3/6/2012 Math for Liberal Arts MAT 110: Chapter 8 Notes Growth: Linear vs. Exponential David J. Gisch February 28, 2012 Growth: Linear versus Exponential • Linear Growth occurs when a quantity grows by some fixed absolute amount in each unit of time. • Exponential Growth occurs when a quantity grows by the same fixed relative amount—that is, by the same percentage—in each unit of time. Growth: Linear versus Exponential • Straightown grows by the same absolute amount each year and Powertown grows by the same relative amount each year. 1 3/6/2012 Key Facts about Exponential Growth • Exponential growth leads to repeated doublings. With each doubling, the amount of increase is approximately equal to the sum of all preceding doublings. • Exponential growth cannot continue indefinitely. After only a relatively small number of doublings, exponentially growing quantities reach impossible proportions. Growth: Linear versus Exponential Example 8.A.1: Recall simple interest versus compound interest. Simple interest is the same amount of interest every time as where compound interest is the same percent of interest at each step of time. For example, let's say we invested $500 with an interest rate of 10%. Year Simple 1 $1,000 $1,000 2 $1,000+100=$1,100 $1,000+100=$1,100 $1,100+110=$1,210 3 $1,100+100=$1,200 4 $1,200+100=$1,300 $1,210+121=$1,331 5 $1,300+100=$1,400 $1,331+133.10=$1,464.10 Linear: We add the same amount, $100, every time. Growth: Linear versus Exponential Compound Exponential: We add the same percent, 10%, every time. Growth: Linear versus Exponential Example 8.A.2: Bacteria in a Bottle: Suppose you put a single bacterium in a bottle at 11:00 a.m. It grows and at 11:01, it divides into two bacteria. These two bacteria grow and at 11:02 divide into four bacteria, which grow and at 11:03 divide into eight bacteria, and so on. Thus, the bacteria doubles every minute. Example 8.A.3: You are given a choice, take $1000 each month for the rest of your life or be given a magic penny. The magic penny will turn into two pennies after one day. Then double again into four pennies the next day, and so on. Which option would you rather take? If the bottle is half-full at 11:59, when will the bottle be completely full? After 30 Years! • $1,000 option: You have $1000 12 30 • Penny: You have $0.01 2 $360,000 $10,737,418.24 2 3/6/2012 Linear or Exponential? Linear or Exponential? Example 8.A.4: The price of milk is increasing by 3 cents per week. Example 8.A.5: The price of a house is increasing by 2% per year. (a) Is this exponential or linear? (a) Is this exponential or linear? (b) If the price of milk is $3.65 today, what will it be in 5 weeks? (b) If the price of the house is $175,000 today, what will it be in 5 years? Exponential Growth & Decay • The time required for each doubling in exponential growth is called doubling time. • The time required for each halving in exponential decay is called halving time. Doubling Time and Half-Life 3 3/6/2012 Doubling Time Doubling Time (Exponential Growth) • After a time , an exponentially growing quantity with a doubling time of increases in size by a factor of 2⁄ . The new value of the growing quantity is related to its initial value (at 0) by 2⁄ Example 8.B.1: Recall this chart from the last section. Can you use the chart to create the formula for Powertown? Whatever unit of time is used to measure your doubling period is the unit of time you should use for . For example, is a bacteria doubles every 8 hours then must be measured in hours. Doubling Time (Exponential Growth) Example 8.B.2: Using your equation, what will the population be in 30 years? Does this match the chart? 10,000 2 10,000 2 441,636 ⁄ ⁄ Doubling Time (Exponential Growth) Example 8.B.3: World Population Growth: World population doubled from 3 billion in 1960 to 6 billion in 2000. Suppose that the world population continued to grow (from 2000 on) with a doubling time of 40 years. What would be the population in 2050? • Always identify your initial value and year first! 