Hungary’s Bifurcated Welfare State Splitting Social Rights and the Social Exclusion of Roma Julia Szalai Working Papers m 2013:05 Adam Smith Research Foundation Working Papers Series 2013:05 The Working Papers series is intended to reflect the diverse range of interdisciplinary research interests of staff in the College of Social Sciences at the University of Glasgow. By publishing papers as works in progress, it aims to encourage and promote the interdisciplinary research work of members of the College, and to provide a forum in which to share innovative ideas and approaches on interdisciplinary topics, and elicit feedback from peers before submitting to more formal refereed peer review in the form of conference papers or journal articles. To this end, the author’s contact details for correspondence are normally provided in each paper. 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Learning Across the Professions Adam Smith Research Foundation College of Social Sciences University of Glasgow 66 Oakfield Avenue Glasgow G12 8LS Tel: +44 (0)141 330 7656 / 3494 email: [email protected] www.glasgow.ac.uk/asrf © University of Glasgow 2013 The University of Glasgow, charity number SC004401 Working Papers m 2013:05 Hungary’s Bifurcated Welfare State Splitting Social Rights and the Social Exclusion of Roma Julia Szalai March 2013 Adam Smith Research Foundation . Working Papers Series Acknowledgements This Working Paper was presented at the British Association for Slavonic and East European Studies Conference in Cambridge in March 2013. About the authors Professor Júlia Szalai was ASRF Visiting Senior Research Fellow at the University of Glasgow (March-June 2013). She graduated with an MA in “Applied Mathematics in Macro-economics” from the Budapest Univesity of Economics in 1971. She obtained her Ph.D. in Sociology in 1986 and her degree of Doctor of Science (DSc) in Sociology in 2007, both from the Hungarian Academy of Sciences. Since graduation, she has been working in the Institute of Sociology of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, where she is currently serving as Chief Scientific Consultant, and simultaneously acts as Head of the Welfare Research Unit. Address for correspondence <[email protected]> Concepts and frameworks T his paper takes departure from two important strands of theorising social citizenship as the fundament and the most essential normative concept of the welfare state. The first is T.H. Marshall’s classic work on the historical evolution of the trinity of civil, political, and social rights (Marshall & Bottomore 1992). Two of his arguments are of key importance for us when applying the theory in conceptualising the postcommunist welfare state. Firstly, Marshall’s emphasis on gradualism has to be taken into account. He argues that the sequence of the three sets of rights cannot be altered at will: it is the enrichment of the institutions and practices of civil and political rights that preclude the institutionalisation of social rights. In other words, legal arrangements and daily practices of universal rights for political participation are preconditioning the claims for universal social rights, i.e. the latter can be perceived and practiced only amidst the conditions of liberal democracy. Secondly, social rights – as much their institutions as the daily social perceptions of them – are the product of a lengthy social dialogue rooted in powerful movements and recognition struggles of earlier excluded social groups. In other words, social rights cannot be “constructed” in a top-down fashion and merely by legislation. They assume a widespread politicisation of matters of living, and are pushed forward by massive contestation of the prevailing order of the distribution of income, wealth, and opportunities. and national minorities in an equal way to those of the majority of the nation-state. Recognition struggles of these minorities are of key importance here: again, the daily understanding of citizens’ rights is seen as an outcome of ongoing movements and their claims to reshape the scope and content of public discourse. Kymlicka’s approach will be of uttermost importance for us in looking at the actual content of social rights of ethnic minorities – especially: those of the Roma citizenry – in postcommunist Hungary. As will be shown, inequalities of rights have a clear ethnic content here that work toward a massive social exclusion of Roma. Missing political institutions of meaningfully representing their rights are just part of the story. As it will be shown below, a built-in dualism of the welfare arrangements works perhaps even more powerfully toward this very same end, and, instead of reducing inequalities in areas under its competence, Marshall’s two important arguments are furthered by Will Kimlycka who re-conceptualises the trinity of rights in light of those important historical changes that have been brought about by mass immigration from the global South toward the global North (Kymlicka 1995). As he stresses, a high degree of cultural heterogeneity has become a decisive feature of European societies in the past three decades, thus once applicable liberal concepts of citizenship have to be revisited accordingly. Kymlicka outlines a genuinely multicultural arrangement for practicing rights of ethnic 3 Adam Smith Research Foundation . Working Papers Series it is the dual welfare structure that contributes to the deepening of exclusion on ethnic grounds. In what follows, I will apply the briefly outlined two conceptualisations of social rights in analysing the performance of Hungary’s postcommunist welfare state. As I will attempt to show, it was a meaningful conversion of earlier gradually elaborated paths of covert marketisation under state-socialism that provided the socio-historical foundation of postcommunist transformation. At the same time, it has been the very same gradual process that, gaining rapid institutionalisation in service of majority interests upon the collapse of the old rule, has led to a sharp fragmentation of social rights with the concomitant massive social exclusion of the country’s largest ethnic minority, its dramatically impoverished and marginalised Roma community. Theories and policies governing Hungary’s postcommunist welfare state Although neither of the above described theories have had wide resonance in the political discourse in Hungary, a rather pragmatic interpretation of social rights still has navigated actual decision-making from the very start of the transition. Two strands of thoughts have come to the forefront: the “social market” theory and neoliberalism. The first had a strong influence in shaping the orientation of the systemic change. Despite rather important differences in ideas on marketisation, in the early 1990s, there was a broad consensus among the competing political actors in outlining the role of the state. The claim was a speedy decomposition of the political structures that had facilitated the earlier unquestioned overpower of the state above the citizenry, and a simultaneous composition of institutions that safeguard individual freedom and culturally perceived entitlements for knowledge, healthy life, and a minimum of daily living. In other words, unlimited freedom was never on the agenda: access to healthcare, provisions for quality schooling, guaranteed minima in housing, and the maintenance of public social security were seen as constitutionally ascribed responsibilities of the new state. At the same time, it