Reference Values for Arterial Blood Gases in the Elderly* Jon A. Hardie, MD; William M. Vollmer, PhD; A. Sonia Buist, MD; Ivar Ellingsen, MD, PhD; and Odd Mørkve, MD, PhD Objectives: We present reference values for arterial blood gas measurements for persons > 70 years old. At the same time, we wish to examine how different criteria for exclusion from the reference sample with regard to previous smoking and various comorbidities might influence reference values. Methods: After first screening a random sample of the general elderly population by postal questionnaire, we selected 146 men and women without respiratory disease, significant dyspnea, symptomatic heart disease or hypertension, or current smoker status. Arterial blood samples were drawn from subjects while in the supine position. Results: The mean (SD; lower limit of normal) PaO2 and arterial oxygen saturation (SaO2) for men was 77.0 mm Hg (9.1; 62.0) and 95.3% (1.4; 93.0), respectively, and for women was 73.5 mm Hg (8.4; 59.6) and 94.8% (1.7; 92.0). Mean (SD; upper limit of normal) PaCO2 was 39.4 mm Hg (3.3; 44.8) for both sexes. None of the blood gas variables were associated with age, smoking history, or presence of various comorbidities. Conclusions: The reference values for PaO2 and SaO2 in elderly persons are sex specific but age independent. Ex-smokers and persons with nonpulmonary comorbidities who do not have significant respiratory symptoms need not be excluded from the reference sample for arterial blood gases. (CHEST 2004; 125:2053–2060) Key words: aged, 70 and over; blood gas analysis; frail elderly; reference; respiratory function tests Abbreviations: ATS/DLD ⫽ American Thoracic Society/Division of Lung Disease; BMI ⫽ body mass index; Fio2 ⫽ fraction of inspired oxygen; P(A-a)O2 ⫽ alveolar-arterial oxygen pressure gradient; Sao2 ⫽ arterial oxygen saturation; So2 ⫽ oxygen saturation of arterial blood gas tensions T heandmeasurement oxygen saturation (So ) is a cornerstone in 2 the evaluation of pulmonary disease severity. Reference values for arterial blood gases should be based on subjects representative of the general healthy population.1 With regards to the elderly population, designating a reference group of subjects is difficult due to extensive comorbidity and the large percent*From the Institute of Internal Medicine (Dr. Hardie), Deaconess Hospital, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway; Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Research (Dr. Vollmer), Portland, OR; Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine (Dr. Buist), Oregon Health Science University Portland, OR; and Department of Thoracic Medicine (Drs. Ellingsen and Mørkve), Haukeland Hospital, Bergen, Norway. Funding was provided by the University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway; Nasjonalforeningen for folkehelse, Oslo, Norway; GlaxoSmithKline, Oslo, Norway. Manuscript received June 25, 2003; revision accepted January 6, 2004. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians (e-mail: [email protected]). Correspondence to: Jon A. Hardie, MD, Institute of Internal Medicine, Deaconess Hospital, University of Bergen, Ulriksdal 8, N5009 Bergen, Norway; e-mail: [email protected] www.chestjournal.org age who have previously been smokers.2 While it is clear that current smokers should be excluded from the reference sample, it has not been established whether this applies to ex-smokers also. Existing reference values for arterial blood gases in the elderly are based on convenience samples or extrapolation of values in younger age groups, and therefore are not necessarily representative of the general lung-healthy, elderly population. Two studies within the last decade3,4 have published reference values for arterial blood gases in this age group. They found no evidence of the age-related fall in Pao2 that has been shown in numerous studies5–13 performed in younger age groups. Although survival effect may be the reason for this lack of age association,3 another explanation might be that previous studies had more exclusions for comorbidities and previous smoking. Unfortunately, the accuracy of different blood gas analyzers confounds the situation, so that reference values established in one laboratory cannot be applied to other laboratories without adding in a significant measure of interinstrument variation.14 CHEST / 125 / 6 / JUNE, 2004 Downloaded From: http://journal.publications.chestnet.