The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy CHAPTER 15 Tools of Monetary Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Tools of Monetary Policy 1. Open market operations → Affect the quantity of reserves and the monetary base 2. Changes in borrowed reserves (discount lending) → Affect the monetary base 3. Changes in reserve requirements → Affect the money multiplier In recent years, the focus is increasingly on the Federal Funds rate, i.e. the interest rate on overnight loans of reserves from one bank to another The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Tools of Monetary Policy The Federal Funds rate is regarded as the primary indicator of the stance of monetary policy The Federal Funds rate target is announced at each FOMC meeting (since 1994). But the Effective Federal Funds rate is an equilibrium interest rate that equates demand and supply in the Federal Funds market → Supply and Demand Shifts in the FF market (the market for reserves) The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB The Target and Effective Funds rate since 1994 9.00 8.00 7.00 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 1/1/2006 1/1/2004 1/1/2002 1/1/2000 1/1/1998 1/1/1996 1/1/1994 EFFECTIVE TARGET The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Subprime Mortgage Crisis 5.60 5.40 5.20 5.00 4.80 4.60 4.40 4.20 4.00 10/7/2007 9/23/2007 9/9/2007 8/26/2007 8/12/2007 7/29/2007 7/15/2007 7/1/2007 EFFECTIVE TARGET The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB 9-11 Attacks 4.50 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 10/24/2001 10/10/2001 9/26/2001 9/12/2001 8/29/2001 8/15/2001 8/1/2001 EFFECTIVE TARGET The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Demand in the Market for Reserves What happens to the quantity of reserves demanded, holding everything else constant, as the federal funds rate changes? Two components: required reserves RR and excess reserves ER TR d = RR + ER Excess reserves ER are insurance against deposit outflows The cost of holding these is the interest rate that could have been earned, i.e. the funds rate iff As iff ↓, the opportunity cost of holding excess reserves falls and ER ↑→ TR d ↑ → Downward sloping demand curve The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Supply in the Market for Reserves TR s = NBR + BR Two components: non-borrowed (NBR) and borrowed reserves (BR) Cost of borrowing from the Fed is the discount rate id Borrowing from the Fed is a substitute for borrowing from other banks If iff < id , then banks will not borrow from the Fed and borrowed reserves are zero The supply curve will be vertical As iff rises above id , banks will borrow more and more at id , and re-lend at iff The supply curve is horizontal (perfectly elastic) at id The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Affecting the Federal Funds Rate: OMOs An open market purchase causes the federal funds rate to fall → the supply curve shifts to the right An open market sale causes the federal funds rate to rise → the supply curve shifts to the left The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy An open market purchase Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Affecting the Federal Funds Rate: Discount Rate If the intersection of supply and demand occurs on the vertical section of the supply curve, a change in the discount rate id will have no effect on the federal funds rate If the intersection of supply and demand occurs on the horizontal section of the supply curve, a change in the discount rate id shifts that portion of the supply curve and the federal funds rate is affected A decrease in id lowers the funds rate An increase in id raises the funds rate The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Lowering id Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Affecting the Federal Funds Rate: Reserve Requirements When the Fed raises the reserve requirement, the federal funds rate rises → shifting the demand curve to the right When the Fed decreases the reserve requirement, the federal funds rate falls → shifting the demand curve to the left The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Increasing reserve requirements Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB More on Open Market Operations Two types: 1. Dynamic open market operations: to change the level of reserves and the monetary base 2. Defensive open market operations: to offset movements in other factors that affect reserves and the monetary base e.g. float, Treasury deposits, ER fluctuations Mostly in US Treasury and government agency securities, especially T-bills. → Liquid and large trading volume, does not lead to disruptive price fluctuations. A repurchase agreements (repo): Fed purchases with an agreement that the seller will repurchase within a short period of time (1 to 15 days) → usually for defensive OMOs Matched sale-purchase agreements (reverse repo): Fed sells and the buyer agrees to sell back The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Advantages of Open Market Operations The Fed has complete control over the volume (in contrast with BR) Flexible and precise Easily reversed (in case of mistakes) Quickly implemented The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Discount Policy Operation of the discount window: 1. Primary credit or standing lending facility Primary credit rate for healthy banks mostly as a backup source puts a ceiling on the federal funds rate, in case of a sudden large increase in demand for reserves