Embedded Analytics Makes Routine Decision-Making Automatic 2011 MercuryGate International, Inc. www.mercurygate.com TMS that delivers. Business rules based on stale information can lead to costly decisions! Business Intelligence results from extracting and analyzing historical information, then summarizing specific information for decision-making in the future (decision-support). Theoretically, you make better decisions on future instances of a subject by analyzing previous instances, summarizing specific attributes, and incenting positive performance or discouraging negative performance, capitalizing on what you learned from the past. Most Transportation Management Systems (TMS) give you Business Intelligence (BI) in the form of Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) on your trading partners and your own operation. Most often, the information subject to these analyses are grouped into either financial or performance-toplan categories. You employ these analytics to make decisions on future situations based on historical performance. But the imperative falls to you to determine the value of good performance and implement a resulting decision or reward structure. You must make the connection between the historical summary and the rule to influence behavior. The system accumulates, homogenizes, and summarizes information in a way that you never could, but until now there has been a gap in the process workflow -- connecting the KPIs to future decisions. Embedded Analytics (EA) makes this connection. How You Work Today Volume and duration requirements, performance-to-plan, comparative performance information, and historical cost information are readily available in today’s TMS. You can easily measure your carriers -- their on-time performance, acceptance/rejection percentage, billing accuracy, unanticipated accessorials, and others. You can examine historical costs, determine trends, and posit target rates by lane. You can also determine the average time required to load and unload at a facility, or to transit between your facility and repetitive destinations (or pick-up points). You can examine workflow standards and adjust for trading partner performance or seasonal vagaries. page 2 Embedded Analytics The metrics the TMS delivers to you are simple and easy-to-understand and you have almost infinite flexibility in selecting and summarizing the data. But, it is time-consuming for you to implement these KPIs into your day-to-day operational decision-making. Employing this information is largely a manual process. You must examine the KPI, make a decision on what to influence, decide how to effect that influence, and implement your decision in the form of a rule that the system employs when it makes future decisions of the appropriate type. BI is delivered to you. To get your metrics, you print a report, or view a dashboard, with pre-defined metrics reported for a given category. When you have analyzed the results, you return to your TMS and set rules to make decisions and to reward good performance and discourage bad (making operational changes that influence behavior in the future). This process is separate from, and asynchronous with, your day-to-day transactional management of transportation operations. In addition, most KPIs are backwardfacing and captured at a specific point-in-time. Normally, BI is reported monthly. This implies that toward the end of the period and prior to the next report, the information has become progressively more obsolete. The KPI’s value is only as current as the last “snapshot,” since the metrics gathered over time change constantly. Each rating or metric can improve or degrade over time, requiring you to constantly modify your rules for decision or reward. This is a flawed way-of-working. YOU need to get out of the middle of the process! A Better Way-of-Working You really want integral incorporation of this BI into your day-to-day operational business process. Why not embed the BI that you already collect into the operational processes of your TMS and employ it directly as decisions are required? page 3 Embedded Analytics Embedded Analytics takes the historical BI that is a byproduct of past shipments and examines it as operational decisions are being made. It automatically applies the most current and relevant KPI to the specific operational decision being made. Because so many of these decisions are impacted by constantly-changing performance metrics in multiple categories, your TMS must become smart enough to make routine, but high-volume and current-datadependent, decisions for you. It works by building a bridge between the analytics output and the rules. A macro extracts the KPI data, transforms it (if necessary), and inserts the result into the appropriate rule for operational decision-making. Two common types of operational decisions that can be affected involve targets (either ‘not less than’ or ‘not greater than’) and rankings (priority or sequence). For example, for the TMS to automatically impact a target, such as a transit time within a lane, the KPI could summarize shipment history within that lane and determine both the average and minimum transit times. These can then be inserted into the route guide for that lane, to be employed when future shipments are scheduled within that lane. The key benefit of “closing-the-loop” between the analytics and the application of business rules is timeliness of information. The most current information -- either transactional or summary -is always employed implying that better decisions are being made from better information. Embedded Analytics Examples of Use There are a legion of examples of employing Embedded Analytics for both creating/implementing targets and adjusting rankings. Consider all the ways that Embedded Analytics can affect your carrier relationships. You want to give preferential treatment to your best carrier trading partners -- the ones who make it easier to do business with by delivering on time, accepting all the loads you offer them on a timely basis, and billing correctly without page 4 Embedded Analytics unexpected fees. You want to maintain the best possible carrier relationships