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/journals/chest/22010/ on 06/14/2017 2053 Therefore, conclusions on how to establish reference values need to be based on comparisons of subjects tested at the same site. The aim of this study was to present reference values for arterial blood gas tensions (oxygen and carbon dioxide) in supine persons ⱖ 70 years old based on a random, general population sample. We also wish to establish a standard on which selection of an appropriate reference sample of the elderly population can be based. Materials and Methods This blood gas study was the second part of a two-phase study in which the first part was a postal questionnaire study on respiratory symptoms in the elderly population. The study was performed in the city of Bergen, Norway (population 209,000). The sample for this study was drawn in two phases. In the first phase, a sample was drawn from the general elderly population for the postal questionnaire study (sample size, n ⫽ 2,871; response, n ⫽ 1,649). The questionnaire concerned respiratory health and was based on the American Thoracic Society/Division of Lung Disease (ATS/DLD) respiratory questionnaire.15 The sample for the second phase (blood gas testing and spirometry) was drawn from the healthy responders. All respondents reporting any chronic or current acute respiratory disease, ATS/DLD dyspnea grade 4 (after 100 m on level ground), heart disease or hypertension if complicated by ATS/DLD dyspnea grade 3 (ever having to stop due to breathlessness on the level), or currentsmoker status were excluded. The phase-two sample size was 319 subjects. Of these 319 subjects, there were 153 participants who could meet at the clinic and 146 participants from whom an arterial blood sample was obtained. The seven persons who came to the clinic but did not give blood samples are considered among the nonresponders. The questionnaire also provides background data on those included in the reference sample as well as the nonresponders. Arterial Sampling Blood samples were drawn from the radial artery after the subject had been in supine position (approximate 30° elevation of the head and neck, horizontal thorax) for at least 10 min. Samples of 1.5 mL were drawn with a self-filling, polypropylene syringe containing 60 IU dry, electrolyte-balanced heparin (Radiometer PICO 70; Radiometer; Copenhagen, Denmark). Air pockets were expelled immediately after the sampling, and the sample was thereafter mixed gently until testing on the analyzers (approximately 3 to 7 min). To ensure that each sample was of arterial blood, we discarded samples in which the syringe did not fill quickly, and drew a new sample. None of the samples were obtained by aspiration. Local anesthesia was not used. None of the subjects received supplemental oxygen prior to or during the test period. Blood Gas Analysis The blood was analyzed sequentially by two analyzers (ABL 555 and ABL 625; Radiometer) in a prerandomized order. All samples were analyzed on both machines within 10 min. The average Pao2 and Paco2 of the two analyses on each sample are reported. The arterial oxygen saturation (Sao2) was measured by photometric method and only on the Radiometer ABL 625. The alveolar-arterial oxygen pressure gradient (P[A-a]O2) was calculated using the following equation: P(A ⫺ a)O2 ⫽ Fio2共bP ⫺ 47.18) ⫺ Paco2共Fio2 ⫹ 共1 ⫺ Fio2)/RQ兲 ⫺ Pao2 where Fio2 (fraction of inspired oxygen) ⫽ 0.2095, bP ⫽ measured barometric pressure, and RQ (respiratory quotient) ⫽ 0.83. Quality Control Calibration of the two blood gas analyzers was checked/ performed several times daily, automatically, and on