Journal of Asian Network for GIS-based Historical Studies Vol.2 (Dec. 2014) 22-31 Economic Conditions in the Ferghana Valley during the Critical Years, 1917–1929 Akira UEDA1 Abstract: This study applies the geographic information system (GIS) to historical studies of Russian Turkistan. The historical evaluation of the anti-Soviet armed struggle in Turkistan following the Russian Revolution (the “Basmachi” movement) changed drastically after the Soviet Union’s disintegration. While Soviet historiography attributed the economic devastation in Turkistan to the anti-Soviet movement, national histories in newly independent republics attribute the causes to the Bolsheviks. Focusing on the Ferghana Province—a center of the anti-Soviet movement and the most important economic center in Russian Turkistan—this study re-examines the causes of the economic devastation by analyzing statistical materials. In particular, by analyzing such issues as demography, food supply, agriculture, pasturage, and economic strategies of both sides, this historical geographic research examines changes in the Ferghana Province’s internal and external economic relations. On the basis of the statistical materials and archival documents, this study suggests that the Soviet authorities promoted cotton monoculture without providing an adequate food supply. At the height of famine, native farmers in the Ferghana Valley had no choice than to depend on the advance payment for cotton planting. Without question, the anti-Soviet movement was also responsible for the devastation caused by the civil war, but had no measure for alleviating the famine because its root cause was the stoppage of grain importation from central Russia. There was no stable economic base outside the Ferghana Province. Thus, conditions on both sides prolonged food shortages and famine in the 1920s. Keywords: Ferghana, The anti-Soviet movement (the Basmachi movement), Cotton monoculture, Food supply, Famine 1 Graduate student, the University of Tokyo. Research fellow, Institute of History of Academy of Sciences of Republic of Uzbekistan 22 Journal of Asian Network for GIS-based Historical Studies Vol.2 (Dec. 2014) 22-31 1. Introduction This study analyzes the socioeconomic history of Russian Turkistan after the Russian Revolution in 1917 by using the historical geographic information system (GIS). Russian Turkistan was devastated by the civil war after the October revolution. The historical evaluation of the anti-Soviet armed struggle in Turkistan, following the Russian Revolution (the “Basmachi” movement), changed drastically after the Soviet Union disintegrated in 1991.( 1 ) While Soviet historiography attributed the economic devastation to the anti-Soviet movement,(2) national histories in newly independent republics attributed the causes to the Bolsheviks and the Red Army.(3) Outside the former Soviet Union, for example in France, Germany, and Turkey, the historical evaluation of the anti-Soviet armed struggle was generally positive. Some former participants in the anti-Soviet struggle published articles in the Western countries. For example, Zeki Velidi Togan (1890–1970) lived in exile in Turkey and Mustafa Chokaev (1890–1941) in France. They worked actively for the anti-Soviet movement and published several articles about the war. As for the economic conditions in Turkistan from 1917 to 1929, earlier studies mainly investigated the destruction and recovery of cotton planting, the significance of the New Economic Policy (NEP), land–water reform, and the reorganization of the Central Asian local society by the Soviet authorities. Qahramon Rajabov emphasized the importance of economic destruction in Turkistan and the Soviet authorities’ compromises with Central Asian Muslims during the NEP period as reasons for defeating the anti-Soviet struggle (Rajabov 2005: 336–340). Outside the former Soviet Union, Beatrice Penati re-examined the relation between the anti-Soviet movement and the Soviet authorities by analyzing the food and refugee problems in the Eastern Bukhara region (Penati 2007). This study relates the quantitative analysis of economic statistics and political history by using historical GIS. In particular, this study analyzes demography, agriculture, and pasturage in the Ferghana Province—the most important economic center of Russian Turkistan and one of the centers of the anti-Soviet armed struggle (Figure 1). This study re-examines the causes of economic devastation by analyzing statistical materials and presents the Soviet economic policy’s highly optimistic forecast as well as the economic incapacity