CEY
LON
E
LEC
TRIC
LO N
G
GEN TERM
E
EX P R AT I O
N
ANS
I
PL A
ON
N
201
5-20
34
ITY
BOA
RD
For 50 Years
T ra
ns
Tra missio
ns m
n an
is
d
Cey
lon sion Di Gener
atio
E
visi
Sri L
lect
on
n Pl
ricit
a
ann
y Bo
J ul y n k a
ing
ard
201
B ra
5
nch
Asoka Abeygunawardana
Chairman – Strategic Enterprise Management Agency
Government
Policy on Energy
on
Demand
1' n,Yla;sh wrmsßueiafuka Ndú;d lsÍug fhduq lrk
jev ms<sfj,la uu Èh;a lrkafkñ' n,Yla;s ixrlaIKhg
wod, há;, jHqyhka iy kùk ;dlaIKhka Ndú;d lsÍu
i|yd wjYH jevms<sfj,la iïmdokh lrñ' ksjdi iy
f.dvkeÕs,s ie,iqï o n,Yla;s ixrlaIKh uQ,sl lrf.k
ielfik jevms<sfj,la f,i Èh;a flf3⁄4'
msgqj 57
Government
Policy on Energy
on
Demand
2.3 Promoting Energy Efficiency and Conservation
Efficient utilisation of energy by all concerned, from utilities
(supply-side management) to final consumers (demand-side
management) not only saves valuable resources of the
country but also reduces the overall cost of energy to the
consumer. Meaningful conservation of energy will be
pursued at all times.
CEY
LON
E
LEC
TRIC
LO N
G
GEN TERM
ER A
TI O
EX P
N
A
PLA NSION
N
201
5-20
34
Tra
ns
Tra missio
ns
n
Cey missio and Ge
n
lo
nera
tion
Sri L n Electr Divisio
n
ank
Plan
icity
a
July
ning
Boa
201
rd
Bra
5
nch
ITY
BOA
RD
Government
Policy on Energy
on
Demand
DSM Scenario was derived considering the
estimation of energy savings and implementation
cost provided by Sri Lanka Sustainable Energy
Authority (SLSEA).
Average Demand Growth 4.3 %
CEY
LON
E
LEC
TRIC
LO N
G
GEN TERM
ER A
TI O
EX P
N
A
PLA NSION
N
201
5-20
34
Tra
ns
Tra missio
ns
n
Cey missio and Ge
n
lo
nera
tion
Sri L n Electr Divisio
n
a
Plan
icity
July nka
ning
Boa
201
rd
Bra
5
nch
ITY
BOA
RD
Government
Policy on Energy
on
Demand
Comment
1. Which option should be the Base Case?
CEB- BC or DSM Case
2. Base Case
mUSD
12,960.51
DSM Case
mUSD
10,759.16
The Gap = 2,200 mUSD
Use the optimization process for best use of DSM
ck úÿ,s n,d.dr
40000
Base Case (GWh)
35000
Coal - 1200 MW
DSM Case (GWh)
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
2034
2033
2032
2031
2030
2029
2028
2027
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
0
Government
Policy on Energy
on
Supply
2' by< hk bkaOk ñ, yd Èfkka Èk W.%jk mßir m%Yak ksid
n,Yla;s iqrlaIs;;dj ms<sn|j úfYaI wjOdkhla fhduq lrkafkñ'
or úÿ,sh ^fvkafv%da&" iq<x n,h" iQ3⁄4h n,h" iuqø Yla;Ska wd§
mqk3⁄4ckkSh n,Yla;s m%Njj,ska rfÜ ck;djf.a uQ,sl n,Yla;s
wjYH;djhka iyuq,skau mdfya imqrd.ekSug wjYH miqìu ilia
lrkafkñ'
msgqj 56
CEB Proposal
The energy contribution from NCRE plants were maintained
above 20% from 2020 onwards complying with the
MW
Government Policies.
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Coal
Mini
hydro
Wind
Biomass
Solar
Large
Hydro
Coal - 3300; Mini hydro – 673; Wind - 719; Biomass- 279 Solar- 226; Large Hydro- 86
The CEB pattern is the same during last 25 years.
7.1.4
Screened Generation Options including Wind Plant
140.00
120.00
New Coal 300 MW
Trinco 250 MW
SUPC 600 MW
GT35 MW
GT105 MW
CCY300 MW
LNG 300 MW
Dendro 5 MW
Nuclear 600 MW
WIND 25MW
Unit Cost (UScts/kWh)
100.00
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
5%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Plant Factor (%)
50%
60%
70%
80%
No renewables for optimization
From the screening curve analysis, the following candidate
technologies were selected including committed power plants as
suitable options for detailed generation expansion planning studies.
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Page 7.1
35MW Auto Diesel fired gas turbine
105MW Auto Diesel fired gas turbine
150MW Auto Diesel fired combined cycle power plant
300MW Auto Diesel fired combined cycle power plant
300MW Coal fired thermal power plant
600MW Super Critical Coal power plant
250MW Coal Power plant Trincomalee Power Company
Limited
300MW LNG fired combined cycle power plant
600MW Nuclear Power plant
3' by< hk bkaOk ñ, yd Èfkka Èk
W.%jk mßir m%Yak ksid n,Yla;s
iqrlaIs;;dj ms<sn|j úfYaI
wjOdkhla fhduq lrkafkñ'
Fuel Prices
Fuel Price increase = 0%
2015 Climate Change UNFCCC Summit in Paris
2015 foaY.=Ksl úm¾hdih ms<sn| uy iuq¿j
Considering the
volatility
present in fuel
prices, constant
fuel prices are
mainly used in
long term
planning
studies.
Government
Policy on Energy
on
Supply
4' úfYaIfhka fuf;la l,la .,a wÕ=re yd Lkscf;,a ud*shdj fj;
we§ .sh úÿ,s mdßfNda.slhdf.a uqo,a .%dóh m%foaYj, f.dúck;dj
fj; .,dhdu i|yd rg mqrd or úÿ,s n,d.dr ia:dms; lsÍu lsÍug
lghq;= lrkafkñ' tuÕska úÿ,sh ksmoùu f.dú ck;djf.a Ôjk
uÜgu by< kxjk m%Odk ud3⁄4.hla njg m;a lrkafkñ'
msgqj 56
Government
Policy on Energy
on
Supply
5' oekg fmdis, bkaOk i|yd ,ndfok ish¨ iykdOdr l%udkql+,j
bj;a lr tu iyk mqk3⁄4ckkSh n,Yla;s ;dlaIKhka i|yd ,nd §
mdßfNda.slhdg wvq ñ,g n,Yla;s iemhSug wjYH lghq;= lrñ'
6' tys§ f,dalfha ia:dms; lr we;s msßiqÿ n,Yla;sh i|yd jk
È.=ld,Sk iyk Kh wm rfÜ mqk3⁄4ckkSh n,Yla;sh ixj3⁄4Okh
i|yd ,nd.ekSug läkï jevms<sfj,la Èh;a lrkafkñ'
msgqj 56
CEB vs Govt. Policy
CEB Genartion Plan -Base Case - 2013-2032
40000
Oil
35000
Coal
NCRE
New Major Hydro
25000
DSM
Existing Major Hydro
20000
15000
RE
10000
5000
0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
Energy (GWh)
30000
Source: CEB
7. Foreign Currency savings/earnings
due to reduction in imported fossil
fuels
8. Integrated Generation and
Transmission planning
9. Prioritize the energy supply
expansion options based on social,
environmental, and economic costs
& benefits. – Process
10. Tools