The Growth of Income Trusts in Canada and the Economic Consequences Vijay Jog and Liping Wang* ABSTRACT Income trusts do not necessarily represent a one-time financing vehicle for mature companies with free cash flow and no growth prospects. Amounts raised through income trusts are used not only for the acquisition of interests in operating companies or underlying assets, but also for the refinancing of existing debt and for new capital expenditures or acquisitions. The authors argue that income trusts may represent a new method of market discipline whereby managers are obliged to distribute free cash flow and are required to go to capital markets for the financing of new opportunities, thus reducing potential agency costs associated with the monitoring of managerial decisions. The authors show that income trust initial public offerings display a low degree of underpricing (as expected) and an extremely small degree of immediate aftermarket volatility, and that their stock market performance during the 2000-2003 period was superior to the performance of the TSX 300 index. This indicates that, from a risk-return perspective, income trusts have been a welcome addition to Canadian investors’ portfolios. The authors also offer some indirect and preliminary observations that may have implications for estimates of the impact of income trusts on tax revenues. KEYWORDS: INCOME TRUSTS ■ IPO ■ INVESTING ■ FINANCING CONTENTS Introduction Background Reasons for the Emergence and Growth of Income Trusts Theoretical Foundations Capital Market Conditions Summary The Growth of Income Trusts: Evidence and Supporting Data Sources of Data 854 854 858 858 860 861 861 862 * Vijay Jog is a Chancellor Professor at the Sprott School of Business, Carleton University, Ottawa; Liping Wang is a consultant at Corporate Renaissance Group, Ottawa. The opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors alone. The authors thank Chunmei Hu and Phil Zu for providing expert research assistance and Michael King and Gilbert Menard for comments and suggestions. (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 ■ 853 854 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne Results of Analysis Summary Uses of Proceeds Underpricing and Post-Issue Performance Conclusion (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 862 868 870 874 878 INTRODUCTION Income trusts first became popular in the pre-dotcom era; interest in income trusts revived in the post-2001 period as investors began to see income trusts as an attractive way to raise capital in a somewhat moribund initial public offering (IPO) environment. In Canada, income trusts dominated the IPO market during the 2002-2003 period; there has been almost no other IPO activity.1 The rapid growth of the income trust market has raised many questions about the impact of income trusts on present and future economic growth, corporate governance and disclosure, tax revenue,2 and risk-return tradeoffs. In this paper, we focus on three specific aspects of income trusts. First, we describe the growth of income trusts, including IPOs and subsequent issuance. Second, we trace the uses of proceeds from the investors to the ultimate use. Third, we focus on the income trusts that chose the IPO route (as opposed to a conversion of common shares into an income trust unit) and investigate underpricing and post-issue volatility and performance to demonstrate the risk-return characteristics of these trusts. We also comment on the implications of income trusts for capital markets and tax policy parameters. We base our analysis on a carefully constructed information set of the income trust market in Canada as of August 2003. In the next section we provide a brief background on income trusts. We then suggest theoretical and capital market reasons that may explain their growth at this particular time. Finally, we analyze and document our results for each of the three principal focus areas, and offer our overall conclusions. B A C KG R O U N D Income trusts—including royalty trusts, business trusts, and real estate investment trusts (REITs)—invest (usually through debt instruments) in operating companies or assets; they receive their income through interest on debt; and they distribute these receipts to the trust unitholders, usually as dividends (see figure 1). Given the current state of the corporate and personal tax system in Canada, this structure 1 In 2002, we saw only 9 common stock IPOs with gross proceeds of $485 million, and as of August 2003 there have been only 3 IPOs for $280 million. These numbers contrast to a total 94 IPOs of income trusts and gross proceeds of $7,780 million in 2002 and 2003. During the same period, 14 public companies reorganized to income trust structures. 2 The tax-related issues are discussed in this policy forum by Lalit Aggarwal and Jack Mintz in “Income Trusts and Shareholder Taxation: Getting It Right,” and by Tim Edgar in “The Trouble with Income Trusts,” and are therefore not reviewed here. the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences ■ 855 FIGURE 1 A Simplified Income Trust Transaction Structure Unitholders Units Cash distributions (interest, dividends, income from property, return of capital) Income trust Distributable cash flow (interest, dividends, net profit interest) Management company Debt / common shares Operating company Source: Raymond Jones, June 2003. essentially allows for the creation of a transaction that resembles an indirect leveraged buyout (LBO) transaction that is now available to individual investors through the purchase of income trust units. The organizational structure shown in figure 1, even with the additional layer of costs associated with the management of the income trust, has the potential to minimize (optimize) the total (corporate and personal) taxes paid to the government without fundamental changes to the business economics. The capital structure of the operating company could be transformed such that it pays out almost all of its taxable earnings to the income trust as interest and brings its taxable income close to zero. The income trust, in turn, distributes all that it receives to investors as dividends and, because it is essentially a flowthrough entity, accrues no tax payments. Investors and entities, depending on their tax situation, either pay no taxes if they hold these investments in a tax-deferred account such as a registered retirement savings plan (RRSP) or in a pension fund, or pay taxes net of the dividend tax credit at an effective tax rate that is lower than what they would have faced on the receipt of interest income. If we ignore the changes in the financial riskiness of the operating 856 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 company due to high leverage, the tax effect of the income trust is threefold: (1) it promises a higher after-tax cash flow to taxable investors because of the less than perfect integration of the corporate and personal tax regimes; (2) it provides a long deferral if the units are held in tax-sheltered investment vehicles; and (3) it allows for the almost complete elimination of corporate tax. Because these types of organizational forms require that the underlying cash flow stream be predictable and stable to minimize the risk of non-payment of interest, they are not suitable for sectors in which there is considerable volatility in the revenue and cost structure.3 When income trusts were originally introduced, most of the trust securities were in the energy (pipelines) and real estate (mostly commercial/industrial) sectors, where cash flows were fairly certain and the need for reinvestment or growth opportunities was limited. In these sectors, one could argue, the income trust structure makes business sense because the objective of the management is to maximize shareholder wealth; one means of doing so is to create a structure that minimizes the total taxes paid by a firm and its investors without changing the firm’s fundamental risk characteristics. It should be noted that it is not necessary that the income trust distribute the entire amount that it receives from the operating company; if it does not, it is taxed on the undistributed amount. Some trusts may hold back earnings as a cash reserve in order to stabilize distributions. Also, it is not necessarily the case that a volatile business cannot succeed as an income trust; it will have a corresponding risk-return-pricing profile. It is also important to understand the intricacies of the income trust financing vehicles. As shown in figure 1, the operating company may be a private stand-alone entity that decides to raise financing through an income trust vehicle for its entire business (akin to a traditional IPO); it may be a private or publicly listed firm that decides to carve out parts of its business into an income trust; or it may be a publicly listed firm that decides to convert its common shares into income trust units without any new financing at the time of conversion. In the first two cases, the firm (the income trust) is required to file a prospectus because it is essentially an IPO. In the case of conversion, the firm need only