was the new system of democratic political institutions that was perceived to exercise control above the actual accomplishment of the state’s listed duties. Surely, such a control presupposes a strong and well-organised civil society that was hoped to spontaneously come into being upon “liberation from the state’s oppression”. In the first period of the transition, the “social market” theory 4 reflected ideas on a strong representative democracy and an ongoing meaningful dialogue between the state (the envisioned agent of the “social” momentum) and the citizen (as an agent integrated into the market). Put differently, it was thought that the state would be deprived from its economic role, while the market would become a potent base of a new social integration. In this latter aspect, ideas on developing a “social market” seemed to be in undisturbed harmony with those neoliberal claims that gave the backing to one of the most important aspects of the systemic change: the conversion of the old property-relations. It was widely believed that rapid privatisation would be a primary task both for economic advancement and the rise of a potent civil society. Or else: beyond its economic role, marketisation was seen as a mighty procedure to deprive the “old” state from the foundations of its oppressive inclinations, thus, the systemic change in the sphere of production was meant to induce deep-going changes also in the political arena. The translation of these ideas into the actual accomplishment of privatisation was supported by a number of other neoliberal beliefs. In the context of the present paper, it is the claim for an immediate dismantling of the once omnipotent communist state that deserves attention in the first place. In this unprecedented historic process, cardinal reforms in social security and welfare were put high on the agenda as those among the few unquestionable preconditions of genuine change. Urgency to meaningfully limit the presence of the central state in these areas was reasoned by a range of powerful legal and financial considerations. As to the legal aspects, it was a widely shared view among domestic and foreign advisors, economists, financial experts, etc. that, without cutting off the strong bond between the centrally administered schemes of redistribution and the individuals’ entitlements for benefits and provisions, the very essence of the systemic transformation would be jeopardised: neither the reallocation of properties, nor the recruitment of labour, nor free entrepreneurship as the fundaments of marketisation were to be successfully launched otherwise. As to the financial side, the equally widely shared views on the former “premature welfare state” (Kornai 1996) implied that welfare expenditures had occupied a too heavy weight in the yearly state budget of the late 1980s, hence upon the turnover, they should be substantially reduced in order to reapportion funds for the primary purposes of transforming economic Hungary’s Bifurcated Welfare State . Szalai management according to the rules of the market, and further, also for substantiating modernisation and economic adjustment. But another important neoliberal principle behind advocating revolutionary reforms in the broadly meant sphere of welfare was to increase social justice and efficiency. It was a recurring motif of the criticism of social policy in the late period of statesocialism that – contrary to the declared goals of the communist regime – central redistribution, strictly linked to employment, acted rather to increase income inequalities than towards moderating them. Moreover, by originating entitlements from compulsory full employment, the misconstrual concept of “universalism” implied massive social injustices through regularly canalising substantial provisions also to the relatively prosperous strata of society. Therefore, when laying down the principles of the new welfare system, it was one of the fundamental goals to eliminate “waste” – in plain terms, to ensure that only those really in need received supplementary sources through redistribution and only to the extent of their neediness. It could be hoped that with all this, the new system became not only more targeted but also more just: public money was to be spent only to meet the needs acknowledged by consensus, and only for those falling behind the widely agreed level of neediness. At the same time, the fortunate majority above this invisible, yet generally acknowledged line of true poverty was presumed to follow other paths opened up and regulated by the market (contributionbased provisions of social security; private pension schemes; market-related benefits in health care, etc.). Hence, the new arrangements were thought to automatically keep apart the two purposefully designed sub-systems with their clear-cut mechanisms of distribution to meet two distinctively, but justly defined sets of demands. The technical and practical considerations underlying the transformation were linked to the assertion of these new ideas of justice and efficiency. While the universalistic considerations and welfare aspects of the centrally distributed provisions weakened strikingly with the introduction of a sequence of new regulations, the dramatically reshaped division of roles between the central bodies of welfare distribution and the significantly empowered local authorities left the definition of the scope and content of “customarily acknowledged” needs to thousands of distinct urban and rural communities (Vági 1991, Horváth 2000). With this, the new decrees implied that in the area of needs it is at the most minimum rules that would be set up with general validity, but at the same time it was also made clear that henceforth the central state was not prepared to give either legal or financial guarantees for their satisfaction. In sum, welfare reforms of the past close to two decades took their ideological departure from the widely shared notions of the “social market”, but their actual realisation has taken a neoliberal path. As will be shown below, the dominance of neoliberalism has led to two simultaneous developments: on the one hand, it has concluded in an emptying of the notion of universalism and has assisted the concomitant “desertion of the state” (Standing 1997); on the other hand, neoliberalism has had a strong contribution to the gradual evolvement of a bifurcated structure of welfare with significantly departing implications on the social rights of the respective clienteles. The reinterpreted role of the central state As indicated above, substantial curtailment of the state’s economic power was seen as one of the primary tasks to accomplish a genuine systemic change. Meaningful cuts in social expenditure and, together with them, deep-going reforms in the areas of social security and welfare assistance were thought to assist the process. These widely propagated commitments were much in line with the claims of speedy marketisation, and corresponded also to the requirements that the global financial institutions (the World Bank and IMF in the first place) and the European Union put forward. It is then all the more surprising that for the past two decades, actually nothing has changed in the magnitude of state spending: macroeconomic trends show a stable 13 per cent proportion of social expenditures as compared to the yearly GDP (Central Statistical Office 1997, 2005). However, remarkable changes have taken place in the internal structure of spending. The 5 Adam Smith