International Journal of Epidemiology ©International Epidemlological Association 1988 Vol. 17, No. 3 Printed in Great Britain Mortality from Ischaemic Heart Disease and Cerebrovascular Disease in Greenland PETER BJERREGAARD* AND J0RN DYERBERGt A line of scientific investigations on thromboembolic and atherosclerotic disease has been based on the observation that Greenlanders have a low incidence of Ischaemic Heart Disease (IHD), and an increased bleeding tendency, both phenomena attributed to the intake of n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids, abundant in the Greenlandic diet.1-2 The evidence for a low incidence of IHD in Greenlanders has so far been based on a few scientific reports3'4 and on official mortality statistics.5 The latter are not very detailed and do not allow a distinction between mortality in native Greenlanders, who make up approximately 80% of the population, and Danes. Also, the validity of the Greenlandic mortality statistics has been questioned.'The recent establishment of a computerized death register for Greenland allows a much more detailed analysis of mortality data than hitherto available, at present for the period 1968-83.7 for 1975-83 was the official register of the National Board of Health of Denmark. For the period 1968-83, 92% of the deaths were registered by a death certificate and accordingly had a diagnosis of cause of death. The causes of death were coded in the National Board of Health by the same officials who code the Danish death certificates, thus ensuring a comparable coding practice. Causes of death were coded according to the ICD (8th revision). For 1968 all death certificates were recoded manually as they were originally coded according to the ICD (7th revision). Only the underlying cause of death was considered. Population data stem from the census of 1970 and 1976 and from the civil registration records of Greenland. They are believed to be fairly accurate. The distinction between native Greenlanders and Danes is customarily based on the place of birth. This is not a perfect social or ethnic classification, but the vast majority of native Greenlanders thus defined are socially and racially Greenlanders of predominantly Inuit origin. Rates are presented as age-specific mortality rates per 10 000. Direct age-standardization to the average native population of Greenland 1968-83 was applied in Table 7. Confidence limits of rates were calculated from tabulated values of the Poisson distribution, while those of ratios were calculated as MATERIAL AND METHODS The Greenlandic Death Register has information on all deaths of people resident in Greenland at the time of death. For the period 1968-74, the register was established by one of the authors from information from death certificates, parish registers and the civil registration records of Greenland, while the register RR(1±Z/X)- 8 * Dinish Institute for Clinical Epidemiology, Copenhagen, Denmark. Reprint requests to Dr P. Bjerregaard, Kenya Expanded Programme on Immunization, PO Box 20781, Nairobi, Kenya, t Department of Clinical Chemistry, Aalborg Hospital, Section North, 9000 Aalborg, Denmark. RESULTS Total mortality (1968-83) in native Greenlandic males 514 Downloaded from http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/ at Pennsylvania State University on September 17, 2016 Bjerregaard P (Danish Institute for Clinical Epidemiology, Copenhagen, Denmark) and Dyerberg J. Mortality from ischaemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease in Greenland. International Journal of Epidemiology 1988; 17: 514-519. Mortality 1968-83 from Ischaemic Heart Disease (IHD) and Cerebrovascular Disease (CD) was studied in .native Greenlanders. Mortality from IHD was lower in Greenland than in Denmark for both rrtales and females and especially low in Greenlandic settlements. IHD mortality decreased during the period. Mortality from CD was higher in Greenland than in Denmark with no certain time trend. Living conditions, of which a high intake of seafood may be a key factor, and/or a genetic predisposition seem to protect