From Curse to Cure The Impact of Energy Exploration & Production in the Lake Tanganyika Basin Part One of a Series on Integrated Development in Africa’s Great Lakes Region Published in September 2014 by the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic / WAVE 1646 N. Leavitt Street, Chicago, Illinois, 60647 (USA) LAKE TANGANYIKA FLOATING HEALTH CLINIC WATER BASED AID, VALUE, ENGAGEMENT (WAVE) This report is part of a series published by WAVE to highlight cross-sectoral development solutions in one of the most under-developed and remote regions in the world, the Lake Tanganyika Basin. As part of the African Great Lake region, Lake Tanganyika provides a snapshot into the region’s watercentric communities and their vulnerability to the negative impact of energy extraction, as well as the opportunities, if developed smartly, to exploit resource wealth for the betterment of the millions of people living in the Great Lakes region. THE AUTHORS Jody L. Lautenschlager, Corresponding Author, Director of Policy, Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic / WAVE Amy G. Lehman, MD, MBA, Co-Author, Founder and CEO, Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic / WAVE Lilian Haymann, Co-Author, Policy Intern, Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic / WAVE COVER: Thread, 33 Queen Street, London, EC4R 1AP (UK) Copyright © 2014 Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic / WAVE Available for download at www.floatingclinic.org Table of Contents Acknowledgements 6 Abbreviations and Glossary of Terms 7 Preface 9 Summary and Recommendations 13 1. Introduction 17 1.1 The Importance of Africa’s Great Lakes 17 1.2 What is at Risk? 18 1.3 Why Lake Tanganyika? 19 1.4 Mitigating Risks of Energy Extraction in a Region Rife with Conflict 20 1.5 Blueprint for the Great Lakes Region and Beyond 21 1.6 The Time to Engage is Now 21 2. Lake Tanganyika and its Basin 23 3. The Convention on Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika 26 3.1 Lake Tanganyika Authority and the Strategic Action Program 27 3.2 Utilizing the Lake Tanganyika Authority 27 4. Oil and Gas Exploration and Production and Mineral Extraction 29 4.1 Democratic Republic of the Congo 29 4.2 Tanzania 34 4.3 Burundi 36 4.4 Current/Recent Disputes 37 4.5 Potential Disputes 39 4.6 Transparency and Good Governance Initiatives 40 Table of Contents 5. 6. 7. Threat to Stability or Development Opportunity? 43 5.1 Environment 43 5.2 Health 48 5.3 Socio-economic Development 53 5.4 Case Studies 57 Emerging Security Threats 60 6.1 Geopolitical Context 61 6.2 Complex Regional History 62 6.3 Key rebel Groups 64 6.4 Security Situation in Katanga Province 67 6.5 Other Destabilizing Factors 68 6.6 The Water-Food-Energy-Climate Change Nexus 70 Conclusion and Recommendations 73 7.1 Promoting Resilience through Cross-sectoral Engagement 73 7.2 Lessons Learned 74 7.3 Next Steps for the African Great Lakes region 75 7.3 Conclusion 85 Figure 1: Lake Tanganyika Statistics 23 Figure 2: Map of Lake Tanganyika Basin 25 Figure 3: Long-term Objectives of the Strategic Action Plan 27 Figure 4: Map and Pictures of Health Centers on Lake Tanganyika 51 Table of Contents APPENDICES A Lake Tanganyika Basin Treaties and Institutions 86 B Map of the Mineral Sector in the Democratic Republic of the Congo 87 C Maps of Oil Blocks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo 88 D Companies Involved on Lake Albert 94 E Chronology of Oil Contracts in the Democratic Republic of the Congo 95 F Armed Groups Present in Oil Blocks in Eastern Congo 97 G Maps of Rebel Groups in Eastern Congo 98 H Account of the M23 Offensive and Defeat in 2013 100 I Maps of Gas and Oil Blocks in Tanzania 101 J Maps of Oil Blocks in Burundi 104 K Environmental Impacts 105 L University of Notre Dame Global Adaptation Index 108 M Millennium Development Goals 109 N Application of Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s “Antifragile” Theory in Development 110 O LTFHC’s Health and Community Outreach Programs 111 P Rendering of the LTFHC’s Proposed Hospital Ship 115 Q Recommended Reading 117 ENDNOTES 119 Acknowledgements This report is the first of a series of publications on cross-sectoral collaboration, business and development opportunities, as well as best practices in the African Great Lakes region in general and the Lake Tanganyika Basin in particular. This project was led by the policy team at WAVE and in conjunction with its programmatic arm, the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic (LTFHC), to highlight among other things the vulnerabilities of one of the world’s greatest assets in the 21st Century: Water. By adopting policy recommendations set out in this paper, multiple stakeholders and development practitioners will be able to build more robust and resilient communities in underdeveloped regions rife with conflict and rich in energy resources, including fresh water, oil, and gas. The future of the Great Lakes and in particular, the Lake Tanganyika Basin, hangs in the balance. While there is serious potential for a downward spiral into conflict, disease, and reckless extractive exploitation, there is also a great opportunity for the riparian countries of the Great Lakes region to pull themselves out of poverty and ensure the sustainability of water and energy resources through initiatives using a cross-sectoral approach. The LTFHC / WAVE have found new and effective ways of working in this isolated region by developing efficient models for healthcare delivery and health systems building, by improving supply chains and communications capacity and by promoting smart, transparent and collaborative development. Importantly, we have become a trusted partner, mediator, and consultant for those with a stake in Lake Tanganyika and its future. We thank Lake Tanganyika village leaders, elders, and community members for their trusted support, as well as the National and Provincial Governments of the Republic of Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the United Republic of Tanzania, and the Republic of Zambia and their Ministries with whom we work. Without this close collaboration, especially with the Ministries of Health, our work would not be possible. We also wish to thank the organizations that are active in the basin for their services in this remote area. The LTFHC / WAVE would like to extend its sincere appreciation and thanks to Saskia Marijnissen, Fabienne Hara, Mungo Soggot, Christy Lorgen, Michael Kavanagh, Rachel Kleinfeld, Mvemba Dizolele, Colin Apse, Stevenson McIlvaine, and Judith Heimann for taking the time to review drafts, as well as for their significant and considered insights and comments. Special thanks to Ngana Andrew-Mziray, Frederick F. Monroe, and the late Donald Gallagher for their valuable research and support. All inaccuracies are our own. The authors wish to express their gratitude to all our field staff and consultants for their advice and editorial support throughout the project. They have been invaluable to this process. Last but not least, LTFHC / WAVE would like to thank its financial supporters without whom it would not be possible to produce this work. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 6 Abbreviations and Glossary of Terms ADF Allied Democratic Forces AfDB/ADB African Development Bank ANC Armée Nationale Congolaise / Congolese National Army AU African Union CMO Civil Military Operations CNDP Congrès national pour la défense du peuple / National Congress for the Defence of the People Congo War, First (1996-1997) War on Congolese soil, pitting the government against the AFDL (q.v.), an armed group backed by an alliance between Rwanda, Uganda, Burundi, and Angola. The war ended in May 1997 with the removal of deposed President Mobutu Sese Seko. Fighting broke out when President Laurent Kabila fell out with his Rwandan and Ugandan allies. Angola, Zimbabwe, and Namibia supported the DRC during this campaign. Congo War, Second (1998-2003) CSO Civil Society Organizations DDR Disarmament, Demobilisation and Reintegration DRC Democratic Republic of the Congo E&P Exploration and Production EAC East African Community EITI Extractives International Transparency Initiative, ENRC Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation ESIA Environmental and Social Impact Assessment EU European Union FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations FARDC Forces armées de la République Démocratique du Congo / Armed Forces of the Democratic Republic of the Congo Forces démocratiques de libération du Rwanda; Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda; primary remnant Rwandan Hutu rebel group in the east of the Democratic Republic of the Congo. National Liberation Forces FDLR FNL Framework Agreement/PSC Peace, Security and Cooperation Framework for the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the Region; agreement signed by 11 African states and four multinational bodies (UN, AU, EU, and SADC) on 24 February 2013, to provide a framework for peace and development in the eastern DRC. FRPI Force de résistance patriotique en Ituri / Ituri Patriotic Resistance Force GDP Gross Domestic Product GDRC Government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo GEF Global Environmental Facility Great Lakes region Countries in the African Great Lakes region include Burundi, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda IDP Internally Displaced Persons IMF International Monetary Fund Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) Probability of dying between birth and exactly one year of age expressed per 1,000 live births; global health indicator The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 7 Abbreviations and Glossary of Terms Interahamwe Rwandan Hutu paramilitary organization who played a central role in the Rwandan genocide ICGLR International Conference on the Great Lakes Region Kimia II LTA Silence (Swahili); Congolese army offensive backed by MONUC (q.v.) against the FDLR (q.v.) in 2009; followed the Umoja Wetu operations (q.v.) Lake Tanganyika Authority LTFHC Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic, programmatic arm of WAVE M23 Mouvement du 23 mars / March 23 Movement Mai-Mai Community-based self-defense militias; from maji, ‘water’ (Kiswahili) MDG Millennium Development Goals Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR) The number of women who die during pregnancy and childbirth, per 100,000 live births Mission de l'Organisation des Nations Unies en République démocratique du Congo; United Nations Mission in the Democratic Republic of Congo or MONUC (1999-2010) MONUC MONUSCO Mission de l’Organisation des Nations Unies pour la stabilisation en RD Congo; United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the DR Congo (2010 – present) NGO Non -Government Organization PSA Production Sharing Agreement; private/government contract RDF Rwandan Defense Force RPF Rwandan Patriotic Front SADC South African Development Community SAP Strategic Action Program SCM Steering Committee Meeting TCF Trillion Cubic Feet TPDC Tanzanian Petroleum Development Corporation UN United Nations UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization Under Five Mortality Rate UNDP Probability of dying between birth and exactly five years of age expressed per 1,000 live births; global health indicator United Nations Development Program UNHCR Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund UNOPS United Nations Office for Project Services UNPF United Nations Populations Fund UPDF Uganda People's Defense Force WAVE Water Based Aid, Value, Engagement The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 8 Preface Investment in oil, gas, and minerals will continue to increase significantly by 2030 to meet strong global demand, particularly in emerging markets.1 This investment should promise huge benefits to countries with major reserves of natural resources. All too often, however, governments in these countries have failed to make the most of their resource wealth potential. Many of the countries in the African Great Lakes region exemplify this dynamic, such as the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). While it has long been known that the DRC holds beneath its forests a treasure trove of mineral riches, there also lies a vast potential of oil wealth, spanning from the off-shore blocks in the Atlantic Ocean to the Congo’s Central Basin to the Great Lakes, which border resource rich countries in East Africa.* “While it has long been known that the DRC holds beneath its forests a treasure trove of mineral riches, there also lies a vast potential of oil wealth.” New oil prospects are promising, especially between the fault line of Central and East Africa, as extractive companies explore the oil rich sediment along the East African Rift Valley which twists down the African Great Lakes. Tanzania, located in East Africa, shares its border with the DRC along Lake Tanganyika and is another country that finds itself at this pivotal moment to tap into its oil and natural gas resource wealth. With active oil exploration in Lake Tanganyika and recent surveys indicating vast amounts of natural gas off-shore in the Indian Ocean, Tanzania sits at a crossroads to implement sustainable extractive practices. The Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic (LTFHC), a health systems building organization, has operated in the Lake Tanganyika Basin and along the Congolese and Tanzanian shoreline of the lake for over half a decade. During this time the LTFHC became interested in the role of the hydrocarbon industry, and what it will mean for governance, regional stability, and its potential role in providing financial resources towards improving human development indicators for the African Great Lakes region, and in particular, the Lake Tanganyika Basin. From Curse to Cure The DRC’s mining history serves as a good case study for the overall region to learn how to avoid the pitfalls of mismanaged resource extraction and ways in which to improve a regulated energy industry and implement intelligent development. The impact of uncontrolled resource exploitation in the DRC’s eastern provinces has been stark, fueling the conflict that has defined that part of the country. If the rapid development of these hydrocarbon reserves goes awry, it could trigger a new round of regional conflict and turn the DRC, which is the size of Western Europe, into the quintessential “oil curse” wasteland. Yet, it could also stimulate a rapid industrialization, help address this fractured nation’s underdevelopment, and give financial ballast to a struggling government. With newly discovered petroleum deposits alongside its vast wealth of natural resources (including minerals, fresh water, forests, and biodiversity), there is a window of opportunity to take a different approach to developing the DRC’s energy sector, one that considers intersecting issues such as regional instability, geopolitical factors, water security, public health, and climate change. The DRC is of imperative strategic importance to the continent. The DRC shares nine international boundaries and is located at the crossroads where East and West meet Southern Africa. As such, collaboration between multiple stakeholders towards an integrated, regional approach to energy and socio-economic development is essential. This high-risk, high-reward extractives/development conundrum is mirrored throughout the African Great Lakes region: From South Sudan’s oil extractive operations, threatened by domestic political instability; to Tanzania’s bourgeoning energy sector, which lacks an indigenous labor force to self-sustain extractive and development activities; to new energy prospects in Burundi, a country struggling with its own security issues, political uncertainty, and influx of repatriated refugees. This was the underlying message about the DRC’s nascent oil sector at the iPAD Oil & Gas Forum held in Kinshasa, September 2013. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 9 The LTFHC stumbled on the hydrocarbon issue initially in 2010 while in Burundi. It soon became apparent that this was the predominant threat (and also potentially the biggest salvation) to the African Great Lakes, and especially to the DRC as a whole. While the international community is aware of the energy security threats in West and East Africa, the opportunities and risks of energy exploration and production (E&P) in Central Africa have been largely miscalculated. This became apparent at a conference in Chicago in May 2014, during U.S. Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel’s response to our question regarding U.S. policy on oil and gas extractive activities in Central Africa. While the Secretary noted the importance of incorporating energy security into U.S. foreign policy, and the threats from East and West Africa, he did not speak to the emerging threats in Central Africa. This only underscores the usefulness of educating policy makers on the multiplicity of energy and development issues spiraling out from the DRC into Central and East Africa. “There are tremendous natural resources in areas for potential conflict, not just among nonnation states and organizations, but between nation states. The energy piece of this is intricately woven into the fabric of our nation’s foreign policy. That is why we need to stay ahead of this as much as we can to work with our foreign partners and use our influence to help as these countries develop those energy resources.” - U.S. Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel on Priorities for the 21st Century at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, May 6, 2014 Regional Security in the Lake Tanganyika Basin “Largely absent from the security discussion is the porous border between the DRC and Burundi, as well as the DRC and western Tanzania.” The Lake Tanganyika Basin has major cross-sectoral development concerns, including: water and energy security, climate change, public and women’s health, the environment and mismanaged resources, complex geo-politics and post-conflict development. Misappropriated funds focusing predominantly around Goma and Bukavu have created a security vacuum in the areas that were truly post-conflict after the Second Congo War ended, including the infamous “Triangle of Death” where the LTFHC operates. This security and development vacuum places Africa’s Great Lakes region and its already fragile human populations and ecosystems further at risk and vulnerable to militarizing tribes affiliated with global terrorist networks and ethnic-driven state autocrats. The LTFHC is in a unique position of having eyes and ears on the ground (via relationships with local government agencies, community leaders, and citizens along the extremely poor, rural coastline of Lake Tanganyika as well as first hand empiric evidence) incomparable to larger topdown organizations that appear to be missing the bigger picture: lack of development in postconflict areas of the Great Lakes region has left a security vacuum ripe for terrorist-affiliated tribes to reassert control, potentially pulling the region into another ethnic-centric and potentially transborder war. Over the past two years the international media and Western governments’ attention has been on the M23 (and their defeat in late 2013) in the eastern part of the DRC. All eyes have been trained on certain areas in North and South Kivu Provinces where the United Nations and the African Union mobilized its forces to fight via a “peace enforcement” mandate against the M23, and now the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR) and the Allied Democratic Forces-National Army for the Liberation (ADF-Nalu). While the international community continues to throw resources into the Kivus, little is known or understood about what is taking place just outside this narrow lens. The resurgence of certain Mai-Mai militias in Katanga Province is largely going unnoticed and could pose, in the long-term, an even greater danger to the region than the militia activity in the Kivus, given Katanga’s importance to the DRC’s economy. Katanga Province is located in the southeastern part of the DRC and it has a significant border along Lake Tanganyika. The UN only recently acknowledged the insecurity in Katanga Province and is mobilizing its peacekeeping and Intervention Brigade forces to address the violent Mai-Mai militias stirring insecurity in the mineral rich province. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 10 Largely absent from the security discussion is the porous border between the DRC and Burundi, as well as the DRC and western Tanzania. Repatriation of refugees into Burundi and mass movement of refugees fleeing fighting in eastern Congo further exacerbates instability in the region. Little is understood about the rampant mineral and timber smuggling operations between the DRC and Tanzania, and there is little oversight to disrupt corruption as state governments and the energy industry race to extract newly discovered oil and gas deposits in the region. Such information is crucial for global policy leaders to make progressive security and development policy decisions for a complex region still recovering from decades of war, and yet it is very difficult to get accurate information from this largely misunderstood and isolated region. The LTFHC is able to provide vital information to policy and development agencies from its experience operating in this remote region, as well as staff’s daily interactions with Lake Tanganyika’s communities. WAVE: Water Based Aid, Value, Engagement Recognizing the complexity of the region, the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic mobilized itself to engage on policy, legislation and technologies that promote effective development, transparency, and ensure the safety of the Lake’s population. To do this, the organization has expanded its role and created a broader identity for itself with the creation of WAVE: Water Based Aid, Value, Engagement. WAVE is in dialogue with all players on the ground in the Lake Tanganyika Basin, from rural village leaders and small non-government civil society groups, to policy heads at the national government level and within international organizations, development agencies, and the private sector. WAVE advocates on behalf of the people of Lake Tanganyika to this vast network of stakeholders for an integrated approach to health, security, and development in the region. “There is a window of opportunity to take a different approach to developing the DRC’s energy sector, one that considers intersecting issues such as regional instability, geopolitical factors, water security, public health, and climate change.” WAVE is currently consulting on an integrated approach to development, security, and energy extraction initiatives, understanding the significant interdependence between energy, water, agriculture, and climate.2 Current trends of water use and availability indicate that meeting future demands to support continued economic development will require improved management of both energy and water resources.3 This will also greatly shape the humanitarian space in the future, and influence the success of public health initiatives. Based on these consultations, WAVE has developed a new publication initiative to highlight the benefits of using an integrated, crosssectoral approach to development in Central Africa and the Great Lakes region, specifically Lake Tanganyika and its transboundary basin populations. Over the coming years, WAVE will release a series of reports that explore the fragile biodiversity of Lake Tanganyika and issues and opportunities in the basin. This includes reporting on the basin’s geopolitical dynamics, water security, public health, environmental concerns, and economic development. Issues like poverty, population growth, and pollution, mismanagement of resources, climate change and protracted conflict are all addressed with respect to their impact in the Lake Tanganyika Basin in this series of reports. Best practices and policy recommendations are presented for health care delivery, sustainable socio-economic development, risk mitigation, and other factors that complicate infrastructure development in Africa’s Great Lakes region are also addressed. These reports will examine approaches to development programs that promote societal resiliency in an “anti-fragile” scope posited by Nassim Nicholas Taleb* (among several leading statisticians, economists†, and development experts), as a way to break the cycle of vulnerability as the international community evaluates ways to reach Millennium Development Goals beyond 2015. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, PhD., is the author of “Antifragile: Things that Gain from Disorder” and “The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable.” Dr. Taleb advocates what he calls a "black swan robust" society, meaning a society that can withstand difficult-to-predict events. He proposes "antifragility" in systems, that is, an ability to benefit and grow from random events, errors, and volatility. † Abhijit V. Banerjee and Esther Duflo, Harvard and MIT trained development economists who examine development theories, microeconomic principles applied in developing countries, and issues that the development community has often ignored in their popular press book, “Poor Economics: A Radical Rethinking of the Way to Fight Global Poverty.” * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 11 To kick off this series, WAVE published From Curse to Cure: The Impact of Energy Exploration and Production in the Lake Tanganyika Basin. The timing of this publication comes on the heels of a great boom in oil and gas exploration in Central and East Africa despite an increase in destabilizing factors. From Curse to Cure is broad in context and introduces the complex geopolitical dynamics and diverse number of stakeholders with intersecting interests in the Great Lakes region – interests that are explored in more detail in subsequent reports. While this paper underscores how mismanaged development, including infrastructure development by the extractive industry, could negatively affect millions of people around the lake and possibly millions more living a thousand miles downstream on the Congo River, it also highlights sustainable development opportunities. From Curse to Cure dissects the high-risk, high-reward stigma associated with energy Exploration and Production (E&P) activity and outlines preventive practices through a cross-sectoral prism that mitigate risks while leveraging the development opportunities of E&P to bring sustainable socio-economic development to one of the least developed regions on earth: The Lake Tanganyika Basin. About the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic / WAVE “WAVE has become a partner to the lakeside communities, advocating for the needs of the lake and its people.” The Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic (now under the umbrella of WAVE) is an international NGO, founded in 2008, whose goal is to create healthcare infrastructure and provide health services to the 13 million acutely impoverished people living in the Lake Tanganyika Basin, one of the most remote regions in the world. WAVE has a diverse staff base that enables it to provide medical care and collect unique information from the field in this remote area. Medical and logistical experts work alongside former child soldiers, refugees from multiple backgrounds, tribes, and factions in the Great Lakes region. Importantly, WAVE has cultivated trust and become a partner to the lakeside communities, advocating for the needs of the lake and its people. In a region where the only reliable transportation takes place by boat, and where there is currently little to no healthcare, WAVE plans to build a state-of-the art hospital ship that provides education, information and medicine to the communities and growing international workforce bordering the lake. The ship will cover 1800 km of coastline in an extremely remote, rural, and poor area largely untouched and under-invested in by national governments and multilateral organizations. WAVE has already served hundreds of thousands of Congolese and Tanzanians by conducting a number of medical and outreach programs, focused on the most urgent local challenges, including: mosquito bed-net distributions, integrated malaria prevention education programs and cholera treatment, and a comprehensive women’s reproductive health outreach initiative in Tanzania’s remote southern region of Rukwa. WAVE is currently expanding essential communications infrastructure and introducing the region’s first electronic medical record in the Lake Tanganyika Basin, as well as developing a safe cesarean section training program in the * DRC. * LTFHC health and outreach programs – Appendix O The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 12 Summary and Recommendations Political and economic reforms in the past decade have increased trade opportunities in Africa and laid the groundwork to shape an economic powerhouse of the future. An emerging landscape of stable economies and growing democratic freedoms in a number of countries in Africa is allowing the continent to take advantage of its extensive natural resource endowments, its improving human capital, and its increasing attractiveness to global investors. Investment in Exploration and Production (E&P) of petro-based energy sources and rare minerals in the Great Lakes region has boomed over the past two years after several new oil and gas reserves were discovered offshore and inland in East and Central Africa. These new oil and gas finds have boosted current production rates and could potentially provide additional sources of income to some of the poorest countries in the world. It has also caught the attention of foreign extractive companies and governments interested in booking reserves, diversifying energy sources, and expanding the consumer market across emerging economies. “The risks associated with exploratory drilling for oil and gas may exceed the benefits of that resource wealth…with little to no contingency planning or capacity building initiatives implemented in tandem with E&P activities.” This source of indigenous wealth could provide the kind of resources needed to significantly improve the human development indices in the Great Lakes. However, this is also a risky endeavor. The impacts of oil and gas pollution on the environment and well-being of basin communities are interrelated and affect the lake’s biodiversity, socio-economic state, and health of its populations. Most adverse impacts are a consequence of oil spills, gas flares, and effluent and waste discharges in the watershed. The extractive business in the Great Lakes region is expected to triple in the next two years. Yet the risks associated with exploratory drilling for oil and gas may exceed the benefits of that resource wealth, largely from poor infrastructure, political interference, uncertain regulatory frameworks, instability in the region, extreme socio-economic poverty, and little to no contingency planning or capacity building initiatives implemented in tandem with E&P activities. Without an integrated development approach, regional cooperation, and risk mitigation practices, the health and livelihood of millions of people in Africa’s Great Lakes region will continue to be at risk, as well as the environment and investments pumped into the region. The Niger Delta in West Africa offers a possible window into the Great Lakes future if energy extraction does not incorporate risk mitigation practices, regulatory reforms, and integrated development into its framework. The adverse effects of oil and gas exploration and extraction in the Niger Delta illustrate how a water-based economy and the health of its people living in the area of extraction can be decimated by oil and gas pollutants. The Delta has suffered hundreds of spills over the past three decades, primarily from aging infrastructure, poor regulations and monitoring, poor remediation and clean-up efforts, as well as spills/leakage caused by political insurgents and thieves. This has profoundly affected the health and socio-economic well-being of the surrounding communities. To ensure a similar fate doesn't await the more than 12 million people of the Lake Tanganyika basin, WAVE published From Curse to Cure, a comprehensive paper that examines current activities conducted by the E&P industry and mining sector, the costs and benefits of energy extraction, and its impact on the health, socio-economic development, environment, and security of the Great Lakes region, in particular the Lake Tanganyika basin. To protect the health and welfare of the region’s fragile populations and emerging economies, and to ensure sustainable development, the E&P industry needs to engage non-governmental organizations among other local civil society organizations before exploratory drilling begins, in order to create legitimate capacity building projects in the Great Lakes region. Case studies highlighted in the paper illustrate the negative impact of long-term, unsustainable extraction in the Niger Delta, as well as countries that have pivoted away from these kinds of practices and successfully limited damages from energy extraction through risk mitigating practices and collaboration between extractive companies, governments and civil society organizations. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 13 WAVE recognizes E&P activity, including interest in Lake Tanganyika's natural resources, will only increase in the coming years. With the inevitable draw of foreign interest in Africa's resources and burgeoning economies, WAVE published this report on today's complex affairs in the Great Lakes region to inform policy makers, regional leaders, extractives and the humanitarian community, among other stakeholders, on how to develop a more effective, cross-sectoral approach for sustainable resource management and development in the Great Lakes region. WAVE encourages cross-sectoral and bottom-up engagement to collaborate on programs with multiple stakeholders, including with the private sector and extractive industries, to address the complex, intersecting issues in the Lake Tanganyika Basin and broader Great Lakes region. Recommended actions include the creation of an Energy Institute to support the development of the extractive industry and provide support to Great Lakes governments to intelligently develop the region’s fledgling water-based economies and health systems, while protecting the basins’ ecosystems which are also crucial to these economies. Based on the proceeding information and analysis, a number of recommendations are put forward to influence stakeholders’ behaviors towards more sustainable practices in the Lake Tanganyika Basin and the African Great Lakes region. Recommendations incorporate an inclusive cross-sectoral approach to developments to enhance the aptitude of vulnerable populations and fragile ecosystems to absorb the shocks of climate change, political conflict, and the effects of mineral and energy extraction activities. Recommendations for the International Community: Create an independent organization, such as an Africa Energy Institute, where the international community may engage the governments of the countries in the African Great Lakes region and help them develop their extractive industries in collaboration with other good governance and capacity building initiatives. Through this organization, the international community should: Help countries develop tangible and practical goals necessary for a foundation that will support good governance practices; Train a cadre of indigenous technical experts to sustain recommended programs; Help countries improve their hydrocarbon legislation and strengthen their respective legal systems’ frameworks to enforce good governance and extractive regulations and protect their citizens; Offer a forum for private sector stakeholders, civil society organizations, international development organizations, and governments to convene and discuss cross-sectoral issues and develop integrated programs tailored to each region, starting with the Lake Tanganyika Basin and the Great Lakes region as a whole; Support the creation of advisory boards in transboundary lake basins on sustainable development, the environment, climate change, and new technologies in under-invested region; Support transboundary advisory boards to define border demarcation lines and resolve current cross-border grievances; Encourage dialogue among regional governments to secure areas of instability; Support international and regional organizations to hold non-state actors and government leaders accountable from further inflicting regional instability for profit; Empower regional institutional bodies, such as the Lake Tanganyika Authority, ICGLR, EAC, SADC, and NEPAD; Support grassroots, bottom-up initiatives in the Great Lakes basins through local civil society organizations; Encourage transboundary advisory boards to create local measures to build resilience to oil spills and industrial waste, as well as the adaptive capacity to cope with climate change. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 14 Recommendations for the Corporate Sector: Support transboundary institutional bodies that promote regional cooperation and help establish mechanisms that support transparency and good governance by host countries as they develop their energy sectors, such as an Africa Energy Institute; Guide the public sector on economic reforms and lead on transparent extractive activities in the Great Lakes region; Revise Corporate Social Responsibility programs with input from local experts to create community outreach and development programs that build resilient communities and infrastructure prior to drilling; Partner with non-traditional regional stakeholders (local civil society leaders) to develop a comprehensive Environmental and Social Impact Assessments to include a human rights assessment and a robust socio-economic development plan in their preliminary studies, prior to exploratory drilling as part of core risk-mitigation strategies; Utilize and develop new technology for cleaner drilling practices and early detection of spills. Summary of Points: Building strong and sustainable health systems in the African Great Lakes region will ensure healthy and safer populations, as well as stronger local economies; The Lake Tanganyika basin is the epicenter of major cross-sector development concerns including water and energy security, climate change, health, the environment, mismanaged resources, complex geopolitics and post-conflict development; There are significant and newly-found deposits of oil, gas and minerals in and near Lake Tanganyika and along Africa's Great Lakes region; this has initiated a new race to extract energy resources without comprehensive Environmental and Social Impact Assessments (ESIA) or regional contingency and intervention plans, further endangering the Great Lakes' fragile ecosystems and vulnerable populations; Local leaders, community groups and specialized international organizations have a strong cultural understanding and institutional knowledge in the region where they live and work; their insight is beneficial to foreign companies and is crucial to developing local buy-in to (oil and gas) Exploration and Production programs; Economic development of the Lake that ignores geopolitical, health, environmental and water management issues will cause irreversible ecological damage to the lake, decimate lakeside communities who are lake-dependent and risk igniting resource disputes in the transboundary waters of Lake Tanganyika; Long term-investment in the region will support the E&P industries' goals to mitigate risks and increase profits while providing tools for fragile populations to build resilient societies; Traditional approaches to Foreign Assistance in the African Great Lakes region are not working; a new paradigm is needed to promote development, peace and security in this fragile region; Civil Society Organizations (CSOs) and initiatives promote government transparency, while empowering individuals and organizations to take ownership for improving their lives; however the region's legal systems need to support, not hinder CSO activities. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 15 Putting Lake Tanganyika’s Global Importance into Perspective Lake Tanganyika is the second largest freshwater lake in the world by volume, the second deepest and world’s longest freshwater lake, and one of 20 ancient lakes on earth; Lake Tanganyika contains 17% of the world's fresh water and is home to over 1,500 species including 600 unique aquatic species; Over 12 million people depend on Lake Tanganyika as a food and economic source, most of them live in extreme poverty with little access to health care systems; Lake Tanganyika's population growth rate is 3%, one of the highest in the world; The U.S. State Department estimates that by 2025, 67% of the world's population could be living under 'water-stressed' conditions, where lack of fresh water becomes an impediment to health and peace; With the global population estimated to rise from the current 6.85 billion to 8 billion in the next 20 years, demand for food, water and energy resources will soar, creating increased resource vulnerability; No UN Millennium Development Goal (MDG) can be met without proper attention to water management, including eradication of poverty. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 16 1. Introduction Pivoting between optimistic forecasts of economic growth and innovation, and pessimistic narratives of cyclic instability and poverty, predictions of Africa’s future remain contradictory. Nudging the continent to the right side of the fence in terms of socio-economic stability and sustainable development is one of the great geopolitical challenges of our time. It will require localized solutions with results-based evidence, developed in tandem with local African stakeholders at the village and regional level, as opposed to one-size fits all development packages for the great continent. It will also require long-term investment by the private sector to stimulate economic growth and improve human development indices, especially in subSaharan Africa. A study by the Economist Intelligence Unit in 2012, based on a survey of multinational companies operating in Africa, found that Africa held the greatest overall investment potential for all frontier markets, with an average of five to six percent of growth per year. By 2050, Africa is expected to have produced more GDP than the U.S. and Eurozone combined do today, and African countries’ social, demographic, and political realities will be reshaped as a result. 4 “Investment in E&P in petroleum and natural gas resources (and rare minerals) in the Great Lakes region has boomed over the past five years.” According to a 2010 McKinsey & Co. report, seven of the ten fastest-growing economies in the world were African. This report also highlighted that Africa has the highest return on capital in the world.5 The main driving force of growth in Africa is trade, which has risen in value since 2005, much of this driven by BRICS investments, particularly India and China. Oil and minerals are still the key exports in Africa, and investments in this sector are expected to increase from recent discoveries of oil and gas in Central and East Africa. Despite recent economic growth from these emerging markets, poverty and income inequality levels remain largely unchanged in Africa, even in resource-rich countries. The disparity between the rich and poor is a particularly difficult problem for countries in sub-Saharan Africa where nearly 50 percent of the population lives on less than USD 1 per day and where six out of the ten most unequal countries worldwide are located. Government policies and donor interventions can help lower income inequalities in these countries by cultivating a middle class.6 A titanic force in this transformation, for good or for bad, will be the oil and gas industry. Investment in Exploration and Production (E&P) in petroleum and natural gas resources (and rare minerals) in the Great Lakes region has boomed over the past five years after several new oil and gas reserves were discovered offshore and inland in Eastern and Central Africa. These new finds have boosted current production rates, and have the potential to provide additional sources of income to some of the poorest countries in the world. Yet the risks associated with exploratory drilling for oil and gas may exceed the benefits of that resource wealth. Contributing factors that amplify these risks include poor infrastructure, political interference, uncertain regulatory frameworks, instability in the region, and little to no contingency planning or capacity building initiatives implemented concurrently with E&P activities. Without an integrated development approach, regional cooperation, environmental protection and risk mitigation practices, the health and livelihood of millions of people in Africa’s Great Lakes region will continue to be threatened, as well as the environment and capital investments pumped into the region. 1.1 The Importance of Africa’s Great Lakes The Great Lakes of Africa include some of the largest and most ecologically diverse freshwater systems on the planet. Twisting down the two arms of the Great Rift Valley, the lakes are located in nine countries in Central and East Africa. Eight of the 15 lakes in this region are considered "Great Lakes," one of which is Lake Tanganyika - the second largest and second deepest freshwater lake in the world. Each lake has its own ecosystem and unique fish populations, and supports tens of millions of people who live in the lakes’ catchment basins and rely on fish as their main livelihood and food source. They share the lakes’ resources among multiple countries, many of which are still recovering from conflict and have some of the highest poverty rates and maternal and child mortality in the world. They also have some of the highest human birth rates, averaging around three percent. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 17 The extractive industry is expected to triple in the next two years in the Great Lakes region. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development estimates that USD 1.25 trillion will be invested over thirty years (2001 to 2030) in African energy, with upstream exploration and investment remaining the focus for both the oil and gas sectors. Much of this exploration will be in East Africa where recent discoveries of oil and gas were found in Uganda, Kenya, and Tanzania.7 The Great Lakes region has rich soil, minerals, and other resources make it an attractive location to live, and urbanization in the region is fast paced. Yet, it is extremely under-invested in terms of creating the circumstances that allow host countries to flourish. This fragile region and its vulnerable populations are already experiencing adverse effects from climate change, pollution, and poor resource management, protracted conflict and underinvestment in infrastructure and development in the region. This is further exacerbated by an increased demand for global resources (energy, water, and food) and the spread of conflict in the region from the renewed fighting in the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s (DRC) eastern provinces and building political tension in Burundi. 1.2 What is at risk? When considering the negative impact of resource extraction in a region so fragile, the potential risks increase substantially. The environmental risks in the Great Lakes region – one of the most endangered water systems in the world – are not being appropriately addressed in a dialogue outside of environmentalist and conservationist circles. Understanding the limnology of the Great Lakes for instance, is important to predict the effects of energy E&P activities on water quality, water and food security, and fish production. Large dilution capacities and long flushing times can make the detection and removal of petro-based and chemical pollutants in these waters difficult, and more vulnerable to protracted water pollution. Species unique to each lake could be wiped out. Concentrations of petroleum contaminants in fish and crab tissue could disrupt the ecosystem and adversely affect the lake population’s health. Water pollution would most likely extend to the basin’s watershed, much of it used for irrigation of subsistence agriculture and primary source of water for many wildlife refuges for endangered species. Coinciding with these immediate environmental threats, a small oil spill – and the inability to deal with one –can have a number of direct and indirect effects on the health of the population, on their fisheries and aquaculture. The entire watershed could be contaminated, paralyzing the economy and triggering a humanitarian crisis from food and potable water shortages. Furthermore, inhaling or touching oil products could affect the lakeside communities’ health. The entangled, complex issues in the Great Lakes region only magnify these risks and perpetuate the region’s vulnerability and volatility. In early 2012, there was an upsurge in fighting in the Kivus and the emergence of a new rebellion in North Kivu has spurred renewed territorial expansion of armed groups, further complicating stability in eastern DRC and neighboring countries. Misappropriated funds focusing predominantly around Goma and Bukavu have created a security vacuum in the areas that were post-conflict after the Second Congo War ended, including the infamous ‘Triangle of Death’, where WAVE operates. Largely absent from the discussion is the porous border between the DRC and Burundi, as well as the DRC and western Tanzania, and how renewed instability in the north pushes southwards along Lake Tanganyika. This security and development vacuum places Africa’s Great Lakes region and its already fragile human populations and ecosystems further at risk. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 18 1.3 Why Lake Tanganyika? Lake Tanganyika is used in From Curse to Cure as a comprehensive case study to highlight the interconnected issues common in the Great Lakes region and how energy extraction activities can negatively or positively impact the region. The Lake Tanganyika Basin, home to over 12 million impoverished people, is the epicenter of major cross-sectoral development concerns, including: water and energy security, climate change, public and women’s health, the environment and mismanaged resources, complex geopolitics and post-conflict development. The lake holds 17 percent of the world’s available surface freshwater supply; it supports some of the largest freshwater fisheries on the African continent; and it sits on three potential oil reserves in the territories of Tanzania, Burundi, and the DRC. The Lake Tanganyika Basin also supports several national parks and forest reserves, including Kigwena Forest Reserve in Burundi, Gombe Stream (location of Jane Goodall’s seminal work), Katavi and Mahale Mountains National Parks in Tanzania, and the Rusizi National Park’s wetlands on the border of Burundi and the DRC. As is characteristic of the region, development statistics in the Lake Tanganyika Basin are among the lowest in the world, with high poverty and mortality rates. The region constitutes a unique epidemiologic unit, which up to this point, has been difficult to measure. Statistical analysis on the causes and effects of the region’s health and disease conditions are difficult to define since data collection is inhibited by the lack of infrastructure in the basin. Health care for preventive and emergency medical treatment is hindered by the lack of telecommunications and transportation infrastructure to support the basin’s remote and weak health systems. It is difficult to investigate outbreaks, survey and screen diseases, biomonitor, and provide statistical analysis of data for public health studies. Infectious diseases from poor sanitation and inadequate infrastructure are endemic in the Lake Tanganyika Basin, but the true magnitude is obscured by how the statistical data is presented, using country median public health rates for the DRC, Tanzania, Burundi, and Zambia. “The lake holds 17% of the world’s available surface freshwater supply; it supports some of the largest freshwater fisheries on the African continent; and it sits on three potential oil reserves in the territories of Tanzania, Burundi, and the DRC.” Viewing the basin from the perspective of the public health sector is a vital component to any long-term investment plan in a region. The populations’ state of health and fragility should not only be incorporated into the risk factors of E&P, but also to identify ways in which to invest in infrastructural systems. By doing this, local and foreign stakeholders mutually benefit from development. Advances in environmental protection and sustainable development in the area are largely affected by ongoing regional conflicts and threats from active militant groups. This hinders operations of locally directed development and distracts the international community from investing in long-term development programs, instead responding to security issues or providing aid for immediate disaster relief. Additionally, renewed oil interest in the DRC represents a real threat to stability in a still vulnerable post-conflict country. The communities lining Lake Tanganyika’s western shoreline are no exception. Oil prospecting is nurturing old resentments among local communities and contributing to border tensions with neighboring countries. Great concern is shared by regional experts that the confirmation of oil reserves in eastern DRC will exacerbate deep-rooted conflict dynamics in the DRC’s eastern provinces of North Kivu and South Kivu and southeastern province of Katanga; the latter two sharing the northwestern coastline of Lake Tanganyika. However, as the international community continues to pour aid into the Kivus and its porous borders with Rwanda and Uganda, little is known or understood about what is taking place just outside this narrow lens. The resurgence of certain Mai-Mai militias in Katanga Province south of the Kivus in the southeastern part of the DRC and along the shores of Lake Tanganyika is largely going unnoticed. These groups could pose an even greater danger to the overall post-conflict region than the former M23, FDLR, and ADF activity in the north given Katanga’s importance to the DRC’s overall economy. Smuggling activities have increased and resources are further strained as large populations of displaced Congolese, who fled the violence in North Kivu, squat on land with limited resources among poverty-stricken populations in the lake basin. These are agitators to a region still struggling The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 19 to recover from the last Congo war with an already vulnerable population living in extreme poverty. If these agitators are left unaddressed, they could ignite another transboundary conflict in the Great Lakes region. Conservationists, such as Mark Tercek, a former investment banker and current president and CEO of The Nature Conservancy, have said that the classic debate, often cast as a tug-of-war between “green” activists and corporate interests, is an old one, and that these camps have overlapping interests and can align on everything from climate change to the sustainability of water, food, and energy resources. It’s smart business to invest in nature and the Lake Tanganyika Basin acts as a useful case study that lends context to the range of things at stake in the Great Lakes region. WAVE sees this as an area where intersecting interests of oil extraction, water security, and health of the basin communities, should be an incentive for public-private partnerships that support sustainable development and the missions of multiple stakeholders in the Lake Tanganyika Basin. 1.4 Mitigating Risks of Energy Extraction in a Conflict Region From Curse to Cure is intended to facilitate efforts through transparent information access to break this cycle of conflict and risk by examining current activities conducted by the E&P industry and mining sector, the costs and benefits of energy extraction, and its impact on the security, environment, health and socio-economic development of the Great Lakes region - in particular the Lake Tanganyika Basin. WAVE recognizes E&P activity will only increase in the coming years, including interest in Lake Tanganyika’s natural resources. Transboundary issues covered in this paper include cross-border disputes and uninhibited movement across these porous borders by armed militias increasingly influenced by terrorist networks in East Africa; refugees and internally displaced people (IDPs); existing regulatory frameworks to support transboundary cooperation; isolation of extremely impoverished populations; increasingly vulnerable infrastructure; energy, water, and food security; illicit trade activities; and mismanaged resources and impact on the environment. The latter issue is viewed through the lens of Lake Tanganyika’s unique biodiversity and fragile ecosystem, as are the risks and benefits of E&P activity in its catchment basin. As the United Nations and African Union renew their peacekeeping operations and Intervention Brigade forces to stop the mounting instability and violence in eastern Congo from spreading and further destabilizing the greater Central Africa region, WAVE examines less invasive and more sustainable means to contain and dissipate conflict in the Great Lakes region, turning to bottomup approaches that seek to address the root causes of the region’s conflict. In From Curse to Cure, WAVE examines the innovative development programming opportunities in a region easily misunderstood by foreign investors and stigmatized from years of protracted conflict and top-down foreign aid development initiatives. A key component highlighted in this paper is regional cooperation through engagement of multiple stakeholder partnerships with a development approach focused on results and local ownership. From Curse to Cure provides insight from WAVE and its staff of local experts to ensure qualitative socio-economic development by the E&P industry and regional stakeholders to support the needs of the lake’s population. WAVE introduces a set of policy recommendations and guidelines that use a combined approach of bottom-up and top-down best practices for development in the Lake Tanganyika Basin and the Great Lakes region as a whole. This includes ways to engage the private sector and collaborate on programs that reduce their environmental impact while catalyzing development programs that local stakeholders have weighed-in on during the decision-making process, before project implementation. WAVE illustrates how this approach can build a stronger economic base for developing countries and decrease risk factors for the foreign investor, thereby increasing market value and investor profit in Africa’s emerging economies. WAVE reviews key regional institutional bodies, their responsibilities and limitations, and provides a set of recommendations on how to improve upon their charters to increase their effectiveness as platforms for regional cooperation, and as mediators and enforcers of transboundary agreements, such as the Lake Tanganyika Authority (LTA) and the Convention for Sustainable The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 20 Management of Lake Tanganyika. Many of these recommendations address the ineffective engagement in a region struggling to shed its reputation as a vulnerable population incapable of pulling itself out of poverty. With the inevitable draw of foreign interests in Africa’s resources and burgeoning economies, WAVE provides an informative brief on today’s complex affairs in the Great Lakes region and lays out a concise blueprint for action to inform policy makers, regional leaders, and multiple stakeholders on how to develop a more effective, cross-sectoral approach for sustainable resource management and development in the Great Lakes region, such as: Mechanisms that support transparency initiatives to ensure transparency of revenue and production, strong regulatory practices, and a judicial system that can enforce these regulations; Programs that enhance peacekeeping and good governance initiatives by recognizing indigenous migratory patterns and intermixed populations – factors that can unwittingly contribute to instability in this transboundary region if ignored; Collaboration tools to develop and integrate risk mitigation practices into regional socioeconomic development programs using a cross-sectoral approach. These recommendations, among others, enhance the aptitude of the region’s vulnerable populations and fragile ecosystems, to absorb the shocks of climate change, political conflict and the potential negative effects of mineral and energy extraction activities. 1.5 Blueprint for the Great Lakes Region and Beyond WAVE’s policy and development recommendations to stakeholders in the Lake Tanganyika Basin and the Great Lakes region is a blueprint designed to be adapted in other energy rich regions of Africa, as well as other water-centric communities across the globe. These initiatives require long term investment in infrastructure (health systems, telecommunication, education, etc.), professionalization of security services, and education that interventionist top-down solutions usually cannot sustain for long periods of time. “Proper investment in infrastructure and socioeconomic development by foreign investors will help bridge the gap between instability and economic sustainability.” This blueprint is applicable to multiple stakeholders with intersecting interests in Africa, whether applied to build health infrastructure, nurture emerging economies, extract minerals and energy resources responsibly, streamline production rates, end poverty, lower maternal and child mortality rates, save endangered animals, create sustainable fisheries, protect one of the largest freshwater bodies in the world, or encourage good governance and enforce security along porous borders. All of these intersect one another, yet most development programs address only one or two of these connections, limiting the sustainability and outcomes of regional development initiatives. 1.6 The Time to Engage is Now In reaction to the spread of fighting along the eastern provinces of the DRC in the past two years, the international humanitarian community has placed the Great Lakes region at the top of its agenda. It has agreed with regional leaders to a new three-pronged approach to end the protracted conflict in the Great Lakes region by supporting political negotiations and reforms, economic packages worth billions of dollars, and through the creation of an additional security force to complement the current UN peacekeeping mission in the DRC. This peace and economic initiative is a new method to address the persistent instability in the Great Lakes region by breaking the cycle of conflict through preventive measures (e.g., economic reforms to increase trade opportunities and invest in infrastructure), rather than manage crisis in the aftermath of fighting, and increases public-private partnership opportunities to support investment and development in the chronically unstable but resource rich Great Lakes region. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 21 With the proportion of working aged people based in Africa predicted to double in the next 35 years, a window of opportunity is presented to the extractive sector to make use of a growing labor force and a new economically active population. But this window is narrow, and opportunity can only be realized through proper investment in infrastructure and socio-economic development by foreign investors to help bridge the gap between instability and economic sustainability. For the first time in decades, the Great Lakes region has the chance to silence the fighting, boost trust and trade between neighbors and international partners, build infrastructure that supports health systems and education, empower women, and create economic opportunities that will help the countries forge a path to prosperity, good governance, and lasting stability. If regulations are changed to support such endeavors, and if countries’ foreign policies for economic development in the Great Lakes region are revised, what seems like a pipe dream may become a reality sooner rather than later. It is in this pursuit that the following piece hopes to offer a contribution. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 22 2. Lake Tanganyika and its Basin The negative impact of oil, gas, and mineral extraction is a major concern in the African Great Lakes region, as it threatens both the health of local communities and the livelihoods upon which they depend. The Lake Tanganyika Basin is used here as a case study to highlight the broader issues in the Great Lakes region. The unique biodiversity and fragile ecosystem of Lake Tanganyika is explored, as are the risks and benefits of E&P activity in its catchment basin. Lake Tanganyika is attracting interest by the E&P industry after recent surveys indicated large petroleum deposits under her lakebed. Alberta Oilsands Inc. and the oil and gas division of Freeport-McMoRan have expressed interest in the DRC side of Lake Tanganyika, and Beach Petroleum Tanzania Ltd, a subsidiary of the Australian exploration company Beach Energy, has a production sharing agreement (PSA) with the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC) for exploration on Lake Tanganyika’s southern block. Beach Petroleum has been conducting metocean studies to assist in the design of drilling solutions on the lake. The area is considered highly promising based on 18 petroleum prospects identified from the high quality 2D seismic surveys conducted earlier in 2013.8 As the paper was going to press, Beach Energy announced, Beach Petroleum Tanzania had signed an agreement for the transfer of 70 percent of its 100 percent interest in the Lake Tanganyika south oil block, Tanzania, to a wholly owned subsidiary of Woodside Petroleum Limited.9 Woodside is a large oil and gas production company based in Australia.10 Industry sources have indicated that Woodside will drill the first exploration well and will reevaluate their continued investment based on the results of that exploration well. Last year in October 2013, the Government of Tanzania announced a fourth round for companies to bid for the lease of Tanzania’s fourth deep offshore block and the northern block on Lake Tanganyika.11 The TPDC announced in a press release in May 2014 that a total of five bids were received from five companies upon the close of the licensing round on 15 May 2014. 12 As Central and Eastern Africa get attention for new oil and gas reserves found both offshore and inland along other lakes in the Great Rift Valley, Lake Tanganyika will likely become more popular to explore for energy extraction. WAVE has observed that Lake Tanganyika Basin is largely misunderstood by foreign investors due to its geopolitical complexity and isolation. It is WAVE’s intention that this report informs policy makers and the private sector to develop a more effective, cross-sectoral approach for sustainable resource management and development in the Lake Tanganyika Basin and the African Great Lakes region as a whole. About Lake Tanganyika Located in the Albertine Rift Valley, Lake Lake Tanganyika Statistics: Tanganyika is shared by Burundi, the Democratic 17% of the world’s surface fresh water Republic of the Congo (DRC), Tanzania, and Second largest lake in the world Zambia. The Lake Tanganyika Basin provides essential sources of livelihood and income for over 19,000 km3 of water twelve million people, and contributes to the 9-12 million years old growing economies of its transboundary riparian 1,900 km of shoreline countries. Known for its rich biodiversity and Supports 12 million people unique aquatic ecosystems, Lake Tanganyika 600 unique aquatic species harbors approximately 1500 aquatic species out of which approximately 600 are endemic to the Figure 1 ancient lake. Lake Tanganyika is the oldest and deepest lake in Africa, the largest volume of the three African Great Rift Valley lakes, and the second largest lake in the world by volume.13 It contains an estimated 17 percent of the world’s available surface freshwater supply, supports some of the largest freshwater fisheries on the African continent, and sits on three potential oil reserves in the territories of Tanzania, Burundi, and the DRC.14 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 23 The majority of the people in the Lake Tanganyika Basin live in small rural settlements along the shoreline, largely underdeveloped as a result of its geographic isolation. Steep mountains encircle much of the basin area: with little to no infrastructure along coastal plains, making access difficult. The current population in the lake basin is estimated to be between 12.5 and 13 million, and largely dependent on Lake Tanganyika to sustain a small-scale agriculture and fishing economy. There are few alternative resources available other than fisheries and agriculture. Extreme poverty, a high population growth rate, and under-development contribute to the unsustainable use of resources in the lake basin, threatening its region’s biological diversity. The fragility of the region places it at a disadvantage to deal with subsequent or secondary threats in the basin, including: over-exploitation of fisheries, climate change, deforestation, air pollution, agrochemicals, mining activities, and industrial waste.15 The ecological and environmental balance of the lake faces serious threats as the population increases along the lakeshore, as well as from industrial activity based around Bujumbura and Kigoma. The Lake Tanganyika Authority (LTA) expects the number of people dependent on the natural resources in the basin to increase significantly in the near future. The population growth rate in the basin is among the highest in the world, ranging from two percent to 3.2 percent each year.16 Without proper water management and infrastructure development, these issues jeopardize the water quality and especially the health of the lake ecology and biodiversity. If the lake became polluted and its fish were no longer suitable for consumption, a water and food crisis would ensue placing a vulnerable population in further peril.17 The Lake Tanganyika Authority (LTA) was launched in December 2008 as an institution management structure established under Article 23 of The Convention on the Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika (June 2003) The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 24 Figure 2. Source: International Lake Environment Committee 18 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 25 3. The Convention on Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika Recognizing that the Lake Tanganyika Basin is a threatened global heritage site, its riparian countries, along with international organizations, began a number of important initiatives to establish a collaborative approach to the sustainable development and management of the natural resources of Lake Tanganyika in the 1990s.19 In 2003, after a decade of preliminary conservation initiatives through the support of UNDP and the Global Environmental Facility, the Convention on Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika was signed by the lake’s riparian states and regional stakeholders.* The Convention provided the framework for the establishment of the Lake Tanganyika Authority (LTA). Ratified in 2007, the LTA has the mandate of advancing and representing the common interests of the contracting states in matters concerning the management of Lake Tanganyika and its catchment basin. The Convention states its primary objective is to “ensure the protection and conservation of the biological diversity and the sustainable use of the natural resources of Lake Tanganyika and its basin by the Contracting States on the basis of integrated and co-operative management.”20 To that end, the Convention aims to facilitate the “development and implementation of harmonized laws and standards concerning the management of Lake Tanganyika and its basin.” 21 The Convention addresses several aspects of the lake’s management, including: Sustainable fisheries management o Prevention and control of pollution o Article 12 directs the Contracting States to take steps to ensure freedom of navigation on the lake and to prevent pollution from lake vessels; and Environmental impact assessment o * Article 11 obligates the Contracting States to cooperate in protecting and controlling access to genetic and biochemical resources in the Lake and its basin and to share, in a fair and equitable way, the utilization of those resources; Navigation o Article 10 requires the Contracting States to take appropriate legal, administrative, and technical measures to conserve biological diversity and to prevent and control exotic species in the Lake basin; Protection and utilization of genetic and biochemical resources o Article 9 directs the Contracting States to take necessary legal, administrative, and technical measures to prevent excessive sedimentation from deforestation, land degradation, wetlands destruction, and other causes; Conservation of biological diversity o Article 8 requires the Contracting States to construct pollution reduction installations, to prevent waste disposal in the lake, and to develop legal, administrative, and technical measures for pollution reduction; Prevention of sedimentation o Article 7 directs the Contracting States to establish a framework fisheries management plan, to develop and implement harmonized national fisheries policies and regulations, and to promote community participation in fisheries management; Article 15 sets forth environmental impact assessment procedures to be followed by the Contracting States to avoid and minimize adverse impacts on the Lake and its basin from proposed projects, policies, plans, programs, and other activities. Summary of initiatives leading up to the establishment of the LTA and SAP, Appendix A The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 26 3.1 The Lake Tanganyika Authority and Strategic Action Program The LTA oversees the implementation of a regional integrated management program, known as The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its basin. The LTA recognizes the threats to the biodiversity and natural resources of Lake Tanganyika and uses the Strategic Action Program (SAP) to plan and implement complex integrated natural resource and socio-economic development programs that affect multiple sectors with impacts that extend across national boundaries.22 “The SAP should establish clear priorities that are endorsed at the highest levels of government and widely disseminated. Priority transboundary concerns should be identified, as well as sectoral interventions needed to resolve the transboundary problems as well as regional and national institutional mechanisms for implementing elements of the SAP.” (GEF Operational Strategy, 1996) Underlying the SAP is the recognition for the need for integrated management of multi-sectoral problems. The cause of environmental threats often involves complex socio-economic and political situations, which usually require inter-disciplinary solutions. Following stakeholder consultations in 2010, the SAP’s Program of Priority Actions was updated in compliance with its six long-term strategic objectives. The revised SAP laid out strategic actions to reduce pollution and improve water quality through several components relative to the energy sector’s E&P activities in Lake Tanganyika and its basin, as well as infrastructure and socio-economic development in the region by riparian countries. This includes reduced urban and industrial pollution, reduced mining pollution, and reduced risks related to petroleum E&P.23 Long-term Objectives of the Strategic Action Program: Climate change impacts Sustainable fisheries Reduction of sedimentation Habitat protection, restoration and management Biological invasions controlled and prevented Reduction of pollution and improvement of water quality Figure 3 Despite the efforts of the LTA and supporting partners since its ratification in 2007, members of the LTA Conference of Ministers expressed concern at the Fifth Ordinary Meeting 28 February 2012 that the biological richness and sustainable use of the natural resources in the Lake Tanganyika 24 and its basin are increasingly under threat. “The LTA doesn’t have the mechanism to enforce these codes and Riparian Countries’ have turned a blind eye to many of the reporting requirements.” 3.2 Utilizing the Lake Tanganyika Authority It is important to alert stakeholders in the Lake Tanganyika Basin that the LTA is a body from which a dialogue on transboundary issues can be used to promote solutions in a regional context to many of the complex issues affecting the region. The LTA should be empowered to enforce recommendations laid out in the Convention for Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika. This framework presents a platform to discuss other regional issues, such as transparency in extractive activities, management of urban pollution, climate change and its effects on health and security, over-fishing and impact on food security, and demarcation border disputes. Partnership Opportunities with the Lake Tanganyika Authority According to the former Executive Director of Lake Tanganyika Authority, Dr. Henry Mwima, the LTA seeks stakeholder partnerships to support the following programs: 1. Seeking financial resources to carry out a baseline survey in the four countries, which will determine how many fishermen earn a living from the lake, the types of fishing equipment The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 27 2. 3. they use, so as to establish uniform regulations and practices shared between four riparian countries on Lake Tanganyika. Exploring possibility to carry out a massive transboundary awareness campaign on issues related to environmental management along Lake Tanganyika.25 Support initiatives under the umbrella of the Lake Tanganyika Water, Sanitation and Environmental Management Program (LT-WATSAN) – a regional platform supported by multilateral organizations (LTA, UNEP, UN-Habitat, EAC, UNIDO and European Investment Bank, and basin country representatives) to map out an intervention program to unlock trade and investment opportunities and address sustainable management challenges in the Lake Tanganyika Basin.26 Enforcement is an Issue The LTA is charged with upholding the Lake’s Riparian Countries’ governments’ signed Convention for Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika, yet it doesn’t have the mechanism to enforce these codes and Riparian Countries’ have turned a blind eye to many of the reporting requirements such as licensing blocks to extractives that conduct exploratory drilling along the lake. Regional bodies such as the ICGLR, SADC, and EITI * have mandates to promote regional cooperation, economic development and good governance; but many of these organizations struggle to deliver long-term results. Much of this failure can be traced to the inability of the mediating body to enforce agreements. As a result, regional cooperation is fleeting with lack of accountability and breakdown of negotiations, fueling the very conflict the organization intended to dispel. The International Conference on the Great Lakes Region (ICGLR), the South African Development Community (SADC), and the Extractives International Transparency Initiative (EITI), etc. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 28 4. Oil and Gas Exploration and Production, and Mineral Extraction Oil and gas deposits are being explored for potential extraction in areas once deemed too expensive and geopolitically/environmentally risky, in order to maintain the pace of soaring demand. This occurs at a time when, notwithstanding technological improvements, finding new sources of energy supply and extracting them is becoming increasingly challenging and expensive. As a result, trade-offs are being made that put populations and the biodiversity near energy exploration sites at risk without proper infrastructure and socio-economic development planning.27 One particularly vulnerable region subject to future oil extraction is the Lake Tanganyika Basin. Exploration in Lake Tanganyika has been limited until now, but as Central and Eastern Africa get attention from new oil and gas reserves found offshore and inland along other lakes in the Great Rift Valley, Lake Tanganyika will likely become more popular to explore for energy extraction.28 As of February 2013, Burundi and Tanzania have leased oil blocks on Lake Tanganyika’s eastern shoreline for exploration and there is growing interest in prospect oil blocks on the Congolese side of the lake. Recent surveys on Lake Tanganyika suggest a large working petroleum system underneath the Congolese side of the lake. Although the DRC has not issued any exploration licenses for Lake Tanganyika, its energy minister publically stated mid-2012 that the Congolese government “aims to start realizing the potential of Lake Tanganyika in the medium term.”29 4.1 Democratic Republic of the Congo The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), which is often labeled as the prime example of the paradox of plenty, is making efforts to reverse its reputation as a country extremely rich in natural resources, yet struggling to pull its people out of extreme poverty with the second lowest per capita GDP in the world.30 The Congolese government is approaching this by submitting a draft hydrocarbon bill to Parliament to encourage foreign investment; however, the proposed hydrocarbon bill is poorly drafted and needs to be revised to support regulatory reform. Under its current form, it would be very challenging to fashion a well regulated industry that provides a sustainable anchor for industrial development. 31 Of growing concern is the external commercial pressure by unregulated entities in the region to expedite the signing of this bill. The DRC has also attempted to meet international standards of good governance and transparent regulatory practices through the international Extractive Industry Transparency Initiative (EITI). After seven years, the DRC earned full membership to the EITI in July 2014. EITI announced on 2 July 2014 that the government had addressed issues raised in a 2010 report which led to the DRC’s temporary suspension in 2013, and the Congo was now a compliant member meeting EITI’s standards of transparent extractive accounting practices.32 33 34 Activists and organizations that promote good governance practices have pushed for the new legislation to require an open and competitive tender process for oil permits, contract and ownership transparency for oil and gas rights, and prohibition of drilling in the DRC’s national parks. The DRC granted oil exploration licenses to SOCO International for Block 5 along its northeast border with Uganda, a controversial move, as the blocks overlap with Virunga National Park.* Home to approximately half of the world’s 950 mountain gorillas, Virunga National Park is one of Africa’s oldest and most diverse national parks and a UNESCO world heritage sites. Following mediation in London with the World Wildlife Fund and consequential negative press, SOCO announced in June 2014 that it would withdraw from Virunga National Park.35 As of midAugust, no such move had been made. Rather, an information campaign by SOCO ensued in which Chairman Rui da Sousa told investors at SOCO’s annual general meeting that “we have not pulled out.”36 Since then, new details have come to light. A leaked letter from SOCO insinuated that it did not necessarily intend to disengage exploration activities from Virunga National Park and that the company was exploring other options, such as working with UNESCO * Map of Block 5 - Appendix C. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 29 to redraw Virunga’s borders. According to Global Witness, the letter was addressed to Congolese Prime Minister Augustin Matata Ponyo and signed by SOCO’s DRC Chief José Sangwa.37 While the DRC is widely known for its mineral wealth*, its E&P oil and gas sector has become the new frontier in the DRC’s extractive industries. The sale and distribution of natural gas and products derived from crude oil will face issues as it tries to escalate distribution that will challenge a burgeoning infrastructure. Based on records submitted to the EITI in 2013, the Congo produced approximately 25,000 barrels per day, generating more than USD 320 million in tax revenue in 2010.38 Total government revenue from the oil, gas, and mining sector in 2010 was just over USD 875 million.39 Government revenue from the hydrocarbon sector increased by 60 percent the following year to a record USD 1.4 billion, per two reports submitted to EITI in December 2013.40 According to EITI, “The reports identified areas of improvements in the tax systems, state-owned companies, and the management of government revenues.”41 The Ministry of Hydrocarbons has agreements with large oil companies such as Total and Chevron currently invested in the Congo. A massive increase in the Congo’s oil production is likely once the new legislation has passed, followed by the expectant agreement with Angola on sharing benefits of lucrative offshore fields.42 Draft Hydrocarbon Bill The Ministry of Hydrocarbons submitted a draft hydrocarbon bill to parliament in 2013, currently under review for approval, which seeks to make the sector more attractive to investors. Global Witness reports the planned revisions to the hydrocarbons law contain major flaws that could allow gross mismanagement of the country’s oil wealth with serious environmental impacts and fail to safeguard the country’s UNESCO-protected world heritage sites.43 44 The proposed oil code fails to insist on full, open tender processes for exploration licenses as recommended by the UN, World Bank, IMF, and other organizations. Without such transparency, it is feared corruption will flourish as it has in its many minerals contracts, costing hundreds of millions of dollars or more in lost tax revenue for a country. Additionally, there is very little protection from the transfer of mining and oil assets well below market price. In 2013, the Africa Progress Panel reported five mining deals in the DRC were sold to offshore companies between 2010 and 2012 for USD 1.36 billion less than they were worth.45 There is concern that the Congolese government is irresponsibly expediting the process of drafting and passing this new hydrocarbon law, with little transparency on the process and no open debate or input from civil society organizations and expert bodies. The draft oil code was passed in 2013 by the Congolese Senate, and has been under discussion in the Lower House of Parliament, projected to be passed mid-2014. It has, however, remained in draft form due to falling short of international standard for hydrocarbon law.46 47 Some critics report revisions to the draft oil code in November 2013 did not go far enough and the bill remains inadequate to discourage illegitimate and/or non-transparent energy deals in the DRC. The IMF reported that the draft law falls short of the need for transparency to ensure a fair share of oil revenues go to the Congolese people.48 Historically, exploitation of the DRC’s hydrocarbon resources came primarily from offshore fields. Exploration for oil and gas began in the 1960’s along the country’s 22 km Atlantic Ocean coastline. By 1983, 41 wells had been sunk. Out of this activity, five operating oil fields and one gas field were discovered; the most significant find being offshore. Of these, the Mibale field contains 48 percent of the Coastal basin’s recoverable reserves and remains the Congo’s most productive field.49 Western and Eastern Oil Blocks Some of the DRC’s largest known reserves of oil are offshore. Perenco has a license for most of these reserves including Mibale, Tshiala, and Motoba fields.50 Perenco was the first sole oil producer in the DRC. Perenco's onshore drilling program started in 2002, shortly after it took over the onshore operation and continued at an average rate of 25 wells per year. In 2013, onshore production was stable, at an average of 10,000 barrels of oil per day. Offshore, Perenco halted the natural decline with new producing wells drilled in 2012 and 2013. Production is expected to * Facts and figures on DRC’s global share of minerals and petroleum production/reserves – Appendix B and C. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 30 increase significantly thanks to an additional six months drilling campaign planned for 2014. An exploration campaign will also be carried out with 3D seismic and one exploration well. 51 52 Despite earlier exploration, the DRC still has a vast number of unexplored oil reserves.* A number of deals have raised interest in the DRC’s oil prospects in the last two years, including the Ndunda block in western Congo which lies in the country’s western Bas-Congo Province. Italian oil and gas group Eni recently signed a farm-in agreement with UK-based Surestream Petroleum to acquire 55 percent and operatorship in the Ndunda block. A number of foreign firms, including Eni, Total and Tullow Oil, have shown interest in rights to blocks in the east along the Ugandan border.53 In March 2011, the Congolese Government issued a license for a joint exploration operation with SacOil, Total, DIG, and a state-owned company for Block III, located in the Albertine Graben in the DRC (near the border with Uganda). Block III is on trend with Lake Albert discoveries in Uganda. To date, the majority of the exploration has been within the borders of Uganda, but the DRC concessions are considered more promising, with Block III’s proximity to recent significant discoveries.54 Caprikat, Ltd. and Foxwhelp, Ltd. won two permits in 2010 in a controversial bid to conduct E&P activities in what is expected to be one of the most rewarding oil block prospects on the Congolese side of Lake Albert.55 The companies obtained E&P rights for Blocks I and II of the Albertine Graben through a Production Sharing Agreement with the Congolese government. The bid was controversial since the same blocks had been claimed earlier by two other firms. Industry sources claim the highly desirable and sought after blocks were awarded to newly incorporated Caprikat and Foxwhelp, subsidiaries of the Fleurette Group, who will likely sell lease rights to a higher bidder as the DRC’s oil sector matures. 56 Oil of DRCongo, the Fleurette Group’s subsidiary for E&P operational, technical, social, and environmental activities, announced in early August 2014 that analysis from seismic studies in Blocks I and II indicated three billion barrels of oil in place (total hydrocarbon content of an oil reservoir).57 While it is still unclear what crude is recoverable at this time, the discovery will likely increase other oil prospect blocks in the Albertine Graben. Oil of DRCongo estimates that “production of 50,000 barrels of oil per day from Lake Albert would increase the Congo's present GDP by 25 percent.”58 59 60 61 62 Of notoriety in the prospects on the Congolese side of Lake Albert is Dan Gertler, an Israeli businessman who, since befriending President Kabila over a decade ago, has heavily invested his family’s diamond fortune in mining activities and now oil assets in the DRC through Fleurette Properties, Ltd., Fleurette Group and its subsidiaries, including Oil of DRCongo, Caprikat and Foxwhelp, among others. 63 64 Lake Tanganyika Oil Block Prospect Out of the four riparian countries, the DRC has the largest footprint on Lake Tanganyika, making up the majority of lake’s western boundary, controlling 45 percent of the lake’s area.65 Within its boundary lies a large natural oil seep, considered one of the largest in the world, located near Kalemie. Though no licenses have been publically issued for oil exploration for this block, it is a compelling investment for the gas and oil sector. Several foreign companies have expressed an interest in exploring the blocks on the DRC side of Lake Tanganyika, including Freeport-McMoRan’s oil and gas division and Alberta Oilsands Inc. In a presentation to its shareholders in 2012, Alberta Oilsands Inc. noted that Lake Tanganyika shares many geological similarities to the proven hydrocarbon-rich rifts of northern Uganda (Lake Albert) and yet is currently unlicensed in the DRC, providing a low cost entry opportunity with staged investment.66 Alberta Oilsands Inc. (AOS) announced in January 2013 that it is jointly pursuing a Production Sharing Agreement with Pan African Oil (PAO) for two blocks on Lake Tanganyika, the Kalembe Block and the Fatuma Block (together, known as the ‘DRC Blocks’), in which the AOS may earn a 43.75 percent interest in the DRC Blocks. PAO will remain the operator of the DRC Blocks. The * Graphic of active and unexplored DRC gas and oil blocks - Appendix C. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 31 DRC Blocks comprise over one million acres (gross) covering the Kalemie sub-basin on Lake Tanganyika.67 Earlier in July 2012, PAO signed a Protocole d’Accord (Memorandum of Understanding) with the DRC Ministry of Hydrocarbons for Block 5 and Block 6 through its business connection in the DRC. Uprising SPRL, an indigenous DRC company, may also have a small working interest, according to PAO records.68 Oil extraction on Lake Tanganyika’s is an area of potential contention due to unclear demarcation line on the lake between the DRC, Burundi and Tanzania. This will likely complicate prospect E&P on Lake Tanganyika. According to the International Crisis Group, the DRC needs to reach clearer demarcation of its borders on Lake Tanganyika and on other lakes and coastal areas before it can collaborate with its neighbors on oil exploration.69 This is also a requirement as was signed and agreed by the Government of the DRC under the Lake Tanganyika Authority Convention, which requires full transparency and reporting on such activities on the lake. The prospect of drilling there has only been sweetened by a recently completed seismic survey of Lake Tanganyika mid-2012, which indicates the lake has the potential for large discoveries with signs of a working petroleum system on the Congolese side.70 Mining Activities The DRC has considerable mineral wealth * (copper, cobalt, gold, diamonds, coltan, zinc, and tin71). Some of it was exploited by the DRC’s neighboring countries during the Second Congo War. Unfortunately, mineral smuggling practices are ongoing and a contributing factor to instability in the region, especially along the eastern provinces of South Kivu and North Kivu and the southeastern province of Katanga. Known as the DRC’s mining heartland and economic engine, Katanga produces the majority of the country’s mineral wealth, including copper and gold, as well as minerals that support the global electronics industry, such as cobalt and coltan. In 2012 the DRC’s share of the world’s cobalt production amounted to 55 percent (and holds about 45 percent of the world’s cobalt reserves).72 Yet 80 percent of its population lives on less than USD 0.20 a day.73 Cobalt is used in the preparation of magnetic, wear-resistant and highstrength alloys and used for everything from jet aircraft engines and orthopedic implants to lithium batteries.74 Gécamines, the Congo state-owned mining company, produced 837 tons of cobalt in 2012 and plans to scale production to 7,400 tons in 2015.75 Privately owned companies also mine cobalt in the DRC, including ENRC and Freeport-McMoRan, one of the world’s largest miners and refiners of cobalt.76 Through its subsidiary, Tenke Fungurume Mining S.A.R.L. (TFM), FreeportMcMoRan operates the copper and cobalt mining concessions in the Tenke Fungurume minerals district in Katanga Province, with a 56 percent interest in the Tenke mining concessions. In 2013, TFM produced 28 million pounds of cobalt, and expects to produce 30 million pounds of cobalt in 2014.77 The DRC also contains a large amount of coltan, a crucial raw material for the production of tantalum capacitors used in almost every kind of electronic device to include cellular phones, computers, jet engines, missiles, ships, and weapons systems.78 Coltan (columbite-tantalite) is one of several ore mixtures of tantalum found in the Kibaran deposit spanning from North Kivu in eastern DRC to northern Katanga Province. A second deposit, known as the Eburnean deposit, is located in the northern provinces of Equateur and Orientale. In the Kibaran deposit, a high concentration of coltan is found within the boundaries of Kahuzi Biega National Park, a World Heritage site and ecological sanctuary.† Twelve percent of the world’s tantalum production was mined from the DRC in 2012, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.79 However, recent in depth reporting on the amount of tantalum that is mined‡ and produced in central African countries found that these figures are difficult to confirm.80 This is due in part by poor data collection and the lack of good geological exploration work in the region over the last 20 years, and from the under-reported export sales of coltan.81 The history of coltan mining in the DRC is connected to mineral smuggling operations which started during the Second Congo War. This has skewed the DRC’s coltan export statistics. Coltan that is smuggled from the DRC into Rwanda is counted in Rwandan export statistics.82 The UN found evidence in 2003 that mineral smuggling financed rebel List of minerals mined in the DRC - Appendix B. Graphics depicting environmental impact of coltan production in DRC - Appendix K. ‡ Tantalum is obtained from mines, recycled and scrap materials, inventories, and the slag heaps around tin mines. * † The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 32 group activities, contributed to human rights abuses and a spike in child labor; and adversely affected the environment and gorilla population in the region. 83 84 Opaque Extractive Deals The privatization of the DRC’s minerals and petro sector has been plagued by a culture of secrecy, informal deals and allegations of corruption. This culture of corruption has spawned several backdoor deals with foreign corporations with little to no oversight and repercussion until recently. In April 2013, the international EITI board temporarily suspended * the DRC from its EITI Candidature status until reporting standards on revenues from the extractives sector were improved. 85 Of even greater consequence, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cancelled its loan program with the DRC in 2012 for failing to publish details of a copper mining deal in 2011. The DRC lost part of its USD 532 million loan from the IMF (the remainder of undisbursed funds) as a result of the government’s insufficient response to the IMF’s line of inquiry about the opaque mining deal in which a trade of assets appeared to be conducted in a non-transparent way. The IMF loan cancellation also postponed consideration by the African Development Bank of a possible USD 87 million in budget support to the DRC.86 Gecamines, the DRC’s state-owned mining company, didn’t notify the Mines Ministry of a possible sale of its stake in Kamoto Copper Co. (KCC) in 2013 with Dan Gertler, the leading candidate after a “tender.”87 Gertler has entered into joint ventures in the DRC’s mineral sector with companies including Glencore Plc and Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) since 1997. KCC is controlled by Glencore Plc. The failure by state-owned companies to publish some of those deals prompted the IMF to cancel its USD 532 million loan to the DRC in December 2012 after the Congolese government failed to provide enough detail of Gecamines’ June 2011 sale of its 24 percent stake in the Comide Sprl copper project to Gertler’s Straker International Corporation. The deal was one of five sales by state-owned Congolese mining companies to Gertler questioned by the IMF that year.88 Dan Gertler’s growing notoriety in Africa has prompted other companies to distance themselves from his deals. ENRC, which co-owned Camrose Resources with Gertler, agreed in late 2012 to buy out the remaining 49.5 percent of the company from Gertler for USD 550 million, following months of pressure from politicians and campaigners.89 ENRC shareholders have expressed their discontent being associated with Gertler and many were not in favor of this transaction. In 2010, ENRC had purchased 50.5 percent of the company for USD 175 million.90 Caprikat and Foxwhelp Companies are not the only entities concerned with how Dan Gertler is doing business. The government of the DRC threatened in 2012 to take away two prospective oil blocks awarded in 2010 to start-up offshore companies linked to Gertler, Caprikat and Foxwhelp, citing little progress had been reported back since the seismic studies began. Industry sources claim the highly sought after blocks on the Congolese side of Lake Albert were awarded to Caprikat and Foxwhelp in 2010, two newly incorporated companies with no track record in the energy sector, and believe the companies will sell lease rights to a higher bidder.91 Fleurette Properties, Ltd., owned by Dan Gertler, is the parent company of Fleurette Group and its subsidiaries, including Caprikat and Foxwhelp, among others. Fleurette Properties, Ltd. is owned by Line Trust Corporation Limited “strictly and solely in its capacity as trustees of the Ashdale Settlement, a trust established in 2006 for the benefit of the family of Dan Gertler.” 92 According to DRC Oil Minister Crispin Atama Tabe Mogodi, Dan Gertler is one of the principal partners in Caprikat and Foxwhelp, as well as South African President Jacob Zuma’s nephew Khulubuse Zuma. 93 94 There is no available documentation confirming Khulubuse Zuma’s ownership, and sources familiar with the deal say that he is not a shareholder. However, the identity of the ultimate real owners of the companies – believed to be South African – remains secret due to the companies’ incorporation in the Virgin Islands, a known tax haven.95 96 † * † The DRC has since been accepted as a Compliant Member of EITI. (EITI, 2 July 2014) Reports of further internal transactions continue to circulate. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 33 The Nessergy Deal In April 2013, the Gibraltar-registered Nessergy Ltd. (majority-owned by Dan Gertler), sold the Congolese government back its rights to an oil block along the Congolese-Angolan border in a deal criticized by transparency advocates. The amount of the resale wasn’t disclosed, which prompted criticism from Global Witness. Reuters, citing an April 2013 contract it saw, reported the Congolese government bought back block 14C for USD 150 million, which amounts to 300 times the amount original asking price paid by Nessergy in 2006; reportedly obtained for USD 500,000 without a public tender.97 Block 14C is located in the Atlantic Ocean near some of Angola's most productive oilfields. At the time it was acquired by Nessergy, it was located in an area at the heart of a maritime border dispute between the DRC and Angola. However, the two countries have since created a zone of common economic interest in an attempt to settle the border dispute. Congo sought to buy back the rights from Nessergy in 2013 to allow negotiations for a new production sharing agreement with Angolan state oil company, Sonangol. A Nessergy spokesman said the company wasn’t able to make any progress in exploration on the block and it sold its rights back despite “considerable efforts to find development partners” over the course of several years. However, a confidential U.S. diplomatic cable from 2009 published online by Wikileaks said Gertler originally bought the block in a “corrupt oil deal” with the help of Congolese officials. The sale infuriated the Angolan government, which considered the blocks Angolan property, the cable said.98 99 100 Dan Gertler Dan Gertler invested in mining assets in the DRC using his family’s fortune in diamonds fifteen years ago. During this time, Gertler befriended the now Congolese President Joseph Kabila and has paid state-owned entities undisclosed amounts for mining rights since Kabila began his presidency. Gertler has stakes in companies that control 9.6 percent of world cobalt production, based on U.S. Geological Survey data and company figures.101 In 2013, Dan Gertler’s fortune was estimated to be between USD 2.2 billion102 and USD 3 billion,103 according to Forbes and Bloomberg billionaire lists. Good governance and other nonprofit groups have accused Gertler of using his ties to the president to pay below market levels, essentially robbing the Congolese people from the proceeds of their country’s great resource wealth.104 The African Progress Panel released a report in May 2013 citing the DRC had lost out on USD 1.36 billion in revenue (double the state’s annual budget for health and education), by selling undervalued copper and cobalt deposits now controlled by Glencore Plc and ENRC.105 According to the report, the figure represents a small share of overall losses as state-owned companies underprice assets they sold to companies owned by Gertler between 2010 and 2012.106 Glencore, ENRC, and Gertler deny any wrongdoing and instead highlight the income generation and tax revenue it brings the country, providing 20,000 jobs to local workers, as well as investment and donor community projects worth USD 150 million since 2004 through The Gertler Family Foundation.107 4.2 Tanzania The Tanzanian extractive industry has experienced a boom in prospective gas and oil fields over the past decade.108 New oil and gas discoveries of have recently been discovered off the coast of Tanzania in the Indian Ocean and inland, including two blocks on the Tanzanian side of Lake Tanganyika. Proven gas reserves off the eastern coast are estimated to be over one Trillion Cubic Feet (TCF) according to the EITI Tanzanian country report. This number has increased ten-fold based on recent discoveries in deep offshore gas which have been estimated at 13 TFC.109 Norwegian explorer Statoil made the most recent gas strike off the coast in December 2012, discovering a “separate and significant” gas-bearing reservoir in Block 2. Stateoil operates Block 2 with a 65 percent stake on behalf of the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC), with ExxonMobil holding the remaining 35 percent.110 According to Tanzania Daily News, the government recently raised its estimate of recoverable natural gas reserve to 33 TCF. These gas strikes off East Africa’s coast have led to predictions that the region could become the world’s The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 34 third-largest exporter of natural gas.111 Seismic surveys in Tanzania’s southern block of Lake Tanganyika indicate additional gas and oil prospects.* Prospects on Lake Tanganyika Potential oil and gas fields in the southern block on the Tanzanian side of Lake Tanganyika were leased by the TPDC and Tanzanian government in 2010 to Beach Petroleum Tanzania Ltd.112 Upon completion of an initial survey of the southern block in August 2012, Beach Petroleum announced that its exploration block has the potential to contain 200 million barrels of oil.113 However, finding and pumping that oil at depths of up to 1.5 km will take much longer than in Lake Albert, where oil production is expected to start on the Ugandan side of the lake in the next four years. 114 Beach Petroleum has been conducting metocean studies to assist in the design of drilling solutions on the southern block of Lake Tanganyika. These surveys are ongoing with data being collected and assessed. The area is considered highly promising based on 18 prospects and leads identified from the high quality 2D seismic surveys conducted earlier in 2013.115 116 Oil major Total took steps to secure exploration acreage in Tanzania’s northern block of Lake Tanganyika. However, Total’s Production Sharing Agreement (PSA) application came under review mid-2011 by the Tanzanian Ministry of Minerals and Energy under the advisement of the TPDC.117 118 The delay in licensing Total the PSA was partly in connection with the order by the government to ratify its oil and gas licensing law before issuing additional permits. The fourth international licensing round in September 2012 was halted by the Tanzanian government until the oil and gas law was ratified.119 120 Total’s PSA application was under review when the TPDC announced that a fourth Tanzania deep offshore and north Lake Tanganyika licensing round would take place in October 2013.121 122 On 15 May 2014 the TDPC announced that the licensing round had closed. Ras Al Khaimah Gas LLC (RAKGAS), a United Arab Emirates company, was the only company to bid on the northern block on Lake Tanganyika. 123 RAKGAS has gas processing facilities in the UAE and Oman and conducts E&P activities to develop oil and gas blocks in Africa. RAKGAS is a major partner in a recent gas discovery in Tanzania.124 The four other bids for offshore block four were submitted by Statoil and ExxonMobil (Norway and USA), Gazprom (Russia), China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), and Mubadala (UAE). 125 Good Governance Initiatives and Community Outreach According to Tanzanian Deputy Minister for Energy and Minerals, the Tanzanian government has a 70 percent stake in all gas and oil exploration deals, and is taking all necessary precautions over the possibility of some investors inflating the exploration costs before commencement of production, as has been the case in the DRC.126 The Tanzanian government has taken steps to improve the transparency of its energy lease contracts and met the requirements as an EITI Compliant Member in December 2012. The EITI obligates the government to publish revenues they receive from these companies, promoting greater transparency and accountability in managing the oil, gas, and mining sectors. This letter of transparency coupled with the new gas block discoveries will likely raise revenue earnings significantly in the near future.127 Tanzania’s ability to reach EITI compliant status is a positive step towards more transparent energy transactions but other initiatives need to be implemented to further develop good governance of resources, such as financial support for infrastructure and technical skills to overcome Tanzania’s insufficient technical labor force. It also needs to invest in public outreach and education programs to rural communities on exploration and production (E&P) extraction activities in the region. Tanzania lacks a professional force of indigenous experts and instead relies on multinational buyers and foreign professionals. This has placed it at a disadvantage, which has contributed to unaccountability and improper distribution of the resource wealth to the Tanzanian population. According to a paper on “Management of the Extractive Industries” presented by the University of Dar es Salaam and Ministry of Finance, Tanzania’s extractive activities only contribute to one percent of the country’s labor force. The head of the Economic Department at the University of Dar es Salaam, Dr. Adolf Mkenda, contends that Tanzania fails to utilize its natural resources due * Graphic of Tanzanian oil and gas blocks - Appendix I. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 35 to insufficient investment in science education, lack of organic technical and legal expertise, and the country’s dependence of living off the capital.128 Such problems are not new for developing countries, yet most infrastructural approaches by the extractive sector and state have not adjusted to resolve them. Local community buy-in to the extraction of state-leased gas or oil is extremely important. Some Tanzanian residents, most notably from Mtwara, have held demonstrations opposing the construction of a gas pipeline from Mtwara to Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Demonstrators from Mtwara complain the national government will profit from the extraction of its natural gas reserves, piping gas to the capital in the north, while continuing to ignore the infrastructural needs of the Mtwara population. The protests have been peaceful under tight police security so far, but mistrust by local residents of foreign energy companies in Tanzania is on the rise.129 Moving inland to the eastern shoreline of Lake Tanganyika, residents from villages in Nkasi District continue to raise concerns about the recent survey conducted by Beach Petroleum on the M/V MWONGOZO, spreading stories that soldiers were using the vessel to extract and steal huge quantities of minerals from the lake’s bed. Despite several meetings and a workshop to explain current oil and exploration activities in the area and reassure villagers that no extraction of crude was taking place, Beach Petroleum’s country manager Marcus Mng’ong’o admitted that one of the company’s biggest challenges was the residents’ lack of understanding of its exploration activities on Lake Tanganyika.130 This is testament for the need to incorporate education and cultural outreach programs as part of the infrastructure development plan for extraction activities. 4.3 Burundi Burundi was known more for its nickel deposits*, among other minerals, than for its oil reserves. This thinking changed in 2008 when oil seeps were sighted on the Ruzizi River Basin along the border with the DRC and along the northeastern shoreline of Lake Tanganyika.131 Burundi’s oil zones were divided into four blocks (A-D) in 2008 and several E&P companies have expressed interest to lease oil blocks.† In late 2008 Surestream Petroleum was awarded Block D and later Block B in October 2009; both blocks are on Lake Tanganyika and leased for an initial three-year term. Surestream contracted WGP Exploration in 2011 to convert the TANGANYIKA EXPLORER, an ex-UN fisheries vessel, to carry out a 2D seismic survey acquisition on Lake Tanganyika in 2012. Surestream also said it was planning the acquisition of speculative 2D seismic survey over the Congolese areas of the lake in support of the upcoming license round.132 Due to complications and logistical setbacks Surestream’s seismic acquisition date was pushed out. Surestream eventually contracted GAC UK and GAC-Seaforth to deliver 60 tons of cargo to their seismic operations base in land-locked Burundi in November 2012. Cargo comprised of fabricated steel sections, stores, tools, chemicals, seismic equipment, and a 10 meter (33 ft) chase boat. Containers were shipped by sea from England to Dar es Salaam, and then transported by road to Bujumbura, with selected items sent by air direct to their final destination at Surestream’s seismic base on Lake Tanganyika.133 134 This highlights the complexity and cost of moving equipment inland to an area that lacks basic infrastructural support. Poor Infrastructure Burundi’s energy infrastructure was largely destroyed as a result of a decade long inter-ethnic conflict and civil war in the 1990’s lasting a decade. Investment in energy projects were further deterred by an embargo enforced in 1996, subsequent scarcity of foreign currency, and outdated 1976 mining and petroleum legislation. As a result, Burundi has heavily relied on external aid to support state-funded projects and has struggled to rebuild its infrastructure.‡ There have been efforts to address Burundi’s poor electricity grid through one of the regions first regional hydroelectric projects funded by the World Bank. The Regional Rusumo Falls Hydroelectric Project, which will generate power for residents of Burundi, Rwanda and Tanzania, is the first project operated under the World Bank Group Great Lakes Regional Initiative. The 80 Burundi contains approximately six percent of known nickel reserves in the world. [Debacker, Binyingo, 2008] Map of Burundi’s oil blocks on Lake Tanganyika - Appendix J. ‡ Sixty percent of the state’s 2012 budget is expected to be paid by donors. * † The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 36 megawatt hydroelectric power station in Rwanda will dam the Kagera River on the border with Tanzania, and projected to be operational by 2017. Environmentalists are concerned that the ecosystem impacts of the project have not been evaluated.135 The Road to Self-sufficiency In 2006, the Ministry of Mines and Energy consulted with the EU Energy Initiative Partnership Dialogue Facility (EUEI PDF) to develop a new national energy policy to address the country’s energy deficit.* EUEI PDF provided a diverse portfolio of recommended energy policy reforms to the government to be adopted by the end of 2011. Of relevance to this paper, EUEI PDF recommended the Government of Burundi reduce its dependence on oil imports; invest in a new pipeline to Bujumbura to improve the security of Burundi’s oil supply; and support legal and regulative institutions to promote good governance and induce private sector investment.136 In October 2012, Finance Minister Tabu Abdallah described infrastructure development as key to Burundi’s plans for self-sufficiency, to include building roads and energy generation projects. Burundi expects its economy to expand by five percent annually over the next three to four years; however, this is below the rate needed to lift it out of poverty.137 Mining and Petroleum Legislation Reform The Government of Burundi recognized mining and prospective petroleum deposits were vehicles for economic growth and began to reform relevant legislation. The new mining code is in the process of being drafted. It does not, however, extend to petroleum E&P activities.138 Thus, a separate legislative framework governing petroleum activities will need to be issued in the near future to adapt to present economic and social conditions and environmental regulations, including those agreed upon in the Strategic Action Program as outlined in the Lake Tanganyika Authority. Good Governance Initiatives Unlike Tanzania and the DRC, Burundi is not working towards becoming a member with EITI.139 It has, however, created anti-corruption agencies and improved regulatory reforms to lessen Burundi’s reliance on external budget support. Unfortunately, high inflation in 2012 curtailed Burundi from meeting its economic goals, with rates as high as 25 percent in April 2012. 140 Furthermore, the International Crisis Group reports a deepening corruption crisis in Burundi from “neopatrimonialist” practices by the CNDD-FDD,† which has reduced Burundi’s appeal to Western-based foreign investors. It has also sowed social discontent, pitting former Tutsi and new Hutu elites against each other, while undermining the credibility of post-conflict institutions.141 142 4.4 Current/Recent Disputes between State Actors Lake Malawi: Dispute between Tanzania and Malawi Lake Malawi/Nyasa has been a source of disagreements since colonial times, which was recently rekindled when Malawi claimed ownership of the whole lake and awarded oil and gas exploration rights in Lake Malawi near Tanzanian shores.143 Lake Malawi, referred to as Lake Nyasa to Tanzanians, is considered a global heritage based on its unique biodiversity and size as the third deepest freshwater lake on earth.144 It is located south of Lake Tanganyika in the African Great Lakes system, surrounded by the countries of Malawi, Tanzania, and Mozambique. Lake Malawi is believed to have rich oil and gas reserves. In September 2011, the government of Malawi awarded Surestream Petroleum licenses to explore Blocks 2 and 3.‡ These blocks total 20,000 km2 and meet the Tanzanian shoreline.145 The Tanzanian government demanded Malawi halt exploration activities on the Tanzanian side of the lake, claiming entitlement to half of the Burundi’s high population growth is straining the country’s antiquated hydropower-dependent electric power grid system and rolling blackouts occur on a regular basis. In addition, the population’s reliance on biomass energy for cooking has caused severe deforestation in the region. † Conseil national pour la defense de la démocratie-Forces de defense de la démocratie (CNDD-FDD) rebellion came into power in 2005, shifting political power from the Tutsi to the Hutu. ‡ Map of Lake Malawi and Blocks 2 and 3 - Appendix I * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 37 northern portion of the lake, and therefore by extension Malawi would have no legal jurisdiction to explore oil on their half. The Tanzanian claim is rooted in common international law, which stipulates that when a body of water separates two countries, the border is in the middle of said body. Malawi, however, cites an 1890 agreement between the former colonial powers, which puts the Malawi border at the Tanzanian shoreline of the lake.146 Tanzania and Malawi have been unable to resolve this dispute. Bilateral negotiation came to an impasse after an escalation in rhetoric mid-2012, when the Tanzanian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Bernard Membe, told the Tanzanian Parliament that should Malawi not stop its plans to explore oil on the Tanzanian side of Lake Tanganyika, the government would regard this as an act of aggression. The media reports following the minister’s statement created fears that that Tanzania was ready to go to war with Malawi.147 Having failed to bilaterally negotiate territorial jurisdiction of the lake after a year, Tanzania and Malawi requested the Chairperson of the Forum of Former African Heads of State of Government, former Mozambique President Joaquim Chissano, to act as a third party mediator in December 2012.148 The Forum began mediation efforts in early 2013.149 However, Malawi and Tanzania failed to agree on a compromise and negotiations concluded without a resolution in March 2014. Chissano said the mediators recommended the two countries first use the natural resources in common benefit and then discuss the delimitation.150 Throughout the negotiation process, verbal rhetoric between the two countries increased as did the number of assaults on fishermen in the northern part of Lake Malawi. The Tanzanian government requested Malawi return to the negotiation table but whose unwillingness to stop the planned deployment of ships on Lake Malawi stoked tensions between the two countries, and Malawi issued a formal protest to the Tanzanian government in June 2013. 151 152 While negotiations were underway, Surestream continues its preparatory activities for an Environmental Impact and Social Assessment survey on Lake Malawi prior to targeting potential drilling sites.153 Lake Albert: Dispute between Uganda and the DRC The DRC contested its natural border with Uganda on Lake Albert as soon as oil exploration started in 2003. Interestingly, oil exploration on Lake Albert at that time was initiated by the Congolese government, which signed a Memorandum of Understanding in June 2002 with the British exploration company, Heritage Oil. Heritage Oil was contracted to explore 30,000 km2 from the town of Rutshuru, south of Lake Edward, to Mahagi, at the northern end of Lake Albert. Heritage Oil did not carry out its exploration in the DRC due to increased instability and poor infrastructure. Heritage did, however, explore the Ugandan side of Lake Albert. This revived tensions between the two states over the control of Rukwanzi Island and contributed to bloodshed during the interethnic conflict in Ituri District, DRC in 2003. In August and September 2007, there were two military clashes between the DRC and Uganda that lead to a Ugandan - Congolese presidential agreement, designed to increase security cooperation and work towards a “joint oil production zone” on Lake Albert. The agreement, known as the Ngurdoto Accords, has been lauded as successfully pacifying the previous zero-sum war reaction between the Ugandans and Congolese. Two weeks after the treaty was signed the Ugandan army killed six Congolese while they travelled in a ferry from Rukwanzi Island. It was later revealed that Heritage Oil played a key role in triggering that military operation, after its staff had recklessly crossed illegally into Congolese waters. Diplomats and oil consultants concur that bilateral relations between Uganda and the DRC have improved since the treaty was signed.154 Uganda has moved forward with its oil production on Lake Albert. Drilling operations commenced in 2014 which confirmed the presence of about 3.5 billion barrels of oil in place on the eastern side of Lake Albert. Uganda is now entering into the oil production development phase (with an estimated flow of about 200,000 barrels per day). It has plans for an export pipeline through Kenya and a 60,000 barrels per day refinery in the vicinity of the oilfields.155 156 157 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 38 The International Crisis Group warns that tensions remain to fester over the demarcation line of the lake’s border and sovereignty of Rukwanzi Island. Mounting concern lies within the production of oil with both countries vying for a refinery and a pipeline. In February 2011, Uganda announced its plans to construct a refinery for its impending oil production on Lake Albert. 158 Since then, the Congolese government unilaterally authorized the UPDF to increase security on Lake Albert, a move that may elevate tensions in the region once more. 159 Off shore Dispute between the DRC and Angola The DRC has an ongoing oil-related maritime boundary dispute with Angola off its Atlantic Ocean coastline in Bas-Congo Province. Most of the DRC’s borders were not well defined upon independence, and the country had accepted the status quo until 2003 when the DRC claimed two of Angola’s deep-sea oil blocks were in DRC territorial waters. Since then, Angola has increased its oil production from the contested deep-sea blocks, making it the second largest exporter of oil in Africa. About half the oil produced by Angola comes from contested oil blocks. In a submission to the UN in July 2009, the Congo laid claim to Angola’s most profitable offshore oil blocks and threatened to go to international arbitration. Angola eventually offered Congo a stake in some of the offshore blocks but negotiations to share oil revenue halted after violent expulsions and Angolan military incursions increased as a result of the oil block dispute exacerbating tensions from a long history of security, political, humanitarian, and resource ownership issues between both countries.160 In late 2010, the UN reported evidence of the systematic rape of Congolese women and girls as part of the Angolan expulsion of Congolese.161 In 2011, the DRC postponed the submission of its experts' report on the issue until 2014.162 In the spring of 2014 the issue over offshore blocks off the coast of Cabinda heated up after Angola submitted a map and claim to the UN in December 2013 to extend its maritime boundary from 200 miles to 350 miles offshore. The Congolese government formally contested Angola’s request to the UN to extend the length of its continental shelf in April 2014, claiming that Angola supplied the UN a "unilaterally drawn" map. The DRC requested that the commission refuse to review the map to allow an international tribunal to rule on the dispute. The UN will review Angola’s submission during its session from 21 July to 5 September 2014.163 164 4.5 Potential Disputes Lake Tanganyika In the context of a general oil rush in Central and East Africa, the lack of clearly defined borders (especially in the Great Lakes region), poses significant risk to regional stability.165 No disputes have erupted between state actors in the Lake Tanganyika Basin thus far; however, the potential for disputes exists given that the borders between the four littoral countries have not been clearly demarcated. Even if the four riparian countries observed current practices under international law to divide the lake up by the median line, the location of that line would need to be reassessed, given that water levels have dropped considerably in recent years.166 The International Crisis Group recommends the DRC reach clearer demarcation of its borders on Lake Tanganyika and on other lakes and coastal areas before it can collaborate with its neighbors on oil exploration.167 Increased E&P activity on Lake Tanganyika is another source of tension, if activities are not carefully coordinated with littoral countries and accepted by community leaders. Although Surestream only has a PSA agreement with Burundi to explore on the Burundi portion of Lake Tanganyika, the company announced in 2011 that it was planning the acquisition of speculative 2D seismic over the Congolese areas of the lake.168 169 In 2008 the Congolese Ministry of Hydrocarbons divided the country’s share of Lake Tanganyika into ten blocks, but the divisions are not official.170 Later that year, the Congolese government reportedly signed a joint exploration deal with Tanzania for Lake Tanganyika. According to the International Crisis Group, this agreement was never implemented. The DRC Energy Minister Atama Tabe announced in August 2012 that his government intended to begin looking at its oil potential on Lake Tanganyika in the medium term. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 39 Separately, the Tanzanian Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC) asked permission for Beach Petroleum to enter the Congolese side of the lake to facilitate its exploration on the Tanzanian side.* The request has not been granted, but the Congolese government asked the TPDC to resubmit their request for the next licensing round, once the new hydrocarbon law was passed. Beach Petroleum said getting that permission from the DRC has been an issue for the company, but it was possible to carry out its survey without entering Congolese waters.171 Meanwhile, eastern shoreline communities in Tanzania have voiced discontent with Beach Petroleum’s exploration activities, viewing the activity as an illegal oil extraction operation. Again, this misunderstanding by locals echoes the need for better awareness and engagement campaigns by E&P companies along the lakeshore to counter any mistrust by locals which may compromise future extraction activities (e.g., sabotage of extraction infrastructure, or other). There is concern that this local attitude of mistrust will spread to the Burundi and DRC shoreline of Lake Tanganyika as Beach Petroleum, Surestream, Alberta Oilsands, and possibly others, increase their exploration activities on the lake. Lake Edward Exploration on Lake Edward is reportedly starting soon on both the Ugandan and Congolese sides of the lake but there are major security and environmental concerns. In 2010, Dominion Petroleum was awarded exploration rights by Uganda for block 4B, and the Government of the DRC awarded Block 5 to SOCO International and Dominion Petroleum. Fifty-two percent of Block 5 is in Virunga National Park, North Kivu causing alarm by environmentalists. Block 5 is also on the Rutshuru and Lubero territories where militias have clashed. 172 There is concern oil development in Lake Edward will deepen the instability in the region.173 In June 2014, SOCO announced that it would pull out of Virunga National Park following mediation with the World Wildlife Fund and international pressure by the British Government, UNESCO, and other high profile figures, such as Richard Branson.174 There has since been controversial reports that SOCO is seeking other avenues to legally drill in parts of Block 5 that overlap with Virunga National Park’s boundaries, such as lobbying for UNESCO to redraw Virunga’s borders.175 176 4.6 Transparency and Good Governance Initiatives Several African countries have announced the intention to redistribute their energy wealth into local development programs by leasing oil or gas blocks to E&P companies; however, they lack the mechanisms to support an effective, long-term development plan that would ensure local communities would receive benefits from energy extraction. Energy wealth rarely trickles down to the under-served and poorer classes in autocratic governments. In many countries the failure to steer natural resource wealth towards national well-being is largely linked to a failure of national governance. Of the hundreds of millions of citizens living under USD 2 a day in resource-rich nations, 85 percent live in poorly governed countries. According to Worldwide Governance Indicators, these countries rate low in corruption control and other governance dimensions.177 Establishing a legal framework with initiatives that promote good governance and support transparent public-private energy block leases will discourage illicit transactions and corruption. The governments of the DRC and Tanzania have begun to take steps within their national governments and through the EITI, to meet international transparency standards for their national extraction industries. The EITI is a coalition of governments, extractive companies, and civil society organizations committed to the implementation of internationally recognized standards and procedures related to transparent management of revenues generated by the extractive industry. To be considered a compliant country under the EITI, certain requirements must be met, one of which is the reconciliation and publication of material payments and revenues in the extractive sector. When countries join the EITI they are required to promote transparency by consistently disclosing material payments by extractive companies, as well as the receipts reported by government The request to enter DRC waters would permit Beach Petroleum’s contracted MWONGOZO perform turns with the 3km seismic streamer whilst recording seismic data on the Tanzanian side. This would allow Beach to record right up to the border before having to turn the vessel, and not to record data on the DRC side of the lake. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 40 agencies responsible for collection of revenues.178 Tanzania reached EITI Compliant Member Status in December 2012.179 Tanzania is now committed to providing annual EITI reconciliation reports of payments made by extractive companies and revenues received by the government from these companies, in accordance with the EITI rules.180 181 Until recently, the DRC had been temporarily suspended from EITI candidature status due to continual problems submitting supporting documents as part of their annual reports to EITI. On 2 July 2014, EITI announced the DRC had reached Compliant Member status after successfully meeting all requirements in their 2011 report. EITI Compliant Members must meet 21 standards of reporting, as directed by the EITI, prior to receiving EITI compliance status for transparency of its natural resources industry.182 183 184 Foreign Governments’ Regulations The U.S. Congress and the European Parliament have sought to reform laws that would help regulate mineral trade and promote peace in Africa’s Great Lakes region. U.S. efforts to crack down on violence associated with the exploitation of mineral resources in the DRC have culminated in what is commonly known as the Dodd-Frank Act (Sec 1502 and 1504). Finalized in August 2012, the act requires all companies buying minerals from the region to prove that they are not indirectly supporting conflict in the region. The U.S. Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) enacted regulations on 22 August 2012 under Sections 1502 and 1504 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, detailing the reporting requirements of any oil or mining company publicly listed on a U.S. stock exchange to disclose taxes and other fees they pay to foreign governments for resource development. 185 186 Section 1502 supports regional and international efforts to prevent armed groups or abusive state forces in the African Great Lakes region from benefiting from the sale of tin, tantalum, tungsten and gold. It is designed to encourage companies to undertake due diligence measures to ensure that their supply chains do not contribute to conflict or human rights abuse in the DRC or the broader African Great Lakes region. Section 1504 requires oil, natural gas, and mining companies to disclose annual reports to the SEC detailing certain payments made to governments for resource development.187 188 Previously, companies were able to conceal this information, enabling a culture of corruption, through tacit support of militia and authoritarian who leaders exploit their country’s resources while disregarding human rights and good governance practices. The rule will apply to about 1,100 companies and cover any payment over USD 100,000, beginning in the 2014 fiscal year. 189 190 The European Parliament and the Council of Ministers have been monitoring U.S. reforms within the extraction industry in Africa, and are currently conducting their own discussions to pass a European Union reform package to promote greater transparency in foreign oil and mineral payments. EU Trade Commissioner Karel De Gucht stressed the need for the EU approach to align with the U.S. Dodd-Frank Act. The proposal for EU legislation on conflict minerals has been delayed until later in 2014, according to EURACTIVE and other reports. It appears that the impact assessment performed by the European Commission Trade Directorate is not considered sufficient and further work will need to be done before is it finalized. Issues at stake include how many minerals should be covered in any new law, and whether European firms should face mandatory or voluntary due diligence requirements for checking their raw materials’ sourcing. The focus would be on the narrowest point of the supply chain, the smelters, with incentives to upstream supplies to carry out due diligence.191 There is concern within EU circles that exemptions and loose definitions of extraction projects in its current law provide a loop hole for most EU companies to avoid disclosing payments to foreign governments. While critics argue that reporting payments by project would damage competitiveness, key ministers of the European Parliament work to find a strong position that the whole institution can back, and may choose to negotiate with individual member states to gain traction, in particular, the UK and France.192 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 41 In March 2014 the EU announced that European firms will be offered a voluntary self-certification scheme to prove that their products' mineral components were not sold by warlords to fuel bloody conflicts, under a draft EU law that falls short of campaigner’s expectations. Also, it will only apply to companies placing raw materials on the market, such as Europe's 20 or so smelters, not apply to importers of products such as mobile phones, which may already have had the materials installed.193 Proponents of the U.S. regulations argue that the measures squeeze the profits of armed groups limiting their nefarious activities and support good governance practices, while critics warn it is prohibitively expensive for investors, impractical to enforce in developing countries, and risks the livelihood of millions of people. Supporters of this regulation assert that armed conflicts in the mineral-rich eastern provinces of the DRC have been perpetuated by the income from the illicit trade in these minerals and a solution to this issue is through the regulation of such conflict minerals. Some opponents to the U.S. regulations believe that unregulated extraction of natural resources is not the direct cause of instability in the region; rather, it is a symptom of protracted conflict. Therefore, the desired outcome of regulations falls short and cannot singularly reduce militia activity, violence and human rights abuses associated with mineral trade. Without a political solution, the regulation could hurt more than help the people in the DRC and neighboring countries by obstructing foreign investment and economic development in the region.194 195 This is further explored in Part V and Part VI, as is an alternative “anti-fragile” perspective that includes input from local civil society organizations for a more practical and viable solution. Joint Initiatives Countering Conflict Minerals The ITRI Tin Supply Chain Initiative (iTSCi) is a joint initiative that assists upstream companies (from mine to the smelter) to instigate/initiate the actions, structures, and processes necessary to conform with the OECD Due Diligence Guidance at a very practical level, including small and medium size enterprises, co-operatives and artisanal mine sites. It is designed for use by industry, but with oversight and clear roles for government officials, in keeping with the recently published OECD Due Diligence Guidance for Responsible Supply Chains of Minerals from Conflict-Affected and High-Risk Area. It also takes into account the recommendations of the UN Security Council (UNSC) to expand due diligence to include criminal networks, as well as armed groups and to include violations of the asset freeze and travel ban on sanctioned individuals and entities.196 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 42 5. Threat to Stability or Development Opportunity? The following chapter will examine what is truly at stake for those directly affected by the extraction process. The potential benefits of foreign investment pumped into some of the poorest economies in the world (to develop the infrastructure needed to extract natural resources) are weighed against the risks of ecological disasters and poorly implemented socio-economic development programs associated with E&P activity. “The water in Lake Tanganyika has an average residence time of 440 years, and its flushing time is estimated to be 7,000 years. As such, pollution takes significantly longer than in most lakes to be naturally removed from its aquatic ecosystem.” While the E&P industry can be viewed as a threat to stability in Central and East Africa, it can also be a development opportunity; but there is a fine line between the two. As it stands, current E&P activity in Africa’s Great Lakes region, compounded by the region’s complex geopolitical dynamics, further destablizes the region. This, despite the unrealised development opportunities it presents to an area largely void of basic infrastructure. A more pertinent question stakeholders should ask is how to lower the costs and mitigate the risks of extraction to avoid the negative impact of E&P activity on the regions health and environment, which in turn would support economic development in some of the most under-invested communities in the world. To answer this question, WAVE examined the potential risks and benefits of E&P on a microeconomic scale in the Lake Tanganyika Basin. The main threats to the biological diversity and sustainable use of the resources in the lake basin result from high rates of human population growth; extreme poverty; lack of overall sustainable development; over-fishing; climate change; pollution caused by deforestation, agrochemicals, mining and extractives activities, and industrial waste. The ecological and environmental balance of the lake faces a serious threat as the population increases along the lakeshore, as well as from industrial activity based around Bujumbura and Kigoma. Industrial waste from mismanaged urbanization and development of infrastructure supporting E&P activities in the region is expected to increase in coming years. Without an effective prevention plan in place, the lake is extremely vulnerable to mass pollution of its waters. Of noted concern, Lake Tanganyika’s ability to recover from pollution is incomparable to most large bodies of water. The water in Lake Tanganyika has an average residence time of 440 years, and its flushing time is estimated to be 7,000 years. As such, pollution takes significantly longer than in most lakes to be naturally removed from its aquatic ecosystem. 197 This raises the environmental risks substantially for the E&P industry in the region. Downstream extractive chemicals and even a small oil spill within the lake itself would have a devastating effect on the health of the basin and livelihood of its residents. Case studies highlighted in this chapter illustrate the negative impact of long-term, unsustainable extraction in the Niger Delta. Focus is also placed upon countries that have pivoted away from these kinds of practices and successfully limited the negative impacts of energy extraction through risk mitigating practices and collaboration between extraction companies and civil society organizations. Based on the deepening water-food-climate crisis and the lakeside communities’ complete reliance on Lake Tanganyika as a source of their livilihood, WAVE has determined that, in absence of comprehensive planning, the risks of current E&P risk mitigation and development practices outweigh the benefits. A sophisticated, integrated resource management and socio-economic development approach is needed to counter this imbalance. As such, WAVE provides policy recommendations to support this analsyis in Chapter 7. 5.1 Environment The Lake Tanganyika Basin is recognized globally for its unique richness of aquatic and terrestrial biodiversity and high overall ecologic and environmental value, as well as its potential from human capital and economic perspectives. It is home to over 1500 species, of which 600 exist nowhere else in the world. At over 10 million years old, Lake Tanganyika is among an elite group of only 20 ancient lakes in 198 the world, and the oldest lake in Africa. The lake’s valuable aquatic ecosystem and the many The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 43 natural resources found in its basin provide essential sources of livelihood and income for over twelve million people around the lake, and contribute to the growing economies of the four surrounding riparian countries. The lake contains 17 percent of the world’s available surface freshwater, providing a permanent source of drinking water, as well as water for domestic use, agricultural and industrial development. It supports one of the largest fisheries on the African continent, and hosts almost 95,000 active fishers, according to a 2011 LTA Frame Survey.199 “Lake Tanganyika supports one of the largest fisheries on the African continent, and hosts almost 95,000 active fishers." The Lake Tanganyika Basin faces multiple challenges from the activities of a rapidly expanding human population. Other than fisheries and agriculture, there are few alternative occupations available for these populations. As a result, the extraction rate of natural resources like overfishing and woodland clear-cutting, has become unsustainable.200 The most immediate threats are unsustainable fisheries, degradation of habitats through mismanaged agricultural practices and deforestation, erosion and sedimentation, pollution, and biological invasions. * The magnitude of these threats is expected to be intensified by the impacts of climate change. 201 These issues jeopardize the water quality and especially the health of the lake ecology and its exceptional biodiversity. There are 1500 species of algae, aquatic plants, fish, birds, reptiles, and mammals, including chimpanzee troupes in Mahale National Park, as well as in Jane Goodall’s reserve at Gombe Stream.202 The lake is valuable not only for the presence of these unique species, but also as a microcosm in which to study the evolutionary processes that have led to this diversity. Of all the lakes on earth, Lake Tanganyika contains the most unique and diverse assemblage of freshwater fishes, including the brightly colored cichlids coveted by aquarium owners around the world. The cichlids of Lake Tanganyika show a greater degree of adaptation and uniqueness of shape and habitat preference than those in any other lake or river system in Africa. Most other categories of aquatic animal and plant life found in Lake Tanganyika show a similar degree of diversity, much of which is related to species’ ability to adapt to Lake Tanganyika’s rise/recede cycle, from three ancient lakes into one, over a long period of time since its initial formation in the Albertine Rift Valley. 203 The emergence of a massive lake in the Upper Congo basin provided a perfect opportunity for all kinds of river animals to diversify into hundreds of species endemic to the lake, resulting in a lake with some of the greatest freshwater biological diversity on the planet.204 The Lake Tanganyika Basin is not only renowned for its aquatic biodiversity, but also for its scenic beauty. Both the Ruzizi River Delta Reserve in Burundi and the Malagarasi-Muyovozi wetlands in Tanzania are included in the Ramsar List† of internationally important wetlands, harboring a wide diversity of birdlife, crocodiles and hippopotamus. The basin contains several forest reserves and national parks including Kigwena Forest Reserve in Burundi; Gombe Stream, Katavi and Mahale Mountains National Park in Tanzania; and Nshumbu National Park in Zambia.205 The area’s forests and mountains support 80 mammal species, including more than 90 percent of Tanzania’s endangered chimpanzee population.206 Both Gombe and Mahale have become famed as some of the few remaining habitats for chimpanzees, whereas Nshumbu is known for its rare blue duiker, as well as the swamp dwelling sitatunga. Other wildlife that can be found in some of the parks and protected areas in the basin are a range of antelopes, buffalo, zebra, bushbuck, warthog, hyena, jackal, serval, and occasionally elephant, lion, and leopard.207 Figures depicting environmental impacts from extractive activities - Appendix K The primary objective laid out in the Strategic Framework of the Ramsar Convention on Wetlands is to “develop and maintain an international network of wetlands which are important for the conservation of global biological diversity and for sustaining human life through the maintenance of their ecosystem components, processes and benefits/services.” (www.ramsar.org, June 2014) * † The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 44 Population Growth An increase in population along the lakeshore, industrial activity based around Bujumbura and Kigoma, and burgeoning mineral and energy exploration and extractive activities in the region threatens the ecological and environmental balance of the lake. At around three percent, the basin’s human population growth rates are among the highest on the planet. With an estimated population between 12.5 and 13 million,* it is expected that the number of people who depend, either directly or indirectly, on the natural resources in the lake will increase significantly in the near future. Importantly, Lake Tanganyika’s fish account for a significant source of protein for the millions of inhabitants in the lake region. Were the lake to be polluted and these fish were no longer suitable for consumption, a water and food crisis would ensue, further threatening an already vulnerable population.208 Commercial overfishing has already reduced the catch for many subsistence communities. In a recent survey, the majority of fishermen interviewed said they now have to travel farther than they did five years ago to catch even fewer fish.209 Illegal fishing “The basin’s human population growth rates are among the highest on the planet. With an estimated population between 12.5 and 13 million, it is expected that the number of people who depend on the natural resources in the lake will increase significantly.” A rise in illegal fishing practices due to commercial overfishing is becoming a regular activity in parts of the lake and may strain riparian countries’ judicial systems over time. The fishing industry faces a serious shortage of raw materials to include fish and materials to catch fish, largely as a consequence of uncontrolled illegal fishing, which in turn jeopardizes the economic health of the lake and its populations.210 The Tanzanian government repatriated 28 illegal fishermen (rather than investing court time and money to send the Zambian-based men to trial) to Zambia late December 2012 after they were caught fishing along Lake Tanganyika’s Tanzanian shoreline in Rukwa Region.211 According to villagers in the area, there is a huge presence of fishermen from neighboring Zambia, Burundi, and the DRC who enter Tanzanian’s waters illegally.212 Illegal fishing occurs across multiple borders. Congolese authorities detained 18 Zambian fishermen illegally fishing in DRC waters in May 2013. The fishermen were later released after paying penalty fees and following negotiations between the Zambian and Congolese governments.213 Fisheries experts believe three-quarters of the fish that pass through Mpulungu, Zambia’s only port, came from waters outside of Zambia’s territorial control.214 Despite government warnings to fishermen to stop illegally fishing in foreign water bodies, illegal cross-border fishing practices are expected to increase as the demand for the lake’s fish rises to meet the needs of the growing population. Stakeholders in the fisheries asked riparian governments and fisheries associations to step up strategic interventions to halt illegal fishing in Lake Tanganyika, which they said has adverse impact on each countries’ fishing industry.215 Deforestation Increased conversion of forests to agricultural land is causing significant losses to biodiversity in the Lake Tanganyika Basin. Almost 100 percent of the native vegetation has been cleared in its northern watershed.216 Deforestation has greatly accelerated erosion rates, leading to losses of nutrient-rich soil and sedimentation. Critical lake habitats in littoral zones are threatened by erosion and sediment accumulation, disturbing breeding habitats of local fauna. Deforestation leads to loss of diversity of plant and animal species, including many that could be useful to human populations as a source of food, timber and medication. Erosion and sedimentation rates can be reduced through sustainable land management practices as outlined by the Lake Tanganyika Strategic Action Program.217 * 2011 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 45 Climate Change Climate change is increasingly impacting Lake Tanganyika’s already stressed aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems as temperatures in the region continue to rise and precipitation becomes more volatile. Between 1956 and 1994 Lake Tanganyika’s mean water temperature increased by 0.9 degrees Celsius. This changed the stratification of water layers, reducing nutrient availability and oxygenation in the water. If this trend continues, fisheries, biodiversity and water quality in Lake Tanganyika will decline significantly.218 Small changes in temperature can have big impacts on tropical lakes, as studied by Professor Catherine O’Reilly at Illinois State University in 2003 and Peter McIntyre, an aquatic ecology professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison’s Center for Limnology.219 O’Reilly’s team examined sediment cores taken from Lake Tanganyika’s depths that suggested how a deep, tropical lake is affected by climate change. O’Reilly found that water temperatures in Lake Tanganyika warmed 0.1 degree Celsius per decade over the past 100 years and concluded that it has resulted in a 20 percent reduction in biological productivity in the lake. This study provided evidence that the impact of regional effects of global climate change on an aquatic ecosystem can be larger than that of local anthropogenic activity or overfishing.220 “Due to their large volume and relatively small outflow, Lakes Tanganyika, Malawi, and Victoria all have long flushing times; with Lake Tanganyika having the longest flushing time of 7,000 years. To put this in perspective, Lake Superior in North America (the world’s third largest freshwater lake after Lake Tanganyika) has a flushing time of 191 years.” At almost a mile deep, Lake Tanganyika’s extreme depth keeps it stratified between warmer surface water and cooler water at depth. Other than an occasional upwelling of nutrient rich water from the bottom of the lake, the two water temperatures don’t mix. This upwelling provides a critical annual injection of nutrients to the littoral areas where most species are found. The lake’s biodiversity depends on the high productivity fueled by this upwelling of nutrients. As the surface temperature continues to rise, the barrier between the surface water and colder waters at depth inhibits these upwelling events. Scientists are already seeing signs that the amount of mixing of waters has decreased. There is concern that a reduction in the magnitude and frequency of upwelling events cause by climate-related changes puts at risk the entire ecosystem.221 Understanding the Risks and Impacts of Energy E&P in the African Great Lakes Region The impacts of oil and gas pollution on the environment and wellbeing of basin communities are interrelated. They affect the lake’s biodiversity, socio-economic state, and health of its populations. The riskiest potential threats are borne from oil spills, gas flares, and effluent and waste discharges in the watershed. Understanding the limnology of the Great Lakes is important to predict the effects of energy E&P activities on water quality, water and food security, and fish production. Large dilution capacities and long flushing times can make the detection and removal of petro-based and chemical pollutants in these lakes difficult, making them more vulnerable to water pollution. Due to their large volume and relatively small outflow, Lakes Tanganyika, Malawi, and Victoria * all have long † flushing times; with Lake Tanganyika having the longest flushing time of 7,000 years.222 To put this in perspective, Lake Superior in North America (the world’s third largest freshwater lake after Lake Tanganyika) has a flushing time of 191 years.223 “The relatively minor contribution of river flows to the water balances of most of the East African Great Lakes, when couple with their large volumes, leads to very long residence or flushing times, exceptionally so for the Lake Tanganyika.” 