Public Perceptions of the Ethics of Canada’s Political Leaders October 15, 2015 Introduction The objectives of this study were to understand: • Canadians’ level of trust in their federal party leaders; • Whether Canadians think that political processes inevitably lead to corruption and unethical behaviour; • Which unethical behaviours Canadians believe to be most relevant to whether a politician is fit for office; • Whether perceptions of unethical behaviour on the part of political leaders has affected Canadians’ voting habits; • How Canadians think unethical behaviour should be ‘policed.’ 1 Methodology • This survey was a stand-alone module within a larger survey conducted by the Local Parliament Project (LPP). • The survey was aimed at the Canadian general population, stratified on province and balanced on gender and age. We aimed for 50% men and 50% women. We aimed to have 28% of our respondents aged 18-34, 27% aged 35-49 and 46% aged 50 and higher. Our provincial targets follow the relative demographic weights of the provinces. • Sampling for this module occurred between September 14th and October 6, 2015. • The final sample for this module contains 1513 respondents. Quantities are representative of Englishspeaking Canadian citizens over the age of 18, with a credibility interval of 2.52 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. • The questions in thus survey module replicate many of the questions asked in our previous survey, "Public Perceptions of the Ethics of Political Leadership," Nov. 5, 2014. • Thanks and Acknowledgements: The survey sampling, programming, and weighting were performed by Daniel Rubenson, Ryerson University and Peter Loewen, University of Toronto. Rubenson and Loewen are co-Investigators on the LPP. Benjamin Allen Stevens provided research assistance with data cleaning and analysis. 2 Satisfaction: Specific Political Leaders Howsa'sfiedareyouwiththeethicalbehaviourofthefollowingindividuals? LeaderoftheFederalGreenParty,ElizabethMay 17% LeaderoftheFederalNDP,TomMulcair 16% 26% 27% 33% 30% 28% 23% (1-3)NotSaCsfied LeaderoftheFederalLiberalParty,JusCnTrudeau 16% 29% 36% (4-6)ModeratelySaCsfied 19% (7-9)SaCsfied Don'tKnow PrimeMinisterandleaderoftheFederalConservaCveParty,StephenHarper 38% YourlocalMemberofParliament 13% 0% 10% 24% 26% 20% 30% 22% 30% 40% 50% 60% 15% 31% 70% 80% 90% 100% 3 Statements About Ethics Doyouagreeordisagreewiththefollowingstatements? 10% Poli9csbyitsverynatureisadirtygame,sounethicalbehaviourisinevitable. Thepressuretomakebigpromisesduringacampaigncontributestounethicalbehaviour. 4% 24% 12% 7% 16% 43% 32% Onlyunethicalpeoplegointopoli9cs. Poli9cshasatendencytocorruptotherwisehonestpeople. 38% 29% 37% 18% 11% 12% 15% 44% 5% 19% 11% Completelydisagree 12% SomewhatDisagree SomewhatAgree Apoli9cianwhoisdishonestinhisorherpersonallifecannotbetrustedintheirprofessional 3% 8% role. 30% 48% 10% CompletelyAgree Don'tKnow Mostpoli9cianstrytheirbesttodowhatisinthepublicinterest. 8% 24% 14% Most"poli9calscandals"aremadeupbyopposingpar9estryingtoscorepoli9calpoints. Themediamakespoli9ciansseemmorecorruptthantheyare. 10% 0% 46% 29% 33% 27% 10% 20% 11% 11% 37% 30% 40% 50% 14% 60% 70% 80% 10% 12% 12% 90% 100% 4 Ethics and Personal Behaviour Howrelevantarethefollowingtowhetherornotapoli1cianshouldbeconsideredfitforoffice? GeKngchargedwithacriminaloffencewhileinoffice 3% 11% 78% 7% Apastfraudconvic7on 3% 11% 78% 7% Apastconvic7onfordomes7cabuse 6% Apastconvic7onfordrunkdriving 15% 72% 15% 8% 30% 48% (1-3)NotRelevant 8% (4-6)ModeratelyRelevant Addic7onissues 9% 23% 60% (7-9)Relevant 8% Don'tKnow Owingoutstandingtaxes 7% Failingtopaychildsupport 8% 19% 67% 20% Maritalinfideli7es 64% 29% 0% 10% 8% 8% 31% 20% 30% 40% 31% 50% 60% 70% 9% 80% 90% 100% 5 Voting Behaviour Howmuchdoyouagreeordisagreewiththefollowingstatements? WhenIbelieveapoli?cianorpoli?calpartyhasactedunethically,Iwillvote foranotherpartyeveniftheydon’tbestrepresentmyvalues. 10% 22% 36% 15% 17% StronglyDisagree SomewhatDisagree Poli?calcorrup?oninCanadahasledmetostopvo?ng. 52% 19% 14% 4% 10% SomewhatAgree StronglyAgree Don'tKnow Ialwaysvoteforthesameparty. 27% 0% 10% 32% 20% 30% 40% 23% 50% 60% 70% 8% 80% 11% 90% 100% 6 ‘Policing’ Ethical Behaviour Howmuchresponsibilityshouldeachofthefollowingactorshavewhenit comestomonitoringandenforcingpoli8calethicsinCanada? Ac9vistgroups 27% 14% Whistleblowers Themedia Votersatelec9on9me 36% 21% 34% 17% 37% 34% 5% 15% 16% 36% 19% 13% 62% (1-3)NotResponsible 13% (4-6)ModeratelyResponsible Thepolice 11% 31% 45% (7-9)Responsible 13% Don'tKnow AuditorsGeneral 5% Anindependentethicscommissioner 5% Theleadersofpoli9calpar9es 6% 0% 20% 17% 59% 16% 63% 15% 18% 10% 64% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 13% 70% 80% 90% 100% 7 Key Findings • Just 1/3 of Canadians say that they are “satisfied” with the ethical behaviour of the leaders of our federal political parties. • Canadians reject the idea that only unethical people go into politics; instead, they lay blame on pressure to make campaign promises, and believe that politics has a tendency to corrupt otherwise honest people. • Most Canadians believe that a person who is dishonest in his or her personal life cannot be trusted in their professional role. • Perceptions of ethics matter to how Canadians vote: in the face of perceived corruption, some Canadians vote for a different party, while others claim to avoid voting altogether. • Canadians believe that responsibility for ‘policing’ ethical behaviour in politics rests with party leaders and with voters at election time. x Thank you For more information contact: Prof. Chris MacDonald, Director, Ted Rogers Leadership Centre Ryerson University [email protected] 416-979-5000 x6903
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