATA...........................................................70 TABLE 40: SUMMARY OF P ROJECTED WASTEWATER FLOW - M 3/D .....................................................71 TABLE 41: ACTIVITIES RELATED TO REHABILITATION AND EXPANSION OF WATER DISTRIBUTION NETWORK.................................................................................................................................74 TABLE 42: INFLUENT AND EFFLUENT CHARACTERISTICS P ROJECTED FOR THE NEW WASTEWATER STABILIZATION P ONDS ..............................................................................................................75 TABLE 43: ACTIVITIES RELATED TO THE NEW WASTEWATER STABILIZATION P ONDS..........................76 TABLE 44: ACTIVITIES RELATED TO THE REHABILITATION OF EXISTING WASTEWATER TREATMENT P LANT ......................................................................................................................................81 5 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents TABLE 45: ACTIVITIES RELATED TO THE REHABILITATION AND EXPANSION OF WASTEWATER COLLECTION NETWORK.............................................................................................................83 TABLE 46: WORKFORCE REQUIRED FOR THE OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE OF DIFFERENT P ROJECT ELEMENTS ................................................................................................................................84 TABLE 47: MAJOR CROPS CULTIVATED IN LUXOR..............................................................................86 TABLE 48: TYPICAL AGRICULTURAL COMMUNITY LAND USES AND AREA ..........................................89 TABLE 49: INTERNATIONAL TOURISTS ARRIVALS BY REGION 1992 – 1998 .........................................91 TABLE 50: INTERNATIONAL TOURISTS RECEIPTS BY REGION 1992 – 1998...........................................92 TABLE 51: TOURISM RECEIPTS FOR SELECTED MEDITERRANEAN DESTINATIONS.................................93 TABLE 52: AGGREGATE MEASURES OF TOURISM TO EGYPT 1981-1998...............................................93 TABLE 53: AGGREGATE MEASURES OF TOURISM TO EGYPT 1981-1998...............................................94 TABLE 54: INBOUND TOURISM TO EGYPT BY MAIN GENERATING GROUPS:.........................................95 TABLE 55: FOREIGN ARRIVALS VIA MAIN POINTS OF ENTRY – 1997:..................................................96 TABLE 56: EGYPT'S LODGING CAPACITY DISTRIBUTION BY REGION – 1998 ........................................97 TABLE 57: HOTEL NIGHTS IN SELECTED GOVERNORATES - 1997 .......................................................97 TABLE 58: ANNUAL OCCUPANCY RATES OF HOTEL ROOMS 1994-99 [PERCENTAGES] .........................99 TABLE 59: ESTIMATION OF 1997 FOREIGN EXCHANGE EARNINGS-LUXOR SHARE................................99 TABLE 60: SELECTED MEASURES OF TOURISM AT LUXOR ................................................................ 100 TABLE 61: LUXOR HOTEL RESIDENTS BY GEOGRAPHIC GROUP - 1997 ............................................. 100 TABLE 62: ESTIMATED HOTEL CAPACITY REQUIREMENT , 2017 ....................................................... 103 TABLE 63: DISTRIBUTION OF NEW HOTEL CAPACITY BY TYPE ......................................................... 104 TABLE 64: NEW HOTEL P ROJECTS IN LUXOR ................................................................................... 105 TABLE 65: VISITORS TO SELECTED LUXOR ANTIQUITY SITES, JANUARY 1997................................... 122 TABLE 66: VISITORS TO SELECTED LUXOR ANTIQUITY SITES, FEBRUARY 1997................................. 123 TABLE 67: VISITORS TO SELECTED LUXOR ANTIQUITY SITES, MARCH 1997...................................... 124 TABLE 68: VISITORS TO SELECTED LUXOR ANTIQUITY SITES, APRIL 1997........................................ 125 TABLE 69: VISITORS TO SELECTED LUXOR ANTIQUITY SITES, MAY 1997.......................................... 126 TABLE 70: VISITORS TO SELECTED LUXOR ANTIQUITY SITES, JUNE 1997.......................................... 127 TABLE 71: 1997 DISTRIBUTION OF VISITORS, BY SITE FOR EAST AND WEST BANKS .......................... 128 TABLE 72: 1997 MONTHLY REVENUES AT ANTIQUITY SITES: TOTAL AND PER VISITOR...................... 128 TABLE 73: ANTIQUITIES RESOURCES (CAPACITIES) ......................................................................... 129 TABLE 74: ANTIQUITIES RESOURCES (FEES) .................................................................................... 133 TABLE 75: WEST BANK TOMB CAPACITY........................................................................................ 135 TABLE 76: ASSUMED P ATTERN OF ARRIVAL TO TOMBS, 10 HOURS OF OPERATION............................ 136 TABLE 77: ASSUMED P ATTERN OF ARRIVAL TO TOMBS, 16 HOURS OF OPERATION............................ 137 TABLE 78: ESTIMATE OF OVERALL WEST BANK VISITATION, BASED ON TOMB CAPACITY AND SEASONAL P ATTERNS.............................................................................................................. 138 TABLE 79: PROJECTED NEW TOURISM ACCOMMODATION IN THE SOUTH OF EGYPT, 2017.................. 142 TABLE 80: PROJECTED INCREASE IN ELECTRICITY GENERATION, SOUTH OF EGYPT, 2017.................. 149 TABLE 81: PROJECTED JOB OPPORTUNITIES .................................................................................... 153 TABLE 82: ANALYTIC INDICATORS ................................................................................................. 153 TABLE 83: INVESTMENTS OF THE NATIONAL P ROJECT ...................................................................... 153 TABLE 84: PROFILE OF EGYPT ........................................................................................................ 155 6 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents List of Abbreviations Currency Currency Unit: Egyptian Pounds (LE) (as of December 1999) LE 1.0 = 100 piasters LE 1.0 = US$ 0.29 US$ 1.0 = LE 3.41 Weights and Measures Metric System Abbreviations and Acronym CDCL Comprehensive Development for the City of Luxor CDM Camp Dresser Mckee CEA Cost Effectiveness Analysis EEAA Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency EGSA Egyptian General Survey Authority EGSMA Egyptian Geological Survey and Mining Authority GDP Gross Domestic Product GNP Gross National Product GOE Government of Egypt GOPP General Organization for Physical Planning (within the Ministry of Housing, Utilities and Urban Communities) HCLC Higher Council for Luxor City IDSC Information and Decision Support Center IFC International Finance Corporation JICA Japan international Cooperation Agency LNT Luxor National Trust MFA Ministry of Foreign Affairs MFIC Ministry of International Cooperation MHUUC Ministry of Housing Utilities and Urban Communities MHUUC/ RSO Ministry of Housing, Utilities and Urban Communities /Research and Studies Organization MOC Ministry of Culture MOE Ministry of Economy MOF Ministry of Finance MOP Ministry of Planning MOT Ministry of Tourism MOTR Ministry of Transportation NGO Nongovernmental Organization PDA Preservation and Development Authority PDN Planned Development Neighborhood PMU Project Implementation and Management Unit SCA Supreme Council for Antiquities (within the Ministry of Culture) TDA Tourism Development Authority (within the Ministry of Tourism) UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization USAID United States Agency for International Development 7 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project, Egypt Final Structure Plan Report Ministry of Housing, Utilities and Urban Communities / Research and Studies Organization, The Arab Republic of Egypt Fiscal Year July 1- June 30 President His Excellency Hosni Mubarak Project Sponsor The Honorable First Lady Mrs. Suzanne Mubarak Minister of Housing, Utilities and Urban Communities Dr. Eng. Mohammed Ibrahim Soliman Preside nt, Higher Council for the City of Luxor General Mahmoud Khalef National Counterpart of the Project Eng. Laila Kamel Barsoum, MHUUC National Project Director Eng. Mona Omar El Bassiouni, MHUUC/RSO Deputy National Project Director Eng. Hisham Moustafa, MHUUC/RSO Working Groups Moderator Dr. Tarek Wafik Project Consultants Abt Associates Inc. ICON Architecture Inc. Baraka Trading and Investments. Date: January, 2000 Principal Project Implementing Agency Higher Council for the City of Luxor (HCLC) Proposed Term: 2000-2020 8 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents For Additional Information, Please Contact: Eng. Laila Kamel Barsoum, First Undersecretary of State National Counterpart for the Project Ministry of Housing, Utilities and Urban Communities 1 Ismail Abaza Street, Kasr El Eini Cairo, Egypt Tel/fax 011-202-594-3088 9 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 1: Figures These figures are included in Annex 1 of Volume 1 of the Final Structure Plan Technical Report document. This list is provided in Volume 2 for reference only 1. 2. 3. 4. Regional Natural and Cultural Constraints Regional Structure Plan - 2020 Regional Transportation - 2020 Tourism and Heritage Linkages - 2020 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Utility Services - 2020 Luxor City - Action Areas Luxor City - Structure Plan Luxor City - Circulation Open Museum and Heritage District Existing Key Feat ures 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. Open Museum and Heritage District Concept Diagram Open Museum and Heritage District Existing Circulation Open Museum and Heritage District Proposed Circulation Open Museum and Heritage District Management Zones Aerial view of the Avenue of the Sphinxes towards Luxor Temple 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. Ground level view of activity along the restored Avenue of the Sphinxes Activity along the Lower Corniche in the Luxor City Open Museum and Heritage District The Processional Way in front of Karnak Temple’s entrance View towards the Necropolis from the Open Museum and Heritage District Visitor Center Coordinate Map of New Luxor and El Toad 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. New Luxor - Structure Plan New Luxor - Neighborhoods New Luxor - Public Facility Zones New Luxor Typical Neighborhood Civic space within a New Luxor neighborhood center 25. 26. 27. 28. New Luxor City Center New Luxor - Parks and Open Spaces New Luxor - Circulation El Toad Touristic Zone - Plan 29. Aerial view of the El Toad Tourism Zone entry 30. El Toad Entry Area 10 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Acknowledgements The Structure Plan Report is the cumulative result of earnest and sincere efforts made by all those associated with the project. The consultants are particularly appreciative of Her Excellency, The First Lady, Mrs. Suzanne Mubarak for sponsoring the Comprehensive Development Plan for the City of Luxor Project, and giving national priority to the project so deserving for such a historic place as Luxor. The consultants would also like to express their gratitude to the Ministry of Housing Utilities and Urban Communities (MHUUC), MHUUC's Research and Studies Organization (RSO)—which served as the national counterpart for this planning process—and the United Nations Development Program (UNDP), for entrusting this study to us. Consultants would like to express thanks to His Excellency Minister of Housing, Utilities and Urban Communities, Dr. Eng. Mohammed Ibrahim Soliman for his leadership in the planning process and wisdom in commenting on the plans. Consultants would like to single out the most valuable assistance that Eng. Laila Kamel Barsoum extended in conducting the study, and her leadership in providing overall direction to the project. Consultants would also like to express gratitude to Eng. Mona El Bassiouni, National Project Director, and the staff of the Research and Studies Organization, for their contribution and guidance. Consultants are most appreciative for the advice, assistance, and resources made available through the Higher Council for Luxor City (HCLC) given by the Governor of the HCLC, General Mahmoud Khalef and their staff, in particular, Mr. Youseff Andraous, Mr. Hagag Youssouf, and Eng. Sheharezade Hamem. Sheikh Mohammed El Tayeb, Haj Ahmed Abu Zeid, and the citizens of Luxor extended a warm hospitality to consultants and made significant contributions to the planning process. The consultants would also like to express profound gratitude to the former Governors of the HCLC, General Mohammed Yousseff and General Selmi Selim. The consultants have been very fortunate to receive constructive advice and support from the broadly representative Project Working Group and the chairs of the Working Group committees, Dr. Tarek Wafik, and Eng. Mona Omar El Bassiouni. The consultants are very appreciative for the valued contribution made by the many government officials and private sector representatives who assisted with information and insights that greatly influenced the planning. Among the numerous Working Group members, the consultants would like to give thanks to Dr. Ali Soliman, First Undersecretary General, Ministry for International Cooperation, Dr. Adel Rady, Director of the Tourism Development Authority, and Dr. Mohammed El Saghir, Director of Egyptian Antiquities Sector at the Supreme Council for Antiquities. 11 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 2: Summary Scope for the CDCL Project 2.1 Background Luxor (Thebes for the ancient Greeks) is home to a treasure of world-renowned monuments. Tutankhamun’s Tomb symbolizes Egypt’s Pharaonic past as much as the Pyramids. Nefertari’s Tomb, the tombs in the Valley of the Kings and in the Valley of the Queens, and the Tombs of the Nobles contain some of the most accomplished artwork in man’s history. Together with the Colossi of Memnon, Karnak Temple (the most imposing Pharaonic temple in all of Egypt) and Luxor Temple, they represent some of the finest examples of mankind’s early civilization and rank among its greatest cultural achievements. This unique cultural heritage continues to attract visitors from all over the world in ever-growing numbers. Ironically, their dedication to viewing these treasures is becoming a threat. In the tombs, their very presence is becoming detrimental to the quality and preservation of the paintings. There and in the temples, their increasing number and the virtual lack of any effective crowd management means waiting and jostling, elements that detract from the cultural experience. At the same time, the virtual absence of facilities for other tourist activities means very short stays in the area, lessening the benefits to the local economy, and less flexibility in scheduling visits to the cultural sites. Even so, the increasing number of tourists visiting Luxor has also provided the impetus for accelerated growth in Luxor and its surrounding areas. Growth pressures in turn have resulted in encroachments on the tombs and monuments, thereby jeopardizing the cultural heritage and impairing their value as a tourist attraction. To respond to these trends, the Ministry of Housing, Utilities and Urban Communities and the UNDP in 1997 sponsored Abt Associates Inc. for the study of a 20-year Comprehensive Development Plan for the City of Luxor (CDCL). The Structure Plan, Heritage Plan and Investment Projects produced as components of the project address ways to accommodate the projected growth in population, tourism and agriculture, while preserving and enhancing the antiquities. The objective of the CDCL project is to establish and carry out a work plan for environmentally sustainable tourism development that also benefits the local population. To reach this objective, the following core themes emerged from a study approach that stressed the active participation of all major stakeholders: (1) Preservation of cultural resources protects Egypt’s heritage and promotes economic development. (2) Planned growth promotes sustainable economic development. (3) Meeting the contemporary needs of local residents is vital to the success of plans. These core themes in turn identified specific objectives for the Comprehensive Development Plan for the City of Luxor: (1) Contribute to the preservation of the area’s unique cultural heritage by alleviating pressures on the existing sites through the creation of additional tourist attractions; (2) Prevent further urban sprawl and the deleterious effects of unplanned development on the cultural heritage and on the population’s living conditions; and (3) Create new economic opportunities for the citizens of the region. 12 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents To achieve these objectives, the Comprehensive Development Plan for the City of Luxor (CDCL) incorporates the following elements: (1) The creation of a Luxor City Open Museum and Heritage District, preserving the key historic features and settings in the City’s old sections. (2) The restoration of the Avenue of the Sphinxes, linking the major temples of Karnak and Luxor; (3) The development of a tourism zone south of the City of Luxor in the El Toad, comprising hotels as well as a golf course and facilities for other tourist activities; (4) The creation of a planned new community, New Luxor, south of the present city, for a target population of 200,000 residents by the year 2017; and, (5) Introduction of and support for the cultivation of higher-value crops in the agricultural zone surrounding the City of Luxor. 2.2 The Investment Projects The Comprehensive Development Plan for the City of Luxor is being developed in a series of stages. The initial document was designed to build consensus around a comprehensive conceptual framework. In the second phase, a Structure Plan translated the basic concepts into specific project elements. These elements are further refined and elaborated in a series of six investment projects, each focusing on one aspect of the overall project.: 2.2.1 Project 1: Restoration of the Avenue of the Sphinxes During the Pharaonic period, the Avenue of the Sphinxes connected the Temples of Luxor and Karnak, a processional avenue lined on both sides by 1,200 statues of sphinxes. Both temples were substantially completed during the New Kingdom period, over 3,000 years ago. Successive rulers altered and added to the temples; Amenhotep III built the Temple of Luxor during the 18th Dynasty, adding gardens between the Temple of Luxor and the complex of temples at Karnak. The ram-headed sphinxes lining the avenue bore his likeness. The centuries since have buried this processional avenue and its statues under 2 m of silt and sand, and urban development covered it with housing, asphalted streets, and other structures, obscuring its route and interrupting this dramatic connection. Over the last 50 years, portions of the Avenue of the Sphinxes (also known as Kebash Avenue) have been excavated, revealing remnants of the sphinxes and the roadbed. Short segments near each temple have been fully excavated and are now integral parts of the antiquities settings. Test excavations at segments along the 2.4-kilometer length of the Avenue have verified its location and underlined its archaeological potential. The investment project focuses on the renovation of the Avenue of the Sphinxes to improve the touristic experience, increase the vitality of the city center, and form the centerpiece of an Open Museum. The emphasis of the project at all times is on the accommodation of the living needs of the permanent population (mitigating the effects of congestion in a growing city center) with an active effort to increase job and entrepreneurial opportunities. The restoration project comprises several major actions, several of which will require substantial outlays and demand intensive implementation oversight. These actions summarized below are explained in detail in Investment Project 1. The total cost of the project is estimated at approximately US$40,000,000. (1) Purchase of land where necessary to a width of 76 m; (2) Relocation housing for the residents of over a hundred housing units on top of the Avenue of the Sphinxes; (3) Phase demolition of housing, commercial buildings, and government and religious buildings 13 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents intruding on the Avenue of the Sphinxes; (4) Excavation to a depth of 2 m: restoration of the sphinx statues and landscaping; provision of visitor amenities; and (5) Modification of the adjacent street layout and street crossings of the Avenue of the Sphinxes. In addition, the project will include measures to protect the setting. Administrative regulations and enforcement provisions will remove intrusions onto the Avenue of the Sphinxes, prevent future intrusions, and ensure that adjacent uses are compatible with the historic nature of the Avenue. 2.2.2 Project 2: Development of The Destination Resort of El-Toad The objective of the project is to establish and carry out a work plan for envir onmentally sustainable tourism development that also benefits the local population. To reach this objective the following core themes were identified: (1) Preservation of cultural resources protects Egypt’s heritage and promotes economic development. (2) Planned growth promotes sustainable economic development. (3) Meeting the contemporary needs of local residents is vital to the success of plans. The Need The creation of a tourism zone outside Luxor City is necessary to serve the future needs of the rapidly growing regional tourism industry. With tourism in Luxor projected to increase from 1 to 4 million visitors over the next 20 years, the area needs an estimated 6,600 new hotel rooms, in addition to the 2,280 rooms currently being planned in Luxor City proper. Existing hotel development areas will not be able to serve future needs. Suitable areas in Luxor City itself are limited to small infill parcels along the Corniche or lands on the perimeter of the city that are reserved for agricultural use. Proposed hotel sites in outlying areas, such as New Thebes and El Khuzam, would add to capacity, but the scale and location of these areas are not ideal for a major tourism zone. A large area with site amenities and strong regional access is needed as a major tourism zone for the Luxor region. Such an area not only can provide ample sites to support new hotel construction but also can support tourist recreational services and amenities which contemporary tourists expect. The inclusion of diverse activities within this zone is essential to expanding the range of activities for tourists and provide some alternatives to relieve pressures on the cultural heritage sites. Location On-site with favorable development potential is located in the El Toad area of the region. Encompassing two large, undeveloped plateaus approximately 9 km south of Luxor City and 2 km south of New Luxor and also 2 km south of the only Nile River Bridge in the region, El Toad offers a dramatic setting that can support significant tourism development. North and westward views from the plateaus take in the Nile River Valley and distant Necropolis. In other directions, views take in the wadis, agriculture and desert lands that frame the site. Local character is provided through the nearby villages, the infrequently visited and attractive El Toad Temple site and commoner tombs. Existing regional links between El Toad and other East Bank activities include the inter-regional rail line and Cairo-Aswan Highway that run along the western edge of the site. Its proximity to the Luxor Bridge provides exceptional access to tourism attractions on the West Bank. The proposed cruise ship port immediately adjacent to the area will further enhance the value and attractiveness of El Toad. The Vision 14 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents The El Toad Tourism Zone will include both tourism accommodations and attractions with regional appeal. Commercial and recreational attractions will make El Toad a major tourism destination, thereby promoting longer stays in the Luxor region, helping to relieve the visitor volumes at area monuments, and increasing economic opportunities for local residents. Amenities will include a golf course, theater, museum, large-scale gardens, tennis, and equestrian facilities. Concentrating hotel development in a well-planned zone will also achieve economies of scale for provision of superior amenities, maintenance, events planning and security, as hotels can share promotional programs and facilities. The Plan for the El Toad Tourism Zone has been developed to create a desirable area of both attractions and accommodations that serves regional tourists. Its key features include the following: (1) El Toad is located outside agricultural and antiquities lands. Development on the plateau can be oriented to capture the dramatic vie ws of the Nile River Valley and distant Necropolis. (2) Development through the 2017 period should occur on the southern plateau, which can be strongly linked to the proposed Cruise Ship port. In the more distant future, assuming that monument capacity constraints are met, there will be the potential for future touristic zone development on the nearby plateau to the north. (3) Approximately 18 hotels, with a total of 4,500 rooms are planned for the twenty-year period. Accommodations will vary in quality and type, including three, four and five star hotels and villa complexes. (4) The El Toad plan is coordinated with the new cruise ship port development in order to create an integrated tourism zone that promotes more joint cruise-hotel stays and improved connectivity. (5) Attractions, such as an 18-hole golf course and botanical garden, are incorporated into El Toad in order to broaden the types of tourism experience possible in the Luxor Region. (6) An inter-modal transportation facility is built at the intersection of the inter-regional highway and the El Toad entrance road; adjacent to the new cruise ship port. The facility becomes the primary transfer point between water and surface transportation in the area. (7) A road between El Toad and New Luxor is eventually developed to provide a direct connection that bypasses local area settlements. (8) Regular shuttle bus service is established to provide convenient access between the cruise ship port, destinations within El Toad, and regional destinations on the East and West Bank. (9) A visitor center with museum interpreting regional local life customs is built along the formal entrance boulevard to El Toad. The visitor center also serves as a staging point for shuttle bus service within the El Toad area and tour bus traffic to regional destinations. Elements A collection of 18 hotels and villas with approximately 4,500 rooms will locate in the El Toad Tourism Zone. Accommodations will vary in design and scale. Hotels will cluster at the entrance and along portions of the loop road. The highest quality hotels will likely locate in the northwest portion of El Toad with views to the Nile and Necropolis. The four hotels that locate in the El Toad Center at the entrance to El Toad will be integrated with the surrounding shops, entertainment and services to create an active environment that is distinct from the more secluded hotel developments along the golf course. Additional variety is offered through low-rise villa developments that locate along attractive narrow roads winding through the lushly landscaped golf course. All hotels and villa developments will offer on-site recreation and service amenities that vary in amount and quality between the three, four and five star developments. Shared resources within El Toad will include recreation, cultural and entertainment, public facilities and transportation. Scattered between three areas within the tourism zone are shops, restaurants and cafes. Commercial uses will be integrated with associated cultural, entertainment and public service facilities. Upon the completion of the cruise 15 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents ship port, additional commercial businesses may locate there. Cultural and Entertainment The El Toad Center will include facilities to serve both hotel guests and visitors. A lively atmosphere will be created through clustering together facilities, such as a cinema, theater, nightclub and multipurpose hall, with the commercial shops located in the Center. The El Toad Center should also includes a museum with exhibits on the Luxor region’s history and local customs and traditions, which could be integrated with interpretation of the commoner tombs area which is adjacent to the Center. A visitor center will offer regional information and serve as an entry point to the botanical garden and transfer point for bus tours of the nearby Commoner Tombs and El Toad Temple. Public Service Facilities Also located in the El Toad Center will be public facilities, such as a post office, police station and fire station that service the entire tourism zone and nearby cruise ship port. Transportation Facilities In order to create an efficient circulation system that provides connections within the tourism zone and regionally, an intermodal facility will be sited near the intersection of the El Toad entrance road and the Cairo-Aswan Highway. Adequate parking and staging areas will be provided for the El Toad shuttle, regional coaches and rental cars. Located adjacent to the new cruise ship port, the inter-modal facility will also become a good transfer point between water and surface transport. Easy transfer between buses and shuttles to water taxis, ferries and cruise ships will be possible. Connections and Circulation Planned transportation improvements in the area will further strengthen El Toad’s exceptional regional access. The airport is easily accessible via the Cairo-Aswan highway that runs along the edge of the El Toad, while cruise ship traffic will arrive at a large new port that is integrated into the development, thereby increasing the number of tourists combining hotel/cruise tours in the region. An inter-modal transportation facility that serves both El Toad and the cruise ship port is an opportunity to link the two areas and provide convenient transportation connections to tourists. Access from El Toad to attractions in Luxor City and the West Bank will also be convenient. Travelers to Luxor City will use the Cairo-Aswan highway and the El Awameya Road connecting to the Corniche, while travelers to the West Bank Necropolis will be well served by the Luxor Bridge located just two kilometers from El Toad. Within the El Toad Tourism Zone, circulation will be served through an attractively landscaped loop road that winds through the development. Shuttle service will be provided along the loop road to serve traffic going between the cruise ship port, hotels and commercial nodes of activity throughout the El Toad Zone. The entry sequence into El Toad would be along an attractively landscaped road running between the Cruise Ship Port, across the railroad tracks and up a steep grade to the El Toad Center. The Center’s collection of shops and services includes an information center that also serves as a shuttle bus transfer point for reaching hotel and villa development areas and nearby attractions, such as the Commoner Tombs and El Toad Temple. The formal entry road continues on to another commercial area and golf club where at that point it branches into a loop road that runs around the perimeter of the golf course to reach hotel development areas. Villa developments will located on minor roads winding through the golf course. 16 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 2.2.3 Project 3: Development of the New Community of New Luxor The fast growing Luxor region is expected to at least double in population over the next twenty years. In order to reduce development pressures on the historic Luxor City area and protect the agricultural zone from encroachment, the Egyptian Government has advocated the development of new settlements outside the existing urbanized area to absorb the majority of new development over the next twenty years. One new town, New Thebes, has already been started 15 kilometers northeast of Luxor City. However, with the recent completion of a Luxor Bridge and the anticipated nearby expansion of a port for cruise ships south of Luxor City, informal, unplanned development will favor the southern part of the area. It is already claiming substantial agricultural lands to the south and east of Luxor City. If a new town is not planned for in the south of Luxor City, unplanned sprawl in that part of the region is likely to result in negative consequences for the future prosperity of the region. Timely action to stem this undesirable growth is essential: an attractive new town is needed to become the magnet for new development in the Luxor region The Proposed Site The proposed site for New Luxor, south of Luxor City, east of the Cairo-Aswan Highway and the agricultural belt, is accessible and visible from the Highway, and consists of three east-west oriented plateaus, separated by wadis. It is in close proximity to the regional wastewater treatment plant, readily accessible to the new Luxor Bridge and to the proposed El Toad tourism zone which will be a major new source of jobs for the region. Intercity rail is nearby, parallel to the highway, and potential land reclamation efforts in the vicinity hold the promise of turning a portion of the desert land in the site vicinity into green cultivated property. The Vision The new city is designed to be a pleasant place to live and work, setting a new standard for development in the Luxor region with its high-quality infrastructure, open spaces, and public facilities. With an eventual population of approximately 200,000, New Luxor has the potential to emerge as the major commercial, governmental and residential location in the region. New Luxor’s attractive urban environment for an economically diverse mix of residents will make it a magnet for new development, thereby relieving the growth pressures on Luxor City. New Luxor can become a model for the region to show how planning in advance of development can help to create a high quality living environment. The Plan for New Luxor has been developed to achieve a livable and attractive community which takes advantage of its regional setting, incorporatin g the following key features: (1) The community is located east of substantial agricultural lands, insuring an attractive greenway entry. (2) Major development is located on three elongated east-west plateaus, linked with major arterial streets. (3) The City axis and City Center, on the central plateau, is oriented to the Theban Necropolis, which is the most characteristic landmark in the region and highly visible from this location. (4) Many City parks and open spaces are located on the wadis between the plateaus, providing an effective use of land and supporting green spaces to city activities. (5) Each neighborhood is conceived as a relatively independent unit, with central services, minimal through traffic, and close proximity to District services centers. (6) Early connections with New Luxor can be achieved by upgrading existing roadways, while the longrange connection to Luxor City will be provided through a new arterial boulevard which lead to the southerly growth area of the existing City. (7) The northwest corner of the City, in close proximity to agricultural lands and potential irrigation resources associated with tertiary treatment of the new waste water plant will be devoted to an 17 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents agricultural village with nearby agro-processing industries, providing an initial employment base and investment rationale for the City’s growth. The Neighborhoods The neighborhood will be the foundation of the structure of New Luxor. Some 25 neighborhoods will make up the city, each supporting a population between 8,000-10,000. Although the form and character of each neighborhood will vary, a number of shared principles will guide development: (1) Neighborhoods are envisioned as building blocks that can be phased to accommodate gradual development. Each neighborhood will include housing clusters that are within a 500-meter radius from a neighborhood service center. (2) The neighborhoods are envisioned to include a variety of house types and sizes to meet the needs and preferences of a broad range of residents. (3) The economies of low-rise construction and the constraints of the desert environment influence dwelling design to be low in height and dense with respect to ground coverage in order to provide shade and minimize irrigation. Single -family attached and detached houses on small lots are proposed for most New Luxor neighborhoods. Average lot sizes based on income and quality of construction is consistent with new town planning standards in Egypt. The average lot sizes are only used to roughly estimate residential land area demands for New Luxor; further market study information will be necessary to guide the actual design of New Luxor’s neighborhoods. (4) The relatively compact residential areas in New Luxor will allow for safe access by foot or bicycle to the pedestrian-oriented neighborhood greenways, and from there to the neighborhood service centers where travel can continue by foot, bicycle or bus to district service centers. Open Spaces A network of lush open spaces through New Luxor will give it the character of an urban oasis on the edge of the desert. At the city-scale, the plan takes advantage of the surrounding environmental features. Long linear wadis will become passive open spaces articulating the urban landscape of New Luxor, a desirable amenity for residents of the new city. These same wadis will also serve to collect storm drainage during the infrequent rains. In addition to the passive open space created by the wadis, New Luxor will also contain landscaped boulevards and greenways, and a system of parks at several scales. These parks, provided at the neighborhood, district and city level, will serve as centers for active recreation. Over 150 feddan are allocated to parks and open spaces in the city. Connections and Circulation The new town will offer convenient access to the international airport, Luxor Bridge and the interregional Cairo-Aswan Highway without an immediate need for major new inter-city roads. As the community grows, two important roads will be built: a direct connection to a new southern gateway rail station in Luxor City, and a north-south road along the edge of the agricultural belt to link New Luxor to the El Toad tourism zone to the south and strengthening the connection to the airport, northeast of the new city. In the city itself, reserving rights-of-way in advance of development will ensure a comprehensive and integrated street network. Both major and minor streets will be planned to provide for the adequate circulation of private vehicles, buses, and other transportation modes. Streets in New Luxor will be classified according to function and designed for each functional classification. Local streets, designed to provide access to each residence, will have very low traffic volume. Higher volume neighborhood 18 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents service streets form loops and provide the principal routes for deliveries and service to neighborhood centers. Collector streets run through district centers, intercept traffic from neighborhood streets and feed into the arterial network which runs along the perimeter of each district center. The arterial streets, forming a continuous network connecting each district center to the city center as well as regional destinations, provide for the rapid movement of high volumes of traffic over relatively long distances. An east-west boulevard will be the major point of entry for traffic from the new road linking New Luxor to Luxor City. With a right-of-way to accommodate four lanes of traffic, shoulders, and a linear park, the boulevard will become an attractive entrance to the New Luxor City center. Buses will run the length of the city center boulevard and provide the major means of public movement within the center while interconnecting the city center to other citywide public transportation routes. The mall-boulevard will become a strong axis through the center of New Luxor, offering striking views of the West Bank Necropolis. Continuous pedestrian arcades along the boulevard provide a shaded walking environment adjacent to the mall through the city center area. As an open space feature connecting a series of urban spaces in the city center, the central boulevard has the potential of becoming a promenade for New Luxor residents, similar to the role of the Corniche in Luxor City. An exclusive system for pedestrians and cyclists is provided through the local greenways that connect neighborhood centers. Pedestrian and bicycle traffic is also accommodated along the collector system roads. Animal drawn cart traffic is minimized in New Luxor through establishing produce and livestock market areas in the northwestern portion of the city that intercept traffic from the surrounding agricultural lands before it enters New Luxor. This investment project, described in the present document, projects the needs of New Luxor, the El Toad tourism zone, and the new cruise ship port in terms of infrastructure (water, wastewater, transportation, energy, and telecommunications). It uses these demand forecasts as basis for assessing the investment needs in infrastructure facilities, focusing on opportunities in these sector for private sector participation. 