PII: Marine Pollution Bulletin Vol. 42, No. 11, pp. 1007±1013, 2001 Ó 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved Printed in Great Britain 0025-326X/01 $ - see front matter S0025-326X(01)00135-7 Viewpoint Can Saltwater Toxicity be Predicted from Freshwater Data? KENNETH M. Y. LEUNG *, DAVID MORRITT , JAMES R. WHEELER , PAUL WHITEHOUSEà, NEAL SOROKINà, ROBIN TOY§, MARTIN HOLT and MARK CRANE School of Biological Sciences, Royal Holloway, University of London, Egham, Surrey TW20 0EX, UK àWRc-NSF, Henley Road, Medmenham, Marlow, Buckinghamshire SL7 2HD, UK §Shell International Chemicals Ltd., Shell Centre, London SE1 7NA, UK ECETOC, Av E van Nieuwenhuyse 4, Bte 6, B-1160, Brussels, Belgium The regulation of substances discharged to estuarine and coastal environments relies upon data derived from ecotoxicity tests. Most such data are generated for freshwater rather than saltwater species. If freshwater toxicity data are related to saltwater toxic eects in a systematic and predictable way, the former can be used to predict the latter. This would have economic advantages due to a reduction in toxicity testing of saltwater species. If toxicity data are plotted as species sensitivity distributions, four theoretical relationships between freshwater and saltwater can be envisaged. Examples show that each one of these relationships is supported by empirical data. These examples show that although there is considerable potential for freshwater to saltwater prediction, species parity and representativeness need to be examined for each chemical substance to avoid bias. Ó 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: species sensitivity distribution; parity; representativeness; freshwater to saltwater toxicity. Introduction European Union Directives and Regulations dealing with chemical risk assessment for New and Existing Substances are implemented using the European Union System for Evaluation of Substances (EUSES). This system focuses on risk assessment for freshwater and terrestrial environments, but procedures for saltwater are less well developed. A key step in chemical risk assessment for any environment is the estimation of a Predicted No Eect Concentration (PNEC). In practice, *Corresponding author. Tel.: +44-1784-414-196; fax: +44-1784470-756. E-mail address: [email protected] (K.M.Y. Leung). risk assessors must extrapolate from a relatively small dataset, usually containing information from less than 10 species, to estimate the PNEC (OECD, 1992). This is usually achieved by applying safety factors to the lowest eects concentrations from reliable studies (Whitehouse and Cartwright, 1998). There are generally fewer toxicity data available for saltwater species than for freshwater ones, especially in relation to organic compounds (Solbe et al., 1993). This is largely because there are fewer standard test methods for saltwater species and because aquatic risk assessments, at least in Europe, have tended to focus on freshwater systems. Because of this paucity of data, many saltwater PNECs rely on extrapolations based on freshwater information. This `surrogate' approach assumes that freshwater species respond similarly to marine species, and that the distributions of the sensitivities of the two groups of species are identical. These assumptions remain untested, and have led to proposals to add an additional safety factor of 10 to marine risk assessments based upon freshwater data (S. Robertson, Environment Agency of England and Wales, personal communication). Some previous studies have shown correlations between sensitivities of particular freshwater and saltwater invertebrates, ®sh and algae (Dawson et al., 1977; Robinson, 1999). For example, Hutchinson et al. (1998) concluded that freshwater to saltwater toxicity could be predicted with greater con®dence for ®sh than for invertebrates. It is worth noting, however, that for ®sh the predictions were based on comparisons within one class of chordates whereas the invertebrate comparisons lumped data for several higher taxonomic groups. No formal method has been proposed that allows an objective decision to be made as to whether or not to use freshwater data to predict saltwater toxicity for a particular chemical under review. 