Fall 2 012 The Penguin Press The Penguin Press Fall 2 012 Interventions/Kofi Annan with Nader Mousavizadeh............ 4 NW/Zadie Smith.................................................................... 6 Governing the World/Mark Mazower..................................... 8 The Signal and the Noise/Nate Silver.................................. 10 The Generals/Thomas E. Ricks............................................ 12 This Indian Country/Frederick E. Hoxie............................. 14 A Thousand Mornings/Mary Oliver...................................... 16 There Was a Country/Chinua Achebe................................. 18 Plutocrats/Chrystia Freeland............................................... 20 A Working Theory of Love/Scott Hutchins.......................... 22 What’s a Dog For?/John Homans....................................... 24 The Patriarch/David Nasaw................................................. 26 Excerpts: Fall 2012.............................................................. 29 The Penguin Press Authors................................................. 42 Reviewer Checklist............................................................... 44 Foreign Sub Rights.............................................................. 45 Ordering Information.......................................................... 46 interv entions a life in war and peace Kofi A nnan w ith nader Mousav izadeh A candid memoir of global statecraft during one of the most consequential eras of recent history Interventions is the inside story of a world at the brink. After forty years of service in the United Nations, former Secretary-General Kofi Annan shares his unique perspective of the terrorist attacks of September 11; the American invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan; the wars among Israel, Hezbollah, and Lebanon; the humanitarian tragedies of Somalia, Rwanda, and Bosnia; and the geopolitical transformations following the Cold War. With eloquence and unprecedented candor, Annan finally reveals his unique role and unparalleled perspective on decades of global politics. The first sub-Saharan African national to hold the position of secretary-general, Annan has led an incredible life, an amazing story in its own right. Annan’s idealism and personal politics were forged in the Ghana independence movements of his adolescence, when all of Africa seemed to be waking from centuries of imperial slumber. Schooled in Minnesota, Massachusetts, and Europe, Annan ultimately joined the United Nations in Geneva as the lowest level civil servant in the still young organization. Yet Annan rose rapidly through the ranks, and by the end of the 4 Cold War he was prominently placed in the rapidly changing department of peacekeeping. As Annan shows the successes of the United Nations around the world, he also reveals the organization’s missed opportunities and ongoing challenges—thwarted actions in the Rwanda genocide, continuing violence between Israelis and Palestinians, the endurance of endemic poverty, and much else. Yet Annan’s great strength in this book is his ability to embed these tragedies within the context of global politics; demonstrating how, time and again, the nations of the world have retreated from the UN’s radical mandate. Ultimately, Annan shows readers a world in which solutions are always available, in which all we lack is the will and courage to see them through. A personal biography of global statecraft, Annan’s Interventions is as much a memoir as it is a guide to world order—past, present, and future. marketing National author tour Pitch offsite lecture venues National and regional publicity and review coverage Political news media and print features Radio phoner campaign Op-eds at publication Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature B to B promotional push Tie-in to breaking news National advertising Available from Penguin Audio unabridged digital download 16 hours • 978-1-10-157949-7 @ $49.95/$52.50 Can. uk: the penguin press audio: penguin audio agent: the wylie agency infor m ation isbn: 978-1-59420-420-3 price: $36.00/$38.00 can. Photo © UN Photo/Sergey Bermeniev K O F I A N N A N was the seventh secretary-general of the United Nations—serving two terms between 1997 and 2006—and was the first to emerge from the ranks of the UN staff. In 2001, Kofi Annan and the United Nations were jointly awarded the Nobel Prize for Peace with the citation praising his leadership for “bringing new life to the organization.” Born in Ghana in 1938, Annan is the first sub-Saharan African national to hold the post of secretary-general. ean: 9781594204203 53600 category: biography pages: 512 trim: 6 1/8” x 9 1/4” rights: w00 on sale: 9/4/12 strict on sale Also available as an e-book NW A Novel Z adie Smith A new novel from Zadie Smith, set in Northwest London Somewhere in Northwest London stands Caldwell housing estate, relic of 70s urban planning. Five identical blocks, deliberately named: Hobbes, Smith, Bentham, Locke, and Russell. If you grew up here, the plan was to get out and get on, to something bigger, better. Thirty years later exCaldwell kids Leah, Natalie, Felix, and Nathan have all made it out, with varying degrees of success—whatever that means. Living only streets apart, they occupy separate worlds and navigate an atomized city where few wish to be their neighbor’s keeper. Then one April afternoon a stranger comes to Leah’s door seeking help, disturbing the peace, and forcing Leah out of her isolation. . . . From private houses to public parks, at work and at play, in this delicate, devastating novel of encounters, the main streets hide the back alleys, and taking the high road can sometimes lead to a dead end. Zadie Smith’s NW brilliantly depicts the modern urban zone—familiar to city dwellers everywhere—in a tragicomic novel as mercurial as the city itself. 6 PRAI S E fo r z a d i e sm ith “Ambitious, earnest and irreverent . . . Smith has a real talent for comedy and a fond eye for human foibles.” — the wall street journal “Smith has an astonishing intellect. She writes sharp dialogue for every age and race—and she’s funny as hell.” —newsweek marketing National author tour National and regional publicity and review coverage Fiction media and book page print features Radio phoner campaign Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature White Box mailing Shelf Awareness promotions National advertising Available from Penguin Audio unabridged • 8 cds, 9.5 hours 978-1-61176-115-3 @ $39.95/$42.00 can. audio: penguin audio agent: ap watt limited Also available changing my mind 978-0-14-311795-7 @ $16.00/$22.00 can. on beauty 978-0-14-303774-3 @ $15.00/$19.50 can. infor m ation isbn: 978-1-59420-397-8 price: $25.95/ncr ean: 9781594203978 52595 category: fiction pages: 320 Photo © Roderick Field trim: 6” x 9” rights: f25 Z A D I E S M I T H was born in Northwest London in 1975. She is the author of White Teeth, The Autograph Man, On Beauty, and the essay collection Changing My Mind. on sale: 9/4/12 strict on sale Also available as an e-book G ov erning the Wor l d T h e R i s e a n d Fa l l o f a n I d e a , 1815 to t h e P r e s e n t M ark M azow er A history of the project of world government, from the first post-Napoleonic visions of the brotherhood of man to the current crisis of global finance The Napoleonic Wars showed Europe what sort of damage warring states could do. But how could sovereign nations be made to share power and learn to look beyond their own narrow interests? The old monarchs had one idea. Mazzini and the partisans of nationalist democracy had another, and so did Marx and the radical Left. It is an argument that has raged for two hundred years now, and Mark Mazower tells its history enthrallingly in Governing the World. With each era, the stakes have grown higher as the world has grown smaller and the potential rewards to cooperation and damage from conflict have increased. As Mark Mazower shows us, each age’s dominant power has set the tune, and for nearly a century that tune has been sung in English. He begins with Napoleon’s defeat, in 1815, when England, Russia, Austria, and Prussia formed the Concert of Europe. Against this, there emerged many of the ideas that would shape the international institutions of the twentieth century–liberal nationalism, communism, the expertise of the scientist and the professional international lawyers. Mazower traces these ideas into the Great War through to the League of Nations. He explains how the League 8 collapsed when confronted by the atrocities of the Third Reich, and how a more hard-nosed approach to international governance emerged in its wake. The United Nations appeared in the aftermath of Pearl Harbor, and a war-fighting alliance led by Great Britain and the United States was ultimately what