Roberto Perotti Version 2.0 September 13, 2016 3 THE CONDUCT OF MONETARY POLICY THE FEDERAL FUNDS MARKET Banks with excess reserves at the Fed can lend these excess reserves to institutions that need liquidity. The market of banks’ reserves at the Fed is called the federal funds market. Of course, federal funds transactions neither increase nor decrease total reserves, rather they redistribute reserves. Federal funds are the heart of the money market: they are the core of the overnight market for credit in the United States. Moreover, current and expected interest rates on federal funds are the basic rates to which all other money market rates are anchored. Federal funds can be borrowed by only those depository institutions that are required by the Monetary Control Act of 1980 to hold reserves with Federal Reserve Banks. They are commercial banks, savings banks, savings and loan associations, and credit unions. Depository institutions are also the most important eligible lenders in the market. Funds lent in the overnight fed funds market typically must be returned to the lender within 24 hours. Participants can arrange fed funds transactions directly with each other (bilaterally), or through the brokers. These are unsecured loans. It is important to note that the Federal Reserve Banks are not party to these transactions. Two methods of federal funds transfer are commonly used. To execute the first type of transfer, the lending institution authorizes the district Reserve Bank to debit its reserve account and to credit the reserve account of the borrowing institution. Fedwire, the Federal Reserve System's wire transfer network, is employed to complete a transfer. The second method simply involves reclassifying respondent bank demand deposits at correspondent banks as federal funds borrowed. Here, the entire transaction takes place on the books of the correspondent. The weighted average rate at which these transactions occur is called the federal funds rate. The federal funds rate is the central interest rate in the U.S. financial market. It influences other interest rates such as the prime rate, which is the rate banks charge their customers with higher credit ratings. It also influences other money market interest rates. According to the expectation theory of interest rates, an interest rate over a certain horizon is determined from the sequence of expected shortterm interest rates over that horizon, plus possibly a risk premium. Intuitively, this is so because the borrower can borrow at, say, a three-month horizon at the three-month interest rate or she can borrow at a three month horizon by borrowing daily at the overnight interest rate and rolling over this loan for 1 three month. For instance, consider certificates of deposit (CDs), which are generally arranged for a few months. A bank can raise funds by issuing a CD or by borrowing daily over the term of the CD through overnight federal funds and, therefore, chooses whichever option it expects to be cheaper. Likewise, a corporation considering the purchase of a Treasury bill has the option of lending its funds daily over the term of the bill at the overnight repo rate, which is closely tied to the federal funds rate. It does whichever it expects will provide the highest return. Such arbitrage keeps the yields of alternative money market instruments in line. Hence, expectations about the federal funds rate influence key longer- term interest rates such as mortgages, loans, and savings, all of which are very important to consumer wealth and confidence. Hence, market participants’ expectations about the future target federal funds rate are crucial. It is very important to note that the federal funds rate is a market interest rate determined in private transactions. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Fed does not set the federal funds rate; however, it sets a target level or a target band for the federal funds rate, and can achieve this target pretty closely. How? The interest rate on federal funds transactions is determined at the intersection of the demand and supply curves of these federal funds. The Fed can influence the position and shape of these two curves, and therefore the equilibrium federal funds rate, through four standard tools of monetary policy: open market operations, the discount rate, interest on excess reserves and reserve requirements. Note that the demand and supply curves for federal funds capture the demand and supply by banks in the interbank federal funds market. In particular, the supply of federal funds curve represents the interest rate at which banks are willing to lend a certain amount of federal funds to other banks, not the quantity of reserves supplied by the Fed at a given interest rate (although, obviously, there will be a relation between the two). FACTORS AFFECTING THE DEMAND FOR RESERVES Obviously the demand for federal funds by banks is a decreasing function of the federal funds rate, which is the cost of borrowing federal funds. However, it is not a straight line because of the presence of the discount window. The interest rate on the lending facility (the discount rate) In the lending facility (“discount window” in the Fed system) a central bank supplies any amount a bank is willing to borrow at a penalty interest rate set by the central bank itself. In the Fed system, the most important facility of the discount window is the Primary Credit Facility. This is directed to financially sound institutions with sufficient collateral; hence it is extended largely