An overview of cloud and precipitation microphysics and its parameterization in models Hugh Morrison NCAR* Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division, NESL *National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation WRF Workshop, June 21, 2010 Outline • Background/introduction • Basics of microphysics parameterization - Liquid schemes - Ice microphysics and mixed-phase schemes - Multi-moment schemes • Microphysics and data assimilation • General thoughts on use of microphysics schemes Cloud particles (microphysics) Individual clouds 0.5 mm Mesoscale cloud systems Weather systems 1000 km “microphysics” processes controlling formation of cloud droplets and ice crystals, their growth and fallout as precipitation 0.5 mm “microphysics parameterization” “macrophysics” schemes are often used in larger-scale models (cloud fraction, PDF cloud schemes) to drive microphysics “parameterization” grid-scale microphysics Predicted temperature, moisture, wind, etc. latent heating, drying/moistening Microphysics plays a key role in cloud, climate and weather models -Latent heating/cooling Stephens (2005) (condensation, evaporation, deposition, sublimation, freezing, melting) -Condensate loading (mass of the condensate carried by the flow) -Precipitation (fallout of larger particles) -Coupling with surface processes (moist downdrafts leading to surface-wind gustiness, cloud shading) -Radiative transfer (mostly mass for absorption/emission of LW, particle size also important for SW) -Cloud-aerosol-precipitation interactions (aerosol affect clouds: indirect aerosol effects, but clouds process aerosols as well) Overview of microphysics parameterization Microphysics schemes can be broadly categorized into two types: Detailed (bin) bulk Size distribution assumed to follow functional form Size distribution discretized into bins N(D) N(D) Diameter (D) Diameter (D) Representation of particle size distribution Bulk schemes predict one or more bulk quantities (e.g., mixing ratio) and assume some functional form for the particle size distribution, e.g., gamma distribution: n(D) = N0 Dm e-lD If N0 and m are specified, then l can be obtained from the predicted mixing ratio q: Equations for isometric particle shapes Liquid microphysics – Kessler (1969) • Separate liquid into cloud water and rain Droplet mass distribution evolution during rain formation using a detailed bin model. N(D) Grabowski and Wang 2009 N(D) N(D) Time • Key liquid microphysical conversion processes Accretion of cloud water by existing rain N(D) Autoconversion of cloud water to form rain N(D) Diffusional growth of cloud water N(D) Diameter (D) Liquid microphysics – Kessler (1969) • Separate liquid into cloud water and rain • Marhsall-Palmer distribution for rain qc CloudWater (Prognostic) Evaporation/ Condensation Autoconversion/ Accretion qr Rain (Prognostic) Evaporation qv Water Vapor (Prognostic) Sedimentation Marshall-Palmer (1948) rain drop distribution - N0 = 8 x 106 m-4 -m=0 N0 N(D) Slope l Log Particle Diameter (D) Extension to ice phase …subsequent studies extended the Kessler approach to include ice (e.g., Koenig and Murray 1976; Lin et al. 1983; Rutledge and Hobbs 1984; Lord et al. 1984; Dudhia 1989) Ice microphysical processes • Diffusional growth/sublimation • Aggregation (autoconversion, accretion) • Collection of rain and cloud water (riming) • Melting • Freezing • Ice particle initiation (nucleation) • Sedimentation Ice microphysics has important impacts on dynamics and surface precipitation due to: • slower fallspeed of snow compared to rain • extra latent heating (cooling) due to freezing (melting) (e.g., Leary and Houze 1979; Lord et al. 1984; Fovell and Ogura 1988; Zhang and Gao 1989; McCumber et al. 1991; Liu et al. 1997; McFarquhar et al. 2006) Example: Impact of ice microphysics on 2D tropical squall line Ice + Liquid (Koenig and Murray) Liu et al. 1997 Liquid only (Kessler) However, there is strong case dependence of effects! However, ice microphysics is significantly more complicated because of the wide variety of ice particle characteristics… Pristine ice crystals, grown by diffusion of water vapor Pruppacher and Klett Snowflakes, grown by aggregation Rimed ice crystals (accretion of supercooled cloud drops) Graupel (heavily rimed ice crystals) Hail Different types of ice (small ice, snow, graupel, hail, etc.) are typically parameterized by partitioning ice into different species whose characteristics (N0, particle density, fallspeed) are determined a priori. • “Effective density” of ice particles is typically expressed by a mass-size relationship of the form: m = aDb • In many schemes, b = 3 (corresponding with spheres) and a ~ 0.1 g cm-3 (snow), ~ 0.4 g cm-3 (graupel), or ~ 0.9 g cm-3 (hail). • More recently, schemes have been developed that assume b ~ 2 (Thompson et al. 2008; Milbrandt et al. 2010; Morrison and Grabowski 2008), which is closer to observationally- and theoretically-derived values. Rutledge and Hobbs, JAS 1984 Different ice species have very different characteristics! Straka and Mansell (2005) How ice is separated into different species (cloud ice, snow, graupel, hail, etc.) can have a large impact on simulations. Graupel 2D tropical squall line simulations McCumber et al. (1991) Hail 3D mid-latitude squall line simulations from Biggerstaff and Houze (1993) Morrison and Bryan (2010, in prep) It seems likely that “optimal” parameterization settings in terms of number and type of ice species are case dependent. Even within a given species, there is large variability - in general the boundaries between different species are not obvious. From A. Heymsfield - • Recent work has attempted to move away from the paradigm of separating ice into different species w/ fixed characteristics, and