2.2.4 Project 4: Infrastructure Services for New Luxor and El Toad This investment project forecasts the needs of New Luxor, the El Toad tourism zone, and the new cruise ship port in terms of infrastructure (water, wastewater, transportation, energy, and telecommunications). It uses these demand forecasts as basis for assessing the investment needs in infrastructure facilities, focusing on opportunities in these sector for private sector participation. 2.2.5 Project 5: Establishment of High-Value Agriculture High-value crop production and are agro-processing industries are key elements in the strategy to meet contemporary needs of Luxor residents. There is substantial poverty in Luxor, despite the appearance of wealth because of the tourism industry. The majority of Luxor residents depend on small agricultural plots (the average plot size is a modest 1.84 feddan) to sustain their families. These agricultural families have substantial needs to expand agricultural la nds to support future generations and to increase household incomes to improve their standard of living. Reclamation of substantial lands in Luxor is essential for the growing population. Introduction of high-value agriculture and agro-processing will provide a means for farmers to improve their futures. 2.2.6 Project 6: Development of the Open Museum and Heritage District in Luxor City The Open Museum and Heritage District in Luxor will involve substantial redevelopment of Luxor City Center into an antiquities zone requiring protection of large areas of the old city from advancing modern development. Modern development has encroached on, and surrounds, some of the most significant 19 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents antiquities sites. Karnak Temple, Luxor Temple, the Temple of Mut, and the Avenue of the Sphinxes are surrounded and partly engulfed by the modern city. As magnificent as these monuments are to experience, the setting around them detracts from their significance. Almost all tourists visiting Luxor experience these monuments. At the current level of tourism, these sites are already becoming overcrowded, and the projected volume of future tourists magnifies the prospects for gradual deterioration. With tourism projected to grow to 4.1 million visitors annually by the year 2017, the monuments could be overwhelmed. The Open Museum will substantially expand restored areas and provide many additional non-invasive attractions to accommodate projected tourism growth. The Open Museum will also function as a vital relief valve for some of the deleterious pressures on the monuments that result from high levels of tourism. The Open Museum and Heritage District is a comprehensive strategy to make one of the world’s most significant cultural sites into one of the most majestic and fascinating experiences for visitors and, at the same time, promote preservation of antiquities once restored. The District has several key components, in addition to the restoration of the Avenue of the Sphinxes: (1) Acquisition of properties around Karnak Temple and Temple of Mut to the Nile River (2) Relocation of some strategic government buildings to develop museums, replicas, parks, and other attractions. (3) Development of a visitor center with centralized site ticketing, interpretative facilities, and centralized bus parking/tourist shuttle systems. (4) Preservation and enhancement of the old section of Luxor City and traditional market areas. (5) Traffic/pedestrian circulation system improvements, including vehicular-restricted and pedestrianonly zones. The Open Museum and Heritage District is focusing on an area between the more contemporary city and the Nile River. It is a well-defined area that lends itself to a cohesive treatment. Development pressures are eroding the historic character of the area, and unless concerted action is undertaken to establish the Open Museum, the opportunity to create a truly appropriate setting for the treasured Pharaonic antiquities may be lost for future generations. 2.3 Indications of the Egyptian Government's Commitment and Ownership The Government of Egypt recognizes that tourism is one of the country's primary engines of growth, and tourism development is one of its highest priorities. Government economic programs and plans emphasize the importance of investment in the sector, and Government commitment to infrastructure improvements and environmental protection is essential in the context of tourism. Although in the past the Government invested directly in the sector, it has been gradually retreating from this role, leaving investment in tourism related projects to the private sector. For example, the Government already has sold much of its interest in hotels and guesthouses and lifted the monopoly of a tour bus company. The following steps have also been taken: (1) The Government has accorded the Higher Council for the City of Luxor (HCLC), as an authority with a mandate to enforce land use plans, protect and manage the environment, and coordinate with other Government and private sector entities. (2) The Government has declared significant sections of Luxor a protected area with special regulations. (3) MOT is continually reviewing, modernizing, and consolidating the regulations governing tourism. (4) For the tourism sector in Luxor, the Government has assigned three principal ministries including the MOC/SCA, MHUUC, and the MOT to oversee project implementations, supervise implementation of 20 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents tourism policy, propose laws and regulations, approve the establishment of training centers and set up programs and institutions for their operation, and establish licensing. As a major step toward ensuring proper coordination among MHUUC, SCA, HCLC, MOT, the private sector and the local population in the development of Luxor, the Government has established a Steering committee (Fast Track Working Group) with a clear oversight mandate. 21 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 3: Social Profile for the Luxor Study Area1 3.1 Introduction In 1997, the Ministry of Housing, Utilities and Urban Communities/Research and Studies Organization (MHUUC/RSO) and the UNDP sponsored the study of a 20-year Comprehensive Development Plan for the City of Luxor (CDCL). The development plans within the Structure Plan, Heritage Plan and Investment Projects produced in this project address ways to accommodate projected growth in population, tourism and agriculture; and approaches to the preservation and enhancement of the antiquities to absorb escalation in tourism. The objective of the project is to establish and carry out a work plan for environmentally sustainable development that also benefits the local population. To reach this objective the following core themes were identified: (1) Preservation of cultural resources protects Egypt’s heritage and promotes economic development. (2) Planned growth promotes Sustainable Economic Development. (3) Meeting the contemporary needs of local residents is vital to the success of plans. This approach would have the benefit of (a) spreading tourism benefits to a larger population, (b) increasing the number of attractions in Luxor to encourage tourists to stay longer (and spend more), and (c) reducing the current overload on the existing monuments. The development of the Comprehensive Development Plan for the City of Luxor was accomplished through the iterative process developed by the MHUUC/RSO. Working Groups (WGs) composed of various stakeholders including the project staff of the MHUUC/RSO, representatives from the numerous ministries with direct interest in the development of Luxor, the business community, and the representatives of the city council of Luxor met on a regular basis to discuss the CDCL. The Working Group was advised at every stage of the planning process. This took the form of numerous working group meetings where material was presented for the members to respond to. The response was then incorporated to reflect the unified vision of the member of the working group. The CDCL project relied heavily on these organizations for information, resource person contacts, analysis and recommendations. This report provides an analysis of the final outcome of the 1996 Population Census. The information of the Census and the findings of the analysis will greatly inform the recommendations of the Final Structure Plan for the Luxor Study Area. 3.2 Total Population In November 1996, the Luxor Study Area’s population totaled 361,138 persons. Of these, 153,758 (42.6%) lived in the City of Luxor (including Gourna) and the remainder 207,380 (57.4%) lived in the Markhaz (the City of Bayadiya and 15 village administrations)2 . 1 Central Agency for Public Mobilization And Statistics (CAPMAS), 1996: General Census for Population, Housing and Establishments: Final Results of the Population Census for Luxor City, December 1998 (in Arabic). 2 These figures are, however, inclusive of foreigners and residents of “public places”; e.g. hostels, hotels and hospital in-wards. 22 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Error! Objects cannot be create d from editing field codes. The male population is slightly more than the female. At the city level, the population is broken-out as 51.9% male and 48.1% female. At the Markhaz level, the percentages are 50.9% male and 49.1% female. The Luxor Study Area average is 51.3% male and 48.7% female. These figures, as Tables 1 and 2 show, are quite similar, and in cases identical, to the national averages. Table 1: Luxor Study Area Population, 19963 Luxor City Markhaz Total Luxor Study Area Male Number 79,753 105,581 185,334 % 51.3 50.9 51.3 Female Number 74,005 101,799 175,804 % 48.1 49.1 48.7 Total Population Number % 153,758 42.6 207,380 57.4 361,138 100 Table 2: National Population Figures Urban Rural Total Egypt 3.3 Male Number 12,957,775 17,393,615 30,351,390 % 51.2 51.1 51.2 Female Number 12,328,560 16,632,964 28,961,524 % 48.8 48.9 48.8 Total Population Number % 25,286,335 42.6 34,026,579 57.4 59,312,914 100 Labor Force 3.3.1. Luxor Study Area Level The Luxor Study Area population in the age of work (age group 15 to 60) was 201,440 (55.8% of total population). Of these, 101,280 (50.27%) were males and 100,160 (49.72%) were females. Those who were actually in the labor force pool amounted to 96,584, representing 47.9% of this particular age group and 26.74% of the total population. The remainders were full-time students, housewives, not interested in work, retired, aged and disabled/unable to work. The labor force pool is broken-out as 86,262 males (89.3%) and 10,322 females (10.7%). Of this labor force pool, 10,548 were unemployed representing nearly 11% of the labor force pool. In other words, only 86,036 were engaged in some paid or non-paid work representing 23.8% of the total Study Area population and putting the dependency rate at about 3:1. Of these 86,036 engaged in work, 78,223 were 3 Inclusive of Egyptians and foreigners. 23 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents male (91%) and only 7,813 (9%) were female, indicating a clearly low rate of women’s participation in economic activity. 3.3.2. Luxor City Level Luxor City’s population in the age of work (age group 15 to 60) was 90,758 (59% of total Luxor city population). Of these, 46,351 (51%) were males and 44,407 (49%) were females. Those who were actually in the labor force pool amounted to 45,704 representing 50.3% of this particular age group and 29.72% of the total Luxor city population. The labor force pool is broken-out as 38,511 males (84.6%) and 7,193 females (15.4%). Of this labor force, 4,883 were unemployed representing 10.7% of the labor force pool. In other words, only 40,821 were engaged in some paid or non-paid work representing 26.5% of the total Luxor population and putting the dependency rate at about 3:1. Of these 40,821 engaged in work, 38,072 were male (86%) and 5,749 were female (14%). 3.3.3 Luxor Markhaz Level Luxor Markhaz’s population in the age of work (age group 15 to 60) was 110,682 (53.37% of total Markhaz population). Of these, 54,929 (49.6%) were males and 55,753 (50.4%) were females. Those who were actually in the labor force pool amounted to 50,880 representing 46% of this particular age group and 24.5% of the total Markhaz population. The labor force pool is broken-out as 47,751 males (93.85%) and 3,129 females (6.15%). Of this labor force, 5,665 were unemployed representing 11% of the labor force pool. In other words, only 45,215 were engaged in some paid or non-paid work representing 21.8% of the total Markhaz population and putting the dependency rate at slightly more than 3:1. Those, in turn, were divided as 43,151 male (95%) and 2,064 were female (5%). Table 3: Population at the Age of Work, Luxor Study Area (15-60 years old) Male Number Luxor City Markhaz Total Luxor Study Area 46,351 54,929 101,280 % 51 49.6 50.27 Female Number % 44,407 55,753 100,160 49 50.4 49.72 Total Number % to total population 90,758 110,682 201,440 59 53.37 55.8 Table 4: National Population at the Age of Work (15-60 years old) Male Number Urban Rural Total Egypt 7,793,775 9,252,764 17,046,539 % Female Number % 51 7,500,353 50.7 8,999,133 50.8 16,499,486 24 49 49.3 49.2 Number 15,294,128 18,251,879 33,546,025 Total % to total population 60.5 53.6 56.55 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 5: Labor Force Pool in the Luxor Study Are a Male Number Luxor City Markhaz Total Luxor Study Area 38,511 47,751 86,262 Female Number % % 84.6 93.85 89.3 7,193 3,129 10,322 Number Total % to age group 50.3 46 47.9 15.4 6.15 10.7 45,704 50,880 96,584 % Female Number % to total population 29.72 24.5 26.74 Table 6: Labor Force Pool, the National Figures Number Urban Rural Total Egypt 6,336,702 8,213,972 14,550,674 % Male Number 79.9 88.8 84.72 1,592,822 1,031,439 2,624,261 20.1 11.2 15.28 7,929,524 9,245,411 17,174,935 Total % to age % to total group population 51.84 31.35 50.65 27.17 51.2 28.95 Table 7: Population Engaged in Work in the Luxor Study Area Male Number Luxor City Markhaz Total Luxor Study Area 38,072 43,151 78,223 % 86 95 91 Female Number % 5,749 2,064 7,813 Total % to age group 40,821 45 45,215 48.85 86,036 42.7 Number 14 5 9 % to total population 26.5 21.8 23.8 Table 8: Population Engaged in Work, National Figures Urban Rural Total Egypt 3.4 Male Number % 5,892,571 7,655,218 13,547,789 81.4 91.1 86.64 Female Number % 1,343,760 18.6 745,379 8.9 2,089,138 13.36 Number 7,236,331 8,400,596 15,636,927 Total % to age group 47.3 46 46.6 % to total population 28.6 24.7 26.36 Educational Status (of population 10-years-and-older) 3.4.1. Luxor Study Area Level According to the final results of the 1996 Census, the Luxor Study Area’s population in the age group of 10-years-and-older totaled 272,351 (139,476 males and 132,605 females). Of these, 113,176 (41.6%) were illiterate. Illiteracy rate is notably much higher among females than males. Of the total Study Area 25 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents male population in this age group 40,996 (29.3%) were illiterate compared to 72,180 (54.4%) of the total female population in the same age group. Within the same age group, only 56,427 (20.7%) could read and write; 34,081 were male (24.4% of total male population in the age group) and 22,346 were female (16.9% of total female population in this age group). Only 8,526 of the Study Area’s population in this age group (3.1%) had a university degree, or equivalent; 6,116 were male (4.4% to total male population in this age group) and 2,410 were female (1.8% of total female population in this age group). 3.4.2. Luxor City Level The Luxor City’s population in the age group of 10-years-and-older amounted to 118,755 (61,686 males and 57,069 females). Of these, 35,442 (29.8%) were illiterate. Illiteracy rates among females is double that among males. Of the total female population in this age group 23,133 (40.5%) were illiterate compared to 12,309 (20%) of the total male population in the same age group. Within the same age group, 25,329 (21.3%) could read and write; 14,800 were male (24% of male population in the age group) and 10,529 were female (18.4% of female population in this age group). Only 6,785 (5.7%) of Luxor City’s population in this age group had a university degree, or equivalent. Of these, 4,609 were male (7.5% of male population in this age group) and 2,176 were female (3.8% of female population in the age group). 3.4.3. Luxor Markhaz Level The Luxor Markhaz’s population in the age group of 10-years-and-older amounted to 153,596 (78,060 males and 75,536 females). Of these, 77,734 (50.6%) were illiterate. Illiteracy rates among females are nearly double that among males. Of the total female population in this age group 49,047 (65%) were illiterate compared to 28,867 (36.7%) of the total male population in the same age group. Within the same age group, 31,098 (20.2%) could read and write; 19,281 were male (24.7% of male population in the age group) and 11,817 were female (15.6% of female population in this age group). Only 1,741 (1.1%) of Luxor Markhaz’s population in this age group had a university degree, or equivalent. Of these, 1,507 were male (1.9% of male population in this age group) and 234 were female (0.3% of female population in the age group). 26 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 9: Illiteracy Rates in the Luxor Study Area (population 10-years -and older) Population at age group M F Total Luxor City Luxor Markhaz Total Luxor Study Area 61,686 78,060 139,746 57,069 75,536 132,605 118,755 153,596 272,351 Male No. % 12,309 20 28,687 36.7 40,996 29.3 Illiterates Female No. % 23,133 40.5 49,047 65 72,180 54.4 Total No. % 35,442 29.8 77,734 50.5 113,176 41.6 Table 10: Illiteracy Rates at the National Level (population 10-years-and older) M Urban Rural Total Egypt Population at age group F Total 10,218,363 12,682,130 22,900,493 9,719,413 12,211,514 21,930,927 19,937,776 24,893,644 44,831,420 Male No. 2,024,237 4,616,042 6,640,279 28 % 19.8 36.4 29 Illiterates Female No. % 3,284,721 33.8 7,721,025 63.2 11,005,746 50.2 Total No. 5,308,958 12,337,067 17,646,025 % 26.6 49.6 39.4 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 11: Educational Status of Luxor: a) Population who can Read & Write Population at age group M F Total Luxor City Luxor Markhaz Total Luxor Study Area 61,686 78,060 139,746 57,069 75,536 132,605 Male No. 14,800 19,281 34,081 118,755 153,596 272,351 Population who can Read & Write Female Total % No. % No. 24 10,529 18.4 25,329 24.7 11,817 15.6 31,098 24.4 22,346 16.9 56,427 % 21.3 20.2 20.7 Table 12: National Figures of Educational Status : a) Population who can Read & Write Population at age group M F Total Urban Rural Total Egypt 10,218,363 12,682,130 22,900,493 9,719,413 12,211,514 21,930,927 Population who can Read & Write Male Female Total No. % No. % No. 2,259,661 22.1 1,692,677 17.4 3,952,338 2,929,775 23.1 1,517,140 12.4 4,446,915 5,189,436 22.7 3,209,817 14.6 8,399,253 19,937,776 24,893,644 44,831,420 % 19.8 17.9 18.7 Table 13: Educational Status of Luxor: b) University Graduates Population at age group M F Total Luxor City Luxor Markhaz Total Luxor Study Area 61,686 78,060 139,746 57,069 75,536 132,605 118,755 153,596 272,351 Male No. 4,609 1,507 6,116 29 % 7.5 1.9 4.4 University Graduates Female No. % 2,176 3.8 234 0.3 2,410 1.8 Total No. 6,785 1,741 8,526 % 5.7 1.1 3.1 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 14: National Figures of Educational Status: b) University Graduates M Urban Rural Total Egypt Population at age group F Total 10,218,363 12,682,130 22,900,493 9,719,413 12,211,514 21,930,927 Male No. 1,208,515 433,214 1,641,729 19,937,776 24,893,644 44,831,420 30 University Graduates Female Total % No. % No. 11.8 710,995 7.3 1,919,510 3.4 117,301 1.0 550,515 7.2 828,296 3.8 2,470,025 % 9.6 2.2 5.5 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 3.5 Economic Activities (population 15-years-and-older) While the Census provides valuable information on economic activities, it is not possible, in the case of Luxor, to answer perhaps the first question one might ask: how many individuals work in the tourism industry? That is simply because the Census does not provide such a category among the activities it lists. The only category that is clearly and beyond doubt is tourism-related is “Hotels and Restaurants”. Needless to say, however, that among those working in “Transportation”, for example, there is a certain portion who work in “touristic transportation” and should thus be included among the tourism industry. This also applies to other activities such as “Trade” and “Services” where a certain percentage must be working in bazaars and other tourism-related activities and outlets. Nonetheless, some important indicators can still be derived. Error! Objects cannot be created from editing field codes. 3.5.1 Luxor Study Area Level The total number of population of 15-years-and-older who were engaged in economic activities amounted to 87,845 persons. “Agriculture and Fishing” represented the first major employer, accounting for 21,185 persons (24%), followed by “Construction” (12,825 person, 14.6%), “Public Administration and Defense” (11,663 persons, 13.3%), “Education” (8,456 persons, 9.6%), “Transportation, Storage and Communications” (7,993 persons, 9.1%), “Trade” (5,766 persons, 6.5%) and finally “Hotels and Restaurants” (4,437 persons, 5%). Population by Major Economic Activity Luxor City Others Agriculture & Fishing Construction Trade Education Public Admin. & Defense Hotels & Resaurants Transportation & Comm. 3.5.2 Luxor City Level The total number of population of 15-years-and-older who were engaged in economic activities amounted to 42,226 persons. The city clearly represents the administrative capital of the Luxor Study Area with 17.5% of this figure (7,399 persons) working in “Public Administration and Defense”. “Transportation, Storage and Communications” represents the second major employer in the city with 5,138 persons (12.2%) working in this activity. This is a clear indication on the impact of the tourism activity. The remaining activities rank as follows: “Education” (4,832 persons, 11.4%), “Trade” (4,379 persons, 31 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 10.4%), “Construction” (3,830 person, 9%),“Hotels and Restaurants” (3,601 persons, 8.5%) and finally “Agriculture and Fishing” (3,582 persons, 8.5%). Population by Major Economic Activity Luxor Markaz Trade Education Others Agriculture & Fishing Transportation & Comm. Hotels & Resaurants Public Admin. & Defense Construction 3.5.3 Luxor Markhaz Level The total population of 15-years-and-older engaged in economic activities amounted to 45,579 persons. Whereas tourism may be a vital economic generator in the area, figures indicate clearly an equally important role for “Agriculture and Fishing” with 17,603 persons work in this field, representing 41.6% of economically active population. The remainder of economic activities rank as follows: “Construction” (8,995 persons, 19.7%), “Public Administration and Defense” (4,264 persons, 9.3%), “Education” (3,624 persons, 8%), “Transportation, Storage and Communications” (2,855 persons, 6.2%), “Trade” (1,387 persons, 3%) and finally “Hotels and Restaurants” (836 persons, 1.8%). The comparison of statistics between the City and Markhaz indicate a clear lack of tourism amenities and facilities outside the City of Luxor, if only indicated by the number and percentage of workers in “Hotels and Restaurants”. Further, the number and percentage of “Education” staff, when compared to total number of population, indicate a lack of such facilities in the Markhaz. Table 15: % Distribution of Population by Major Economic Activity (15-years -and-older) Major Economic Activity Agriculture & Fishing Industries Construction Trade Hotels & Restaurants Transportation & Comm. Public Admin. & Defense Luxor Egypt No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. City 3,582 8.5 2,461 5.8 3,830 9 4,379 10.4 3,601 8.5 5,138 Markhaz 17,603 41.6 2,215 4.8 8,995 19.7 1,387 3 836 1.8 2,855 Total 21,185 24 4,676 5.3 12,825 14.6 5,766 6.5 4,437 5 7,993 Urban 558,136 7.6 1,383,379 18.9 759,670 10.4 1,019,993 13.9 156,277 2.1 574,889 Rural 4,322,735 51.1 794,058 9.4 523,110 6.2 413,189 4.9 49,575 0.6 341,606 Total 4,880,871 30.9 2,177,437 13.8 1,282,780 8.1 1,433,182 9.1 205,852 1.3 916,495 % No. 12.2 7,399 6.2 4,264 9.1 11,663 7.9 877,933 4 655,022 5.8 1,532,955 % 17.5 9.3 13.3 12 7.7 9.7 32 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Major Economic Activity Luxor Education No. % No. Total economically active population % to total population 3.6 Egypt City 4,832 11.4 42,226 Markhaz 3,624 8 45,579 Total 8,458 9.6 87,845 Urban 835,032 11.4 7,313,237 Rural 675,924 8 8,454,978 Total 1,510,956 9.6 15,768,215 27.5 22 24.3 29 24.8 26.6 Household Size4 The total number of households in the City and Markhaz of Luxor was 34,588 and 43,889, respectively. The average household size was, therefore, 4.38 in the City of Luxor and 4.7 in the Markhaz. The average household size at the Luxor Study Area level was 4.57, which is slightly lower than the national average (at 4.64). Table 16: Population and households Luxor National totals No. of Members of Population households household 78,445 358,294 360,503 12,722,974 88,786,908 59,272,382 Table 17: Pop. Distribution by marital status Population 18 years and older, and men 16 years and older Total Luxor National totals 4 211741 34546017 Single 59163 9614483 Married Divorced Widow 134789 2649 13999 21121579 290033 2168513 These figures exclude residents of “public places”. 33 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 18: Distribution of Population by age group Luxor National totals Age Group 0-6 54455 8937224 6-10 34139 5421321 10-15 38968 6365331 15-60 213633 35511279 60 plus 19308 3037227 tot pop 360503 59272382 Distribution of Population by age 0-6 6-10 10-15 15-60 60 plus Luxor Distribution of Population by age -group 0-6 15.11% 6-10 9.47% 10-15 10.81% 15-60 59.26% 60 plus 5.36% tot pop 360,503.00 Table 19: Population distribution by households No. of Households In private residencies In public housing Totals Male female Male Female Totals male female Totals 78445 184583 175920 183653 174641 358294 930 1279 2209 Luxor 5899067 30135943 28850965 58986908 194861 90613 285474 National totals Luxor Percentage in Private households: Percentage in Public households: 99.39% 0.61% 34 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 20: Distribution of building by building ownership Luxor National totals National totals Government Public 82779 2294 9425210 9425210 Luxor Ownership of buildings Government Public Private Other Private 62 9425210 Other 80389 9425210 34 9425210 2.77% 0.07% 97.11% 0.04% Table 21: Distribution by building types Luxor National totals Totals Apart. Village Villa Work place Kiosk, Tent other 82779 16003 57780 91 2603 821 4481 9425210 3989231 4501713 50374 386622 138096 358174 Distribution by building types Apartments Village Villa Work place Kiosk, Tent other Luxor Distribution by building types Apartments 19.33% Village 69.80% Villa 0.11% 35 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Work place Kiosk, Tent Other 3.14% 0.99% 5.41% Table 22: Distribution of buildings by type Total Luxor National totals Total number of units Total One floor Apart. One unit One Others number or more or more boutique with of or more Garages buildings 82779 111917 61051 707 36618 422 12433 686 9425210 18841471 5296566 426819 9713340 833690 2323783 247273 Luxor Distribution of buildings by type Total number of units Total number of buildings One floor or more of one party Apartment One unit or more One boutique or more Others including Garages 135.20% 54.55% 0.85% 44.24% 0.51% 15.02% 0.83% Table 23: Distribution by building use Totals Luxor National totals 82779 9425210 Residence 56488 7437762 Work Residence and work 3237 465779 36 835 146682 Abandoned 19912 996439 other 2307 378548 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Distribution by building use Residence Work Residence and work Abandoned other Luxor Distribution by building use Residence Work Residence and work Abandoned Other 68.24% 3.91% 1.01% 24.05% 2.79% Table 24: Building distribution by connection to the network Luxor National totals No. of buildings Public network Other 82779 42524 9425210 5064762 Luxor Building distribution by connection to the network Public network 51.37% Other 23.43% without water 36.59% 37 Without water 9963 30292 1577520 2782928 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 25: Distribution of households by means to lighting Luxor National totals No. of Electricity Kerosene gas Households 78445 76336 1598 12942585 12395820 525548 other 206 7540 305 13677 Luxor Distribution of households by means to lighting Electricity 97.31% Kerosene 2.09% gas 0.26% Table 26: Distribution of households by water access No. of Access to househol water ds within the unit Access to other Totals Water well other totals water pump within the building 78445 36611 12028 4474 53113 17046 781 7505 25332 Luxor 30569 171821 2254920 National 12723074 7886786 1458274 1122994 10468054 2052530 totals Distribution of households by water access Access to water within the unit Access to water within the building other National totals water pump well other 38 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Luxor Distribution of households by water access Access to water within the unit Access to water within the building Other National totals Water pump Well Other National totals 46.67% 15.33% 5.70% 67.71% 21.73% 1.00% 9.57% 32.29% Table 27: Distribution of households by electric, gas, and sewer Electricity Sewer Public Gas No. of public other nonexist Public other nonexist access Without buildings network ent network ent access 82779 63205 4578 14996 6017 56386 20376 0 82779 Luxor National 9352803 7503073 685329 1164401 2054936 5902847 1395020 121646 9231157 totals Luxor Distribution of households by electric, gas, and sewer Public network 76.35% Other 5.53% Nonexistent 18.12% Public network 7.27% Other 68.12% Nonexistent 24.61% Access 0.00% Without access 100.00% 3.7 Health services There are two (2) hospitals in Luxor City and Markhaz. These two hospitals are supported by several smaller health service providers. The information regarding the number of beds and pharmacies indicates that there is a dire need for improved medical facilities, equipment and service in Luxor. Table 28: Hospitals and Health Facilities in Luxor City Location Luxor City Hospital s 2 Physicia Dentists n 189 28 Pharmac y 9 39 Nurse s 158 Technician s 256 Beds 170 Ambulance Cars 20 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 29: Health Units and Health Facilities in Luxor City and Markhaz Location Luxor City El Ashi El Zenyia El Boughdadi El Aqualeta El Edessat Kamoula El Toad El Dabyia Total Health Units 26 1 3 2 Physicia n 112 1 3 3 Dentists 10 0 0 1 Pharmac y 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 1 0 39 4 2 2 1 0 128 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nurse Technician s s 0 0 1 1 5 3 4 2 6 2 3 2 0 23 5 6 6 3 0 26 Beds 0 0 1 0 Ambulance Cars 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 Beds Ambulance Cars 0 1 2 3 Table 30: Health Groups and Health Facilities in Luxor City and Markhaz Location Luxor City El Ashi El Zenyia Total Health Groups 11 1 1 13 Physicia n 12 3 3 18 Dentists 0 1 1 2 Pharmac y 0 0 0 0 Table 31: Clinics in Luxor City and Markhaz Location Luxor City Baiadyia City El Ashi El Zenyia El Boughdadi El Aqualeta El Edessat Kamoula El Toad El Dabyia Total Public (Governmenta l) 1 1 2 4 2 3 2 0 2 1 18 Private 152 6 1 1 4 6 7 2 0 4 183 Table 32: Blood Banks in Luxor City 40 Nurse Technician s s 0 0 3 3 2 9 5 12 0 20 12 32 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Location Luxor City Numbers 2 Table 33: Pharmacies in Luxor City and Markhaz Location Luxor City Baiadyia City El Ashi El Zenyia El Boughdadi El Aqualeta El Edessat Kamoula El Toad El Dabyia Total Numbers Public Private (Governmenta l) 3 129 1 4 2 2 4 1 1 4 3 5 2 3 0 1 1 1 0 3 17 153 Table 34: Ambulance Centers in Luxor City and Markhaz Location Luxor City Baiadyia City El Ashi El Zenyia El Boughdadi El Aqualeta El Edessat Kamoula El Toad El Dabyia Total Numbers Centers 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 Cars 12 3 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 19 41 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 4: Environmental Profile for the City of Luxor To evaluate which areas are most to least vulnerable for future growth and development, the consultants reviewed site information and natural site resource systems to determine significant impacts on any proposed plan and uses. The site information was based on satellite information to inventory existing resources i.e., geology (soils, rock, slop, aspect), drainage, wadi deposits, elevations, flood plains, vegetation cover, agricultural areas, reclaimed areas and climate. From this information we determined which areas are suitable for development and which areas pose a risk for development. The Luxor Study Area which includes the City of Luxor and the outlying rural communities is part of the Nile Valley bounded to the East by the eastern desert and to the West by the western desert, with the Nile River bisecting the east and West Banks of Luxor. The total area of the Study Area is 227 square kilometers, with the city occupying an area 2,650 hectares. The River Nile bends towards the Northeast and continues in this direction until the river is about 150 km north of Luxor City. The ground levels of Luxor rise from the River Nile to the eastern and western desserts. The elevation of Luxor City ranges between 67.4 meters to 85.4 meters above sea level. The average slope of the lands east of the river Nile to the eastern desert is between 3.5 meters and 6.5 meters per kilometer, whereas on the western side, the 400-meter Theban high hills limit the narrow western valley. 4.1 Hydrology The Nile River Valley is wide on the eastern side and very narrow on the western side. The width of the whole valley close to Luxor is about 10 km. The eastern desert, the area east of the Luxor valley is a rough terrain area with continuous plateau where different erosion factors shaped the area with desert tables. The area is characterized by the existence of different wadis and flash flood zones. The major wadis in the east pass close to Al Bayadiya and Menshat Al Amary and Madamud Village. In the eastern region, floods occur that differ in intensity with the rainfall and the drainage area of the wadi. From the hydrological studies of the area, the wadi that is close to Madamud is considered a large wadi where a high intensity flood could occur in a high intensity rainfall. The western desert, the area close to Luxor City is a high plateau type that slopes to the West and the East. The plateau is very dry with little water drainage. The subsurface conditions are typified by two kinds of soils. The first is river deposit soils, which were deposited during the Nile river flooding seasons. This soil is heavy and clayey or medium silt soil. The second is sandy dessert soils that represents the area close to the eastern desert. This type of soil is either sandy or considerably sandy soil, with light clayey soils overlying certain areas. The groundwater is relatively high, about 2 meters below ground surface near the river; however, in outlying areas the groundwater is relatively deep beneath the surface. Physically the east side of Luxor is a fairly contiguous area. The main Cairo-Aswan railroad runs through the city and the Cairo-Aswan highway also runs along the eastern edge of the city, with the Kalabeya canal defining the eastern boundary of the built city. 42 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 4.2 Groundwater: Because of the nature of the water-bearing strata, the acquifer systems in the study area can be classified in two main categories: the alluvial sand and the gravel sediments of the Nile valley which constitutes a shallow acquifer system with a very high potential for water supply, and the Nubian sandstone which constitutes the only significant acquifer system in the western desert area. The main acquifer consists of coarse sand and gravel deposited. The groundwater is generally found between 2 and 7 meters below the ground level. Fluctuation in ground water can be attributed to the main irrigation system. The main groundwater flow direction is towards the Nile on both sides, the longitudinal gradient is rather modest. 4.3 Surface water and acquifers The Nile at Luxor is not considered particularly polluted. The most serious source of pollution on the Nile emanates from the Study Area is the raw sewage coming from the many tourist cruising boats. At times such sewage is equivalent to that produced by a town of 15,000 persons. Although a scheme for pumping out the ships’ wastewater for disposal into the city sewers running along the Corniche was installed as part of the Corniche project funded by the World Bank, it is only now becoming operational. Other than the Nile, surface water bodies in the Study Area are limited to irrigation canals and drains. The drains and sometimes even the canals are used by inhabitants for dumping solid waste and dead animals. In addition the drains contain the run-off from agricultural fields, which contain fertilizers and pesticides. There are no studies conducted on measuring the pollution in the irrigation canals. The quality of groundwater in the Study Area is an important issue, since most rural settlements still use shallow tube wells as the main source of drinking water. Such groundwater is known to have considerably high levels of salinity, and wells that produce soft water are highly prized. The groundwater is relatively high near the city of Luxor. With the high level of salinity the groundwater has in the past caused deterioration of the monuments. With increased agricultural production the salinity in the soil will need to be carefully monitored. Irrigation raises the water table, and the sugar cane which is grown on lands near the monuments require substantial irrigation. The heavy irrigation combined with a lack of sewerage system in areas of Luxor City around the monuments could contribute to a high water table. The problem would be further aggravated by the high level of salinity (from irrigation) which damage the monument foundations. 