The interplay of service experience and online consumer ratings Romain CADARIO IESEG School of Management [email protected] Jonas HOLMQVIST KEDGE Business School [email protected] Abstract In this article, we examine the effects of service experience on both antecedents and consequences of online consumer ratings (OCR). Focusing on perceptions after the actual service, our framework is grounded in the expectation-disconfirmation theory, in which we distinguish two concepts: the valence of situational service experience (i.e., the positive/negative experience with a given service) and the level of accumulated service experience (i.e., knowledge from past experiences). In study 1, we analyze data from Yelp.com to show that the effects of positive and negative situational experience on OCR are exacerbated (weakened) when the level of accumulated experience is low (high). Study 2, consisting of a controlled experiment on services experiences, confirm the findings of Study 1 by finding that the effect of OCR on repurchase intentions is stronger when the valence (level) of service experience is negative (low) rather than positive (high). Key-words Online consumer ratings, service experience, valence, hotel booking. The interplay of service experience and online consumer ratings Introduction In the last years, the development of online consumer ratings (OCRs) has radically changed customer access to word-of-mouth, as consumers now can access reviews of thousands of other customers as sites such as Amazon.com, TripAdvisor.com or Hotels.com. As the opinions of other customers have a very high credibility when consumers form their expectations about services (Grönroos, 2007, building on Duncan and Moriarty, 1997), the rapid development and extensive availability of other customers’ online ratings have direct consequences for consumers' expectations and perceptions of services. Electronic word-of-mouth (eWOM) has become one of the most trusted sources of recommendations: 70% of consumers say that they trust online recommendations from virtual strangers (Nielsen, 2009). Although the service experience might play a fundamental role in service perceptions after the actual encounter (see Grönroos and Voima 2013), the extant literature pays little attention to the interplay of service experience and online consumer ratings. The service experience is the most important antecedent of online ratings; a customer who has a positive (negative) experience will leave a good (bad) online rating. However, two consumers who share the exact same service experience may leave different ratings. In this paper, we argue that the level of accumulated service experience plays an important direct and moderating role. The literature on the interplay between OCR and the level of service experience is scarce with the exception of Sridhar and Srinisavan (2012) who examined the effects of the level of service experience, measured as the number of previews reviews, but failed to find any significant direct or moderating effects. We believe that this result may be an artifact of data collection, due to independent booking website in which the average number of previous reviews and the standard deviation were quite low (1.9 and 3.8) and may not reflect the actual variability in the actual levels of accumulated service experience. The extant literature largely studies the direct impact of online consumer ratings on value and loyalty (Gruen et al., 2005), persuasiveness (Zhang et al., 2010), evaluations (Kim & Gupta, 2012) and sales (Chevalier & Mayzlin, 2006; Yang & Mai, 2010). Moreover, prior literature has investigated the boundary conditions associated with the effects of OCRs. Studies have shown the existence of various moderating factors such as popularity (Zhu & Zhang, 2010), search vs. experience (Park & Lee, 2009), life cycle (Liu, 2006; Cadario, 2014), emotional expressions (Kim & Gupta, 2012), consumption goals (Zhang et al., 2010) or even installed base (Yang & Mai, 2010). However, the literature is still limited in terms of service experience, with the exception of Zhu and Zhang (2010) who studied the related - yet different - concept of Internet experience. The authors found that the impact of OCR on sales is stronger when targeting consumers with greater Internet experience. Hence, one might expect a similar result such that the effect of COR on purchase decision is stronger with a greater level of accumulated service experience. However, we actually posit and find the opposite effect, that is, the effect of OCR on purchase decisions is stronger for consumers with a low level of service experience. We examine the effects of service experience on both online ratings (study 1) and repurchase intentions (study 2). Our theoretical contributions are two-fold. First, we conceptually distinguish two concepts: the valence of situational service experience and the level of accumulated service experience from past experiences. Second, given the mixed results and gaps in the literature, we provide a comprehensive two- stage theoretical framework, in which we examine the effects of service experience on the antecedents (stage 1) and the consequences (stage 2) of OCR. More precisely, we find in study 1 that the effects of positive and negative situational