1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Vineyard variability in Marlborough, New Zealand: Characterising spatial and temporal changes in fruit composition and juice quality in the vineyard 16 Previous work has demonstrated that vineyards are spatially variable and that this variability can be 17 understood in terms of the underlying characteristics of the land (soils, topography) supporting the 18 vineyard. Selectively harvesting blocks in response to this variability may be highly profitable. Whilst it 19 has also been shown that crop maturation is spatially variable, there may also be temporal variations 20 in the rate of maturation. Integrating knowledge of how vineyard spatial and temporal variation interact 21 has not previously been attempted and is the key objective in this work. M.C.T Trought1 and R.G.V. Bramley2,3 1 New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research Ltd, Marlborough Wine Research Centre, PO Box 845, Blenheim, New Zealand; 2CSIRO Food Futures Flagship; 3CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems, PMB 2, Glen Osmond, SA 5064, Australia; 1 Corresponding author: [email protected] Abstract Background and aims: 22 23 Methods and Results: 24 We used a proximal sensor to map vine vigour at high spatial resolution in a 5.9 ha Marlborough 25 vineyard planted to Sauvignon Blanc. Vigour measurements were also related to fruit soluble solids, 26 titratable acidity and pH - key indices of crop maturity. A knowledge of crop phenology and maturation 27 was used to predict how these indices changed with time. The pooled opinion of over 50 Marlborough 28 winemakers on the optimum levels of soluble solids, juice pH and titratable acidity at harvest to 29 produce a “typical Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc”, was used to develop a juice index which in turn 30 was mapped in space and time at the study site. The juice index showed marked spatial and temporal 31 variation. 32 33 Conclusions: 34 In addition to being spatially variable, grape quality in vineyards is also temporally variable. Thus, the 35 optimisation of decisions about harvest timing requires a knowledge of spatial variability. Conversely, 36 strategies such as selective harvesting cannot be properly optimized without a knowledge of crop 37 phenology – which is also spatially variable. In this study, we have shown that by integrating a 38 knowledge of crop phenology with an understanding of vineyard variability and winemaker objectives, 39 it is possible for the optimum harvest decision to be made such that fruit destined for a particular end- 40 use is harvested at the right time and from the right place. 41 42 Significance of the Study: 43 This is the first study in which knowledge of both spatial and temporal vineyard variation has been 44 integrated. It demonstrates that in order to be optimal, strategies such as selective harvesting need to 45 incorporate knowledge of crop phenology rather than relying on knowledge of spatial variation alone. 46 47 Keywords: Wine quality, phenology, terroir 48 49 50 Introduction 51 52 The importance that fruit composition has in determining the flavour and aroma characteristics of wine 53 was summarised by Rankin (1991) when he said that “the potential quality of wine is established in the 54 vineyard and carried to fruition in the winery”. Identifying and predicting the date when the balance of 55 flavour and aroma precursors are at their optimum could be considered the “holy grail” of viticultural 56 research. Conceptually, growers and winemakers will have harvest targets in respect of attributes 57 such as yield, disease status, other berry damage, soluble solids, acidity, colour and more recently 58 flavour and aroma characteristics. These targets may be modified, based on weather predictions and 59 harvesting infrastructure. Some targets may be well defined (in particular disease status, soluble 60 solids and yield) and may form the basis for payment schedules from wineries; other targets are less 61 clear. In addition, juice analyses are usually described as mean values, and fruit sampling protocols 62 attempt to achieve the best estimate of mean vineyard fruit composition. However, vineyards are 63 variable and identifying the target fruit composition becomes more complicated when the differences 64 in vine growth and fruit composition within a vineyard are considered. When the variation in 65 composition around the mean is large, it is likely that over- and under-ripe flavours are present in the 66 juice and subsequent wine (Trought 1997). The importance this has in determining overall juice quality 67 largely depends on the variety being considered. For example, typical Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc 68 displays “ripe” and “unripe” characteristics in the wine (Parr et al. 2007) However, the same unripe 69 character in a Cabernet Sauvignon may be considered to be inferior. Whatever the relationship 70 between variability in fruit composition and final wine quality, understanding and predicting the 71 variability is important if vineyards are to be managed appropriately and fruit harvested at a ripeness 72 to make the target wine style. 