4.4 Climate The climate of the area is the result of the interaction of major air streams and their associated characteristics and radiation pattern and physical features of the locality. Luxor lies in a desert climate with significant temperature differences between day and night, and very little rainfall, with the exception of some major rain storms on the eastern mountains during the unstable season (March, April, October and November) which results in floods. During the summer and the winter the weather is stable, whereas during the spring and autumn the weather is unstable with sand storms and sometimes rainstorms. 43 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 35: Climatological data January February March April May June July August Sept October November December TOTAL ANNUAL ANNUAL MEAN 4.5 Temp. Celsius Min 5.4 6.8 10.7 15.7 20.7 22.6 23.6 23.5 21.5 17.8 12.3 7.7 Max. 23 25.4 29 34.8 39.3 40.7 40.7 41 38.5 35.1 29.6 24.8 Rainfall (mm) monthly 0 .2 0 0 .1 0 0 0 0 0 .1 .1 0.5 0.11 0.23 0.0 Evaporation (mm) Humidity % Sky cover % 5.1 6.5 9.3 13.3 16.6 17.7 17.7 17.5 14.3 10.1 7.1 5.3 140.5 52 42 34 26 22 22 24 26 32 39 47 53 .7 .9 1.1 .9 1 .1 .2 .5 .1 .2 .9 1.1 0.08 0.24 0.0 Geology And Soils The Nile began to form its valley very late in geological history. The River Nile cuts its way through the rocks of the Miocene, Pliocene and Pleistocene periods. During the 4th river system, the pre-Nile river carried with its waters sediments that were very uniform and consisted mainly of sands, following this period came the 5th river system, the Neoniule, where the deposits consisted of silts and clays. The Nile valley is carved in alterations of shale and limestone. Recent deposits consisting of clays and silts are some 15m in thickness close to the River Nile at Luxor, and thinning as one proceeds east and west from the river, eventually yielding to sand and gravel layers on the grounds surface. At a depth varying between 15 to 75 meters late alluvial sand and gravel deposits occur. Thickness of these deposits decrease to the east and west allowing the limestone plateau to appear at a depth exceeding 75 meters and down several hundreds meters to the bottom level of this series, shale and limestone are found. In a study conducted by Camp Dresser Mckee, 64 boreholes along the pipeline and sewer routes of the city of Luxor were drilled. The results of this test shows that the first meter and a half is general fill composed of silty clay with stone fragments and red bricks. At areas close to the antiquities, the fill reaches about 5 meters. Following the top layer the soil is cohesive silt and clay, with variable consistency. The depth of this layer is 10 to 13 meters. Below the cohesive soils, granular sandy soils were also found. The depth to water level ranges from 2.7 meters to approximately 5.5 meters. Far from the river (east of Luxor railway), the results indicate that the top 1 meter is fill consisting of silt. The following 4 meters is silty and clayey soils. Granular sandy soil lies below the cohesive soil. Surface water resources originate from the river Nile and include the main stream and canals and drains. 44 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents The flow of the Nile is between 80m3/d during the month of Jan and up to 150m3/d during July and August. The irrigation system on the east bank is basically fed by the Kalabeya canal which is fed by the Nile upstream at Esna. On the West Bank, the Asfun canal supports irrigation for agriculture. These canals flow through a network of secondary and tertiary canals which support farms from Esna in the South to Qena in the North. The network of canals also carries drainage and wastewater to a main drain and back again to the Nile. The Luxor wastewater is pumped to a wastewater treatment plant that discharges the effluent for unofficial reuse. At present there is no alternative route other than farms. However, the water is only needed for irrigation about 10 months of the year. For the remaining 2 months, the wastewater is neither accepted for irrigation nor provided another disposal route, so it is simply ponded at the outlet of the treatment plant causing a flooding situation. Thus a 714 hectares desert irrigation area has been proposed by USAID, to put the treated wastewater to productive uses in this 2 month-off season. 4.6 Terrestrial ecology 4.6.1 Flora The agricultural land is cultivated mainly with sugar cane and some fruits and vegetables. Corn, wheat, alfalfa, sesame and clover are some of the field crops that are cultivated in Luxor. Beans, tomatoes, citrus and grapes are among some of the legumes and fruits also grown. 4.6.2 Fauna The terrestrial habitat supports invertebrate fauna which include insects and arachnids and vertebrates such as birds, mammals, amphibians and reptiles 4.6.3 Aquatic ecology During recent decades the Nile ecosystem has been subjected to stresses that led to significant changes in the physio-chemical properties of the water and consequently affected the biological ecosystem. During the building of the High-dam in the mid-1960s, the presence of large impoundment’s and pollution of water by domestic industrial and agricultural waste are most important factors affecting the Nile river ecology and biodiversity. 4.6.4 Future Development The development of agriculture on the east bank will positively impact the land use of the arid land. Water conveyance and collection, if placed underground following existing roads, will result in no change in land loss. Existing pump stations can be used with the addition of new pump station to serve the new towns. However, irrigation will raise the water table and may have some impact on antiquities. Collected wastewater should be reused after being treated for agricultural use; however for health purposes a water management plan and health precautions and public awareness campaigns need to be put in place. 4.6.5 Pollution Luxor has very low levels of natural or industrial pollution. The city is considered the lowest in airborne dust and the second lowest in fog potential in Egypt. 45 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents A review of the industrial/commercial activities (listed below) does not identify any major source of industrial air pollutants, although the large sugar factory at Armant, some 25 miles from Luxor City, can cause air pollution when the wind blows from the South. Effluent from the sugar factory pollutes the Nile. List of primary industrial activities: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Alabaster and Marble Bakery Black Smith Car Repair (Electrical and Mechanical) Carbonated Water Supply Carpets Casting Cement Bricks Ceramics Confectioneries Electric Machine Repair Glass Metal Forming Motorcycle Repair Painting Plastic Bags Publishing Welding Because the average surface wind is low, the pollution that is generated will not always disperse rapidly. This can be a problem in certain micro-zones, such as along the Nile, where the Nile cruise ships dock by the shore. These ships must rely on their own diesel generators to produce enough power especially for air conditioning. At times of low wind, the exhaust from the cruise ships collects along the Corniche. Along the streets of Luxor, vehicles kick up fine dust and particles of horse droppings, although this has been dramatically improved by the steps taken in Luxor to collect the droppings. Infrequent dust storms, especially during the spring months can cause considerable particulate pollution. The microclimate of the West Bank desert fringe causes frequent dust, raising evening winds. 4.6.6 Solid waste Solid waste is a major problem in the canals. Also east of Luxor City in the low dessert, building rubble and construction waster are dumped indiscriminately. Incidental garbage, building rubble, and plastics along rural and touristic roads contribute to visual pollution. In Luxor City solid waste is collected by the HCLC and agreements with private companies, and in particular antiquities areas, where the SCA collects and disposes of waste. 4.6.7 Regulatory Framework Prime Minister Decree No. 338 for the year 1995 sets forth the regulatory framework governing both air quality and noise pollution. A list of installations subject to the provisions on evaluation of environmental assessment is provided in Article 34 of the Decree. All infrastructure projects are 46 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents included. Projects to be sited on the banks of the Nile, its branches, the feeders, main canals or in tourist and monument areas are subject to this law. Article 41 mentions that all excavation shall take precaution to store and transport material in a safe way. While Luxor is free of air pollution, the surface wind is low. Since no air quality program has been set up in Luxor, no baseline information is available. The industries and industrial potential for Luxor do not constitute any air pollutants in the area. A number of industrial facilities come under the control of Law #4 of 1994, requiring air quality emissions permit the following: limestone, sand, gravel quarry on the east and West Bank of the river; and alabaster rocks and cement brick on the West Bank. As the number of planes, ships and automobile increases, so too will the level of carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide and lead concentrations. These need to be addressed in evaluating future projects. Water resources • • • • Decree No. 108/1995 defines the standard and specification for drinking water Decree No. 338/1995, forbids drainage into the Nile river. Decree No. 08/1983, protects potable and nonpotable waters. Decree No. 649/1962, dictates the standards for liquid discharges into the river and public drainages. Environmental Assessment and Impact Outline Any future project carried out in Luxor must consider the impact of the project against the following four categories: • Aesthetic and cultural • Physical Environment (including land, water and air) • Environment Impact • Socio-economic (Human services) Aesthetic and Cultural Luxor is an internationally recognized archaeological site, and accordingly engineering and archaeological controls have to be implemented to minimize negative impact on the monuments and their settings. Archaeological impact: Any new project might uncover historic artifacts. Studies and tests should be carried out in the process of planning and excavating sites. Physical Environment Construction and development of projects must evaluate the impact on: • Climate • Geology • Hydrology • Air quality and noise • Water supply and quality • Terrestrial ecology • Aquatic ecology • Solid and Hazardous wastes 47 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents The evaluation process must review the impact of development vis-à-vis preparation of site, transportation of materials, handling of material and storage, demolition, construction, operation and maintenance and disposal. The environmental assessment must also calculate the short and long-term impact against the above listed indicators Socio-economic Impacts Luxor’s unique archaeological stature must also be weighed against the development of its human capital. Therefore new projects must carefully analyze the impact on: • Demographic and migration impact • Economic and employment • Tourism • Industry • Agriculture • Education • Transportation, telecommunications Environmental Impact Water conservation practices in urban settlements and hotels must be developed and enforced. In addition, alternative sources of energy, such as solar energy must likewise be considered in the development of new projects. 4.7 Environmental Resources Figures 48 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 1: GEOLOGIC MAP OF LUXOR AREA 49 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 2: SLOPE OF LUXOR AREA 50 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 3: SHADE RELIEF OF LUXOR AREA 51 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 4: ELEVATION OF LUXOR AREA 52 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 5: WATERSHED OF LUXOR AREA 53 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 6: SOIL MAP OF LUXOR AREA 54 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 7: ASPECT OF LUXOR AREA 55 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 8: LANDSAT IMAGE OF LUXOR AREA 56 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 9: GEOLOGIC MAP OF LUXOR AREA 57 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 5: 1996 Utility Improvement Report Excerpts The Material in Annex 5 has been excerpted from pages 1-1 through 1-33 of the 1996 Institutional Development Services for Secondary Cities Project in Egypt “Assessment Report for Luxor City”, prepared and submitted by Chemonics International inc. in association with Camp Dresser & McKee International, Inc. to the US Agency for International Development, Cairo, Egypt. The figures and tables of the excerpt, and references to them, have been renumbered to be consistent with Volume 2: Supplementary Documents of the Final Structure Plan Report. 5.1 Project Setting The report presents the Environmental Assessment (EA) for the Secondary Cities Project activities in Luxor on the east bank of the River Nile. 5.1.1 Location Luxor is a small city of tremendous archaeological importance on the east bank of the River Nile in Upper Egypt, 520 km by air south of Cairo (Figure 10). The city lies at 250 40' North Latitude and 32' 42' East Longitude. The total area of the city is around 12.650 hectares with an average ground level of about 80 m above mean sea level. 5.1.2 Purpose The purpose of the project is to rehabilitate and expand the Luxor systems for water distribution and for wastewater collection, treatment and disposal. The proposed water supply improvements include expansion of the water distribution system, including additional storage tanks. The locations of these activities are shown in Figure 11. The proposed wastewater facilities and improvements include: a) Construction of a new wastewater stabilization pond treatment plant including facilities for effluent disposal, b) Rehabilitation of the existing wastewater treatment plant, and c) Expansion of the wastewater service system, including installation of new wastewater pump stations and force mains, as required. The locations of Activities (a), (b), and (c) above are shown in Figure 12. The purpose of this report is to identify and predict the environmental consequences of these activities and to assist in planning appropriate mitigation measures and monitoring programs to reduce the adverse effects and maximize the environmental benefits. 5.1.3 Stage in Planning Process This EA forms part of the Secondary Cities Project ED/CM contract that was executed in June 1995 between the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) and Camp Dresser and McKee International Inc. (CDM). Background 58 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents USAID is funding the Secondary Cities Project to assist the Government of Egypt (GOE) to expand and develop sustainable and replicable water and wastewater systems and services in selected urban centers in Egypt. Since 1977, the GOE and USAID have collaborated in expansion and upgrading of water and wastewater facilities in Egypt, principally in Cairo, Alexandria, and the three Suez Canal cities (Suez, Ismailia, and Port Said). The National Organization of Potable Water and Sanitary Drainage (NOPWASD) has a backlog of more than 200 of Egypt's other, generally smaller, cities that have requested assistance to construct new water and wastewater treatment facilities and networks, or to expand and rehabilitate existing facilities. NOPWASD has in turn sought USAID assistance in meeting these requests. 59 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 10: LUXOR LOCATION 60 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 11: LUXOR WATER SYSTEM SERVICE AREA 61 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 12: LUXOR SEWERAGE SYSTEM COMPONENTS 62 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Experience indicates that appropriate policy and institutional reforms must be implemented to ensure the sustainability of such projects, once constructed. Therefore, USAID is pursuing structural changes to utilities that will enable the GOE to establish locally funded and locally controlled water and wastewater facilities, financially supported by adequate tariffs. The Secondary Cities Project is being developed to assist the GOE in amplifying such reform efforts. For the cities concerned it is full-scale implementation of needed facilities: for Egypt as a whole it may be viewed as a pilot or demonstration project, in its institutional reform aspects. Therefore of the more than 200 cities requesting aid, seven had been selected in part because of their diversity ranging from Mansoura, a large city in the agricultural/industrial delta to Nuweiba, a small Sinai town with increasing foreign tourism to Nasser City, an Upper Egypt township of villages relocated more than 30 years ago from the rising waters of Lake Nasser. Background data and information for the Secondary Cities Project were gathered and reported in a project paper whose objectives were to: a) Analyze the feasibility of water and wastewater projects and sustainable institutio nal arrangements; b) Define the policy constraints and recommended strategies for reform; c) Refine the estimated levels of assistance required; d) Explore implementation options; and e) Identify the environmental consequences of site selection. That project paper completed in March 1994, constitutes the point of departure for the current design phase of the Secondary Cities Project, for Luxor and the other six cities of the Project. This report, the environmental assessment of the Luxor city water and wastewater interventions, likewise begins from information presented in the project paper of 1994, amplified by a more detailed examination of existing data and interviews with citizens and professionals involved with the project. Relationship to Other Documents and Projects This EA fulfills a part of the Secondary Cities Engineering Design and Construction Management (ED/CM) contract. A Basis of Design Report is concurrently in preparation. Supported by the EA and by a Report on the Luxor Wastewater Treatment Plant Rehabilitation needs. The Basis of Design Report will lead to final design facilities. In parallel with this ED/CM contract for Luxor is an Institutional Support Project for Luxor, under a separate contract. 5.1.4 Summary of USAID and Host Country's Environmental Procedures The project is implemented under the supervision of the National Organization of Potable Water and Sanitary Drainage (NOPWASD) representing the Government of Egypt (GOE) and the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). Egypt is in the process of establishing a strong commitment to the preservation of the environment. An environmental assessment is required to satisfy the comprehensive body of regulations that have been developed to protect the Egyptian environment based on Law 4 for the Year 1994. In addition to meeting the Egyptian regulations, the USAID environmental procedures embodied in 22 CFR 216 "Environmental Procedures" must be satisfied. These Egyptian and USAID regulations are discussed in the following sub-sections. 63 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents USAID Environmental Procedures USAID's environmental procedures are found in 22 CFR Part 216 and are further explained in the Agency's Handbook 3, Appendix 2D. These procedures are consistent with Executive Order 12114, issued January 4, 1979 entitled "Environmental Effects Abroad of Major Federal Actions" and the purposes of the National Environmental Policy Act of 1970. These guidelines which were adopted in 1976 and revised in 1980 formalize the agency's commitment to environmental considerations during the decision-making process leading to implementation or rejection of a project. Within the process, reasonably foreseeable environmental impacts are identified, and alternatives or mitigating measures are recommended. For projects failing in various classes of actions (Sect.216.2.d), including potable water and sewerage projects other than those that are of small scale either an Environmental Assessment (EA) or Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) will be required (Sect. 216.2.d.l.xi). Thus, either an EA or an EIS would be required for the water supply and wastewater measures proposed for Luxor under this project. An EA is defined as "a detailed study of the reasonably foreseeable significant effects. Both beneficial and adverse of a proposed action on the environment of a foreign country or countries" (Sect. 216.1.c.4). It must be prepared when an EIS is deemed unnecessary according to the criteria in Sect. 216.7. An EIS is defined as "a detailed study of the reasonably foreseeable environmental impacts, both positive and negative, of a proposed AID action and its reasonable alternatives on the United States, the global environment or areas outside the jurisdiction of any nation as described in Sect. 216.7 of the procedures "(Sect. 216.1.c.5). It must be prepared when "agency actions significantly affect.... (1) the global environment or areas outside the jurisdiction of any nation (e.g., the oceans); (2) the environment of the United States; or (3) other aspects of the environment at the discretion of the Administrator" (Sect. 216.7.a). In the case of (1) and (3) above, an EIS ... "will generally follow the President's Council on Environmental Quality (CEO) Regulations, but will take into account the special considerations and concerns of AID." In June 1994 a Positive Threshold Decision was issued for all of the cities of the Secondary Cities Project, and this document identified the necessity for the preparation of this EA. 64 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 36: Summary of USAID Environmental Procedure USAID Environmental Procedures Description of Environmental Procedures Remarks 1. Initial Environmental Examination First review of the reasonably foreseeable effects of a proposed action on the environment. Not required for activities identified in 216.2(d), the category of this project 2. Threshold Decision A formal agency decision which determines whether a proposed agency action is a major action affecting the environment. Required for the secondary cities project new interventions in Luxor City 3. Negative Declaration Declaration in writing that the agency will not develop an EA or an EIS regarding an action found to have an effect on the environment. No negative declaration was made for Luxor 4. Scope of the EA or EIS Identification of the significant issues relating to the proposed action and determination of the key issues to be addressed in the EA or EIS. Expert consultation, public and private installations, and host governments should participate in the scoping. A detailed study of the reasonably foreseeable significant impacts, both beneficial and adverse, of a proposal action on the environment Written statements covering the environmental key issues 6. Monitoring Environmental monitoring is an integral part of the EA or EIS and the project implementation to the same extent as other aspects of the project. EA or EI should include a monitoring program 7. Revisions In the case of major changes in the scope of work or nature of the project during its implementation, the Negative Declaration will be reviewed, and the above procedures carried out again. Supplements to the EA or EIS will be required and BEO review and approval is required. 5. Preparation of the EA or EIS 65 Review and approval by the Bureau Environmental Officer, (BEO) Report covering the study is required. BEO review and approval is requested The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Egyptian Environmental Legislation Law 4 for the year 1994 entitled "Promulgating the Law on the Environment" and its Executive Regulations, the Prime Ministerial Decree No. 338 for the Year 1995, set forth the overall framework for protection of the environment. Under the law, installations or establishments that are subject to the provisions on evaluation of the environmental impact assessments are determined according to the type of the establishment’s activity; the extent of the establishment's exhaustion of natural resources, especially waters, agricultural lands, and mineral wealth: the site of the establishment; and the type of power used in operating the establishment. The proposed water supply and wastewater facilities are under these controls. Law No. 4/94 requires the preparation of an environmental impact assessment with the application for license for a project. The owner of the establishment -according to the provision of this law -- shall attach to his application a statement describing the establishment, comprising the data included in the form to be prepared by the environmental affairs agency. In addition the owner shall monitor and record the impact of the project's activity on the environment. Law No. 4/94 establishes an agency for protection and development of environment which is called "Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency". This agency replaces the agency which was established by virtue of Presidential Decree No. 631 of the year 1982, with all its rights and obligations. A series of regulations have been issued by different ministries, which are applicable to the project facilities. These include: Presidential Decree No. 3/1962 Decree No. 649/1962 Decree No. 470/1971 Law No. 57/1978 Presidential Decree No. 631/1982 Law No. 102/1982 Law No. 48/1982 Ministerial Decree No. 08/1983 Decree No. 09/1988 Ministerial Committee organized under Law No. 276/1994 Decree No. 108/1995 Concerning drainage of liquid wastes The executive regulations of Law No.93/1962 On the norms of atmospheric pollution in establishments and industrial subordinated units On eliminating pools and swamps and prevention of digging works Regarding establishing an Environmental Affairs Authority at the Presidency of the Council of Ministers Concerned with the establishment and management of Egyptian protected natural areas Protection of the River Nile and waterways from pollution The executive regulations of Law 48/1982 Regarding the amendment of certain provisions of Ministerial Decree No. 08/1983 Reuse of wastewater in irrigation Ministry of Health standards for drinking water In addition to the above regulations, NOPWASD through the Water and Wastewater Institutional Support Project (WWISP), had proposed water and wastewater standards. These standards are included in Final Report No. CG11 entitled, "Environmental Standards for Potable Water and Wastewater Discharge", and SR-9 entitled, "Environmental Code Enforcement Program." 5.2 Existing Facilities and Projected Conditions The present population within the study area is estimated to be 152,500 persons (including 13,300 persons in Al Bayadiya village). This population figure is based on an estimated 2.65 percent annual growth rate 66 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (population growth rate estimate provided by the Luxor Information Center), since the 1986 government census. By the year 2015, the population is expected to increase to about 257,300 persons (including 22,300 persons in Al Bayadiya village) and to about 334,200 persons (including a population of 29,000 in Al Bayadiya village) by the year 2025. From the information on the existing water and wastewater system and using the population projections and demands to estimate future systems flows, an assessment of appropriate modifications to the present systems has been developed. 5.2.1 Water System Existing Facilities and Conditions Luxor obtains its raw water from the River Nile. The water is processed at two adjacent plants. The riverside plant constructed in 1929 has a capacity of 5,180 m³/d (60 lps). This plant uses a rapid sand filtration technology. At the site, there are also two package treatment units which were installed in 1983. The package plants with a combined output of 5,180 m³/d (60 lps), require a substantially higher level of operational skills and maintenance attention. There is also an existing 300 m3 elevated steel water storage tank at the site. A new 17,280 m³/d (200 lps) facility is under construction at the riverside plant, using clariflocculation and rapid sand filtration. This plant, designed by NOPWASD, should be operational by 1997. 5 The second plant, located just inland from the riverside facility, is a 17,280 m³/d (200 lps) plant constructed in 1983 using a chemically enhanced settling/rapid sand filtration design common in Egypt. Pre-chlorination, alum, and final chlorination dosages are 3 mg/l, 18 mg/l and 1 mg/l, respectively. The plant was expanded to a capacity of 34,560 m³/d (400 lps) in 1994. In addition, a second extension to increase the plant capacity to 51,840 m³/d (600 lps) has been designed by NOPWASD and is presently under construction. This last phase will be operational in 1997. The table below presents a summary of the water supply data. Table 37: Summary of Water Treatment Facilities Facility Old Plant Packaged Plants Conventional Plant Main Plant Totals Location Riverside Riverside Riverside Cityside Year 1995 Capacity, Lps 60² 60 Year 2015 Capacity, Lps 400¹ 520 200 600 800 Notes: 1: 17,280 m³/d (200 l/s) expansion is now on-line as part of plant commissioning. 2: This plant will be abandoned after the new 200 lps riverside plant is placed into service. The general practice for disposal of washwater and sludge is to discharge it back to the River Nile. The new extension includes the construction of a washwater and sludge sedimentation tank from which the supernatant will be discharged back to the River Nile and the sludge will be pumped into the city sewer network. Plant equipment is in very good condition, controls for pumps, valves and equipment all appear to operate well. The facility is equipped with a laboratory. Both plant sites contain shops and maintenance facilities. The plant site is surrounded by a wall and is bounded on three sides by residential buildings 5 The CDCL population projections are based on the 1996 national census, and its findings are included in table 1 of The Final Structure Plan Volume I 67 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents which preclude further expansion of the site. Water from the Luxor plants is distributed to a system that supplies the entire Luxor region, including outlying villages. The existing water distribution system is shown in Figure 13. The network was originally constructed in 1929 and since then the pipes have been replaced, upgraded and extended to feed the city and the region. According to plant staff, there are problems with low pressures throughout the system. The water distribution system consists of approximately 360 km of steel, asbestos cement and galvanized steel pipes ranging in size from 50 mm to 600 mm. The system serves approximately 90 percent of houses and business through about 23,000 house connections. Residents of buildings not served by the distribution system obtain their water from public taps and hand pumps. Approximately 95 percent of water connections are metered: about 20 percent of these meters do not work properly. There are two elevated tanks in Luxor City, one is 300m³ and 32m high located at the old water treatment plant site. The second is to the east of the railway with a capacity of 1,000m³ and 40m high. Problems of low pressure precluded the proper operation of the second tank. A hydraulic investigation and a limited leakage study were conducted in Luxor to determine the system operation parameters for engineering input for rehabilitation and expansion of the water distribution system. The average pressure in the city water network was 15m while it was 35m at the delivery of the new water treatment plant and 27m at the delivery of the old water treatment plant. The leak detection survey covered about 17km of the city water mains, 35 leaks were found and the estimated leakage was 11.28 lps which represent an average of 0.66 lps/km. Over 80% of the leaks were found in the service connection. The Luxor City High Council is responsible for operating the water supply and treatment facilities, main distribution system and the local distribution networks. Water Demand Projections Based on the projected 2015 and 2025 populations, a summary of the projected water demands are presented in. The existing water treatment facilities, combined with those presently under construction, will be sufficient to meet projected demands until about the year 2020, when additional facilities will be required. Table 38: Summary of Projected Water Demands – m³/d Category Residential Tourist Commercial Industrial Institutional Losses TOTAL City 26,432 5,490 3,192 2,554 2,235 7,981 47,884 Year 2015 Villages 10,135 608 507 709 2,392 14,351 Total 36,567 5,490 3,800 3,061 2,944 10,373 62,235 68 City 36,623 7,200 4,382 3,506 3,068 10,956 65,735 Year 2025 Villages 13,164 790 658 922 3,107 18,641 Total 49,787 7,200 5,172 4,164 3,990 14,063 84,376 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 13: LUXOR WATER DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM 69 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 5.2.2 Wastewater System Existing Facilities and Conditions Based on the present population, Luxor and surrounding villages served under this project generates approximately 21,640m³/d of raw sewage: 15,859m³/d from residential sources, 1,500m³/d from commercial sources, 1,200m³/d from industrial sources, and 1,110m³/d from governmental sources. Groundwater infiltration is expected to be a factor, and an infiltration flow of approximately 1,970 m³/d, or 10 percent of the generated flow, has been assumed. Based upon a feasibility study carried out in the early 1980's, the construction of the collection system for Luxor has been divided into three phases. Phase 1 was completed in the mid-1980's, Phase 2 is currently under construction and is expected to be placed into service next year, and Phase 3 is the subject of this project. Phase 1 wastewater system covers an area of about 310 hectares, and includes the original old city of Luxor and old Karnak. Through this phase, around 24-km length of vitrified clay and PVC pipes, ranging in diameter from 175mm to 500mm, 12km force mains of diameters 350mm, 400mm, and 500mm and four pump stations (P.S. 1, P.S. 2, El Corniche and P.S. 3) were constructed. Figure 8 shows the existing and proposed areas served and Figure 1-9 shows the locations of the existing and proposed pump stations. The table below summarizes the existing pump station information. Phase 2 will provide sewer service to a large part of New Karnak and Al Awameya Island. Through this phase around 16 km of sewer lines ranging between 175 to 600mm diameter, five new pump stations and 10km of force mains of 250, 300, 400 and 700mm diameters, will be constructed. P.S. 1 and P.S. 2 will also be upgraded during this phase. Information concerning the pump stations is summarized in the table below. Table 39: Summary of Wastewater Pump Station Data Pump Station No. Location Number Of Pumps Capacity, lps (Each) Force Main Dia. (Mm) Remarks Disposal Location 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 P.S. No. 1 P.S. No. 2 P.S. No. 3 P.S. No. 4 P.S. No. 5 P.S. No. 6 P.S. No. 7 3 3 6 4 4 3 4 120 100 150 40 60 40 60 400 350 2x500 mm 300 400 250 400 P.S. No. 3 P.S. No. 3 WWTP P.S. No. 3 P.S. No. 8 P.S. No. 8 P.S. No. 8 8 9 P.S. No. 8 El Cornish 6 2 200 100 700 350 WWTP P.S. No. 1 A wastewater treatment plant serving Luxor is located to the south east of the city several kilometers away from the city approaching the edges of the desert. It is a biological secondary treatment plant of the high rate trickling filter type. The hydraulic design capacity of the plant is 13,000m³/d. The design BOD and suspended solids concentration in the wastewater was established as being 500mg/l and 600mg/l, respectively. The treatment plant site of 550m x 850m includes space to duplicate the existing facilities. The construction work began in 1974 and the facilities were placed into service in June 1986. The wastewater treatment plant is comprised of the following units: mechanical screens, grit removal chambers, primary sedimentation basins, high rate trickling filter basins, final sedimentation basins, 70 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents sludge drying beds for primary sludge, sludge drying beds for secondary sludge and an effluent storage pit. The plant is now at capacity; however, because of the daily variations in flows from the pump station, the plant experiences regular overloading at certain periods of the day. There are no as-constructed drawings or operations and maintenance manuals: however, preliminary calculations indicate that the facility should, if properly operated, be capable of providing secondary treatment to its design capacity. Plant hydraulics are poor, flow distribution is uneven, no chemicals are used to promote/control physical or biological conditions, there are no functioning electrical controls, the surface concrete is deteriorating, and there is no chlorination system. The mechanical equipment and the laboratory appear to be in relatively good operating condition, but the plant is not being operated properly to maximize process performance. Primary and secondary sludges are being drawn off separately to adjacent, undersized drying beds. A second treatment train, adding another 13,000m³/d, is presently under construction; this expansion includes effluent chlorination facilities for both trains. This expansion phase is scheduled to be completed in 1997. In addition to the wastewater treatment system components that presently exist, or have already been designed by others, an effluent volume-equalization pond: an effluent pump station: and a force main to lead from the effluent pump station to an effluent reuse area have been designed. The agriculture reuse area is about 714 ha and lies to the south east of the city in the desert. Figure 14 Wastewater Flow Projections Based on the projected water consumption demands for Luxor and its surrounding villages for the years2015 and 2025, it is estimated that 48,100m³/d for year 2015 and 65,400 m³/d for year 2025, of mediumstrength raw sewage will be produced. The table below summarizes the projected 2015 and 2025 wastewater flow projections. Table 40: Summary of Projected Wastewater Flow - m3/d Category Residential Tourist Commercial Industrial Institutional Infiltration TOTAL City 23,789 4,941 2,873 2,298 2,011 3,591 39,503 Year 2015 Villages 6,611 397 331 463 780 8,582 Total 30,400 4,491 3,270 2,629 2,474 4,371 48,085 71 City 32,961 6,480 3,944 3,155 2,761 4,930 54,231 Year 2025 Villages 8,587 515 429 601 1,013 11,145 Total 41,548 6,480 4,459 3,584 3,362 5,943 65,376 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 14: EFFLUENT REFUSE AREA 72 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 5.3 Proposed Activities 5.3.1 Layout and Description The project discussed below comprises the following principal elements: • • • • Expansion of the water distribution system, including additional storage tanks; Construction of new wastewater stabilization pond, including facilities for effluent disposal; Rehabilitation of the existing wastewater treatment plant; and Expansion of the wastewater service system including installation of new wastewater pump stations and force mains, as required. The following sections describe the proposed water and wastewater facilities for Luxor. The design information discussed below has been taken from the Basis of Design Report and the Assessment and Recommended Rehabilitation of Luxor Wastewater Treatment Plant Report. The Basis of Design Report details may undergo some revision prior to construction but no major alterations to the design of the distribution system, the new wastewater stabilization ponds and the collection network are anticipated. Expansion of Water Distribution System The distribution system will require improvements to accommodate the increased water availability and projected demands. The regional distribution system was analyzed hydraulically to establish the necessary modifications, which is necessary to ensure reliable pressures throughout the system. Extensive upgrading of the main transmission pipes is required in growth areas or areas of potential supply or pressure problems. The proposed water distribution network for Luxor is shown in Figure 13. The main features of the network are: • The network will be fed from the upgraded old and new water plants with respective capacities of 200 and 600lps. The upgrade of these plants is beyond the scope of this project; • A new pipeline 600/500/400-mm diameter is proposed from the water plants along the River Nile shore (Cornish) northwards to connect with the 400mm pipeline currently under construction at Nag Badran. This link will close the main loop around the old city and El Karnak area and will improve the water pressure in the north of Luxor; • A new 400mm-diameter pipeline is proposed along the airport road to feed Minshaat El Ammari and the airport and connect to the 400mm pipeline currently under construction. This link is essential to reinforce the loop feeding this vital distant area in the far east of Luxor and ensure supply from more than one direction; • A new 300mm diameter pipeline is proposed to feed El Bayadiya and loop back to connect to the main network; • A new 300mm diameter pipeline is proposed to feed Nag El Samman, Nag El Sawalhi and Nag El Qubahi and then connect to the proposed 400mm diameter feeding Minshaat El Ammari; • An elevated tank (1,000m³) at El Karnak District to feed the northern part of Luxor; • An elevated tank (1,000m³) at Minshaat El Ammari to feed the area and Luxor Airport; and • An elevated tank (1,000m³) at the border between El Awameya and El Bayadiya districts. 