of the anti-Soviet movement. For these reasons, neither side could resolve the food shortage in the Ferghana Province; thus, it was consequently prolonged. Figure 1. Russian Turkistan A Russian source suggests that there was surplus grain in the Ferghana Province in the early 1880s, and it was exported to the Syr Darya Province and Chinese Xinjiang (Статистический обзор… за 1884 г. 1889: 8). During the Russian Empire era, the Ferghana Valley turned into a cotton growing area. The Ferghana Province exported raw cotton to the Russian Empire’s central provinces and imported grains from other provinces in European Russia and Turkistan. Raw cotton was imported to the Ferghana Province from Chinese Xinjiang (Статистический обзор… за 1913 г.1916: 80–81, table 13). At the same time, there was a great demand for livestock in the Ferghana Valley—the most densely populated region in Turkistan. Neighboring provinces such as Semirechie supplied a great quantity of livestock to the Ferghana Valley. In the peripheral mountainous area, Kyrgyz nomads lived and supplied livestock to the Valley. The Valley and mountainous areas had close economic relationships, for example, through livestock trade and seasonal labor for cotton fields. The Valley’s type of agriculture was mostly irrigated farming. Irrigation water came from rivers flowing from the mountainous area. In this area, the Kyrgyz nomads expanded their rain-fed grain cultivation in order to secure food, but settled Muslim people in the Valley depended on imported grain (Ueda 2013a: 119–120). However these external and internal economic relationships collapsed after the outbreak of WWI (Figure 2). 2. Economic conditions in the Ferghana Province before World War I (WWI) and the anti-Soviet Movement The Ferghana Province consisted of two areas—the central valley (the Ferghana Valley) and the peripheral mountainous area. Figure 2. The Economic System of the Ferghana Province before WWI 23 Journal of Asian Network for GIS-based Historical Studies Vol.2 (Dec. 2014) 22-31 After the outbreak of WWI, the native people suffered from increased taxes, expropriation of resources, and rapid price increases. The Ferghana Province especially suffered food shortages because it had exported cotton to the Russian Empire’s industrial centers and imported grains from other areas. Unseasonable weather in the spring of 1916 and locust plague caused cotton and grain crop failures. The edict on June 25, 1916, which ordered native males of Turkistan and other areas to work at the rear of the Russian army, provoked massive rebellions in Russian Turkistan. Although the revolt in the Ferghana Valley was suppressed in July 1916, the scale and spread of this revolt were unprecedented (Tursunov 1962: 278). Some rebels in the 1916 revolt escaped to the mountainous area and participated in the anti-Soviet movement after the October Revolution (Obiya 1992: 19, 27). The Russian February Revolution in 1917 stimulated Muslims to engage in political activities. After the October Revolution, the Fourth Extraordinary Congress of Turkistan Muslims declared the formation of a Turkistan autonomous government, and the city of Kokand in the Ferghana Valley was chosen to be the government capital. The Bolsheviks, however, attacked the Turkistan autonomous government in February 1918 and destroyed the city of Kokand, killing tens of thousands of local Muslims. The brutality in Kokand precipitated the anti-Soviet armed struggles in the Ferghana Province. The Soviet authorities and historians called this movement the “Basmachi (bandits).” After the Central Asian republics gained independence in 1991, this movement came to be called the anti-Soviet armed movement or the national independence movement.(4) The Soviet authorities took offense in 1919. By 1925, most of the Ferghana Valley was put under the Red Army’s control.(5) The civil war worsened economic conditions in Turkistan. In the Ferghana Province, the grain supply from other regions ceased, and a severe famine spread throughout the province from 1917 to 1923. War, unseasonable weather, and the locust plague worsened the food situation. Not only the Red Army but also the anti-Soviet movement requisitioned food and livestock from native people. Food for the Red Army actually stationed in the Ferghana Province was supplied to the cost of the native people. Due to the need of supplying the army with food, the Soviet authorities could not aid the starving local population (TsGA RUz, F. R-17, op. 1, d. 947, l. 199). On the other hand, the anti-Soviet movement attacked the Red Army’s transport corps and