transformed into an international peacetime organization. Mazower examines the ideas that shaped the UN, the compromises and constraints imposed by the Cold War and its transformation in the high noon of decolonization. The 1970s ushered in a sea change in attitudes to international government through the emergence of a vision of globalized capitalism in the 1970s that marginalized the UN itself and utilized bodies like the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and the World Trade Organization—the final acts of AngloAmerican institution-building. But the sun is setting on Anglo-American dominance of the world’s great international institutions. We are at the end of an era, Mazower explains, and we are passing into a new age of global power relations, a shift whose outcome is still very much in question. marketing National media campaign Pitch offsite lecture venues National and regional publicity and review coverage History/political news media and print features Radio phoner campaign Op-eds at publication Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature B to B promotional push Tie-in to breaking news audio: the penguin press agent: the wylie agency Also available hitler’s empire 978-0-14-311610-3 @ $20.00/$25.00 can. Photo © Sarah Lee infor m ation M A R K M A Z O W E R is the Ira D. Wallach Professor of History at Columbia University. He is the author of Hitler’s Greece: The Experience of Occupation, 1941-44, Dark Continent: Europe’s Twentieth Century, The Balkans: A Short History (which won the Wolfson Prize for History), Salonica: City of Ghosts (which won both the Duff Cooper Prize and the Runciman Award), and Hitler’s Empire: Nazi Rule in Occupied Europe. He has also taught at Birkbeck College, University of London, Sussex University and Princeton. He lives in New York. isbn: 978-1-59420-349-7 price: $25.95/$27.50 can. ean: 9781594203497 52595 category: history/world pages: 304 trim: 5 1/2” x 8 1/4” rights: w11 on sale: 9/13/12 the signa l and the noise W h y m o s t P r e d i c t i o n s Fa i l—b u t S o m e D o n ’ t N ate Si lv er Statistician, political analyst, and FiveThirtyEight.com founder Nate Silver debunks the myths of prediction in subjects ranging from the financial market to weather to sports to politics Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger—all by the time he was thirty. The New York Times now publishes FiveThirtyEight.com, where Silver is one of the nation’s most influential political forecasters. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data. Most predictions fail, often at great cost to society, because most of us have a poor understanding of probability and uncertainty. Both experts and laypeople mistake more confident predictions for more accurate ones. But overconfidence is often the reason for failure. If our appreciation of uncertainty improves, our predictions can get better too. This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future. In keeping with his own aim to seek truth from data, Silver visits the most successful forecasters in a range of areas, from hurricanes to baseball, from the poker table to the stock market, 10 from Capitol Hill to the NBA. He explains and evaluates how these forecasters think and what bonds they share. What lies behind their success? Are they good—or just lucky? What patterns have they unraveled? And are their forecasts really right? He explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions. And sometimes, it is not so much how good a prediction is in an absolute sense that matters but how good it is relative to the competition. In other cases, prediction is still a very rudimentary—and dangerous—science. Silver observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability, and they tend to be both humble and hardworking. They distinguish the predictable from the unpredictable, and they notice a thousand little details that lead them closer to the truth. Because of their appreciation of probability, they can distinguish the signal from the noise. With everything from the health of the global economy to our ability to fight terrorism dependent on the quality of our predictions, Nate Silver’s insights are an essential read. marketing National author tour Pitch offsite lecture venues National and regional publicity and review coverage Economic/technology/political/ sports media and print features Radio phoner campaign Op-eds at publication Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature B to B promotional push Tie-in to election coverage Tie-in to breaking news National advertising first serial, audio, uk, translation: the penguin press agent: the susan rabiner literary agency Available from Penguin Audio unabridged digital download 11 hours • 978-1-10-159007-2 @ $39.95/$42.00 can. infor m ation isbn: 978-1-59420-411-1 price: $27.95/$29.50 can. ean: 9781594204111 52795 Photo © Robert Gauldin category: economics/ philosophy/politics N A T E S I L V E R is a statistician, writer, and founder of pages: 352 The New York Times political blog FiveThirtyEight.com. Silver also developed PECOTA, a system for forecasting baseball performance that was bought by Baseball Prospectus. He was named one of the world’s 100 Most Influential People by Time magazine. He lives in Brooklyn, New York. trim: 6 1/8” x 9 1/4” rights: w00 on sale: 9/27/2012 Also available as an e-book the G enera l s A m e r i c a n M i l i t a r y c o m m a n d f r o m w o r l d w a r II t o t o d a y T homas E . R icks From the #1 bestselling author of Fiasco and The Gamble, an epic history of the decline of American military leadership from World War II to Iraq History has been kinder to the American generals of World War II—Marshall, Eisenhower, Patton, and Bradley—than to the generals of the wars that followed. Is this merely nostalgia? In The Generals, Thomas E. Ricks answers the question definitively: No, it is not, in no small part because of a widening gulf between performance and accountability. During the Second World War, scores of American generals were relieved of command simply for not being good enough. Today, as one American colonel said bitterly during the Iraq War, “As matters stand now, a private who loses a rifle suffers far greater consequences than a general who loses a war.” In The Generals we meet great leaders and suspect ones, generals who rose to the occasion and those who failed themselves and their soldiers. Marshall and Eisenhower cast long shadows over this story, but it has no more inspiring single figure than Marine General O. P. Smith, whose fighting retreat from the Chinese onslaught into Korea in the winter of 1950 snatched a kind of victory from the jaws of annihilation. But Smith’s courage and genius in the face of one of the grimmest scenarios the marines have faced in their history only cast the shortcomings of the people who put him there 12 in sharper relief. If Korea showed the first signs of culture that neither punished mediocrity nor particularly rewarded daring, the Vietnam War saw American military leadership bottom out. The My Lai massacre, Ricks shows us, is the emblematic event of this dark chapter of our history. In the wake of Vietnam a battle for the soul of the U.S. Army was waged with impressive success. It became a transformed institution, reinvigorated from the bottom up. But if the body was highly toned, its head still suffered from familiar problems, resulting in tactically savvy but strategically obtuse leadership that would win battles but end wars badly from the first Iraq War of 1990 through to the present. Thomas E. Ricks has made a close study of America’s military leaders for three decades, and in his hands this story resounds with larger meaning: about the transmission of values, about strategic thinking, about the difference between an organization that learns and one that fails. Military history of the highest quality, The Generals is also essential reading for anyone with an interest in the difference between good leaders and bad ones. marketing National author tour Pitch offsite lecture venues National publicity and review coverage Political/military news media and print features Radio phoner campaign Op-eds at publication Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature B to B promotional push Tie-in to breaking news National advertising audio, uk: the penguin press agent: the wylie agency Also available fiasco 978-0-14-303891-7 @ $16.00/$20.00 can. the gamble 978-0-14-311691-2 @ $17.00/$21.00 can. Photo Courtesy of Foreign Policy Magazine infor m ation T H O M A S E . R I C K S is a fellow at the Center for isbn: 978-1-59420-404-3 a New American Security and a contributing editor of Foreign Policy magazine, in which he writes the blog The Best Defense. Ricks covered the U.S. military for The Washington Post from 2000 through 