Retail Map Russia Date 13-04-2015 Retail map Russia The Retail Map is a tool to make Danish companies aware of the big potential in Russia. 15 cities in Russia have over a million inhabitants. The level of education is still rising and the Russian middleclass is growing. This means that there is great potential to expand or establish ones business in other cities than Moscow and St. Petersburg. This is something a company should consider. The purpose of this retail map and this presentation is to make you aware of the different options available in Russia. The aim is not to point out what to do and what not to do. The information in the presentation is just indicators to give you an overview of some of the possibilities in Russia. RETAIL MAP RUSSIA ___________________________________________________________________________________ 3 RECENT CHANGES IN THE RUSSIAN RETAIL SECTOR _________________________________________________________________ 3 LARGE CITIES IN RUSSIA __________________________________________________________________________________ 4 STORES IN RUSSIA ______________________________________________________________________________________ 6 SHOPPING MALLS IN RUSSIA _______________________________________________________________________________ 7 COSTS OF A RETAIL BUSINESS _______________________________________________________________________________ 9 SHORT DESCRIPTION OF THE CITIES __________________________________________________________________________ 11 Recent changes in the Russian retail sector Before 2014 the Russian retail market looked very promising. Thanks to relative political stability and strong oil and gas prices, Russia’s retail turnover became five times bigger 2011 comparing to 2001. In 2015 it became clear that the Russian retail sector and the overall economy are struggling because of the Western and self-imposed sanctions as well as a decline of national currency and low oil prices. However, there are still lots of opportunities for Danish companies in Russia. Alone in 2014 - 65 new shopping centers opened and the total stock of quality retail space in Russia reached almost 23 million m2. Due to the geopolitical environment and the economic situation, some international retail operators have left the Russian market, others still consider the market attractive and have chosen to expand or enter. The current situation presents some new opportunities for investment in Russia. The retail space is typically cheaper than before, competition is reduced, and there is room for expansion. This is something a Danish company should take into consideration. 3 Large cities in Russia Economic, as well as demographic indicators for Russia is often associated with some uncertainty. The actual numbers of inhabitants in the cities are expected to be higher than the official numbers, because many people live a shadow existence – they are not registered, are not paying any taxes and are therefore hidden from the official statistics. Hence, the data used in the map and presentation only indicate conditions in the country. The figures used in this presentation have been obtained through official sources, but these sources also have some complications; e.g. it is assumed that up to 60% of the Russian economy is grey or black. A grey economy is when part of the income is not declared. Table 1: Income and number of inhabitants of Russia's largest cities Ranking by number City Population (in Income per. month of inhabitants millions) (2014/2015) in the rub. (2013) 1 Moscow 12.2 54.869 city / 23.738 region 2 St. Petersburg 5.2 31.407 city / 26.166 region 3 Novosibirsk 1.6 22.597 4 Yekaterinburg 1.4 31.013 5 Nizhny Novgorod 1.3 24.502 6 Samara 1.2 26.864 7 Omsk 1.2 21.363 8 Kazan 1.2 26.161 9 Chelyabinsk 1.2 21.888 10 Rostov-on-Don 1.1 20.994 11 Ufa 1.1 23.892 12 Volgograd 1.0 17.589 13 Perm 1.0 26.054 14 Krasnoyarsk 1.0 24.921 15 Voronezh 1.0 22.056 146.3 25.928 The Russian Federation 4 The figures in the table indicate the number of inhabitants in the cities and not the region surrounding the city. It can be assumed that people, who live outside the cities, go to the larger cities to buy retail goods. Therefore one can assume that the potential customer volume is larger than shown in the table. Russia is urbanizing and people are moving from the countryside to the cities for better education and job opportunities. This means that the population in the cities is expected to rise in the coming years. The right side of the table shows the monthly average income for the regions where the city is located. Further, as is shown in the table for Moscow and St. Petersburg, there are differences between incomes in the cities and the surrounding regions. This trend is general and the income is considerably higher in the cities. It is important to understand that the regions vary in size, but most of them are bigger than Denmark. 