plundered its food supplies (Rajabov 1994: 116–117). In 1921, they intercepted certain railway locations and stopped the food supplies from reaching the city of Kokand, where the Red Army was based. The destruction of the irrigation system caused water shortage and, simultaneously, flooded cultivated lands (TsGA RUz, F. R-39, op. 1, d. 436, l. 16 and ll. 89–90). For example, a flood in 1920 ruined many irrigation systems in the Namangan County and the Kokand County, and the war interfered with the required repairs. In 1922–23, the Soviet authorities had to send laborers and guards to the ruined irrigation station at Sarikurgan—located at the pivot of the delta of the Sox River under the anti-Soviet army’s control—to stop the river’s repeated flooding. The city of Kokand was located near this point. Furthermore, most irrigation pumps constructed under the Imperial rule were also ruined during the civil war. According to Soviet sources, these pumps were destroyed due to the anti-Soviet movement, owners of the pumps who were afraid of nationalizing their own pumps, and the flood of Syr Darya in 1921 (TsGA RUz, F. R-215, op. 1, d. 226, l. 1 and F. R-215, op. 1, d. 231, l. 40). This study focuses on some important issues and analyzes the magnitude of the economic destruction and its historical significance. 3. Demography of the Ferghana Province Komatsu, Goto (2009) conducted an earlier historical GIS survey of the Ferghana Province. However, some data from the 1920s must be re-examined;( 6 ) the necessity of analyzing regional differences in the Ferghana Province offered by Komatsu, Goto (2009) is important. This study analyzes statistical sources or materials, mainly located in the National Central Archive of Uzbekistan to reconstruct wartime demography. By 1920, when the civil war had spread throughout the Ferghana Province, population decline was the greatest in the two counties (уезд) of Osh and Namangan, which had been in a state of war since the 1916 revolt (Figure 3, Figure 4). Although the revolt in the Valley was suppressed in July, revolts in the foothills of the Namangan County, the Osh County, and the Andijan County continued from July to late October. Kyrgyz rebels led by Tarasbay Alybaev (?–1916) fought against the Russian army in the mountainous area of the Namangan County until the winter of 1916 (Usenbaev 1997: 73-75, 78). After suppression of the 1916 revolt, a few rebels escaped into the mountainous area and continued attacking the Russian authorities (Obiya 1992: 19, 21). In the 1916 revolt, some Kyrgyz nomads in the foothills escaped into Chinese Xinjiang, and they could not return by the 1920s (Budyanskiy 2007: 52–60). The population decrease from 1914 to 1917 in the foothills of the Namangan County was noticeable (Ueda 2013b: 39)(7). On the other hand, in the most western county of Kokand, less population declined. In some districts (волость) in the Kokand County, the population increased even during the wartime, despite intense battles occurring in these districts. These districts were located to the west of the city of Kokand. Because high mountains did not block it, this area was on the main route to other regions from the Ferghana Valley. Through these districts, refugees flooded into the western districts such as the Samarkand Province (TsGA RUz, F. R-39, op. 1, d. 402, l. 38). In these western districts, the populations decreased in 1925, as refugees returned to their homes (Figure 5–1). Although a part of refugees could return, the population decline in the province was extremely serious. 24 Journal of Asian Network for GIS-based Historical Studies Vol.2 (Dec. 2014) 22-31 Figure 3. Demography of the Ferghana Province (Source: Очерки хозяйственной жизни Туркреспублики, 1921: 66–67, Отчет Ферганского областного экономического совещания Туркестанскому экономическому совету за янв.-сент. 1922 г., 1923: 25.) Figure 5–1. Demographics in the Kokand County in 1908, 1917, 1923, and 1925 Figure 4. The Ferghana Province (Source: Benyaminovich and Tersitskiy ed. 1975: Figure “Ирригация Ферганской долины 1928 г.”) In the eastern province, the Andijan County, the population increased in 1923 with refugees from the Valley. This district was located on the route to Chinese Xinjiang. As we will see next, Russian and Ukrainian farmers from other settlements took refuge in the Kugart District. Some part of the increased population from 1917 to 1923 might be these Russian and Ukrainian refugees (Figure 5–2). In contrast with these districts on the evacuation route, in districts located north of the city of Kokand, population decline reached a fatal