73 74 Recent research using precision agriculture techniques has provided tools to understand variability in 75 vineyards (Bramley and Hamilton, 2004, 2007; Proffitt et al., 2006; Tisseyre et al., 2007). To date this 76 knowledge has been used by viticulturists and/or winemakers to either differentially manage parts of 77 the vineyard to reflect this variability or to selectively harvest areas within the vineyard (Bramley, 2010; 78 Bramley and Hamilton 2005, 2007; Trought et al., 2008) and optimise the composition of parcels of 79 fruit (Bramley et al., 2005; Bramley and Hamilton, 2007). Hitherto, selective harvesting strategies have 80 relied on knowledge of spatial variation alone. Typically, they involve either harvesting a block on a 81 single occasion into two or more product streams and/or harvesting different parts of a block at 82 different times. In the latter case, the objective may be either to enable allocation of the fruit from the 83 entire block to the same product stream, or to maximise the match of the harvested parcels to their 84 intended end use (Bramley et al., 2005). By understanding how fruit composition is changing in 85 different areas of the vineyard, it may be possible for such harvesting decisions to be optimised in both 86 time and space. 87 88 This alternative approach requires an understanding of the differences in fruit composition throughout 89 the vineyard and how composition changes with time. Identifying the optimum date for harvest can 90 then be determined from the mean value and the variability around that mean. To do this, the 91 influence of various juice components on the overall value of the juice have to be defined, while at the 92 same time, changes in fruit composition with time need to be understood along with the impact on 93 these of vineyard factors such as soil texture or depth. 94 95 Trought (1997), Bramley and Hamilton (2007), Trought et al. (2008) and most recently Bramley et al. 96 (2010) have previously drawn attention to the variability of vineyards in the Marlborough region of New 97 Zealand, and the likely role that soil variation plays in driving this. In particular, the active nature of the 98 Wairau River flood plain has resulted in a pattern of silty hollows dissecting the sandier, more gravelly 99 soils which predominate (Rae and Tozer, 1990). As these hollows run predominantly in an 100 approximately east-west direction, whilst row orientation is generally north-south, the full range of 101 within-vineyard variation is commonly observed in a single row. This presents grape growers and 102 winemakers with a difficult challenge in regard to issues such as fruit parcelling and the scheduling of 103 harvest. 104 105 To our knowledge, the extent to which spatial variation in grape composition in a vineyard changes 106 with time has not been investigated before. Trought et al. (2008) measured trunk circumference and 107 pruning weight to characterise vine vigour and related variation in these attributes to variation in fruit 108 quality and soil properties (texture and temperature). In a companion paper (Bramley et al. 2010), 109 spatial analysis was used to identify relationships between trunk circumferences, soil texture and 110 canopy Plant Cell Density (PCD) measured using both remote and proximal sensing. In this paper we 111 explore how the spatial analysis of Bramley et al. (2010) could be integrated with models describing 112 aspects of phenological development and juice quality to better understand vineyard variation in 113 Marlborough, and thus, evaluate the likely commercial opportunities which might arise from such 114 understanding, particularly through improved harvest management. 