1007 Marine Pollution Bulletin Species Sensitivity Distributions Useful progress in comparing the responses of freshwater and saltwater biota to chemicals can be made by comparing the species sensitivity distributions (SSDs) of freshwater and saltwater organisms exposed to the same chemical. Essentially, this involves ranking the sensitivity of organisms to a speci®c chemical (based on either LC/EC50 or NOEC data) and plotting these ranks against chemical concentrations. A distribution is then ®tted to the toxicity data for dierent species, and from which certain quantitative parameters may be estimated, e.g. the concentration predicted to aect only a small proportion (typically 5%) of species (Aldenberg and Slob, 1993). A visual assessment of the extent of either congruence or discrepancy between freshwater and saltwater datasets can also be made. A key advantage to this approach for comparing responses to chemicals is that it obviates the need for `pairing' freshwater and saltwater species. Whilst it is not contentious to compare responses at a low level of taxonomic resolution (e.g. freshwater ®sh with saltwater ®sh), comparisons at higher levels of taxonomic resolution are fraught with diculties. This is especially the case at the species level where it would become necessary to identify, for example, a marine equivalent of Daphnia magna. Should this be done on the basis of taxonomy (i.e. select a marine cladoceran), life history characteristics or some other ecological or physiological criterion? It is on this point that SSDs have a major advantage. The approach allows comparison of the responses of `assemblages' of freshwater and marine species exposed to the same chemical. Usually, data for all taxa can be incorporated in the same distribution, although for chemicals with a speci®c mode of action this may not always be advisable because a series of `sub-distributions' may exist (Solomon et al., 1996). In marked contrast with previous approaches, however, the need to identify marine species that can be regarded as counterparts of freshwater species (and vice-versa) is avoided. If SSDs are used to compare freshwater and saltwater species responses to de®ned chemicals, essentially four dierent outcomes of these comparisons can be envisaged, as illustrated in Fig. 1. In these examples, concentration is plotted (on the x-axis) against the number of species aected (on the y-axis). In (a), SSDs for the freshwater and saltwater species are indistinguishable whereas in (b), there is a systematic shift re¯ecting the greater sensitivity of freshwater species, although the distributions of both these and saltwater ones have similar slopes; in (c), the reverse applies, with saltwater species showing greater sensitivity. Finally, in (d), both the slope characteristics and intercept with the y-axis are dierent, perhaps denoting more fundamental dier- (a) (b) (c) (d) Fig. 1 Possible outcomes from comparing species sensitivity distributions for freshwater (solid line) and saltwater (broken line) species (a), similarity, (b), freshwater consistently more sensitive than saltwater, (c), saltwater consistently more sensitive than freshwater and (d), dissimilar responses at high and low concentrations (distributions cross). 1008 Volume 42/Number 11/November 2001 ences between these groups of organisms in their responses to toxicants. may be either missing or absent from most toxicity datasets. Parity and Representativeness Examples of Freshwater to Saltwater Comparisons A closer examination of freshwater and saltwater datasets reveals consistent dierences in their species compositions, i.e. a lack of parity. Generally, greater taxonomic diversity is seen in toxicity data for freshwater species. Under such circumstances, bias could be introduced as a result of the presence of highly sensitive taxa, for example, insects and crustaceans that are sensitive to organophosphate insecticides, in either the freshwater or saltwater datasets. Given the greater taxonomic diversity in freshwater datasets, this may be expected to give rise to a systematic shift resulting in the apparently greater sensitivities of such species. A related consideration is the representativeness of the available datasets, i.e. the extent to which the species for which toxicity data are available re¯ect the natural taxonomic diversity of freshwater and saltwater biota. Both freshwater and saltwater toxicity datasets are incomplete in this regard but those for the latter taxa tend to be much less representative than their former counterparts. Indeed, some major saltwater taxa The US EPA's AQUIRE database (http//:www.epa. gov/med/databases/databases.html#aquire) was used to select acute toxicity data for four chemical substances to illustrate the SSD approach, and to show the in¯uence that parity and representativeness may have on toxicity comparisons. Cadmium There is a close similarity in the distribution of freshwater and saltwater responses to cadmium, as shown in Fig. 1(a). Forty-two freshwater species from nine higher taxonomic groups are compared with 31 saltwater species from six higher taxonomic groups in Fig. 2. The SSDs indicate close agreement between saltwater and freshwater assemblages. This similarity is perhaps