Research Foundation . Working Papers Series central state as an agent behind maintaining welfare has practically disappeared: the ratio of governmental provisions for financing unemployment and family benefits has dropped from 20 per cent in 1991 to 6 per cent in 2005. Simultaneously, a substantial rise has taken place in the share of social security (from 72 to 84 per cent in the respective years), while the ratio of local welfare assistance has grown from 4 to 10 per cent. At a first glance, these shifts are in accordance with the above outlined neoliberal ideas that required a withdrawal of the central state, and claimed to adjust entitlements to performance. One can suppose that the increased dominance of social security reflects successful and massive accomplishments on the market, while relative generosity has risen also in meeting the needs of those outside the realm of it. However, these assumptions are falsified at a closer scrutiny. As I will show, the two arenas of welfare function according to rules other than those of returns by contribution and by neediness, respectively. Instead, they define diverse rates of social inclusion, and thereby create two separated segments of social citizenship. The exploration of the mechanisms that work toward these ends requires a closer look at the role that the state plays in the two sub-systems. For it will become clear that it is not the market per se, but the marketised shares drawn from the state’s revenue at the expense of welfare that are at work in the background. Let me briefly outline how such a strange development has come about. The origins date back to the social history of the 1980s. By that time, the great invention of “liberalising” the planned economy through the limited functioning of the so-called second economy developed to a rather high stage in Hungary. As a number of studies convincingly demonstrated, the way of life put on two pillars (that is, to base livelihood on work in the formal, state-regulated segment of the economy in combination with an intensive participation in the family-run micro-level productive endeavours) became a model followed by no less than some three-quarters of the households and assisted as much the political stabilisation of the regime as its economic operating (Szelényi 1988, Laki 1998). Beyond the immediate advantages, the widespread practice had also numerous fruitful lasting consequences in acquiring otherwise inaccessible skills and qualifications, developing new attitudes toward business, adopting new rules of “fair trade”, etc. that later importantly contributed to Hungary’s pioneering position among the transitional economies of the 1990s (Farkas & Vajda 1990, Laki 1998, Laki & Szalai 2004). 6 However, forced and enduring cohabitation of the two economies had also some deeply problematic implications. Given the unquestionable domination of the rules and requirements of the state-controlled first economy above the second, the scope, time and energy that people could devote to their productive activities in the private sphere had to be adjusted – better to say: subordinated – to the pulsation of the planned sector. At the same time, some flexibility still had to be maintained: limited acknowledgement of the productive needs of the second economy also had to be inserted into the daily functioning of the system. Amidst the constant efforts to create the necessary balance, it was the very field of state-run welfare distribution which turned out to render the necessary bridging between perpetually clashing needs. Innovative new benefit-schemes in social security and income maintenance were set up to simultaneously secure “unchanged” domination of the party-state’s command over one’s working capacity and the tacitly shaped permissions to temporarily withdraw from it (Szalai 1991). However, the development of such new double-faced programmes gradually undermined the classical corrective functions of central income distribution. For it was an ever increasing portion of the public welfare funds that was canalised into semiprivate production in the second economy: benefits became customarily used as “salaries” for unpaid informal work, and/or as extra payments in addition to one’s (otherwise low) earnings in the formal sphere (Szalai 2007). Through this way, a rapid erosion of the benefit-schemes has evolved to the detriment of those living solely or mainly from such sources, and henceforth the political innovations had their grave contribution to the spreading of poverty by the late 1980s (Ferge 2000, Spéder 2002). With the systemic change, inherited poverty has turned into massive social exclusion: in the eyes of the majority, it seemed justified to blame the poor for their earlier “keeping away” from the covert market relations of the second economy and to question their rights for public support on these historic grounds. These blames were furthered with widespread criticism over the policy of “forced assimilation” that drew Roma under the umbrella of compulsory full employment. Since they had occupied unskilled positions in the least developed segments of industry and agriculture, they became the first victims of marketisation: en mass unemployment suddenly grew to the general experience of an entire minority. However, the majority took this as “natural”: the cutting-off of entire Roma communities from access to employment has developed to a self-justifying Hungary’s Bifurcated Welfare State . Szalai argument for “minoritisation”, i.e., for creating “other” schemes of welfare for people who are not “us”. These widely shared attitudes have importantly contributed to the dualisation of welfare that meant continuation of “converting” state funds into support for business for those incorporated into the market and a simultaneous squeezing of the poor – especially: Roma poor – into a sealed system of strictly controlled welfare assistance away from the market. This way the once structurally constructed engagement of the state and the market for the sake of “market success” has been reinforced according to new needs and legitimising ideologies, while its limitations have been defined according to the concept of “market failure” and its translation into relations of direct dependency from the local communities. In light of the deficiencies of the post-1990 transformation process, this is, however, no surprise. As I will show below, there is a wide range of old and new, transient and lasting interests that provide the backing to maintain such a dual arrangement at all costs. Let me first consider those sets of interest that work behind claiming the state’s lasting participation in market relations. Such claims are maintained, in the first place, by a number of obvious economic motives. Independent economic activity entirely separated from the state requires a stable capital backing and a firmly established market, but neither of these conditions could be created in the preceding decades of statesocialism. (Voszka 2003, Laki – Szalai 2004) Hence, mere survival of the domestic business, and together with it, the country’s potentials to keep pace with sharpened competition on the world market have been at permanent risk. This is why the need for the state pillar in the raw material sense has been a builtin constituent of postcommunist transformation and economic adaptation ever since (Báger & Kovács 2004). heated competition also on the fronts of domestic sale. All this has greatly increased the risk of full independence and