level. Archive documents suggest that there were not only battles but also the destruction of irrigation systems. Notably, these districts were located at the end of the alluvial fan, in other words, at the end of the irrigation systems (Figure 5 –1). Documents also show that numerous refugees flooded into cities in the Ferghana Province (TsGA RUz, F. R-39, op. 1, d. 436, l. 91 and F. R-17, op. 1, d. 947, l. 200). Figure 5–2. Demographics in the Andijan County in 1908, 1917, 1923, and 1925 (Source: Список населенных мeст Ферганской области, 1909, Материалы всероссийских переписей в Туркестанской республике, вып. 4, Сельское население Ферганской области по переписи 1917 г., 1924, TsGA RUz, F. R-39, op. 2, d. 250, l. 32, Список населенных мeст Узбекской ССР и Таджикской АССР, вып. 3, Ферганская область, 1925, Benyaminovich and Tersitskiy ed. 1975: Figure “Ирригация Ферганской долины 1928 г.”) Note: This study uses elevation data created by the Ferghana Project in the Islamic Area Studies Project. Cf., Komatsu, Goto (2004). In the foothills of the Andijan County and the Osh County, there were villages of Russian and Ukrainian settlers. In November 1918, the settlers organized self-defense regiments in order to defend their villages from the native anti-Soviet movement. First, they collaborated with the Soviet authorities and the Red Army, but they were opposed to Soviet economic policies, so-called wartime communism, especially the grain monopoly that the Soviet authorities planned to execute in the 25 Journal of Asian Network for GIS-based Historical Studies Vol.2 (Dec. 2014) 22-31 Ferghana Province. The settlers had heard the news about the tragedies in other regions caused by the grain monopoly (Alekseenkov 1927: 21–22, 40, 44). In September 1919, eventually, the Russian and Ukrainian settler army commanded by K. Monstrov (1874–1920) allied with the native anti-Soviet army led by Madaminbek (?–1920). These united forces succeeded in occupying the city of Osh and the old city of Margilan in September 1919. After a series of military successes, they established the Ferghana Provisional Government in October 1919, but the Red Army launched a counterattack in January 1920 and captured the fortress of Gulcha in February 1920. Monstrov surrendered to the Red Army and was executed (Rajabov 1994: 94–105, Nishiyama 1991: 50–51, Tursunov and Nazarov 1984: 9). By 1922, most Ukrainian villages in the mountainous areas of the Andijan County and the Osh County had been ruined by the civil war, and many Ukrainian settlers flooded into cities and villages in the Kugart Valley. They petitioned the Soviet authorities to return them to their homeland, but their petition was rejected (TsGA RUz, F. R-621, op. 1, d. 106, ll. 26–27). Figure 6–2. Changes in cotton planting (%) (Source: Same as Table 1.) By using historical GIS, data compared from about 1900 (1890–1904) and 1929 reveal that cotton production in the Ferghana Valley had been entirely reconstructed by 1929 and was more intensive than that in the Imperial era (Figure 7–1a and 7-1b).(8) 4. Changes in Agriculture and Pasturage Crop areas in the Ferghana Province decreased sharply after the outbreak of WWI, mainly because the exchange of exported raw cotton and imported grain collapsed. Cotton fields decreased most sharply and occupied less than 5% of all the area under cultivation in 1922 (Table 1 and Figure 6-1 and 6-2). Table 1. Changes in cotton planting (ha/%) 1890–1904 1914 1922 1923–24 1924–25 1926–27 (Kir) +1929 (Uz) Cotton 121922 322425 15073 123770 138025 356863 Wheat 114256 336922 na 59667 na 143873 Rice 52296 60021 na 52391 na 38329 Total % of cotton % of wheat 628506 19.4 18.2 972040 33.2 34.7 322103 4.7 na 365700 33.8 16.3 450135 30.7 na 686290 52.0 21.0 % of rice 8.3 6.2 na 14.3 na 5.6 (Source: Материалы для Статистического Описания Ферганской области, Результаты Поземельно-Податных Работ, 1897–1912, Статистический обзор Ферганской области за 1914 г.1917: table 6–9, TsGA RUz, F. R-17, op. 1, d. 947, l. 212, F. R-88, op. 1, d. 605, l. 2 and F. R-111, op. 5, d. 34, l. 201, Краткий обзор советского строительства и народного хозяйства Киргизии, 1926: 35, Районы УзССР в цифрах, 1930: 116–123.) Figure 6–1. Changes in cotton planting (ha) (Source: Same as Table 1.) Figure 7–1a. The rate of cotton growing in about 1900 (1890–1904) and in 1929 (Voronoi map) Figure 7–1b. The rate of cotton growing in about 1900 (1890–1904) and in 1929 (point map) 26 Journal of Asian Network for GIS-based Historical Studies Vol.2 (Dec. 2014) 22-31 For example, the eastern area, where during the Imperial era rice was mainly