Revising the Lower Trophic Level Indicator Presentation to the Tidal Monitoring and Analysis Workgroup June 12, 2012 Meeting by Jacqueline Johnson Interstate Commission on the Potomac River Basin Components of the Habitats and Lower Food Web Indicator Phytoplankton Wetlands SAV Benthos Phytoplankton Reference Conditions SEASON Salinity Regime SPRING Tidal Fresh Oligohaline Mesohaline Polyhaline SUMMER Tidal Fresh Oligohaline Mesohaline Polyhaline Community REFERENCE DEGRADED REFERENCE DEGRADED REFERENCE DEGRADED REFERENCE DEGRADED REFERENCE DEGRADED REFERENCE DEGRADED REFERENCE DEGRADED REFERENCE DEGRADED Secchi Depth >0.9 <=0.9 >0.7 <=0.7 >1.8 <=1.8 >2.15 <=2.15 >0.8 <=0.8 >0.6 <=0.6 >1.45 <=1.45 >1.85 <=1.85 PO4 NA >0.007 NA >0.007 NA >0.007 NA >0.007 NA >0.007 NA >0.007 <=0.007 >0.007 <=0.007 >0.007 DIN NA >0.070 NA >0.070 NA >0.070 NA >0.070 NA >0.070 NA >0.070 <=0.070 >0.070 <=0.070 >0.070 Components of the PIBI Habitat Class Metric BIOMASS_CHL_RATIO CHLA_SURF SPRING SPRING SPRING SPRING SUMMER SUMMER SUMMER SUMMER FRESH OLIGOHALINE MESOHALINE POLYHALINE FRESH OLIGOHALINE MESOHALINE POLYHALINE X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X CRYPTO_BIO_PCT CYANO_BIOMASS X DIATOM_BIOMASS DINO_BIOMASS DOC MICROCYSTIS_AER_ABUND PHEO X X PICO_ABUND PROROCENTRUM_MIN_ABUND TOT_BIOMASS 1 2 3 4 5 X X X X X X X X X X X Spring Index Performance Base Period: 1984-2002 Recent Period: 2003-2010 Summer Index Performance Base Period: 1984-2002 Recent Period: 2003-2010 Current PIBI Indicator MRAT Tributary PIBI Sample Count 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 CHOPTANK PATAPSCO PATUXENT POTOMAC RAPPAHANNOCK YORK ELIZABETH JAMES UPPER EAST LOWER WEST 2010 2011 Mainstem PIBI Sample Counts 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 UPPER BAY 2003 2004 MIDDLE BAY 2005 2006 2007 LOWER BAY 2008 2009 2010 2011 Choptank Patapsco Patuxent Potomac Lower West Upper East 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 Maryland Tributaries 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Patapsco River 5 10,000 4.5 3.5 1,000 PIBI SCORE 3 2.5 2 100 1.5 1 0.5 0 3/1/2011 4/1/2011 5/1/2011 6/1/2011 WT5.1 7/1/2011 flow 8/1/2011 9/1/2011 10 10/1/2011 Average Daily Stream Flow (CFS) 4 Potomac River 5 1,000,000 4.5 4 3.5 PIBI SCORE 3 2.5 10,000 2 1.5 1,000 1 0.5 0 3/1/2011 4/1/2011 5/1/2011 6/1/2011 TF2_3 7/1/2011 RET2_2 LE2_2 8/1/2011 flow 9/1/2011 100 10/1/2011 AVERAGE DAILY RIVER FLOW (CFS) 100,000 Issues and Options • Due to reductions in sampling frequency the annual mean PIBI score is more likely to misrepresent a segment or a year with extreme flow events . – should we change the reporting window from 1 to 2 or more years? – Should reporting be limited to areas with more than one station – What should be the minimum number of sampling events for an area weighting analysis. Discussion
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