2008. Until the end of 1999 he had the same beat at The Wall Street Journal, where he was a reporter for seventeen years. A member of two Pulitzer Prize-winning teams, he has covered U.S. military activities in Somalia, Haiti, Korea, Bosnia, Kosovo, Macedonia, Kuwait, Turkey, Afghanistan, and Iraq. He is the author of several books, including The Gamble and the #1 New York Times bestseller Fiasco, which was a finalist for the Pulitzer Prize. price: $36.00/$38.00 can. ean: 9781594204043 53600 category: history/ military/general pages: 576 trim: 6 1/8” x 9 1/4” rights: w00 on sale: 9/18/12 strict on sale Also available as an e-book T his I ndian C o u ntry American Indian Activists and the Place They Made Penguin History of A merican Life F rederick e . Hox ie A history of Indian political activism told through the inspiring stories of the men and women who defined and defended American Indian political identity In the newest volume of the award-winning Penguin History of American Life series, Frederick E. Hoxie forms a bold counternarrative to the typical understanding of Native American history. This is not a tale of bloody and doomed battles with settlers and the U.S. Army, which casts Native Americans as mere victims of U.S. expansionism. Instead, This Indian Country describes how, for more than two hundred years, Native American political activists have petitioned courts and campaigned for public opinion, seeking redress and change from the American government. Hoxie focuses each of his chapters on people who advanced this struggle in important ways. These figures—some famous, many unknown— hoped to bridge the distance between indigenous cultures and the republican democracy of the United States through legal and political debates. Many of these figures wielded no political power in their own time, but the cumulative product of their efforts has profoundly shaped the modern political 14 landscape. They defined a new language of “Indian rights” and created a vision of American Indian identity. In the process, they entered into a dialogue with other activist movements, from African American civil rights movements to women’s rights and other progressive organizations. Hoxie weaves a compelling narrative that connects the individual to the tribe, the tribe to the nation, and the nation to broader historical processes. He asks readers to think deeply about how a country based on the republican values of liberty and equality managed to adapt to the complex cultural and political demands of people who refused to be ignored. As we grapple with contemporary challenges to national institutions, from inside and outside our borders, and as we reflect on the array of shifting national and cultural identities across the globe, This Indian Country provides a context and a language for understanding our present dilemmas. marketing Pitch offsite lecture venues National and regional publicity and review coverage History/political/Native American news media and print features Radio phoner campaign Op-eds at publication Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature first serial, audio, uk, translation: the penguin press Photo Courtesy of University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign agent: university of illinois F R E D E R I C K e . H O X I E is the Swanlund Professor of History and a professor of law at the University of Illinois, where he specializes in Native American history. He is the author of several books, most recently Talking Back to Civilization. He served as the general editor of The American Indians, a twenty-three-volume series that has sold more than two million copies, and as the series editor (with Neal Salisbury) for Cambridge Studies in American Indian History. Professor Hoxie is a founding trustee of the Smithsonian Institution’s National Museum of the American Indian and a former president of the American Society for Ethnohistory. He received his undergraduate degree from Amherst College and his Ph.D. from Brandeis University. infor m ation isbn: 978-1-59420-365-7 price: $32.95/$35.00 can. ean: 9781594203657 53295 category: history/ native american pages: 496 trim: 6 1/8” x 9 1/4” rights: w00 on sale: 10/25/12 a tho u sand M ornings poems M ary Ol i v er Mornings with the Pulitzer Prize-winning poet Mary Oliver In A Thousand Mornings, Mary Oliver returns to the imagery that has come to define her life’s work, transporting us to the marshland and coastline of her beloved home, Provincetown, Massachusetts. In these pages, Oliver shares the wonder of dawn, the grace of animals, and the transformative power of attention. Whether studying the leaves of a tree or mourning her adored dog, Percy, she is ever patient in her observations and open to the teachings contained in the smallest of moments. Our most precious chronicler of physical landscape, Oliver opens our eyes to the nature within, to its wild and its quiet. With startling clarity, humor, and kindness, A Thousand Mornings explores the mysteries of our daily experience. 16 Pr a ise fo r M a ry O liver “Oliver’s poems are thoroughly convincing—as genuine, moving, and implausible as the first caressing breeze of spring.” — the new york times book review “[Mary Oliver] teaches us the profound act of paying attention—a living wonder that makes it possible to appreciate all the others.” —renée loth, the boston globe marketing National author tour Select events with Billy Collins National and regional publicity and review coverage Poetry media and author print features Radio phoner campaign Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature Direct-to-bookseller promotions White Box mailing National advertising agent: charlotte sheedy literary agency infor m ation Photo © Rachel Glese Brown isbn: 978-1-59420-477-7 Born in a small town in Ohio, M ary O liver published her first book of poetry in 1963 at the age of twenty-eight. Over the course of her long career, she has received numerous awards. Her fourth book, American Primitive, won the Pulitzer Prize for Poetry in 1984. She has led workshops and held residencies at various colleges and universities, including Bennington College, where she held the Catherine Osgood Foster Chair for Distinguished Teaching. Oliver currently lives in Provincetown, Massachusetts. price: $24.95/$26.50 can. ean: 9781594204777 52495 category: poetry pages: 96 trim: 5” x 8” rights: e00 on sale: 10/11/12 Also available as an e-book T here Was a C o u ntry A Personal History of Biafra C hin ua Ache be From the legendary author of Things Fall Apart comes a longawaited memoir about coming of age with a fragile new nation, then watching it torn asunder in a tragic civil war The defining experience of Chinua Achebe’s life was the Nigerian civil war, also known as the Biafran War, of 1967–1970. The conflict was infamous for its savage impact on the Biafran people, Chinua Achebe’s people, many of whom were starved to death after the Nigerian government blockaded their borders. By then, Chinua Achebe was already a world-renowned novelist, with a young family to protect. He took the Biafran side in the conflict and served his government as a roving cultural ambassador, from which vantage he absorbed the war’s full horror. Immediately after, Achebe took refuge in an academic post in the United States, and for more than forty years he has maintained a considered silence on the events of those terrible years, addressing them only obliquely through his poetry. Now, decades in the making, comes a towering reckoning with one of modern Africa’s most fateful events, from a writer whose words and courage have left an enduring stamp on world literature. 