without administrative restrictions. Still, it is intended as a backup source of credit, not a regular source of funding; in fact, we have seen that in normal times, as in July 2016, it had a minimal weight in 2 the balance sheet of the Fed. 1 The interest rate on the Primary Credit Facility is called the “discount rate”, which we denote by id. The discount rate is set above the target federal funds rate in order to impose a penalty on depository institutions that borrow from the central bank rather than in the interbank market. The presence of this facility puts a ceiling on the interest rate a bank is willing to pay when borrowing for federal funds: obviously no bank in the federal funds market will accept to pay an interest higher than the discount rate id when it can borrow any amount at that interest rate. Thus, the demand for federal funds looks like in Figure 1 it is flat at id. Figure 1: The demand for federal funds Reserve requirements Obviously increasing the reserve requirement ratio shifts the demand for reserves to the right: banks with not enough reserves must borrow reserves to satisfy the reserve requirement from banks with excess reserves. 1 The Federal Reserve also provides a “secondary credit facility,” through which it lends funds at a higher rate to less-sound financial institutions. Finally, the Federal Reserve has a “seasonal credit facility” designed to help small depository institutions manage seasonal fluctuations in their loans and deposits 3 How does the reserve requirement work in practice? The reserve requirement is defined over a period of two weeks (the “maintenance period”), with a lag. “Over each two-week reserve maintenance period, which begins every other Thursday, each bank is required to hold a quantity of reserves in proportion to the quantity of transactions deposits on its balance sheet taken from a previous two-week reserve computation period. This reserve requirement can be satisfied either by holding balances at the Federal Reserve during the reserve maintenance period, or with cash held on a bank’s premises during the computation period (called “applied vault cash”). To meet the portion of reserve requirements not satisfied with vault cash, a bank my accumulate reserves over a maintenance period in any daily pattern, based on its end-of-day holdings. A bank is penalized for ending any day overdrawn on its account at the Fed, as well as for failing to meet its requirements by the end of the maintenance period. To obtain the necessary reserves to avoid these fees (if unable to borrow the necessary amount of reserves from another bank), a qualifying bank may borrow reserves directly from the Federal Reserve at its discount window facility under the primary credit program.” (Hilton pp. 4-5) FACTORS AFFECTING THE SUPPLY OF FEDERAL FUNDS The FED can control the supply of reserves quite precisely, through two main tools: open market operations and the lending facility. Open Market Operations 2 The most important way the Fed determines the supply of reserves and therefore of federal funds is by Open Market Operations (OMO). This are of two types: outright purchases or sales in the open market by the Fed of high quality securities (government securities and agency MBS) held to maturity, and repurchases agreements. Repurchase agreements are a form of collateralized loan where the Fed lends money to primary dealers, and the primary dealers give the Fed high-quality securities as general collateral against the loan. At expiration (which can go from one day to several months) the dealer repurchases the security. The difference between the price of the first transaction and the (higher) price of the second transaction gives, implicitly, the interest rate paid by the dealer (the borrower). In this process, reserves are expanded temporarily, for the duration of the repo. In a reverse repurchase agreement the Fed borrows money from primary dealers, and gives them high-quality securities as general collateral against the loan. In this process, reserves are contracted temporarily. Long-term repos used in open market operations have a maturity of 14-days and are conducted early every Thursday morning. The long-term repo book is used to offset seasonal movements in factors. The short-term repo book consists of repos with shorter-than-14-day maturities, and is dominated by This is largely based on https://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed15.html and https://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed32.html 2 4 overnight repos. These operations are typically conducted every day to fine-tune the level of banking reserves needed on that day. To implement open market operations, the FOMC delegates responsibility to the Manager of the System Open Market Account (SOMA) at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The SOMA Manager is responsible for the staff of the Trading Desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (“the Desk”). The Desk thus executes open market operations on behalf of the entire Federal Reserve System. After each policy meeting, which occur every six to eight weeks, the FOMC issues a Directive to the SOMA Manager outlining the approach to monetary policy that the FOMC considers appropriate for the time period between its meetings. The Directive contains the rate at which the FOMC would like fed funds to trade over the intermeeting period. The NY Fed Trading Desk conducts open market operations with primary dealers—government securities dealers who have an established trading relationship with the Federal Reserve. Primary dealers serve as trading counterparties of the New York Fed in its implementation of monetary policy. This role includes the obligations to: (i) participate consistently in open market operations; and (ii) provide the New York Fed's trading desk with market information and analysis helpful in the formulation and implementation of monetary policy. Primary dealers are also required to participate in all auctions of U.S. government debt and to make reasonable markets for the New York Fed when it transacts on behalf of its foreign official account-holders. Currently, these are the primary dealers: Bank of Nova Scotia, New York Agency BMO Capital Markets Corp. BNP Paribas Securities Corp. Barclays Capital Inc. Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC Daiwa Capital Markets America Inc. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Goldman, Sachs & Co. HSBC Securities (USA) Inc. Jefferies LLC J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated Mizuho Securities USA Inc. Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC Nomura Securities International, Inc. RBC Capital Markets, LLC RBS Securities Inc. Societe Generale, New York Branch TD Securities (USA) LLC UBS Securities LLC. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC 5 (For a list updated in real time, see here; for detailed information on all OMOs conducetd by the FE, see here) This structure works because the primary dealers have accounts at clearing banks, which are depository institutions with accounts at the Fed. So when the Fed sends funds to and receives funds from the dealer's account at the latter’s clearing bank, this action adds or drains reserves to the banking system. Lending facility The discount window affects not only the demand for federal funds but also the supply. Once the FED has set the discount rate, eligible banks can borrow at will at that rate. If the FFR were above id , banks would have an incentive to borrow infinite amounts at id and lend at FFR, pocketing the difference without risk. Hence the supply of federal funds is infinitely elastic at id. The supply of federal funds is pictured in Figure 2. Figure 2: The supply of federal funds 6 Autonomous factors Through OMOs, the Fed can control the supply of federal funds quite closely. However, there are two factors affecting the supply of federal funds that are beyond the FED’s control. The first and most important is the demand for currency. As we have seen, an increase in the demand for currency by the public reduces excess reserves and therefore the supply of federal funds. When the demand for currency by the customers of a bank increases, the Fed provides currency to the bank and in exchange it debits the reserve accounts of that bank in payment for the currency that it ships to that bank. Hence, an increase in the demand for currency reduces the supply of federal funds and shifts the supply curve to the left. 3 Note that an increase in currency demand is equivalent to an increase in the currency / deposit ratio c: as we have seen, this does not change the monetary base, but exactly for this reason it does reduce the supply of excess reserves. OPERATING PROCEDURES BEFORE THE CRISIS: ACHIEVING THE TARGET FEDERAL FUNDS RATE In the pre-crisis environment of reserve scarcity, the operating regime was based on managing the supply of reserves. The Desk’s job was to design and execute open market operations to adjust the supply of reserves in the banking system to a level that would intersect the demand for reserves at the FOMC’s target rate. This framework relied on a structural deficiency, meaning that the Desk created permanent additions to the supply of reserves (through outright purchases of Treasury securities) that were somewhat lower than the total need. Then, on a seasonal and daily basis, the Desk was in a position to add (or occasionally drain) reserve balances temporarily to get to the desired level through fine-tuning repo (or reverse repo) operations with primary dealers. Each workday, Desk staff had to gather information to assess near-term conditions in the repo and federal funds markets, as well as banks’ reserve needs and plans for meeting them. Reserve forecasters at the New York Fed and Board of Governors compiled data on bank reserves for the previous day and made projections of factors that could affect the demand for federal funds and that part of the supply of federal funds that is due to autonomous factors, i.e. to factors beyond the Fed’s control, in particular the demand for currency, the Treasury’s account balance, and accounts held by foreign official institutions at the New York Fed. Using this collection of information, staff developed plans for the day’s operation(s), outlining the quantity of reserves to add or drain and the term of the operation(s). This plan was reviewed by staff at the Board of Governors before the Desk executed it in the 3 Fed. The second most important autonomous factors is payments into and out of the Treasury account at the 7 open market, and the FOMC ratified the Desk’s transactions over each intermeeting period at the Committee’s subsequent meeting. The equilibrium FFR is determined by the crossing of the demand and supply curves for federal funds, as in Figure 3 Figure 3: The equilibrium FFR In the five years prior to the crisis, this system functioned with an average of $20 billion in reserve balances and about $1.5 billion in excess reserves. Under this framework of announcing the target level and making small changes in the aggregate supply of reserves, the Federal Reserve was able to reliably affect the market-determined level of the federal funds rate and keep it close to the FOMC’s target. 