Understanding Space Weather Effects with Distributed Sensor Systems Richard Welle Space Science Applications Laboratory 3 April, 2017 © The Aerospace Corporation 2017 Terrestrial Weather • Terrestrial weather environment: – – – – – – – • Temperature Pressure Moisture content Precipitation Cloud cover Fog Wind AeroCube-4 image Terrestrial Weather is any time-variation in the environment – Driven by a combination of uneven solar heating and the rotation of Earth 2 Space Weather • Space environment includes – Electric and magnetic fields – Energetic particles (electrons, ions, neutrons) – Energetic photons NASA image: /www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/during-first-year-van-allen-probes-find-third-belt • Van Allen Belts – Existence postulated prior to space age – Existence confirmed by Explorer 1 and Explorer 3 in 1958 – Detailed structure still being mapped • Space Weather is any time-variation in the space environment – Typically driven by solar variations (predominantly EUV, X-ray, and solar wind), with a contribution due to the rotation of the Earth 3 Comparison of Space and Terrestrial Weather • Space weather takes place primarily in the Van Allen belts • – Van Allen belts extend up to about eight Earth radii and have about 50,000 times the volume of the troposphere • Space weather has very limited (or no) effect on day-to-day activities for most people – Routine space weather does affect design and routine operations of spacecraft – Rare extreme events can have much more extensive impact – in space and on the ground • Space weather is monitored by limited set of satellite-based and ground-based sensors – Stationary in-situ space weather sensors are impossible except in geosynchronous orbit 4 Essentially all terrestrial weather takes place within troposphere – Troposphere extends up to about 20 km above the surface (less at high latitudes) • Terrestrial weather has limited effect on day-to-day activities except for extreme events • Terrestrial weather is monitored by dense network of stationary and moving in-situ and remote sensors Space-Weather Sensors • Targets: – – – – – • Charged particle number densities Charged particle composition Charged particle energy spectra Electric fields Magnetic fields In-situ sensors – Point observations at the location of the sensor – Volume mapping by recording data as sensor moves in orbit • Complicated by time variations in environment that are short compared to single-satellite revisit time • Remote sensors – Line-of-sight measurements on electromagnetic radiation propagating through environment – GPS-Radio Occultation measures refraction of GPS signals to infer total electron content along path 5 Sensor Deployment Options Dedicated SpaceWeather Satellite Hosted Payload Free-Flying • • • Pros – Available satellite infrastructure – Cost – Robust – Multiple sensor suite – Orbit selection • Cons – Cost – Flight frequency 6 Pros • Cons – Volume, mass, and power limits – Communication limits – Orbit selection Pros – – – – • Flight frequency Rapid design iteration Volume manufacture Cost Cons Volume, mass, and power limits Communication limits AeroCube 6 Two similar spacecraft, flying experimental dosimeters • • • Launched as a 1-U CubeSat – split into two 0.5U CubeSats Sun-pointing for power (anti-sun pointing for instruments) Three dosimeters measure ionizing radiation from energetic particles, from <50 keV up to 100 MeV – Increase TRL for micro-dosimeters – Fly new class of micro-dosimeters – Space weather experiment Combined 1U Dosimeter Evolution Historical Current Experimental Separating into two 0.5U spacecraft 1.5 x 1 x 0.5 cm 3.5 x 2.5 x 0.5 cm 7 18 x 25 x 25 cm A Payload/Science Mission Design B • Two nearly identical 0.5U CubeSats • Four different energy level dosimeters • Three are new (unflown) • One standard control • Fly in proximity to each other • Testbed for a larger constellation of space weather stations • Correlate observations and study small-scale radiation belt structure • Resolves major unknown (spatial scale sizes) in requirements for in situ space weather monitoring Dosimeter Variant A Baseline Dosimeter X High LET X Two 0.5U flying in tandem S/C Dosimeter Measures A Standard Teledyne >1 MeV electrons & >10 MeV protons A Thin Window Low LET Variant >50 keV