The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Discount Policy Operation of the discount window: 2. Secondary credit: for banks that are in financial trouble or with severe liquidity problems Secondary credit rate: usually 50 basis points above the primary credit rate 3. Seasonal credit for (small) banks in vacation of agricultural areas with strong seasonal patterns of deposits The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Discount Policy Operation of the discount window Discount lending is important in preventing financial crisis Lender of last resort: provide reserves to banks when no one else will (Continental Illinois, Subprime mortgage crisis) Lender of last resort: for the financial system as a whole (1987 crash, 9/11 attacks) → Controversial: creates moral hazard problem The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Advantages and Disadvantages of Discount Policy Useful to perform role of lender of last resort, despite the existence of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Moral hazard Cannot be controlled by the Fed; the decision maker is the bank Discount facility is used as a backup facility to prevent the federal funds rate from rising too far above the target The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Reserve Requirements Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980 sets the reserve requirement the same for all depository institutions 3% of the first $48.3 million of checkable deposits; 10% of checkable deposits over $48.3 million The Fed can vary the 10% requirement between 8% to 14% The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Disadvantages of Using Reserve Requirements No longer binding for most banks Can cause liquidity problems Increases uncertainty, complicates liquidity management Recommendations to eliminate, as in other countries (Eurozone) Tools of the ECB The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Tools created in the current financial crisis Interest on Required Reserve Balances and Excess Balances Term Auction Facility Primary Dealer Credit Facility Term Securities Lending Facility ABCP MMMF Liquidity Facility Commercial Paper Funding Facility Money Market Investor Funding Facility Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility See Boards’ website (click Policy Tools) The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Fed’s Current Balance Sheet Federal Reserve System Assets Liabilities Government Securities Currency in Circulation Discount Loans Reserves Other Assets Borrowing from the Treasury Tools of the ECB The Fed financed these investments by selling about $300 billion of Treasury securities it owned Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB and by borrowing huge amounts from the Treasury (currently about $400 billion in deposits from the Treasury at the Fed) and from banks, in the form of vastly expanded reserves (almost $800 billion at yearend). Reserves are just another form of borrowing at this point and have no special role in the monetary system. The reason that many commentators have mistakenly thought that the Fed was printing money was that reserves used to function like money, under previous monetary institutions. The Reserve Market Fed’s Balance Sheet 2,000 1,800 Other assets 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 Liability: Currency Liability: Deposits by banks (reserves) 600 400 Asset: Treasury securities Liability: Deposits by Treasury 200 Other liabilities - Figure 6. Federal Reserve Assets and Liabilities. Source The first major event in the financial crisis was a run on Bear Stearns in March 2008. Though The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB The Channel/Corridor System Sets up a standing lending facility (lombard facility) and stands ready to loan overnight any amount banks ask for at a fixed interest rate (lombard rate) The supply of reserves is infinitely elastic at this interest rate Another standing facility is set up that pays banks a fixed interest rate on any deposits they would like to keep at the central bank The demand for reserves is infinitely elastic at this interest rate In between these two interest rates the quantity supplied is equal to the non-borrowed reserves Since the fall of 2008 the Fed has paid interest on reserves at a level that is set at a fixed amount below the federal funds rate target The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Effects of an open market operation Recent Changes Tools of the ECB The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Monetary Policy Tools of the European Central Bank Open market operations The rate on the main refinancing operations (MRO), which provide the bulk of the liquidity to the banking system → Weekly reverse transactions Longer-term refinancing operations Lending to banks The rate on the deposit facility, which banks may use to make overnight deposits with the Eurosystem. The rate on the marginal lending facility, which offers overnight credit to the banks of the Eurosystem. Reserve Requirements 2% of the total amount of checking deposits and other short-term deposits Pays interest on those deposits so cost of complying is low The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Page 1 Tools of the ECB of The Reserve Market Open Market Operations Discount Policy Reserve Requirements Recent Changes Tools of the ECB Money Market Rates in Europe EONIA (Euro OverNight Index Average) EURIBOR (Euro Interbank Offered Rate) (interbank term deposits)
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