Greenlanders from IHD and to predispose them to CD. 515 MORTALITY FROM IHD AND CD IN GREENLAND TABLE 1 Age-ttandardized mortality ratioi between Greenland (native Greenlanden, 1968-83) and Denmark (1980). Cardiovascular diseases and all causes. Point estimates with 95% confidence intervals in brackets Males Females Standardized mortality ratio 7.4 36 23 4.5 (3.3-16.6) (1.9-10.8) 1.2 1.2 8 (0.4-3.2) 8 (0.4-3.5) 0.6 194 0.9 (0.5-0.7) 169 (0.7-1.1) 4.4 116 4.8 (3.0-6.5) 93 (3.1-7.4) 1.6 2.4 30 42 (1.4-4.1) (0.9-2.9) 1.1 0.8 10 (0.5-2.8) 8 (0.3-2.0) 1.0 394 1.4 (0.9-1.1) 343 (1.2-1.6) 3084 2.4 2.3 2201 (2.2-2.5) (2.3-2.6) living in Greenland was 2.4 times higher than that of Danish males living in Denmark (1980); for females the ratio was 2.3 (Table 1). These ratios cover pronounced differences between causes of death. In particular, infectious diseases and accidents were registered frequently as causes of death in Greenland compared with Denmark. The Greenland/Danish ratio for total cardiovascular mortality was 1.0 and 1.4 for males and females, respectively, but this covered ratios of 4.4 to 7.4 for rheumatic fever and 'other heart diseases' and 0.6 to 0.9 for IHD. Mortality rates from IHD was lower in native Greenlanders living in Greenland than in Danes living No. in Denmark in all age groups and both sexes (Table 2). The Greenland/Denmark ratio was below 0.5 except in 15-44 year old females, where rates were very low in both ethnic groups. When the percentage of deaths from IHD are compared even lower ratios are noted. The pattern of mortality from IHD was similar in Greenlanders and Danes: the mortality rate increased rapidly with age in both sexes and was higher in males than in females. Also, in both populations the difference between males and females diminished with age. The time trend of mortality from LHD in native Greenlanders is shown in Table 3. For both males and females in all three age groups there was a substantial TABLE 2 Mortality rates per 10 000 person-years and percentage of deaths from IHD (ICD 410-414) in native Greenlanden Uving in Greenland (1979-83) and population of Denmark (1980). Point estimates with 95% confidence intervals in brackets Age group 15-44 Rate Males Greenland Denmark Greenland/ Denmark ratio Females Greenland Denmark Greenland/ Denmark ratio % of deaths 0.5 0.7 (0.1-1.5) (0.1-2.1) 1.0 0.5 6.5 0.1 (0.2-1.6) (0.04-0.3) 0.2 0.7 (0-0.7) (0-2.6) 0.2 0.9 2.3 0.3 (0.1-6.5) (0.1-2.0) 65+ 45-64 No. 3 114 1 23 Rate % of deaths 12.0 (7.0-19.3) 38.7 (3.9-10.7) 32.8 0.3 0.2 (0.2-0 S) (0.1-0.3) 6.7 4.8 3.9 (1.9-9.8) (1.6-8.0) 14.1 9.8 0.5 (0.2-1.0) 0.3 (0.1-0.5) No. 17 2063 Rate % of deaths 115.7 (83.8-155.9) 247.3 13.5 (9.8-18.2) 35.8 0.5 7 549 (0.3-0.5) 63.9 (44J-89.3) 158.9 10.3 (7.1-14.4) 33.1 (0.3-0.6) 43 7710 0.4 (0.3-0.6) 0.4 No. 0.3 (0.2-0.4) 34 6775 Downloaded from http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/ at Pennsylvania State University on September 17, 2016 Rheumatic fever and chronic rheumatic heart disease (ICD 390-398) Hypertensive disease (ICD 40O-4O4) Iichaemic heart disease (ICD 410-414) Other heart A™***** (ICD 420-429) Diseases of arteries, arteriola and capillaries (ICD 440-448) Other ditrasci of circulatory system (ICD 450-458) Total cardiovascular diseases (ICD 390-429. 440-458) All causes Standardized mortality ratio No. 516 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY TAILE 3 Mortality rates per 10 000 person-years from 1HD (1CD 410-414) in native Gnenlanden with 95% confidence intervals in bracket! 