73 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents The table below lists the construction and operation activities of water distribution system rehabilitation and expansion. Table 41: Activities Related to Rehabilitation and Expansion of Water Distribution Network Activity Construction Activities Occupation of construction area Preparation and drainage of site Transportation and other services Construction, piling, material handling and storage Presence of temporary structures and equipment on site Supply of materials and other resources Supply of facility equipment Waste disposal Work force Construction schedule Operation Activities Supply and transportation of materials and other resources Material handling and storage System operation and maintenance Waste disposal Work force Presence of the system Description Occupation of rights of way along streets for pipelines and transmission lines, and less than 1 ha of land for elevated storage tanks Likely to involve mechanical earth excavation, removal of trees, asphalt cutting and dewatering Movement of people and construction materials through the main roads close to the site. Water supply, wastewater system, electricity, and telephone would be supplied via the city utilities Pipelines will be laid 1m to 2m below the ground surface. Storage tanks structures will be built on the ground surface Offices, guard rooms and storage sheds Locally manufactured construction materials from cement, aggregate, pipe, etc. From USA to Alexandria then by road to the site Removal of excess soils, construction materials About 150 local workers To start June 1997 Spare parts Use of warehouses and stores Storage tanks, pipelines and valves. Facility for maintenance of equipment Wash waters from flushing water mains Around 46 qualified technical staff and operators Increase of water quantities and pressures New Wastewater Stabilization Ponds The new wastewater stabilization ponds (NWSP) are designed to treat non-industrial wastewater collected within Luxor to a level meeting the Egyptian and the USAID regulations for treated wastewater disposal and reuse. The average plant capacity will be 22,100m³/d to meet projected flows in the year 2015. Further expansion will be required to meet projected flows beyond this time. The general location of the NWSP is shown in Figure 14 and the plant layout is presented on Figure 15. The table below summarizes the expected influent and effluent characteristics for the new wastewater stabilization pond, the Egyptian Standards for Disposal in non-potable waters (drains), Article 66 of Law 48/1982, and guidelines for reuse of treated effluent recommended by the Ministry of-Housing and Utilities. Under normal operating conditions the effluent will be reused for irrigation. The system has been designed to transmit the effluent to an allocated agricultural area of 714 hectares located 6 km east of the 74 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents new wastewater stabilization ponds, in the desert. To meet the effluent design criteria, the treatment process will include the following: Preliminary treatment which includes screening and grit removal Waste stabilization ponds which consist of anaerobic ponds, facultative ponds, and maturation ponds; and an effluent reuse system including pumping to the area designated for reuse. (The effluent reuse system, to be arranged and designed by others, will provide irrigation water for local farmers, as at present: but also irrigation of plantation at the designated reuse area 6 km east of the WWTP, at rates that in every season will sustain the plantation.) A simplified process flow diagram showing the treatment process is presented in Figure 17. The table below lists the construction and operation activities for the new wastewater stabilization ponds. Rehabilitation of Existing Wastewater Treatment Plant The planning and design for the Phase 1 Wastewater Treatment Plant (WWTP) began in early 1970's and was completed in 1986. The treatment system is of conventional design and utilizes single stage trickling filters for biological treatment. Figure 18 is a schematic diagram of the Phase 1 facilities. The major units of the plant are: • Mechanical screens • Grit chamber • Primary sedimentation tanks • High rate trickling filters • Final sedimentation tanks • Recirculation screw pumps • Sludge drying beds • Effluent storage pond Table 42: Influent and Effluent Characteristics Projected for the New Wastewater Stabilization Ponds Parameter Total Suspended Solids (mg/l) Biological Oxygen Demand (mg/l) Chemical Oxygen Demand (mg/l,) Total Dissolved Solids (mg/1) Nitrates (mg/1) Fecal Coliform per 100 cm4 Intestinal Nematodes no/liter Dissolved Oxygen Projected Influent Effluent Design Criteria 360 Discharge in Reuse Standards Non-Potable (Secondary Water Standards Treatment) 50 50 40 360 40 60 40 500 80 80 80 560 2,500 2,000 2,500 N/A 5,000,000 50 5,000 50 5,000 N/A 10,000 100 <1 1 1 <1 >4 >4 N/A 75 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents The plant is being expanded by addition of a module essentially identical to the existing plant including sludge drying beds with underdrains. A chlorination building and contact tanks to serve both the existing and new modules is included. The construction of new facilities appears to be 80 percent complete. The Assessment and Recommended Rehabilitation Report developed a set of recommended actions for this plant. The actions with greatest environmental relevance are: • Replacement of the effluent storage pit with a facility that is designed within the framework of overall effluent disposal management and environmental considerations; • Provide all structures and stairs with safety rails; • Fencing around the treatment plant facilities to control access and improve safety, particularly for children; • Improvements to the electric control cabinet in regard to disconnected power cables • Improve laboratory equipment; and • Provide operation and maintenance manuals and training of personnel. Table 43: Activities Related to the New Wastewater Stabilization Ponds Activity Construction and Installation Activities Occupation of construction area Preparation and drainage of site Transportation and other services Construction piling material handling and storage Presence of temporary structures and equipment on site Supply of materials and other resources Supply of facility equipment Waste disposal Work force Construction schedule Operation Activities Supply and transportation of materials, spare parts and other resources Plant operation & maintenance Waste disposal Work force Presence of plant Description About 225 ha of desert land Likely to involve mechanical earth excavation People and raw construction material through the main roads close to the site. Water supply and wastewater system, electricity, etc. through the city systems Desert and some cultivated areas are surrounding the plant site Offices, guard rooms and storage sheds Locally manufactured construction materials from cement, steel bars, bricks, aggregate etc. From USA to port of Alexandria and then by road to the site Removal of excessive soils, construction materials Approximately 100 local workers To start in June 1997 Types sources and transportation methods See process diagram Figure 1-7.Facility equipment for maintenance Treated effluent and waste sludge from treatment process flow quality control. Around 8 qualified technical staff and operators for operating and maintaining the plant Availability of treatment of wastewater from city and villages 76 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 15: LUXOR WASTEWATER P LANT P ROPOSED SITE LAYOUT 77 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 16: FLOW P ROCESS DIAGRAM 78 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 17: LUXOR P HASE I WASTEWATER TREATMENT P LANT SITE P LAN 79 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Most of these items have environmental relevance with regard to occupational safety and health of the plant workers, but also to the neighboring community, particularly in the matter of effluent reuse. The table below lists the construction and operation activities in rehabilitation of the existing wastewater treatment plant. Expansion of the Wastewater Collection System A significant expansion of the existing wastewater collection system in the city of Luxor will be required as shown in Figure 14. The collection system has been designed as being a combination of gravity sewers and force mains maximizing the use of gravity lines when possible. The proposed sewers range in diameter from 175 mm to 800 mm. The system also includes the pump stations and force mains necessary to raise the collected wastewater from one gravity system to another and then to the wastewater treatment plant. Four new Pump stations and rehabilitation Of Pump station number 3 (P.S. No. 3) are proposed as a part of the sewer system. The proposed pump stations are El Karnak, El Khutaba, El Samman and El Ammari. In conjunction with the pump stations at Karnak, Khutaba and Samman, force, mains will be constructed to convey the wastewater to P.S. No. 3 and then to the wastewater treatment plant. The wastewater flow from the El Ammari P. S. will be conveyed directly to the wastewater treatment plant. The table below lists the construction and operation activities in relation to the expansion of the wastewater collection system. 5.3.2 Construction Activities Construction activities for each project component have been discussed in the course of section 5.3.1 above. 5.3.3 Operation and Maintenance Activities Operation and Maintenance activities for each project component have been discussed in the course of section 5.3.1 above. 5.3.4 Abandonment Plans This has been covered in Section 5.3.1 for each project activity, in turn. Decommissioning of the existing septic and holding tanks cleaning out disinfecting and backfilling the redundant septic and holding tanks in these areas is of concern. 5.4 Project Alternatives 5.4.1 No Action Alternative Future conditions without the project are described in Sections 2.6 and 3.5.2 where it is demonstrated that the no action alternative was not a viable option. 80 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 44: Activities Related to the Rehabilitation of Existing Wastewater Treatment Plant Activity Construction Activities Temporary occupation of construction area Supply of materials and other resources Supply of facility equipment Waste disposal Work force Construction schedule Operation Activities Supply and transportation of materials and other resources Material handling and storage Plant operation and maintenance Waste disposal Work force Presence of plant Description Available land inside the wastewater treatment plant area Locally manufactured construction materials from cement, steel bars, bricks, aggregate, etc. From USA to port of Alexandria and then by road to the site Removal of excess soils, construction materials Around 100 local workers To start in June 1997 Types, sources, and transportation methods Diesel, oil, and grease, as well as spare parts See process diagram Figure 1-8, facility equipment for maintenance Treated effluent and sludge from treatment process Existing staff is more than adequate to operate and maintain the facility Availability of treatment of wastewater from city and villages 81 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents FIGURE 18: RECOMMEND WASTEWATER COLLECTION SYSTEMS 82 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 45: Activities Related to the Rehabilitation and Expansion of Wastewater Collection Network Activity Construction and Installation Activities Occupation of construction area Preparation and drainage of sites Transportation and other services Construction, piling, material handling, and storage Presence of temporary structures and equipment on site Supply of materials and other resources Supply of facility equipment Waste disposal Work force Construction schedule Operation Activities Supply and transportation of materials and other resources Material handling and storage System operation and maintenance Waste disposal Work force Presence of the system Description Linear occupation of lands in streets for sewer lines and force mains and about 2 ha of land for pump stations Likely to involve mechanical earth excavation, plantation removal, asphalt cutting, dewatering, and demolition of septic tanks People and raw construction materials through the main roads close to the site. Water supply and wastewater system, electricity, etc. through the city systems Sewer lines will be laid at depths that could reach 8 meters below the ground surface. Pump stations will be below ground level to depths of 8 meters, whereas warehouses and other structures will be built on the ground surface Offices, guard rooms, and storage sheds Locally manufactured construction materials from cement, aggregate, sewer lines, etc. From USA to port of Alexandria and then by road to the site Removal of excessive soils, construction materials Approximately 200 local workers To start in June 1997 Diesel, oil, greases, and spare parts Intermittent use of diesel; use of warehouses and stores Pump station, force mains and sewer lines. Facility equipment for maintenance Solids and sludge Approximately 200 qualified technical staff and operators Increase of wastewater quantities 83 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 46: Workforce Required for the Operation and Maintenance of Different Proje ct Elements Description New Wastewater Treatment Plant Wastewater Treatment Plant Operations Technicians Laborers Rehabilitation and expansion of water distribution network Water Distribution manager Supervisors/Technicians Plumbing Technicians Meter Technicians Leak Detection Technicians Store Keepers Laborers Rehabilitation and expansion of wastewater collection network Wastewater Collection Manager Wastewater Collection District Managers Supervisors, Technicians Plumbing Technicians Pump Station Operations Technicians Mechanical Cleaning Operations Technicians Network Civil Repairmen Mechanical/Electrical Maintenance Engineers Mechanical/Electrical Maintenance Technicians Storekeepers Laborers No. of Jobs Notes: 1. Staffing for pump station operations technicians is based on all stations being dry pit type. Each submersible station will reduce this number by 4, with a corresponding reduction of laborer. 2. Based on the assumption that mechanical cleaning equipment will be available for use. 84 4 4 1 4 12 3 4 2 20 1 4 7 11 52 6 10 2 6 2 96 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 6: Analysis Of The Agricultural Sector Another major aspect of Luxor’s economic base is its agricultural sector. In this section, we examine the make-up of the agricultural sector in Luxor and examine the possibilities for its contribution to economic growth in the study area. According to the HCLC’s Agricultural Directorate, in 1996 there were a total of 86,510 feddan of agricultural land in Luxor Markhaz6 , classified according to pr oductivity as follows: First Class Second Class Third Class Fourth Class Fifth Class Sixth Class 307 34931 3533 2739 45000 --- feddan feddan feddan feddan feddan feddan The “fifth class” land refers to a proposed reclamation project in the eastern desert, so the actual productive land in Luxor Markhaz has an area of 41,510 feddan, which is inside what is called the “zimam El zaraay.7 ” According to the Agricultural Directorate of Luxor Markhaz, the 41,510 feddan of agricultural land are broken down into ownership as follows: Registered freehold Registered leasehold Temporary permits Governmental institutional 21913 15876 367 3357 Major Crops The Agricultural Directorate of Luxor classifies agricultural land into two main division: Horticulture 1524 feddan Field Crops 39986 feddan Total Area of zimam 41510 feddan Crops in Luxor are traditional. The following crops, and associated land allocated for these crops, are indicative of current (1996) agricultural practices in Luxor: 6 Presumably the figures do not include Dabaaia administrative village The Information and Decision Making Center of HCLC has compiled an up-to-date list of all agricultural and other land within the HCLC boundaries, including Al Dabaaia, broken down into 22 administrative units (6 units for Luxor City, 15 for the rest of Luxor Markhaz, and one for Al Dabaaia). This shows that there is a total of 47710 feddans of zimam El zaraay but a total of 53966 feddans of surface area. The agricultural land within Luxor City’s administrative boundary “kordon al Medina” (i.e. Luxor City plus 5 suburban zones) is 8453 feddans. 7 85 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 47: Major Crops cultivated in Luxor CROP Sugar Cane Wheat Beans Lentils Vegetables Garlic Shaair Other Total FEDDAN 22,447 13,934 1,250 93 780 19 5 2,98238,528 298,277,05641,510 Some of these land allocations do not account for double or triple cropping on the same land, a practice made possible by the favorable climate and year-round irrigation. Sugar cane, the major crop, is, however, a perennial, and only one crop per year is harvested on these lands. Sugar cane is also a high water user and will be discouraged in future reclaimed lands. Traditional agricultural lands are irrigated through a system of gravity-fed canals using Nile River water. Reclaimed lands generally use wells for irrigatio n if they are not near existing canals. Farmers must pay for the pumping of water to their lands and this cost effectively rations water usage. The official average size of an individual plot is 1.84 feddan. In reality the average size of land holdings is much lower due to fragmentation through inheritance. There are, however, a number of larger holdings, in the 40 to 100 feddan range. The Government has instituted a policy to increase small land holdings as an economic development measure and is allocating 5 feddan plots to graduates of the Agricultural Technical College. Small plot holdings cause difficulties for implementing high-value crop production because of quality control and intensive management required to produce acceptable crops for export. 6.1 The Potential for High-Value Crop Production Substantial research has been undertaken in Egypt, over a number of years, on the potential for high-value crop production. High-value crops not only add income to the Egyptian economy from exports, but also diversify Egypt’s produce so there is not a reliance on a single crop, which fluctuates in price on world markets. There are several current on-going projects related to high-value crops in Egypt. Conclusions from these studies are that there is substantial potential for high-value crop production in Egypt, particularly for European and Middle Eastern markets. Because of climatic advantages (mild, subtropical climate with abundant year-round sunshine), Egypt can provide crops early, late or contraseasonal for European markets and, thus, has a competitive edge due to the seasonality of European production. Egypt can also grow exotic horticultural products not available locally in Europe. Egypt has the additional advantages of low-cost labor and water and close geographic proximity to potential markets, advantages which could make Egyptian products even more competitive than for competitors in Latin America, Asia and Sub-Sahara Africa. The Agricultural Technology Utilization and Transfer Project (ATUT), sponsored by USAID, in 1996 analyzed 20 potential high-value crops for production in Egypt. The results of the study concluded that there were a number of crops where Egypt has a potential competitive edge. The ATUT project finally selected four horticultural products to receive priority focus: table grapes, mangoes, melons and 86 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents strawberries. Based on the analysis, if only 25% of the unmet demand in Europe is provided for these four crops, this will generate an economic value added of LE 347 million (about US $104 million) annually and create labor opportunities of up to 1.25 million labor days annually, of which 690,000 would be filled by women. In addition to the four crops noted above, experts at ATUT indicate the favorable potential in Upper Egypt for: fresh dates, garlic, dried onions, sun-dried tomatoes, raisins, flowers, ornamental plants and pecans. Selection of high-value crops for production in any given area depends a lot on local conditions, e.g. soil conditions, salinity of the soil and water and availability of transportation. One of the ATUT project reports8 underscored some of the basic challenges facing Luxor in implementing a high-value crop program, “Evidence suggests that the growing European Community has huge unsatisfied seasonal demand for high quality fresh fruits, vegetables and ornamental plants, with specific characteristics preferred by their people.” High-value crops require certain minimum agriculture production areas to be cost effective. For example, strawberries and green beans need a minimum of 10 feddan, and table grapes, onions, garlic, mangoes, dates and potatoes require a minimum of 50 to 100 feddan. Small plots require special organizational arrangements to implement successfully high-value crop industries in Luxor. Small plots in the reclaimed lands will be only 5 feddan each. To assure proper quality controls and management, an agricultural association will have to be established in Luxor. This will require continuous technical assistance and management oversight for the small farmers. It will also require that the Agricultural Technical College upgrade its curriculum to provide focus on high-value crop production and management. The small farmers need to hook up with larger landholders to accomplish the volumes, quality standards, processing and marketing necessary to achieve favorable conditions for a successful high-value crop industry. Highvalue crop production requires an entire management system, from selection of the crops to technical assistance and management during production to processing to marketing. All steps in the process must be implemented prior to encouraging small farmers to adopt high-value crop production. Certain policy implications result from these factors. Thus, the Government must adopt policies that promote high-value agriculture. For Luxor, this includes: (1) Sale of a significant portion of reclaimed lands to larger landholders, i.e. plots ranging in size from 50 feddan and greater. At least several large land holdings would increase the potential of successful high-value crop production. (2) Improving management and technical education for high-value crop production, i.e., upgrading the curriculum at the Agricultural Technical College. (3) Allowing free competition for shipment of crops to external markets. (4) An agricultural community needs to be developed near the reclaimed lands to process the crops and provide housing and services for agricultural workers. Substantial investment is required to make a high-value crop industry in Luxor successful. Luxor enjoys several advantages for high-value crop production and agro-processing. (1) Luxor has excellent transportation systems. The Luxor International Airport has direct flights to Europe and the Middle East. Luxor has train transport within its borders. Luxor has excellent port facilities which could add crop transport capability. Luxor is on the Cairo-Aswan Highway and is near major roads leading to Red Sea tourist areas and ports. 8 European Export Market Analysis for Five Egyptian Horticultural Crops, September, 1994. 87 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (2) Luxor is the closest major urban area to the Western Desert Oasis areas and the northern section of the proposed New Valley. This area is planned as a major reclamation area, with 500,000 feddan of land to be reclaimed. (3) Luxor has access to water from the Nile and wells from underground water. (4) Luxor has one of the lowest incidences of dust storms in Egypt. (5) Luxor, and the surrounding Qena Governate, have a large pool of labor with a tradition in agricultural production (6) Luxor has an Agricultural Technical College. (7) Luxor has a substantial tourism industry, both hotels and cruise ships, that are a potential market for high-value crops. The close proximity of southern Red Sea tourist resorts extends the potential domestic tourism market for Luxor crops. (8) Luxor has the potential of two or three crops per year. This would increase the economic feasibility of high-value crop production. 6.2 High-Value Crop Production and Agro-Processing in Luxor The Government has announced plans to reclaim 80,000 feddan of land in Luxor, primarily for agricultural purposes. The Government has a stated policy to promote high-value crops on newly reclaimed lands. At present, 12,500 feddan on the East Bank and 13,500 feddan on the West Bank in Luxor have been identified as potential suitable for agriculture. The Ministry of Agriculture is beginning test well drilling on the East Bank to locate appropriate water sources as a first step in allocating the land. On the East Bank, 3,500 feddan have already been earmarked for graduates of the Agricultural Technical College in 5 feddan plots. The ATUT project is beginning promotion of high-value crops in Upper Egypt. They are encouraging farmers to cultivate melons, mangoes, strawberries and table grapes. Although no farms are located in Luxor, there are nearby areas where farmers are enrolling in the program. The Ministry of Agriculture will be taking steps to expand the Agricultural Technical School program in Luxor to focus on high-value crops and expects to expand the curriculum from three to five years. These measures will allow for meaningful improvements in the agricultural sector of Luxor. This will contribute to the increase in the income of the population in Luxor as well as an increase in the levels of population as the economy expands. 6.3 Agricultural Communities Area to be reclaimed: 25,000 feddan9 Basic Assumptions: Families per feddan: Average family size: One (1) (1 new job per 5 feddan = 1 family) 4.59 (1996 Census) Most agriculture communities are not planned in Egypt. Farmers are relegated to informal villages or farm housing that often result in substandard housing conditions and minimal services. With the advent of agro-processing, there is the basis for developing a model agricultural community in the Luxor reclaimed lands. Thus, planned communitie s to accommodate a total of approximately 50,000 residents could be established on the new lands in Luxor. As illustrated in Figure 2, The Regional Structure Plan, five agricultural communities are proposed. On the East Bank one agricultural community is proposed 9 The consultants have identified 25,000 feddans of reclaimable agriculture land. However, the Ministry of Agriculture has planned to reclaim 80,000 feddans of land in Luxor. 88 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents for New Luxor, while on the West Bank four communities are proposed. These communities include Mrs. Mubarak Village and El Tarif. Each of the communities is expected to eventual have approximately 8-10,000 residents. The key factor in determin ing the size of the agricultural communities is the minimum population needed to accommodate a Compulsory Education School. According to the 1996 data, an average of 16-18% of the Study Area total population was at the age of 6-12 years old . Assuming an average size of the school of 700 pupils, the community would be around 5,000 inhabitants, at a minimum. The agricultural new town would have full water, wastewater, solid waste, electric and telephone services and public facilities for education, health care and recreation. As farmers have modest incomes, especially small farmers, grant assistance and low-interest loans will be required to finance this agricultural new town. A typical low-cost house (100 m2) will cost about LE 35,000. A total of 12,000 homes are estimated to support a population of 50,000 in the five communities, with the total housing finance estimated at LE 420 million (US $123.5 million). The table below offers the land uses and area for a typical agricultural community that can support 8-10,000 residents. Table 48: Typical Agricultural Community Land Uses and Area Service Center Public Facilities & Servic es Commercial Parks Parking Commercial Workshops Neighborhood Mosque Commercial Primary School Nursery & Kindergarten Parking Park Residential Areas Housing Open Space Light Industrial/ Agro-Processing Facilities Light Industrial Workshops Total Infrastructure (15% of Developed Land Total) Grand Total Total Land Area Required Totals by sub-category Totals by category (feddan) (feddan) 25.75 5.80 4.40 5.50 0.89 1.19 0.44 0.98 5.10 0.56 0.39 0.50 95.00 85.00 10.00 6.5 4 2.5 127.25 19.09 146.34 89 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 7: The General Enviro nment for Tourism 7.1 Global Tourism Measures of worldwide tourism indicate a trend of steady growth in the industry in terms of total arrivals, total receipts and average receipts per arrival. The following two Tables present data for the period 19921998 as compiled by the World Tourism Organization, with a breakdown of tourism into six regions. Over this period, the world travel volume increased a substantial 26%, equal to an annual average rate of growth of 4%. Total receipts rose 40% equating to an annual average rise of 5.8%. The main economic factors underlying this growth trend include rising international trade relationships among nations, rising personal income levels, falling international airfares [in real terms], a generally peaceful world environment after the Gulf crisis in 1991, and continuing innovation in the packaging and marketing of international travel in the key source areas of Europe, the USA and Japan. 7.1.2 Performance of the Middle East The Middle East’s share of global tourism is a modest 2.4%. Travel to the region had contracted during the Gulf Crisis of 1990-1, which explains the extraordinary rebound in arrivals in 1992, exceeding 30% that year. Trends in this region clearly illustrate the fragility of tourism to political and economic adversity, but also the resilience of the industry in its ability to revive once conditions return to normal. Tourism to the Middle East has been a strong performer, with arrivals growing 38% and receipts 57% over this period, leading the world trend. However, as regards average expenditure per arrival, the region’s average of $533 is substantially below the world average of $692. 7.1.3 Observations on Tourism in the Eastern Mediterranean In the Eastern Mediterranean Turkey and Greece are the dominant destinations with much of their tourism focused along the coastlines and on the many islands in their territories. They are examples of destinations offering substantial infrastructure designed for both cultural tourism and also for resort tourism. Turkey in particular has benefited from substantial World Bank Group support from as early as the 1960s with respect to development of virgin coastline to equip it to accommodate mass tourism from Europe. Tunisia has also received similar aid for tourism development along its coastline. There has been substantial foreign investment in tourism in all of these countries. 90 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 49: International Tourists Arrivals by Region 1992 – 1998 (Millions of arrivals; percent) 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 502.8 8.4 518.3 3.1 553.3 6.8 568.5 2.7 599.6 5.5 619.6 3.3 Middle East 10.9 11.4 12.8 13.5 14.1 14.8 15.0 % change 30.5 4.6 12.3 5.5 4.4 5.0 1.4 Africa % change 18 18.0 18.5 2.8 19.1 3.2 20.3 6.3 21.9 7.9 23.2 5.9 24.7 6.5 1.37 America % change 103.6 7.1 103.6 0 106.5 2.8 110.6 3.8 116.9 5.7 118.9 1.7 122.7 3.2 1.18 64.2 13.8 71.2 10.9 76.8 7.9 81.4 6.0 89 9.3 88 -1.1 86.6 -1.6 1.35 Europe % change 302.4 6.9 310.1 2.5 334.3 7.8 338.5 1.3 353.3 4.4 369.8 4.7 381.1 3.1 1.26 South Asia % change 3.6 9.9 3.5 -2.8 3.9 11.4 4.2 7.7 4.4 4.8 4.8 9.1 5.0 4.2 1.39 World % change East Asia/Pacific % change 91 1998 growth index 635.1 1.26 2.5 1.38 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 50: International Tourists Receipts by Region 1992 – 1998 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 313.6 13.0 323.1 3.0 352.6 9.1 403 14.3 437.6 8.6 438.2 0.1 5.1 5.7 6.4 7.5 8.2 9.1 8 % change 32.7 11.8 12.3 17.2 9.3 11.0 -12.1 Africa % change 6.2 23.2 6.3 1.6 6.8 7.9 7.5 10.3 8.7 16.0 9 3.4 9.6 6.7 1.55 America % change 85.5 9.8 91.1 6.5 95.2 4.5 102.7 7.9 112.4 9.4 118.9 5.8 120 0.9 1.40 East Asia/Pacific % change 47.4 17.2 53.9 13.7 63.4 17.6 74.2 17.0 82 10.5 76.4 -6.8 68.6 -10.2 1.45 Europe % change 166.7 12.6 163.5 -1.9 177.7 8.7 207.6 16.8 222.2 7.0 220.5 -0.8 228.9 3.8 1.37 South Asia % change 2.8 19.0 2.7 -3.6 3.1 14.8 3.5 12.9 3.9 11.4 4.3 10.3 4.3 0.0 1.54 World % change Middle East 1998 growth index 439.4 1.40 0.3 1.57 In this region, Israel is the example of a destination that has had to cope with intermittent outbreaks of violence causing downturns in tourist arrivals because of security fears. It has managed this problem through different security and public relations measures and has succeeded in maintaining a general growth pattern for its tourism industry in past years. Its neighbor Jordan has also emerged as an additional cultural destination in the region, facilitating surface links to Israel, to Syria and to Egypt to earn a position along the region’s key touring circuits. The table below indicates the relative magnitude in terms of international tourism receipts in selected destinations around the Mediterranean Sea, excluding Italy, France and Spain. In the near term, once firmly re-established onto a growth path, Egypt might be capable of overtaking the more mature destination of Greece to capture the second place in revenue generation after Turkey. 92 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 51: Tourism Receipts for Selected Mediterranean Destinations [US$ millions – 1996] Destination Turkey Tunisia Israel Greece Egypt Cyprus Receipts 5,962 1,436 2,800 3,660 3,200 1,670 World total Note: Transport receipts are excluded. 7.2 Tourism to Egypt 7.2.1 Overall Dimensions of Tourism 425,262 Selected measures of tourism to Egypt as it has evolved since 1981 are contained in the table below. These include tourist arrivals, nights spent by tourists in Egypt, and foreign exchange receipts for the Egyptian economy. Table 52: Aggregate Measures of Tourism to Egypt 1981-199810 Arrivals [000s] Touristnights [000s] Duration of Stay [nights] Foreign Exchange Receipts [US$] Total [millions] per tourist Per day change 1981 1985 1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1,376.0 1,518.0 2,600.0 3,133.0 3,896.0 3,961.0 3,450.0 9,805.0 9,007.0 19,943.0 20,451.0 23,765.0 26,579.0 7.1 5.9 7.7 6.5 6.1 6.7 498.2 255.5 1,060.2 2,298.9 3,009.0 3,646.0 2,941.0 362 168 408 734 772 920 50.81 28.37 53.16 112.41 126.61 137.18 12.6% 8.3% 1998 2nd half 2,560.0 17,408.0 6.8 1,927 753 110.68 -19.3% It was in 1977 that total arrivals first reached the one million threshold, and it took over a decade more to meet the 2 million threshold in 1989. Growth accelerated and arrivals reached the 3 million threshold only 3 years later in 1992, just missing the 4 million mark in 1997, Egypt’s banner year. It is very significant that despite occasional downturns in arrivals caused by violent incidents and regional tension and conflict, the basic trend has been one of clear growth, as Egypt’s tourism diversifies its product line to expand on a sustainable basis and consolidate its position in the world’s travel marketplace. 