5 Stores in Russia Establishing a company on the Russian market can be challenging. Linguistic and cultural barriers can for a Danish company be hard to handle, and can prevent companies from seeking out the opportunity. However, European goods have a good reputation in Russia and it is possible to make profit in Russia. Table 2 shows a selection of retail companies, and the extent to which they are represented in Russia. The major cities are often geared to international trade, and have many more brands on the market. This is to illustrate how some companies have chosen to expand in Russia. Table 2: Number of stores spread over the 15 largest cities City\Store IKEA Ecco H&M Zara INWM Pandora (number)* MEGAMall Moscow 3 74 13 24 2 24 3 St. Petersburg 2 32 5 8 6 21 2 Novosibirsk 1 4 4 1 Yekaterinburg 1 3 6 2 8 1 Nizhny 1 6 2 2 6 1 Samara 1 6 3 3 5 1 Omsk 1 4 Kazan 1 3 3 2 5 1 1 4 3 1 Novgorod Chelyabinsk 2 1 1 1 5 1 Rostov-on-Don 1 3 2 3 5 1 Ufa 1 4 2 3 3 1 Volgograd 1 5 2 2 2 3 1 1 3 Perm 2 Krasnoyarsk 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 4 Voronezh 1 * Source: Corporate websites, manual search 2015 In Russia there is a tendency that foreign companies give the smaller cities lower priority than Moscow and Saint Petersburg, despite the fact that the population of many of the smaller cities is over a million and the 6 income is relatively close to the major cities. The costs of marketing, wages and store rent are typically lower in smaller towns – this is illustrated with average costs of billboard space in table 3. Also, the competition tends to be less fierce than in Moscow and St. Petersburg. Eastern Russia is noteworthy because of the great amount of natural resources found here. The resources create a high income for certain segments which means that there are a lot of potential customers. However, there are also difficulties associated with the Eastern Russian cities. For example there can be some infrastructural, cultural and linguistic difficulties that need to be taken into consideration. The Eastern cities’ business culture is further away from the European, which can pose unique challenges to Danish companies. The English language is also less prevalent in the Eastern cities than in the Western. Shopping malls in Russia It is important to keep in mind that Russians use shopping centers in a different way than Europeans. Russians use shopping malls to hang out. They can spend a whole day in a shopping center together with family or friends. The shopping malls are created as a funfair where children can play, you can relax in a cafe, or you can shop in the stores. Most shopping malls have food courts where the whole family can eat, and some opportunities for entertainment, such as cinema or ice rinks. Despite the current geopolitical and economic environment, the supply of retail space in Russia remains positive and 2.3 million m2 of retail space was completed in 2014. Shopping mall space is in high demand and the vacancy rate is only 6% in Moscow and 5% in St. Petersburg respectively. There was a very ambitious plan to open another 4 million m2 of retail space in 2015. This is very unlikely to be achieved due to the current situation in Russia, but new retail space will be completed in 2015. Three examples of shopping malls in Russia Europeisky Europeisky shopping mall is located in the center of Moscow and has 8 floors with more than 500 stores divided among the over 180,000 m2 available. The mall offers quality restaurants and bars, saunas and health treatments and many European brand shops. You can find everything you desire and much more. There are 7 around 100 cafes and restaurants, an ice rink, a cinema, a supermarket and parking for 1200 cars. Europeisky has more than 3.5 million visitors per month and is one of the favorite malls among Danish companies. Danish companies, who already are established on the Russian market, find that the shops started up in Europeisky quickly becomes the most profitable stores they have after a few months. MEGA-Malls MEGA-Malls are part of the IKEA Group and manage a chain of major shopping malls throughout Russia. The MEGA-malls are placed next to IKEA stores and usually also Aushan and OBI – the stores supplement each other very well and people have the opportunity to buy almost everything in one place. The chain of MEGA-Malls includes 14 shopping centers across Russia. Each MEGA-Mall features an average of 200 stores. The chain has around 270 million visitors a year. Aviapark On November 28th, 2014 Aviapark the largest shopping mall in Europa opened. Located in the Northern part of Moscow, Aviapark is expected to be visited by 40 million people during the first year and even more in following years. The mall has more than 225.000 m2 of leasable m2 available and over 500 stores to meet your every demand. The center also features a winter garden, a movie theater with 17 screens, a huge aquarium, and more than 80 restaurants. Parking is available for 5000 cars and the metro is within walking distance. 8 Galeria Galeria is one of the biggest shopping centers in St. Petersburg and its ideal location next to the Moskovsky railway station and less than 5 minutes’ walk from Nevsky Prospect make it very popular. The center features around 300 stores spread across the 200.000 m2 available. Like most Russian malls you can find other kinds of entertainment besides shopping; the center offers a ten-screen cinema, a bowling alley, a children’s play area and a huge food court. The center hosts underground parking for 1200 cars and a large supermarket. Costs of a retail business The cost of establishing and running a retail business differs from region to region in Russia. Due to fierce competition, the costs are typically higher in Moscow and St. Petersburg than in the other cities. Also, tourism (both local and foreign) can affect costs – cities located in large regions, typically experience local tourism. 9 For comparison of the cost of the 15 cities, billboard prices are chosen as an indicator of the level of costs of running a retail business. Table 3 shows the average cost in rubles per month for a billboard of 3m x 6m in the 15 cities. It is important to mention that the retail map only is a snapshot, where the figures are used as indicators to provide a general overview of possible differences in prices and costs. Table 3: Billboard costs for comparing costs City Average cost for Billboard / Costs in RUB per month (April 2014) Moskva 116.247 Skt. Petersborg 47.080 Novosibirsk 33.240 Jekaterinburg 18.790 Nizhny Novgorod 39.070 Samara 17.420 Omsk 89.840 Kazan 33.390 Chelyabinsk 17.610 Rostov-on-Don 27.160 Ufa 21.610 Volgograd 16.370 Perm 16.430 Krasnoyarsk 23.670 Voronezh 17.820 All data are in RUB for one month's rent of a 3m x 6m billboard. 