18 Achebe masterfully relates his experience, both as he lived it and how he has come to understand it. He begins his story with Nigeria’s birth pangs and the story of his own upbringing as a man and as a writer so that we might come to understand the country’s promise, which turned to horror when the hot winds of hatred began to stir. To read There Was a Country is to be powerfully reminded that artists have a particular obligation, especially during a time of war. All writers, Achebe argues, should be committed writers—they should speak for their history, their beliefs, and their people. Marrying history and memoir, poetry and prose, There Was a Country is a distillation of vivid firsthand observation and forty years of research and reflection. Wise, humane, and authoritative, it will stand as definitive and reinforce Achebe’s place as one of the most vital literary and moral voices of our age. marketing New York City launch event National media campaign National and regional publicity and review coverage History/political news media and print features Radio phoner campaign Op-eds at publication Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature Tie-in to breaking news National advertising first serial: the penguin press audio: penguin audio agent: the wylie agency Also available from Penguin Audio unabridged • 8 cds, 10.5 hours 978-1-61176-116-0 @ $39.95/$42.00 can. infor m ation Photo © Jerry Bauer C hinua A chebe was born in Nigeria in 1930. He has published novels, short stories, essays, and children’s books. His volume of poetry Christmas in Biafra was the joint winner of the first Commonwealth Poetry Prize. Of his novels, Arrow of God won the New Statesman-Jock Campbell Award, and Anthills of the Savannah was a finalist for the 1987 Booker Prize. Things Fall Apart, Achebe’s masterpiece, has been published in fifty different languages and has sold more than ten million copies internationally since its first publication in 1958. Achebe is the recipient of the Nigerian National Merit Award, Nigeria’s highest award for intellectual achievement. In 2007, he won the Man Booker International Prize. isbn: 978-1-59420-482-1 price: $27.95/$29.50 can. ean: 9781594204821 52795 category: history/africa/ general & biography/ autobiography/ personal memoirs pages: 352 trim: 6 1/8” x 9 1/4” rights: w00 on sale: 10/11/12 Also available as an e-book Pl u tocrats The Rise of the New Global Super- Rich a n d t h e Fa l l o f E v eryo n e El s e C hrystia F ree l and A deeply researched and profoundly timely exposé of income inequality Alarmingly insightful and refreshingly nonpartisan, Plutocrats is the missing piece in our political conversation, a groundbreaking examination of wealth disparity. There has always been some gap between rich and poor in this country, but in the last few decades what it means to be rich has changed dramatically. While the wealthiest 10 percent of Americans now receive half the nation’s income—the largest percentage in our history—the real money flows even higher up. Forget the 1 percent; it’s the wealthiest .1 percent who are outpacing the rest of us at breakneck speed. What’s changed is more than numbers. Instead of inheritance, today’s colossal fortunes are amassed by the diligent toiling of smart, perceptive businesspeople who see themselves as deserving victors in a cut-throat international competition. As a transglobal class of highly successful professionals, today’s self-made oligarchs often have more in common with one another than with their countrymen back home. Cracking open this tight-knit world is Chrystia Freeland, an acclaimed business journalist on both sides of the Atlantic. At ease in Davos or Dubai, Freeland has reported on the lives and minds 20 of these new super elites for nearly a decade. Grounding her interviews in the economics and history of modern capitalism, Freeland provides countless examples of the new wealth and its consequences. She reveals the internal Citigroup memo that urges clients to design portfolios around the international “Plutonomy” and not the national “rest”; discusses the auction of a massive ex-Soviet steel mill contested between a Luxembourg company, an Indian company registered in the Netherlands, and a consortium of Russians and Ukranian companies; showcases the three-million-dollar birthday party of a New York financier months before the financial meltdown; and details the closed-door 2005 SEC meeting in which the U.S. government allowed investment banks to write their own regulatory laws, with devastating consequences. A consummate journalist and industry specialist, Freeland dissects the lives of the world’s wealthiest individuals with empathy, intelligence, and deep insight. Brightly written and powerfully researched, Freeland’s Plutocrats will be a lightning rod event in the midst of this contested election season. marketing National media campaign Pitch offsite lecture venues National and regional publicity and review coverage Economic/business/financial/ political news media and print features Radio phoner campaign Op-eds at publication Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature B to B promotional push Tie-in to breaking news audio: the penguin press agent: the zoe pagnamenta agency, llc infor m ation isbn: 978-1-59420-409-8 price: $27.95/ncr ean: 9781594204098 52795 Photo © Thomson Reuters C hrystia F reeland is the global editor at large at Reuters news agency, following years of service at the Financial Times both in New York and London. She was the deputy editor of Canada’s The Globe and Mail and has reported for the Financial Times, The Economist, and The Washington Post. Freeland’s last book was Sale of a Century: The Inside Story of the Second Russian Revolution. She lives in New York City. category: business & economics pages: 304 trim: 6 1/8” x 9 1/4” rights: n43 on sale: 10/11/12 Also available as an e-book A Working T heory of Lov e Scott H u tchins A wildly inventive, major literary debut about a disaffected man who learns—with the help of a sentient computer that speaks in his deceased father’s voice—to make peace not just with his past but with his future Settled back into the San Francisco singles scene following the implosion of his young marriage just months after the honeymoon, Neill Bassett is going through the motions. His carefully modulated routine, however, is soon disrupted in ways he can’t dismiss with his usual nonchalance. When Neill’s father committed suicide ten years ago, he left behind thousands of pages of secret journals, journals that are stunning in their detail, and, it must be said, their complete banality. But their spectacularly quotidian details, were exactly what artificial intelligence company Amiante Systems was looking for, and Neill was able to parlay them into a job, despite a useless degree in business marketing and absolutely no experience in computer science. He has spent the last two years inputting the diaries into what everyone hopes will become the world’s first sentient computer. Essentially, he has been giving it language—using his father’s words. Alarming to Neill—if not to the other employees of Amiante— the experiment seems to be working. The computer actually appears to be gaining awareness and, most disconcerting of all, has started asking questions about Neill’s childhood. 22 Amid this psychological turmoil, Neill meets Rachel. She was meant to be a one-night stand, but Neill is unexpectedly taken with her and the possibilities she holds. At the same time, he remains preoccupied by unresolved feelings for his ex-wife, who has a talent for appearing at the most unlikely and unfortunate times. When Neill discovers a missing year in the diaries—a year that must hold some secret to his parents’ marriage and perhaps even his father’s suicide—everything Neill thought he knew about his past comes into question, and every move forward feels impossible to make. With a lightness of touch that belies pitchperfect emotional control, Scott Hutchins takes us on an odyssey of love, grief, and reconciliation that shows us how, once we let go of the idea that we’re trapped by our own sad histories—our childhoods, our bad decisions, our miscommunications with those we love—we have the chance to truly be free. A Working Theory of Love marks the electrifying debut of a prodigious new talent. marketing BEA promotions Bookseller pre-tour National author tour National and regional publicity and review coverage Fiction media and book page print features Radio phoner campaign Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature Promotional video Direct-to-bookseller promotions White Box mailing Shelf Awareness promotions National advertising agent: william morris endeavor entertainment, llc infor m ation isbn: 978-1-59420-505-7 price: $25.95/$27.50 can. Photo © Michael Shindler - Photobooth ean: 9781594205057 52595 category: fiction/general pages: 304 S cott H U T C H I N S , a Truman Capote Fellow in the Wallace Stegner Program at Stanford University, received his MFA from the University of Michigan. His work has appeared in StoryQuarterly, The Rumpus, The New York Times, and Esquire. He currently teaches at Stanford. trim: 6” x 9” rights: e30 on sale: 10/2/12 strict on sale Also available as an e-book What ’ s a D og F or ? T h e S u r p r i s i n g H i s to r y, S c i e n c e , P h i l o s o p h y, and Politics of Man’s Best Friend John Homans A Lab mix named Stella inspires an investigation into the complex world of dogs, from battles over animal rights and designer breeds to the ever-evolving nature of the human-canine relationship John Homans adopted his dog, Stella, from a shelter for all the usual reasons: fond memories of dogs from his past, a companion for his son, an excuse for long walks around the neighborhood. Soon enough, she is happily ensconced in the daily workings of his family. And not only that: Stella is treated like a family member—in ways that dogs of his youth were not. Spending humanlike sums on vet