4 3/6/2012 Approximate Double Time Formula (The Rule of 70) For a quantity growing exponentially at a rate of P% per time period, the doubling time is approximately 70 This approximation works best for small growth rates and breaks down for growth rates over about 15%. Doubling Time (Exponential Growth) Example 8.B.4: A community of rabbits begins with an initial population of 100 and grows 7% per month. (a) What is the approximate doubling time? (b) By what factor does the population increase in 18 months? (c) What is the population after 3 years? Doubling Time (Exponential Growth) Doubling Time (Exponential Growth) Example 8.B.5: A community of zombies doubles every 6 hours. Example 8.B.6: The number of DMACC students doubles in every 16 years. (a) What is the approximate rate (percent) of increase? (a) What is the approximate rate (percent) of increase? (b) By what factor does the population increase in 24 hours? (b) If the population was 18,000 students in 2000, what will the population be in 2030? (c) What is the population after one week? (c) By what factor did the population increase in in that period? 5 3/6/2012 Half-Life Time (Exponential Decay) • After a time , an exponentially decreasing quantity with a half-life time of decreases in size by a factor of ⁄ . The new value of the decreasing quantity is related to its initial value (at 0) by ⁄ 1 2 Approximate Half-Life Time Formula (The Rule of 70) For a quantity decaying exponentially at a rate of P% per time period, the half-life time is approximately 70 This approximation works best for small decay rates and breaks down for decay rates over about 15%. Whatever unit of time is used to measure your half-life period is the unit of time you should use for . For example, if a radio isotope decays with a half-life of 5100 years, then must be measured in years. Half-Life Time (Exponential Decay) Example 8.B.7: Carbon-14 is used to carbon-date decaying remains, whether it be plant or animal. The half-life of Carbon-14 is 5730 years. Half-Life Time (Exponential Decay) Example 8.B.8: You start with 10 pounds of compost. It takes 3 months to break down to 5 pounds. (a) Write an equation modeling the amount of compost. (a) Write an equation modeling the amount of Carbon-14 of an object. (b) How many pounds will their be after 1 year? (b) Using guess and check, if a bone has 10% of its original carbon-14 left, how old is the bone? (c) By what factor did the population decrease in in that period? 6 3/6/2012 Half-Life Time (Exponential Decay) Example 8.B.9: Since 1900 the buying power of one dollar has decreased 3% per year. (a) What is the approximate half-life time? (b) How much buying power does a 1900 dollar approximately have today? (c) By what factor did the 1900 dollar decrease in in that period? Exact Formulas Exact Formulas • For more precise work use these exact formulas. • For an exponentially growing quantity, the doubling time is log 2 log 1 • For an exponentially decreasing quantity, the doubling time is log 2 log 1 • In both cases is the percent (as a decimal). Log is a mathematical function similar to a square root. I could teach you how to calculate it by hand and what it truly means but is easier if we just skip that and know it is a button on our calculator. Exact Formulas Example 8.B.10: Calculate each of the following. Example 8.B.11: Calculate each of the following. (a) What is the approximate half-life time of a quantity that decays by 7% per month? (a) What is the approximate doubling time of a quantity that increases by 4% per year? (b) What is the exact half-life time of a quantity that decays by 7% per month? (b) What is the exact doubling time of a quantity that increases by 4% per year? 7 3/6/2012 Exponential Growth/Decay Example 8.B.12: If you had an account that had a compound interest rate of 5% per month, how long would it take for your money to double? Exponential Growth/Decay Example 8.B.13: Urban encroachment is causing the area of forest to decline at a rate of 4.25% per year. (a) What is the exact half-life time? Month 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Interest Balance 1000.00 50.00 1050.00 52.50 1102.50 55.13 1157.63 57.88 1215.51 60.78 1276.28 63.81 1340.10 67.00 1407.10 70.36 1477.46 73.87 1551.33 77.57 1628.89 81.44 1710.34 85.52 1795.86 89.79 1885.65 94.28 1979.93 99.00 2078.93 log 2 log 1 .05 log 2 log 1 .0425 14.206 15.96 (a) If the forest in that local area started with 500,000 acres, how much will be left after 20 years? 500,000 0.5 ⁄ . 209,768.09 The amount has doubled between month 14 and 15. Also, notice that we started with month 0. Acres in Perspective • One square mile is 640 acres. • Roughly 209,768 acres. 8
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