THE SOUTH AMERICAN INITIATIVES IN REGIONAL MODELING WITH FOCUS ON OPERATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY Mauro Cirano, Marta-Almeida M, Oliveira HB, Sepulveda A, Pereira J, Amorim FN 2nd GODAE OceanView Coastal Oceans and Shelf Seas Task Team (COSS-TT) International Coordination Workshop (COSS-ICW2) 4 to 7 February 2012 – Lecce, Italy Outline The Western Equatorial/South Atlantic System • Brazil/REMO – Regional modeling grids • Argentina The Eastern Equatorial/South Pacific System • Colombia • Ecuador • Peru • Chile Summary Future Plans The Equatorial/South Atlantic System Introduction Oceanographic Modeling and Observation Network (Portuguese acronym REMO) main goal is to undertake research and technological development in physical and operational oceanography with focus on the South Atlantic Ocean and regions along the Brazilian coast using assimilative models and observational data Our key focus areas include: • Support of maritime activities and engineering projects with products ranging from daily oceanic forecasts to hydrodynamic databases • Support of environmental licensing activities • Support military activities of the Brazilian Navy • Release results from ocean simulations, forecasts and validation through the internet for any user of oceanographic information as part of the ocean services by the Brazilian Navy Hydrographic Center (CHM) http://www.rederemo.org REMO´s Workflow Introduction Universities, CENPES and Brazilian Navy REMO web-page (forecasts, model runs, data) Regional modeling Basin and large-scale modeling Brazilian Navy Data Assimilation Satellite products (SST and SSH) Human Resources Training & Development Support to observational programs Scientific and Technological Development Hydrodynamic databases (by request) Operational component Results ROMS General Configurations REMO - Regional Modeling Grids • Long runs (5 to 10 years) are used to evaluate results before the models become operational • Global Models (varying from monthly climatology to daily outputs) provide initial and boundary conditions for the thermohaline and velocity fields • Synoptic (3 to 6 hours intervals) atmospheric forcing from Quickscat, NCEP and GFS • Heat and evaporation-precipitation fluxes are prescribed via Bulk formulation • Tides amplitudes/phases and barotropic tidal currents from TPXO • Validation performed at supra-inertial (mainly tides) and sub-inertial bands ROMS Pilot grid REMO - Regional Modeling Grids HYCOMNCODA 1/12 Detailed results presented in Marta-Almeida et al (2011a, b) – JOO/EMS ROMS Pilot grid REMO - Regional Modeling Grids Comparison between the modeled SSH during an one year period and the AVISO absolute dynamic topography with the spatial mean removed. ROMS Pilot grid REMO - Regional Modeling Grids Comparison of the modeled SST during an upwelling event (12/01/2010) and the SST from satellite (OSI-SAF). The black circle at 21°S represents a coastal site where a time series of SST was extracted. Regional Grids – METAREA V REMO - Regional Modeling Grids METAREA V - Brazilian responsibility (WMO-IOC/JCOMM) for marine forecasts and warnings: • N/NE grid – 1/24o 637 x 435 grid points (56oW-30oW; 10oN-8oS) 32 Sigma levels • E grid – 1/36o 289 x 409 grid points (40oW-32oW; 8oS-19oS) 32 Sigma levels • S/SE grid – 1/24o 502 x 564 grid points (53.3oW-32.4oW; 12.3oS-33.7oS) 32 Sigma levels • HYCOM – 1/12º and 1/24o METAREA-V and S/SE grid S/SE 1/24o grid REMO - Regional Modeling Grids Snapshot of SST on the S-SE Grid – Strong variability and changes in BC behavior. • Grid within the Pre-Salt area and WBC development • Similar to HYCOM/REMO 1/24o grid – intercomparisons and evaluations • Skill assessments (OSTIA, AVISO, Moorings) • 2004-2010 – Climatology to generate Correlation Coef. (NCEP + HYCOM/NCODA) • 2011-Present – GFS 0.5 + Ezer & Mellor (1991) – Migrated from POM model S/SE 1/24o grid (HYCOM with CH) REMO - Regional Modeling Grids Snapshot of the observed (left) and modelled (right) SST on 16/02/2007 Hydrodynamic database (2004-2010) Current rose of the subinertial velocity (may/07 – dec/07) at P48 E 1/36o grid REMO - Regional Modeling Grids • The region has the narrowest shelf along the Brazilian coast (up to 10 km) • It is influenced by the latitudinal excursion of the South Equatorial Current bifurcation, the seasonal winds, the passage of frontal systems and the tides • The meso-scale activities related to the Western Boundary Current dynamics affect periodically the shelf/shelf-break currents (Amorim et al., 2011, 2012, 2013) The shelf break is represented by the 70 m isobath (bold black line), followed by the 200 m, 500 m, 1000 m, 2000 m, 3000 m and 4000 m. E 1/36o grid REMO - Regional Modeling Grids IS SB January BC wind NBUC Inner shelf Shelf break • Mean alongshore currents at 14°S show the BC (top 150 m) and NBUC (below) during January and an upper reverse circulation during July; • Time series of the currents (surface in black) show that the system is more baroclinic during summer and influenced by winds and WBC dynamics at the shelf-break. July N/NE 1/24º grid REMO - Regional Modeling Grids Amazon River climatological cycle (GRDC) Challenges: • World Largest river inflow • Meso/macrotidal regime • NBC and equatorial dynamics The South Atlantic System Argentina Servicio Meteorologico Nacional (National Meteorological Service): runs an operational barotropic model for storm surges coupled with WaveWatch III http://www.smn.gov.ar/?mod=archolas&id=16 (wave model) http://www.smn.gov.ar/?mod=pron&id=44 (barotropic model) The Equatorial/South Pacific System Colombia Following an overview of the main systems focused in observational and operational oceanography at the Eastern Equatorial/South Pacific Ocean. From north to south: Colombia: i) Centro de Investigaciones Oceanográficas e Hidrográficas del Caribe (CIOH) – Operational Oceanography (http://www.cioh.org.co/meteorologia/modelacionyproductos.php) ii) La Dirección General Marítima (http://www.dimar.mil.co/VBeContent/home.asp) • CaribWam-III provides a 3 day (12 hours outputs) forecasts of waves height and direction • CIOH also implemented POM for forecasting the circulation at the Caribean region - Sistema de Predicción Oceánica de DIMAR (SPOD), but the sistem is no longer operational The Equatorial/South Pacific System Ecuador Instituto Oceanográfico de la Armada (INOCAR) – Navy Oceanographic Institute http://www.inocar.mil.ec • Process SST L4 GHRSST/OSTIA • 7 operational coastal meteorological stations • Produce tidal charts for 19 locations The Equatorial/South Pacific System Peru Instituto del Mar del Perú (IMARPE) - Oceanographic Institute http://www.imarpe.pe/imarpe/index.php?id_seccion=I0108040600000000000000 • Modeling studies of the dynamics of the marine circulation ecosystem associated with Peru Current and Peru Coastal Current, off Peru • ROMS-AGRIF was implemented in cooperation with the Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD) The Equatorial/South Pacific System Peru Dirección de Hidrografía y Navegación (DHN) http://www.naylamp.dhn.mil.pe/ • The Directorate of Hydrography and Navigation has an ocean-atmosphere surveillance system of the Peruvian sea called NAYLAMP • Wave model (WW3) is operational in 2 grids (Global – 1º x 1º and Peru 0.25º x 0.25º) with 5 days forecasts (12 h outputs) • ROMS is used to provide boundary conditions for the coastal models that are implemented at DHN, such as POM and DELFT-3D Animation of the annual cycle of the ocean circulation The Equatorial/South Pacific System Chile Sistema integrado de pronósticos oceanográficos (SIPO) - Integrated System of Oceanographic Forecasts http://www.sipocostachile.cl/cms/index.php?option=com_wr