115 116 117 Methods and Materials 118 119 The 5.9 ha trial site formed part of a commercial vineyard on the north side of the Wairau Plain 120 (173o35’E, 41o29’S). Details can be found elsewhere (Trought et al. 2008), but briefly, Sauvignon 121 blanc vines (clone UCD1 on SO4 rootstock) were planted in 1994 in rows, approximately orientated 122 north-south; the row spacing was 2.4m with a vine spacing in the row of 1.8m. The vines used in this 123 study were pruned using a 2-cane vertical shoot positioning system (Smart and Robinson, 1991), 124 retaining 12 nodes per shoot. Foliage wires were used to maintain a narrow canopy approximately 125 0.4m wide and 1.6m tall and vines were trimmed to maintain these dimensions three times during the 126 growing season. Vines were drip irrigated and pest and disease management was achieved by 127 following 128 circumference of all of the vines in four rows was measured 10cm above the graft union and 10cm 129 below the head of the vine. Six plots, (comprising of four vine bays) in each row were chosen to give a 130 range of circumferences ranging from 165 to 220cm. 131 NZ Sustainable Winegrowing practice (http://www.nzwine.com/swnz/). The trunk 132 Fruit composition was monitored approximately weekly from 18th February 2006 (just before veraison) 133 to harvest. Berry samples (32 berries) were collected from each plot, cooled in an insulated box and 134 analysed in the laboratory where fruit was gently macerated by hand, coarsely sieved and the juice 135 prepared for analysis. The soluble solids (oBrix) was determined using an Atago PAL-1 digital pocket 136 refractometer and pH was measured using a Metrohm 744 pH meter. The titratable acidity (TA) was 137 measured on a juice sample (2.5 mL until TA ~ 15 g/L after which time a 5.0 mL sample was used) 138 using a Metler Toledo DL50 autotitrator. The juice was diluted with 50 mL distilled water and titrated 139 using 0.1 M NaOH to pH 8.4. The titratable acidity is expressed as g/L tartatic acid equivalent. 140 141 A range of spatial data were collected and mapped to aid understanding of spatial variability within the 142 block (Bramley et al., 2010). These included the canopy plant cell density (PCD; the ratio of infrared: 143 red reflectance) measured using both airborne remote sensing, proximal sensing from the side using a 144 Crop Circle™ sensor (Holland Scientific, Lincoln, NE, USA), apparent electrical soil conductivity 145 (EM38; Geonics, Canada) and the measurements of trunk circumference described above. Of 146 particular importance to the present study are the Crop Circle data collected in March 2007 (Figure 1), 147 which were shown in our earlier study (Bramley et al., 2010) to closely mimic the other measures of 148 vine vigour (remote sensing, measurement of trunk circumference), irrespective of when these 149 measures were collected. Thus, Bramley et al. (2010) demonstrated that, in the same vineyard as 150 used for the present study, proximally sensed PCD provides a useful characterisation of vineyard 151 variability at high spatial resolution. Importantly, the spatial structure in a map of trunk circumference 152 derived from measurements made on the same target vines used here closely matched that in the 153 higher resolution PCD map. It should also be noted that, in spite of the changes in vine vigour shown 154 in Figure 1, yield differences over the block were small and not related to other measures of spatial 155 variability (Bramley et al., 2010). 156 157 158 Modelling changes in juice composition 159 160 Curves were fitted to juice analysis data from each plot using Sigma Plot v9 (Systat Software Inc., 161 Chicago, IL, USA). A Gompertz 3-parameter curve was chosen to describe changes in soluble solids 162 as this provided a better model of soluble solids in a number of the plots when compared to a 163 quadratic polynomial. Quadratic polynomials were fitted to pH and titratable acidity. Interpretation of 164 these curves enabled us to estimate juice composition for each of the plots in the vineyard on any date 165 based on measurements made on 9 occasions during the season. These modelled values were used 166 in the subsequent analyses. 167 168 The PCD values for each plot were extracted from Figure 1 and related to the soluble solids, pH and 169 titratable acidity on a range of dates from shortly after veraison (Figure 3). A 3-parameter sigmoid 170 algorithm was fitted to the relationships between PCD and soluble solids and linear polynomials to the 171 relationships between PCD and titratable acidity and pH. Using this method we were able to use the 172 Crop Circle map (Figure 1) as a surrogate basis for the production of vineyard maps of these 173 components of grape juice and view how their values change on a daily bases. The daily values for 174 each of these components were also used to calculate the changes in the Juice Index Score (see 175 below) with time. 176 177 178 Development of a Juice index 179 180 Conceptually, growers and winemakers have juice composition targets for harvest. To develop a juice 181 index, 52 participants at a Sauvignon Blanc Seminar in Marlborough, held in November 2005, were 182 asked how they would rate juices to make a “typical Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc”. The participants 183 consisted of 17 grapegrowers or viticulturists, 31 winemakers and the balance were either consultants, 184 laboratory staff, or did not indicate their role, although overall, the 52 participants had an average 185 industry experience of 11.3 years. 