planted, had shifted to cotton monoculture production. In other areas also, the rate of cotton plantation increased (Figure 7–2). The eastern area is somewhat higher than the western, and its climate is cooler. This condition was less suitable for cotton planting. As for exporting by railway, the eastern area was at a disadvantage. Nevertheless, in the late 1920s, cotton monoculture also expanded in the eastern area. Figure 7–2. The Scale of Sowing (Cotton, Rice, and Wheat) in about 1900 (1890–1904) and 1929 (Source: Материалы для Статистического Описания Ферганской области, Результаты Поземельно-Податных Работ, 1897–1912, Районы УзССР в цифрах, 1930: 116–123.) What caused this rapid reconstruction of cotton monoculture? Ostensibly, the Soviet authorities made every effort to make the area economically dependent. Throughout the civil war, the Soviet authorities gained a monopoly for supplying food, seed, and livestock to the Ferghana Province from other regions. In fact, the Soviet authorities preferentially supplied these resources to restore cotton planting. In 1923, an official wrote that there was no prospect of the expansion of food production in Turkistan because funds were exclusively used to restore cotton planting. The Soviet authorities utilized the advance payments (“аванс” or “авансирование”) of wheat and the money for planting cotton to control the native farmers in Turkistan; this measure began no later than 1923. Many farmers who faced famine received the advance, and thus cotton planting revived remarkably in 1923–24. In 1924–25, the total advance payments in Uzbekistan reached over 20.9 million rubles and more than half (10.7 million rubles) was lent in the Ferghana Province. Cotton farmers enjoyed priority regarding grain and livestock in the advance payment system. This policy continued until total collectivization in the 1930s. Besides this, cotton farmers were privileged to buy grain from the Soviet authorities for lower than wholesale price. Meanwhile, an American reporter, A. Strong wrote that rice farmers in Turkistan were labeled as anti-revolutionaries only because they did not plant cotton. (TsGA RUz, F. R-17, op. 1, d. 947, l. 203, 214, TsGA RUz, F. R-111, op. 5, d. 33, l. 4, Отчет… 1923: 106, Современный…, вып. 5, 1927: 108, Strong 1931: 61). The Soviet authorities, however, could not supply sufficient grain to Turkistan when farmers gathered raw cotton and received cash for it in 1923. They planned to supply 8 million pud of grain (5 million pud from Russia and 3 million pud from Central Asia) to cotton areas in Turkistan, but they could supply only 6,565,000 pud (4 million pud from Russia, 1.5 million pud from Central Asia, and the rest from various grain stocks). Cotton farmers had to spend almost all the money from cotton crops to buy extremely expensive grain in autumn (TsGA RUz, F. R-111, op. 1, d. 993, ll. 134–135). Thus, even though cotton planting revived, food shortages continued in the 1920s. Although the advance payment system began to revive cotton planting, it caused a contradiction in the communist ideology’s class struggle: large landholders could use the advance payment more easily than smallholders because subscription for advance payment was determined according to the scale of cotton planting. Some large landholders lent it to their tenant farmers or smallholders. This problem was not cleared until the land–water reform (TsGA RUz, F. R–88, op. 1, d. 589, ll. 4–14). In late 1925, the land–water reform (земельно-водная реформа) in the Ferghana Province was an important factor for changing the agricultural structure in Turkistan. This reform came about with a series of Sovietization measures in the economic and cultural spheres in Turkistan during the 1920s. Land–water reform aimed mainly to abolish “the feudalistic landownership.” The Soviet authorities confiscated lands and draft animals from the large landowners and redistributed them to small farmers, varying the standards of land confiscation with each province. In the Ferghana Province, the Soviet authorities confiscated all the lands of owners who did not engage in agriculture and had over 40 desyatinas (43.6 ha) of irrigated land and farmers’ lands over 7 desyatinas (7.6 ha) (Dzhamalov 1962: 192–193). One purpose of the land–water reform was the expansion of cotton production (Muminov ed. 1974: 355). In fact, just before the land–water reform in the Balykchi District, the rate of cotton from all plantings by large landowners who cropped more than 1.5 desyatinas (1.6 ha) was 53.8%, and this rate was less than that of smallholders who cropped less than 0.5 desyatinas (0.5 ha): 75.4% (Современный… 1927: 41–42). The anti-Soviet movement and Monstrov were opposed to the Soviet authorities’ food supply monopoly. In negotiation with the Red Army in 1921, the anti-Soviet movement under Aliyorbek’s (?