10 Short description of the cities Moscow Moscow is Russia's capital and commercial center. Moscow has about 12.2 million inhabitants, but has also a large region around it, inhabited by several million people. Retail has a strong momentum in the city and Moscow has 5.5 million of m2 of retail space. Moscow can be compared to every other big capital in Europe. St. Petersburg St. Petersburg is the second largest city in Russia. It was the capital of Russia from 1732 – 1918 and has around 5.2 million inhabitants. Because of the historical and cultural heritage it is the most popular tourist destination Russia. The city is often described as the most westernized city of Russia and as its cultural capital. St. Petersburg is a huge industrial center and its production includes everything from tanks to beer and sculptures. Novosibirsk Novosibirsk has 1.6 million inhabitants and is the largest city in the eastern part of Russia. Novosibirsk is an industrial city and its primary industries are agriculture, electricity, gas- and water supplies, fuel mining, metal extraction, and processing. During the 20th century the city experienced rapid growth and industrialization. Yekaterinburg Yekaterinburg has 1.4 million inhabitants and is on the border of Europe and Asia – about 1600 km east of Moscow. The main industry is centralized around machine manufacturing, metal processing and mining of ferrous and non-ferrous metals. Nizhny Novgorod Among the major cities in Russia, Nizhny Novgorod is the one closest to Moscow. Besides the more basic industries, the city has a large concentration of firms engaged in R&D, IT and a large engineering industry. The city’s population is around 1.3 million. Samara The former closed city of Samara is located on the Volga River. With a population of 1.2 million, it is one of the leading industrial centers in the Volga region. Because of the location Samara is a popular tourist destination. The industry is centralized around various space services and machinery. 11 Omsk Omsk is the second largest city east of the Ural Mountains with 1.2 million inhabitants. It is a major river port and production includes agricultural machinery and railway equipment. Kazan The newly renovated city of 1.2 million inhabitants is one of the largest industrial and financial centers of Russia. The city’s industry is centralized around mechanical engineering, chemical, light, and food production. Chelyabinsk The industry of Chelyabinsk is centralized around ferrous and non-ferrous metal production. The size of the metal industry is unequalled in Russia. It is located east of Ural south of Yekaterinburg and has 1.2 inhabitants. Rostov-on-Don Rostov-on-Don is a trading port city of five seas; the Black Sea, the Sea of Azov, the Caspian Sea, the White Sea, and the Baltic Sea. The Don River is a major shipping lane connecting Southwestern Russian with the north. The city with 1.1 million inhabitants is sometimes referred to as the “gateway to Caucasus”. The agricultural region around Rostov-on-Don produces one-third of Russia´s vegetable oil from sunflowers. Ufa With 1.1 million inhabitants, Ufa is the greenest city in Russia with a population above a million. Ufa’s industry is centralized around oil refining, chemistry and mechanics such as aircraft engines. Volgograd Volgograd has about 1 million inhabitants. The city's industry consists of oil refineries, shipyards, aluminum plant, tractor factory and steel plant. Volgograd is also an important hub for rail and river transportation. Perm Even though Perm is the smallest of the big cities in the Urals with around 1 million inhabitants – it has the largest industrial output ahead of Yekaterinburg, Chelyabinsk and Ufa. The city has serval large industries which include electric power engineering, oil and gas refining, machine building, and chemicals. Krasnoyarsk Krasnoyarsk is the most eastern city with a population above a million. The region is rich in raw materials and is one of Russia’s largest producers of aluminum. 12 Voronezh Voronezh is the latest city to reach 1 million inhabitants in Russia. The industry includes aircraft production and pharmaceutics. With the help of the Investment Fund of Russia implementations of big projects have begun in the recent years. 13 The Trade Council is a part of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and is the official export and investment promotion agency of Denmark. The Trade Council benefits from around ninety Danish Embassies, Consulates General and Trade Commissions abroad. The Trade Council advises and assists Danish companies in their export activities and internationalisation process according to the vision: We must be a partner preferred by enterprises in international trade and investment activities. The Work in the Trade Council follows specific procedures and quality guidelines.In this way our customers are secured the best possible quality under the varying working and market conditions at any given point of time. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Denmark Royal Dansih Embassy in Moscow 9 Prechistensky Pereulok 119034 Moscow Tel: + 7 495 6426800 Fax + 7 495 7750191 E-mail: [email protected] www.rusland.um.dk 14
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