experience on OCR are exacerbated (weakened) when the level of accumulated experience is low (high). Finally, we consistently find in study 2 that the effect of OCR on repurchase intentions is stronger when the valence of service experience is negative rather than positive. Theoretical background Consumers continue to evaluate the service after the actual interaction (Grönroos and Voima 2013) and our conceptual framework is rooted within the expectationdisconfirmation framework (Oliver, 1980) to acknowledge this situation, which Grönroos and Voima (2013) term the ‘customer sphere’. Building on this situation, we view satisfaction as a function of expectations and expectancy disconfirmation. In other words, evaluations after the service interaction depend on the actual service experience exceeding or equaling the expected service (Grönroos, 1984). Hence, we believe that the interplay of service experience and online consumer ratings depends on consumer expectations. In the next sections, we present our focal concepts of service experience and online consumer ratings, before building hypotheses through the lenses of consumer expectations. This leads to a two-stage comprehensive framework about the effects of service experience on the antecedents (stage 1) and consequences (stage 2) of OCR. Service experience Consistent with prior literature on OCRs (Zhu and Zhang, 2010; Zhang et al., 2010; Yang and Li, 2010), we focus on services, and the case of hotels. Services are difficult to evaluate before consumption (cf. Parasuraman et al., 1985) and understanding how consumers perceive value in service experiences is challenge for managers (Helkkula, Kelleher and Pihlström 2012; Holmqvist, Guest and Grönroos 2015). The intangible nature of services can increase the difficulty of evaluating the service before consumption (Crosby et al., 1990; Laroche et al., 2004), which in turn can have a negative influence on customers (Conchar et al., 2004; Grewal et al., 1994). To avoid this kind of negative influence, the front line service personnel needs to interact with customers in a way that renders the service interaction enjoyable (Bitner, Booms and Mohr 1994; Gwinner et al. 2005). We distinguish two concepts of service experience. First, the valence of situational service experience may be defined as the positive, negative or mixed feeling that a consumer may experience after the consumption of a given service. Second, the level of accumulated service experience is a concept close to domain-specific form of consumer familiarity, or purchase-frequency. More precisely, it may be defined as the number of purchase-related service experiences. Antecedents and consequences of online ratings Whereas eWOM involves informal electronic communications among consumers (Liu, 2006), OCRs may be defined as a specific form of eWOM that consists of (a) a personal communication, (b) in the form of a qualitative comment and/or a quantitative rating, (c) from an online rating system. Although the textual reviews are usually not mandatory, online rating systems systematically include both individual and aggregated quantitative reviews. In this research, we focus mainly on the ratings rather than the number of reviews, although we control for the number reviews in our design and analyses when necessary. Moreover, we use textual reviews as a way to measure the valence of service experience. We develop a two-stage conceptual framework. In the first stage, we focus on the antecedents of OCR, examining the effect of a consumer’s service experience on the subsequent online rating, and the moderating role of the consumer’s level of service experience. In the second stage, we examine the impact of service experience on the consequences of OCR. Hence, we examine the effects of other consumers’ online ratings (i.e. the average rating from previous reviews) on subsequent purchase decisions, and the moderating roles of the valence and the level of service experience. Figure 1 presents an overview of our conceptual framework and the hypotheses that we further develop in the next two sections. [Insert Figure 1 about here] Stage 1: The effects of service experience on the antecedents of reviewer’s OPR First, although we do not develop specific hypotheses for previously established results, we expect that positive valence of service experience positively influences the reviewer’s rating (Mano and Olivier, 1993; Boulding et al. 1993; Anderson et al., 1994; Sridhar and Srinisavan, 2012). Similarly, we expect that other consumers’ ratings will influence the influence the reviewer’s rating. Second, the consumer’s level of service experience may have a direct effect on the rating. In fact, previous research has shown that satisfaction is relative to the difference between the consumer’s expectations and the actual experience. Zeithaml et al. (1993) suggest that past experience is an antecedent of consumer expectations of service such that higher levels of experience lead to higher expectations. In turn, experienced consumers with higher expectations will be more likely to leave more negative ratings. Hence, we posit: H1: The level of accumulated experience has a negative influence on the reviewer’s online rating Third, if the valence of service experience influences the reviewer’s