10 Sources: EIU Egypt Quarterly Reports; Egypt Stabilization and Structural Change, The World Bank, January 1999 93 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents The Luxor attack in late 1997 has caused a major downturn in 1998 [arrivals for the nation down 13%, receipts down 19%] affecting tourism across the country. The year 1999 has been one of rebound in traffic and some tourism specialists expect the year’s count of arrivals to well exceed 4 million and possibly exceed the 4.5 million mark. This rebound is evidence of the success of the government’s remedial security measures and the industry’s success in publicizing the heightened security in the source markets. The industry represents one of the country’s prime foreign exchange sources, exceeding US$3.6 billion [26.7% share] in 1997, ahead of other major generators such as oil and workers’ remittances [Table 46]. The economic damage of the industry’s downturn in 1998 is apparent in Table 46 where tourism has slipped in ranking behind both of these same categories [22% share]. In its banner year of 1997, tourism earned an average expenditure per tourist of $920. Recent trends in terms of average length of stay and spending per tourist are less clear since there has been some fluctuation in these measures. There is some evidence that the average length of stay is declining, having fallen from 7.7 nights in 1990 to 6.7 nights in 1997. However, the levels of expenditure per tourist and per day have undergone strong growth in the years before the downturn of 1998 as shown in the table below. Table 53: Aggregate Measures of Tourism to Egypt 1981-199811 [US$ millions] Main Foreign Exchange Earnings 1997 share 1998 share Tourism Workers' Remittances Oil exports Non-Oil Exports Suez Canal 3,646 3,256 2,578 2,352 1,849 26.7% 23.8% 18.8% 17.2% 13.5% 2,941 3,519 1,728 3,400 1,777 22.0% 26.3% 12.9% 25.4% 13.3% Total 13,681 13,365 Source Markets for Tourists It is the European market that dominates the visitor profile to Egypt; in 1997 representing 60% of tourists and 63% of tourist-nights far exceeding shares for the second source, the Middle East. In that same year, the total of tourist-nights in Egypt rose nearly 12% over the year before because of an exceptional 17% rise in tourist-nights for Europeans. The categories Europe and America taken together represent 67% of tourists and nearly 70% of tourist-nights. The next source is the Middle East with 22.5% of tourists and 21.2% of tourist-nights. The increase in tour operations and the opening of new scheduled and charter air services by Egyptian and foreign airlines between different European points and Egyptian airports has been a major factor for the strong growth in European arrivals. 11 Source: Egypt: Stabilization and Structural Change, January 1999, The World Bank 94 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 54: Inbound Tourism to Egypt by Main Generating Groups:12 Tourists Tourists Touristnights 1996 Touristnights 1997 change share Average nights 1997 7.8% 5,649,882 5,645,915 -0.1% 21.2% 6.3 Africa 115,808 120,145 3.7% Americas 259,057 256,668 -0.9% Europe 2,342,709 2,394,414 2.2% Asia 288,328 260,318 -9.7% Others 61,313 36,520 -40.4% 814,985 1,470,667 14,375,407 1,433,260 20,440 868,201 1,693,623 16,827,259 1,523,618 20,214 3.3% 6.4% 63.3% 5.7% 0.1% 7.2 6.6 7.0 5.9 0.6 Totals 23,766,637 26,580,827 11.8% 1996 Middle East 828,727 1997 change 893,351 3,897,938 3,963,413 1.7% 6.5% 15.2% 17.1% 6.3% -1.1% 6.7 At the core of the lasting popularity of Egypt despite occasional setbacks is its cultural resources lead by the Pharaonic monuments which are unique in the world. Egypt’s Islamic and Coptic heritage also form part of the nation’s international appeal. However, it is the monumental heritage of ancient Egypt which has long been celebrated in western literature and the arts that in the 19th century established the nation’s image internationally giving it ready worldwide recognition. This positive renown has made it possible for Egypt to emerge as an economical, successful beach destination offering a seaside resort experience, available as in many parts of the world, combined with an Arab and ancient Egyptian cultural aspect that tour operators have found highly marketable. The Western Europe market has responded to this strategy with rising arrivals and tourist-nights. International Accessibility Once the sole international airport in the country, Cairo no longer dominates as the gateway for the majority of visitors to Egypt. With the opening of land borders in Sinai, and the inception of international air services into additional points along the Red Sea, in Sinai and in Upper Egypt, the country has greatly improved access for its different regions from Middle Eastern and European points. In addition, with improvements in border crossing conditions and ferry services to Jordan, mobility to and from Egypt for travelers to the region has also improved substantially, helping to de-concentrate the industry from Cairo and the Nile Valley and spread its benefits to other governorates. Table 48 below presents this geographic distribution of arrivals by all modes of transport [air, road, rail, and water]. The entry points of the Red Sea and Sinai make up nearly 40% of arrivals, approaching the share of Cairo. With an 11% share Luxor clearly serves as the major international gateway for Upper Egypt. 12 Source: 1997 Tourism in Figures Ministry of Tourism 95 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 55: Foreign Arrivals via Main Points of Entry – 1997:13 7.2.2 Port of Entry Cairo Sinai Red Sea Luxor Elsalum Alexandria Aswan Suez Port Said Others Arrivals 1,602,647 997,867 489,850 414,261 184,892 30,869 14,291 11,625 3,202 135 Totals 3,749,639 Share 42.7% 26.6% 13.1% 11.0% 4.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% Average per day 4,391 2,734 1,342 1,135 507 85 39 32 9 0 10,273 Geographic Distribution of Tourism The distribution of tourism and its benefits around the country parallels to some extent the distribution of its lodging capacity and its usage. Table 49 indicates the distribution of Egypt’s 83,000-room hotel capacity by major zone, and the tremendous stock of 48,000 rooms under construction. The Greater Cairo area as the nation’s prime gateway and economic center accounts for 24% of capacity [24,000 rooms]. The nation’s coastal capacity has been approximated by summing the capacities along the Red Sea, in the Sinai governorates and at Marsa Matrouh and exceeds 34,000 rooms. This stock amounts to 41% of the national total. Luxor and Aswan together represent only 8.5% of the total, but if the floating hotel capacity is included, the Upper Egypt share includes nearly 19,000 rooms or almost 23% of capacity. Table 50 shows figures on tourist-nights in hotels, which reveals a pattern that approximately parallels supply. The country’s real estate developers are rapidly expanding Egypt’s capacity along the country’s Sinai and Red Sea coasts in order to compete for the seaside holiday market that is operating on a large scale in nearly all the nations along the Mediterranean Sea. The development of beach resorts along these two coastlines has enabled Egypt to compete vigorously for mass seaside tourism, which formerly had bypassed it. Egypt’s emergence as a seaside resort destination is a major success enabling it to scale up its industry dramatically. It is significant that some 34,000 rooms are under construction on the coastlines indicating the industry’s increasing orientation to resort tourism as opposed to cultural tourism. Spatially the industry is becoming more concentrated on the Red Sea and South Sinai coastlines, while the extent of construction along the Nile Valley is quite limited [a combined total of 7,383 rooms in Luxor, Aswan and on the floating hotels]. The resort tourism is quite different in nature from cultural tourism and the two are being promoted in tandem for mutual benefit since many visitors are combining stays along the coast with visits to the Nile Valley. This high volume of construction along the coasts only indicates the high confidence the investment community has in the Egyptian government and in the travel trade to double and triple tourist volume in the coming years. It also is an indication that the current set of tax incentives offered by government is adequate, and that both Egyptian and foreign capital availability is sufficient. 13 Source: 1997 Tourism in Figures Ministry of Tourism 96 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 56: Egypt's Lodging Capacity Distribution by Region – 199814 Cairo Giza Greater Cairo Existing rooms 11,327 8,425 19,752 Share Under Construction 13.7% 1,381 10.2% 2,337 23.8% 4,018 Share Total Share 2.9% 4.8% 8.3% 12,708 10,762 23,770 9.7% 8.2% 18.1% Alexandria Luxor Aswan Red Sea South Sinai North Sinai Marsa Matrouh coastal total Others 4,592 4,309 2,708 18,731 12,597 564 2,266 34,158 5,633 5.5% 5.2% 3.3% 22.6% 15.2% 0.7% 2.7% 41.2% 6.8% 528 1,971 962 11,810 20,218 635 151 32,814 3,761 1.1% 4.1% 2.0% 24.5% 41.9% 1.3% 0.3% 68.1% 7.8% 5,120 6,280 3,670 30,541 32,815 1,199 2,417 66,972 9,394 3.9% 4.8% 2.8% 23.3% 25.0% 0.9% 1.8% 51.1% 7.2% Floating hotels 11,673 14.1% 4,450 9.2% 16,123 12.3% Grand Total 82,825 100% 48,204 101% 131,029 100% Table 57: Hotel Nights in Selected Governorates - 1997 15 Governorates Hotel Nights [000s] 6,231.8 1,990.1 Percentage per day 31.2% 9.9% 17,073 5,452 Luxor Aswan Luxor + Aswan 1,936.1 1,634.5 3,570.6 9.7% 8.2% 17.9% 5,304 4,478 9,782 Red Sea South Sinai 5,457.8 2,751.9 27.3% 13.8% 14,953 7,539 Cairo Alexandria Total 20,002.2 Government’s Policy for Tourism There are several main sector issues and government strategies the project will support as well as some strategic choices that must be made. Tourism continues to be a principal source of foreign currency for Egypt, playing a vital role in the balance of payments. The government foresees an even stronger role for tourism with a greater reliance upon the sector as a job creator and foreign exchange earner in the future. The government is promoting the substantial diversification of supply of facilities in order to equip the 14 15 Source: Ministry of Tourism, Information Department [with minor corrections] Source: 1997 Tourism in Figures, Ministry of Tourism 97 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents country to compete for new types of tourism having a broad range of interests and activities. This effort is to be lead by the private sector relying primarily on private investment by a combination of Egyptian and foreign investors. The industry must find viable ways to quadruple the volume of national tourism, from a current level of 4 million [1997] to 16 million in 2017 which is the government’s target projection, and which would generate 650,000 new jobs. This pace will require the construction of 315,000 new rooms of lodging capacity at an investment of about 100 billion Egyptian pounds, and requiring an average annual expansion of 15,750 rooms. This pace appears attainable in view of the current building momentum of 48,200 rooms [Table 49] across the country. The private sector is identifying opportunities and responding to the incentives offered by the government and this pace of construction appears to be adequate to reach this goal. 7.3 Tourism in Luxor 7.3.1 Key Attractions -The Magnets The antiquities on both banks of the Nile in the region of Luxor constitute the area’s key attraction. Luxor is an obligatory stop for the first time cultural tourist to Egypt and for many repeat visitors. A second attraction is the natural beauty of the Theban Mountains and the Nile River, which offer outstanding scenery for all types of tourists. A third attraction is the local village life present in the town and throughout the river valley, relevant for the cultural tourist. This beauty is not at all unique to Luxor as it is found throughout the Nile River valley and in many of the country’s oases. Finally a fourth attraction is the mild, dry, sunny weather of the region for most of the year particularly in the winter months, but excluding the summer months. 7.3.2 Measures of Tourism Activity The Structure Plan for Luxor City has estimated a visitor volume in the 1.0-1.5 million-visitor range for 1997 and bases its planning on a 1.2 million-visitor level. This count includes visitors lodged in local lodging establishments, in floating hotels, and also day visitors based at points along the Red Sea, in Aswan and even in Cairo. Tables 48-54 provide various measures of tourist activity at Luxor as contained in the lodging statistics issued by the Ministry of Tourism. To approximate the economic role of Luxor tourism in generating foreign currency, one can use different measures to allocate to Luxor a share of total national foreign exchange earnings from tourism [Table 46]. (1) Its share of hotel capacity , 5.2% (2) Its share of hotel nights sold, 9.7% [which includes an allocation of floating hotels] (3) Its share of foreign arrivals, 11.0% The share of hotel capacity is the best measure since it excludes the contribution of floating hotels which capture a significant part of the foreign air arrivals to Luxor. The occupancy performance of Luxor’s hotels as a group has largely paralleled the national trend [Table 51] except in 1998 when with Aswan it suffered a severe downturn in occupancy, sinking to 26% versus the 45% national average. The Aswan performance is the weakest of them all, while the Red Sea and South Sinai averages are clearly the strongest ones, which is motivating the continued expansion along the coasts. 98 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 58: Annual Occupancy Rates of Hotel Rooms 1994-99 [percentages] 16 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 South Sinai Cairo Red Sea Giza Alexandria Luxor Aswan 82 67 65 59 53 41 21 75 64 74 62 56 47 24 76 65 77 64 57 66 33 71 67 72 61 56 66 45 61 54 53 49 50 26 decline 26 1999 5 months 77 70 77 66 51 51 rebound 50 Average 55 57 63 62 45 63 7.3.3 Foreign Currency Generation An estimate of foreign currency generation for Luxor and Aswan is shown in Table 52. For Luxor tourism only it equals $190 million excluding any floating hotel contribution. In reality a pro-rata share of the floating hotel contribution could be allocated to Luxor and to Aswan on whose local economies the floating hotel industry depends. The Luxor share so defined is estimated at $360.7 million if simply half the floating hotel allotment is allocated to it. This amount equaled a substantial injection of one million dollars per day of foreign currency expenditure for 1997, falling to less than half that for the depressed industry in 1998. These estimates of foreign currency generation reflect initial injections into the economy, and reflect no multiplier effect upon it which would be greater. Table 59: Estimation of 1997 Foreign Exchange Earnings -Luxor Share [US$ millions] share Luxor Aswan Luxor + Aswan earnings 5.2% 3.3% 17.9% 189.7 Hotels only 119.2 Hotels only 650.8 Hotels & floating hotels Floating hotels Luxor + floating National total 342.0 Derived 360.7 Derived 100% 3,646.0 Note : Estimate for floating hotels is derived from Min. of Tourism information. 7.3.4 Tourism at Luxor’s Hotels Some additional indicators of tourism to Luxor appear in Table 53 and 54. A flow of approximately 405,000 tourists to Luxor is estimated by this method, which excludes day visitors staying outside the area and tourists lodged in the floating hotels. If these two groups can be estimated, a total exceeding 1 16 Source: Ministry of Tourism - Computer Center. 99 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents million visitors for 1997 may be a reasonable estimate since the allocation of a share of the floating hotel tourism alone [having over 11,000 rooms] would more than double this amount. These estimates hold that on an average day in 1997, 1,135 tourists arrived on international flights at Luxor airport, and an average guest population in the city’s hotels was 5,547 persons. For 1998 the numbers are drastically lower. Table 60: Selected Measures of Tourism at Luxor daily average 1,135 tourists 3,082 rooms 1,120 rooms 5,547 guests 2,017 guests Tourist arrivals by air - 1997 Occupied rooms -1997, 66% Occupied rooms -1998, 26% Hotel guest count 1997 Hotel guest count 1998 Estimated hotel guests: 1997 year total 1998 year total Change year total 404,914 guests 147,213 guests -63.6% decline Notes: 1. Average stay assumption is 5 nights. 2. Guests per room assumption is 1.8. The table below indicates the geographical composition of guests lodged at the hotels in Luxor. It is notable that visitors from Europe and the Americas make up a 57% share of total resident nights. The Arab share is only 6.3%. The average length of stay is 5 nights. Table 61: Luxor Hotel Residents by Geographic Group - 1997 17 Residents 17 Res.-nights NS&W Europe Egyptians North America Australasia South America Arabs East Europe Africa 103,176 55,945 55,193 53,425 39,350 29,398 26,107 25,013 491,211 263,169 233,657 223,571 193,990 186,115 184,723 159,680 4.8 4.7 4.2 4.2 4.9 6.3 7.1 6.4 Res.-nights Share 25.4% 13.6% 12.1% 11.5% 10.0% 9.6% 9.5% 8.2% Total 387,607 1,936,116 5.0 100.0% Source: 1997 Tourism in Figures, Ministry of Tourism 100 Average nights The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 7.3.5 The Functions of Luxor for Egypt’s Tourism The Luxor area fulfills different functions regarding the tourism that it serves. The listed functions describe the role Luxor currently is playing for Egypt’s tourism; they do not include any potential or unrealized ones. (1) A Prime Destination for Cultural Tourism – Traveling in organized groups or individually, these tourists use hotels and guest-houses and are motivated by their interest in the Egypt’s past. Luxor serves as the primary gateway to Upper Egypt. (2) A Base for the Cruise Industry – Luxor serves at the main port for Nile cruisers. Nearly all cruises operate between Luxor and Aswan as the extended cruise between Cairo and Upper Egypt has been discontinued. (3) An Emerging Destination for Long-stay Vacationers – The long-term vacationers favor the Mövenpicke Hotel on Crocodile Island, and a number of homes and guesthouses located on both banks of the river. As temporary residents for several weeks or months, their average daily expenditure is typically much less than the general average for tourists. (4) A Prime Destination for Day-long Excursions – Tourists lodged in Cairo, on the Red Sea coast or in Aswan can easily purchase day-long excursions by bus or airplane to visit Luxor. These generate the least benefit for the local economy. The gateway function for Luxor is highly important as Luxor links Upper Egypt with the outside world through three channels. Firstly, air and rail links to the country’s prime gateway, the capital city Cairo, form the key domestic travel corridor between Lower and Upper Egypt. Secondly, the road link between Luxor and the Red Sea coast is growing in importance as the country’s largest concentration of tourist capacity expands. Finally, international air services into Luxor link Upper Egypt directly with major metropolitan areas in the Middle East, Europe and Britain with nonstop flights of from 3 to 5 hours, a major advance in travel efficiency. If conditions remain peaceful, the foreign carriers that canceled scheduled services after the 1997 attack will reinstate them and provide direct flight connections from cities in North America and Japan into Luxor. Aspects characterizing tourism to Luxor representing its strengths and weaknesses are summarized below. Strengths (1) The enduring popularity of its cultural attractions– Luxor will retain its prominent status in international promotions and along the main touring circuits for the foreseeable future. (2) Mild wintertime climate – The climate of Upper Egypt is mild and pleasant throughout the winter season; the industry regularly increases prices during the peak season. (3) Excellent Transportation nexus – Luxor functions as a good transport hub for all modes [international & domestic air, road, cruise and rail] and enjoys easy road proximity to the Red Sea coast. (4) Factor availability - Labor and land are plentiful and unhindered by binding shortages enabling further expansion in the scale of tourism in the area as the demand for more services grows. (5) Low price level – This is true of all parts of Egypt excluding the metropolitan Cairo area. Hotel and restaurant prices are very competitive internationally during most seasons of the year. Weaknesses (1) One-dimensional product – The offering of attractions and activities at Luxor is quite limited since it consists mainly of the extraordinary antiquities and the Egyptian village life with little more. There is an absence of facilities and activities such as cultural events and performances, sports facilities, meetings and conferences, language schools or cultural institutes, or health spas. 101 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (2) Substandard service quality – The unfamiliarity of foodservice and hotel staff with international standards of service results in unsatisfactory service in tourism establishments and dissatisfaction of visitors. Both of these weaknesses have solutions. The second falls in the realm of human resources development [training]. The first one was identifie d in interviews with hotel managers and tour operators familiar with Luxor and Egypt generally. It is the first of these two weaknesses that the El Toad project will address squarely if it is implemented as recommended in this report. 7.3.6 The Projection of Tourism to Luxor The CDCL has examined the MOT’s growth target in arrivals and has measured the implications for tourism to Luxor taking into account a number of factors such as the volume of day visitors, the visitor capacity at the ancient tombs, and the increase in cruise ship capacity. This plan foresees a need for a total of 6,600 additional rooms in hotels to be located in the Luxor area. Table 55 below indicates the ideal allocation of capacity to Luxor City, New Luxor, Other Markhaz [Khuzam and West Bank], and to the project site at El Toad. 102 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 62: Estimated Hotel Capacity Requirement, 2017 18 Existing Hotel Room Supply 1997 Tourists/day=12,420 Planned Additions to Hotel Room Supply Add 100 cruise ships likely Add rooms planned Sub-total, Supply Hotels in Luxor Cruise Ships Study Area (rooms divided by 3) 3,858 3,386 1,693 2017 Hotel Room Demand Total Room Demand, based on increased capacity of West Bank tombs in 2017 Tourists/day=28,875 Required additional rooms in Study Area Total 7,244 1,348 5,206 5,079 1,693 1,348 10,285 11,804 5,079 16,883 6,598 Rounded = Approximate Distribution of Estimated New Rooms: Luxor City 500 New Luxor 700 Other Markhaz 900 Khuzam 600 Other West Bank 300 El Toad 4,500 Total Plus rooms already planned or started in Luxor City 6,600 6,600 1,348 This increase of 6,600 rooms represents a 127% rise over the 5,206-room level in existing and planned projects. This increase is far below the 300% rise in total arrivals to Egypt targeted by the MOT because of the buildup of substantial new capacity along the coastal areas of Sinai and the Red Sea, and also because of the continued expansion of the floating hotel industry. The distribution of this added capacity by category is contained in Table 56 below, which depicts the dominance of the four and five star categories. 18 Source: CDCL Phase II, Draft Structure Plan Report; Table 4. 103 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 63: Distribution of New Hotel Capacity by Type 19 Breakdown by Hotel Type Typical Size, rooms/hotel Total New Rooms Five Four Three New Stars Stars Stars Hotels 300 250 200 Luxor City New Luxor El Toad Other Markhaz 7 Totals 7 2 2 4 2 1 7 2 2 3 18 4 500 700 4,500 900 10 10 27 6,600 . 7.4 Existing Economic Pressures and Impacts A number of factors influencing the economic environment for tourism in Upper Egypt and specifically in Luxor are discussed below. 7.4.1 Limited Employment Opportunities for South Egypt There is an exodus from South Egypt of new entrants into the labor force to Cairo and the delta area, more recently to the Red Sea coastline, or abroad to jobs in foreign countries. The amount of entry-level job opportunities in the region is inadequate to absorb the expanding labor force. Many people are partially occupied in low-yield agriculture, in minor retailing activities or in the informal sector. As a result pay levels are low. As tourism makes major use of unskilled and low-skill labor, the industry benefits from the low prevalent wage level. 7.4.2 Insufficient Dispersal of Activity and Participation of Rural Citizenry In Luxor, most of the food, lodging and entertainment needs of visitors are met by businesses in the central part of the city itself and only secondarily by establishments on the West Bank or in rural areas. The same is probably true for the cruise industry, which is using both Aswan and Luxor for basing purposes. Most commercial tourism activity is quite concentrated in the immediate areas of Luxor and Karnak temples, and at a limited number of ancient sites on the West Bank. Rural areas of Luxor are basically bypassed by tourist activity. 7.4.3 Hotel Development Activity Despite these pressures, but in view of the reviving hotel occupancy figures, investors are proceeding with several hotel construction projects that will directly expand the capacity for international tourism. Some of the existing hotels are undergoing renovation programs as well to remain competitive. Projects under construction and proposed ones with permits are listed in Table 57. It is significant that a few of the projects are stalled or proceeding very slowly. Construction ceased on the largest one, the Sofitel site, some 3 years ago. It is apparent that an unclear legal environment has slowed and even stalled some of these projects. The decision to proceed for all or most these projects was taken prior to the tourist attack of November 1997. The ultimate completion of all of them is uncertain. In view of the problems some of 19 Source: CDCL Phase II, Draft Structure Plan Report; Table 5 104 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents these projects are facing, a situation of over-building and over-supply in the hotel industry does not appear probable over the short run. Table 64: New Hotel Projects in Luxor20 Project, sponsor 1 Sofitel, Intercontinental Co. Status Construction Advanced, stalled 3 years in litigation Size 350 rooms Comments Semi-rural site north of town Low-rise design riverside site 2 Memphis, I. Dusuki Proposed 55 rooms Salaheldin Square 3 Marriott, Egyptian General Org. for Tourism & Hotels Proposed for site involving litigation 268 rooms Riverside site adjacent to Novotel 4 Queens Valley, B. Fakri Under construction 60 rooms Yusef Hussein St. 5 Meridien Nile Palace, Dr. Galad Zaki Construction advanced 296 rooms Narrow river frontage, between Isis, Sonesta hotels 6 Sunrise, P. Markos Under construction 25 rooms City location on river 7 El Abte, Mohamed Shaba Proposed 118 rooms River site in Awameya 8 King Tut, Egyptian Projects for Tourism Co. Proposed 300 rooms River site in El Bogdadi Total rooms 1,472 rooms Total under construction 731 ROOMS 7.4.4 UNDER CONSTRUCTION Other Tourism-related Developments Two other developments in the Luxor area of major importance for tourism to Upper Egypt are described below. The Royal Valley Golf Club The Royal Valley Golf Club is a private development situated north of the airport on a 500-feddan site east of the city. This project is an undertaking of the Tulip Co. of Cairo, which undertakes other real estate development including villa and golf course development, some of which is in the greater Cairo area. Tulip is using a desert site for this project, which eventually will have as many as 3 hotels, villas, and a museum, in addition to the club house and 18-hole golf course which is now nearing completion. Its strategy is to use the golf course to market the other components of the project and it intends to build 20 Source: Ministry of Tourism, Luxor City Office 105 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents this resort community fully up to international standards. This golf club intends to serve as the pioneer golf resort in Upper Egypt and establish the name of Luxor internationally as a golfing destination. This project significantly parallels the subject project of this report. It is evidence of the confidence that the private sector has in the future of tourism to Upper Egypt. Its completion is a major step towards the needed product diversification for tourism at Luxor that the MOT holds as an objective. Cruising Port at the new Nile River Bridge Some berths for cruise ships have been built on the down-river [north] side of the new bridge on the east bank, but are not as of yet in full use since few shore facilities are installed. The prospect of development of the immediate vicinity on either side of this bridge as a functional facility for the cruise ship industry has several tangible advantages such as: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Sufficient land for a well-designed shore base containing all needed facilities Excellent road access to the berths for vehicles of all sizes Proximity to the Cairo-Aswan highway in an uncongested environment Proximity to the West Bank and its ancient sites Accessibility to Luxor airport in 15 minutes Space for complementary activities (retail, food outlets, etc.) 7.4.5 International Airline Access The initiation in recent years of nonstop charter flights into Luxor from European points is a major advance for Upper Egypt, substantially improving the logistics of moving volumes of tourists between the region and the source countries. The domestic air service on the Cairo-Luxor run is not suffic ient in all seasons of the year for moving groups handled by the tour operators or cruise operators. The capability for tourist flows to reach Luxor directly and entirely bypass Cairo is a major advantage for tour operators managing flows of travelers to Upper Egypt in groups. The reinstatement of regularly scheduled flights, on either a seasonal or year-round basis, between Luxor and regional and European points [Athens, Tel Aviv, Beirut, Frankfurt, London, Paris, etc] is to be encouraged to gain ready access for Upper Egypt to those markets, and to facilitate connections from the more distant North American and Far East cities. 106 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 8: Heritage Concept 8.1 Heritage Overview The purpose of the Heritage Concept Report is to establish the basic direction for the Heritage Element of the Comprehensive Development Plan for Luxor. This concept will be amplified and refined in Phase II of the Comprehensive Development for the City of Luxor Project and will be documented in final report form in Phase III. The Comprehensive Development Plan for the City of Luxor will include both a Structure Plan and a Heritage Plan, as well as Investment Projects that can advance the implementation of each element of the Plan. The purpose of this report is to present the Concept for the Heritage Plan. The Heritage Plan will address the preservation, interpretation, development and use of the historic resources within the study area: (1) Preservation -- will protect the key antiquities sites and settings that make Luxor unique. Luxor’s historic resources are the magnets that draw visitors; if these resources are not protected, the plan, however well-intentioned, will fail. Preservation efforts must go beyond the individual monuments that the Supreme Council on Antiquities and associated archeological missions have, over time, conserved and made visible in the landscape. Preservation must also deal with the surroundings of each monument and the regional settings that place each monument in a larger context. (2) Interpretation -- will define means and methods to convey to visitors an overview of the importance of Luxor and the specific “story” of each individual monument and/or site. If the purpose and structure of each site is made understandable, both visitors and residents will appreciate and will respect these resources. (3) Development and use -- will deal with improvements to sites and related areas. Site improvements may include parking, transportation, pedestrian improvements, on-site visitor comfort facilities and associated services. Related area development may include visitor accommodations and support facilities (such as hotels, shopping, and related support facilities). Standards are needed for new and rehabilitated development that adjoins antiquity sites to insure that the context of each site is protected. 8.2 The Story of Luxor The modern city of Luxor is the site of ancient Thebes, which extended across both banks of the Nile. The eastern portion of Thebes has been so thoroughly swallowed up by the modern towns and fields that only the majestic ruins of the temples of the god Amun in Karnak and Luxor and the great processional way (the Avenue of the Sphinxes) between the two temples remain. The West Bank was the city of the dead, reserved for the tombs and ceremonial places of deceased kings and the burials of their followers. The region of Thebes was settled by man in prehistory during the Old Stone Age, and Paleolithic tools dating back tens of thousands of years have been found on the desert cliffs of Western Thebes. During the Predynastic Period (4500- 3200 BC) numerous settlements were established to the north and south of the present-day Qurna. During the Archaic Period (3200-2700 BC), Thebes was one of four small townships within the confines of the fourth Upper Egyptian nome, the others being Toad, 20 miles to the southeast, Hermonthis (Armant) opposite Toad across the river, and Madamud, to the north of Thebes near the eastern desert. Residents of all four settlements observed the cult of the warlike falcon-headed god Montu, ultimately raising stately temples in his honor. 107 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents It is unknown how Thebes or Waset, as the town is referred to in Egyptian, came to outstrip its companions so vastly, but the beauty of its setting may have been the decisive factor, for the entire land might be searched in vain for equal magnificence of scenery. The western desert, at no great distance beyond the fields, is dominated by the massive bluff of the Qurn, beneath whose lofty eminence smaller hills offer unrivaled opportunity for rock-tombs. To the north, almost facing the temple of Karnak, the long and narrow gorge of the Valley of the Kings winds into the mountain. About a mile to the south and separating Qurna and Draa Abu El-Naga the shorter and wider recess called Deir El-Bahri, after the Coptic monastery which was placed there, leads to a sheer cliff of indescribable grandeur. On the east bank, a large green expanse of cultivated fields provides a setting for a distant line of hills behind which the sun rises in all its glory. In the Old Kingdom, Thebes was the seat of the provincial administration of the entire southern part of Egypt. Its real rise to prominence came toward the end of the twenty-first century BC, in Dynasty XI, when, after a period of strife and civil war, the Princes of Thebes once more united the whole of Egypt, from the Mediterranean in the north to the First Cataract of the Nile at the southern border. The rulers of Thebes held dominion over the country from their province until the kings of Dynasty XII moved the capital to Ithet-tawy down river from Thebes. After the Second Intermediate Period, which saw the domination of the Nile Valley by the Hyksos from Western Asia, it was again a Theban family which reunited the two Kingdoms, Upper and Lower Egypt, after having defeated the enemy. Now the seat of power remained at Thebes, and under the Kings of Dynasties XVIII, XIX and XX - the Tuthmosis and Ramessides - the local god Amun "The Hidden," became the chief deity of Egypt and of the territories conquered abroad between the Sudan in the south and Anatolia and Mesopotamia to the northeast. Splendid temples were erected at Thebes, to the glory of Amun and his family (Wife Mut and son Khonsu) at Luxor and Karnak on the East Bank, and to the memory of the dead rulers on the West Bank such as Deir El-Bahri, the temple of King Seti I, the Ramesseum and Medinet Habu. All the power and wealth of the far-reaching Egyptian empire were concentrated at Thebes, and some of the fame the region acquired at that time has lasted over the millennia to this day. The worship of the god Amun of Thebes, to which the great temple of Karnak owes its existence, and of the other Theban deities Montu, Khonsu, and Mut, brought with it a flourishing of architecture and the arts of relief and sculpture in the round unparalleled elsewhere in the Nile Valley. Schools of artisans, and especially of expert stone sculptors, must have existed there for nearly 2000 years, and generations of faithful followers of the gods of Thebes deposited in the temple not only figures of their favorite gods, Amun and Osiris, but also statues of themselves. Statuary include Kings as well as commoners, priests and officials alike. During the Third Intermediate Period, Thebes had its own dynasty of priest-kings, and when the Kushites invaded Egypt in the middle of the eighth century BC, the new rulers from the Sudan established their religious center at Thebes for nearly a hundred years. After the Assyrians sacked Thebes briefly, it was restored under the Saites (26th dynasty, 664- 525 BC). Persian kings (525 BC) are said to have destroyed it again, but it greatly benefited from the rule of Alexander and his successors, the Ptolemies. It is not surprising that soon after the conquest of Egypt by Alexander the great (332 BC) the building of monumental temples and sanctuaries of the Pharaonic period was continued. The earliest Ptolemaic structure is that of Philip Arrhidaeus at Karnak, a halfbrother of the great Macedonian, who nominally ruled Egypt from 323 to 317 BC Soon thereafter a number of other building activities took place, new sanctuaries were erected on both banks of the Nile, and existing structures, such as the Second Pylon of Karnak, were newly decorated. These construction activities at Theban temples also continued during the Imperial Period. 108 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents The Romans maintained a garrison at Thebes and laid out a large military establishment on both aides of the Luxor Temple which has given rise to the present name of the town, a Europeanized version of the Arabic name, al-Qusur, "The Castles.” Today, however, the river road has covered up a good deal of the Roman installations so that only a few ruins are still visible on the west side of the temple. Although Herodotus, who visited the Nile Valley in the fifth century BC and described what he saw and heard, may be called one of the first foreign tourist in Egypt, the stream of curious visitors to Thebes really began with Diodorus of Sicily who came in 60 BC He was followed, decade after decade, by many others, among them the Roman Emperor Hadrian. Special attractions at Thebes were the royal tombs in the Valley of the Kings that were called "Syringes" or "Pan Pipes," due to their parallel entrance corridors. Another attraction, primarily during the Roman Period, was the so-called Colossi of Memnon because of its "music of the spheres", which is attested by literary documents and especially by numerous visitors’ graffiti. In the same way, pilgrims in search of healing left their names on several temples , especially in the sanctuary of Deir El-Bahri. By the second century, Christianity began to spread in Egypt. After AD 392, the practice of heathen rites was forbidden by threat of severe penalties. In AD 641, the Arabs brought Islam to Egypt; the mosque of Abu El Hagag is one of Egypt’s first Islamic buildings at Luxor. Thebes, through its long history, was a great city which occupied a vast area extending for many kilometers on both sides of the Nile. Thebes was also known as Waset, which means stability, and was referred to as niout, a word which means “the city” and is no small indication of its enormous prestige. Also it was mentioned as no or no Amun, city of Amun. Homer, on the other hand, used the epithet "Thebes-with-the-Hundred-Gates" Thebes is today marked by two major groups of remains: (1) On the East Bank there are the temples of Amun, (more than 20 temples), Mut (temples), Khonsu, Montu and the Open Air Museum at Karnak and the Temple of Luxor at Luxor. Between the temples of Karnak and Luxor is the Avenue of Sphinxes, which has been partially excavated. At a distance from the center of Luxor, the remains of the Temples of Madamud and Toad are located at early settlement villages which were part of the region of Thebes. These la tter temples contain remains which date to the earliest Theban periods. (2) On the West Bank beyond the green valley there are the rocky hills containing the Necropolis of Thebes - the site of the Valley of The Kings (62 tombs ) the Valley of Queens (75 tombs) and many funerary temples. This hillside fronts the city, dominating the view. The two parts of the city, on the east and west, are inexorably bound together across the river and the bond between both sides of the river must never be broken. It is an essential element of the beauty of Thebes, created by the clear relationship of the city of Thebes, on the eastern bank, to the river and the green valley stretching away to the Necropolis of Thebes in the hills of the West Bank. This grand and beautiful regional landscape, an important symbol of beliefs in antiquity and a clearly visible setting Today, transcends the contemporary settlements and 20th century life of Luxor. 