8 OPERATING PROCEDURES DURING AND AFTER THE CRISIS 3.5.1 Operating procedures during normalization Between 2008 and the end of 2015, several rounds of large-scale asset purchase programs raised the level of Federal Reserve liabili-ties in excess of Federal Reserve notes to $3.07 trillion (mostly in the form of reserves), a level at which small variations in the supply of reserves would be unlikely to cause meaningful changes in the level of rates in the federal funds market, as they did before the crisis. In an environment of abundant reserves, implementation of monetary policy would therefore require a new operational approach to influence short-term interest rates when the FOMC determined the time had come to start raising them. The FOMC developed a framework for maintaining interest rate control, based on a system of rates administered directly by the central bank to influence the level of short-term market rates. The FOMC outlined its anticipated approach to removing monetary policy accommodation in a statement of Policy Normalization Principles and Plans, published in September 2014. In its statement, the Committee noted its plans to reduce monetary policy accommodation by raising its target range for the federal funds rate. It said that the Federal Reserve intended to move the federal funds rate into the target range primarily by adjusting the interest rate it paid on excess reserve balances (IOER), and would use an overnight reverse repurchase agreement (ON RRP) facility and other supplementary tools, as needed, to help control the federal funds rate. In its March 2015 meeting minutes, the FOMC provided additional details about its intended operational approach at the commencement of policy firming. The Federal Reserve affirmed that it intended to target a range for the federal funds rate between 0 and 25 basis points, and to set the IOER rate and the offering rate associated with an ON RRP facility equal to the top and bottom of the target range, respectively. On December 16 2015, citing considerable improvement in labor market conditions and reasonable confidence that inflation would rise over the medium term to its 2 percent objective, the FOMC lifted its federal funds target from the 0 to ¼ percent range that had been in effect since December 2008. The FOMC commenced policy firming (a process that some refer to as liftoff) by raising its target for the federal funds rate to a range of ¼ to ½ percent and by rolling out the policy implementation framework described in the preceding section of this report. Specifically, the Board of Governors raised the interest rate paid on required and excess reserves to 0.50 percent. Additionally, effective December 17, the FOMC directed the Desk to undertake ON RRP operations at an offering rate of 0.25 percent and term RRP operations spanning the year-end to maintain the federal funds rate in the new target range (see Figure 4). 9 Figure 4: The target and effective FFR Source: Domestic open market operations during 2015, published by the Board of Governors of the FED. Thus, after seven years of using changes in the size and composition of its balance sheet (and forward guidance on short-term interest rates) to provide monetary policy accommodation while the FOMC’s target for the federal funds rate was near zero, the FOMC’s normalization framework now focuses once again on tools for managing short-term interest rates as the main mechanism for implementing monetary policy. Unlike the pre-crisis framework of reserves management, however, the normalization framework relies on an IOER rate and (at least temporarily) on an ON RRP offering rate as administered rates directed by the central bank as the means for moving the federal funds rate into the FOMC’s target range, without necessarily draining reserves. 3.5.2 Two additional tools: the IOER as a floor to the FFR, and the reverse repurchases. Interest on reserves 4 Paying interest on reserves at the FED is a rather recent phenomenon, dating to 2008. Before the crisis, Congress passed the Financial Services Regulatory Relief Act of 2006 authorizing the Federal Reserve to begin paying interest on reserves. The legislation was supposed to go into effect beginning 4 This is taken largely from http://www.frbsf.org/education/publications/doctor-econ/2013/march/federalreserve-interest-balances-reserves/ 10 October 1, 2011. However, during the financial crisis, the effective date was moved up by three years through the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008. 5 Why did the Fed begin to pay interest on excess reserves? Paying interest on reserves (which we denote by ir) sets a floor on the FFR: if the FFR is below ir, a bank can borrow at the FFR and deposit what it borrows as excess reserves at the Fed, earning the difference between ir and the FFR without any risk. Hence, as long as FFR < ir there would be an infinite demand for federal funds: the demand for federal funds is infinitely elastic at ir (see Figure 5). Figure 5: The demand for federal funds with an interest rate on reserves Similarly, the supply of federal funds is also infinitely elastic at ir. If the Fed pays interest on reserves, the supply curve for federal funds cannot go below ir , if the FFR is below ir banks would prefer to “lend” to the Fed by increasing their excess reserves at the Fed rather than lending at the FFR. Thus, the supply curve for federal funds is also flat at ir as in Figure 6 5 Globally, a number of central banks have the authority to pay interest on reserves held against deposits. For example, the Bank of England has paid interest on reserves since 2009, and the European Central Bank has had this authority from its inception in 1999. 