rating, two consumers who shared the exact same experience may leave different online reviews. Our hypothesis suggests that this positive or negative effect will be stronger when the level of service experience is low rather than high. In other words, compared to experienced consumers, unexperienced consumers will leave a relatively higher rating after a positive experience, but they will leave a relatively lower rating after a negative experience. This hypothesis may be explained through a difference in expectations. Experienced consumers such as recurrent hotel guests have clear and concrete expectations, they know what a good or bad service is like. They have high expectations for good services and low expectations for bad services. Unexperienced users, on the other hand, have no specific expectations since they do not yet differentiate good and bad services. Thus, experienced consumers may not be surprised by a positive (vs. negative) experience, which just meets or slightly exceed (vs. fall behind) their concrete expectations. However, unexperienced consumers may be surprised by a positive (vs. negative), which considerably exceed (vs. fall behind) their vague expectations. In turn, when the service experience is positive (vs. negative), unexperienced consumers will leave a relatively higher (vs. lower) rating than experienced consumers. Finally, we posit the following: H2: The effect of the valence of service experience on the reviewer’s rating is stronger when the level of experience is low rather than high Stage 2: Effects of service experience on consequences of other consumers’ OPR As the perceived service quality depends on the actual service experience exceeding or equaling the expected service (cf. Grönroos 1984), we further posit that the impact of OCRs on the decision to engage a second time is higher when the service experience is negative. If the service experience is positive, the customer is likely to perceive added value and thus more likely to return regardless of what online reviewers had said. In the case of a negative service experience, however, a highly positive OCR could still indicate that the service usually is better than the one the customer experiences, thus making the customer more likely to give the service provider a second change even after a negative service experience. We thus hypothesize: H3: The effect of OCR on repurchase intentions is stronger when the valence of service experience is negative rather than positive. Similarly, we expect that the level of service experience moderates the relationship between OCR and purchase decision in the same direction – controlling for the valence of service experience. Zhu and Zhang (2010) showed that the effect of OCR on sales is stronger when targeting consumers with greater Internet experience. This result occurs because greater Internet experience supposedly reduces search costs and enables convenient comparison between alternatives. On the contrary, we expect that the effect of OCR on repurchase intentions is stronger for consumers with a low level of accumulated service experience. By definition, unexperienced consumers have no clear idea about what makes a good or a bad service. Hence, their purchase decision may be more influenced by OCR compared to experienced consumers. H4: The effect of OCR on repurchase intentions is stronger when the level of service experience is low rather than high Study 1 Previous literature has established that the valence of service experience is the main antecedent of OCR. However, little is known about the potentially moderating effect of the level of accumulated service experience on this relationship. The aim of study 1 is to demonstrate that the effects of positive and negative situational experience on reviewer’s online ratings are exacerbated (weakened) when the level of accumulated experience is low (high). Method We collected data on the website yelp.com using a web scrapping algorithm developed by the authors on Python. We selected 4 large American cities (San Francisco, Boston, Chicago and Seattle) in which we randomly selected 50 hotels out of the 100 first hotels that appeared on the search engine when specifying no search options. For each hotel, we collected up to 40 most recent reviews posted on the website, or less if the total number of reviews for the hotel was lower than 40 (this situation happened for 22 hotels in our sample, that is 11%). The average number of observations per hotel is 38.7 (min=12, max=40), with a total sample of 7739 reviews for 200 hotels in 4 cities. We collected several focal and control variables, as presented in Table 1 (See Appendices A and B for descriptive statistics and correlations). First, the reviewer’s rating on a 5-point scale is our dependent variable. Second, the valence of service experience was measured according to the textual comments attached to the review. We performed a sentiment analysis using a naïve Bayesian classifier on R1. Trained on Wilson et al. (2005)’s subjectivity lexicon, the classifier computes the likelihood that the review expresses a positive and a negative service experience based on word occurrences. Third, the reviewer’s number of previous reviews posted on Yelp was used as a proxy for the level of accumulated service