instead allow particle type to vary as a function of the rime and vapor deposition ice mixing ratios or process rates, which are predicted or diagnosed separately (Stoelenga et al. 2007; Morrison and Grabowski 2008; Lin and Colle 2010). Stage 1: Unrimed crystal Stage 2: Partially-rimed crystal Stage 3: Graupel D • Vapor depositional growth Morrison and Grabowski 2008 • Riming of crystal interstices • Vapor depositional growth • Complete filling-in of interstices with rime • Further growth by riming and vapor deposition Multi-moment versus single-moment schemes • Single-moment – predict mixing ratio only for each species • Multi-moment – predict additional quantities for each species (number concentration, reflectivity) Prediction of additional moments allows greater flexibility in representing size distributions and hence microphysical process rates. N(D) = N0 Dm e-lD • Prediction of 2nd moment (number concentration N) allows N0 to vary with q and N, giving scheme more flexibility (e.g., Koenig and Murray 1976; Ferrier 1994; Meyers et al. 1997; Seifert and Beheng 2001; Milbrand and Yau 2005; Morrison et al. 2005) • Prediction of 3rd moment (reflectivity Z) allows N0 and m to vary with q, N, and Z (e.g., Milbrandt and Yau 2005; Gilmore and Straka 2009) Key impacts of single vs. double-moment: • Sedimentation (treatment of size sorting) • Evaporation of rain - 2-moment schemes have a more flexible treatment of rain drop mean size Example: Impact of single vs. double-moment on idealized 2D squall line Morrison et al. 2009 t = 6 hr 2-moment Precip Reflectivity 1-moment Example: Impact of single vs. double-moment on idealized 2D squall line Small N0, low evaporation rate in 2moment simulation Weaker cold pool in 2-moment simulation Morrison et al. 2009 Spatial structure of N0 in 2-moment scheme is consistent with observations (e.g., Waldvogel 1974; Tokday and Short 1996). • Other parameters also impact rain drop size distribution and hence evaporation rate (rain drop breakup, rain size distribution width or shape, etc.). Example: parameterization of rain drop breakup in simulations of tornadic supercell thunderstorms, Dx = 1 km Morrison and Milbrandt (2010) Microphysics and data assimilation • Assimilation of radar reflectivity, satellite radiances, etc. - Requires reasonable level of complexity of microphysics for forward operator to “correctly” partition increments • Issues with development of tangent linear and adjoint models for microphysics - Nonlinearity of microphysics (e.g., rain evaporation) - Complex interaction (e.g., 3-species interaction) - Conditionals/branches (e.g., autoconversion thresholds) Microphysical parameter estimation using 4DVAR (e.g., Zhu and Navon 1999) or ensemble Kalman filter (e.g., Tong and Xue 2008) From J. Sun et al.) Key uncertainties – microphysical parameters • Depends on type of microphysics scheme (number of species and moments) - One-moment schemes – N0 (but predicted in 2-moment schemes…) • Ice microphysics – density, fallspeed, etc. • Conversion parameters – snow to graupel, liquid and ice autoconversion, etc. Case dependence of parameters?? Large uncertainties remain in our basic understanding of the physical processes of ice particles! - Nucleation - Particle shape (habit) - Diffusional growth - Aggregation, breakup - Riming General thoughts on the use of microphysics schemes How does one choose which type of microphysics scheme to use? Many factors to consider: Computational cost – number of species and predicted moments is key (can be few % increase in run time with each additional prognostic variable in WRF) Appropriateness for application (e.g., real time forecasting vs. research) Appropriateness for case (liquid vs. mixed-phase, 3species ice vs. 2-species ice) There has been a trend toward the use of more complex microphysics schemes (i.e., more species and more predicted moments) given: - desire for better physical realism and representation of microphysical processes - need for more flexibility to cover a large number of different applications The development of more complex schemes has been possible because of: - increasing computer power - improvements in understanding underlying physical processes (theory and observations) While more complex schemes improve physical realism and are able to simulate microphysical processes more realistically, they may not necessarily lead to consistently better results (especially w/o tuning). - more realistic microphysics may expose other model deficiencies (e.g., resolution, initialization/forcing, etc.) - other physical parameterizations (e.g., PBL, radiation) have often been developed and tuned to work with simpler microphysics schemes Differences are often as large or larger amongst simulations using more complex schemes than amongst those using simpler schemes, and while complex schemes are useful as benchmarks for testing simpler schemes, this should be done with care. - more degrees of freedom in complex schemes means divergence of results is more likely - key uncertainties related to the underlying physics often can’t be addressed by increasing complexity of the scheme, and therefore still require arbitrary or tuned parameter settings Summary • Microphysics parameterization is key in weather and climate models because of interaction with dynamics, radiation, aerosols/chemistry, etc. • Microphysics parameterizations vary widely in complexity, with a general trend toward use of more detailed multimoment and multi-species schemes. • Numerous uncertainties remain in our understanding of the basic physics, especially for the ice phase. Progress depends on improvements in theory and especially observations (e.g., lab studies). Thank you! Questions?
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