–1921) command demanded the abolition of the Soviet food policy in addition to the enforcement of Sharia and the election of independent qadis (Nishiyama 1991: 50, Rajabov 1994: 124). In 1926, food shortages occurred in the Valley, while there was a bumper crop of cotton. In the Imperial era, if there was a bumper cotton crop, grain was delivered to the Valley, as in 1910 (Краткий обзор… 1926: 69, Статистический обзор… за 1910 г.1912: 20, Ueda 2013b: 37). This comparison suggests 27 Journal of Asian Network for GIS-based Historical Studies Vol.2 (Dec. 2014) 22-31 that the rapid recovery of cotton plantation, led by the Soviet authorities, was implemented without sufficient economic preparation and that a forced economic policy was one of the causes of prolonged food shortages in the Valley. This problem was not solved in the 1920s, and food shortages were repeated in 1931 (TsGA RUz, F. R–88, op. 9, d. 554, l. 32). Notably, in December 1918, the Soviet authorities accurately recognized the root cause of the famine in Turkistan as the stoppage of grain importation from Russia. For example, in 1918, there was a bumper grain crop in Turkistan, but it was not sufficient for the population’s demand (TsGA RUz, F. R-111, op. 1, d. 181, l. 31). Nevertheless, Soviet authorities did not attempt to improve the condition for food self-sufficiency in Turkistan; instead, they promoted cotton planting in the Ferghana Valley, thereby reducing food production, because Turkistan’s raw cotton was an extremely important material for the Soviet state’s economic independence. In 1923–24, the Soviet Union had to secure 82,000 tons of raw cotton for 180 million rubles in the New York market (TsGA RUz, F. R–111, op. 1, d. 181, l. 31). The Soviet authorities expected that cotton production’s revival in Turkistan would reduce the outflow of foreign currency. In 1924–25, 1109 tons of raw cotton had already been sent to Moscow from Uzbekistan, 52% of it gathered in the Ferghana Province (TsGA RUz, F. R-88, op. 1, d. 589, l. 40). Needless to say, the other side of the civil war, i.e., the anti-Soviet movement was also responsible for the devastation, but it had no measures for resolving the famine. After all, its root cause was the stoppage of grain importation from Russia—as the Soviet authorities recognized. The anti-Soviet movement in the Ferghana Province could obtain few resources from other regions (Rajabov 1994:175).(9) Thus, they had to procure almost all strategic materials inside the Ferghana Province. Some tried to export raw cotton stock to Xinjiang. Although the huge amount of imported raw cotton from the Ferghana Province lowered the price in Xinjiang, this attempt did not basically solve the insufficiency of funds (Отчет… 1922: 103). As mentioned, raw cotton from Xinjiang was imported to the Ferghana Province before the Revolution, and Xinjiang’s market did not provide a great enough demand to consume the surplus from the Ferghana Province. In the peripheral mountainous area, not only cotton planting but also wheat planting was expanded at the cost of millet and grass. This change might have been caused by the destruction of pasturage (considered below). A certain amount of wheat was supplied to the Valley, which was suffering from food shortage (Краткий обзор… 1926: 69, table 6 and 7), and the prolonged food shortage might have created expansion of wheat planting in the mountainous area. A total head of livestock decreased sharply from the outbreak of WWI, in addition to the severe famine, because of requisitioning by the Russian Empire, the Red Army, and the anti-Soviet movement. The 1916 revolt stopped livestock trade with the Semirechie Province and Xinjiang (Asmis 1941: 322). In particular, from 1920 to 1922, the head of livestock declined from 760,000 to 210,000. One document suggests that the main reason was the occupation of the mountainous areas by the anti-Soviet movement where the local population pastured livestock every summer (Отчет… 1923: 30, Ueda 2013b: 37). The former economic connections between the Valley and the mountainous area were severed because of the civil war. The Soviet authorities prioritized the recovery of cotton planting in the Valley over the recovery of pasturage. They preferentially supplied oxen as draft animals to cotton farmers. The Special Committee for the Improvement of Agriculture