186 187 Scales of soluble solids values (between 18 and 27 °Brix in 0.25° steps), titratable acidity (between 5 188 and 14 g/L in 0.25 g/L steps) and pH (between pH 2 and 5 in pH 0.1 steps) were presented to the 189 participants. These ranges covered values well to either side of the expected optima. Participants 190 were asked to give a value to each point on the scale where 1 was not preferred and 5 strongly 191 preferred. A Gaussian 4-parameter curve was fitted to each data set and from this, a preference score 192 (ps) could be determined for each value of soluble solids (SS), pH and titratable acidity (TA). The 193 participants were also asked to ascribe a weighting (w) to each of the three components when making 194 their harvest decision. These were used to develop the overall Juice Index (JI): 195 196 (1) 197 198 We recognise that other factors influence that decision, such as winery logistics and weather events 199 and a number of the respondents also introduced comments on flavour and fruit health. However, as 200 we were unable to quantify the intensity of these comments, they were not included in the analysis. 201 202 Using the modelled juice composition (as above) for each trial plot on each day during the later stages 203 of fruit ripening (from 22 March) and the relationships between these modelled values and Crop Circle 204 PCD (Figure 1), values of SSps, TAps and pHps and thus, JI were calculated for every pixel (2m x 2m) in 205 a map grid imposed over the vineyard area. These values were also used to determine the distribution 206 SS, pH and TA composition in the vineyard as a whole. 207 208 209 Results 210 211 Fruit collected from the 24 plots increased in soluble solids from 5.2 to 22.3 oBrix during the course of 212 the monitoring period (Figure 2). At the same time, the pH increased from 2.56 to 3.05 and TA 213 decreased from 38.9 to 9.3 g L-1 (Figure 2). However, the rate of change was not the same across the 214 whole vineyard. Fitting the Gompertz 3-parameter curves to soluble solids data and quadratic 215 polynomials to titratable acidity and pH values from each plot enabled us to estimate the fruit 216 composition for each plot on a daily basis. The daily values were used to estimate the variability and 217 map the vineyard. 218 219 Vines with low PCD (i.e. low vigour) had higher soluble solids and pH and lower TA early in the 220 ripening period (March 22), when compared with those of higher PCD (i.e. higher vigour; Figure 3). As 221 fruit ripened, the soluble solids became less variable, with all vines (except those of PCD greater than 222 10.7) achieving a soluble solids of approximately 23.0 oBrix. The predictive power of the PCD also 223 changed with time, reflecting the changes in the ripening profile (Figure 4). The PCD gave a good 224 prediction of differences in fruit soluble solids (an R2 of up to 0.75) early in ripening, but its predictive 225 utility then decreased as the slope of the relationship decreased (Figures 3, 4). This reflected the 226 slower rate of soluble solids accumulation by fruit where vines had low PCD (those growing on stony 227 soils) when compared to those with high PCD on soils with higher silt content. Similar changes were 228 observed in the relationships between PCD and pH and TA. Vines with low PCD generally had lower 229 TA and higher pH early in the ripening period, but differences between the plots decreased to low 230 levels later in ripening (Figure 3). The predictive ability of PCD for TA and pH was less robust than 231 soluble solids, but interestingly, increased later in the ripening period (Figure 4). The changes in the 232 relationships between PCD and TA and pH values across the vineyard (Figure 4) indicate that at times 233 during ripening, vine to vine differences in these fruit components were unrelated to vine vigour as 234 measured by PCD and/or trunk circumference. We recognise that the fit of our regressions has low 235 predictive ability on some dates, but persist with this approach here as a means of developing the 236 proof of concept. The important factor to note is that the ability to predict fruit composition is best early 237 in the ripening of the fruit, which might be valuable for the early planning of harvest strategies or 238 product allocation. 