11 Figure 6: The supply for federal funds with an interest rate on reserves . But why did the Fed need a floor to the FFR? The reason was the enormous increase in liquidity created by the Fed during the crisis. With only two exceptions (September 2001 following the terrorist attacks and August 2007 at the onset of the global financial crisis), excess reserves were less than 10% of total reserve holdings, because depository institutions had an incentive to minimize noninterest-bearing excess reserves held at the Fed. For instance, in 2007 required reserves averaged $43 billion, while excess reserves averaged only $1.9 billion. In the first six months of 2012 required reserves averaged almost 12 $100 billion, while excess reserves averaged $1.5 trillion. The dramatic change in the evolution of excess and required reserves is depicted clearly in see Figure 7. Figure 7: Required and excess reserves Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Excess Reserves of Depository Institutions [EXCSRESNS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EXCSRESNS , July 25, 2016. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Required Reserves of Depository Institutions [REQRESNS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REQRESNS, July 25, 2016. As we have seen, since January 2009, the monthly average interest rate on both required reserve and excess reserve balances has been 25 basis points, or 0.25% at an annual rate, while the federal funds target range was 0 to 25 basis points. When the FFR target range was increased to 25 to 50 basis points in December 2015, the interest rate on reserves was increased to 50 basis points (see here for current information on the interest on reserves). In theory, the IOER rate is meant to act as a floor beneath overnight interest rates. In practice, however, rates in U.S. money markets have fallen below the IOER rate. In fact, since end 2008, when the Fed started paying interest on reserves, the federal funds rate has persistently traded below the rate paid on reserves. As a result, interest on reserves has proven to be a soft floor in the United States Why any financial institution would make a risky loan in the federal funds market to another institution at a rate below the risk-free rate paid by the Federal Reserve is puzzling. The answer to the puzzle is likely found in the institutional characteristics of the federal funds market. In particular, the soft 13 floor is likely due to the presence of financial institutions in the overnight market that, under current law, are not eligible to receive interest on reserves held at the Federal Reserve. In particular, the governmentsponsored enterprises (GSEs)—including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—and some international institutions have accounts at the Reserve Banks but receive no interest on the reserves held in those accounts. As a result, these institutions have an incentive to lend overnight funds to other institutions willing to pay a positive rate of return. However, normally banks might be expected to be willing to pay up to the interest rate on reserves to borrow from the GSEs. A bank could borrow from the GSE at a rate below what it receives from the Federal Reserve and deposit the funds at the Fed. In this transaction, the bank would earn a return equal to the difference between the rate of interest on reserves and the rate paid to borrow from the GSE. As banks competed to borrow from the GSEs, the overnight rate paid to the GSEs might be expected to rise up to the level of the interest rate on reserves. However, this arbitrage opportunity has not been fully exploited, and the funds rate has tended to trade below the floor established by the interest rate on reserves. Among a number of explanations offered for this anomalous behavior, the most common view is that the GSEs have limited their lending to a small number of banks. They have done this because their overnight loans are not collateralized and therefore carry some risk of default. Especially in the current situation, where many banks have failed, the risk of default has apparently made the GSEs cautious about which banks to lend to and how much they lend. While the risk to the GSEs is likely small, it has allowed the banks to exert some market power over the GSEs which in turn has allowed the banks to pay a lower rate on overnight funds than the rate on reserves.” The standing reverse repurchase facility To overcome the problem of the soft floor provided by the IOER, a standing ON RRP facility— through which the Federal Reserve offers a risk-free overnight asset with same-day settlement to a broad range of money market participants, at a rate managed by the Federal Reserve — has been set up to support policy implementation during normalization by helping to firm the floor beneath money market rates. In fact, as we have seen, the Fed set the IOER rate and the offering rate associated with an ON RRP facility equal to the top and bottom of the target range of 0,25 to 0,50 percent, respectively. Importantly, the Desk offered reverse repos to a broad set of money market participants, including primary dealers and an expanded