HyCAMP
The effect of aerosols on the Himalayan Cryosphere – What do we
Know?
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba Shuba3
(1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur, (3.) IIT-Kharagpur
INDICE Final Workshop, NVE, Oslo
24 May, 2016
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
1 / (3.)
22
Project Partners
University of Oslo (Burkhart,
Tallaksen, Xu)
Norwegian Institute for Air
Research (Kylling)
IIT-Kharagpur (Verma)
IIT-Kanpur (Sharma)
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
2 / (3.)
22
Outline
1
Aerosols and the Cryosphere – Greenland Example.
2
Modeling hydrologic response to aerosols.
3
Climate Modeling in the Himalaya.
4
Summary and Outlook
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
3 / (3.)
22
Aerosols and the Cryosphere – Greenland Example.
What is the impact of Light Absorbing Aerosol over
Greenland?
"Climate change and forest fires synergistically drive widespread melt
events of the Greenland Ice Sheet"
- Keegan et al., 2014
"Contribution of light-absorbing impurities in snow to Greenland’s
darkening since 2009"
- Dumont et al., 2014
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
4 / (3.)
22
Aerosols and the Cryosphere – Greenland Example.
What is the impact of Light Absorbing Aerosol over
Greenland?
"Climate change and forest fires synergistically drive widespread melt
events of the Greenland Ice Sheet"
- Keegan et al., 2014
"Contribution of light-absorbing impurities in snow to Greenland’s
darkening since 2009"
- Dumont et al., 2014
"Neither dust nor black carbon causing apparent albedo decline in
Greenland’s dry snow zone"
Uncorrected Sensor Degradation Impacting MODIS C5 Results Polashenski et al., 2015
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
5 / (3.)
22
Aerosols and the Cryosphere – Greenland Example.
What is the impact of Light Absorbing Aerosol over
Greenland?
"Large uncertainties and lack of knowledge of Light Absorbing
Impurities (LAI) effect on snow albedo and snow melt."
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
6 / (3.)
22
Modeling hydrologic response to aerosols.
Motivation
Catchment discharge can be used
as integrated observation when
simulating the effect of LAI on the
snow albedo and snow melt.
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
7 / (3.)
22
Modeling hydrologic response to aerosols.
Motivation
We use a model chain to simulate
the effect on albedo and snow melt:
Catchment discharge can be used
as integrated observation when
simulating the effect of LAI on the
snow albedo and snow melt.
Atmospheric transport model
for Black Carbon (BC)
deposition
Distributed hydrological
catchment model
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
8 / (3.)
22
Modeling hydrologic response to aerosols.
A Norwegian Case Study
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
9 / (3.)
22
Modeling hydrologic response to aerosols.
A Norwegian Case Study
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
10 / (3.)
22
Modeling hydrologic response to aerosols.
A Norwegian Case Study
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
11 / (3.)
22
Modeling hydrologic response to aerosols.
A Norwegian Case Study
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
12 / (3.)
22
Modeling hydrologic response to aerosols.
A Norwegian Case Study
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
13 / (3.)
22
Modeling hydrologic response to aerosols.
A Norwegian Case Study
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
14 / (3.)
22
Climate Modeling in the Himalaya.
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
15 / (3.)
22
Climate Modeling in the Himalaya.
AOD Forcing over Himalaya
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
16 / (3.)
22
Climate Modeling in the Himalaya.
Anthropogenic AOD
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
17 / (3.)
22
Climate Modeling in the Himalaya.
BC Forcing on Glaciers
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
18 / (3.)
22
Summary and Outlook
Results
We have developed a new model that incorporates aerosol deposition
into an online hydrologic model
... even with low BC deposition in Norway there is an effect ...
... robust evaluation against two transport models ...
... sensativity studies to model paramaters ...
We have conducted climate simulations and demonstrated large
potential BC forcings over HKKH region ... next steps are to couple
the hydrologic model to the climate model output ...
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
19 / (3.)
22
Summary and Outlook
Outlook
Significant potential for large impacts from BC deposition over
Himalaya.
... large increases in Top of Atmosphere (TOA) forcing ...
... positive feedback to enhanced melting ...
... shift in timing of runoff ...
... implications for water balance ...
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
20 / (3.)
22
Summary and Outlook
Outlook
Higher resolution simulations to be conducted with new HyCAMP BC
emissions inventory for India (Paliwal et al., 2016)
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
21 / (3.)
22
Summary and Outlook
Thank you
John F. Burkhart1 , Felix Matt1 , Mukesh Sharma2 , Verba
HyCAMP
Shuba3 ((1.) University of Oslo, (2.) IIT-Kanpur,
22 / (3.)
22