a predetermined schedule. Quality control using tonometered bovine hemoglobin-based material (Equil Plus G/L; RNA Medical; Ft. Devens, MA)16,17 at one or more of three different levels for Po2 and Pco2 was performed on each day of testing in connection with this study. Quality control results are presented in Table 1. Both of the analyzers systematically give Po2 values over target for the tonometered blood with a mean over estimation of 2.3 mm Hg in the approximate pressure level applicable in this study. Quality control of So2 measurements of Radiometer ABL 625 was performed daily using standardized aqueous solutions with germicide added (Radiometer, Bergmann Diagnostic; Copenhagen, Denmark) at two of four different levels of So2. After the blood was drawn, spirometry was performed using a Vitalograph wedge bellows spirometer. All measurements were performed and reported according to American Thoracic Society recommendations.18 Normal values for spirometry are based on our own never-smoking subjects.19 Statistical Analysis Differences between the subject group and the nonresponders were tested using Pearson 2 or adjusted 2 for categorical Table 1—Quality Control Data for the Two Radiometer Blood Gas Analyzers Used in the Study Po2, mm Hg Pco2, mm Hg Variables Level I Level II Level III Level I Level II Level III Target ABL 555 mean Range ABL 625 mean Range Mean deviation from target for both analyzers Range Deviation from target (mean deviation/target), % 100.7 103.2 100.8–110.1 104.3 100.8–106.2 3.0 0–9.3 2.98 69.9 71.8 70.7–73.5 72.5 70.9–74.8 2.3 0.83–5.0 3.29 40.8 41.9 41.2–43.5 42.3 41.1–43.5 1.3 0.30–2.7 3.19 70.8 69.1 66.8–70.4 69.4 67.8–70.9 ⫺ 0.81 ⫺ 3.3–0.83 1.1 41.0 40.3 39.5–41.1 41.1 40.5–43.5 ⫺ 0.25 ⫺ 1.5–2.6 0.61 19.6 19.4 19.0–19.8 19.4 18.9–19.9 ⫺ 0.16 ⫺ 0.60–0.38 0.82 2054 Downloaded From: http://journal.publications.chestnet.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/journals/chest/22010/ on 06/14/2017 Clinical Investigations Table 2—Descriptive Data on the Reference Sample Variables Total Male (n ⫽ 146) (n ⫽ 79) Female (n ⫽ 67) Neversmoker Ex-smoker (n ⫽ 90) (n ⫽ 56) Age, % 70–74 yr 27 25 28 27 27 75–79 yr 27 30 24 29 25 80–84 yr 21 24 18 23 18 85–89 yr 10 8 12 9 11 ⱖ 90 yr 15 13 18 12 20 BMI, mean 25.7 (3.8) 25.2 (3.2) 26.2 (4.3) 26.0 (3.7) 25.2 (3.8) (SD) variables, and independent-samples t test for continuous variables. We screened for predictors of blood gas values using independent-samples t test for categorical predictors and the Pearson correlation for continuous predictor variables. Multiple linear regression was performed for the analysis of association between dependent and predictor variables. All variables were entered in a single step then removed in backward fashion based on the probability of f statistic. Criterion for removing was p ⬎ 0.05. Statistical analyses were performed with SPSS 9.0 (SPSS; Chicago, IL). Outlier analysis was performed graphically using a scatter plot. Variable interaction terms were created as the arithmetic product of two variables. These interaction variables were created for all interaction between the variables sex, age, smoking history, Paco2, FEV1 as percentage of predicted, FEV1/FVC ratio, and body mass index (BMI). Upper and lower limits of normal (ie, 95th and fifth percentiles) were calculated as mean ⫾ 1.65 ⫻ SD. The regional committee on medical ethics approved the study. Results Of the 319 persons selected for participation in the study, there were 146 persons in whom we were able to obtain an arterial blood sample. The demographic characteristics of the 146 subjects are presented in Table 2. Our goal was to have equal number representation for all of the age groups and for each sex. We fell short of this, ending up with a moderate overrepresentation of the younger ages and male subjects. Among the subjects, there were slightly more ex-smokers than desired (one third). Subjects and nonresponders are compared with regards to demographic data and questionnaire response in Table 3. The 173 nonresponders