in Ferghana (Особая Комиссия Турцика по Улучшению Сельского Хозяйства в Фергане) began supplying plow horses and draft oxen to farmers in November 1922 (Отчет… 1923: 138–139). In 1925, 60% of the fund to buy livestock for cotton farmers was allotted to the Ferghana Province. For example, Soviet authorities provided plow horses to cotton farmers by using part of the fund to restore cotton planting and, furthermore, imported 10,000 plow horses from Xinjiang (TsGA RUz, F. R-111, op. 5, d. 34, l. 32, 118, 132). Besides this, cotton farmers themselves actively purchased draft animals in neighboring provinces. In 1924, farmers from the Ferghana Province bought 30% of the draft animals in the Pskent region of the Tashkent County and took them to the Valley (TsGA RUz, F. R-111, op. 5, d. 43, ll. 40–41). Therefore, the percentage of cows and oxen rose, whereas that of sheep and goats declined below the prewar level (Figure 8-1 and 8-2). 5. Conclusions In the Ferghana Valley, the cotton monoculture that came about under Russian rule entirely collapsed during WWI and the civil war after the revolution. The exchange of cotton and grain did not function after the outbreak of WWI. The Ferghana Province suffered from famines between 1917 and 1923. Several refugees from villages, including Russian and Ukrainian settlers, flowed into neighboring areas and cities during the civil war. Especially, in the districts where irrigation systems were destroyed, population declines were devastating. The civil war broke the economic interdependence between the Valley and the mountainous area. Mountain pastureland was unavailable and irrigation systems from the mountainous areas to the Valley were destroyed. Economic conditions in the Ferghana Province collapsed in 1922–23 when the Soviet authorities seized most of the Valley (Figure 9–1). From the beginning, the Soviet authorities made efforts to revive cotton planting in the Ferghana Valley and put all the resources necessary, such as food, seed, and livestock, into it. By 1929, the cotton monoculture in the Valley had advanced more than that during the Imperial era. At the height of famine, the Soviet authorities could force native farmers to plant cotton by using the advance payment of wheat and money. The land-water reform was also an effective measure for expanding cotton planting. In other words, native farmers could not avoid depending on advance payment, and by 1923, the famine made the reinforcement of cotton monoculture possible. In 1926, for example, there was “hunger export” from the Ferghana Valley owing to cotton production. This example suggests that the cotton planting revived by the Soviet authorities lacked enough 28 Journal of Asian Network for GIS-based Historical Studies Vol.2 (Dec. 2014) 22-31 economic preparation. This problem was not solved in the 1920s, and food shortage continued into the early 1930s (Figure 9–2). Without question, the anti-Soviet movement was also responsible for the war’s devastation, but had no measure to resolve the famine problem. Its root cause was the insufficiency of grain importation from Russia. The anti-Soviet movement did not have a rear area from which they could supply enough resources to the front. Figure 9–1. The Economic System of the Ferghana Province from 1920 to 1922 Figure 8–1. The Change of Pasturage from 1894 to 1929 (%) Figure 9–2. The Economic System of the Ferghana Province from 1923 to 1929 Supplement: Concerning the Method of Historical GIS Figure 8–2. The Change of Pasturage from 1894 to 1929 (the number of livestock) (Source: Обзор Ферганской области за 1884 г., 1889: 7, Очерки хозяйственной жизни Туркреспублики, 1921: 68–70, Отчет Ферганского областного экономического совещания Туркестанскому экономическому совету за янв.-сент. 1922 г. 1923: 30, Вся Средняя Азия: Справочная книга на 1926 хоз. год. 1926: 389, 654, Статистический ежегодник 1917–1923 г. г., Т. 1, Ч. 3,1924: 20–25, Районы УзССР в цифрах, 1930: 116–123, Краткий обзор советского строительства и народного хозяйства Киргизии, 1926: 35.) Since Russian Turkistan was divided into republics under the National Delimitation policy in 1924, it is difficult to compare statistical data before and after 1924. By using the historical GIS method, this study compared district-level population data for 1923 to 1925. This comparison was possible because district organizations continued to function after the National Delimitation in 1924. As for the changes in agriculture, this study uses data from 1900 and 1929. Between these two data sets, the territorial units of statistics differed. Therefore, this