h$p://smartdrivingcar.com/GreenLight-092316 Friday,September23,2016 FederalAutomatedVehiclesPolicy:Accelera?ngtheNext Revolu?onInRoadwaySafety September2016,"ExecuFveSummary...ForDOT,theexcitementaroundhighlyautomated vehicles(HAVs)startswithsafety.(p5) ...Thedevelopmentofadvancedautomatedvehiclesafetytechnologies,includingfullyselfdrivingcars,mayprovetobethegreatestpersonaltransportaFonrevoluFonsincethe popularizaFonofthepersonalautomobilenearlyacenturyago.(p5) ...Thebenefitsdon’tstopwithsafety.InnovaFonshavethepotenFaltotransformpersonal mobilityandopendoorstopeopleandcommuniFes.(p5) ...TheremarkablespeedwithwhichincreasinglycomplexHAVsareevolvingchallengesDOTto takenewapproachesthatensurethesetechnologiesaresafelyintroduced(i.e.,donot introducesignificantnewsafetyrisks),providesafetybenefitstoday,andachievetheirfull safetypotenFalinthefuture.(p6)Hmmm...Fantas)cstatementsandIappreciatethatthe fundamentalbasisandmo)vatorisSAFETY.Weallhaverecognizedsafetyasanecessary condi)onthatmustbesa)sfiedifthistechnologyistobesuccessful.(unfortunatelyitisnota sufficientcondi)on,(inapuremathcontext)).Thispolicystatementappropriatelyreaffirmsthis necessarycondi)on.Alain "...wedividethetaskoffacilitaFngthesafeintroducFonanddeployment(...defines “deployment”astheoperaFonofanHAVbymembersofthepublicwhoarenottheemployees oragentsofthedesigner,developer,ormanufacturerofthatHAV.)ofHAVsintofoursecFons: (p6)Hmmm...Perfect!Alain "...1.VehiclePerformanceGuidanceforAutomatedVehicles(p6)..."Hmmm...15Points,more later.Alain "...2.ModelStatePolicy(p7)TheModelStatePolicyconfirmsthatStatesretaintheir tradiFonalresponsibiliFes...but...ThesharedobjecFveistoensuretheestablishmentofa consistentnaFonalframeworkratherthanapatchworkofincompaFblelaws..."Hmmm...Well done.Alain "...3.NHTSACurrentRegulatoryTools(p7)...ThisdocumentprovidesinstrucFons,pracFcal guidance,andassistancetoenFFesseekingtoemploythosetools.Furthermore,NHTSAhas streamlineditsreviewprocessandiscommicngto..."Hmmm...Excellent.Alain "...4.NewToolsandAuthoriFes(p7)...ThespeedwithwhichHAVsareadvancing,combinedwith thecomplexityandnoveltyoftheseinnovaFons,threatenstooutpacetheAgency’s convenFonalregulatoryprocessesandcapabiliFes.ThischallengerequiresDOTtoexamine whetherthewayDOThasaddressedsafetyforthelast50yearsshouldbeexpandedtorealize thesafetypotenFalofautomatedvehiclesoverthenext50years.Therefore,thissecFon idenFfiespotenFalnewtools,authoriFesandregulatorystructuresthatcouldaidthesafeand appropriatelyexpediFousdeploymentofnewtechnologiesbyenablingtheAgencytobemore nimbleandflexible(p8)..."Hmmm...Yes.Alain "...Noteon“LevelsofAutoma?on”TherearemulFpledefiniFonsforvariouslevelsof automaFonandforsomeFmetherehasbeenneedforstandardizaFontoaidclarityand consistency.Therefore,thisPolicyadoptstheSAEInternaFonal(SAE)definiFonsforlevelsof automaFon.)Hmmm...I'mnotsurethisaddsclaritybecauseitdoesnotdealdirectlywiththe differencebetweenself-drivinganddriverless.Whileitmightbeimpliedinlevel4andlevel5 thatthesevehiclescanproceedwithnooneinthevehicle,itisnotstatedexplicitly.Thatis unfortunate,becausedriverlessfreightdeliverycan'tbedonewithout"driverless";neithercan mobility-on-demandbeofferedtotheyoung,old,blind,inebriated,...without"driverless". Vehiclescan'tbe"reposi)oned-empty"(which(Idon'tmeantooffendanyone)istherealvalue ofataxidrivertoday).SoautonomousTaxisareimpossible. Also,theselevelsdonotaddressAutomatedEmergencyBraking(AEB)SystemsandAutomated LaneKeepingSystemswhicharetheveryfirstsystemswhoseon-all-the-)meperformancemust beperfected.ThesearetheSafetyFounda)onofHAV(HighlyAutomatedvehicles).I understandthattheguidelinesmayassumethatthesesystemsarealreadyperfectandthat"20 manufacturerhavecommiZed"tohaveAEBonallnewcars,buttodatethesesystemsreally don'twork.In12mphIIHStest,fewstopbeforehi[ngthetarget,and,aswemayhaveseen withtheFloridaTeslacrash,theLevel2/3AutoPilotmaynothavefailed,but,instead,itwasthe "PhantomLevel1"AEBthatissupposedtobeonallthe)me.Thisisnotacceptable.TheseAEB systemsMUSTgetinfinitelybeZernow.ItisashamethatAEBswerewerenotexplicitly addressedinthisdocument. "...I.VehiclePerformanceGuidanceforAutomatedVehicles(p11)A.Guidance:ifavehicleis compliantwithintheexisFngFMVSSregulatoryframeworkandmaintainsaconvenFonal vehicledesign,thereiscurrentlynospecificfederallegalbarriertoanHAVbeingofferedfor sale.