224 An oil spill can have a number of effects on both the environment and health of the population, and on their fisheries and aquaculture, as well as agricultural-based economies. The entire watershed could be contaminated, paralyzing the economy and triggering a humanitarian crisis from food to potable water shortages. Species unique to each lake could be wiped out. Concentrations of petroleum contaminants in fish and crab tissue could disrupt the ecosystem and adversely affect the lake population’s health. Water pollution would most likely extend to the basin’s watershed, much of which is used for irrigation of subsistence agriculture and as a primary source of water at many wildlife refuges for endangered species. Morphometric and hydrological data for Lakes Tanganyika, Malawi, and Victoria - Appendix K. The flushing time or water retention rate in a lake is the mean time that water spends in the lake by calculating total volume of lake, mean rates of inflow and outflow. * † The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 46 The Niger Delta in West Africa offers a window into the future of the Great Lakes, should energy extraction not incorporate risk mitigation practices, regulatory reforms, and integrated development. The adverse effects of oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) in this region illustrate how a water-based economy, its environment and the health of its people living in the area of extraction can be decimated by oil and gas pollutants. Over the past three decades, the Delta has suffered hundreds of spills, primarily as a result of aging infrastructure, poor regulations and monitoring and clean-up efforts, as well as spills/leakage caused by political insurgents and thieves. This has profoundly affected the health of the environment and socioeconomic well-being of the Delta communities. Strategic Action Plan to Counter Pollution and Mitigate E&P Risks The Strategic Action Program (SAP) incorporates strategies for the riparian countries of Lake Tanganyika to achieve regional prosperity by protecting the basin’s natural resources to sustain future generations. This vision is supported by six main environmental quality objectives that are aimed to be achieved by 2035. For each objective, the SAP presents a set of specific targets that are subsequently broken down into a set of strategic actions.225 The strategic action to reduce pollution and improve water quality (Strategic Component F) notes that pollution is an increasing threat to the Lake Tanganyika Basin region, exacerbated by the following areas human population growth, increased urbanization and industrialization, and prospect of exploration and future production of oil. Of particular concern is the fact that Lake Tanganyika’s ability to recover from pollution is not comparable to most large bodies of water. As previously mentioned, the water in Lake Tanganyika has an average residence time of 440 years, and its flushing time takes thousands of years making it highly vulnerable to pollutants, such as industrial waste from oil extraction and/or a minor oil leak. 226 Within Strategic Component (F), short-, medium-, and long-term targets spanning from five to 25 years in the basin have been determined by regional stakeholders to reduce pollution from mining activities and to reduce risks related to petroleum E&P. Currently, agreements include monitoring of mercury concentrations (a processor for gold mining) in fish sold at markets and the exploitation of a nickel resource in the Burundi part of the basin. Challenges remain in developing, institutionalizing and enforcing regionally agreed mines acts/regulations. There are limitations on the level of control of industrial mineral exploitation among the riparian countries. In practice there is little control of smallholder systems and little experience of environmentally sound management of major industrial operations. Recent surveys of Lake Tanganyika indicate viable oil and gas blocks, several of which have already been licensed for exploration in Tanzania and Burundi. Beyond the environmental assessment that must take place before petroleum exploration, Component (F) recommends developing a regional contingency and intervention plan to mitigate risks and allocate resources for an emergency action in case of an oil spill and other environmental hazards related to petroleum E&P in the region.227 Petroleum E&P are known to cause grave risks for aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. This concern is heightened by Lake Tanganyika’s slow flush process to naturally cleanse ecosystem if a spill were to occur. Beach Petroleum announced in 2012 that it would begin targeting potential sites to drill on Lake Tanganyika in the first half of 2013.228 The Australian company is optimistic drilling operations will begin within several years depending on outcome of the drill site studies. Despite impendent extractive activity on Lake Tanganyika, public records do not indicate a definite date for an environmental impact assessment.229 Based on the projected time frame before drilling begins, it is crucial that programs are developed within the next two years to mitigate risks when drilling commences in the near future. Therefore, WAVE calls on the international community, riparian governments, and private stakeholders in the Lake Tanganyika Basin region to develop programs under the auspices of the LTA, and in reference to the recently finalized SAP, to protect the already fragile biodiversity of Lake Tanganyika. This would need to include an environmental impact assessment followed by an agreed upon contingency action plan prior to exploratory drilling on Lake Tanganyika.* * Detailed policy recommendations are descripted in Chapter 7. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 47 5.2 Health Poverty and inadequate health care are part of a vicious cycle that are compounded by growing pressures on natural resources in the Lake Tanganyika Basin. Understanding the intricacies of the region places stakeholders in a better position to design programs that support its fledging health systems. As described in the previous chapter, a compromised ecosystem can affect the Lake Tanganyika’s fishing industry which directly correlates to the health of the population since the twelve million people living in the basin are dependent on the lake’s fish as its primary source of protein. Another example of this cycle is the overfishing in the basin which has reduced the catch for many communities, forcing families to expand their corn and rice fields into neighboring forest. This in turn reduces wildlife habitat and increases runoff, which then damages fish-spawning areas in the lake, further degrading the fishery and adding to human suffering. 230 Programs need to be developed to help communities escape this cycle of extreme poverty, poor health, and unsustainable pressure on local natural resources. Reproductive Health at the Heart of Development “The population around the lake is subjected to a perfect storm of dangerous forces: inaccessible prenatal care, dilapidated roads and poor communications infrastructure, high teen childbirths, extreme poverty, and an extremely low socioeconomic status.” The driving forces behind the economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa are connected to a decade-long commodity boom and new economic policies. However, the continent’s long-term prospects depend on the health of the people living there. “To build on Africa’s recent progress…we have to extend the revolution in child survival and start saving newborn lives,” astutely asserts Melinda Gates in an interview reported in the November 2012 special edition of the Economist.231 A large part of that bears on the health of the mother. And yet, reproductive health problems remain the leading cause of ill health and death for women of childbearing age worldwide. Maternal, Infant and Child Health in the Lake Tanganyika Basin Impoverished women, especially those living in developing countries, suffer disproportionately from unintended pregnancies, maternal death and disability, sexually transmitted infections including HIV, and gender-based violence.232 The United Nations Populations Fund (UNPF) reported early 2013 that maternal deaths would drop by two-thirds if the needs for family planning and maternal and newborn health care were met. In sub-Saharan Africa alone, UNPF estimated maternal deaths would drop by 69 percent and newborn deaths would fall by 57 percent, if only the right health care systems were in place.233 Armed with these numbers that WAVE presents the alternative approach to delivery health care in an isolated, extremely rural part of sub-Saharan Africa, primarily dependent on water-based transportation. Currently, maternal health care is nearly non-existent in the Lake Tanganyika Basin. The population around the lake is subjected to a perfect storm of dangerous forces: prenatal care is inaccessible; dilapidated roads are often non-passable (particularly in the rainy season); communications infrastructure is poor; childbearing often begins in teen years; extreme poverty is the norm, and the population has an extremely low socio-economic status. One result of this is extremely high maternal-fetal death rates. Another is fistula formation in women and girls who survive obstructed labor. Maternal mortality rates in Lake Tanganyika’s riparian countries range as high as 800 deaths out of 100,000 live births according to 2010 rates reported by the World Health Organization. 234 However, realistic statistics in the Lake Tanganyika Basin are extremely hard to gather, as many women do not visit a health center or hospital where they can be counted. Most births take place in ultra-rural* areas along the lakeshore, with traditional birth attendants present, if at all. This is a major contributor to a one in five under five mortality rate, which is estimated at 20-25 percent in the basin. With an estimated annual population growth of three percent, one can extrapolate that there is also tremendous morbidity and mortality accompanying this high birthrate. 235 LTFHC/WAVE defines “ultra-rural” as the social-geographic disposition of “ultra-poor.” Where “ultra-poor” connotes being among the poorest of the poor in low-income countries; “ultra-rural” means living in the most isolated and underdeveloped rural areas in the world. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 48 Millennium Development Goal 5, “To Improve Maternal Health”, only tracks indicators that reduce maternal mortality and achieve universal access to reproductive health. 236 It does not address any of the chronic nonfatal but still physically and socially disabling consequences of pregnancy that occur far more often than maternal death. Long-term or permanent physical, social, or emotional disabilities associated with pregnancy* are 15 to 30 times more common than death in pregnancy.237 Inadequate Measurement of Public Health Infectious diseases from poor sanitation and inadequate infrastructure are endemic in the Lake Tanganyika Basin, but the true magnitude of these diseases is obscured by how the statistical data is presented, using country median public health rates for the DRC, Tanzania, Burundi, and Zambia. The Lake Tanganyika Basin constitutes a unique epidemiologic unit that, up to this point, has been difficult to measure. Statistical analysis on the causes and effects of the region’s health and disease conditions are difficult to define since data collection is inhibited by lack of infrastructure. This is further exacerbated by the region’s isolation. The steep incline of land along the lake’s shoreline and the tough terrain, limiting road infrastructure, physically isolates the basin’s populations who are ultimately “lake-locked” and completely reliant on the health of the lake for their livelihood. Health care for preventive and emergency medical treatment is hindered by the lack of telecommunications and transportation infrastructure necessary to support the basin’s remote health system. It is difficult to investigate outbreaks, survey and screen diseases, biomonitor, and provide statistical analysis of data for public health studies. As a result, aggregated statistics that are published by country (median of data collected across each country), does not accurately reflect the status of poverty stricken regions that are well below the national average, whether referring to the level of available basic services or public health indicators. This perpetuates the cycle of inaction in regions that need it the most. National public health statistics published by country for the DRC, Tanzania, Burundi, and Zambia mislead the status of the populations’ health in the Lake Tanganyika Basin, smoothing out the basin’s unusually high rates of under-five deaths, maternal mortality, and death from preventable diseases such as cholera and malaria. Public Health Reality in Western Tanzania along Lake Tanganyika The Millennium Development Goal (MDG) progress report on Africa, published in June 2013, reported that Tanzania was on schedule to meeting most of its MDGs by 2015. 238 UNICEF echoes this observation, noting in a September 2013 report, that a few low-income countries with high child mortality rates, such as Tanzania, have already reduced their under-five death rates by twothirds or more since 1990, reaching MDG 4 for the reduction of child deaths ahead of the 2015 deadline.239 240 This data conflicts with the public health reality of western Tanzania. According to local village leaders, regional-level health officials, and the field staff at the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic, Tanzania’s western rural region of Rukwa (located along the eastern shoreline of Lake Tanganyika) has an unusually high under five mortality rate. † In 2013, 160 under five deaths occurred per 1,000 live-births in Rukwa.241 Many of these are causes of entirely preventable diseases such as diarrhea, malaria and malnutrition. This is compared to the national average of 54 under five deaths per 1,000 live-births in 2012.242 243 Kigoma Region, which also includes large area on the lake has an under-five mortality rate of 112 deaths per 1,000 live-births in 2013.244 Similarly, the infant mortality rate in Rukwa was 99 deaths per 1,000 live-births in 2013245 compared to the national average infant mortality rate of 37.7 deaths per 1,000 live-births in 2012.246 The fact that only 29.3 percent of deliveries occur in health centers in this province, compared to 51 This includes infertility, chronic obstetric fistula, ruptured or prolapsed uterus, postpartum depression, and severe nutritional deficiencies and injuries from intimate partner violence. † Based on local stakeholder meetings and initial epidemiological data collected by the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic field staff in late 2013. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 49 percent nationally, is likely contributory.247 The average distance to a regional hospital where comprehensive obstetrical care is available is over 94km. 248 There are conflicting reports regarding maternal mortality rates along the Tanzanian side of Lake Tanganyika, ranging from 127 women deaths per 100,000 live-births to over 453 women deaths per 100,000 live-births.249 This roughly calculates to 24 to 35 women deaths each day while giving birth.250 251 This highlights the fact that resources should be invested in the region to better collect more reliable public health data. WAVE staff are in the process of collecting this information to provide a better analysis of the region’s public health and women’s health conditions in the Lake Tanganyika Basin, which also includes surveys of community health workers. Public Health Reality in Eastern DRC along Lake Tanganyika “The mortality rate for the whole of the DRC population is 57 percent higher than the average for the sub-Saharan Africa countries, according to the UNDP.” Infrastructure along the Congolese side of Lake Tanganyika is even worse than on the Tanzanian shoreline. As a consequence, data collection is scarce and rarely correct. Health data collected by province has not been formulated with population and baseline variables to add context and compute an accurate percentage rate to compare with the national average on public health statistics. For example, the World Health Organizations reports under-five mortality national average rate for the DRC is 146 under five deaths per 1,000 live-births in 2012.252 253 There is no reliable data on under five mortality rates by province, only total number of perinatal deaths, live births, and maternal deaths reported from each province in 2009. 254 255 For a provincial comparison, Katanga Province which hugs the southwestern shoreline of Lake Tanganyika, reported 397 maternal deaths in 2009, compared to the urban province of Kinshasa which reported 143 maternal deaths in the same year; and these are only the maternal deaths that have been formally reported.256 257 Many maternal, prenatal, and child mortality rates are underreported due to poor infrastructure and lack of accessibility to health systems in the conflict stricken eastern DRC. Many Congolese who live in ultra-poor rural communities do not go to clinics for the professional care they need to give birth safety or treat diseases. What is known on the national level for the DRC, is that the mortality rate for the whole of the population is 57 percent higher than the average for the sub-Saharan Africa countries, according to a 2012 UNDP report.258 259 The lack of infrastructure, or its state of decay, makes many areas difficult to access both for services, including health care, and for humanitarian aid. The state is struggling to provide basic services for health and education despite having a technical labor force and medically trained professional class. This contributes to excessive poverty, morbidity and mortality within the population, especially for populations in conflict zones such as Katanga Province and South Kivu Province, which share the DRC side of Lake Tanganyika. Strengthening the Basin’s Health Systems Among the factors contributing to the riparian countries’ inadequate achievement of the child health MDGs along the lake are weak health systems (physical and financial barriers to essential health services, shortage of medicine, poor human resources) and poor conditions as determinants of health (household education, income, insufficient and inappropriate nutritional practices, poor sanitation facilities, etc.). In many sub-Saharan Africa countries, Ministries of Health (MoH) are organized as a tiered system: dispensaries, district level hospitals, and Regional Hospitals. Dispensaries and/or "Health Centers" are the first points of care for rural to ultra-rural populations. They are designed to provide primary care/preventative services. These centers refer patients to a general or district level hospital when greater diagnostic or treatment capacity is required, and thence on to a Regional Hospital, again for greater access to services, specialty care, and so on. The Regional Hospital is the functional unit for the MoH, responsible for taking care of the people in the region who have illnesses and injuries that cannot be handled by a rural dispensary. It is also responsible for supply chain management of medicines and consumables; for ensuring professionalism and adequate training of health care workers; and also for collecting regional level epidemiologic data. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 50 “For many people living in the basin, walking is the only way to get medical assistance.” This referral system, in practice, doesn't work very well in many sub-Saharan countries. Regional Hospitals struggle to provide the services that they are intended to serve. The systems may manage to limp along in areas that are connected by roads and mobile networks but in areas that have very little road infrastructure or connectivity, such as the Lake Tanganyika Basin, the population has very little access to health services by the Regional Hospitals, and in turn, their local health centers fail without that support. Figure 4 “Populations in the Lake Tanganyika Basin not only do not have access to referral services (all surgical services), but the health centers and dispensaries cannot carry out their main mission either, as there is no supply chain or professional oversight.” In the Lake Tanganyika Basin, the referral and oversight system completely breaks down. Referral centers are located at a great geographic distance from ultra-rural communities in the area. In addition to the challenges of traveling that distance, poor road infrastructure and lack of transportation options make the referral centers inaccessible to many basin communities. People that live in the basin report that it is already difficult to visit their own “local” dispensaries for many of the same reasons they cannot reach the referral centers and the Regional Hospital. The health center in Kabanga, DRC for example supports a population of 5,250 people. There is no road access and no GSM network and the nearest referral center is 70 miles over water from Kabanga. In Tanzania the Kizumbi dispensary with a population impact of 4,165, has no road access and no GSM network.* The nearest referral center/hospital is eight miles over water and 87 miles by road, much of which is not accessible due to poor road conditions and little public transport. For many people living in the basin, walking is the only way to get to the centers for medical assistance.260 Populations in the Lake Tanganyika Basin not only do not have access to referral services (all surgical services which include cesarean section), but the health centers/dispensaries cannot carry out their main mission either, as there is no supply chain or professional oversight. A regional hospital on a ship solves both problems: it supports the health centers and provides an accessible referral hospital for ultra-rural (water based and plateau dwelling) communities.† * † Data was collected by Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic field staff later 2013 and early 2014. Rendering of proposed hospital ship and description of services on hospital ship – Appendix P The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 51 Climate Change: Impact on Health Several reports and new studies reveal rising global temperatures are increasingly threatening the health and livelihoods of the most vulnerable populations. In sub-Saharan Africa, researchers found that food security will be the overarching challenge, with dangers from droughts, flooding, and shifts in rainfall, compromising the health of the populations in sub-Saharan Africa. Climate change impacts on water and food security have a direct correlation with the health and welfare of populations in developing countries. With a region already suffering from malnutrition, and because of the intrinsic link between agriculture and health, many populations in sub-Saharan Africa currently do not have the resilience to stand up to the shocks of climate change. Climate change is a key development issue in sub-Saharan Africa because of the region’s special vulnerabilities including natural fragility, significant and fragile terrestrial and coastal ecosystems, and high exposure to natural disasters, and current economic challenges as developing countries. The University of Notre Dame Global Adaptation Index (ND-GAIN)* ranks Burundi the second most vulnerable country and the ninth least ready country to adapt to climate change among other global challenges in measuring its resilience on a global scale. 261 The DRC is the eighth most vulnerable country and the thirteenth least ready country to adapt to these challenges. 262 Tanzania and Zambia are also ranked low in vulnerability and poor ability to adapt to climate change, according to the ND-GAIN.† Climate change impacts fall disproportionately on the world’s poorest, most marginalized communities, particularly those highly dependent on direct use of natural resources, such as subsistence fishing communities. The 12 million plus people living in the Lake Tanganyika Basin fit into this category.263 Populations located inland along freshwater lakes will be some of the first population groups to feel the negative effects of climate change as bodies of water absorb a huge amount of heat, which alters its ecosystems. Several scientific studies on Lake Tanganyika already indicate the lake has warmed in the past century by 0.9 degrees Celsius and has contributed to lower production rates of fish, further straining available resources and the basin’s unique ecosystem. Global warming has caused profound changes in the frequency and severity of some infectious diseases, such as malaria. There is concern this will spread as time goes on. Several climate warming models predict large geographic range expansions of human mosquito-borne diseases, like malaria and dengue fever, into higher latitudes (temperate zones); however, some researchers have argued that ranges will shift with warming, rather than expand, and that the best predictors of infection risk are economic and social factors, especially poverty. 264 Detecting impacts of climate change on human vector-borne diseases remains difficult. Several unresolved issues include identifying conditions under which climate warming will cause range expansions versus contractions, understanding the impact of increasing variability in precipitation, and determining the additional economic costs associated with increased disease risk caused by warming.265 Water Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) issues and exposure to diarrheal diseases have also been linked to warmer temperatures and heavy rainfall. Human infections of cholera affect millions of people annually with a high fatality rate. Cholera is typically acquired through ingestion of contaminated water or undercooked seafood.266 Water-based communities need to be more cautious as water temperatures rise and alter the ecosystem. Modeling indicates coastal Vibrio infections (associated with zooplankton blooms, warmer water, and severe storms), could increase nearly twofold for every one degree Celsius in the Baltic sea region, and that is in open water with properties to flush at a much faster rate than an inland freshwater lake such as Lake Tanganyika.267 Climate driven shifts in diseases of humans, crops, and natural systems will demand solutions and mitigation, including early-warning programs/forecasting systems. Local measures to build resilience and adaptive capacity are critical to ensure that resource-dependent communities are The ND-GAIN Index summarizes a country's vulnerability to climate change and other global challenges in combination with its readiness to improve resilience. It aims to help businesses and the public sector better prioritize investments for a more efficient response to the immediate global challenges ahead. † ND-GAIN rankings of the Lake Tanganyika riparian countries - Appendix L. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 52 able to cope with the immediate and long-term effects of climate change. Several programs through the World Bank, among others, are underway to detect vulnerable communities and ecosystems to climate change and provide climate-resilient programs in sub-Saharan Africa.268 These programs are explored further in section Chapter 7. 5.3 Socio-Economic Development Opportunities for Investment in Africa “Underinvestment in Africa by Western countries has opened the economic space to China and Russia, among other BRICS countries.” “China and Russia have eclipsed Western countries in their investment of infrastructure to export minerals and energy resources to meet their own growing populations’ demands, much to the detriment of Africa’s environment.” The rate of foreign investment in Africa has risen tenfold in the past decade despite the presence of oil-sodden kleptocracies and corruption, largely attributed to a burgeoning middle class and the development of manufacturing and service economies.269 McKinsey Global Initiative estimates at that least USD 1 trillion additional investment in the resource system is needed annually to meet future resource demands.270 China is investing in African infrastructure to meet this elevated demand, with other non-Western countries following its lead.271 Despite these efforts, responsible investment in infrastructure, development, and good governance initiatives is missing in areas of potential energy extraction in African countries late in exploiting their oil and gas wealth, such as the DRC. Many Western states, including the United States, have been slow to make long-term trade agreements with some of the more dysfunctional but resource rich countries in Africa, perceiving the risks as too costly to invest in the region. Underinvestment in Africa by Western countries has opened the economic space to China and Russia, among other BRICS* countries. As a result, China and Russia have eclipsed Western countries in their investment of infrastructure to export minerals and energy resources to meet their own growing populations’ demands, much to the detriment of Africa’s environment due to poor implementation and appropriate resource management.† There is a limited opportunity for Western states to build trade partnerships, in addition to traditional aid programs, with the governments and private industry sectors in Africa. Foreign investment should enhance the local private sector and support civil society organizations that propagate best practices for their countries’ economic development. These best practices commit to investment that support subsistent economies for the African people and counter-balance the damage already afflicted on the environment and local rural communities by regional kleptocracies and mismanaged foreign investment and trade. Western states (both governmental and non-governmental entities) should focus on the energy E&P industry in Africa to cultivate economic development opportunities. Oil and gas extractive activities can be a catalyst for foreign and local investments if implemented correctly and with the appropriate regulatory oversight. The “oil curse” narrative has distracted the development community from the practical methods of employment and locally empowered economic opportunities that can come from such extractive activities. These are key ingredients to transforming conflict-prone regions into stable environments, which entice future investment by stakeholders whose are not as resilient as extractive stakeholders in developing countries. While development around oil itself offers some employment opportunities, most of the jobs come from other infrastructure building projects that help sustain extractive activities, many of which operate for decades. WAVE offers a roadmap to create this profitable cycle and best practices for foreign investment in one of the most under-invested, resource rich regions of Africa; the Lake Tanganyika Basin. Lake Tanganyika: Benefits and Risks of Investment in the Basin The Lake Tanganyika Basin offers attractive opportunities in various industries from fisheries, mining and energy extraction, livestock production and agriculture/aquaculture/aquaponics; to water transport infrastructure, tourism, and recreational water sports. Research and Development (R&D) BRICS refers to the countries/economies of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa in relation to their partnership for socio-economic advancement and growth, and global strategic impact. † The May 2014 Russian advance into Crimea, Ukraine, has brought instability to the region, including an energy crisis in Eastern Europe. This has reinvigorated European leaders to search for alternative sources of energy (independent of Russia) and expand their strategic interest in Africa’s energy resources. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 53 opportunities extend to multiple disciplines including: development economics, global health, environmental sciences, and product development for low-resource settings. As the Lake Tanganyika region’s resource wealth becomes more widely known, with active oil prospecting being underway to confirm recent discovery of oil and gas reserves, proper implementation of socio-economic development measures and investment in the region will be essential to provide a sustainable economy. While there are huge private-public sector opportunities through revenue sharing agreements, these will be nullified if mismanaged extractive practices destroy the basin’s freshwater-based economy. “Investment in the Lake Tanganyika Basin is contingent on long-term stability and resource management. Extractive stakeholders have the resilience to initiate longterm investment in this region.” Despite the level of interest in the region, the security risks of investing in E&P activities in the Lake Tanganyika Basin are extensive. Preventative action is needed to turn the real threats to stability in the provinces of the western shoreline of Lake Tanganyika, Katanga and South Kivu, into a genuine development opportunity. An upsurge in fighting since the start of 2012, including the emergence of a new rebellion in North Kivu (DRC) and the resumption of armed groups’ territorial expansion, has further complicated stability in the Kivus. There is great concern that oil prospecting in eastern DRC will exacerbate deep-rooted conflict dynamics in the Kivus and ignite new conflict in the Central Basin. Conflict in the Kivus has forced people to flee their homes and seek refuge further south along Lake Tanganyika’s western shoreline. Criminal activity has also migrated south. Recent reports indicated an uptick in illicit activities on Lake Tanganyika, including piracy and smuggling of gold between the DRC and Burundi.272 An in-depth analysis of the security situation in the Great Lakes region and along Lake Tanganyika’s shoreline is further explored in the next chapter. Currently, the main threats to the biological richness and the sustainable use of the resources in the Lake Tanganyika Basin result from high rates of human population growth, extreme poverty *, and lack of overall sustainable development.273 Pollution and the impacts of climate change on the health of the basin’s populations are new concerns as the E&P industry becomes more active along the lake. A potential spill or leak of extractive-production chemicals could seep into the basin’s groundwater, contaminating crops and devastating the fishing industry -- the region’s primary source of protein and economy. Proper socio-economic investment along Lake Tanganyika can mitigate these risks while building robust and resilient communities in the basin. To address these concerns, the Lake Tanganyika Authority (LTA) outlined potential trade and investment opportunities in the region that support infrastructure development for multiple industry growth sectors, while protecting the environment and livelihood of the basin populations in its Strategic Action Program† (SAP). The Strategic Action Program supports the Lake’s riparian countries’ commitment to meet Millennium Development Goals and provides best practices that ensure efficient management of fisheries and other resources, as well as the ecosystem conservation. Lake Tanganyika: Potential Trade and Investment Opportunities Investment in the Lake Tanganyika Basin is contingent on long-term stability and resource management. Extractive stakeholders have the resilience to initiate long-term investment in unstable conditions. They also have the capacity to lay the foundation for future stakeholders who are less inclined or capitalized to invest in transitional regions. To initiate a profitable cycle of investment in the Lake Tanganyika Basin, there need to be crosssectoral partnerships as extractive companies begin to invest in infrastructure development. There are interesting incentives that promote partnerships to create an environment for employment in non-extractive activities as described below. Most of these opportunities are mutually beneficial for both foreign and local stakeholders, like projects that promote local capacity building, a market for skills, and risk mitigation practices. A word about extreme poverty: As discussed in the previous chapter, the fundamental building blocks for socioeconomic development must start with the health and strength of the community. It is imperative that stakeholders and multilateral organizations interested in investing or developing socio-economic programs in the basin, take into account the basin’s extreme poverty rate. † The Lake Tanganyika Authority, Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin (2012) * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 54 Investment in transport and communication infrastructure in the Lake Tanganyika Basin is critical for developing an integrated and sustainable economy. Transporting supplies to build the infrastructure needed for mining and E&P activities will heavily rely on the dual use of the railway and waterway transport system in the basin. There are several areas for investment by the private sector on infrastructure such as railways, ports, and networks, and economic trade incentives. Investment in Railways and Economic Zones The Central Rail Line is in disrepair despite it being the main railway for both passenger and cargo services from the east coast (Indian Ocean) to Eastern DRC, Burundi, and Zambia. The Central Lines central terminus is in Kigoma, Tanzania, a declared Free Trade Area to cater to regional trade; however, it has not been implemented and laws do not reflect this declaration. Investment in Ports One of the most potentially productive oil blocks in the basin is thought to be near the DRC port of Kalemie.274 Kalemie’s port has been in continual decline since the post-colonial era, and was further degraded during the last Congo War, with little post-conflict reconstruction funding invested in its infrastructure. Investment in Aquaculture, Agriculture and Resource Management Agri-business and fisheries could be other growth industries on Lake Tanganyika. Lake Tanganyika provides one of the largest freshwater fisheries on the African continent and the annual fish production potential of the four riparian countries is estimated to range between 165,000 and 200,000 metric tons. In addition to fishing, mining and energy extraction, Lake Tanganyika offers investment opportunities in sustainable wood processing; cotton ginneries; salt mining; and the processing of salt, palm oil, cassava products, rice, honey and bees wax. The approximately three and a half million people around the lake are dependent on its fish resources. At the current rate of demand, there is mounting concern that the lake will be over-fished to the detriment of the basin populations’ health and economy. This problem is only compounded by the region’s population growth rate at a little over three percent. Overfishing is already occurring in the southern part of Lake Tanganyika, around the Tanzanian, Zambian, and Congolese borders, and has led to a form of piracy and general increase in illicit fishing activities. There have been several accounts of fishermen illegally fishing in their neighboring countries’ boundaries on Lake Tanganyika. In some cases the fishermen are jailed and fined, or worse, physically harassed by local fishermen, and then released to find their own way back home.275 In 1995 about 45,000 fishermen were counted in the lake basin, whereas in 2011 there are almost 95,000 active fishers on Lake Tanganyika.276 In keeping with this increase, so has the number of fishing vessels (mostly canoes or motorized canoes), which has doubled, and yet the number of landing sites has decreased.277 Here within lie investment opportunities in the fishing industry to remediate the problem of overfishing through the investment in a sophisticated aquaculture system on the lake and ecologically sensitive landing sites. Investment in fish farms aligns with LTA’s sustainable catchment management plan while supporting the basin’s water-based economy by providing another source of income generation. Research and Development Opportunities Investment in R&D is another area in the basin that offers tremendous opportunity for private-public partnerships, benefiting multiple stakeholders in the region. Worth noting is the epidemiological data that could be collected in the basin and be of interest to public health professionals to analyze ultra-poor populations living in remote rural regions. Information from the population that lives “beyond the last mile” (a crucial and unknown The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 55 frontier for the larger aid and development sector) are increasingly targeted to improve poor human development indices.* Lake Tanganyika’s rich freshwater ecosystem is also an area of great interest to environmentalists and conservationists. Research on the basin’s ecosystem could inform investment decisions that promote better management of the environment of the lake and the catchment. This will sustain the lake’s ecological balance and the resources on which local communities depend. The R&D could lead to interesting commercial opportunities for small to mid-sized business in the creation of new products and services for this previously untapped region. Extractive companies bring economic power that can mobilize the communities along Lake Tanganyika. This can help drive investment by acting as the catalyst for foreign investment in local revenue sharing agreements with the lakes’ riparian countries. The hypothetical restoration of a port and nearby beach on the DRC side of Lake Tanganyika by an extractive company illustrates the possible development outcomes from an integrated investment plan. With consultation from a body of experts (e.g., the LTA, among others), this conjectural infrastructure project could protect the lake’s endemic freshwater crabs and cichlid species through proper beach restoration while promoting economic vitality. Trade opportunities and E&P activities could increase due to investment in infrastructure support along the port. A working port and restored beach could increase income generation by creating jobs to support port operations, through improved catchment areas and a tourist industry along the beach. Successful Socio-Economic Programs Successful development in the Lake Tanganyika Basin is measured by its sustainability and socioeconomic impact. To improve the chances of sustainability in the Lake Tanganyika Basin a nonvertical program approach needs to be implemented by combining the strengths of multiple organizations, spanning across several sectors in the region, that have substantial capacity to influence change and also understand the complexity of the post-conflict region. Most importantly, these organizations need to have long-term development commitments in the region. Although it helps to have an institution with extensive experience in the basin, it is the inclusiveness of the primary stakeholder that generates local ownership and helps seal a program’s success. This is highlighted in lessons learned from a two year project for sustainable catchment management interventions in South Kivu Province, DRC. The UNDP-supported, GEF-financed project on Partnership Interventions for Implementation of the Strategic Action Program for Lake Tanganyika’s DRC Component, promoted activities that offered opportunities for sustainability and long-term improvement of local livelihoods in South Kivu’s catchment between late 2010 and early 2013.278 A significant lesson learned from the UNDP/GEF/LTA project was the importance of genuine participation by primary stakeholders by providing an inclusive partnership which allowed them to be key decision-makers in the implementation process of the project, ensuring ownership by the local communities and a bottom-up approach that melded local expertise with international development specialists.279 Of noted success was the innovative method of combining sophisticated scientific analysis with local knowledge to improve catchment management practices and support local livelihoods. This was applied to catchment management practices as well as communication and outreach efforts that used both traditional and innovative tools resulting in increased stakeholder awareness about environmental problems and knowledge of possible solutions. The project highlighted the importance of working closely with stakeholders in high risk areas, defined as inaccessible and insecure areas. Risks were minimized by maintaining communication networks to monitor security threats, and by having contingency plans in place.280 The challenge with sustainable development in the Lake Tanganyika Basin is characterized and compounded by a post-conflict context, with porous borders and transboundary issues, fragile government institutions and weak civil societies, and divided populations living in extreme poverty. * In order to achieve the MDGs and post-2015 agenda - Appendix M. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 56 Project organizers found that the poor economic conditions in South Kivu limited local stakeholders from investing in a long-term scale-up of the project which diminished the full, longterm impact of the program. They also concluded that a joint strategy could be designed that recognizes the complexity of the post-conflict context, incorporates the geopolitical dynamics of the region, and integrates good practices and lessons learned from this study among other sustainable natural resource management interventions, that can provide multiple opportunities to help rebuild societies and buffer them from the shocks of tomorrow.281 5.4 Case Studies Niger Delta (negative impact) The Niger Delta offers a possible window into the future of the Great Lakes, should energy extraction not incorporate risk mitigation practices, regulatory reforms, and integrated development from the outset. It offers a poignant example of how a water-based economy can be decimated by oil and gas pollutants. The Delta has suffered hundreds of spills over the past three decades, primarily from aging infrastructure, poor regulations and monitoring, insufficient remediation and clean-up efforts, as well as spills/leakage caused by political insurgents and thieves. This has profoundly affected the health and socio-economic well-being of Delta communities. Two that share similar characteristics with the Great Lakes are examined briefly below to illustrate the impact of pollution in water-centric regions. In May and June 2001, two Shell oil spills occurred in the Niger Delta. Similar to Lake Tanganyika, the Niger Delta hosts a large biodiversity and its population consists predominantly of fishermen and farmers who depend on the ecosystem for survival. The Delta is one of the world’s largest wetlands and has one of the largest mangrove forests in Africa. Endangered species, such as the manatee and pygmy hippopotamus, live here. In the rural town of Ogbodo, Nigeria, at least 9500 tonnes of oil leaked from an oil pipe in need of repair. After a three month delay in clean-up efforts all across the Delta, the water and soil had been poisoned with hydrocarbons and heavy metals, damaging the soil, aquatic resources, and biodiversity of the area. Catches fished for subsistence were contaminated. Health impacts included respiratory and gastro-intestinal diseases, as well as mental distress. Thousands of toxins waste in pits are suspected of being linked to rising cancer rates and formerly potable water wells have been contaminated. Waterborne illnesses such as cholera, typhoid and diarrheal diseases from unsafe drinking water are partially attributed to the pollution following the oil spill over ten years ago, and present challenges for local communities in the Niger Delta.282 283 A month earlier in Ogoniland, a similarly devastating spill resulted from a deteriorating Shell pipeline. A UN working group study found that the unchecked oil pollution in Ogoni led to the complete destruction of its ecosystem and destroyed the traditional fishing and farming systems. As a result, there were food shortages, which forced the people of Ogoniland to fully import food. This led to unemployment for most of the youth and women since their economic livelihoods as fishermen became unsustainable. In an effort to find work, many have migrated from their traditional land to cities. However, many lack the skills and training to find viable work there and find themselves living in slums.284 Like the people in Ogbodo, there has been a rise in certain diseases and malnutrition connected to ground water contamination.285 Of noted concern is the depth of pollution in the underground water system, found as deep as five meters in some places. One test found oil three inches thick floating atop water used in a community well.286 Shell remediation efforts in Ogoni only dealt with surface contamination, despite oil seeping far into the ground. A United Nations Environmental Protection study in 2010 concluded that a wider variety of more intensive remediation measures are necessary, including mangrove restoration, cleaning of the topsoil, groundwater decontamination, and close monitoring of natural regeneration of the area; however, Nigeria’s regulatory mechanisms need to be strengthened to enforce the UN’s recommendations.287 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 57 Mongolia (balancing conservation and development) Mongolia is in the early stages of its mining and oil boom. It and has taken precautionary steps to develop its extractive industry while protecting the health of its population and the environment its nomadic culture and livelihood depend on. The government has designed solid management systems before large revenues started flowing and has a progressive public-private partnerships with The Nature Conservancy to balance conservation and development. Mongolia recognized its susceptibility to corruption due to the capital-intensive nature of largescale infrastructure projects for mining and oil extraction. To deviate from falling prey to the resource curse, Mongolia passed the Fiscal Stability Law aimed at supporting macro-economic stability. It also established a Fiscal Stability Fund to provide protection from volatile commodity prices and a Human Development Fund to support vulnerable segments of the population over time.288 While resource wealth could benefit the country’s burgeoning economy, it could also harm Mongolia’s habitats that have sustained its nomadic culture for millennia. Mongolia has one of the world’s largest expanses of wild grassland habitat. Approximately 16 percent of Mongolia’s 600,000 square miles have been leased for exploration, and another 26 percent of that land is available for lease, according to The Nature Conservancy.289 Recognizing the risk of irreversibly damaging Mongolia’s grasslands, parliament incorporated The Nature Conservancy’s ‘Development by Design’ approach into national law in 2012. The law requires mining and oil development projects to evaluate and then offset their environmental impacts. The Development by Design model gives equal weight to the needs of conservationists, herders, and developers in Mongolia. Mitigation and conservation planning informs on the type of the development to implement as the country scales its mining activities. One activity through this program includes the compilation of environmental data spanning over 150,000 square miles in eastern Mongolia. The information gleaned from this survey determined which areas are of greatest importance for Mongolia’s people and wildlife, which in turn created a map of highpriority sites to conserve. This model is a guide for intelligent development that can support other initiatives. Mongolia has used it to determine the location of the most economically vital lands, as well as how threats like climate change and unsustainable herding are affecting health concerns in these areas. By creating funds to sustain its economy and population health, and by legally requiring intelligent development practices, Mongolia is paving its way to a more sustainable future, one that makes it less vulnerable to the threats of mineral and oil extraction while benefiting from its resource wealth. Botswana (legislation reform) Botswana is another example of a country that has improved human development indicators through effective use of its mineral wealth. By value, Botswana is the world’s largest producer of diamonds. Other mineral exports include copper and nickel. Over the past 20 years, mining has contributed tremendously to Botswana’s economic growth, rising per-capita incomes, and government revenues.290 Approximately 35 percent of its GDP and 50 percent of its tax revenue comes from the mining industry. Botswana’s record of mineral-led development has contributed to its rapid economic growth while avoiding many of the other negative impacts of resource extraction. It is relatively free of the corruption and environmental damage that is often associated with mining industries.291 The government of Botswana established mechanisms to ensure that a significant part of its mineral resource revenue is allocated for investment in health and education and economic sustainability. They succeeded through prudent fiscal policies; by maintaining a negligible level of external debt; and through funds designed to preserve its mineral wealth for future generations. Notably, the government has effectively managed strategic public-private ventures to generate revenues. This income was translated into infrastructure, education, and health and poverty The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 58 alleviation programs. The government did this by carefully working out revenue- and risk-sharing agreements with the private sector. Reported levels of corruption are relatively low in Botswana. In 2013, the Transparency International Corruptions Perception Index rated Botswana at place 30 out of 177 countries. 292 This positive rating is reflective of preemptive action taken by the government in the 1990s, when new legislation and anti-corruption structures were developed based on the three pronged approach of detailed investigation, corruption prevention and public education through the Corruption and Economic Crime Act. This lead to the establishment of the Directorate on Corruption and Economic Crime in 1994, a system with judicial oversight that enforces extractive regulations. Botswana also subscribed to the Extractive Industry Transparency Initiative in 2007. One of the key features of the regulatory environment of the mining industry in Botswana is the integration of government involvement in all mining ventures through equity participation and board representation. Minimum controls are exercised on business operations, and management is left entirely to the private sector. To ensure that the wealth from Botswana’s resources is used to sustain the economy, the government created the Pula Fund. * A portion of its resource wealth is invested in its Pula Fund, which serves as a buffer against price volatility and preserves a share of the rents from diamond exports for future generations. Traditionally, Botswana’s diamond mining operations have had a limited environmental impact. Residue from diamond mines are open cast with spoil heaps, which have not been a major concern given the country’s extremely low population density. Environmentally, the main concern has been related to the Bamangwato Concessions Ltd. copper-nickel smelter, which had problems in the past maintaining safe levels of sulfur dioxide emissions. This affected the respiratory health of populations living in the vicinity of the smelter. To deal with this issue, the government required all mining operators to take environmental considerations into account and conduct operations to preserve the natural environment as much as possible through the Mines and Minerals Act of 1999.293 This law requires all applicants for mining licenses to carry out an Environmental Impact Assessment as part of their application process. The lack of environmental incidents in Botswana reflects both the government’s commitment to environmental policies and low environmental pollution from most mining operations to date. Botswana’s regulatory framework, anti-corruption institutions, and best practices with publicprivate ventures in the mining industry are exemplary for countries that have a narrow window of time to reform their energy sector legislation. Botswana’s success in managing the exploitation of its resource wealth is attributable to the following factors: 1) Compared to other resource-rich countries such as Nigeria and DR Congo, Botswana leaned on a strong institutional framework that placed effective constraints on the political elite before diamond mining started in 1967 294; 2) the government created policies that supported a stable macroeconomic framework and encouraged private investment; 3) the government engaged the private sector as the main driving force in mineral resource extraction through a constructive partnerships; 4) anti-corruption institutions were established and funds that ensured a significant part of governmental mineral resource revenue was allocated for investment in health and education; 5) the primary minerals extracted in the country had a relatively small environmental impact. The aforementioned case studies illustrate the different types of mechanisms, partnerships, and initiatives that help mitigate the negative impact of mismanaged resource extraction and promote intelligent development. Tools that strengthen checks-and-balances to increase the capacity of parliaments† and support the emergence of a credible judiciary are critical to reverse the negative development outcome of extraction. * † Botswana’s Sovereign Wealth Fund. To exert effective constraints on the executive branch of government. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 59 6. Emerging Security Threats On January 16, 2013, one of the largest assaults on an energy facility occurred at El Amenas Gas Facility in Algeria by local terrorists affiliated with Al-Qaida. The attack closed down one of Algeria’s largest gas plants, which produced about ten percent of its natural gas before the attack. After three days under siege and a brutal military reaction by Algerian government security forces, El Amenas was secured; but not before 38 hostages were killed, many of whom were foreign workers from Europe, Japan, and the United States. The Algerian government has since admitted that it was not prepared for such a well-coordinated attack on its infrastructure and is currently overhauling the security of its oil and gas facilities country-wide.295 “Renewed oil interest in the DRC represents a real threat to stability in a still vulnerable post-conflict country.” The attack on El Amenas, a natural gas plant jointly operated by BP, Statoil and Algeria’s national energy company Sonatrach, has sensitized gas and oil companies to the security risks of operating in regions of instability, especially in areas with armed groups that target foreign and Western enterprises.296 There is great concern by regional experts and energy companies that the siege at the gas plant in Algeria will inspire copy-cat incidents on a smaller scale. Indeed later that year, in May 2013, a similar hostage situation occurred at a French operated Uranium mine in Niger. Islamist suicide bombers coordinated attacks targeting Areva’s mine at Arlit and an army barracks in Agadez in northern Niger, killing 20 people and wounding dozens after militants took hostages. The AlQaeda-linked group MUJAO claimed responsibility for coordinated suicide attacks in retaliation for a French-led offensive this year against Islamist insurgents in neighboring Mali. Nigeria, now considered to have the largest economy in Africa (largely attributed to its oil wealth),297 is struggling to contain the Al-Qaida-linked Boko Haram from expanding its influence and attacks in the country. Boko Haram regularly mounts attacks in northern Nigeria; however, there have been a significant number of attacks in other Nigerian states over the past year. On 19 February 2014, the organization issued a video threatening to attack oil installations and workers in the Niger Delta region of southeast Nigeria; an area not previously targeted by the group.298 Despite the Nigerian military’s year-long offensive against Boko Haram, the terrorist group’s activities have been escalating. In April, Boko Haram kidnapped 276 girls from their school in northeastern Nigeria.299 In early June, militant fighters were killing and terrorizing civilians in villages in northeastern Nigeria.300 Both incidents have raised the profile of Boko Haram as a formidable Islamic extremist group in Africa.301 302 While there is a large body of reporting on Al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) activities in North Africa and the spread of Islamist militant attacks in West Africa, it is not as well known that Islamic extremist influence is spreading into the Great Lakes region from the Somalia-based AlQaida group al-Shabaab. The ADF-NALU,* one of the oldest but least known armed groups operating along Congolese-Ugandan borders is considered to be influenced by radical Islam from East Africa.303 Even without Al-Qaida affiliation, armed tribal groups are reinserting their control along the DRC’s eastern border region. There is growing concern that they may target foreign E&P companies operating in this gas and oil rich region. Government response time to a complex attack on an energy facility in the Great Lakes region would likely take much longer than the Algerian government’s response to the attack on El Amenas gas plant in North Africa. Current and future energy extraction sites in Central and Eastern Africa are extremely vulnerable in a region struggling to maintain peace and recover from years of conflict. Security concerns by the E&P sector in the Great Lakes region escalate by the lack of infrastructural support and geographic isolation; and the absence of government control along Congolese, Rwandan, Ugandan, and Burundian borders. This area is rich in rare minerals, natural gas and oil, with much of the land already parceled out in blocks for extraction without transparency or legislation. Lawlessness is still prevalent due to armed militant groups operating with impunity. * The Allied Democratic Forces-National Army for the Liberation of Uganda. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 60 If foreign government security personnel or military assets were requested to support local security forces’ efforts to secure a compromised facility in the Great Lakes region, their response time would likely take longer than if they were to respond to a security situation in Northern Africa due to proximity of foreign bases and dedicated security support to the region. Despite such high risks to conduct extraction activities by foreign companies, the E&P industry is still booming due to its long-term, high-risk, high-reward investment strategy. Security Concerns along Lake Tanganyika “Oil prospecting is nurturing old resentments among local communities lining Lake Tanganyika’s western shoreline and contributing to border tensions with neighboring countries.” Renewed oil interest in the DRC represents a real threat to stability in a still vulnerable post-conflict country. The communities lining Lake Tanganyika’s western shoreline are no exception. Oil prospecting is nurturing old resentments among local communities and contributing to border tensions with neighboring countries. Great concern is shared by regional experts that the confirmation of oil reserves in eastern DRC will exacerbate deep-rooted conflict dynamics in the DRC’s eastern provinces of North Kivu and South Kivu and southeastern province of Katanga; the latter two sharing the northwestern coastline of Lake Tanganyika. There was an upsurge in fighting in early 2012 in the Kivus and the emergence of a new rebellion in North Kivu has spurred renewed territorial expansion of armed groups’ further complicating stability in eastern DRC and neighboring countries. One narrative overlooked by international media is a likely power shift that would be prompted in the region once oil is confirmed and E&P activities begin in eastern DRC. New oil reserves could shift the center of power and political influence from the DRC’s traditional economic hub in central Katanga Province to eastern and southeastern Congo along the seam of the Great Lakes. This could feed secessionist tendencies in the context of failed decentralization and financial strife between the central government and the provinces. For a better understanding on the transboundary impact of E&P activity in the region, WAVE examines the Great Lakes’ history through a geopolitical and security scope in the proceeding text. 6.1 Geopolitical Context Over the past two years the international media and Western governments’ attention was directed on the reemergence of the M23 and the deteriorating security situation in the eastern provinces of North and South Kivu. While the international community continues to throw resources into the Kivus and its porous borders with Rwanda and Uganda, little is known or understood about what is taking place just outside this narrow lens. Regional and International Engagement in the Kivus Conflicts in the eastern provinces of North Kivu and South Kivu have persisted throughout the last decade, many of which take root from colonial rule as deftly explained in Jason Stearns’ Dancing in the Glory of Monsters.* Contributing to the cycles of violence in the last ten years have been the continued presence of Congolese and foreign armed groups taking advantage of power and security vacuums in the eastern part of the country; the illegal extraction of resources; interference by neighboring countries; pervasive impunity; inter-communal feuds; and the weak capacity of the national army and police to effectively protect civilians and ensure law and order. In order to address the underlying causes of conflict and ensure sustainable peace in the country and the wider region, the Peace, Security and Cooperation Framework for the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the region was signed by representatives of eleven countries in the region, the Chairs of the African Union, the International Conference on the Great Lakes Region, the Southern African Development Community, and the United Nations Secretary-General on 24 February 2013 in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. In support of the objectives of the PSC Framework agreement, the UN Security Council unanimously adopted resolution 2098 on 28 March 2013, which extended the mandate for the * Recommended reading list - Appendix Q. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 61 peacekeeping operation in the Congo, known as MONUSCO, and created a specialized “Intervention Brigade” to strengthen the mission.* The Intervention Brigade had expanded legal authority to conduct offensive operations† and after a six-month campaign successfully disbanded‡ the militant group known as the M23 with the combined assistance of the FARDC. § The International Brigade, other MONUSCO units, and the FARDC are conducting offensive operations post-M23, targeting FDLR, ADF, and armed Mai-Mai groups in the Kivus. Regional experts and military strategists believe these new campaigns in 2014 will be harder to win than the operation against the M23, in part due to the FDLR’s and ADF’s experience in guerrilla tactics and asymmetric warfare.304 On 28 March 2014, the UN Security Council unanimously adopting resolution 2147 (2014) to extend the mandate of MONUSCO until 31 March 2015. The renewed mandate would also include MONUSCO’s Intervention Brigade; however, the Security Council noted the need for a clear exit strategy for the Intervention Brigade. It was therefore decided that the Mission’s further reconfigurations and mandates should be based on the evolving situation and progress towards several objectives set out in accordance with its three priorities: 1) protecting civilians, 2) stabilizing the country, and 3) supporting implementation of the PSC Framework for the DRC and the region.305 Katanga Province “Martin Kobler, head of MONUSCO, admitted that Katanga Province had been ignored when troops stepped up their campaign against M23 rebels in the eastern provinces of North and South Kivu.” From a topographical perspective, one can trace today’s conflicts in the Kivus and Katanga Province along Lake Tanganyika’s coastline, connecting over 20 years of local struggles over land, resources, and power that often involved and implicated actors outside the region. As a consequence, and against the backdrop of rebel fighting against the government and internal hostility, many communities in the region have taken arms in self-defense. Armed violence and the threat thereof have become strategic and political ploys to bolster stature and protect interests in east Congo, and especially the mineral rich Katanga Province. The resurgence of certain armed Mai-Mai militias in Katanga Province went largely unnoticed while the DRC and international community focused on security issues in the Kivus. Several Katanga-based Mai-Mai groups, who seek to expand their area of influence through bloodshed, could pose a greater danger to the overall post-conflict region than M23 did in the north. It is only in the last couple of months that the international community has acknowledged the destabilizing Mai-Mai activities in Katanga Province. Martin Kobler, head of MONUSCO, admitted that Katanga Province had been ignored in recent months as troops stepped up their campaign against M23 rebels in the eastern provinces of North and South Kivu. Kobler told journalists in January, "It's a humanitarian catastrophe. I feel an element of guilt when I think of Katanga because we have concentrated our military activity on the Kivus but it is important not to neglect Katanga."306 6.2 Complex Regional History A History of Violence in the Congo To understand the scope of the corruption, bloodshed, and political instability in this region, it is advisable to consider the origins of the prevailing issues. The problems in the Congo can be traced back over 125 years, when King Leopold II of Belgium claimed the central region of Africa as his fiefdom in 1885 during the colonial powers’ scramble to divide Africa. After setting up the Congo Free State, a private enterprise, he reaped the rewards of the region’s rubber and ivory, among other resources. During that time, colonial officers created a draconian system of forced labor during which they killed or mutilated hundreds of thousands and pushed millions of others to The UN Security Council has since extended the mandate for MONUSCO and Intervention Brigade through 31 March 2015 (UN Press Release, 28 March 2014) † MONUSCO’s rules of engagement was previously limited to defense. ‡ Many hardcore M23 fighters and M23 leaders fled the DRC in Oct/Nov 2013 and now reside in Uganda and Rwanda. § A comprehensive account of the offensive and defeat against M23 - Appendix H. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 62 starvation or death from disease. Eventually in 1908, King Leopold was pressured to hand the country over to the Belgian government, when the territory became an official colony. Although the government established a much more elaborate administration with extensive primary education, the Belgians still focused on resource extraction and did little to encourage local development. By the time power was ceded to the Congolese during the decolonization, the Belgians had set the new nation up for failure without a self-sustaining infrastructure. The transfer of power during the Cold War, condemned Congo to become a pawn in the U.S. - Soviet conflict. Between the assassination of Patrice Lumumba and the secessionist activity in Katanga, from the moment of independence, the country was plunged into turmoil, which ultimately saddled the country with 32 years of autocratic rule by Joseph Mobutu (later known as Mobutu Sese Seko). Although Mobutu helped create national unity, renaming the nation Zaire in 1971, he dismantled and cannibalized state institutions in order to maintain power, ultimately leading to Zaire’s economic collapse. Mobutu feared dissent from within the ranks of his single-party state by the 1980’s and robbed his own institutions of capital. Political interference and corruption eroded the judicial system, administration, and security services. This allowed internal ethnic rivalries and conflicts over access of land to fester, which were most prevalent along the eastern border with Rwanda and Uganda. In a desperate attempt to remain in power, Mobutu further fuelled these ethnic tensions to distract his enemies from challenging his position. Regional problems further eroded Mobutu’s control as he catered to multiple rebel groups in the region. Contributing to this problem were the effects of the civil war in Rwanda in 1994, which had escalated into the genocide of 800,000 Tutsi and moderate Hutu at the hands of Hutu militia and the army. When the incumbent Hutu regime crumbled, the Tutsi Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) rebels, led by Paul Kagame, took power. Over one million Hutu fled across the border into Zaire, along with the soldiers and militiamen who had carried out the massacres, causing massive upheaval in this eastern region. Mobutu had also come to host over ten other foreign, armed groups in Zaire as part of his strategy to become a regional power broker, which only further angered his neighbors. By 1996, a regional coalition led by Rwanda and Uganda (and supported by other regional players such as Angola) under the cover of the newly formed the Alliance of Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Congo-Zaire (ADFL) had formed to overthrow Mobutu, with long time Lumumbist revolutionary, Laurent Kabila, as its ostensible head. This became known as the First Congo War, which ended with overthrowing Mobutu in May 1997. After a brief lull in the fighting, the new president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) Laurent Kabila fell out with his Rwandan and Ugandan handlers. This sparked the Second Congo War in August 1998 and a reshuffling of regional support and interests. Following Kabila’s assassination in 2001, his son Joseph Kabila took over the presidency. The war lasted until June 2003 when a peace deal was signed and reunified the country. Despite an official end to the war, conflict has simmered and occasionally boiled over mainly in the east and south-east of the country ever since, with flares of violence also occurring in Kinshasa. Much has been written on the history of the Congo, including the past twenty years, and recommendations for further reading are listed in the appendix.* Since the end of the Second Congo War, many of the current problems in the DRC and surrounding regions are connected to the poor implementation of the peace deal and consequences of reunification of militias into the state military, the decentralization of government control, and foreign state interference.307 Since 2003, fighting has continued in the DRC’s eastern and southeastern provinces stoked by outside influence from other states, discovery of new petroand mineral resources, and underinvestment by the central government with serious shortcoming in security along its porous borders. This has in turn empowered local rebel groups to fill the security vacuum and expand their own territorial influence through means of violence, while depleting the regions mineral wealth. Because these armed groups have had such a profound effect on regional security, a brief primer of them is included below. * Recommended reading list on the history of the Congo - Appendix Q. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 63 6.3 Key Rebel Groups* Since the M23 insurgency ended in November 2013, militant groups in eastern Congo are responding to the change in the region’s security dynamics. While new groups crop up to take advantage of territory lost by the M23, others have surrendered to the FARDC and MONUSCO forces, and entrenched armed rebels have become more aggressive or have adopted defensive postures for fear of being attacked by the Intervention Brigade or FARDC. Security threats remain high with at least three violent rebel groups active in eastern Congo: the Rwandan rebels of the FDLR (Democratic Forces for the liberation of Rwanda), the Ugandan ADF (Allied Democratic Forces), and the separatist militia group, Kata Katanga. These groups are responsible for grave human rights abuses and massive displacement, and continue to sow instability in the Kivus and Katanga Province.308 FDLR The history of the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR) is fundamental to understanding the existence and actions of many rebel groups in eastern DRC today. Rebel groups in the region are formed and disbanded on a fairly frequent basis; a dynamic justified for self-defense, but many times with an ulterior motive such as power, land control, and resource exploitation. This, along with rebel groups’ complex interactions with each other and internal/external government entities, can easily misconstrue the reality on site. The FDLR was formed largely as a repercussion of the Rwandan genocide in 1994. Many FDLR members were former Rwandan Hutu rebels, who either directly participated in or are descendants of those who were involved in the genocide that killed an estimated 800,000 people. When the genocide ended with the seizure of power by the Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF), led by current Tutsi President Paul Kagame, many of the Hutu militiamen and defeated Interahamwe (the original perpetrators) retreated to eastern DRC. The Rwandan government classifies the FDLR as a major threat to its stability and invaded the DRC in 2003 under this pretext. At the time, one of the several militia groups borne out of the Rwandan invasion and made up primarily of Tutsi fighters was the National Congress for the Defense of the People (CNDP). It wasn’t until 2009 that the CNDP was disbanded and incorporated into the Congolese Army (FARDC). Out of that group, 1,000 former Tutsi CNDP rebels who had been integrated into the FARDC mutinied and broke away, naming themselves M23. The M23 militia reemerged in 2012 in response to perceived inaction by the Congolese government that it had not fulfilled its half of the peace accord signed in 2009. One of M23’s demands was the eradication of the FDLR. The Rwandan government has been accused of backing the Tutsi-led M23 rebellion to counter the Hutu FDLR in eastern DRC and to maintain control as the number of members in the FDLR dwindled. The most recent report supporting this claim was published December 2013 by the UN Panel of Experts on the DRC. The continued danger of Rwanda using the FDLR as a pretext to conduct cross-border operations into the DRC prompted the UNSC to authorize an operation to neutralize and disband the FDLR following disarmament of the M23 rebels in November 2013. Neutralizing the FDLR would further delegitimize Rwanda’s nearly constant meddling in eastern DRC. Unlike the swift operation against the M23 rebels (likely due to Rwanda ceasing its regular support), the FARDC and UN forces will likely be challenged by the FDLR’s unconventional military tactics, operating within civilian population centers and difficult terrain, as well as conducting asymmetric attacks. Since the start of the campaign on 27 November 2013, UN forces and the FARDC have only been able to clear a major trade route that had been under control by the FDLR for the past two years, connecting part of North Kivu to its capital, Goma. Unlike the campaign against M23, there is concern over real collateral damage across ethnic Hutu communities in the DRC, where it is difficult to distinguish FDLR combatants from Congolese Hutu civilians and Rwandan Hutu civilians who have lived in the DRC for years. A comprehensive list of armed rebel groups present in areas of energy and mineral extraction and potential blocks for exploitation in the DRC - Appendix F. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 64 UN officials estimated in December 2013 that there were about 1,500 FDLR fighters spread out in small groups across North and South Kivu provinces.309 * Around 70 percent of the FDLR is below the age of 30 and had no direct involvement in the 1994 genocide. In addition to the UN’s deployment of a Regional Intervention Brigade, which has the authority to conduct offensive operations, unarmed drones are being employed to conduct aerial reconnaissance and gather intelligence, which has helped the UN force avoid civilian casualties, among other benefits. The UN force needs to improve its understanding of the structure of armed conflict and social interaction on the ground in eastern DRC. Any lasting political solution however needs to take into account the local dimensions of conflict. Even then, there are questions about how to successfully integrate a rebel group or marginalized ethnic group into the established system. Following two decades of ethnic fracturing caused by external and internal armed groups and all these population movements, there is a real dilemma to demobilize FDLR combatants and integrate ethnically fractured communities. M23 After 20 months of armed struggle and violence that displaced thousands of people in the Kivus, the rebel group known as M23 announced it had ended its armed campaign on 5 November 2013. The group declared it would employ political means rather than military means to achieve their goals in the future.† In a November 2012 UN report, the UN Group of Experts on the DRC concluded that the Rwandan government, with the support of its allies, “created, equipped, trained, advised, reinforced and directly commanded the M23 rebellion.”310 Multiple sources, including M23 members, Ugandan officers, and ICGLR verification officers, reported instances of direct and indirect support to the M23 during its two month offensive in late 2012.311 A much more comprehensive report on the backing to the now disbanded M23 was published in January 2014 by the UN Group of Experts on the DRC: “The Group documented that M23 received continued support from Rwandan territory. The most consistent forms of support were through recruitment and provision of arms and ammunition, particularly during periods of combat. M23 also received direct troop reinforcement by Rwandan soldiers in August [2013]. During the October fighting [2013], Rwandan tanks fired into DRC in support of M23.”312 Although the main M23 insurgency has ended,‡ conflict and displacement continues in eastern Congo. The UNHCR estimates that 800,000 – 900,000 people were displaced by fighting between the M23 and government forces over the past two years.313 Violence and human rights violations committed by other armed groups, local self-defense militia (Mai-Mai) and armed forces, in addition to unresolved land and inter-communicable conflicts, and localized natural disasters have also contributed to the 2.7 million people currently displaced across the eastern DRC.314 While some internally displaced persons (IDPs) in North Kivu have returned, many of those who relocated several times or for long periods of time are hesitant to return to their homes in North Kivu. Many Congolese that fled to Uganda during the M23 fighting in October and November § 2013 have not returned, out of fear of resurgent attacks against perceived collaborators. 315 Dozens of armed groups, such as the FDLR, ADF, and Mai-Mai groups, operate in this region. History has shown that new revolts spring up in the wake of those that have been suppressed or negotiated. The M23 is one of many armed groups that embody the manifestation of a deeper crisis in the DRC: the mismanagement and lack of rudimentary security and administrative infrastructure to ensure law and order. A political solution in the region is the only clear way forward to end protracted conflict, bolstered by economic development opportunities to fundamentally change the poor living conditions for Congolese citizens. Another M23-like group will emerge if a dual political and economic solution is not found. In 2008 there were more than 6,000 FDLR fighters in the Kivus (IRIN News, 17 March 2008) Comprehensive account of the offensive against M23 - Appendix H. ‡ Many of the former M23 hardcore fighters and leadership are in Uganda or Rwanda. § Congolese refugees who have attempted to return to the DRC have experienced grave difficulties. On 22 March 2014 a boat carrying 150 Congolese capsized on Lake Albert, killing 107 Congolese refugees on board the boat. (Bloomberg, 25 March 2014) * † The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 65 Mai-Mai The international press has a tendency to clump Mai-Mai groups as one rebel group, not identifying the localized nature of Mai-Mai groups within specific Congolese villages and regions. This misidentification is one of several examples of oversimplification on a very complex region with hundreds of interconnected groups and intersecting interests. This misperceived categorization to one sole group likely grew out of the notoriety of a collective of Mai-Mai groups in North and South Kivu, although there are many Mai-Mai groups throughout the DRC. The word “Mai-Mai” was influenced by the Kiswahili word meaning “water.” This term is widely used to refer to any of the community militias composed of male Congolese villagers that joined forces during the Second Congo War to defend their land and homes in the northeastern regions of the DRC. The choice of the word Mai-Mai refers to the way in which free men of the Congo choose to come together or disband depending on the defensive needs of the people, to the fluid sense of unity which comes and goes, or ebbs and flows like water. Mai-Mai or Rega societies were initially formed by localized groups to defend a small number of villages against injustices ignored by the government, with no charters or commissions paid by the state. Most came together without guns, carrying the hoes and the machetes they used in their fields as weapons. Mai-Mai and the FDLR Mai-Mai groups in the Kivus played a crucial role in the Second Congo War, and were composed of local men from districts in the northeast region of the country, loosely grouped together to resist the forces of the Hutu Interahamwe. These were the Hutu guerilla fighters who eventually called themselves the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR) and settled in both North and South Kivu provinces. Mai-Mai groups also fought against the Congolese Tutsi-supported militias such as the CNDP who also fought the FDLR in the region. The modus operandi of the Kivu based Mai-Mai groups was to seek out and kill or expel any non-Congolese troops in the DRC. During that time, many Mai-Mai fought with the Congolese army to rid their districts of enemy soldiers. Mai-Mai: After the Peace Accords Many Mai-Mai in the Kivus were historically committed to stopping the infiltration of Rwandasupported militias in the area but their allegiances were fluid and changed frequently. Although these groups participated in the Second Congo War they were never included in the peace accord that brought an end to the war and were never made to disband like the CNDP. The membership profiles of specific Mai-Mai groups have developed past the initial grassroots basis to protect villages and have a wide range of individuals that are difficult to pin down to any one affiliation. Some groups that would be considered “Mai-Mai” are private armies led by warlords, tribal elders or village leaders. There are also a few Mai-Mai groups that espouse limited political agendas. Certain groups have been known to ally themselves to established guerrilla groups, terrorists, and even other foreign governments if it helps them to survive. This in turn supports foreign proxy wars on neighboring territory. More recently, the UN among other organizations, has documented from interviews with local villagers and recognized that several Mai-Mai groups are far more harmful than helpful to the villagers placed in their care and are considered killers and thieves.316 Mai-Mai: Failed Peace Process and the Reemergence of the Raia Mutomboki In terms of controlled territory, the Raia Mutomboki is one of the largest armed Mai-Mai groups in the eastern Congo. Over the past two years they have managed to flush the Rwandan FDLR rebels out of vast areas, forcing them to abandon their headquarters in southern Masisi, North Kivu Province. Despite its success, the Raia Mutomboki is also one of the most fragmented and illdisciplined armed groups in eastern DRC. The Raia Mutomboki, “Furious Citizens” in Kiswahili, began a rampage of revenge killings in late 2011 against Hutu villagers that the Raia believed were supporting the FDLR. Congolese forces eventually quelled the Raia in 2012 but not before over 100 civilians were killed by the group. The The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 66 Raia Mutomboki were encouraged to reassert themselves while the Congolese Army was preoccupied with fighting the M23 in the Kivus in 2012 and 2013. Regional experts believe the Raia Mutomboki is a product of flawed peace processes. In 2005, its first tentative appearance was made in southern Shabunda, South Kivu, when Mai-Mai left the area to participate in army integration, giving the FDLR unfettered access to the lucrative mines around Kalole, and where the first Raia Mutomboki group was created by witchdoctor Jean Musumbu. It was initially established in 2005 in Shabunda territory to protect the villagers in the area from the Interahamwe and the forces of the FDLR. During this time Congolese civilians were massacred by the FDLR in March 2005 in the forests outside of the village of Kyoka, in Shabunda. These villagers were hacked to death with machetes, which fueled the indignation of the Congolese males in the area to the point where they willingly came together to pledge themselves to serve in Mai-Mai Raia Mutomboki. Eventually, the Raia Mutomboki pushed the FDLR out of Shabunda. The group never would have reached out of its jungle backwater if it hadn't been for the integration of the CNDP in 2009; a deal which was only possible because Rwanda and the Congolese forces agreed to join operations against the FDLR. While many diplomats heralded the deal, it caused a humanitarian catastrophe that caught Congolese civilians in the messy governmental counterinsurgency operations. This was the main precursor to the recent explosion of the Raia Mutomboki. FDLR soldiers entered Shabunda in early 2011 after FARDC units in the area were relocated. The FDLR soldiers immediately started stealing from villagers and killing civilians in the area, again causing the men to come together. Talks of resurrecting the Raia Mutomboki resurfaced. Ironically, it was an initiative that was intended as a corrective to CNDP integration, which had given the former rebels disproportionate control of operations in the Kivus, that which rekindled the Raia. The regimentation exercise, which was supposed to streamline army units and counter CNDP networks, drew soldiers out of large areas of the Kivus to army camps, leaving the population at the mercy of the FDLR, especially in remote areas like Shabunda. It was particularly the mining areas here where violence erupted, as the FDLR tried to violently impose their authority.317 When the Congolese army returned to the area in late 2011, the Raia helped track the movements of the FDLR within the local forests; however they began to resent the presence of the Tutsi soldiers (ex-CNDP troops serving in the Congolese army) following the peace deal to integrate them back into the national army. The Raia considered these ex-CNDP troops as foreigners who had no right to be living in the Congo, serving as soldiers in the Congolese Army. This animosity provoked the Raia Mutomboki to attack the Congolese Army on several occasions and their amicable work deteriorated into open warfare, again fighting internally. As the Raia continued to hunt for the FDLR soldiers, it also began to kill the dependents of the Interahamwe, including women and children, mutilating them before they killed them. FDLR deserters told UN officials that the Raia Mutomboki were their greatest worry. The brutal tactics employed by the Raia caused the FDLR to retaliate in kind, causing the massacres of civilians on both sides of the conflict. By May 2012, the Raia moved into North Kivu in Tembo and Kano/Rega where they killed FDLR dependents and also massacred close to one hundred people, most of whom were Hutu villagers without FDLR ties. 6.4 Security Situation in Katanga Province Inter-tribal rivalry is one of several drivers of instability in Katanga Province; a region rich in rare minerals where extractive activities are the backbone of the nation’s economy. It is also a region that has long desired autonomy from the national government with an active secessionist movement. Government forces have moved at times to try to regain control of the region. In response local Mai-Mai, including the separatist group Kata Katanga, have attacked FARDC troops and pillaged villages for food and child soldiers. Since October 2013, small armed militia bands have burned villages in the impoverished area of central Katanga, known as the “triangle of death.”318 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 67 Humanitarian access is limited and the number of displaced people climbed in 2013 as tensions increased in the province. According to UNHCR, an estimated 400,000 people were living either in IDP camps or with host families in Katanga, and those are only the known number of displaced persons; the actual figure is estimated to be much higher. Of heightened concern is the methodology of Kata Katanga to build their ranks by kidnapping children.319 Members of the Kata Katanga have connections to regional politicians and receives military, financial and logistical support from a senior ranking police official and politicians. The December 2013 report by the UN Group of Experts on the DRC wrote that the Kata Katanga militia is responsible for serious human rights abuses and war crimes. Kata Katanga is accused for the two attacks on Katanga Airport in 2013, and is responsible for the one-day occupation of Lubumbashi, the capital of Katanga. The rebel group has also been accused of kidnapping hundreds of children, some as young as eight-years, to replenish its militia force.320 Kata Katanga primarily operates in the “triangle of death,” between the territories of Manono, Mitwaba and Pweto. The group condemns the unequal distribution of wealth between north and south Katanga. North Katanga (where the Tanganyika District is located) remains largely impoverish and undeveloped compared to the more prosperous southern half of the province.321 Much of the anti-government activity in Katanga is related to President Joseph Kabila’s failure to implement the decentralization elements of the 2006 federal constitution that call for the provinces of the DRC to retain 40 percent of mining revenues. Part of the plan approved in a referendum in 2008 called for the division of Katanga into four smaller provinces – a plan that is counter to secessionists’ goal to have an independent Katanga Province. There is also concern by north Katangans, and the governor of Katanga Province (who is from the north), that Kinshasa’s inaction to implement the decentralization plan in Katanga is a move by Kabila to continue the flow of wealth to south Katanga while ignoring the impoverished north.322 President Joseph Kabila previously relied on his advisor, Katumba Mwanke, to handle discontent from the powerful north Katangan politicians based in Kinshasa, who were seated in government under the influence of former President Laurent Kabila (Kabila’s grandfather was from North Katanga). Since Mwanke’s untimely death in a 2011 plane crash, Joseph Kabila has encountered difficulties in appeasing this influential group of politicians from north Katanga, who in turn have become dissatisfied with the president’s inability to provide security in Katanga and no longer backing his support in Katanga Province. On March 23, 2013, the Katangan capital of Lubumbashi was occupied by 300 Kata Katanga fighters (some of them children) who raised the old flag of independent Katanga in the city’s main square. After a battle with security forces that killed 35 people, the militants forced their way into a UN compound where 245 of them surrendered. Though the army had been able to defeat the militia in a relatively short time, the occupation raised concerns in Katanga over the government’s ability to establish and maintain security in the region.* Kata Katanga is one of several militias operating in the Katanga Province that are more criminal organizations than politically ideological movements. The UN Group of Experts on the DRC argue that the secession issue provides political cover to Kata Katanga, who is manipulated by local politicians to pressure the Kabila government in Kinshasa.323 6.5 Other Destabilizing Factors Internally Displaced Persons and Refugees The Great Lakes region has a long history of internally displaced persons and refugees from ethnic conflicts between majority and minority clans; military coups; government infighting for centralized state control; general exploitation of the land; lack of development in the region; poor governance and security along the porous borders; empowered armed rebel groups or secessionists; the availability, or lack thereof, resources; control over these resources; and the MONUSCO presently maintains a 450-man brigade from Benin in Katanga, which was reinforced in 2013 by an Egyptian Special Forces unit. The Congolese army maintains only one battalion in the area, far from enough manpower to begin restoring order. ** The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 68 stressors of climate change. These factors contribute to instability in the region and have led to systematic rape and pillaging of people in villages, sparked regional conflicts and genocides. Recent waves of displacement in the eastern DRC, affecting approximately one million people since the beginning of the 2012 in the Kivu provinces, reflect a new dimension to the country’s ongoing crises. Given the lack of attention to other regions such as Katanga and Manial Province, the number of displaced people in the DRC is underreported. Kivus While the Congolese army fought M23 rebels, localized armed groups emerged, and areas that were relatively stable since the last Congo War are finding themselves under attack. Evidence gathered by Oxfam in 2012 indicated that government soldiers, armed rebels, police and civilian authorities were all vying for the right to exploit local communities and extort money or goods from them, pushing people further into poverty and undermining their efforts to earn a living. 