invoked for a strengthened buffer role of the state (Báger & Kovács 2004, Szalai 2007). In addition to the pressures that are reasoned by the extra burdens and risks of marketisation, there are also important cultural and attitude factors at play when claiming the state’s long-term protection for establishing independence from it. Widely varying groups consider that time has come for “the” state to compensate them for their historical grievances and their decades of “lagging behind”, to give them open assistance for the advancement they “deserve”, but have never achieved – and they do not cease to outbid each other in submitting various claims for compensation that are “legitimate” when considered separately. Having the arguments justifying these claims accepted and embodied in the legislation and, consequently, in the yearly plans for central financing, is a question of rude political force: in this way, access to the public funds has been mostly the direct function of the latent bargaining positions established prior to the systemic change (Laky 2004). But above all, it is the world of employment where the state’s presence in welfare is the most loudly claimed. Hungary’s opening to the world market, an increased presence of the strong Western multinationals and the low level of competitive knowledge and skills together have induced a lasting and widespread insecurity on the labour market that has endangered the positions also of the better qualified layers of the labour force. Amid these conditions, it is again the state’s welfare roles and its respective schemes that are meant to meet the needs for prevention and protection. Social security, and within it, the public pension scheme is seen as the proper arena for seeking compensation and stability. In response to the huge and lasting pressure, a purposeful application of the idea of “reward according to contribution” has induced no At the same time, the need for the financial presence of the state has been kept alive by the fact that economic restructuring has induced erosion even in those market relations that had hitherto been regarded as more or less stable and “everlasting”. Privatisation of the state firms has disrupted the state orders thought to be secure, while the collapse of the traditional Eastern markets and the rather difficult access to the Western ones in substitution have confused and endangered the established export relations. Furthermore, the intense inflow of foreign capital and consumer products has concluded in 7 Adam Smith Research Foundation . Working Papers Series less than 103 different forms of entitlements for public pension: various disability schemes, early retirement programmes, entitlements for fractional pension, individually negotiated exceptions from the general rules according to acknowledged “reasonableness”, etc. have been opened up to provide security amidst the rapidly changing conditions. The outcome is clearly reflected in a pronounced shift in daily livelihood: for sizeable groups, it is their pension that is considered to substitute both status and income once driven from employment. A few data clearly show the significance of this strange trade-off. While the rate of households with at least one member in employment dropped from 59 per cent in 1992 to 44 per cent in 2005, the ratio of households with at least one pensioner has jumped from 43 per cent to 61 per cent (TÁRKI 1992, 2005). The same trend is reflected also in the macro-level data: while the ratio of pensioners under the age of 60 was at the relatively low rate of 12 per cent in 1992, the corresponding figure jumped to 28 per cent by 2005 (Central Statistical Office 1997, 2005). The indicated shifts have had multiple functions. First of all, amidst the conditions of rapidly shrinking employment, social security benefits help to protect against dropping into poverty. Secondly, they assist in reducing the financial risks: regardless of success or failure in business, pensions provide a secure livelihood and a base for free experimentation. Thirdly, pensions help to protect the families’ social status: pensioners are, by definition, fully acknowledged members with full-fledged citizenship, while those on the doll or forced to withdraw to the household lose ties with the community and are considered severely marginalised. This latter implication is perhaps even more important than money: relative loss in income is richly compensated by extended access to the informal market where pensioners still provide an ample source easy to mobilise upon request (Szívós & Tóth 2004). At the same time, it has to be seen that contributions could hardly keep pace with the needs that the shifts imply. Hence, it is the central state that has been urged to create the necessary bridge.1 However, growing transfers undermine the principle of „reward for contribution” and turn competition for central funds a matter of harsh power struggles between the relatively better-off and the poor. All this also means 1 It becomes clear at a closer look at the finances that it is the central state’s budget that backs the indicated mass-movement of the “marketised reinterpretation” of public social security. As compared to the early 1990s when cross-financing from the central budget gave only 6 per cent of the yearly revenue of the pension fund, the respective rate rose to no less than 29 per cent by 2004 (Central Statistical Office 2005). 8 that, despite the initial expectations on separating the state and civil society, the state has still remained an agent of defining the content of social citizenship. The implied notion is bound to participation in the market: it is only those with ties to property and/or employment whose access is open to centrally distributed benefits. The outcome is clearly reflected in data on the pronounced role of centrally distributed public welfare in people’s daily living. While the respective benefits (pensions, family allowance, childcare benefits) gave 44 per cent of the yearly income of households in 1992, their ratio has increased to 49 per cent by 2005. However, the increase is owed exclusively to the claims of the better-off: households in the uppermost segment of the income distribution (in the 10th decile) drew only 11 per cent of their yearly income from the mentioned funds in 1992, while their share climbed to no less than 24 per cent by 2005. This increase in access has taken place clearly to the detriment of the poor (those in the 1st decile): their respective ratios have shown a drastic decline from 54 per cent in 1992 to 41 per cent by 2005. Remarkable shifts in take-up are even more spellingly demonstrated by comparing the actual magnitudes: in 1992, the rich received only 73 per cent of what was transferred through social security (and/or centrally allocated benefits) to the poorest households, while the respective index jumped to 177 per cent (!) by 2005. As a result of the mentioned components, attempts at slimming down the state as yet have concluded in its actual fattening: the portion spent by the central state for financing itself as the designated agent of administering the truly complex process of transformation has been on a constant rise during the past close to two decades (Central Statistical Office 1997, 2004). The inseparability of the state and the market, and together with it, the tight interlocking of the public and private spheres and resources of living seem profoundly ingrained in postcommunist Hungarian society and economy. Despite