21 21 The story of Luxor is based on a narrative provided by Dr. Mohammed El Saghir, Director of the Upper Egypt, Supreme Council on Antiquities 109 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 8.3 Interpretive Goals and Approaches Current visitors receive “object-oriented” interpretation, which varies greatly depending on the sites they visit and the capabilities and interests of their guides. However, there are few structured opportunities for visitors to understand the larger context and story of Luxor. This Heritage Concept Report proposes that a series of “outcome-oriented” expectations be defined for visitors to understand about Luxor: Visitors should appreciate the powerful physical setting of Luxor (the Nile, East Bank, West Bank, and climate) and the role of this environment in the development of a culture and system of beliefs. Critical to visitor’s comprehension of the historical development of human settlement in the area is an understanding of the physical geography of Luxor, and its impact on the genesis of ancient Egyptian culture. The exceptionally powerful landscape; the defining presence of the River Nile, the inhospitable Sinai to the east, and the sun-drenched mountains to the west, significantly shaped the belief systems and societies of the Egyptian ancients. Visitors should be given an appreciation of this landscape’s influence through, for example, interpretation of images and text of religious figures such as the goddess Mut, who was believed to reside on the West Bank of the Nile and was said to swallow the evening’s sun and give birth to it anew each morning. Site interpretation directed at connecting Luxor’s geography to the development of it’s human societies and occupants will serve to undergird visitor’s grasp of Luxor’s overall context and will allow them to better place significant individuals and events within that context. Visitors should understand the general role of Thebes as a capital of Egypt and seat of culture in antiquity. Along with imparting visitors with tangible knowledge regarding the physical landscape’s impact on Luxor, a primary goal of interpretive efforts in Luxor should be to outline the general role of Thebes as a capital of Egypt, and as a center of culture in ancient times. The rationale behind this goal is to illustrate the regional connection Luxor has to the rest of Egypt. Site-specific interpretation can often lead to a localized understanding of historic places and structures. Presenting visitors with information that explains how Thebes developed into a capital city and functioned as a center of political and cultural influence will stimulate visitor interest in other parts of Egypt, and will serve to strengthen their perceptions of Luxor/Thebes as a historically significant place beyond its immediate vicinity. As just one example, the role of Montjuhotep II in unifying the monarchy of the Middle Kingdom shortly after 2000 BC, and installing Theban loyalists as provincial governors, is but one historical episode that could be emphasized to assist in creating awareness in visitors of Luxor/Thebes influence in greater Egypt. Visitors should comprehend the span of time over which Luxor has been significant and appreciate the resulting layering of artifacts from diverse cultures (Pharaonic, Roman, Ptolemaic, Islamic, Coptic) which is evident within monument settings and the city. Visitors should grasp the fact that Luxor has been a site of influence and development for well over 4000 years, they should also learn that it has been significant to many cultures. The various layering of artifacts from a diversity of cultures including Pharaonic, Roman, Ptolemaic, Islamic, Coptic and modern should be used to instill an appreciation in visitors of the totality of Luxor’s history. The considerable visual impact of the Pharaonic monuments could easily overshadow the visitors’ perception and understanding of the meaning and value of the cultural antiquities of both the Coptic and Islamic societies that settled and developed in Luxor. An interpretive goal of the Heritage Plan should be to ensure that visitors are exposed to artifacts which represent these cultures and come to understand how they intersect the visually powerful Pharaonic antiquities. This exposure will convey a sense of the time span Luxor has been important, as well as the breadth of people to whom it has had significance. Visitors should comprehend the relationship of individual sites and settings to the breadth of history and environment which is encompassed by Luxor. 110 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Visitors to Luxor should depart with a comprehension of the relationship of individual sites and settings to the overall history and environment represented by artifacts of Luxor. Heritage tourism in Luxor should be structured such that the typical visitor gains some knowledge of where particular sites, and especially prominent ones, fit into the historical time line of Luxor. For example, a tourist viewing the Temple of Queen Hatshepsut should be made aware of the fact that Hatshepsut was the granddaughter of the famous Queen Nefertari, and that Hatshepsut’s temple is part of a complex that was originally started by the XI Dynasty, some 550 years prior to her reign. This type of contextual knowledge allows visitors to see individual sites as part of an interconnected system of historic events, rather than as static places removed from one another. Visitors should be encouraged to understand, within the time constraints of their length of stay, specific stories of individuals and groups associated with each monument site. Current site interpretation provided by guides for tour groups conveys much anecdotal information, based on explanation of architectural elements, carvings, and sculpture within each site. However, a baseline body of knowledge for each site should be gathered and presented to visitors in a standardized format. Personal guides can give unique and valuable interpretations of specific sites, while also attaining varying levels of historical accuracy. An important goal for long term interpretation would be to develop an interpretive prospectus that defines “base-line” interpretive objectives for each site. Through various site specific mechanisms, visitors could be encouraged to internalize this information and utilize it in comprehending the totality of peoples who have contributed, over time, to the creation of Luxor. Visitors should appreciate the many types of innovation which were inherent to the culture of the Egyptian people (architectural, technological, artistic, cultural, etc.) and should be encouraged to support preservation of the antiquities of Luxor. A key component of heritage tourism and informing visitors about human development in ancient places such as Luxor, is the concept of technological innovation. Visitors to the sites at Luxor should be given an overview of some of the primary technological innovations that have occurred throughout the development of Luxor. Architectural elements are the most obvious. For example, the central nave at the Temple of Karnak was started under Amon-Ofis III towards 1375 BC and continued by Seti I, Ramesses II and completed by Ramesses IV. The architectural style of construction developed over this period of time evolved so that the introduction of the "claustra," large openwork windows, was possible in the final compositio n of the nave. Emphasizing technological innovation such as this will assist in orienting visitors towards the importance of preserving the antiquities of Luxor. Other innovations, such as the written hieroglyphic language, papyrus manufacture, mummification, and the decorative arts are welldocumented, but could be strongly linked to this theme. First-time visitors should leave with the understanding that the story of Luxor is complex and compelling and should be encouraged to return to enrich their understanding. Finally, and perhaps most critical in creating a minimum level of understanding for visitors to Luxor, is to impart an appreciation for the richness and complexity of Luxor’s story. A careful balance must be used to make visitors aware of this concept. Further curiosity should be fostered to encourage visitors to return again to Luxor, while at the same time avoiding the frustration that can be associated with becoming aware that a trip or intellectual journey is not entirely complete. Visitors should move beyond the brief thrill of visits to famous places to realize that they have just begun to gain a true picture of Luxor, ancient Egypt and the peoples who have lived there. This realization should be framed in a manner that will encourage them to continue learning more and to return to Luxor and Egypt. 111 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 8.4 The Resources and Setting of Luxor The key antiquities resources22 of Luxor and the study area, including: East Bank Antiquities Temple of Luxor Temple of Karnak Avenue of the Sphinxes Temple of Madamud Temple of Toad Coptic Monasteries Historic Mosques Historic Buildings Roman Ruins West Bank Antiquities Tombs of the Necropolis Valley of the Kings Valley of the Queens Deir El Medina and Tombs of the Nobles Tombs of Qurmet Murai Tombs of Sheikh Abd EL Qurna Tombs of Khokha and Asasif Tombs of Dra-Ahu El-Nagga Tombs of Tarif Mortuary Temples Temple of Nebjepetre Mentuhotep I Temple of Hatshepsut Temple of Seti I The Ramesseum Colossi of Memnon Medinet Habu Coptic Monasteries Historic Mosques Historic Buildings Roman Ruins For each of the above resources, a summary description has been provided, along with a highlight of key resource and visitation characteristics. This information has been developed in cooperation with the Luxor Office of the Supreme Council on Antiquities. 8.4.1 Regional Setting In addition to the key sites mentioned above and enumerated in the Appendix, these resource include numerous structures in the Malqata area, south of the Qurna necropolis. The Malqata inclu des the 22 An Overview of the Monuments of Luxor has been included in the Appendix. 112 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Temple of Shalweet as well as sites associated with Pharaonic settlement, many of which are ruins of mud brick structures such as the Chapel of Amenhotep III, the Palace of Amenhotep III, and various associated settlements, largely unexcavated. Within this area is a Coptic monastery, various Coptic settlements, and many earth mounds which are likely to contain remains of archeological interest. Important character-defining elements of the Luxor setting, as well as the location of major antiquity sites, are indicated in Figure 2. The environmental setting of Luxor, characterized by the desert, the Nile, the East and West Banks of the river, and cultivated agricultural lands, retains many of the characteristics which must have been present in the early days of Thebes. If a current day visitor stands on the East Bank of the Nile with his back to the city, facing the necropolis of the West Bank and watching the setting sun disappear behind the mountains, the environment retains the power and majesty that prompted the development of a system of beliefs and a way of life thousands of years ago. The major West Bank viewshed is defined by the edges of the West Bank topography, as viewed from the key East Bank settings of Karnak and Luxor Temples, as well as from the Corniche and areas between the two temples. An important character-defining element is the agricultural, cultivated land which is located along the airport road along the entry to the City, which complements the urban form of the developed area. Equally, the sharp junction between desert environment and cultivated land, especially along the West Bank within the prime viewshed, is a strong character-defining element of the landscape. Key comments on strengths of and threats to the regional historical and cultural setting of Luxor are as follows. Strengths (1) Viewsheds from the East Bank temples which encompass the Nile, agricultural lands, and prominent topography of the West Bank necropolis and its desert environment. (2) Views of Luxor Temple, the Karnak Temple complex, and the city from the West Bank. (3) Agricultural landscapes along the approach road from the airport and from Luxor City to the Luxor Bridge / West Bank monuments. (4) Small vernacular villages which add interest to the West Bank. Threats (1) Inappropriate development along West Bank , particularly at ferry landings. (2) Docked cruise ships which block views across the river. (3) Informal settlements along the East Bank which obscure views of Karnak Temple and the Avenue of the Sphinxes. (4) Contemporary informal settlements that strain area infrastructure and blight the overall environmental setting. (5) Figure 3 indicates protected agricultural areas and other lands either owned by or under the jurisdiction of the Supreme Council on Antiquities. 8.4.2 East Bank Luxor and Karnak Temples were, in the 19th and early 20th century, major monuments surrounded by sparse settlement. Today, these imposing sites are surrounded by the growing traditional and contemporary districts of Luxor City. Strengths (1) The Luxor Temple area, including the open character of the site which enable views across the river from within the grounds. (2) Night lighting adds a dramatic presentation 113 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) The defined and separate precinct of Karnak Temple , within the perimeter wall. Intermittent views from the Temple complex grounds across to the West Bank. Archeological remains in the Karnak vicinity outside the perimeter wall. Mut Temple site Excavated portions of the Kebash Avenue (Avenue of the Sphinxes), and their relationship to the Sphinx-lined entrance to Karnak Temple. (8) Remaining parcels of open and agricultural lands along the Nile near Karnak Temple and along the airport entry corridor. (9) Approach to the bridge on the east bank and along the monument access route on the West Bank. (10)Rehabilitated and well-landscaped portions of the Corniche, which provide excellent views of the West Bank. (11)Remaining 19 th and early 20 th century buildings within the City , including the Winter Palace Hotel (original building) and associated gardens, and historic buildings along segments of the Corniche. (12)High quality landscaping in some public open spaces throughout the City, including parks near Karnak and Luxor, as well as the Corniche. (13)Horse carriages which retain a slower pace and can co-exist with automobiles. (14)Traditional shopping areas (souks) which are located nearby to Luxor Temple. Threats (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Encroachment of the contemporary city on eastern and northern edges of Luxor Temple Encroachment of informal settlements on all sides of Karnak Temple Inadequate definition of the “buffer” space surrounding Karnak Temple Commercial uses adjacent to Karnak Temple entry which are visually incompatible with the resource and its setting. Views from entry of Karnak complex to Nile and West Bank which are obstructed by major vehicular access, parking, overhanging trees, and river edge development. Some hotels and contemporary developments along the River between Luxor and Karnak Temples, which detracting from the sense of connection of these resources to one another and to the river. Obstruction of future excavation of the remainder of the Kebash Avenue by contemporary development, both existing and on-going. Future growth in vehicular traffic, which may require additional road widening (to the extent required vehicular roads encroach upon historic settings.) Inadequate provisions for bus parking, forcing loading and unloading in awkward locations that intrude on the historic setting and diminish the quality of the visitor experience. 8.4.3 West Bank This area is characterized by the dramatic topography of the necropolis and exhibits sharp transitions between cultivated agricultural land and the harsh landscape of the desert foothills. The West Bank has been substantially explored, but is so rich in resources that new areas may be discovered at any time, causing the designation of a Protection Zone, within which nearly all residences will be relocated to enable access to tombs which are below sites in the existing villages of Gourna. Key features of the major antiquity areas within the West Bank include: Strengths (1) Tombs and their immediate settings in the Valley of the Kings and Valley of the Queens. There are in excess of 500 known tombs within the West Bank of which slightly less than 10% are open to the public and only 5% are visited heavily. In general, the site development in the immediate vicinity of the tombs is well done and in character with the setting. (2) Overall quality of approach to Valley of the Kings (winding through the hillside, with actual sites out of view of the parking). 114 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (3) Deir El Bahiri Temple and its setting below a distinctive bluff line, visible from across the river, and associated archeological sites. (4) Ramesseum, Medinet Habu, and Seti I Temples, within site perimeters. These temple sites are very impressive and tend to get lower levels of visitation than Luxor and Karnak temples on East Bank. Additionally, these temples are located on the junction between agricultural land and the barren necropolis hillside, providing a landscape transition. (5) Deir El Medina and Tombs of the Nobles, which are in a well-defined topographic and physical setting. (6) Major unexcavated tomb sites, many of which are in several locations which are sites of existing settlements to be removed. These tomb areas, enumerated in the Appendix, include: • Tombs of Qurmet Murai • Tombs of Sheikh Abd EL Qurna • Tombs of Khokha and Asasif • Tombs of Dra-Ahu El-Nagga • Tombs of Tarif (7) Visual prominence of Colossi of Memnon on the approach road to the necropolis, serving as an entrance marker to the West Bank (8) Approach to West Bank sites (in general) across agricultural settings with quaint vernacular agricultural villages (9) Views back to East Bank across agricultural settings Threats (1) Damage to tombs from existing traditional villages (see list immediately above) from water infiltration, as well as visually inappropriate commercial development (such as brightly painted commercial uses). (2) Confusing road access which conveys a poor sense of entry and orientation to the historic resource area. (3) High humidity from visitors deteriorates the wall paintings. (4) Parking, vehicular circulation, and retail structures at Deir El Bahiri, which obstruct the view of the Temple. (5) Informal and other settlements too close to archeological sites. (6) Inappropriate vending and sales at the entry to the Valley of the Queens, which detracts from quality of entry experience. (7) Poorly sited parking too close to Colossi of Memnon, obstructing views. (8) Intrusion of large tour buses which obstruct key views, conflict with pedestrian movement, and tend to “take over” the approaches to key sites. (9) General intrusion of parking and vehicular traffic on the necropolis setting. 115 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 8.5 Visitor Patterns and Impacts 8.5.1 Visitor Patterns Information has been provided from the Supreme Council on Antiquities and the Luxor Information and Decision Support Center regarding tourist visitation in Luxor, overall and by specific site. Partial information has been provided regarding overall tourist volumes indicating the number of tourists visiting key sites, by month, for the first six months of 1997. A summary of key aspects of this information is attached in tabular form at the end of this section. Table 58 through Table 63 indicate the visitor volume at key Luxor sites for the first six months of 1997. These Tables indicate that nearly all visitors to Luxor go to both the Valley of the Kings and Karnak Temple. Table 64 indicates the relative percentage of tourist visitor volume over this period at key sites for which data were available, setting the Valley of the Kings and Karnak Temple at 100% of tourist visitation. Key findings and observations which can be made from this information are as follows: (1) Nearly all tourists visit both the East and West Banks. This can be concluded because the number of visitors to the prime sites on each bank (the Valley of the Kings and Karnak Temple) are nearly identical. However the other sites which they visit (and presumably, the time spent at each) vary substantially. The Valley of the Kings is visited by nearly all tourists, and its visitation is slightly larger than that of Karnak Temple. Accordingly, the total visitation to the Valley of the Kings may be assumed to be an approximation of the total number of tourists visiting Luxor. (2) The total number of tourists per month (in the first six months of 1997) ranges from a low of 50,000 visitors per month (in June) to a high of 123,000 visitors per month (in April). The high monthly total over the last number of years has been in excess of 190,000. (3) Luxor Temple is visited by almost as many people as Karnak Temple, although the patterns of visitation are somewhat different. If Karnak Temple’s visitation is equal to the total East Bank visitation (e.g. - 100% of East Bank tourists), then the day visitor volume to Luxor Temple is approximately 68% that of Karnak Temple, although another 21% visit Luxor Temple at night for a total of 89%. In other words, nearly all visitors to Luxor enter Luxor Temple, but almost 1/4 of those who do elect to visit at night, when it is cooler. This leads to the observation that extended night hours for selected sites could be an effective mechanism to both meet visitor demand and disperse visitors throughout their stay. (4) Luxor Museum visitation is 21% of the Karnak visitor number. Data was not immediately available for the recently opened Mummification Museum. (5) West Bank attraction visitation varies substantially. Compared to visitation at the Valley of the Kings (defined to be 100% of West Bank visitors), the visitor volume of other West Bank sites is substantially lower, as follows: Deir El Bahiri Valley of the Queens Medinet Habu Ramesseum Deir El Medina 30-40% 26% 18% 15% 13% These percentages are relatively consistent, month-by-month. In other words, there is significant additional capacity to accommodate visitors at the above sites. This matches on-site observations, which noted that visitor volumes at Medinet Habu and the Ramesseum were very low, in comparison to those noted at the other West Bank sites. Better “marketing” and information about these Temple 116 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents sites might prove to be effective in dispersing West Bank visitors and reducing impacts on overcrowded sites. (6) The typical tourist visits approximately 5 “sites,” counting the Valley of the Kings and the Valley of the Queens as single sites (but including additional tickets for individual tombs separately). Clearly, this varies with length of stay, although specific data is not available on behaviors of different types of tourists. The average number of tombs visited in the Valley of the Kings is 3-4, whereas the average number of tombs visited in the Valley of the Queens is 2. (7) Visitation to individual tombs varies greatly. Only selective data were available (and it should be noted that data for the visits to the tombs which are included as part of the ticket to the Valley of the Kings were not available). Those tombs which are ticketed separately for which data are available include the following (expressed as a percentage of total West Bank visitation): Tut Ankh Amun Tomb Nefertari Tomb(limited to 100/day) 25% 4% (8) This data seems to indicate that visitor choices are quite price sensitive, inasmuch as the Nefertari Tomb is one of the most expensive, at a price of 100 Egyptian pounds. Additionally, it does appear that if better data were available about tombs which were available to be visited, it is possible that the capacity of the Valley of the Kings could be increased, subject to environmental and impact concerns. (9) Foreign visitors comprise 93% and Egyptian visitors 7% of the total visitors to Luxor attractions. (10)The average revenue per visitor from ticket admissions over the initial six months of 1997 was approximately 87 Egyptian Pounds. The average visitor buys tickets for approximately 5 sites. Based on this information, it would appear that a Luxor Passport could be priced competitively to include an overview presentation as well as the majority of key admissions. Premium tomb admissions might be priced flexibly, to manage visitor demand. Some types of information which would be useful, and might be investigated in Phase II, include the ratio of free and independent to group tourists, the distribution of visitors, by length of stay, and the specific visitor use patterns, by attraction, by time of day and day of the week. 8.5.2 Visitor and Other Impacts Numerous impacts and threats to the antiquities have been documented by archeological missions, Egyptologists, and international study missions. The principal concerns which have been noted include: (1) Water infiltration (from groundwater and habitation) which threatens the structural underpinnings of major temples as well as the integrity of underground tombs. (2) Humidity and carbon dioxide (from inadequately ventilated, contained spaces that have visitor traffic) which can damage wall paintings. (3) Vibration (from vehicular and other traffic) which can jeopardize foundations and structural underpinning. (4) Other environmental pollution (from vehicular and industrial emissions) that can damage stone carvings and exterior decorative elements. It has been suggested that additional visitor volumes can jeopardize the very quality of Luxor’s resources and that strict capacity management should be instituted. The most acute areas of risk which have been noted appear to be the tombs on the West Bank, particularly in the Valley of the Kings, which is subject to the highest visitation. There are substantial differences of opinion on this matter. Discussions with representatives of the Supreme Council on Antiquities (SCA) reveal that only 5% of the nearly 500 known tombs on the West Bank are subject to any significant visitation, and that 37 additional tombs will be opened by the end of 1998. Potential measures to accommodate additional tourist volumes might 117 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents include, individually or severally , expansion of the resources open to the tourist public, ventilation of vulnerable settings, extension of hours of operation, visitor management, and appropriate resource marketing. Other, more subtle, impacts include: (1) Overcrowding that would diminish the visitor experience, by having the perception of visitor densities overpower the power of the resources. (2) Additional traffic , both bus and vehicular, that could overcrowd road and parking facilities and intrude on resource settings as well as risk damages due to vibration. The severity of these latter types of impacts are debatable; some argue that overcrowding would create an unpleasant experience that would constrain or limit potentials for tourism growth. However, there is little empirical evidence in the research literature on precise thresholds where tourists or recreation users feel so uncomfortable that they are discouraged or leave with negative impression. Vehicular intrusions also are in the eye of the beholder - tour operators and business interests rarely see a definable limit, even though historic preservation and conservation interests perceive threats to resources. 8.5.3 Monument and Tomb Capacity and Visitor Projections The director of the Supreme Council on Antiquities, Upper Egypt section, has cooperated with the study team by assessing the potential tourist capacities of various Luxor attractions. A summary of this data, by attraction, is presented in Table 66 Several observations can be made about this information: (1) In many cases, the hourly capacity of monuments, or types of resources, can be increased by adding and restoring new areas or sites. In the case of the Karnak Temple complex, for example, several areas (including the entire Temple of Mut) could increase the area which could accommodate visitors and meet their interests. (2) In other cases, the capacity of areas can be increased by adding additional resources, such as additional tombs in West Bank areas. In the case of the West Bank, this could be accomplished by opening new tombs in existing areas (such as the Valley of the Kings or the Valley of the Queens) or by opening areas which do not now receive visitors (such as the tomb areas which are now interwoven with the occupied Gourna villages in the areas of Qurmet Murai or Sheikh Abd ElQurna). The current inventory of 40 tombs open for visitation could be doubled in a relatively short term (5-10 years) and could be substantially increased beyond this period. (3) Extension of visiting hours would dramatically increase capacity. Estimates are offered for expansion of various sites from 10 hours to 16 hours of operations through illumination. This would dramatically affect capacity and could also contribute considerably to increase visitor comfort by making resources available for viewing in evening hours, when temperatures are cooler. The experience of Luxor Temple is interesting; as over one third of the visitors experience the site at night. (4) In the case of tomb capacity estimates, the hourly and daily figures are based upon SCA best judgments, taking account of the size, orientation, ventilation, and decorative sensitivity of each tomb. Additionally, it is assumed that mechanical ventilation would be added as required to protect the resources within sensitive and highly visited tombs. Based on the overall visitor patterns to Luxor it is evident that the most acute constraint on overall tourist visitor growth is the capacity of the tombs, inasmuch as existing visitors appear to most heavily visit the Valley of the Kings and seem to be most uniformly fascinated with the tombs. Accordingly, several assessments of maximum capacity of the tombs have been prepared, assuming that adequate ventilation is 118 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents provided and using the capacity constraints as provided by SCA. Key data of that analysis are presented in Table 68-71 and have led to the following observations: (1) Table 68 -- indicates the simple maximum capacity of the tombs on the West Bank, assembling data provided in the Appendix. The number of tombs which could be open for visit ors could be increased from 40 to 84 within a relatively short time period, nearly doubling the hourly peak tomb visitor capacity from 1,656 visitors per hour to 2,789 visitors per hour. It is important to note that these estimates of capacity are conservative - in some cases existing visitor volumes substantially exceed these capacities in peak months and days. In the long term, the capacity of tombs to accommodate visitors could be increased to 3,850 visitors per hour, a doubling of existing capacity, by opening additional tombs, although this number does not include every single tomb on the West Bank. (2) Tables 69 and 70 -- provide an assumed model of visitor accumulations and peak visitation to West Bank tombs, with varying hours of operation. Although this model uses several assumptions which may require “fine-tuning,” it provides useful insight into probable existing tourist behavior on the West Bank. (3) Table 69 indicates an assumed pattern of arrival, based on several key assumptions, which seem reasonable based on examination of typical tourist and visitor patterns: (1) tombs are open from 6:00 to 16:00 hours, a period of ten (10) hours; (2) Typical visitors stay approximately four (4) hours on the West Bank; (3) Sixty percent (60%) of the daily visitors arrive between the hours of 06:00 and 09:00, with diminishing percent of arrivals over the hotter hours of the day; (4) The typical West Bank tourist spends one hour within tombs of the total four hours spent on the West Bank. Accordingly, Table 69 shows that approximately 18% of total West Bank tourists are within tombs at the peak visitor hour, which is between 09:00 and 10:00. Also in this peak hour, approximately 73% of all daily visitors are on the West Bank, with associated implications for bus and vehicle parking and needs for visitor services. (4) Table 70 shows comparable visitor assumptions for West Bank tomb visitors over a sixteen (16) hour day, from 06:00 to 22:00, based on illumination of sites. Several differences are apparent, compared to the ten hour model: (1) the 16 hour model assumes that 25% of tomb visitors would arrive at 17:00 or after, to take advantage of cooler weather, if illumination were provided; (2) accordingly, even though the peak tomb visitation would still be at 09:00, this would drop to 14% of the daily volume, due to an assumed dispersion of visitors in night time hours, allowing for increased daily volume even though the peak hourly capacity remains constant; (3) the peak visitor accumulation in the West Bank overall drops to 54% of the daily volume, with a corresponding diminishing of necessary parking and services, compared to the 10 hour schedule. It is important to note that Tables 69 and 70 illustrate that the total daily capacity of the tombs cannot be computed by simply multiplying the hourly capacity by the total hours of operation (most visits are concentrated in the 8:00am to 12:00am period.) Clearly, the opening hours are not likely to be ‘“full,” and the closing hours are not likely to be fully utilized, inasmuch as late arrivals realize that their hours for visiting will be curtailed. Based on these assessments, it is believed that the “practical” capacity of the any given tomb is probably no more than 75% of its “maximum” capacity. (5) Table 71 provides an estimate of overall West Bank visitor capacity, using the capacity of all potential West Bank tombs as the constraining factor. As a cross-check on these computations, the computed capacity of the Valley of the Kings (under existing and future condit ions) is shown, inasmuch as the visitor volume to this attraction is known by historical data. Several sequential computations are shown for the Valley of the Kings and all West Bank tombs: • Peak hour tomb visitor-hours - using estimates provided in Table 68. • 10 hour day maximum tomb visitor-hours - multiplying peak hour times ten hours/day • 10 hour day likely tomb visitor-hours - estimated at 75% of the maximum 119 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents • • • • 10 hour day likely West Bank visitors - assuming that typical visitors spend 1/4 of West Bank time inside tombs, this number equals the previous estimate. Peak month likely West Bank visitors -- assuming that the peak day is 5% of the peak month visitation (e.g. - peak month visitors = peak day visitors / 0.05) Annual visitors to West Bank (and Luxor) -- assuming, based on historical seasonality of visitation, that the peak month is 14% of the annual visitation (e.g. - annual visitors = peak month visitors / .14) Annual visitors, assuming extended hours -- assumes an additional 35% of visitors, based on spreading peak visitation over a longer visitor day. The findings of Table 71 include the following: • Existing annual capacity of the Valley of the Kings is approximately 143,700 per month or 1,026,429 per year. This is somewhat higher than peak monthly visitation to this site during the first half of 1997, but lower than historical visitation during the highest peaks over the last decade. • The capacity of the Valley of the Kings could be increased to 1,589,000 per year through opening additional tombs and to in excess of 2.1 million by extending hours through illumination. • If the number of tombs in the West Bank could be substantially increased by opening additional tombs and by marketing them to visitors to relieve the most heavily impacted sites, the total annual visitation could increase to nearly 3 million with current 10 hour operations and over 4 million with extended hours in the 5-10 year period. Over a longer term, the annual tomb visitation could increase to in excess of 5 million. • Any of these increases would assume that illumination and ventilation would be implemented to protect resources and that additional tomb areas would be marketed to relieve existing areas which are heavily impacted in the Valley of the Kings and the Valley of the Queens. The work to date indicates that such marketing might be possible, inasmuch as many of the tombs which have not been opened are large and have substantial decorative interest. If these volumes of tomb visitation could be achieved, the likely maximum volumes (e.g. - 21,000 likely visitors/day to the West Bank) would still be less than the approximate practical capacity of the two combined Temples (Luxor and Karnak) of the East Bank, which could accommodate, together, in excess of 25,000 daily visitors. 