bills, questioning her diet and exercise regimens, contemplating her happiness—how had this all come to pass, when the dogs from Homans’s childhood seemed quite content living mostly out in the yard? In What’s a Dog For?, Homans explores the dog’s complex and prominent place in our world and how it came to be. Evolving from wild animals to working animals to nearly human members of our social fabric, dogs are now the subject of serious scientific studies concerning pet ownership, evolutionary theory, and even cognitive science. From new insights into what makes dogs so appealing to humans to the health benefits associated with owning a dog, Homans investigates why the human-canine relationship has evolved so 24 rapidly—how dogs moved into our families, our homes, and sometimes even our beds in the span of a generation, becoming a $53 billion industry in the United States in the process. As dogs take their place as coddled family members and their numbers balloon to more than seventy-seven million in the United States alone, it’s no surprise that canine culture at large is also undergoing a massive transformation. They are now subject to many of the same questions of rights and ethics as people, and the politics of dogs are more tumultuous and public than ever— with fierce moral battles raging over kill shelters, puppy mills, and breed standards. Incorporating interviews and research from scientists, activists, breeders, and trainers, What’s a Dog For? investigates how dogs have reached this exalted status and why they hold such fascination for us. With one paw in the animal world and one paw in the human world, it turns out they have much to teach us about love, death, and morality—and ultimately, in their closeness and difference, about what it means to be human. marketing National media campaign National and regional publicity and review coverage Lifestyle/family/pet/science media and print features Radio phoner campaign Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature Tie-in to media stories audio: the penguin press agent: kuhn projects, llc infor m ation isbn: 978-1-59420-515-6 price: $25.95/ncr ean: 9781594205156 52595 category: pets/dogs/general Photo © Randy Harris pages: 256 J ohn H omans has been the executive editor of New York magazine since 1994, and previously worked at Esquire, Details, Harper’s, and the New York Observer. He lives with his wife, son, and dog, Stella, in Manhattan. This is his first book. trim: 6 1/8” x 9 1/4” rights: n00 on sale: 11/8/12 Also available as an e-book T he Patriarch t h e r e m a r k a b l e l i f e a n d t u r b u l e n t t i m e s o f j o s e p h p. k e n n e d y Dav id N asaw Celebrated historian David Nasaw brings to life the story of Joseph Patrick Kennedy, in this, the first and only biography based on unrestricted and exclusive access to the Joseph P. Kennedy papers Joseph Patrick Kennedy—whose life spanned the First World War, the Roaring Twenties, the Great Depression, the Second World War, and the Cold War—was the patriarch of America’s greatest political dynasty. The father of President John F. Kennedy and senators Robert and Edward Kennedy, “Joe” Kennedy was an indomitable and elusive figure whose dreams of advancement for his nine children were matched only by his extraordinary personal ambition and shrewd financial skills. Trained as a banker, Kennedy was also a Hollywood mogul, a stock exchange savant, a shipyard manager, the founding chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, and ambassador to London during the Battle of Britain. Though his incredible life encompasses the very heart of the American century, Joseph Kennedy has remained shrouded in rumor and prejudice for decades. Drawing on never-before-published material from archives on three continents, David Nasaw— the renowned biographer of Andrew Carnegie and William Randolph Hearst—unearths a man far more complicated than the popular portrait. Was Kennedy an appeaser and isolationist, an 26 anti-Semite and Nazi sympathizer, a stock swindler, a bootlegger, and a colleague of mobsters? Did he push his second son into politics and then buy his elections for him? Why did he have his daughter Rosemary lobotomized? Why did he oppose the Truman Doctrine, the Marshall Plan, the Korean War, and American assistance to the French in Vietnam? What was his relationship to J. Edgar Hoover and his FBI? How did he influence his son’s politics and policies in the White House? In this groundbreaking biography Nasaw ignores the tired old answers surrounding Kennedy, starting from scratch to discover the truth behind this misunderstood man. Though far from a saint, Joseph Kennedy in many ways exemplifies the best in American political, economic, and social life. His ragsto-riches story is one of exclusion and quiet discrimination overcome by entrepreneurship, ingenuity, and unshakable endurance. Kennedy’s story deserves to be told in full, with no holds barred, and Nasaw’s magnificent The Patriarch is the first book to do so. marketing National author tour Pitch offsite lecture venues National and regional publicity and review coverage History/political news media and print features Radio phoner campaign Op-eds at publication Online and social network promotions Comprehensive Internet/ blog campaign Penguin.com book feature B to B promotional push Tie-in to breaking news National advertising audio, agent: the wylie agency Also available from Penguin Audio unabridged digital download 21.5 hours 978-1-10-159008-9 @ $49.95/$52.50 can. Also available andrew carnegie 978-0-14-311244-0 @ $20.00/$24.00 can. infor m ation isbn: 978-1-59420-376-3 price: $40.00/$42.00 can. Photo © Peter Aaron ean: 9781594203763 54000 D avid N asaw is the author of Andrew Carnegie, category: biography which was a New York Times Notable Book of the Year and a finalist for the Pulitzer Prize, and The Chief: The Life of William Randolph Hearst, a finalist for the National Book Critics Circle Award for Biography and winner of the Bancroft Prize in History. He is the Arthur M. Schlesinger, Jr. Professor of History at the Graduate Center of the City University of New York. pages: 832 trim: 6 1/8” x 9 1/4” rights: e00 on sale: 11/13/12 strict on sale Also available as an e-book Excer pts from interv entions Kofi Annan with nader mousaviz adeh I had, in my own way, been disabused of the notion that the international community could fully understand the forces at play in closed societies, during a visit to Pakistan in 2000, which coincided with the Taliban’s destruction of the Bamiyan Buddha statues. I was in Islamabad meeting with the man who represented the Taliban to outsiders as “its foreign minister,” Wakil Ahmad Mutawakil. I was staying at the Marriot Hotel (which, in 2008, was destroyed in an Al Qaeda bombing), and as the Taliban delegation entered my suite, I knew that we were dealing with an entirely new phenomenon in international affairs. Six young men, several of them barely out of their twenties, bearded and wearing traditional Afghan robes, walked in, seemingly engaging in their first meeting with a diplomat of any kind. A few of them appeared barely to understand even the translation of the conversation, and Mutawakil himself had only one, tellingly bizarre, reply to my different appeals for a halt to the destruction of the Buddhas: “Under our laws, nothing we do can be considered illegal.” And when I warned them that their behavior could lead to further sanctions, including a ban on international travel by their leaders, Mutawakil looked puzzled and responded: “Travel? Why would we travel? We 30 don’t want to go anywhere.” The Buddhas were only an element of our meeting, however. Having long provided crucial humanitarian assistance to the Afghan population, the UN needed assurances that we could continue our work without being attacked. Mutawakil, in this case, pledged his support, and this gave me the opening for what I knew would be a sensitive issue—just how sensitive, I was about to discover. I had been asked—in a highly sensitive and confidential request— to inquire of Mutawakil about the presence in Afghanistan of a man still in those days referred to as UBL—Osama bin Laden. Were there any circumstances under which the Taliban leadership would agree to an exchange involving this individual? I made clear that this was a high priority and that meaningful goodwill would accrue to the Taliban if such an arrangement could be arrived at. From Mutawakil’s response—and his look, combining fear and outrage in equal measure—the extent of UBL’s influence in Afghanistan became clear. There was no question whatsoever of an exchange involving their “honored guest,” he said, as plainly as he could manage. The meeting came to an abrupt end, but the memory stayed with me. from NW Zadie Smith 1 The fat sun stalls by