all the strong motives for full-fledged independence, the majority has serious reasons and deep-rooted interests in maintaining the bond – even though the overall costs have been skyrocketing and have grown to effectively hindering further economic advancement of the country as a whole (Kornai 2005, Central Statistical Office 2004, 2005). There is only one arena where the door still seems to be open for repeated cuts: this is the domain of welfare assistance for the poor. Here the state can rely on a vast political consensus: all its efforts to Hungary’s Bifurcated Welfare State . Szalai apply extra strict rules without concessions are met by massive approval on the side of the majority. for its striking inefficacy than any particular internal characteristics of the scheme as such. Let me discuss briefly how they work in daily reality. When looked at it from such a broader perspective, it is justified to say that the creation of a separate local system exclusively for the poor has powerfully served a number of goals other than actually helping the poor. The primary achievement of Hungary’s decentralised assistance scheme has indeed been to carry out the purposeful transformation of the earlier all-embracing central state redistribution (Central Statistical Office 1997, 2004, 2005). Together with this, the scheme has accomplished a perhaps even more important mission: the canalisation of an important part of the affected social groups into a sealed sub-division of provisions. True, without the great expansion of welfare assistance as a new, dynamic branch of the economy it would have hardly been possible to break up the former oversized system: while “guiding” large strata into the market-regulated field of provisions, it was profoundly needed to “evict” other large groups from the potential use of central funds – and the local schemes reacted on this call with great perfection. The ghetto of poverty with thickening walls As outlined above, the creation of a publicly funded separate sub-system for providing efficient and just welfare exclusively for those in need was an inherent part of the liberal welfare reforms of the 1990s. While the primary goal certainly was to contribute this way to the desired diminution of the state, some further important considerations were also involved. First of all, it was widely believed that poverty would automatically wither away with economic recovery. The arguments were in line with the reigning neoliberal doctrines in policy-making: amidst the conditions of continuous growth and the concomitant expansion of the labour market, poverty would shrink to a residual size with successful economic adjustment, and if at all, it would hit people only temporarily. Secondly, it was also believed that improved targeting and the local schemes built on the community’s consensus would ultimately conclude in generous supports enough to help the poor to overcome their destitute state. Thirdly, by swiftly decentralising a great number of earlier centrally administered schemes and provisions, it was assumed that the key decisions on people’s daily living would arise from insightful knowledge and personal acquaintance and thereby fairness, flexibility, and accuracy would be raised at once. However, history has nullified all these expectations. As amply demonstrated by a number of independently run studies that have repeatedly arrived at the same conclusion, there has not been even the slightest reduction in the degree of poverty and social exclusion has even increased (Ferge 2000, Spéder 2002, Havasi 2002, Szívós & Tóth 2004). Welfare assistance has obviously done little to help the poor. The question therefore arises: what have been the reasons behind? The involved “exchange” not only required the application of financial techniques for regrouping, it also opened the way for important mobility processes. Another important function of the rapidly growing welfare assistance system was that, by calling into being thousands of new offices and tens of thousands of labour market jobs with decent middle-class positions, it created a refuge for many who had been endangered by losing employment amidst economic restructuring (Central Statistical Office 2005). An examination of the local supports in their natural community context reveals further important functions beyond these macro-level roles. After all, the scheme turned out to be instrumental in maintaining social peace and smoothly operating relations in the life of local communities. Firstly, it has provided a The answer can but just partially given by looking solely at the working of the system of local welfare assistance. As to its principles and constituents, the scheme is certainly neither better nor worse in Hungary than similar arrangements are anywhere else (Ferge 2000, Szalai 2007). This said, one can then suggest that it is probably more the implied additional social, economic, and political functions that are responsible 9 Adam Smith Research Foundation . Working Papers Series professional machinery and institutional background enabling the non-poor majority to deal with poverty as a minority problem separated from its own “normal” affairs; secondly, the system has offered efficient means for managing the fluctuation of the local labour markets; thirdly, it has rendered reliable guarantees for the endured supply of the human resources for the least qualified and least desired jobs. In addition, the fragmentation of decentralised means-tested provisions in substitution of the earlier centralised arrangements has successfully hid the real selective functions of the system behind its welcome veil: the potential question of social responsibility for poverty has been almost automatically reduced to the question of improving the level of expertise of a few local welfare workers. It is important to stress that while exercising the economic and political functions listed here – which at first sight appear foreign to the spirit of assistance – the considerations of fairness and neediness mentioned above lose nothing of their significance. Quite the contrary: local welfare providers are not being misleading when constantly affirming that their work is guided primarily by these very considerations. However, by transforming the principles into hundreds of thousands of decisions on particular cases, they are continuously doing a delicate “translation” work in order to justify nothing but selection. In the final analysis, it is thus the legitimisation of the prevailing deep social divides which is assigned to them as their chief role in the broad division of labour. As I show below, this fundamental trait of the assistance scheme is inescapable. In this new order of localised welfare the keyword is distinction, which, at the same time, has its clear indication: as said, it is the level of need. However, in lack of any universal norms for assessment, the new decentralised arrangements make it the discretional right and duty of local welfare providers to establish the criteria with exclusive relevance to the given community. This way acknowledged needs of the poor become dependent on a consent of the non-poor majority whose new authorisation leads, in turn, to the reinvention of the centuries-old idea of deservingness as the most powerful “just” basis for selection. The renewed application of behavioural traits in selecting has led to extraordinary results on the national level: within a decade, local governments have cut back the take-up rates of