LIUC 2008, R.Helg Monetary Poverty Extreme poverty around the world has been reduced since 1820 if we control for population increase. In absolute terms in has continuously increased between 1820 and 1980. After it has reduced World Poverty 1a: World population with less than 1.08 US$ (PPP) per day (old estimates) 1820 83,9 % 1929 56,3 1950 54,8 1960 44 1970 35,6 1980 31,5 1987* 28,3 1992 23,7 1998* 2005° 23,4 17,2 million 886,8 1149,7 1175,7 1230,7 1342,6 1431,2 1183,2 1176,0 1175,1 931,3 Source: Bourguignon e Morrison (2002), for * Chen e Ravallion (2001), for ° Chen,Ravallion (2008) World Poverty 1b: World population with less than 1.25 US$ (PPP) per day (new estimates) 1981 52,2 % million 1987 41,8 1993 38,9 1999 33,7 2005 25,7 1913,3 1718,2 1785,1 1695,4 1399,6 Source: Chen e Ravallion (2008) Non-Monetary Poverty Continuous reduction in all regions World Poverty 2: Human Development geographic areas (weighted average) Australasia North America Western Europe Eastern Europe Latin America Eastern Asia China Sourth Asia Africa Source: Crafts (2000) 1870 0.539 0.462 0.374 1913 0.784 0.729 0.606 0.278 0.236 0.055 1950 0.856 0.864 0.789 0.634 0.442 0.306 0.159 0.166 0.181 Index 1995 0.933 0.945 0.933 0.786 0.802 0.746 0.650 0.449 0.435 for LIUC 2008, R.Helg Three different approaches to measuring inequality in the world Main source of data Unit of observation Welfare concept National currency conversion Within-country distribution (inequality) Results: - 1820-1980 - 1980-2000 Concept 1: unweighted inter-national inequality National accounts Country GDP or GNP per capita Concept 2: weighted international inequality National accounts Country (weighted by its population) GDP or GNP per capita Concept 3: “true” world inequality Household surveys Individual Mean per capita disposable income or expenditures Market exchange rate or PPP exchange rate (but different PPP concepts used) Ignored Ignored Included Increase Increase Increase Reduction Increase Reduction Source: adapted from Milanovic (2002) LIUC 2008, R.Helg World Income Inequality 1: the long run (mean logarithmic deviation) 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 source: Bourguignon-Morrison 0.0 18 20 18 50 18 70 18 90 Within group inequality 19 10 19 29 19 50 Between group inequality 19 60 19 70 19 80 19 92 Total inequality World income inequality has continuously increased between 1820 and 1980. Note the inversion in relevance of the two components: between 1820 and 1930 within country inequality has been the most important component of world income inequality. After 1930 the leading component has become across country inequality. LIUC 2008, R.Helg World Income Inequality 2: the last 30 years (mean logarithmic deviation) 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 source: Sala-i-M artin (2002) 0.2 19 70 19 71 19 72 19 73 19 74 19 75 19 76 19 77 19 78 19 79 19 80 19 81 19 82 19 83 19 84 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 0.1 Within group inequality Betw een group inequality Total inequality In the last 20 years world income inequality has inverted its trend and started reducing. This evolution is mainly due to the fast convergence in per capita income between China (from 1980) and India (from 1990), on one side, and the developed countries, on the other. Note also the increase in the role played by within country inequality. LIUC 2008, R.Helg World Income Inequality 3: comparison of various studies (another measure: Gini coefficient) Fonte: Sala-i-Martin (2005) LIUC 2008, R.Helg Monetary Poverty in World Regions Fonte: Sala-i-Martin (2005)
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