file a plan of offering, which requires much less information; and, technically speaking, it is not considered an IPO because there is no prospectus as such but simply a reorganization by means of a conversion of one instrument (common shares) into another (income trust units). Moreover, in each case, there may be two distinct entities: (1) an income trust that raises the capital and uses the proceeds to either acquire or invest in the operating company, and (2) the operating company, which, after receiving the money from the income trust, uses the proceeds to carry out either investment or financing 3 It is possible to use this structure in cyclical industries if the debtholders allow the corporation to defer the interest payments. This can be achieved in a typical LBO structure by selling “strips” where the interests of the debtholder and the shareholder are aligned and there is less incentive for the debtholder to force bankruptcy in the event of non-payment of interest. the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences ■ 857 decisions. These complexities require a careful analysis of the available data and considerable work on “missing values.” This new form of organizational structure raises many interesting questions (leaving aside questions about the potential tax loss consequences). For example: ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ Are income trusts likely to be an impediment to investment by the business sector (because of the substantial distributions) and thus impair the potential for productivity growth in Canada? More specifically, what is the empirical evidence of the growth and the nature of income trusts? Is the money raised through these arrangements channelled into productive investments? How are the proceeds used by the underlying operating trust? Are income trusts used mostly by firms as a way of securitizing or capitalizing an income stream in situations where there is no need to reinvest in the maintenance of the assets? Are organizations changing their investment behaviour because of the availability and accessibility of income trusts? What are the advantages and drawbacks of having an instrument that favours greater distributions? How do income trusts trade off short-term versus long-term benefits to maximize the wealth of unitholders and shareholders, and what is the reasoning behind those decisions? Are income trusts better suited for specific types of businesses? Is the traditional belief that income trusts are more suited to dominant enterprises in mature sectors with little need for capital expenditures still valid? What tax revenue implications arise from the recent emergence of income trusts that are targeted to the carveouts of mature business units of a larger entity? Are the characteristics of firms that use an income trust as a financing vehicle changing significantly (as shown by the volatility of their revenue and earnings streams)? What is the relationship between the pricing of income trusts and their postissuance volatility and performance? Does the pricing of the trust favour the issuer, the investor, or the intermediaries? What are the costs of raising capital through a trust rather than by means of a traditional IPO? What is the postissuance volatility of returns on income trusts? Do income trusts provide a valid investment option from a diversification perspective? How will income trusts be affected by an increase in interest rates and/or stock prices? Can any causal relationship be hypothesized between interest rates and the growth of income trusts? Clearly, these are complex questions; we do not propose to answer them all in this paper. We will focus on three principal aspects of income trusts. First, we document as systematically as possible the growth in income trusts and the changing nature of the income trust market in terms of the industrial composition of the firms that use this vehicle. This allows us to estimate the total size of the income trust market. Second, we attempt to document the uses of proceeds by both income trusts and underlying operating companies from the initial IPO financing 858 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 and from subsequent issues. This allows us to evaluate the implications for economic growth as well as the ultimate uses of proceeds. Third, we provide evidence of under- and overpricing at the time of issuance, the immediate post-issue volatility, and the long-term performance of income trusts. This allows us to comment on the attractiveness of these new organizational forms from the investor’s perspective.4 REASONS FOR THE EMERGENCE AND GROWTH OF INCOME TRUSTS Theoretical Foundations Three theoretical arguments are often cited to explain the emergence and growth of the income trust.5 The first is based on the “free cash flow” concept arising from agency theory literature; the second can be traced to the “bird in hand” principle arising from dividend-policy literature, which focuses on asymmetric information and the absence of costless arbitrage opportunities; and the third can be traced to the optimal capital structure literature.6 The fundamental premise of the “free cash flow” argument is that in cases where the free cash flow (defined as earnings after tax plus non-cash depreciation and amortization minus sustaining capital expenditures and net additions to net working capital) is very high, management may undertake capital expenditures or acquisitions that are not value-creating. This behaviour occurs either because management suffers from hubris or because management wants to increase the size of the firm and its own (often size-based) compensation. One way of preventing this behaviour is to require management to distribute the free cash flow to investors in the form of dividends and to go to the capital market to raise money for new capital expenditures or acquisitions. This way, management must convince shareholders that the new financing will lead to a value-creating result. This will impose capital market discipline on managerial decisions, with a corresponding decrease in agency costs. Thus, the high distribution of free cash flow (often referred to as distributable cash flow in income trust arrangements) can be viewed as consistent with the “free cash flow” argument and can partially explain the emergence and growth of income trusts. 4 In this paper, we do not conduct any specific statistical tests of any specific hypotheses. We believe that the available data, the period under consideration, and the interaction of many potential variables make it impossible to construct and test for a specific set of hypotheses. 5 There is a vast amount of literature in these two areas; for the sake of brevity, we refer only to the most relevant papers. 6 See Michael C. Jensen, “Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeovers” (1986) vol. 76, no. 2 The American Economic Review 323-29, for the “free cash flow” argument, and Merton H. Miller and Franco Modigliani, “Dividend Policy, Growth and the Valuation of Shares” (1961) vol. 34, no. 4 Journal of Business 411-33 and Sudipto Bhattacharya, “Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy, and ‘the Bird in the Hand’ Fallacy” (1979) vol. 10, no. 1 Bell Journal of Economics 259-70, for the “bird in hand” argument. the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences ■ 859 The “bird in hand” argument follows a similar chain of reasoning without necessarily resorting to formal agency theory. Under this hypothesis, which is based on the notion of imperfect or asymmetric information, investors prefer to receive higher dividends (and be subject to taxes) than wait for uncertain capital gains. However, it should also be noted that the US evidence indicates that, in recent years, cash dividends to shareholders have actually started to diminish at an alarming rate, while share repurchase activities have continued to grow.7 Thus, firms have chosen a more tax-preferred vehicle to distribute free cash flow; the underlying argument remains unchanged. Although the two arguments described above deal with the distribution of free cash flow to prevent managers from undertaking “bad” investments, management does not have to resort to an income trust arrangement to distribute excess cash flow. It can simply pay out a substantial amount of free cash flow through dividends. Beginning with Modigliani and Miller,8 Myers,9 and Miller,10 the implications of the tax shield on interest payments for firm valuation has fascinated financial economists. The argument, in its most simplistic form, is that, in the absence of bankruptcy costs and with perfect conditions for individual tax arbitrage, significant value can be gained by considerably leveraging the firm’s capital structure. This value can be further enhanced by tailoring the financing on the basis of the taxable status of the investor or the tax attributes of the savings vehicle to be used by the investor. Briefly, if the firm was considered to always have an “earnings before income tax” stream higher than interest expense, and if the recipient of that interest income paid no taxes (or could defer taxes for a long time) on the receipt of that income, a highly leveraged capital structure would enhance the value of the firm at the expense of the government’s tax receipts. In this simple world, firms would be highly leveraged and the debt instruments would be held by tax-exempt institutions such as pension funds or by individuals in their tax-exempt portfolios (such as RRSPs). The exact nature of the gain through this leverage would depend on the relative levels of the corporate tax rate, the tax rate on dividends and capital gains, 7 See Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French, “Disappearing Dividends: Changing Firm Characteristics or Lower Propensity To Pay?” (2001) vol. 60, no. 1 Journal of Financial Economics 3-43; Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French, “Testing Trade-Off and Pecking Order Predictions About Dividend and Debt” (2002) vol. 15, no. 1 The Review of Financial Studies 1-33; and Gustavo Grullon and Roni Michaely, “Dividends, Share Repurchases and the Substitution Hypothesis” (2002) vol. 57, no. 4 The Journal of Finance 1649-84. 