the phone masts. Anticlimb paint turns sulfurous on school gates and lampposts. In Willesden people go barefoot, the streets turn European, there is a mania for eating outside. She keeps to the shade. Redheaded. On the radio: I am the sole author of the only dictionary that defines me. A good line—write it out on the back of a magazine. In a hammock, in the garden of a basement flat. Fenced in, on all sides. Four gardens along, in the estate, a grim girl on the third floor screams Anglo-Saxon at nobody. Juliet balcony, projecting for miles. It ain’t like that. Nah it ain’t like that. Don’t you start. Fag in hand. Fleshy, lobster red. I am the sole I am the sole author Pencil leaves no mark on magazine pages. Somewhere she has read that the gloss gives you cancer. Everyone knows it shouldn’t be this hot. Shriveled blossom and bitter little apples. Birds singing the wrong tunes in the wrong trees too early in the year. Don’t you bloody start! Look up; the girl’s burned paunch rests on the railing like a separate animal. As Michel has it: not everyone can be invited to the party. Not this century. Cruel opinion—she doesn’t share it. In marriage not everything is shared. Yellow sun high in the sky. Blue cross on white stick, clear, definitive. Michel is at work. He is still at work. I am the the sole Ash drifts into the garden below, then comes the butt, then the box. Louder than the birds and the trains and the traffic. Sole sign of sanity: a tiny device tucked in the ear. I told im stop takin liberties. Where’s my check? And she’s in my face chattin breeze. Fuckin liberty. I am the sole. The sole. The sole She unfurls her fist, lets the pencil roll. Takes her liberty. Nothing else to listen to but this bloody girl. At least with eyes closed there is something else to see. Viscous black specks. Darting water boatmen, zigzagging. Zig. Zag. Red river? Molten lake in hell? The hammock tips. The Sundays flop to the ground. World events and property and film and music lie in the grass. Also sport and the short descriptions of the dead. 2 Doorbell! She stumbles through the grass barefoot, sun-huddled, drowsy. The back door leads to a poky kitchen, tiled brightly in the taste of a previous tenant. The bell is not simply being rung. It is being held down. In the double glazing, a body, blurred. Wrong collection of pixels to be Michel. Between her body and the door, the hallway, golden in reflected sun. Floorboards like wheat fields seen from a plane. This hallway can only lead to good things. Yet a woman is screaming PLEASE and crying. A woman thumps the front door with her fist. Pulling the lock aside, she finds it stops halfway, the chain pulls tight, and the woman’s hand flies through the gap. from G OV E R N I NG T H E WOR L D M ark M a zower A fascinating argument between Karl Marx and Giuseppe Mazzini, so important for understanding developments in international affairs through the Cold War, begins in the vigorous intellectual jousting of Victorian radical politics. In their arguments, one sees the outlines of two visions of internationalism, the one based on the principle of national selfdetermination within a capitalist system, the other on Communist internationalism. Each would find superpower backing in the twentieth century. Something like a real exchange of opinions between the two men only emerged following the bloody suppression of the Paris Commune in May 1871. At the time of the actual fighting in the French capital between forces loyal to the Commune and the army of the new Third Republic, Marx had had little to say; but his subsequent pamphlet eulogizing the Commune was very widely read. Marx had concluded that the Commune’s failure illustrated the dangers of premature revolution. But the finer details of his analysis escaped the new French minister of foreign affairs, Jules Favre, who immediately gave Marx and the International Working Men’s Association valuable publicity by calling on his colleagues to help stamp out the International—“a society breeding war and hatred.” As a result, Marx’s revolutionary 32 proletarian internationalism was now in the spotlight, even though it had had nothing really to do with the Commune and certainly did not propose to emulate its example. Mazzini saw the Paris Commune as an antinational and fragmentary autonomist movement that had and would lead to moral catastrophe. The civil war between the French horrified him. Marx and the International, he agreed with Favre, were part of the problem. In 1872 his anger and concern spilled over into a public denunciation in the Contemporary Review. Mazzini argued that “the only rational method of organization among the working classes of Europe would be one which would recognize the sacredness of Nationality,” and claimed he had refused to join the International because it violated this principle. Not surprisingly, Marx laughed when an American journalist suggested that Mazzini was an influence, saying he “represented nothing better than the old idea of a middle-class republic.” The struggle of ideas between Mazzini and Marx is important because the principles they stood for shaped the rivalry that began in 1917 between Woodrow Wilson and Lenin for leadership of a postimperial world. But history rarely proceeds in straight lines, and in fact both creeds dropped in popularity from their mid-century heyday. from the signa l and the noise N at e Si lver When you’re dealing with fields like sports or politics that depend on human behavior, nothing is ever absolutely certain. First, you must think about the world probabilistically: in percentages rather than absolutes. How likely is a candidate to win, for instance, if he’s ahead by five points in the polls? It turns out the answer depends significantly on the type of race that he’s involved in. The farther down the ballot you go, the more volatile the polls tend to be: polls of House races are less accurate than polls of Senate races, which are in turn less accurate than polls of presidential races. Polls of primaries are also considerably less accurate than general election polls. And polls become more accurate the closer you get to Election Day. A Senate candidate with a five-point lead on the day before the election, for instance, should win his race about 95 percent of the time. By contrast, a five-point lead a year before the election translates to just a 59 percent chance of winning—barely better than a coin flip. It’s very easy to look at an election, see that one candidate is ahead in all or most of the polls, and determine that he’s the favorite to win. What becomes much trickier is in determining exactly how much of a favorite he is. Our brains, wired to detect patterns, are always looking for a signal, when this instead requires an appreciation of how noisy the data is. Second, a model should adapt to new information. The FiveThirtyEight forecasts are revised every week, and sometimes every day, based on new polling and other data that comes in. That doesn’t necessarily mean that there are wild shifts from day to day. On the contrary, a well-designed forecasting model will often be fairly stable. But to be as accurate as possible, you must account for as much new information as possible. Although the media often overreacts to new developments—forgetting that an election is a marathon rather than a sprint—professional forecasters are hesitant to swallow their pride and change their forecast even when the information demands it. Third, cast a wide net. Rather than rely on any one particular piece of evidence, incorporate different types of information together. Simply taking an average of polls, for instance— rather than relying on any one of them—can reduce your error by about 25 percent. Also incorporate nonpolling information, such as demographic data, economic data, or past election results, especially in cases where polls are known to be less reliable. from the GE N E R A Ls Thomas E. Ricks It is forgotten now that for the United States, World War II had begun with a series of dismissals across the top ranks of the military. Less than two weeks after the attack on Pearl Harbor, Admiral Husband Kimmel and Army Lieutenant General Walter Short were jettisoned from their posts in the Pacific, along with Major General Frederick Martin, Short’s air commander. Even less remembered is that Kimmel, who had been an aide to Assistant Secretary of the Navy Franklin D. Roosevelt, held the post only because his predecessor, Admiral James Richardson, had been fired by the president a year earlier. The following year, the 32nd Division’s Major General Edwin Harding was relieved by General Douglas MacArthur, along with many of his regimental and battalion commanders. When Lieutenant General George Kenney arrived to take over the air operation in the Pacific in mid-1942, his first act