public assistance by no less than some 65 per cent! (Ferge 2000, Havasi 2002, Szalai 2007). In other words, instead of warranting solidarity 10 and generosity, “deservingness” has generated in practice a strong justification for the majority’s claim to reduce public support for those in need. As recent surveys have unequivocally shown, only a relatively narrow circle of the needy can be sure that once they have been accepted they can count on unconditional support. But the majority of the poor who apply for assistance do not belong in this group. The local office workers – like the widest circles of public opinion standing behind them – share the already outlined strong view that the poor have their lot in their situation and they can certainly be expected to make at least some attempts to get out of it. On the basis of such a widely held conviction nobody would then question the rightfulness and indeed the necessity of taking into account the degree of the applicant’s “faults”, “errors”, “failures” and “irresponsibility” in judging applications for welfare assistance to be given from “the taxpayers’ money”. The errors, shortcomings, and irresponsibility that can be listed when making decisions come in many different forms, but the most serious case of “own fault” is the lack of “proper” employment, which is understood as a “failed” attitude to work – for people can always do work of some kind if they really want to. A vast body of literature produced to refute such views has still not managed to topple this dogma. It is perhaps unnecessary to argue at length that the main force that keeps it alive is its clear ethnic/racial content, giving the local communities a handy confirmation for the conflict that causes the most tension in their everyday lives: the feelings of the non-Roma majority who suffered relative losses or at least have lived in a state of constant insecurity amidst the lengthy process of economic transformation, towards the Roma minority living in extreme and lasting poverty. Furthermore, the implied ethnic/racial differentiation entails some beneficent outcome also in the economic sense: it helps to keep claims for local assistance within limits. After all, amidst the arising competition and, in fact, heated rivalry between the Roma and non-Roma groups among the “truly” needy, it is always the “others” whom to blame for “eating up” the scarce local funds and for lowering the actually delivered sums while winding up the rates of refusal. Of course, in demanding that the cases of “own fault” be carefully screened out, no one states (openly) any ethnic/racial implications. But even so, everyone clearly understands them. And the practice of welfare assistance converts this widely inferred thought into money, while at the same time, it also transforms the personified struggles of openly racialised pre-selection Hungary’s Bifurcated Welfare State . Szalai into the rule-governed cooperation of local welfare providers and their clients under the guidance of covertly racialised mechanisms of distribution. Empirical findings show that, regardless of their personal attitudes, the staff of the local welfare offices simply have no means at their disposal to properly react on the present labour market position of those many applicants – for the most part Roma – who were thrown out of regular employment 10–15 years ago, and since then at the most have been able to find casual, unregistered black work. From their viewpoint, this labour market situation does not exist. In response, they either try to force the clients into “proper” jobs and thus regard their official task as being principally the prosecution of crime; or they acknowledge the reality and become silent accomplices with the “cheating” clients, in which case they risk their own positions. Either way, continuous conflict is unavoidable. It is this that gives the dynamics of one of the main roles of decentralised welfare in today’s Hungary: meeting the local demand for the worst jobs and providing an outlet for labour market fluctuations. Survey data show that Roma – and the very poorest non-Roma sharing a similar fate – came to see this long ago. It was the pressure of a number of daily facts that taught them. The first among them is the extreme segmentation of the Hungarian labour market dating back to the very origins of the post-1990 economic transformation. As a result of the gradually intensifying segmentation, the poorest strata of workers (with a heavy overrepresentation of Roma among them) are now almost entirely excluded from any access to proper jobs (Kertesi 2005). The second set of lessons that the poor – especially the Roma poor – had to draw that marketisation from below led to an unprecedented competition among those inside employment to capitalise on all the good jobs that today arise from the old informal production. In this process of marketisation from below, access to work is still at the most only partly regulated by demand and supply, and is largely a question of trust and connections where the former relations of mutual favours play the main role in distribution (Kertesi 2005). The poor generally did not have and still do not have anything to offer in exchange and so the well-paid contracts, commissioned work, consulting projects, etc. remain beyond their reach. And even if they have the necessary training and experience they have little hope of being the ones to learn in time about any opportunities that exist. The cultural arguments that owe the lack of employment to “bad” socialisation and the subsequent “faulty” attitudes to work have to be considered against the brutal facts of sharp segmentation and dramatic exclusion that are further accentuated by a set of ethnic/racial implications. Under such circumstances it is taken for granted that if on rare occasions the possibility for even the worst kind of paid work arises, it is a must for the poor to accept it without hesitation or bargaining. These and similar facts should make it clear that whether the poor have their hands full with work or not does not depend on their attitude. It is the reality though that their efforts remain largely invisible: to themselves because of the very small payment they receive for the extreme exploitation, and to the outside world because no written contract was made to set its terms, no records were taken of its details, and further, because neither them, nor the employees paid any taxes or social security contributions on it. On top of the involved obvious defencelessness it is a most tragic irony that such a traceless existence is in the own best interest of the poor themselves. The situation is clear: if they do not have even a chance of a proper occupation, then they should at least be allowed a livelihood; and for this they have to apply for welfare assistance which the office would refuse to give them if it knew about their “illegal” incomes from work. At the same time, these incomes from work are so little that they make no real difference even to the lives of the poorest of the poor. Amid the indicated conditions, welfare assistance is quite literally needed to mere survival – obtaining it is of vital importance. And in the same way it is a vital question that the sharp-eyed welfare providers should be reassured: the concealment of the casual work that now and then turns up is in the common interest of the office and the client. These common interests then guarantee two things. On the one hand, they secure that unregistered employment