8 Franco Modigliani and Merton H. Miller, “The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment” (1958) vol. 48, no. 3 The American Economic Review 261-97, and Franco Modigliani and Merton H. Miller, “Corporate Income Taxes and the Cost of Capital: A Correction” (1963) vol. 53, no. 3 The American Economic Review 433-43. 9 Stewart C. Myers, “Determinants of Corporate Borrowing” (1977) vol. 5, no. 2 Journal of Financial Economics 147-76. 10 Merton H. Miller, “Debt and Taxes” (1977) vol. 32, no. 2 The Journal of Finance 261-75. 860 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 and the tax rate on interest.11 If the effective tax rate on interest income was zero, then the value of the leverage would equal the tax shield on debt and would increase the value of the firm by a corresponding amount. If the corporate tax rate was higher than the effective dividend tax rate, there would be a value gain for the firm, and both parties could benefit.12 This arrangement could be achieved through an LBO as well as through the creation of an income trust. Thus, if a transaction or agreement can be structured to maximize the value of the tax shield on debt, it will be an attractive investment for both the firm and the investor. As long as these transactions respect the prescribed tax rules, it is left to the capital market participants to innovate structures that optimize the overall taxminimization structures; one of these is the income trust, which allows the individual investor to participate in these potentially tax-optimizing transactions. Capital Market Conditions There are (at least) three other reasons for the emergence and the recent growth of income trusts.13 First, the growth in income trust-type arrangements is a result of individual investors’ reactions to low interest rates and the attractiveness of taxpreferred, certain, high dividend streams promised by income trusts. Second, many investors have become skeptical of management intentions because of recent incidents of weak or non-existent corporate governance; they prefer high dividend distributions from firms so as to minimize value-destroying management behaviour. This is especially relevant for firms that do not have any significant growth opportunities in their business but have a steady stream of free cash flow. Third, given lower valuation levels during the post-dotcom era and the perceived reluctance of investors to invest in traditional IPOs, the only way left for corporations that either are mature or have business units that are mature to raise capital at favourable prices is to resort to an income trust arrangement.14 The recent capital 11 The gain from leverage in an integrated tax world equals (1 - [(1 - Tc ) * (1 - Tps )/(1 - Tpb)] * B where Tc is the corporate tax rate, Tps is the tax rate on income received from holding shares, Tpb is the tax rate on interest received on debt, and B is the value of debt. 12 Without going into detail, we assume that the investors are converting the capital structure from low or no leverage to high leverage. There could be additional gains if the firm is acquired with a higher value than the asset value and the difference is used to write up the assets. The gain results from the higher tax shield on depreciation on the written-up value of the asset base. 13 For a broader description of issues that also span corporate governance and legal and regulatory matters, see Michael R. King, Income Trusts—Understanding the Issues, Working Paper 2003-25 (Ottawa: Bank of Canada, September 2003). 14 An alternative way of achieving similar goals is to distribute free cash flow from the stand-alone or mature business units through special dividends or through share purchase. The US evidence indicates that there has been a noticeable decrease in special dividends as a primary method of distributing free cash flow but an increase in share purchase. See the evidence provided by Harry DeAngelo, Linda DeAngelo, and Douglas J. Skinner, “Special Dividends and the Evolution of Dividend Signaling” (2000) vol. 57, no. 3 Journal of Financial Economics 309-54, and their the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences ■ 861 market conditions provide partial support for this explanation. According to Standard & Poor’s Canada,15 in 2002 corporate debt issuance fell to a six-year low, with issuance volumes running at about half the total borrowings of Cdn $89.4 billion in 2001—a record low for the Canadian corporate bond market. Common equity financings were also at their lowest point in almost a decade, and issuance volumes were at half their record levels of Cdn $26.5 billion in 1997. In this type of environment, the choices for financing may be limited to bank financing, private equity, or alternative forms of raising capital. Income trusts may have provided that alternative form. Summary On a theoretical and practical basis, the emergence and growth of income trusts is due to the combination of the three factors set out above rather than to a single driving factor; all three factors are equally important in explaining the growth of the income trust market. Although income trusts were initiated in the energy and real estate sectors in the early period, the familiarity of investors and the investment community with income trust arrangements has now led to the use of income trusts in other sectors and situations. In addition, some companies that went private or were bought out in an LBO transaction as recently as 2000 are going to the marketplace and raising capital (to essentially provide returns to original investors) through the use of income trusts. The popularity of these instruments is such that some US-based companies are known to be looking at income trusts as a primary source of capital and a means to monetize their investment in specific parts of their business lines.16 THE GROWTH OF INCOME TRUSTS: E V I D E N C E A N D S U P P O R T I N G D A TA In this section, we provide evidence of the growth of income trusts and the nature of the income trust market. However, it should be noted that there are significant limitations in obtaining all necessary historical data on every income trust in Canada. As a result, the number of income trusts in each table varies. In some cases, the relevant data are not provided by the firm in its prospectus, press release, or documents explanation that special dividends are now ineffective as a signalling method and that the share purchase may be a better signal that also has preferential tax attributes over dividends. 15 S & P Research on Stability Ratings, “Income Trusts: Canada’s High-Yield Market?” by Maria Rabiasz, John R. Tysall, and Thomas G. Connell, published on January 7, 2003 (http:// www2.standardandpoors.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=sp/sp_article/ ArticleCollectionTemplate&cid=1036172174951). 16 In the United States, such arrangements are difficult to achieve under the existing tax policy regime. The United States has both “substance over form” and earnings-stripping rules that also specify the “appropriate debt-equity” ratios to qualify for interest deductions. For a brief description of how these rules apply for cross-border transactions, see Lalit Aggarwal and Jack Mintz, “Income Trusts and Shareholder Taxation: Getting It Right,” in this policy forum. 