were significantly older, more frequently female, and were approximately three times as likely to have a walking disability and/or be living in a nursing home. Nonresponders were more likely to report having heart disease and/or having had a stroke. Blood gas and spirometry values by sex, smoking history, and the presence of various comorbidities are presented in Table 4. Mean Pao2 and Sao2 were significantly higher—and mean P(A-a)O2 lower—in male than in female subjects. Percentage of predicted FEV1 and FEV1/FVC ratio were significantly higher in female subjects. The blood gas values were virtually identical in the never-smoker and exsmoker groups. Ex-smokers tended to have lower percentage of predicted FEV1 and FEV1/FVC ratio than never-smokers, although this was not statistically significant. Blood gas values in each of the comorbidity subgroups were close to the value in the “none of the above” group, and none of the differences were statistically significant. With regards to spirometry, the comorbidity subgroups tended to have lower percentage of predicted FEV1, although this was only significant for hypertension vs “none of Table 3—Comparison of Sample Subjects to Nonresponders* Variables Sample Subjects (n ⫽ 146) Nonresponders (n ⫽ 173) p Value, 2 Age 70–74 yr 75–79 yr 80–84 yr 85–89 yr ⱖ 90 yr Male sex, % Ex-smokers Walking disability Living in a nursing home BMI, mean (SD)† Heart disease Hypertension Using cardiovascular medications Stroke Muscle/joint disease 26.7 27.4 21.2 9.6 15.1 54.1 38.4 12.8 6.8 24.5 (3.35) 17.1 32.9 35.6 6.8 26.7 8.7 12.1 11.0 22.5 45.7 41.0 32.5 42.3 18.5 23.9 (3.7) 30.2 35.0 35.3 20.1 38.0 ⬍ 0.001 0.024 0.29 ⬍ 0.001 0.002 0.17‡ 0.01 0.72 1.0 0.001 0.056 *Data are presented as % unless otherwise indicated. †Body mass index is based on self-reported height and weight on the questionnaire. ‡Significance of BMI differences with t test. www.chestjournal.org CHEST / 125 / 6 / JUNE, 2004 Downloaded From: http://journal.publications.chestnet.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/journals/chest/22010/ on 06/14/2017 2055 Table 4 —Blood Gas and Spirometry Results by Sex and Smoking History, and as Affected by the Presence of Various Comorbidities Compared to No Comorbidities* Variables No. Pao2, mm Hg Paco2, mm Hg P(A-a)O2, mm Hg Sao2, % No. FEV1 % predicted, % FEV1/ FVC, % Men Women Ex-smokers Never-smokers No comorbidities Heart disease Hypertension Using cardiovascular medications Stroke Muscle/joint 79 67 56 90 50 24 46 52 9 35 77.0 (9.1)‡ 73.5 (8.4) 75.3 (8.4) 75.5 (9.3) 74.5 (8.8) 75.5 (9.1) 75.7 (9.1) 75.6 (7.7) 74.9 (6.2) 73.2 (8.4) 39.0 (3.0) 39.8 (3.6) 39.1 (3.3) 39.6 (3.3) 39.2 (2.8) 38.8 (3.6) 39.6 (3.4) 39.3 (3.6) 39.3 (1.9) 39.9 (3.9) 25.2 (9.2)‡ 28.1 (8.0) 27.1 (7.9) 26.2 (9.2) 27.7 (8.8) 27.6 (8.2) 25.8 (9.5) 26.2 (7.7) 27.8 (4.9) 28.0 (7.8) 95.3 (1.4)‡) 94.8 (1.7) 95.0 (1.7) 95.2 (1.5) 95.0 (1.5) 95.2 (1.5) 95.1 (1.5) 95.1 (1.3) 95.2 (0.8) 94.7 (1.9) 66 49 47 68 44 16 37 36 6 27 94.3 (19.5)‡ 103.4 (21.1) 94.8 (20.9) 100.5 (20.3) 100.4 (18.7) 94.9 (18.3) 91.7 (19.6)† 94.5 (19.2) 95.0 (39.4) 102.8 (19.2) 70.3 (6.4)‡ 72.9 (6.8) 71.0 (7.0) 71.6 (6.5) 70.9 (6.1) 71.4 (6.8) 70.7 (7.1) 71.5 (6.1) 69.3 (6.4) 73.6 (6.9) *Data are presented as mean (SD) unless otherwise indicated. Number of measurements is different for blood gases and spirometry reflecting certain participants inability to perform spirometry. †Significant at p ⬍ 0.05 by t test vs no comorbidities group. ‡Significant difference at p ⬍ 0.05 by t test vs women. the above.” Values for FEV1/FVC ratio were similar in all subgroups. There were no significant associations between age and any of the blood gas variables. The scatter of Pao2 and Paco2 vs age is presented in Figure 1. The lack of significant association to age is consistent in all sex and smoking history subgroups. Pao2 and Sao2 showed a highly significant inverse association to Paco2, rendering a Pearson correlation (R) of – 0.23 (p ⫽ 0.005) and – 0.29 (p ⬍ 0.001), respectively. Pao2 showed a borderline significant, inverse