was to remove five generals he deemed to be “deadwood,” along with forty colonels and lieutenant colonels. The officer presiding over this ruthless system of personnel management was General George C. Marshall, who back in Washington was winnowing the ranks of the army, forcing dozens of generals into retirement because he believed they were too old and slow to lead soldiers in combat. “I hate to think that fifty years from now practically nobody 34 will know who George Marshall was,” President Franklin Roosevelt once remarked to General Dwight Eisenhower. Though hardly remembered by the public today, George C. Marshall not only was the senior American general of World War II, he was also, effectively, the founding father of the modern American military. Marshall formally became chief of staff of the U.S. Army on September 1, 1939, the day that Germany invaded Poland. On that day, the U.S. military was “not even a third-rate military power”—the phrase he actually used later in an official Pentagon report to illustrate its prewar state. Under Marshall’s leadership the American armed forces became the modern, expeditionary, mechanized military that it is today. Far more than Patton, MacArthur, or even Eisenhower, this “coolly impersonal” man, as his subordinate Albert Wedemeyer called him, shaped the military of his time so profoundly that his work lives into the twenty-first century. Specifically, Marshall’s unusual and very American concept of what sort of person constitutes a good general still influences the promotions today’s leaders bestow on younger officers. It would be difficult to understand today’s army without knowing about Marshall’s career and especially his powerful sense of duty and honor. from T H I S I N DI A N COU N T RY Frederick E. Hoxie At the end of the eighteenth century, the Choctaws were the first tribe to abandon their southeastern homeland in exchange for new lands in the west. They were also the first to see older, negotiated agreements with the United States replaced with new treaties that resembled commercial contracts. The tribe recognized that it needed something more to protect itself than the wisdom of elders. They no longer needed a chief; they needed a lawyer. For a brief moment in 1824, James McDonald was that lawyer. His short career marks the birth of a new approach to federal power, and the beginning of an American Indian political activism that would inspire tribal leaders across the continent. In 1824, McDonald guided a Choctaw delegation in negotiations with the U.S. government. In three months, the delegates accomplished their principal mission of protecting their Mississippi homeland and of extracting the highest possible price for the Arkansas territory forced on them five years earlier. Despite their success, the Choctaw delegates realized that the larger predicament of Indian tribes had grown more dangerous. The 1824 presidential election had proven that Andrew Jackson, while unsuccessful, was a popular candidate. And both President-elect Adams and vice president, Calhoun, made it clear that they would not oppose a program of Indian removal. In February 1825, with an eye to this uncertain landscape, the Choctaw delegates, probably led by McDonald, crafted an open letter to Congress. The letter was a plea for sympathy and support, but it articulated ideas that would become central to Native American political activists for the next 180 years. The Choctaw memorial argued that the American state and the tribe shared a common set of political values: “those principles of liberty and equality which have ever been dear to us.” As a consequence, the American government and American laws—the embodiments of the young nation’s commitment to “liberty and equality”—should protect the tribe from greedy settlers and politicians who pandered to them. The delegates argued that the nation’s deepest political commitments would inspire its leaders to recognize the Choctaws’ “rights.” This central assertion marked a stunning shift in political consciousness. The Choctaw leaders were staking their future on the proposition that American “civilization” itself could underwrite the Native American future. For the first time, a political thinker had defined a space for Indians within the boundaries of the U.S. nation-state. from a thousand MOR N I NG S Mary Oliver The First Time Percy Came Back The first time Percy came back he was not sailing on a cloud. He was loping along the sand as though he had come a great way. “Percy,” I cried out, and reached to him— those white curls— but he was unreachable. As music is present yet you can’t touch it. “Yes, it’s all different,” he said. “You’re going to be very surprised.” But I wasn’t thinking of that. I only wanted to hold him. “Listen,” he said, “I miss that too. And now you’ll be telling stories of my coming back and they won’t be false, and they won’t be true, but they’ll be real.” And then, as he used to, he said, “Let’s go!” And we walked down the beach together. 36 from T H E R E WA S A COU N T RY Chinua Achebe The Nigeria-Biafra War was arguably the first fully televised conflict in history. It was the first time scenes and pictures—blood, guts, severed limbs— from the war front flooded into homes around the world through television sets, radios, newsprint, in real time. It probably gave television evening news its first chance to come into its own and invade without mercy the sanctity of people’s living rooms with horrifying scenes of children immiserated by modern war. One of the silver linings of the conflict (if one can even call it that) was the international media’s presence throughout the war. The sheer amount of media attention on the conflict led to an outpouring of international public outrage at the war’s brutality. There were also calls from various international agencies for action to address the humanitarian disaster overwhelming the children of Biafra. Said Baroness Asquith in the British House of Lords, “Thanks to the miracle of television we see history happening before our eyes. We see no Igbo propaganda; we see the facts.” Following the blockade imposed by the Nigerian government, “Biafra” became synonymous with the tear-tugging imagery of starving babies with blown-out bellies, skulls with no subcutaneous fat harboring pale, sunken eyes in sockets that betrayed their suffering. Someone speaking in London in the House of Commons or the House of Lords would talk about history’s happening all around them, but for those of us on the ground in Biafra, where this tragedy continued to unfold, we used a different language . . . the language and memory of death and despair, suffering and bitterness. The agony was everywhere. The economic blockade put in place by Nigeria’s federal government resulted in shortages of every imaginable necessity, from food and clean water to blankets and medicines. The rations had gone from one meal a day to one meal every other day—to nothing at all. Widespread starvation and disease of every kind soon set in. The suffering of the children was the most heart-wrenching. from PLU TOC R ATS Chrystia Freeland You might say that the American plutocracy is experiencing its John Galt moment. Libertarians (and run-of-the-mill high-school nerds) will recall that Galt is the plutocratic hero of Ayn Rand’s 1957 novel Atlas Shrugged. Tired of being dragged down by the parasitic, envious, and less talented lower classes, Galt and his fellow capitalists revolted, retreating to “Galt’s Gulch,” a refuge in the Rocky Mountains. There, they passed their days in secluded splendor while the rest of the world, bereft of their genius and hard work, collapsed. That was, of course, a fiction, with as much bodice ripping as economics. But versions of Galt’s Gulch are starting to show up in more sober venues. On December 6, 2011, the day Barack Obama made income inequality the theme of a speech in Osawatomie, Kansas, Ed Yardeni, an economist and investment adviser, devoted his influential daily post to a 1 percent fantasy of extraterrestrial immigration: “We may need an escape plan if Europe blows up and if President Barack Obama spends the next 11 months campaigning rather than presiding. Just in the nick of time, NASA . . . has found a new planet, Kepler-22b. It is the most Earth-like yet. . . . Those of us who favor fiscal discipline, small governments, and low taxes might consider moving 38 there and starting over.” Meanwhile, a few plutocrats are actually trying to build a real Galt’s Gulch here on earth. The Seasteading Institute hopes to construct man-made islands in the international waters of the ocean, beyond the legal reach of any national government. These oases, where the rich would be free to prosper unrestrained by the grasping of the 99 percent, are the brain child of Milton Friedman’s grandson. Some