to enjoy the best possible service. Embedded Analytics allows you to automatically: • reward your best performing carriers with quicker payment without having to hand-analyze each transaction and individually decide carrier payment frequency • c hange your route guide parameters to increase the number of loads offered to a carrier based on historical availability, superior acceptance, and on-time performance • allocate premium appointment slots to carriers that habitually demonstrate the best on-time performance -- and make those slots unavailable to the poor performers The operative word is automatically. Too many of these decisions are impacted by constantly-changing performance metrics in multiple categories. Your TMS can make these routine, but high-volume and current-data-dependent, decisions for you. For example, EA can: • Reward with quick payment the carriers that accept loads fully and quickly and perform on-time. By setting rules on performance levels that equate to payment speed, EA can automatically determine an individual carrier’s payment dwell time -- and change that target time immediately as performance changes. • Increase the number of loads offered to carriers based on historical availability, superior acceptance percentage, and on-time performance (and within the limits of your volume incentive agreements). Again, by setting ranking rules that affect the allocation decision, employing metrics other than lowest rate, your TMS can determine the best, most effective carrier to offer a load to, and do so without asking for your intervention. • A llocate premium appointment slots to the carriers that habitually demonstrated the best on-time performance so that your facilities operate smoothly in peak periods. You want to show those peak periods as “unavailable” to carriers that have traditionally been late and caused schedule disruptions. By setting ranking rules that establish minimum per formance standards for peak times, EA can automatically determine at appointment request time whether a carrier’s historical on-time performance percentage qualifies for the time slot. The self-service appointment scheduling system can mask peak appointment slots from poor performers, even if those slots are open. Each carrier will see availability based on its historical on-time performance rank. There are other significant areas where EA can be applied in addition to the carrier relationship. Rating is a key area because rates are volatile and only updating them periodically page 5 Embedded Analytics (annually or semi-annually as contracts change) implies that you may be losing money on a day-to-day basis. You can employ EA to develop target rates for quotes, or a “book-it-now” price. EA uses historical information to calculate a rate by lane, compare this target rate to the existing rate, and update target rates on a selective basis. Employing rules, EA can automatically keep this rate up-to-date. For spot rate quotes, the “book-it-now” rate provides an eBay-like function for a carrier to accept the load immediately. The target rate becomes a target price for bidding. It can be a reference point to gauge when the contracted rate is out-of-tolerance and should be reviewed prior to tender. The target rate also provides a benchmark for analyzing rate trends and negotiating contracts. Particularly in an environment where spot rates are negotiable, this results in a lower freight bill for you. In addition to impacting the financial attributes, EA can be employed to impact operational attributes as well. Determining the target duration for events and processes is an excellent application for EA. For example, EA can employ historical load/unload times and transit times to establish targets to validate appointment duration and current transit time between appointments. Automatically comparing historical load and unload times to current appointment duration can flag those with insufficient duration. Automatically comparing transit time in a lane can determine if sufficient time has been allowed between estimated facility departure time and delivery appointment time and highlight those that are inadequate. Other uses of EA include automatically monitoring and adjusting routing and volume allocations for seasonal impacts, accumulating volumes and frequencies of loads in lanes to establish repetitive shipment templates, and adjusting roles and permissions on workflows based on time and criticality. Conclusion In these examples, Embedded Analytics embeds Business Intelligence directly into your TMS day-to-day operations and processes. The most current rate and performance information is acquired interactively and the process is synchronous. It takes you out of the middle. You could never manually-analyze each transaction and make these decisions as the events arise. There are too many transactions that require examining specific metrics, and then implementing individual operational decisions. This process must be event-driven and the Business Intelligence must be examined by Embedded Analytics without human intervention. Further, you do not want to permanently change your carrier, rate, route, and appointment constructs. These embedded analytic page 6 Embedded Analytics decisions are dynamic, made transactionally as events arise, and changed dynamically as each KPI changes. Your time duration and capacity requirements change as performance dictates. You neither permanently reward a trading partner for historically good behavior nor permanently punish a traditionally bad-performing partner. Decisions and rewards are based on a continuum -and you constantly encourage the best performance that you desire1. The examples cited in this article are but a few of the many ways Embedded Analytics can be employed to improve your Transportation Management performance and reduce costs. Note: Embedded Analytics is not optimization. Complex decisions are not being made from multiple variables across multiple transactions concurrently. Rather, simple operational decisions are made on a transaction-bytransaction basis from performance history. 1 page 7 Embedded Analytics
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