association to BMI (R ⫽ ⫺0.16, p ⫽ 0.05). The association of BMI to the blood gas variables varied greatly by sex with the inverse association of Pao2 and Sao2 to BMI being significant only among male subjects. There was a significant, inverse association between Pao2 and Sao2 by FEV1/FVC ratio (R⫽ ⫺ 0.19, p ⫽ 0.04; and R ⫽ ⫺0.20, p ⫽ 0.03, respectively) and positive association between P(A-a)O2 and FEV1/FVC ratio (R ⫽ 0.20, p ⫽ 0.03). Analysis by smoking subgroups showed nearly identical regression lines for never-smoker and exsmoker subgroups. However, the association of FEV1/FVC ratio to the blood gas variables varied greatly by sex, being significant only among female subjects. Graphically evaluated, there were no obvious outliers driving the regressions. There were no significant associations between percentage of predicted FEV1, percentage of predicted FVC, FEV1, or FVC and any of the blood gas variables. Sex, age, smoking history, Paco2, percentage of predicted FEV1, FEV1/FVC ratio, and BMI along with all interactions thereof were entered in multiple regression models for prediction of Pao2 and Sao2. The same variables, minus Paco2—a factor in the calculation of P(A-a)O2—were entered in to a model for prediction of P(A-a)O2. The results of each regression after solving for sex are presented in Table 5. Paco2 remained in the model as a significant predictor of Pao2 and Sao2 with no significant differences between the sexes. Among female subjects, there was a highly significant inverse association between FEV1/FVC ratio and Pao2 and Sao2, and a significant positive association to P(A-a)O2. Among male subjects, there was a highly significant inverse association between BMI and Pao2 and Sao2, and a significant positive association to P(A-a)O2. Age and smoking history remained nonsignificant also in the multivariate analysis. Practically applicable reference values for Pao2, P(A-a)O2, Sao2, and Paco2 are presented in Table 6. These reference values are presented only specific to sex, as it would not be practical in daily practice to adjust blood gas values for FEV1/FVC ratio, BMI, and Paco2. In this age group, ⱖ 70 years, Pao2 values as low as 62 mm Hg in men and approximately 60 mm Hg in women can be considered as normal. Sao2 values as low as 93% in men and 92% in women may be normal. Correspondingly, upper limits of normal for Paco2 would be approximately 45 mm Hg for both sexes, and for P(A-a)O2 approximately 40 mm Hg for men and 41 mm Hg for women. Discussion We present reference values for Pao2, Paco2, P(A-a)O2, and Sao2. All except Paco2 are presented as sex specific. Pao2 and Sao2 were significantly lower, and P(A-a)O2 significantly higher, among women. The blood gas values were virtually unaffected by smoking history (never-smoker vs ex- 2056 Downloaded From: http://journal.publications.chestnet.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/journals/chest/22010/ on 06/14/2017 Clinical Investigations Figure 1. Arterial oxygen and carbon dioxide pressures by age and sex. smoker) or by having any of the designated comorbidities. The blood gas values showed no association to age. There was a significant inverse association between Pao2 and FEV1/FVC ratio that was driven by the female portion of the sample (nonsignificant in the male portion alone). In the male portion of the sample, there was a significant inverse association between Pao2 and BMI. The primary goal of this study was to establish reference values for arterial blood gases based on a general population sample that was appropriately representative of the healthy elderly. The mean and lower limits of normal for Pao2 in our study were lower than previous studies. Cerveri et al3 gave 83.4 mm Hg as mean Pao2 and 68.4 mm Hg as lower limit of normal for the same age group. Guenard and Table 5—Multiple Regression Analysis: Predictors of PaO2, P(A-a)O2, and SaO2* Variables Pao2, mm Hg Male Female P(A-a)O2, mm Hg Male Female Sao2, % Male Female BMI Adjusted R2 0.032 (0.16) ⫺ 0.45 (0.18)† ⫺ 1.08 (0.31)† 0.24 (0.29)† 0.15 0.09 (0.16) 0.46 (0.17)† 1.21 (0.31)† ⫺ 0.21 (0.28) 0.16 0.004 (0.03) ⫺ 0.088 (0.03)† ⫺ 0.14 (0.05)† 0.051 (0.05) 0.15 Constant Paco2, mm Hg FEV1/FVC, % 123.5 122.2 ⫺ 0.56 (0.26)† ⫺ 0.56 (0.26)† 0.89 ⫺ 1.14 102.9 101.5 ⫺ 0.11 (0.04)† ⫺ 0.11 (0.04)† *Data are presented as coefficient (SE) unless otherwise indicated. The coefficients are based on a single model for each dependent variable subsequently solving the equation for each sex. There were significant interactions between sex and FEV1/FVC as well as sex and BMI, although these terms are accounted for when solving for sex. Other variables that were entered in the model but did not reach statistical significance were age, percentage of predicted FEV1, smoking history, and all interactions thereof. None of the entered variables were significant predictors of Paco2. Stated coefficients are from regression with only significant variables in the model. †p ⬍ 0.05. www.chestjournal.org CHEST / 125 / 6 / JUNE, 2004 Downloaded From: http://journal.publications.chestnet.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/journals/chest/22010/ on 06/14/2017 2057 Table 6 —Reference Values for Arterial Blood Gases* Men Variables Mean (SD) Lower Limit of Normal Pao2, mm Hg P(A-a)O2, mm Hg Sao2, % Paco2, mm Hg 77.0 (9.1) 25.2 (9.2) 95.3 (1.4) 39.0 (3.0) 62.0 Women Upper Limit of Normal 40.4 93.0 44.0 Mean (SD) Lower Limit of Normal 73.5 (8.4) 28.1 (8.0) 94.8 (1.7) 39.8 (3.6) 59.6 Upper Limit of Normal 41.3 92.0 45.7 *Lower limit of normal (estimated fifth percentile) ⫽ mean ⫺ 1.65 ⫻ SD; upper limit of normal (estimated 95th percentile) ⫽ mean ⫹ 1.65 ⫻ SD. Marthan4 gave 84.3 mm Hg as mean, and based on published SD would have a lower limit of normal of 71.7 mm Hg (mean ⫺ 1.65 ⫻ SD). There may be several reasons for these different means and lower limits of normal. Likely most significant is the use of different blood gas analyzers.14,20 Cerveri et al3 reported having used a Radiometer ABL30, and Guenard and Marthan4 used an Instruments Laboratory IL613 (Instruments Laboratory; Milan, Italy). It is unclear what form of quality control was used, although neither reported using tonometered blood, which provides the best basis for intercenter comparison.16,17,21 A study by Hansen and Casaburi14 showed that different blood gas analyzers may differ by up to 6.8 mm Hg in the measurement of 78.6 mm Hg of oxygen standardized gas solution. In that study,14 there were both systematic differences between different manufactures and between different models from the same manufacturer. All of the centers in the study by Hansen and Casaburi14 were members of a national blood gas testing proficiency program and were using tonometered blood as quality control routinely. The position of the subject during arterial blood sampling, whether sitting or lying down, is also an important difference between our study and the two previous studies. Both Cerveri et al3 and Guenard and Marthan4 performed the blood sampling with the subject sitting, while in our study the subjects had been supine for at least 10 min. A previous study by the authors22 has shown in a sample of 46 healthy elderly a mean difference of sitting minus supine Pao2 of approximately 6.0 mm Hg (p ⬍ 0.05). Knowing this, we chose the supine position for the present study because most of our work with elderly patients is when they are lying supine in a hospital bed. Finally, there were differences in selection procedures between our study and the previous studies that may also have influenced the results. Cerveri et al3 recruited subjects from persons visiting the clinic for check-ups or for minor surgery. Potential subjects were screened and excluded based on a set of extensive criteria: symptoms or diagnosis of pulmo- nary, cardiovascular, metabolic, renal, hepatic, or CNS disease; smoking history; blood screens; ECG; chest radiography; and occupational exposure.3 Of the 1,283 subjects screened, 194 subject were included in the reference sample, 74 of which were ⱖ 70 years old. Guenard and