experience. Note that we cannot track if those previous reviews were for hotels of for other services. However, we can easily suppose that the percentage of hotel vs. other reviews is stable across reviewers. Hence, the number of previous reviews still appear as a good proxy for the level of service experience. We also collected control variables at the reviewer level, such as (a) sociability measured with the number of friends on Yelp, (b) the fact that the reviewer lives in the city from which he reviewed the hotel and (c) reviewer’s gender. Since Yelp only displays the name of the reviewer, we use a gender prediction classifier based on the US Social Security Administration, which is said to be about 82% accurate2. Last, we control for variables at the hotel level, such as the average rating for the hotel, the total number of reviews for the hotel, as well as the price category. [Insert Table 1 about here] Empirical model Consistent with the structure of our data, we use a hierarchical linear model with three levels: city (level 3), hotel (level 2) and the reviewer (level 1). Using a variance component model, we are able to estimate the variability in ratings accounted for by each of the three hierarchical levels. The model can be written as: 𝑅𝐴𝑇𝐼𝑁𝐺𝑖𝑗𝑘 = 𝛽0 + ∑ 𝛽𝑛 𝑋𝑛𝑖𝑗𝑘 + 𝑢𝑖 + 𝑣𝑖𝑗 + 𝑒𝑖𝑗𝑘 𝑛 where RATINGijk is the dependent variable for review k, about hotel j in city i. First, the fixed part of the model includes the n independent variables Xn. Second, the random part of the model includes a city specific effect (ui) as well as a hotel specific effect (vij), while eijk represents the reviewer level residual error. ui, vij, and eijk are assumed independent of one another and normally distributed with zero means and constant variances. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) measures the relatedness of the reviewers within a group, such as a city or hotel. It is the ratio of the variance component due to cities or hotels to the total variance for individual reviewers. In model HLM1, the ICC for the reviewers within hotels is .167, so 16.7% of the variance may be attributed to hotel traits. As the ICC shows a fair amount of variation across hotels, model HLM2 adds three hotel-level variables, and greatly improves the estimation, such that the ICC drops to .024. [Insert Table 2 about here] Results The estimation results are displayed in Table 2. Models HLM1 and HLM2 allow us to verify the appropriateness of the HLM estimation technique given the structure of our data. Model HLM3 allows the estimation of direct effects for the focal variables, and HLM4 allows the estimation of the hypothesized interactions. First, consistent with previous literature, other’s consumers’ ratings, measured as the average hotel rating, have a strong influence on reviewer’s ratings (HLM3: = 1 2 Timothy Jurka’s “sentiment” package: http://cran.r-project.org/src/contrib/Archive/sentiment/ Stephen Holiday’s “genderPredictor” code: https://github.com/sholiday/genderPredictor .67, t = 22.14, p < .01). Moreover, the positive (HLM3: = .01, t = 34.96, p < .01) and negative (HLM3: = -.01, t = -26.90, p < .01) valence of service experience are also important drivers of reviewer’s ratings, with the greater t-values. However, while reviewing experience significantly impacts future ratings (HLM3: = .01, t = 3.49, p < .05), this link is positive in contradiction with the negative hypothesized effect. H1 is not validated. Second, we find that reviewing experience moderates the strong effect of positive (HLM4: = -.01, t = -8.39, p < .01) and negative (HLM4: = .01, t = 8.91, p < .01) service experience on reviewer’s ratings. Hence, the effects of positive and negative experience are exacerbated when reviewing experience is low, and weakened when reviewing experience is high. H2 is supported. Study 2 Previous literature has established the strong consequential effects of previous customers’ online ratings on potential customers’ purchase decisions. However, little is known about the potentially moderating effect of service experience on this relationship. The aim of study 2 is to demonstrate that the effect of OCR on repurchase intentions is stronger when the valence (level) of service experience is negative (low) rather than positive (high). Method We use a 2 (OCR valence: 2.7 vs. 3.9 on a 5-point rating scale) × 2 (service experience: positive vs. negative) between-subject experiment. We collect data through the online panel of a marketing research company, in which respondents receive either payment or coupons for participation. 