8.5.4 Visitor Pattern Supplemental Data The following tables provide insight into visitor use patterns, tourism expenditures, and the relationship of monument capacity to overall visitation to Luxor’s antiquity sites: • • • • • • • • • • • Table 58:· Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, January 1997 Table 59:· Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, February 1997 Table 60: Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, March 1997 Table 61:· Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, April 1997 Table 62:· Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, May 1997 Table 63:· Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, June 1997 Table 64: 1997 Distribution of Visitors, by Site for East and West Banks Table 65: 1997 Monthly Revenues at Antiquity Sites: Total and per Visitor Table 66:· Antiquities Resources (Capacities) Table 67:· Antiquities Resources (Fees) Table 68: West Bank Tomb Capacity 120 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents • • • Table 69: Assumed Pattern of Arrival to Tombs, 10 hours of Operation Table 70: Assumed Pattern of Arrival to Tombs, 16 hours of Operation Table 71: Estimate of Overall West Bank Visitation, Based on Tomb Capacity and Seasonal Patterns 121 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 65: Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, January 1997 Site Dandara Deir El Madina El Deir El Bahri Habu Luxor Museum Luxor Temple - Day Luxor Temple - Night Nefertari Tomb Open Museum, Karnak Ramesseum Seti I Temple Temple of El-Toad Temple of Esna Temple of Karnak-day Tut Ankh Amun Tomb Valley of Kings Valley of Queens Total Foreigners Egyptians Total visitors student visitors student visitors 7,196 176 412 361 8,145 16,376 1,280 389 18,045 5,163 4,746 2,229 2,574 14,712 14,852 2,132 1,182 18,166 14,717 1,399 577 373 17,066 55,800 2,418 2,732 798 61,748 10,553 806 687 93 12,139 5,875 217 180 36 6,308 658 98 53 21 830 9,088 1,301 10,389 8,770 145 8,915 36 20 56 24,150 471 308 108 25,037 80,163 4,719 3,437 1,108 89,427 32,720 4,263 2,227 13,347 52,557 80,779 5,334 2,760 497 89,370 22,365 2,940 915 753 26,973 389,261 32,465 18,088 20,069 459,883 Source: Supreme Council on Antiquities and Luxor Information and Decision Support Center 122 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 66: Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, February 1997 Site Dandara Deir El Madina El Deir El Bahri Habu Luxor Museum Luxor Temple - Day Luxor Temple - Night Nefertari Tomb Open Museum, Karnak Ramesseum Seti I Temple Temple of El-Toad Temple of Esna Temple of Karnak-day Tut Ankh Amun Tomb Valley of Kings Valley of Queens Total Foreigners Egyptians Total visitors student visitors student visitors 9,869 297 3,267 391 13,824 11,387 1,362 1,603 14,352 25,133 4,956 2,114 2,079 34,282 15,662 2,324 2,467 20,453 18,983 2,108 1,223 1,843 24,157 72,200 3,617 9,391 2,457 87,665 7,224 675 2,813 324 11,036 5,034 170 219 14 5,437 895 90 390 1,375 11,822 1,603 13,425 8,972 35 9,007 25 23 48 28,450 818 682 280 30,230 92,116 5,543 10,851 3,725 112,235 18,294 2,704 2,466 23,464 91,800 5,479 6,712 3,017 107,008 24,504 3,471 2,183 1,646 31,804 442,370 35,275 46,381 15,776 539,802 Source: Supreme Council on Antiquities and Luxor Information and Decision Support Center 123 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 67: Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, March 1997 Site Dandara Deir El Madina El Deir El Bahri Habu Luxor Museum Luxor Temple - Day Luxor Temple - Night Nefertari Tomb Open Museum, Karnak Ramesseum Seti I Temple Temple of El-Toad Temple of Esna Temple of Karnak-day Tut Ankh Amun Tomb Valley of Kings Valley of Queens Total Foreigners Egyptians Total visitors student visitors student visitors 12,269 1,692 386 653 15,000 9,161 680 471 10,312 38,240 4,717 1,900 44,857 17,716 1,047 932 19,695 22,284 28,365 647 1,200 52,496 43,450 35,150 2,569 890 82,059 10,861 11,480 537 194 23,072 4,955 247 127 5,329 864 830 53 1,747 22,749 1,377 24,126 10,613 25 10,638 20 70 90 33,322 2,580 180 40 36,122 109,556 62,220 3,189 1,035 176,000 19,441 2,629 1,801 23,871 109,765 5,444 2,970 961 119,140 27,506 3,008 828 462 31,804 492,772 161,561 16,590 5,435 676,358 Source: Supreme Council on Antiquities and Luxor Information and Decision Support Center 124 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 68: Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, April 1997 Site Dandara Deir El Madina El Deir El Bahri Habu Luxor Museum Luxor Temple - Day Luxor Temple - Night Nefertari Tomb Open Museum, Karnak Ramesseum Seti I Temple Temple of El-Toad Temple of Esna Temple of Karnak-day Tut Ankh Amun Tomb Valley of Kings Valley of Queens Total Foreigners Egyptians Total visitors student visitors student visitors 9,929 305 1,844 837 12,915 12,084 947 594 13,625 34,995 4,364 39,359 19,007 1,172 934 21,113 15,986 2,072 650 524 19,232 68,300 3,750 4,741 774 77,565 10,286 958 1,543 146 12,933 3,349 381 91 9 3,830 699 182 11 892 17,808 1,233 19,041 6,515 214 6,729 93 19 112 26,131 858 188 97 27,274 90,814 9,305 5,092 895 106,106 13,446 1,857 1,337 16,640 93,500 5,669 6,310 17,808 123,287 14,895 2,890 799 266 18,850 437,837 36,176 24,134 21,356 519,503 Source: Supreme Council on Antiquities and Luxor Information and Decision Support Center 125 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 69: Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, May 1997 Site Dandara Deir El Madina El Deir El Bahri Habu Luxor Museum Luxor Temple - Day Luxor Temple - Night Nefertari Tomb Open Museum, Karnak Ramesseum Seti I Temple Temple of El-Toad Temple of Esna Temple of Karnak-day Tut Ankh Amun Tomb Valley of Kings Valley of Queens Total Foreigners Egyptians Total visitors student visitors student visitors 8,401 132 164 141 8,838 8,039 561 8,600 125,643 2,463 305 128,411 13,263 648 532 14,443 12,818 950 362 158 14,288 47,500 135 1,240 58 48,933 11,660 852 929 82 13,523 2,346 285 71 2 2,704 313 135 10 16 474 11,549 673 239 12,461 4,876 7 4,883 24 24 1,344 214 124 12 1,694 68,430 3,016 1,541 102 73,089 6,425 30,325 489 37,239 71,385 3,350 3,337 1,507 79,579 19,300 1,679 383 23 21,385 413,316 45,425 9,726 2,101 470,568 Source: Supreme Council on Antiquities and Luxor Information and Decision Support Center 126 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 70: Visitors to Selected Luxor Antiquity Sites, June 1997 Site Dandara Deir El Madina El Deir El Bahri Habu Luxor Museum Luxor Temple - Day Luxor Temple - Night Nefertari Tomb Open Museum, Karnak Ramesseum Seti I Temple Temple of El-Toad Temple of Esna Temple of Karnak-day Tut Ankh Amun Tomb Valley of Kings Valley of Queens Total Foreigners Egyptians Total Visitors student visitors student visitors 4,984 195 390 246 5,815 5,326 777 294 6,397 15,272 2,435 1,450 19,157 6,798 558 367 7,723 7,060 1,045 373 264 8,742 30,852 1,669 1,408 131 34,060 6,409 1,050 1,086 96 8,641 1,161 268 30 1,459 126 69 5 200 6,482 693 7,175 2,444 10 2,454 6 3 9 12,283 193 191 20 12,687 42,352 3,286 1,565 150 47,353 8,732 840 350 9,922 45,765 3,579 545 107 49,996 12,293 1,861 572 2 14,728 208,345 18,531 8,626 1,016 236,518 Source: Supreme Council on Antiquities and Luxor Information and Decision Support Center 127 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 71: 1997 Distribution of Visitors, by Site for East and West Banks Average Jan-Jun 1997 % West % East Average Jan-April, June 1997 % Others 11.42% % West Dandara 12.89% 13.22% Deir El Madina 55.40% 31.28% El Deir El Bahri 17.85% 17.71% Habu 20.96% Luxor Museum 68.04% Luxor Temple - Day 14.00% Luxor Temple - Night 4.32% 4.53% Nefertari Tomb 3.84% Open Museum, Karnak 15.07% 14.84% Ramesseum 7.42% 7.54% Seti I Temple 0.05% Temple of El-Toad 22.66% Temple of Esna 100.00% Temple of Karnak-day 23.85% 26.82% Tut Ankh Amun Tomb 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% Valley of Kings 26.40% 26.27% Valley of Queens % East % Others 11.35% 21.40% 67.76% 13.39% 4.51% 0.06% 26.82% 100.00% 100.00% West Bank expressed as percentage of visitors at Valley of the Kings East Bank expressed as percentage of visitors at Karnak Temple. Data shown in second set of columns omits May 1997 to remove unusually high visitation at Deir El Bahiri, which is atypical of other months for which data was available Source: Supreme Council on Antiquities and Luxor Information and Decision Support Center. Table 72: 1997 Monthly Revenues at Antiquity Sites: Total and per Visitor January February March April May June Total - 6 months Visitors, Visitors, % Valley of by month the Kings 89,370 15.72% 107,008 18.83% 119,140 20.96% 123,287 21.69% 79,579 14.00% 49,996 8.80% 568,380 128 100.00% Total Revenue/ Revenue Visitor Le, (000) 8,533,997 95 9,025,419 84 11,116,606 93 8,632,041 70 7,930,893 100 4,124,276 82 49,363,231 87 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 73: Antiquities Resources (Capacities) Name of monument EAST BANK Temple of Luxor Temple of Karnak Open Museum of Karnak Temple of Toad Temple of Madamud: WEST BANK Valley of the Kings Tombs of the 18th dynasty Thutmosis III Queen Hatshepsut Amenophis III Amenophis II Tutankhamun Ay Thutmosis IV Horemheb Tombs of the 19th dynasty Ramesses I Sethos I (closed) Ramesses II Son of Ramses II Septah Current Potential Average Current Current Maximum Maximum Practical Visit Visit Daily Capacit Capacit Capacity Capacity Capacity y y Duration Duration Visits, ‘97 per per Day per Hour per Day Per Day Hour note 5 note 8 (minutes) (minutes) note 1 60 60 note 2 60 60 90 360 note 2 60 60 Current Hours of Maximum Hours of Operation Operation per Day per Day 2,280 3,318 30 2 0 500 1,000 note 2 NA NA 8,000 11,000 note 2 NA NA 750 1,340 note 2 150 73 12,000 21,500 note 2 1,650 800 9,000 16,125 note 2 1,238 600 16 11 11 11 11 16 11 11 11 11 3,411 958 , 9,580 1,483 22,600 16,950 16 16 16 16 16 16 30 NA NA 20 10 25 30 30 30 30 30 20 10 25 30 30 note 3 note 3 note 3 note 3 600 note 3 note 3 note 3 60 0 0 60 60 50 60 45 600 0 0 600 600 500 600 450 60 60 70 60 60 50 60 45 960 960 1,120 960 960 800 960 720 720 720 840 720 720 600 720 540 10 note 4 10 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 20 NA NA NA 20 20 30 30 30 20 note 3 NA NA NA note 3 30 0 0 0 75 300 0 0 0 750 30 70 70 80 75 480 1,120 1,120 1,280 1,200 360 840 840 960 900 10 0 0 0 10 129 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Name of monument Queen Tawsert/King Setnakh Sethos II Merneptah Tombs of the 20th dynasty Ramesses III Ramesses IV Ramesses VI Ramesses VII Ramesses IX Montu Herkhopshef Other Tombs (40) Valley of the Queens Khaemwaset Set-Her-Khopshef Prince Amun-herKhepshef Queen Tawi Unknown Queen No. 40 Queen Titi Additional Tombs (10) Nefertari Deir El-Medina Tomb of Senenmut Tomb of Inherkhau Pashedu Additional Tombs (52) Village and temples Current Potential Average Current Current Maximum Maximum Practical Current Maximum Visit Visit Daily Capacit Capacit Capacity Capacity Capacity Hours of Hours of y y Duration Duration Visits, ‘97 per per Day per Hour per Day Per Day Operation Operation Hour note 5 note 8 (minutes) (minutes) note 1 per Day per Day 20 20 note 7 75 750 75 1,200 900 10 16 20 30 20 30 note 3 note 3 45 70 450 700 45 70 720 1,120 540 840 10 10 16 16 20 20 20 20 20 15 NA 20 20 20 20 20 15 varies 20 20 20 60 60 75 45 60 28 0 208 45 45 45 600 600 750 450 600 280 0 1,950 450 450 450 75 60 75 45 60 28 160 363 45 45 45 1,200 960 1,200 720 960 280 1,600 5,030 720 720 720 900 720 900 540 720 210 1,200 3,810 540 540 540 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 16 16 16 16 16 16 10 20 20 20 note 3 note 3 note 3 note 4 note 3 note 3 NA 870 note 3 note 3 note 3 NA NA 20 NA 15 20 20 20 varies 15 0 0 45 0 28 0 0 450 0 150 30 45 45 80 28 480 720 720 800 150 360 540 540 600 150 10 10 15 NA 45 10 10 15 varies 45 note 3 NA NA NA 178 561 note 3 note 3 note 3 NA note 3 45 45 45 0 120 450 450 450 0 1,200 45 45 45 varies 120 720 720 720 varies 1,200 540 540 540 varies 1,200 130 10 10 10 6 10 10 10 10 10 16 16 16 16 16 16 10 6 16 16 16 10 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Name of monument Qurmet Murai Additional Tombs -short term (8) Additional Tombs - long term (12) Sheikh Abd El-Qurna Existing Open Tombs (10) Additional Tombs -short term (10) Additional Tombs - long term (126) Khokha and Asasif Existing Tombs (5) Additional Tombs -short term (5) Additional Tombs - long term (101) Dra-Abu El Naga Tombs suitable short term (2) Other Unopened tombs (86) Temple of Nebjepetre Hatshepsut Temple Temple of Tuthmosis III Temple of Sethos I The Rammessseum Colossi at Memnon Current Potential Average Current Current Maximum Maximum Practical Visit Visit Daily Capacit Capacit Capacity Capacity Capacity y y Duration Duration Visits, ‘97 per per Day per Hour per Day Per Day Hour note 5 note 8 (minutes) (minutes) note 1 Current Hours of Maximum Hours of Operation Operation per Day per Day NA 60 NA 80 800 80 800 600 10 10 NA varies NA varies varies 80 800 600 10 10 20 20 note 3 235 2,350 235 2,350 1,763 10 10 NA varies NA 0 0 200 2,000 1,500 10 10 NA varies varies varies varies varies varies varies 10 10 10 10 10 30 NA 30 varies note 3 NA 120 0 1,200 0 120 250 1,200 2,500 900 1,875 10 10 10 NA varies NA 0 0 230 2,300 1,725 10 10 NA varies NA 21 210 21 210 158 10 10 NA varies NA varies varies varies varies varies 10 10 60 45 45 45 30 10 60 60 note 3 1,288 note 3 217 427 note 3 70 150 700 1500 70 200 700 3,200 700 3,200 65 80 varies 650 800 varies 65 80 varies 1,040 1,280 varies 1,040 1,280 varies 10 10 10 10 10 12 45 45 10 131 16 16 16 12 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Name of monument Current Potential Average Current Current Maximum Visit Visit Daily Capacit Capacit Capacity y y Duration Duration Visits, ‘97 per per Day per Hour Hour (minutes) (minutes) note 1 Temple of Medinet Habu 45 550 2,000 Luxor Museum 45 743 Mummification Museum 45 68*** 132 Maximum Practical Capacity Capacity Current Hours of Maximum Hours of per Day Per Day Operation Operation note 5 note 8 per Day per Day 10 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 74: Antiquities Resources (Fees) Name of monument F EAST BANK Temple of Luxor Temple of Karnak Open Museum of Karnak Temple of Toad Temple of Madamud: WEST BANK Valley of the Kings Tombs of the 18th dynasty Thutmosis III Queen Hatshepsut Amenophis III Amenophis II Tutankhamun Ay Thutmosis IV Horemheb Tombs of the 19th dynasty Ramesses I Sethos I (closed) Ramesses II Son of Ramses II Septah Queen Tawsert/King Setnakh Sethos II Merneptah Tombs of the 20th dynasty Ramesses III Ramesses IV Ramesses VI Ramesses VII Ramesses IX Montu Herkhopshef Other Tombs (40) Valley of the Queens Khaemwaset Set-Her-Khopshef Prince Amun-herKhepshef Queen Tawi Unknown Queen No. 40 Queen Titi Fees Egyptian Pounds FS N NS 20 20 10 20 NA 10 10 5 10 NA 1 1 1 1 NA 1 1 1 1 NA 20* 10* 1* 0.5* NA NA NA NA 40 10 NA NA NA NA NA NA 20 5 NA NA NA NA NA NA 10 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA 5 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 12 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 6 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 133 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Name of monument Additional Tombs (10) Nefertari Deir El-Medina Tomb of Senenmut Tomb of Inherkhau Pashedu Additional Tombs (52) Village and temples Qurmet Murai Additional Tombs -short term (8) Additional Tombs - long term (12) Sheikh Abd El-Qurna Existing Open Tombs (10) Additional Tombs -short term (10) Additional Tombs - long term (126) Khokha and Asasif Existing Tombs (5) Additiona l Tombs -short term (5) Additional Tombs - long term (101) Dra-Abu El Naga Tombs suitable short term (2) Other Unopened tombs (86) Temple of Nebjepetre Hatshepsut Temple Temple of Tuthmosis III Temple of Sethos I The Rammessseum Colossi at Memnon Temple of Medinet Habu Luxor Museum Mummification Museum Fees Egyptian Pounds F FS N NS NA NA NA NA 100 50 10 5 12 6 1 5 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 10 5 1 1 NA NA NA NA 10 5 1 1 20 10 2 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 12 6 1 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 12 NA NA 6 NA NA 1 NA NA 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 12 12 NA 12 30 20 NA NA NA 6 6 NA 6 15 10 NA NA NA 1 1 NA 1 4 3 NA NA NA 1 1 NA 1 2 1 134 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 75: West Bank Tomb Capacity Number of Tombs Area Existing Tomb Visit Capacity Total Total Total Open 1997 Open in 5- Open in 10 years 20 + years Per Hour Short Term Tomb Visit Capacity Absolute Maximum Per Day (10 hrs.) Per Hour Absolute Maximum Per Day (10 hrs.) Long Term Tomb Visit Capacity Per Hour Absolute Maximum Per Day (10 hrs) Valley of the Kings 17 22 62 958 9,580 1,333 13,330 1,483 14,830 Valley of the Queens 5 7 17 208 280 2,800 363 3,630 Qurmet Murai 0 8 20 0 1,950 Note 1 0 80 800 160 1,600 Deir El Medina (Nobles) 3 15 55 135 1,350 270 2,700 504 5,040 10 20 146 235 2,350 435 4,350 640 6,400 Khokha and Asasif 5 10 111 120 1,200 370 3,700 600 6,000 Dra-Abu El Naga 0 2 88 0 0 21 210 100 1,000 40 84 499 1,656 16,430 2,789 27,890 3,850 38,500 Sheikh Abd El Qurna Total Note 1 Number adjusted to account for reduced visitation to Nefertari Tomb 135 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 76: Assumed Pattern of Arrival to Tombs, 10 ho urs of Operation Percentage of Total Daily Visitors Present During Each Hour of Tomb Operations 6:00 Arrival 6:00 20% % of total 7:00 22% daily 8:00 18% visitors 9:00 13% 10:00 9% 11:00 7% 12:00 4% 13:00 4% 14:00 2% 15:00 1% 20% 7:00 8:00 9:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 20% 20% 20% 22% 22% 22% 22% 18% 18% 18% 18% 13% 13% 13% 13% 9% 9% 9% 9% 7% 7% 7% 7% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% 16:00 Total Percent of Daily Visitors in Tombs during each one hour interval 100% 20% 42% 60% 73% 62% 47% 33% 24% 17% 11% 25% 5% 11% 15% 18% 16% 12% 8% 6% 4% 3% 136 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 77: Assumed Pattern of Arrival to Tombs, 16 hours of Operation Percentage of Total Daily Visitors Present During Each Hour of Tomb Operations Time % Arrival 6:00 15% % of total 7:00 15% daily 8:00 15% visitors 9:00 9% 10:00 7% 11:00 4% 12:00 1% 13:00 1% 14:00 1% 15:00 2% 16:00 4% 17:00 5% 18:00 9% 19:00 8% 20:00 3% 21:00 1% Total 100% Percent of Daily Visitors in Tombs during each one hour interval 25% 6:00 7:00 8:00 9:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00 20:00 21:00 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 9% 9% 9% 9% 7% 7% 7% 7% 4% 4% 4% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 3% 3% 1% 15% 30% 45% 54% 46% 35% 21% 13% 4% 8% 11% 14% 12% 9% 137 5% 3% 7% 5% 8% 12% 20% 26% 25% 21% 2% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 6% 5% The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 78: Estimate of Overall West Bank Visitation, Based on Tomb Capacity and Seasonal Patterns Valley of the Kings Units Assumptions Existing Short Term West Bank, Overall Long Term Existing Short Term Long Term Peak Hour Tomb visitor-hours 10 Hour Day Maximum Tomb visitor-hours available visit-hours 10 Hour Day Likely Tomb visitor-hours actual visit-hours 10 Hour Day Likely WB visitors 1 tomb visit-hour = 4 hour visit Peak Month Likely WB visitors Peak Day, % of Mo. Annual Visitors Site WB visitors Peak Month, % of Yr. 14.0% 1,026,429 1,428,214 1,588,929 1,774,286 2,988,214 4,125,000 Increase, Extended Hours WB visitors Extend to 16 hours 35.0% 1,385,679 1,928,089 2,145,054 2,395,286 4,034,089 5,568,750 75.0% 5.0% 958 1,333 1,483 1,656 2,789 3,850 9,580 13,330 14,830 16,560 27,890 38,500 7,185 9,998 11,123 12,420 20,918 28,875 7,185 9,998 11,123 12,420 20,918 28,875 143,700 199,950 222,450 248,400 418,350 577,500 Note 1: assume that West Bank tomb capacity defines overall capacity Note 2: assume each visitor spends 1 hour inside tomb; 3 tomb-visits at 20 minutes. Therefore, each tomb visit-hour equals 1 West Bank visitor 138 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 9: The National Plan for the Development of the South of Egypt, 201723 9.1 South Of Egypt Strategy, 2017 The Government of Egypt's general strategy for the development of Egypt over the coming two decades calls for a “Comprehensive Development” approach; not only at the sector level but also at the regional level. This strategy has received specific focus in those regions that have received equitable development resources. This strategy attempts to transform these regions into “population attracting” ones and also to achieve a better and balanced population distribution outside the inhabited Nile Valley. Within the framework of this general strategy, several national projects have been planned and are currently underway. At the forefront of these is the National Project for the Development of Sinai, the National Project for the Development of the South of Egypt, the National Plan for Rural Development and others. 9.1.1 Objectives These National Projects share a number of objectives: (1) To boost the private sector’s role in development and to create a favorable environment for private sector participation. (2) Mobilizing Governorates’ resources for effective utilization at both the local and national levels. (3) To achieve balanced development for various Governorates and resolve problems resulting from population and activities centralization. (4) To achieve an equitable distribution of investments and services among Governorates. (5) To offer the chance for regional institutions for effective participation in development activities. 9.1.2 Strategic Directions The major strategic directions for Comprehensive Development are: (1) (2) (3) (4) To raise the real growth rate of GDP to an average of 8% annually. To create more than 12 million jobs. To construct about 4 million housing units. To provide potable water to each settlement, no matter how small it is and to provide sewerage facilities and treatment in all cities, districts and villages. (5) To achieve complete absorption (full enrollment) in primary education, to eradicate illiteracy and to lower classroom density in all education levels to about 30 students per class. (6) To develop and upgrade universities, emphasis on scientific research and linkages to community and development needs. (7) To improve health indicators, emphasis on preventive health. (8) To disperse population outside the inhabited Valley to achieve balance and emphasizing rural development as one of the bases for national development. (9) To reclaim and cultivate around 2 million feddan. (10)To develop industries at a real growth rate between 10% and 14%. 23 Ministry of Planning, Summary National Plan for the Development of the South of Egypt to the Year 2017, February 18, 1996 (in Arabic). 139 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (11)To increase attention given to tourism and tourism infrastructure to reach an overall tourism flow of 15 million in 2012 and around 129 million touristic nights. (12)To increase generated electricity. (13)To upgrade and improve road networks, railroads and telecommunications. (14)To gradually increase rural citizens’ participation in the development process. 9.1.3 Background The South of Egypt encompasses two planning regions: (1) South Upper Egypt Region – including the Luxor City, Governorates of Sohag, Qena, Aswan, and the southern part of the Red Sea Governorate, and (2) Middle Upper Egypt Region (Assiyut Region) – including the Governorates of Assiyut and El Wadi El Gedid (New Valley), in addition to the remainder of Red Sea Governorate. The overall area of the South of Egypt is slightly more than half the total area of Egypt. However, the population of the area is no more than 10 million inhabitants, or 17% of total Egypt’s population. Most of this population is concentrated in the Nile Valley whereas only less than 0.25 million reside in the Red Sea and El Wadi El Gedid Governorates. The region encompasses one of the two major areas for out migration; that is, Assiyut, Sohag and Qena where population density is very high. The Red Sea is the only Governorate positively impacted by migration. With proposed developments, it is expected that the total population of the South of Egypt would reach approximately 16.2 million inhabitants by 2017. 9.1.4 Principals and Objectives The principals and objectives of the National Project for the Development of South of Egypt are summarized as: (1) Improvement of locals’ living standards and minimizing economic and social gaps between them and the rest of Egypt’s population; (2) Transforming promising zones of this region into attracting areas for activities and population; (3) Exploring new horizons for agriculture, industry and tourism to participate in national development; (4) Attracting the private sector to participate and support the development of the region; (5) Contribution to the resolution of security problems within the framework of economic and social development; (6) Improvement of comprehensive development management and local administration and supporting local administration. 9.1.5 Economic Resources Tourism represents one of the most important activities in the South of Egypt region. There are two main types of tourism: cultural tourism in antiquity sites in Luxor and Aswan and resort and water sports tourism in Hurghada and along the Red Sea shores. The South of Egypt encompasses some 1.3 million feddan of agriculture land, primarily in the governorates of Assiyut, Sohag, Qena and Aswan. Agriculture land, on the other hand, is minimal in the two desert governorates of El Wadi El Gedid and Red Sea. However, these two governorates hold the largest potential for land reclamation. El Wadi El Gedid governorate, alone, has some 365,000 feddan of land suitable for reclamation. The other four governorates, between them, hold some 951,000 feddan of land suitable for reclamation. 140 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents The South of Egypt also includes two major fishing grounds, namely Lake Nasser and the Red Sea shores. The region is also rich in its mineral resources, particularly in the southern parts of the Eastern Desert: gold, copper, iron, phosphate, zinc, lead and others, in addition to quarries for marble, granite, white sands and gypsum. El Wadi El Gedid governorate has the richest deposits of phosphate in Abu Tartour. Although processing industries do not constitute a major element of the region’s economic structure, the region is not void of some important industries such as sugar in Qena and Aswan, aluminum in Nagaa Hammady (Qena), cement in Assiyut and fertilizers and chemicals in Aswan. 9.1.6 Human Resources Governorates of the South of Egypt region enjoy a pool of human resources that can aid in the establishment and operation of many productive projects, which will lead to considerable social and economic improvements in the region. 9.2 Tourism 9.2.1 Major Issues (1) (2) (3) (4) Importance of diversifying the tourism product. Support/Expand Nile tourism. Upgrading and landscaping of antiquity sites and environmental preservation. Importance of integration and linkages between tourism areas in El Wadi El Gedid, Red Sea and the Western Desert. 9.2.2 Sector Objectives (1) Achieving effective utilization of tourism resources, with emphasis on existing infrastructure and public utilities. (2) Directing tourism development away from congested, fast growing areas to alleviate environmental pressures on natural and cultural resources. (3) Definition of tourism centers with promising potentials to accommodate tourism growth in the region. (4) Achieving integration among tourism areas through linkages between circulation networks. (5) Distribution of tourism products and their integration among different areas. 9.2.3 Planned Projects to 2017 Tourism Accommodation Projected new accommodation for the South of Egypt is estimated at 228,000 new rooms, 88% of which in the Red Sea mainly for resort and recreational tourism and 11% in Aswan and Luxor for historic tourism. These new rooms are distributed as follows: 141 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 79: Projected New Tourism Accommodation in the South of Egypt, 2017 Governorate Red Sea Aswan * Luxor Qena Sohag El Wadi El Gedid Assiyut No. of Rooms 200,000 15,741 9,259 800 724 575 375 Pe5rcentage 87.92 6.9 4.07 0.35 0.32 0.27 0.16 227,474 100.00 Total * Inclusive of cruise ships with new capacity of up to 5,000 rooms. Luxor: • Construction of a Nile docks complex. • Establishment of a golf course and areas for recreational facilities. • Construction of a Nile port south of the City. • Streetscape and paving of city roads. • Shading areas on the West Bank. Aswan Governorate: • Construction of a repair and maintenance center for Nile ships. • Improvement and upgrading of roads leading to antiquity sites in the cities of Aswan, Kom Ombo, Esna and Edfu. • Construction of a new dock in Aswan and repair of existing ones. • Streetscape of roads leading to hotels. • Construction of a bridge over the Nile. • Construction of Kalabsha bridge and Kalabsha Institute. Red Sea Governorate: • Development of Sahl Hashish area. • Development of Ras Benias area. • Development of Marsa Alam area. • Development of Abu Soma area. • Development of Wadi El Gemal area. Assiyut Governorate: • Construction of a cruise ships port and development of docking area. • Upgrading and landscaping of antiquity areas around Mon. area. • Completion of the Assiyut Wadi road. • Construction of a bridge on Nagaa Hammady El Sharkeyia. • Grading and paving of the governorate’s roads. • Construction of a fence for the touristic project in El Haggameyia. Sohag Governorate: • Paving of Akhmim area roads. • Expansion of El Baliana dockings and completion of the Corniche. 142 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents • Completion of Akhmim cafeteria. Qena Governorate: • Establishment of a control, communication and rescue center. • Construction of a cruise ships port. • Corniche Qena bridge. • Construction of gates at Qena entrance. • Construction of gates at Esna City entrance. • Completion of El Kallabeyia Canal Corniche. • Development of Denderra Temple area. El Wadi El Gedid Governorate: • Establishment of an advanced center for desert safari in El Dakhla and El Kharga, in addition to recreational and facilities areas. • Establishment of an emergency and accidents medical center. 9.2.4 Urban Fabric and Development The National Plan for the South of Egypt aims to put in place new bases for the urban fabric an structure so that the Nile would become a major source of water but the only attracting factor influencing the urban structure. The objective being to re-distribute population in a way that preserves the Valley and allows use of desert and coastal stretches that have not received their fair share of development. 9.2.5 Spatial Distribution of Population The population of the South of Egypt resides in a total of 867 settlements, a third of which (303 settlements) are of more that 10,000 inhabitants each – as of January 1994 – accommodating nearly 70% of the total population. The remaining settlements (564) accommodate about 30% of the region’s population. These two facts put together indicate the concentration and imbalanced distribution of population. Further, nearly 86% of the population are concentrated in the three governorates of Assiyut, Sohag and Qena. Luxor, El Wadi El Gedid and Red Sea accommodate only 4% of the population and the remainder 10% resides in Aswan. The continuation of this pattern will lead to either of two possibilities, or both: (1) The South of Egypt will continue to be a rebelling region for population leading to more pressures on the northern regions, or (2) More agricultural lands will be encroached upon for urban development and land holdings will be further fragmented. 9.2.6 Projected Urban Structure, 2017 While redirecting population growth outside the narrow Valley remains a driving objective; the establishment of new communities in desert areas requires substantial investments. Therefore, the projected urban structure have been based on a number of assumptions: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Population growth rates will remain low. Preservation of existing agricultural lands and the antiquities. Preservation and safeguarding the environment. Integration between the South of Egypt and the rest of the country’s regions. Gradual change in the urban structure and concentrated growth at the edges of the Valley. 143 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents The main bases for the proposed urban structures are: (1) Creation of two corridors parallel to the Valley at the edge between agriculture and desert serving as a starting point for attracting growth through environmenta lly sound plans. (2) Creation of west-east corridors in the Eastern Desert linking the Valley to the Red Sea and start development of new communities along these corridors. (3) Development of large cities at the edges of desert; that applies for Assiyut and Qena. (4) Preservation of the touristic character of both Luxor and Aswan by absorbing growth in New Aswan and New Luxor cities and enforcement of laws and regulations that safeguards the protected zones in these two areas. (5) Emphasis on the development of Al Owinat – Kom Ombo – Bernis corridor to become an international circulation route, and encourage urbanization along it through the development of new communities. (6) Urbanizing El Wadi El Gedid and development of most existing settlements and creation of large urban centers in six main cities: El Farafra, Abu Tartour, Moutt, Shark Al Owinat, Paris and El Kharga. (7) Development of the Red Sea coast in an environmentally sound approach. Safaga and Bernis are to absorb 40% of population. New communities are to be established away from the coast to accommodate industrial and commercial growth to safeguard the shores. The projected spatial distribution of population would be as follows: (1) Settlements of less than 10,000 inhabitants, in 530 villages all of which in the Nile Valley governorates. (2) Settlements of 10,000 to 100,000 inhabitants, mainly urban ones, totaling 289 towns. (3) Settlements of more than 100,000 inhabitants. These are eight (8) main cities in the Valley governorates including Assiyut and Qena (more than 400,000 inhabitants), Sohag and Aswan (250,000 to 400,000 inhabitants) and Luxor, Guerga, Tahta and Akhmim (100,000 to 250,000 inhabitants). This group of settlements will accommodate nearly 12% of the total region’s population, or 10% of the expected growth. (4) Existing settlements to be developed: including 62 towns and villages, 23 of which in the Valley and the remainder in El Wadi El Gedid and Red Sea. This group will accommodate 2.1 million inhabitants (13.3% of total population, or 21.4 of the expected growth. (5) New agricultural settlements: this group is linked to land reclamation and expected to accommodate 1.35 million inhabitants, primarily in El Wadi El Gedid and Aswan representing 8% of the region’s population, or 20.7 of expected growth. (6) New towns: including 27 new town totaling 2.15 million inhabitants and ranging from 25,000 to 250,000 person/town. This group includes some of the towns that are currently being developed: El Safa in Assiyut, New Sohag/Akhmim, New Luxor and New Aswan. These towns will accommodate 13% of the region’s population, or 32 of expected growth. To accommodate the expected population growth, and to substitute for loss in existing urban stock, nearly 1.69 million new housing units will have to be constructed. 9.3 Agriculture 9.3.1 Major Issues (1) Imbalance between cultivated land and population, especially in the governorates of Assiyut, Sohag, Qena and Aswan. 144 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Small agriculture land holdings depriving the sector from large-scale economics. Low productivity per feddan. Decreasing agricultural lands due to all sorts of encroachment. Inefficiency of transportation and storage facilities leading to an increasing loss of crops. Imbalance between livestock and poultry production and population. Minimal fishery production compared to the fast fishing ground available in the region. Minimal available investment resources. 9.3.2 Sector Objectives (1) Horizontal expansion in agriculture with the reclamation of nearly 1,25 million feddan. (2) Increase economic revenue of available agricultural resources, which will be reflected in an increase of production and individual’s share of income. (3) Increase agricultural production through development and upgrading of current production systems. (4) Increase both self -sufficiency ratio of strategic crops and export of other crops. (5) Increase the added value of agricultural production through industrial and agricultural integration, especially in newly reclaimed lands. (6) Creation of more job opportunities. (7) Increase the inhabited area of the region/nation through relocation in newly reclaimed lands. (8) Building the capacity of the private sector through the establishment of large companies to allow for optimum utilization of agricultural resources. 9.3.3 Planned Projects to 2017 Vertical Development Projects These projects aim to increase the productivity of existing agricultural lands: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) Inventory and classification of lands: in light of recent changes to soil characteristics. Soil Improvement. Generalization of covered drainage systems. Improvement of irrigation system. Completion of substitution and renewal of the High Dam and Aswan Dam infrastructure/facilities. Support research in the field of high-value crops. Veterinary care projects. Agricultural marketing. High-productivity seeds production. 9.3.4 Horizontal Development Projects In light of current and foreseeable ground and water resources, some 600,000 feddan can be reclaimed, using primarily Nile water and partially underground water, in the Nile Valley and adjacent desert lands and in some areas of the Red Sea governorate. 350,000 feddan can also be reclaimed on underground water East of Owinat and the oases of Kharga, Dakhla and Farafra. Additionally, about 300,000 feddan can be reclaimed south of the El Wadi El Gedid (Paris) on Nile water, through a new canal to be dug. 9.3.5 Livestock Development Projects Fodder resources in newly reclaimed lands is estimated at 16 million tons (green fodder) which is enough for nearly 1 million units. In light of these resources, the private sector can be encouraged to invest in these projects in newly reclaimed lands. 9.3.6 Development of Fishing Resources This projects aim to increase fish production from around 45,000 to 70,000 tons. The program includes: 145 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (1) Construction and development of fishing ports on the Red Sea, improvement of the current fishing fleet and intensive cultivation of natural and man-made lagoons. (2) Establishment and development of incubators for Lake Nasser supply, three incubators in Garf Hussein, Amada and El Alaqui areas and construction of fishing ports inclusive of ice factories, refrigerators and services that facilitate handling. (3) Fish incubation/cultivation in cages in lagoons and small bays along the Nile and canals is an important means to increase fish production. 9.4 Potable Water and Sewerage 9.4.1 Potable Water The overall capacity of water plants in the region is 960,000m3 /day whereas current needs are estimated at a total of 1,340,000m3 /day – assuming an average consumption rate per individual of 115 liter/day and 190 liter/day for rural and urban residents, respectively. Water plants are located in Assiyut, Sohag, Qena and Aswan. There are no plants in either the Red Sea or El Wadi El Gedid governorates; the former depends on pipelines from Suez and El Korimat. The National Project for the Development of the South of Egypt aims at raising the average consumption rate to 200 liter/day and 240 liter/day per individual in rural and urban areas, respectively. 9.4.2 Sewerage The National Project for the Development of the South of Egypt aims at raising the average rate of sewerage to approximately 192 liter/individual/day, or nearly 2.9 million m3 /day. 9.5 Social Services 9.5.1 Strategic Objectives (1) Provision of basic facilities to correspond to expected population growth so as to raise the standard of facilities in the region. (2) Meeting the expected needs of settlements in promising areas of the region. (3) Achieving an acceptable level of balance in the distribution of facilities and services between rural and urban areas and between populated and remote areas. (4) Raising the standard of quality and improve operation. 9.5.2 Planned Projects, 2017 Educational Facilities (1) Increase the carrying capacity of primary and secondary schools by increasing number of schools and classes, which will lead to: • Meeting expected needs, • Lowering class density to 30 students/class, (2) Increase number of teachers and upgrade general and technical education curriculum. (3) Emphasis on women’s education and eradication of illiteracy. (4) Achieving an acceptable balance in distribution of educational facilities between different areas of the region. 