Marthan4 recruited elderly from a retirement home after having them screened for history of pulmonary or cardiovascular disease and ECG or radiographic abnormalities. Each of these sets of selection criteria could possibly cause a selection bias toward “super-healthy” elderly. The exclusionary criteria in our study were specifically set narrow to exclude only those with symptoms or conditions known to affect Pao2. To the degree it was possible based on questionnaire data, we have attempted to analyze the effect of having nonpulmonary comorbidities on the blood gases. We found no sign of any such effect in either direction. In light of this, it would seem that differences in inclusionexclusion criteria have little to do with the different levels of Pao2 found between the present study and previous studies. In previous studies5– 8 on Pao2 in younger populations, there has been a significant inverse association to age. The majority of these studies have had only a few subjects ⬎ 70 years old. Cerveri et al3 and Guenard and Marthan4 each studied ample numbers of elderly subjects, and both have found no association to age ⬎ 74 years and ⬎ 70 years, respectively.3,4 Having also studied subjects aged from 40 to 74 years, Cerveri et al3 was able to demonstrate that Pao2 starts to plateau between the ages of 70 years and 74 years. These previous studies are in agreement with our own, in which the regression of Pao2 by age is virtually flat. The reason for this lack of age association may be an unavoidable selection bias. The two likely components to this bias are survival bias and a feeble nonresponder bias. Neither of these forms of bias is easy to resolve. Arterial blood samples have a short duration of freshness that makes testing any distance from the laboratory nearly impossible, and bringing the weak and feeble in for testing will likely be equally diffi- 2058 Downloaded From: http://journal.publications.chestnet.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/journals/chest/22010/ on 06/14/2017 Clinical Investigations cult. As for the other component, survivor bias, it is well known that patients with COPD and resting Pao2 levels ⬍ 55 to 60 mm Hg have a higher 5-year mortality than those receiving long-term oxygen therapy.23,24 Whether such low levels of Pao2 also imply a higher 5-year mortality for otherwise healthy elderly is unknown, though it seems likely. Obviously, little can be done in the general population to avoid this bias. Both of these factors make the cross-sectional study design poorly suited to answering the question of age vs Pao2 in the individual. In our subjects, BMI is inversely associated with age (R ⫽ ⫺ 0.21, p ⫽ 0.01) and at the same time inversely associated with Pao2 (R ⫽ ⫺ 0.16, p ⫽ 0.05). Thus, one might expect the age-related fall in BMI to explain the lack of association between age and Pao2. However, in the multiple, linear regression analysis, addition of BMI to the regression of Pao2 vs age had no discernable effect on the coefficient for age, thus failing to support this possible explanation in our data. Another possible explanation for the lack of age dependence would be a physiologic compensation that stops the falling Pao2 before reaching detrimentally low levels. An evaluation of this possible mechanism would require a longitudinal study design, though no such study has been found in the literature. However, even though on an individual basis Pao2 may physiologically continue to fall with increasing age, there might exist a lower limit for Pao2 below which hypoxia becomes too unhealthy and morbidity increases sharply. Values below these lower limits of Pao2, however physiologic they may be, probably should not be considered as reference values. Thus, for the purpose of establishing reference values, the cross-sectional design may still be a valid approach. As we did not screen for occult respiratory illness by chest radiograph or CT scan, we have no guarantee that some of the subjects did not have occult, asymptomatic illness. However, it seems to