403 French participants were randomly assigned to one of the four conditions of this web-based study, with 51% women and an average age of 39 years (from 18 to 69). Setup. Participants were shown an Internet page of a fictional hotel (“Hotel Bella Fiorentina”, in Florence, Italy) from a fictional website (“www.reservation-hotel.com”). A photo and a neutral description of the hotel were added to make the offer more realistic (see Appendix C). In order to make the webpage more realistic along the lines of existing review sites, we added five written comments from previous customers, including positive (e.g. “friendly staff”, “good localization”) and negative features of the hotel (“noisy”, “staff not friendly”). All comments were modeled based on real comments left by customers on actual review sites. Recent service research suggests that customers perceive less risk when using their first language (Holmqvist & Grönroos, 2012), and this is mirrored by most online review sites automatically displaying reviews in the customer's language first. In line with these practices, all the displayed comments from previous customers were in French. The respondents were required to look at the hotel page (and then the experience scenario) for at least one minute and could stay on the page as long as they wanted before continuing the questionnaire. Manipulations. We chose the stimuli of online consumer ratings based on real ratings for Florence hotels from three existing websites, which varied from 1.5 to 5 on a 5-point rating scale. We selected less extreme values of OCR (low: 2.6 vs. high: 3.9 on a 5-point rating scale), to reduce the possibility of floor effects, i.e., the stimuli being too negative or too positive (Elder & Krishna, 2012). The number of reviews was the same in the two conditions (249 reviews). The positive and negative valence of situational service experience were manipulated using two hypothetical textual scenarios (about 500 words each, see Appendix D). Compared to the positive scenario in which everything was good, the negative scenario includes several negative hotel features such as waiting at the reception, smell in the room, and noise in the room that caused sleeping problems. Manipulation check. We verify our manipulation with a service experience scale ( = .86), composed of the three following 7-point differential scale items “Bad/good”, “Unfriendly/friendly”, “low-level/high-level”). The manipulation check was significant, the valence of service experience was rated more positively in the positive than in the negative scenario (M = 5.86 vs. M = 4.59, F(1,401) = 105.12, p < .01). Measures. The main dependent variable was the repurchase intentions ( = .84) measured on a 3-item scales scored on a 7-point Likert format, including “If I have the opportunity, I would stay in this hotel again”, “As long as the service quality remains the same, I would rather return to this hotel rather than discover others in the neighborhood”, and “In the future, I will not come back to this hotel” (r). Moreover, we measured the level of accumulated experience about the service category adapted from Söderlund (2002), including the three following items: “I know a lot about hotels”, “I consider myself to be an experienced hotel guest” and “I know very well what characterizes good and bad hotels” ( = .86). Results We ran an ANOVA on repurchase intentions with OCR and the valence of service experience as the independent variables. The main effect of OCR is not significant (p = .13). The main effect of service experience is significant (F(1,399) = 355.33, p < .01), such that repurchase intentions are stronger when the experience scenario is positive (M = 5.49) rather than negative (M = 3.17). Moreover, the interaction between OCR and the valence of service experience is significant (F(1,399) = 4.41, p < .05), as depicted in Figure 3. We explore this interaction with planned contrasts. In the positive experience condition, there is no difference in repurchase intentions between the two valence conditions (p = .69). However, in the negative experience condition, repurchase intentions are stronger for a high rating (M = 3.39) compared to a low rating (M = 2.94, F(1,399) = 6.63, p < .05). H3 is thus supported. [Insert Figure 2 about here] We performed a regression on repurchase intentions with independent variables (i) OCR, (ii) the level of accumulated experience with the service category and (iii) their interaction. Controlling for the manipulated valence of service experience, the results show a significant two-way interaction between OCR and the level of consumer experience ( = -.19, t = -2.07, p < .05); Figure 4 depicts this interaction effect. To decompose this interaction, we use the Johnson-Neyman technique to identity the range(s) of the level of consumer experience for which the simple effect of OCR is significant (Spiller et al., 2013). This analysis reveals that there is a significant positive effect of OCR on repurchase intentions when the level of experience with the service category was lower than 4.28 (JN = .24, p = .05) but not when the level of experience with the service category was higher than 4.28, thus supporting H4. [Insert Figure 3 about here] General discussion We contribute to the service literature by showing that the level of service experience has a positive impact on the reviewer’s ratings. These results contradict our negatively hypothesized effect based on the assumption that past experiences increase the level of expectations (Zeithaml et al., 1993). Our explanation for this result builds on previous research on usage frequency showing how usage frequency positively impacts consumers’ evaluations (Goodman and Irmak; 2013; Hamilton et al., 2011). Hamilton et al. (2011) show that frequency cues continue to influence consumers’ evaluations after the actual interaction through perceived fit. Similarly, we believe that the level of accumulated experience might lower expectations because experienced consumers have a better