enshrouded by the working of local welfare assistance continues to flourish unchanged 11 Adam Smith Research Foundation . Working Papers Series and as needed; on the other hand they powerfully safeguard that the bargain to be struck between the provider and the client remains a matter of internal struggles between the rather defenceless office workers in service of the public will and the extremely defenceless poor – above all: Roma poor – in service of demonstrating general “justice” and wise economising with the public funds (Szalai 2007). In this way the ghetto is constructed out of common interests. All that remains is to safeguard its walls so that social peace can be maintained and the majority can accomplish its huge national tasks of modernisation while enjoying the gifts of democracy which – for the (unlimited) time being – implies only their full citizenship. The persistent “cultural arguments” about explaining poverty along the lines of deservingness with its ethnic/racial implications are of utmost importance here: without their powerful justification, participation in the market would fail to legitimise the coexistence of two sub-systems in a hierarchical order with the underlying two distinctive concepts of citizenship. Conclusion: the emergence of a bifurcated welfare state In this paper, I attempted to describe the complexity of macro- and micro-level interests that inform the ongoing social struggles around the role of the postcommunist welfare state and its responsibilities toward the citizenry. I argued that the involved conflicts cannot be understood without due consideration of the legacy of the former state-socialist order that has greatly influenced the process of restructuring welfare according to the often contravening goals of economic and political transformation. While a qualitative change of the planned economy toward a market-regulated one invoked speedy decomposition of the inherited institutional structure, democratisation implied an universalisation of civil control above it. The initial idea was a sequencing of the two huge historical tasks. It was expected that swift conversion of the propertyrelations would give rise to a private market and an independent bourgeoisie as twinned foundations of advancement toward an automatic expansion of civil control above the state. Further, much in line with the evolvement of the post-war Western welfare states, growing civil control over the state would bring about the universalisation of democratic citizenship rooted in undivided civil, political, and social rights. In other words, marketisation was thought to facilitate economic adjustment and democratic rule with one 12 and the same momentum – hence, decomposition of the inherited state structures through privatisation was seen as an unmistakable first step toward genuine systemic change. However, such reasoning has been falsified by the history of the past two decades of postcommunist transformation. Under the pressure of the preceding lasting economic crisis of the 1980s that had manifested itself in extraordinary external and internal indebtedness of the state, swift privatisation at all costs was seen as the only way to recovery. Amid the given conditions, the conversion of the run-down stock of the planned economy logically led to unconditional opening of the domestic market that has induced, in turn, the speedy inflow of the most efficient global capital. However, unrestricted opening of the economy concluded in an unexpected devaluation of its marketable value: in competition with cheap labour of the developing world, no less than 40 per cent of the jobs available around 1990 have been lost, while only 8 per cent have been replaced ever since. Amid these circumstances, the once designed welfare provisions to assist forced employment under the guidance of the state-socialist project had to be quickly re-tailored upon its collapse to calm down sharp competition on the labour market and to simultaneously keep vast groups in the insecure informal economy. Most importantly, successful implementation of the transformation project assumed remarkable reduction of the earlier excessive power of the central state. However, forceful downsizing quickly turned into the actual desertion of it. Elimination of the all-embracing programmes of the old regime concluded into a lasting vacuum situation which led, in turn, to the rapid increase in the number of people without any forms of social protection. Hence, beyond steep rise in the rate of poverty, the withering away of the central schemes significantly contributed to the speedy social exclusion of the weakest groups once in full service of “socialist production” and direct dependence from the provisions of the then ruling communist party-state behind. But the process had some further consequences, too. As demonstrated above, the drastic retrenchment of the centrally distributed resources induced heated social struggles: the freshly freed central funds quickly became absorbed by privatisation and economic adaptation from below. At the same time, the decentralised municipal welfare programmes proved incapable of keeping pace with the unstoppable increase in the number of applicants: the poor Hungary’s Bifurcated Welfare State . Szalai struggling for mere livelihood and the impoverished groups of the middle class seeking compensation unequivocally identified the new local assistance schemes as their only remaining option. The evolving cruel competition between the two groups has contributed to the sharpening of those deep socioeconomic divides by class and race/ethnicity that had arisen as sorrowing but “inevitable” concomitants of economic restructuring. By the turn of the millennium, the indicated processes concluded in the evolvement of a bifurcated welfare system with hermetically separated structures of services for the well-integrated and the marginalised groups of society, respectively. With the country’s successful economic recovery all the contributionbased services and benefit schemes have produced remarkable rise in standards and coverage for those successfully involved in Hungary’s already dominant market economy. At the same time, it is the highly segregationist world of local welfare assistance that is meant to deal with the respective needs of the poor: the longer the period of their poverty, the thicker grow the walls that lock them into the secondary arrangements designed “for them alone”. It is worth noting that such a dualism of social rights represents a departure from Marshall’s ideas on social citizenship in two important ways. First, it is only the first set of rights that are driven from a social dialogue between actors on the market and the state: the principle of “reward according to contribution” seems to be a powerful extension of the notion of contract in business, and also harmonises with people’s attempts to preserve and redefine their social status amidst the new conditions. However, the fundamental principle of “neediness” represents deprivation from the capacity of entering any negotiations and contracting and thus is forced by the rule of administrative power. Secondly, while Marshall described gradualism as an ongoing process toward universalisation of formerly restricted rights, nothing similar has occurred in postcommunist Hungary. Universalism has been conceived of as a misconstrued concept of enforcement under statesocialism, hence, a clear decomposition of the concept was seen as a major task of postcommunist