apper&view=wrapper&Itemid=21 • Joint effort of one research center (CEAZA) and two universities (UCN, UdeC) • Combined atmospheric and oceanographic modelling (WRF, MM5, ROMS, FVCOM) with biophysical modelling and hydrographic studies MERCATOR (MyOcean) → ROMS_AGRIF (9,3,1 km) WRF + ROMS (9km) → FVCOM Servicio Hydrografico y Oceanografico runs the national alert system for tsunamis based on 35 sea level monitoring stations (http://www.snamchile.cl)) Summary • Although operational oceanography efforts are generally associated with the Navy, each country is at a different stage, and apart from wave forecasts, Brazil seems to be the only country that has a regional oceanic forecast system in use • Chile build up an oceanic forecast system, which due to lack of funds was interrupted. There are ongoing efforts to revitalize the system • A better collaboration among these countries could be established to help the development and future implementation of the forecast systems • In the specific case of Brazil, REMO started in 2008 and in 2011 it has joined the GODAE Oceanview. The project is now renewed for a 3-year period (2012-2014), but the budget is limited and alternative ways of funding future developments should be evaluated Future Plans Brazilian system • Operational phase for the fixed regional grids along the Brazilian coast: i) E (2013), ii) S-SE (2013) and iii) N-NE (2014) • Final configuration and release of the hydrodynamic databases for the above grids with validations based on the GODAE Oceanview metrics • Improve the HYCOM/REMO (Basin) and ROMS/REMO (Regional) operational models, with better data assimilation schemes (e.g. 4DVAR, EnOI). That would give us full autonomy to provide our own models initial and BCs Chilean system • Chilean Navy is currently working on the implementation of their own current and wave forecast (due mid-2013) Thank you References Marta-Almeida M, Pereira J, Cirano M. Development of a pilot Brazilian regional operational ocean forecast system, REMO-OOF. Journal of Operational Oceanography, 2011, 4(2), 3-15. Marta-Almeida M, Ruiz-Villarreal M, Otero P, Cobas M, Peliz A, Nolasco R, Cirano M, Pereira J. OOFε: A Python engine for automating regional and coastal ocean forecasts. Environmental Modelling & Software, 2011, 26, 680-682. Marta-Almeida M, Ruiz-Villarreal M, Pereira J, Otero P, Cirano M, Zhanga X, Hetland RD. Efficient tools for marine operational forecast and oil spill tracking. Marine Pollution Bulletin (accepted). Amorim FN, Cirano M, Marta-Almeida M, Campos EJD. The Seasonal Circulation of the Eastern Brazilian Shelf between 10°S and 16°S: a modeling approach. Continental Shelf Research (submitted). Aguiar AL, Cirano M, Pereira, J & Marta-Almeida M Upwelling Processes along a Western Boundary Current: the AbrolhosCampos Region, Brazil. Continental Shelf Research (submitted). França GB, Oliveira AN, Paes RCOV, Ruivo BC, Gaspar RLR, Dutra H, Sartori A. Applying Barnes’ technique for daily SST (AVHRR and TRMM/microwave) images composition. Brazilian Journal of Geophysics REMO SI (submitted). Lima JA, Martins RP, Tanajura CAS, Paiva AM, Campos EJD, Soares ID, Cirano M, França GB, Obino RS. Design and implementation of the Oceanographic Modeling and Observation Network (REMO) for physical oceanography and ocean forecasting. Brazilian Journal of Geophysics REMO SI (submitted). Monteiro I, Soares I, Piovesan R, Oliveira H, Lima JAM & Martins RP. An application of the Mellor & Ezer Method for Data Assimilation in the South Atlantic Ocean. Brazilian Journal of Geophysics REMO SI (submitted). Pereira J, Cirano M, Marta-Almeida M & Amorim FN. A numerical study of the Brazilian shelf/slope region south of 13°S using a regional ocean model. Brazilian Journal of Geophysics REMO SI (submitted).
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