idea about what fits their needs. In other words, being a less experienced to staying in hotels may lead a consumer to be more negative, due to some unrealistic expectations. In turn, experienced consumers have more realistic expectations, and are more prone to leave a good rating. Second, we show that the effects of positive and negative situational experience on OCR are exacerbated (weakened) when the level of accumulated experience is low (high). Previous literature has shown that external factors such as ratings by other consumers’ can weaken or exacerbate the effects of the valence of service experience on reviewer ratings (Sridhar and Srinisavan, 2012). We contribute to the literature by demonstrating that the effects of the valence of service experience on reviewer’s ratings are also contingent on individual characteristics such as the level of service experience. This finding shows that not all consumers are equal in their evaluation process because they may have higher or abstract expectations. Third, we show that the valence of the service experience moderates the relationship between OCR and repurchase intentions. If the service is good, there is no difference between high and low OCR. However, in the negative scenario, the repurchase intentions are significantly higher for a higher OCR. This result contributes to the service literature by partly contradicting the existing order of credibility in services messages by Duncan and Moriarty (1997) who posited that WOM is more credible than the actual service interaction. Our results contradict this order, as we show that customers who are satisfied with the service they received tend to trust their own experience and no longer pay much attention to the OCRs they read before engaging in the service. However, if the customer is dissatisfied, customers who have read positive reviews are more willing to give the service firm a second chance, perhaps thinking that their own negative experience was an exception, while customers who have read negative reviews are reinforced in their own negative evaluation. Fourth, we show that the level of service experience moderates the relationship between OCR and repurchase intentions. On one hand, previous literature has found that the effect of OCR on sales is stronger when targeting consumers with greater Internet experience (Zhu and Zhang, 2010) as this experience reduces search costs and enables convenient comparisons between alternatives. On the other hand, we contribute to the literature by showing that the effect of OCR on repurchase intentions increases as the level of service experience decrease. In other words, it means that compared to an experienced hotel guest, novice consumers are more sensible to differences in OCR as they do not have specific expectations in terms of what constitutes a good or bad service. Managerial Implications One important implication of Study 1 comes from the fact that consumers may leave different ratings. First, this result has implications for booking websites. We show that the valence and the level of service experience interact such that consumers may be positively or negatively biased, leading to a difference between the overall rating and the true quality of the service. In fact, booking websites calculate average ratings by giving the same weight to all reviewers, and that average rating has strong consequences in terms of service referencing within the website. Our results show that booking website may over- or under-weight consumers in the calculation of the average rating for a given service, so that it could more accurately reflect service quality. Second, this result has implications for e-commerce firms, who can use our methodology to estimate the impact of service experience on online ratings, isolating the role of the level of accumulated experience, or any individual relevant individualvariable for that matter. As Sridhar and Srinisavan (2012) suggest, making sense of thousands of online ratings can be a challenging task. Hence, this procedure would allow them to better estimate the effects of service experience and OCR, as well as better track down consumers who are more likely to leave good or bad ratings. The implications from study 2 are two-fold. On the one hand, this study suggest that managers should be concerned with having good OCR, but more importantly, they heavily invest in creating a positive consumer experience. As a matter of fact, the impact of consumer experience is relatively stronger than the impact of online ratings. In a way, if the service provider offers a nice consumer experience, it can outshine medium or even lower online ratings. On the other hand, the study shows that consumers’ own experience are more important than other consumers’ experiences in determining their evaluation and re-repurchase intentions. This carries important implications in the sense that service providers need to invest in convincing customer to “try” the service. In this regard, they might offer promotions or discounts, especially for targeted customers who are booking a service for the first time. Limitations and Future Research The findings of this manuscript present a number of limitations and some possible avenues for further research. First, although online hotel reviews