(footnote7)However,manufacturersandotherenFFesdesigningnewautomatedvehicle systems aresubjecttoNHTSA’sdefects,recallandenforcementauthority.(footnote8).andthe"15 Cross-cu[ngAreasofGuidance"p17) InsumthisisaverygooddocumentanddisplaysjusthowfarDoTpolicyhascomefrom promo)ngv2v,DSRCandcentralizedcontrol,"connected",focustocrea)nganenvironment focusedonindividualvehiclesthatresponsiblytakecareofthemselves.KudostoSecretaryFoxx forthis180degreepolicyturnfocusedonsafety.Oncedonecorrectly,theHAVwillyieldthe earlysafetybenefitsthatwills)mulatecon)nuedimprovementsthat,inturn,willyieldthe greatmobility,environmentalandquality-of-lifebenefitsaffordedbydriverlessmobility. Whatarenotaddressedarecommercialtruckingandbuses/masstransit.NHTSAisauto focused,somaybeFMCSAispreparingsimilarguidelines.FTA(FederalTransitAdministra)on) seemsnowhereinsight.Alain The15-PointFederalChecklistforSelf-DrivingCars C.King,Sept20."Federalregulatorsannouncedtheirfirstsafetychecklisteverfor semiautonomousanddriverlesscarsthisweek.Intheguidelines,theUnitedStatesDepartment ofTransportaFonurgedautomakersandtechcompaniestoprovethattheirsemiautonomous andautonomousvehiclescouldmeeta15-pointlistofsafetyexpectaFonsbeforetheautoshit theroad. Webrokedownthe15points: DATASHARINGThesegiantcomputersonwheelscollectpilesofdrivingdata.Carmakersshould storethatdataandshareitwithregulatorswhocanusetheinformaFontoreconstructwhat wentwronginacrashorsystembreakdown.Hmmm...Asani)zedversionofdatathatdescribe theso-called"cornercases"(rareeventsthatleadtocrashesornearcrashes)shouldbeplaced inthepublicdomainsoastonotrequireeachdeveloperandinves)gatortodiscovertheseon his/herown.Alain PRIVACYCarownersshouldhaveaclearunderstandingofwhatkindofdataisbeingcollected bythevehicles.TheyshouldalsobeabletorejectanycollecFonofpersonalinformaFonsuchas onbiometricsordriverbehavior.Hmmm...Also,thereshouldbe"hold-harmless"legisla)on thatallowsindividualstofreelysharetheirdrivingdatawithoutfearofbeingchargewith "runningaredlight2monthsago".Alain HUMAN-MACHINEINTERFACECarmakersmustshowhowtheirvehiclescansafelyswitch betweenautopilotandhumancontrol.Hmmm...Necessarybutnoteasy;however,because essen)allynothinghappensinstantaneously,thesesystemsneedtoan)cipatefarenoughahead soastoachieveandsimplehandoffortheyshouldpulloverandstoporjuststop..Alain CRASHWORTHINESSDriverlesscarsmustmeettheNaFonalHighwayTrafficSafety AdministraFon’sregularstandardsfor“crashworthiness,...”Hmmm...Ofcourse.Alain CONSUMEREDUCATIONAutomakersmusttraintheirsalesrepresentaFves...”Hmmm...Of course.Alain CERTIFICATIONAnysonwareupdatesornewdriverlessfeaturesmustbesubmi$edto NHTSA...."Hmmm...OKAlain POST-CRASHBEHAVIORAutomakersshouldprovetheircarsaresafetouseagainaneracrash. Hmmm...Ofcourse.Alain LAWSANDPRACTICESThevehiclesshouldfollowvariousstateandlocallawsandpracFcesthat applytodrivers.Hmmm...Thisisatoughone.Currentlawsapplytohumandriversinorderto obtain,asbestaspossible,ahumanbehaviorthatconformstotherulesoftheroadand achievesasafeoutcome.Someoftheselaws,whenfollowedbyanalgorithm,mayhavenonsafeoutcomes.Newlaws,ournewinterpreta)onsofthoselaws,willundoubtedlybe necessary.Alain ETHICALCONSIDERATIONSManyhumandrivingdecisionscarryethicalconsideraFons,sothe wayacarisprogrammedalsocarriesethicalconsequences.Hmmm...Anotherverytoughone. FortunatelytheseareveryrareandthewholepurposeoftheHAVtechnologyistoavoid situa)onswherenotevenone,letalonetwo,ofthesebadoutcomesarebeingconfrontedatany )me.Alain OPERATIONALDESIGNThisissimilartoamanualthatdescribeswhere,whenandunderwhat condiFonsadriverlesssystemworks.Hmmm...Ofcourseandshouldbereadilyavailableonthe