862 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 submitted to the Ontario Securities Commission. We have taken all possible care in collecting the data, and we will explain the limitations and the implications of the incomplete data with respect to our observations and conclusions. Sources of Data Our data come from multiple sources; no single source of data covers all aspects of income trusts. Our main data sources include the Toronto Stock Exchange Monthly Review, Investcom (http://www.investcom.com/), Stock Guide (published by Stock Guide Publications Inc.), SEDAR (http://www.sedar.com/), and the Canadian Financial Markets Research Centre (CFMRC). We used the Monthly Review to ensure that we have identified all the income trusts that were listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange as of August 2003;17 we validated this list with Investcom wherever possible. Our main source of data for prospectuses is SEDAR, which stores in electronic form all the prospectuses of IPOs starting from 1997. We use Stock Guide to obtain accounting data and to cross-validate the Toronto Stock Exchange listings. Finally, we use the CFMRC database to obtain stock price, dividend, and returns data for the listed IPOs. We have identified 255 income trusts that were listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange as of August 2003. Results of Analysis Table 1 summarizes the 255 income trusts in our sample; they are categorized by their industry sectors and their year of listing on the Toronto Stock Exchange. Investment trusts are defined as those that invest in other income trusts and act as mutual funds in the sense that they do not invest directly in operating companies. We classify the rest of the income trusts in four categories: REITs, business trusts, resource trusts, and utility trusts. We split our sample into pre-1997 and post-1997 periods, because we have more information about the post-1997 sample owing to the establishment of SEDAR in 1997. As can be seen from the results in table 1 (ignoring the category of investment trusts, since these invest in other income trusts), the largest number of income trust IPOs were issued in 2002, surpassing the previous high of 31 in 1997. Moreover, of the 43 IPOs issued in 2002, the largest number is represented by business trusts, showing the acceptance by the market of these types of securities. In addition, the existence of 104 investment trusts signifies the popularity of intermediaries that have emerged to provide opportunities for investing in a potentially diversified portfolio of income trusts. It should be noted that the income trust market was fairly dormant from 1998 to 2000, when stock markets were providing extra-normal returns to investors, indicating that the growth of income trusts is at least partially related to the capital market environment. 17 We are investigating whether there have been some delistings during the intervening years. Our preliminary findings are that there are very few delistings of income trusts. the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences TABLE 1 ■ 863 Number of Income Trust IPOs as at August 2003 Post-1997 Category Investment . . . . . REIT . . . . . . . . . Business . . . . . . . Resource . . . . . . . Utility . . . . . . . . . Unknown* . . . . . Total . . . . . . . . . . Pre-1997 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Unknown* Total 10 6 2 18 2 4 42 20 8 11 5 7 0 51 4 2 1 1 1 0 9 8 1 1 0 1 0 11 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 14 3 4 4 1 0 26 21 5 26 8 4 0 64 15 2 8 7 4 0 36 7 3 0 0 0 1 11 104 30 53 43 20 5 255 * We were not able to classify these funds either by category or by the year of issuance. Table 2 provides a further breakdown of income trusts in the business, resources, and utilities sectors by industry category. As can be seen, the business sector is dominated by consumer and food services companies, the resources sector is dominated by oil and gas, and the utilities sector is dominated by power generation. Of the 255 income trusts listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange, we were able to collect 145 prospectuses for income trust IPOs. We investigated an additional 57 income trusts in the business, resources, and utilities sectors for which prospectuses are not available in the SEDAR database. Of these, 36 were formed through IPOs. The remaining 21 income trusts, including 8 business trusts and 13 resources trusts, represent conversions from previous corporate forms into income trusts pursuant to “plans of arrangement.” For these conversions, there was no requirement that prospectuses be filed. Of the 21 restructurings, 18 occurred in the 2001-2003 period, including 7 in the 2003 year to date.18 Table 3 lists the number of prospectuses in our sample. In addition to the 145 income trusts for which we have prospectuses, we were able to collect data on issue proceeds for an additional 50 income trusts from the “Newly Listed Companies” section of the Monthly Review even though we had no prospectuses for them (see table 4). As a result, we have proceeds data on a total of 195 income trusts, of which 171 were issued in the post-1997 period compared with the universe of 213 (see table 1). Twenty income trusts have resulted from restructurings in the post-1997 period (one was restructured in 1988); they represent companies that simply converted their common shares into income trust units and did not raise any new financing. Thus, in the post-1997 period, we are missing proceeds data for only 22 income trusts. We are also interested in understanding the post-issuance financing behaviour of income trusts because it has implications for economic growth; therefore, we 18 Of the 21 conversions, 1 (NewAlta income fund) took place in 1988, 2 in 1997, 4 in 2001, 7 in 2002, and 7 in 2003 (as of August 2003). The total market value of the 18 conversions for which we have data was $5.2 billion based on market capitalization on the year-end before the conversion year. The market value of the 17 trust funds for which we have data as of November 28, 2003 was $8.5 billion. 864 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne TABLE 2 (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 Number of Income Trusts by Industry Sectors Business Cheque design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Communications/media . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Consumer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Food service . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Forest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Industrial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Transportation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Wastage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Unknown* . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 3 12 9 1 9 7 1 10 Subtotal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 Resources Gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Oil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Oil and gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Oil and gas services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Power generation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Unknown* . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 1 24 4 1 11 Subtotal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 Utilities Pipeline . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Power generation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Telecommunication . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Unknown* . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 11 2 2 Subtotal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 * We were not able to classify these funds in unique subsector categories. Since all REITs are in the real estate sector, we have not classified them in subsectors within the real estate sector. collected 101 prospectuses for subsequent unit issuances by 41 income trusts (see table 5). Using the information gathered from these various sources, we estimate that total income trust financing amounts to $36 billion, including $27 billion for the 195 IPOs and about $8.5 billion for 101 subsequent issuances by 41 income trusts (see table 6). However, these numbers include financing by investment trusts, which constitutes indirect financing. Thus, for the remainder of the paper, we exclude all references to investment trusts. Tables 7 and 8 exclude financing by investment trusts to eliminate the double counting; the proceeds are $19.51 billion for IPOs and $7.52 billion for subsequent issues—a total of about $27 billion. Several observations follow from these results. First, 1997 is the year in which most financing through income trusts took place. Second, in 2000 (at the peak of the dotcom bubble) there were no financings through income trusts because the technology sector and the overall stock market provided investors with ample the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences TABLE 3 ■ 865 Number of Income Trusts for Which IPO Prospectuses Are Available Post-1997 Category Pre-1997 1997 Investment . . . . REIT . . . . . . . . Business . . . . . . Resource . . . . . . Utility . . . . . . . . Total . . . . . . . . . TABLE 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Total 3 2 1 1 0 7 6 1 1 0 1 9 5 0 0 0 0 5 14 3 3 1 1 22 21 5 22 3 4 55 14 2 7 2 4 29 67 19 37 9 13 145 Total 4 6 3 2 3 18 Income Trusts with IPO Proceeds Available Post-1997 Category Pre-1997 1997 Investment . . . . REIT . . . . . . . . Business . . . . . . Resource . . . . . . Utility . . . . . . . . Total . . . . . . . . . TABLE 5 6 1 1 15 1 24 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 4 2 1 1 1 9 6 1 1 0 1 9 5 0 0 0 0 5 14 3 3 1 1 22 21 5 23 3 4 56 14 2 7 2 4 29 16 6 9 4 6 41 Subsequent Issuances Post-1997 Category Pre-1997 1997 Investment . . . . . REIT . . . . . . . . . Business . . . . . . . Resource . . . . . . . Utility . . . . . . . . . Total . . . . . . . . . . TABLE 6 86 20 45 26 18 195 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 5 1998 1999 2000 3 1 3 2 1 1 6 4 13 1 4 5 2001 2002 4 1 11 5 21 2 3 5 11 3 24 Total no. 2003 of issuances 2 2 8 12 5 29 7 16 15 44 19 101 No. of income trusts 5 4 9 15 8 41 Total Trust Financing ($ Millions) Category Investment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Business . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . REIT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Resource . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Utility . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . IPO Subsequent Total 7,790.75 7,186.20 2,753.06 5,691.56 3,881.40 27,302.98 1,034.88 1,607.97 680.16 3,359.44 1,871.11 8,553.56 8,825.64 8,794.17 3,433.21 9,051.00 5,752.51 35,856.53 866 ■ (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne TABLE 7 Income Trust IPOs: Gross Proceeds Excluding Investment Trusts ($ Millions) Post-1997 Category Pre-1997 1997 REIT . . . . . . Business . . . . Resource . . . . Utility . . . . . . Total gross proceeds . . . 157.00 250.19 3,208.23 81.50 817.77 1,835.43 1,409.03 1,782.04 3,696.93 5,844.27 TABLE 8 1998 1999 Gross proceeds 2000 2001 2002 2003 341.70 24.00 87.25 9.00 41.50 — 296.00 141.87 — — — — 505.00 446.75 187.91 110.00 679.51 2,742.55 669.75 939.40 228.07 1,815.02 175.13 530.60 766.45 — 1,249.66 5,031.21 2,748.82 19,512.22 2003 174.87 2,753.06 7,186.20 5,691.56 3,881.40 Subsequent Issues: Gross Proceeds Excluding Investment Trusts ($ Millions) Category 1997 1998 1999 REIT . . . . . . . Business . . . . . Resource . . . . . Utility . . . . . . . Total gross proceeds . . . — 252.24 543.10 68.00 85.40 100.08 — — — 31.60 64.53 — 863.34 149.93 131.68 Gross proceeds 2000 2001 2002 35.50 — 292.80 167.79 172.05 100.00 652.34 434.44 188.02 99.12 680.16 547.68 708.06 1,607.97 790.58 1,049.02 3,359.44 536.76 599.58 1,871.11 496.09 1,358.83 2,063.05 2,455.77 7,518.68 opportunity to invest. Third, income trusts in the business sector now represent a significant fraction of total IPO financings. Fourth, the $9 billion in income trust financing from 2001 to August 2003 now equals all financings before 2000. These results indicate that income trusts have become a significant source of financing for the Canadian corporate sector.19 In addition to first-time financing, there was also significant activity in the secondary issuance by income trusts, as shown in table 7. Here again, 2002 stands out. Including the $2 billion raised through subsequent issuance, the total capital (IPO and subsequent issues of previous-year IPOs) that flew into income trusts amounted to $2.7 billion in 2001, $7 billion in 2002, and $5.2 billion in the first eight months of 2003. From table 8, it is apparent that there is considerable activity in subsequent issuances of trust units. To better understand the source of this activity, we investigated the prospectuses available to us. Table 9 shows the results of this investigation for both IPOs and subsequent financing issues. 19 As noted earlier, in 2002, corporate debt issuance fell to a six-year low, with issuance volumes running at about half of total borrowings of Cdn $89.4 billion in 2001—a record low for the Canadian corporate bond market. Common equity financings were also at their lowest point in almost a decade, and issuance volumes were cut in half compared with record levels of Cdn $26.5 billion in 1997. No. 37 9 13 59 Business . . . . . . . . . . Resources . . . . . . . . . Utilities . . . . . . . . . . Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,146.86 2,085.30 2,801.44 10,033.60 $ mil. Prospectus available 8 17 5 30 No. 2,039.34 3,606.26 1,079.97 6,725.57 $ mil. Prospectus unavailable, proceeds available IPOs Financing Through IPOs and Subsequent Issues Category TABLE 9 45 26 18 89 No. 7,186.20 5,691.56 3,881.41 16,759.17 $ mil. Subtotal 9 15 8 32 Trusts, no. 15 44 19 78 Issuances, no. Subsequent issues 1,607.97 3,359.44 1,871.11 6,838.52 $ mil. 8,794.17 9,051.00 5,752.52 23,597.69 Total proceeds, $ mil. the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences ■ 867 868 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 Our sample represents 87 percent of the total proceeds; most of the 24 trusts with missing prospectuses were issued before or in 1997.20 The numbers in table 9 indicate that resource sector income trusts frequently go to capital markets for financing through subsequent issuance; 15 of the 26 issuers raised an additional $3.4 billion in subsequent financing compared with $5.7 billion in IPOs. Utility sector issuers raised almost 50 percent of the IPO amount through subsequent issuances; for the business sector, subsequent issues represent 22 percent of financing. Overall, subsequent issues amount to 41 percent of the IPO financing. It is also interesting to analyze the amount of financing in subsequent years in relation to the initial financing year, as well as the number of issuances and the number of income trusts that go to the market for financing. Table 10 shows the amount of proceeds of subsequent financing in relation to the initial financing amounts raised through IPOs. Some of the trusts go to capital markets for additional funding in the first year (almost immediately) after the IPO, but (based on IPOs in 1996 through 1999) they also raise financing in years 3 through 5. Comparing the two periods of 1996-1997 and 2002-2003, we see that the elapsed time between the IPO and subsequent issues, and between subsequent issues, has decreased significantly. We investigate the uses of these proceeds in the next section. In terms of the number of issues and issuers associated with these amounts, table 11 shows that income trusts that went public in 1996 and 1997 and as recently as 2001 and 2002 are the source of most of the subsequent issues. Table 11 also shows the relationship between the total number of instances and the underlying number of income trusts that represent these instances. Although there are 54 known instances of secondary issuance, they are represented by only 24 of the 96 income trusts. To further investigate this observation, we identify these frequent issuers in table 12, which shows that 12 income trusts that returned to market most frequently accounted for two-thirds of the total instances. This is an interesting result, since the main purpose of income trusts was (presumed to be) to invest in mature, nogrowth operating companies that required no additional capital. However, nearly 60 percent of the proceeds from subsequent issuances were used to fund capital expenditures or new acquisitions, or to repay bridging loans for recent acquisitions. This distribution is similar for frequent issuers and for one-off issuances (see the following section, “Uses of Proceeds,” for more details). Summary Four principal conclusions follow from the data presented in this section. First, almost $35 billion has been invested in income trusts (ignoring investment in those companies that have converted from common shares to income trust units), with almost one-third of that amount represented by investment trusts. Second, there 20 The $23.5 billion figure represents 87 percent of the total of IPO financing ($19.5 billion from table 6) and $7.5 billion of subsequent financing (table 7). the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences TABLE 10 IPO year 1996 . . . . . . . 1997 . . . . . . . 1998 . . . . . . . 1999 . . . . . . . 2000 . . . . . . . 2001 . . . . . . . 2002 . . . . . . . 2003 . . . . . . . Unknown . . . Total . . . . . . . ■ 869 Proceeds of Subsequent Issues Versus IPO Issuance Year Proceeds ($ Millions) IPO proceeds Proceeds of subsequent issues by issue year 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2,804.93 320.16 4,019.22 543.18 128.75 na 150.87 na na 2,694.66 na 4,351.70 na 2,520.75 na — 64.53 — na na na na na 31.60 — — — na na na na 16,670.88 863.34 64.53 31.60 128.97 183.70 96.40 601.53 105.45 293.01 415.96 332.13 28.48 17.50 — — 25.45 141.43 205.80 — — — — — na 65.05 555.05 118.44 na na 22.50 638.32 na na na 55.03 172.24 486.09 579.31 611.21 460.59 1,186.78 1,875.03 2,356.65 Total 1,362.37 1,754.25 45.98 372.69 — 738.54 660.82 55.03 1,848.85 6,838.52 na Not applicable. TABLE 11 Number of Subsequent Issues by Year Versus IPO Year of the Issuing Trusts IPO year 1996 . . . . . . . . . . 1997 . . . . . . . . . . 1998 . . . . . . . . . . 1999 . . . . . . . . . . 2000 . . . . . . . . . . 2001 . . . . . . . . . . 2002 . . . . . . . . . . 