146 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (5) Application of new approaches in education that are more suitable to the region’s characteristics and needs. (6) Expansion in one- or two-classes primary schools in rural and remote areas. (7) Move towards community colleges, rather than new universities, as being more suitable to the local community’s needs. (8) Upgrading of technical and technological institutes in Aswan and transform them into a technological university. In light of these, the demand for educational facilities to the year 2017 is estimated as: (1) Establishment of nearly 55,300 primary classes (general and Azhar education), 32,500 prep. Classes and 26,400 secondary classes (general, technical and Azhar). (2) Establishment of 20 community colleges in areas not served by university colleges or higher institutes (2 in Assiyut and Sohag, 4 in Qena, Aswan and El Wadi El Gedid, 3 in Red Sea and 1 in Luxor City). (3) Upgrading technical institutes in Aswan and transforming them into a technological university. (4) Completion of the South of the Valley University (5 colleges, one of which for Agriculture and one for tourism and antiquities in Qena). (5) Rehabilitation of Assiyut University. Scientific and Technological Research (1) Establishment of regional research branches for the Ophthalmic Research Institute . (2) Completion of the National Institute for Marine Science and Fishery in the Red Sea. (3) Establishment of Magnetic Observatory and Regional Earthquake Center in Aswan and a main center in El Wadi El Gedid. Health Facilities The main objectives for the development of this sector are summed as: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) Emphasis on eradication of health illiteracy, especially in rural and desert areas. Provision of health facilities in remote areas and reliance on mobile health units. Emphasis on the importance of recording births and deaths, especially in infancy. Support of targeted health programs, such as combating malaria, diarrhea and vaccination campaigns. Quality and quantity upgrading supporting medical services such as nursing and tests. Expansion of the social health insurance umbrella to cover the entire population. Achieving an acceptable balance in distribution of medical and treatment facilities between urban and rural areas and between the region’s governorates. (8) Encouraging the private sector to build hospitals, clinics and medical centers. (9) Support the privatization of an acceptable percentage of hospital beds for nominal fees. The total number of beds needed by 2017 is estimated at 46,000 beds. Religious Facilities The strategy aims to the expansion in provision of these facilities to relatively deprived and new development areas, in addition to making available the human resources required for these facilities. Culture, Information and Youth and Sports Facilities The development objectives for these sectors are as follows: (1) Increase the number of establishments, especially in higher-density governorates. 147 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (2) Emphasis on cultural centers and convoys and mobile libraries to serve desert and rural areas, in addition to emphasis on information (media) centers and convoys and the establishment of a sufficient number in each governorate. (3) Expansion in establishing youth and sports facilities, especially in Assiyut and Sohag. (4) Making available the human resources required and training these resources. Social Care Facilities (1) Family and Childhood projects to reinforce the role of the family and its educational effectiveness. (2) Emphasis on productive families projects and vocational training, bringing to the front the role of local associations in organizing local efforts. (3) Support the role of social and rural units in providing social care facilities in rural and deprived desert areas. Vocational Training Facilities Expansion in vocational training facilities to meet the needs of development projects. 9.6 Electricity and Energy 9.6.1 Sector Plan, 2017 This plan aims to extend the National Grid to remote areas of Red Sea and El Wadi El Gedid governorates, at a total of 4,400km in length of lines. 3,200km of these will be high-voltage power lines and the majority of these will be in El Wadi El Gedid (1,670km) and the Red Sea (770km). The plan also aims to raise the capacity of existing power plants by 750 Mega Watt. 148 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 80: Projected Increase in Electricity Generation, South of Egypt, 2017 Governorate Power Plant Assiyut Qena Aswan Red Sea El Walideyia Thermal Assiyut Barrage Hydroelectric Nagaa Hammady Hydroelectric Nagaa Hammady Thermal Diesel Plants (Abu Simbel) Diesel Plans Nominal Capacity Notes (Mega watt) 300 Third expansion 40 New Total 60 New 270 New 20 Expansion 60 New 750 Following are projects for transformer stations and lines: (1) 20 new transformer stations of 500, 2020 and 132 KVolt with a total capacity of 3,825 Mega Volt Ampere. (2) 38 new transformer stations of 66 and 33 KVolt with a total capacity of 2,425 Mega Volt Ampere. (3) Power lines of: • 500, 220 and 132 KVolt at a total length of 3.192km. • 66 and 33 KVolt at a total length of 979km. Studies are currently underway to investigate the potential of unconventional and renewable energy sources such as solar energy, wind and the biomass. 9.7 Transportation, Communication and Storage 9.7.1 Sector Objectives (1) Improve the effectiveness of transportation axis in the Valley with utmost preservation of agricultural lands through the following means: • Minimizing intersections between roads and between roads and railroads in as far as feasible. • Improve the effectiveness of Cairo – Aswan railroad, once doubled, by improving communications and signals and increasing the speed limit. • Improve the effectiveness of the Nile navigational channel by dredging, construction of Nile ports and cruise ship ports together with maintenance and repair facilities for cruise ships. (2) Creation of a new corridor parallel to the Valley in the form of a new western desert road to absorb expected growth in traffic volumes and to encourage urban development, with linkages to the Valley. (3) Creation and improvement of perpendicular axis to the Valley as a means of population redistribution: • Safaga – Qena – El Wadi El Gedid as the prime corridor • Bernis – Aswan – West Coast of Lake Nasser – Abu Simbel – Shark Al Owinat (4) Emphasis on Qena area as the intersection point between the Valley and the new prime corridor. 149 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 9.7.2 Planned Projects, 2017 (1) Construction of new roads at a total length of 2,945km, most important of which is the extension of Cairo – Assiyut west desert road to Aswan. (2) Maintenance and rehabilitation of 2,760km of existing roads. (3) Cancellation of 30 intersections between roads and between roads and railroads. (4) Construction and maintenance of 1,200km of internal roads in governorates. (5) Completion of three bridges across the Nile: Assiyut, Luxor and Aswan. (6) Construction of four new bridges across the Nile at Quos, Guerga, Tama and Kom Ombo. (7) Construction and improvement of about 90 passenger station in the governorates. (8) Completion of doubling the railroad to Aswan. (9) Re-routing of the railroad in Luxor City. (10)Upgrading of Safaga and Bernis ports and small fishing ports. (11)Construction and improvement of five cruise ship ports on the Nile. (12)Upgrading and development of international airports in Hurghada, Luxor, Aswan and El Wadi El Gedid, and construction and improvement of domestic airports in Assiyut, Farafra, Al Dakhla, Al Owinat, Abu Simbel and Shala teen. (13)Upgrading of telephone switch boards in cities and villages, and microwave lines. (14)Construction and upgrading of post offices, radio and TV broadcasting stations and meteorological stations. (15)Construction of a grain cell in Qena with a capacity of 100,000 tons. 9.8 Industry and Mining 9.8.1 Major Issues Statistics of late 1993 indicate that total number of employees in industry and mining in governorates of the South of Egypt reached some 82,000, representing about 1.6% of the region’s total population. This percentage rises to 2% in Qena and Aswan and declines to only 0.8% in El Wadi El Gedid whereas the national average is 3.9% (7%, 7.4% and 8.3% in Cairo, Alexandria and Damietta, respectively). It is, therefore, clear that governorates of the South of Egypt require substantial support to increase their share of industrial and mining activities, especially with their wealth of resources. 9.8.2 Sector Objectives (1) Increase growth rates, in general, in the South of Egypt and create more job opportunities. (2) Effective use of available resources in each governorate. (3) Improve the economic structure in favor of industry and mining and broaden the private sector participation in the development of this sector. (4) Minimize out-migration trends from these governorates and, moreover, to transform them into attracting centers. (5) Raising the technology level and, accompanying that, education, training and scientific research standards. 9.8.3 Planned Projects to 2017 Projects Based on Agriculture Resources: (1) Expansion in sugar industry through expansion in cultivating and processing of sugar beads in addition to rehabilitation and renewal of existing factories. (2) Establishment of paper mills and factories based on sugar-cane fibers (creating some 3,000 jobs). (3) Better utilization of palm trees resources especially in El Wadi El Gedid. 150 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (4) Crop drying factories, especially for onion in Assiyut, Sohag and Qena through small units near farms. (5) An integrated complex for food oils, hydrated fats and fodder from sunflower seeds (investment cost LE 2 billion). (6) Factories for cotton fabrics, garments and textiles in cotton-producing governorates. (7) Fish processing and packaging and fodder factories especially in Lake Nasser area, and fishing boats and gear manufacturing. (8) Other food processing factories: dairies, juices, jam in addition to traditional and non-traditional fodder. (9) Wood and leather products. (10)Packaging material. Projects Based on Mineral Resources: (1) Completion of Abu Tartour Phosphate complex. (2) Production of bi-ammonium phosphate near Safaga port, with a capacity of 250,000 tons per year and a cost of LE 516 million (3) Application of the Chinese experience studies in Qena – establishment of small cement factories, each with one production line, or two at most, with a capacity of 44,000 tons annually to fulfill the needs of remote areas. (4) Introduction of the “small mine” concept. (5) Building material industries. (6) Industries that are based on deposited material. (7) Electricity insulator industries In addition to projects that will be established in the designated 11 “Industrial Zone” projects throughout the South of Egypt. 9.9 Petroleum and Natural Gas 9.9.1. Major Issues The major issue in this sector is the lack of infrastructure in most areas of current agreements and those under negotiations as they are remote, uninhabited areas and, consequently, the substantial expenditures required for provision of infrastructure. 9.9.2 Sector Objectives (1) Production of petroleum and natural gas at rates suitable for both local and export demands without over-use of reservoirs to maintain national reserves. (2) Setting up and implementation of a clear policy for distribution of petroleum products without bottlenecks. 9.9.3 Planned Projects to 2017 In the Field of Petroleum Agreements: (1) Negotiate and sign more agreements with international companies and the Egyptian private sector to work at new areas at the borders of these governorates. In the Field of Exploration: 151 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (1) Concentrated efforts and work , especially in areas of current agreements and those under negotiations. In the Field of Refineries and Processing: Continue work on rehabilitation, upgrading and expansion of the Assiyut refinery. In the Field of Distribution and Transport: (1) Installation of pipelines to cover the rest, or most, of the region’s governorates for various uses (domestic and industrial) and, construction of more car services stations and propane-gas filling and distribution centers; in addition to infrastructure projects that go with these projects. (2) Studies have also proven the importance of installing a 24 inch pipeline, connected to the national network near El Saff, heading south to Aswan with a total length of about 860km and a capacity of 240q.ft./day in an estimated investment cost of LE 825 million. This project will serve existing and future industrial units along the route in addition to development efforts in Upper Egypt. (3) Installation of a diesel pipeline from Assiyut to Aswan to serve new industrial zones and power plants, in addition to a propane-gas line in Upper Egypt to serve residential settlements. 9.10 Commercial and Banking Services 9.10.1 Planned Commercial Services, 2017 (1) Adding about 620 wholesale establishments, creating some 2,480 jobs at an investment cost of nearly LE 62 million. (2) Adding about 38,220 retail outlets, creating some 51,162 jobs at a cost of nearly LE 764 million. 9.10.2 Banking Facilities Major Issues (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Low density of banking facilities in the region’s governorates. Concentration of banking units in the four State-owned banks. Low rate of effectiveness in banking units. Low saving capacity (average saving/individual is nearly 0.2 of the national average). Low role of banking units in credit. Planned Projects, 2017 (1) Adding about 116 banking units, with 7,630 jobs at an estimated investment cost of LE 174 million. 9.10.3 Employment and Population (1) The total number of job opportunities projected for the South of Egypt to the year 2017 is estimated at 2.8 million jobs, about 68% of which in agriculture, industry and tourism. (2) The corresponding population to these jobs is estimated at 6,3 million, which mean an increase in the region’s population from 9.9 million in 1994 to about 16.4 million in 2017. 152 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 81: Projected Job Opportunities Assiyut Agriculture Industry, Mining, Petroleum Tourism Sub-total Social & Public Facilities Other Facilities Total Sohag Qena Luxor Aswan Red Sea 27 254 21 2242 48 321 3 21 180 240 3 66 El Wadi El Gedid 140 56 3 284 34 3 266 36.4 9.2 378.2 55 6.1 30.1 11 39.8 459.8 29.6 30.6 99.6 29.6 208.3 404.3 35.4 300 1,922 231 104 422 103 405.4 128 561.2 16 57.1 187 676.4 79 208.2 52 491.7 669 2,822 Table 82: Analytic Indicators Total new jobs Estimated unemployment Net new jobs Corresponding population Current population (1994) Natural increase In migrants Total Population, 2017 2,822 227 2,595 6,264 9,980 13,246 2,998 16,244 Table 83: Investments of the National Project Sector Tourism Agriculture Industry and Petroleum Urban Development & Housing Electricity and Energy Transportation & Communications Potable Water and Sewerage Commercial and Banking Social Total Investment Cost LE Billion % 52.9 23.9 82.7 94.2 7.3 18.5 9.0 1.9 14.5 304.9 153 17.3 7.8 27.1 30.9 2.4 6.1 3.0 0.6 4.8 100 Total 422 1,200 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 10: Profile of Egypt Egypt’s economic fortunes have fluctuated sharply during the past two decades, but its economic future now holds real promise. A decade of rapid growth ended in 1986 when a decline in oil prices caused a regional economic slowdown. Egypt’s retreat at this time to inward-looking policies, combined with heavy borrowing, resulted in severe macroeconomic imbalances. Between 1986 and 1992, per capita income grew by only 10 percent. The macroeconomic stabilization efforts that Egypt undertook in the early 1990s have been a success, and longer-term structural reforms are underway. Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth accelerated from 1.9 to 5 percent from 1991–92 to 1995–96. GDP per capita has risen to $1,040, categorizing Egypt as a middle -income country. During the same period, inflation fell from 21.1 percent to 7.2 percent. The fiscal balance, foreign reserves, and external debt have also improved. With these positive trends now well established, Egypt appears to be on the brink of a significant period of growth. 10.1 Challenges to the Economy Unemployment looms as a crucial challenge. Solving the employment problem through growth is critical not only for the economy, but also for social stability. Current estimates pla ce unemployment at between 9 to 13 percent, and the labor force is growing at around 3 percent annually. 10.2 Egypt’s Growth Strategy Egypt is progressing with privatization, with reducing tariff and other trade barriers, and with streamlining legal aspects of investment and commercial activities. It is promoting the Egyptian stock market, creating a more equitable and transparent tax system, and structuring a financial system that is more responsive to medium- and long-term credit needs. All of these actions will facilitate the transition to a market economy and reduce policy impediments to economic development. Egypt is moving to improve its domestic savings rate in several ways, the most important being privatization. Above all, the expected gains in savings will come from improved productivity and efficiency. Other reforms to increase savings include establishing a more efficient pension system, and further developing capital markets. The government has begun to identify major areas of legislative reform; eliminate obsolete laws; and deal with commercial law, investment, leasing, acquisition of property by foreigners, and tax petitions. The upcoming free trade agreements that Egypt is negotiating with the European Union (EU) and, more recently, the United States, will bring about major opportunities. With these agreements, Egypt will gain access to the world’s two largest markets and investors will view Egypt as a manufacturing base for exports to these markets. The agreements will also accelerate the improvement of trade and investment procedures in line with best international practices. Egypt already offers major advantages to investors. With a population of 60 million and a per capita income of more than $1,000, Egypt represents a large market in its own right. It also has very good relations with other countries in the Middle East and North Africa, thus offering advantages in exporting to the region. And the wage rate of the Egyptian labor force of about $3 per day is highly competitive for capable, productive workers. 154 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Table 84: Profile of Egypt Egypt M. East and North Africa Lower-Middle Income POVERTY and SOCIAL 1997 Population, mid-year (millions) GNP per capita (Atlas method, US$) GNP (Atlas method, US$ billions) 60.3 1,180 71.2 Average annual growth, 1991-97 Population (%) Labor force (%) Most recent estimate (latest year available, 1991-97) Urban population (% of tota l population) Life expectancy at birth (years) Infant mortality (per 1,000 live births) Child malnutrition (% of children under 5) Access to safe water (% of population) Illiteracy (% of population age 15+) Gross primary enrollment (% of school-age population) 283 2,060 583 2.0 2.8 2.3 3.2 1.2 1.3 45 66 51 9 64 49 100 57 67 48 .. 71 39 97 42 69 36 .. 84 19 111 KEY ECONOMIC RATIOS and LONG-TERM TRENDS Environment Forests Deforestation Water use CO2 emissions Energy use per capita Electricity use per capita Labor force: total: by occupation: agriculture services, including government Industry Unemployment rate: 0 thousands of sq. km 0.0 % change (1990-1995) 94.5 % of total resources 1.7 metric tons per capita 638 kg of oil equivalent per capita 924 kWh per capita 17.4 million (1996 est.) 40%, 38%, 22% (1990 est.) 9.4% (1997 est.) 155 2,285 1,230 2,818 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Budget: Revenues: Expenditures: Including capital expenditures of $4 billion (FY96/97 est.) Industries: Industrial production growth rate: Electricity—capacity: Electricity—production: Electricity—consumption per capita: 778 kWh (1995) Agriculture—products: Exports : Total value: Commodities: Partners: Imports: Total value: Commodities: $19.2 billion $19.8 billion, textiles, food processing, tourism, chemicals, petroleum, construction, cement, and metals .5% (1996 est.) 13.04 million kW (1995) 48.5 billion kWh (1995) cotton, rice, corn, wheat, beans, fruits, vegetables; cattle, water buffalo, sheep, goats; annual fish catch about 140,000 metric tons $5.1 billion (f.o.b., FY96/97 est.) crude oil and petroleum products, cotton yarn, raw cotton, textiles, metal products, chemicals EU, US, Japan Partners: $15.5 billion (c.i.f., FY96/97 est.) machinery and equipment, foods, fertilizers, wood products, durable consumer goods, capital goods US, EU, Japan Debt—external: $30.5 billion (1996/97 est.) Economic aid: Recipient: ODA, $1.713 billion (1993) Currency: Exchange rates: 1 Egyptian pound (£E) = 100 piasters Egyptian pounds (£E) per US$1—3.4 Fiscal year: 1 July—30 June 156 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 1976 13.4 28.4 22.3 16.7 .. -10.2 0.5 47.6 6.4 .. .. GDP (US$ billions) Gross domestic investment/GDP Exports of goods and services/GDP Gross domestic savings/GDP Gross national savings/GDP Current account balance/GDP Interest payments/GDP Total debt/GDP Total debt service/exports Present value of debt/GDP Present value of debt/exports 1986 35.9 23.7 15.7 13.8 .. -9.4 2.4 84.8 8.4 .. .. 1996 67.6 16.6 20.2 10.8 15.8 1.6 1.5 46.3 11.5 30.9 105.0 1997 75.5 17.7 20.2 13.0 18.8 0.6 1.0 39.7 8.9 .. .. (average annual growth) GDP GNP per capita Exports of goods and services 1976-86 7.1 3.7 2.7 1987-97 4.0 2.3 5.9 1996 5.0 3.6 1.6 1997 5.5 3.1 2.4 1998-02 5.2 4.0 10.4 STRUCTURE of the ECONOMY (% of GDP) Agriculture Industry Manufacturing Services Private consumption General government consumption Imports of goods and services 1976 28.3 26.2 16.1 45.5 58.5 24.8 34.0 1986 20.8 26.8 13.3 52.4 69.6 16.5 25.6 1996 17.3 31.6 24.3 51.1 78.8 10.4 26.0 1997 17.7 31.8 25.2 50.5 76.8 10.2 24.9 1976-86 3.0 8.4 .. 9.7 6.2 5.0 6.9 3.2 6.4 1987-97 2.8 4.5 4.9 3.8 4.7 0.5 -0.4 2.4 4.4 1996 3.1 4.9 6.9 5.6 3.6 2.4 9.7 1.6 5.5 1997 3.4 4.6 8.3 6.4 3.9 4.8 10.4 1.9 6.1 1986 .. 12.8 1996 8.3 9.0 1997 4.6 6.2 Average annual growth Agriculture Industry Manufacturing Services Private consumption General government consumption Gross domestic investment Imports of goods and services Gross national product PRICES and GOVERNMENT FINANCE Domestic prices (% change) Consumer prices Implicit GDP deflator 1976 .. 12.5 Government finance 157 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents (% of GDP, includes current grants) Current revenue Current budget balance Overall surplus/deficit .. .. .. 21.3 -14.2 -23.1 25.1 2.5 -1.3 23.7 2.9 -0.9 1976 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1986 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1996 4,608 110 230 1,314 14,107 2,955 .. 4,100 127 145 87 1997 4,930 107 164 1,304 14,718 3,193 .. 4,029 128 145 89 TRADE (US$ millions) Total exports (fob) Cotton Other Agriculture Manufactures Total imports (cif) Food Fuel and energy Capital goods Export price index (1995=100) Import price index (1995=100) Terms of trade (1995=100) Trade and finance trade as share of PPP GDP trade growth less GDP growth high-technology exports net barter terms of trade present value of debt total debt service short term debt aid per capita 18.5 % -0.6 average % (1987-1997) 7 % of manufactured exports 103 (1995=100) 21,265 $ millions 1,928 $ millions 2,991 $ millions 32 $ BALANCE of PAYMENTS (US$ millions) Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Resource balance Net income Net current transfers Current account balance Financing items (net) Changes in net reserves 1976 3,319 5,182 -1,863 -342 842 -1,363 1,049 314 1986 6,494 11,825 -5,331 -1,021 2,995 -3,357 3,533 -176 1996 15,245 17,541 -2,296 539 2,842 1,085 -515 -570 1997 15,644 20,342 -4,698 253 4,146 -299 2,211 -1,912 .. 0.5 1,780 1.1 17,867 3.4 19,657 3.4 Memo: Reserves including gold (US$ millions) Conversion rate (DEC, local/US$) 158 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents EXTERNAL DEBT and RESOURCE FLOWS (US$ millions) Total debt outstanding and disbursed IBRD IDA Total debt service IBRD IDA 1976 6,357 50 126 267 3 1 1986 30,415 1,228 827 837 243 12 1996 31,299 1,075 1,090 2,283 272 23 1997 29,979 869 1,206 1,871 297 24 Composition of net resource flows Official grants Official creditors Private creditors Foreign direct investment Portfolio equity 910 841 122 61 0 0 1,712 534 0 0 1,324 -17 19 -376 636 0 .. -157 .. .. 197 78 0 78 4 74 617 369 114 256 141 115 172 108 192 -84 102 -186 75 260 241 19 80 -61 World Bank program Commitments Disbursements Principal repayments Net flows Interest payments Net transfers Note: 1997 data are preliminary estimates. Geography Area: Total Land Water 1,001,450 sq. km 995,450 sq. km 6,000 sq. km Land boundaries Total border countries 2,689 km Gaza Strip 11 km, Israel 255 km, Libya 1,150 km, Sudan 1,273 km Maritime claims contiguous zone continental shelf exclusive economic zone territorial sea 24 NM 200-m depth or to the depth of exploitation 200 NM 12 NM Climate desert; hot, dry summers with moderate winters Terrain vast desert plateau interrupted by Nile valley and delta Elevation extremes lowest point highest point Qattara Depression -133 m Mount Catherine 2,629 m 159 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Natural resources petroleum, natural gas, iron ore, phosphates, manganese, limestone, gypsum, talc, asbestos, lead, zinc Land use arable land permanent crops permanent pastures forests and woodland Other 2% 0% 0% 0% 98% (1993 est.) Irrigated land 32,460 sq. km (1993 est.) Environment— current issues agricultural land being lost to urbanization and windblown sands; increasing soil salinization below Aswan High Dam; desertification; oil pollution threatening coral reefs, beaches, and marine habitats; other water pollution from agricultural pesticides, raw sewage, and industrial effluents; very limited natural fresh water resources away from the Nile which is the only perennial water source; rapid growth in population overstraining natural resources Environment— party to Biodiversity, Climate Change, Desertification, Endangered Species, Environmental Modification, Hazardous Wastes, Law of the Sea, Marine Dumping, Nuclear Test Ban, Ozone Layer Protection, Ship Pollution, Tropical Timber 83, Tropical Timber 94, Wetlands, Whaling signed, but not ratified. Geography—note Government type Controls Sinai Peninsula, only land bridge between Africa and remainder of Eastern Hemisphere; controls Suez Canal, shortest sea link between Indian Ocean and Mediterranean Sea; size, and juxtaposition to Israel, establish its major role in Middle Eastern geopolitics Republic National capital Cairo Administrative divisions 26 governorates (muhafazat, singular—muhafazah); Ad Daqahliyah, Al Bahr al Ahmar, Al Buhayrah, Al Fayyum, Al Gharbiyah, Al Iskandariyah, Al Isma'iliyah, Al Jizah, Al Minufiyah, Al Minya, Al Qahirah, Al Qalyubiyah, Al Wadi al Jadid, Ash Sharqiyah, As Suways, Aswan, Asyut, Bani Suwayf, Bur Sa'id, Dumyat, Janub Sina', Kafr ash Shaykh, Matruh, Qina, Shamal Sina', Suhaj Independence National holiday Constitution 28 February 1922 (from UK) Anniversary of the Revolution, 23 July (1952) 11 September 1971 160 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Legal system Based on English common law, Islamic law, and Napoleonic codes; judicial review by Supreme Court and Council of State (oversees validity of administrative decisions); accepts compulsory ICJ jurisdiction, with reservations Suffrage 18 years of age; universal and compulsory Executive branch Chief of state Head of government Cabinet Elections President Mohammed Hosni MUBARAK (since 14 October 1981) Prime Minister Kamal Ahmed El-GANZOURI (since 4 January 1996) Cabinet appointed by the president President nominated by the People's Assembly for a six-year term, the nomination must then be validated by a national, popular referendum; national referendum last held 4 October 1993 (next to be held NA October 1999); prime minister appointed by the president Election results National referendum validated President Mubarak's nomination by the People's Assembly to a third term Legislative branch Bicameral system consists of the People's Assembly or Majlis alSha'b (454 seats; 444 elected by popular vote, 10 appointed by the president; members serve five-year terms) and the Advisory Council or Majlis al-Shura—which functions only in a consultative role (264 seats; 176 elected by popular vote, 88 appointed by the president; members serve NA-year terms) 161 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Elections Election results People's Assembly—last held 29 November 1995 (next to be held NA 2000); Advisory Council—last held 7 June 1995 (next to be held NA) People's Assembly—percent of vote by party—NDP 72%, independents 25%, opposition 3%; seats by party—NDP 317, independents 114, NWP 6, NPUG 5, Nasserist Arab Democratic Party 1, Liberals 1; Advisory Council—percent of vote by party— NDP 99%, independents 1%; seats by party—NA Judicial branch Supreme Constitutional Court Political parties and leaders National Democratic Party (NDP), President Mohammed Hosni MUBARAK, leader, is the dominant party; Legal opposition parties Khalid MUHI AL-DIN; Socialist Liberal Party, Mustafa Kamal MURAD; Democratic Unionist Party, Mohammed 'Abd-alMun'im TURK; Umma Party, Ahmad al-SABAHI; Misr al-Fatah Party (Young Egypt Party), le ader NA; Nasserist Arab Democratic Party, Dia' al-din DAWUD; Democratic Peoples' Party, Anwar AFIFI; The Greens Party, Kamal KIRAH; Social Justice Party, Muhammad 'ABDAL-'AL International organizations ABEDA, ACC, ACCT (associate), AfDB, AFESD, AG (observer), AL, AMF, BSEC (observer), CAEU, CCC, EBRD, ECA, ESCWA, FAO, G-15, G-19, G-24, G-77, IAEA, IBRD, ICAO, ICC, ICRM, IDA, IDB, IFAD, IFC, IFRCS, IHO, ILO, IMF, IMO, Inmarsat, Intelsat, Interpol, IOC, IOM, ISO, ITU, MINURSO, MONUA, NAM, OAPEC, OAS (observer), OAU, OIC, OSCE (partner), PCA, UN, UNCTAD, UNESCO, UNIDO, UNITAR, UNMIBH, UNMOP, UNOMIG, UNOMIL, UNPREDEP, UNRWA, UPU, WFTU, WHO, WIPO, WMO, WToO, WtrO Communications Telephones 2.2 million (1993) Telephone system Large system by Third World standards but inadequate for present requirements and undergoing extensive upgrading Principal centers at Alexandria, Cairo, Al Mansurah, Ismailia, Suez, are connected by coaxial cable and microwave radio relay Domestic 162 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents International satellite earth stations—2 Intelsat (Atlantic Ocean and Indian Ocean), 1 Arabsat, and 1 Inmarsat; 5 coaxial submarine cables; tropospheric scatter to Sudan; microwave radio relay to Israel; participant in Medarabtel Radio broadcast stations Radios Television broadcast stations Televisions AM 39, FM 6, short-wave 0 NA 41 5 million (1993 est.) Transportation Railways Total Standard gauge Highways Total Paved Unpaved Waterways 4,751 km 4,751 km 1,435-m gauge (42 km electrified; 951 km double track) 64,000 km 49,984 km 14,016 km (1996 est.) 3,500 km (including the Nile, Lake Nasser, Alexandria -Cairo Waterway, and numerous smaller canals in the delta); Suez Canal, 193.5 km long (including approaches), used by oceangoing vessels drawing up to 16.1 m of water Pipelines Crude oil 1,171 km; petroleum products 596 km; natural gas 460 km Ports and harbors Alexandria, Al Ghardaqah, Aswan, Asyut, Bur Safajah, Damietta, Marsa Matruh, Port Said, and Suez Merchant marine Total Ships by type Airports Airports— with paved runways Total Over 3,047 m 2,438 to 3,047 m 1,524 to 2,437 m 914 to 1,523 m Under 914 m Airports—with unpaved runways Total 161 ships (1,000 GRT or over) totaling 1,225,989 GRT/1,899,818 DWT Bulk 24, cargo 60, liquefied gas tanker 1, oil tanker 15, passenger 42, refrigerated cargo 1, roll-on/roll-off cargo 15, short-sea passenger 3 (1997 Est.) 89 (1997 est.) 70 11 39 15 2 3 (1997 est.) 19 163 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 2,438 to 3,047 m 1,524 to 2,437 m 914 to 1,523 m Under 914 m 2 2 6 9 (1997 est.) Heliports 2 (1997 est.) Military Military branches Military age Military manpower— availability Males age 15-49 Military manpower—fit for military service Males Military manpower— reaching military age annually Males Military expenditures— percent of GDP Army, Navy, Air Force, and Air Defense Command 20 years of age 17,350,925 (1998 est.) 11,247,896 (1998 est.) 683,868 (1998 est.) 8.2% (FY95/96) 164 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Annex 11: Documents in the Project File 1. Abt Associates Inc., 1998, Final Submittal of the Final Report on the Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project, (English and Arabic), Abt Associates Inc., Cairo, Egypt 2. Abt Associates Inc., 1997, Avenue of Sphinxes project analysis through the 3 phases, (English), Abt Associates Inc., Cairo, Egypt 3. Abt Associates Inc., 1997, Draft Submittal of the Final Report on the Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project, (English and Arabic), Abt Associates Inc., Cairo, Egypt 4. Abt Associates Inc., 1997, ICON Architecture Heritage Framework, (English), ICON Architecture, Boston Massachusetts, USA 5. Abt Associates Inc., 1996, Technical Proposal on the Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project - Submitted to the Ministry of Housin g, Utilities and Urban Communities (English), Abt Associates Inc., Cairo, Egypt 6. American Research Center in Egypt, 1996, Annual Report of American Research Center, (English), Cairo, Egypt 7. Bello, Carlos Dr., 1997, Review of Abt Associates Work in Luxor (English), Cairo, Egypt 8. Cabinet Office - Government of Egypt (GOE), 1997, Egypt and the 21st century, (Arabic), Cairo, Egypt 9. Cairo Times, 1997, Cairo Times, Article on Luxor, (English), Cairo, Egypt 10. Cairo University, 1996, Workshop & Symposium on Radar imaging Training, (English), Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt 11. Camp Dresser Mckee (CDM), 1996, Action Plan For Institutional Developing of an Autonomous Local Water Wastewater Authority in Luxor., (English), Camp Dresser Mckee, Cairo, Egypt 12. Camp Dresser Mckee (CDM), 1996, Draft Environmental Assessment Report of Luxor City, (English), Camp Dresser Mckee Cairo, Egypt 13. Camp Dresser Mckee (CDM), 1997, Final Environmental Assessment Report of Luxor City, (English), Camp Dresser Mckee, Cairo, Egypt 14. Camp Dresser Mckee (CDM), 1996, A Priority Action Plan for Institutional Development of Autonomous Local Water Wastewater Authority, (English), Camp Dresser & Mckee, Cairo, Egypt 15. Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS), 1997, Preliminary Results of the 1996 Population Census , (Arabic), Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, Cairo, Egypt 16. Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS), 1987, Preliminary Results of the 1986 Census , (Arabic), Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, Cairo, Egypt 17. Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS), N/A, Population Estimates for Qena Government 1996/1996 , (Arabic), Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, Cairo, Egypt 18. Chemonics, 1996, Environmental Assessment Report for Luxor City, (English), Chemonics, Cairo, Egypt 19. Chemonics, 1996, Environmental Assessment, Report for Luxor City, (Arabic), Chemonics, Cairo, Egypt 20. Chemonics, 1996, Water & Wastewater Development Plans, (Arabic), Chemonics, Cairo, Egypt 21. Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority , 1992, Extracts from Annual Civil Aviation Report, (Arabic), Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority, Cairo, Egypt 22. Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority, 1993, Extracts from Annual Civil Aviation Report, (Arabic), Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority, Cairo, Egypt 23. Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority, 1994, Extracts from Annual Civil Aviation Report, (Arabic), Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority, Cairo, Egypt 165 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 24. Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority, 1995, Extracts from Annual Civil Aviation Report, (Arabic), Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority, Cairo, Egypt 25. Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority, 1996, Extracts from Annual Civil Aviation Report, (Arabic), Egyptian Civil Aviation Authority, Cairo, Egypt 26. Egypt Hotel Association, 1997, Egyptian Hotel Guide, (English), Cairo, Egypt 27. Egypt Official Newsletter, 1997, Extracts from Egypt Official Newsletter, (Arabic), Egypt Official Newsletter, Cairo, Egypt 28. Egyptian Geological Survey and Mining Authority (EGSMA), 1997, Geological & Land Use Study of East of Luxor, (Arabic), Egyptian Geological Survey and Mining Authority, Cairo, Egypt 29. Egyptian Geological Survey and Mining Authority (EGSMA), 1997, Geological & Land Use Study of West of Luxor, (Arabic), Egyptian Geological Survey and Mining Authority, Cairo, Egypt 30. El Gallala Company, N/A, Proposal for a hotel for the handicapped in New Thebes, (Arabic), Cairo, Egypt 31. El Kholie, Ahmed, 1997, Heritage Work Paper 1, (English), Cairo, Egypt 32. El Yousr Company, 1997, A New Hotel Construction Projects Benefits 33. Studies, (Arabic), El Yousr Company, Cairo, Egypt 34. Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University, 1997, Nile Cruising Plan Sector Aswan - Cairo, (Arabic), Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt 35. George Washington University, N/A, Hotel capacity and Growth Strategies for Red Sea Coast, (English), Washington, USA 36. HABITAT (UN), 1996, The HABITAT Agenda, (English), Cairo, Egypt 37. Higher Council for Luxor City (HCLC), N / A, Luxor in 21st Century, (Arabic), Luxor, Egypt 38. 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Weeks, Kent Dr., 1993, Conserving Egypt's cultural Heritage, (English), USA 76. Donor, 1996, Chapter from Donor Annual Report, (English), Internet, Internet, USA 77. Donor, 1996, Trends in Developing Economies, (English), USA 167 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents 78. Yassin, Mahmoud, N / A, Avenue of Sphinxes Papers, (Arabic), Cairo, Egypt 79. Yehia, Ahmed, N / A, Public Participation in the conservation, (English), Cairo, Egypt 168 The Comprehensive Development of the City of Luxor Project Final Structure Plan, Volume II: Supplementary Documents Prepared by: Ministry of Housing Utilities and Urban Communities/ Research and Studies Organization (MHUUC/RSO) United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Abt Associates Inc. ICON Architecture Baraka Trading and Investments Abt Associates Inc. staff who worked on the project included: Gabriel Abraham, Project Director Howard Kane, Senior Associate Alan Edmond, Senior Associate Dr. Ashraf Bakr, Senior Urban Planner Onsi Thomas Aghabi, Office Manager Dina Hassanballah, Junior Researcher ICON architecture, inc. team who worked on the project included: Jonathan Lane, Principal-in-Charge Matt Carpenter, Planner/Urban Designer Lucia Vasak, Urban Designer/Landscape Architect Socorro Alatorre, Landscape Architect Roxana Esparza, Landscape Architect Brian Goldson, Architect Andrew Kasper, Graphics support Randall Imai, Illustrative Drawings Baraka Trading and Investments staff who worked on the project included: Nasser Jawhary, Baraka Trading and Investment 169
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