vehicle.Alain DETECTIONANDRESPONSEHowwillacarrespondtoothercars,pedestrians,animalsand fallingtrees?Hmmm...Fallingtrees???Really?Notpossible!OrdotheymeanFallentrees? (Let'spleasejustfocusonavoidingthecrashesthatinvolvehumanerror.)Alain FALLBACKThecarshouldbeabletochangemodessafelywhenthereisatechnological malfuncFon.Hmmm...Ofcourse.Alain VALIDATIONAutomakersneedtodeveloptesFngandvalidaFonmethodsthataccountforthe widerangeoftechnologiesusedindriverlesscars.Hmmm...Ofcourse.Alain Tesla'smajorAutopilotupdatestartsrollingouttoday J.Rigg,Sept21,"TeslaCEOElonMuskhastakentoTwi$ertoannouncethelatestupdatetohis company'sEVswillbeginrollingouttonight....Autopilotwillrelymoreheavilyonradar,rather thanthesesensorsplayingsecondfiddletocamerafeeds.Theideaisradarismuchmore reliablethancameraswhenvisibilityispoor,suchaswhenyou'redrivingthroughsnowor fog...."ReadmoreHmmm...ButtheFloridacrashwasat4:xxinthealernoonwithpartlycloudy skies???)Alain UpgradingAutopilot:SeeingtheWorldinRadar TeamTesla,Sept11,"...After careful consideration, we now believe it can be used as a primary control sensor without requiring the camera to confirm visual image recognition....Hmmm...Whatdoesthismean???Doesitbrakeifthecameraseessomething?If so,thenthecamerais"aprimarycontrolsensor"andtheyareco-primary...,No???Alain "...Therefore,thebigprobleminusingradartostopthecarisavoidingfalsealarms..." Hmmm...yes!AND"falsenega)ves"(which,withrespecttovision,mo)vatedthisupgrade.) Alain "...Asthesystemconfidencelevelrises,thebrakingforcewillgraduallyincreasetofullstrength whenitisapproximately99.99%certainofacollision.Thismaynotalwayspreventacollision enFrely,buttheimpactspeedwillbedramaFcallyreducedtothepointwherethereareunlikely tobeseriousinjuriestothevehicleoccupants...."Hmmm...Thisissodepressing.Dowereally havetowaitun)l99.99??Can'twedothisaliZleearliersothatwehavecollisionavoidance ratherthancollisionmi)ga)on?Thisissodepressing!Alain "...Theneteffectofthis,combinedwiththefactthatradarseesthroughmostvisual obscuraFon,isthatthecarshouldalmostalwayshitthebrakescorrectlyevenifaUFOwereto landonthefreewayinzerovisibilitycondiFons...."Hmmm...Zerovisibilityisreadilydetected aheadandAutoPilotshouldpulloverandstoporjuststopbeforetheTeslaentersthezero visibilitycondi)on(andinformthedriverthatitisill-advised(crazy)toproceedinzerovisibility condi)onsundermanualcontrol.Please!Alain "...Takingthisonestepfurther,aTeslawillalsobeabletobouncetheradarsignalundera vehicleinfront-usingtheradarpulsesignatureandphotonFmeofflighttodisFnguishthe signal-andsFllbrakeevenwhentrailingacarthatisopaquetobothvisionandradar.Thecarin frontmighthittheUFOindensefog,buttheTeslawillnot..."Hmmm...Nowyou'vegonetoofar again.CallingthesystemAutoPilotwasreckless,sugges)ngthatAutoPilotoranyonecandrive indensefogistotallyirresponsible.Can'tyouseeitnow:"MancrashesTeslaindensefog;man blamesTesla".Thesesystemsaren'tmeanttosolvetheFogProblem,atleastnotyet.Alain SomeotherthoughtsthatdeserveyouraXen?on SiemenspresentsRiyadhmetrotrain K.Barrow,Sept21,"SIEMENSpresentedthefirstdriverlessInspirometrotrainforRiyadhmetro Line1(BlueLine)torepresentaFvesofArriyadhDevelopmentAuthority(ARA)atInnoTranson September20. AsE&MpartnerintheBechtel-ledBacsconsorFum,Siemensissupplying45four-cartrainsfor Line1and29two-cartrainsforLine2(RedLine)underaturnkeycontractwhichalsoincludes automaFctraincontrolsystemsandelectrificaFonforthetwolines...."Readmore Hmmm...Driverlesstrainsarenowthenorm:-)Alain OntheMoreTechnicalSide h$p://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/Papers/ Publicpriori?esandconsumerpreferencesforselected aXributesofAutomatedVehicles PaulinaLustgarten&Sco$LeVine.UnderreviewforpresentaFonatthe96thAnnualMeeFngof theTransportaFonResearchBoardandpublicaFoninTransporta)onResearchRecord(2017). Readmore CalendarofUpcomingEvents: F1/10AutonomousRacingCompe??on Oct1-2 WeanHall,CarnegieMellonU.
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