POLITICAL PUBLIC OPINION OF
MONTENEGRO
NATO integration
December, 2016
1
Sample
• The sample is representative for the adult citizens of Montenegro and was
implemented in all municipalities in Montenegro
• The study included a total of 1029 respondents
• Sample: double stratified with random selection of respondents within defined
enumeration areas
• Standard statistical error is +/- 3.1% for incidence of 50% with a confidence
interval of 95%
• Post stratification was performed by gender, age and nationality
• The survey was conducted from 05 to 14 December 2016
• The research was supported by the NATO Public Diplomacy, US Embassy and
the Embassy of Hungary in Montenegro.
2
Generally, would you say that Montenegro is
on the - %
35.3
32.8
31.8
Right way
Wrong way
I don’t know, I can not
estimate
3
Montenegro is on:Trend - %
Right way
46.4
Wrong way
45.2
41.5
33.9
32.5
36.8
34.8
35.1
32.8
36.3
29.3
24.5
21.5
37.4
34.8
34.7
31.4
35.3
32.8
22.7
Oct, 2009 Nov, 2010 Sep, 2011 Sep, 2012 Mart, 2013 Sep, 2014 Jul, 2015 Nov, 2015 Jun, 2016 Dec, 2016
4
TRUST IN INSTITUTIONS– SUM mostly and
big trust %
Education system
59.3
Serbian Orthodox Church
53.8
Health system
52.3
Police
47.5
NGOs
45.3
President of Montenegro
45.0
Army
43.8
Judiciary
42.6
EU Delegation to Montenegro
42.4
Government
40.9
Parliament
38.5
Political Parties
Montenegrin Orthodox Church
35.4
18.6
5
TRUST IN INSTITUTIONS– TREND %
Jun 2016 vs Decembar 2016
EU Delegation to Montenegro
NGOs
Education system
Health system
Political parties
Army of Montenegro
Montenegrin Orthodox Church
Serbian Orthodox Chrch
Police
Judiciary
Parliament of Montenegro
President of Montenegro
Government
Dec'16
Jun' 16
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
6
TRUST IN POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS–
TREND %
46.7
46.2
42.5
42.2
40.7
Sept'14
Jul'15
Nov' 15
Jun' 16
Dec'16
7
Average mark for politicians on the scale from 1 to 5
Filip VUJANOVIĆ
Aleksa BEČIĆ
Milo ĐUKANOVIĆ
Dritan ABAZOVIĆ
Duško MARKOVIĆ
Miodrag LEKIĆ
Aleksandar DAMJANOVIĆ
Snežana JONICA
Goran DANILOVIĆ
Damir ŠEHOVIĆ
Milan KNEŽEVIĆ
Srđan MILIĆ
Andrija MANDIĆ
Janko VUČINIĆ
Nebojša MEDOJEVIĆ
Ivan BRAJOVIĆ
Vujica LAZOVIĆ
Predrag BULATOVIĆ
Žarko RAKČEVIĆ
Ranko KRIVOKAPIĆ
Raško KONJEVIĆ
Andrija POPOVIĆ
Azra JASAVIĆ
Dragan Purko IVANČEVIĆ
2.93
2.83
2.70
2.44
2.41
2.41
2.35
2.33
2.29
2.25
2.23
2.22
2.20
2.18
2.17
2.12
2.06
2.06
1.94
1.93
1.83
1.78
1.73
1.68
8
Ranking of parties% identified
HGI
1.4
FORCA
AA
.8
1.1
.5
DUA
BS
CDU
3.4
.1
URA
DEMOKRATE CRNE GORE
DEMOS
LPCG
PCG
DF
SNP
SDCG
SDP
DPS
1.6
12.2
6.3
.4
.4
21.0
7.8
2.3
4.1
36.8
9
According to your opinion, should Montenegro
become a member of the EU? - %
I don’t have a
opinion about it;
12.4
No; 24.6
Yes ; 63.0
10
SUPPORT TO THE EU: TREND %
76.1
72.4
72.8
70.4
70.4
65.5
63.3
62.3
60.9
63.7
63
61.7
61.1
59.9
Okt ’07. Feb ’08. Okt ’09. Okt ’010. Sep'11
Dec'11
Jul'12
Sept'12 Mart '13 Sep'14
Jul'15
Nov'15
Jun'16
Dec'16
11
If tomorrow you would vote about Montenegrin
membership to NATO, your response would be%
Dont have a
opinion; 20.8
No; 39.7
Yes; 39.5
12
TREND:
on referendum FOR and AGAINST NATO- %
YES
NO
52.1
46.9
44
39.7
31.2
44.5
42.4
32.6
39.5
30.9
38.3
36.1
37.3
38.4
36.8
35.4
37.3
36.6
36.5
36.2
37.1
36.4
39.7
39.5
31.0
26.9
Nov Oct ’ 09. Okt' 010 Sep'11 Dec'11 Jul'12 Sept'12 Mart'13 Sept '14 Jul'15 Nov' 15 Jun' 16 Dec'16
’08.
