2013 T3 Interna-onal Conference Nspired Probability, Polynomials and CAS Goals 2013 T3 Interna-onal Conference Steve Phelps Madeira High School Cincinna-, OH [email protected] • Discover the connec-on between probability objects (spinners, dice) and polynomials • Use polynomial mul-plica-on to model probability situa-ons (the sum of two spins of a spinner, or the sum of the rolls of two dice) • Use polynomial factoring to model probability situa-ons (construc-ng new dice that meet certain condi-ons) 1 2 Essen-al Ques-on Is it possible to find a different pair of six-‐sided dice with posi-ve integer face values that have the same distribu-on of rolls as a pair of standard six-‐ sided dice? Let’s begin to answer this Essen-al Ques-on by playing a game. 3 Spin the two spinners and add the results. What are the possible sums? 4 Possible Sums -‐3, -‐2, -‐1, 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 5 Steve Phelps [email protected] 6 1 2013 T3 Interna-onal Conference Play a Game Seang up the Spreadsheet • Write down the 10 sums that YOU think will be the first ten sums to appear as a result of spinning the two spinners 10 -mes. • The first person to cross off all their numbers “wins.” • We will model the spins using a List & Spreadsheet. 7 From Spinner to Polynomial 8 From Spinner to Polynomial 2x −1 + x 0 + x 2 • The EXPONENTS are the values on the spinner. • The COEFFICIENTS are the rela-ve weights of each value (-‐1 occurs twice as oeen as 0 or 2), x −2 + x −1 + x 1 + x 2 • The EXPONENTS are the values on the spinner. • The COEFFICIENTS are the rela-ve weights of each value. 9 Spinning Both Spinners What Does it Mean? • The EXPONENTS are the SUMS of the two spinners. • The COEFFICIENTS are the number of ways the sum can occur. Mul-plying the two polynomials is equivalent to spinning the two spinners 11 Steve Phelps [email protected] 10 12 2 2013 T3 Interna-onal Conference Do It With Probabili-es! Let’s work towards an answer to our Essen-al Ques-on by exploring a simpler problem. • The EXPONENTS are the values on the spinner. • The COEFFICIENTS are the probabili-es of each value. 13 Two Four-‐Sided Dice: What is The Distribu-on of The Sums? 14 Two Four-‐Sided Dice: What is The Distribu-on of The Sums? 15 One way to roll an 8, two ways to roll a 7, three ways to roll a 6, four ways to roll a 5, and so on... 16 Factor Is it possible to construct two other 4-‐sided dice that have the same distribu-on of sums? There are six factors! 17 Steve Phelps [email protected] 18 3 2013 T3 Interna-onal Conference Rearrange the Factors • Both dice are 4-‐sided • One dice has one 4, two 3’s and one 2 • The other has one 4, two 2’s and one 0 What About This? • One die is 8-‐sided, the other is 2-‐sided. 19 What About This? • Both dice are 4-‐sided • One dice has one 3, two 2s and one 1 • The other has one 5, two 3’s and one 1 20 Back to our Essen-al Ques-on Is it possible to find a different pair of six-‐sided dice with posi-ve integer face values that have the same distribu-on of rolls as a pair of standard six-‐ sided dice? 21 Rolling Two 6-‐sided Dice 22 Factor Each dice is represented as a polynomial by x + x2 + x3 + x4 + x5 + x6 23 Steve Phelps [email protected] • There are 8 factors • We need to choose factors that will create a polynomial whose coefficients are all posi-ve and sum to 6. 24 4 2013 T3 Interna-onal Conference This Would NOT Work... This DOES Work 25 26 Sicherman Dice Differences • Other than the obvious, how are Sicherman Dice different from a pair of 6-‐sided dice Standard Sicherman 27 Extension Ques-ons for Sicherman Dice References • How would Monopoly change with these dice? • How would Backgammon change with these dice? • How would Craps change with these two dice? • How would Yahtzee change using these dice? 29 Steve Phelps [email protected] 28 • hop://plus.maths.org/content/os/issue41/ features/hobbs/index • hop://plus.maths.org/content/non-‐transi-v-‐ dice • hop://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sicherman_dice • hop://mathworld.wolfram.com/ SichermanDice.html • hop://www.cut-‐the-‐knot.org/arithme-c/ combinatorics/Sicherman.shtml 30 5
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