2003 . . . . . . . . . . Unknown . . . . . . Total . . . . . . . . . . No. of IPOs Subsequent issues by year Total Issuing 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 instances trusts 15 18 3 2 1 10 33 14 2 3 na na na na na na 0 1 0 na na na na na 1 0 0 0 na na na na 96 5 1 1 3 2 1 1 0 na na na 3 10 3 4 1 1 0 2 na na 6 17 1 3 0 1 0 5 1 na 8 19 4 4 0 0 0 2 7 1 7 25 14 17 2 3 0 9 8 1 24 78 3 6 1 1 0 4 8 1 7 na na Not applicable. has been an increase in the number and the diversity of firms that use income trusts rather than the traditional IPO to seek financing. Almost $9 billion has been raised by business sector income trusts; this amount is nearly equal to that raised by resource sector companies. Third, the income trust market has been cyclical. During the period from 1998 through 2000, when the equity market was rising, the use of income trusts was almost negligible. There were no income trust IPOs in 2000, when equity markets were high. But a record number of IPOs were issued in 2002, when equity market valuations were low, traditional IPOs were almost nonexistent, and the economy was characterized by low interest rates. Fourth, subsequent financing represents almost 40 percent of the initial financing through IPOs. In fact, this amount is understated: a large number of companies raised IPO financing in 2002, and it may be too early for them to seek subsequent financing. The evidence 870 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne TABLE 12 (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 Frequent Subsequent Issuers Company ARC Energy Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Algonquin Power Income Fund . . . . . . . . . . . . Pengrowth Energy Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Enerplus Resources Fund . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Superior Plus Income Fund . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Ultima Energy Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Acclaim Energy Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Advantage Energy Income Fund . . . . . . . . . . . Great Lakes Hydro Income Fund . . . . . . . . . . Inter Pipeline Fund . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Provident Energy Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Rogers Sugar Income Fund . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . All others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Ticker Category AET.UN APF.UN PGF.UN ERF.UN SPF.UN UET.UN AU.UN AVN.UN GLH.UN IPL.UN PVE.UN RSI.UN Resource Utility Resource Resource Business Resource Resource Resource Utility Utility Resource Business No. of subsequent issues 8 6 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 27 78 suggests that income trusts have gone to capital markets to raise additional financing; in the next section, we will look at the specific uses of proceeds. USES OF PROCEEDS In this section, we investigate the uses of proceeds by income trusts. There are three main reasons for this investigation. First, it provides us with information about the efficacy of income trusts in contributing to economic growth. Second, it allows us to determine whether the new financing is used mainly to maintain expected yields on the existing income trust units. Third, it may allow us to indirectly investigate the tax revenue implications of the formation of income trusts. To conduct this analysis, we examined 137 prospectuses—59 income trust IPOs and 78 subsequent offerings issued by 32 income trusts. Table 13 shows the comparison of this sample to the total in the category. The 59 IPOs represent 60 percent of the total IPO dollars, and the 78 subsequent issues represent 80 percent of total subsequent financing. Resource trusts account for only 35 percent of the sector because a large number of resource trusts in our sample were issued before 1997. Table 14 summarizes the fees and costs associated with income trusts. On average, for both IPOs and subsequent issuances, investment banking and other issuing expenses together take up to 6 percent from the total proceeds. These results are similar to those reported by Jog21 for traditional IPOs. On the basis of these numbers, we estimate that the investment banking industry earned almost $800 million in fees during the 2001-2003 period. 21 Vijay M. Jog, “The Climate for Canadian Initial Public Offerings,” in Paul J.N. Halpern, ed., Financing Growth in Canada (Calgary: University of Calgary Press, 1997), 357-401. Proceeds, $ mil. 10,033.60 5,146.86 2,085.30 2,801.44 6,838.52 1,607.97 3,359.44 1,871.11 No. 59 37 9 13 78 15 44 19 IPO . . . . . . . . . . . Business . . . . . . . Resource . . . . . . . Utility . . . . . . . . . Subsequent . . . . . . Business . . . . . . . Resource . . . . . . . Utility . . . . . . . . . Prospectus examined Uses of Proceeds: Analysis Sample Category TABLE 13 78 15 44 79 89 45 26 18 6,838.52 1,607.97 3,359.44 1,871.11 16,759.17 7,186.20 5,691.56 3,881.41 Proceeds, $ mil. Total in same category No. 100 66 82 35 72 % (no.) 100 60 72 37 72 % (proceeds) 101 255 No. 8,553.56 27,302.98 Proceeds, $ mil. Total samples the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences ■ 871 872 ■ (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne TABLE 14 Gross Proceeds Versus Net Proceeds Available No. of instances Gross proceeds Investment banking fees 59 78 10,033.60 6,838.52 546.51 318.97 Issuing cost Net proceeds $ millions IPOs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Subsequent issues . . . . . . . . TABLE 15 155.30 37.18 9,331.79 6,482.37 Initial Public Offerings: Uses of Proceeds Business Use Resource Utility Total $ mil. % $ mil. % $ mil. % $ mil. % Acquisition of interest . . . Acquisition of loan . . . . . . Capital expenditures and new acquisitions . . . Repayment of indebtedness . . . . . . . . . Distribution to owners . . . Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Unknown* . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,286.47 81.00 90.3 1.7 1,620.70 29.00 82.8 1.5 2,255.69 41.36 85.8 1.6 8,162.86 151.36 87.5 1.6 29.30 0.6 38.18 2.0 119.25 4.5 186.73 2.0 284.36 28.28 7.58 28.96 6.0 0.6 0.2 0.6 53.40 209.13 4.80 2.01 2.7 10.7 0.2 0.1 4.00 168.52 39.26 0.55 0.2 6.4 1.5 0.0 341.76 405.93 51.64 31.52 3.7 4.3 0.6 0.3 Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,745.96 100 1,957.20 100 2,628.63 100 9,331.79 100 * The prospectus does not specify the uses. Next, we investigate the uses of proceeds as stated in the prospectuses of the income trusts. Table 15 classifies the uses in seven categories. Not surprisingly, $8.2 billion, or 87.5 percent, of IPO proceeds available to income trusts was used to acquire the interest in the operating company. Although the results are not shown here for reasons of space, income trusts in different sectors displayed similar patterns. The uses of proceeds in IPOs and in subsequent issuances are illustrated in tables 16 and 17, respectively. In both cases, if the company (or the income trust) specified that the proceeds were used to repay outstanding indebtedness incurred to finance capital expenditures and acquisitions, we classified that amount as a capital expenditure or acquisition because we considered debt a bridging loan. Table 16 shows that of the $8.2 billion received by income trusts, 32.8 percent was used to acquire assets and facilities and 27 percent was used to repay debt; the uses of the remainder were not specifically outlined. The uses of subsequent financing were quite different. Table 17 shows that subsequent financing was principally used for capital expenditures and new acquisitions. Of the $6.5 billion in financing, $3.3 billion was used to finance capital expenditures and new acquisitions; 23 percent ($1.5 billion) went to reduce indebtedness, followed by secondary offerings. This breakdown of uses suggests that new financing may allow the underlying operating companies (or trusts) to monetize the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences TABLE 16 ■ 873 Initial Public Offerings: Uses of Proceeds by Operating Companies Business Use Resource Utility Total $ mil. % $ mil. % $ mil. % $ mil. % Acquisition . . . . . . . . . . . . Repayment of debt . . . . . . Other uses . . . . . . . . . . . . . Unspecified . . . . . . . . . . . . 886.18 1,569.73 42.20 1,788.36 20.7 36.6 1.0 41.7 1,332.70 — — 288.00 82.2 — — 17.8 462.05 635.22 — 1,158.42 20.5 28.2 — 51.4 2,680.93 2,204.95 42.20 3,234.78 32.8 27.0 0.5 39.6 Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,286.47 100 1,620.70 100 2,255.69 100 8,162.86 100 % $ mil. % TABLE 17 Subsequent Issuances: Uses of Proceeds Business Use $ mil. Secondary offering . . . . . . Capital expenditures and new acquisitions . . . Repayment of indebtedness . . . . . . . . . Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Resource Utility Total % $ mil. % $ mil. 459.17 30.0 303.19 9.5 400.79 22.6 1,163.16 17.9 967.95 63.3 1,793.85 56.4 1,010.58 57.0 3,772.37 58.2 103.18 — 6.7 — 1,075.66 5.10 33.8 0.2 362.90 — 20.5 — 1,541.74 5.10 23.8 0.1 1,530.30 100 3,177.80 100 1,774.27 100 6,482.37 100 additional income-producing assets and to invest these proceeds in growth opportunities. For example, in the case of resource sector trusts, new financing permits the companies to invest in new exploration; in the absence of an income trust arrangement and a robust equity market, they might have found it difficult to do so. It should be noted that we have no proof that these investments are in fact valuecreating investments and that the capital market was indeed providing discipline along the lines of the “free cash flow” argument mentioned earlier; all we can say is that capital market participants provided additional capital to the existing income trusts.22 We should also note that the prospectuses do not specify the reasons for a surprisingly high percentage (39 percent) of capital raised; this omission may raise the question whether the “market discipline” argument that results from the “free cash flow” argument is relevant in explaining the growth of income trusts. In summary, three broad conclusions can be drawn about the uses of proceeds. First, and not surprisingly, an overwhelming fraction of money raised by income trust IPOs went to the acquisition of interests in operating companies; the investment 22 We have no empirical evidence on “withdrawn” subsequent issues, if any. We are in the process of collecting data on the price reaction on the announcement date of the subsequent issues to see whether the reaction was positive (indicating potentially value-creating investments as judged by the market participants) or negative. 