239 240 The differences in fruit composition were reflected in the spatial variability of the vineyard (Figures 5- 241 7), with vines on the eastern side of the vineyard, generally achieving a higher soluble solids and pH, 242 and lower TA earlier than those on the west. In general, the variability in soluble solids decreased 243 across the whole vineyard as fruit ripened (Figure 8). The distribution was skewed to the left 244 throughout the ripening period, although a maximum value of between 23.5 and 24 oBrix was achieved 245 by 1st May (Figure 8). The pH and TA achieved a minimum degree of variability on April 21, and then 246 appeared to become more variable as fruit ripened further (Figure 8). 247 248 The optimum values for the juice components determined from the questions posed to the Sauvignon 249 Blanc workshop participants were 22.5 oBrix, TA 9.0 g/L and pH 3.2 (Figure 9) with the weighting given 250 to each component in considering harvest decisions being 49.3, 27.7 and 23.0 % respectively. These 251 data enabled mapping of changes in juice index (equation 1) as the crop matured (Figure 10). As a 252 consequence of the earlier ripening profile of fruit on the (north) eastern side of the vineyard, this area 253 reached its maximum juice score earlier than elsewhere. In this part of the block, the juice index 254 generally reached a value of >4.25 between the 11 and 21 April (Figure 10). However, by 1 May, the 255 soluble solids was greater than 22.5 oBrix and as a result the juice index started to decrease. In 256 contrast, the slower ripening on the western side of the vineyard, meant that the juice index failed to 257 reach 4.25 by 1 May. The influence that the increasing soluble solids has on juice index distribution is 258 demonstrated in Figure 11, which shows that by May 1, the mean index value had decreased from an 259 average of 4.2 back to 3.3 as soluble solids became too high. 260 261 262 Discussion 263 264 Despite the potential importance that differences in maturity class within a harvest sample potentially 265 have for a final wine, it has seldom been demonstrated. Carroll et al (1978) sorted Carlos Muscadine 266 grapes by colour using a photoelectric light source and concluded that wines made from optimum 267 ripeness were superior to those made from under- or over-ripe fruit. However, the importance of 268 variation in fruit composition on wine style may depend on the variety being considered. For example, 269 Long (1987), compared wine quality from two Californian vineyards and reported that the vineyard with 270 the least variation in ripeness consistently produced the better quality wine. In contrast, Parr et al 271 (2007) suggested that “archetypical” Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc has both “ripe” and “unripe” 272 flavours in the wine. This suggests that regardless of the wine style, it is important to understand and 273 be able to predict both the variability in fruit composition in a harvest sample, and also the range of 274 wine aromas and flavours that are likely to be derived from the fruit. 275 276 Identifying the optimum time to harvest grapes in a variable vineyard is a challenge facing most 277 viticulturists and winemakers. Whether a vineyard is harvested or not is a decision made by 278 viticulturists and winemakers, often based on the question: “do I think this fruit will be better next time 279 the logistics of winery intake will allow the fruit to be processed?”. Viticulturists and winemakers 280 generally have compositional targets, which in some cases may form the basis of winery payments for 281 grapes. To integrate various common juice parameters, we developed the concept of a “juice index”. 282 This enables fruit with a wide range of composition to be compared against a single scale. 283 Traditionally, fruit is sampled to obtain a representative value of key maturity indices (e.g. soluble 284 solids, pH and TA) and little regard is given to either the variability around that mean, or the location of 285 sample collection; representativeness is assumed. However, as vineyards are variable some areas 286 may be unripe while others are overripe. Wines made from these juices will have different flavour and 287 aroma profiles. For example, as soluble solids levels increase, the resulting wines may have higher 288 alcohol concentrations. In contrast, unripe fruit may have excessively high acidity and/or herbaceous 289 character. 