13
REFERENDUM NATO – comitted ones %
Yes, 49.8
No, 50.2
14
On whom Montenegro should rely in Foreign Policy? %
Not at all
A little bit
In great measure
Completely
I can not estimate
42.0
41.0
38.3
26.8
23.1
20.0
16.8
14.5
15.4
14.4
11.8
10.8
9.8
8.5
6.9
EU
USA
RUSSIA
15
On whom Montenegro should rely in Foreign Policy–
SUM to a large extent and completely %
27.2
20.5
15.4
EU
USA
RUSSIA
16
On whom Montenegro should rely in Foreign Policy–
SUM to a large extent and completely %
- TREND
EU
USA
RUSSIA
34.4
31.2
27.2
24.2
20.5
19.5
16.6
Nov'15
Jun' 16
15.4
Dec'16
17
CONTRIBUTION OF NATO INTEGRATION- %
Development of relations between MNE and USA
Development of relations between MNE and EU
Security of Montenegrin borders
Peace and Stability in MNE
Security of Montenegrin citizens
Investments in MNE, incoming capital from abroad
Peace and Stability in Balkan region
Efficiency of Defense system
Development of Democracy and Human Rights in…
Development of the MNE economy
Development of relations between MNE and and ex…
Political stability in Montenegro
National unison in MNE
Decision-making freedom of Montenegro in Foreign…
Development of relations between MNE and Serbia
Costs and expenses on defense system
Responsability of the Government to the citizens
Development of relations between MNE and Russia
57.9
57
43.4
42.6
42.1
42
41.6
41.2
40.7
40.7
40.1
39.5
39.1
37.8
32.7
32.3
29.8
19.2
18
CONTRIBUTION OF NATO INTEGRATION %
TREND
nov'15
70.0
51.5 49.3
43.2 42.3
38.0
29.9
jun'16
65.8
52.0 50.4
50.7 47.4
50.7 52.6 49.9
48.1
46.5
46.4 49.2 49.0 50.0 43.2
41.9
41.2
40.4
39.9
37.5 38.9 39.9 39.6 40.9
36.2
36.0
33.0
25.7
19.5
19
Do you believe that, no matter what is your opinion,
Montenegro will become a NATO member state? %
53.8
25.7
20.5
Yes
No
I can’t estimate
20
Do you believe that, no matter what is your opinion,
Montenegro will become a NATO member state? % TREND
57.1
Yes
53.8
No
51.0
18.4
20.5
15.0
Nov'15
Jun'16
Dec'16
21
A new Government of Montenegro has been recently formed with the new Prime
Minister Mr Duško Marković. Do you think that this Government will have a
better, same or worse results than the previous government? %
31.1
27.1
22.2
19.6
It will have better
results
It will have the same
It will have worse
I don’t know, I can’t
results as the previous results than the previous
estimate
one
one
22