study posited statistical data on the historical GIS map by using a Voronoi diagram (figure 7–1a) and clarified the region’s progress in cotton monoculture. Thus, this study made possible a quantitative economic comparison between the Russian Imperial era and the early Soviet period. This example shows that historical GIS has the potential to reconstruct more meaningful information from historical materials than existing quantitative analysis methods. In the 1930s, the Soviet authorities began to construct large irrigation systems in the Ferghana Valley. These new irrigation systems developed new cotton planting areas in the Valley’s central area. 29 Journal of Asian Network for GIS-based Historical Studies Vol.2 (Dec. 2014) 22-31 The historical GIS method can also prove an effective tool for analyzing this new phase. (1984). In fact, these countries gave some money and weapons to the anti-Soviet movement but the quantity of these supports cannot compare with the military supply of the Red Army imported from Notes Russia by the railway. (1) As to the historiography of the anti–Soviet movement in Turkistan, see Obiya (1998) and Ziyoeva (2000). (2) For example, see Shamagdiev (1961) and (1975). (3) For example, see Rajabov (1994), (2005), and Ziyoeva (2000). Acknowledgement This work was supported by a grant-in-aid from Mishima Kaiun Memorial Foundation. (4) See Rajabov (1994) and (2005). (5) As to the course of political and military events in the civil war between the Red Army and the anti-Soviet movement in the Ferghana Province, the participants and witnesses of the war already published reports and materials in the 1920s. These materials were useful as primary historical resources. Soviet researchers continued investigating the anti-Soviet movement in the Ferghana Province, utilizing archive documents; however, some of their works, for example Shamagdiev (1961) and (1975), were more ideological than their predecessors. Shamagdiev (1961) generally denied the responsibility of the Soviet authorities to the economic devastation and the outbreak of the anti-Soviet movement in the Ferghana Province, even negating the analysis by the Soviet participants of the war at that time. In 1980s, some Soviet researchers such as E. Yu. Yusupov and B. V. Lunin related the war against the anti-Soviet movement to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. After the independence of Central Asian republics, the anti-Soviet movement became one of the main themes for reconsidering their own national history. In Uzbekistan, Q. Rajabov submitted a doctoral candidate thesis about the anti-Soviet movement in the Ferghana Province. Presently, the second chapter of his doctoral candidate thesis is most comprehensive in the chronology of the political history of the anti-Soviet movement in the Ferghana Province (Rajabov 1994: 81–169). Japanese researcher, Ch. Obiya who published a series of articles about the anti-Soviet movement in Turkistan also recognized the contribution of Rajabov’s chronology on the basis of the archival documents in Uzbekistan (Obiya 1998: 82). (6) Komatsu, Goto (2009: 99) and Komatsu, Goto (2004: 117) quoted the population data of the Ferghana Province in 1920 from Vaidyanath (1967: 270–271). Vaidyanath quoted that data from the table of Статистический ежегодник 1917–1923 г. г., Т. 1, Ч. 3 (1924: 44–48). The data of the Ferghana Province in that table was edited from the urban population in 1914 and the rural population in 1917 (Статистический ежегодник 1917–1923 г. г., Т. 1, Ч. 3 1924: 44). Vaidyanath, however, did not mention it in his book. (7) The census of 1917 could not be taken in the Osh County because of insufficiency of funds and political instability (Материалы всероссийских переписей… 1924: I). (8) In the Ferghana Province, land surveying to determine land tax on agricultural income was conducted in the Andijan County from 1890 to 1893, in the Margiran County from 1894 to 1896, in the Kokand County from 1899 to 1902, in the Osh County from 1903 to 1904, and in the Namangan County from 1897 to 1899 (Ueda 2013b: 43). (9) While the articles published after 1991 generally emphasize the spontaneity of the anti-Soviet movement, the Soviet researches by 1980s stressed the intervention and the support by “imperialist governments” as Great Britain and the United States. See Khasanov References Alekseenkov, P. 1927. Алексеенков, П. Крестьянское Восстение в Фергане. Ташкент. Asmis, R. 1924. Als Wirtschaftspionier in Russisch-Asien. Berlin. (=1941. Kohori, Z., trans., Roryou Aziya tousaki. 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