surprising in view of previous studies on cadmium toxicity in saline media. As salinity increases, so the extent of cadmium chloro-complexing increases (50% CdClo2 ; 30%CdCl ; 20%CdCl3 ; Hunt, 1987), Fig. 2 (a) Species sensitivity distributions for cadmium, based on acute toxicity data for freshwater and saltwater species found on AQUIRE, plus the taxonomic composition of (b), freshwater (FW) and (c), saltwater (SW) data used to construct them. 1009 Marine Pollution Bulletin with an apparent decrease in toxicity, but with a corresponding increase in magnesium and calcium cations which may further ameliorate it. There are several reports covering a range of test organisms in which cadmium toxicity was reduced by increasing salinity. The eect has been attributed to competition for active sites by calcium (Pagano et al., 1982). In this example, the conclusions are based on reasonably well-populated freshwater and saltwater datasets dominated by crustaceans (27% and 46%, respectively) and ®shes (19% and 42%, respectively). The saltwater dataset has a higher proportion of ®sh and crustacean information, largely as a result of the increased taxonomic diversity of freshwater biota, which, for example, also includes insects, annelids, platyhelminthes and ectoprocts. All of which are often lacking for marine biota lists. Certainly, data for marine annelids and platyhelminthes would be valuable. Ectoprocta (bryozoan) data come from one study of three freshwater species exposed to a range of heavy metals, and which is interesting as the phylum is primarily a marine group. On the basis of these data, it is reasonable to conclude that extrapolation from freshwater data would be adequately protective for saltwater organisms, although some uncertainties remain over parity and representativeness. Nickel Nickel provides an example of where the distribution of freshwater responses is to the left of the saltwater ones, as shown in Fig. 1(b), suggesting that the former species are generally more sensitive to this substance than the latter. Eleven freshwater species from six higher taxonomic groups are compared with nine saltwater species from four higher taxonomic groups in Fig. 3. These data for nickel show a large discrepancy between freshwater and saltwater data, with greater sensitivity consistently exhibited by the former species. Nickel undergoes broadly similar speciation in freshwaters and saltwaters and this alone is unlikely, therefore, to account for the observed dierences. The interesting trend here is that there is a reversal in the relative proportions of ®shes and crustaceans between freshwater (46% and 18%, respectively) and saltwater (22% and 56%, respectively) datasets. There are no marine annelid and platyhelminth data and no freshwater mollusc data. Interestingly, there are no insect data for freshwaters. Clearly, despite some uncertainties about parity and representativeness for both freshwater and saltwater datasets, extrapolation from the former to the latter is likely to be protective with a considerable (approximately an order of magnitude) margin of safety. Chlordane The insecticide chlordane provides an example of where the distribution of saltwater responses is to the left of the freshwater ones, as shown in Fig. 1(c), suggesting that the former species are generally more sensitive to this substance than the latter. Twenty-®ve freshwater Fig. 3 (a) Species sensitivity distributions for nickel, based on acute toxicity data for freshwater and saltwater species found on AQUIRE, plus the taxonomic composition of (b) freshwater (FW) and (c) saltwater (SW) data used to construct them. 1010 Volume 42/Number 11/November 2001 Fig. 4 (a) Species sensitivity distributions for chlordane, based on acute toxicity data for freshwater and saltwater species found on AQUIRE, plus the taxonomic composition of (b) freshwater (FW) and (c) saltwater (SW) data used to construct them. species from ®ve higher taxonomic groups are compared with eight saltwater species from two higher taxonomic groups in Fig. 4. The freshwater data set contains a high proportion of ®sh (60%) and crustacean (24%) data, but meaningful comparison between this and the saltwater dataset is dicult because of the small size of the latter. Comparisons would be aided by acquiring more data for annelids, rotifers and molluscs, for which there are no saltwater data. In this case, there is evidence that freshwater data would not be protective of saltwater species. However, parity between freshwater and saltwater datasets is low, and the representativeness of the latter is poor, so that generation of further data may produce greater congruence between SSDs. Interestingly, there may not necessarily be a need for saltwater data, despite low