874 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 banking fees and issue costs amounted to between 5 and 7 percent. On the surface, these fees seem high, since they are similar to the percentage fees for IPOs that are riskier than income trusts. Second, the analysis of uses of funds by operating companies arising from IPOs leads to the conclusion that, although the uses of 40 percent of funding are not described in the prospectuses, almost one-quarter goes into replacement of the indebtedness; the other 40 percent goes into the acquisition of interests, thereby triggering capital gains. Third, more than one-half (58 percent) of the subsequent issuance amount goes into asset acquisition or capital expenditures, one-quarter goes into repayment of debt, and 18 percent pays for secondary offerings of shares (presumably by existing shareholders). However, the uses of a surprisingly large percentage of the amounts raised in subsequent offerings are not specified in prospectuses, leading to some questions about the “market discipline” argument explaining the growth of income trusts. Projecting these numbers to the aggregate financing numbers from table 9 leads to the following estimated usage of the total $23.6 billion in financing raised through IPOs and subsequent issues of income trusts. About $15 billion was used by new income trust IPOs to acquire interests from operating companies, thereby potentially triggering capital gains. Existing owner-investors sold almost $2 billion through secondary offerings, which also results in potential capital gains. Another $4.3 billion (mostly from subsequent issuances) was used to finance new acquisitions (triggering capital gains) or new capital expenditures. About $2.2 billion was used to repay indebtedness, which represents the replacement of one source of debt by another. Although it is beyond the scope of this paper to investigate the tax revenue implications of income trusts, our findings suggest that almost one-quarter of the financings may have no implications for taxes and tax revenues, because they replace existing indebtedness. Another 20 percent (assuming that the other half of the 40 percent goes into new capital expenditures) of these financings also generate capital gains taxes, because they are used to acquire ownership interests. The rest may have implications for overall tax revenues. UNDERPRICING AND POST-ISSUE PERFORMANCE In this section, we document the underpricing, aftermarket volatility, and longterm post-issue performance of income trust IPOs. This analysis provides us with evidence on the efficiency of the market in pricing the issues and their risk-return characteristics in the context of their attractiveness in the overall diversification of investor portfolios. It is well documented that, on average, IPOs are underpriced; that is, the firstday closing price is higher than the issue price after adjusting for the underlying movements in the stock exchange index. For example, Ritter23 reports an average 23 Jay Ritter, “Initial Public Offerings” (1998) vol. 2, no. 1 Contemporary Finance Digest 5-30. the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences ■ 875 15.8 percent underpricing (also referred to as initial return adjusted for the corresponding market return) among the more than 13,000 firms that went public in the United States from 1960 to 1996. Jog and Wang24 provide Canadian evidence of 12 percent underpricing for a total 244 IPOs listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange from 1990 to 1999. International evidence25 shows similar results. A widely supported model developed by Rock26 to explain this observed underpricing assumes that information asymmetry exists between investors, who are classified into two groups—informed and uninformed. Informed investors invest in information production and subscribe to IPOs only when they believe that the IPOs are underpriced. Uninformed investors are unable to distinguish underpriced IPOs from overpriced IPOs and may subscribe equally to both. Consequently, underpriced IPOs will be oversubscribed and are subject to quantity rationing. Uninformed investors may eventually find that they are allocated more overpriced issues—in other words, they are facing a “winner’s curse.” To keep uninformed investors in the IPO market, issuers must set their issue price lower than the expected aftermarket price as compensation to uninformed investors for their continuing participation. Beatty and Ritter27 build on this asymmetric information model and argue that the higher the ex ante uncertainty about the value of an issue, the more serious the information asymmetry problem; thus, more money is required to be “left on the table.” Using aftermarket volatility as a proxy for ex ante uncertainty of IPO issues, many researchers support the hypothesized positive relationship between ex ante uncertainty and expected underpricing.28 In contrast to the significant underpricing of common stock IPOs, some studies have found that the initial return of income trust IPOs has been very low if not statistically close to zero. In the United States, for example, a study of 55 IPOs of 24 Vijay Jog and Liping Wang, “Aftermarket Volatility and Underpricing of Canadian Initial Public Offerings” (2002) vol. 19, no. 3 Canadian Journal of Administrative Sciences 231-48. 25 Tim Loughran, Jay R. Ritter, and Kristian Rydqvist, “Initial Public Offerings: International Insights” (1994) vol. 2, nos. 2-3 Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 165-99; and Tim J. Jenkinson, Alexander P. Ljungqvist, and William J. Wilhem Jr., “Bookbuilding Around the World” (mimeograph, Oxford University and Boston College, 1999). 26 Kevin Rock, “Why New Issues Are Underpriced” (1986) vol. 15, nos. 1-2 Journal of Financial Economics 187-212. 27 Randolph P. Beatty and Jay R. Ritter, “Investment Banking, Reputation, and the Underpricing of Initial Public Offerings” (1986) vol. 15, nos. 1-2 Journal of Financial Economics 213-32. 28 See, for example, Robert E. Miller and Frank K. Reilly, “An Examination of Mispricing, Returns, and Uncertainty for Initial Public Offerings” (1987) vol. 16, no. 2 Financial Management 33-38; Christopher B. Barry, Chris J. Muscarella, John W. Peavy III, and Michael R. Vetsuypens, “The Role of Venture Capital in the Creation of Public Companies: Evidence from the GoingPublic Process” (1990) vol. 27, no. 2 Journal of Financial Economics 447-71; and Jog and Wang, supra note 24. 876 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 master limited partnerships reports that the underpricing is not significantly different from zero.29 In another study, Wang et al.30 found an average first-day return of -2.82 percent for a sample of 87 REIT IPOs. Table 18 shows the number of IPOs by year and by sector. This sample represents 60 percent of all IPOs and almost 75 percent of all IPO financing. The 61 IPOs in table 18 include the two for which we had no prospectuses. Table 19 documents the evidence on underpricing for this sample of income trust IPOs. The degree of underpricing is close to zero, in contrast to the 10 to 12 percent underpricing documented by Jog and Wang 31 for Canadian IPOs. Except for a slightly higher underpricing for 2003 IPOs, which was due to the existence of one issue with a high degree of underpricing, the average underpricing is low.32 The evidence also indicates that the market for income trust IPOs may be dominated by equally (un)informed investors. Table 20 shows the immediate (that is, within five days of the IPO date) aftermarket performance of the sample IPOs. These results are similar to those for traditional IPOs. This evidence suggests that there is no imbalance between supply and demand in the immediate post-issue days. These results are what might be expected. Since income trusts are typically created in mature sectors and promise to display “predictable and stable” cash flow streams in the near to middle term, there is less uncertainty about the value of income trust IPOs. Therefore, issuers do not have to “put money on the table” to compensate uninformed investors. Table 21 shows the post-issuance volatility of IPOs in 1997-2002 during the first six trading months. The average volatility is less than 2 basis points for both price return and total return (price plus dividends).33 This degree of volatility is considerably lower than that documented by Jog and Wang34 for Canadian IPOs (on average, 20 to 22 basis points). This comparison indicates that the income trust IPOs are considerably less risky than a typical traditional IPO in the immediate post-IPO period. This result may not be surprising if one views these trusts as stable dividendpaying stocks closely resembling preferred stocks.35 To investigate the longer-term performance of income trust IPOs, we investigated the total return performance during the post-IPO period. Figure 2 shows the 29 Chris J. Muscarella, “Price Performance of Initial Public Offerings of Master Limited Partnership Units” (1988), vol. 23, no. 4 The Financial Review 513-21. 