us unlikely that there is any systematic bias toward illness. On the contrary, as approximately 50% of the sample selected for blood gas testing failed to meet at the clinic, there may be a healthy-responder bias in the sample. There seems little reason to believe that the nonresponders should have higher Pao2 levels as they reported significantly more comorbidities than the participants (Table 3). The fact that a large majority of elderly men (along with a significant minority of women) have smoked at some time during their lives makes choosing a reference population difficult.25 Traditionally, smokers have been avoided when establishing reference values for various pulmonary function tests because of the well-known effects of smoking on pulmonary www.chestjournal.org function.1 Still, it has not been previously established whether it is necessary to exclude healthy ex-smokers from reference samples with regards to arterial blood gases. Thus, we chose to include these persons in the sample. Our results show that the ex-smokers are indistinguishable from the never-smokers with regards to blood gases. Smoking history failed to have significance both in univariate and multivariate analyses. This finding needs to be seen in the light of having already excluded persons with acute or chronic pulmonary disease, severe dyspnea, or cardiovascular disease with moderate dyspnea. By this exclusion, most of those ex-smokers having had detrimental smoking effects were excluded. From this we conclude that it really is not necessary to exclude ex-smokers from the reference sample as long as persons with pulmonary or symptomatic cardiovascular disease are excluded first. The finding that FEV1/FVC ratio was inversely associated to Pao2 and Sao2 and positively associated to P(A-a)O2 seems to be counterintuitive. This association was found both in never-smokers and exsmokers, although by sex it holds true only for women. The mechanism behind this association is not clear, though the consistency in the smoking subgroups and for each of the oxygen variables suggests that the finding is not spurious. This is reinforced by the findings in a previous study by the authors,22 in which Pao2 in the supine position (but not in the sitting position) was inversely associated to FEV1/FVC ratio. The fact that the association is present only among women is also interesting in that it may point to some fundamental differences in the way men and women age. It is possible that there is some degree of occult, asymptomatic restrictive pulmonary function deficit in these subjects resulting in a tendency toward hypoxia, although in the absence of a measure for total lung capacity this will remain speculation. Otherwise, the authors have no immediate explanation for this finding and believe it may warrant further investigation. Conclusions We have presented reference values for arterial blood gases in supine elderly persons. The reference values for Pao2 and Sao2 in elderly persons are sex specific but age independent. Due to systematic differences in Po2 values rendered by different blood gas analyzers, the clinical application of these reference values may need to be validated for each laboratory. Ideally, reference values should be established at each laboratory. In selection of the reference sample for the elderly, it is not necessary to CHEST / 125 / 6 / JUNE, 2004 Downloaded From: http://journal.publications.chestnet.org/pdfaccess.ashx?url=/data/journals/chest/22010/ on 06/14/2017 2059 exclude ex-smokers, nor persons with heart disease, hypertension, or stroke as long as they do not report respiratory symptoms. ACKNOWLEDGMENT: We thank Eli Nordeide and Randi Espelid for technical assistance in this study. References 1 American Thoracic Society. Lung function testing: selection of reference values and interpretative strategies. Am Rev Respir Dis 1991; 144:1202–1218 2 Cavalieri TA, Chopra A, Bryman PN. When outside the norm is normal: interpreting lab data in the aged. 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