324 Those that fled to safer locations are now a burden on host communities who and have all but exhausted their own resources. Increasing pressure on resources can exacerbate tensions between the host community and newly arrived refugees, particularly in situations where displaced families are ‘returnees’ and can demonstrate land claims when they arrive. This leads to an increase in inter-ethnic tension, as seen between villages, their associated Mai-Mai groups, and between Hutu and Tutsi ethnic communities in Masisi and Walikale, North Kivu Province, as well as in Burundi.325 Although international attention has focused on the emergence of the M23 rebel group since April 2012, which since then has resulted in a disintegration of state control and violence, much of this is not a new crisis. It is a new dimension to a protracted conflict that has trapped communities in relentless cycle of chronic abuse and constant insecurity, corroding people’s ability to lift themselves out of poverty. Multiple organizations including Refugees International, Human Rights Watch, Oxfam, and the United Nations have documented alarming levels of abuse of men, women, and children in the eastern DRC by armed groups, and exploitation by the very state officials who are supposed to protect and support the local population. Communities themselves have increasingly become commodities of war, fought over by armed groups by both state and non-state actors, seeking to control lucrative opportunities to extract their money and possessions. Many people have felt compelled to take security into their own hands due to an abusive or absent state, adding to the growing numbers of new armed groups in the region, fueling the cycle of violence, displacement and refugee problems. Refugees International reported that in North Kivu Province alone, 914,000 people took shelter in camps and with host families, but the United Nations Refugee Agency (UNHCR) only coordinated support for one ninth of the displaced population, because their supportive capacity is limited to those persons living in official camps (estimated at 112,000 people). Displaced persons in remote areas, particularly those living in ‘spontaneous settlements’ and with host families, fell through the cracks in the UN coordination mechanism, and in many cases they have received little to no assistance or protection.326 The most vulnerable of this group are women and girls. The recent spike in displacement due to conflict in eastern DRC has multiplied the risk of gender-based violence and current programs to protect women and girls are insufficient. Refugees International recommended in March 2013 that aid organizations working in the DRC needed to improve aid coordination and ensure that assistance is based on vulnerability rather than status.327 Repatriation from Tanzania and Burundi The burden of refugees in other countries can be destabilizing to the host country, straining resources, increasing criminal activity and exploiting vulnerable refugees; at times it can change the fabric of the society into which the new refugees have integrated. Repatriation efforts following the end of a conflict or closure of refugee camps need to be carefully coordinated between state actors and civil society to ensure reintegration is successful and doesn’t exacerbate preexisting tensions, such as unemployment. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 69 Recent repatriation efforts of Burundian refugees by Tanzania are a concern in the Great Lake region. Several thousand Burundian refugees, many of whom are second or third generation refugees whose families’ fled the 1972 genocide in Burundi, have been repatriated with few job opportunities and or training. There is great concern this will increase illicit activities along the border of Burundi and the DRC, especially if no income generating programs are initiated by the government or aid organizations. Although the Burundian government and the UNHCR have claimed to have repatriated the last 34,000 former Burundi refugees from Mtabila refugee camp in northwest Tanzania, social and security services for their needs may not last beyond a year later.328 In 2013, Tanzania ordered thousands of migrants from Rwanda, Burundi and Uganda to leave the country by mid-August 2013. In August alone, President Kikwete ordered at least 20,000 Rwandans to leave Tanzania whom he accused of illegal entry and settlement into Tanzania. Systematic expulsions have since tapered off, but the forced displacement of thousands of people and the social upheaval it has caused was felt throughout the transboundary region of Tanzania, Burundi, and Rwanda.329 By the end of November, IOM estimated 36,000 Burundians, 13,000 Rwandans and 4,000 Ugandans had left Tanzania, many of whom were born in Tanzania and/or had lived in Tanzania for decades. IOM reported the largest number of those expelled fled to Burundi, which is the least prepared of the three countries to handle the sudden influx, particularly given that Burundi has one of the smallest, least developed and vulnerable economies in Africa. Burundi’s infrastructure has been strained ever since it absorbed the additional 34,000 returnees in 2012, following the closure of Tanzania’s Mtabila refugee camp. 330 Illicit Mineral Activities (the DRC, Rwanda, and Uganda) Warring parties in the “Triangle of Death,” a region of DRC’s Katanga Province and along the Kivu Provinces in eastern DRC, are fueled by mineral smuggling activities. Much of these illicit activities are indirectly supported by regional state actors for economic profit and ethnic-based ties in the region. Instability in eastern DRC bordering along Uganda and Rwanda is not solely the result of illicit mineral transactions but a symptom of the conflict and a contributor to warring parties’ funds. It is important to note, that conflict minerals are only one means by which warring parties pursue their grievances, and other sources of commodity exist.331 6.6 The Water-Food-Energy-Climate Nexus “Energy sector development needs to incorporate risk mitigation practices and mechanisms to manage the impacts of energy extraction on the increasingly vulnerable African Great Lakes, which are already struggling to adapt to climate change and the increased demand on water and energy.” With the global population estimated to rise from the current 6.83 billion to 8 billion in the next two decades, demand for food, water, and energy resources will soar, increasing resource vulnerability and competition of these interdependent resources.332 This is especially true for developing countries. Three billion middle-class consumers are expected to join the global economy by 2030, triggering a dramatic expansion in global urban infrastructure.333 Water security is an important link among resources that support infrastructural and socio-economic growth, from agriculture production and public health (e.g., water-borne diseases, infantmortality rate, sanitation, potable water), to energy extraction and production. The U.S. State Department estimates by 2025, as much as two-thirds of the global population could be living under water-stressed conditions, where water becomes an impediment to health, peace, and socio-economic development.334 Success of humanitarian initiatives in the African Great Lakes region greatly rests on the security of water. No MDG can be met without attention to water management, and no private sector investment in support of a MDG, separate development- or infrastructural program should invest in the region without a full understanding of the energy-water nexus.335 If this symbiotic relationship is not considered prior to implementation of a development program in the African Great Lakes region, it poses further risks to the region’s already fragile state.* Energy production requires an abundant source of water for oil and gas extraction, refining and processing; especially for safer, less intrusive extractive methods such as directional drilling.336 The International Energy Agency projects that the amount of fresh water consumed for world energy This fragility is further explored in the subsequent chapters, as is an “antifragile” approach to development in the region. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 70 production will double within the next 25 years.337 With this in mind, the demand for water will only increase and may compete (or eventually outpace) with the need for petroleum and gas reserves in difficult areas of extraction. It is in this light that energy policy should be crafted in connection to a sustainable water policy and proper resource management in Africa’s Great Lakes region. Climate Change Impact on Food and Water Evidence suggests that climate change is increasingly threatening the health and livelihoods of the most vulnerable populations, magnifying many of the problems sub-Saharan Africa is struggling with today. A large portion of the populations are reliant on subsistence rain-fed agriculture.338 There are also high baseline levels of rainfall variability and high levels of poverty, reducing the resilience of many communities. The World Bank reports that food security will be the overarching challenge in sub-Saharan Africa, with dangers from drought, flooding, and shifts in rainfall that threaten food supplies.339 Based on current rising temperature rates, scientists at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Climate Analytics ran several climate change models that indicated by 2080, the world would be warmer by four degrees Celsius.340 Models indicate that East Africa will receive more precipitation and be more at risk of floods and water-borne diseases, while annual precipitation may decrease by up to 30 percent in southern Africa, reducing crop production. A temperature rise could also cause major loss of savannah grasslands and threaten pastoral livelihoods. By the 2050s, the proportion of the population undernourished is projected to increase by 25 to 90 percent depending on the sub-region (of sub-Saharan Africa). A 1.5 – 2 degree Celsius increase would contribute to the loss of 40-80 percent of cropland by the 2030s. Further exacerbating food security needs is the high population rate, which is expected to double by 2050 in East Africa alone.341 The impact of climate change on water security is profound. Regions with a high amount of biodiversity reliant on a large source of water, such as Lake Tanganyika, are especially threatened. Patterns of precipitation, temperature, and evaporation will change and affect the hydrological cycles and the water cycle of the planet. This in turn will affect the availability of water around the world. Models indicate as much as a 50 percent reduction in water availability in some regions.342 The scientific community projects that that up to 20 percent of the world’s population living in river basins will be affected by flood hazards by the 2080s due to global warming.343 Climate Change Impact on the African Great Lakes The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reported that climate change will exacerbate existing environmental degradation in Africa, threatening the rich diversity of plant and animal species as well as the livelihoods of large populations. Climate change affects the function and operation of existing water infrastructure, as well as water management practices, economic activity, land-use change, and urbanization. 344 This threatens the populations living along Africa’s Great Lakes, where water supports the livelihoods of the millions of people living in the basins. Water is the essential resource that fuels the life of each lake basin, including the Congo Basin and the world’s ‘second lung’ – the forests of the Congo.345 The Conservation Strategy for the Great Lakes of East and Central Africa reported that studies and modeling of past and present-day climate and hydrological conditions suggest the following local and regional climate impacts in the African Great Lakes region in the 21st Century: The current trend of temperatures increase will continue throughout the 21st Century at a rate of approximately one third of a degree Celsius per decade, affecting lake basin’s ecosystems; Hydrological stress will intensify initially under the warmer and more variable climate the postindustrial warming of the global; An increase of more than two degrees Celsius in Lake Tanganyika’s surface temperature is the warmest temperature the lake has been recorded; the temperature increase occurred The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 71 far more rapidly at the surface than in the deeper waters in the lake; this in turn diminishes mixing of surface and deep waters causing reductions in nutrient transport to the surface; Total annual precipitation will increase markedly across much if not all of the region by the end of the century, in the range of 15-20%; Seasonal precipitation will shift, especially in the southern basins, with pronounced increased in late-year rainfall; Significant seasonality changes are evident in model results in the Lake Tanganyika and Malawi/Niassa/Nyasa basins, which project most of the annual rainfall increase to occur as a lengthening of the end of year Short Rains.346 These are alarming figures and emphasize the need to build resilient communities in the most vulnerable populations in the Great Lakes region. “Shifts in climate are strongly linked to human violence around the world, according to a 2013 report published in ‘Science’…The report concluded that warmer temperatures by two degrees Celsius and more extreme rainfall patterns could boost interpersonal violence by 16 percent and group conflict in some regions by 50 percent by 2050.” The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concluded that current water management practices are very likely to be inadequate to reduce the negative impacts of climate change on water supply reliability, flood risk, health, energy, and aquatic ecosystems. 347 Energy sector development needs to incorporate risk mitigation practices and mechanisms to manage the impacts of energy extraction on the increasingly vulnerable African Great Lakes, which are already struggling to adapt to climate change and the increased demand on water and energy.348 349 There are available tools WAVE recommends stakeholders in the Great Lakes region to utilize to counter the negative impacts of energy extraction and climate change, such as the Global Environmental Management Initiative, which focuses on water risk assessment tools, including the IPIECA Global Water Tool for Oil and Gas, a customized version of the World Business Council for Sustainable Development Global Water Tool.350 Climate Change and Conflict Linking climate change to violence and conflict has been a subject of debate. Although scientists and researchers for the most part agree that climate change has made things harder for those who live in a politically unstable and economically challenged region, it wasn’t quantified until econometrician Solomon Hsiang published a report in August 2013 that found shifts in climate are strongly linked to human violence around the world. The report, based on dozens of published studies correlating extreme weather and human conflict, illustrates how the Earth’s climate plays a more influential role in human affairs than previously thought. 351 It concludes that warmer temperatures by two degrees Celsius and more extreme rainfall patterns could boost interpersonal violence by 16 percent and group conflict in some regions by 50 percent by 2050. This includes ethnic violence, civil conflicts, and land invasions – all underlying issues in sub-Saharan Africa.352 353 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 72 7. Conclusion and Recommendations Debate by economists and development specialists on the best approaches for developing countries has veered from the wildly optimistic, Jeffrey Sachs, who believes that by massively scaling up foreign aid, poverty will end in Africa; to the anti-interventionist and radically pessimistic William Easterly; to self-reliance promoter, Dambisa Moyo. Abhijit Banerjee and Esther Duflo of the MIT Poverty Action Lab, provide a more middle of the ground approach to aid and development – one that WAVE embraces and which informs its programs and policies in Africa’s Great Lakes region. Following this pragmatic approach to development, WAVE promotes preventive and anticipatory practices that cultivate resilient communities in developing countries by engaging multiple stakeholders in the Great Lakes region. WAVE applies Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s “anti-fragile” theory* in the development context, lessons learned in the Great Lakes region by subject-matter experts and industry leaders, as well as WAVE’s empirical experience on the ground for half a decade. WAVE’s recommendations are based on the studies, reviews, and lessons learned in the Great Lakes region by OXFAM, UNDP, and the Global Environment Facility; as well as public-private partnerships (e.g., PEPFAR, Saving Mothers Giving Life, The Nature Conservancy’s DbD); and water, climate, and public health reports (e.g., Lancet Global Health 2035 and Dublin Conference’s Integrated Water Resources Management Concept). Importantly, WAVE integrates extractive and food & beverage industries’ long-term investment plans into its recommendations to support economically sustainable outcomes. This is a paradigm that needs to be scaled up to help sustain programs in fragile regions. 7.1 Promoting Resilience through Cross-sectoral Engagement WAVE encourages cross-sectoral and bottom-up engagement to collaborate on programs with multiple stakeholders, including with the private sector and extractive industries, to address the complex, intersecting issues in the Lake Tanganyika Basin and broader Great Lakes region. Recommended programs range from the creation of an Energy Institute to support the development of the extractive industry and provide support to Great Lakes governments to intelligently develop the region’s fledgling water-based economies and health systems, while protecting the basins’ ecosystems. Recommended stakeholder collaboration includes rural community leaders, national and provincial governments, foreign extractive companies, multilateral organizations (humanitarian, good governance organizations, and development agencies), and environmentalists and conservationists, who have traditionally worked within their own spheres of expertise with little to no engagement with each other, despite intersecting interests. It is important for these stakeholders to engage with strategic partners in the region. The increased need for energy and water resources compounded by the rise in the global population requires a diverse group of stakeholders (governments at the national and local levels, the private sector, scientists, NGOs, and international organizations) to cooperate on resource management, risk mitigation, infrastructure for E&P activities, and socio-economic development. It is especially important to consult with local civil society organizations that have a better understanding of the situation on the ground. WAVE recommends a list of these organizations as future partners to codevelop recommended programs, to include local civil society organizations and current or potential public-private partnerships, such as the 2030 Water Resources Group. WAVE also lists regional institutional bodies, their responsibilities and limitations, and provides a set of recommendations on how to improve upon their charters to increase their effectiveness as platforms for regional cooperation, and as mediators and enforcers of transboundary agreements, such as the Lake Tanganyika Authority and the Convention for Sustainable Background on Taleb, Nassim Nicholas’ “Antifragile” philosophy as applied in development in the Great Lakes region - Appendix N * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 73 Management of Lake Tanganyika. Many of these recommendations address the ineffective engagement among stakeholders with intersecting interests in the Great Lakes region. Most stakeholders’ development programs address issues in a vertical fashion. But post-conflict fragile regions do not have the underpinnings to support vertical initiatives which take for granted statal functionality and do not consider the needs of the local population. Vertical programs concentrate on one issue or one slice of one topic, whether it is public health, WASH, education, telecommunication infrastructure, etc. Vertical programs are not designed to incorporate the nuances of each community or culture that it is targeting, thus the program falls short from reaching its goal and cannot solve the problem from a holistic standpoint based on its narrow and limited approach to the problem. Alternatively, an approach that takes into account the multiplicity of issues from each sectors will be more effective. This is why cross-sectoral partnerships are crucial. They help develop programs that foster inter-sectoral collaborations and sustainable paradigms in the Great Lakes region to: build health systems infrastructure; create sustainable economies; extract minerals and energy resources responsibly; streamline production rates; support emerging economies; end poverty; lower maternal and child mortality rates; save endangered animals; create sustainable fisheries; protect one of the largest freshwater bodies in the world; and encourage good governance and enforce security along porous borders. These are all mutually interdependent. Based on the preceding information and analysis, a number of recommendations are put forward to influence stakeholders’ behaviors towards more sustainable practices in the Lake Tanganyika Basin and the African Great Lakes region. Recommendations incorporate an inclusive crosssectoral approach to developments to enhance the aptitude of vulnerable populations and fragile ecosystems to absorb the shocks of climate change, political conflict, and the effects of mineral and energy extraction activities. It is a blueprint for intelligent development in resource rich countries with emerging economies, rife with conflict or recovering from years of unrest in Africa’s Great Lakes region. 7.2 Lessons Learned In a Chatham House case study, Norway, Chile, Botswana and Indonesia are cited as countries that have been able to exploit their natural resources sustainably and to the benefit of all. 354 Despite their differences there are four common threads of good governance practices: 1. 2. 3. 4. A widely shared commitment to stability and growth; A capable and empowered cadre of technical advisers and specialists; Strong social constituencies able to moderate and inform political debate; and Widespread popular buy-in to spending priorities; an informed society. Lake Tanganyika’s four riparian countries (DRC, Burundi, Tanzania, and Zambia) have struggled to create and/or support these pillars of good governance for a variety of reasons, and for the postconflict countries (DRC and Burundi) trying to recover from years of upheaval, it is even more challenging. Rather than making empty and glib suggestions to these countries that they simply need adopt the above pillars of good governance and all will be well, the international community (including the public and private sectors) should help these governments take tangible and practical steps which will help create a foundation to eventually support these pillars in a sustainable way. The reality is, that in the African Great Lakes region, this process will be iterative and will need much support to help guide the pathway towards good governance and the creation of a cadre of indigenous technical experts. Recommendation: Through a series of cross-sectoral partnerships, stakeholders should develop incentives that mutually align goals in each region/sector and lead to these four pillars; Expertise by multiple stakeholders is needed to identify underlining inputs and practical The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 74 benchmarks to help host countries’ and their local CSOs create the necessary foundation to adopt and sustain these pillars of good governance; A public education and outreach strategy needs to be developed to support shared accountability. A well-informed population is more likely to engage in good governance practices, hold their local leadership accountable, and will in turn build a positive feedback mechanism between the people and the state, limiting future abuses. An example of a failed governance framework in Chad illustrates weakness of a technocratic approach to oil management. In the 1990’s Chad began developing its oil resources in partnership with the international community.355 Despite the close collaboration between the government and oil companies, and the best available technical expertise from the World Bank, the framework proved ineffective. The government renegotiated the terms of revenue-sharing agreements repeatedly, bringing a greater percentage under its direct control with little oversight and unbeknownst to its population. The oversight committee was undermined by political interference, and the government directed spending as it wished, notably on its military and security services. The government repaid its remaining debt to the bank and ended its involvement with the oil sector in 2008. 356 Lessons learned from Chad: Externally sponsored regulatory frameworks were not enough to ensure that Chad’s oil revenues contributed to poverty reduction or improvements in government. 357 Highlights importance of a credible and stable cadre of technocrats who hold some influence with political leaders. Multiple stakeholder incentives to sustain programs addressing complex, intersecting issues. 7.3 Next Steps for the African Great Lakes Region WAVE advocates for policies which cultivate a more robust and resilient society and ecological system in the Lake Tanganyika Basin and throughout the Great Lakes region through a set of preventive programs that incorporate local input. Good policies encourage partnerships with mindful and law abiding partners and built-in safe guards for extractive activities. WAVE recommends the creation of programs that are designed to incentivize foreign stakeholders to support cross-sectoral development projects to insulate the lake basins in the Great Lakes region from the shocks of environmental, health, economic disasters or instability as a result of poor resource extraction management. Cross-sectoral partnerships should promote resilience, first by recognizing that there is an interdependence and shared accountability among stakeholders. Any successful outcome is dependent on working together under an umbrella or platform that acts as a repository of best practices in that sub-region or intersecting issue. Stable political systems are one of several elements to creating a strong foundation to build on, as is community resilience, industry resilience, and environmental resilience. Political Resilience Principles and programs that promote good governance have widely been accepted by the international community as a course of treatment to relieve Africa from its “resource curse.” All too often these programs rely solely on technical criteria and do not fold in political, social and economic dynamics of each country or transboundary region. This risks oversimplifying the complexities of the region as a whole, thus generating policies that may be conducive in one country, yet ineffective for a neighboring country. An example of this is the European and U.S. governments’ regulatory solution to the conflict mineral conundrum. Since conflict minerals are a symptom rather than the primary cause of instability in Central Africa, integrating political and local economic solutions, not just a regulatory measure, make for best policy. 358 Unfortunately, this holistic approach has not been integrated into these regulatory measures and as a result will most likely fail to reach its goal of eliminating funding for warring parties in the eastern Congo and may produce unintended consequences including loss of local economic activity which in turn The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 75 weakens and destabilizes communities. This is not an easy task in the case of Central and East Africa with a history of countries governed by kleptocratic heads of state with overlapping agendas and transboundary tribal affiliations; militias that act as proxies for neighboring state-actors; in a region with complex ethnic, cultural, religious identities. Add into the fold a region rich in energy and mineral wealth, as well as unique biodiversity; but lacking in education, development and infrastructure; and under pressure by its growing population needs, climate change, and increased global demand for both water and energy. It was with this in mind that WAVE published From Curse to Cure to help policy makers and stakeholders identify facts from fiction and to provide a real-world context for an informed discussion of the policy options open to the region, and practical implementation. 1) Create a Regional Energy Institute A regional Energy Institute can act as an independent umbrella organization with tools and subject-matter experts to support countries in the development of their extractive industries in collaboration with other good governance and capacity building initiatives. The institute will serve as a watch dog and center of cross-sectoral expertise as the hydrocarbon sector develops in Central and Eastern Africa. In addition to providing a repository of best practice expertise, it will also midwife vital regional collaboration over the industry. The overall concept of the African Energy Institute is to broaden the idea of “governance” from its typical technical criteria (e.g., public oversight and regulatory checks and balances), to a more comprehensive understanding of the dynamics of the region. The Africa Energy Institute would identify the social, political, and economic dynamics that may be the most important in successful resource management by country and region. This mechanism can merge interrelated policies to support regulatory measures and enforcement with dual-track solutions, such as a political solution as well as a regulatory policy to end illicit mining activities from fueling the conflict in eastern Congo. The Africa Energy Institute would encourage revenue and production transparency through countries’ publication of accounts and oil contracts with the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative. The Africa Energy Institute will do this by: Engaging the governments of the DRC, Tanzania, Kenya, Burundi and Uganda to improve their respective countries’ hydrocarbon legislation; Strengthening legal system frameworks to enforce good governance and extractive regulations; Training to create a cadre of civil servants who have the appropriate technical skill sets and are incentivized towards long term growth and stability; Offering a forum for private sector stakeholders, civil society organizations, international development organizations, and governments to convene and discuss cross-sectoral issues and develop integrated programs tailored to each region, starting with the Lake Tanganyika Basin and the Great Lakes as a whole; Supporting the creation of advisory boards in transboundary lake basins on sustainable development, the environment, climate change, and new technologies in underinvested region (e.g., creation of a civil society advisory board for the development on Lake Tanganyika). 2) Practice Good Governance and Oil Revenue Transparency The DRC and countries in the Great Lakes region should continue to reform oil governance and general good governance practices by: Supporting the creation of an independent body, such as the recommended African Energy Institute, that offers tools to support riparian country governments’ develop The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 76 comprehensive hydrocarbon legislation. Enacting modernized, comprehensive hydrocarbon code that makes it compulsory for independent companies to use “clean technology,” enforce the polluter pays principle, and conduct an environmental impact study every two years and publish the results. Implementation of transparency initiatives for revenue and production of resources; Establishment of a framework that ensures the local communities benefit from these revenues, to include an independent third party to monitor and evaluate measurable outputs on the communities health, income, and education. Through the creation of Local Governance Education Campaigns to improve administration and promote appropriate local elections and decentralization, as well as building capacity of local communities to understand and promote their rights through social and/or political platforms. 3) Define Border Demarcation Line and Resolve Current Cross-border Grievances Although applicable for all littoral countries, it is especially important for the DRC to reach clearer demarcation of its borders on Lake Tanganyika and on other lakes and coastal areas before it can collaborate with its neighbors on oil exploration. To that end, the Government of the DRC and neighboring countries need to begin a border demarcation program, with technical support from regional umbrella organizations, such as the African Union’s Border Program and World Bank, before allocating any more exploration blocks in disputed areas. The border demarcation process should: Clarify the situation and update demarcation line on Lake Tanganyika and other crossborder lakes; Implement the Ngurdoto Accords with Uganda for exploration and extraction rights on Lake Albert; Help resolve the border dispute between the governments of Malawi and Tanzania on Lake Malawi; Monitor joint economic zone between Angola and the DRC, and any outstanding issues along the demarcation line off the Atlantic Coast. 4) Secure Areas of Instability Riparian governments need to cease exploration of insecure areas, especially in eastern DRC where the situation is again deteriorating and the porous border is difficult to control, until these territories are made secure and involve the provinces in the main management decisions concerning exploited resource. Regional governments may do this by: Creating regionally focused solutions and dialogue; Supporting capacity building to build resilience communities address food insecurity, health, etc.); Declaring a moratorium on resource E&P of insecure areas; Investing in training and the professionalization of their security services; Follow through on agreements and stabilization plans to end violence in the Kivus and Katanga Province. 5) Security and Diplomacy This includes support from international and regional organizations such as the AU, UN, and The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 77 ICC, to hold non-state actors and government leaders accountable from further inflicting regional instability for profit by: Monitor lead up to the Presidential elections in Burundi and support good election practices; Monitor lead up to the Presidential elections in the DRC and support good election practices through effective incentives; Meet with local stakeholders in Katanga to better understand and monitor events largely going unnoticed by the International Community; Holding the DRC government accountable to ensure the CNDP is effectively integrated into the national Congolese army per the March 23, 2008 agreement; Investigation by the ICC into the actions of former M23 leaders and currently active members of the FDLR, ADF-Nalu, and armed Mai-Mai groups in Katanga and the Kivu provinces; Establishment of a joint verification mechanism for the DRC and Rwandan border; Establishment of an embargo on weapons sales to Rwanda. Community Resilience There is growing consensus among the international community that reducing vulnerability and managing risk in areas of recurrent crisis requires strategically coordinating development and humanitarian assistance. Large aid organizations have begun to adopt this “anti-fragile” approach, or as they deem it, “building resilience.” Although this term of reference has become a buzzword among many donors and NGOs, it has only recently been etched into a definable policy by USAID as outlined in its Policy and Program Guidance on Building Resilience to Recurrent Crisis (Dec 2012).359 The report responds to the chronic poverty and recurring shocks that are driving the same communities into crisis year after year, undermining development gains, and provides evidence that development with an intended outcome of building resilience prepares communities in advance and helps them prevail afterwards. 360 This is a new approach to how USAID is doing business to help vulnerable communities’ move from cycles of crisis to a pathway toward development. Development agencies are not the only stakeholders that should advocate for a development policy that promotes building resilient communities. Local populations and the private sector have vested interests in the socio-economic status and welfare of their communities and areas in which they conduct business. Local stakeholders, especially, are integral to developing this new approach of economic sustainability. First and foremost, the local population needs to be consulted to ensure there is space in resilience development guidance that ensures programs can be tailored to the local environment and not a one-size fits all top-down approach. By incorporating a bottom-up approach with input from local NGOs, leaders and civil society organizations, the top-down guidance to “build resilience” will be more relevant and applicable for the needs on the ground. A development program has a higher rate of success reaching the most vulnerable with measurable outputs if collective action, local buy-in, and practical on-the ground variables are integrated into the resilience model of development. There are a number of institutional bodies that encourage regional cooperation, including a series of new local institutions that should be engaged in addition to the better known multilateral organization such as the ICGLR. While these organizations have the foundation to support other community resilience programs, their own limitations, such as an inability to enforce regulations, should also be addressed in order to improve upon their charters to increase their effectiveness as platforms for regional cooperation, and as mediators and enforcers of transboundary agreements. Below is a list of regional institutional bodies, their responsibilities and limitations, and a set of recommendations on how to improve upon their charters. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 78 1) Empower Regional Institutional Bodies The Lake Tanganyika Authority (LTA) The LTA needs help to further develop its strategic plan to counter pollution and implications of potential energy extraction within the Convention’s Strategic Action Program Component (F), to include: a. Ability to enforce a comprehensive Environmental and Social Impact Assessment prior to exploratory drilling on Lake Tanganyika; b. Development of a Regional Contingency and Intervention Plan; c. Improve the integration of national level programs from riparian countries into the SAP.* The LTA is given the authority to coordinate and oversee the implementation of the Regional Integrated Management Program, which focuses on establishment of sustainable fisheries, catchment management, pollution control, climate change adaptations, and monitoring programs which is a key role for offensive cross-sectoral and cross-border coordination. d. Advise on new agreements subject to environmental controls of major industrial operations, to include drilling operations inland and offshore. International Conference on the Great Lakes Region (ICGLR) – An inter-governmental organization of the countries in the African Great Lakes Region establishment to address the regional dimension of political instability in the region. The ICGLR needs support by the international community to: a. Hold members accountable if they violate peace agreements, support proxy forces, or intentionally exasperate cross-border disputes; b. Encourage economic development in the region by encouraging cross-sectoral partnerships, public-private partnerships, and host economic delegations to fact find in remote areas of the Great Lakes region. East African Community (EAC) The East Africa Community was established in 2000 (again, after having been dissolved in 1977) to work towards integrating the economies of its member states: Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda (original three), Rwanda and Burundi (joined in 2007). Having already established a customs union and a common market, the EAC is hoping to deepen its collaborative force by working on a monetary union and eventually entrenching political ties through a Political Federation of East African States. Its institutions pertain to economic focuses, but also matters of security, water management and collaborative development efforts. 361 Intergovernmental Authority on Development in East Africa (IGAD) – To assist and complement the efforts of the Member States to achieve food security and environmental protection, promote peace and security, and encourage economic cooperation. The New Partnership for Africa's Development (NEPAD) The NEPAD is an African Union strategic framework for pan-African socio-economic development, spearheaded by African leaders to address: Agriculture and food security, climate change and resource management, regional integration and infrastructure, human development, economic and corporate governance, and cross-sectoral issues. The international community should suggest the NEPAD: Linking the proposed SAP actions to other international and national policies and action plans is an important issue. In addition to being parties of the Convention on the Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika, the four riparian countries are parties to a number of international agreements and have their own existing national action plans and policies that address topics pertinent to the SAP. To ensure clear links between programs, the LTA in collaboration with the UNDP/GEF Project, is supporting the development of National Action Plans for implementation of the SAP. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 79 a. Develop a local agenda that speaks more to the ground truths in that particular region by engaging and being more inclusive to local civil society organizations; b. Increase their number of partnerships with regional, local, and sector-specific experts; Revise development targets to be more practical and achievable goals. c. Southern African Development Community (SADC) Formed in 1992, the SADC’s 15 member states are dedicated toward regional integration to aid common goals of economic development, poverty alleviation and security.362 Part of their common objectives, as stated in the SADC Treaty, are specifically dedicated to the sustainable use of natural resources and environmental protection.363 United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) The UNECA is one of five regional UN Commissions established to promote socio-economic development of its member states. The mandate of the African office covers 54 states, for which it provides technical advisory services for macroeconomic policy, development planning, support in contractual negotiation and management of natural resources. 364 United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) While this expansive UN institution does not focus solely on the Great Lakes region, its specific objectives towards resource efficiency and environmental governance render it a particularly relevant acting body in eastern Africa. UNEP work includes assessment of environmental trends on all regional levels and is geared towards strengthening institutions that promote environmentally safe and sustainable practices.365 2) Support bottom-up initiatives in the Lake Tanganyika Basin through international organizations and local CSOs, including but not limited to: Africare Friends of Lake Tanganyika The Jane Goodall Institute Jhpiego Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic* The Nature Conservancy OXFAM Pathfinder PLAN International Primary Health Care Project, Kipili, Tanzania Resource Oriented Development Initiative (RODI) Examples of organizations collaborating on community-focused initiatives: Friends of Lake Tanganyika – A Local Grassroots Initiative in Lake Tanganyika Basin Friends of Lake Tanganyika (FOLT) engages local communities and partners to foster sustainable livelihoods through the conservation of aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems of Lake Tanganyika and its basin. FOLT meets these objectives through research, education, advocacy, and engagement. * Comprehensive list of LTFHC’s Health and Community Outreach Programs – Appendix O The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 80 The Lake Tanganyika Center for Village Sustainability: Working in conjunction with village governments and key partners, FOLT is planning the construction of the “Lake Tanganyika Center for Village Sustainability” on the eastern shoreline of the lake in Kigoma, Tanzania. The Center will support conservation and sustainable development activities in the basin. It will conduct research, provide training, encourage information sharing, and contain a weather station to support lake-side communities. Outreach and education projects: a. Bed Net Misuse Survey in partnership with the LTFHC* b. Clean Energy 4 All Campaign c. Tree Planting Campaign d. Environmental Clean-up Campaign e. National park tours for school youth f. Training village government officials on land and forest policy g. Primary school material support Mothers and Infants, Safe, Healthy and Alive (MAISHA) Program This Jhpiego-led, USAID funded project equips health providers with competency-based training and necessary supplies for basic emergency obstetric and newborn care (BEmONC) at 26 health facilities in Rukwa and Mwanza regions, Tanzania. The Wazazi na Mwana Program This health program, funded by the Canadian International Development Agency and implemented in partnership with PLAN International, Africare, and Jhpiego, will equip health providers at four health facilities in the MAISHA Program with comprehensive emergency obstetric and newborn care (surgical services, including delivery by cesarean section, and blood transfusions), in addition to BEmONC services.366 The Tuungane Project The Tuungane Project is The Nature Conservancy’s community-focused initiative designed to bring together reproductive health and conservation interventions for integrated solutions to reduce threats and improve the resilience of the Lake Tanganyika and the Greater Mahale Ecosystem. Tuungane is a collaboration between The Nature Conservancy, Pathfinder International, the Frankfurt Zoological Society, the Jane Goodall Institute, Tanzania National Parks, and the Tanzanian Government, among other partners, to strengthen local governance, improve access to social services and create sustainable livelihoods. The Greater Mahale Ecosystem spans over 4.8 million acres eastward from Lake Tanganyika’s shoreline, and is home to 93 percent of Tanzania’s endangered chimpanzees. It is also inhabited by local farmer and fisher communities that depend greatly on the health of the area’s natural resources; threatened by a high human population growth rate and extreme poverty.367 Jane Goodall Institute Projects in the Lake Tanganyika Basin The Jane Goodall Institute (JGI) is well known for its diverse programs supporting conservation and education, spanning across continents. The following are two JGI projects that support Lake Tanganyika’s communities: Girls' Scholarship Project The Girls’ Scholarship project empowers women’s education in the Kigoma community of * Detailed description of the Bed Net Misuse Survey – Appendix O The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 81 Tanzania to narrow the education gap between genders. In addition to improving women’s education levels, the scholarship program trains recipients’ families in sustainable farming techniques, as well as forest regeneration and preservation. The program has sponsored 249 girls to attend elementary school, high school and university. The sponsored girls are members of Jane Goodall’s Roots & Shoots program, JGI’s environmental and humanitarian program for youth within their schools.368 Gombe-Masito-Ugalla (GMU) Program The GMU Program aims to conserve biodiversity and protect and restore wildlife habitat in critical ecosystems in western Tanzania near Lake Tanganyika. The GMU program helps local communities living near key chimpanzee habitats make a living in ways that do not destroy the forest. The program targets 52 villages surrounding the focus conservation area, which includes Gombe National Park in the north, Masito and Ugalla forests in the south and the corridor that joins the two ecosystems. The area is home to approximately 311,000 people who depend on fishing and farming as their primary economic activities. JGI’s community-centered conservation approach was developed in 1994 through the implementation of the Lake Tanganyika Catchment, Reforestation and Education (TACARE) Project. Since then, TACARE has expanded into the Gombe-Masito-Ugalla Program.369 Industry Resilience Private industry is another stakeholder that should be tapped to collaborate in integrated development programs. By investing in frontier markets, especially in developing countries rich in energy and mineral wealth but lacking in stability, security, and good governance, private industry has the incentive to mitigate risks. With equities in developing countries’ volatile environments and frontier markets, private industry has the incentive to mitigate high-risks. The energy E&P sector should incorporate the following policies into their operations to lower the risks associated with drilling in the Great Lakes region. 1) Support transboundary institutional bodies that promote regional cooperation and help establish mechanisms that support transparency and good governance by host countries as they develop their energy sectors, such as an Africa Energy Institute. 2) Guide the public sector on economic reforms and lead on transparent extractive activities in the Great Lakes region. Disclose contracts and payments made to the governments in the Great Lakes region; Respect international laws and agreements and the laws of the countries extracting resources from. 3) Revise Corporate Social Responsibility programs. Initiate development programs that build resilient communities and infrastructure prior to drilling with input from local experts; Partner with non-traditional regional stakeholders (local civil society leaders) to develop a comprehensive Environmental Impacts Assessment to include a human rights assessment and a robust socio-economic development plan in their preliminary studies, prior to exploratory drilling. 4) Develop and utilize new technology for cleaner drilling practices and early detection of spills. Monitoring and clean up oil spills through the use of network radio towers, a separate mobile phone-based technology, or another form of communications equipment (e.g., HF radios) easily accessible to the lakeside communities to report oil spill in a timely manner. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 82 Environmental Resilience Focusing on risk mitigation rather than disaster management is a policy direction that, in terms of sustainability and resilience, is particularly of interest to the resource rich Great Lakes region. Particularly because of the available resource wealth, there is an opportunity to directly incorporate this wealth into forward-thinking, long-term initiatives that render governments and communities less vulnerable to the risks of oil and gas E&P. Naturally, such a system is inherently complex and a vast network of acting bodies dedicated to environmental protection already exist. These form an institutional basis in pushing environmental priorities and embedding strategic economic incentives for climate protection in policy agendas, such as incorporating environmental factors into the costs of extractive operations. An important concept in driving this effort forward in a tangible way that promises to present concrete results is that of 'natural capital'. An idea that is taking increasing hold among policy makers and environmental advisors, natural capital refers to a process that projects or calculates pricing the world's 'natural assets' like soil, air, forests, water, geology, etc. 370 The term is derived from the idea that because these assets have no specified financial worth in the way that oil or minerals do, the appropriate market value of their conservation and protection is not being * realized. Pricing it, however, would have a substantial effect on calculated risk, perceived output of various activities, and ultimately the nature and transparency of investment decisions -particularly with activities like energy extraction.371 Treating natural assets in this way can also incentivize external actors to invest in conservation efforts, as well as provides a way of holding stakeholders, policy makers and consumers more accountable (both with respect to any damages done, or in reducing emissions or pollution levels for instance). 372 While this concept is still in its fledgling stages, and its complexity reaches beyond the scope of this paper, it nonetheless presents a crucial development in advancing efforts of environmental sustainability; especially in potentially driving pivotal actors like extractive companies. An institutional platform that encourages collaboration among technocrats and policy makers will help forge a more resilient future for developing countries. This central hub, be it our proposed African Energy Institute or some other independent platform, presents a point of convergence at which international collaboration on risk mitigation practices can occur. 1) Build resilience to cope with climate change Local measures to build resilience and adaptive capacity are critical to ensure that resource-dependent communities are able to cope with the immediate and long-term effects of climate change. Several programs through the World Bank, among other international organizations, are underway to detect vulnerable communities and ecosystems to climate change and provide climate-resilient programs in sub-Saharan Africa. These programs incorporate climate change risk into development and focus on initiatives with strong country and/or African institution ownership, an important component for successful outcome of development programs: 373 a. Country-driven National Adaptation Plan of Action – A tool that helps poor countries prepare for climate change impacts focusing on capacity building and awareness raising, agriculture and natural resource management, livelihood enhancement, disaster management, and health. b. World Bank Group Africa Action Plan – A platform for climate-resilient development. c. World Bank Carbon Finance Program – Initiatives that reduce poverty through environmental and energy strategies, build more transparent transactional systems, and promotes international cooperation on climate change. d. ClimDev for Africa Initiative – An initiative that supports Africa’s response to climate variability and change by building regional, sub-regional, and national For more on the theoretical and practical underpinnings to the concept of Natural Capital follow www.teebweb.org. * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 83 policy capacity through the African Climate Policy Center. e. UNDP Adaptation Program for Africa – UNDP will assist 20 African countries to develop policies that incorporate climate change risks and opportunities to secure development gains under a changing climate. 2) Recommended Environmental Programs Emergency Action Fund Create Emergency Action Funds to support a Regional Contingency and Intervention Plan for potential oil spills or pollution generated by extraction activities, thereby ensuring the livelihood of the lake’s population. Independent Oil Spill Response Teams Pre-designate international interagency oil spill response teams staffed with international experts in petroleum clean-up in addition to the Regional Contingency and Intervention Plan. An independent team may help remediation from the political context and any regional financial constraints. NEPAD Climate Change Fund Established in a collaborative effort with the German government, the fund seeks to provide technical and financial assistance to African institutions and African Union (AU) member states in climate change programs. Focus is given to capacity development for coordination of climate change activities and the promotion of projects that should present models for sustainable livelihoods. The hope is to use the fund to strengthen the capacity of African institutions and AU Member states in these endeavors, develop national and regional policies to support adaptation efforts and promote sustainable investment, as well as mainstreaming National Agricultural Investment Plans. Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD+) REDD is a collaborative UN initiative, led by the FAO, UNEP and UNDP, that works to establish financial value for carbon stored in forests. This aims to create incentives for countries to reduce emissions and invest in sustainable solutions. REDD+ is an extension of this concept, to incorporate the merits of conservation and sustainable management additional to forest conservation. African Convention on Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources This treaty was originally adopted in 1968, the revised terms of which were then agreed upon by the member states of the African Union in 2003. The Convention addresses economic and development goals in tandem with the central tenet of conservation, stressing that this provides a strategic framework for sustainable progress. The treaty covers an extensive range of issues in this regard, from land use, vegetation cover, water and forestry, to community rights, capacity building and security concerns.374 Africa Mining Vision (AMC) This AU-led initiative was adopted in 2009, and seeks to combat the paradox of mineral wealth coexisting with extreme poverty levels. Focus is laid on integrating mining practices into development policies at all regional operational levels. African Mineral Development Centre (AMDC) A subsidiary of the Africa Mining Vision, the AMDC is designed to address strategic operational support for the AMC. It is to work with member states and their regional organizations to aid positive redirection of benefits from mining activities to improve development indicators. IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) The ICPAC is responsible for eleven IGAD (Intergovernmental Authority on Development) countries in central and eastern Africa. It is a data-oriented organization dedicated to The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 84 collection of climate data, mapping weather patterns and forecasting climate trends to aid risk management, resilience and inform sector specific policies. International Environmental Law Research Centre (IELRC) The IELRC focuses on conducting collaborative research efforts between experts in the North and South. With an office in Kenya dedicated to environmental law, gender issues and biotechnology, it is strategically placed to advice on resource issues in the Great Lakes and bridge collaborative policy efforts. Particular areas of expertise include property rights and environmental resources; environmental agreements and resource rights; environment, conflict and cooperation; the role of civil society in management of transboundary water resources; and mapping the environment dynamic of conflict in the Great Lakes. 7.4 Conclusion The next two years will be pivotal for Lake Tanganyika’s riparian countries and the greater Central and East Africa region. Both Burundi and the DRC have impending presidential elections with high stakes and security concerns wrapped in the election process. The international community is lobbying extensively for free and fair elections; however, it is neglecting the inputs that help create the conditions for good governance. One of those crucial inputs is the economic capacity to build institutions that help design good governance initiatives and create palpable incentives for political will and local buy-in. Often ignored or blamed for the region’s troubles, if properly incentivized, the DRC has an opportunity to reverse the trajectory of its poor governance, human development, and energy extraction practices, and lead the region towards a more stable, sustainable, and economically bright future. How the governments of the DRC, Tanzania, and Burundi move forward to exploit their energy sector will inform the experience and livelihoods of generations of Tanzanians, Burundians, and Congolese. The decisions made by the countries’ leaders on policies in the energy and development sectors will either impair the development index of their people or support the development and economic revitalization of their countries for generations to come. By creating a platform for technocrats to educate and advise these countries develop smarter infrastructure that considers not only the development of their energy industry but the health of their people, the sustainability of their environment, and the capacity to build resilient communities to buffer from the long-term threat of climate change, energy and water security, millions can prosper. Fresh water is one of the most under rated, threatened resource in the Great Lakes region. Despite being a crucial component to health, development, and even energy extraction, water security is often ignored in the Great Lakes region. Water is the lifeline to the 12 million people living in the Lake Tanganyika Basin. This is echoed throughout the Great Lakes basins and why WAVE published this report to highlight its significance, as well as best practices and policies to protect some of the largest sources of fresh water in the world. // The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 85 Appendix A Lake Tanganyika Basin Treaties and Institutions The International Scientific Conference on the Conservation of Biodiversity of Lake Tanganyika in 1991 was the catalyst for a number of partnerships and initiatives to further enhance knowledge relevant to sustainable management of biodiversity and natural resources in the lake basin. From 1992 to 2001 the Lake Tanganyika Research Project (LTR) was implemented by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) in close collaboration with research institution in the riparian countries. The LTR investigated the production of fisheries potential of the lake, and developed modalities for regional management of fisheries resources. Parallel to the LTR, the Project on Pollution Control and Other Measures to Protect Biodiversity (LTBP) in Lake Tanganyika took place from 1995 to 2000. The LTBP was funded by the Global Environmental Facility (GEF) and was implemented in partnership with the United Nations Development Program, the governments and research institutions of the four riparian countries, as well as NGOs. The Transboundary Diagnostic Analysis and the Strategic Action Program (SAP) were finalized in 2000 and a draft convention on sustained management of the lake was developed to provide a formal framework for the joint management of Lake Tanganyika.375 The Convention on Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika On June 12th, 2003, the Convention on Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika was signed by the four Lake Tanganyika riparian governments in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. By November 2007, all four Contracting States had ratified the Convention. The Convention provided the framework for the establishment of the Lake Tanganyika Authority (LTA) which was signed in 2008 by the four riparian countries.376 The Convention on Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika provides the necessary right, responsibilities, institutions and framework in international law that compels Contracting States to cooperate in the management of Lake Tanganyika and its basin. The Convention is one of the few examples of a regional agreement designed to achieve the conservation and sustainable use of unique and shared natural resources. Importantly, the Convention recognizes the significance of the lake for the development of the riparian countries, and the necessity of cooperative management of natural resources. Specifically, the Convention establishes: A binding legal framework ensuring certain standard of protection Institutions for implementing the Convention at the national and regional levels Mechanisms for implementing the Strategic Action Program Procedure for settling disputes Lake Tanganyika Authority Article 23 of the Convention on the Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika provides for the establishment of the Lake Tanganyika Authority (LTA), whose function is to coordinate the implementation of the Convention by the Contracting States. The LTA has the mandate of advancing and representing the common interests of the Contracting States in matters concerning the management of Lake Tanganyika and its catchment basin. Strategic Action Program From 1995 to 2000, the Lake Tanganyika Biodiversity Project (LTBP) commissioned a number of special studies, including on socioeconomic parameters, levels of pollution, and the effects of deforestation on lake habitats. The LTBP led to formulation of a final Transboundary Diagnostic Analysis (TDA) and a Strategic Action Program (SAP) in 2000. “The SAP should establish clear priorities that are endorsed at the highest levels of government and widely disseminated. Priority transboundary concerns should be identified, as well as sectoral interventions (policy changes, program development, regulatory reform, capacity-building investments, and so on) needed to resolve the transboundary problems as well as regional and national institutional mechanisms for implementing elements of the SAP” (GEF Operational Strategy, 1996).377 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 86 Appendix B Mineral Sector in the Democratic Republic of the Congo DRC’s 2012 global share of mineral production: 55% Cobalt 21% Industrial diamond 12% Tantalum 5% Gem-quality diamond 3% Copper 2% Tin (Source: US Geological Survey, 2012 Mineral Yearbook for the DRC, June 2014) The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 87 Appendix C Oil Blocks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 88 Appendix C Oil Blocks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo Lake Albert Oil Blocks Source: Platform, May 2010 Source: Oil of DR Congo iPAD Oil and Gas Conference, Kinshasa, DRC, September 2013 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 89 Appendix C Oil Blocks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo Source: Ministry of Mines, Crisis Group Africa Report No. 188, July 11, 2012 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 90 Appendix C Oil Blocks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 91 Appendix C Oil Blocks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo Lake Tanganyika Source: Alberta Oilsands, November 2012 Source: Pan African Oil (PAO) 2012 Source: Pan African Oil, 2012 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 92 Appendix C Oil Blocks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo Natural Oil Seep in Lake Tanganyika The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 93 Appendix D Companies Involved on Lake Albert, DRC Company Where registered or listed Where active Remarks Caprikat Virgin Islands (tax haven) DRC Possibly owned by nephew of South African President Zuma China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) China Uganda, interested in DRC Very large, state-owned; partnering with Tullow COHYDRO Congo Petroleum & Gas DRC DRC State-owned DRC DRC Private Divine Inspiration Consortium South Africa DRC Private; close links to Encha Group (South Africa) and financiers Investec (UK/South Africa); links to Kabila family Dominion Uganda? DRC, Uganda ENI Italy Interested in DRC & Uganda Publicly listed Exxon US Interested in Uganda World’s largest oil multinational; publicly listed Foxwhelp Virgin Islands (tax haven) DRC Possibly owned by nephew of South African President Zuma Global Petroleum Australia, UK ? Upstream exploration Heritage UK listed, Jersey (tax haven) registered, previously Canada DRC, Uganda Owned by former mercenary; history of military involvement, eg in Angola; nominally partnering with Tullow in DRC H-Oil Cyprus, also Spain? DRC Private; links with Repsol (Spain) Neptune UK? South Africa? UK DRC SacOil Soco DRC DRC Joint venture between Divine and Encha Group Sud Oil DRC France DRC Uganda, interested in DRC Private; oil trader? Links to Kabila family Total Tower Resources UK DRC, Uganda Upstream exploration Tullow Oil UK, Ireland DRC, Uganda Publicly listed; mainly upstream exploration; partnering in Uganda with CNOOC and Total; nominally partnering in DRC with Heritage; likely to remain operating in Uganda Publicly listed; one of world’s largest oil multinationals; partnering with Tullow Date of information: 2010-2012 Source: Oil Extraction in Lake Albert, Briefing Booklet, Action for Better Governance Program, 2012 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 94 Appendix E Chronology of Oil Contracts in the DRC from 2005 to 2012 Production Sharing Contracts approved by the Congolese Government from 2005 to 2012 Region Block 2006 Block 1 PSC between Heritage Oil (39.6%), Tullow Oil (48.4%) and Cohydro (12%), June 2006. 2007 A ministerial decree took away block 1 from Tullow Oil, 17 October 2007. 2008 2010 PSC between Petro SA, Divine Inspiration, (51%), H Oil (37%), Sud Oil (2%), Congo Petroleum and Gas (3%), Cohydro (7%), 21 January 2008. PSC CaprikatFoxwhelp, May 2010. 2011 Approved by presidential decree (10/041), 18 June 2010. Block 2 Albertine Graben Block 3 PSC between South Africa Congo Oil (SacOil) 85% and Cohydro 15%, 4 December 2007. PSC approved by presidential decree (10/042 et 10/043), 18 June 2010. Agreement between SacOil and Total that buys 60% of SacOil shares in Block 3.271 Block 4 Block 5 PSC between SOCO (38.25%), Dominion Congo Ltd (46.75%) and Cohydro (15%), November 2008. PSC approved by presidential decree (10/044 ), 18 June 2010. Source: Ministry of Mines, Crisis Group Africa Report No. 188, July 11, 2012 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 95 Appendix E Chronology of Oil Contracts in the DRC from 2005 to 2012 Production Sharing Contracts approved by the Congolese Government from 2005 to 2012 Region Block 2000 2005 2006 PSC Between Surestream Oil and Cohydro (8%), 16 November 2005. PSC approved by presidential decrees (05/003 and 05/004), 2 February 2006. 2007 2008 2010 MatambaMakanzi Block Yema Block Ndunda Block PSC between Energulf Africa Ltd and Cohy- dro (10%), 16 November 2005. Lotshi Block Bas-Congo PSC between Soco DRC 85% and Cohydro (15%), 29 June 2006. Nganzi Block “Perenco” Est Mibale Block PSC approved by presidential ordinance (08/021), 12 March 2008. Perenco buys onshore blocks of Fina Elf Offshore Block PSC between Nessergy and Cohydro about Congolese deep offshore, October 2006. PSC approved by presidential ordinance (08/022), 12 March 2008. Source: Ministry of Mines, Crisis Group Africa Report No. 188, July 11, 2012 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 96 Appendix F Province Armed Groups Present in Oil Blocks in Eastern Congo Oil block Oil company with a CCP Block 2 Caprikat, Foxwhelp Territory Armed group Irumu Territory FPRI (Front for Patriotic Resistance in Ituri) Mambasa Territory Colonel Kasambasa aka Simba, deserter Beni Territory ADF-Nalu, Mai-Mai Lubero Territory ADF-Nalu, Mai-Mai Masisi Territory FDLR, APFSC (Alliance of Patriots for a Free and Sovereign Congo), CDF (Congolese Democratic Front), Pareco Fort, Mai-Mai Rutshuru Territory FDLR, Mai-Mai, M23 Uvira Territory Mai-Mai, FNL (National Liberation Forces) Fizi Territory FDLR, FNL, Mai-Mai Yakutumba, Mai-Mai Bwasakala, Raïa Mutomboki Mboko Oriental Province, Ituri District Total, Sacoil Block 3 Total, Sacoil Block 4 North Kivu Block 5 South Kivu Soco, Dominion Lake Tanganyik a Source: Crisis Group Africa Report No. 188, July 11, 2012 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 97 Appendix G Rebel Groups in Eastern Congo Snapshot of Rebel Groups in 2012 (before M23 was dissolved) Source: BBC378 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 98 Appendix G Rebel Groups in Eastern Congo Approximate areas of influence of main armed groups active in the eastern DRC, mid-2013 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 99 Appendix H Account of the M23 Offensive and Defeat in 2013 After several months of stagnant negotiations and intense fighting against the FARDC, MONUSCO and its Intervention Brigade, the 1,365 members of the M23 surrendered to Ugandan forces in early November 2013. The decision to disband came after a week of rapid advances by the FARDC and UN forces.379 Even before this offensive push against the M23, the rebel group had grown progressively weaker. This was in part by the M23 rebels losing their last major stronghold in Bunagana, located along the Congolese side of the border with Uganda. Moreover, it was connected to the loss of external support from Rwanda and divisions within their own ranks. The UN Group of Experts on the DRC reported in December 2013 that Rwanda had provided support to M23 from Rwandan territory until late October, including soldiers in August and ammunition delivered June through August 2013.380 International pressure on Rwanda to discontinue support to the M23 likely played a small part in Rwanda’s decision. However, shifts in regional politics and Congolese community dynamics may have also influenced the Rwandan government to cease delivery of supplies to the M23.381 The Intervention Brigade deployed around Goma and Sake in June and July 2013. The M23 reinforced their positions during this time with little to no fighting. This strategically strengthened the Intervention Brigade and by the end of August, M23 had lost territory, troops, and morale was low. FARDC’s use of attack helicopters had proven effective and had pushed the M23 north where the Intervention Brigade was posed to attack back on ground and air in the Kibati area. Between the 24th and 27th of August, the M23 lost 17 officers. By 30 August, M23 retreated north towards Kibumba and Kanyamahoro, losing artillery range of Goma. Following this attack, M23 and the FARDC began negotiations, which ended with no resolve on 21 October. Fighting immediately recommenced, but by then the FARDC’s 6,000strong troops and strategic firepower, supported by the Intervention Brigade, pushed M23 back to Tshanzu and Runyoni, located close to the border with Uganda and Rwanda. During this time, armed groups operating in Rutshuru attacked M23 positions, further weakening the group. By 5 November 2013, M23 fighters surrendered or retreated to Rwanda or Uganda.382 Their leader, General Makenga, crossed into Uganda on the 5th of November with the bulk of the remaining force. General Makenga remains under the control of the Ugandan government. He negotiated with Ugandan and Congolese government officials, AU officials, and regional envoys to provide information in exchange for not being prosecuted by the International Criminal Court. Over 10,000 people fled the fighting into Uganda during this last offensive by the FARDC and UN forces.383 On 12 December 2013, the Congolese government signed a peace agreement with the M23 rebels in Nairobi.384 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 100 Appendix I Gas and Oil Blocks in Tanzania The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 101 Appendix I Gas and Oil Blocks in Tanzania Offshore Blocks Source: Tanzanian Petroleum Development Corporation, October 2013 Lake Tanganyika Oil Blocks Source: Tanzanian Petroleum Development Corporation, Oct. 2013 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 102 Appendix I Gas and Oil Blocks in Tanzania Map of contested blocks on Lake Malawi Source: Surestream385 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 103 Appendix J Oil Blocks in Burundi Burundi’s Oil Blocks on Lake Tanganyika. Surestream Petroleum holds interests in Blocks B & D. 386 Source: Surestream Petroleum Source: Surestream Petroleum The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 104 Appendix K Environmental Impacts Lake Tanganyika: Comparison with aerial extent of 2010 Gulf of Mexico oil spill Illustrates what a spill the size of the 2010 Gulf of Mexico oil spill would look like relative to Lake Tanganyika. Source: New York Times and Andy Cohen (University of Arizona), 2013 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 105 Appendix K Environmental Impacts This map, courtesy of the University of Michigan, shows the relationship between the areas in Africa with a threatened biome status and the areas with a significant rate of deforestation. There is a high rate of deforestation shown in Rwanda and Burundi, where coltan is mined. There also appears to be a high rate around the western part of the continent. The most critically threatened biomes are shown to be in central Africa, a section which also borders the coltan reserves.387 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 106 Appendix K Environmental Impacts Map zoomed in on the coltan mining region showing Kahuzi Biega National Park. 388 Morphometric and hydrological data for Africa’s three largest lakes Source: Conservation Biology, September 1993389 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 107 Appendix L University of Notre Dame Global Adaptation Index (ND-GAIN) ND-GAIN Rankings of the Lake Tanganyika Riparian Countries The ND-GAIN Index, a project of the University of Notre Dame Global Adaptation Index (NDGAIN), summarizes a country's vulnerability to climate change and other global challenges in combination with its readiness to improve resilience. It aims to help businesses and the public sector better prioritize investments for a more efficient response to the immediate global challenges ahead. The Readiness Matrix illustrates the comparative resilience of countries. The vertical axis measures the relative vulnerability of countries. The horizontal axis measures to what degree a country is ready to deal with climatic and environmental changes. Source: University of Notre Dame Global Adaptation Index (ND-GAIN), 2013 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 108 Appendix M Millennium Development Goals In September 2000, 189 member states of the United Nations came together at the Millennium Summit and adopted the Millennium Declaration, including commitments to poverty eradication, development, and protecting the environment. The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) were borne out of consultations that followed the Millennium Summit and would focus the efforts of the international community on achieving significant, measurable improvements in people's lives by the year 2015.390 The eight MDGs have been commonly accepted as a framework for measuring development progress in the development sector. Source: World Bank Post-2015 Agenda: Sustainable Development Goals The UN is working with governments, civil society and other partners to build on the momentum generated by the MDGs and carry on with ambitious Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which will serve as the core of a post-2015 development agenda. This agenda is expected to be adopted by UN Member States at a Summit in September 2015. Member States are now fully engaged in discussions to define SDGs. To date, over 100 consultations have taken place. Results from consultations and other processes in 2014 will feed into the Secretary-General’s Synthesis Report, which will be published by the end of 2014.391 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 109 Appendix N Application of Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s “Anti-Fragile” Theory in Development The preceding chapters describe the fragility of the African Great Lakes region, and in particular the Lake Tanganyika Basin. This section examines current development programs with an “antifragile” scope, a non-traditional development theory through the philosophical writing of Nassim Nicholas Taleb.* Dr. Taleb advocates what he calls a "black swan robust" society, meaning a society that can withstand difficult-to-predict events. He proposes "antifragility" in systems that have the ability to benefit and grow from random events and volatility.392 Dr. Nassim Nicholas Taleb describes fragility “as what does not like volatility,” stressors, harm, chaos, events, disorder, or any other unforeseen consequence. Taleb’s thesis for the “anti-fragile” is the inert response to the unpredictable, to respond more effectively to random events of shocks. Therefore the “anti-fragile” are innovative and may excel in times of random shocks, such as an earthquake or unforeseen consequences from a conflict. The WAVE has applied this method to ascertain and distinguish characteristics of “anti-fragile” entities in Central Africa and the Great Lakes region, and how to export these characteristics to the most vulnerable populations and fragile ecosystems in the region. The lack of post-conflict development in the southeastern region of the Congo may also be seen as a shock that empowered Mai-Mai groups to reassert control in the Katanga Province and along Lake Tanganyika’s western coast. With little development, infrastructural supports, or basic services in this region, Mai-Mai rebels among other entities, are strategically positioning themselves to fill this security vacuum. According to Taleb, fragility can be measured, as this paper has done, by pointing out Lake Tanganyika’s unique but fragile biodiversity, her underserved lakeside communities and their water-based economy. But risk cannot be accurately measured despite the popular methodology of risk mitigation (aggregate), because it is easier to understand if something is harmed by volatility (hence fragile) than try to forecast harmful events. Taleb describes a roadmap to modify man-made systems to let the simple – and natural – take their course.393 WAVE applies this theory to policy recommendations and in doing so, turns the classical development and risk management approach by the E&P industry and development sector, among other stakeholders, on its head, in an attempt to implement a practical system of development in a volatile region. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, PhD., is the author of “Antifragile: Things that Gain from Disorder” and “The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable.” * The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 110 Appendix O LTFHC’s Health and Community Outreach Programs Working toward our ultimate goal of a fully operational floating clinic, the LTFHC has already served hundreds of thousands of Congolese and Tanzanians by completing a number of outreach programs, focused on the most urgent local challenges. We have conducted large-scale mosquito bed-net distributions, integrated malaria prevention education programs and cholera treatment, as well as spearheaded a comprehensive VVF repair outreach in Tanzania’s remote southern region of Rukwa. We are currently expanding essential communications infrastructure, introducing the region’s first electronic medical record and developing a safe cesarean section training program. In the process, we have succeeded in establishing strong, trustworthy relationships with the lakeside communities, as well as key stakeholders in the region – from tribal chiefs to multinational executives and ministers of state. Current Projects and Projects in Development: 1) Communications for Health Impact – Radio Network Expansion Democratic Republic of the Congo and Tanzania Over the past two years, the LTFHC has created an innovative hardware and software solution that bridges the massive communications gap that exists across most of the Lake Tanganyika Basin. Our system enables voice and data communication between remote health centers and provides a solution for gathering epidemiologic data among the three million people living around the lake. This represents a critical milestone in the development of the region’s healthcare infrastructure, including its first Electronic Medical Records (EMR). Over the next few years, the LTFHC will continue to expand its radio network to support over a million people in the DRC and Tanzania. We have already witnessed the dramatic impact the High Frequency (HF) radios have on required reporting to the Ministry of Health in DRC, and we anticipate seeing those same benefits in the other locations, with the EMR leading not only to improved epidemiologic data collection, but also better treatments, preventative practices and healthcare outcomes. Fall 2014: The LTFHC will expand its data-transfer technology and EMR platform in the DRC. This will involve installation of HF radios and EMR hardware in seven new locations in Kalemie and Nyemba Health Zones (two zonal head offices at Kalemie General Hospital and five ultra-rural health centers). We will then extend the network further by installing HF voice only radio units in three additional locations, for a total of ten new sites added to the network. The regional hospital serves some 460,000 people while the eight rural health centers reach almost 60,000 more. 2) Bringing Safe Cesarean Section to the Lakeside Democratic Republic of the Congo The maternal mortality rate in the Lake Tanganyika Basin is among the highest in the world, due to a lack of adequately trained staff to perform basic gynecologic and Emergency Obstetrical Care (EOC). Thus, the LTFHC is in active development of a project aimed at training local health care worker (HCW) staff in performing safe cesarean-sections in rural locations. In this pilot initiative, we expect to train 8-10 providers over two phases, lasting a total of one year. These providers will vastly increase the geographical coverage where safe cesarean-section is available in the Tanganyika District in the DRC. Most training programs investing in rural health care workers are very short in duration. One element of this proposal that is truly unusual is the recognition that long-term training and investment is required for rural health staff in order to have a meaningful and sustainable impact on outcomes for rural populations. The evaluation of this pilot will enable us to scale the initiative in future years, including on the Tanzanian side of the lake. Our capacity to train will increase as well, as former trainees will become certified as instructors. We estimate that in the year after completion of our training project, maternal and neonatal mortality in these sites will have decreased by 20%. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 111 Appendix O LTFHC’s Health and Community Outreach Programs 3) Bed Net Misuse Survey Tanzania and Democratic Republic of the Congo Malaria is the leading cause of death in the Lake Tanganyika Basin. Long-lasting Insecticide Treated Bed Nets are recommended by the WHO as part of a 3-pronged strategy for reducing malaria incidence. However, there is significant evidence that these nets are being used for fishing in the basin. As such, the LTFHC has begun rigorous study on bed net misuse in the region. The LTFHC presented our research to much acclaim at the Alliance for Malaria Prevention 2014 Partners' meeting in February. We will soon submit this research to Malaria, a peer-reviewed scientific journal. We plan to conduct similar efforts on the DRC side of the lake and will correlate this information with our findings in Tanzania. In collaboration with the University of Chicago’s Graduate School of Business and the William Davidson Institute, we will further expand our experimental design to quantify and qualify this crucial International Aid and Development issue from a broader development and behavioral economics perspective. 4) Project Fabio - Tanzania In early 2013, the LTFHC began conducting research in DRC under “Project Fabio,” named for an Italian doctor interested in naturopathy and in whose name funds were donated. Through this research initiative, we have created a database cataloging hundreds of indigenous plants used by traditional healers, as well as mapped the sources of these commonly used botanical medicines and the ways they are prepared. The project intends to assess acceptability and feasibility of the introduction of botanical gardens as a way of conserving the biodiversity of the Lake Tanganyika Basin. Crucially, Project Fabio has allowed the LTFHC to build relationships with trusted traditional healers in the community. These healers are central to the local healthcare infrastructure, as often patients cannot travel to hard-to-reach health centers and instead rely on these local, traditional healers for care; sixty percent of the population sees traditional healers exclusively. Project Fabio will be immensely useful in providing baseline data for future evaluation of the significance and magnitude of traditional healers’ contributions to the public healthcare system in the basin. 5) Establishment of Basic Epidemiologic Data Markers in Lakeside DRC: A Cluster Survey of Health Centers and Community Health Workers Objective: Determine whether a discrepancy exists between infectious disease and mortality reports submitted by rural health centers and cases tallied by community health workers Better understand the full scope of maternal and under 5 mortality, as well as communicable diseases such as cholera and malaria Knowledgably guide allocation of resources for future health interventions 6) Water Sanitation Innovation Project, DRC Objective: Install rainwater catchment systems in five lakeside health centers in rural DRC that currently don’t have access to clean water Community education seminars regarding safe water use The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 112 Appendix O LTFHC’s Health and Community Outreach Programs 7) Family Planning Outreach, Rukwa, Tanzania Objective: To teach rural health care providers to counsel patients regarding IUD use and then perform safe IUD insertion Perform a contraception outreach at Kirando Health Center, which serves 250,000 people Past Projects Tanzania Radio Network Expansion and Electronic Medical Record Nkasi District, Tanzania Pilot – October/November 2013 In October 2013, the LTFHC beta tested its innovative HF radio hardware and software system in Nkasi District of Tanzania’s southern coastline to validate our newly-developed data transfer technology, commissioned by the LTFHC to meet the specific communication and reporting needs of Ministries of Health in this remote region. The pilot involved installations at four strategic health centers and clinics along 130km of shoreline, as well as the District Health Offices in the town of Namanyere. This project brings new healthcare possibilities to almost 80,000 people. DRC High Frequency Radio Pilot Moba, DRC – March 2012 As part of a pilot program funded by HP, the LTFHC installed HF Long Wave Radios at eight health centers in Moba Territory, DRC, serving a population of 80,000. These radios are the only practical and affordable way to overcome the communications gap in the region, enabling Moba’s health centers to connect with each other and the Moba Regional Hospital. This new communication brings faster life-saving medical services to women in complicated labor, increased disease reporting rates by 60 percent, and supported the outreach and monitoring of the DRC’s Ministry of Health 2012 polio vaccination campaign. Project Fabio - DRC In early 2013, the LTFHC began conducting research in DRC under Project Fabio, a research initiative to create a database cataloging different medicines used by traditional healers and exploring the sources of commonly used medicinal plants and the way they are prepared. The project intends to assess acceptability and feasibility of the introduction of botanical gardens as a way of conserving biodiversity. Project Fabio has allowed the LTFHC to build relationships with trusted traditional healers in the community on the DRC side of the lake. These healers are central to the local healthcare infrastructure, as often patients do not travel to hard-to-reach health centers and instead rely on local, traditional healers. Women’s Reproductive Health Outreach Rukwa, Tanzania and Moba, DRC – October 2011 Supported by HP, the Fistula Foundation and private donors, the LTFHC provided fistula repair along Lake Tanganyika in the remote region of Rukwa, Tanzania in 2011. This outreach was the first of its kind in the basin, bringing dozens of Congolese and Tanzanian fistula patients and several healthcare providers together for surgical repair, education seminars and counseling. To carry out this work, the LTFHC upgraded the Kirando Health Center that serves some 250,000 people living in Nkasi District in Tanzania and donated equipment and supplies to the Sumbawanga Regional Hospital in Tanzania and the Moba Regional Hospital in DRC. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 113 Appendix O LTFHC’s Health and Community Outreach Programs Katanga Kicks Malaria Moba, DRC - 2010 Harnessing the excitement and energy that surrounded the FIFA World Cup 2010, the LTFHC created and implemented Katanga Kicks Malaria (KKM); a unique, innovative, and multi-phase anti–malaria educational outreach program tailored specifically for the Great Lakes Region of Katanga Province. The program’s curriculum, co-designed by Grassroots Soccer in close collaboration with the LTFHC, engaged professional Congolese football players and community role models to educate and engage youth and community leaders in a football–based malaria education project in rural communities along Lake Tanganyika. Twenty-five local community role models and four professional Congolese football players were trained as KKM coaches to educate adults and young people in their communities, distributing some 15,000 Long Lasting Insecticidal Nets. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 114 Appendix P LTFHC’s Proposed Hospital Ship Over 200 feet long and 40 feet wide, the LTFHC’s state-of-the-art ship is uniquely designed to provide patients with everything from acute and ICU critical care, surgery and recover, to laboratory research, pharmaceutical supplies and training for local and foreign healthcare workers. Once on the lake this 1300 ton floating medical and educational facility will serve as a regional-level hospital, working in collaboration with all shore-based community health centers around the lake. The ship will be able to provide the highest levels of acute care in sterile surroundings unavailable elsewhere in the Lake Tanganyika Basin. With room for 25 medical/research staff and 15 crew, the ship is designed to be self-sufficient, environmentally efficient, and can be maintained from its own stores and workshops with a minimal need for long-term docking or repairs. By designing from scratch, the LTFHC is able to construct a vessel that serves a multitude of purposes: hospital, supply store, dispensary and educational facility for both medicine and global health study. It will also have the ability to pilot products and tools for application in the developing world, promote appropriate and improved agricultural techniques, and provide a setting for those collecting data on development interventions. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 115 Appendix P LTFHC’s Proposed Hospital Ship The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 116 Appendix Q Recommended Reading The Congo and the Great Lakes “Africa’s World War” by Gérard Prunier “Blood River” by Tim Butcher “Congo: The Epic History of a People” by David Van Reybrouck “Dancing in the Glory of Monsters” by Jason K. Stearns “The Democratic Republic of Congo: Between Hope and Despair” by Michael Deibert “The Dynamics of Violence in Central Africa” by René Lemarchand “The Great African War: Congo and Regional Geopolitics 1996 – 2006” by Filip Reyntjens “The Great Lakes of Africa: Two Thousand Years of history” by Jean-Pierre Chrétien and translated by Scott Straus “In the Footsteps of Mr. Kurtz” by Michela Wrong “Radio Congo” by Ben Rawlence “The Trouble with the Congo: Local Violence and the Failure of International Peacebuilding” by Séverine Autesserre Historical “Congo: The Epic History of a People” by David Van Reybrouk “The Congo: From Leopold to Kabila – A People’s History” by Georges Nzongola-Ntalaja “King Leopold’s Ghost” by Adam Hochschild “The Lake Regions of Central Africa: From Zanzibar to Lake Tanganyika” by Sir Richard Francis Burton “Mimi and Toutou’s Big Adventure: The Bizarre Battle of Lake Tanganyika” by Giles Foden “The State of Africa: A History of the Continent Since Independence” by Martin Meredith Aid and Development “Aid on the Edge of Chaos: Rethinking International Cooperation in a Complex World” by Ben Ramalingam “The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries are Failing and What Can Be Done About It” by Paul Collier “Congo Masquerade” by Theodore Trefon “The Crisis Caravan: What's Wrong with Humanitarian Aid?” by Linda Polman “Dead Aid” by Dambisa Moyo “The Idealist: Jeffrey Sachs and the Quest to End Poverty” by Nina Munk “More Than Good Intentions: Improving the Ways the World's Poor Borrow, Save, Farm, Learn, and Stay Healthy” by Dean Karlan and Jacob Appel “The Politics of Aid: African Strategies for Dealing with Donors” by Lindsay Whitfield “Poor Economics: A Radical Rethinking of the Way to Fight Global Poverty” by Abhijit V. Banerjee and Esther Duflo “Poor Numbers: How We are Misled by African Development Statistics and What to Do About it” (Cornell Studies in Political Economy) by Morten Jerven “Smart Aid for African Development” edited by Richard Joseph and Alexandra Gillies “Understanding Poverty” by Abhijit Banerjee, Roland Bénabou and Dilip Mookherjee “The Tyranny of Experts: Economists, Dictators, and the Forgotten Rights of the Poor” by William Easterly The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 117 Appendix Q Recommended Reading China in Africa “China into Africa: Trade, Aid, and Influence” by Robert I. Rothberg “African Perspectives on China in Africa” by Stephen Marks and Firoze Manji “Winner Take All: China's Race for Resources and What It Means for the World” by Dambisa Moyo “China and Africa: A Century of Engagement” by David H. Shinn and Joshua Eisenman “The Devouring Dragon: How China's Rise Threatens Our Natural World” by Craig Simons “The Dragon’s Gift: The Real Story of China in Africa” by Deborah Brautigam Natural Resources “The Atlas of Water” by Maggie Black and Jannet King “The Big Thirst: the Secret life and Turbulent Future of Water” by Charles Fishman “The Burning Question: We Can't Burn Half the World's Oil, Coal, and Gas. So How Do We Quit?” by Mike Berners-Lee and Duncan Clark “The Oil Curse: How Petroleum Wealth Shapes the Development of Nations” by Michael L. Ross “Oil Wealth in Central Africa: Policies for Inclusive Growth” Edited by Bernardin Akitoby and Sharmini Coorey “The Politics of Water in Africa” by Inga M. Jacobs “Power Plays: Energy Options in the Age of Peak Oil” by Robert Rapier “The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money & Power” by Daniel Yergin “The Quest: Energy, Security, and the Remaking of the Modern World” by Daniel Yergin “The Ripple Effect: The Fate of Freshwater in the Twenty-First Century” by Alex Prud’Homme “The Scramble for African Oil: Oppression, Corruption and War for Control of Africa's Natural Resources” by Douglas A. Yates “Water: The Epic Struggle for Wealth, Power and Civilization” by Steven Solomon “Water, Peace and War: Confronting the Global Water Crisis” by Brahma Chellaney “Water Security: Conflicts, Threats, Policies” by James A. Tindall and Andrew A. Campbell “Water Security: The Water-Food-Energy-Climate Nexus” published by the World Economic Forum Water Initiative “When the Rivers Run Dry: Water – The Defining Crisis of the Twenty-First Century” by Fred Pearce HIV/AIDS, Malaria, and Neglected Tropical Diseases “The Fever: How Malaria Has Ruled Humankind for 500,000 Years” by Sonia Shah “Lifeblood: How to Change the World One Dead Mosquito at a Time” by Alex Perry “No Time to Lose: A Life in Pursuit of Deadly Viruses” by Peter Piot “Tinderbox” by Craig Timberg and Daniel Halperin “The Viral Storm: The Dawn of a New Pandemic Age” by Nathan Wolfe The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 118 Dobbs, et al. Reverse the Curse: Maximizing the Potential of Resource-driven Economies, McKinsey Global Institute, December 2013. 2 The World Economic Forum Water Initiative, Water Security: The Water-Food-Energy-Climate Nexus (Island Press, 2011), 3. 3 Tindall, Campbell. Water Security: Conflict, Threats, Policies. DTP Publishing, 2012. 4 Robertson, Charles. The Fastest Billion: The Story Behind Africa's Economic Revolution. Renaissance Capital, 2012. 5 Roxburgh, Charles, et al. Lions on the Move: The Progress and Potential of African Economies. McKinsey Global Institute, McKinsey & Company, June 2010. 6 “Income Inequality in Africa, Briefing Note 5,” African Development Bank Group, 7 March 2012, <www.afdb.org/fileadmin/uploads/afdb/Documents/PolicyDocuments/FINAL%20Briefing%20Note%205%20Income%20Inequality%20in%20Africa.pdf> (June 2014). 7 “Oil and Gas in Africa,” KPMG Africa, 2013, <https://www.kpmg.com/Africa/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Documents/Oil%20and%20Gas%20in%20Africa.pdf> (June 2014). 8 “September 2013 Quarter Activity,” Beach Energy-Tanzania, September 2013, <www.beachenergy.com.au/irm/content/tanzania.aspx?RID=265> (November 2013). 9“Woodside Agrees to Acquire 70% Interest in Lake Tanganyika South Block,” RigZone, 14 June 2014, <http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/134012/Woodside_Agrees_to_Acquire_70_Interest_in_Lake_Tanganyika_South_Blo ck?rss=true> (14 July 2014). 10 Woodside, <www.woodside.com.au/Pages/default.aspx> (July 2014). 11 “Joint announcement by the Government of the United Republic of Tanzania and Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation,” Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation Press Release, October 2013 <www.tpdctz.com/Lake_Tanganyika_Licensing.pdf> (October 2013). 12 Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation Press Release, May 2014, <www.tpdc-tz.com/Press%20Release%20Closing%20Ceremony%20%2815%2005%202014%29.pdf> (June 8, 2014). 13 Jorgensen, Ntakimazi, Kayombo, Lake Tanganyika: Experience and Lessons Learned Brief, International Water Learning Exchange and Research Network, Lake Basin Management Initiative, 2005. 14 Long, Nick. “Survey Shows Lake Tanganyika’s Oil ‘Potential’ in Tanzania,” Voice of America, 28 August 2012. 15 The Governments of the Republic of Burundi, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the United Republic of Tanzania, and the Republic of Zambia; The Convention on the Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika, (November 2007), 4. 