30 Ko Wang, Su Han Chan, and George W. Gau, “Initial Public Offerings of Equity Securities” (1992) vol. 31, no. 3 Journal of Financial Economics 381-440. 31 Jog and Wang, supra note 24. 32 Also see Muscarella, supra note 29. 33 Aftermarket volatility is measured by the variance of daily returns in the period stated. 34 Jog and Wang, supra note 24. 35 This is conjecture; we know of no empirical evidence on the post-issuance volatility of preferred shares. the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences TABLE 18 877 ■ Number of Issues by Year and Category 1997 1998 1999 2001 2002 2003 Subtotal Percent of total Business . . . . . . . . . Resource . . . . . . . . . Utility . . . . . . . . . . . Subtotal . . . . . . . . . 4 2 3 9 1 1 0 2 0 0 1 1 3 1 1 5 23 3 4 30 8 2 4 14 39 9 13 61 64 15 21 100 Percent of total . . . 15 3 2 8 49 23 100 Category TABLE 19 Underpricing* of Income Trust IPOs Year Issues, no. 1997 1998 1999 2001 2002 2003 Total ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... 9 2 1 5 30 14 61 Mean, Maximum, Minimum, Standard % % % deviation,% UP = 0 UP > 0 0.69 -0.42 -0.50 1.98 1.74 4.11 2.04 6.67 1.67 -0.50 4.80 9.10 28.00 28.00 -5.83 -2.50 -0.50 -0.20 -4.00 -4.65 -5.83 3.71 2.95 na 2.00 3.79 8.08 5.00 3 0 0 0 3 1 7 4 1 0 4 17 10 36 UP < 0 2 1 1 1 10 3 18 na Not applicable. * UP = underpricing. The last three columns indicate the number of issues for which underpricing was zero, greater than zero, and less than zero, respectively. TABLE 20 Average Return in the First Five Days After IPO Year Issues, no. Mean, % Maximum, % Minimum, % Standard deviation, % 9 2 1 5 30 14 61 1.55 -1.17 -0.90 2.34 2.18 1.92 1.88 6.50 1.67 -0.90 5.86 14.02 9.26 14.02 -5.17 -4.00 -0.90 -0.12 -6.14 -5.02 -6.14 3.81 4.01 na 2.25 4.64 4.86 4.31 1997 1998 1999 2001 2002 2003 Total ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... na Not applicable. monthly values of investment in an equally weighted and a market-value-weighted portfolio of income trust IPOs between 1997 and 2002 (excluding those issued in 2003) with an initial investment of $1.00. We have plotted the corresponding performance of the TSX 300 index for comparison. As can be seen, an investor who invested $1.00 in the first income trust and rebalanced equally as new income trust IPOs came on the market would have seen the value of her $1 investment (excluding transaction costs) grow to $1.64, including reinvested dividends, by the end of 878 ■ (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne TABLE 21 Aftermarket Volatility for Sample Income Trust IPOs, Basic Points Total return Year* Price return No. of issues Days 1-20 Days 1-60 Days 1-120 9 2 1 5 30 47 2.14 2.54 0.58 1.16 0.94 1.25 2.61 2.26 0.73 1.12 1.11 1.44 3.21 7.24 1.22 1.06 1.21 1.84 Days 1-20 Days 1-60 Days 1-120 2.58 2.29 0.66 1.11 1.10 1.43 3.19 7.33 1.26 1.07 1.20 1.83 mean 1997 1998 1999 2001 2002 Total ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... ........... 2.14 2.71 0.58 1.16 0.92 1.25 * This table does not include 2003 IPOs because the return data for 2003 are unavailable. August 2003. The corresponding number for a market-capitalization-weighted index is $1.42. (The corresponding investment in the TSX 300 index would have grown to $1.30 as of August 2003.) These results indicate that the smaller income trusts have shown better performance than the larger ones. Figure 2 also shows the impact of the technology bubble on the performance of the TSX 300 during the period 20002001. During that period income trusts showed little if any correlation with the market index, and the systematic risks of income trusts were low or negative, indicating an attractive diversification opportunity. In addition, owing to lower than market variations in returns, income trusts also provided a better return-risk tradeoff to investors compared with the investment in the index.36 In summary, the results documented in this section show that income trust IPOs have so far been an attractive investment security for Canadian investors in relation to a passive investment in the TSX 300 index. It is not clear how long such performance can continue, but it is clear that these income trust IPOs have generated healthy gains for investors in an otherwise unexciting period in the equity markets. CONCLUSION The emergence of and the recent growth in income trust financing have received a great deal of attention. We have noted some theoretical and practical reasons that partially explain this growth. However, our principal focus has been on three specific aspects of the Canadian income trust market. First, our analysis of income trusts as of August 2003 indicates that the total financing by income trust IPOs and subsequent issues, excluding investment trusts, amounts to almost $27 billion. More than 90 percent of this amount was financed in 1997 and during the period 2001-2003. The nature of income trusts has also changed: business trusts are now as prevalent as resource and utility trusts. 36 This is not to say that the TSX 300 index is the right benchmark for income trusts; we cite it simply as a possible investment choice that is available to investors. the growth of income trusts in canada and the economic consequences ■ 879 FIGURE 2 Monthly Income Trust IPO, Total Return Versus TSX 300 Monthly Total Return 2.0 45 1.8 40 1.6 Dollars 30 1.2 25 1.0 20 0.8 15 0.6 0.4 10 0.2 5 0.0 Number of trusts 35 1.4 0 Dec. June Dec. June Dec. June Dec. June Dec. June Dec. June 1997 1998 1998 1999 1999 2000 2000 2001 2001 2002 2002 2003 Number of trusts Market-value-weighted total returns Equally weighted total return TSX 300 total returns Second, income trusts have accessed capital markets for subsequent financing. Income trusts are not only financing mature, no-growth, one-time businesses but are also aggressively raising capital for capital expenditures and new acquisitions. Over 50 percent of new financing has gone into new acquisitions and capital expenditures. These trust vehicles may not be impediments to economic growth; if there are attractive opportunities in the underlying operating companies, they will access (and have accessed) capital markets for additional financing. However, we have no direct evidence on whether these investments have been value-creating. We are surprised to find that there is an absence of information on the uses of proceeds for almost 40 percent of the capital raised in subsequent financing. However, this overall evidence may comfort “free cash flow” agency theorists who would cite it as proof of well-functioning capital markets notwithstanding the obvious tax advantage of the financing vehicles. Third, income trust IPOs have proved less risky than the traditional IPOs; they have demonstrated a low degree of underpricing (which was expected), low postissuance aftermarket volatility, and relatively better rates of return. 880 ■ canadian tax journal / revue fiscale canadienne (2004) vol. 52, n o 3 Although we have not focused directly on the tax and tax revenue implications of income trusts, our results indicate that almost one-quarter of these financings may have no implications for taxes and tax revenues because they replace existing indebtedness. Another 20 percent (assuming that the other half of the 40 percent goes to new capital expenditures) of these financings also generate capital gains taxes because they are used to acquire owner interests. Nevertheless, further indepth research and analysis is required to quantify the tax revenue implications of income trusts.37 37 For example, a possible change to the tax system may be to introduce a “see-through” rule whereby the interest income received by income trusts is treated as such when received by investors even if it is called a dividend. It may also be possible to adopt a system of “franked” dividends whereby each investor receives a tax credit based on the taxes paid by the corporation that distributes the dividends. In this case, the tax-exempt investor would not get a benefit of the tax credit. Given the opposition by pension funds to the proposed legislative changes to the income trust environment, the success of such measures is questionable at best. Since discussion about tax policy implications of income trusts is a complex issue and is outside the scope of this paper, we refrain from pursuing it any further.
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