Survey of Large Office Building Supply in the 23 wards of Tokyo '06 -As of : December, 2005- 䇭䇭Since 1986, Mori Trust Co., Ltd. (head office: Minato-ku, Tokyo) has conducted a series of field surveys and questionnaires in the 23 wards of Tokyo on large office buildings with a total floor area of 10,000ট or more, covering topics such as the progress of building project plans. The following are the findings of the latest survey. Note: In this survey, the supply of office buildings is measured in terms of the total floor area used exclusively for offices. As such, the floor areas used for retail stores, residences, hotels and other non-office purposes are excluded. From provision of massive quantity to a steady supply 䌾Renewal of urban business center functions accelerates as rebuilding replaces redevelopment of underutilized or unused large-scale sites as the primary mover䌾 Key points in the results of this survey 㪈㪅㩷Trends in supply volumes: Supply is in a decreasing trend over the mid-term, as average annual new supply falls from 1.24 million square meters (in 2000 - 2004) to 950,000 square meters (in 2005 - 2009). Although the volume of supply in 2006 has reached 1.64 million square meters — the third highest figure on record — supply in 2007 appears set to return to 1.06 million square meters, a level in line with past averages, with figures for 2008 and 2009 likely to fall below 1 million square meters. As it returns to a level of average annual supply in the range of 1 million square meters, the market is shifting from a period of massive quantity provision — centered on redevelopment of underutilized or unused large-scale sites in 2000-2004 — to a period of steady supply. 㪉㪅㩷Trends in areas in which supply is located: The trend toward tenants returning to central Tokyo is likely to continue for the time being, with concentration in the Otemachi, Marunouchi, and Yurakucho areas in Chiyoda Ward becoming even more pronounced. More than 70% of supply in the period 2005 - 2009 will be centered in three of the central wards of Tokyo (i.e., Chiyoda, Minato, and Chuo wards), with the trend toward tenants returning to central Tokyo appearing likely to continue for the time being. Of these three wards, Chiyoda and Minato wards in particular stand out, with each accounting for more than 30% of supply. In Chiyoda Ward, concentration in the Otemachi, Marunouchi, and Yurakucho areas is becoming even more pronounced, while in Minato Ward supply stands out in business districts that have seen higher concentrations of office space recently, such as Akasaka, Shiodome, and Roppongi. 㪊㪅㩷Movement toward supply via rebuilding: Rebuilding replaces redevelopment of underutilized or unused large-scale sites as the primary mover. Although during the period 2000 - 2004 supply of large-scale office space through rebuilding accounted for no more than 20% of the total, in the period 2005 - 2009 this percentage will increase to 51% — exceeding the supply from redevelopment of underutilized or unused sites, which had been the primary mover in the market. Furthermore, the percentage of supply from rebuilding in Chiyoda and Minato wards, the core areas of new supply for the future, will reach 60 - 70%. These data lend support to the market trend of office tenants returning to central Tokyo mainly through rebuilding. For further information, please contact: Research & Planning SectionޓޓޓޓMiyuki Banޓޓޓޓޓޓޓޓ Sales Department Mori Trust Co., Ltd.