1968-72 Age group 15-44 No. 1.1 4 Rate 45-64 Males Females 65+ Males Female* No. 2 0.4 (0.3-2.7) (0-13) 0.3 Females 1979-83 1973-78 Rate Miles living in Greenland (1968-83). Point estimates 1 0.6 11 37 54 reduction in mortality rates over the years 1968/72 to 1979/83. The decrease was on average 40%, but only statistically significant for females in the 65+ age group. Danes make up 20% of the population of Greenland, but account for only 5% of deaths because many Danes in Greenland only stay for a few years while employed in government services or private companies and return to Denmark if they become seriously ill. In spite of this the mortality rate for IHD in Danish males living in Greenland was as high or even higher than that of Greenlandic males. The proportion of deaths from IHD in the Danish males living in Greenland was similar to that of Danes living in Denmark and much higher than that of the native Greenlanders (Table 4). Cerebrovascular disease (CD) can be haemorrhagic or ischaemic and it is difficult to distinguish the two types from purely clinical criteria. As autopsy is very infrequently performed in Greenland the differentiation between the two types in Greenland is highly uncertain. In Greenland around 40% of CD deaths were diagnosed as cerebral haemorrhage and 10% as thrombotic cerebrovascular disease as opposed to 30% 0.5 3 (0.1-1.5) (0.1-1.7) 16.2 (10.3-24.4) 92 (5.0-15.4) 125.3 (91.7-167.1) 82.1 (59.7-110.2) 19 No. 3 0.2 1 23 (0-0.7) 12.0 (7.0-19.3) 17 4.8 7 14 (1.9-9.8) 115.7 (83.8-155.9) 63.9 (44.3-89.3) 46 44 43 34 and 15%, respectively, in Denmark. The percentages were similar for males and females. Mortality rates from CD, including cerebral haemorrhage, thrombotic cerebrovascular disease and unspecified cerebrovascular disease, was consistently higher in native Greenlanders living in Greenland than in Danes living in Denmark, on average twice as high (Table 5). Also for this disease the mortality rate in males was higher than in females, the difference decreasing with age. No statistically significant alteration in the mortality rate from CD was noted from 1968/72 to 1979/83 (Table 6). Age-standardized mortality rates from IHD and CD were compared between Denmark and Greenlandic towns and settlements (Table 7). IHD was less frequent in settlements than in towns for both males and females, but this was statistically significant only in females. IHD mortality rate in males of Denmark was higher than in both towns and settlements in Greenland, but for females there was no difference between Denmark and Greenlandic towns. CD was less frequent in settlements than in towns for males, but no difference was observed for females. For both sexes, TABLE 4 Mortality from IHD (1CD 410-414) in native Greenlanders living in Greenland (1968-83), Dana living in Greenland (1968-83) and population of Denmark (1980). Rates per 10000 penon-yean and percentage of deaths. Males only. Point estimates with 95% confidence intervals in brackets Age group 15-44 Rate Grecnlandcn Danes in Greenland Danes % of deaths 0.6 0.9 (0.3-1.1) (0.4-1.7) 1.3 6.7 (0.6-2.5) (3.1-12.7) 1.0 6.5 45-64 No. 9 9 114 Rate % of deaths 15.6 9.0 (11.9-20.1) 12.9 (7.2-21.3) 38.7 (6.9-11.6) 19.7 (11.1-32.6) 32.8 65+ No. 59 15 2063 Rate % of deaths 126.2 16.4 (105.2-150.3) (13.7-19.6) 195.3 41.7 (93.8-359.2) (20.0-76.6) 35.8 247.3 No. 126 10 7710 Downloaded from http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/ at Pennsylvania State University on September 17, 2016 (0-1.0) 19.9 (12.0-31.0) 10.1 (5.0-18.0) 143.1 (100.8-197.3) 151.7 (114.0-197.9) Rate 517 MOETALTTY FROM IHD AND CD IN GREENLAND TABU 3 Mortality rates per 10000 penon-yean from CD (ICD 431-438) in native Greenlandtrs living in Greenland (1979-83) and population of Denmark (1980). Point estimates with 95% confidence interval] in bracket! Age group 15-44 65+ 45-64 V No. Rate Rate No. Males Greenland 0.3 2 12.7 (7.6-20.1) 18 Denmark (0-1.2) 0.2 22 4.3 3.0 230 1.8 (0.4-7.4) (1.9-4.7) Orttnland/Denmarfc ratio Females Greenland 2 0.4 7 0.1 5.8 (1.5-23 2) 9 161 DISCUSSION The validity of Greenlandic mortality statistics is not high, primarily because most deaths occur at home or in small hospitals with limited diagnostic facilities, and because autopsy is only occasionally performed. Mortality analyses should not be conducted at too detailed a diagnostic level. The predictive value of the diagnose 'Heart Disease' on a death certificate has been estimated as only 0.55 while the sensitivity was 0.92; corresponding figures for CD were 0.87 and 0.93.' There is considerable overdiagnosing of all heart disease and, because it makes up 65% of the diagnoses within this group, consequently of IHD. This further strengthens the observation that mortality rates from IHD in native 95.9 (71.4-126.1) 58.1 51 2479 1.6 (1.3-2J) (1.1-4.1) Danish CD mortality rates were considerably lower than rates from Greenlandic towns and settlements. 