numbers. This is because ®sh dominated the freshwater dataset (and the lower tail of the freshwater SSD) whereas crustaceans occupied this role in the saltwater SSDs. Apparently greater sensitivity by saltwater organisms may thus be over-estimated because of the preponderance of crustaceans, which are sensitive to insecticides. This could be investigated by reinforcing the freshwater dataset with either crustacean or insect data. Potassium dichromate Potassium dichromate provides an example in which the distributions of freshwater and saltwater responses cross each other, as shown in Fig. 1(d), suggesting that the relative sensitivities of the two habitats' taxa dier at high and low concentrations. Regulatory attention should, however, be drawn to the lower tails of the distributions where data for the more sensitive species lie. Eighty freshwater species from 10 higher taxonomic groups are compared with 33 saltwater species from ®ve higher taxonomic groups in Fig. 5. The most sensitive freshwater species are aected to a greater extent than the most sensitive saltwater ones. Dierences in speciation are an unlikely cause of this as chromium exists predominantly as an oxy-anion Cr2 O27 in both media. Fishes, crustaceans and annelids are well represented in both salt and freshwaters but there are few marine mollusc data. The freshwater species composition is affected by the inclusion of one study on twelve species of Protozoa, although they probably had little in¯uence on the SSD as they exhibited intermediate sensitivities to this substance. Despite some minor reservations with regard to parity and representativeness, extrapolation from freshwater data would likely be protective of saltwater organisms for this compound, almost certainly with a margin of safety. Discussion The SSD approach comparing freshwater and saltwater toxicity data, in combination with estimates of parity and representativeness, is a simple visual method 1011 Marine Pollution Bulletin Fig. 5 (a) Species sensitivity distributions for potassium dichromate, based on acute toxicity data for freshwater and saltwater species found on AQUIRE, plus the taxonomic composition of (b) freshwater (FW) and (c) saltwater (SW) data used to construct them. for summarising available information on the biological eects of chemicals in both habitats. When using this approach, the following features become apparent: 1. The distribution of toxicity values, and any particularly sensitive groups of biota. 2. Dierences between freshwater and saltwater toxicity, and whether they occur in the important lower tail of the distribution. 3. Obvious outliers from the general distribution that may deserve further attention. 4. Taxonomic groups missing from either distribution, and for which generation of toxicity data may be prudent. Like any extrapolation procedure, care needs to be exercised when interpreting the results of SSDs. Recent evidence shows that these distributions may be in¯uenced strongly by a chemical's mode of toxic action, which can in¯uence both the range and the complexity of the distribution (Vaal et al., 1997). An understanding of a chemical's mode of toxicity is thus important when comparing the distributions of species sensitivities. Additionally, quantitative SSD models assume a random selection of test organisms, which is clearly not the case (OECD, 1992). Therefore a possible cause of any differences between freshwater and saltwater organisms' sensitivity distributions could be dierences in the taxonomic composition of the datasets. This could be due either to dierences in parity between freshwater and saltwater data, or to the low representativeness of either 1012 habitats. As well as considering the distributions of species sensitivities, it is important to consider the in¯uence that particular species have in de®ning them, and the extent to which the responses of particular freshwater and saltwater ones are correlated. It is possible that some species will be particularly sensitive to a wide range of chemicals and will thus be found more frequently in the lower tail of the species sensitivity distributions, making them more important in de®ning the PNEC. We thank the CEFIC Long Range Initiative for funding and Professor Brian Morton for helpful comments on a draft. KMYL was supported by The Croucher Foundation, Hong Kong. Aldenberg, T. and Slob, W. (1993) Con®dence limits for hazardous concentrations based on log-logistically distributed NOEC toxicity data. Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety 25, 48±63. Dawson, G. W., Jennings, A. L., Drozdowski, D. and Rider E. (1977) The acute toxicity of 47 industrial chemicals to fresh and saltwater ®shes. 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