electrons & >600 keV protons A Thin Window High LET Variant >600 keV protons B High LET Variant >10 MeV protons Thin Window Low LET X X B Thin Window Low LET Variant >50 keV electrons & >600 keV protons Thin Window High LET X X B Thin Window High LET Variant >600 keV protons LET = Linear Energy Transfer 8 B Dosimeter Payload Board Features of AeroCube-6 Bus • One Radio (915 MHz, 1 W) • Crosslink via radio >800 km • GPS receiver with 20m accuracy • Magnetic torque rods • Magnetometers / Earth / Sun sensors • Two 18650 batteries (16 W-hrs.) • 4W solar cells (peak) • Nominal operation is Sun-pointing – Spin about Z-axis at ~30 deg/s 9 AeroCube 6, June 19, 2014 Sample Dosimeter Results AC6 is investigating spatial and temporal behavior of radiation environment. A1: >50 keV e-, >600 keV H+ 10 South Atlantic Anomaly A2: >600 keV H+ Seeking Fine Spatial Structure in LEO Radiation Belts Having two spacecraft at a well-known in-track separation provides information on the fine structure of the LEO radiation belts. Temporal separation of data due to in-track separation of spacecraft. 11 Two spacecraft measuring the same variability strongly suggests the existence of fine spatial structure. AeroCube-6 Formation Flying Using variable drag to control satellite separation In Track Separation (km) 800 In Track Separation 80.000 700 Semi‐Major Axis Difference 60.000 600 40.000 500 20.000 400 0.000 300 ‐20.000 200 ‐40.000 100 ‐60.000 0 ‐80.000 ‐100 25 September 2013 Jun‐14 Sep‐14 Dec‐14 Mar‐15 Jun‐15 Sep‐15 Dec‐15 Mar‐16 Jun‐16 Sep‐16 Dec‐16 12 ‐100.000 SMA Difference (m) 100.000 900 CubeSat Paradigm • Existence of the CubeSat ICD enables the CubeSat paradigm – Simple launch interface – Frequent and inexpensive rides – “Containerized space launch” • Elements of the CubeSat paradigm – – – – – – – Short development cycle Fly often Learn by flying High risk tolerance Incremental improvements Fly whether ready or not Schedule flexibility (launch agnostic) The CubeSat ICD allowed ejectors to be flight-qualified for any launch vehicle only once as long as the CubeSats within meet certain specifications. 13 Images courtesy U.S. DOT Putting experience to work Develop Build/test Launch Integration Fly Time Traditional Satellite Model Program A Simple CubeSat Model Extended CubeSat Model 14 Lessons learned Program B Sequential Redundancy • Any one satellite in a technology-development series can tolerate more risk than can single-satellite missions • If each satellite in a series has an 80% probability of success, the probability of four sequential unrelated failures is well under 1% • The success of the program is defined by the success of the nth satellite in the series • Sequential redundancy requires adequate (and reliable) on-board diagnostics to understand any anomalies • Sequential redundancy can support rapid development of satellites for constellation missions • Each successive flight can enhance capability and reliability • Tolerance to risk must be understood at beginning of program Time 15 Avoiding Space Debris GEO Populating near-Earth space without violating the 25-year rule • Space debris must be removed within 25 years GTO • Natural orbital decay period is driven primarily by perigee altitude • Explorer flights: Explorer 1 Explorer 3 Apogee (km) 2550 2799 Perigee (km) 358 186 lifetime (years) 12.2 0.25 • A satellite deployed in GTO can have a lifetime well under 25 years with no active deorbit system, provided the perigee is low enough • A satellite deployed in an 800-km circular orbit cannot meet the 25-year rule without an active deorbit capability Explorer Initial Orbit 800-km circular orbit 16 Summary • Space weather occurs in a volume many orders of magnitude larger than the Earth’s atmosphere • • • High-spatial-density in-situ sensing would utilize large numbers of satellites • Orbital debris can be mitigated by using highly-elliptical orbits with low perigees AeroCube-6 provides example of “free-flying” space-weather in-situ sensor The CubeSat paradigm offers an approach to developing increasingly capable, low-cost, disposable network of free-flying sensors Acknowledgements • The Aerospace CubeSat program has received support from the following: – SMC/AD – NASA/STMD – Aerospace Corporation IR&D 17
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