plutocrats are worried about the eventual political consequences of the intellectual divide between them and everyone else. Mohamed El-Erian, the Pimco CEO, is a model member of the super-elite. But he is also a man whose Egyptian father grew up in a house without running water, and he has studied nations where the gaps between the rich and the poor have had violent resolutions. “No nation can tolerate for long excessive shifts in income and wealth inequalities as they tear at the fabric of society,” he wrote to me in an e-mail. “Think of this simple analogy—that of an increasingly fancy house in a poor and deteriorating neighbourhood.” El-Erian worried that his fellow plutocrats weren’t paying enough attention to the foreclosures down the block, though: “Some elites live astonishingly sheltered lives.” from A WOR K I NG T H EORY OF LOV E scott hutchins At home, my mind spinning with hours of talk, I definitely wouldn’t say I feel good. I feel on edge. I feel lonely. I feel like I’ve spent the day lying—to whom, I’m not sure. Of course, lying is the game. We lie to Dr. Bassett so he’ll lie to a judge who will, we hope, fall for it. That’s the definition of intelligence: deception. Successful deception. Modestly successful deception. Thirty percent! That’s where our patron saint Alan Turing set the bar when he invented the test. He pulled the number out of the air, but it’s an argument about human relations. I always attributed this soft cynicism to his biography: first he was the finest code breaker for the British during World War II—a kind of spy—then in the 1950s he became a broken code himself. They prosecuted him for homosexuality and then took away everything. His career, his independence, his masculinity (he was ordered by the court to undergo estrogen therapy, i.e., chemical castration), his ability to travel. It’s hard not to imagine Turing, a brilliant man, stripped of everything, his athlete’s body growing fat around the waist, growing breasts, thinking of the others he knew, the men like him who still managed to survive in the world, and admiring deceit as the highest human art. But maybe I’ve oversimplified. After all, Turing proposed the test long before he was prosecuted. He saw something important in that number, some benchmark of success. If you can give a person just enough so that 30 percent of the time they believe you’re who they want you to be—intelligence. I can’t say he’s wrong. If Erin and I could have managed 30 percent we’d still be married. In fact, 30 percent looks demanding. We’d have made it with 15 or 20. My father? We’d have made it with 5. What percentage did he and Libby have? As for me and Rachel, maybe I was setting the bar too high. Was I aiming for 40 percent? Fifty? Eight? It’s possible I was striving in the wrong direction. Maybe I should seek more delusion, self and other. That way I can tumble in safety— like some Mr. Magoo of the spirit— through life’s dangers. Poor Turing—if he could have just launched fifty years into the future. Right now he could be down in the Castro, sipping a gin and tonic at Moby Dick’s. I wonder if he would change his definition of intelligence. from W H AT ’ S A DOG FOR ? John Homans There is plenty of found comedy in the cognitive dissonance of treating Stella as if she were a human being; it is a sitcom we are constantly in the process of rewriting, but the laughter is of the slightly uncomfortable variety, because underneath, we mean it—she’s treated as a person, part of our human group, in some ways, and as a dog in others. But the boundaries of these categories were unclear, and constantly shifting. Over time, I came to think that what seemed like a mistake—your dog is not a human being!—was actually a mystery, giving rise to a series of cascading questions that were never far from my thoughts. Who, or what, is she? What went on in her head? And what was going on in my head that I couldn’t help but treat her as something she clearly wasn’t? As time went on, I learned that the dog’s honorary personhood was a kind of battleground, and not just in my thoughts. The fact that the dog is a dog and not a person, but is treated like a person in many ways is, to start with, a recipe for misunderstanding, miscommunication, and interspecial neurotic interchange. With Stella’s arrival, I started to pay attention to the vast people-are-from-Mars, dogs-are-from-Venus industry, trainers and books and TV shows, devoted to addressing this issue, all 40 with different prescriptions but trying to bridge the same gap. The dominant mode of dog literature these days is not about dog training, necessarily, but about how to better understand your dog. And there’s an even bigger industry trying to confuse the issue, because what’s considered partly a person gets a better—and more expensive—brand of dog food than one that isn’t. Beneful, that doggie junk food, even has an ad that’s directed specifically at dogs, using insidious dogwhistle-type sounds to attract your dog’s attention. In New York, there are dog bakeries, haberdashers, and luxury kennels, everything that the marketing mind can dream up—a vast and ever-growing junkyard of kitsch, with names (“paw-tisserie,” etc.) that are more annoying than the products themselves, if that’s even possible. I don’t think there is anything wrong with buying your dog all this stuff—it’s nothing more dire than a game of dress-up—though it’s probably prudent to ask whom it’s being bought for. The dog doesn’t care if it’s wearing a funny hat or traveling in a sequined dog purse—no one loses anything but their dignity. Treating your dog as a person can be a kind of aesthetic error—one that’s becoming ever more common. from T H E PAT R I A RC H Davi d Nasaw “The last three nights in London have been simply hell,” Joseph Kennedy wrote home on September 10, 1940. “Last night I put on my steel helmet and went up on the roof of the Chancery and stayed up there until two o’clock in the morning watching the Germans come over in relays every ten minutes and drop bombs, setting terrific fires. You could see the dome of St. Paul’s silhouetted against a blazing inferno that the Germans kept adding to from time to time by flying over and dropping more bombs. 14 Prince’s Gate [the American ambassador’s residence] has just missed being hit . . .” That day and the next, Kennedy hurriedly dictated letters to friends, business associates, and Rose and the children. As had become his habit now, he broke his tale of life in London into pieces and advised the children to swap letters with one another to get the whole story. He was, he assured them all, neither frightened nor alarmed. “I am completely a fatalist about bombing accidents,” he wrote Rose. “I don’t think anything is going to happen to me, and for that reason it doesn’t worry me the slightest bit . . . ” He held tight to his earlier promise to himself that he would not leave England with its short-term fate undecided. “With all my desire to get home, I feel I must see this through.” He reported truthfully to the children on the devastation caused by the daily bombing, but did so with a light touch so as not to frighten them into thinking that their father was in mortal danger. “For a man with a weak stomach these last three days have proven very conclusively that you can worry about much more important things than whether you are going to have an ulcer or not,” he wrote Jack. “I am feeling very well. Haven’t the slightest touch of nervousness. . . . The only thing I am afraid of is that I won’t be able to live long enough to tell all that I see and feel about this crisis. When I hear these mental midgets talking about my desire for appeasement and being critical of it, my blood fairly boils. What is this war going to prove? And what is it going to do to civilization? The answer to the first question is nothing; and to the second I shudder even to think about it . . . Good luck to you Boy, and I hope to see you soon.” the peng u in press a u thors 42 Chinua Achebe Paula Broadwell Rana Dasgupta Jon Gertner Jennifer Ackerman Emma Brockes Andrew Delbanco Nassir Ghaemi Liaquat Ahamed Philip Delves Broughton Wendy Doniger Camilla Gibb Daniel Akst Christopher Brown Pamela Druckerman Robin Givham Patrick Allitt Richard Brown Thomas Dyja Edward Glaeser Adam Alter Ronald Brownstein William Easterly Charles Glass Jon Lee Anderson Frank Bruni Susan Elderkin Al Gore Kofi Annan James MacGregor Burns Jordan Ellenberg Philip Gourevitch Kate Ascher Bryan Burrough Martha Elliott Francine du Plessix Gray Ken Auletta Ian Buruma Mark Epstein Paul Greenberg Ian Baker Colleen Morton Busch Richard J. Evans Jan Crawford Greenburg Dan Barber David M. Buss Jon Fasman Joshua Greene James R. Barrett James T. Campbell Stefan Fatsis Julie Greene Roy F. 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