2023 (1.5-2.6) 6.1 2.9 2.1 47 Greenlanders are considerably lower than in Danes, who have rates similar to those of other Western European and North American populations. As the absolute number of deaths is so small in Greenland it has not been possible to analyse the validity of diagnoses in different periods or regions; if such differences exist it may introduce bias when mortality rates are compared between periods or regions. The low mortality rate from IHD is supported by clinical observations of a low incidence of acute myocardial infarction and other forms of M D . M * " To what extent the high mortality rate from CD is caused by thrombotic or haemorrhagic disease is uncertain. The higher proportion of presumed haemorrhage in Greenlanders may give an indication,12 but the diagnostic distinction is not firmly based. An important point to note is that even though the TABLB 6 Mortality rataper 10 000 penon-yean from CD (ICD 431-438) in native Greenlanders living in Greenland (1968-83). Point estimates with 95% confidence intervals in brackets 1973-78 1968-72 Age group 15-44 Mates Female* 45-64 Mates Females 65+ Mates Females Rate 1.3 (0.4-3.1) 0.8 (0.2-2.4) 12.5 (6.5-21.9) 9.1 (4.4-16.8) 119.9 (81.5-170.2) 106.7 (75.5-146.5) No. 5 Rate 0.2 1979-83 No. 1.2 2 6 0.4 2 9 (0-1.3) 12.7 (7.6-20.1) 18 6.1 9 (0.4-2.5) 12 10 31 38 6.4 (2.9-12.1) 8.5 (4.5-14.6) 125.3 (91.7-167.1) 85.9 (62.9-114.5) No. 03 (0-1.2) 1 (0-0.7) 3 Rate 13 46 46 (2.8-11.6) 126.5 (92.9-168.2) 95.9 (71.4-126.1) 47 51 Downloaded from http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/ at Pennsylvania State University on September 17, 2016 Dennurk Greenland/Denmark ratio 126.5 (92.9-168.2) 64.9 No. 1.9 (2.8-11.6) (0-1.3) Rate 518 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY TABLE 7 Age-standardized mortality rates per 10 000 person-years. Direct standardization to average native population of Greenland 1968-83. Native Greenlanders living in towns and settlements of Greenland (1968-83), Denmark (1980). Point estimates with 95% confidence intervals in brackets Cerebrovascular disease iKhaemfc heart disease Mala Standardized rate Greenland Settlement! Towns Denmark Town/settlement ratio No. 5.3 6.2 57 137 10.0 9887 1.2 (0.9-1.5) Males Females Standardized rate No. 3.2 5.8 5.4 1.8 25 144 7347 (1.2-2.6) 3.1 6.4 1.8 2.1 (1.5-3.0) No. 32 139 2275 Standardized rate 5.8 5.3 1.9 0.9 No. 45 133 2647 (0.7-1.2) overdiagnosing, in spite of its present high level, could have declined due to a better understanding of the different morbidity patterns in Greenland and Western Europe, and to the recent availability of more sophisticated diagnostic equipment. Living conditions in Greenland vary greatly between towns, where life to some extent is much like that in Western Europe, and settlements where life is more traditionally Greenlandic. In particular, the diet in the settlements mainly comprises fish and/or sea mammals. Compared with Danish habits and with what is common in most European countries, the intake of seafood in the Greenland towns is, however, substantially higher. Mortality differences between towns and settlements were pronounced for IHD in females and for CD in males. Thesefindingscould be interpreted in the following way. Living conditions in Greenland among which the high intake of fish and sea mammals may be a key factor, and/or genetic predisposition, protect Greenlanders from LHD and predispose them to CD. Protection from IHD has increased in recent decades. The protective factor for IHD is operating for males in both towns and settlements, but for females in settlements only, while the predisposing factor for CD is operating for all Greenlanders irrespective of their place of residence, but it is most pronounced for males living in towns. A differentiation between the influence of external factors and genetic disposition would be possible through an analysis of mortality rates of expatriate Greenlanders, but the very small number of these and difficulties in terms of identification of the subpopulations have so far frustrated any attempt to perform this analysis. 