290 291 By measuring changes in composition with time, we have modelled how soluble solids, TA and pH 292 change in a variable vineyard in an attempt to identify the optimum harvest date. Our results show that 293 early in ripening, considerable variation in fruit composition is observed and this is related to other 294 measures of variability (e.g. PCD and trunk circumference). Vines with lower PCD had higher soluble 295 solids and pH and lower titratable acidity and ripened earlier when compared to vines with higher PCD 296 values. The vines with low PCD had smaller trunk circumferences and were growing in soils with 297 greater proportions of stones in the profile (Bramley et al. 2010; Trought et al. 2008; Mills 2006). In 298 contrast, vines growing on deeper, siltier soils in the lower lying parts of the vineyard failed to achieve 299 the target maturity values by May 1 (Figures 10, 12). Other areas did eventually ripen to target levels, 300 but the fact that the majority of the vines were now past their optimum ripeness level meant that the 301 overall value of the juice index decreased between April 21 and May 1. This indicates that, if the 302 vineyard was to be harvested as a single parcel, the optimum date to harvest fruit was about April 21 303 (in this particular season), when the overall variation in vineyard juice index was small and the mean 304 value was highest. 305 306 The modelled data clearly show the date and location of fruit with the highest juice index. For example 307 on April 21st 88.5% of the vineyard area had achieved a juice index of more than 4.4, with the balance 308 of the vineyard still unripe (Figure 12). However, by delaying harvest beyond this date, soluble solids 309 increased above the optimum concentration and juice index values decreased (Figure 10). 310 Understanding the spatial variability in a vineyard helps viticulturists make informed harvesting 311 decisions. Indeed, previous work has shown that selective harvesting, based on such knowledge, can 312 increase overall vineyard profitability (Bramley et al., 2005). In the case of our study block, such a 313 strategy might involve partitioning the block into two areas. The first area, which achieves a juice index 314 of 4.4 or greater (Figure 12), may be processed to a wine with a higher price point compared to the 315 remaining second area. However, as Figures 5-7 and 10-12 illustrate, this variability potentially 316 changes with time. This reflects differences in the rate of change in key volatile and non-volatile grape 317 components in various parts of the vineyard, reflecting differences in vine vigour, which in turn are a 318 consequence of factors such as soil texture (Bramley et al., 2010). By taking this spatial and temporal 319 variation into account, the optimum harvest date for the whole vineyard can be determined (Figure 320 12). Likewise, the consequence of delaying harvest to all or part of the vineyard on potential juice 321 quality can be evaluated. In our example, the fruit on the western side of the vineyard fails to reach a 322 juice index of 4.4 by early May, when short days and cool temperatures (and the risk of frost) means 323 that it is unlikely that fruit will ripen further. 324 325 Spatial variability in vine growth (e.g. trunk circumference) in this vineyard reflects variation in soil 326 texture (Mills, 2006; Trought et al., 2008; Bramley et al 2010) and is therefore unlikely to change 327 between seasons. However, the magnitude of variability in juice composition does change as the fruit 328 ripens. It is also likely that the relationships between PCD and fruit composition parameters will be 329 different between seasons and as a result the optimum date of harvest will change. By understanding 330 the spatial variability in the vineyard, the relative balance of soluble solids, pH and TA early in ripening 331 (shortly after veraison) and how season affects fruit composition, the modelling approach we used 332 may be able to predict the optimum harvest date. This will be investigated in a further paper. 333 334 It might be suggested that more robust estimates of the juice index and its spatial and temporal 335 variability may have been obtained had we measured indices of juice composition on a spatially 336 distributed array of target vines in the manner of Bramley (2005) rather than relying on the PCD map 337 (Figure 1) as the basis for extrapolating juice compositional data from our fewer, more spatially 338 restricted target vines. Such a strategy would certainly have enabled maps similar to those shown in 339 Figure 5-7 to be produced, but these would have had a greatly reduced ‘support’ (Webster and Oliver, 340 2007) compared to the PCD maps derived from (very) high resolution data. Indeed, the 24 target vines 341 used here are insufficient for geostatistical analysis and are obviously far fewer than the 41,660 PCD 342 values which underpin Figure 1. Furthermore, a