are among the most common OCRs for services, focusing on a single type of service still limits the generalizability of this work. Further research may replicate these findings in other categories. Second, there is a limitation about the realism in study 3. One might ask (1) why customers would visit a certain hotel when they know it has a low rating, (2) how they feel about a low (high) rating and a positive (negative) experience. In order to answer these questions, we ran an ANOVA on perceived realism (“The situation described in this scenario might happen in reality”). While the effect of OCR is not significant (p=.11), the effect of the valence of service experience is significant (F(1,399) = 28.74, p < .01). However, respondents felt that the negative scenario (M=6.26) was more realistic than the positive scenario (M=5.72). Moreover, the interaction effect between OCR and the valence of service experience was not significant (p=.85). There was no difference in realism within the negative experience condition (p=.31), or within the positive experience condition (p=.20). Hence, these results rule out the possibility that current results are more demand effects rather than effects that could be observed in real life. Another limitation is that the studies are confined to situations after the actual service interaction and thus open to hindsight bias. Future research may benefit from interviewing customers after they engaged in an actual service, provided that data about their perceptions of OCRs have been collected previous to the service to avoid the risk that the actual service experience influence how the respondents evaluate their perceptions of the OCRs with hindsight. Last, given our results embedded in the expectations-disconfirmation framework, an interesting avenue for future research would be to examine the impact of OCR on attention bias. Consumers might be looking for cues in the hotel room that might confirm the negative reviews more easily. It would maybe be easier to spot of piece of dust in the bathroom after reading negative reviews. 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PRICE_CAT 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 .20 -.29 .05 .03 .02 -.09 .05 .38 -.10 .01 1 .55 .14 .03 .04 .78 .16 .10 -.01 .01 1 .10 -.01 .03 .80 .11 -.12 .05 -.03 1 .05 .01 .14 .64 .01 -.03 .03 1 .00 .02 .02 .07 -.03 .02 1 .04 .03 .01 .00 -.03 1 .14 -.02 .01 -.01 1 .02 .01 -.01 1 -.21 .05 1 .39 Note: Correlations above .03 are significant at p<.05 and above. 11 1 Appendix C – Example of a stimulus used in Study 2 (translated from French to English) Appendix D – Scenarios for the valence of service experience (Study 2) Negative: It is Friday afternoon and you arrive in Florence, where you have booked two nights at Bella Fiorentina via reservation-hotels.com. A taxi from the airport drops you off at the hotel in the historical centre of the city. When you arrive at the hotel, you have to wait a couple of minutes as the receptionist is talking on the phone. She then checks you in and gives you the key to your room. You notice that your room looks exactly like the pictures on Reservation-Hotels. Both the room and the bathroom are nice but there is a slight smell in the bathroom. The room is at the first floor with a view of the street outside. After unpacking your bags, you swiftly leave the hotel to have a first look at Florence. After some hours of sightseeing you return to the hotel. At the reception, you ask the receptionist for advice about a restaurant for the evening. She says that there is a good restaurant at the other side of the river, and gives you the address of that restaurant. You decide to take her advice and go to the restaurant, and you have a nice meal. After the dinner, you walk around a bit to look at Florence at night before returning to your hotel. You try to sleep but notice that there is no sound isolation in the room, and you can hear both people in street outside the hotel as well as people talking in the room next to yours. You eventually fall asleep, but are awaken two times during the night by sounds from outside. The next day you have planned several activities. In the morning, you follow a tour of Tuscany. In the afternoon, you visit the largest art gallery in Italy, the Uffizi gallery. It is early evening when you get back to the hotel, and this time there is another receptionist. You ask for advice for things to do in the evening. He recommends a visit to a different restaurant. He says it is by the river and that it is possible to have drinks there later in the evening, and he gives you the address. You go to the restaurant he recommends; the meal is good and the atmosphere later at night is also very nice with lots of people relaxing and having drinks. You get back to your hotel quite late. Just like the previous night, there is some noise from outside and you wake up three times during the night. On Sunday your flight is at 13:30 so you have time for a final stroll in Florence in the morning before going to the hotel to check out. The receptionist says that there is a shuttle close to the hotel going to the airport. You pay 150€ by credit card for the two nights, the receptionist then informs you that you also need to pay 6€ in cash, 3€ per night for the city tax on