1 REFERENCES Bang H O, Dyerberg J. The lipid metabolism in Greenlanders. Meddr Grtnland, Man A Soc 1981; 2; 1-18. Downloaded from http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/ at Pennsylvania State University on September 17, 2016 mortality rate from IHD is much lower in native Greenlanders living in Greenland than in Danes living in Denmark, and that from CD higher, the age/sex patterns still remain similar in the two populations, in particular a male:female rate ratio above 1, declining with age. Some previous studies of mortality from IHD in Greenland and Denmark compared percentages of deaths from this cause and found even lower Greenland/Denmark ratios. This is the reason why percentages were included in Tables 2 and 4. A comparison of percentages, however, does not give an epidemiologically correct picture; in the present case the percentage of IHD deaths in Greenland is low not only because of few deaths from IHD, but also because of a large number of deaths from other causes: the numerator is small and the denominator is large. Mortality rates from IHD have declined over the last two decade«. This is surprising as the proportion of people living in towns, where mortality rates are higher than in settlements, has been steadily increasing. Also, living conditions have become increasingly westernized in both towns and settlements. It is, in this respect, interesting to compare with the computations of Kromhout et a/,13 who found an inverse relationship between fish intake and coronary deaths in Holland over a 20-year period, even at a relatively low level of fish intake. The 'dilution' of the native Greenlandic life pattern by urbanization does not seem to adversely influence mortality rates from IHD. It must, however, be realized that the concentration of the population of Greenland in towns with subsequent westernization of lifestyle and eating habits did not start until 30 years ago, so the majority of people who died from IHD during the period of study had spent most of their lives in a traditional Greenlandic community. Another reason for the recorded decline in mortality rate from IHD in recent decades in Greenland could be that Standardized rate Females MORTALITY FROM IHD AND CD IN GREENLAND 2 DyerbergJ. Linotenate-derived polyunsaturated fatty adds and prevention of atherosclerosis. Nutr Rev 1986; 44: 125-34. 'Kromann N, Green A. Epidemiokigical itudies in tbe Upernavik District, Greenland. Aaa Med Scand 1980; 208: 401-6. 'Bjerregaard P, BJerregaard B. Disease pattern in Upenuvik in relation to bousing cooditioni and social group. Meddr Grtnland, ManASoc 1985; 8:1-20. 3 The State of 'Health in Greenland. Annual Report from tbe Chief Medical Officer in Greenland, 1950-85. * Hetweg-Lanen K. Tbe validity of the mortality statistics in Greenland with special reference to Ischaemic Heart Disease. Ara Med Res 1984; 38: 43-5. 7 Bjerregaard P. Grtnlandsk d«diaanagsregister. Ugeskr laeger 1985; 147: 3742. •Rothman J K. Modem epidemiology. Boston, Toronto, Little, Brown and Co., 1986. 519 ' Bjerregaard P. Validity of Greenlandic mortality statistics. Ara Med Res 1986; 42: 18-24. Sagild U, Jespenen C S, Littauer J. Hjertesygdomme paa Grinland. Nord Med 1966; 75: 7\6. " Miktrrtrn F. Coronary heart disease in Greenland. Nord CouncArc Med Res Rep 1974; 7: 36-9. a Dyerberg J, Bang H O. Haemostatic function and platelet potyunsaturated fatty acids in Eskimos. Lancet 1979; 2: 433-5. u Krombout D, Bosscnieter E B, Coulander C de L, The inrerse relation betweenfishconsumption and 20-year mortality from coronary heart daeve. N Engl J Med 1985; 3U: 1205-9. a (Revised version received June 1987) Downloaded from http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/ at Pennsylvania State University on September 17, 2016
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