set of counterparties that included money market funds, government-sponsored enterprises, and banks . Currently, there are 142 counterparties for RRPs. Making such assets available widens the universe of counterparties that should be unwilling to lend at rates below those available from the Federal Reserve, thereby strengthening the bargaining position of nonbank lenders and enhancing competition in markets. In this way, an ON RRP facility can complement the upward pull of IOER as the FOMC raises its target range for the federal funds rate. Figure 8 shows the amount of reverse repos outstanding since 2014. Figure 9 shows the relation between the FFR, the IOER and the interest on reverse repos. It is evident that the FFR was always below the IOER. 14 Figure 8: Outstanding reverse repos Source: Domestic open market operations during 2015 Figure 9: The FFR, the IOER, and the RRP interest rate Source: Domestic open market operations during 2015 The next figure shows clearly that the majority of RRP has been conducted with counterparties other than the primary dealers: 15 Figure 10: Counterparties in reverse repos Source: Domestic open market operations during 2015 3.5.3 The corridor and floor systems With an IOER and a RRP facility, the FFR must necessarily move within two bounds, the interest on reserves at the bottom and the discount rate at the top. This range is typically called “the corridor”. 6 In theory, a corridor system could limit volatility in the policy rate and isolate interest rate policy from the size of the balance sheet. Regardless of the supply of reserves, the central bank can tightly control the interest rate on overnight funds (in reality, the Fed s operating in a “floor” system, because as we have seen the upper bound of the range, represented by the discount rate, is not relevant in the current environment of large liquidity.) When the central bank increases the supply of reserves, the supply schedule shifts to the right, as illustrated in Figure 10 by the shift in the supply curve from R1s to R2s. In the traditional framework (not shown in the figure), such an increase in reserves would cause the policy rate to decline along a continuously downward-sloping demand curve. As the supply was steadily increased, the policy rate would eventually fall to the zero lower bound. In the corridor system, however, the decline in the policy rate is limited by the floor of the corridor—the interest rate on excess reserves. While the Federal Reserve is currently relying on the interest rate on reserves to help keep the federal funds rate above its zero lower limit, the Fed has not formally adopted a corridor system. In contrast, a number of central banks—including the Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank (ECB), Norges Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, and the Swedish Riksbank—have for some time operated under various versions of the corridor system. In the recent financial crisis, however, the ECB, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Bank of Canada, and the Norges Bank have all moved to a floor system. The other central banks have maintained their policy rates near the center of their respective corridors. 6 16 Figure 11: Effects of an increase n reserves with a floor to the FFR More importantly, the floor established by the interest rate on reserves will, in theory, also help the Federal Reserve in the normalization phase, in exiting the current highly accommodative policy stance without causing too much disruption in the money market. The Federal Reserve can raise the overnight interbank rate by announcing an increase in the interest rate on reserves. This action can be implemented without a reduction in the supply of reserves, allowing the Fed to independently determine the appropriate speed with which to shrink its balance sheet (see Figure 11). Combined with various tools to shrink the balance sheet, the payment of interest on reserves will allow the Federal Reserve to eventually renormalize monetary policy. 17 Figure 12: Effects of an increase in the interest on reserves 3.5.4 Operating procedures during normalization Thus, in the current environment of reserve abundance, the operating regime is based on administered overnight rates, which, by encouraging market competition for short-term funds, help to guide rates up into the FOMC’s target range. The payment of interest on reserves (IOER) is the primary tool, and reverse repo operations (ON RRP) conducted by the Desk play a supplementary role. In addition, the design of the reverse repo operations differs from that before the crisis. Unlike the quantity-based temporary operations the Desk previously used to fine-tune the supply of reserves, the Desk now offers reverse repos through a temporary facility at a pre-established rate set by the FOMC. The staff’s primary analytical role has changed from reserve forecasting to monitoring and analyzing medium-term trends and relationships in a range of money markets, with the goal of assessing market participants’ behavior, measuring the impact of the Federal Reserve’s operations on market structure, calibrating the Federal Reserve’s implementation tools, and analyzing policy transmission across money markets broadly. 18 REFERENCES A very useful reference is Domestic open market operations during 2015, published by the Board of Governors of the FED. It describes the operating procedures before and after the financial crisis, and numerous other aspects. 19
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