practitioner is never going to have the time to monitor 343 more than a few target vines – certainly too few to produce maps from – yet they may buy some 344 remotely sensed imagery or rent (or even buy) a proximal sensor such as the one used here in order 345 to get the high resolution data which Figure 1 derives from; the collection of these data and 346 subsequent map interpolation requires just a few hours work. 347 348 Our results also have implications for the concept of terroir. Bramley and Hamilton (2007) have 349 previously raised questions as to the scale at which the concept of terroir is useful. They suggested 350 that there is a mismatch between the common regional-scale use of this concept and the within- 351 vineyard scale at which it might contribute to an understanding of the style and sensory attributes of a 352 wine as a consequence of the biophysical environment in which its source grapes were grown. Whilst 353 the present results are consistent with those of Bramley and Hamilton (2007), they also suggest a 354 temporal component to terroir which has arguably been ignored in the past. Thus, a wine reflects both 355 the location in which the source fruit were grown, and also the time at which that fruit was harvested. 356 In this connection, both ‘location’ and ‘time’ can be thought of as means about which there is 357 considerable variation (Figures 8 and 12). 358 359 360 Conclusions 361 362 For viticulturists and winemakers to anticipate the optimum harvest date for a vineyard, or to adopt 363 differential management strategies within it such as selective harvesting, a knowledge of both spatial 364 variability and its interaction with crop maturation is needed. In this study, we have shown that by 365 integrating our knowledge of crop phenology with an understanding of vineyard variability and 366 winemaker objectives, decisions about where and when to harvest can be optimised. Further work is 367 required to take this beyond the proof of concept, particularly with respect to the extrapolation of our 368 method to other locations, other varieties and growing seasons. However, whilst the objective here 369 was not to remove the sensory evaluation of the winemakers from the harvesting decision process, 370 our results suggest that an appropriate understanding of vineyard performance in both space and time 371 will help their decision processes at a busy time of the year. 372 373 374 Acknowledgments 375 376 This work was variously funded by the Foundation for Scientific Research (CO6X0707 – Designer 377 grapevines) and the Marlborough Wine Research Centre (IN 0502 – Influence of soil variation in a 378 Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc vineyard). The input of RGVB was made possible by the awarding of a 379 ‘Liquorland Top 100 Fellowship’ through the Marlborough Wine Research Centre with additional 380 support from the CSIRO Food Futures Flagship. We are most grateful to Andy Frost, Andrew Naylor, 381 Rod Brailsford and colleagues (Pernod Ricard, New Zealand Ltd.) for their support of the work through 382 discussion, provision of vineyard access and assistance with yield mapping. In particular we also 383 thank Robyn Dixon (formerly MSc student at Lincoln University) for access to data from her Masters 384 thesis. We also acknowledge the useful discussion of Alistair Hall (Plant & Food Research, 385 Palmerston North) in fitting the curves and the helpful comments which Drs Richard Hamilton (Foster's 386 Wines), Bruce Searle (Plant and Food Research) and Paul Boss (CSIRO Plant Industry) made on an 387 earlier draft of this paper. 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 References Bramley, R.G.V. 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Canopy plant cell density (PCD; the ratio of infrared:red reflectance) as measured using a Crop Circle sensor in March 2007. (Data of Bramley et al., 2010). Figure 2. Changes in soluble solids, titratable acidity and pH of Sauvignon Blanc from the 24 plots used in the experiment. Veraison date was assessed to be when 50% of the berries had softened (8.5 oBrix). Error bars are +/- one standard error. Figure 3. Relationships between Plant Cell Density and soluble solids, titratable acidity and pH of Sauvignon Blanc on different dates during fruit ripening. Figure 4. Changes in correlation coefficient PCD v soluble solids, titratable acidity and pH at different times during fruit ripening. Figure 5. Spatial and temporal differences in grape soluble solids. Figure 6. Spatial and temporal differences in grape titratable acidity. Figure 7. Spatial and temporal differences in grape juice pH. Figure 8. Changes in the soluble solids, titratable acidity and pH distribution in the Sauvignon Blanc vineyard with time Figure 9. Soluble solids (a), titratable acidity (b) and pH (c) value scores. Fifty two experienced industry personnel were asked how they would rate juice with soluble solids ranging from 18 to 27 oBrix, titratable acidity from 5 to 14 g/L and pH from 2.0 to 4.5 to make a “typical Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc”. 