hotels. Having paid your hotel, you take the shuttle and head out to the airport to fly back to France. Positive: It is Friday afternoon and you arrive in Florence, where you have booked two nights at Bella Fiorentina via reservation-hotels.com. A taxi from the airport drops you off at the hotel in the historical center of the city. When you arrive at the hotel, you are immediately greeted by the receptionist who welcomes you warmly to the hotel and wishes you a nice stay in Florence. She checks you in and accompanies you to your room. You notice that your room looks exactly like the pictures on Reservation-Hotels. Both the room and the bathroom are nice and clean. The room is at the top floor with a view over the roofs of Florence. After unpacking your bags, you swiftly leave the hotel to have a first look at Florence. After some hours of sightseeing you return to the hotel. At the reception, you ask the receptionist for advice about a restaurant for the evening. She smiles and says that her own favorite restaurant is tucked away in a small alley at the other side of the Arno river, and gives you a map of the city where she draws you the way to go. You decide to take her advice and go to the restaurant, and you have a nice meal. After the dinner, you walk around a bit to look at Florence at night before returning to your hotel. The bed in your room is very comfortable and you fall asleep almost immediately, sleeping well until the morning. The next day you have planned several activities. In the morning, you follow a tour of Tuscany. In the afternoon, you visit the largest art gallery in Italy, the Uffizi gallery. It is early evening when you get back to the hotel, and this time there is another receptionist. You ask for advice for things to do in the evening. He recommends a visit to a different restaurant. He says it has a nice view over the river and that later at night it turns into a nice lounge where people come to have drinks and relax. Just like the other receptionist, he draws you the route to the restaurant on the map. You go to the restaurant he recommends; the meal is good and the atmosphere later at night is also very nice with lots of people relaxing and having drinks. You get back to your hotel quite late. Just like the previous night, you again sleep very well. On Sunday your flight is at 13:30 so you have time for a final stroll in Florence in the morning before going to the hotel to check out. The receptionist asks if you have enjoyed your stay, and she offers to call you a taxi but also says that there is a shuttle leaving just 100 meters from the hotel, going directly to the airport. You pay 150€ by credit card for the two nights and the receptionist wishes you a nice trip home. Having paid your hotel, you take the shuttle and head out to the airport to fly back to France. Table 1 – List of the variables (Study 1) Level-1: reviewer Focal variables RATING POSITIVE_EXP NEGATIVE_EXP LEVEL_EXP Control variables FROM_CITY GENDER CHAR FRIENDS Level-2: hotel Control variables HOTEL_AVG HOTEL_NUM PRICE_CAT Reviewer’s rating on a 5-point scale (DV) Loglikelihood of the review expressing a positive experience Loglikelihood of the review expressing a negative experience Reviewer’s number of previous reviews Reviewer is from the city where the hotel is: 1 (0 if not) Gender (female: 1, male: 0) Number of characters in the textual review Number of friends on Yelp Average rating for the hotel Total number of reviews for the hotel Price category (0: $,$$; 1: $$$,$$$$) Table 2 – Estimation results from the hierarchical linear models (Study 1) Fixed-effects Intercept HLM1 3.751*** (79.93) HLM2 .252 (1.63) .939*** (24.45) -.039** (-2.23) .005 (.12) HLM3 1.096*** (9.09) .668*** (22.14) -.000 (-1.29) -.065** (-2.07) .007 (.22) .044** (1.97) -.046 (-1.22) -.030*** (-8.30) .015** (3.49) .014*** (34.96) -.014*** (-26.90) HLM4 1.106*** (9.17) .660*** (21.94) -.000 (-1.27) -.059* (-1.88) .002 (.64) .043* (1.94) -.050 (-1.32) -.028*** (-7.64) .025** (3.87) .015*** (35.66) -.016*** (-28.31) -.007*** (-8.39) .009*** (8.91) .003 .252 1.276 .002 .167 .003 .029 1.276 .002 .024 .000 .013 .970 .000 .013 .000 .013 .959 .000 .013 24292 24320 24019 24068 21957 22054 21922 22034 HOTEL_AVG HOTEL_NUM a PRICE_CAT a FRIENDS GENDER FROM_CITY a CHAR a LEVEL_EXP (H1) POSITIVE_EXP NEGATIVE_EXP a POSITIVE_EXP * LEVEL_EXP (H2a) a NEGATIVE_EXP * LEVEL_EXP (H2b) Random-effects City: var(ui) Hotel: var(vij) Residual: var(eijk) b ICC within city b ICC within hotel Model Fit AIC BIC Note: RATING is the dependent variable. t-statistics between parentheses *p<.10, **p<.05, ***p<.01 a Coefficients and standard errors for these variables are multiplied by 100 for readability. b ICC: intraclass correlation coefficient Figure 1. Two-stage theoretical framework and studies overview Figure 2. Interaction effect between OCR and the valence of service experience (Study 2) Repurchase intentions 6 5,52 5,46 5 4 3,39 2,94 3 2 Negative Positive Valence of service experience Low OCR (2.6 on 5) High OCR (3.9 on 5) Figure 4. Interaction effect between OCR and the level of consumer experience (Study 2) Repurchase intentions 3,5 3 2,5 2 1 2 3 4 5 Level of service experience Low OCR (2.6 on 5) High OCR (3.9 on 5) 6 7
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