ޓhttp://www.mori-trust.co.jp Toranomon 2-chome Tower, 3-17 Toranomon 2-Chome, Minato-ku, Tokyo 105-0001 JAPAN Tel: +81-3-5511-2357 / Fax: +81-3-5511-2409 E-Mail: [email protected] 1/6 Apr. 4, 2006 Future market prospects The shift toward a supply structure focused on rebuilding that has begun to be actualized recently is a sign that in the process of its maturing as an international business center Tokyo is on the verge of entering a period of renewal of office stock that is no longer suited to the times. In fact, changes in the market environment such as increased risk of a large-scale earthquake and the appearance of asbestos-related issues have thrown into relief the presence of inadequate stock that cannot be overlooked, leading to growing demand for renewal of building functions through means such as rebuilding. In Tokyo, the need for renewal is swiftly growing for a wide range of structures — including not just office buildings but also structures such as roads built for the 1964 Tokyo Olympics, public housing, and lifeline facilities — that in about ten years will mark the 50th year since their construction. A wide range of the social stock that makes up the urban space was built giving top priority to meeting the quantitative needs of the growth in population and infrastructure that accompanied Japan’s period of high economic growth in the postwar years. It is hoped that this renewal will provide the opportunity for future progress in quantitative and qualitative improvements in the urban stock, as well as restructuring of the distribution of this stock, using as a yardstick for value the creation of ample urban amenities, so essential to a mature international urban center. 2/6 Apr. 4, 2006 Figure 1 - 1: Trends in supply volume of large-scale office buildings in the 23 wards of Tokyo Key Key Completed supply Incomplete supply under construction Incomplete supply not yet under construction Supply quantity 46 41 47 (Buildings) 50 49 43 40 37 29 27 23 22 17 14 12 30 24 20 20 16 12 8 250 2000 - 2004 average supply: 1,240,000 Ὦ / year Supply volume 200 1986 - 2005 average supply: 1,020,000 Ὦ / year Supply quantity 29 24 (10,000 Ὦ) 40 36 33 33 10 0 221 183 2005 - 2009 average supply: 950,000 Ὦ / year 164 1995 - 1999 average supply: 840,000 Ὦ / year 150 100 100 108 104 119 114 118 106 92 89 83 82 72 74 56 118 118 99 64 55 59 50 36 30 7 Supply volume (own buildings) 0 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 61 60 40 20 7 38 32 15 17 8 12 27 11 38 32 25 23 13 22 11 19 21 17 9 0 9 13 3 0 Figure 1 - 2: Trends in average total office floor area per building (five-year intervals) 51,000 ≂ / building 27,000 Ὦ / building 29,000 Ὦ / building (1986-1989) ( 1990-1994) 36,000 Ὦ / building (1995-1999) 43,000 Ὦ㩷/ building (2000-2004) (2005-2009) 3/6 Apr. 4, 2006 Figure 1 - 3: Large-scale office supply volume in the 23 wards of Tokyo and individual key business districts (2005 - 2009) 〔23 wards〕 Three central wards 74% Koto ward 〔Business districts〕 Higashi-ikebukuro Other 16 wards 5% Shinagawa ward Shibuya ward 2% Shinjuku ward Koraku 7% 7% 5% Chiyoda ward 35% Nishi-shinjuku Minato ward 33% Hirakawacho Akasaka Jingumae Aoyama Chuo ward Minato ward Shinsen 1,590,000 Ὦ Shinjuku ward 250,000 Ὦ Shibuya ward 80,000 Ὦ Toranomon Otemachi・Marunouchi ・Yurakucho Shirokane-takanawa Ningyocho Yaesu・ Nihonbashi・Muromachi Kiba Ginza Shiodome Hamamatsucho Shibuya 280,000 Ὦ Kinshicho Kasumigaseki・ Uchisaiwaicho Roppongi Supply volume 1,660,000 Ὦ Akihabara Uchikanda 1,090,000Ὦ Chuo ward 6% Chiyoda ward Jinbocho・ Ogawamachi Iidabashi・ Kudan Tsukiji Tsukishima・ Harumi Shinkiba Shiba・Mita Shibaura Approx. supply volume :400,000 Ὦ ∼ Shinagawa ward 320,000 Ὦ :200,000 Ὦ ∼ 400,000 Ὦ Koto ward 350,000 Ὦ :100,000 Ὦ ∼ 200,000 Ὦ Other 16 wards 220,000 Ὦ : 10,000 Ὦ ∼ 100,000 Ὦ Toyosu Rinkai Shinagawa(Konan) Osaki Gotanda Figure 1 - 4: Trends in the top 10 districts in terms of large-scale office supply volume (2005 - 2009) (10,000 Ὦ) 50 Key 2005 2006 Supply volume 40 2007 2008 2009 30 20 10 0 Otemachi Marunouchi Yurakucho Shiodome Akasaka Roppongi Shinagawa (Konan) Nishishinjuku