1= poor; 5= good. Figure 10. Spatial and temporal changes in juice index with time in a Sauvignon Blanc vineyard. Figure 11. Modelled variation in juice index in a Sauvignon Blanc vineyard on different dates. Figure 12. Maximum juice index achieved and the date on which a score of 4.4 or better was reached. The % values listed in the legend to the right hand map represented the proportion of the vineyard area falling into that category. 479 480 481 482 Figure 1. Canopy plant cell density (PCD; the ratio of infrared:red reflectance) as measured using a Crop Circle sensor in March 2007. (Data of Bramley et al., 2010). 3.2 25 30 15 Soluble solids Titratable acidity pH 10 20 5 10 Veraison 0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 20 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 3.1 pH 20 Titratable acidity (g/L) Soluble soids (oBrix) 40 40 60 80 Days from 1 February 2006 Figure 2. Changes in soluble solids, titratable acidity and pH of Sauvignon Blanc from the 24 plots used in the experiment. Veraison date was assessed to be when 50% of the berries had softened (8.5 oBrix). Error bars are +/- one standard error. 18 22 March 24 3.2 16 22 14 3.1 20 12 3.0 10 18 2.9 8 16 6 24 4 18 29 March 2.8 2.7 3.2 16 Titratable acidity (g/L tartaric acid) Soluble solids (oBrix) 20 18 16 5 April 24 22 20 18 16 12 April 24 22 14 3.1 12 3.0 10 2.9 8 2.8 6 2.7 4 18 pH 22 16 3.2 14 3.1 12 3.0 10 2.9 8 6 2.8 4 18 2.7 16 3.2 14 3.1 12 20 2D Graph 36 3.0 10 18 2.9 8 16 6 2.8 2.7 24 4 18 16 3.2 14 3.1 22 12 21 April 20 3.0 10 Crop circle v Soluble solids (1st May) 18 2D Graph 7 2.9 8 2.8 6 16 4 18 24 22 20 1 May 2.7 16 3.2 14 3.1 12 3.0 10 18 8 16 6 2.9 2.8 4 8.5 490 491 492 493 494 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 2.7 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 Crop circle PCD Figure 3. Relationships between Plant Cell Density and soluble solids, titratable acidity and pH of Sauvignon Blanc on different dates during fruit ripening. R2 PCD v juice component 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 22 Mar 495 496 497 498 499 Soluble solids (oBrix) Titratable acidity (g/L) pH 1 April 11 April 21 April 1 May Date Figure 4. Changes in correlation coefficient PCD v soluble solids, titratable acidity and pH at different times during fruit ripening. 500 501 502 503 Figure 5. Spatial and temporal differences in grape soluble solids. 504 505 506 Figure 6. Spatial and temporal differences in grape titratable acidity. 507 508 509 510 Figure 7. Spatial and temporal differences in grape juice pH. 100 80 2nd March 2nd March 2nd March 60 40 20 0 80 60 12th March 12th March 40 20 0 Proportion of vineyard in each category 80 60 22nd March 22nd March 40 20 0 80 60 1st April 1st April 40 20 0 80 11th April 60 40 11th April 20 0 80 21st April 60 40 21st April 20 0 80 1st May 60 40 1st May 20 0 5 511 512 513 514 515 516 10 15 20 Soluble solids (oBrix) Figure 8. 25 5 10 15 20 25 Titratable acidity (g/L) 30 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 pH Changes in soluble solids, Titratable acidity and pH distribution in the Sauvignon Blanc vineyard with time 517 5 a 4 3 2 1 18 20 5 24 26 b 4 Value score 22 Soluble solids (oBrix) 3 2 1 6 8 10 12 14 Titratable acidity 5 c 4 3 2 1 2.0 518 519 520 521 522 Figure 9. 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 Juice pH Soluble solids (a), titratable acidity (b) and pH (c) value scores. Fifty two experienced industry personnel were asked how they would rate juice with soluble solids ranging from 18 to 27 oBrix, titratable acidity from 5 to 14 g/L and pH from 2.0 to 4.5 to make a “typical Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc”. 1= poor; 5= good. 523 524 525 526 Figure 10. Spatial and temporal changes in juice index with time in a Sauvignon Blanc vineyard. 120 12 March 22 March 1 April 11 April 21 April 1 May Proportion of vineyard 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 527 528 529 530 2 3 4 5 Juice Value Index Figure 11. Modelled variation in juice index in a Sauvignon Blanc vineyard on different dates. 531 532 533 534 535 Figure 12. Maximum juice index achieved, the date on which a score of 4.4 or better was reached and the relationship of these with vine vigour (PCD) and elevation.
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