16 The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin. The Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2011. 17 Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic, <www.floatingclinic.org> (June 2014). 18 International Lake Environment Committee, <www.ilec.or.jp/eg/lbmi/pdf/22_Lake_Tanganyika_27February2006.pdf> (February 2013); also cited by Jorgensen, et al, “Lake Tanganyika: Experience and Lessons Learned Brief,” Royal Danish University of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Copenhagen, Denmark, 27 February 2006, World Lakes, <www.worldlakes.org/uploads/22_Lake_Tanganyika_27February2006.pdf> (September 2014). 19 The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin. Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2011. 20 The Governments of the Republic of Burundi, the Democratic Republic of Congo, the United Republic of Tanzania, and the Republic of Zambia; The Convention on the Sustainable Management of Lake Tanganyika, (November 2007), 4. 21 ibid. 22 Lake Tanganyika Authority, <http://lta.iwlearn.org/management-program> (June 2014). 23 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2011. 24 “5th LTA Conference of Ministers Declaration,” Lake Tanganyika Authority, 2012, <http://lta.iwlearn.org> (March 2014). 25 Phiemon, Lusekelo, “Fish catches from Lake Tanganyika going down,” The Guardian, 2 January 2012. 26 UNEP in Africa Newsletter, July-August 2013. 27 McKinsey Global Institute, McKinsey Sustainability & Resource Productivity Practice, “Resource Revolution: Meeting the World’s Energy, Materials, Food, and Water Needs,” McKinsey & Company, November 2011. 28 “Tanzania’s Lake Tanganyika North Block up for grabs,” Menas Borders, 13 April 2011. 29 Long, Nick, “Survey Shows Lake Tanganyika’s Oil ‘Potential’ in Tanzania,” Voice of America, 28 August 2012. 30 World Bank, World Development Indicators, GDP per capita, 2012. 31 “Congo's Mining and Oil Codes,” Global Witness, <www.globalwitness.org/node/8424> (March 2014). 32 “Democratic Republic of the Congo temporarily suspended,” EITI DRC News, 18 April 2013, <http://eiti.org/news/democratic-republic-congo-temporarily-suspended> (September 2013). 33 Long, Nick, “Congo Improves Natural-Resources Accounting,” VOA Online, 4 July 2014, <http://www.voanews.com/content/congo-improves-natural-resources-accounting-/1951169.html> (July 2014). 34 “DR Congo becomes full member of EITI,” EITI Press Release, 2 July 2014, <http://eiti.org/news/dr-congo-becomes-fullmember-eiti> (July 2014). 35 Vidal, John, “Soco Halts Oil Exploration in Africa's Virunga National Park,” The Guardian, 11 June 2014, <www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/jun/11/soco-oil-virunga-national-park-congo-wwf> (July 2014). 36 “Oil-lobby antics cast more doubt on Soco’s promise to protect African park,” Global Witness, 14 August 2014, <www.globalwitness.org/blog/oil-lobby-antics-cast-more-doubt-on-socos-promise-to-protect-african-park-2> (August 2014). 37 ibid. 38 “EITI DRC Hydrocarbons Sector Report 2010,” EITI Democratic Republic of Congo, 2012, <http://eiti.org/files/Congo-DRC2010-EITI-Report-ENG_0.pdf> (29 April 2013). 39 EITI DRC Reports < http://eiti.org/DRCongo/reports> (August 2014). 40 “Rapport ITIE – RDC Secteur des Hydrocarbures 2011,” EITI DRC Reports, December 2013, <http://eiti.org/files/Rapport%20ITIE%202011%20Hydrocarbures%20%20vf.pdf> (August 2014). 41 “Generating "ripple effects" in DR Congo,” EITI News, 24 January 2014 <http://eiti.org/news/generating-ripple-effects-drcongo> (August 2014). 42 Kavanagh, Michael J., “Sonangol, Cohydro of Congo Reach Agreement on Offshore Oil Block,” Bloomberg Online, 22 1 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 119 April 2013. 43 Mandelbaum, Toledano, et al., “Draft DRC Hydrocarbon Law,” Vale Columbia Center on Sustainable International Investment, 28 March 2013, Global Witness, <www.globalwitness.org/sites/default/files/library/DRCHyrdoCarbonsLaw_0.pdf> (April 2013). 44 ibid. 45 “Equity in Extractives – Africa Progress Report 2013,” Africa Progress Panel, 2013: 56 <www.africaprogresspanel.org/publications/policy-papers/africa-progress-report-2013/> (December 2013). 46 “Congo Aims to Pass Hydrocarbons Law Requiring Tenders by April,” Bloomberg, 31 January 2013. 47 “Oil Law Before Congo Parliament Fails to Safeguard Against Corruption or Environmental Damage,” Global Witness, 5 May 2013. 48 “A Murky Deal for the Congo as Oil exploration threatens corruption and environmental damage,” inyenerinews.org, 18 November 2013, <www.inyenyerinews.org/democracy-freedoms/a-murky-deal-for-the-congo-as-oil-exploration-threatenscorruption-and-environmental-damage-and-london-based-soco-international-is-first-in-the-queue/> (November 2013). 49 iPAD Oil and Gas Forum, Kinshasa, DRC, October 2012, <http://oilgas.ipad-africa.com/verticals/> (October 2012). Perence Operations in DRC, <www.perenco.com/operations/africa/drc.html> (June 2014). “EITI report on the DRC,” EITI, 2011: 15, <http://eiti.org/files/Rapport%20ITIE%202011%20Hydrocarbures%20%20vf.pdf> (2 July 2014). 53 “Italy’s Eni to Take Share in Congo Oil Block,” ABN Digital, 16 November 2011. 54 SacOil Holdings Limited, “Operational Update Block III, DRC,” London Stock Exchange, 15 August 2011. 55 Fleurette Group Oil Operations <http://fleurettegroup.com/operations/oil/> (August 2014). 56 Manson, Katrina, “Congo threatens to take back oil blocks,” Financial Times, 24 June 2012. 57 “Fleurette’s Oil of DRCongo – Seismic Update” Fleurette Press Release, 7 August 2014, <http://fleurettegroup.com/pressreleases/fleurettes-oil-of-drcongo-seismic-update/> (August 2014). 58 ibid. 59 “Congo’s Lake Albert oil block may hold 2 bln barrels,” Reuters, 8 September 2013. 60 “Oil of DRCongo Announces Major Road Investment and Update on Exploration Activities,” PRNews Wire, 19 February 2014, <www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/oil-of-drcongo-announces-major-road-investment-and-update-on-explorationactivities-246105011.html> (February 2014). 61 “DR Congo to start drilling in Lake Albert area,” Oil in Uganda, 22 March 2014, <http://www.oilinuganda.org/features/companies/dr-congo-to-start-drilling-in-lake-albert-area.html> (August 2014). 62 Bariyo, Nicholas, “Oil Explorer to Spend $100 Million on Congo Drilling Campaign,” The Wall Street Journal, 19 March 2014. 63 Jones, Pete, “REVISITING CRISIS IN THE GREAT LAKES Series: Star of The Zuma Clan Hits a Jackpot in DR Congo,” Sapa-AFP, 19 September 2013, Naked Chiefs Blog, http://nakedchiefs.com/2013/09/19/return-to-crisis-in-the-great-lakes-star-of-thezuma-clan-hits-a-jackpot-in-dr-congo/> (September 2013). 64 Fluerette Group Corporate Structure, <http://fleurettegroup.com/about-us/corporate-structure/> (August 2014). 65 Interview with Executive Director of the LTA, Philemon, Lusekelo, “Fish catches from Lake Tanganyika going down,” The Guardian, 2 January 2012. 66 http://www.aboilsands.ca/_pdfs/Presentations/AOS-Presentation-November-2012-v2.pdf 67 Alberta Oilsands website, <www.aboilsands.ca/democratic-republic-of-the-congo-project/> (June 2014) 68 http://www.panafricanoil.ca/operations/democratic-republic-of-congo 69 “Black Gold in the Congo: Threat to Stability or Development Opportunity?” Africa Report No. 188, International Crisis Group, 11 July 2012. 70 Long, Nick, “Survey Shows Lake Tanganyika’s Oil ‘Potential’ in Tanzania,” Voice of America, 28 August 2012. 71 CIA World Fact Book, Democratic Republic of the Congo, CIA World Fact Book, <www.cia.gov/library/publications/theworld-factbook/geos/cg/html> (December 2013). 72 US Geological Survey, 2012 Minerals Yearbook for the DRC, June 2014, USGS Online, <http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2012/myb3-2012-cg.pdf> (September 2014). 73 Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI), DRC Country Report, <http://eiti.org/DRCongo> (May 2013). 74 U.S. Geological Survey on Cobalt, May 2013, USGS Online, <http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/cobalt/> (May 2013). 75 US Geological Survey, 2012 Minerals Yearbook for the DRC, June 2014, USGS Online, <http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2012/myb3-2012-cg.pdf> (September 2014). 76 Farchy, Jack, “Pricing shift in $2bn-a-year cobalt market sets post-Libor trend” Financial Times, 18 November 2013, <http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/93dc856e-5057-11e3-befe-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3CHkf2e1d> (September 2014). 77 Freeport-McMoRan 2013 Annual Report < http://www.fcx.com/ir/AR/2013/FCX_AR_2013.pdf> (September 2014). 78 “Coltan Mining in the DRC,” Computer Industry Impacts on the Environment and Society, University of Michigan, <http://sitemaker.umich.edu/section002group3/coltan_mining_in_democratic_republic_of_the_congo> (September 2013). 79 “2009 Minerals Year Book, Niobium (Columbium) and Tantalum,” USGS Online, <http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/niobium/myb1-2009-niobi.pdf> (May 2013). 80 Nest, Michael Coltan. Cambridge: Polity Press, 2011. 81 ibid. 82 Ibid. 83 “Coltan Mining in the DRC,” Computer Industry Impacts on the Environment and Society, University of Michigan, <http://sitemaker.umich.edu/section002group3/coltan_mining_in_democratic_republic_of_the_congo> (September 2013). 84 Sharife, Khadija, “Who Benefits from Coltan?” World Hunger Organization, <http://www.worldhunger.org/articles/10/editorials/sharife.htm> (September 2013). 85 Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative Announcement, 18 April 2013. 86 Kavanagh, Michael, “Congo Affidavit on Gecamines Deal May Allow IMF Loans to Proceed,” Bloomberg, 9 May 2013. 87 Kavanagh, Michael, “Gecamines Didn’t Tell Government of KCC Gertler Deal,” Bloomberg, 18 October 2013. 87 Forbes Profiles Online, <www.forbes.com/profile/dan-gertler/> (July 2014). 88 Kavanagh, Michael, “Gecamines Didn’t Tell Government of KCC Gertler Deal,” Bloomberg, 18 October 2013. 89 Ferreira-Marques, Clara, “Miner ENRC buys out Gertler in $550 million Congo deal,” Reuters, 8 December 2012. 90 Casey, Kayakiran, “ENRC Offers $550 Million to Buy Gertler Out of Congo Unit,” Bloomberg, 7 December 2012, <http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-12-08/enrc-offers-550-million-to-buy-gertler-out-of-congo-unit.html> (August 2014). 51 52 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 120 Manson, Katrina, “Congo threatens to take back oil blocks,” Financial Times, June 24, 2012. Fluerette Group Corporate Structure, <http://fleurettegroup.com/about-us/corporate-structure/> (August 2014). 93 Jones, Pete, “REVISITING CRISIS IN THE GREAT LAKES Series: Star of The Zuma Clan Hits a Jackpot in DR Congo,” Sapa-AFP, 19 September 2013, Naked Chiefs Blog, http://nakedchiefs.com/2013/09/19/return-to-crisis-in-the-great-lakes-star-of-thezuma-clan-hits-a-jackpot-in-dr-congo/> (September 2013). 94 “News Over Ownership of Congolese Oil Blocks Raises Further Corruption Concerns,” Global Witness, 29 June 2012. 95 ibid. 96 Jones, Pete, “REVISITING CRISIS IN THE GREAT LAKES Series: Star of The Zuma Clan Hits a Jackpot in DR Congo,” Sapa-AFP, 19 September 2013, Naked Chiefs Blog, http://nakedchiefs.com/2013/09/19/return-to-crisis-in-the-great-lakes-star-of-thezuma-clan-hits-a-jackpot-in-dr-congo/> (September 2013). 97 “Congo fails to reveal loss-making oil deal with controversial businessman’s offshore firm,” Global Witness, 23 January 2014, <http://www.globalwitness.org/library/congo-fails-reveal-loss-making-oil-deal-controversial-businessman%E2%80%99soffshore-firm> (February 2014). 98 Bavier, Joe, “Israeli billionaire sells Congo oil rights for 300 times purchase price,” Reuters, 23 January 2014, <http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/01/23/congo-democratic-gertler-idUSL5N0KW3WW20140123> (March 2014). 99 http://blogs.wsj.com/riskandcompliance/2014/01/24/israeli-billionaires-company-defends-congo-oildeal/?cb=logged0.14761683381709556 100 Kavanagh, Michael, “Congo’s Failure to Publish Gertler Deal Breaches Law, Group Says,” Bloomberg, 23 January 2014, <http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-23/congo-s-failure-to-publish-gertler-deal-breaches-law-group-says.html> (September 2014). 101 U.S. Geological Survey on Cobalt, May 2013, USGS Online, <http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/commodity/cobalt/> (May 2013). 102 “The World’s Billionaires,” Forbes, March 2013, < www.forbes.com/profile/dan-gertler/> (March 2013). 103 Kavanagh, Michael, “Gecamines Didn’t Tell Government of KCC Gertler Deal,” Bloomberg, 18 October 2013. 104 “The World’s Billionaires,” Forbes, March 2013, < www.forbes.com/profile/dan-gertler/> (March 2013). 105 “Business in the Democratic Republic of Congo: Murky Minerals,” The Economist, 18 May 2013. 106 Kavanagh, Michael, “Annan Says Deals on ENRC, Glencore Mines Cost Congo $1.4 Billion,” Bloomberg, 10 May 2013. 107 “Fleurette Group Appoints Lord Mancroft as Head of group’s Advisory Board,” PRNewswire, Wall Street Journal, 8 July 2013. 108 Dobbs, et al, “Reverse the curse: Maximizing the potential of resource-driven economies,” McKinsey Global Institute, December 2013. 109 Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative Tanzania Country Report, EITI, <http://eiti.org/Tanzania> (April 2014). 110 Marshall, Steve, “Statoil Makes New Tanzania Gas Strike,” Upstreamonline.com, 21 December 2012. 111 Kishweko, Orton, “Tanzania: Schlumberger to Invest More Next Year,” Tanzania Daily News, 20 November 2012. 112 “Beach Commences Seismic on Lake Tanganyika,” Beach Energy Press Release, 18 June 2012. 113 Long, Nick, “Survey Shows Lake Tanganyika’s Oil ‘Potential’ in Tanzania,” Voice of America, 28 August 2012. 114 U.S. Energy Information Administration, 30 May 2013, <http://www.eia.gov/countries/country-data.cfm?fips=ug> (August 2014). 115 Long, Nick, “Survey Shows Lake Tanganyika’s Oil ‘Potential’ in Tanzania,” Voice of America, 28 August 2012. 116 September 2013 Quarter Activity, Beach Energy-Tanzania, September 2013, <www.beachenergy.com.au/irm/content/tanzania.aspx?RID=265> (September 2013). 117 Beach Energy, Operations in Tanzania, Beach Energy, <http://www.beachenergy.com.au/irm/content/tanzania.aspx?RID=265> (September 2014). 118 “Tanzania says Total Close to Signing Exploration Agreement,” Reuters, September 6, 2012. 119 “Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation, Licensing Situation, December 2012,” Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation, <www.tpdc-tz.com/Activity_Map_2012.pdf> (January 2014). 120 Wild, Franz, “Total Set to Get Tanzania Oil, Gas Exploration Licenses,” Bloomberg, February 8, 2013. 121 “Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation, Licensing Situation, December 2012,” Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation, <www.tpdc-tz.com/Activity_Map_2012.pdf> (January 2014). 122 “Fourth Tanzania Deep Offshore and North Lake Tanganyika Licensing Round 2013,” Deloitte Press Release, May 2013, <www.psg.deloitte.com/newslicensingrounds_tz_130518.asp> (May 2013). 123 “Closing of the 4th Tanzania Deep Offshore and North Lake Tanganyika Licensing Round,” Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation Press Release, May 2014, <www.tpdc-tz.com/Press%20Release%20Closing%20Ceremony%20%2815%2005%202014%29.pdf> (June 8, 2014). 124 UAE RAKGas International Operations, RAKGas, < http://www.rakgas.ae/index.php/international-ventures> (September 2014). 125 “Closing of the 4th Tanzania Deep Offshore and North Lake Tanganyika Licensing Round,” Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation Press Release, May 2014, <www.tpdc-tz.com/Press%20Release%20Closing%20Ceremony%20%2815%2005%202014%29.pdf> (June 8, 2014). 126 Rugonzibwa, Pius, “Tanzania: Ministry – Not Anyone Can Announce Oil, Gas Finds,” Tanzania Daily News, 18 October 2012. 127 Magomba, Leonard, “Tanzania: Nation Earns U.S. $305 Million From Extractive Industries,” East African Business Week, 25 December 2012. 128 Magomba, Leonard, “Why Tanzania Fails to Utilize Extractive Industry,” East African Business Week (Kampala), 25 December 2012. 129 Simba, Hassan, “Tanzania: Mtwara Residents Oppose Gas Pipeline Construction Plan,” Tanzania Daily News, Dec 28, 2012. 130 “Lake Tanganyika Exploration Causes Concern,” Petroleum Africa citing Tanzania Daily News, 30 Oct 2012. 131 DeBacker and Binyingo, “Mining and Upstream Petroleum Activities in Burundi – Sectors that are Attracting Interest,” Denton Wilde Sapte’s Africa Agenda, edition 2008. 132 “Burundi: WGP Awarded Surestream Petroleum Contract for Seismic Vessel Conversion,” Africa Business News Release 118907, MBendi.com, 21 September 2011. 133 “Seismic Cargo Completes Complex Journey to Lake Tanganyika,” Offshore, November 2012. 134 “GAC Overcomes Challenges, Delivers to Central Africa,” MarineLink.com, Press Release, 23 November 2012. 135 “World Bank Funds Hydro Dam for Africa’s Great Lakes Region,” Environment News Service, 14 August 2013, http://ensnewswire.com/2013/08/13/world-bank-funds-hydro-dam-for-africas-great-lakes-region> (December 2013). 91 92 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 121 Energy Strategy and Action Plan for Burundi, EU Energy Initiative Partnership Dialogue Facility, November 2011. Miriri, Duncan, “Burundi Grow, but Still Falls Short,” Reuters, 26 October 2012. 138 DeBacker and Binyingo, “Mining and Upstream Petroleum Activities in Burundi – Sectors that are Attracting Interest,” Denton Wilde Sapte’s Africa Agenda, edition 2008. 139 Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, <http://eiti.org> (August 2014). 140 Miriri, Duncan, “Burundi Grow, but Still Falls Short,” Reuters, 26 October 2012. 141 “Burundi: A Deepening Corruption Crisis,” Africa Report No. 185, International Crisis Group, 21 March 2012. 142 “World Bank Helps to Address Power Outages in Burundi,” World Bank, 21 September 2012. 143 Majaliwa, Christopher, “Tanzania: Border Dispute Talks Set to Resume,” Tanzania Daily News, 18 October 2012. 144 “Jorgensen, Bootsma, “Lake Malawi/Nyasa: Experience and Lessons Learned Brief,” International Water Learning Exchange and Research Network, Lake Basin Management Initiative, 2006. 145 “Surestream Petroleum Awarded Exploration Licenses in Malawi,” Surestream Petroleum Press Release, 22 September 2011. 146 Mponda, Felix, “Entire Lake Belongs to Malawi,” AFP, 31 July 2012. 147 “Fear Grips Malawians Over Tanzania’s War Threats,” Nyasa Times, 9 August 2012. 148 Clottey, Peter, “Malawi, Tanzania Seek Mediation Over Border Dispute,” Voices of America, 20 December 2012. 149 “Chissano Agrees to Mediate Malawi, Tanzania over Lake Dispute,” Nyasa Times, 23 December 2012. 150 “Tanzania, Malawi fail to reach agreement on border dispute," CIHAN, 22 March 2014, <http://en.cihan.com.tr/news/Tanzania-Malawi-fail-to-reach-agreement-on-border-dispute_4055-CHMTM4NDA1NS80;9Sdds5S> (March 2014). 151 “Tanzania Upset As Malawi Withdraws From Negotiations,” Tanzanian Daily New, AllAfrica, 5 April 2013, <http://allafrica.com/stories/201304060466.html> (April 2013). 152 “Malawi Protests to Tanzania On Plans to Deploy Passenger Ships On Lake Malawi,” Malawi News Agency, AllAfrica, 2 June 2013, <http://allafrica.com/stories/201306030951.html> (June 2013). 153 “Malawi Declares Position over Lake Malawi Wrangle with Tanzania,” Nyasa Times, 31 January 2013. 154 Lay, Taimour, “A New Frontier – the Rush for Oil and Gas in East Africa,” Africa Arguments, 29 May 2012. 155 “Uganda takes over Ngassa oilfield from Tullow Oil,” Oil Review Africa, 29 May 2014, <http://www.oilreviewafrica.com/exploration/exploration/uganda-gains-possession-of-ngassa-oilfield> (June 2014). 156 Wachira, George, “Imminent oil bonanza should finally wake up ‘sleeping giant’ DR Congo,” Business Daily Africa, 19 August 2014, < http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/Opinion-and-Analysis/Imminent-oil-bonanza-should-finally-wake-upsleeping-giant-DRC/-/539548/2424314/-/cu142iz/-/index.html> (August 2014). 157 “Will Kenya or Uganda be the first East African Countries to Export Oil,” The Guardian, 12 May 2014 < http://www.theguardian.com/global-development/poverty-matters/2014/may/12/kenya-uganda-east-africa-first-oilproducer> (August 2014). 158 Ssekika, Edward, “Uganda: Oil Refinery Winning Bidder to Be Announced in June,” The Observer, AllAfrica, 18 March 2014, <http://allafrica.com/stories/201403190191.html> (April 2014). 159 “Black Gold in the Congo: Threat to Stability of Development Opportunity?” Africa Report No. 188, International Crisis Group, 11 July 2012. 160 ibid. 161 Kamako, “Angola and Congo: Bad Neighbors,” The Economist, 6 August 2011. 162 Long, Nick, “Survey Shows Lake Tanganyika’s Oil ‘Potential’ in Tanzania,” Voice of America, 28 August 2012. 163 Misser, François, “DRC and Angola's Borders and barrels,” The Africa Report, 4 July 2014, <http://www.theafricareport.com/Central-Africa/drc-and-angolas-borders-and-barrels.html> (July 2014). 164 “Border Focus: Angola and DRC” Menas Borders, <http://www.menas.co.uk/menasborders/border_focus/AngolaDRC.aspx> (July 2014). 165 “Black Gold in the Congo: Threat to Stability of Development Opportunity?” Africa Report No. 188, International Crisis Group, 11 July 2012. 166 “Tanzania’s Lake Tanganyika North Block up for grabs,” Menas Borders, 13 April 2011. 167 Long, Nick, “Survey Shows Lake Tanganyika’s Oil ‘Potential’ in Tanzania,” Voice of America, 28 August 2012. 168 “Burundi: WGP Awarded Surestream Petroleum Contract for Seismic Vessel Conversion,” Africa Business News Release 118907, mbendi.com, 21 September 2011, < https://www.mbendi.com/a_sndmsg/news_view.asp?I=118907&PG=35> (June 2014). 169 ibid. 170 “Black Gold in the Congo: Threat to Stability of Development Opportunity?” Africa Report No. 188, International Crisis Group, 11 July 2012. 171 Long, Nick, “Survey Shows Lake Tanganyika’s Oil ‘Potential’ in Tanzania,” Voice of America, 28 August 2012. 172 “Black Gold in the Congo: Threat to Stability of Development Opportunity?” Africa Report No. 188, International Crisis Group, 11 July 2012. 173 “Oil Exploration in Virunga National Park will Take Place,” savevirunga.com, 21 June 2012. 174 “Soco halts oil exploration in Africa's Virunga national park” The Guardian, 11 June 2014, <www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/jun/11/soco-oil-virunga-national-park-congo-wwf> (July 2014). 175 “Oil-lobby antics cast more doubt on Soco’s promise to protect African park,” Global Witness website, 14 August 2014, <http://www.globalwitness.org/blog/oil-lobby-antics-cast-more-doubt-on-socos-promise-to-protect-african-park-2/> (August 2014). 176 ibid. 177 Kaufmann, Daniel, “Anti-Corruption Views – Poverty in the midst of abundance: Governance matters for overcoming the resource curse,” TrustLaw, 17 September 2012. 178 Tanzania Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, Second Annual Report for 2010, EITI, 2012, <www.teiti.or.tz/news_images/news50581073bb67f.pdf> (September 2013). 179 “Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative Tanzania Country Report,” EITI, <http://eiti.org/Tanzania> (April 2014). 180 “Tanzania Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative Press Relieve,” EITI, 12 December 2012. 181 “Tanzania Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative,” EITI, <http://www.teiti.or.tz/> (April 2014). 182 “Democratic Republic of the Congo temporarily suspended,” EITI DRC News, 18 April 2013, <http://eiti.org/news/democratic-republic-congo-temporarily-suspended> (September 2013). 183 Long, Nick, “Congo Improves Natural-Resources Accounting,” VOA Online, 4 July 2014, 136 137 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 122 <http://www.voanews.com/content/congo-improves-natural-resources-accounting-/1951169.html> (July 2014). 184 “DR Congo becomes full member of EITI,” EITI Press Release, 2 July 2014, <http://eiti.org/news/dr-congo-becomes-fullmember-eiti> (July 2014). 185 Colgan, Jeff, “Regulating the Resource Curse,” Foreign Policy, 27 August 2012. 186 Krauss, Clifford, “U.S. oil and Mining Companies Must Disclose Payments to Foreign Governments,” The New York Times, 22 August 2012. 187 “Final Rules for Dodd-Frank Sections 1502 and 1504,” U.S. Department of State Media Note, 23 August 2012. 188 “H.R. 4173 (111th): Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act,” U.S. Congressional Legislation Database, July 15, 2010, <http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/111/hr4173/text> (June 2014). 189 Colgan, Jeff, “Regulating the Resource Curse,” Foreign Policy, 27 August 2012. 190 Krauss, Clifford, “U.S. oil and Mining Companies Must Disclose Payments to Foreign Governments,” The New York Times, 22 August 2012. 191 “EU Conflict Mineral Law Proposal Delayed,” ITRI news announcement, ITRI, 18 November 2013, <https://www.itri.com/index.php?option=com_zoo&task=item&item_id+2903&Itemid=177> (December 2013). 192 Todd, Eloise, “Transparent Oil?” European Voice, 17 September 2012. 193 Neslen, Arthur, “EU draft law on conflict minerals fails to satisfy campaigners,” The Guardian Development Network, 4 March 2014, <http://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2014/mar/04/eu-draft-law-conflict-minerals> (March 2014). 194 Dizolele, Mvemba, “The Costs and Consequences of Dodd-Frank Section 1502: Impacts on America and the Congo,” Testimony presented at the U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Financial Services, Subcommittee on International Monetary Policy and Trade, 10 May 2012. 195 Arimatsu, Mistry, “Conflict Minerals: The Search for a Normative Framework,” Chatham House, September 2012. Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2011. 198 “Borre, Lisa, “Warming Lakes: Climate Change Threatens the Ecological Stability of Lake Tanganyika,” Water Currents, National Geographic, 7 March 2013. 199 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2011. 200 ibid. 201 ibid. 202 Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic, <www.floatingclinic.org> (September 2014). 203 Smith, Mark Phillip, “Lake Tanganyika Cichlids,” Barron’s Educational Series, Inc., 2008. 204 “Borre, Lisa, “Warming Lakes: Climate Change Threatens the Ecological Stability of Lake Tanganyika,” Water Currents, National Geographic, 7 March 2013. 205 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2011. 206 Geiger, Beth, “Habitat’s,” Nature Conservancy, Issue 3, 2012. 207 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2011. 208 Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic, <www.floatingclinic.org> (September 2014). 209 Geiger, Beth, “Habitat’s,” Nature Conservancy, Issue 3, 2012. 210 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2011. 211 “Tanzania: State to Repatriate Illegal Fishermen,” Tanzanian Daily News, 27 Dec 2012 212 ibid. 213 Mundia, Namatama, “Government warns against fishing in foreign water bodies,” The Post Newspapers Zambia, 20 May 2013. 214 Philemon, Lusekelo, “Fish catches from Lake Tanganyika going down,” The Guardian, 2 January 2012. 215 ibid. 216 Borre, Lisa, “Warming Lakes: Climate Change Threatens the Ecological Stability of Lake Tanganyika,” Water Currents, National Geographic, 7 March 2013. 217 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2012: Section 3.5 Strategic Component C - Sustainable Land Management, 41. 218 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2012: Section 3.3 Strategic Component A - Adaptation to Climate Change Impacts, 32. 219 O’Reilly, et al, “Climate change decreases aquatic ecosystem productivity of Lake Tanganyika, Africa,” Nature Journal #424, 14 August 2003, <www.nature.com/nature/journal/v424/n6950/abs/nature01833.html> (April 2014). 220 ibid. 221 Borre, Lisa, “Warming Lakes: Climate Change Threatens the Ecological Stability of Lake Tanganyika,” Water Currents, National Geographic, 7 March 2013. 222 Bootsma, Hecky, “Conservation of the African Great Lakes: A Limnological Perspective,” Conservation Biology, Volume 7, Issue 3, September 1993: 664-656. 223 University of Wisconsin Sea Grant Institute, Lake Superior, <www.seagrant.wisc.edu/home/Defualt/aspx?tabid=591> (July 2013). 224 Johnson, Ivan A., Limnology, Climatology, and Paleoclimatology of the East African Lakes. (CRC Press, 1 October 1996), 109. 225 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management 197 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 123 of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2012 226 ibid. 227 ibid. 228 Long, Nick, “Survey Shows Lake Tanganyika’s Oil ‘Potential’ in Tanzania,” Voice of America, 28 August 2012. 229 ibid. 230 Geiger, Beth, “Habitat’s,” Nature Conservancy, Issue 3, 2012. 231 Gates, Melinda, “Next, Focus on the Newborn,” The Economist: From The World In 2013 print edition, 21 November 2012. 232 Increasing Access to Reproductive Health: Key Results of the Global Program to Enhance Reproductive Health Commodity Security 2007-2012,” United Nations Population Fund, 2013. 233 ibid. 234 World Health Organization, Country Profiles, <http://www.who.int/gho/countries/cod/country_profiles/en/index.html> (April 2014). 235 Maternal Health Outreach Project, Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic, <www.floatingclinic.org> (August 2014). 236 Millennium Development Goal 5, <http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/maternal.shtml> (June 2014). 237 “Nieburg, Phillip, “Improving Maternal Mortality and Other Aspects of Women’s Health,” Center for Strategic and International Studies, October 2012. 238 “MDG Report 2013: Assessing Progress in Africa Toward the Millennium Development Goals,” UNDP, 13 June 2013, <www.undp.org/content/undp/en/home/librarypage/mdg/mdg-reports/africa-collection/> (November 2013). 239 UNICEF Child Health Progress Report 2013: “Committing to Child Survival: A Promise Renewed - Progress Report 2013,” UNICEF, 13 September 2013, <www.unicef.org/publications/files/APR_Progress_Report_2013_9_Sept_2013.pdf> (October 2013). 240 “UNICEF: Around 6 Million Children Under Five Died in 2012,” UNICEF World Bulletin, 13 September 2013, <www.worldbulletin.net/?aType=haber&ArticleID=117837> (September 2013). 241 Knoema, World Data Atlas, Under Five Mortality Rate in Rukwa, Tanzania, Knoema, 2013, <http://knoema.com/atlas/United-Republic-of-Tanzania/Rukwa/Under-Five-Mortality-Rate-U5MR> (August 2014). 242 World Bank, Mortality Rate of Under-five deaths, 2008-2012 Table, World Bank, <http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.DYN.MORT> (August 2014). 243 Knoema, World Data Atlas, Under Five Mortality Rate in Tanzania, Knoema, 2012, <http://knoema.com/atlas/UnitedRepublic-of-Tanzania/Child-mortality> (August 2014). 244 Knoema, World Data Atlas, Under Five Mortality Rate in Kigoma Region, Tanzania, Knoema, 2012, <http://knoema.com/atlas/United-Republic-of-Tanzania/Kigoma/Under-Five-Mortality-Rate-U5MR> (August 2014). 245 Knoema, World Data Atlas, Infant Mortality Rate in Rukwa, Tanzania, Knoema, 2013, <http://knoema.com/atlas/UnitedRepublic-of-Tanzania/Rukwa/Infant-Mortality-Rate-IMR> (August 2014). 246 Knoema, World Data Atlas, Infant Mortality Rate in Tanzania, Knoema, 2012, <http://knoema.com/atlas/United-Republicof-Tanzania/Infant-mortality> (August 2014) 247 WHO-Partnerships for Maternal, Newborn & Child Health; Workshop on Enhancing Capacity for Budget Analysis & Advocacy for Women’s and Children’s Health, Nairobi, Kenya, 27-30 August 2013, <http://www.who.int/pmnch/media/events/2013/tanzania.pdf> (August 2014). 248 Ibid. 249 “Tanzania: Rukwa Plans to Reduce Maternal Deaths,” Tanzania Daily News, 7 April 2013, <http://allafrica.com/stories/201304080494.html> (August 2014). 250 WHO-Partnerships for Maternal, Newborn & Child Health; Workshop on Enhancing Capacity for Budget Analysis & Advocacy for Women’s and Children’s Health, Nairobi, Kenya, 27-30 August 2013, <http://www.who.int/pmnch/media/events/2013/tanzania.pdf> (August 2014). 251 “MDGs: Tanzania will Never Reduce Maternal Death Rates as Planned,” Business Times, 9 September 2011, <http://businesstimes.co.tz/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1366:-mdgs-tanzaniall-never-reducematernal-death-rates-as-planned&catid=1:latest-news&Itemid=57> (August 2014). 252 World Bank, Mortality Rate of Under-five deaths, 2008-2012 Table, World Bank, <http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.DYN.MORT> (August 2014). 253 Knoema, World Data Atlas, Under Five Mortality Rate in DRC, Knoema, 2012, <http://knoema.com/atlas/DemocraticRepublic-of-the-Congo/topics/Health/Health-Status/Under-5-mortality-rate> (August 2014). 254 Knoema, World Data Atlas, DRC province Profiles, Knoema, 2012, <http://knoema.com/atlas/Democratic-Republic-ofthe-Congo/Province-profiles> (August 2014). 255 Knoema, World Data Atlas, DRC Health Rankings, Knoema, <http://knoema.com/atlas/Democratic-Republic-of-theCongo/ranks/> (August 2014). 256 Knoema, World Data Atlas, DRC, Number of Maternal Deaths Ranked by Province, Knoema, 2009, <http://knoema.com/atlas/Democratic-Republic-of-the-Congo/ranks/No-of-Maternal-Deaths> (August 2014). 257 UNDP, Country Development Indicators Report for the DRC, UNDP, 2012. 258 Ibid. 259 Knoema, World Data Atlas, DRC Crude Mortality Rate (Ranking), Knoema, 2012, <http://knoema.com/atlas/ranks/Deathrate> (August 2014). 260 Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic staff reports, Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic, January 2014. 261 Notre Dame Climate Change Adaptation for Burundi, ND-GAIN, 2012, <Index, http://index.globalai.org/country/burundi> (November 2013). 262 Notre Dame Climate Change Adaptation for DRC, ND-GAIN, 2012, <http://index.globalai.org/country/dem-rep-of-thecongo> (November 2013.) 263 Westerman, Oleson, Harris, “Building Socio-ecological Resilience to Climate Change through Community-Based Coastal Conservation and Development: Experiences in Southern Madagascar,” Western Indian Ocean J. Mar. Sci. Vol. 11, No. 1 (2012): 87-97. 264 Altizer, Ostfeld, Johnson, Kutz, Havell, “Climate Change and Infectious Diseases: From Evidence to a Predictive Framework,” Science, Vol 341 (2 August 2013): 514-519. 265 ibid. 266 ibid. 267 ibid. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 124 “Making Development Climate Resilient: A World Bank Strategy for Sub-Saharan Africa,” World Bank Report No. 46947AFR, 30 October 2013. 269 McKinsey Global Institute, McKinsey Sustainability & Resource Productivity Practice, “Resource Revolution: Meeting the world’s energy, materials, food, and water needs,” McKinsey&Company (November 2011). 270 ibid. 271 “Africa Rising,” The Economist, 3 Dec 2011. 272 “Black Gold in the Congo: Threat to Stability or Development Opportunity,” Crisis Group, Africa Report # 188, 11 July 2012. 273 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2012. 274 Long, Nick. “Survey Shows Lake Tanganyika’s Oil ‘Potential’ in Tanzania,” Voice of America, 28 August 2012. 275 ibid. 276 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2012. 277 ibid. 278 Marijnissen, Saskia A.E., “Sustainable Catchment Management Interventions in the Uvira Territory, South Kivu Province, DRC,” February 2013. 279 ibid. 280 ibid. 281 ibid. 282 Ordinioha and Brisibe, “The human health implications of crude oil spills in the Niger delta, Nigeria: An interpretation of published studies,” Nigerian Medical Journal, Jan-Feb; 54(1): 10–16 posted on the U.S. National Library of Medical, National Institutes of Health, 2013, < http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3644738/> (April 2014). 283 ibid. 284 Pyagbara, Legborsi Saro, The Adverse Impacts of Oil Pollution on the Environment and Wellbeing of a Local Indigenous Community: The Experience of the Ogoni People of Nigeria, The United Nations International Expert Group Meeting on Indigenous Peoples and Protection of the Environment, 27-29 August 2007. 285 ibid. 286 Pitkin, Julia, “Oil, Oil, Everywhere: Environmental and Human Impacts of Oil Extraction in the Niger Delta,” Pamona University, Senior Thesis, Paper 88 (2013). 287 ibid. 288 Clark, Helen, “Avoiding the Resource Cure: Managing Extractive Industries for Human Development,” UNDP, October 2011. 289 “Mongolia: Development by Design,” The Nature Conservancy, <www.nature.org> (April 2014). 290 Keith, Jefferis, “The Role of NTCs in the Extractive Industry of Botswana,” Transnational Corporations, Vol. 18, No. 1 (April 2009) 291 ibid. 292 Transparency International Corruptions Perception Index for 2013, Transparency International, <http://cpi.transparency.org/cpi2013/results> (April 2014). 293 Republic of Botswana Mines and Minerals Act 1999, Government Gazette, 17 September 1999, <http://www.mines.gov.bw/mines%20and%20minerals%20%20Act.pdf> (April 2014). 294 Carbonnier, Wagner, and Brugger, The Impact of Resource-Dependence and Governance on Sustainable Development, The Center on Conflict, Development and Peacebuilding, Graduate Institute of Geneva, 2011 295 Walt, Vivienne, “We Did Not Predict This” – Top Algerian Ministry Discusses January Hostage Crisis, Time Magazine, February 11, 2013 296 ibid. 297 Magnowsk, Daniel, “Nigeria Economy Set to Leapfrog South Africa on Data Revamp,” Bloomberg, 4 April 2014, <http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-03/nigeria-s-economy-set-to-leapfrog-south-africa-on-data-overhaul.html> (August 2014). 298 United Kingdom Foreign Travel Advice, Nigeria, UK Government, April 2014, <https://www.gov.uk/foreign-traveladvice/nigeria/terrorism> (April 2014). 299 Donnelly, Elizebeth, “Nigeria’s child catchers,” Chatham House, The World: June 2014, Volume 70, Number 3, <http://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/nigeria%E2%80%99s-child-catchers> (June 2014). 300 “Boko Haram Seizing Villages in Niger, Washington Post, 4 June 2014, <http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/africa/witnesses-boko-haram-seizing-villages-in-nigeria/2014/06/04/5237740cec01-11e3-b10e-5090cf3b5958_story.html> (June 2014). 301 Nzwili, Fredrick, “Africa’s Islamic extremist groups are on the rise,” Washington Post, 29 May 2014, <http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/religion/africas-islamic-extremist-groups-are-on-the-rise/2014/05/29/68358f48e754-11e3-a70e-ea1863229397_story.html> (June 2014). 302 “Curbing Violence in Nigeria (II): The Boko Haram Insurgency,” Africa Report No. 216, International Crisis Group, 3 April 2014, <http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/africa/west-africa/nigeria/216-curbing-violence-in-nigeria-ii-the-boko-haraminsurgency.aspx> (April 2014). 303 Stearns, Jason, “From CNDP to M23: The Evolution of an armed movement in eastern Congo,” Rift Valley Institute, Usalama Project, 2012. 304 “DR Congo Risks Violence Despite Rebel Defeat,” Al Jazeera, 7 January 2014. 305 “Security Council Authorizes Year-long Mandate Extension for United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in Democratic Republic of Congo,” United Nations Security Council, SC/11340, 28 March 2014, <http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2014/sc11340.doc.htm> (April 2014). 306 Smith, David, “Human catastrophe in DRC's Katanga province being ignored, warns UN,” The Guardian, 30 January 2014, <http://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2014/jan/30/drc-democratic-republic-congo-katanga-humanitariancatastrophe-un> (February 2014). 307 Stearns, Jason K., Dancing in the Glory of Monsters, New York: Public Affairs (2011). 308 United Nations, Final report of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 22 January 2014, 268 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 125 <www.securitycouncilreport.org/atf/cf/%7B65BFCF9B-6D27-4E9C-8CD3-CF6E4FF96FF9%7D/s_2014_42.pdf> (July 2014) 309 ibid. 310 United Nations, UN Report by the Group of Experts on the DRC on preliminary findings of support to the M23 and escalation of conflict in the Great Lakes region, 27 November 2012 (pursuant to UNSCR 1533 (2004) and extended pursuant to the UNSCR 2021 (2011) 311 Ibid. 312 United Nations, Final report of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 22 January 2014, <www.securitycouncilreport.org/atf/cf/%7B65BFCF9B-6D27-4E9C-8CD3-CF6E4FF96FF9%7D/s_2014_42.pdf> (July 2014): 8-9. 313 UNHCR DRC Country Profile, August 2014, < http://www.unhcr.org/pages/49e45c366.html> (June 2014). 314 “M23’s insurgency is over but crisis and displacement continues,” ReliefWeb, 14 November 2014 <http://reliefweb.int/report/democratic-republic-congo/m23-s-insurgency-over-crisis-and-displacement-continues > (May 2014). 315 United Nations, Final report of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 22 January 2014, <www.securitycouncilreport.org/atf/cf/%7B65BFCF9B-6D27-4E9C-8CD3-CF6E4FF96FF9%7D/s_2014_42.pdf> (July 2014): 316 http://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=S/2013/433 (need updated 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migrants expelled from Tanzania “Dire,” International Organizations for Migration, 22 November 2013. 331 Arimatsu, Mistry, “Conflict Minerals: The Search for a Normative Framework,” Chatham House, September 2012. 332 Water Security: The Water-Food-Energy-Climate Nexus, The World Economic Forum Water Initiative (Island Press, 2011): 7. 333 Resource Revolution: Meeting the world’s energy, materials, food, and water needs, McKinsey Global Institute, McKinsey Sustainability & Resource Productivity Practice, London: McKinsey&Company (November 2011). 334 U.S. Department of State, Bureau of Oceans and International Environmental Scientific Affairs, <www.state.gov/e/oes/water> (December 2012). 335 Black, King, The Atlas of Water: Mapping the World’s Most Critical Resource (University of California Press, 2009): 86. 336 “U.S. Energy Sustainability: The Missing Piece,” Sandia National Laboratory, <http://www.sandia.gov/energywater/nexus_overview.htm> (August 2014). 337 Lavelle, Marianne, Grose, Thomas K., “Water Demand for Energy to Double by 2035,” National Geographic, 30 January 2013. 338 Schellnhuber, H. J., et al; “Turn down the heat : climate extremes, regional impacts, and the case for resilience - full report,” World Bank, 19 June 2013 339 ibid. 340 ibid. 341 ibid. 342 Null, Schuyler, “New Partnerships for Climate Change Adaptation and Peacebuilding in Africa,” Wilson Center New Security Beat Blog, 8 April 2013, <http://www.newsecuritybeat.org/2013/04/partnerships-climate-change-adaptationpeacebuilding-africa> (January 2014). 343 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change, 2007, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Pachauri, R.K. and Reisinger, A., IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 2007, <http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_ipcc_fourth_assessment_report_synthesis_report.htm> (June 2014). 344 ibid. 345 Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic, <www.floatingclinic.org> (June 2014). 346 “Conservation Strategy for Great Lakes in East and Central Africa,” Birdlife International and Partners, July 17, 2012 347 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change, 2007, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Pachauri, R.K. and Reisinger, A., IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 2007, <http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_ipcc_fourth_assessment_report_synthesis_report.htm> (June 2014). 348 “What Climate Change Means for Africa, Asia, and the Coastal Poor,” The World Bank, 19 June 2013. 349 Cooke, Kieran, “Climate Change Adds to East Africa’s Food Plight,” Climate News Network, 20 December 2013. 350 IPIECA-GEMI Water Risk Assessment Tools and Webinar, 2014, <http://www.ipieca.org/publication/ipieca-gemi-water-riskassessment-tools-webinar-and-workshop-outcomes-summary> (June 2014). 351 Hsiang, Burke, Miguel, “Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict,” Science, (August 2013): 341. The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 126 “Study Links Climate Change and Violence, Battle Ensures,” Science Vol. 341, 2 August 2013. Hsiang, Burke, Miguel, “Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict,” Science, (August 2013): 341. 354 Shepherd, Ben, “Oil in Uganda: International Lessons for Success,” Chatham House, February 2013 355 “Chad: Escaping from the Oil Trap,” International Crisis Group, Africa Briefing No. 65, August 26, 2009 356 Artur Colom Jaen, “Lessons from the Failure of Chad’s oil Revenue Management Model,” Real Instituto Elcano, 3 December 2010, <www.realinstitutoelcano.org> (April 2014). 357 Shepherd, Ben, “Oil in Uganda: International Lessons for Success,” Chatham House, February 2013. 358 Dizolele, Mvemba, “The Costs and Consequences of Dodd-Frank Section 1502: Impacts on America and the Congo,” Testimony presented at the U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Financial Services, Subcommittee on International Monetary Policy and Trade, 10 May 2012. 359 US Agency for International Development Resilience Program, USAID, <www.usaid.gov/resilience> (March 2014). 360 “USAID Launches Policy and Program Guidance on Building Resilience to Recurrent Crisis,” USAID Press Release, 29 November 2012, <www.usaid.gov/news-information/press-releases/usaid-launches-policy-and-program-guidance-buildingresilience> (November 2013). 361 East African Community, <http://www.eac.int/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1&Itemid=53> (June 2014). 362 South African Development Community, Fact and Figures, <http://www.sadc.int/about-sadc/overview/sadc-factsfigures/> (June 2014). 363 South African Development Community, Overview, <http://www.sadc.int/about-sadc/overview/sadc-objectiv/> (June 2014). 364 United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, <http://www.uneca.org/pages/overview> (July 2014). 365 United Nations Environment Program, <http://www.unep.org/about/> (July 2014). 366 MAISHA Program, Jhpiego, <http://www.jhpiego.org/content/you-saved-mothers-life-week> (August 2014). 367 Tuungane Project, The Nature Conservancy, <http://www.nature.org/ourinitiatives/regions/africa/wherewework/tuungane-project.xml> (August 2014) 368 Girls’ Scholarship Project, Kigoma, Tanzania, Jane Goodall Institute, <http://www.janegoodall.org/programs/girlsscholarship-project> (September 2014). 369 GMU, Western Tanzania, Jane Goodall Institute, <http://www.janegoodall.org/programs/gmu> (September 2014) 370 “Natural Capital: Valuing goods and services from the natural environment,” International Institute for Sustainable Development, <http://www.iisd.org/natres/agriculture/capital.asp> (August 2014). 371 http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/environment/brief/environmental-economics-natural-capital-accounting 372 “What is natural capital?” World Forum of Natural Capital, <http://www.naturalcapitalforum.com/what-is-naturalcapital> (August 2014). 373 “Making Development Climate Resilient: A World Bank Strategy for Sub-Saharan Africa,” World Bank Report No. 46947AFR, 30 October 2013. 374 African Union, African Convention on the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources, <http://www.au.int/en/sites/default/files/AFRICAN_CONVENTION_CONSERVATION_NATURE_NATURAL_RESOURCES.pdf> (July 2014). 375 Lake Tanganyika Authority, The Strategic Action Program for the Protection of Biodiversity and Sustainable Management of Natural Resources in Lake Tanganyika and its Basin, Lake Tanganyika Authority in partnership with UNDP, GEF, and the Global Environment Facility, 2011. 376 Lake Tanganyika Authority, Countries, <http://lta.iwlearn.org/Countries> (March 2013). 377 Lake Tanganyika Authority, Management Program, <http://lta.iwlearn.org/management-program> (March 2013). 378 “DR Congo's Lubumbashi hit by fighting,” BBC, 7 January 2014, <http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-25645434> (January 2014). 379 Kulish, Nicholas, “Congo Rebels, After Giving Up Struggle, Are Disarmed,” New York Times, 7 November 2013. 380 United Nations, Final report of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo (Letter dated 22 January 2014 from the Coordinator of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo addressed to the President of the Security Council), <www.securitycouncilreport.org/atf/cf/%7B65BFCF9B-6D27-4E9C-8CD3CF6E4FF96FF9%7D/s_2014_42.pdf> (July 2014) 381 Shepherd, Ben, “The Fall of the M23: African Geopolitics and the DRC,” Chatham House, 14 November 2013. 382 United Nations, Final report of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo (Letter dated 22 January 2014 from the Coordinator of the Group of Experts on the Democratic Republic of the Congo addressed to the President of the Security Council), <www.securitycouncilreport.org/atf/cf/%7B65BFCF9B-6D27-4E9C-8CD3CF6E4FF96FF9%7D/s_2014_42.pdf> (July 2014) 383 Kulish, Nicholas, “After Outside Pressure, Rebels in Congo Lay Down Their Arms,” The New York Times, 5 November 2013. 384 “Congo Signs Peace Deal with M23 Rebels,” Reuters, 12 December 2013. 385 “Surestream Petroleum awarded exploration licenses in Malawi,” Surestream News Release, 22 September 2011, <http://www.surestream-petroleum.com/news.aspx> (December 2013). 386 “Burundi: WGP awarded Surestream Petroleum contract for seismic vessel conversion,” Energy-pedia News, 20 Sep 2011, <http://www.energy-pedia.com/news/burundi/wgp-awarded-surestream-petroleum-contract-for-seismic-vesselconversion> (December 2013). 387 “Coltan Mining in the DRC,” Computer Industry Impacts on the Environment and Society, University of Michigan, <http://sitemaker.umich.edu/section002group3/coltan_mining_in_democratic_republic_of_the_congo> (September 2013). 388 ibid. 389 Bootsma and Hecky, “Conservation of the African Great Lakes: A Limnological Perspective,” Conservation Biology, Vol. 7, Issue 3, September 1993. 390 Millennium Development Goals, World Bank, <http://data.worldbank.org/about/millennium-development-goals> (June 2014). 391 Millennium Development Goals, United Nations, <www.un.org/millenniumgoals> (June 2014). 392 Nassim Nicholas Taleb biographical information, Polytechnic Institute of Engineering, New York, <http://engineering.nyu.edu/people/nassim-nicholas-taleb> (Oct 2013). 393 Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder, New York: Random House (2012). 352 353 The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic 127 About Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic The Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic (LTFHC) is an international NGO whose goal is to create healthcare infrastructure and provide health services to the 12 million acutely impoverished people living in the Lake Tanganyika Basin, one of the most remote regions in the world. The LTFHC has a very diverse staff base which enables it to provide medical care and collect unique information from the field in this remote area. Medical and logistical experts work alongside former child soldiers, refugees from multiple backgrounds, tribes, and factions in the Great Lakes region. Recognizing the complexity of the region, the LTFHC has mobilized itself to engage on policy, legislation and technologies that promote effective development, transparency and ensure the safety of Lake Tanganyika’s populations. Get Involved The LTFHC is ready to work with organizations that are issue-based or projectbased, providing a range of data, knowledge, expertise and the capabilities to help global and local initiatives succeed. To find out more about our work on Lake Tanganyika, talk to one of our staff or receive our full brochure, please make contact now. 1646 North Leavitt Street, Chicago, Illinois 60647 + 1.312.715.8342 www.floatingclinic.org [email protected] facebook: www.facebook.com/LTFHC Twitter: twitter.com/@LTFHC The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic The work of the Lake Tanganyika Floating Health Clinic
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