Akihabara Osaki Gotanda Toyosu Rinkai 4/6 Apr. 4, 2006 Figure 1 - 5: Large-scale office supply volume in the 23 wards of Tokyo and individual key business districts <1995 - 1999> 〔23 wards〕 Three central wards 35% 〔Business districts〕 Honkomagome ・Hakusan Gokokuji Chiyoda ward 8% Chuo ward 5% Kuramae Other 16 wards 19% Nakano-sakaue Minato ward Shinagawa ward 11% 9% 13% Shibuya Shinjuku ward ward Iidabashi ・Kudan Shinjukugyoen 22% Koto ward 13% Kinshicho Kagurazaka ・Koraku Jinbocho・ Ogawamachi Kanda Nishi-shinjuku Yoyogi 490,000Ὦ Hamacho Otemachi Shinanomachi Hirakawacho ・Bancho Sasazuka Sendagaya ・Jingumae Akasaka Aoyama Nihonbashi ・Kyobashi Kasumigaseki・ Uchisaiwaicho Toranomon Supply volume Chiyoda ward 320,000 Ὦ chuo ward 210,000 ≂ Minato ward 920,000 ɜ Shinjuku ward 360,000 Ὦ Shibuya ward 470,000 Ὦ Shinagawa ward 560,000 Ὦ Koto ward Other 16 wards Shiomi Kachidoki ・Tsukishima Shibuya Ikejiriohashi Toyocho Tsukiji Ginza Shinbashi Kayabacho ・Shinkawa Utagawacho ・Sakuragaokacho Shiba Sangenjaya Shibaura kaigan Ebisu ・Hiro-o Approx. supply volume :400,000 Ὦ∼ Meguro :200,000 Ὦ ∼400,000 Ὦ 530,000 Ὦ :100,000 Ὦ ∼200,000 Ὦ 810,000 Ὦ : 10,000 Ὦ ∼100,000 Ὦ Rinkai 540,000Ὦ Shinagawa (Konan) Osaki Tennozu Oi <2000 - 2004> 〔23 wards〕 Three central wards 75% Other 16 wards 6% Koto ward 3% 〔Business districts〕 Takadanobaba Asakusa Shinagawa ward Shibuya ward Shinjuku ward 4% Kagurazaka ・Koraku 6% 6% Chiyoda ward 25% Iidabashi ・Kudan Jinbocho・ Ogawamachi Yotsuyasanchome Minato ward 39% Chuo ward 11% Nishishinjuku ・Yoyogi Kojimachi ・Bancho Aoyama Supply volume Shibuya Chiyoda ward 1,560,000 Ὦ Chuo wards 670,000 Ὦ Minato ward 2,440,000 Ὦ Shinjuku ward 230,000 Ὦ Shibuya ward 340,000 Ὦ Ginza Toyocho・Kiba Monzen-nakacho tsukiji Shiodome 730,000Ὦ Harumi Toyosu Shiba・ Mita Nakameguro Nihonbashi・Kyobashi ・Honcho Kayabacho 790,000Ὦ Toranomon Roppongi 510,000 Ὦ Hamamatsucho・ Shibakoen Dogenzaka ・Sakuragaokacho Kanda Otemachi・Marunouci Yurakucho Nagatacho Kasumigaseki Akasaka Sendagaya ・Jingumae Kinshicho Akihabara Shibaura・ Kaigan Ebisu Approx. supply volume :400,000 Ὦ∼ Meguro Shinagawa ward 400,000 Ὦ Koto ward 210,000 Ὦ Other 16 wards 340,000 Ὦ :200,000 Ὦ ∼400,000ᴾὮ Shinagawa(Konan) Gotanda 600,000 Ὦ Rinkai :100,000 Ὦ ∼200,000 Ὦ : 10,000 Ὦ ∼100,000 Ὦ Oi Higashishinagawa 5/6 Apr. 4, 2006 Figure 1 - 6: Percentages of large-scale office supply volume by site type 〔2000-2004〕 〔2005-2009〕 Rebuilding: 1,240,000 Ὦ (20%) Other: 3,360,000 Ὦ (54%) Underutilized or unused site: 4,950,000 Ὦ (80%) Former Japan National Railway sites: 1,590,000 Ὦ (26%) Underutilized or unused sites: 2,330,000 Ὦ (49%) Other: 2,040,000 Ὦ (43%) Rebuilding: 2,420,000 Ὦ (51%) Former Japan National Railway sites: 290,000 Ὦ (6%) Rebuilding: Refers to land on which structures such as office buildings, hotels, and residential properties that had used the site in its entirety have been demolished in the development or sale stage. Underutilized or unused sites: Refers to sites such as those with scattered patches of unused land including parking facilities and old buildings, sites with concentrations of residential properties, factory sites, rail yards, and idle land. Figure 1 - 7: Percentages of large-scale office supply volume by site type / by ward (23 wards of Tokyo) (2005 - 2009) 〔Minato ward〕 〔Chiyoda ward〕 Underutilized or unused sites: 500,000 Ὦ (59%) Underutilized or unused sites: 620,000 Ὦ (39%) Other: 350,000 Ὦ (21%) Former Japan National Railway sites: 150,000 Ὦ (9%) Other: 480,000 Ὦ (30%) Rebuilding: 1,160,000 Ὦ (70%) 〔Other wards〕 Underutilized or unused sites: 1,210,000 Ὦ (80%) Rebuilding: 290,000 Ὦ (20%) Rebuilding: 970,000 Ὦ (61%) Other: 1,210,000 Ὦ (80%) Former Japan National Railway sites: 140,000 Ὦᴾ(9%) 6/6
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