welfare policy. In other words, selectivity and separation became leading goals of the reforms, and attempts at maintaining universalism have been considered as remnants of an ill-working past.2 Such a bifurcated system manifests also long-term departures from the envisioned West-European path of social development. Deeply ingrained into the inherited structure of late socialism, the rising of a new domestic bourgeoisie is conditioned by maintaining strong bonds to the provisions of the state. This is clearly reflected by the still prevailing dominant form of living based on two pillars: one in private and semi-private business, and another in acquisition of state-resources through welfare distribution to keep the former running. Though the combination might be familiar from the state-socialist past, the function of the two pillars has been reordered by the new rules of the market. Given the conditions of steadily shrinking employment amidst the working of privatised market, it is entitlements for welfare provisions ruled by anticipated “contribution” that are mobilised in substitution for vanishing labour force participation. In addition, largely fluctuating small entrepreneurship is meant to assist material advancement – though without any motivations for breaking the mentioned bonds with the state (Laki 1998, Laky 2004). Put it differently, endured economic dependence from the state is seen as a precondition to civil independence: widespread conversion of the welfare funds into private business is perceived as legitimate to gradually accomplish the still unfinished embourgeoisement– process, and claims for the maintenance of state provisions are articulated according to the historical arguments of all-societal restoration (Szalai 2007). However, such a state of affairs resembles earlier socio-political patterns of “catching up” where modernisation was meant only in its most restricted economic terms, and hence it embraced only those segments of society that had been well integrated into work strongly against a dialogue that should inform the shaping of the political and legal institutions and should safeguard their filling with multicultural contents. Instead, the current trends point to the opposite direction: they indicate that ethnic/racial discrimination – both, institutional and personal – have grown to set the stage for the conflictuous daily reality of multi-ethnic cohabitation. 2 It goes without saying that the described turn away from universalism does not favour multiculturalism either. After all, rapid territorial segregation, the rise of the welfare ghettos, and the lack of parliamentary representation of the Roma minority 13 Adam Smith Research Foundation . Working Papers Series the mainstream market relations. The involved danger is easy to identify: yet again, modernisation becomes an active agent in weakening social cohesion with severe consequences also on the inadequate working of the country’s democratic political institutions. Furthermore, massive struggles for maintaining the fusion of the state and the market conclude in crowding out the poor. The construction of a system sealed in decentralised schemes of means-tested assistance of the local communities in an exchange for powerfully keeping them away from the domain of guaranteed central provisions has to be seen as the institutionalisation of second-order citizenship. However, in a country with a democratic constitution and declared citizens’ rights the involved differentiation cannot be made in an open way. But if put in “cultural” terms, it immediately gives reason for an important democratic principle: after all, citizenship is nothing but a contract between society and the individual to meet certain obligations in return for certain rights. Those who cannot meet the former should not expect society to provide the latter. In this vein, the earlier outlined considerations on the usefulness of a separated sub-system of provisions for the needy are completed and, at the same time, justified by the notion of “cultural otherness”. However, as shown, their bondage becomes the foundation of structural disintegration. After all, the coupled principles of unlimited competition on the market and expulsion on the grounds of individual failure keep alive as a rightful institutional separation of an utterly closed world – a ghetto proper – for those whom the concepts imply: Hungary’s dramatically marginalised long-term poor and, above all, the Roma among them. In lack of multicultural political arrangements, their culturally imbued secondary citizenship becomes a base for clear subordination on ethnic grounds. In sum, the coexistent two sub-systems of welfare – the rather generous public financing of the market and the running of the impoverished quarters of public provisions for those outside of it – reflect and reproduce the outlined strange social contract in steadfast advancement toward a social structure divided along ever sharper fault-lines with ever more pronounced institutional separation along a hierarchical order of citizenship. Such structural developments are in the background of the gradual weakening of the new democratic institutions coupled with the spreading of anti-Western and anti-market populist claims. Whether the new-old rhetoric for demanding a “strong and protective nation-state” with authoritative power will receive resonance among 14 those who identify themselves as the ultimate and terminate losers of postcommunist transformation is a matter of great concern for all future reforms in welfare and beyond: for the actual longer-term shaping of state-citizen relations. References Báger, G. & Kovács, Á. (2004) A magyarországi privatizáció néhány tanulsága. [Some lessons of privatisation in Hungary], in: Báger,G. and Kovács, Á. (eds): A privatizáció Magyarországon I., [Privatisation in Hungary, Vol. 1], Budapest: ÁSz FEMI. Central Statistical Office (1997) Magyar Statisztikai Évkönyv 1996 [Hungarian Statistical Yearbook, 1996], Budapest: CSO. Central Statistical Office (2004) Magyar Statisztikai Évkönyv 2003 [Hungarian Statistical Yearbook, 2003], Budapest: CSO. 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(1997) ‘The Folly of Social Safety Nets: Why Basic Income Is Needed in Eastern Europe’, Social Research, Vol. 64, No.4, pp. 1339-1381. Szalai, J. (1991) Hungary: Exit from the state economy, in: Kohli, M. et al. (eds.), Time for retirement. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp. 324-362. Szalai, J. (2007) Nincs két ország…? [Is it still one nation…?], Budapest: Osiris. Hungary’s Bifurcated Welfare State . Szalai Szelényi, I. (1988) Socialist Entrepreneurs. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press, Madison. Szívós, P. & Tóth, I.Gy. (eds.) (2004) Stabilizálódó társadalomszerkezet. [Stabilising social structure], Budapest: TÁRKI. TÁRKI (1992-2005) Household Panel and Monitor Surveys, Budapest: TÁRKI. Vági, G. (1991) Magunk, uraim: Település, tanács, önkormányzat [It’s us, sirs: settlements, local councils, local governments], Budapest:Gondolat. Voszka, É. (2003) Versenyteremtés – alkuval [Competition in the making – through bargains], Budapest: Akadémiai. 15 Adam Smith Research Foundation College of Social Sciences University of Glasgow 66 Oakfield Avenue Glasgow G12 8LS Tel: +44 (0)141 330 7656 / 3494 email: [email protected] www.glasgow.ac.uk/asrf © University of Glasgow 2013 The University of Glasgow, charity number SC004401
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